1992 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

B68 Toftir

27 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1985.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

B68 Toftir

8.18 points above expected

27 points · 18.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

NSI Runavik

5.65 points below expected

6 points · 11.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	B68 Toftir Champion	18	11	5	2	27	35	18	+17	18.82	+8.18
2	GI Gota	18	11	3	4	25	33	20	+13	21.05	+3.95
3	KI Klaksvik	18	7	9	2	23	32	18	+14	21.61	+1.39
4	HB Torshavn	18	7	7	4	21	34	24	+10	20.57	+0.43
5	TB Tvoroyri	18	7	5	6	19	29	30	-1	18.12	+0.88
6	B36 Torshavn	18	4	8	6	16	26	28	-2	16.43	-0.43
7	Vags Boltfelag	18	4	8	6	16	19	26	-7	17.39	-1.39
8	B71 Sandoy	18	4	7	7	15	24	25	-1	18.64	-3.64
9	Sandavagur	18	4	4	10	12	29	40	-11	15.72	-3.72
10	NSI Runavik	18	2	2	14	6	17	49	-32	11.65	-5.65

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	B68 Toftir	27	18.82	+8.18
2	GI Gota	25	21.05	+3.95
3	KI Klaksvik	23	21.61	+1.39
4	TB Tvoroyri	19	18.12	+0.88
5	HB Torshavn	21	20.57	+0.43

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NSI Runavik	6	11.65	-5.65
2	Sandavagur	12	15.72	-3.72
3	B71 Sandoy	15	18.64	-3.64
4	Vags Boltfelag	16	17.39	-1.39
5	B36 Torshavn	16	16.43	-0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	GI Gota	3	May 28 – Jun 21	1 in 17
2	NSI Runavik	1	Aug 9 – Aug 9	1 in 13
3	B68 Toftir	3	May 28 – Jun 21	1 in 13
4	Vags Boltfelag	2	May 2 – May 10	1 in 13
5	B71 Sandoy	2	Aug 9 – Aug 16	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NSI Runavik	9	Apr 20 – Jun 21	1 in 553
2	B71 Sandoy	4	Aug 23 – Sep 10	1 in 76
3	HB Torshavn	2	Aug 9 – Aug 16	1 in 63
4	Sandavagur	3	Apr 20 – May 2	1 in 21
5	GI Gota	2	Jun 28 – Jul 5	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KI Klaksvik	14	May 2 – Sep 5	1 in 45
2	HB Torshavn	10	Apr 26 – Jul 5	1 in 23
3	B36 Torshavn	6	May 17 – Jun 28	1 in 20
4	B68 Toftir	8	Jul 5 – Sep 19	1 in 12
5	GI Gota	7	Aug 9 – Sep 19	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HB Torshavn	5	Jul 5 – Aug 30	1 in 23
2	B71 Sandoy	6	May 2 – Jun 8	1 in 14
3	NSI Runavik	11	Apr 20 – Aug 7	1 in 9
4	Vags Boltfelag	7	Aug 9 – Sep 19	1 in 8
5	Sandavagur	7	May 17 – Jul 5	1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
B68 Toftir	1071	27	+25	8	5.8	+2.2
GI Gota	1072	25	+53	9	6.1	+2.9
KI Klaksvik	1096	23	-3	6	6.4	-0.4
HB Torshavn	1029	21	+16	6	5.2	+0.8
TB Tvoroyri	945	19	-13	5	5.3	-0.3
B36 Torshavn	947	16	-11	4	5.3	-1.3
Vags Boltfelag	929	16	-4	4	3.9	+0.1
B71 Sandoy	988	15	-41	1	5.2	-4.2
Sandavagur	917	12	-4	5	4.2	+0.8
NSI Runavik	791	6	-20	2	2.6	-0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BT	BT	BS	GG	HT	KK	NR	SAN	TT	VB
B36 Torshavn	—	0-2-0 2.07	0-1-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.11	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 1.88	2-0-0 3.65	0-1-1 3.06	0-0-2 2.60	1-1-0 2.45
B68 Toftir	0-2-0 3.26	—	2-0-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.36	0-2-0 2.18	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 2.94	2-0-0 2.58	2-0-0 3.26
B71 Sandoy	1-1-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.64	—	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.25	1-1-0 3.69	0-1-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.83	0-2-0 3.07
GI Gota	0-1-1 3.22	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.99	—	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.56	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.17
HB Torshavn	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.59	—	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.85	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.04
KI Klaksvik	1-1-0 3.46	0-2-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.85	—	1-0-1 4.34	2-0-0 3.36	0-2-0 3.22	0-2-0 3.52
NSI Runavik	0-0-2 1.71	0-0-2 1.32	0-1-1 1.66	0-0-2 1.43	1-0-1 1.54	1-0-1 1.10	—	0-1-1 1.99	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 1.82
Sandavagur	1-1-0 2.27	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 2.00	0-0-2 1.98	0-1-1 2.02	0-0-2 1.97	1-1-0 3.34	—	0-0-2 2.37	1-0-1 2.37
TB Tvoroyri	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.08	0-1-1 2.21	0-2-0 2.10	2-0-0 3.67	2-0-0 2.95	—	0-2-0 2.64
Vags Boltfelag	0-1-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.06	0-2-0 2.26	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 1.84	2-0-0 3.52	1-0-1 2.95	0-2-0 2.68	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+8.5
Allowed	0.84	-5.9
Differential	0.94	+4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	7.22%	1.67%	4.44%	1.11%	1.11%	25.56%
1	7.22%	11.11%	7.22%	1.67%	2.22%	2.22%	31.67%
2	1.67%	7.22%	10.00%	—	3.33%	0.56%	22.78%
3	4.44%	1.67%	—	1.11%	0.56%	0.56%	8.33%
4	1.11%	2.22%	3.33%	0.56%	—	—	7.22%
5+	1.11%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	4.44%
Total	25.56%	31.67%	22.78%	8.33%	7.22%	4.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	1.54	+0.00
SD	1.41	1.41	2.00
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
2	—	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	22.22%	33.33%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.56	-0.11
SD	1.34	1.42	1.91
CV	0.93	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	22.22%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	50.00%	22.22%	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.94	1.00	+0.94
SD	1.63	1.33	1.83
CV	0.84	1.33	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	27.78%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	33.33%	—	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.39	-0.06
SD	0.91	1.24	1.39
CV	0.68	0.90	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	44.44%	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.11	+0.72
SD	1.42	1.41	2.24
CV	0.78	1.27	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
2	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.33	+0.56
SD	1.68	1.19	1.72
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	50.00%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.00	+0.78
SD	1.44	0.84	1.66
CV	0.81	0.84	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	16.67%	38.89%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	11.11%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.72	-1.78
SD	1.06	1.60	1.66
CV	1.12	0.59	—
Max	4	5	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	27.78%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	2.22	-0.61
SD	1.50	1.44	2.09
CV	0.93	0.65	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	44.44%
1	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	27.78%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	44.44%	16.67%	11.11%	—	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.67	-0.06
SD	1.82	1.50	2.48
CV	1.13	0.90	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.44	-0.39
SD	1.00	1.34	1.65
CV	0.95	0.93	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KI Klaksvik	1096	23	21.61	+1.39	77.0%	14	17	20	22	23	26	30
GI Gota	1072	25	21.05	+3.95	94.0%	12	16	19	21	23	26	29
B68 Toftir	1071	27	18.82	+8.18	100.0%	10	14	17	19	21	23	27
HB Torshavn	1029	21	20.57	+0.43	60.0%	11	15	19	20	23	26	28
B71 Sandoy	988	15	18.64	-3.64	16.0%	11	12	17	18	21	24	26
B36 Torshavn	947	16	16.43	-0.43	53.0%	9	11	14	16	19	21	27
TB Tvoroyri	945	19	18.12	+0.88	63.0%	7	13	15	18	21	23	24
Vags Boltfelag	929	16	17.39	-1.39	42.0%	8	10	15	17	20	23	27
Sandavagur	917	12	15.72	-3.72	12.0%	8	10	14	16	18	21	25
NSI Runavik	791	6	11.65	-5.65	4.0%	3	7	9	11	14	17	19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

