Home / Leagues / Faroe Islands / 1. deild / 1993
‹ ›

1993 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

GI Gota

28 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1986.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

GI Gota

5.97 points above expected

28 points · 22.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vags Boltfelag

5.17 points below expected

8 points · 13.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 GI Gota Champion 18 11 6 1 28 32 14 +18 22.03 +5.97
2 HB Torshavn 18 9 7 2 25 41 20 +21 22.53 +2.47
3 KI Klaksvik 18 9 5 4 23 24 15 +9 22.03 +0.97
4 B71 Sandoy 18 10 3 5 23 30 26 +4 18.89 +4.11
5 B36 Torshavn 18 6 6 6 18 21 17 +4 17.19 +0.81
6 B68 Toftir 18 5 6 7 16 30 28 +2 19.07 -3.07
7 TB Tvoroyri 18 4 6 8 14 24 30 -6 13.82 +0.18
8 Fuglafjordur 18 5 3 10 13 27 41 -14 16.65 -3.65
9 LIF Leirvik 18 3 6 9 12 25 46 -21 14.62 -2.62
10 Vags Boltfelag 18 3 2 13 8 18 35 -17 13.17 -5.17

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 GI Gota 28 22.03 +5.97
2 B71 Sandoy 23 18.89 +4.11
3 HB Torshavn 25 22.53 +2.47
4 KI Klaksvik 23 22.03 +0.97
5 B36 Torshavn 18 17.19 +0.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vags Boltfelag 8 13.17 -5.17
2 Fuglafjordur 13 16.65 -3.65
3 B68 Toftir 16 19.07 -3.07
4 LIF Leirvik 12 14.62 -2.62
5 TB Tvoroyri 14 13.82 +0.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TB Tvoroyri 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 180
2 LIF Leirvik 3 May 16 – Jun 13 1 in 35
3 GI Gota 5 Sep 5 – Oct 3 1 in 19
4 B36 Torshavn 3 Aug 15 – Aug 29 1 in 11
5 KI Klaksvik 4 Sep 5 – Sep 26 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vags Boltfelag 6 May 2 – Jun 20 1 in 120
2 B68 Toftir 4 Sep 12 – Oct 3 1 in 63
3 TB Tvoroyri 3 May 31 – Jun 20 1 in 21
4 LIF Leirvik 4 Jun 27 – Aug 22 1 in 11
5 Fuglafjordur 3 Sep 5 – Sep 19 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B71 Sandoy 7 Jun 13 – Aug 29 1 in 21
2 KI Klaksvik 12 May 31 – Sep 26 1 in 18
3 GI Gota 9 Aug 8 – Oct 3 1 in 11
4 B68 Toftir 6 Apr 12 – May 31 1 in 9
5 B36 Torshavn 4 Aug 15 – Sep 5 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TB Tvoroyri 14 Apr 18 – Sep 12 1 in 96
2 B68 Toftir 8 Aug 15 – Oct 3 1 in 42
3 LIF Leirvik 11 Jun 19 – Oct 3 1 in 39
4 HB Torshavn 6 Jun 20 – Aug 29 1 in 33
5 KI Klaksvik 4 May 2 – May 31 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
GI Gota 1307 28 +91 10 7.1 +2.9
HB Torshavn 1234 25 +85 9 7.0 +2.0
KI Klaksvik 1247 23 +15 8 6.5 +1.5
B71 Sandoy 1134 23 -24 6 6.1 -0.1
B36 Torshavn 1065 18 -26 3 4.2 -1.2
B68 Toftir 976 16 -100 1 4.3 -3.3
TB Tvoroyri 1048 14 +161 6 2.9 +3.1
Fuglafjordur 963 13 -74 1 3.6 -2.6
LIF Leirvik 877 12 -79 3 4.1 -1.1
Vags Boltfelag 842 8 -49 3 4.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS FUG GG HT KK LL TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
0-2-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.06
0-2-0
1.77
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
2.72
2-0-0
3.12
B68 Toftir
0-2-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
1.47
0-1-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.57
2-0-0
3.00
0-2-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.88
B71 Sandoy
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.53
 —
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.77
2-0-0
3.55
Fuglafjordur
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.28
 —
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.20
GI Gota
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.62
 —
0-2-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.97
HB Torshavn
0-2-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.59
0-2-0
2.53
 —
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.06
1-0-1
4.04
KI Klaksvik
1-1-0
3.26
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.93
 —
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
4.10
2-0-0
4.23
LIF Leirvik
0-1-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
1.76
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.82
TB Tvoroyri
0-0-2
2.69
0-2-0
1.90
1-0-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.37
0-2-0
1.33
1-0-1
2.65
 —
1-1-0
2.91
Vags Boltfelag
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
1.55
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.51
