1969 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KPV

35 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KPV

5.80 points above expected

35 points · 29.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KTP

9.61 points below expected

6 points · 15.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KPV Champion	22	17	1	4	35	44	13	+31	29.20	+5.80
2	KuPS	22	13	6	3	32	47	24	+23	26.56	+5.44
3	HJK	22	11	5	6	27	50	32	+18	26.46	+0.54
4	Reipas Lahti	22	10	6	6	26	40	24	+16	25.45	+0.55
5	MP Mikkeli	22	10	6	6	26	43	33	+10	21.81	+4.19
6	Ilves-Kissat	22	10	5	7	25	52	30	+22	20.71	+4.29
7	Haka	22	10	3	9	23	40	25	+15	23.49	-0.49
8	TPS Turku	22	9	4	9	22	44	40	+4	24.00	-2.00
9	Kuopion Elo	22	7	7	8	21	35	40	-5	20.13	+0.87
10	Kuusysi	22	6	3	13	15	20	41	-21	19.94	-4.94
11	KTP	22	2	2	18	6	26	66	-40	15.61	-9.61
12	Porin Assat	22	1	4	17	6	19	92	-73	10.64	-4.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KPV	35	29.20	+5.80
2	KuPS	32	26.56	+5.44
3	Ilves-Kissat	25	20.71	+4.29
4	MP Mikkeli	26	21.81	+4.19
5	Kuopion Elo	21	20.13	+0.87

