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1990 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

HB Torshavn

24 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1988.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HB Torshavn

4.72 points above expected

24 points · 19.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

B71 Sandoy

5.14 points below expected

14 points · 19.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HB Torshavn Champion 18 9 6 3 24 37 22 +15 19.28 +4.72
2 B36 Torshavn 18 9 2 7 20 30 27 +3 17.54 +2.46
3 MB Midvagur 18 6 7 5 19 28 25 +3 18.19 +0.81
4 GI Gota 18 7 4 7 18 28 20 +8 17.89 +0.11
5 Vags Boltfelag 18 7 4 7 18 27 27 0 18.41 -0.41
6 B68 Toftir 18 6 6 6 18 19 20 -1 17.99 +0.01
7 KI Klaksvik 18 6 5 7 17 30 36 -6 17.65 -0.65
8 TB Tvoroyri 18 7 2 9 16 21 26 -5 18.22 -2.22
9 Sandavagur 18 7 2 9 16 20 29 -9 15.69 +0.31
10 B71 Sandoy 18 4 6 8 14 17 25 -8 19.14 -5.14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HB Torshavn 24 19.28 +4.72
2 B36 Torshavn 20 17.54 +2.46
3 MB Midvagur 19 18.19 +0.81
4 Sandavagur 16 15.69 +0.31
5 GI Gota 18 17.89 +0.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 B71 Sandoy 14 19.14 -5.14
2 TB Tvoroyri 16 18.22 -2.22
3 KI Klaksvik 17 17.65 -0.65
4 Vags Boltfelag 18 18.41 -0.41
5 B68 Toftir 18 17.99 +0.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sandavagur 3 Sep 2 – Sep 23 1 in 65
2 B36 Torshavn 3 Aug 26 – Sep 16 1 in 21
3 Vags Boltfelag 3 Aug 19 – Sep 2 1 in 17
4 MB Midvagur 2 May 13 – May 20 1 in 11
5 KI Klaksvik 2 Jun 17 – Jun 23 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vags Boltfelag 3 Jun 23 – Aug 12 1 in 28
2 B68 Toftir 3 May 6 – May 20 1 in 19
3 TB Tvoroyri 3 Jun 17 – Jul 1 1 in 17
4 B36 Torshavn 3 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 15
5 B71 Sandoy 2 May 13 – May 20 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 9 May 13 – Aug 5 1 in 58
2 B68 Toftir 7 Jun 10 – Aug 26 1 in 26
3 KI Klaksvik 6 Jun 4 – Aug 5 1 in 25
4 GI Gota 6 May 6 – Jun 10 1 in 21
5 MB Midvagur 5 May 6 – Jun 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B71 Sandoy 6 May 13 – Jun 17 1 in 22
2 Vags Boltfelag 5 May 13 – Jun 4 1 in 10
3 MB Midvagur 4 Jun 10 – Jun 30 1 in 9
4 TB Tvoroyri 5 Aug 19 – Sep 23 1 in 8
5 B68 Toftir 4 May 6 – May 24 1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn 1227 24 +13 6 6.0 +0.0
B36 Torshavn 1174 20 +21 8 4.5 +3.5
MB Midvagur 1183 19 -5 4 5.1 -1.1
Vags Boltfelag 1191 18 +14 7 5.1 +1.9
GI Gota 1179 18 +5 6 5.2 +0.8
B68 Toftir 1170 18 -6 4 4.7 -0.7
KI Klaksvik 1150 17 -19 3 4.6 -1.6
Sandavagur 1123 16 +4 6 4.3 +1.7
TB Tvoroyri 1171 16 -6 4 4.9 -0.9
B71 Sandoy 1178 14 -19 2 5.6 -3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS GG HT KK MM SAN TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.63
B68 Toftir
1-0-1
2.75
 —
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.64
B71 Sandoy
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.98
 —
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
2.92
GI Gota
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.57
 —
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.71
HB Torshavn
1-0-1
3.09
0-2-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.91
 —
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.86
KI Klaksvik
0-0-2
2.76
2-0-0
2.59
0-2-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.38
 —
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.56
MB Midvagur
1-1-0
2.69
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.90
 —
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.67
Sandavagur
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.35
 —
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.29
TB Tvoroyri
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.19
 —
0-1-1
2.70
Vags Boltfelag
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.79
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +3.7
Allowed 0.09 -1.7
Differential 0.80 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%6.67%8.33%3.33%0.56%—23.33%
16.67%12.22%10.00%3.33%0.56%0.56%33.33%
28.33%10.00%6.67%2.22%1.11%0.56%28.89%
33.33%3.33%2.22%1.11%——10.00%
40.56%0.56%1.11%———2.22%
5+—0.56%0.56%——1.11%2.22%
Total23.33%33.33%28.89%10.00%2.22%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.67