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +6.8
Allowed 0.66 -4.8
Differential 0.86 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%7.22%2.78%0.56%0.56%24.44%
16.67%15.56%6.11%2.78%2.78%1.11%35.00%
27.22%6.11%3.33%1.67%1.11%0.56%20.00%
32.78%2.78%1.67%2.22%1.11%0.56%11.11%
40.56%2.78%1.11%1.11%—0.56%6.11%
5+0.56%1.11%0.56%0.56%0.56%—3.33%
Total24.44%35.00%20.00%11.11%6.11%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 1.87
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%11.11%———38.89%
15.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
216.67%—————16.67%
3—5.56%—5.56%——11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.94 +0.22
SD 1.25 0.94 1.48
CV 1.07 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%5.56%5.56%——38.89%
1—16.67%—5.56%——22.22%
25.56%—5.56%———11.11%
3———————
4——5.56%5.56%—5.56%16.67%
5+—11.11%————11.11%
Total16.67%44.44%16.67%16.67%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.56 +0.11
SD 1.88 1.29 1.91
CV 1.13 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%—11.11%——16.67%
111.11%11.11%5.56%——5.56%33.33%
216.67%11.11%5.56%———33.33%
3———————
4—5.56%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%16.67%16.67%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.44 +0.22
SD 1.28 1.38 1.96
CV 0.77 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—11.11%5.56%——22.22%
15.56%—11.11%11.11%5.56%—33.33%
2—11.11%5.56%—5.56%—22.22%
3——5.56%5.56%—5.56%16.67%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%33.33%22.22%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.28 -0.78
SD 1.20 1.49 1.73
CV 0.80 0.65 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
111.11%27.78%————38.89%
216.67%11.11%————27.78%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
4———————
5+———5.56%——5.56%
Total38.89%50.00%5.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 0.78 +1.00
SD 1.40 0.81 1.14
CV 0.79 1.04 —
Max 6 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
1—27.78%11.11%———38.89%
211.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+5.56%—5.56%—5.56%—16.67%
Total27.78%44.44%22.22%—5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 1.11 +1.17
SD 1.84 1.02 1.95
CV 0.81 0.92 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%———16.67%
127.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%——55.56%
2—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total50.00%22.22%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.83 +0.50
SD 1.08 0.99 1.54
CV 0.81 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—11.11%—5.56%5.56%27.78%
1—16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
2—5.56%————5.56%
3——5.56%11.11%5.56%—22.22%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total5.56%27.78%22.22%16.67%16.67%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 2.56 -1.17
SD 1.29 1.76 2.31
CV 0.93 0.69 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—16.67%———22.22%
15.56%22.22%5.56%—5.56%—38.89%
25.56%—5.56%5.56%—5.56%22.22%
311.11%———5.56%—16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%22.22%27.78%5.56%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.03 1.53 1.78
CV 0.77 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—27.78%11.11%5.56%——44.44%
1—11.11%——11.11%—22.22%
2—5.56%—11.11%5.56%—22.22%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total—55.56%11.11%16.67%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.94 -0.94
SD 1.08 1.21 1.51
CV 1.08 0.62 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GI Gota 1307 28 22.03 +5.97 96.0% 13 17 20 22 24 28 32
KI Klaksvik 1247 23 22.03 +0.97 69.0% 14 17 20 22 24 26 28
HB Torshavn 1234 25 22.53 +2.47 86.0% 15 18 21 22 24 28 29
B71 Sandoy 1134 23 18.89 +4.11 93.0% 11 14 16 19 21 24 27
B36 Torshavn 1065 18 17.19 +0.81 64.0% 9 12 15 18 19 22 26
TB Tvoroyri 1048 14 13.82 +0.18 54.0% 7 9 12 14 16 19 21
B68 Toftir 976 16 19.07 -3.07 21.0% 12 14 17 19 21 25 29
Fuglafjordur 963 13 16.65 -3.65 15.0% 12 12 15 16 18 21 25
LIF Leirvik 877 12 14.62 -2.62 27.0% 7 10 12 15 16 20 23
Vags Boltfelag 842 8 13.17 -5.17 5.0% 6 8 11 13 15 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.78%
Strong Edge
50.00%27.78%22.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
209 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