Slight Edge

37.78%32.22%30.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

135 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.38 goals

Neutral

-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.5

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

B68 Toftir, 4th of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.61 * Some Luck: 2.61 to 3.92 * Lucky: 3.92 to 5.22 * Wild Swing: 5.22 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.83 points

Some Luck

03.278

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

Pinpoint

01.894

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

B68 Toftir

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

4.00%

NSI Runavik

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Balanced

00.190.280.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 92.64

1.82

Strong Separation

0.851.451.82.153.25

Interquartile Edge

68%

Even

50%68.5%79%88%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

85%

Clear Edge

50%85%100%

Close Games

Expected

62%

Very Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.642

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.47

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.33

Weak Carryover

00.40.610.771

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.28 * Above Noise: 0.28 to 0.37 * Well Above Noise: 0.37 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.18

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.136

Well Within Noise

00.1830.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
B68 Toftir	9.00%	8.00%	19.00%	17.00%	11.00%	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%
GI Gota	25.00%	18.00%	16.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
KI Klaksvik	25.00%	29.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—
HB Torshavn	19.00%	14.00%	21.00%	15.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
TB Tvoroyri	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	9.00%	14.00%	13.00%	14.00%	14.00%	1.00%
B36 Torshavn	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	14.00%	10.00%	15.00%	18.00%	21.00%	6.00%
Vags Boltfelag	3.00%	9.00%	4.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%
B71 Sandoy	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	20.00%	18.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Sandavagur	2.00%	—	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	13.00%	24.00%	22.00%	14.00%
NSI Runavik	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	18.00%	64.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KI Klaksvik	100%	—
GI Gota	98.00%	2.00%
HB Torshavn	96.00%	4.00%
B68 Toftir	94.00%	6.00%
B71 Sandoy	92.00%	8.00%
TB Tvoroyri	85.00%	15.00%
Vags Boltfelag	80.00%	20.00%
B36 Torshavn	73.00%	27.00%
Sandavagur	64.00%	36.00%
NSI Runavik	18.00%	82.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1992-04-20	GI Gota	D 1-1	49.1	964	1015	32.35%	34.15%	33.50%	-0.18	+0.1	1
1992-04-20	@ B36 Torshavn	D 1-1	49.1	1015	964	33.50%	34.15%	32.35%	+0.18	-0.1	1
1992-04-20	HB Torshavn	W 1-0	42.1	952	989	34.35%	34.18%	31.47%	-0.07	+9.2	2
1992-04-20	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-1	42.1	989	952	31.47%	34.18%	34.35%	+0.07	-9.2	0
1992-04-20	Sandavagur	W 3-1	40.6	1024	976	45.27%	33.64%	21.09%	+0.55	+11.4	2
1992-04-20	@ KI Klaksvik	L 1-3	40.6	976	1024	21.09%	33.64%	45.27%	-0.55	-11.4	0
1992-04-20	NSI Runavik	W 2-1	42.6	984	911	48.14%	33.24%	18.62%	+0.74	+6.0	2
1992-04-20	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	42.6	911	984	18.62%	33.24%	48.14%	-0.74	-6.0	0
1992-04-26	NSI Runavik	W 3-0	32.0	999	905	50.45%	32.82%	16.73%	+0.90	+16.0	2
