1968 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

TPS Turku

32 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1949

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

TPS Turku

5.68 points above expected

32 points · 26.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VPS

6.60 points below expected

10 points · 16.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	TPS Turku Champion	22	14	4	4	32	48	19	+29	26.32	+5.68
2	Reipas Lahti	22	11	8	3	30	45	31	+14	27.72	+2.28
3	HJK	22	11	7	4	29	51	33	+18	24.70	+4.30
4	KuPS	22	11	3	8	25	39	29	+10	25.52	-0.52
5	KPV	22	8	7	7	23	41	33	+8	21.18	+1.82
6	Kuusysi	22	10	2	10	22	41	38	+3	25.20	-3.20
7	Haka	22	7	8	7	22	31	30	+1	24.81	-2.81
8	MP Mikkeli	22	9	4	9	22	38	42	-4	18.24	+3.76
9	KTP	22	7	5	10	19	35	42	-7	22.51	-3.51
10	Porin Assat	22	6	5	11	17	38	59	-21	17.43	-0.43
11	Helsingin Ponnistus	22	5	3	14	13	28	53	-25	13.77	-0.77
12	VPS	22	2	6	14	10	14	40	-26	16.60	-6.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	TPS Turku	32	26.32	+5.68
2	HJK	29	24.70	+4.30
3	MP Mikkeli	22	18.24	+3.76
4	Reipas Lahti	30	27.72	+2.28
5	KPV	23	21.18	+1.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	VPS	10	16.60	-6.60
2	KTP	19	22.51	-3.51
3	Kuusysi	22	25.20	-3.20
4	Haka	22	24.81	-2.81
5	Helsingin Ponnistus	13	13.77	-0.77

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KTP	4	May 12 – May 30	1 in 46
2	Reipas Lahti	3	Sep 6 – Sep 22	1 in 14
3	HJK	3	Aug 11 – Aug 25	1 in 14
4	MP Mikkeli	3	Sep 22 – Oct 6	1 in 14
5	Helsingin Ponnistus	1	Jun 13 – Jun 13	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	5	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 34
2	Kuusysi	3	May 26 – Jun 9	1 in 25
3	Helsingin Ponnistus	5	Jul 28 – Aug 25	1 in 14
4	HJK	2	May 30 – Jun 9	1 in 14
5	MP Mikkeli	4	Aug 25 – Sep 15	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	5	Aug 4 – Sep 1	1 in 73
2	HJK	9	Aug 11 – Oct 6	1 in 45
3	Reipas Lahti	11	Apr 28 – Jul 7	1 in 21
4	KPV	5	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 13
5	TPS Turku	6	Jul 28 – Sep 1	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HJK	5	May 12 – Jun 9	1 in 42
2	KTP	6	Aug 11 – Sep 15	1 in 38
3	Haka	6	Jun 30 – Aug 21	1 in 35
4	VPS	8	Jun 9 – Aug 11	1 in 11
5	Reipas Lahti	3	Jun 30 – Jul 28	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
TPS Turku	1248	32	+12	7	6.6	+0.4
Reipas Lahti	1222	30	-6	7	5.7	+1.3
HJK	1214	29	+44	8	5.6	+2.4
KuPS	1179	25	-18	4	5.8	-1.8
KPV	1116	23	+2	4	4.9	-0.9
Kuusysi	1153	22	-9	6	5.4	+0.6
MP Mikkeli	1074	22	+15	6	4.5	+1.5
Haka	1163	22	+10	6	5.1	+0.9
KTP	1086	19	-11	3	5.0	-2.0
Porin Assat	998	17	-1	5	4.4	+0.6
Helsingin Ponnistus	933	13	-3	4	3.4	+0.6
VPS	959	10	-34	0	3.6	-3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HAK	HP	KPV	KTP	KUP	KUU	MM	PA	RL	TT	VPS
HJK	—	1-1-0 2.61	1-1-0 4.23	1-0-1 3.33	0-1-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 3.55	0-2-0 3.72	1-1-0 2.27	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.84
Haka	0-1-1 2.89	—	1-0-1 4.27	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.29	0-0-2 2.79	2-0-0 2.73	0-2-0 3.61	0-2-0 3.74	0-2-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 3.88
Helsingin Ponnistus	0-1-1 1.33	1-0-1 1.30	—	0-1-1 1.88	2-0-0 1.60	0-0-2 1.44	0-0-2 1.43	0-0-2 2.01	0-0-2 2.17	0-0-2 1.17	0-1-1 1.25	2-0-0 2.41
KPV	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.31	1-1-0 3.65	—	0-2-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 3.09	2-0-0 3.19	0-2-0 1.88	1-1-0 1.93	0-1-1 3.47
KTP	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 3.94	0-2-0 2.85	—	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 3.51
KuPS	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 2.72	2-0-0 4.11	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 3.35	—	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.75	0-1-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 3.91
Kuusysi	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.78	2-0-0 4.12	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.82	—	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.76	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.93
MP Mikkeli	1-0-1 1.98	0-2-0 1.91	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 1.94	1-0-1 2.01	—	2-0-0 3.08	0-1-1 1.64	0-0-2 2.09	1-1-0 3.07
Porin Assat	0-2-0 1.82	0-2-0 1.79	2-0-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.78	1-0-1 1.77	0-0-2 2.43	—	0-0-2 1.63	0-0-2 1.53	2-0-0 2.92
Reipas Lahti	0-1-1 3.24	0-2-0 3.08	2-0-0 4.41	0-2-0 3.65	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.90	—	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 4.20
TPS Turku	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 4.33	0-1-1 3.59	1-1-0 3.44	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.43	2-0-0 4.01	1-0-1 2.61	—	1-1-0 3.83
VPS	0-0-2 1.69	0-1-1 1.66	0-0-2 3.10	1-1-0 2.05	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 1.61	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.59	0-0-2 1.37	0-1-1 1.71	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+6.0
Allowed	0.55	-4.5
Differential	0.94	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.68%	4.92%	2.65%	1.52%	1.89%	25.00%
1	5.68%	7.58%	4.92%	4.17%	1.89%	1.89%	26.14%
2	4.92%	4.92%	6.82%	3.79%	3.03%	1.52%	25.00%
3	2.65%	4.17%	3.79%	—	0.38%	—	10.98%
4	1.52%	1.89%	3.03%	0.38%	0.76%	—	7.58%
5+	1.89%	1.89%	1.52%	—	—	—	5.30%
Total	25.00%	26.14%	25.00%	10.98%	7.58%	5.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	1.70	+0.00
SD	1.54	1.54	2.29
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.50	+0.82
SD	1.89	1.41	2.34
CV	0.81	0.94	—
Max	7	6	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.36	+0.05
SD	1.50	1.09	1.59
CV	1.07	0.80	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	2.41	-1.14
SD	1.24	1.92	2.59
CV	0.98	0.80	—
Max	5	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	36.36%	—	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.50	+0.36
SD	1.73	1.30	2.22
CV	0.93	0.87	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	40.91%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.91	-0.32
SD	1.37	1.66	1.99
CV	0.86	0.87	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	40.91%	22.73%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.32	+0.45
SD	1.74	1.49	2.61
CV	0.98	1.13	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
3	—	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	4.55%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.73	+0.14
SD	1.36	1.39	2.01
CV	0.73	0.80	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.91	-0.18
SD	1.88	2.00	3.02
CV	1.09	1.05	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.68	-0.95
SD	1.42	1.36	2.06
CV	0.82	0.51	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	1	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
2	—	13.64%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	31.82%	31.82%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.41	+0.64
SD	1.21	1.53	1.99
CV	0.59	1.09	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	45.45%	31.82%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	0.86	+1.32
SD	1.74	0.99	2.10
CV	0.80	1.15	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	45.45%
1	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.82	-1.18
SD	0.66	1.56	1.50
CV	1.03	0.86	—
Max	2	6	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
TPS Turku	1248	32	26.32	+5.68	96.0%	18	20	24	26	29	32	36
Reipas Lahti	1222	30	27.72	+2.28	79.0%	16	21	25	28	30	34	37
HJK	1214	29	24.70	+4.30	89.0%	14	18	22	25	27	32	39
KuPS	1179	25	25.52	-0.52	53.0%	17	19	23	25	28	32	35
Haka	1163	22	24.81	-2.81	25.0%	16	19	22	24	27	32	34
Kuusysi	1153	22	25.20	-3.20	22.0%	16	18	23	25	27	33	34
KPV	1116	23	21.18	+1.82	76.0%	12	15	18	21	23	28	30
KTP	1086	19	22.51	-3.51	19.0%	10	16	20	22	26	28	30
MP Mikkeli	1074	22	18.24	+3.76	85.0%	10	12	16	18	21	24	28
Porin Assat	998	17	17.43	-0.43	49.0%	8	11	14	18	20	23	26
VPS	959	10	16.60	-6.60	3.0%	8	11	14	16	19	22	24
Helsingin Ponnistus	933	13	13.77	-0.77	49.0%	7	9	12	14	15	20	22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.94%