099.11600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.47+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
GI Gota, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.45 * Some Luck: 2.45 to 3.68 * Lucky: 3.68 to 4.91 * Wild Swing: 4.91 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.25 * Close: 1.25 to 1.88 * Off: 1.88 to 2.5 * Way Off: 2.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.41 points
Some Luck
03.078
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.10
Pinpoint
01.564
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
GI Gota
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Vags Boltfelag
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Even
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 159.32
1.80
Strong Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
80%
Clear Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.21
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.38
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.25 * Above Noise: 0.25 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1640.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
GI Gota27.00%22.00%18.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%2.00%—1.00%—
HB Torshavn30.00%30.00%16.00%17.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
KI Klaksvik28.00%22.00%23.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
B71 Sandoy3.00%9.00%18.00%19.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
B36 Torshavn2.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%24.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%
B68 Toftir9.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%22.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%—
TB Tvoroyri——2.00%3.00%1.00%10.00%14.00%21.00%25.00%24.00%
Fuglafjordur1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%22.00%15.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%
LIF Leirvik—1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%18.00%17.00%22.00%24.00%
Vags Boltfelag——1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HB Torshavn 100% —
KI Klaksvik 100% —
GI Gota 99.00% 1.00%
B71 Sandoy 96.00% 4.00%
B68 Toftir 94.00% 6.00%
B36 Torshavn 86.00% 14.00%
Fuglafjordur 80.00% 20.00%
LIF Leirvik 54.00% 46.00%
TB Tvoroyri 51.00% 49.00%
Vags Boltfelag 40.00% 60.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1993-04-12 B36 Torshavn W 1-035.9 1052 1025 55.60% 29.12% 15.28%+0.60 +13.1 2
1993-04-12 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-135.9 1025 1052 15.28% 29.12% 55.60%-0.60 -13.1 0
1993-04-12 Vags Boltfelag W 1-034.4 1102 1009 60.58% 28.67% 10.75%+0.92 +9.8 2
1993-04-12 @ GI Gota L 0-134.4 1009 1102 10.75% 28.67% 60.58%-0.92 -9.8 0
1993-04-12 KI Klaksvik W 2-034.3 1076 1118 48.87% 29.39% 21.73%+0.27 +32.6 2
1993-04-12 @ HB Torshavn L 0-234.3 1118 1076 21.73% 29.39% 48.87%-0.27 -32.6 0
1993-04-12 B68 Toftir L 3-458.6 1067 1101 49.73% 29.37% 20.90%+0.31 -28.3 0
1993-04-12 @ LIF Leirvik W 4-358.6 1101 1067 20.90% 29.37% 49.73%-0.31 +28.3 2
1993-04-12 Fuglafjordur W 3-034.1 1020 1124 41.40% 29.46% 29.13%-0.02 +58.8 2
1993-04-12 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-334.1 1124 1020 29.13% 29.46% 41.40%+0.02 -58.8 0
1993-04-17 B71 Sandoy W 5-132.1 1130 1065 58.57% 28.88% 12.55%+0.78 +33.3 4
1993-04-17 @ B68 Toftir L 1-532.1 1065 1130 12.55% 28.88% 58.57%-0.78 -33.3 2
1993-04-18 TB Tvoroyri W 2-035.1 1012 1078 46.10% 29.44% 24.46%+0.16 +35.6 2
1993-04-18 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-235.1 1078 1012 24.46% 29.44% 46.10%-0.16 -35.6 2
1993-04-18 HB Torshavn D 0-047.4 1112 1108 53.50% 29.23% 17.27%+0.49 -5.9 3
1993-04-18 @ GI Gota D 0-047.4 1108 1112 17.27% 29.23% 53.50%-0.49 +5.8 3
1993-04-18 LIF Leirvik W 4-028.6 1085 1039 57.18% 29.00% 13.81%+0.69 +43.2 2
1993-04-18 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-428.6 1039 1085 13.81% 29.00% 57.18%-0.69 -43.2 0
1993-04-18 Fuglafjordur W 3-139.9 999 1065 46.13% 29.44% 24.43%+0.16 +30.8 2
1993-04-18 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-339.9 1065 999 24.43% 29.44% 46.13%-0.16 -30.8 0
1993-05-02 KI Klaksvik W 2-144.5 1032 1128 42.40% 29.46% 28.13%+0.01 +19.7 4
1993-05-02 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-244.5 1128 1032 28.13% 29.46% 42.40%-0.01 -19.7 2