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KTP	6	15.61	-9.61
2	Kuusysi	15	19.94	-4.94
3	Porin Assat	6	10.64	-4.64
4	TPS Turku	22	24.00	-2.00
5	Haka	23	23.49	-0.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KuPS	5	Jul 6 – Aug 10	1 in 69
2	KPV	7	Aug 17 – Oct 5	1 in 30
3	MP Mikkeli	4	Jul 27 – Aug 17	1 in 23
4	Reipas Lahti	3	Jun 15 – Jun 29	1 in 12
5	HJK	4	May 18 – Jun 8	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KTP	8	Aug 10 – Oct 5	1 in 82
2	Porin Assat	8	May 26 – Jul 20	1 in 50
3	Kuusysi	3	May 27 – Jun 8	1 in 16
4	KuPS	2	Jun 18 – Jun 29	1 in 11
5	TPS Turku	3	Jul 27 – Aug 10	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KuPS	12	Jul 6 – Oct 5	1 in 70
2	MP Mikkeli	5	Jul 20 – Aug 17	1 in 11
3	Kuopion Elo	4	May 4 – May 27	1 in 6
4	Haka	4	Jul 27 – Aug 17	1 in 6
5	HJK	7	Apr 27 – Jun 8	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porin Assat	19	Apr 27 – Sep 14	1 in 36
2	KTP	11	Jul 20 – Oct 5	1 in 17
3	Kuopion Elo	4	May 18 – Jun 8	1 in 10
4	TPS Turku	3	Jun 8 – Jun 18	1 in 10
5	Reipas Lahti	3	May 4 – May 18	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
KPV	1592	35	+68	10	7.2	+2.8
KuPS	1562	32	+34	8	6.5	+1.5
HJK	1361	27	+8	5	5.6	-0.6
MP Mikkeli	1418	26	+20	7	5.8	+1.2
Reipas Lahti	1472	26	-30	5	6.6	-1.6
Ilves-Kissat	1427	25	+61	7	6.3	+0.7
Haka	1401	23	+2	5	4.8	+0.2
TPS Turku	1325	22	+92	6	4.0	+2.0
Kuopion Elo	1236	21	-36	3	4.1	-1.1
Kuusysi	1167	15	-84	2	4.2	-2.2
Porin Assat	894	6	+5	2	1.7	+0.3
KTP	980	6	-141	0	3.2	-3.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HAK	ILV	KPV	KTP	KUP	KE	KUU	MM	PA	RL	TT
HJK	—	1-1-0 3.15	0-1-1 3.71	1-0-1 2.15	2-0-0 3.80	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 3.74	1-1-0 4.03	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 4.82	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 3.42
Haka	0-1-1 2.43	—	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 1.99	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 3.33	0-0-2 3.01	2-0-0 4.70	0-0-2 2.61	0-0-2 2.77
Ilves-Kissat	1-1-0 1.87	0-0-2 2.45	—	0-0-2 2.23	2-0-0 4.07	0-0-2 2.22	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.37	0-2-0 2.45	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-0 1.64	1-1-0 2.75
KPV	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 3.36	—	2-0-0 4.54	0-0-2 3.08	2-0-0 4.31	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.78	1-1-0 3.81	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.15
KTP	0-0-2 1.79	0-1-1 1.77	0-0-2 1.52	0-0-2 1.06	—	0-0-2 1.49	0-1-1 1.97	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 1.34	1-0-1 3.78	0-0-2 1.92	0-0-2 1.47
KuPS	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.60	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.50	2-0-0 4.11	—	0-2-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 4.18	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.45
Kuopion Elo	1-0-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 3.61	0-2-0 1.86	—	2-0-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 4.05	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.49
Kuusysi	0-1-1 1.56	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 1.47	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.56	—	0-1-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.96	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.08
MP Mikkeli	1-0-1 2.32	2-0-0 2.58	0-2-0 3.14	0-0-2 1.80	1-0-1 4.26	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 3.14	1-1-0 2.53	—	1-1-0 4.23	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 2.03
Porin Assat	0-0-2 0.79	0-0-2 0.92	0-0-2 1.25	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 1.80	0-1-1 1.42	0-1-1 1.53	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 1.36	—	0-0-2 0.62	0-0-2 1.48
