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1949 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

TPS Turku

34 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1945

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kiffen 08

7.68 points above expected

32 points · 24.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TuTo

8.18 points below expected

9 points · 17.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 TPS Turku Champion 22 15 4 3 34 53 25 +28 27.53 +6.47
2 VPS 22 15 3 4 33 59 29 +30 31.13 +1.87
3 Kiffen 08 22 14 4 4 32 60 40 +20 24.32 +7.68
4 VIFK 22 10 7 5 27 61 31 +30 28.21 -1.21
5 KTP 22 10 6 6 26 38 34 +4 20.48 +5.52
6 Turun Weikot 22 9 3 10 21 39 42 -3 17.98 +3.02
7 Ilves-Kissat 22 7 6 9 20 48 49 -1 22.35 -2.35
8 KuPS 22 7 5 10 19 38 41 -3 19.37 -0.37
9 Helsingfors 22 7 2 13 16 38 52 -14 19.84 -3.84
10 HJK 22 5 4 13 14 27 55 -28 18.34 -4.34
11 HPS Helsinki 22 3 7 12 13 27 54 -27 17.27 -4.27
12 TuTo 22 1 7 14 9 18 54 -36 17.18 -8.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kiffen 08 32 24.32 +7.68
2 TPS Turku 34 27.53 +6.47
3 KTP 26 20.48 +5.52
4 Turun Weikot 21 17.98 +3.02
5 VPS 33 31.13 +1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 TuTo 9 17.18 -8.18
2 HJK 14 18.34 -4.34
3 HPS Helsinki 13 17.27 -4.27
4 Helsingfors 16 19.84 -3.84
5 Ilves-Kissat 20 22.35 -2.35

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KuPS 4 Jun 19 – Jul 26 1 in 283
2 Turun Weikot 3 Sep 7 – Oct 2 1 in 51
3 HPS Helsinki 3 Sep 3 – Sep 25 1 in 30
4 TPS Turku 5 Jun 12 – Aug 7 1 in 25
5 Helsingfors 3 Aug 5 – Aug 21 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingfors 4 Jul 3 – Jul 31 1 in 78
2 VIFK 2 Jul 31 – Aug 7 1 in 48
3 Turun Weikot 4 Jun 12 – Jul 22 1 in 23
4 TuTo 6 Jul 3 – Aug 21 1 in 22
5 KuPS 3 Aug 7 – Aug 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KTP 8 Jul 3 – Sep 18 1 in 142
2 KuPS 5 Jun 12 – Jul 26 1 in 31
3 VIFK 8 May 1 – Jun 12 1 in 22
4 Helsingfors 4 Jun 9 – Jun 21 1 in 16
5 TPS Turku 9 Jun 12 – Sep 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HPS Helsinki 16 May 1 – Aug 28 1 in 258
2 TuTo 17 Jun 6 – Oct 30 1 in 239
3 VIFK 5 Aug 28 – Oct 16 1 in 36
4 KuPS 8 May 1 – Jun 12 1 in 11
5 HJK 7 May 19 – Jun 19 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
TPS Turku 1096 34 +16 8 7.1 +0.9
VPS 1102 33 -44 6 7.6 -1.6
Kiffen 08 1016 32 +40 9 6.3 +2.7
VIFK 996 27 -43 5 6.5 -1.5
KTP 948 26 +86 6 5.0 +1.0
Turun Weikot 876 21 +106 8 3.5 +4.5
Ilves-Kissat 854 20 -49 3 5.4 -2.4
KuPS 877 19 -17 3 4.7 -1.7
Helsingfors 773 16 -40 2 3.8 -1.8
HJK 717 14 -63 2 3.1 -1.1
HPS Helsinki 751 13 +33 5 3.8 +1.2
TuTo 655 9 -76 1 3.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HH HEL ILV KTP K0 KUP TT TUT TW VIF VPS
HJK —
0-1-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.99
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.25
0-1-1
1.06
HPS Helsinki
1-1-0
2.49
—
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
1.81
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.13
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.70
1-0-1
1.53
0-0-2
1.36
Helsingfors
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.34
—
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
1.08
Ilves-Kissat
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.64
1-0-1
3.04
—
0-0-2
3.09
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
1.79
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.57
KTP
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
2.99
2-0-0
2.55
2-0-0
2.45
—
1-1-0
2.22
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
3.20
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-2
1.72
Kiffen 08
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.32
—
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
1.60
KuPS
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.95
—
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.35
TPS Turku
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
3.76
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.75
—
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.94
0-2-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.03
TuTo
0-1-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.33
—
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
1.06
0-0-2
1.41
Turun Weikot
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
1.61
2-0-0
2.70
—
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
1.33
VIFK
1-0-1
4.31
1-0-1
4.02
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
4.04
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.68
0-2-0
2.96