1993-05-02 B36 Torshavn W 2-141.6 1034 1048 51.87% 29.30% 18.83%+0.41 +14.6 2
1993-05-02 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-241.6 1048 1034 18.83% 29.30% 51.87%-0.41 -14.6 2
1993-05-02 Vags Boltfelag W 2-030.9 1114 1030 59.99% 28.74% 11.27%+0.88 +19.2 5
1993-05-02 @ HB Torshavn L 0-230.9 1030 1114 11.27% 28.74% 59.99%-0.88 -19.2 2
1993-05-02 GI Gota D 1-151.1 996 1106 40.60% 29.46% 29.94%-0.05 -1.4 1
1993-05-02 @ LIF Leirvik D 1-151.1 1106 996 29.94% 29.46% 40.60%+0.05 +1.4 4
1993-05-02 B68 Toftir D 2-256.1 1043 1163 39.27% 29.45% 31.28%-0.10 -0.8 3
1993-05-02 @ TB Tvoroyri D 2-256.1 1163 1043 31.28% 29.45% 39.27%+0.10 +0.8 5
1993-05-09 Fuglafjordur W 2-030.3 1164 1049 61.94% 28.48% 9.58%+1.02 +16.7 7
1993-05-09 @ B68 Toftir L 0-230.3 1049 1164 9.58% 28.48% 61.94%-1.02 -16.7 2
1993-05-09 B71 Sandoy W 3-029.1 1107 1052 57.90% 28.95% 13.15%+0.74 +31.8 6
1993-05-09 @ GI Gota L 0-329.1 1052 1107 13.15% 28.95% 57.90%-0.74 -31.8 4
1993-05-09 LIF Leirvik W 7-029.0 1133 994 63.33% 28.25% 8.42%+1.14 +47.8 7
1993-05-09 @ HB Torshavn L 0-729.0 994 1133 8.42% 28.25% 63.33%-1.14 -47.8 1
1993-05-09 TB Tvoroyri D 0-047.5 1109 1042 58.73% 28.87% 12.40%+0.79 -7.8 3
1993-05-09 @ KI Klaksvik D 0-047.5 1042 1109 12.40% 28.87% 58.73%-0.79 +7.8 4
1993-05-09 B36 Torshavn L 0-146.7 1010 1033 50.94% 29.34% 19.72%+0.37 -33.2 2
1993-05-09 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-046.7 1033 1010 19.72% 29.34% 50.94%-0.37 +33.2 4
1993-05-16 B68 Toftir D 0-047.3 1066 1180 40.06% 29.46% 30.48%-0.07 -1.4 5
1993-05-16 @ B36 Torshavn D 0-047.3 1180 1066 30.48% 29.46% 40.06%+0.07 +1.4 8
1993-05-16 HB Torshavn W 2-147.2 1020 1181 33.53% 29.38% 37.09%-0.30 +24.0 6
1993-05-16 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-247.2 1181 1020 37.09% 29.38% 33.53%+0.30 -24.0 7
1993-05-16 KI Klaksvik W 2-143.5 1032 1101 45.82% 29.44% 24.73%+0.14 +18.0 4
1993-05-16 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-243.5 1101 1032 24.73% 29.44% 45.82%-0.14 -18.0 3
1993-05-16 Vags Boltfelag W 3-246.8 946 977 50.10% 29.36% 20.54%+0.33 +14.8 3
1993-05-16 @ LIF Leirvik L 2-346.8 977 946 20.54% 29.36% 50.10%-0.33 -14.8 2
1993-05-16 GI Gota D 1-151.2 1050 1139 43.32% 29.46% 27.22%+0.05 -2.2 5
1993-05-16 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-151.2 1139 1050 27.22% 29.46% 43.32%-0.05 +2.2 7
1993-05-31 Fuglafjordur W 6-337.5 1141 1050 60.44% 28.68% 10.88%+0.91 +18.3 9
1993-05-31 @ GI Gota L 3-637.5 1050 1141 10.88% 28.68% 60.44%-0.91 -18.3 4
1993-05-31 TB Tvoroyri W 2-138.7 1157 1048 61.60% 28.53% 9.87%+1.00 +8.6 9
1993-05-31 @ HB Torshavn L 1-238.7 1048 1157 9.87% 28.53% 61.60%-1.00 -8.6 5
1993-05-31 B36 Torshavn D 0-047.4 1083 1065 54.83% 29.16% 16.01%+0.56 -6.3 4
1993-05-31 @ KI Klaksvik D 0-047.4 1065 1083 16.01% 29.16% 54.83%-0.56 +6.3 6
1993-05-31 B71 Sandoy W 2-143.9 961 1044 44.13% 29.46% 26.41%+0.08 +18.9 5
1993-05-31 @ LIF Leirvik L 1-243.9 1044 961 26.41% 29.46% 44.13%-0.08 -18.9 6
1993-05-31 B68 Toftir L 2-444.3 962 1182 25.97% 29.15% 44.88%-0.57 -28.7 2
1993-05-31 @ Vags Boltfelag W 4-244.3 1182 962 44.88% 29.15% 25.97%+0.57 +28.7 10
1993-06-13 GI Gota L 0-240.8 1071 1160 43.42% 29.46% 27.12%+0.05 -54.4 6
1993-06-13 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-040.8 1160 1071 27.12% 29.46% 43.42%-0.05 +54.4 11
1993-06-13 KI Klaksvik L 0-343.9 1211 1077 63.04% 28.30% 8.65%+1.11 -112.6 10
1993-06-13 @ B68 Toftir W 3-043.9 1077 1211 8.65% 28.30% 63.04%-1.11 +112.6 6
1993-06-13 Vags Boltfelag W 4-132.9 1025 934 60.45% 28.68% 10.86%+0.91 +22.8 8
1993-06-13 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-432.9 934 1025 10.86% 28.68% 60.45%-0.91 -22.8 2
1993-06-13 HB Torshavn L 1-247.3 1032 1166 37.37% 29.44% 33.19%-0.17 -24.2 4
1993-06-13 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-147.3 1166 1032 33.19% 29.44% 37.37%+0.17 +24.2 11
1993-06-13 LIF Leirvik L 1-447.2 1039 980 58.17% 28.92% 12.91%+0.76 -87.2 5
1993-06-13 @ TB Tvoroyri W 4-147.2 980 1039 12.91% 28.92% 58.17%-0.76 +87.2 7
1993-06-19 Fuglafjordur D 0-047.4 1067 1008 58.23% 28.92% 12.86%+0.76 -7.6 8
1993-06-19 @ LIF Leirvik D 0-047.4 1008 1067 12.86% 28.92% 58.23%-0.76 +7.6 5
1993-06-20 TB Tvoroyri W 4-346.6 1048 952 60.76% 28.64% 10.60%+0.93 +8.4 10
1993-06-20 @ B71 Sandoy L 3-446.6 952 1048 10.60% 28.64% 60.76%-0.93 -8.4 5
