Home / Leagues / Faroe Islands / 1. deild / 1994
‹ ›

1994 1. deild Season

90 games

Final

Champion

GI Gota

30 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1993.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HB Torshavn

6.29 points above expected

30 points · 23.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

EB-Streymur

10.23 points below expected

6 points · 16.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 GI Gota Champion 18 14 2 2 30 59 16 +43 25.17 +4.83
2 HB Torshavn 18 14 2 2 30 47 14 +33 23.71 +6.29
3 B71 Sandoy 18 10 4 4 24 31 12 +19 23.65 +0.35
4 KI Klaksvik 18 8 4 6 20 40 26 +14 19.47 +0.53
5 B68 Toftir 18 5 7 6 17 22 30 -8 14.85 +2.15
6 NSI Runavik 18 6 3 9 15 28 29 -1 13.70 +1.30
7 B36 Torshavn 18 5 5 8 15 24 34 -10 17.13 -2.13
8 TB Tvoroyri 18 6 2 10 14 32 49 -17 14.65 -0.65
9 Fuglafjordur 18 3 3 12 9 17 44 -27 11.44 -2.44
10 EB-Streymur 18 1 4 13 6 15 61 -46 16.23 -10.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HB Torshavn 30 23.71 +6.29
2 GI Gota 30 25.17 +4.83
3 B68 Toftir 17 14.85 +2.15
4 NSI Runavik 15 13.70 +1.30
5 KI Klaksvik 20 19.47 +0.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 EB-Streymur 6 16.23 -10.23
2 Fuglafjordur 9 11.44 -2.44
3 B36 Torshavn 15 17.13 -2.13
4 TB Tvoroyri 14 14.65 -0.65
5 B71 Sandoy 24 23.65 +0.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 7 May 8 – Jun 19 1 in 391
2 GI Gota 8 Jun 25 – Sep 18 1 in 34
3 NSI Runavik 2 Jun 5 – Jun 11 1 in 20
4 TB Tvoroyri 2 Aug 7 – Aug 14 1 in 17
5 B71 Sandoy 5 May 29 – Jun 26 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 EB-Streymur 7 Jun 25 – Sep 11 1 in 35
2 B36 Torshavn 3 May 29 – Jun 12 1 in 14
3 Fuglafjordur 6 Aug 14 – Sep 18 1 in 14
4 KI Klaksvik 2 Jun 5 – Jun 12 1 in 6
5 HB Torshavn 1 May 1 – May 1 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 9 May 8 – Aug 6 1 in 23
2 B68 Toftir 3 May 8 – May 23 1 in 11
3 B71 Sandoy 6 May 23 – Jun 26 1 in 9
4 KI Klaksvik 5 May 1 – May 29 1 in 8
5 B36 Torshavn 5 Apr 24 – May 23 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 EB-Streymur 16 Apr 24 – Sep 11 1 in 1,722
2 Fuglafjordur 12 Jun 5 – Sep 25 1 in 11
3 B36 Torshavn 5 May 23 – Jun 19 1 in 10
4 KI Klaksvik 3 Apr 24 – May 8 1 in 8
5 B71 Sandoy 3 May 8 – May 23 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn 1469 30 +80 10 7.9 +2.1
GI Gota 1509 30 +42 9 7.2 +1.8
B71 Sandoy 1319 24 -10 6 7.4 -1.4
KI Klaksvik 1404 20 +88 5 5.5 -0.5
B68 Toftir 1094 17 +30 6 4.4 +1.6
NSI Runavik 1100 15 -17 4 5.2 -1.2
B36 Torshavn 1040 15 -4 3 2.7 +0.3
TB Tvoroyri 1076 14 -110 4 4.0 +0.0
Fuglafjordur 969 9 -34 2 2.4 -0.4
EB-Streymur 916 6 -15 3 2.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT BT BS EB- FUG GG HT KK NR TT
B36 Torshavn —
0-1-1
3.42
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.18
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
2.43
B68 Toftir
1-1-0
2.15
 —
0-1-1
1.50
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
1.58
0-2-0
1.59
1-0-1
1.59
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.98
B71 Sandoy
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.09
 —
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
4.62
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.85
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
4.20
EB-Streymur
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
1.21
 —
0-1-1
3.68
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
3.49
Fuglafjordur
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
0.97
1-1-0
1.90
 —
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.19
GI Gota
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
4.01
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.61
 —
1-0-1
3.50
0-1-1
3.72
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
3.98
HB Torshavn
2-0-0
3.59
0-2-0
4.00
2-0-0
2.73
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.70
1-0-1
2.08
 —
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
4.48
2-0-0
4.59
KI Klaksvik
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
4.00
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
1.87
0-0-2
2.06
 —
0-1-1
4.09
2-0-0
3.39
NSI Runavik
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
1.11
1-1-0