Clear Edge

47.73%23.48%28.79%

Elo Value

Home Edge

159 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

066.61400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.45 goals

Neutral

-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.2

Wide Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

TPS Turku, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.54 * Lucky: 4.54 to 6.05 * Wild Swing: 6.05 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.02 * Way Off: 3.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.52 points

Some Luck

03.789

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

01.894

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

TPS Turku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

VPS

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 104.62

1.61

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

68%

Slight Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Clear Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Some Drama

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Notable Separation

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.68

Near-Lock

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Upset-Prone

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.67

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.13

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.1410.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
TPS Turku	21.00%	19.00%	18.00%	14.00%	12.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Reipas Lahti	30.00%	26.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
HJK	9.00%	9.00%	16.00%	17.00%	15.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
KuPS	14.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	16.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
KPV	1.00%	2.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	14.00%	12.00%	15.00%	20.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—
Kuusysi	13.00%	11.00%	7.00%	16.00%	13.00%	18.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Haka	11.00%	9.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	—
MP Mikkeli	—	3.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	21.00%	21.00%	17.00%	8.00%
KTP	1.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	15.00%	19.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Porin Assat	—	—	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	20.00%	22.00%	17.00%
Helsingin Ponnistus	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	13.00%	26.00%	52.00%
VPS	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	13.00%	5.00%	12.00%	22.00%	27.00%	20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Haka	100%	—
KuPS	100%	—
Kuusysi	100%	—
Reipas Lahti	100%	—
TPS Turku	100%	—
HJK	98.00%	2.00%
KPV	96.00%	4.00%
KTP	95.00%	5.00%
MP Mikkeli	75.00%	25.00%
Porin Assat	61.00%	39.00%
VPS	53.00%	47.00%
Helsingin Ponnistus	22.00%	78.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1968-04-28	VPS	W 2-0	31.2	1162	1035	63.45%	22.92%	13.63%	+1.22	+4.7	2
1968-04-28	@ HJK	L 0-2	31.2	1035	1162	13.63%	22.92%	63.45%	-1.22	-4.7	0
1968-04-28	KuPS	W 3-1	43.8	1074	1176	37.21%	24.83%	37.96%	-0.23	+9.6	2
1968-04-28	@ KPV	L 1-3	43.8	1176	1074	37.96%	24.83%	37.21%	+0.23	-9.6	0
1968-04-28	Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	42.5	1116	1193	40.75%	24.90%	34.35%	-0.07	-14.4	0
1968-04-28	@ KTP	W 4-1	42.5	1193	1116	34.35%	24.90%	40.75%	+0.07	+14.4	2
1968-04-28	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-2	40.9	1177	956	70.45%	20.81%	8.74%	+1.81	+1.4	2
1968-04-28	@ Kuusysi	L 2-3	40.9	956	1177	8.74%	20.81%	70.45%	-1.81	-1.4	0
1968-04-28	TPS Turku	L 0-1	41.9	1059	1158	37.68%	24.84%	37.48%	-0.21	-5.8	0
1968-04-28	@ MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	41.9	1158	1059	37.48%	24.84%	37.68%	+0.21	+5.9	2
1968-04-28	Haka	D 4-4	63.2	1048	1191	31.84%	24.59%	43.57%	-0.48	+0.2	1
1968-04-28	@ Porin Assat	D 4-4	63.2	1191	1048	43.57%	24.59%	31.84%	+0.48	-0.2	1
1968-05-05	KTP	W 1-0	35.1	1190	1101	60.10%	23.60%	16.30%	+0.98	+2.9	3
1968-05-05	@ Haka	L 0-1	35.1	1101	1190	16.30%	23.60%	60.10%	-0.98	-2.9	0
1968-05-05	KPV	D 2-2	56.5	955	1083	33.68%	24.69%	41.62%	-0.39	+0.2	1
1968-05-05	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 2-2	56.5	1083	955	41.62%	24.69%	33.68%	+0.39	-0.2	3
1968-05-05	Kuusysi	W 1-0	38.4	1166	1178	49.26%	24.74%	26.00%	+0.34	+4.4	2
1968-05-05	@ KuPS	L 0-1	38.4	1178	1166	26.00%	24.74%	49.26%	-0.34	-4.4	2
1968-05-05	Porin Assat	W 3-1	35.2	1207	1049	66.00%	22.27%	11.73%	+1.42	+3.5	4
1968-05-05	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	35.2	1049	1207	11.73%	22.27%	66.00%	-1.42	-3.5	1