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
3.53
—
0-1-1
2.37
VPS
1-1-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.94
2-0-0
4.21
0-0-2
3.51
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
3.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +5.3
Allowed 0.83 -7.1
Differential 0.92 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%3.79%3.03%3.41%1.52%2.27%14.77%
13.79%12.12%7.58%6.44%1.52%3.03%34.47%
23.03%7.58%5.30%3.03%1.52%1.14%21.59%
33.41%6.44%3.03%3.03%0.38%0.38%16.67%
41.52%1.52%1.52%0.38%0.76%—5.68%
5+2.27%3.03%1.14%0.38%——6.82%
Total14.77%34.47%21.59%16.67%5.68%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.92 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.53
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
113.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%68.18%
2—4.55%———9.09%13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%18.18%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.50 -1.27
SD 1.19 1.95 2.39
CV 0.97 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%9.09%9.09%—27.27%
14.55%18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%——4.55%—4.55%13.64%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.45 -1.23
SD 1.15 1.68 1.93
CV 0.94 0.69 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%—36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.36 -0.64
SD 1.61 1.76 2.54
CV 0.93 0.74 —
Max 7 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
3—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total—36.36%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.23 -0.05
SD 1.56 1.23 2.08
CV 0.72 0.55 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1—18.18%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.55 +0.18
SD 1.35 1.65 2.54
CV 0.78 1.07 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2—22.73%—4.55%——27.27%
3—13.64%13.64%9.09%——36.36%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total—54.55%18.18%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.82 +0.91
SD 1.83 1.10 2.33
CV 0.67 0.60 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 1 1 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
1—13.64%13.64%——4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.86 -0.14
SD 1.75 1.64 2.87
CV 1.01 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.09%9.09%—9.09%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.14 +1.27
SD 1.22 0.99 1.75
CV 0.51 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%—9.09%40.91%
1—18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%40.91%18.18%22.73%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.45 -1.64
SD 0.85 2.22 2.38
CV 1.04 0.90 —
Max 3 9 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
14.55%9.09%13.64%18.18%—4.55%50.00%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.91 -0.14
SD 1.11 1.57 2.25
CV 0.63 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
24.55%—13.64%———18.18%
3—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+13.64%9.09%————22.73%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.41 +1.36
SD 2.31 1.22 3.05
CV 0.83 0.87 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
39.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.32 +1.36
SD 1.46 1.13 1.99
CV 0.54 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
VPS 1102 33 31.13 +1.87 75.0% 22 25 29 31 33 37 38
TPS Turku 1096 34 27.53 +6.47 99.0% 20 22 25 28 30 32 36
Kiffen 08 1016 32 24.32 +7.68 100.0% 15 18 22 25 27 29 32
VIFK 996 27 28.21 -1.21 44.0% 20 22 25 28 31 35 38
KTP 948 26 20.48 +5.52 95.0% 14 15 18 20 23 26 30
KuPS 877 19 19.37 -0.37 55.0% 8 15 17 19 22 26 28
Turun Weikot 876 21 17.98 +3.02 84.0% 11 12 15 18 20 24 32
Ilves-Kissat 854 20 22.35 -2.35 36.0% 14 16 19 22 25 30 34
Helsingfors 773 16 19.84 -3.84 22.0% 10 13 17 20 22 27 31
HPS Helsinki 751 13 17.27 -4.27 19.0% 8 10 14 17 20 23 28
HJK 717 14 18.34 -4.34 20.0% 8 11 15 18 21 26 30
TuTo 655 9 17.18 -8.18 1.0% 7 11 14 17 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Clear Edge
47.73%21.97%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge
141 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
061.16400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
TPS Turku, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.03 * Wild Swing: 6.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.24 * Off: 2.24 to 2.99 * Way Off: 2.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.74 points
Lucky
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.874
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Kiffen 08
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