1.50
 —
1-1-0
2.60
TB Tvoroyri
0-0-2
3.15
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
1.38
2-0-0
2.08
2-0-0
3.39
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.98
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +5.3
Allowed 0.83 -4.6
Differential 0.96 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%5.56%6.11%3.33%1.11%4.44%28.33%
15.56%6.67%6.11%2.22%3.33%1.67%25.56%
26.11%6.11%5.56%2.22%1.11%1.67%22.78%
33.33%2.22%2.22%——1.11%8.89%
41.11%3.33%1.11%———5.56%
5+4.44%1.67%1.67%1.11%——8.89%
Total28.33%25.56%22.78%8.89%5.56%8.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.83 1.83 2.86
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%38.89%
1—11.11%—5.56%——16.67%
25.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—5.56%33.33%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total22.22%27.78%16.67%16.67%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.89 -0.56
SD 1.53 1.64 2.57
CV 1.15 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.78%11.11%5.56%——5.56%50.00%
15.56%5.56%————11.11%
2——5.56%——5.56%11.11%
35.56%—11.11%——5.56%22.22%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%22.22%22.22%——16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.67 -0.44
SD 1.44 2.17 2.31
CV 1.18 1.30 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%————16.67%
111.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
222.22%——5.56%——27.78%
311.11%—————11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total55.56%27.78%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.67 +1.06
SD 1.36 0.91 1.63
CV 0.79 1.36 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%—11.11%5.56%11.11%44.44%
1—5.56%—5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
2—5.56%5.56%—11.11%5.56%27.78%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%5.56%16.67%27.78%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 3.39 -2.56
SD 0.86 2.45 2.50
CV 1.03 0.72 —
Max 2 9 +1
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%—5.56%38.89%
15.56%5.56%16.67%5.56%—11.11%44.44%
2——5.56%———5.56%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4——5.56%———5.56%
5+———————
Total11.11%22.22%38.89%11.11%—16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 2.44 -1.50
SD 1.11 2.18 2.55
CV 1.18 0.89 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
111.11%11.11%————22.22%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
3———————
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+16.67%—11.11%5.56%——33.33%
Total38.89%38.89%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.28 0.89 +2.39
SD 2.74 0.90 2.95
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—————5.56%
116.67%———11.11%—27.78%
211.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
311.11%5.56%————16.67%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+11.11%5.56%————16.67%
Total61.11%22.22%5.56%—11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.61 0.78 +1.83
SD 2.00 1.31 2.64
CV 0.77 1.68 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——16.67%5.56%——22.22%
1—11.11%11.11%———22.22%
211.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
3———————
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—5.56%5.56%——16.67%
Total22.22%22.22%44.44%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.22 1.44 +0.78
SD 2.32 0.98 2.65
CV 1.04 0.68 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
1——11.11%5.56%——16.67%
2—5.56%11.11%5.56%——22.22%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
4—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
5+———————
Total11.11%33.33%38.89%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.61 -0.06
SD 1.42 0.92 1.73
CV 0.92 0.57 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.56%——16.67%22.22%
15.56%5.56%11.11%—11.11%—33.33%
2—5.56%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
3——5.56%——5.56%11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total11.11%22.22%27.78%5.56%11.11%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 2.72 -0.94
SD 1.63 2.14 3.32
CV 0.92 0.78 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GI Gota 1509 30 25.17 +4.83 99.0% 18 20 23 25 27 30 31
HB Torshavn 1469 30 23.71 +6.29 98.0% 16 19 22 23 25 29 31