1968-05-05	HJK	L 1-3	47.6	1164	1167	50.42%	24.67%	24.91%	+0.41	-12.1	2
1968-05-05	@ TPS Turku	W 3-1	47.6	1167	1164	24.91%	24.67%	50.42%	-0.41	+12.1	4
1968-05-05	MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	44.9	1030	1053	47.90%	24.80%	27.30%	+0.27	-7.1	0
1968-05-05	@ VPS	W 1-0	44.9	1053	1030	27.30%	24.80%	47.90%	-0.27	+7.1	2
1968-05-12	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	49.0	1193	1060	63.95%	22.80%	13.25%	+1.26	-2.0	4
1968-05-12	@ Haka	D 0-0	49.0	1060	1193	13.25%	22.80%	63.95%	-1.26	+2.0	3
1968-05-12	Kuusysi	D 1-1	52.0	1179	1174	51.25%	24.62%	24.13%	+0.45	-0.9	5
1968-05-12	@ HJK	D 1-1	52.0	1174	1179	24.13%	24.62%	51.25%	-0.45	+0.9	3
1968-05-12	Porin Assat	W 6-2	36.6	1098	1045	56.58%	24.12%	19.30%	+0.76	+8.7	2
1968-05-12	@ KTP	L 2-6	36.6	1045	1098	19.30%	24.12%	56.58%	-0.76	-8.6	1
1968-05-12	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 5-0	25.8	1171	955	70.12%	20.93%	8.95%	+1.78	+7.2	4
1968-05-12	@ KuPS	L 0-5	25.8	955	1171	8.95%	20.93%	70.12%	-1.78	-7.2	1
1968-05-12	KPV	D 0-0	49.0	1211	1083	63.52%	22.91%	13.57%	+1.23	-1.9	5
1968-05-12	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.0	1083	1211	13.57%	22.91%	63.52%	-1.23	+1.9	4
1968-05-12	TPS Turku	L 1-2	44.9	1023	1152	33.58%	24.69%	41.73%	-0.39	-5.0	0
1968-05-12	@ VPS	W 2-1	44.9	1152	1023	41.73%	24.69%	33.58%	+0.39	+5.0	4
1968-05-19	Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	29.5	948	1209	19.06%	22.91%	58.03%	-1.22	-11.9	1
1968-05-19	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 4-0	29.5	1209	948	58.03%	22.91%	19.06%	+1.22	+11.9	7
1968-05-19	HJK	W 4-2	47.6	1085	1178	38.57%	24.86%	36.57%	-0.17	+8.4	6
1968-05-19	@ KPV	L 2-4	47.6	1178	1085	36.57%	24.86%	38.57%	+0.17	-8.4	5
1968-05-19	VPS	W 5-0	27.1	1175	1018	65.87%	22.31%	11.83%	+1.41	+9.6	5
1968-05-19	@ Kuusysi	L 0-5	27.1	1018	1175	11.83%	22.31%	65.87%	-1.41	-9.6	0
1968-05-19	KTP	L 0-3	39.0	1062	1107	45.14%	24.88%	29.98%	+0.14	-18.5	3
1968-05-19	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-0	39.0	1107	1062	29.98%	24.88%	45.14%	-0.14	+18.5	4
1968-05-19	KuPS	D 1-1	51.9	1036	1178	31.91%	24.59%	43.50%	-0.47	+0.4	2
1968-05-19	@ Porin Assat	D 1-1	51.9	1178	1036	43.50%	24.59%	31.91%	+0.47	-0.4	5
1968-05-19	Haka	W 1-0	39.3	1157	1191	46.49%	24.84%	28.67%	+0.20	+4.7	6
1968-05-19	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	39.3	1191	1157	28.67%	24.84%	46.49%	-0.20	-4.7	4
1968-05-26	Helsingin Ponnistus	D 0-0	49.6	1169	936	71.28%	20.48%	8.23%	+1.89	-2.5	6
1968-05-26	@ HJK	D 0-0	49.6	936	1169	8.23%	20.48%	71.28%	-1.89	+2.5	2
1968-05-26	Porin Assat	W 3-1	37.9	1093	1037	56.91%	24.08%	19.01%	+0.78	+5.5	8
1968-05-26	@ KPV	L 1-3	37.9	1037	1093	19.01%	24.08%	56.91%	-0.78	-5.5	2
1968-05-26	VPS	W 2-1	38.6	1125	1009	62.60%	23.11%	14.29%	+1.16	+2.5	6
1968-05-26	@ KTP	L 1-2	38.6	1009	1125	14.29%	23.11%	62.60%	-1.16	-2.5	0
1968-05-26	Haka	L 0-1	45.8	1184	1187	50.46%	24.67%	24.87%	+0.41	-7.4	5
1968-05-26	@ Kuusysi	W 1-0	45.8	1187	1184	24.87%	24.67%	50.46%	-0.41	+7.4	6
1968-05-26	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	48.5	1044	1221	27.57%	24.24%	48.20%	-0.70	+0.7	4
1968-05-26	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.5	1221	1044	48.20%	24.24%	27.57%	+0.70	-0.7	8
1968-05-26	KuPS	W 3-0	33.5	1162	1178	48.79%	24.76%	26.45%	+0.32	+12.2	8
1968-05-26	@ TPS Turku	L 0-3	33.5	1178	1162	26.45%	24.76%	48.79%	-0.32	-12.2	5
1968-05-30	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	35.6	1194	939	72.68%	19.90%	7.42%	+2.03	+1.3	8
1968-05-30	@ Haka	L 1-2	35.6	939	1194	7.42%	19.90%	72.68%	-2.03	-1.3	2
1968-05-30	KTP	L 0-1	47.0	1167	1128	55.10%	24.29%	20.61%	+0.67	-8.1	6
1968-05-30	@ HJK	W 1-0	47.0	1128	1167	20.61%	24.29%	55.10%	-0.67	+8.0	8
1968-05-30	MP Mikkeli	W 2-1	38.5	1165	1045	62.94%	23.04%	14.02%	+1.18	+2.4	7
1968-05-30	@ KuPS	L 1-2	38.5	1045	1165	14.02%	23.04%	62.94%	-1.18	-2.4	4
1968-05-30	Kuusysi	W 4-3	56.0	1031	1177	31.38%	24.56%	44.07%	-0.50	+5.8	4
1968-05-30	@ Porin Assat	L 3-4	56.0	1177	1031	44.07%	24.56%	31.38%	+0.50	-5.8	5
1968-05-30	TPS Turku	W 1-0	36.5	1220	1174	55.82%	24.21%	19.97%	+0.71	+3.5	10
1968-05-30	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	36.5	1174	1220	19.97%	24.21%	55.82%	-0.71	-3.5	8
1968-05-30	KPV	W 1-0	41.5	1006	1099	38.61%	24.86%	36.53%	-0.16	+5.7	2
1968-05-30	@ VPS	L 0-1	41.5	1099	1006	36.53%	24.86%	38.61%	+0.16	-5.7	8
1968-06-09	VPS	D 1-1	52.8	1195	1012	67.87%	21.71%	10.42%	+1.58	-2.0	9
1968-06-09	@ Haka	D 1-1	52.8	1012	1195	10.42%	21.71%	67.87%	-1.58	+2.0	3
1968-06-09	Porin Assat	L 2-3	50.7	937	1037	37.61%	24.84%	37.55%	-0.21	-5.2	2
1968-06-09	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-2	50.7	1037	937	37.55%	24.84%	37.61%	+0.21	+5.2	6