Reipas Lahti	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 3.95	0-0-2 2.31	2-0-0 3.66	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.39	0-1-1 3.42	2-0-0 5.00	—	0-2-0 3.13
TPS Turku	1-0-1 2.16	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.44	2-0-0 4.12	0-0-2 2.13	0-1-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 4.12	0-2-0 2.47	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+6.8
Allowed	0.84	-3.9
Differential	0.89	+2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	7.95%	4.92%	2.65%	3.03%	3.03%	26.14%
1	7.95%	6.82%	4.92%	3.03%	2.27%	2.65%	27.65%
2	4.92%	4.92%	6.82%	3.03%	0.76%	1.14%	21.59%
3	2.65%	3.03%	3.03%	1.52%	0.38%	—	10.61%
4	3.03%	2.27%	0.76%	0.38%	—	0.38%	6.82%
5+	3.03%	2.65%	1.14%	—	0.38%	—	7.20%
Total	26.14%	27.65%	21.59%	10.61%	6.82%	7.20%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.74	+0.00
SD	1.75	1.75	2.71
CV	1.01	1.01	—
Max	10	10	+9
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.45	+0.82
SD	2.43	1.60	2.82
CV	1.07	1.10	—
Max	10	5	+9
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.14	+0.68
SD	2.04	1.08	2.21
CV	1.12	0.95	—
Max	8	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	1.36	+1.00
SD	2.28	0.95	2.79
CV	0.96	0.70	—
Max	9	3	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
2	22.73%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	54.55%	36.36%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.59	+1.41
SD	1.38	0.80	1.59
CV	0.69	1.35	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	9.09%	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	40.91%
2	—	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	13.64%	22.73%	22.73%	22.73%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	3.00	-1.82
SD	1.30	1.75	2.40
CV	1.10	0.58	—
Max	5	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.09	+1.05
SD	1.58	0.97	1.91
CV	0.74	0.89	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.82	-0.23
SD	1.37	1.50	2.02
CV	0.86	0.83	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	50.00%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.86	-0.95
SD	1.06	1.36	2.01
CV	1.17	0.73	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	22.73%	27.27%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.50	+0.45
SD	1.99	1.47	2.89
CV	1.02	0.98	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%	40.91%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%	36.36%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	—	9.09%	50.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	4.18	-3.32
SD	0.89	2.94	2.98
CV	1.03	0.70	—
Max	3	10	+1
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.09	+0.73
SD	1.59	1.27	2.19
CV	0.88	1.16	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	36.36%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.82	+0.18
SD	1.95	1.33	2.59
CV	0.98	0.73	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KPV	1592	35	29.20	+5.80	95.0%	21	22	27	30	32	35	38
KuPS	1562	32	26.56	+5.44	93.0%	17	20	24	26	29	33	36
Reipas Lahti	1472	26	25.45	+0.55	59.0%	16	19	23	26	28	32	34
Ilves-Kissat	1427	25	20.71	+4.29	89.0%	11	13	18	20	23	28	31
MP Mikkeli	1418	26	21.81	+4.19	95.0%	14	17	20	22	24	26	29
Haka	1401	23	23.49	-0.49	45.0%	12	17	21	24	26	29	31
HJK	1361	27	26.46	+0.54	65.0%	19	21	24	27	29	32	34
TPS Turku	1325	22	24.00	-2.00	35.0%	14	17	21	24	26	31	33
Kuopion Elo	1236	21	20.13	+0.87	65.0%	7	15	18	20	23	26	28
Kuusysi	1167	15	19.94	-4.94	10.0%	10	13	18	20	22	26	28
KTP	980	6	15.61	-9.61	0.0%	7	10	13	15	18	22	23
Porin Assat	894	6	10.64	-4.64	6.0%	0	5	8	11	13	16	17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+19.70%