TuTo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 147.02
2.02
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Notable Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.64
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.08
Weak Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.055
Well Within Noise
00.1500.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
TPS Turku13.00%32.00%23.00%15.00%12.00%2.00%3.00%—————
VPS55.00%27.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%———————
Kiffen 082.00%10.00%21.00%18.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%
VIFK26.00%23.00%21.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%—1.00%————
KTP—1.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%
Turun Weikot1.00%——4.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%17.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%14.00%
Ilves-Kissat2.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%10.00%19.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%
KuPS—1.00%3.00%4.00%12.00%5.00%15.00%10.00%16.00%20.00%12.00%2.00%
Helsingfors1.00%—3.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%
HJK——1.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%14.00%6.00%16.00%17.00%
HPS Helsinki——1.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%23.00%22.00%
TuTo—1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
TPS Turku 100% —
VIFK 100% —
VPS 100% —
Kiffen 08 94.00% 6.00%
Ilves-Kissat 77.00% 23.00%
KTP 68.00% 32.00%
Helsingfors 56.00% 44.00%
KuPS 50.00% 50.00%
HJK 47.00% 53.00%
Turun Weikot 43.00% 57.00%
TuTo 34.00% 66.00%
HPS Helsinki 31.00% 69.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1949-05-01 Helsingfors W 4-246.0 872 918 44.69% 23.30% 32.01%+0.11 +18.4 2
1949-05-01 @ Ilves-Kissat L 2-446.0 918 872 32.01% 23.30% 44.69%-0.11 -18.4 0
1949-05-01 TPS Turku W 3-248.2 866 914 44.39% 23.30% 32.32%+0.09 +11.3 2
1949-05-01 @ Kiffen 08 L 2-348.2 914 866 32.32% 23.30% 44.39%-0.09 -11.3 0
1949-05-01 HPS Helsinki W 2-037.5 836 907 41.26% 23.30% 35.44%-0.07 +25.7 2
1949-05-01 @ KTP L 0-237.5 907 836 35.44% 23.30% 41.26%+0.07 -25.7 0
1949-05-01 HJK L 0-141.4 828 907 40.13% 23.30% 36.57%-0.13 -15.0 0
1949-05-01 @ KuPS W 1-041.4 907 828 36.57% 23.30% 40.13%+0.13 +15.0 2
1949-05-01 VIFK L 1-344.6 841 902 42.79% 23.30% 33.90%+0.01 -25.8 0
1949-05-01 @ Turun Weikot W 3-144.6 902 841 33.90% 23.30% 42.79%-0.01 +25.8 2
1949-05-01 TuTo W 3-136.9 978 894 59.44% 22.91% 17.64%+1.03 +12.6 2
1949-05-01 @ VPS L 1-336.9 894 978 17.64% 22.91% 59.44%-1.03 -12.6 0
1949-05-07 Helsingfors L 1-446.0 922 899 53.11% 23.17% 23.72%+0.59 -44.0 2
1949-05-07 @ HJK W 4-146.0 899 922 23.72% 23.17% 53.11%-0.59 +44.0 2
1949-05-07 Turun Weikot W 2-138.6 903 816 59.68% 22.90% 17.42%+1.05 +7.2 2
1949-05-07 @ TPS Turku L 1-238.6 816 903 17.42% 22.90% 59.68%-1.05 -7.2 0
1949-05-08 KuPS D 2-255.9 881 813 57.96% 22.99% 19.05%+0.92 -2.4 1
1949-05-08 @ HPS Helsinki D 2-255.9 813 881 19.05% 22.99% 57.96%-0.92 +2.4 1
1949-05-08 VPS L 1-440.0 862 991 33.16% 23.22% 43.62%-0.48 -29.8 2
1949-05-08 @ KTP W 4-140.0 991 862 43.62% 23.22% 33.16%+0.48 +29.8 4
1949-05-08 Ilves-Kissat L 1-248.3 881 890 49.40% 23.25% 27.35%+0.37 -16.8 0
1949-05-08 @ TuTo W 2-148.3 890 881 27.35% 23.25% 49.40%-0.37 +16.8 4
1949-05-08 Kiffen 08 D 3-360.5 927 877 56.07% 23.08% 20.85%+0.79 -1.8 3
1949-05-08 @ VIFK D 3-360.5 877 927 20.85% 23.08% 56.07%-0.79 +1.8 3
1949-05-11 KTP W 2-139.8 878 832 55.66% 23.09% 21.25%+0.76 +8.5 4
1949-05-11 @ HJK L 1-239.8 832 878 21.25% 23.09% 55.66%-0.76 -8.5 2
1949-05-11 Helsingfors W 1-038.4 910 943 46.37% 23.29% 30.34%+0.20 +12.1 4
1949-05-11 @ TPS Turku L 0-138.4 943 910 30.34% 23.29% 46.37%-0.20 -12.1 2
1949-05-12 HPS Helsinki D 1-150.9 879 879 50.52% 23.23% 26.24%+0.43 -1.9 4
1949-05-12 @ Kiffen 08 D 1-150.9 879 879 26.24% 23.23% 50.52%-0.43 +1.9 2
1949-05-12 TuTo W 3-035.0 809 864 43.41% 23.30% 33.29%+0.04 +35.5 2
1949-05-12 @ Turun Weikot L 0-335.0 864 809 33.29% 23.30% 43.41%-0.04 -35.5 0
1949-05-18 VIFK D 3-360.5 907 926 48.24% 23.27% 28.49%+0.30 -1.0 5
1949-05-18 @ Ilves-Kissat D 3-360.5 926 907 28.49% 23.27% 48.24%-0.30 +1.0 4
1949-05-19 HPS Helsinki D 1-150.9 886 881 51.14% 23.22% 25.64%+0.47 -2.0 5
1949-05-19 @ HJK D 1-150.9 881 886 25.64% 23.22% 51.14%-0.47 +2.0 3
1949-05-19 Kiffen 08 W 2-143.4 823 877 43.63% 23.30% 33.06%+0.05 +12.2 4
1949-05-19 @ KTP L 1-243.4 877 823 33.06% 23.30% 43.63%-0.05 -12.2 4
1949-05-20 KuPS W 2-138.1 922 815 61.43% 22.79% 15.79%+1.19 +6.6 6
1949-05-20 @ TPS Turku L 1-238.1 815 922 15.79% 22.79% 61.43%-1.19 -6.6 1
1949-05-22 VIFK L 0-639.9 931 927 51.09% 23.22% 25.69%+0.47 -96.4 2