KI Klaksvik 1404 20 19.47 +0.53 62.0% 11 13 17 20 22 25 27
B71 Sandoy 1319 24 23.65 +0.35 58.0% 16 19 22 24 26 29 31
NSI Runavik 1100 15 13.70 +1.30 72.0% 7 9 12 13 16 18 24
B68 Toftir 1094 17 14.85 +2.15 80.0% 9 10 13 15 16 20 24
TB Tvoroyri 1076 14 14.65 -0.65 51.0% 8 9 12 14 17 20 22
B36 Torshavn 1040 15 17.13 -2.13 37.0% 10 12 15 17 20 22 27
Fuglafjordur 969 9 11.44 -2.44 27.0% 3 6 9 11 14 17 18
EB-Streymur 916 6 16.23 -10.23 0.0% 8 10 14 16 19 22 25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Strong Edge
51.11%20.00%28.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
137 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
078.52400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
GI Gota, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.58 * Some Luck: 2.58 to 3.87 * Lucky: 3.87 to 5.16 * Wild Swing: 5.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.6 * Off: 1.6 to 2.13 * Way Off: 2.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.30 points
Lucky
03.228
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.333
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
GI Gota
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
EB-Streymur
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 215.63
2.13
Strong Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
87%
Clear Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Some Drama
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.63
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.30
Weak Carryover
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.102
Well Within Noise
00.1610.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
GI Gota50.00%27.00%16.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%————
HB Torshavn23.00%28.00%32.00%12.00%4.00%—1.00%———
B71 Sandoy22.00%32.00%25.00%14.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%——
KI Klaksvik4.00%9.00%14.00%29.00%21.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%—1.00%
B68 Toftir—1.00%3.00%4.00%11.00%14.00%26.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%
NSI Runavik—1.00%—4.00%9.00%18.00%13.00%21.00%17.00%17.00%
B36 Torshavn1.00%1.00%5.00%19.00%13.00%21.00%17.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%
TB Tvoroyri———5.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%18.00%20.00%15.00%
Fuglafjordur————3.00%3.00%11.00%9.00%28.00%46.00%
EB-Streymur—1.00%5.00%8.00%21.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
B71 Sandoy 100% —
GI Gota 100% —
HB Torshavn 100% —
KI Klaksvik 99.00% 1.00%
B36 Torshavn 91.00% 9.00%
B68 Toftir 77.00% 23.00%
EB-Streymur 76.00% 24.00%
NSI Runavik 66.00% 34.00%
TB Tvoroyri 65.00% 35.00%
Fuglafjordur 26.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-04-24 NSI Runavik W 2-031.3 1158 977 69.54% 20.57% 9.89%+1.89 +12.0 2
1994-04-24 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-231.3 977 1158 9.89% 20.57% 69.54%-1.89 -12.0 0
1994-04-24 HB Torshavn D 2-257.2 1102 1269 32.58% 21.13% 46.29%-0.65 +1.1 1
1994-04-24 @ B68 Toftir D 2-257.2 1269 1102 46.29% 21.13% 32.58%+0.65 -1.1 1
1994-04-24 EB-Streymur W 4-254.8 1084 1370 19.23% 20.80% 59.97%-1.51 +44.2 2
1994-04-24 @ Fuglafjordur L 2-454.8 1370 1084 59.97% 20.80% 19.23%+1.51 -44.2 0
1994-04-24 B71 Sandoy L 0-247.5 1278 1198 62.49% 20.97% 16.55%+1.16 -59.7 0
1994-04-24 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-047.5 1198 1278 16.55% 20.97% 62.49%-1.16 +59.7 2
1994-04-24 GI Gota L 3-549.1 1145 1317 31.96% 21.13% 46.91%-0.68 -24.4 0
1994-04-24 @ TB Tvoroyri W 5-349.1 1317 1145 46.91% 21.13% 31.96%+0.68 +24.4 2
1994-05-01 Fuglafjordur W 2-140.4 1170 1128 58.94% 21.07% 19.99%+0.87 +11.3 4
1994-05-01 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-240.4 1128 1170 19.99% 21.07% 58.94%-0.87 -11.3 2
1994-05-01 TB Tvoroyri W 4-134.8 1257 1120 66.82% 20.77% 12.41%+1.57 +18.1 4
1994-05-01 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-434.8 1120 1257 12.41% 20.77% 66.82%-1.57 -18.1 0
1994-05-01 KI Klaksvik D 2-257.8 1326 1218 64.72% 20.88% 14.41%+1.36 -4.6 1
1994-05-01 @ EB-Streymur D 2-257.8 1218 1326 14.41% 20.88% 64.72%-1.36 +4.6 1
1994-05-01 B68 Toftir W 5-236.5 1341 1103 72.42% 20.27% 7.31%+2.31 +9.5 4