1992-04-26	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-3	32.0	905	999	16.73%	32.82%	50.45%	-0.90	-16.0	0
1992-04-26	KI Klaksvik	W 1-0	41.4	1015	1035	36.67%	34.17%	29.15%	+0.05	+8.8	3
1992-04-26	@ GI Gota	L 0-1	41.4	1035	1015	29.15%	34.17%	36.67%	-0.05	-8.8	2
1992-04-26	Vags Boltfelag	W 4-0	34.9	980	990	38.09%	34.14%	27.77%	+0.13	+30.3	2
1992-04-26	@ HB Torshavn	L 0-4	34.9	990	980	27.77%	34.14%	38.09%	-0.13	-30.3	2
1992-04-26	B68 Toftir	L 0-1	44.6	965	962	39.79%	34.08%	26.13%	+0.22	-10.9	0
1992-04-26	@ Sandavagur	W 1-0	44.6	962	965	26.13%	34.08%	39.79%	-0.22	+10.9	4
1992-04-26	B36 Torshavn	W 5-1	38.3	971	964	40.24%	34.06%	25.70%	+0.25	+24.0	2
1992-04-26	@ TB Tvoroyri	L 1-5	38.3	964	971	25.70%	34.06%	40.24%	-0.25	-24.0	1
1992-05-02	B71 Sandoy	D 2-2	54.1	940	1015	29.08%	34.02%	36.91%	-0.35	+0.3	2
1992-05-02	@ B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	54.1	1015	940	36.91%	34.02%	29.08%	+0.35	-0.3	3
1992-05-02	GI Gota	L 1-4	41.7	972	1024	32.29%	34.15%	33.56%	-0.18	-21.6	4
1992-05-02	@ B68 Toftir	W 4-1	41.7	1024	972	33.56%	34.15%	32.29%	+0.18	+21.6	5
1992-05-02	TB Tvoroyri	D 1-1	49.2	1026	995	43.35%	33.84%	22.81%	+0.43	-1.1	3
1992-05-02	@ KI Klaksvik	D 1-1	49.2	995	1026	22.81%	33.84%	43.35%	-0.43	+1.1	3
1992-05-02	HB Torshavn	L 0-3	34.2	889	1010	23.45%	33.47%	43.08%	-0.70	-20.5	0
1992-05-02	@ NSI Runavik	W 3-0	34.2	1010	889	43.08%	33.47%	23.45%	+0.70	+20.5	4
1992-05-02	Sandavagur	W 3-0	35.1	959	954	40.05%	34.07%	25.88%	+0.24	+22.1	4
1992-05-02	@ Vags Boltfelag	L 0-3	35.1	954	959	25.88%	34.07%	40.05%	-0.24	-22.1	0
1992-05-10	KI Klaksvik	L 0-3	35.6	940	1025	27.81%	33.93%	38.25%	-0.43	-23.2	2
1992-05-10	@ B36 Torshavn	W 3-0	35.6	1025	940	38.25%	33.93%	27.81%	+0.43	+23.2	5
1992-05-10	HB Torshavn	D 0-0	45.3	1015	1031	37.25%	34.16%	28.59%	+0.08	-0.5	4
1992-05-10	@ B71 Sandoy	D 0-0	45.3	1031	1015	28.59%	34.16%	37.25%	-0.08	+0.5	5
1992-05-10	Vags Boltfelag	L 1-2	51.2	1045	981	47.17%	33.39%	19.44%	+0.67	-11.7	5
1992-05-10	@ GI Gota	W 2-1	51.2	981	1045	19.44%	33.39%	47.17%	-0.67	+11.7	6
1992-05-10	NSI Runavik	W 5-1	36.2	932	868	47.11%	33.40%	19.49%	+0.67	+19.6	2
1992-05-10	@ Sandavagur	L 1-5	36.2	868	932	19.49%	33.40%	47.11%	-0.67	-19.6	0
1992-05-10	B68 Toftir	L 0-3	40.7	996	951	45.00%	33.67%	21.33%	+0.53	-32.7	3
1992-05-10	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-0	40.7	951	996	21.33%	33.67%	45.00%	-0.53	+32.7	6
1992-05-16	TB Tvoroyri	D 0-0	45.4	993	963	43.15%	33.86%	23.00%	+0.42	-1.2	7
1992-05-16	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	45.4	963	993	23.00%	33.86%	43.15%	-0.42	+1.2	4
1992-05-17	B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	45.5	983	917	47.40%	33.36%	19.25%	+0.69	-1.7	7
1992-05-17	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	45.5	917	983	19.25%	33.36%	47.40%	-0.69	+1.7	3
1992-05-17	Sandavagur	W 6-3	41.7	1031	951	48.90%	33.11%	17.99%	+0.79	+11.4	7
1992-05-17	@ HB Torshavn	L 3-6	41.7	951	1031	17.99%	33.11%	48.90%	-0.79	-11.4	2
1992-05-17	B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	49.2	1048	1014	43.66%	33.81%	22.53%	+0.45	-1.1	6
1992-05-17	@ KI Klaksvik	D 1-1	49.2	1014	1048	22.53%	33.81%	43.66%	-0.45	+1.1	5
1992-05-17	GI Gota	L 0-1	37.3	849	1034	17.32%	32.17%	50.51%	-1.17	-5.9	0
1992-05-17	@ NSI Runavik	W 1-0	37.3	1034	849	50.51%	32.17%	17.32%	+1.17	+5.9	7
1992-05-24	Vags Boltfelag	W 3-0	38.3	919	992	29.36%	34.03%	36.60%	-0.34	+27.9	5
1992-05-24	@ B36 Torshavn	L 0-3	38.3	992	919	36.60%	34.03%	29.36%	+0.34	-27.9	7
1992-05-24	Sandavagur	D 1-1	49.4	1016	940	48.44%	33.19%	18.37%	+0.76	-1.7	6
1992-05-24	@ B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	49.4	940	1016	18.37%	33.19%	48.44%	-0.76	+1.7	3
