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1991 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

KI Klaksvik

24 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 1972.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

GI Gota

3.77 points above expected

23 points · 19.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sumba

7.51 points below expected

5 points · 12.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KI Klaksvik Champion 18 10 4 4 24 31 19 +12 20.27 +3.73
2 B36 Torshavn 18 10 4 4 24 37 28 +9 20.54 +3.46
3 GI Gota 18 10 3 5 23 38 27 +11 19.23 +3.77
4 Vags Boltfelag 18 10 3 5 23 29 19 +10 20.99 +2.01
5 TB Tvoroyri 18 9 2 7 20 29 22 +7 19.38 +0.62
6 HB Torshavn 18 7 4 7 18 37 29 +8 18.63 -0.63
7 B68 Toftir 18 4 8 6 16 17 21 -4 14.97 +1.03
8 NSI Runavik 18 6 3 9 15 18 25 -7 17.69 -2.69
9 MB Midvagur 18 4 4 10 12 14 28 -14 15.79 -3.79
10 Sumba 18 2 1 15 5 19 51 -32 12.51 -7.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 GI Gota 23 19.23 +3.77
2 KI Klaksvik 24 20.27 +3.73
3 B36 Torshavn 24 20.54 +3.46
4 Vags Boltfelag 23 20.99 +2.01
5 B68 Toftir 16 14.97 +1.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sumba 5 12.51 -7.51
2 MB Midvagur 12 15.79 -3.79
3 NSI Runavik 15 17.69 -2.69
4 HB Torshavn 18 18.63 -0.63
5 TB Tvoroyri 20 19.38 +0.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B36 Torshavn 7 Apr 7 – Jun 8 1 in 265
2 KI Klaksvik 6 Jun 8 – Aug 25 1 in 237
3 GI Gota 7 Aug 25 – Oct 6 1 in 179
4 Vags Boltfelag 6 Aug 17 – Sep 21 1 in 73
5 B68 Toftir 2 Jun 16 – Aug 4 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sumba 8 Jun 2 – Sep 1 1 in 128
2 MB Midvagur 5 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 27
3 B36 Torshavn 2 Jun 16 – Aug 4 1 in 17
4 HB Torshavn 2 Apr 7 – Apr 21 1 in 10
5 TB Tvoroyri 3 Sep 7 – Sep 21 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KI Klaksvik 8 May 29 – Aug 25 1 in 29
2 B68 Toftir 4 Jun 1 – Aug 4 1 in 19
3 B36 Torshavn 7 Apr 7 – Jun 8 1 in 17
4 GI Gota 7 Aug 25 – Oct 6 1 in 13
5 HB Torshavn 4 Jun 2 – Aug 4 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sumba 11 May 5 – Sep 1 1 in 51
2 B68 Toftir 7 Apr 7 – Jun 9 1 in 13
3 MB Midvagur 8 Aug 18 – Oct 5 1 in 9
4 Vags Boltfelag 4 Apr 7 – May 9 1 in 8
5 HB Torshavn 3 Sep 8 – Sep 21 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KI Klaksvik 1228 24 +32 7 6.8 +0.2
B36 Torshavn 1103 24 +38 6 6.1 -0.1
GI Gota 1214 23 +77 10 6.3 +3.7
Vags Boltfelag 1136 23 -19 8 6.9 +1.1
TB Tvoroyri 1103 20 -9 4 4.8 -0.8
HB Torshavn 1135 18 -20 4 5.7 -1.7
B68 Toftir 1068 16 +53 4 4.4 -0.4
NSI Runavik 973 15 -31 3 3.9 -0.9
MB Midvagur 876 12 -106 2 3.0 -1.0
Sumba 779 5 -16 2 2.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT GG HT KK MM NR SUM TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
3.09
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.36
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.73
B68 Toftir
0-1-1
2.00
 —
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
1.66
1-1-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.14
2-0-0
1.38
GI Gota
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
3.74
 —
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.45
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.73
HB Torshavn
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.82
 —
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.68
0-0-2
3.26
1-0-1
2.21
KI Klaksvik
2-0-0
2.49
0-2-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.16
 —
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.64
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.95
MB Midvagur
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
3.13
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.51
 —
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.43
NSI Runavik
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.35
 —
2-0-0
3.52
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-2
2.73
Sumba
0-0-2
1.22
1-1-0
2.21
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
2.06
 —
0-0-2
2.11
0-0-2
1.36
TB Tvoroyri
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.47
 —
0-0-2
2.51
Vags Boltfelag
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
4.20
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