Clear Edge

50.00%19.70%30.30%

Elo Value

Home Edge

122 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

069.34400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.67 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.57+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

KPV, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Comfortable

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.39 * Lucky: 4.39 to 5.85 * Wild Swing: 5.85 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.37 * Close: 1.37 to 2.06 * Off: 2.06 to 2.75 * Way Off: 2.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.50 points

Lucky

03.669

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

01.724

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

KPV

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

KTP

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 215.91

2.15

Wide Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

78%

Wide Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

52%

Some Drama

0%43%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Very Frequent

0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.43

Lopsided

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.57

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.34

Some Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Solid Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.66

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.29

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.067

Well Within Noise

00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
KPV	51.00%	16.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
KuPS	16.00%	23.00%	15.00%	18.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
HJK	13.00%	21.00%	20.00%	9.00%	18.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Reipas Lahti	5.00%	15.00%	19.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
MP Mikkeli	—	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	13.00%	17.00%	21.00%	12.00%	13.00%	10.00%	2.00%	—
Ilves-Kissat	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	13.00%	10.00%	16.00%	16.00%	17.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Haka	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	15.00%	12.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
TPS Turku	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	16.00%	15.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—
Kuopion Elo	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	9.00%	16.00%	11.00%	19.00%	18.00%	12.00%	2.00%
Kuusysi	—	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	18.00%	23.00%	18.00%	10.00%	2.00%
KTP	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	19.00%	45.00%	17.00%
Porin Assat	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	19.00%	76.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
HJK	100%	—
KPV	100%	—
KuPS	100%	—
MP Mikkeli	98.00%	2.00%
Reipas Lahti	98.00%	2.00%
Haka	97.00%	3.00%
TPS Turku	97.00%	3.00%
Ilves-Kissat	93.00%	7.00%
Kuusysi	88.00%	12.00%
Kuopion Elo	86.00%	14.00%
KTP	38.00%	62.00%
Porin Assat	5.00%	95.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1969-04-27	TPS Turku	L 1-2	50.6	1341	1386	47.63%	20.88%	31.49%	+0.20	-23.4	0
1969-04-27	@ Haka	W 2-1	50.6	1386	1341	31.49%	20.88%	47.63%	-0.20	+23.4	2
1969-04-27	Kuopion Elo	W 6-4	47.7	1365	1310	59.15%	20.75%	20.11%	+1.02	+16.2	2
1969-04-27	@ HJK	L 4-6	47.7	1310	1365	20.11%	20.75%	59.15%	-1.02	-16.2	0
1969-04-27	Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	38.9	1350	1221	65.45%	20.54%	14.01%	+1.63	+8.3	2