1949-05-22 @ Helsingfors W 6-039.9 927 931 25.69% 23.22% 51.09%-0.47 +96.4 6
1949-05-22 KTP L 1-250.8 906 835 58.12% 22.99% 18.90%+0.93 -19.6 5
1949-05-22 @ Ilves-Kissat W 2-150.8 835 906 18.90% 22.99% 58.12%-0.93 +19.6 6
1949-05-22 KuPS D 1-151.0 829 808 52.86% 23.18% 23.96%+0.58 -2.3 1
1949-05-22 @ TuTo D 1-151.0 808 829 23.96% 23.18% 52.86%-0.58 +2.3 2
1949-05-22 Turun Weikot W 4-239.5 1021 844 66.58% 22.29% 11.13%+1.69 +7.4 6
1949-05-22 @ VPS L 2-439.5 844 1021 11.13% 22.29% 66.58%-1.69 -7.4 2
1949-05-24 TPS Turku L 1-345.2 884 929 44.88% 23.30% 31.82%+0.12 -26.8 5
1949-05-24 @ HJK W 3-145.2 929 884 31.82% 23.30% 44.88%-0.12 +26.8 8
1949-05-26 Ilves-Kissat W 3-140.4 865 886 47.89% 23.27% 28.84%+0.28 +18.9 6
1949-05-26 @ Kiffen 08 L 1-340.4 886 865 28.84% 23.27% 47.89%-0.28 -18.9 5
1949-05-26 VPS L 0-331.7 811 1028 22.62% 22.86% 54.53%-1.11 -25.9 2
1949-05-26 @ KuPS W 3-031.7 1028 811 54.53% 22.86% 22.62%+1.11 +25.9 8
1949-05-26 HPS Helsinki W 5-132.6 1023 883 64.02% 22.57% 13.41%+1.43 +18.0 8
1949-05-26 @ VIFK L 1-532.6 883 1023 13.41% 22.57% 64.02%-1.43 -18.0 3
1949-05-29 TuTo L 1-248.9 835 826 51.55% 23.21% 25.24%+0.50 -17.5 2
1949-05-29 @ Helsingfors W 2-148.9 826 835 25.24% 23.21% 51.55%-0.50 +17.5 3
1949-05-29 KTP D 1-150.9 785 855 41.39% 23.30% 35.30%-0.06 -0.5 3
1949-05-29 @ KuPS D 1-150.9 855 785 35.30% 23.30% 41.39%+0.06 +0.5 7
1949-05-29 VIFK D 2-255.8 956 1041 39.29% 23.29% 37.42%-0.17 -0.1 9
1949-05-29 @ TPS Turku D 2-255.8 1041 956 37.42% 23.29% 39.29%+0.17 +0.1 9
1949-05-29 HJK W 2-136.1 1054 857 67.84% 22.12% 10.04%+1.83 +4.4 10
1949-05-29 @ VPS L 1-236.1 857 1054 10.04% 22.12% 67.84%-1.83 -4.4 5
1949-05-30 Ilves-Kissat D 1-150.9 837 868 46.67% 23.29% 30.04%+0.21 -1.3 3
1949-05-30 @ Turun Weikot D 1-150.9 868 837 30.04% 23.29% 46.67%-0.21 +1.3 6
1949-06-03 HJK W 6-134.7 884 853 54.05% 23.15% 22.80%+0.65 +34.9 8
1949-06-03 @ Kiffen 08 L 1-634.7 853 884 22.80% 23.15% 54.05%-0.65 -34.9 5
1949-06-04 VPS W 3-143.8 956 1058 36.79% 23.27% 39.94%-0.30 +24.4 11
1949-06-04 @ TPS Turku L 1-343.8 1058 956 39.94% 23.27% 36.79%+0.30 -24.4 10
1949-06-05 Turun Weikot D 1-151.0 856 835 52.86% 23.18% 23.96%+0.58 -2.3 8
1949-06-05 @ KTP D 1-151.0 835 856 23.96% 23.18% 52.86%-0.58 +2.3 4
1949-06-05 KuPS W 7-026.9 1041 784 71.11% 21.53% 7.36%+2.25 +20.8 11
1949-06-05 @ VIFK L 0-726.9 784 1041 7.36% 21.53% 71.11%-2.25 -20.8 3
1949-06-06 VPS L 0-432.5 865 1034 28.08% 23.09% 48.83%-0.76 -40.5 3
1949-06-06 @ HPS Helsinki W 4-032.5 1034 865 48.83% 23.09% 28.08%+0.76 +40.5 12
1949-06-06 TPS Turku W 3-144.1 869 980 35.62% 23.26% 41.13%-0.35 +25.0 8
1949-06-06 @ Ilves-Kissat L 1-344.1 980 869 41.13% 23.26% 35.62%+0.35 -25.0 11
1949-06-06 Kiffen 08 L 2-350.8 844 919 40.71% 23.30% 35.99%-0.10 -13.6 3
1949-06-06 @ TuTo W 3-250.8 919 844 35.99% 23.30% 40.71%+0.10 +13.6 10
1949-06-09 Helsingfors D 1-151.1 932 818 62.07% 22.74% 15.19%+1.25 -4.0 11
1949-06-09 @ Kiffen 08 D 1-151.1 818 932 15.19% 22.74% 62.07%-1.25 +4.0 3
1949-06-09 HPS Helsinki W 3-139.2 838 825 52.05% 23.20% 24.75%+0.53 +16.7 6
1949-06-09 @ Turun Weikot L 1-339.2 825 838 24.75% 23.20% 52.05%-0.53 -16.7 3
1949-06-10 HJK D 1-151.0 830 818 51.93% 23.20% 24.87%+0.52 -2.2 4
1949-06-10 @ TuTo D 1-151.0 818 830 24.87% 23.20% 51.93%-0.52 +2.2 6
1949-06-12 VIFK L 0-232.8 820 1062 20.20% 22.71% 57.08%-1.28 -16.2 6
1949-06-12 @ HJK W 2-032.8 1062 820 57.08% 22.71% 20.20%+1.28 +16.2 13
1949-06-12 TPS Turku L 0-336.1 853 955 36.93% 23.27% 39.80%-0.29 -38.5 8
1949-06-12 @ KTP W 3-036.1 955 853 39.80% 23.27% 36.93%+0.29 +38.5 13
1949-06-12 Ilves-Kissat D 1-150.9 764 894 33.02% 23.21% 43.77%-0.49 +0.8 4
1949-06-12 @ KuPS D 1-150.9 894 764 43.77% 23.21% 33.02%+0.49 -0.8 9
1949-06-12 Kiffen 08 L 1-344.0 854 928 40.85% 23.30% 35.85%-0.09 -24.8 6
1949-06-12 @ Turun Weikot W 3-144.0 928 854 35.85% 23.30% 40.85%+0.09 +24.8 13
1949-06-12 Helsingfors D 2-256.3 1074 822 70.92% 21.57% 7.50%+2.23 -4.2 13
1949-06-12 @ VPS D 2-256.3 822 1074 7.50% 21.57% 70.92%-2.23 +4.2 4
1949-06-13 TuTo D 1-150.9 808 828 48.04% 23.27% 28.69%+0.29 -1.5 4
1949-06-13 @ HPS Helsinki D 1-150.9 828 808 28.69% 23.27% 48.04%-0.29 +1.5 5
1949-06-18 Turun Weikot W 3-139.8 826 830 50.06% 23.24% 26.70%+0.41 +17.8 6
1949-06-18 @ Helsingfors L 1-339.8 830 826 26.70% 23.24% 50.06%-0.41 -17.8 6
1949-06-19 HJK W 6-236.7 893 804 59.82% 22.89% 17.29%+1.06 +19.1 11
1949-06-19 @ Ilves-Kissat L 2-636.7 804 893 17.29% 22.89% 59.82%-1.06 -19.1 6
1949-06-19 KuPS L 1-351.6 953 764 67.37% 22.19% 10.44%+1.77 -39.4 13
1949-06-19 @ Kiffen 08 W 3-151.6 764 953 10.44% 22.19% 67.37%-1.77 +39.4 6