3.07
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +5.0
Allowed 0.58 -5.1
Differential 0.94 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.11%5.00%4.44%1.67%0.56%27.78%
16.11%5.56%7.78%5.56%1.67%—26.67%
25.00%7.78%4.44%5.00%0.56%1.11%23.89%
34.44%5.56%5.00%—0.56%—15.56%
41.67%1.67%0.56%0.56%——4.44%
5+0.56%—1.11%———1.67%
Total27.78%26.67%23.89%15.56%4.44%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 1.96
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%——11.11%——22.22%
1—11.11%————11.11%
211.11%11.11%—5.56%—5.56%33.33%
35.56%5.56%11.11%———22.22%
4———————
5+5.56%—5.56%———11.11%
Total33.33%27.78%16.67%16.67%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.56 +0.50
SD 1.66 1.95 2.66
CV 0.81 1.25 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
116.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%——44.44%
2——11.11%5.56%——16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%22.22%22.22%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.17 -0.22
SD 0.87 1.15 1.35
CV 0.92 0.99 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
1——5.56%5.56%——11.11%
25.56%16.67%11.11%11.11%——44.44%
311.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
4——5.56%5.56%——11.11%
5+———————
Total22.22%27.78%27.78%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.50 +0.61
SD 1.13 1.10 1.46
CV 0.54 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—————16.67%
1—5.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—27.78%
211.11%5.56%—5.56%5.56%—27.78%
3——5.56%—5.56%—11.11%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total33.33%16.67%22.22%11.11%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.61 +0.44
SD 1.92 1.50 2.28
CV 0.94 0.93 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
15.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
2—16.67%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
311.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%44.44%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.06 +0.67
SD 1.18 0.87 1.28
CV 0.68 0.83 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%55.56%
111.11%5.56%11.11%———27.78%
2———5.56%——5.56%
35.56%—————5.56%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%11.11%27.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.56 -0.78
SD 1.17 1.69 2.34
CV 1.50 1.09 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%22.22%5.56%——38.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%—5.56%——16.67%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%27.78%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.39 -0.39
SD 1.03 1.04 1.61
CV 1.03 0.75 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———11.11%11.11%—22.22%
1——16.67%33.33%11.11%—61.11%
2——5.56%———5.56%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total—5.56%27.78%44.44%22.22%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.83 -1.78
SD 0.87 0.86 1.59
CV 0.83 0.30 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%———33.33%
15.56%—5.56%———11.11%
25.56%11.11%—5.56%—5.56%27.78%
3—16.67%————16.67%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+———————
Total22.22%55.56%11.11%5.56%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.22 +0.39
SD 1.42 1.22 1.75
CV 0.88 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
111.11%—11.11%———22.22%
211.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
35.56%—11.11%———16.67%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%22.22%33.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.06 +0.56
SD 1.20 1.00 1.65
CV 0.74 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KI Klaksvik 1228 24 20.27 +3.73 83.0% 12 14 17 20 23 27 31
GI Gota 1214 23 19.23 +3.77 89.0% 10 13 17 19 21 25 28
Vags Boltfelag 1136 23 20.99 +2.01 70.0% 12 14 18 21 24 27 28
HB Torshavn 1135 18 18.63 -0.63 49.0% 10 11 16 19 21 26 30
B36 Torshavn 1103 24 20.54 +3.46 82.0% 12 15 18 20 23 26 31
TB Tvoroyri 1103 20 19.38 +0.62 66.0% 10 13 17 19 22 25 28
B68 Toftir 1068 16 14.97 +1.03 66.0% 7 9 13 15 17 20 23
NSI Runavik 973 15 17.69 -2.69 28.0% 9 11 14 18 21 23 27
MB Midvagur 876 12 15.79 -3.79 16.0% 5 10 14 16 18 21 24
Sumba 779 5 12.51 -7.51 1.0% 5 7 10 12 15 18 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
45.56%20.00%34.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.76 Elo pts.