1994-05-01 @ GI Gota L 2-536.5 1103 1341 7.31% 20.27% 72.42%-2.31 -9.5 1
1994-05-01 HB Torshavn W 4-149.4 965 1268 17.73% 20.73% 61.54%-1.64 +71.7 2
1994-05-01 @ NSI Runavik L 1-449.4 1268 965 61.54% 20.73% 17.73%+1.64 -71.8 1
1994-05-08 B71 Sandoy D 0-049.7 1093 1276 30.62% 21.11% 48.27%-0.76 +2.2 2
1994-05-08 @ B68 Toftir D 0-049.7 1276 1093 48.27% 21.11% 30.62%+0.76 -2.2 5
1994-05-08 NSI Runavik W 3-137.7 1117 1037 62.53% 20.97% 16.50%+1.16 +16.5 4
1994-05-08 @ Fuglafjordur L 1-337.7 1037 1117 16.50% 20.97% 62.53%-1.16 -16.5 2
1994-05-08 GI Gota W 1-044.4 1196 1350 34.26% 21.15% 44.58%-0.55 +23.1 3
1994-05-08 @ HB Torshavn L 0-144.4 1350 1196 44.58% 21.15% 34.26%+0.55 -23.1 4
1994-05-08 B36 Torshavn D 1-153.0 1223 1181 59.00% 21.07% 19.93%+0.88 -4.6 2
1994-05-08 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-153.0 1181 1223 19.93% 21.07% 59.00%-0.88 +4.6 5
1994-05-08 EB-Streymur W 4-147.1 1102 1321 26.15% 21.02% 52.84%-1.03 +61.9 2
1994-05-08 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-447.1 1321 1102 52.84% 21.02% 26.15%+1.03 -61.9 1
1994-05-15 TB Tvoroyri W 6-031.6 1186 1164 56.94% 21.11% 21.94%+0.73 +67.8 7
1994-05-15 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-631.6 1164 1186 21.94% 21.11% 56.94%-0.73 -67.8 2
1994-05-15 HB Torshavn L 1-252.7 1273 1219 60.19% 21.04% 18.77%+0.97 -28.7 5
1994-05-15 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-152.7 1219 1273 18.77% 21.04% 60.19%-0.97 +28.7 5
1994-05-15 B68 Toftir D 0-049.8 1259 1095 68.55% 20.65% 10.80%+1.77 -8.1 2
1994-05-15 @ EB-Streymur D 0-049.8 1095 1259 10.80% 20.65% 68.55%-1.77 +8.1 3
1994-05-15 KI Klaksvik L 1-247.7 1134 1218 44.09% 21.21% 34.71%-0.04 -21.6 4
1994-05-15 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-147.7 1218 1134 34.71% 21.21% 44.09%+0.04 +21.6 4
1994-05-15 GI Gota L 0-135.6 1020 1327 17.35% 20.71% 61.94%-1.67 -10.5 2
1994-05-15 @ NSI Runavik W 1-035.6 1327 1020 61.94% 20.71% 17.35%+1.67 +10.5 6
1994-05-23 B36 Torshavn D 0-049.7 1103 1253 34.90% 21.16% 43.94%-0.52 +1.1 4
1994-05-23 @ B68 Toftir D 0-049.7 1253 1103 43.94% 21.16% 34.90%+0.52 -1.1 8
1994-05-23 B71 Sandoy D 1-153.7 1338 1245 63.58% 20.93% 15.49%+1.25 -5.9 7
1994-05-23 @ GI Gota D 1-153.7 1245 1338 15.49% 20.93% 63.58%-1.25 +5.9 6
1994-05-23 EB-Streymur W 4-033.5 1248 1251 54.22% 21.16% 24.63%+0.55 +51.0 7
1994-05-23 @ HB Torshavn L 0-433.5 1251 1248 24.63% 21.16% 54.22%-0.55 -51.0 2
1994-05-23 NSI Runavik D 2-257.4 1240 1010 72.05% 20.32% 7.63%+2.25 -6.1 5
1994-05-23 @ KI Klaksvik D 2-257.4 1010 1240 7.63% 20.32% 72.05%-2.25 +6.1 3
1994-05-24 Fuglafjordur W 5-137.4 1096 1112 52.83% 21.17% 26.00%+0.46 +44.5 4
1994-05-24 @ TB Tvoroyri L 1-537.4 1112 1096 26.00% 21.17% 52.83%-0.46 -44.5 4
1994-05-29 HB Torshavn L 1-348.1 1252 1299 49.08% 21.20% 29.72%+0.23 -41.0 8
1994-05-29 @ B36 Torshavn W 3-148.1 1299 1252 29.72% 21.20% 49.08%-0.23 +41.0 9
1994-05-29 GI Gota L 0-142.2 1200 1332 37.42% 21.18% 41.39%-0.39 -20.0 2
1994-05-29 @ EB-Streymur W 1-042.2 1332 1200 41.39% 21.18% 37.42%+0.39 +20.0 9
1994-05-29 B68 Toftir W 1-039.0 1068 1105 50.28% 21.19% 28.53%+0.30 +16.1 6
1994-05-29 @ Fuglafjordur L 0-139.0 1105 1068 28.53% 21.19% 50.28%-0.30 -16.1 4
1994-05-29 TB Tvoroyri W 2-139.1 1234 1141 63.53% 20.93% 15.54%+1.25 +9.0 7
1994-05-29 @ KI Klaksvik L 1-239.1 1141 1234 15.54% 20.93% 63.53%-1.25 -9.0 4
1994-05-29 B71 Sandoy L 0-137.7 1016 1250 24.40% 20.98% 54.63%-1.14 -14.1 3
1994-05-29 @ NSI Runavik W 1-037.7 1250 1016 54.63% 20.98% 24.40%+1.14 +14.1 8
1994-06-05 KI Klaksvik W 3-040.3 1088 1243 34.32% 21.15% 44.52%-0.55 +63.2 6
1994-06-05 @ B68 Toftir L 0-340.3 1243 1088 44.52% 21.15% 34.32%+0.55 -63.2 7
1994-06-05 EB-Streymur W 5-134.6 1265 1180 62.83% 20.96% 16.21%+1.19 +29.7 10
1994-06-05 @ B71 Sandoy L 1-534.6 1180 1265 16.21% 20.96% 62.83%-1.19 -29.7 2
1994-06-05 B36 Torshavn W 2-032.7 1352 1211 67.07% 20.75% 12.18%+1.60 +14.5 11
1994-06-05 @ GI Gota L 0-232.7 1211 1352 12.18% 20.75% 67.07%-1.60 -14.5 8
1994-06-05 Fuglafjordur W 1-032.4 1340 1084 73.18% 20.17% 6.65%+2.44 +4.4 11
1994-06-05 @ HB Torshavn L 0-132.4 1084 1340 6.65% 20.17% 73.18%-2.44 -4.3 6
1994-06-05 NSI Runavik L 2-358.4 1132 1002 66.35% 20.79% 12.86%+1.52 -30.1 4