1949-06-19 KTP D 0-047.8 830 815 52.25% 23.20% 24.56%+0.54 -2.5 6
1949-06-19 @ TuTo D 0-047.8 815 830 24.56% 23.20% 52.25%-0.54 +2.5 9
1949-06-21 VIFK W 4-138.3 1070 1078 49.57% 23.25% 27.18%+0.38 +25.5 15
1949-06-21 @ VPS L 1-438.3 1078 1070 27.18% 23.25% 49.57%-0.38 -25.5 13
1949-06-21 HPS Helsinki W 7-339.5 844 806 54.73% 23.13% 22.15%+0.70 +21.6 8
1949-06-21 @ Helsingfors L 3-739.5 806 844 22.15% 23.13% 54.73%-0.70 -21.6 4
1949-06-26 VPS W 4-357.4 914 1096 26.54% 23.04% 50.42%-0.86 +15.8 15
1949-06-26 @ Kiffen 08 L 3-457.4 1096 914 50.42% 23.04% 26.54%+0.86 -15.8 15
1949-06-26 Turun Weikot W 2-141.6 804 812 49.56% 23.25% 27.19%+0.38 +10.4 8
1949-06-26 @ KuPS L 1-241.6 812 804 27.19% 23.25% 49.56%-0.38 -10.4 6
1949-06-26 HPS Helsinki W 4-026.6 994 785 68.56% 22.01% 9.43%+1.91 +15.6 15
1949-06-26 @ TPS Turku L 0-426.6 785 994 9.43% 22.01% 68.56%-1.91 -15.6 4
1949-06-26 KTP W 7-027.2 1053 817 70.03% 21.75% 8.22%+2.10 +23.2 15
1949-06-26 @ VIFK L 0-727.2 817 1053 8.22% 21.75% 70.03%-2.10 -23.2 9
1949-07-03 Helsingfors W 2-037.5 794 865 41.28% 23.30% 35.42%-0.07 +25.7 11
1949-07-03 @ KTP L 0-237.5 865 794 35.42% 23.30% 41.28%+0.07 -25.7 8
1949-07-03 TPS Turku L 1-339.6 827 1009 26.51% 23.04% 50.45%-0.86 -17.6 6
1949-07-03 @ TuTo W 3-139.6 1009 827 50.45% 23.04% 26.51%+0.86 +17.6 17
1949-07-03 Ilves-Kissat D 4-463.3 769 912 31.35% 23.18% 45.47%-0.58 +0.6 5
1949-07-03 @ HPS Helsinki D 4-463.3 912 769 45.47% 23.18% 31.35%+0.58 -0.6 12
1949-07-22 Turun Weikot W 6-136.4 785 801 48.52% 23.27% 28.22%+0.32 +41.6 8
1949-07-22 @ HJK L 1-636.4 801 785 28.22% 23.27% 48.52%-0.32 -41.6 6
1949-07-22 VPS L 0-235.3 911 1080 28.14% 23.09% 48.77%-0.76 -21.4 12
1949-07-22 @ Ilves-Kissat W 2-035.3 1080 911 48.77% 23.09% 28.14%+0.76 +21.4 17
1949-07-24 KuPS L 0-242.9 839 814 53.42% 23.17% 23.42%+0.61 -36.2 8
1949-07-24 @ Helsingfors W 2-042.9 814 839 23.42% 23.17% 53.42%-0.61 +36.1 10
1949-07-24 TuTo W 1-030.9 1076 809 71.57% 21.43% 7.00%+2.32 +3.3 17
1949-07-24 @ VIFK L 0-130.9 809 1076 7.00% 21.43% 71.57%-2.32 -3.3 6
1949-07-26 KuPS L 2-548.2 827 850 47.58% 23.28% 29.15%+0.26 -34.5 8
1949-07-26 @ HJK W 5-248.2 850 827 29.15% 23.28% 47.58%-0.26 +34.5 12
1949-07-27 KTP L 2-353.1 803 820 48.51% 23.27% 28.23%+0.32 -15.7 8
1949-07-27 @ Helsingfors W 3-253.1 820 803 28.23% 23.27% 48.51%-0.32 +15.7 13
1949-07-31 VIFK W 2-147.3 930 1079 30.53% 23.16% 46.31%-0.62 +15.9 17
1949-07-31 @ Kiffen 08 L 1-247.3 1079 930 46.31% 23.16% 30.53%+0.62 -15.9 17
1949-07-31 TuTo W 2-140.3 835 806 53.87% 23.15% 22.98%+0.64 +9.1 15
1949-07-31 @ KTP L 1-240.3 806 835 22.98% 23.15% 53.87%-0.64 -9.1 6
1949-07-31 Helsingfors W 4-245.3 760 788 47.07% 23.28% 29.64%+0.24 +17.3 8
1949-07-31 @ Turun Weikot L 2-445.3 788 760 29.64% 23.28% 47.07%-0.24 -17.3 8
1949-07-31 Ilves-Kissat W 5-236.3 1101 890 68.70% 21.99% 9.32%+1.93 +8.6 19
1949-07-31 @ VPS L 2-536.3 890 1101 9.32% 21.99% 68.70%-1.93 -8.6 12
1949-08-03 Turun Weikot L 0-339.9 770 777 49.63% 23.25% 27.12%+0.38 -49.1 5
1949-08-03 @ HPS Helsinki W 3-039.9 777 770 27.12% 23.25% 49.63%-0.38 +49.1 10
1949-08-03 Kiffen 08 W 5-134.1 1027 946 59.11% 22.93% 17.95%+1.01 +23.3 19
1949-08-03 @ TPS Turku L 1-534.1 946 1027 17.95% 22.93% 59.11%-1.01 -23.3 17
1949-08-05 Ilves-Kissat W 3-037.4 770 882 35.61% 23.26% 41.14%-0.36 +41.9 10
1949-08-05 @ Helsingfors L 0-337.4 882 770 41.14% 23.26% 35.61%+0.36 -41.9 12
1949-08-07 KTP D 1-150.9 721 844 33.88% 23.23% 42.89%-0.44 +0.7 6
1949-08-07 @ HPS Helsinki D 1-150.9 844 721 42.89% 23.23% 33.88%+0.44 -0.7 16
1949-08-07 TPS Turku L 2-347.1 885 1050 28.54% 23.10% 48.35%-0.74 -10.3 12
1949-08-07 @ KuPS W 3-247.1 1050 885 48.35% 23.10% 28.54%+0.74 +10.2 21
1949-08-07 VPS L 0-628.5 797 1110 14.30% 22.17% 63.53%-1.78 -33.2 6
1949-08-07 @ TuTo W 6-028.5 1110 797 63.53% 22.17% 14.30%+1.78 +33.2 21
1949-08-07 HJK L 0-150.3 1063 792 71.79% 21.38% 6.83%+2.36 -25.8 17
1949-08-07 @ VIFK W 1-050.3 792 1063 6.83% 21.38% 71.79%-2.36 +25.8 10
1949-08-10 HJK W 2-141.5 812 818 49.84% 23.25% 26.92%+0.39 +10.3 12
1949-08-10 @ Helsingfors L 1-241.5 818 812 26.92% 23.25% 49.84%-0.39 -10.3 10
1949-08-10 VPS D 2-255.8 1037 1143 36.38% 23.27% 40.36%-0.32 +0.2 18
1949-08-10 @ VIFK D 2-255.8 1143 1037 40.36% 23.27% 36.38%+0.32 -0.2 22
1949-08-12 TuTo W 9-130.4 922 764 65.36% 22.44% 12.20%+1.56 +31.4 19
1949-08-12 @ Kiffen 08 L 1-930.4 764 922 12.20% 22.44% 65.36%-1.56 -31.4 6
1949-08-13 TPS Turku D 2-256.0 826 1060 20.92% 22.76% 56.32%-1.23 +2.2 11
1949-08-13 @ Turun Weikot D 2-256.0 1060 826 56.32% 22.76% 20.92%+1.23 -2.2 22
1949-08-14 KuPS W 5-138.0 840 875 46.14% 23.29% 30.57%+0.19 +36.2 14