1968-06-09	KTP	D 2-2	56.5	1093	1136	45.36%	24.87%	29.77%	+0.15	-0.4	9
1968-06-09	@ KPV	D 2-2	56.5	1136	1093	29.77%	24.87%	45.36%	-0.15	+0.4	9
1968-06-09	HJK	W 3-1	44.4	1042	1159	35.23%	24.76%	40.01%	-0.32	+10.0	6
1968-06-09	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-3	44.4	1159	1042	40.01%	24.76%	35.23%	+0.32	-10.0	6
1968-06-09	KuPS	D 0-0	48.7	1223	1168	56.82%	24.09%	19.09%	+0.77	-1.4	11
1968-06-09	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	48.7	1168	1223	19.09%	24.09%	56.82%	-0.77	+1.4	8
1968-06-09	Kuusysi	W 3-1	39.9	1170	1171	50.61%	24.66%	24.73%	+0.42	+6.9	10
1968-06-09	@ TPS Turku	L 1-3	39.9	1171	1170	24.73%	24.66%	50.61%	-0.42	-6.9	5
1968-06-12	Haka	W 2-0	36.8	1149	1193	45.18%	24.88%	29.94%	+0.14	+9.3	8
1968-06-12	@ HJK	L 0-2	36.8	1193	1149	29.94%	24.88%	45.18%	-0.14	-9.3	9
1968-06-13	Helsingin Ponnistus	L 2-5	53.2	1136	932	69.34%	21.22%	9.45%	+1.71	-19.9	9
1968-06-13	@ KTP	W 5-2	53.2	932	1136	9.45%	21.22%	69.34%	-1.71	+19.9	4
1968-06-13	Kuusysi	D 2-2	56.9	1222	1164	57.04%	24.06%	18.90%	+0.78	-1.0	12
1968-06-13	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.9	1164	1222	18.90%	24.06%	57.04%	-0.78	+0.9	6
1968-06-13	Porin Assat	W 5-1	31.8	1177	1042	64.13%	22.76%	13.11%	+1.27	+7.2	12
1968-06-13	@ TPS Turku	L 1-5	31.8	1042	1177	13.11%	22.76%	64.13%	-1.27	-7.1	6
1968-06-13	KuPS	D 1-1	51.9	1014	1169	30.14%	24.47%	45.39%	-0.56	+0.5	4
1968-06-13	@ VPS	D 1-1	51.9	1169	1014	45.39%	24.47%	30.14%	+0.56	-0.5	9
1968-06-16	KPV	W 4-0	33.2	1052	1093	45.68%	24.86%	29.46%	+0.16	+17.3	8
1968-06-16	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-4	33.2	1093	1052	29.46%	24.86%	45.68%	-0.16	-17.4	9
1968-06-24	KPV	W 4-1	34.2	1184	1075	61.87%	23.26%	14.86%	+1.11	+6.2	11
1968-06-24	@ Haka	L 1-4	34.2	1075	1184	14.86%	23.26%	61.87%	-1.11	-6.2	9
1968-06-24	TPS Turku	D 1-1	52.2	952	1185	21.64%	23.43%	54.94%	-1.05	+1.1	5
1968-06-24	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 1-1	52.2	1185	952	54.94%	23.43%	21.64%	+1.05	-1.1	13
1968-06-24	KTP	W 4-2	42.2	1169	1116	56.50%	24.13%	19.37%	+0.75	+5.0	11
1968-06-24	@ KuPS	L 2-4	42.2	1116	1169	19.37%	24.13%	56.50%	-0.75	-5.0	9
1968-06-24	MP Mikkeli	W 4-0	28.7	1165	1069	60.73%	23.48%	15.79%	+1.02	+10.2	8
1968-06-24	@ Kuusysi	L 0-4	28.7	1069	1165	15.79%	23.48%	60.73%	-1.02	-10.2	8
1968-06-24	HJK	D 1-1	51.9	1035	1158	34.37%	24.73%	40.90%	-0.36	+0.2	7
1968-06-24	@ Porin Assat	D 1-1	51.9	1158	1035	40.90%	24.73%	34.37%	+0.36	-0.2	9
1968-06-24	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	41.8	1014	1221	24.23%	23.84%	51.93%	-0.88	-3.9	4
1968-06-24	@ VPS	W 2-1	41.8	1221	1014	51.93%	23.84%	24.23%	+0.88	+3.9	14
1968-06-30	MP Mikkeli	L 1-2	45.8	953	1059	36.70%	24.82%	38.48%	-0.25	-5.4	5
1968-06-30	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	45.8	1059	953	38.48%	24.82%	36.70%	+0.25	+5.4	10
1968-06-30	Kuusysi	W 2-0	39.3	1069	1176	36.65%	24.81%	38.54%	-0.25	+11.2	11
1968-06-30	@ KPV	L 0-2	39.3	1176	1069	38.54%	24.81%	36.65%	+0.25	-11.2	8
1968-06-30	TPS Turku	D 1-1	51.9	1111	1183	41.48%	24.90%	33.62%	-0.03	-0.2	10
1968-06-30	@ KTP	D 1-1	51.9	1183	1111	33.62%	24.90%	41.48%	+0.03	+0.2	14
1968-06-30	Haka	W 1-0	38.6	1174	1190	48.73%	24.76%	26.51%	+0.32	+4.5	13
1968-06-30	@ KuPS	L 0-1	38.6	1190	1174	26.51%	24.76%	48.73%	-0.32	-4.5	11
1968-06-30	VPS	W 2-1	41.3	1035	1010	53.56%	24.44%	22.00%	+0.58	+3.6	9
1968-06-30	@ Porin Assat	L 1-2	41.3	1010	1035	22.00%	24.44%	53.56%	-0.58	-3.6	4
1968-06-30	HJK	D 2-2	56.9	1225	1158	57.97%	23.93%	18.09%	+0.84	-1.0	15
1968-06-30	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.9	1158	1225	18.09%	23.93%	57.97%	-0.84	+1.0	10
1968-07-07	Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.7	1186	1224	45.98%	24.86%	29.16%	+0.18	-0.4	12
1968-07-07	@ Haka	D 2-2	56.7	1224	1186	29.16%	24.86%	45.98%	-0.18	+0.4	16
1968-07-07	KuPS	W 5-1	36.7	1159	1178	48.36%	24.78%	26.86%	+0.30	+13.4	12
1968-07-07	@ HJK	L 1-5	36.7	1178	1159	26.86%	24.78%	48.36%	-0.30	-13.4	13
1968-07-07	KTP	W 2-0	33.3	1164	1111	56.58%	24.12%	19.30%	+0.76	+6.5	10
1968-07-07	@ Kuusysi	L 0-2	33.3	1111	1164	19.30%	24.12%	56.58%	-0.76	-6.4	10
1968-07-07	Porin Assat	W 4-2	43.0	1065	1039	53.65%	24.43%	21.92%	+0.58	+5.6	12
1968-07-07	@ MP Mikkeli	L 2-4	43.0	1039	1065	21.92%	24.43%	53.65%	-0.58	-5.6	9
1968-07-07	KPV	L 0-2	45.7	1184	1080	61.41%	23.36%	15.24%	+1.07	-16.8	14
1968-07-07	@ TPS Turku	W 2-0	45.7	1080	1184	15.24%	23.36%	61.41%	-1.07	+16.8	13
1968-07-07	Helsingin Ponnistus	L 0-2	44.6	1007	948	57.18%	24.04%	18.78%	+0.79	-15.7	4
1968-07-07	@ VPS	W 2-0	44.6	948	1007	18.78%	24.04%	57.18%	-0.79	+15.7	7