1993-06-20 B68 Toftir D 1-151.5 1214 1098 62.00% 28.47% 9.53%+1.03 -8.2 12
1993-06-20 @ GI Gota D 1-151.5 1098 1214 9.53% 28.47% 62.00%-1.03 +8.1 11
1993-06-20 B36 Torshavn D 1-151.6 1190 1017 65.08% 27.90% 7.02%+1.30 -9.3 12
1993-06-20 @ HB Torshavn D 1-151.6 1017 1190 7.02% 27.90% 65.08%-1.30 +9.3 7
1993-06-20 KI Klaksvik L 0-137.1 911 1189 19.61% 28.77% 51.62%-0.86 -15.8 2
1993-06-20 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-037.1 1189 911 51.62% 28.77% 19.61%+0.86 +15.8 8
1993-06-23 Vags Boltfelag D 1-151.3 943 895 57.35% 28.99% 13.66%+0.70 -6.5 6
1993-06-23 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-151.3 895 943 13.66% 28.99% 57.35%-0.70 +6.5 3
1993-06-27 LIF Leirvik W 4-136.2 1026 1060 49.78% 29.37% 20.85%+0.31 +38.7 9
1993-06-27 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-436.2 1060 1026 20.85% 29.37% 49.78%-0.31 -38.7 8
1993-06-27 HB Torshavn D 1-151.2 1106 1181 45.14% 29.45% 25.41%+0.12 -2.7 12
1993-06-27 @ B68 Toftir D 1-151.2 1181 1106 25.41% 29.45% 45.14%-0.12 +2.7 13
1993-06-27 B71 Sandoy D 2-256.1 1015 1056 48.97% 29.39% 21.64%+0.28 -2.8 6
1993-06-27 @ Fuglafjordur D 2-256.1 1056 1015 21.64% 29.39% 48.97%-0.28 +2.8 11
1993-06-27 GI Gota W 1-036.9 1205 1206 53.10% 29.25% 17.64%+0.47 +14.7 10
1993-06-27 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-136.9 1206 1205 17.64% 29.25% 53.10%-0.47 -14.7 12
1993-08-08 B71 Sandoy L 0-243.8 1065 1059 53.68% 29.23% 17.09%+0.50 -65.7 9
1993-08-08 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-043.8 1059 1065 17.09% 29.23% 53.68%-0.50 +65.7 13
1993-08-08 LIF Leirvik W 5-131.7 1103 1021 59.84% 28.75% 11.41%+0.87 +30.7 14
1993-08-08 @ B68 Toftir L 1-531.7 1021 1103 11.41% 28.75% 59.84%-0.87 -30.7 8
1993-08-08 TB Tvoroyri W 3-244.0 1012 937 59.36% 28.81% 11.84%+0.83 +9.5 8
1993-08-08 @ Fuglafjordur L 2-344.0 937 1012 11.84% 28.81% 59.36%-0.83 -9.5 6
1993-08-08 HB Torshavn D 2-256.4 1220 1183 56.39% 29.06% 14.54%+0.65 -4.6 11
1993-08-08 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-256.4 1183 1220 14.54% 29.06% 56.39%-0.65 +4.6 14
1993-08-08 GI Gota L 2-346.0 902 1191 18.56% 28.68% 52.76%-0.91 -13.5 3
1993-08-08 @ Vags Boltfelag W 3-246.0 1191 902 52.76% 28.68% 18.56%+0.91 +13.5 14
1993-08-15 B68 Toftir W 2-033.3 1125 1134 52.29% 29.29% 18.42%+0.43 +28.7 15
1993-08-15 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-233.3 1134 1125 18.42% 29.29% 52.29%-0.43 -28.7 14
1993-08-15 Vags Boltfelag W 4-132.2 1022 888 63.03% 28.30% 8.66%+1.11 +18.7 10
1993-08-15 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-432.2 888 1022 8.66% 28.30% 63.03%-1.11 -18.7 3
1993-08-15 KI Klaksvik L 1-340.2 990 1215 25.34% 29.12% 45.54%-0.60 -31.5 8
1993-08-15 @ LIF Leirvik W 3-140.2 1215 990 45.54% 29.12% 25.34%+0.60 +31.5 13
1993-08-15 B36 Torshavn L 0-241.4 927 999 45.50% 29.45% 25.06%+0.13 -56.5 6
1993-08-15 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-041.4 999 927 25.06% 29.45% 45.50%-0.13 +56.5 11
1993-08-22 Fuglafjordur W 3-137.4 1055 1040 54.55% 29.18% 16.27%+0.54 +22.5 13
1993-08-22 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-337.4 1040 1055 16.27% 29.18% 54.55%-0.54 -22.5 10
1993-08-22 TB Tvoroyri D 1-151.8 1105 871 67.78% 27.15% 5.07%+1.59 -10.2 15
1993-08-22 @ B68 Toftir D 1-151.8 871 1105 5.07% 27.15% 67.78%-1.59 +10.2 7
1993-08-22 LIF Leirvik W 2-136.7 1205 959 68.22% 27.00% 4.78%+1.65 +4.4 16
1993-08-22 @ GI Gota L 1-236.7 959 1205 4.78% 27.00% 68.22%-1.65 -4.3 8
1993-08-22 B71 Sandoy D 1-151.6 1247 1154 60.56% 28.67% 10.78%+0.92 -7.6 14
1993-08-22 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-151.6 1154 1247 10.78% 28.67% 60.56%-0.92 +7.6 16
1993-08-22 HB Torshavn W 2-152.4 869 1188 16.04% 28.43% 55.53%-1.05 +33.7 5
1993-08-22 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-252.4 1188 869 55.53% 28.43% 16.04%+1.05 -33.7 14
1993-08-25 GI Gota D 1-151.3 1154 1209 47.46% 29.42% 23.12%+0.21 -3.4 15
1993-08-25 @ HB Torshavn D 1-151.3 1209 1154 23.12% 29.42% 47.46%-0.21 +3.3 17
1993-08-28 B68 Toftir W 1-039.1 1018 1095 44.81% 29.45% 25.74%+0.10 +19.6 12
1993-08-28 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-139.1 1095 1018 25.74% 29.45% 44.81%-0.10 -19.6 15
1993-08-29 Vags Boltfelag W 2-029.3 1078 903 65.17% 27.87% 6.95%+1.31 +12.5 15