1994-06-05 @ TB Tvoroyri W 3-258.4 1002 1132 12.86% 20.79% 66.35%-1.52 +30.1 5
1994-06-11 EB-Streymur W 4-248.5 1032 1151 39.24% 21.19% 39.56%-0.29 +30.6 7
1994-06-11 @ NSI Runavik L 2-448.5 1151 1032 39.56% 21.19% 39.24%+0.29 -30.6 2
1994-06-12 B71 Sandoy L 0-241.6 1197 1294 42.28% 21.21% 36.51%-0.14 -41.7 8
1994-06-12 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-041.6 1294 1197 36.51% 21.21% 42.28%+0.14 +41.7 12
1994-06-12 GI Gota L 0-234.4 1079 1367 19.11% 20.79% 60.09%-1.52 -21.6 6
1994-06-12 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-034.4 1367 1079 60.09% 20.79% 19.11%+1.52 +21.6 13
1994-06-12 HB Torshavn L 0-238.9 1179 1344 32.91% 21.14% 45.95%-0.63 -34.1 7
1994-06-12 @ KI Klaksvik W 2-038.9 1344 1179 45.95% 21.14% 32.91%+0.63 +34.1 13
1994-06-12 B68 Toftir W 1-039.5 1102 1152 48.65% 21.20% 30.15%+0.21 +16.9 6
1994-06-12 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-139.5 1152 1102 30.15% 21.20% 48.65%-0.21 -16.9 6
1994-06-19 NSI Runavik W 3-243.7 1135 1062 61.83% 20.99% 17.18%+1.10 +9.4 8
1994-06-19 @ B68 Toftir L 2-343.7 1062 1135 17.18% 20.99% 61.83%-1.10 -9.4 7
1994-06-19 Fuglafjordur W 3-028.4 1336 1058 74.06% 20.03% 5.92%+2.60 +10.6 14
1994-06-19 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-328.4 1058 1336 5.92% 20.03% 74.06%-2.60 -10.6 6
1994-06-19 B36 Torshavn D 1-152.9 1120 1155 50.51% 21.19% 28.29%+0.32 -2.5 3
1994-06-19 @ EB-Streymur D 1-152.9 1155 1120 28.29% 21.19% 50.51%-0.32 +2.5 9
1994-06-19 KI Klaksvik L 0-250.6 1388 1145 72.62% 20.24% 7.14%+2.34 -70.0 13
1994-06-19 @ GI Gota W 2-050.6 1145 1388 7.14% 20.24% 72.62%-2.34 +70.0 9
1994-06-19 TB Tvoroyri W 7-027.1 1378 1119 73.33% 20.14% 6.53%+2.47 +25.9 15
1994-06-19 @ HB Torshavn L 0-727.1 1119 1378 6.53% 20.14% 73.33%-2.47 -25.9 6
1994-06-25 EB-Streymur W 3-138.8 1158 1118 58.83% 21.07% 20.10%+0.86 +19.6 11
1994-06-25 @ B36 Torshavn L 1-338.8 1118 1158 20.10% 21.07% 58.83%-0.86 -19.6 3
1994-06-25 TB Tvoroyri W 4-133.4 1318 1093 71.83% 20.34% 7.82%+2.22 +11.7 15
1994-06-25 @ GI Gota L 1-433.4 1093 1318 7.82% 20.34% 71.83%-2.22 -11.8 6
1994-06-26 KI Klaksvik W 2-032.9 1347 1215 66.41% 20.79% 12.80%+1.53 +15.2 16
1994-06-26 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-232.9 1215 1347 12.80% 20.79% 66.41%-1.53 -15.2 9
1994-06-26 B68 Toftir D 0-050.5 1404 1144 73.34% 20.14% 6.51%+2.47 -9.6 16
1994-06-26 @ HB Torshavn D 0-050.5 1144 1404 6.51% 20.14% 73.34%-2.47 +9.6 9
1994-06-26 B36 Torshavn W 3-039.0 1053 1177 38.49% 21.19% 40.33%-0.33 +58.3 9
1994-06-26 @ NSI Runavik L 0-339.0 1177 1053 40.33% 21.19% 38.49%+0.33 -58.3 11
1994-08-06 GI Gota L 0-734.9 1154 1330 31.41% 21.12% 47.47%-0.71 -105.5 9
1994-08-06 @ B68 Toftir W 7-034.9 1330 1154 47.47% 21.12% 31.41%+0.71 +105.5 17
1994-08-06 NSI Runavik W 3-028.6 1395 1111 74.25% 20.00% 5.75%+2.64 +10.3 18
1994-08-06 @ HB Torshavn L 0-328.6 1111 1395 5.75% 20.00% 74.25%-2.64 -10.3 9
1994-08-07 B36 Torshavn D 2-257.1 1047 1119 45.80% 21.21% 32.99%+0.05 -1.1 7
1994-08-07 @ Fuglafjordur D 2-257.1 1119 1047 32.99% 21.21% 45.80%-0.05 +1.1 12
1994-08-07 EB-Streymur W 8-233.3 1200 1098 64.29% 20.90% 14.82%+1.32 +32.9 11
1994-08-07 @ KI Klaksvik L 2-833.3 1098 1200 14.82% 20.90% 64.29%-1.32 -32.9 3
1994-08-07 B71 Sandoy W 3-256.6 1081 1362 19.71% 20.82% 59.47%-1.47 +26.9 8
1994-08-07 @ TB Tvoroyri L 2-356.6 1362 1081 59.47% 20.82% 19.71%+1.47 -26.9 16
1994-08-14 KI Klaksvik L 0-437.8 1120 1233 40.08% 21.20% 38.72%-0.25 -75.8 12
1994-08-14 @ B36 Torshavn W 4-037.8 1233 1120 38.72% 21.20% 40.08%+0.25 +75.8 13
1994-08-14 B68 Toftir W 2-030.0 1335 1048 74.38% 19.97% 5.65%+2.66 +7.0 18
1994-08-14 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-230.0 1048 1335 5.65% 19.97% 74.38%-2.66 -7.0 9
1994-08-14 TB Tvoroyri L 0-539.9 1065 1108 49.56% 21.20% 29.25%+0.26 -111.7 3
1994-08-14 @ EB-Streymur W 5-039.9 1108 1065 29.25% 21.20% 49.56%-0.26 +111.7 10
1994-08-14 HB Torshavn W 4-142.0 1435 1405 57.89% 21.09% 21.02%+0.80 +28.8 19
1994-08-14 @ GI Gota L 1-442.0 1405 1435 21.02% 21.09% 57.89%-0.80 -28.8 18
1994-08-14 Fuglafjordur W 3-138.4 1101 1046 60.23% 21.04% 18.73%+0.97 +18.4 11
1994-08-14 @ NSI Runavik L 1-338.4 1046 1101 18.73% 21.04% 60.23%-0.97 -18.4 7
1994-08-20 NSI Runavik W 2-135.9 1464 1119 76.30% 19.57% 4.13%+3.09 +2.6 21