1949-08-14 @ Ilves-Kissat L 1-538.0 875 840 30.57% 23.29% 46.14%-0.19 -36.2 12
1949-08-14 HPS Helsinki W 3-024.8 1143 721 77.40% 19.48% 3.12%+3.42 +3.9 24
1949-08-14 @ VPS L 0-324.8 721 1143 3.12% 19.48% 77.40%-3.42 -3.9 6
1949-08-16 Kiffen 08 L 1-341.0 807 954 30.91% 23.17% 45.92%-0.60 -20.0 10
1949-08-16 @ HJK W 3-141.0 954 807 45.92% 23.17% 30.91%+0.60 +20.0 21
1949-08-21 TuTo W 1-035.4 787 733 56.58% 23.06% 20.37%+0.82 +8.7 12
1949-08-21 @ HJK L 0-135.4 733 787 20.37% 23.06% 56.58%-0.82 -8.7 6
1949-08-21 Helsingfors L 1-249.2 838 822 52.39% 23.19% 24.42%+0.55 -17.8 12
1949-08-21 @ KuPS W 2-149.2 822 838 24.42% 23.19% 52.39%-0.55 +17.8 14
1949-08-21 KTP D 1-151.3 1058 844 68.88% 21.96% 9.16%+1.95 -5.3 23
1949-08-21 @ TPS Turku D 1-151.3 844 1058 9.16% 21.96% 68.88%-1.95 +5.3 17
1949-08-21 Turun Weikot W 3-134.2 1038 828 68.59% 22.00% 9.41%+1.92 +7.1 20
1949-08-21 @ VIFK L 1-334.2 828 1038 9.41% 22.00% 68.59%-1.92 -7.1 11
1949-08-23 Kiffen 08 L 1-238.9 717 974 18.84% 22.61% 58.54%-1.38 -7.6 6
1949-08-23 @ HPS Helsinki W 2-138.9 974 717 58.54% 22.61% 18.84%+1.38 +7.6 23
1949-08-28 TPS Turku L 0-331.8 840 1053 23.11% 22.88% 54.00%-1.07 -26.4 14
1949-08-28 @ Helsingfors W 3-031.8 1053 840 54.00% 22.88% 23.11%+1.07 +26.4 25
1949-08-28 Ilves-Kissat W 3-247.4 849 876 47.21% 23.28% 29.51%+0.24 +10.5 19
1949-08-28 @ KTP L 2-347.4 876 849 29.51% 23.28% 47.21%-0.24 -10.6 14
1949-08-28 HPS Helsinki W 2-138.0 821 710 61.74% 22.76% 15.50%+1.22 +6.5 14
1949-08-28 @ KuPS L 1-238.0 710 821 15.50% 22.76% 61.74%-1.22 -6.5 6
1949-08-28 VIFK D 1-151.3 724 1045 13.74% 22.10% 64.16%-1.84 +4.3 7
1949-08-28 @ TuTo D 1-151.3 1045 724 64.16% 22.10% 13.74%+1.84 -4.3 21
1949-08-28 Kiffen 08 W 3-241.8 1147 981 65.84% 22.38% 11.78%+1.61 +4.8 26
1949-08-28 @ VPS L 2-341.8 981 1147 11.78% 22.38% 65.84%-1.61 -4.8 23
1949-08-30 HJK W 3-138.8 821 796 53.40% 23.17% 23.43%+0.61 +16.0 13
1949-08-30 @ Turun Weikot L 1-338.8 796 821 23.43% 23.17% 53.40%-0.61 -16.0 12
1949-09-02 KTP D 3-360.6 976 860 62.22% 22.73% 15.05%+1.26 -2.5 24
1949-09-02 @ Kiffen 08 D 3-360.6 860 976 15.05% 22.73% 62.22%-1.26 +2.5 20
1949-09-03 Helsingfors W 2-145.8 703 814 35.70% 23.26% 41.04%-0.35 +14.4 8
1949-09-03 @ HPS Helsinki L 1-245.8 814 703 41.04% 23.26% 35.70%+0.35 -14.4 14
1949-09-04 TuTo D 2-256.0 865 728 63.81% 22.59% 13.60%+1.41 -3.2 15
1949-09-04 @ Ilves-Kissat D 2-256.0 728 865 13.60% 22.59% 63.81%-1.41 +3.2 8
1949-09-04 VPS D 1-151.4 780 1152 10.66% 21.61% 67.73%-2.20 +5.0 13
1949-09-04 @ HJK D 1-151.4 1152 780 67.73% 21.61% 10.66%+2.20 -5.0 27
1949-09-04 KuPS L 0-439.6 837 827 51.69% 23.21% 25.10%+0.50 -66.5 13
1949-09-04 @ Turun Weikot W 4-039.6 827 837 25.10% 23.21% 51.69%-0.50 +66.5 16
1949-09-04 TPS Turku D 1-151.0 1040 1079 45.64% 23.29% 31.07%+0.16 -1.1 22
1949-09-04 @ VIFK D 1-151.0 1079 1040 31.07% 23.29% 45.64%-0.16 +1.1 26
1949-09-07 Turun Weikot L 0-240.6 731 771 45.58% 23.29% 31.12%+0.15 -31.4 8
1949-09-07 @ TuTo W 2-040.6 771 731 31.12% 23.29% 45.58%-0.15 +31.4 15
1949-09-11 Ilves-Kissat L 1-352.1 1080 862 69.10% 21.92% 8.98%+1.98 -40.5 26
1949-09-11 @ TPS Turku W 3-152.1 862 1080 8.98% 21.92% 69.10%-1.98 +40.5 17
1949-09-17 HJK W 3-035.5 718 785 41.78% 23.30% 34.92%-0.04 +36.9 10
1949-09-17 @ HPS Helsinki L 0-335.5 785 718 34.92% 23.30% 41.78%+0.04 -36.9 13
1949-09-18 VIFK W 4-039.0 862 1039 27.10% 23.06% 49.84%-0.82 +64.3 22
1949-09-18 @ KTP L 0-439.0 1039 862 49.84% 23.06% 27.10%+0.82 -64.3 22
1949-09-18 Helsingfors L 0-140.5 700 799 37.25% 23.28% 39.47%-0.27 -14.2 8
1949-09-18 @ TuTo W 1-040.5 799 700 39.47% 23.28% 37.25%+0.27 +14.2 16
1949-09-18 KuPS W 1-031.1 1147 894 70.92% 21.57% 7.51%+2.23 +3.5 29
1949-09-18 @ VPS L 0-131.1 894 1147 7.51% 21.57% 70.92%-2.23 -3.5 16
1949-09-25 VIFK W 1-045.7 755 975 22.30% 22.84% 54.86%-1.13 +19.6 12
1949-09-25 @ HPS Helsinki L 0-145.7 975 755 54.86% 22.84% 22.30%+1.13 -19.6 22
1949-09-25 Turun Weikot L 2-454.5 903 802 60.85% 22.83% 16.33%+1.15 -31.8 17
1949-09-25 @ Ilves-Kissat W 4-254.5 802 903 16.33% 22.83% 60.85%-1.15 +31.8 17
1949-09-25 Kiffen 08 L 1-245.3 890 974 39.50% 23.29% 37.21%-0.16 -14.0 16
1949-09-25 @ KuPS W 2-145.3 974 890 37.21% 23.29% 39.50%+0.16 +14.0 26
1949-09-25 TPS Turku L 1-350.2 1150 1040 61.67% 22.77% 15.56%+1.22 -36.0 29
1949-09-25 @ VPS W 3-150.2 1040 1150 15.56% 22.77% 61.67%-1.22 +36.0 28
1949-10-01 Kiffen 08 L 2-346.7 814 988 27.42% 23.07% 49.51%-0.80 -9.9 16
1949-10-01 @ Helsingfors W 3-246.7 988 814 49.51% 23.07% 27.42%+0.80 +9.9 28
1949-10-01 TuTo W 1-029.4 1076 686 76.41% 19.92% 3.67%+3.20 +1.7 30
1949-10-01 @ TPS Turku L 0-129.4 686 1076 3.67% 19.92% 76.41%-3.20 -1.7 8