1993-08-29 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-229.3 903 1078 6.95% 27.87% 65.17%-1.31 -12.5 5
1993-08-29 GI Gota D 1-151.3 1161 1212 47.89% 29.41% 22.70%+0.23 -3.5 17
1993-08-29 @ B71 Sandoy D 1-151.3 1212 1161 22.70% 29.41% 47.89%-0.23 +3.5 18
1993-08-29 HB Torshavn D 1-151.2 954 1151 28.83% 29.26% 41.91%-0.46 +1.7 9
1993-08-29 @ LIF Leirvik D 1-151.2 1151 954 41.91% 29.26% 28.83%+0.46 -1.7 16
1993-08-29 KI Klaksvik D 1-151.6 881 1239 13.11% 28.04% 58.84%-1.24 +6.9 8
1993-08-29 @ TB Tvoroyri D 1-151.6 1239 881 58.84% 28.04% 13.11%+1.24 -6.8 15
1993-09-05 B36 Torshavn D 0-047.3 1076 1090 51.72% 29.31% 18.97%+0.40 -5.2 16
1993-09-05 @ B68 Toftir D 0-047.3 1090 1076 18.97% 29.31% 51.72%-0.40 +5.2 16
1993-09-05 TB Tvoroyri W 2-027.6 1216 888 71.08% 25.80% 3.12%+2.04 +5.6 20
1993-09-05 @ GI Gota L 0-227.6 888 1216 3.12% 25.80% 71.08%-2.04 -5.6 8
1993-09-05 B71 Sandoy W 3-030.8 1149 1158 52.33% 29.29% 18.38%+0.43 +41.6 18
1993-09-05 @ HB Torshavn L 0-330.8 1158 1149 18.38% 29.29% 52.33%-0.43 -41.6 17
1993-09-05 Fuglafjordur W 2-137.4 1232 1038 66.09% 27.65% 6.26%+1.40 +5.6 17
1993-09-05 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-237.4 1038 1232 6.26% 27.65% 66.09%-1.40 -5.6 12
1993-09-05 LIF Leirvik D 1-151.1 891 956 46.20% 29.44% 24.36%+0.16 -3.0 6
1993-09-05 @ Vags Boltfelag D 1-151.1 956 891 24.36% 29.44% 46.20%-0.16 +3.0 10
1993-09-12 KI Klaksvik L 0-142.4 1096 1238 36.23% 29.42% 34.35%-0.21 -25.1 16
1993-09-12 @ B36 Torshavn W 1-042.4 1238 1096 34.35% 29.42% 36.23%+0.21 +25.1 19
1993-09-12 Vags Boltfelag L 1-351.8 1070 888 65.54% 27.79% 6.67%+1.35 -70.0 16
1993-09-12 @ B68 Toftir W 3-151.8 888 1070 6.67% 27.79% 65.54%-1.35 +70.0 8
1993-09-12 LIF Leirvik W 2-029.6 1116 959 64.28% 28.07% 7.65%+1.22 +13.6 19
1993-09-12 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-229.6 959 1116 7.65% 28.07% 64.28%-1.22 -13.6 10
1993-09-12 GI Gota L 0-236.6 1032 1221 29.72% 29.29% 41.00%-0.43 -41.0 12
1993-09-12 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-036.6 1221 1032 41.00% 29.29% 29.72%+0.43 +41.0 22
1993-09-12 HB Torshavn L 2-537.7 882 1191 16.88% 28.52% 54.60%-1.00 -28.0 8
1993-09-12 @ TB Tvoroyri W 5-237.7 1191 882 54.60% 28.52% 16.88%+1.00 +28.1 20
1993-09-19 B36 Torshavn W 2-137.5 1262 1071 65.96% 27.68% 6.36%+1.39 +5.7 24
1993-09-19 @ GI Gota L 1-237.5 1071 1262 6.36% 27.68% 65.96%-1.39 -5.7 16
1993-09-19 Fuglafjordur W 4-130.9 1219 991 67.51% 27.24% 5.25%+1.56 +11.7 22
1993-09-19 @ HB Torshavn L 1-430.9 991 1219 5.25% 27.24% 67.51%-1.56 -11.7 12
1993-09-19 B68 Toftir W 1-032.0 1263 1000 68.85% 26.77% 4.38%+1.73 +4.2 21
1993-09-19 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-132.0 1000 1263 4.38% 26.77% 68.85%-1.73 -4.2 16
1993-09-19 TB Tvoroyri L 0-245.6 946 854 60.45% 28.68% 10.87%+0.91 -74.2 10
1993-09-19 @ LIF Leirvik W 2-045.6 854 946 10.87% 28.68% 60.45%-0.91 +74.2 10
1993-09-19 B71 Sandoy L 0-141.0 958 1130 32.01% 29.35% 38.65%-0.35 -22.9 8
1993-09-19 @ Vags Boltfelag W 1-041.0 1130 958 38.65% 29.35% 32.01%+0.35 +22.9 21
1993-09-26 HB Torshavn D 1-151.3 1065 1230 32.93% 29.37% 37.71%-0.32 +0.6 17
1993-09-26 @ B36 Torshavn D 1-151.3 1230 1065 37.71% 29.37% 32.93%+0.32 -0.6 23
1993-09-26 GI Gota L 0-137.4 996 1268 20.24% 28.82% 50.95%-0.83 -16.2 16
1993-09-26 @ B68 Toftir W 1-037.4 1268 996 50.95% 28.82% 20.24%+0.83 +16.2 26
1993-09-26 LIF Leirvik D 3-360.2 979 871 61.50% 28.54% 9.95%+0.99 -5.0 13
1993-09-26 @ Fuglafjordur D 3-360.2 871 979 9.95% 28.54% 61.50%-0.99 +5.0 11
1993-09-26 Vags Boltfelag W 1-031.2 1267 935 71.23% 25.73% 3.04%+2.06 +2.9 23
1993-09-26 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-131.2 935 1267 3.04% 25.73% 71.23%-2.06 -2.9 8
1993-09-26 B71 Sandoy W 1-045.0 928 1153 25.39% 29.12% 45.49%-0.60 +29.9 12
1993-09-26 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-145.0 1153 928 45.49% 29.12% 25.39%+0.60 -29.9 21
1993-10-03 Fuglafjordur W 4-238.6 1123 974 63.84% 28.16% 8.01%+1.18 +11.0 23
1993-10-03 @ B71 Sandoy L 2-438.6 974 1123 8.01% 28.16% 63.84%-1.18 -11.0 13
1993-10-03 KI Klaksvik W 3-138.1 1284 1270 54.49% 29.18% 16.33%+0.54 +22.6 28
1993-10-03 @ GI Gota L 1-338.1 1270 1284 16.33% 29.18% 54.49%-0.54 -22.6 23
1993-10-03 B68 Toftir W 5-445.8 1230 980 68.38% 26.94% 4.68%+1.67 +3.9 25
1993-10-03 @ HB Torshavn L 4-545.8 980 1230 4.68% 26.94% 68.38%-1.67 -3.9 16