216 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.4
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
KI Klaksvik, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.87 * Wild Swing: 5.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.65 * Close: 1.65 to 2.47 * Off: 2.47 to 3.3 * Way Off: 3.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.52 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
02.065
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
89.00%
GI Gota
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Sumba
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Balanced
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 144.28
1.63
Moderate Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.56
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.
Probability calibration
0.85
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.134
Well Within Noise
00.1800.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KI Klaksvik20.00%14.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%11.00%3.00%11.00%2.00%—
B36 Torshavn16.00%19.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%—
GI Gota8.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%2.00%
Vags Boltfelag22.00%21.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
TB Tvoroyri11.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%15.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%
HB Torshavn14.00%5.00%12.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%
B68 Toftir—5.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%24.00%17.00%
NSI Runavik7.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%9.00%
MB Midvagur2.00%1.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%22.00%22.00%10.00%
Sumba——3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%10.00%9.00%21.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
B36 Torshavn 98.00% 2.00%
KI Klaksvik 98.00% 2.00%
Vags Boltfelag 97.00% 3.00%
TB Tvoroyri 95.00% 5.00%
HB Torshavn 90.00% 10.00%
GI Gota 89.00% 11.00%
NSI Runavik 80.00% 20.00%
MB Midvagur 68.00% 32.00%
B68 Toftir 59.00% 41.00%
Sumba 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1991-04-07 B36 Torshavn L 2-353.8 1051 1044 48.37% 21.19% 30.44%+0.21 -23.8 0
1991-04-07 @ GI Gota W 3-253.8 1044 1051 30.44% 21.19% 48.37%-0.21 +23.8 2
1991-04-07 TB Tvoroyri L 1-249.0 1056 1045 48.91% 21.19% 29.91%+0.23 -25.4 0
1991-04-07 @ HB Torshavn W 2-149.0 1045 1056 29.91% 21.19% 48.91%-0.23 +25.4 2
1991-04-07 Sumba W 3-035.7 1048 1119 37.55% 21.20% 41.25%-0.15 +63.8 2
1991-04-07 @ MB Midvagur L 0-335.7 1119 1048 41.25% 21.20% 37.55%+0.15 -63.8 0
1991-04-07 B68 Toftir D 1-154.1 1123 1044 56.78% 21.08% 22.14%+0.55 -4.4 1
1991-04-07 @ NSI Runavik D 1-154.1 1044 1123 22.14% 21.08% 56.78%-0.55 +4.4 1
1991-04-07 KI Klaksvik D 2-259.4 1050 1038 48.99% 21.19% 29.83%+0.24 -1.7 1
1991-04-07 @ Vags Boltfelag D 2-259.4 1038 1050 29.83% 21.19% 48.99%-0.24 +1.7 1
1991-04-21 Sumba L 1-344.4 1031 1055 44.19% 21.21% 34.60%+0.07 -40.3 0
1991-04-21 @ HB Torshavn W 3-144.4 1055 1031 34.60% 21.21% 44.19%-0.07 +40.3 2
1991-04-21 GI Gota L 1-251.5 1111 1027 57.30% 21.07% 21.63%+0.57 -29.4 2
1991-04-21 @ MB Midvagur W 2-151.5 1027 1111 21.63% 21.07% 57.30%-0.57 +29.4 2
1991-04-21 B68 Toftir W 3-139.7 1070 1048 50.22% 21.18% 28.61%+0.28 +28.3 4
1991-04-21 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-339.7 1048 1070 28.61% 21.18% 50.22%-0.28 -28.3 1
1991-04-21 B36 Torshavn L 1-247.8 1048 1067 44.86% 21.21% 33.93%+0.09 -23.5 1
1991-04-21 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-147.8 1067 1048 33.93% 21.21% 44.86%-0.09 +23.6 4
1991-04-22 KI Klaksvik W 1-036.0 1118 1039 56.75% 21.09% 22.17%+0.55 +14.0 3
1991-04-22 @ NSI Runavik L 0-136.0 1039 1118 22.17% 21.09% 56.75%-0.55 -14.0 1
1991-05-05 TB Tvoroyri W 5-241.0 1091 1098 46.42% 21.20% 32.38%+0.15 +38.4 6
1991-05-05 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-541.0 1098 1091 32.38% 21.20% 46.42%-0.15 -38.4 4
1991-05-05 HB Torshavn L 0-241.1 1020 991 51.04% 21.17% 27.79%+0.31 -52.7 1
1991-05-05 @ B68 Toftir W 2-041.1 991 1020 27.79% 21.17% 51.04%-0.31 +52.7 2
1991-05-05 Vags Boltfelag D 2-259.4 1057 1025 51.41% 21.16% 27.43%+0.33 -2.2 3