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%——5.56%—11.11%
111.11%5.56%16.67%5.56%——38.89%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%33.33%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.50 +0.17
SD 1.08 1.15 1.72
CV 0.65 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%16.67%———27.78%
116.67%22.22%5.56%5.56%——50.00%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
3———————
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%27.78%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.11 -0.06
SD 1.00 0.90 1.43
CV 0.95 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%22.22%———33.33%
111.11%16.67%11.11%———38.89%
2—11.11%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%44.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.39 -0.44
SD 0.80 0.85 1.10
CV 0.85 0.61 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
15.56%5.56%22.22%———33.33%
222.22%5.56%5.56%———33.33%
3———5.56%——5.56%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total33.33%27.78%33.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.11 +0.44
SD 1.62 0.96 1.89
CV 1.04 0.87 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
1—11.11%11.11%5.56%——27.78%
25.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
316.67%11.11%—5.56%——33.33%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.22 +0.83
SD 1.06 1.00 1.50
CV 0.51 0.82 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%16.67%5.56%——27.78%
15.56%11.11%———5.56%22.22%
25.56%5.56%16.67%5.56%——33.33%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+——5.56%——5.56%11.11%
Total16.67%22.22%38.89%11.11%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.00 -0.33
SD 1.68 1.75 2.20
CV 1.01 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
15.56%22.22%5.56%———33.33%
25.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
3——5.56%———5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+—————5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%44.44%22.22%5.56%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.39 +0.17
SD 1.38 1.42 1.47
CV 0.89 1.02 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%——33.33%
111.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%——33.33%
211.11%5.56%——5.56%—22.22%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%16.67%27.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.61 -0.50
SD 1.02 1.33 1.82
CV 0.92 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%16.67%5.56%——38.89%
1—5.56%11.11%———16.67%
211.11%16.67%———5.56%33.33%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%33.33%5.56%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.44 -0.28
SD 1.10 1.25 1.78
CV 0.94 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
1—16.67%11.11%5.56%5.56%—38.89%
211.11%16.67%—5.56%5.56%—38.89%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%11.11%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 0.86 1.25 1.53
CV 0.57 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HB Torshavn 1227 24 19.28 +4.72 95.0% 10 14 16 19 22 24 29
Vags Boltfelag 1191 18 18.41 -0.41 54.0% 8 12 16 18 21 24 28
MB Midvagur 1183 19 18.19 +0.81 64.0% 7 12 16 18 21 24 27
GI Gota 1179 18 17.89 +0.11 58.0% 10 13 16 18 20 24 25
B71 Sandoy 1178 14 19.14 -5.14 14.0% 12 13 17 20 22 25 27
B36 Torshavn 1174 20 17.54 +2.46 79.0% 8 11 15 18 20 23 25
TB Tvoroyri 1171 16 18.22 -2.22 31.0% 8 13 16 18 21 25 27
B68 Toftir 1170 18 17.99 +0.01 59.0% 11 12 16 18 21 23 25
KI Klaksvik 1150 17 17.65 -0.65 50.0% 10 12 16 17 19 23 24
Sandavagur 1123 16 15.69 +0.31 58.0% 8 10 13 15 18 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.33%
Clear Edge
44.44%24.44%31.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.
252 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
23%
HB Torshavn, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.79 * Some Luck: 2.79 to 4.19 * Lucky: 4.19 to 5.59 * Wild Swing: 5.59 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.27 * Close: 2.27 to 3.4 * Off: 3.4 to 4.54 * Way Off: 4.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.47 points
As Expected
03.499
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.80
Close
02.846
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
HB Torshavn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
14.00%
B71 Sandoy