1993-10-03 B36 Torshavn D 3-360.0 876 1066 29.75% 29.29% 40.96%-0.43 +0.9 12
1993-10-03 @ LIF Leirvik D 3-360.0 1066 876 40.96% 29.29% 29.75%+0.43 -0.9 18
1993-10-03 TB Tvoroyri L 0-340.4 932 958 50.54% 29.35% 20.12%+0.35 -90.1 8
1993-10-03 @ Vags Boltfelag W 3-040.4 958 932 20.12% 29.35% 50.54%-0.35 +90.1 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1993-09-12 6.67% Vags Boltfelag 888 3 @ B68 Toftir 1070 1
2 1993-06-13 8.65% KI Klaksvik 1077 3 @ B68 Toftir 1211 0
3 1993-09-19 10.87% TB Tvoroyri 854 2 @ LIF Leirvik 946 0
4 1993-06-13 12.91% LIF Leirvik 980 4 @ TB Tvoroyri 1039 1
5 1993-08-22 16.04% @ Vags Boltfelag 869 2 HB Torshavn 1188 1
6 1993-08-08 17.09% B71 Sandoy 1059 2 @ B36 Torshavn 1065 0
7 1993-05-09 19.72% B36 Torshavn 1033 1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1010 0
8 1993-10-03 20.12% TB Tvoroyri 958 3 @ Vags Boltfelag 932 0
9 1993-04-12 20.90% B68 Toftir 1101 4 @ LIF Leirvik 1067 3
10 1993-08-15 25.06% B36 Torshavn 999 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 927 0
11 1993-09-26 25.39% @ TB Tvoroyri 928 1 B71 Sandoy 1153 0
12 1993-06-13 27.12% GI Gota 1160 2 @ B36 Torshavn 1071 0
13 1993-06-13 33.19% HB Torshavn 1166 2 @ Fuglafjordur 1032 1
14 1993-05-16 33.53% @ B71 Sandoy 1020 2 HB Torshavn 1181 1
15 1993-09-12 34.35% KI Klaksvik 1238 1 @ B36 Torshavn 1096 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-06-13 112.63 KI Klaksvik 3 1077 8.65% @ B68 Toftir 0 1211 63.04% 28.30%
2 1993-10-03 90.14 TB Tvoroyri 3 958 20.12% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 932 50.54% 29.35%
3 1993-06-13 87.25 LIF Leirvik 4 980 12.91% @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1039 58.17% 28.92%
4 1993-09-19 74.16 TB Tvoroyri 2 854 10.87% @ LIF Leirvik 0 946 60.45% 28.68%
5 1993-09-12 69.97 Vags Boltfelag 3 888 6.67% @ B68 Toftir 1 1070 65.54% 27.79%
6 1993-08-08 65.72 B71 Sandoy 2 1059 17.09% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1065 53.68% 29.23%
7 1993-04-12 58.80 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1020 41.40% Fuglafjordur 0 1124 29.13% 29.46%
8 1993-08-15 56.53 B36 Torshavn 2 999 25.06% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 927 45.50% 29.45%
9 1993-06-13 54.36 GI Gota 2 1160 27.12% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1071 43.42% 29.46%
10 1993-05-09 47.81 @ HB Torshavn 7 1133 63.33% LIF Leirvik 0 994 8.42% 28.25%
11 1993-04-18 43.24 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1085 57.18% LIF Leirvik 0 1039 13.81% 29.00%
12 1993-09-05 41.62 @ HB Torshavn 3 1149 52.33% B71 Sandoy 0 1158 18.38% 29.29%
13 1993-09-12 40.98 GI Gota 2 1221 41.00% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1032 29.72% 29.29%
14 1993-06-27 38.69 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1026 49.78% LIF Leirvik 1 1060 20.85% 29.37%
15 1993-04-18 35.62 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1012 46.10% TB Tvoroyri 0 1078 24.46% 29.44%
16 1993-08-22 33.72 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 869 16.04% HB Torshavn 1 1188 55.53% 28.43%
17 1993-04-17 33.27 @ B68 Toftir 5 1130 58.57% B71 Sandoy 1 1065 12.55% 28.88%
18 1993-05-09 33.16 B36 Torshavn 1 1033 19.72% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1010 50.94% 29.34%
19 1993-04-12 32.60 @ HB Torshavn 2 1076 48.87% KI Klaksvik 0 1118 21.73% 29.39%
20 1993-05-09 31.79 @ GI Gota 3 1107 57.90% B71 Sandoy 0 1052 13.15% 28.95%
21 1993-08-15 31.52 KI Klaksvik 3 1215 45.54% @ LIF Leirvik 1 990 25.34% 29.12%
22 1993-04-18 30.82 @ Vags Boltfelag 3 999 46.13% Fuglafjordur 1 1065 24.43% 29.44%
23 1993-08-08 30.69 @ B68 Toftir 5 1103 59.84% LIF Leirvik 1 1021 11.41% 28.75%
24 1993-09-26 29.89 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 928 25.39% B71 Sandoy 0 1153 45.49% 29.12%
25 1993-05-31 28.72 B68 Toftir 4 1182 44.88% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 962 25.97% 29.15%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-09-26 60.2 @ Fuglafjordur 3 979 61.50% LIF Leirvik 3 871 9.95% 28.54%
2 1993-10-03 60.0 @ LIF Leirvik 3 876 29.75% B36 Torshavn 3 1066 40.96% 29.29%
3 1993-04-12 58.6 B68 Toftir 4 1101 20.90% @ LIF Leirvik 3 1067 49.73% 29.37%
4 1993-08-08 56.4 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1220 56.39% HB Torshavn 2 1183 14.54% 29.06%