1991-05-05 @ GI Gota D 2-259.4 1025 1057 27.43% 21.16% 51.41%-0.33 +2.2 2
1991-05-05 MB Midvagur D 0-050.0 1025 1082 39.61% 21.21% 39.19%-0.08 -0.0 2
1991-05-05 @ KI Klaksvik D 0-050.0 1082 1025 39.19% 21.21% 39.61%+0.08 +0.1 3
1991-05-05 NSI Runavik L 1-247.1 1095 1132 42.36% 21.21% 36.44%+0.01 -22.5 2
1991-05-05 @ Sumba W 2-147.1 1132 1095 36.44% 21.21% 42.36%-0.01 +22.4 5
1991-05-09 MB Midvagur D 0-050.0 1027 1082 39.82% 21.21% 38.97%-0.08 -0.1 3
1991-05-09 @ Vags Boltfelag D 0-050.0 1082 1027 38.97% 21.21% 39.82%+0.08 +0.1 4
1991-05-20 TB Tvoroyri L 1-345.8 1073 1060 49.05% 21.19% 29.77%+0.24 -44.1 2
1991-05-20 @ Sumba W 3-145.8 1060 1073 29.77% 21.19% 49.05%-0.24 +44.1 6
1991-05-26 Sumba D 2-259.4 967 1029 38.86% 21.20% 39.94%-0.11 +0.1 2
1991-05-26 @ B68 Toftir D 2-259.4 1029 967 39.94% 21.20% 38.86%+0.11 -0.1 3
1991-05-26 GI Gota L 2-449.0 1043 1054 45.95% 21.20% 32.85%+0.13 -37.2 2
1991-05-26 @ HB Torshavn W 4-249.0 1054 1043 32.85% 21.20% 45.95%-0.13 +37.2 5
1991-05-26 B36 Torshavn L 0-238.1 1082 1129 40.97% 21.21% 37.82%-0.04 -43.7 4
1991-05-26 @ MB Midvagur W 2-038.1 1129 1082 37.82% 21.21% 40.97%+0.04 +43.7 8
1991-05-26 Vags Boltfelag L 0-341.8 1155 1027 61.50% 20.96% 17.53%+0.77 -91.7 5
1991-05-26 @ NSI Runavik W 3-041.8 1027 1155 17.53% 20.96% 61.50%-0.77 +91.7 5
1991-05-26 KI Klaksvik W 1-036.0 1104 1025 56.71% 21.09% 22.20%+0.54 +14.0 8
1991-05-26 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-136.0 1025 1104 22.20% 21.09% 56.71%-0.54 -14.0 2
1991-05-29 B68 Toftir W 3-026.8 1173 967 67.48% 20.68% 11.84%+1.14 +22.1 10
1991-05-29 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-326.8 967 1173 11.84% 20.68% 67.48%-1.14 -22.1 2
1991-05-29 HB Torshavn W 3-248.5 1011 1006 48.06% 21.19% 30.74%+0.20 +16.5 4
1991-05-29 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-348.5 1006 1011 30.74% 21.19% 48.06%-0.20 -16.5 2
1991-05-30 NSI Runavik L 1-346.4 1092 1063 50.98% 21.17% 27.85%+0.31 -45.6 5
1991-05-30 @ GI Gota W 3-146.4 1063 1092 27.85% 21.17% 50.98%-0.31 +45.6 7
1991-06-01 B68 Toftir D 1-154.1 1028 945 57.15% 21.08% 21.77%+0.56 -4.5 5
1991-06-01 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-154.1 945 1028 21.77% 21.08% 57.15%-0.56 +4.5 3
1991-06-02 Sumba W 2-138.7 1195 1029 64.67% 20.84% 14.49%+0.95 +9.1 12
1991-06-02 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-238.7 1029 1195 14.49% 20.84% 64.67%-0.95 -9.1 3
1991-06-02 TB Tvoroyri D 0-050.0 1046 1118 37.41% 21.20% 41.39%-0.15 +0.5 6
1991-06-02 @ GI Gota D 0-050.0 1118 1046 41.39% 21.20% 37.41%+0.15 -0.5 9
1991-06-02 NSI Runavik W 1-041.8 1039 1109 37.65% 21.20% 41.15%-0.15 +23.2 6
1991-06-02 @ MB Midvagur L 0-141.8 1109 1039 41.15% 21.20% 37.65%+0.15 -23.2 7
1991-06-02 HB Torshavn L 1-252.8 1118 990 61.56% 20.96% 17.48%+0.78 -31.6 5
1991-06-02 @ Vags Boltfelag W 2-152.8 990 1118 17.48% 20.96% 61.56%-0.78 +31.6 4
1991-06-08 B36 Torshavn L 0-235.2 1086 1204 31.13% 21.15% 47.72%-0.37 -35.1 7
1991-06-08 @ NSI Runavik W 2-035.2 1204 1086 47.72% 21.15% 31.13%+0.37 +35.1 14
1991-06-08 KI Klaksvik L 1-345.2 1019 1023 46.90% 21.20% 31.90%+0.16 -42.4 3
1991-06-08 @ Sumba W 3-145.2 1023 1019 31.90% 21.20% 46.90%-0.16 +42.4 7
1991-06-09 GI Gota D 2-259.4 949 1046 33.94% 21.18% 44.88%-0.27 +1.0 4
1991-06-09 @ B68 Toftir D 2-259.4 1046 949 44.88% 21.18% 33.94%+0.27 -1.0 7
1991-06-09 MB Midvagur W 4-033.7 1021 1062 41.91% 21.21% 36.89%-0.01 +76.3 6
1991-06-09 @ HB Torshavn L 0-433.7 1062 1021 36.89% 21.21% 41.91%+0.01 -76.3 6
1991-06-09 Vags Boltfelag L 0-241.2 1118 1087 51.26% 21.17% 27.57%+0.32 -53.0 9
1991-06-09 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-041.2 1087 1118 27.57% 21.17% 51.26%-0.32 +52.9 7
1991-06-16 KI Klaksvik L 0-342.9 1239 1066 65.21% 20.81% 13.98%+0.98 -97.4 14
1991-06-16 @ B36 Torshavn W 3-042.9 1066 1239 13.98% 20.81% 65.21%-0.98 +97.4 9
1991-06-16 Sumba W 3-030.3 1046 977 55.61% 21.11% 23.28%+0.50 +40.0 9
1991-06-16 @ GI Gota L 0-330.3 977 1046 23.28% 21.11% 55.61%-0.50 -40.1 3
1991-06-16 TB Tvoroyri W 1-042.1 985 1065 36.43% 21.19% 42.38%-0.19 +23.8 8
1991-06-16 @ MB Midvagur L 0-142.1 1065 985 42.38% 21.19% 36.43%+0.19 -23.8 9
1991-06-16 HB Torshavn D 0-050.0 1051 1098 40.99% 21.21% 37.80%-0.04 -0.4 8
1991-06-16 @ NSI Runavik D 0-050.0 1098 1051 37.80% 21.21% 40.99%+0.04 +0.4 7