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.08
Balanced
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 26.57
0.73
Coin-Flip Parity
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
52%
Even
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
64%
Even
50%62%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.48
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
-0.33
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Shaky
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
-1.07
Overconfident
01.003.68931
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.094
Well Within Noise
00.1480.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
HB Torshavn23.00%13.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%
B36 Torshavn4.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%
MB Midvagur10.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%
GI Gota6.00%13.00%6.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%
Vags Boltfelag12.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%
B68 Toftir8.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%
KI Klaksvik8.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%9.00%19.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%
TB Tvoroyri13.00%3.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%17.00%7.00%
Sandavagur1.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%33.00%
B71 Sandoy15.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HB Torshavn 93.00% 7.00%
B71 Sandoy 84.00% 16.00%
MB Midvagur 84.00% 16.00%
Vags Boltfelag 84.00% 16.00%
B36 Torshavn 83.00% 17.00%
B68 Toftir 82.00% 18.00%
KI Klaksvik 82.00% 18.00%
GI Gota 79.00% 21.00%
TB Tvoroyri 76.00% 24.00%
Sandavagur 53.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-04-29 MB Midvagur W 3-031.5 1173 1169 47.07% 25.71% 27.21%+0.20 +9.8 2
1990-04-29 @ HB Torshavn L 0-331.5 1169 1173 27.21% 25.71% 47.07%-0.20 -9.8 0
1990-04-29 B71 Sandoy D 1-153.0 1170 1220 39.85% 25.92% 34.23%-0.01 -0.1 1
1990-04-29 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-153.0 1220 1170 34.23% 25.92% 39.85%+0.01 +0.1 1
1990-04-29 B36 Torshavn L 2-448.3 1140 1160 43.86% 25.87% 30.28%+0.10 -7.6 0
1990-04-29 @ Sandavagur W 4-248.3 1160 1140 30.28% 25.87% 43.86%-0.10 +7.6 2
1990-04-29 GI Gota W 2-141.7 1198 1149 52.53% 25.19% 22.28%+0.38 +2.9 2
1990-04-29 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-241.7 1149 1198 22.28% 25.19% 52.53%-0.38 -2.9 0
1990-05-01 Vags Boltfelag W 4-137.2 1176 1189 44.86% 25.83% 29.31%+0.13 +8.8 2
1990-05-01 @ B68 Toftir L 1-437.2 1189 1176 29.31% 25.83% 44.86%-0.13 -8.8 0
1990-05-06 MB Midvagur D 1-153.0 1168 1159 47.64% 25.68% 26.69%+0.22 -0.5 3
1990-05-06 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-153.0 1159 1168 26.69% 25.68% 47.64%-0.22 +0.5 1
1990-05-06 B68 Toftir W 1-037.0 1220 1185 50.93% 25.38% 23.68%+0.33 +3.2 3
1990-05-06 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-137.0 1185 1220 23.68% 25.38% 50.93%-0.33 -3.2 2
1990-05-06 KI Klaksvik W 7-136.5 1146 1170 43.41% 25.88% 30.71%+0.09 +17.0 2
1990-05-06 @ GI Gota L 1-736.5 1170 1146 30.71% 25.88% 43.41%-0.09 -17.0 1
1990-05-06 TB Tvoroyri W 2-036.7 1132 1201 37.23% 25.88% 36.89%-0.09 +8.5 2
1990-05-06 @ Sandavagur L 0-236.7 1201 1132 36.89% 25.88% 37.23%+0.09 -8.5 2
1990-05-06 HB Torshavn W 3-139.6 1180 1183 46.17% 25.77% 28.06%+0.17 +6.0 2
1990-05-06 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-339.6 1183 1180 28.06% 25.77% 46.17%-0.17 -6.0 2
1990-05-13 GI Gota L 0-240.2 1182 1163 48.88% 25.58% 25.54%+0.26 -10.7 2
1990-05-13 @ B68 Toftir W 2-040.2 1163 1182 25.54% 25.58% 48.88%-0.26 +10.7 4
1990-05-13 B71 Sandoy W 2-035.8 1177 1224 40.36% 25.92% 33.72%+0.00 +8.0 4
1990-05-13 @ HB Torshavn L 0-235.8 1224 1177 33.72% 25.92% 40.36%+0.00 -8.0 3
1990-05-13 Sandavagur W 3-031.1 1153 1141 48.09% 25.64% 26.27%+0.23 +9.5 3
1990-05-13 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-331.1 1141 1153 26.27% 25.64% 48.09%-0.23 -9.5 2
1990-05-13 Vags Boltfelag W 2-144.6 1160 1186 43.09% 25.89% 31.02%+0.08 +3.7 3
1990-05-13 @ MB Midvagur L 1-244.6 1186 1160 31.02% 25.89% 43.09%-0.08 -3.7 2
1990-05-13 B36 Torshavn W 3-247.7 1192 1167 49.66% 25.51% 24.82%+0.28 +3.0 4
1990-05-13 @ TB Tvoroyri L 2-347.7 1167 1192 24.82% 25.51% 49.66%-0.28 -3.0 3