1992-05-24	HB Torshavn	L 1-2	49.0	1040	1043	38.96%	34.11%	26.93%	+0.18	-10.1	7
1992-05-24	@ GI Gota	W 2-1	49.0	1043	1040	26.93%	34.11%	38.96%	-0.18	+10.1	9
1992-05-24	B68 Toftir	D 1-1	49.4	1047	982	47.34%	33.36%	19.30%	+0.69	-1.5	7
1992-05-24	@ KI Klaksvik	D 1-1	49.4	982	1047	19.30%	33.36%	47.34%	-0.69	+1.5	8
1992-05-24	NSI Runavik	W 5-1	34.4	964	843	53.16%	32.19%	14.65%	+1.10	+15.6	6
1992-05-24	@ TB Tvoroyri	L 1-5	34.4	843	964	14.65%	32.19%	53.16%	-1.10	-15.5	0
1992-05-28	B71 Sandoy	W 1-0	41.9	983	1014	35.22%	34.19%	30.59%	-0.03	+9.0	10
1992-05-28	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-1	41.9	1014	983	30.59%	34.19%	35.22%	+0.03	-9.0	6
1992-05-28	TB Tvoroyri	D 0-0	45.6	1053	980	48.13%	33.24%	18.63%	+0.74	-1.8	10
1992-05-28	@ HB Torshavn	D 0-0	45.6	980	1053	18.63%	33.24%	48.13%	-0.74	+1.8	7
1992-05-28	B36 Torshavn	L 1-3	41.3	827	947	23.64%	33.50%	42.86%	-0.69	-12.3	0
1992-05-28	@ NSI Runavik	W 3-1	41.3	947	827	42.86%	33.50%	23.64%	+0.69	+12.3	7
1992-05-28	GI Gota	L 0-2	37.7	942	1030	27.42%	33.90%	38.68%	-0.45	-15.8	3
1992-05-28	@ Sandavagur	W 2-0	37.7	1030	942	38.68%	33.90%	27.42%	+0.45	+15.8	9
1992-05-28	KI Klaksvik	D 1-1	49.2	964	1046	28.19%	33.96%	37.85%	-0.41	+0.5	8
1992-05-28	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	49.2	1046	964	37.85%	33.96%	28.19%	+0.41	-0.5	8
1992-06-08	HB Torshavn	D 2-2	54.1	959	1051	26.95%	33.86%	39.19%	-0.48	+0.5	8
1992-06-08	@ B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	54.1	1051	959	39.19%	33.86%	26.95%	+0.48	-0.5	11
1992-06-08	Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	44.2	992	964	42.91%	33.88%	23.22%	+0.41	+7.1	12
1992-06-08	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-2	44.2	964	992	23.22%	33.88%	42.91%	-0.41	-7.0	8
1992-06-08	GI Gota	L 1-2	47.4	1005	1045	33.84%	34.18%	31.99%	-0.10	-9.1	6
1992-06-08	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	47.4	1045	1005	31.99%	34.18%	33.84%	+0.10	+9.1	11
1992-06-08	NSI Runavik	W 2-0	30.5	1045	815	62.45%	28.76%	8.79%	+1.90	+6.0	10
1992-06-08	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-2	30.5	815	1045	8.79%	28.76%	62.45%	-1.90	-6.0	0
1992-06-08	Sandavagur	W 2-1	43.2	982	926	46.24%	33.52%	20.24%	+0.61	+6.4	9
1992-06-08	@ TB Tvoroyri	L 1-2	43.2	926	982	20.24%	33.52%	46.24%	-0.61	-6.4	3
1992-06-13	TB Tvoroyri	W 1-0	40.3	996	988	40.35%	34.05%	25.60%	+0.26	+8.0	8
1992-06-13	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-1	40.3	988	996	25.60%	34.05%	40.35%	-0.26	-8.0	9
1992-06-20	B71 Sandoy	D 1-1	49.1	957	1004	33.00%	34.17%	32.83%	-0.14	+0.0	9
1992-06-20	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	49.1	1004	957	32.83%	34.17%	33.00%	+0.14	+0.0	9
1992-06-21	TB Tvoroyri	W 5-2	40.4	1054	980	48.30%	33.21%	18.49%	+0.75	+12.6	13
1992-06-21	@ GI Gota	L 2-5	40.4	980	1054	18.49%	33.21%	48.30%	-0.75	-12.6	9
1992-06-21	KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	54.1	1050	1051	39.25%	34.10%	26.65%	+0.19	-0.5	12
1992-06-21	@ HB Torshavn	D 2-2	54.1	1051	1050	26.65%	34.10%	39.25%	-0.19	+0.5	11
1992-06-21	B68 Toftir	L 2-4	42.9	809	999	16.88%	32.03%	51.09%	-1.21	-8.4	0
1992-06-21	@ NSI Runavik	W 4-2	42.9	999	809	51.09%	32.03%	16.88%	+1.21	+8.4	14
1992-06-21	B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	54.0	919	960	33.87%	34.18%	31.95%	-0.10	-0.1	4
1992-06-21	@ Sandavagur	D 2-2	54.0	960	919	31.95%	34.18%	33.87%	+0.10	+0.1	9
1992-06-28	B36 Torshavn	L 0-1	47.7	1067	960	51.75%	32.53%	15.72%	+0.99	-13.5	13
1992-06-28	@ GI Gota	W 1-0	47.7	960	1067	15.72%	32.53%	51.75%	-0.99	+13.5	11
1992-06-28	B68 Toftir	W 4-2	44.8	1050	1008	44.64%	33.71%	21.65%	+0.51	+10.4	14