1969-04-27	@ KuPS	L 1-2	38.9	1221	1350	14.01%	20.54%	65.45%	-1.63	-8.3	0
1969-04-27	Kuusysi	W 3-2	49.1	1288	1336	47.31%	20.88%	31.81%	+0.18	+15.9	2
1969-04-27	@ MP Mikkeli	L 2-3	49.1	1336	1288	31.81%	20.88%	47.31%	-0.18	-15.9	0
1969-04-27	KPV	D 1-1	53.6	1249	1319	44.36%	20.89%	34.76%	+0.00	-1.1	1
1969-04-27	@ Porin Assat	D 1-1	53.6	1319	1249	34.76%	20.89%	44.36%	+0.00	+1.1	1
1969-04-27	KTP	W 4-0	32.1	1368	1300	60.37%	20.72%	18.91%	+1.13	+41.1	2
1969-04-27	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	32.1	1300	1368	18.91%	20.72%	60.37%	-1.13	-41.1	0
1969-05-04	Reipas Lahti	W 5-1	45.5	1213	1409	27.36%	20.74%	51.90%	-1.04	+79.7	2
1969-05-04	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 1-5	45.5	1409	1213	51.90%	20.74%	27.36%	+1.04	-79.7	2
1969-05-04	Haka	W 1-0	38.9	1320	1317	53.53%	20.84%	25.63%	+0.59	+14.9	3
1969-05-04	@ KPV	L 0-1	38.9	1317	1320	25.63%	20.84%	53.53%	-0.59	-14.9	0
1969-05-04	HJK	L 0-2	40.2	1259	1381	36.92%	20.86%	42.22%	-0.44	-37.9	0
1969-05-04	@ KTP	W 2-0	40.2	1381	1259	42.22%	20.86%	36.92%	+0.44	+37.9	4
1969-05-04	Porin Assat	W 5-0	31.3	1294	1248	58.24%	20.77%	20.99%	+0.95	+55.5	2
1969-05-04	@ Kuopion Elo	L 0-5	31.3	1248	1294	20.99%	20.77%	58.24%	-0.95	-55.5	1
1969-05-04	KuPS	D 2-2	58.8	1320	1358	48.60%	20.88%	30.52%	+0.26	-1.5	1
1969-05-04	@ Kuusysi	D 2-2	58.8	1358	1320	30.52%	20.88%	48.60%	-0.26	+1.5	3
1969-05-04	MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	36.8	1409	1304	63.63%	20.61%	15.76%	+1.44	+9.8	4
1969-05-04	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	36.8	1304	1409	15.76%	20.61%	63.63%	-1.44	-9.8	2
1969-05-11	Kuusysi	W 2-0	37.4	1302	1319	51.31%	20.86%	27.83%	+0.44	+30.1	2
1969-05-11	@ Haka	L 0-2	37.4	1319	1302	27.83%	20.86%	51.31%	-0.44	-30.1	1
1969-05-11	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	55.0	1419	1292	65.32%	20.54%	14.13%	+1.61	-6.4	5
1969-05-11	@ HJK	D 1-1	55.0	1292	1419	14.13%	20.54%	65.32%	-1.61	+6.4	3
1969-05-11	TPS Turku	W 2-0	41.7	1335	1419	42.35%	20.88%	36.77%	-0.12	+37.8	5
1969-05-11	@ KPV	L 0-2	41.7	1419	1335	36.77%	20.88%	42.35%	+0.12	-37.8	4
1969-05-11	KTP	W 3-2	43.3	1349	1221	65.45%	20.54%	14.02%	+1.63	+7.9	4
1969-05-11	@ Kuopion Elo	L 2-3	43.3	1221	1349	14.02%	20.54%	65.45%	-1.63	-7.9	0
1969-05-11	KuPS	D 2-2	57.9	1192	1360	30.95%	20.80%	48.25%	-0.80	+1.5	2
1969-05-11	@ Porin Assat	D 2-2	57.9	1360	1192	48.25%	20.80%	30.95%	+0.80	-1.5	4
1969-05-11	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	50.6	1329	1294	57.10%	20.79%	22.11%	+0.86	-4.7	3
1969-05-11	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	50.6	1294	1329	22.11%	20.79%	57.10%	-0.86	+4.6	3
1969-05-18	HJK	L 0-1	45.5	1333	1413	42.90%	20.89%	36.22%	-0.09	-22.7	2
1969-05-18	@ Haka	W 1-0	45.5	1413	1333	36.22%	20.89%	42.90%	+0.09	+22.7	7
1969-05-18	Kuusysi	L 0-1	43.6	1213	1289	43.59%	20.89%	35.52%	-0.05	-23.0	0
1969-05-18	@ KTP	W 1-0	43.6	1289	1213	35.52%	20.89%	43.59%	+0.05	+23.0	3
1969-05-18	KPV	W 1-0	40.6	1358	1373	51.51%	20.86%	27.63%	+0.45	+15.9	6
1969-05-18	@ KuPS	L 0-1	40.6	1373	1358	27.63%	20.86%	51.51%	-0.45	-15.9	5
1969-05-18	Porin Assat	D 1-1	53.3	1299	1194	63.63%	20.61%	15.75%	+1.44	-5.9	4
1969-05-18	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	53.3	1194	1299	15.75%	20.61%	63.63%	-1.44	+5.9	3
1969-05-18	Kuopion Elo	D 1-1	54.5	1325	1357	49.26%	20.87%	29.86%	+0.30	-2.2	4
1969-05-18	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.5	1357	1325	29.86%	20.87%	49.26%	-0.30	+2.2	5
1969-05-18	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	54.5	1381	1299	61.71%	20.68%	17.61%	+1.25	-5.4	5