1968-07-28	Porin Assat	D 1-1	52.6	1185	1033	65.49%	22.41%	12.10%	+1.38	-1.9	13
1968-07-28	@ Haka	D 1-1	52.6	1033	1185	12.10%	22.41%	65.49%	-1.38	+1.9	10
1968-07-28	Kuusysi	L 0-1	37.5	963	1171	24.17%	23.83%	52.00%	-0.89	-4.1	7
1968-07-28	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 1-0	37.5	1171	963	52.00%	23.83%	24.17%	+0.89	+4.1	12
1968-07-28	KPV	W 1-0	35.7	1165	1097	58.05%	23.92%	18.03%	+0.85	+3.2	15
1968-07-28	@ KuPS	L 0-1	35.7	1097	1165	18.03%	23.92%	58.05%	-0.85	-3.2	13
1968-07-28	KTP	L 1-2	53.2	1224	1105	62.82%	23.06%	14.11%	+1.17	-8.6	16
1968-07-28	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	53.2	1105	1224	14.11%	23.06%	62.82%	-1.17	+8.6	12
1968-07-28	MP Mikkeli	W 6-0	29.1	1167	1070	60.79%	23.47%	15.73%	+1.03	+14.9	16
1968-07-28	@ TPS Turku	L 0-6	29.1	1070	1167	15.73%	23.47%	60.79%	-1.03	-14.9	12
1968-07-28	HJK	L 2-6	38.9	991	1172	27.05%	24.18%	48.77%	-0.72	-11.4	4
1968-07-28	@ VPS	W 6-2	38.9	1172	991	48.77%	24.18%	27.05%	+0.72	+11.4	14
1968-08-04	TPS Turku	L 1-6	43.0	1184	1182	50.93%	24.64%	24.42%	+0.43	-27.4	14
1968-08-04	@ HJK	W 6-1	43.0	1182	1184	24.42%	24.64%	50.93%	-0.43	+27.4	18
1968-08-04	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-2	42.8	1094	959	64.08%	22.77%	13.15%	+1.27	+2.2	15
1968-08-04	@ KPV	L 2-3	42.8	959	1094	13.15%	22.77%	64.08%	-1.27	-2.1	7
1968-08-04	Haka	W 3-1	42.5	1113	1183	41.73%	24.90%	33.37%	-0.02	+8.7	14
1968-08-04	@ KTP	L 1-3	42.5	1183	1113	33.37%	24.90%	41.73%	+0.02	-8.7	13
1968-08-04	KuPS	W 3-2	46.7	1175	1168	51.50%	24.60%	23.89%	+0.46	+3.7	14
1968-08-04	@ Kuusysi	L 2-3	46.7	1168	1175	23.89%	24.60%	51.50%	-0.46	-3.7	15
1968-08-04	VPS	D 0-0	48.6	1055	980	58.82%	23.81%	17.38%	+0.90	-1.6	13
1968-08-04	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.6	980	1055	17.38%	23.81%	58.82%	-0.90	+1.6	5
1968-08-04	Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	33.5	1035	1216	27.14%	24.19%	48.67%	-0.72	-12.3	10
1968-08-04	@ Porin Assat	W 3-0	33.5	1216	1035	48.67%	24.19%	27.14%	+0.72	+12.3	18
1968-08-11	KuPS	L 0-7	32.4	957	1164	24.19%	23.83%	51.98%	-0.89	-24.8	7
1968-08-11	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 7-0	32.4	1164	957	51.98%	23.83%	24.19%	+0.89	+24.8	17
1968-08-11	Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.7	1096	1228	33.16%	24.66%	42.18%	-0.41	+0.2	16
1968-08-11	@ KPV	D 2-2	56.7	1228	1096	42.18%	24.66%	33.16%	+0.41	-0.2	19
1968-08-11	HJK	L 1-2	50.8	1179	1156	53.25%	24.47%	22.28%	+0.56	-7.4	14
1968-08-11	@ Kuusysi	W 2-1	50.8	1156	1179	22.28%	24.47%	53.25%	-0.56	+7.4	16
1968-08-11	Haka	D 0-0	48.4	1054	1175	34.65%	24.74%	40.62%	-0.34	+0.2	14
1968-08-11	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.4	1175	1054	40.62%	24.74%	34.65%	+0.34	-0.2	14
1968-08-11	KTP	W 4-2	47.8	1023	1122	37.69%	24.84%	37.47%	-0.21	+8.5	12
1968-08-11	@ Porin Assat	L 2-4	47.8	1122	1023	37.47%	24.84%	37.69%	+0.21	-8.5	14
1968-08-11	VPS	D 0-0	49.6	1209	981	70.93%	20.62%	8.45%	+1.86	-2.5	19
1968-08-11	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	49.6	981	1209	8.45%	20.62%	70.93%	-1.86	+2.5	6
1968-08-21	TPS Turku	L 0-3	39.7	1175	1207	46.76%	24.84%	28.41%	+0.22	-19.1	14
1968-08-21	@ Haka	W 3-0	39.7	1207	1175	28.41%	24.84%	46.76%	-0.22	+19.1	21
1968-08-21	KPV	W 2-1	40.0	1164	1096	58.03%	23.92%	18.05%	+0.85	+3.0	18
1968-08-21	@ HJK	L 1-2	40.0	1096	1164	18.05%	23.92%	58.03%	-0.85	-3.0	16
1968-08-21	MP Mikkeli	L 2-5	50.4	1114	1054	57.23%	24.03%	18.73%	+0.80	-16.7	14
1968-08-21	@ KTP	W 5-2	50.4	1054	1114	18.73%	24.03%	57.23%	-0.80	+16.7	16
1968-08-21	Porin Assat	W 3-0	28.3	1189	1031	65.94%	22.29%	11.77%	+1.42	+5.9	19
1968-08-21	@ KuPS	L 0-3	28.3	1031	1189	11.77%	22.29%	65.94%	-1.42	-5.9	12
1968-08-21	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	34.9	1228	932	75.06%	18.81%	6.14%	+2.28	+1.0	21
1968-08-21	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	34.9	932	1228	6.14%	18.81%	75.06%	-2.28	-1.0	7
1968-08-21	Kuusysi	W 1-0	45.2	984	1171	26.35%	24.11%	49.55%	-0.76	+7.3	8
1968-08-21	@ VPS	L 0-1	45.2	1171	984	49.55%	24.11%	26.35%	+0.76	-7.3	14
1968-08-25	Kuusysi	W 4-2	44.3	1155	1164	49.69%	24.71%	25.59%	+0.37	+6.3	16
1968-08-25	@ Haka	L 2-4	44.3	1164	1155	25.59%	24.71%	49.69%	-0.37	-6.3	14
1968-08-25	HJK	L 2-3	45.4	931	1167	21.36%	23.38%	55.26%	-1.06	-3.3	7
1968-08-25	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-2	45.4	1167	931	55.26%	23.38%	21.36%	+1.06	+3.3	20
1968-08-25	TPS Turku	L 0-1	44.9	1195	1226	46.94%	24.83%	28.23%	+0.23	-7.0	19
1968-08-25	@ KuPS	W 1-0	44.9	1226	1195	28.23%	24.83%	46.94%	-0.23	+7.0	23
1968-08-25	KPV	L 0-4	37.0	1025	1093	42.07%	24.90%	33.03%	-0.01	-22.8	12
1968-08-25	@ Porin Assat	W 4-0	37.0	1093	1025	33.03%	24.90%	42.07%	+0.01	+22.8	18