1992-06-28	@ HB Torshavn	L 2-4	44.8	1008	1050	21.65%	33.71%	44.64%	-0.51	-10.4	14
1992-06-28	KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	43.7	919	1052	22.27%	33.29%	44.44%	-0.78	-6.8	4
1992-06-28	@ Sandavagur	W 2-1	43.7	1052	919	44.44%	33.29%	22.27%	+0.78	+6.8	13
1992-06-28	B71 Sandoy	W 4-2	47.9	968	1004	34.44%	34.18%	31.38%	-0.07	+13.4	11
1992-06-28	@ TB Tvoroyri	L 2-4	47.9	1004	968	31.38%	34.18%	34.44%	+0.07	-13.4	9
1992-07-04	B71 Sandoy	D 2-2	54.7	800	990	16.93%	32.05%	51.02%	-1.20	+1.4	1
1992-07-04	@ NSI Runavik	D 2-2	54.7	990	800	51.02%	32.05%	16.93%	+1.20	-1.4	10
1992-07-05	TB Tvoroyri	L 1-2	48.8	973	981	38.34%	34.14%	27.52%	+0.14	-10.0	11
1992-07-05	@ B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	48.8	981	973	27.52%	34.14%	38.34%	-0.14	+9.9	13
1992-07-05	Sandavagur	W 4-1	37.0	997	913	49.43%	33.01%	17.55%	+0.83	+14.0	16
1992-07-05	@ B68 Toftir	L 1-4	37.0	913	997	17.55%	33.01%	49.43%	-0.83	-14.0	4
1992-07-05	GI Gota	W 6-0	35.4	1059	1054	40.01%	34.07%	25.92%	+0.24	+42.3	15
1992-07-05	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-6	35.4	1054	1059	25.92%	34.07%	40.01%	-0.24	-42.3	13
1992-07-05	HB Torshavn	D 1-1	49.3	957	1060	25.57%	33.73%	40.70%	-0.56	+0.8	10
1992-07-05	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 1-1	49.3	1060	957	40.70%	33.73%	25.57%	+0.56	-0.8	15
1992-08-07	Vags Boltfelag	L 0-1	38.2	802	958	19.87%	32.83%	47.29%	-0.96	-6.6	1
1992-08-07	@ NSI Runavik	W 1-0	38.2	958	802	47.29%	32.83%	19.87%	+0.96	+6.6	12
1992-08-09	B36 Torshavn	W 1-0	39.6	989	963	42.62%	33.90%	23.48%	+0.39	+7.5	12
1992-08-09	@ B71 Sandoy	L 0-1	39.6	963	989	23.48%	33.90%	42.62%	-0.39	-7.5	11
1992-08-09	B68 Toftir	D 1-1	49.1	1011	1011	39.34%	34.10%	26.56%	+0.20	-0.7	14
1992-08-09	@ GI Gota	D 1-1	49.1	1011	1011	26.56%	34.10%	39.34%	-0.20	+0.7	17
1992-08-09	NSI Runavik	L 3-4	62.5	1060	795	64.98%	27.46%	7.56%	+2.15	-14.2	15
1992-08-09	@ HB Torshavn	W 4-3	62.5	795	1060	7.56%	27.46%	64.98%	-2.15	+14.2	3
1992-08-09	Vags Boltfelag	W 4-1	42.7	899	965	30.26%	34.08%	35.67%	-0.29	+23.1	6
1992-08-09	@ Sandavagur	L 1-4	42.7	965	899	35.67%	34.08%	30.26%	+0.29	-23.1	12
1992-08-09	KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	54.2	991	1101	24.75%	33.64%	41.61%	-0.61	+0.7	14
1992-08-09	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 2-2	54.2	1101	991	41.61%	33.64%	24.75%	+0.61	-0.7	16
1992-08-15	B36 Torshavn	D 2-2	54.8	1100	956	55.31%	31.58%	13.11%	+1.27	-1.8	17
1992-08-15	@ KI Klaksvik	D 2-2	54.8	956	1100	13.11%	31.58%	55.31%	-1.27	+1.8	12
1992-08-16	TB Tvoroyri	W 5-0	34.0	1012	992	41.99%	33.95%	24.06%	+0.35	+33.8	19
1992-08-16	@ B68 Toftir	L 0-5	34.0	992	1012	24.06%	33.95%	41.99%	-0.35	-33.8	14
1992-08-16	B71 Sandoy	L 0-3	40.8	1045	996	45.44%	33.62%	20.95%	+0.56	-33.0	15
1992-08-16	@ HB Torshavn	W 3-0	40.8	996	1045	20.95%	33.62%	45.44%	-0.56	+33.0	14
1992-08-16	Sandavagur	D 0-0	45.4	809	922	24.49%	33.61%	41.91%	-0.63	+1.0	4
1992-08-16	@ NSI Runavik	D 0-0	45.4	922	809	41.91%	33.61%	24.49%	+0.63	-1.0	7
1992-08-16	GI Gota	L 1-2	46.2	942	1011	29.87%	34.06%	36.07%	-0.31	-8.4	12
1992-08-16	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 2-1	46.2	1011	942	36.07%	34.06%	29.87%	+0.31	+8.4	16
1992-08-23	B68 Toftir	D 0-0	45.4	958	1046	27.37%	33.90%	38.73%	-0.45	+0.6	13
1992-08-23	@ B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	45.4	1046	958	38.73%	33.90%	27.37%	+0.45	-0.7	20
1992-08-23	KI Klaksvik	L 1-2	46.2	1029	1098	29.87%	34.06%	36.07%	-0.31	-8.4	14
1992-08-23	@ B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	46.2	1098	1029	36.07%	34.06%	29.87%	+0.31	+8.4	19