5 1993-05-02 56.1 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1043 39.27% B68 Toftir 2 1163 31.28% 29.45%
6 1993-06-27 56.1 @ Fuglafjordur 2 1015 48.97% B71 Sandoy 2 1056 21.64% 29.39%
7 1993-08-22 52.4 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 869 16.04% HB Torshavn 1 1188 55.53% 28.43%
8 1993-08-22 51.8 @ B68 Toftir 1 1105 67.78% TB Tvoroyri 1 871 5.07% 27.15%
9 1993-09-12 51.8 Vags Boltfelag 3 888 6.67% @ B68 Toftir 1 1070 65.54% 27.79%
10 1993-06-20 51.6 @ HB Torshavn 1 1190 65.08% B36 Torshavn 1 1017 7.02% 27.90%
11 1993-08-22 51.6 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1247 60.56% B71 Sandoy 1 1154 10.78% 28.67%
12 1993-08-29 51.6 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 881 13.11% KI Klaksvik 1 1239 58.84% 28.04%
13 1993-06-20 51.5 @ GI Gota 1 1214 62.00% B68 Toftir 1 1098 9.53% 28.47%
14 1993-06-23 51.3 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 943 57.35% Vags Boltfelag 1 895 13.66% 28.99%
15 1993-08-25 51.3 @ HB Torshavn 1 1154 47.46% GI Gota 1 1209 23.12% 29.42%
16 1993-08-29 51.3 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1161 47.89% GI Gota 1 1212 22.70% 29.41%
17 1993-09-26 51.3 @ B36 Torshavn 1 1065 32.93% HB Torshavn 1 1230 37.71% 29.37%
18 1993-05-16 51.2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1050 43.32% GI Gota 1 1139 27.22% 29.46%
19 1993-06-27 51.2 @ B68 Toftir 1 1106 45.14% HB Torshavn 1 1181 25.41% 29.45%
20 1993-08-29 51.2 @ LIF Leirvik 1 954 28.83% HB Torshavn 1 1151 41.91% 29.26%
21 1993-05-02 51.1 @ LIF Leirvik 1 996 40.60% GI Gota 1 1106 29.94% 29.46%
22 1993-09-05 51.1 @ Vags Boltfelag 1 891 46.20% LIF Leirvik 1 956 24.36% 29.44%
23 1993-05-09 47.5 @ KI Klaksvik 0 1109 58.73% TB Tvoroyri 0 1042 12.40% 28.87%
24 1993-04-18 47.4 @ GI Gota 0 1112 53.50% HB Torshavn 0 1108 17.27% 29.23%
25 1993-05-31 47.4 @ KI Klaksvik 0 1083 54.83% B36 Torshavn 0 1065 16.01% 29.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-09-05 27.6 @ GI Gota 2 1216 71.08% TB Tvoroyri 0 888 3.12% 25.80%
2 1993-04-18 28.6 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1085 57.18% LIF Leirvik 0 1039 13.81% 29.00%
3 1993-05-09 29.0 @ HB Torshavn 7 1133 63.33% LIF Leirvik 0 994 8.42% 28.25%
4 1993-05-09 29.1 @ GI Gota 3 1107 57.90% B71 Sandoy 0 1052 13.15% 28.95%
5 1993-08-29 29.3 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1078 65.17% Vags Boltfelag 0 903 6.95% 27.87%
6 1993-09-12 29.6 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1116 64.28% LIF Leirvik 0 959 7.65% 28.07%
7 1993-05-09 30.3 @ B68 Toftir 2 1164 61.94% Fuglafjordur 0 1049 9.58% 28.48%
8 1993-09-05 30.8 @ HB Torshavn 3 1149 52.33% B71 Sandoy 0 1158 18.38% 29.29%
9 1993-05-02 30.9 @ HB Torshavn 2 1114 59.99% Vags Boltfelag 0 1030 11.27% 28.74%
10 1993-09-19 30.9 @ HB Torshavn 4 1219 67.51% Fuglafjordur 1 991 5.25% 27.24%
11 1993-09-26 31.2 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1267 71.23% Vags Boltfelag 0 935 3.04% 25.73%
12 1993-08-08 31.7 @ B68 Toftir 5 1103 59.84% LIF Leirvik 1 1021 11.41% 28.75%
13 1993-09-19 32.0 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1263 68.85% B68 Toftir 0 1000 4.38% 26.77%
14 1993-04-17 32.1 @ B68 Toftir 5 1130 58.57% B71 Sandoy 1 1065 12.55% 28.88%
15 1993-08-15 32.2 @ Fuglafjordur 4 1022 63.03% Vags Boltfelag 1 888 8.66% 28.30%
16 1993-06-13 32.9 @ B71 Sandoy 4 1025 60.45% Vags Boltfelag 1 934 10.86% 28.68%
17 1993-08-15 33.3 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1125 52.29% B68 Toftir 0 1134 18.42% 29.29%
18 1993-04-12 34.1 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1020 41.40% Fuglafjordur 0 1124 29.13% 29.46%
19 1993-04-12 34.3 @ HB Torshavn 2 1076 48.87% KI Klaksvik 0 1118 21.73% 29.39%
20 1993-04-12 34.4 @ GI Gota 1 1102 60.58% Vags Boltfelag 0 1009 10.75% 28.67%
21 1993-04-18 35.1 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1012 46.10% TB Tvoroyri 0 1078 24.46% 29.44%
22 1993-04-12 35.9 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1052 55.60% B36 Torshavn 0 1025 15.28% 29.12%
23 1993-06-27 36.2 @ B36 Torshavn 4 1026 49.78% LIF Leirvik 1 1060 20.85% 29.37%
24 1993-09-12 36.6 GI Gota 2 1221 41.00% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1032 29.72% 29.29%
25 1993-08-22 36.7 @ GI Gota 2 1205 68.22% LIF Leirvik 1 959 4.78% 27.00%