1991-06-16 B68 Toftir L 0-149.2 1140 950 66.36% 20.75% 12.89%+1.06 -36.2 7
1991-06-16 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-049.2 950 1140 12.89% 20.75% 66.36%-1.06 +36.2 6
1991-08-03 NSI Runavik W 3-140.9 1041 1050 46.16% 21.20% 32.64%+0.14 +31.6 11
1991-08-03 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-340.9 1050 1041 32.64% 21.20% 46.16%-0.14 -31.6 8
1991-08-04 MB Midvagur W 1-039.7 986 1009 44.35% 21.21% 34.44%+0.07 +20.2 8
1991-08-04 @ B68 Toftir L 0-139.7 1009 986 34.44% 21.21% 44.35%-0.07 -20.2 8
1991-08-04 B36 Torshavn W 8-238.0 1098 1142 41.43% 21.21% 37.36%-0.02 +77.1 9
1991-08-04 @ HB Torshavn L 2-838.0 1142 1098 37.36% 21.21% 41.43%+0.02 -77.1 14
1991-08-04 GI Gota W 2-141.1 1163 1086 56.58% 21.09% 22.33%+0.54 +13.3 11
1991-08-04 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-241.1 1086 1163 22.33% 21.09% 56.58%-0.54 -13.3 9
1991-08-04 Vags Boltfelag L 1-241.9 937 1104 25.32% 21.06% 53.62%-0.59 -14.8 3
1991-08-04 @ Sumba W 2-141.9 1104 937 53.62% 21.06% 25.32%+0.59 +14.8 9
1991-08-10 MB Midvagur L 0-434.1 922 989 38.15% 21.20% 40.64%-0.13 -78.4 3
1991-08-10 @ Sumba W 4-034.1 989 922 40.64% 21.20% 38.15%+0.13 +78.4 10
1991-08-11 GI Gota W 3-249.1 1065 1072 46.42% 21.20% 32.38%+0.15 +17.2 16
1991-08-11 @ B36 Torshavn L 2-349.1 1072 1065 32.38% 21.20% 46.42%-0.15 -17.2 9
1991-08-11 NSI Runavik L 0-143.1 1007 1019 45.82% 21.20% 32.97%+0.12 -25.4 8
1991-08-11 @ B68 Toftir W 1-043.1 1019 1007 32.97% 21.20% 45.82%-0.12 +25.4 10
1991-08-11 Vags Boltfelag W 1-036.8 1176 1118 54.45% 21.13% 24.42%+0.45 +15.2 13
1991-08-11 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-136.8 1118 1176 24.42% 21.13% 54.45%-0.45 -15.2 9
1991-08-11 HB Torshavn W 4-142.0 1072 1175 33.21% 21.17% 45.62%-0.30 +58.5 13
1991-08-11 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-442.0 1175 1072 45.62% 21.17% 33.21%+0.30 -58.5 9
1991-08-17 GI Gota W 1-037.1 1103 1055 53.33% 21.14% 25.53%+0.40 +15.8 11
1991-08-17 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-137.1 1055 1103 25.53% 21.14% 53.33%-0.40 -15.8 9
1991-08-18 B68 Toftir D 0-050.1 1117 981 62.14% 20.94% 16.92%+0.81 -6.5 10
1991-08-18 @ HB Torshavn D 0-050.1 981 1117 16.92% 20.94% 62.14%-0.81 +6.6 9
1991-08-18 KI Klaksvik L 1-243.5 1067 1192 30.42% 21.14% 48.44%-0.40 -17.2 10
1991-08-18 @ MB Midvagur W 2-143.5 1192 1067 48.44% 21.14% 30.42%+0.40 +17.2 15
1991-08-18 Sumba W 3-134.6 1044 844 67.08% 20.71% 12.22%+1.11 +13.5 12
1991-08-18 @ NSI Runavik L 1-334.6 844 1044 12.22% 20.71% 67.08%-1.11 -13.5 3
1991-08-18 B36 Torshavn D 0-050.1 1131 1082 53.41% 21.14% 25.44%+0.41 -3.9 14
1991-08-18 @ TB Tvoroyri D 0-050.1 1082 1131 25.44% 21.14% 53.41%-0.41 +3.9 17
1991-08-25 Vags Boltfelag L 2-352.2 1086 1119 42.94% 21.21% 35.85%+0.03 -21.5 17
1991-08-25 @ B36 Torshavn W 3-252.2 1119 1086 35.85% 21.21% 42.94%-0.03 +21.5 13
1991-08-25 TB Tvoroyri W 1-044.5 988 1127 28.54% 21.12% 50.34%-0.47 +27.6 11
1991-08-25 @ B68 Toftir L 0-144.5 1127 988 50.34% 21.12% 28.54%+0.47 -27.6 14
1991-08-25 MB Midvagur W 3-033.2 1039 1050 45.95% 21.20% 32.85%+0.13 +53.2 11
1991-08-25 @ GI Gota L 0-333.2 1050 1039 32.85% 21.20% 45.95%-0.13 -53.2 10
1991-08-25 NSI Runavik W 3-244.0 1209 1058 63.47% 20.89% 15.65%+0.88 +9.3 17
1991-08-25 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-344.0 1058 1209 15.65% 20.89% 63.47%-0.88 -9.3 12
1991-08-25 HB Torshavn L 1-432.6 830 1110 14.78% 20.70% 64.53%-1.12 -22.7 3
1991-08-25 @ Sumba W 4-132.6 1110 830 64.53% 20.70% 14.78%+1.12 +22.7 12
1991-09-01 B36 Torshavn D 0-050.0 1015 1064 40.71% 21.21% 38.08%-0.05 -0.3 12
1991-09-01 @ B68 Toftir D 0-050.0 1064 1015 38.08% 21.21% 40.71%+0.05 +0.3 18
1991-09-01 KI Klaksvik W 3-252.4 1133 1218 35.56% 21.19% 43.25%-0.22 +21.7 14
1991-09-01 @ HB Torshavn L 2-352.4 1218 1133 43.25% 21.19% 35.56%+0.22 -21.7 17
1991-09-01 Vags Boltfelag L 2-347.7 997 1140 28.02% 21.11% 50.87%-0.49 -15.3 10
1991-09-01 @ MB Midvagur W 3-247.7 1140 997 50.87% 21.11% 28.02%+0.49 +15.2 15
1991-09-01 GI Gota L 0-238.2 1048 1092 41.38% 21.21% 37.41%-0.03 -44.0 12
1991-09-01 @ NSI Runavik W 2-038.2 1092 1048 37.41% 21.21% 41.38%+0.03 +44.0 13
1991-09-01 Sumba W 4-130.3 1099 808 72.17% 20.26% 7.57%+1.53 +12.2 16
1991-09-01 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-430.3 808 1099 7.57% 20.26% 72.17%-1.53 -12.2 3