1992-08-23	NSI Runavik	W 4-0	28.1	1019	810	60.75%	29.54%	9.71%	+1.74	+12.7	18
1992-08-23	@ GI Gota	L 0-4	28.1	810	1019	9.71%	29.54%	60.75%	-1.74	-12.7	4
1992-08-23	HB Torshavn	D 2-2	54.1	921	1012	26.95%	33.86%	39.19%	-0.48	+0.5	8
1992-08-23	@ Sandavagur	D 2-2	54.1	1012	921	39.19%	33.86%	26.95%	+0.48	-0.5	16
1992-08-23	Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	45.4	958	933	42.49%	33.91%	23.60%	+0.38	-1.1	15
1992-08-23	@ TB Tvoroyri	D 0-0	45.4	933	958	23.60%	33.91%	42.49%	-0.38	+1.1	13
1992-08-29	KI Klaksvik	D 0-0	45.3	1045	1107	30.88%	34.10%	35.02%	-0.26	+0.2	21
1992-08-29	@ B68 Toftir	D 0-0	45.3	1107	1045	35.02%	34.10%	30.88%	+0.26	-0.2	20
1992-08-29	B36 Torshavn	D 0-0	45.3	934	958	36.15%	34.18%	29.67%	+0.02	-0.4	14
1992-08-29	@ Vags Boltfelag	D 0-0	45.3	958	934	29.67%	34.18%	36.15%	-0.02	+0.4	14
1992-08-30	GI Gota	D 1-1	49.1	1012	1032	36.71%	34.17%	29.11%	+0.05	-0.4	17
1992-08-30	@ HB Torshavn	D 1-1	49.1	1032	1012	29.11%	34.17%	36.71%	-0.05	+0.4	19
1992-08-30	TB Tvoroyri	L 1-2	42.7	798	957	19.63%	32.78%	47.59%	-0.97	-6.2	4
1992-08-30	@ NSI Runavik	W 2-1	42.7	957	798	47.59%	32.78%	19.63%	+0.97	+6.2	17
1992-08-30	B71 Sandoy	W 2-1	49.2	921	1021	25.95%	33.77%	40.28%	-0.54	+10.3	10
1992-08-30	@ Sandavagur	L 1-2	49.2	1021	921	40.28%	33.77%	25.95%	+0.54	-10.3	14
1992-09-05	NSI Runavik	W 5-1	33.2	959	792	57.30%	30.92%	11.78%	+1.43	+12.8	16
1992-09-05	@ B36 Torshavn	L 1-5	33.2	792	959	11.78%	30.92%	57.30%	-1.43	-12.8	4
1992-09-05	B68 Toftir	L 2-4	48.9	1011	1045	34.65%	34.18%	31.17%	-0.06	-14.4	14
1992-09-05	@ B71 Sandoy	W 4-2	48.9	1045	1011	31.17%	34.18%	34.65%	+0.06	+14.3	23
1992-09-05	Sandavagur	W 3-1	38.9	1032	931	51.07%	32.68%	16.24%	+0.94	+9.3	21
1992-09-05	@ GI Gota	L 1-3	38.9	931	1032	16.24%	32.68%	51.07%	-0.94	-9.3	10
1992-09-05	Vags Boltfelag	D 3-3	59.1	1107	934	57.79%	30.74%	11.47%	+1.48	-1.7	21
1992-09-05	@ KI Klaksvik	D 3-3	59.1	934	1107	11.47%	30.74%	57.79%	-1.48	+1.7	15
1992-09-05	HB Torshavn	L 0-2	39.3	963	1012	32.66%	34.16%	33.18%	-0.16	-17.8	17
1992-09-05	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 2-0	39.3	1012	963	33.18%	34.16%	32.66%	+0.16	+17.8	19
1992-09-10	B71 Sandoy	W 1-0	39.0	1041	996	44.97%	33.67%	21.36%	+0.53	+7.0	23
1992-09-10	@ GI Gota	L 0-1	39.0	996	1041	21.36%	33.67%	44.97%	-0.53	-7.0	14
1992-09-13	B36 Torshavn	W 2-1	43.1	1029	971	46.47%	33.49%	20.04%	+0.63	+6.3	21
1992-09-13	@ HB Torshavn	L 1-2	43.1	971	1029	20.04%	33.49%	46.47%	-0.63	-6.3	16
1992-09-13	KI Klaksvik	W 1-0	49.7	779	1105	9.05%	27.50%	63.45%	-2.21	+15.8	6
1992-09-13	@ NSI Runavik	L 0-1	49.7	1105	779	63.45%	27.50%	9.05%	+2.21	-15.8	21
1992-09-13	TB Tvoroyri	L 1-4	43.0	922	945	36.30%	34.18%	29.52%	+0.03	-23.5	10
1992-09-13	@ Sandavagur	W 4-1	43.0	945	922	29.52%	34.18%	36.30%	-0.03	+23.4	19
1992-09-13	B68 Toftir	L 0-1	39.4	936	1060	23.16%	33.43%	43.41%	-0.72	-7.4	15
1992-09-13	@ Vags Boltfelag	W 1-0	39.4	1060	936	43.41%	33.43%	23.16%	+0.72	+7.4	25
1992-09-19	Sandavagur	L 2-4	52.4	965	899	47.42%	33.35%	19.23%	+0.69	-18.2	16
1992-09-19	@ B36 Torshavn	W 4-2	52.4	899	965	19.23%	33.35%	47.42%	-0.69	+18.2	12
1992-09-19	NSI Runavik	W 4-2	38.5	1067	795	65.58%	27.13%	7.29%	+2.22	+3.8	27
1992-09-19	@ B68 Toftir	L 2-4	38.5	795	1067	7.29%	27.13%	65.58%	-2.22	-3.8	6
1992-09-19	Vags Boltfelag	D 2-2	54.3	989	928	46.83%	33.44%	19.73%	+0.65	-1.1	15
1992-09-19	@ B71 Sandoy	D 2-2	54.3	928	989	19.73%	33.44%	46.83%	-0.65	+1.1	16
1992-09-19	HB Torshavn	W 1-0	38.7	1089	1036	45.95%	33.56%	20.49%	+0.60	+6.8	23
1992-09-19	@ KI Klaksvik	L 0-1	38.7	1036	1089	20.49%	33.56%	45.95%	-0.60	-6.8	21
1992-09-19	GI Gota	L 0-3	35.8	968	1048	28.43%	33.98%	37.60%	-0.39	-23.5	19