1968-08-25	MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	35.2	1229	1071	65.97%	22.28%	11.75%	+1.42	+3.5	23
1968-08-25	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	35.2	1071	1229	11.75%	22.28%	65.97%	-1.42	-3.5	16
1968-08-25	KTP	D 1-1	51.8	991	1097	36.75%	24.82%	38.43%	-0.25	+0.1	9
1968-08-25	@ VPS	D 1-1	51.8	1097	991	38.43%	24.82%	36.75%	+0.25	-0.0	15
1968-09-01	Haka	W 1-0	46.6	928	1162	21.52%	23.41%	55.08%	-1.05	+8.0	9
1968-09-01	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	L 0-1	46.6	1162	928	55.08%	23.41%	21.52%	+1.05	-8.0	16
1968-09-01	VPS	D 0-0	48.9	1116	991	63.28%	22.96%	13.76%	+1.21	-1.9	19
1968-09-01	@ KPV	D 0-0	48.9	991	1116	13.76%	22.96%	63.28%	-1.21	+1.9	10
1968-09-01	HJK	D 0-0	48.4	1097	1170	41.31%	24.90%	33.79%	-0.04	-0.3	16
1968-09-01	@ KTP	D 0-0	48.4	1170	1097	33.79%	24.90%	41.31%	+0.04	+0.3	21
1968-09-01	Porin Assat	W 2-0	30.5	1158	1003	65.72%	22.35%	11.93%	+1.40	+4.1	16
1968-09-01	@ Kuusysi	L 0-2	30.5	1003	1158	11.93%	22.35%	65.72%	-1.40	-4.1	12
1968-09-01	KuPS	L 1-3	42.8	1067	1188	34.65%	24.74%	40.61%	-0.34	-8.9	16
1968-09-01	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	42.8	1188	1067	40.61%	24.74%	34.65%	+0.34	+9.0	21
1968-09-01	Reipas Lahti	W 3-2	47.1	1233	1232	50.74%	24.65%	24.61%	+0.42	+3.8	25
1968-09-01	@ TPS Turku	L 2-3	47.1	1232	1233	24.61%	24.65%	50.74%	-0.42	-3.8	23
1968-09-06	MP Mikkeli	W 4-2	40.5	1170	1058	62.18%	23.20%	14.62%	+1.13	+3.9	23
1968-09-06	@ HJK	L 2-4	40.5	1058	1170	14.62%	23.20%	62.18%	-1.13	-3.9	16
1968-09-06	KPV	D 0-0	48.4	1097	1114	48.58%	24.77%	26.65%	+0.31	-0.8	17
1968-09-06	@ KTP	D 0-0	48.4	1114	1097	26.65%	24.77%	48.58%	-0.31	+0.8	20
1968-09-06	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	49.1	1197	1229	46.82%	24.83%	28.34%	+0.22	-6.6	21
1968-09-06	@ KuPS	W 2-1	49.1	1229	1197	28.34%	24.83%	46.82%	-0.22	+6.6	25
1968-09-06	TPS Turku	W 3-2	49.9	1162	1236	41.10%	24.90%	34.00%	-0.05	+4.8	18
1968-09-06	@ Kuusysi	L 2-3	49.9	1236	1162	34.00%	24.90%	41.10%	+0.05	-4.8	25
1968-09-06	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 4-1	35.4	999	936	57.52%	23.99%	18.48%	+0.81	+7.6	14
1968-09-06	@ Porin Assat	L 1-4	35.4	936	999	18.48%	23.99%	57.52%	-0.81	-7.6	9
1968-09-06	Haka	L 0-3	34.2	993	1154	29.49%	24.41%	46.10%	-0.59	-13.2	10
1968-09-06	@ VPS	W 3-0	34.2	1154	993	46.10%	24.41%	29.49%	+0.59	+13.2	18
1968-09-15	HJK	D 1-1	52.0	1167	1174	49.85%	24.71%	25.44%	+0.38	-0.8	19
1968-09-15	@ Haka	D 1-1	52.0	1174	1167	25.44%	24.71%	49.85%	-0.38	+0.8	24
1968-09-15	KTP	W 3-1	46.3	928	1096	28.70%	24.35%	46.95%	-0.63	+11.4	11
1968-09-15	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	L 1-3	46.3	1096	928	46.95%	24.35%	28.70%	+0.63	-11.3	17
1968-09-15	MP Mikkeli	W 7-1	32.6	1115	1054	57.33%	24.02%	18.65%	+0.80	+14.3	22
1968-09-15	@ KPV	L 1-7	32.6	1054	1115	18.65%	24.02%	57.33%	-0.80	-14.3	16
1968-09-15	VPS	W 2-0	29.3	1190	980	69.78%	21.06%	9.16%	+1.75	+3.2	23
1968-09-15	@ KuPS	L 0-2	29.3	980	1190	9.16%	21.06%	69.78%	-1.75	-3.2	10
1968-09-15	Reipas Lahti	L 2-4	49.3	1167	1235	41.93%	24.90%	33.16%	-0.01	-9.3	18
1968-09-15	@ Kuusysi	W 4-2	49.3	1235	1167	33.16%	24.90%	41.93%	+0.01	+9.3	27
1968-09-15	TPS Turku	L 0-3	31.8	1006	1232	22.32%	23.54%	54.14%	-1.00	-10.4	14
1968-09-15	@ Porin Assat	W 3-0	31.8	1232	1006	54.14%	23.54%	22.32%	+1.00	+10.4	27
1968-09-22	Porin Assat	D 2-2	57.4	1175	996	67.56%	21.81%	10.63%	+1.55	-1.5	25
1968-09-22	@ HJK	D 2-2	57.4	996	1175	10.63%	21.81%	67.56%	-1.55	+1.5	15
1968-09-22	Haka	L 2-4	50.4	1129	1166	46.12%	24.85%	29.03%	+0.19	-10.0	22
1968-09-22	@ KPV	W 4-2	50.4	1166	1129	29.03%	24.85%	46.12%	-0.19	+10.0	21
1968-09-22	KuPS	W 2-0	39.4	1084	1194	36.26%	24.80%	38.93%	-0.27	+11.3	19
1968-09-22	@ KTP	L 0-2	39.4	1194	1084	38.93%	24.80%	36.26%	+0.27	-11.3	23
1968-09-22	Kuusysi	W 4-1	42.2	1040	1157	35.15%	24.76%	40.09%	-0.32	+14.1	18
1968-09-22	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-4	42.2	1157	1040	40.09%	24.76%	35.15%	+0.32	-14.2	18
1968-09-22	VPS	W 3-1	33.0	1245	977	73.44%	19.57%	6.99%	+2.11	+2.0	29
1968-09-22	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	33.0	977	1245	6.99%	19.57%	73.44%	-2.11	-2.0	10
1968-09-22	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-0	27.6	1242	940	75.44%	18.62%	5.94%	+2.33	+2.0	29
1968-09-22	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	27.6	940	1242	5.94%	18.62%	75.44%	-2.33	-2.0	11
1968-09-29	KuPS	L 0-2	42.8	1176	1182	49.98%	24.70%	25.32%	+0.38	-13.9	21
1968-09-29	@ Haka	W 2-0	42.8	1182	1176	25.32%	24.70%	49.98%	-0.38	+13.9	25
1968-09-29	Reipas Lahti	W 7-1	37.6	1173	1247	41.33%	24.90%	33.77%	-0.04	+23.3	27
1968-09-29	@ HJK	L 1-7	37.6	1247	1173	33.77%	24.90%	41.33%	+0.04	-23.3	29