1991-09-07 MB Midvagur W 6-030.4 1065 982 57.15% 21.08% 21.78%+0.56 +72.4 20
1991-09-07 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-630.4 982 1065 21.78% 21.08% 57.15%-0.56 -72.3 10
1991-09-07 TB Tvoroyri W 2-140.9 1196 1112 57.35% 21.07% 21.58%+0.57 +12.9 19
1991-09-07 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-240.9 1112 1196 21.58% 21.07% 57.35%-0.57 -12.9 16
1991-09-07 B68 Toftir W 3-257.0 796 1015 19.82% 20.92% 59.26%-0.84 +28.8 5
1991-09-07 @ Sumba L 2-357.0 1015 796 59.26% 20.92% 19.82%+0.84 -28.8 12
1991-09-07 NSI Runavik W 2-030.4 1156 1004 63.49% 20.89% 15.62%+0.88 +19.5 17
1991-09-07 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-230.4 1004 1156 15.62% 20.89% 63.49%-0.88 -19.5 12
1991-09-08 HB Torshavn W 4-352.5 1137 1154 45.04% 21.21% 33.76%+0.10 +17.3 15
1991-09-08 @ GI Gota L 3-452.5 1154 1137 33.76% 21.21% 45.04%-0.10 -17.3 14
1991-09-14 GI Gota L 2-351.3 1099 1154 39.81% 21.21% 38.98%-0.08 -20.2 16
1991-09-14 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-251.3 1154 1099 38.98% 21.21% 39.81%+0.08 +20.3 17
1991-09-15 KI Klaksvik D 0-050.1 986 1209 19.49% 20.91% 59.60%-0.85 +5.7 13
1991-09-15 @ B68 Toftir D 0-050.1 1209 986 59.60% 20.91% 19.49%+0.85 -5.7 20
1991-09-15 Vags Boltfelag L 1-247.1 1137 1175 42.22% 21.21% 36.57%+0.00 -22.4 14
1991-09-15 @ HB Torshavn W 2-147.1 1175 1137 36.57% 21.21% 42.22%+0.00 +22.4 19
1991-09-15 MB Midvagur W 2-032.5 985 909 56.35% 21.09% 22.56%+0.53 +26.9 14
1991-09-15 @ NSI Runavik L 0-232.5 909 985 22.56% 21.09% 56.35%-0.53 -26.8 10
1991-09-15 B36 Torshavn L 1-334.6 824 1137 12.50% 20.55% 66.95%-1.27 -13.8 5
1991-09-15 @ Sumba W 3-134.6 1137 824 66.95% 20.55% 12.50%+1.27 +13.8 22
1991-09-21 NSI Runavik D 1-154.2 1151 1012 62.47% 20.93% 16.60%+0.82 -6.0 23
1991-09-21 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-154.2 1012 1151 16.60% 20.93% 62.47%-0.82 +6.0 15
1991-09-21 B68 Toftir W 2-138.3 1174 992 65.84% 20.78% 13.39%+1.02 +8.5 19
1991-09-21 @ GI Gota L 1-238.3 992 1174 13.39% 20.78% 65.84%-1.02 -8.5 13
1991-09-21 Sumba W 3-131.9 1204 811 75.98% 19.62% 4.40%+2.00 +5.1 22
1991-09-21 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-331.9 811 1204 4.40% 19.62% 75.98%-2.00 -5.1 5
1991-09-21 HB Torshavn D 0-050.1 883 1115 18.67% 20.88% 60.45%-0.90 +6.0 11
1991-09-21 @ MB Midvagur D 0-050.1 1115 883 60.45% 20.88% 18.67%+0.90 -6.0 15
1991-09-21 TB Tvoroyri W 1-034.9 1198 1078 60.70% 20.99% 18.31%+0.73 +11.9 21
1991-09-21 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-134.9 1078 1198 18.31% 20.99% 60.70%-0.73 -11.9 16
1991-09-28 MB Midvagur W 2-029.8 1066 889 65.53% 20.79% 13.68%+1.00 +17.3 18
1991-09-28 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-229.8 889 1066 13.68% 20.79% 65.53%-1.00 -17.3 11
1991-09-29 Vags Boltfelag W 3-041.3 983 1210 19.21% 20.90% 59.89%-0.87 +89.1 15
1991-09-29 @ B68 Toftir L 0-341.3 1210 983 59.89% 20.90% 19.21%+0.87 -89.1 21
1991-09-29 NSI Runavik W 2-032.0 1109 1018 57.99% 21.06% 20.95%+0.60 +25.2 17
1991-09-29 @ HB Torshavn L 0-232.0 1018 1109 20.95% 21.06% 57.99%-0.60 -25.2 15
1991-09-29 B36 Torshavn W 3-030.6 1209 1145 55.11% 21.11% 23.78%+0.48 +40.8 24
1991-09-29 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-330.6 1145 1209 23.78% 21.11% 55.11%-0.48 -40.8 23
1991-09-30 GI Gota L 1-333.5 805 1183 8.95% 20.21% 70.83%-1.57 -10.1 5
1991-09-30 @ Sumba W 3-133.5 1183 805 70.83% 20.21% 8.95%+1.57 +10.1 21
1991-10-05 B68 Toftir D 1-154.1 871 1073 21.60% 20.97% 57.43%-0.75 +4.5 12
1991-10-05 @ MB Midvagur D 1-154.1 1073 871 57.43% 20.97% 21.60%+0.75 -4.5 16
1991-10-05 TB Tvoroyri L 1-244.8 992 1084 34.72% 21.18% 44.09%-0.24 -19.2 15
1991-10-05 @ NSI Runavik W 2-144.8 1084 992 44.09% 21.18% 34.72%+0.24 +19.2 20
1991-10-06 HB Torshavn D 1-154.1 1104 1134 43.40% 21.21% 35.39%+0.04 -1.0 24
1991-10-06 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-154.1 1134 1104 35.39% 21.21% 43.40%-0.04 +1.0 18
1991-10-06 KI Klaksvik W 2-146.4 1193 1249 39.61% 21.21% 39.19%-0.08 +21.1 23
1991-10-06 @ GI Gota L 1-246.4 1249 1193 39.19% 21.21% 39.61%+0.08 -21.1 24
1991-10-06 Sumba W 4-024.2 1120 795 73.60% 20.07% 6.34%+1.69 +15.9 23