1994-08-20 @ GI Gota L 1-235.9 1119 1464 4.13% 19.57% 76.30%-3.09 -2.6 11
1994-08-20 B71 Sandoy W 1-038.7 1376 1342 58.25% 21.09% 20.66%+0.82 +12.3 20
1994-08-20 @ HB Torshavn L 0-138.7 1342 1376 20.66% 21.09% 58.25%-0.82 -12.3 18
1994-08-21 EB-Streymur W 4-135.8 1041 953 63.13% 20.94% 15.92%+1.21 +22.6 11
1994-08-21 @ B68 Toftir L 1-435.8 953 1041 15.92% 20.94% 63.13%-1.21 -22.6 3
1994-08-21 Fuglafjordur W 2-030.0 1309 1028 74.17% 20.01% 5.82%+2.62 +7.2 15
1994-08-21 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-230.0 1028 1309 5.82% 20.01% 74.17%-2.62 -7.2 7
1994-08-21 B36 Torshavn L 1-255.0 1220 1044 69.21% 20.60% 10.19%+1.85 -33.2 10
1994-08-21 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-155.0 1044 1220 10.19% 20.60% 69.21%-1.85 +33.2 14
1994-08-28 B68 Toftir L 2-355.4 1077 1064 56.12% 21.13% 22.76%+0.67 -25.4 14
1994-08-28 @ B36 Torshavn W 3-255.4 1064 1077 22.76% 21.13% 56.12%-0.67 +25.4 13
1994-08-28 GI Gota L 1-248.9 1330 1467 36.64% 21.18% 42.19%-0.43 -18.6 18
1994-08-28 @ B71 Sandoy W 2-148.9 1467 1330 42.19% 21.18% 36.64%+0.43 +18.6 23
1994-08-28 HB Torshavn L 0-328.9 931 1388 8.07% 19.88% 72.05%-2.76 -14.2 3
1994-08-28 @ EB-Streymur W 3-028.9 1388 931 72.05% 19.88% 8.07%+2.76 +14.2 22
1994-08-28 TB Tvoroyri L 1-244.2 1020 1186 32.77% 21.14% 46.09%-0.64 -17.0 7
1994-08-28 @ Fuglafjordur W 2-144.2 1186 1020 46.09% 21.14% 32.77%+0.64 +17.0 12
1994-08-28 KI Klaksvik W 2-149.7 1117 1316 28.51% 21.07% 50.42%-0.88 +24.2 13
1994-08-28 @ NSI Runavik L 1-249.7 1316 1117 50.42% 21.07% 28.51%+0.88 -24.2 15
1994-09-03 Fuglafjordur W 1-035.2 1089 1004 62.96% 20.95% 16.09%+1.20 +9.9 15
1994-09-03 @ B68 Toftir L 0-135.2 1004 1089 16.09% 20.95% 62.96%-1.20 -9.9 7
1994-09-03 NSI Runavik W 1-033.7 1311 1141 68.90% 20.62% 10.47%+1.81 +6.7 20
1994-09-03 @ B71 Sandoy L 0-133.7 1141 1311 10.47% 20.62% 68.90%-1.81 -6.7 13
1994-09-03 EB-Streymur W 9-025.1 1485 917 81.14% 17.63% 1.23%+4.72 +6.1 25
1994-09-03 @ GI Gota L 0-925.1 917 1485 1.23% 17.63% 81.14%-4.72 -6.1 3
1994-09-03 B36 Torshavn W 5-026.1 1403 1052 76.46% 19.53% 4.01%+3.13 +11.7 24
1994-09-03 @ HB Torshavn L 0-526.1 1052 1403 4.01% 19.53% 76.46%-3.13 -11.6 14
1994-09-03 KI Klaksvik L 0-638.4 1203 1292 43.52% 21.21% 35.27%-0.07 -118.6 12
1994-09-03 @ TB Tvoroyri W 6-038.4 1292 1203 35.27% 21.21% 43.52%+0.07 +118.6 17
1994-09-11 GI Gota L 2-537.0 1040 1492 8.35% 19.92% 71.72%-2.72 -10.7 14
1994-09-11 @ B36 Torshavn W 5-237.0 1492 1040 71.72% 19.92% 8.35%+2.72 +10.7 27
1994-09-11 B71 Sandoy L 0-329.7 911 1318 10.50% 20.20% 69.30%-2.40 -18.2 3
1994-09-11 @ EB-Streymur W 3-029.7 1318 911 69.30% 20.20% 10.50%+2.40 +18.2 22
1994-09-11 HB Torshavn L 1-730.3 994 1414 9.79% 20.12% 70.09%-2.49 -26.9 7
1994-09-11 @ Fuglafjordur W 7-130.3 1414 994 70.09% 20.12% 9.79%+2.49 +26.9 26
1994-09-11 B68 Toftir W 6-337.8 1410 1099 75.24% 19.81% 4.95%+2.84 +6.0 19
1994-09-11 @ KI Klaksvik L 3-637.8 1099 1410 4.95% 19.81% 75.24%-2.84 -6.0 15
1994-09-11 TB Tvoroyri D 2-257.1 1134 1085 59.75% 21.05% 19.20%+0.93 -3.6 14
1994-09-11 @ NSI Runavik D 2-257.1 1085 1134 19.20% 21.05% 59.75%-0.93 +3.6 13
1994-09-18 TB Tvoroyri D 1-152.8 1093 1088 55.16% 21.14% 23.69%+0.61 -3.7 16
1994-09-18 @ B68 Toftir D 1-152.8 1088 1093 23.69% 21.14% 55.16%-0.61 +3.7 14
1994-09-18 B36 Torshavn D 0-050.1 1336 1030 75.07% 19.84% 5.09%+2.81 -10.1 23
1994-09-18 @ B71 Sandoy D 0-050.1 1030 1336 5.09% 19.84% 75.07%-2.81 +10.1 15
1994-09-18 NSI Runavik W 2-150.8 892 1131 23.99% 20.96% 55.04%-1.17 +26.3 5
1994-09-18 @ EB-Streymur L 1-250.8 1131 892 55.04% 20.96% 23.99%+1.17 -26.3 14
1994-09-18 Fuglafjordur W 8-025.1 1502 967 80.57% 17.95% 1.48%+4.48 +6.5 29
1994-09-18 @ GI Gota L 0-825.1 967 1502 1.48% 17.95% 80.57%-4.48 -6.5 7
1994-09-18 KI Klaksvik W 2-145.9 1441 1416 57.28% 21.11% 21.61%+0.75 +12.0 28
1994-09-18 @ HB Torshavn L 1-245.9 1416 1441 21.61% 21.11% 57.28%-0.75 -12.0 19
1994-09-24 B71 Sandoy D 1-153.1 960 1326 12.99% 20.43% 66.58%-2.09 +6.6 8
1994-09-24 @ Fuglafjordur D 1-153.1 1326 960 66.58% 20.43% 12.99%+2.09 -6.6 24
1994-09-24 B68 Toftir D 0-049.6 1104 1089 56.26% 21.12% 22.61%+0.68 -4.4 15
1994-09-24 @ NSI Runavik D 0-049.6 1089 1104 22.61% 21.12% 56.26%-0.68 +4.4 17