1968-09-29	KPV	W 2-1	41.4	1143	1119	53.45%	24.45%	22.10%	+0.57	+3.6	20
1968-09-29	@ Kuusysi	L 1-2	41.4	1119	1143	22.10%	24.45%	53.45%	-0.57	-3.6	22
1968-09-29	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 6-0	28.5	1054	938	62.54%	23.12%	14.34%	+1.15	+13.7	20
1968-09-29	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-6	28.5	938	1054	14.34%	23.12%	62.54%	-1.15	-13.7	11
1968-09-29	KTP	W 2-0	30.8	1244	1096	65.20%	22.49%	12.31%	+1.36	+4.3	31
1968-09-29	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	30.8	1096	1244	12.31%	22.49%	65.20%	-1.36	-4.3	19
1968-09-29	Porin Assat	L 2-3	53.8	975	997	47.96%	24.79%	27.25%	+0.28	-6.4	10
1968-09-29	@ VPS	W 3-2	53.8	997	975	27.25%	24.79%	47.96%	-0.28	+6.4	17
1968-10-06	VPS	W 2-0	36.7	924	968	45.22%	24.87%	29.91%	+0.14	+9.2	13
1968-10-06	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	L 0-2	36.7	968	924	29.91%	24.87%	45.22%	-0.14	-9.2	10
1968-10-06	TPS Turku	D 2-2	56.7	1116	1248	33.06%	24.66%	42.28%	-0.42	+0.2	23
1968-10-06	@ KPV	D 2-2	56.7	1248	1116	42.28%	24.66%	33.06%	+0.42	-0.2	32
1968-10-06	Kuusysi	L 2-3	52.6	1091	1147	43.74%	24.90%	31.37%	+0.07	-5.9	19
1968-10-06	@ KTP	W 3-2	52.6	1147	1091	31.37%	24.90%	43.74%	-0.07	+5.9	22
1968-10-06	HJK	L 1-4	45.4	1196	1197	50.64%	24.66%	24.70%	+0.42	-17.2	25
1968-10-06	@ KuPS	W 4-1	45.4	1197	1196	24.70%	24.66%	50.64%	-0.42	+17.2	29
1968-10-06	MP Mikkeli	L 2-3	52.2	1004	1068	42.54%	24.90%	32.56%	+0.02	-5.8	17
1968-10-06	@ Porin Assat	W 3-2	52.2	1068	1004	32.56%	24.90%	42.54%	-0.02	+5.8	22
1968-10-06	Haka	D 2-2	56.9	1223	1162	57.37%	24.02%	18.62%	+0.80	-1.0	30
1968-10-06	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.9	1162	1223	18.62%	24.02%	57.37%	-0.80	+1.0	22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-06-13	9.45%	Helsingin Ponnistus	932	5	@ KTP	1136	2
2	1968-07-28	14.11%	KTP	1105	2	@ Reipas Lahti	1224	1
3	1968-07-07	15.24%	KPV	1080	2	@ TPS Turku	1184	0
4	1968-08-21	18.73%	MP Mikkeli	1054	5	@ KTP	1114	2
5	1968-07-07	18.78%	Helsingin Ponnistus	948	2	@ VPS	1007	0
6	1968-05-30	20.61%	KTP	1128	1	@ HJK	1167	0
7	1968-09-01	21.52%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	928	1	Haka	1162	0
8	1968-08-11	22.28%	HJK	1156	2	@ Kuusysi	1179	1
9	1968-08-04	24.42%	TPS Turku	1182	6	@ HJK	1184	1
10	1968-10-06	24.70%	HJK	1197	4	@ KuPS	1196	1
11	1968-05-26	24.87%	Haka	1187	1	@ Kuusysi	1184	0
12	1968-05-05	24.91%	HJK	1167	3	@ TPS Turku	1164	1
13	1968-09-29	25.32%	KuPS	1182	2	@ Haka	1176	0
14	1968-08-21	26.35%	@ VPS	984	1	Kuusysi	1171	0
15	1968-09-29	27.25%	Porin Assat	997	3	@ VPS	975	2
16	1968-05-05	27.30%	MP Mikkeli	1053	1	@ VPS	1030	0
17	1968-08-25	28.23%	TPS Turku	1226	1	@ KuPS	1195	0
18	1968-09-06	28.34%	Reipas Lahti	1229	2	@ KuPS	1197	1
19	1968-08-21	28.41%	TPS Turku	1207	3	@ Haka	1175	0
20	1968-09-15	28.70%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	928	3	KTP	1096	1
21	1968-09-22	29.03%	Haka	1166	4	@ KPV	1129	2
22	1968-05-19	29.98%	KTP	1107	3	@ MP Mikkeli	1062	0
23	1968-10-06	31.37%	Kuusysi	1147	3	@ KTP	1091	2
24	1968-05-30	31.38%	@ Porin Assat	1031	4	Kuusysi	1177	3
25	1968-10-06	32.56%	MP Mikkeli	1068	3	@ Porin Assat	1004	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-08-04	27.39	TPS Turku	6	1182	24.42%	@ HJK	1	1184	50.93%	24.64%
2	1968-08-11	24.79	KuPS	7	1164	51.98%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	0	957	24.19%	23.83%
3	1968-09-29	23.28	@ HJK	7	1173	41.33%	Reipas Lahti	1	1247	33.77%	24.90%
4	1968-08-25	22.81	KPV	4	1093	33.03%	@ Porin Assat	0	1025	42.07%	24.90%
5	1968-06-13	19.89	Helsingin Ponnistus	5	932	9.45%	@ KTP	2	1136	69.34%	21.22%
6	1968-08-21	19.06	TPS Turku	3	1207	28.41%	@ Haka	0	1175	46.76%	24.84%
7	1968-05-19	18.51	KTP	3	1107	29.98%	@ MP Mikkeli	0	1062	45.14%	24.88%
8	1968-06-16	17.35	@ MP Mikkeli	4	1052	45.68%	KPV	0	1093	29.46%	24.86%
9	1968-10-06	17.24	HJK	4	1197	24.70%	@ KuPS	1	1196	50.64%	24.66%
10	1968-07-07	16.80	KPV	2	1080	15.24%	@ TPS Turku	0	1184	61.41%	23.36%
11	1968-08-21	16.69	MP Mikkeli	5	1054	18.73%	@ KTP	2	1114	57.23%	24.03%
12	1968-07-07	15.71	Helsingin Ponnistus	2	948	18.78%	@ VPS	0	1007	57.18%	24.04%
13	1968-07-28	14.91	@ TPS Turku	6	1167	60.79%	MP Mikkeli	0	1070	15.73%	23.47%
14	1968-04-28	14.36	Reipas Lahti	4	1193	34.35%	@ KTP	1	1116	40.75%	24.90%
15	1968-09-15	14.33	@ KPV	7	1115	57.33%	MP Mikkeli	1	1054	18.65%	24.02%
16	1968-09-22	14.15	@ MP Mikkeli	4	1040	35.15%	Kuusysi	1	1157	40.09%	24.76%
17	1968-09-29	13.91	KuPS	2	1182	25.32%	@ Haka	0	1176	49.98%	24.70%
18	1968-09-29	13.67	@ MP Mikkeli	6	1054	62.54%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	938	14.34%	23.12%
19	1968-07-07	13.44	@ HJK	5	1159	48.36%	KuPS	1	1178	26.86%	24.78%