1990-05-20 Vags Boltfelag W 2-144.2 1164 1182 44.20% 25.86% 29.94%+0.11 +3.6 5
1990-05-20 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-244.2 1182 1164 29.94% 25.86% 44.20%-0.11 -3.7 2
1990-05-20 MB Midvagur L 0-241.3 1216 1164 52.85% 25.15% 22.00%+0.39 -11.4 3
1990-05-20 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-041.3 1164 1216 22.00% 25.15% 52.85%-0.39 +11.4 5
1990-05-20 HB Torshavn D 3-362.6 1174 1185 45.07% 25.82% 29.11%+0.14 -0.2 5
1990-05-20 @ GI Gota D 3-362.6 1185 1174 29.11% 25.82% 45.07%-0.14 +0.2 5
1990-05-20 B68 Toftir W 2-035.5 1131 1171 41.28% 25.92% 32.80%+0.03 +7.8 4
1990-05-20 @ Sandavagur L 0-235.5 1171 1131 32.80% 25.92% 41.28%-0.03 -7.8 2
1990-05-20 KI Klaksvik W 2-032.7 1195 1162 50.62% 25.42% 23.97%+0.32 +6.1 6
1990-05-20 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-232.7 1162 1195 23.97% 25.42% 50.62%-0.32 -6.1 3
1990-05-24 B68 Toftir D 1-153.0 1179 1163 48.53% 25.61% 25.86%+0.25 -0.6 3
1990-05-24 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-153.0 1163 1179 25.86% 25.61% 48.53%-0.25 +0.6 3
1990-05-27 TB Tvoroyri W 1-039.8 1164 1201 41.53% 25.92% 32.55%+0.03 +4.1 5
1990-05-27 @ B68 Toftir L 0-139.8 1201 1164 32.55% 25.92% 41.53%-0.03 -4.1 6
1990-05-27 Sandavagur W 3-137.8 1185 1139 52.20% 25.23% 22.57%+0.37 +5.0 7
1990-05-27 @ HB Torshavn L 1-337.8 1139 1185 22.57% 25.23% 52.20%-0.37 -5.0 4
1990-05-27 B36 Torshavn L 0-143.4 1156 1168 45.03% 25.82% 29.14%+0.14 -5.3 3
1990-05-27 @ KI Klaksvik W 1-043.4 1168 1156 29.14% 25.82% 45.03%-0.14 +5.3 7
1990-05-27 GI Gota D 0-048.7 1175 1173 46.75% 25.73% 27.52%+0.19 -0.5 6
1990-05-27 @ MB Midvagur D 0-048.7 1173 1175 27.52% 25.73% 46.75%-0.19 +0.5 6
1990-05-27 B71 Sandoy D 1-153.0 1178 1204 43.16% 25.89% 30.96%+0.08 -0.3 4
1990-05-27 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-153.0 1204 1178 30.96% 25.89% 43.16%-0.08 +0.3 4
1990-06-04 Vags Boltfelag D 1-153.0 1174 1178 46.04% 25.78% 28.19%+0.17 -0.4 7
1990-06-04 @ GI Gota D 1-153.0 1178 1174 28.19% 25.78% 46.04%-0.17 +0.4 5
1990-06-04 B68 Toftir W 2-144.1 1151 1168 44.38% 25.85% 29.77%+0.12 +3.6 5
1990-06-04 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-244.1 1168 1151 29.77% 25.85% 44.38%-0.12 -3.6 5
1990-06-04 MB Midvagur L 0-142.3 1134 1174 41.17% 25.92% 32.91%+0.02 -4.9 4
1990-06-04 @ Sandavagur W 1-042.3 1174 1134 32.91% 25.92% 41.17%-0.02 +4.9 8
1990-06-04 HB Torshavn L 0-337.6 1197 1190 47.44% 25.69% 26.87%+0.21 -15.1 6
1990-06-04 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-037.6 1190 1197 26.87% 25.69% 47.44%-0.21 +15.1 9
1990-06-05 B71 Sandoy D 2-258.6 1173 1204 42.46% 25.90% 31.64%+0.06 -0.2 8
1990-06-05 @ B36 Torshavn D 2-258.6 1204 1173 31.64% 25.90% 42.46%-0.06 +0.2 5
1990-06-10 B36 Torshavn W 1-038.6 1164 1173 45.38% 25.81% 28.81%+0.15 +3.8 7
1990-06-10 @ B68 Toftir L 0-138.6 1173 1164 28.81% 25.81% 45.38%-0.15 -3.8 8
1990-06-10 GI Gota L 0-240.7 1205 1174 50.39% 25.44% 24.17%+0.31 -11.0 5
1990-06-10 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-040.7 1174 1205 24.17% 25.44% 50.39%-0.31 +11.0 9
1990-06-10 KI Klaksvik D 2-258.8 1205 1155 52.71% 25.17% 22.12%+0.39 -0.6 10
1990-06-10 @ HB Torshavn D 2-258.8 1155 1205 22.12% 25.17% 52.71%-0.39 +0.6 6
1990-06-10 TB Tvoroyri L 1-249.1 1179 1182 46.19% 25.77% 28.05%+0.17 -5.1 8
1990-06-10 @ MB Midvagur W 2-149.1 1182 1179 28.05% 25.77% 46.19%-0.17 +5.1 8
1990-06-10 Sandavagur W 2-141.7 1178 1129 52.55% 25.19% 22.26%+0.38 +2.9 7
1990-06-10 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-241.7 1129 1178 22.26% 25.19% 52.55%-0.38 -2.9 4
1990-06-17 GI Gota W 1-038.8 1169 1185 44.58% 25.84% 29.57%+0.13 +3.8 10
1990-06-17 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-138.8 1185 1169 29.57% 25.84% 44.58%-0.13 -3.8 9
1990-06-17 HB Torshavn D 0-048.7 1168 1205 41.64% 25.91% 32.44%+0.04 -0.2 8
1990-06-17 @ B68 Toftir D 0-048.7 1205 1168 32.44% 25.91% 41.64%-0.04 +0.2 11
1990-06-17 MB Midvagur W 6-553.7 1155 1174 44.07% 25.86% 30.07%+0.11 +3.3 8
1990-06-17 @ KI Klaksvik L 5-653.7 1174 1155 30.07% 25.86% 44.07%-0.11 -3.3 8
1990-06-17 B71 Sandoy D 0-048.6 1126 1194 37.41% 25.89% 36.70%-0.08 -0.0 5
1990-06-17 @ Sandavagur D 0-048.6 1194 1126 36.70% 25.89% 37.41%+0.08 +0.0 6
1990-06-17 Vags Boltfelag L 1-249.4 1187 1181 47.32% 25.70% 26.98%+0.21 -5.2 8