1994-09-25 Fuglafjordur D 0-049.5 919 967 48.86% 21.20% 29.94%+0.22 -2.4 6
1994-09-25 @ EB-Streymur D 0-049.5 967 919 29.94% 21.20% 48.86%-0.22 +2.4 9
1994-09-25 GI Gota D 1-159.6 1404 1509 41.31% 21.20% 37.49%-0.19 -0.4 20
1994-09-25 @ KI Klaksvik D 1-159.6 1509 1404 37.49% 21.20% 41.31%+0.19 +0.4 30
1994-09-25 HB Torshavn L 0-232.9 1092 1453 13.28% 20.46% 66.27%-2.06 -15.6 14
1994-09-25 @ TB Tvoroyri W 2-032.9 1453 1092 66.27% 20.46% 13.28%+2.06 +15.6 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1994-06-19 7.14% KI Klaksvik 1145 2 @ GI Gota 1388 0
2 1994-08-21 10.19% B36 Torshavn 1044 2 @ TB Tvoroyri 1220 1
3 1994-06-05 12.86% NSI Runavik 1002 3 @ TB Tvoroyri 1132 2
4 1994-04-24 16.55% B71 Sandoy 1198 2 @ KI Klaksvik 1278 0
5 1994-05-01 17.73% @ NSI Runavik 965 4 HB Torshavn 1268 1
6 1994-05-15 18.77% HB Torshavn 1219 2 @ B71 Sandoy 1273 1
7 1994-04-24 19.23% @ Fuglafjordur 1084 4 EB-Streymur 1370 2
8 1994-08-07 19.71% @ TB Tvoroyri 1081 3 B71 Sandoy 1362 2
9 1994-08-28 22.76% B68 Toftir 1064 3 @ B36 Torshavn 1077 2
10 1994-09-18 23.99% @ EB-Streymur 892 2 NSI Runavik 1131 1
11 1994-05-08 26.15% @ TB Tvoroyri 1102 4 EB-Streymur 1321 1
12 1994-08-28 28.51% @ NSI Runavik 1117 2 KI Klaksvik 1316 1
13 1994-08-14 29.25% TB Tvoroyri 1108 5 @ EB-Streymur 1065 0
14 1994-05-29 29.72% HB Torshavn 1299 3 @ B36 Torshavn 1252 1
15 1994-05-08 34.26% @ HB Torshavn 1196 1 GI Gota 1350 0
16 1994-06-05 34.32% @ B68 Toftir 1088 3 KI Klaksvik 1243 0
17 1994-05-15 34.71% KI Klaksvik 1218 2 @ Fuglafjordur 1134 1
18 1994-09-03 35.27% KI Klaksvik 1292 6 @ TB Tvoroyri 1203 0
19 1994-06-12 36.51% B71 Sandoy 1294 2 @ B36 Torshavn 1197 0
20 1994-06-26 38.49% @ NSI Runavik 1053 3 B36 Torshavn 1177 0
21 1994-08-14 38.72% KI Klaksvik 1233 4 @ B36 Torshavn 1120 0
22 1994-06-11 39.24% @ NSI Runavik 1032 4 EB-Streymur 1151 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-09-03 118.59 KI Klaksvik 6 1292 35.27% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1203 43.52% 21.21%
2 1994-08-14 111.70 TB Tvoroyri 5 1108 29.25% @ EB-Streymur 0 1065 49.56% 21.20%
3 1994-08-06 105.55 GI Gota 7 1330 47.47% @ B68 Toftir 0 1154 31.41% 21.12%
4 1994-08-14 75.75 KI Klaksvik 4 1233 38.72% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1120 40.08% 21.20%
5 1994-05-01 71.75 @ NSI Runavik 4 965 17.73% HB Torshavn 1 1268 61.54% 20.73%
6 1994-06-19 69.99 KI Klaksvik 2 1145 7.14% @ GI Gota 0 1388 72.62% 20.24%
7 1994-05-15 67.76 @ B36 Torshavn 6 1186 56.94% TB Tvoroyri 0 1164 21.94% 21.11%
8 1994-06-05 63.17 @ B68 Toftir 3 1088 34.32% KI Klaksvik 0 1243 44.52% 21.15%
9 1994-05-08 61.94 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1102 26.15% EB-Streymur 1 1321 52.84% 21.02%
10 1994-04-24 59.67 B71 Sandoy 2 1198 16.55% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1278 62.49% 20.97%
11 1994-06-26 58.26 @ NSI Runavik 3 1053 38.49% B36 Torshavn 0 1177 40.33% 21.19%
12 1994-05-23 51.03 @ HB Torshavn 4 1248 54.22% EB-Streymur 0 1251 24.63% 21.16%
13 1994-05-24 44.49 @ TB Tvoroyri 5 1096 52.83% Fuglafjordur 1 1112 26.00% 21.17%
14 1994-04-24 44.22 @ Fuglafjordur 4 1084 19.23% EB-Streymur 2 1370 59.97% 20.80%
15 1994-06-12 41.69 B71 Sandoy 2 1294 36.51% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1197 42.28% 21.21%
16 1994-05-29 41.01 HB Torshavn 3 1299 29.72% @ B36 Torshavn 1 1252 49.08% 21.20%
17 1994-06-12 34.10 HB Torshavn 2 1344 45.95% @ KI Klaksvik 0 1179 32.91% 21.14%
18 1994-08-21 33.24 B36 Torshavn 2 1044 10.19% @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1220 69.21% 20.60%
19 1994-08-07 32.86 @ KI Klaksvik 8 1200 64.29% EB-Streymur 2 1098 14.82% 20.90%
20 1994-06-11 30.61 @ NSI Runavik 4 1032 39.24% EB-Streymur 2 1151 39.56% 21.19%
21 1994-06-05 30.14 NSI Runavik 3 1002 12.86% @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1132 66.35% 20.79%
22 1994-06-05 29.66 @ B71 Sandoy 5 1265 62.83% EB-Streymur 1 1180 16.21% 20.96%
23 1994-08-14 28.80 @ GI Gota 4 1435 57.89% HB Torshavn 1 1405 21.02% 21.09%
24 1994-05-15 28.72 HB Torshavn 2 1219 18.77% @ B71 Sandoy 1 1273 60.19% 21.04%
25 1994-09-11 26.89 HB Torshavn 7 1414 70.09% @ Fuglafjordur 1 994 9.79% 20.12%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-09-25 59.6 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1404 41.31% GI Gota 1 1509 37.49% 21.20%