20	1968-09-06	13.21	Haka	3	1154	46.10%	@ VPS	0	993	29.49%	24.41%
21	1968-08-04	12.34	Reipas Lahti	3	1216	48.67%	@ Porin Assat	0	1035	27.14%	24.19%
22	1968-05-26	12.19	@ TPS Turku	3	1162	48.79%	KuPS	0	1178	26.45%	24.76%
23	1968-05-05	12.14	HJK	3	1167	24.91%	@ TPS Turku	1	1164	50.42%	24.67%
24	1968-05-19	11.85	Reipas Lahti	4	1209	58.03%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	0	948	19.06%	22.91%
25	1968-07-28	11.37	HJK	6	1172	48.77%	@ VPS	2	991	27.05%	24.18%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-04-28	63.2	@ Porin Assat	4	1048	31.84%	Haka	4	1191	43.57%	24.59%
2	1968-09-22	57.4	@ HJK	2	1175	67.56%	Porin Assat	2	996	10.63%	21.81%
3	1968-06-13	56.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1222	57.04%	Kuusysi	2	1164	18.90%	24.06%
4	1968-06-30	56.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1225	57.97%	HJK	2	1158	18.09%	23.93%
5	1968-10-06	56.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1223	57.37%	Haka	2	1162	18.62%	24.02%
6	1968-07-07	56.7	@ Haka	2	1186	45.98%	Reipas Lahti	2	1224	29.16%	24.86%
7	1968-08-11	56.7	@ KPV	2	1096	33.16%	Reipas Lahti	2	1228	42.18%	24.66%
8	1968-10-06	56.7	@ KPV	2	1116	33.06%	TPS Turku	2	1248	42.28%	24.66%
9	1968-05-05	56.5	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	2	955	33.68%	KPV	2	1083	41.62%	24.69%
10	1968-06-09	56.5	@ KPV	2	1093	45.36%	KTP	2	1136	29.77%	24.87%
11	1968-05-30	56.0	@ Porin Assat	4	1031	31.38%	Kuusysi	3	1177	44.07%	24.56%
12	1968-09-29	53.8	Porin Assat	3	997	27.25%	@ VPS	2	975	47.96%	24.79%
13	1968-06-13	53.2	Helsingin Ponnistus	5	932	9.45%	@ KTP	2	1136	69.34%	21.22%
14	1968-07-28	53.2	KTP	2	1105	14.11%	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1224	62.82%	23.06%
15	1968-06-09	52.8	@ Haka	1	1195	67.87%	VPS	1	1012	10.42%	21.71%
16	1968-07-28	52.6	@ Haka	1	1185	65.49%	Porin Assat	1	1033	12.10%	22.41%
17	1968-10-06	52.6	Kuusysi	3	1147	31.37%	@ KTP	2	1091	43.74%	24.90%
18	1968-06-24	52.2	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1	952	21.64%	TPS Turku	1	1185	54.94%	23.43%
19	1968-10-06	52.2	MP Mikkeli	3	1068	32.56%	@ Porin Assat	2	1004	42.54%	24.90%
20	1968-05-12	52.0	@ HJK	1	1179	51.25%	Kuusysi	1	1174	24.13%	24.62%
21	1968-09-15	52.0	@ Haka	1	1167	49.85%	HJK	1	1174	25.44%	24.71%
22	1968-05-19	51.9	@ Porin Assat	1	1036	31.91%	KuPS	1	1178	43.50%	24.59%
23	1968-06-13	51.9	@ VPS	1	1014	30.14%	KuPS	1	1169	45.39%	24.47%
24	1968-06-24	51.9	@ Porin Assat	1	1035	34.37%	HJK	1	1158	40.90%	24.73%
25	1968-06-30	51.9	@ KTP	1	1111	41.48%	TPS Turku	1	1183	33.62%	24.90%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-05-12	25.8	@ KuPS	5	1171	70.12%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	955	8.95%	20.93%
2	1968-05-19	27.1	@ Kuusysi	5	1175	65.87%	VPS	0	1018	11.83%	22.31%
3	1968-09-22	27.6	@ TPS Turku	2	1242	75.44%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	940	5.94%	18.62%
4	1968-08-21	28.3	@ KuPS	3	1189	65.94%	Porin Assat	0	1031	11.77%	22.29%
5	1968-09-29	28.5	@ MP Mikkeli	6	1054	62.54%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	938	14.34%	23.12%
6	1968-06-24	28.7	@ Kuusysi	4	1165	60.73%	MP Mikkeli	0	1069	15.79%	23.48%
7	1968-07-28	29.1	@ TPS Turku	6	1167	60.79%	MP Mikkeli	0	1070	15.73%	23.47%
8	1968-09-15	29.3	@ KuPS	2	1190	69.78%	VPS	0	980	9.16%	21.06%
9	1968-05-19	29.5	Reipas Lahti	4	1209	58.03%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	0	948	19.06%	22.91%
10	1968-09-01	30.5	@ Kuusysi	2	1158	65.72%	Porin Assat	0	1003	11.93%	22.35%
11	1968-09-29	30.8	@ TPS Turku	2	1244	65.20%	KTP	0	1096	12.31%	22.49%
12	1968-04-28	31.2	@ HJK	2	1162	63.45%	VPS	0	1035	13.63%	22.92%
13	1968-06-13	31.8	@ TPS Turku	5	1177	64.13%	Porin Assat	1	1042	13.11%	22.76%
14	1968-09-15	31.8	TPS Turku	3	1232	54.14%	@ Porin Assat	0	1006	22.32%	23.54%
15	1968-08-11	32.4	KuPS	7	1164	51.98%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	0	957	24.19%	23.83%
16	1968-09-15	32.6	@ KPV	7	1115	57.33%	MP Mikkeli	1	1054	18.65%	24.02%
17	1968-09-22	33.0	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1245	73.44%	VPS	1	977	6.99%	19.57%
18	1968-06-16	33.2	@ MP Mikkeli	4	1052	45.68%	KPV	0	1093	29.46%	24.86%
19	1968-07-07	33.3	@ Kuusysi	2	1164	56.58%	KTP	0	1111	19.30%	24.12%
20	1968-05-26	33.5	@ TPS Turku	3	1162	48.79%	KuPS	0	1178	26.45%	24.76%
21	1968-08-04	33.5	Reipas Lahti	3	1216	48.67%	@ Porin Assat	0	1035	27.14%	24.19%
22	1968-06-24	34.2	@ Haka	4	1184	61.87%	KPV	1	1075	14.86%	23.26%
23	1968-09-06	34.2	Haka	3	1154	46.10%	@ VPS	0	993	29.49%	24.41%
24	1968-08-21	34.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1228	75.06%	Helsingin Ponnistus	1	932	6.14%	18.81%
25	1968-05-05	35.1	@ Haka	1	1190	60.10%	KTP	0	1101	16.30%	23.60%