1990-06-17 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-149.4 1181 1187 26.98% 25.70% 47.32%-0.21 +5.2 9
1990-06-23 KI Klaksvik L 0-144.8 1186 1159 50.01% 25.48% 24.51%+0.30 -5.8 9
1990-06-23 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-044.8 1159 1186 24.51% 25.48% 50.01%-0.30 +5.8 10
1990-06-24 HB Torshavn L 1-248.0 1173 1205 42.34% 25.90% 31.75%+0.06 -4.8 10
1990-06-24 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-148.0 1205 1173 31.75% 25.90% 42.34%-0.06 +4.7 13
1990-06-24 TB Tvoroyri W 1-037.8 1194 1182 48.00% 25.65% 26.35%+0.23 +3.5 8
1990-06-24 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-137.8 1182 1194 26.35% 25.65% 48.00%-0.23 -3.5 8
1990-06-24 Sandavagur L 1-250.9 1181 1126 53.14% 25.11% 21.75%+0.40 -5.7 9
1990-06-24 @ GI Gota W 2-150.9 1126 1181 21.75% 25.11% 53.14%-0.40 +5.7 7
1990-06-24 B68 Toftir D 2-258.6 1171 1168 46.98% 25.72% 27.30%+0.20 -0.4 9
1990-06-24 @ MB Midvagur D 2-258.6 1168 1171 27.30% 25.72% 46.98%-0.20 +0.4 9
1990-06-30 HB Torshavn D 2-258.6 1171 1210 41.34% 25.92% 32.74%+0.03 -0.2 10
1990-06-30 @ MB Midvagur D 2-258.6 1210 1171 32.74% 25.92% 41.34%-0.03 +0.2 14
1990-07-01 Sandavagur W 3-030.2 1168 1132 51.06% 25.37% 23.57%+0.33 +8.7 12
1990-07-01 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-330.2 1132 1168 23.57% 25.37% 51.06%-0.33 -8.7 7
1990-07-01 KI Klaksvik D 2-258.7 1197 1164 50.60% 25.42% 23.98%+0.32 -0.5 9
1990-07-01 @ B71 Sandoy D 2-258.7 1164 1197 23.98% 25.42% 50.60%-0.32 +0.5 11
1990-07-01 TB Tvoroyri W 2-034.1 1175 1179 46.07% 25.77% 28.15%+0.17 +6.9 11
1990-07-01 @ GI Gota L 0-234.1 1179 1175 28.15% 25.77% 46.07%-0.17 -6.9 8
1990-08-05 B71 Sandoy W 2-144.7 1168 1197 42.78% 25.90% 31.32%+0.07 +3.8 11
1990-08-05 @ B68 Toftir L 1-244.7 1197 1168 31.32% 25.90% 42.78%-0.07 -3.8 9
1990-08-05 Vags Boltfelag W 4-242.5 1210 1181 50.19% 25.46% 24.35%+0.30 +4.8 16
1990-08-05 @ HB Torshavn L 2-442.5 1181 1210 24.35% 25.46% 50.19%-0.30 -4.8 9
1990-08-05 GI Gota D 2-258.6 1165 1182 44.33% 25.85% 29.81%+0.12 -0.3 12
1990-08-05 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-258.6 1182 1165 29.81% 25.85% 44.33%-0.12 +0.3 12
1990-08-05 B36 Torshavn W 4-031.8 1170 1177 45.68% 25.79% 28.53%+0.16 +13.3 12
1990-08-05 @ MB Midvagur L 0-431.8 1177 1170 28.53% 25.79% 45.68%-0.16 -13.3 12
1990-08-05 Sandavagur W 3-029.8 1172 1123 52.45% 25.20% 22.35%+0.38 +8.3 10
1990-08-05 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-329.8 1123 1172 22.35% 25.20% 52.45%-0.38 -8.4 7
1990-08-12 TB Tvoroyri L 1-248.6 1164 1180 44.45% 25.85% 29.70%+0.12 -4.9 12
1990-08-12 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-148.6 1180 1164 29.70% 25.85% 44.45%-0.12 +4.9 12
1990-08-12 HB Torshavn W 2-144.5 1193 1215 43.67% 25.87% 30.45%+0.10 +3.7 11
1990-08-12 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-244.5 1215 1193 30.45% 25.87% 43.67%-0.10 -3.7 16
1990-08-12 B68 Toftir L 0-144.3 1182 1172 47.86% 25.66% 26.48%+0.23 -5.6 12
1990-08-12 @ GI Gota W 1-044.3 1172 1182 26.48% 25.66% 47.86%-0.23 +5.6 13
1990-08-12 KI Klaksvik W 3-250.5 1115 1165 39.89% 25.92% 34.19%-0.01 +3.8 9
1990-08-12 @ Sandavagur L 2-350.5 1165 1115 34.19% 25.92% 39.89%+0.01 -3.8 12
1990-08-12 MB Midvagur L 2-354.0 1176 1184 45.52% 25.80% 28.68%+0.15 -4.8 9
1990-08-12 @ Vags Boltfelag W 3-254.0 1184 1176 28.68% 25.80% 45.52%-0.15 +4.8 14
1990-08-19 Sandavagur D 1-153.2 1177 1119 53.61% 25.04% 21.35%+0.42 -0.8 14
1990-08-19 @ B68 Toftir D 1-153.2 1119 1177 21.35% 25.04% 53.61%-0.42 +0.8 10
1990-08-19 GI Gota W 2-142.3 1211 1177 50.81% 25.40% 23.79%+0.32 +3.0 18
1990-08-19 @ HB Torshavn L 1-242.3 1177 1211 23.79% 25.40% 50.81%-0.32 -3.0 12
1990-08-19 TB Tvoroyri W 5-240.5 1161 1185 43.38% 25.88% 30.73%+0.09 +7.9 14
1990-08-19 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-540.5 1185 1161 30.73% 25.88% 43.38%-0.09 -7.9 12
1990-08-19 B71 Sandoy D 1-153.0 1189 1197 45.52% 25.80% 28.68%+0.15 -0.4 15
1990-08-19 @ MB Midvagur D 1-153.0 1197 1189 28.68% 25.80% 45.52%-0.15 +0.4 12
1990-08-19 B36 Torshavn W 3-139.0 1171 1159 48.08% 25.64% 26.28%+0.23 +5.7 11
1990-08-19 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-339.0 1159 1171 26.28% 25.64% 48.08%-0.23 -5.7 12
1990-08-26 KI Klaksvik W 2-034.5 1153 1169 44.54% 25.84% 29.61%+0.12 +7.2 14
1990-08-26 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-234.5 1169 1153 29.61% 25.84% 44.54%-0.12 -7.2 14