1991-10-06 @ Vags Boltfelag L 0-424.2 795 1120 6.34% 20.07% 73.60%-1.69 -16.0 5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-06-16 12.89% B68 Toftir 950 1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1140 0
2 1991-06-16 13.98% KI Klaksvik 1066 3 @ B36 Torshavn 1239 0
3 1991-06-02 17.48% HB Torshavn 990 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1118 1
4 1991-05-26 17.53% Vags Boltfelag 1027 3 @ NSI Runavik 1155 0
5 1991-09-29 19.21% @ B68 Toftir 983 3 Vags Boltfelag 1210 0
6 1991-09-07 19.82% @ Sumba 796 3 B68 Toftir 1015 2
7 1991-04-21 21.63% GI Gota 1027 2 @ MB Midvagur 1111 1
8 1991-06-09 27.57% Vags Boltfelag 1087 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1118 0
9 1991-05-05 27.79% HB Torshavn 991 2 @ B68 Toftir 1020 0
10 1991-05-30 27.85% NSI Runavik 1063 3 @ GI Gota 1092 1
11 1991-08-25 28.54% @ B68 Toftir 988 1 TB Tvoroyri 1127 0
12 1991-05-20 29.77% TB Tvoroyri 1060 3 @ Sumba 1073 1
13 1991-04-07 29.91% TB Tvoroyri 1045 2 @ HB Torshavn 1056 1
14 1991-04-07 30.44% B36 Torshavn 1044 3 @ GI Gota 1051 2
15 1991-06-08 31.90% KI Klaksvik 1023 3 @ Sumba 1019 1
16 1991-05-26 32.85% GI Gota 1054 4 @ HB Torshavn 1043 2
17 1991-08-11 32.97% NSI Runavik 1019 1 @ B68 Toftir 1007 0
18 1991-08-11 33.21% @ TB Tvoroyri 1072 4 HB Torshavn 1175 1
19 1991-04-21 33.93% B36 Torshavn 1067 2 @ Vags Boltfelag 1048 1
20 1991-04-21 34.60% Sumba 1055 3 @ HB Torshavn 1031 1
21 1991-09-01 35.56% @ HB Torshavn 1133 3 KI Klaksvik 1218 2
22 1991-08-25 35.85% Vags Boltfelag 1119 3 @ B36 Torshavn 1086 2
23 1991-06-16 36.43% @ MB Midvagur 985 1 TB Tvoroyri 1065 0
24 1991-05-05 36.44% NSI Runavik 1132 2 @ Sumba 1095 1
25 1991-09-15 36.57% Vags Boltfelag 1175 2 @ HB Torshavn 1137 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-06-16 97.38 KI Klaksvik 3 1066 13.98% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1239 65.21% 20.81%
2 1991-05-26 91.65 Vags Boltfelag 3 1027 17.53% @ NSI Runavik 0 1155 61.50% 20.96%
3 1991-09-29 89.13 @ B68 Toftir 3 983 19.21% Vags Boltfelag 0 1210 59.89% 20.90%
4 1991-08-10 78.35 MB Midvagur 4 989 40.64% @ Sumba 0 922 38.15% 21.20%
5 1991-08-04 77.07 @ HB Torshavn 8 1098 41.43% B36 Torshavn 2 1142 37.36% 21.21%
6 1991-06-09 76.28 @ HB Torshavn 4 1021 41.91% MB Midvagur 0 1062 36.89% 21.21%
7 1991-09-07 72.36 @ B36 Torshavn 6 1065 57.15% MB Midvagur 0 982 21.78% 21.08%
8 1991-04-07 63.81 @ MB Midvagur 3 1048 37.55% Sumba 0 1119 41.25% 21.20%
9 1991-08-11 58.50 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1072 33.21% HB Torshavn 1 1175 45.62% 21.17%
10 1991-08-25 53.21 @ GI Gota 3 1039 45.95% MB Midvagur 0 1050 32.85% 21.20%
11 1991-06-09 52.95 Vags Boltfelag 2 1087 27.57% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1118 51.26% 21.17%
12 1991-05-05 52.74 HB Torshavn 2 991 27.79% @ B68 Toftir 0 1020 51.04% 21.17%
13 1991-05-30 45.63 NSI Runavik 3 1063 27.85% @ GI Gota 1 1092 50.98% 21.17%
14 1991-05-20 44.07 TB Tvoroyri 3 1060 29.77% @ Sumba 1 1073 49.05% 21.19%
15 1991-09-01 44.05 GI Gota 2 1092 37.41% @ NSI Runavik 0 1048 41.38% 21.21%
16 1991-05-26 43.70 B36 Torshavn 2 1129 37.82% @ MB Midvagur 0 1082 40.97% 21.21%
17 1991-06-08 42.37 KI Klaksvik 3 1023 31.90% @ Sumba 1 1019 46.90% 21.20%
18 1991-09-29 40.77 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1209 55.11% B36 Torshavn 0 1145 23.78% 21.11%
19 1991-04-21 40.28 Sumba 3 1055 34.60% @ HB Torshavn 1 1031 44.19% 21.21%
20 1991-06-16 40.05 @ GI Gota 3 1046 55.61% Sumba 0 977 23.28% 21.11%
21 1991-05-05 38.41 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1091 46.42% TB Tvoroyri 2 1098 32.38% 21.20%
22 1991-05-26 37.24 GI Gota 4 1054 32.85% @ HB Torshavn 2 1043 45.95% 21.20%
23 1991-06-16 36.22 B68 Toftir 1 950 12.89% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1140 66.36% 20.75%
24 1991-06-08 35.06 B36 Torshavn 2 1204 47.72% @ NSI Runavik 0 1086 31.13% 21.15%
25 1991-06-02 31.59 HB Torshavn 2 990 17.48% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1118 61.56% 20.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-04-07 59.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1050 48.99% KI Klaksvik 2 1038 29.83% 21.19%
2 1991-05-05 59.4 @ GI Gota 2 1057 51.41% Vags Boltfelag 2 1025 27.43% 21.16%
3 1991-05-26 59.4 @ B68 Toftir 2 967 38.86% Sumba 2 1029 39.94% 21.20%
4 1991-06-09 59.4 @ B68 Toftir 2 949 33.94% GI Gota 2 1046 44.88% 21.18%