1992-09-19	@ TB Tvoroyri	W 3-0	35.8	1048	968	37.60%	33.98%	28.43%	+0.39	+23.5	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1992-08-09	7.56%	NSI Runavik	795	4	@ HB Torshavn	1060	3
2	1992-09-13	9.05%	@ NSI Runavik	779	1	KI Klaksvik	1105	0
3	1992-06-28	15.72%	B36 Torshavn	960	1	@ GI Gota	1067	0
4	1992-09-19	19.23%	Sandavagur	899	4	@ B36 Torshavn	965	2
5	1992-05-10	19.44%	Vags Boltfelag	981	2	@ GI Gota	1045	1
6	1992-08-16	20.95%	B71 Sandoy	996	3	@ HB Torshavn	1045	0
7	1992-05-10	21.33%	B68 Toftir	951	3	@ TB Tvoroyri	996	0
8	1992-08-30	25.95%	@ Sandavagur	921	2	B71 Sandoy	1021	1
9	1992-04-26	26.13%	B68 Toftir	962	1	@ Sandavagur	965	0
10	1992-05-24	26.93%	HB Torshavn	1043	2	@ GI Gota	1040	1
11	1992-07-05	27.52%	TB Tvoroyri	981	2	@ B36 Torshavn	973	1
12	1992-05-24	29.36%	@ B36 Torshavn	919	3	Vags Boltfelag	992	0
13	1992-09-13	29.52%	TB Tvoroyri	945	4	@ Sandavagur	922	1
14	1992-08-09	30.26%	@ Sandavagur	899	4	Vags Boltfelag	965	1
15	1992-09-05	31.17%	B68 Toftir	1045	4	@ B71 Sandoy	1011	2
16	1992-06-08	31.99%	GI Gota	1045	2	@ B71 Sandoy	1005	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-07-05	42.33	@ KI Klaksvik	6	1059	40.01%	GI Gota	0	1054	25.92%	34.07%
2	1992-08-16	33.83	@ B68 Toftir	5	1012	41.99%	TB Tvoroyri	0	992	24.06%	33.95%
3	1992-08-16	33.00	B71 Sandoy	3	996	20.95%	@ HB Torshavn	0	1045	45.44%	33.62%
4	1992-05-10	32.73	B68 Toftir	3	951	21.33%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	996	45.00%	33.67%
5	1992-04-26	30.32	@ HB Torshavn	4	980	38.09%	Vags Boltfelag	0	990	27.77%	34.14%
6	1992-05-24	27.93	@ B36 Torshavn	3	919	29.36%	Vags Boltfelag	0	992	36.60%	34.03%
7	1992-04-26	23.96	@ TB Tvoroyri	5	971	40.24%	B36 Torshavn	1	964	25.70%	34.06%
8	1992-09-19	23.53	GI Gota	3	1048	37.60%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	968	28.43%	33.98%
9	1992-09-13	23.45	TB Tvoroyri	4	945	29.52%	@ Sandavagur	1	922	36.30%	34.18%
10	1992-05-10	23.18	KI Klaksvik	3	1025	38.25%	@ B36 Torshavn	0	940	27.81%	33.93%
11	1992-08-09	23.13	@ Sandavagur	4	899	30.26%	Vags Boltfelag	1	965	35.67%	34.08%
12	1992-05-02	22.12	@ Vags Boltfelag	3	959	40.05%	Sandavagur	0	954	25.88%	34.07%
13	1992-05-02	21.64	GI Gota	4	1024	33.56%	@ B68 Toftir	1	972	32.29%	34.15%
14	1992-05-02	20.50	HB Torshavn	3	1010	43.08%	@ NSI Runavik	0	889	23.45%	33.47%
15	1992-05-10	19.59	@ Sandavagur	5	932	47.11%	NSI Runavik	1	868	19.49%	33.40%
16	1992-09-19	18.23	Sandavagur	4	899	19.23%	@ B36 Torshavn	2	965	47.42%	33.35%
17	1992-09-05	17.81	HB Torshavn	2	1012	33.18%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	963	32.66%	34.16%
18	1992-04-26	15.96	@ B71 Sandoy	3	999	50.45%	NSI Runavik	0	905	16.73%	32.82%
19	1992-09-13	15.82	@ NSI Runavik	1	779	9.05%	KI Klaksvik	0	1105	63.45%	27.50%
20	1992-05-28	15.80	GI Gota	2	1030	38.68%	@ Sandavagur	0	942	27.42%	33.90%
21	1992-05-24	15.55	@ TB Tvoroyri	5	964	53.16%	NSI Runavik	1	843	14.65%	32.19%
22	1992-09-05	14.35	B68 Toftir	4	1045	31.17%	@ B71 Sandoy	2	1011	34.65%	34.18%
23	1992-08-09	14.20	NSI Runavik	4	795	7.56%	@ HB Torshavn	3	1060	64.98%	27.46%
24	1992-07-05	13.98	@ B68 Toftir	4	997	49.43%	Sandavagur	1	913	17.55%	33.01%
25	1992-06-28	13.45	B36 Torshavn	1	960	15.72%	@ GI Gota	0	1067	51.75%	32.53%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-08-09	62.5	NSI Runavik	4	795	7.56%	@ HB Torshavn	3	1060	64.98%	27.46%
2	1992-09-05	59.1	@ KI Klaksvik	3	1107	57.79%	Vags Boltfelag	3	934	11.47%	30.74%
3	1992-08-15	54.8	@ KI Klaksvik	2	1100	55.31%	B36 Torshavn	2	956	13.11%	31.58%
4	1992-07-04	54.7	@ NSI Runavik	2	800	16.93%	B71 Sandoy	2	990	51.02%	32.05%
5	1992-09-19	54.3	@ B71 Sandoy	2	989	46.83%	Vags Boltfelag	2	928	19.73%	33.44%
6	1992-08-09	54.2	@ TB Tvoroyri	2	991	24.75%	KI Klaksvik	2	1101	41.61%	33.64%