1990-08-26 Vags Boltfelag L 1-249.9 1197 1177 49.07% 25.56% 25.36%+0.27 -5.4 12
1990-08-26 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-149.9 1177 1197 25.36% 25.56% 49.07%-0.27 +5.4 13
1990-08-26 MB Midvagur W 1-038.8 1174 1188 44.65% 25.84% 29.51%+0.13 +3.8 14
1990-08-26 @ GI Gota L 0-138.8 1188 1174 29.51% 25.84% 44.65%-0.13 -3.8 15
1990-08-26 HB Torshavn L 1-341.3 1119 1214 33.64% 25.74% 40.62%-0.19 -6.9 10
1990-08-26 @ Sandavagur W 3-141.3 1214 1119 40.62% 25.74% 33.64%+0.19 +6.9 20
1990-08-26 B68 Toftir L 0-239.6 1177 1176 46.62% 25.74% 27.64%+0.19 -10.3 12
1990-08-26 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-039.6 1176 1177 27.64% 25.74% 46.62%-0.19 +10.3 16
1990-09-02 KI Klaksvik L 0-240.4 1187 1161 49.70% 25.51% 24.79%+0.29 -10.8 16
1990-09-02 @ B68 Toftir W 2-040.4 1161 1187 24.79% 25.51% 49.70%-0.29 +10.8 16
1990-09-02 B36 Torshavn L 2-355.3 1192 1161 50.40% 25.44% 24.16%+0.31 -5.2 12
1990-09-02 @ B71 Sandoy W 3-255.3 1161 1192 24.16% 25.44% 50.40%-0.31 +5.2 16
1990-09-02 TB Tvoroyri D 1-153.3 1221 1167 53.11% 25.12% 21.78%+0.40 -0.8 21
1990-09-02 @ HB Torshavn D 1-153.3 1167 1221 21.78% 25.12% 53.11%-0.40 +0.8 13
1990-09-02 Sandavagur L 0-146.1 1184 1113 55.06% 24.82% 20.12%+0.47 -6.3 15
1990-09-02 @ MB Midvagur W 1-046.1 1113 1184 20.12% 24.82% 55.06%-0.47 +6.3 12
1990-09-02 GI Gota W 2-033.8 1182 1177 47.15% 25.71% 27.14%+0.20 +6.8 15
1990-09-02 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-233.8 1177 1182 27.14% 25.71% 47.15%-0.20 -6.8 14
1990-09-16 B68 Toftir W 3-139.9 1166 1176 45.23% 25.82% 28.96%+0.14 +6.1 18
1990-09-16 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-339.9 1176 1166 28.96% 25.82% 45.23%-0.14 -6.2 16
1990-09-16 B71 Sandoy L 1-248.6 1171 1186 44.50% 25.85% 29.66%+0.12 -4.9 14
1990-09-16 @ GI Gota W 2-148.6 1186 1171 29.66% 25.85% 44.50%-0.12 +4.9 14
1990-09-16 HB Torshavn L 0-335.5 1172 1220 40.15% 25.92% 33.93%-0.01 -13.2 16
1990-09-16 @ KI Klaksvik W 3-035.5 1220 1172 33.93% 25.92% 40.15%+0.01 +13.2 23
1990-09-16 Vags Boltfelag W 3-142.3 1119 1189 37.05% 25.88% 37.08%-0.09 +7.4 14
1990-09-16 @ Sandavagur L 1-342.3 1189 1119 37.08% 25.88% 37.05%+0.09 -7.4 15
1990-09-16 MB Midvagur L 1-248.8 1168 1178 45.19% 25.82% 28.99%+0.14 -5.0 13
1990-09-16 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-148.8 1178 1168 28.99% 25.82% 45.19%-0.14 +5.0 17
1990-09-23 Sandavagur L 0-146.0 1191 1126 54.32% 24.94% 20.74%+0.44 -6.2 14
1990-09-23 @ B71 Sandoy W 1-046.0 1126 1191 20.74% 24.94% 54.32%-0.44 +6.2 16
1990-09-23 B36 Torshavn W 2-143.8 1166 1172 45.75% 25.79% 28.46%+0.16 +3.5 16
1990-09-23 @ GI Gota L 1-243.8 1172 1166 28.46% 25.79% 45.75%-0.16 -3.5 18
1990-09-23 B68 Toftir D 1-153.3 1233 1170 54.17% 24.96% 20.87%+0.44 -0.9 24
1990-09-23 @ HB Torshavn D 1-153.3 1170 1233 20.87% 24.96% 54.17%-0.44 +0.9 17
1990-09-23 KI Klaksvik D 1-153.1 1183 1159 49.54% 25.52% 24.94%+0.28 -0.6 18
1990-09-23 @ MB Midvagur D 1-153.1 1159 1183 24.94% 25.52% 49.54%-0.28 +0.6 17
1990-09-23 TB Tvoroyri D 0-048.7 1181 1163 48.92% 25.58% 25.50%+0.26 -0.7 16
1990-09-23 @ Vags Boltfelag D 0-048.7 1163 1181 25.50% 25.58% 48.92%-0.26 +0.7 14
1990-09-30 MB Midvagur D 1-153.0 1171 1182 45.02% 25.82% 29.16%+0.14 -0.4 18
1990-09-30 @ B68 Toftir D 1-153.0 1182 1171 29.16% 25.82% 45.02%-0.14 +0.4 19
1990-09-30 B36 Torshavn L 1-251.3 1233 1168 54.23% 24.95% 20.82%+0.44 -5.8 24
1990-09-30 @ HB Torshavn W 2-151.3 1168 1233 20.82% 24.95% 54.23%-0.44 +5.9 20
1990-09-30 Vags Boltfelag L 0-238.8 1160 1181 43.79% 25.87% 30.34%+0.10 -9.8 17
1990-09-30 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-038.8 1181 1160 30.34% 25.87% 43.79%-0.10 +9.8 18
1990-09-30 GI Gota L 0-238.1 1133 1169 41.69% 25.91% 32.39%+0.04 -9.4 16
1990-09-30 @ Sandavagur W 2-038.1 1169 1133 32.39% 25.91% 41.69%-0.04 +9.4 18
1990-09-30 B71 Sandoy W 2-034.8 1163 1185 43.69% 25.87% 30.44%+0.10 +7.4 16
1990-09-30 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-234.8 1185 1163 30.44% 25.87% 43.69%-0.10 -7.4 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1990-09-02 20.12% Sandavagur 1113 1 @ MB Midvagur 1184 0
2 1990-09-23 20.74% Sandavagur 1126 1 @ B71 Sandoy 1191 0
3 1990-09-30 20.82% B36 Torshavn 1168 2 @ HB Torshavn 1233 1