5 1991-09-07 57.0 @ Sumba 3 796 19.82% B68 Toftir 2 1015 59.26% 20.92%
6 1991-09-21 54.2 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1151 62.47% NSI Runavik 1 1012 16.60% 20.93%
7 1991-04-07 54.1 @ NSI Runavik 1 1123 56.78% B68 Toftir 1 1044 22.14% 21.08%
8 1991-06-01 54.1 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1028 57.15% B68 Toftir 1 945 21.77% 21.08%
9 1991-10-05 54.1 @ MB Midvagur 1 871 21.60% B68 Toftir 1 1073 57.43% 20.97%
10 1991-10-06 54.1 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1104 43.40% HB Torshavn 1 1134 35.39% 21.21%
11 1991-04-07 53.8 B36 Torshavn 3 1044 30.44% @ GI Gota 2 1051 48.37% 21.19%
12 1991-06-02 52.8 HB Torshavn 2 990 17.48% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1118 61.56% 20.96%
13 1991-09-08 52.5 @ GI Gota 4 1137 45.04% HB Torshavn 3 1154 33.76% 21.21%
14 1991-09-01 52.4 @ HB Torshavn 3 1133 35.56% KI Klaksvik 2 1218 43.25% 21.19%
15 1991-08-25 52.2 Vags Boltfelag 3 1119 35.85% @ B36 Torshavn 2 1086 42.94% 21.21%
16 1991-04-21 51.5 GI Gota 2 1027 21.63% @ MB Midvagur 1 1111 57.30% 21.07%
17 1991-09-14 51.3 GI Gota 3 1154 38.98% @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1099 39.81% 21.21%
18 1991-08-18 50.1 @ HB Torshavn 0 1117 62.14% B68 Toftir 0 981 16.92% 20.94%
19 1991-08-18 50.1 @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1131 53.41% B36 Torshavn 0 1082 25.44% 21.14%
20 1991-09-15 50.1 @ B68 Toftir 0 986 19.49% KI Klaksvik 0 1209 59.60% 20.91%
21 1991-09-21 50.1 @ MB Midvagur 0 883 18.67% HB Torshavn 0 1115 60.45% 20.88%
22 1991-05-05 50.0 @ KI Klaksvik 0 1025 39.61% MB Midvagur 0 1082 39.19% 21.21%
23 1991-05-09 50.0 @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1027 39.82% MB Midvagur 0 1082 38.97% 21.21%
24 1991-06-02 50.0 @ GI Gota 0 1046 37.41% TB Tvoroyri 0 1118 41.39% 21.20%
25 1991-06-16 50.0 @ NSI Runavik 0 1051 40.99% HB Torshavn 0 1098 37.80% 21.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1991-10-06 24.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 4 1120 73.60% Sumba 0 795 6.34% 20.07%
2 1991-05-29 26.8 @ B36 Torshavn 3 1173 67.48% B68 Toftir 0 967 11.84% 20.68%
3 1991-09-28 29.8 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1066 65.53% MB Midvagur 0 889 13.68% 20.79%
4 1991-06-16 30.3 @ GI Gota 3 1046 55.61% Sumba 0 977 23.28% 21.11%
5 1991-09-01 30.3 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1099 72.17% Sumba 1 808 7.57% 20.26%
6 1991-09-07 30.4 @ B36 Torshavn 6 1065 57.15% MB Midvagur 0 982 21.78% 21.08%
7 1991-09-07 30.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1156 63.49% NSI Runavik 0 1004 15.62% 20.89%
8 1991-09-29 30.6 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1209 55.11% B36 Torshavn 0 1145 23.78% 21.11%
9 1991-09-21 31.9 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1204 75.98% Sumba 1 811 4.40% 19.62%
10 1991-09-29 32.0 @ HB Torshavn 2 1109 57.99% NSI Runavik 0 1018 20.95% 21.06%
11 1991-09-15 32.5 @ NSI Runavik 2 985 56.35% MB Midvagur 0 909 22.56% 21.09%
12 1991-08-25 32.6 HB Torshavn 4 1110 64.53% @ Sumba 1 830 14.78% 20.70%
13 1991-08-25 33.2 @ GI Gota 3 1039 45.95% MB Midvagur 0 1050 32.85% 21.20%
14 1991-09-30 33.5 GI Gota 3 1183 70.83% @ Sumba 1 805 8.95% 20.21%
15 1991-06-09 33.7 @ HB Torshavn 4 1021 41.91% MB Midvagur 0 1062 36.89% 21.21%
16 1991-08-10 34.1 MB Midvagur 4 989 40.64% @ Sumba 0 922 38.15% 21.20%
17 1991-08-18 34.6 @ NSI Runavik 3 1044 67.08% Sumba 1 844 12.22% 20.71%
18 1991-09-15 34.6 B36 Torshavn 3 1137 66.95% @ Sumba 1 824 12.50% 20.55%
19 1991-09-21 34.9 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1198 60.70% TB Tvoroyri 0 1078 18.31% 20.99%
20 1991-06-08 35.2 B36 Torshavn 2 1204 47.72% @ NSI Runavik 0 1086 31.13% 21.15%
21 1991-04-07 35.7 @ MB Midvagur 3 1048 37.55% Sumba 0 1119 41.25% 21.20%
22 1991-04-22 36.0 @ NSI Runavik 1 1118 56.75% KI Klaksvik 0 1039 22.17% 21.09%
23 1991-05-26 36.0 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1104 56.71% KI Klaksvik 0 1025 22.20% 21.09%
24 1991-08-11 36.8 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1176 54.45% Vags Boltfelag 0 1118 24.42% 21.13%
25 1991-08-17 37.1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1103 53.33% GI Gota 0 1055 25.53% 21.14%