7	1992-05-02	54.1	@ B36 Torshavn	2	940	29.08%	B71 Sandoy	2	1015	36.91%	34.02%
8	1992-06-08	54.1	@ B36 Torshavn	2	959	26.95%	HB Torshavn	2	1051	39.19%	33.86%
9	1992-06-21	54.1	@ HB Torshavn	2	1050	39.25%	KI Klaksvik	2	1051	26.65%	34.10%
10	1992-08-23	54.1	@ Sandavagur	2	921	26.95%	HB Torshavn	2	1012	39.19%	33.86%
11	1992-06-21	54.0	@ Sandavagur	2	919	33.87%	B36 Torshavn	2	960	31.95%	34.18%
12	1992-09-19	52.4	Sandavagur	4	899	19.23%	@ B36 Torshavn	2	965	47.42%	33.35%
13	1992-05-10	51.2	Vags Boltfelag	2	981	19.44%	@ GI Gota	1	1045	47.17%	33.39%
14	1992-09-13	49.7	@ NSI Runavik	1	779	9.05%	KI Klaksvik	0	1105	63.45%	27.50%
15	1992-05-24	49.4	@ B71 Sandoy	1	1016	48.44%	Sandavagur	1	940	18.37%	33.19%
16	1992-05-24	49.4	@ KI Klaksvik	1	1047	47.34%	B68 Toftir	1	982	19.30%	33.36%
17	1992-07-05	49.3	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	957	25.57%	HB Torshavn	1	1060	40.70%	33.73%
18	1992-05-02	49.2	@ KI Klaksvik	1	1026	43.35%	TB Tvoroyri	1	995	22.81%	33.84%
19	1992-05-17	49.2	@ KI Klaksvik	1	1048	43.66%	B71 Sandoy	1	1014	22.53%	33.81%
20	1992-05-28	49.2	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	964	28.19%	KI Klaksvik	1	1046	37.85%	33.96%
21	1992-08-30	49.2	@ Sandavagur	2	921	25.95%	B71 Sandoy	1	1021	40.28%	33.77%
22	1992-04-20	49.1	@ B36 Torshavn	1	964	32.35%	GI Gota	1	1015	33.50%	34.15%
23	1992-06-20	49.1	@ Vags Boltfelag	1	957	33.00%	B71 Sandoy	1	1004	32.83%	34.17%
24	1992-08-09	49.1	@ GI Gota	1	1011	39.34%	B68 Toftir	1	1011	26.56%	34.10%
25	1992-08-30	49.1	@ HB Torshavn	1	1012	36.71%	GI Gota	1	1032	29.11%	34.17%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-08-23	28.1	@ GI Gota	4	1019	60.75%	NSI Runavik	0	810	9.71%	29.54%
2	1992-06-08	30.5	@ KI Klaksvik	2	1045	62.45%	NSI Runavik	0	815	8.79%	28.76%
3	1992-04-26	32.0	@ B71 Sandoy	3	999	50.45%	NSI Runavik	0	905	16.73%	32.82%
4	1992-09-05	33.2	@ B36 Torshavn	5	959	57.30%	NSI Runavik	1	792	11.78%	30.92%
5	1992-08-16	34.0	@ B68 Toftir	5	1012	41.99%	TB Tvoroyri	0	992	24.06%	33.95%
6	1992-05-02	34.2	HB Torshavn	3	1010	43.08%	@ NSI Runavik	0	889	23.45%	33.47%
7	1992-05-24	34.4	@ TB Tvoroyri	5	964	53.16%	NSI Runavik	1	843	14.65%	32.19%
8	1992-04-26	34.9	@ HB Torshavn	4	980	38.09%	Vags Boltfelag	0	990	27.77%	34.14%
9	1992-05-02	35.1	@ Vags Boltfelag	3	959	40.05%	Sandavagur	0	954	25.88%	34.07%
10	1992-07-05	35.4	@ KI Klaksvik	6	1059	40.01%	GI Gota	0	1054	25.92%	34.07%
11	1992-05-10	35.6	KI Klaksvik	3	1025	38.25%	@ B36 Torshavn	0	940	27.81%	33.93%
12	1992-09-19	35.8	GI Gota	3	1048	37.60%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	968	28.43%	33.98%
13	1992-05-10	36.2	@ Sandavagur	5	932	47.11%	NSI Runavik	1	868	19.49%	33.40%
14	1992-07-05	37.0	@ B68 Toftir	4	997	49.43%	Sandavagur	1	913	17.55%	33.01%
15	1992-05-17	37.3	GI Gota	1	1034	50.51%	@ NSI Runavik	0	849	17.32%	32.17%
16	1992-05-28	37.7	GI Gota	2	1030	38.68%	@ Sandavagur	0	942	27.42%	33.90%
17	1992-08-07	38.2	Vags Boltfelag	1	958	47.29%	@ NSI Runavik	0	802	19.87%	32.83%
18	1992-04-26	38.3	@ TB Tvoroyri	5	971	40.24%	B36 Torshavn	1	964	25.70%	34.06%
19	1992-05-24	38.3	@ B36 Torshavn	3	919	29.36%	Vags Boltfelag	0	992	36.60%	34.03%
20	1992-09-19	38.5	@ B68 Toftir	4	1067	65.58%	NSI Runavik	2	795	7.29%	27.13%
21	1992-09-19	38.7	@ KI Klaksvik	1	1089	45.95%	HB Torshavn	0	1036	20.49%	33.56%
22	1992-09-05	38.9	@ GI Gota	3	1032	51.07%	Sandavagur	1	931	16.24%	32.68%
23	1992-09-10	39.0	@ GI Gota	1	1041	44.97%	B71 Sandoy	0	996	21.36%	33.67%
24	1992-09-05	39.3	HB Torshavn	2	1012	33.18%	@ TB Tvoroyri	0	963	32.66%	34.16%
25	1992-09-13	39.4	B68 Toftir	1	1060	43.41%	@ Vags Boltfelag	0	936	23.16%	33.43%