2 1994-06-05 58.4 NSI Runavik 3 1002 12.86% @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1132 66.35% 20.79%
3 1994-05-01 57.8 @ EB-Streymur 2 1326 64.72% KI Klaksvik 2 1218 14.41% 20.88%
4 1994-05-23 57.4 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1240 72.05% NSI Runavik 2 1010 7.63% 20.32%
5 1994-04-24 57.2 @ B68 Toftir 2 1102 32.58% HB Torshavn 2 1269 46.29% 21.13%
6 1994-08-07 57.1 @ Fuglafjordur 2 1047 45.80% B36 Torshavn 2 1119 32.99% 21.21%
7 1994-09-11 57.1 @ NSI Runavik 2 1134 59.75% TB Tvoroyri 2 1085 19.20% 21.05%
8 1994-08-07 56.6 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1081 19.71% B71 Sandoy 2 1362 59.47% 20.82%
9 1994-08-28 55.4 B68 Toftir 3 1064 22.76% @ B36 Torshavn 2 1077 56.12% 21.13%
10 1994-08-21 55.0 B36 Torshavn 2 1044 10.19% @ TB Tvoroyri 1 1220 69.21% 20.60%
11 1994-04-24 54.8 @ Fuglafjordur 4 1084 19.23% EB-Streymur 2 1370 59.97% 20.80%
12 1994-05-23 53.7 @ GI Gota 1 1338 63.58% B71 Sandoy 1 1245 15.49% 20.93%
13 1994-09-24 53.1 @ Fuglafjordur 1 960 12.99% B71 Sandoy 1 1326 66.58% 20.43%
14 1994-05-08 53.0 @ KI Klaksvik 1 1223 59.00% B36 Torshavn 1 1181 19.93% 21.07%
15 1994-06-19 52.9 @ EB-Streymur 1 1120 50.51% B36 Torshavn 1 1155 28.29% 21.19%
16 1994-09-18 52.8 @ B68 Toftir 1 1093 55.16% TB Tvoroyri 1 1088 23.69% 21.14%
17 1994-05-15 52.7 HB Torshavn 2 1219 18.77% @ B71 Sandoy 1 1273 60.19% 21.04%
18 1994-09-18 50.8 @ EB-Streymur 2 892 23.99% NSI Runavik 1 1131 55.04% 20.96%
19 1994-06-19 50.6 KI Klaksvik 2 1145 7.14% @ GI Gota 0 1388 72.62% 20.24%
20 1994-06-26 50.5 @ HB Torshavn 0 1404 73.34% B68 Toftir 0 1144 6.51% 20.14%
21 1994-09-18 50.1 @ B71 Sandoy 0 1336 75.07% B36 Torshavn 0 1030 5.09% 19.84%
22 1994-05-15 49.8 @ EB-Streymur 0 1259 68.55% B68 Toftir 0 1095 10.80% 20.65%
23 1994-05-08 49.7 @ B68 Toftir 0 1093 30.62% B71 Sandoy 0 1276 48.27% 21.11%
24 1994-05-23 49.7 @ B68 Toftir 0 1103 34.90% B36 Torshavn 0 1253 43.94% 21.16%
25 1994-08-28 49.7 @ NSI Runavik 2 1117 28.51% KI Klaksvik 1 1316 50.42% 21.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-09-03 25.1 @ GI Gota 9 1485 81.14% EB-Streymur 0 917 1.23% 17.63%
2 1994-09-18 25.1 @ GI Gota 8 1502 80.57% Fuglafjordur 0 967 1.48% 17.95%
3 1994-09-03 26.1 @ HB Torshavn 5 1403 76.46% B36 Torshavn 0 1052 4.01% 19.53%
4 1994-06-19 27.1 @ HB Torshavn 7 1378 73.33% TB Tvoroyri 0 1119 6.53% 20.14%
5 1994-06-19 28.4 @ B71 Sandoy 3 1336 74.06% Fuglafjordur 0 1058 5.92% 20.03%
6 1994-08-06 28.6 @ HB Torshavn 3 1395 74.25% NSI Runavik 0 1111 5.75% 20.00%
7 1994-08-28 28.9 HB Torshavn 3 1388 72.05% @ EB-Streymur 0 931 8.07% 19.88%
8 1994-09-11 29.7 B71 Sandoy 3 1318 69.30% @ EB-Streymur 0 911 10.50% 20.20%
9 1994-08-14 30.0 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1335 74.38% B68 Toftir 0 1048 5.65% 19.97%
10 1994-08-21 30.0 @ KI Klaksvik 2 1309 74.17% Fuglafjordur 0 1028 5.82% 20.01%
11 1994-09-11 30.3 HB Torshavn 7 1414 70.09% @ Fuglafjordur 1 994 9.79% 20.12%
12 1994-04-24 31.3 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1158 69.54% NSI Runavik 0 977 9.89% 20.57%
13 1994-05-15 31.6 @ B36 Torshavn 6 1186 56.94% TB Tvoroyri 0 1164 21.94% 21.11%
14 1994-06-05 32.4 @ HB Torshavn 1 1340 73.18% Fuglafjordur 0 1084 6.65% 20.17%
15 1994-06-05 32.7 @ GI Gota 2 1352 67.07% B36 Torshavn 0 1211 12.18% 20.75%
16 1994-06-26 32.9 @ B71 Sandoy 2 1347 66.41% KI Klaksvik 0 1215 12.80% 20.79%
17 1994-09-25 32.9 HB Torshavn 2 1453 66.27% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1092 13.28% 20.46%
18 1994-08-07 33.3 @ KI Klaksvik 8 1200 64.29% EB-Streymur 2 1098 14.82% 20.90%
19 1994-06-25 33.4 @ GI Gota 4 1318 71.83% TB Tvoroyri 1 1093 7.82% 20.34%
20 1994-05-23 33.5 @ HB Torshavn 4 1248 54.22% EB-Streymur 0 1251 24.63% 21.16%
21 1994-09-03 33.7 @ B71 Sandoy 1 1311 68.90% NSI Runavik 0 1141 10.47% 20.62%
22 1994-06-12 34.4 GI Gota 2 1367 60.09% @ Fuglafjordur 0 1079 19.11% 20.79%
23 1994-06-05 34.6 @ B71 Sandoy 5 1265 62.83% EB-Streymur 1 1180 16.21% 20.96%
24 1994-05-01 34.8 @ B71 Sandoy 4 1257 66.82% TB Tvoroyri 1 1120 12.41% 20.77%
25 1994-08-06 34.9 GI Gota 7 1330 47.47% @ B68 Toftir 0 1154 31.41% 21.12%