4 1990-06-24 21.75% Sandavagur 1126 2 @ GI Gota 1181 1
5 1990-05-20 22.00% MB Midvagur 1164 2 @ B71 Sandoy 1216 0
6 1990-09-02 24.16% B36 Torshavn 1161 3 @ B71 Sandoy 1192 2
7 1990-06-10 24.17% GI Gota 1174 2 @ B71 Sandoy 1205 0
8 1990-06-23 24.51% KI Klaksvik 1159 1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1186 0
9 1990-09-02 24.79% KI Klaksvik 1161 2 @ B68 Toftir 1187 0
10 1990-08-26 25.36% Vags Boltfelag 1177 2 @ B71 Sandoy 1197 1
11 1990-05-13 25.54% GI Gota 1163 2 @ B68 Toftir 1182 0
12 1990-08-12 26.48% B68 Toftir 1172 1 @ GI Gota 1182 0
13 1990-06-04 26.87% HB Torshavn 1190 3 @ TB Tvoroyri 1197 0
14 1990-06-17 26.98% Vags Boltfelag 1181 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1187 1
15 1990-08-26 27.64% B68 Toftir 1176 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1177 0
16 1990-06-10 28.05% TB Tvoroyri 1182 2 @ MB Midvagur 1179 1
17 1990-08-12 28.68% MB Midvagur 1184 3 @ Vags Boltfelag 1176 2
18 1990-09-16 28.99% MB Midvagur 1178 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1168 1
19 1990-05-27 29.14% B36 Torshavn 1168 1 @ KI Klaksvik 1156 0
20 1990-09-16 29.66% B71 Sandoy 1186 2 @ GI Gota 1171 1
21 1990-08-12 29.70% TB Tvoroyri 1180 2 @ B36 Torshavn 1164 1
22 1990-04-29 30.28% B36 Torshavn 1160 4 @ Sandavagur 1140 2
23 1990-09-30 30.34% Vags Boltfelag 1181 2 @ KI Klaksvik 1160 0
24 1990-06-24 31.75% HB Torshavn 1205 2 @ B36 Torshavn 1173 1
25 1990-09-30 32.39% GI Gota 1169 2 @ Sandavagur 1133 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-05-06 17.03 @ GI Gota 7 1146 43.41% KI Klaksvik 1 1170 30.71% 25.88%
2 1990-06-04 15.14 HB Torshavn 3 1190 26.87% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1197 47.44% 25.69%
3 1990-08-05 13.32 @ MB Midvagur 4 1170 45.68% B36 Torshavn 0 1177 28.53% 25.79%
4 1990-09-16 13.21 HB Torshavn 3 1220 33.93% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1172 40.15% 25.92%
5 1990-05-20 11.44 MB Midvagur 2 1164 22.00% @ B71 Sandoy 0 1216 52.85% 25.15%
6 1990-06-10 10.97 GI Gota 2 1174 24.17% @ B71 Sandoy 0 1205 50.39% 25.44%
7 1990-09-02 10.85 KI Klaksvik 2 1161 24.79% @ B68 Toftir 0 1187 49.70% 25.51%
8 1990-05-13 10.69 GI Gota 2 1163 25.54% @ B68 Toftir 0 1182 48.88% 25.58%
9 1990-08-26 10.27 B68 Toftir 2 1176 27.64% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1177 46.62% 25.74%
10 1990-04-29 9.82 @ HB Torshavn 3 1173 47.07% MB Midvagur 0 1169 27.21% 25.71%
11 1990-09-30 9.75 Vags Boltfelag 2 1181 30.34% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1160 43.79% 25.87%
12 1990-05-13 9.54 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1153 48.09% Sandavagur 0 1141 26.27% 25.64%
13 1990-09-30 9.37 GI Gota 2 1169 32.39% @ Sandavagur 0 1133 41.69% 25.91%
14 1990-05-01 8.78 @ B68 Toftir 4 1176 44.86% Vags Boltfelag 1 1189 29.31% 25.83%
15 1990-07-01 8.74 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1168 51.06% Sandavagur 0 1132 23.57% 25.37%
16 1990-05-06 8.53 @ Sandavagur 2 1132 37.23% TB Tvoroyri 0 1201 36.89% 25.88%
17 1990-08-05 8.35 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1172 52.45% Sandavagur 0 1123 22.35% 25.20%
18 1990-05-13 7.98 @ HB Torshavn 2 1177 40.36% B71 Sandoy 0 1224 33.72% 25.92%
19 1990-08-19 7.89 @ KI Klaksvik 5 1161 43.38% TB Tvoroyri 2 1185 30.73% 25.88%
20 1990-05-20 7.82 @ Sandavagur 2 1131 41.28% B68 Toftir 0 1171 32.80% 25.92%
21 1990-04-29 7.57 B36 Torshavn 4 1160 30.28% @ Sandavagur 2 1140 43.86% 25.87%
22 1990-09-16 7.42 @ Sandavagur 3 1119 37.05% Vags Boltfelag 1 1189 37.08% 25.88%
23 1990-09-30 7.38 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1163 43.69% B71 Sandoy 0 1185 30.44% 25.87%
24 1990-08-26 7.23 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1153 44.54% KI Klaksvik 0 1169 29.61% 25.84%
25 1990-07-01 6.95 @ GI Gota 2 1175 46.07% TB Tvoroyri 0 1179 28.15% 25.77%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-05-20 62.6 @ GI Gota 3 1174 45.07% HB Torshavn 3 1185 29.11% 25.82%
2 1990-06-10 58.8 @ HB Torshavn 2 1205 52.71% KI Klaksvik 2 1155 22.12% 25.17%
3 1990-07-01 58.7 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1197 50.60% KI Klaksvik 2 1164 23.98% 25.42%
4 1990-06-05 58.6 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1173 42.46% B71 Sandoy 2 1204 31.64% 25.90%
5 1990-06-24 58.6 @ MB Midvagur 2 1171 46.98% B68 Toftir 2 1168 27.30% 25.72%