1949-10-02 Ilves-Kissat D 1-150.9 748 871 34.06% 23.23% 42.70%-0.43 +0.7 14
1949-10-02 @ HJK D 1-150.9 871 748 42.70% 23.23% 34.06%+0.43 -0.7 18
1949-10-02 KTP W 2-038.4 834 926 38.24% 23.28% 38.48%-0.22 +27.4 19
1949-10-02 @ Turun Weikot L 0-238.4 926 834 38.48% 23.28% 38.24%+0.22 -27.4 22
1949-10-16 HPS Helsinki W 3-136.6 870 774 60.45% 22.85% 16.70%+1.11 +12.0 20
1949-10-16 @ Ilves-Kissat L 1-336.6 774 870 16.70% 22.85% 60.45%-1.11 -12.0 12
1949-10-16 Turun Weikot W 2-137.4 998 861 63.78% 22.59% 13.63%+1.40 +5.8 30
1949-10-16 @ Kiffen 08 L 1-237.4 861 998 13.63% 22.59% 63.78%-1.40 -5.8 19
1949-10-16 VIFK D 2-255.8 876 955 40.16% 23.30% 36.54%-0.13 -0.2 17
1949-10-16 @ KuPS D 2-255.8 955 876 36.54% 23.30% 40.16%+0.13 +0.2 23
1949-10-16 HJK W 5-129.5 1078 749 74.23% 20.71% 5.06%+2.76 +7.1 32
1949-10-16 @ TPS Turku L 1-529.5 749 1078 5.06% 20.71% 74.23%-2.76 -7.1 14
1949-10-16 KTP W 2-135.8 1114 899 68.92% 21.95% 9.13%+1.96 +4.0 31
1949-10-16 @ VPS L 1-235.8 899 1114 9.13% 21.95% 68.92%-1.96 -4.0 22
1949-10-23 TPS Turku L 0-230.6 762 1085 13.63% 22.09% 64.28%-1.85 -11.4 12
1949-10-23 @ HPS Helsinki W 2-030.6 1085 762 64.28% 22.09% 13.63%+1.85 +11.4 34
1949-10-23 Kiffen 08 L 1-243.7 882 1004 34.18% 23.24% 42.58%-0.43 -12.5 20
1949-10-23 @ Ilves-Kissat W 2-143.7 1004 882 42.58% 23.24% 34.18%+0.43 +12.5 32
1949-10-23 HJK W 5-027.6 895 742 64.99% 22.48% 12.54%+1.52 +25.1 24
1949-10-23 @ KTP L 0-527.6 742 895 12.54% 22.48% 64.99%-1.52 -25.1 14
1949-10-23 TuTo W 7-027.9 876 684 67.56% 22.16% 10.28%+1.80 +28.7 19
1949-10-23 @ KuPS L 0-727.9 684 876 10.28% 22.16% 67.56%-1.80 -28.7 8
1949-10-23 VPS W 1-046.9 855 1118 18.27% 22.57% 59.16%-1.43 +21.1 21
1949-10-23 @ Turun Weikot L 0-146.9 1118 855 59.16% 22.57% 18.27%+1.43 -21.1 31
1949-10-23 Helsingfors W 7-131.0 956 804 64.90% 22.48% 12.62%+1.51 +24.7 25
1949-10-23 @ VIFK L 1-731.0 804 956 12.62% 22.48% 64.90%-1.51 -24.7 16
1949-10-30 VPS L 2-342.4 779 1097 13.94% 22.13% 63.94%-1.82 -5.5 16
1949-10-30 @ Helsingfors W 3-242.4 1097 779 63.94% 22.13% 13.94%+1.82 +5.5 33
1949-10-30 KuPS W 3-032.3 920 905 52.31% 23.20% 24.50%+0.54 +27.8 26
1949-10-30 @ KTP L 0-332.3 905 920 24.50% 23.20% 52.31%-0.54 -27.8 19
1949-10-30 HPS Helsinki D 3-360.5 655 751 37.84% 23.28% 38.87%-0.24 +0.1 9
1949-10-30 @ TuTo D 3-360.5 751 655 38.87% 23.28% 37.84%+0.24 -0.0 13
1949-10-30 Ilves-Kissat W 4-134.6 980 870 61.71% 22.77% 15.52%+1.22 +15.9 27
1949-10-30 @ VIFK L 1-434.6 870 980 15.52% 22.77% 61.71%-1.22 -15.9 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1949-08-07 6.83% HJK 792 1 @ VIFK 1063 0
2 1949-09-11 8.98% Ilves-Kissat 862 3 @ TPS Turku 1080 1
3 1949-06-19 10.44% KuPS 764 3 @ Kiffen 08 953 1
4 1949-09-25 15.56% TPS Turku 1040 3 @ VPS 1150 1
5 1949-09-25 16.33% Turun Weikot 802 4 @ Ilves-Kissat 903 2
6 1949-10-23 18.27% @ Turun Weikot 855 1 VPS 1118 0
7 1949-05-22 18.90% KTP 835 2 @ Ilves-Kissat 906 1
8 1949-09-25 22.30% @ HPS Helsinki 755 1 VIFK 975 0
9 1949-07-24 23.42% KuPS 814 2 @ Helsingfors 839 0
10 1949-05-07 23.72% Helsingfors 899 4 @ HJK 922 1
11 1949-08-21 24.42% Helsingfors 822 2 @ KuPS 838 1
12 1949-09-04 25.10% KuPS 827 4 @ Turun Weikot 837 0
13 1949-05-29 25.24% TuTo 826 2 @ Helsingfors 835 1
14 1949-05-22 25.69% VIFK 927 6 @ Helsingfors 931 0
15 1949-06-26 26.54% @ Kiffen 08 914 4 VPS 1096 3
16 1949-09-18 27.10% @ KTP 862 4 VIFK 1039 0
17 1949-08-03 27.12% Turun Weikot 777 3 @ HPS Helsinki 770 0
18 1949-05-08 27.35% Ilves-Kissat 890 2 @ TuTo 881 1
19 1949-07-27 28.23% KTP 820 3 @ Helsingfors 803 2
20 1949-07-26 29.15% KuPS 850 5 @ HJK 827 2
21 1949-07-31 30.53% @ Kiffen 08 930 2 VIFK 1079 1
22 1949-09-07 31.12% Turun Weikot 771 2 @ TuTo 731 0
23 1949-05-24 31.82% TPS Turku 929 3 @ HJK 884 1
24 1949-05-01 33.90% VIFK 902 3 @ Turun Weikot 841 1
25 1949-08-05 35.61% @ Helsingfors 770 3 Ilves-Kissat 882 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-05-22 96.37 VIFK 6 927 25.69% @ Helsingfors 0 931 51.09% 23.22%
2 1949-09-04 66.54 KuPS 4 827 25.10% @ Turun Weikot 0 837 51.69% 23.21%
3 1949-09-18 64.27 @ KTP 4 862 27.10% VIFK 0 1039 49.84% 23.06%
4 1949-08-03 49.09 Turun Weikot 3 777 27.12% @ HPS Helsinki 0 770 49.63% 23.25%
5 1949-05-07 44.04 Helsingfors 4 899 23.72% @ HJK 1 922 53.11% 23.17%
6 1949-08-05 41.87 @ Helsingfors 3 770 35.61% Ilves-Kissat 0 882 41.14% 23.26%
7 1949-07-22 41.57 @ HJK 6 785 48.52% Turun Weikot 1 801 28.22% 23.27%
8 1949-09-11 40.48 Ilves-Kissat 3 862 8.98% @ TPS Turku 1 1080 69.10% 21.92%
9 1949-06-06 40.47 VPS 4 1034 48.83% @ HPS Helsinki 0 865 28.08% 23.09%
10 1949-06-19 39.44 KuPS 3 764 10.44% @ Kiffen 08 1 953 67.37% 22.19%
11 1949-06-12 38.50 TPS Turku 3 955 39.80% @ KTP 0 853 36.93% 23.27%
12 1949-09-17 36.89 @ HPS Helsinki 3 718 41.78% HJK 0 785 34.92% 23.30%
13 1949-08-14 36.18 @ Ilves-Kissat 5 840 46.14% KuPS 1 875 30.57% 23.29%
14 1949-07-24 36.16 KuPS 2 814 23.42% @ Helsingfors 0 839 53.42% 23.17%
15 1949-09-25 36.02 TPS Turku 3 1040 15.56% @ VPS 1 1150 61.67% 22.77%
16 1949-05-12 35.53 @ Turun Weikot 3 809 43.41% TuTo 0 864 33.29% 23.30%
17 1949-06-03 34.94 @ Kiffen 08 6 884 54.05% HJK 1 853 22.80% 23.15%
18 1949-07-26 34.54 KuPS 5 850 29.15% @ HJK 2 827 47.58% 23.28%
19 1949-08-07 33.18 VPS 6 1110 63.53% @ TuTo 0 797 14.30% 22.17%
20 1949-09-25 31.78 Turun Weikot 4 802 16.33% @ Ilves-Kissat 2 903 60.85% 22.83%
21 1949-09-07 31.38 Turun Weikot 2 771 31.12% @ TuTo 0 731 45.58% 23.29%
22 1949-08-12 31.37 @ Kiffen 08 9 922 65.36% TuTo 1 764 12.20% 22.44%
23 1949-05-08 29.84 VPS 4 991 43.62% @ KTP 1 862 33.16% 23.22%
24 1949-10-23 28.68 @ KuPS 7 876 67.56% TuTo 0 684 10.28% 22.16%
25 1949-10-30 27.80 @ KTP 3 920 52.31% KuPS 0 905 24.50% 23.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-07-03 63.3 @ HPS Helsinki 4 769 31.35% Ilves-Kissat 4 912 45.47% 23.18%
2 1949-09-02 60.6 @ Kiffen 08 3 976 62.22% KTP 3 860 15.05% 22.73%
3 1949-05-08 60.5 @ VIFK 3 927 56.07% Kiffen 08 3 877 20.85% 23.08%
4 1949-05-18 60.5 @ Ilves-Kissat 3 907 48.24% VIFK 3 926 28.49% 23.27%
5 1949-10-30 60.5 @ TuTo 3 655 37.84% HPS Helsinki 3 751 38.87% 23.28%
6 1949-06-26 57.4 @ Kiffen 08 4 914 26.54% VPS 3 1096 50.42% 23.04%
7 1949-06-12 56.3 @ VPS 2 1074 70.92% Helsingfors 2 822 7.50% 21.57%
8 1949-08-13 56.0 @ Turun Weikot 2 826 20.92% TPS Turku 2 1060 56.32% 22.76%
9 1949-09-04 56.0 @ Ilves-Kissat 2 865 63.81% TuTo 2 728 13.60% 22.59%
10 1949-05-08 55.9 @ HPS Helsinki 2 881 57.96% KuPS 2 813 19.05% 22.99%
11 1949-05-29 55.8 @ TPS Turku 2 956 39.29% VIFK 2 1041 37.42% 23.29%
12 1949-08-10 55.8 @ VIFK 2 1037 36.38% VPS 2 1143 40.36% 23.27%
13 1949-10-16 55.8 @ KuPS 2 876 40.16% VIFK 2 955 36.54% 23.30%
14 1949-09-25 54.5 Turun Weikot 4 802 16.33% @ Ilves-Kissat 2 903 60.85% 22.83%
15 1949-07-27 53.1 KTP 3 820 28.23% @ Helsingfors 2 803 48.51% 23.27%
16 1949-09-11 52.1 Ilves-Kissat 3 862 8.98% @ TPS Turku 1 1080 69.10% 21.92%
17 1949-06-19 51.6 KuPS 3 764 10.44% @ Kiffen 08 1 953 67.37% 22.19%
18 1949-09-04 51.4 @ HJK 1 780 10.66% VPS 1 1152 67.73% 21.61%
19 1949-08-21 51.3 @ TPS Turku 1 1058 68.88% KTP 1 844 9.16% 21.96%
20 1949-08-28 51.3 @ TuTo 1 724 13.74% VIFK 1 1045 64.16% 22.10%
21 1949-06-09 51.1 @ Kiffen 08 1 932 62.07% Helsingfors 1 818 15.19% 22.74%
22 1949-05-22 51.0 @ TuTo 1 829 52.86% KuPS 1 808 23.96% 23.18%
23 1949-06-05 51.0 @ KTP 1 856 52.86% Turun Weikot 1 835 23.96% 23.18%
24 1949-06-10 51.0 @ TuTo 1 830 51.93% HJK 1 818 24.87% 23.20%
25 1949-09-04 51.0 @ VIFK 1 1040 45.64% TPS Turku 1 1079 31.07% 23.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-08-14 24.8 @ VPS 3 1143 77.40% HPS Helsinki 0 721 3.12% 19.48%
2 1949-06-26 26.6 @ TPS Turku 4 994 68.56% HPS Helsinki 0 785 9.43% 22.01%
3 1949-06-05 26.9 @ VIFK 7 1041 71.11% KuPS 0 784 7.36% 21.53%
4 1949-06-26 27.2 @ VIFK 7 1053 70.03% KTP 0 817 8.22% 21.75%
5 1949-10-23 27.6 @ KTP 5 895 64.99% HJK 0 742 12.54% 22.48%
6 1949-10-23 27.9 @ KuPS 7 876 67.56% TuTo 0 684 10.28% 22.16%
7 1949-08-07 28.5 VPS 6 1110 63.53% @ TuTo 0 797 14.30% 22.17%
8 1949-10-01 29.4 @ TPS Turku 1 1076 76.41% TuTo 0 686 3.67% 19.92%
9 1949-10-16 29.5 @ TPS Turku 5 1078 74.23% HJK 1 749 5.06% 20.71%
10 1949-08-12 30.4 @ Kiffen 08 9 922 65.36% TuTo 1 764 12.20% 22.44%
11 1949-10-23 30.6 TPS Turku 2 1085 64.28% @ HPS Helsinki 0 762 13.63% 22.09%
12 1949-07-24 30.9 @ VIFK 1 1076 71.57% TuTo 0 809 7.00% 21.43%
13 1949-10-23 31.0 @ VIFK 7 956 64.90% Helsingfors 1 804 12.62% 22.48%
14 1949-09-18 31.1 @ VPS 1 1147 70.92% KuPS 0 894 7.51% 21.57%
15 1949-05-26 31.7 VPS 3 1028 54.53% @ KuPS 0 811 22.62% 22.86%
16 1949-08-28 31.8 TPS Turku 3 1053 54.00% @ Helsingfors 0 840 23.11% 22.88%
17 1949-10-30 32.3 @ KTP 3 920 52.31% KuPS 0 905 24.50% 23.20%
18 1949-06-06 32.5 VPS 4 1034 48.83% @ HPS Helsinki 0 865 28.08% 23.09%
19 1949-05-26 32.6 @ VIFK 5 1023 64.02% HPS Helsinki 1 883 13.41% 22.57%
20 1949-06-12 32.8 VIFK 2 1062 57.08% @ HJK 0 820 20.20% 22.71%
21 1949-08-03 34.1 @ TPS Turku 5 1027 59.11% Kiffen 08 1 946 17.95% 22.93%
22 1949-08-21 34.2 @ VIFK 3 1038 68.59% Turun Weikot 1 828 9.41% 22.00%
23 1949-10-30 34.6 @ VIFK 4 980 61.71% Ilves-Kissat 1 870 15.52% 22.77%
24 1949-06-03 34.7 @ Kiffen 08 6 884 54.05% HJK 1 853 22.80% 23.15%
25 1949-05-12 35.0 @ Turun Weikot 3 809 43.41% TuTo 0 864 33.29% 23.30%