6 1990-06-30 58.6 @ MB Midvagur 2 1171 41.34% HB Torshavn 2 1210 32.74% 25.92%
7 1990-08-05 58.6 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1165 44.33% GI Gota 2 1182 29.81% 25.85%
8 1990-09-02 55.3 B36 Torshavn 3 1161 24.16% @ B71 Sandoy 2 1192 50.40% 25.44%
9 1990-08-12 54.0 MB Midvagur 3 1184 28.68% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1176 45.52% 25.80%
10 1990-06-17 53.7 @ KI Klaksvik 6 1155 44.07% MB Midvagur 5 1174 30.07% 25.86%
11 1990-09-02 53.3 @ HB Torshavn 1 1221 53.11% TB Tvoroyri 1 1167 21.78% 25.12%
12 1990-09-23 53.3 @ HB Torshavn 1 1233 54.17% B68 Toftir 1 1170 20.87% 24.96%
13 1990-08-19 53.2 @ B68 Toftir 1 1177 53.61% Sandavagur 1 1119 21.35% 25.04%
14 1990-09-23 53.1 @ MB Midvagur 1 1183 49.54% KI Klaksvik 1 1159 24.94% 25.52%
15 1990-04-29 53.0 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1170 39.85% B71 Sandoy 1 1220 34.23% 25.92%
16 1990-05-06 53.0 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1168 47.64% MB Midvagur 1 1159 26.69% 25.68%
17 1990-05-24 53.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1179 48.53% B68 Toftir 1 1163 25.86% 25.61%
18 1990-05-27 53.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1178 43.16% B71 Sandoy 1 1204 30.96% 25.89%
19 1990-06-04 53.0 @ GI Gota 1 1174 46.04% Vags Boltfelag 1 1178 28.19% 25.78%
20 1990-08-19 53.0 @ MB Midvagur 1 1189 45.52% B71 Sandoy 1 1197 28.68% 25.80%
21 1990-09-30 53.0 @ B68 Toftir 1 1171 45.02% MB Midvagur 1 1182 29.16% 25.82%
22 1990-09-30 51.3 B36 Torshavn 2 1168 20.82% @ HB Torshavn 1 1233 54.23% 24.95%
23 1990-06-24 50.9 Sandavagur 2 1126 21.75% @ GI Gota 1 1181 53.14% 25.11%
24 1990-08-12 50.5 @ Sandavagur 3 1115 39.89% KI Klaksvik 2 1165 34.19% 25.92%
25 1990-08-26 49.9 Vags Boltfelag 2 1177 25.36% @ B71 Sandoy 1 1197 49.07% 25.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-08-05 29.8 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1172 52.45% Sandavagur 0 1123 22.35% 25.20%
2 1990-07-01 30.2 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1168 51.06% Sandavagur 0 1132 23.57% 25.37%
3 1990-05-13 31.1 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1153 48.09% Sandavagur 0 1141 26.27% 25.64%
4 1990-04-29 31.5 @ HB Torshavn 3 1173 47.07% MB Midvagur 0 1169 27.21% 25.71%
5 1990-08-05 31.8 @ MB Midvagur 4 1170 45.68% B36 Torshavn 0 1177 28.53% 25.79%
6 1990-05-20 32.7 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1195 50.62% KI Klaksvik 0 1162 23.97% 25.42%
7 1990-09-02 33.8 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1182 47.15% GI Gota 0 1177 27.14% 25.71%
8 1990-07-01 34.1 @ GI Gota 2 1175 46.07% TB Tvoroyri 0 1179 28.15% 25.77%
9 1990-08-26 34.5 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1153 44.54% KI Klaksvik 0 1169 29.61% 25.84%
10 1990-09-30 34.8 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1163 43.69% B71 Sandoy 0 1185 30.44% 25.87%
11 1990-05-20 35.5 @ Sandavagur 2 1131 41.28% B68 Toftir 0 1171 32.80% 25.92%
12 1990-09-16 35.5 HB Torshavn 3 1220 33.93% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1172 40.15% 25.92%
13 1990-05-13 35.8 @ HB Torshavn 2 1177 40.36% B71 Sandoy 0 1224 33.72% 25.92%
14 1990-05-06 36.5 @ GI Gota 7 1146 43.41% KI Klaksvik 1 1170 30.71% 25.88%
15 1990-05-06 36.7 @ Sandavagur 2 1132 37.23% TB Tvoroyri 0 1201 36.89% 25.88%
16 1990-05-06 37.0 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1220 50.93% B68 Toftir 0 1185 23.68% 25.38%
17 1990-05-01 37.2 @ B68 Toftir 4 1176 44.86% Vags Boltfelag 1 1189 29.31% 25.83%
18 1990-06-04 37.6 HB Torshavn 3 1190 26.87% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1197 47.44% 25.69%
19 1990-05-27 37.8 @ HB Torshavn 3 1185 52.20% Sandavagur 1 1139 22.57% 25.23%
20 1990-06-24 37.8 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1194 48.00% TB Tvoroyri 0 1182 26.35% 25.65%
21 1990-09-30 38.1 GI Gota 2 1169 32.39% @ Sandavagur 0 1133 41.69% 25.91%
22 1990-06-10 38.6 @ B68 Toftir 1 1164 45.38% B36 Torshavn 0 1173 28.81% 25.81%
23 1990-06-17 38.8 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1169 44.58% GI Gota 0 1185 29.57% 25.84%
24 1990-08-26 38.8 @ GI Gota 1 1174 44.65% MB Midvagur 0 1188 29.51% 25.84%
25 1990-09-30 38.8 Vags Boltfelag 2 1181 30.34% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1160 43.79% 25.87%