1969-05-18	@ TPS Turku	D 1-1	54.5	1299	1381	17.61%	20.68%	61.71%	-1.25	+5.4	4
1969-05-26	KPV	L 0-3	41.6	1304	1357	46.69%	20.88%	32.42%	+0.14	-66.7	4
1969-05-26	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 3-0	41.6	1357	1304	32.42%	20.88%	46.69%	-0.14	+66.7	7
1969-05-26	Haka	D 1-1	53.3	1190	1310	37.32%	20.86%	41.81%	-0.41	+0.5	1
1969-05-26	@ KTP	D 1-1	53.3	1310	1190	41.81%	20.86%	37.32%	+0.41	-0.5	3
1969-05-26	TPS Turku	L 1-4	40.2	1200	1376	29.80%	20.78%	49.42%	-0.88	-39.0	3
1969-05-26	@ Porin Assat	W 4-1	40.2	1376	1200	49.42%	20.78%	29.80%	+0.88	+39.0	7
1969-05-27	MP Mikkeli	W 4-0	31.0	1436	1293	66.45%	20.49%	13.06%	+1.74	+29.6	9
1969-05-27	@ HJK	L 0-4	31.0	1293	1436	13.06%	20.49%	66.45%	-1.74	-29.6	4
1969-05-27	Kuopion Elo	D 1-1	55.2	1374	1360	54.87%	20.82%	24.30%	+0.69	-3.6	7
1969-05-27	@ KuPS	D 1-1	55.2	1360	1374	24.30%	20.82%	54.87%	-0.69	+3.6	6
1969-05-27	Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	49.1	1311	1322	51.93%	20.86%	27.21%	+0.48	-43.7	3
1969-05-27	@ Kuusysi	W 3-1	49.1	1322	1311	27.21%	20.86%	51.93%	-0.48	+43.7	6
1969-06-01	Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	37.1	1465	1366	63.12%	20.63%	16.25%	+1.39	+19.0	11
1969-06-01	@ HJK	L 0-2	37.1	1366	1465	16.25%	20.63%	63.12%	-1.39	-19.0	6
1969-06-01	Porin Assat	W 6-0	30.0	1238	1161	61.18%	20.69%	18.12%	+1.20	+58.0	6
1969-06-01	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-6	30.0	1161	1238	18.12%	20.69%	61.18%	-1.20	-58.0	3
1969-06-01	KTP	W 2-0	31.2	1423	1191	71.76%	20.08%	8.16%	+2.49	+10.1	9
1969-06-01	@ KPV	L 0-2	31.2	1191	1423	8.16%	20.08%	71.76%	-2.49	-10.1	1
1969-06-01	Haka	L 0-2	47.2	1363	1309	59.02%	20.75%	20.23%	+1.01	-57.0	6
1969-06-01	@ Kuopion Elo	W 2-0	47.2	1309	1363	20.23%	20.75%	59.02%	-1.01	+57.0	5
1969-06-01	TPS Turku	L 0-1	41.8	1268	1415	33.55%	20.83%	45.62%	-0.64	-18.6	3
1969-06-01	@ Kuusysi	W 1-0	41.8	1415	1268	45.62%	20.83%	33.55%	+0.64	+18.6	9
1969-06-01	KuPS	W 2-0	41.1	1264	1370	39.17%	20.87%	39.96%	-0.31	+40.3	6
1969-06-01	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	41.1	1370	1264	39.96%	20.87%	39.17%	+0.31	-40.3	7
1969-06-08	Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	37.0	1366	1296	60.64%	20.71%	18.65%	+1.15	+11.4	7
1969-06-08	@ Haka	L 0-1	37.0	1296	1366	18.65%	20.71%	60.64%	-1.15	-11.4	6
1969-06-08	KuPS	L 1-4	40.9	1181	1330	33.26%	20.83%	45.91%	-0.66	-42.6	1
1969-06-08	@ KTP	W 4-1	40.9	1330	1181	45.91%	20.83%	33.26%	+0.66	+42.6	9
1969-06-08	MP Mikkeli	D 2-2	58.2	1306	1304	53.49%	20.84%	25.67%	+0.59	-2.4	7
1969-06-08	@ Kuopion Elo	D 2-2	58.2	1304	1306	25.67%	20.84%	53.49%	-0.59	+2.4	7
1969-06-08	KPV	L 0-2	38.2	1249	1433	28.80%	20.77%	50.43%	-0.95	-30.9	3
1969-06-08	@ Kuusysi	W 2-0	38.2	1433	1249	50.43%	20.77%	28.80%	+0.95	+30.9	11
1969-06-08	HJK	L 0-1	34.0	1103	1484	11.24%	20.03%	68.74%	-2.57	-7.1	3
1969-06-08	@ Porin Assat	W 1-0	34.0	1484	1103	68.74%	20.03%	11.24%	+2.57	+7.1	13
1969-06-08	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	52.8	1434	1347	62.04%	20.67%	17.29%	+1.28	-6.1	10
1969-06-08	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	52.8	1347	1434	17.29%	20.67%	62.04%	-1.28	+6.1	7
1969-06-13	Kuusysi	L 1-2	45.2	1096	1218	36.93%	20.86%	42.21%	-0.44	-18.9	3
1969-06-13	@ Porin Assat	W 2-1	45.2	1218	1096	42.21%	20.86%	36.93%	+0.44	+18.9	5
1969-06-15	KTP	W 3-2	42.4	1284	1138	66.73%	20.47%	12.80%	+1.77	+7.3	8
1969-06-15	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	42.4	1138	1284	12.80%	20.47%	66.73%	-1.77	-7.3	1
1969-06-15	HJK	W 4-1	48.3	1373	1491	37.48%	20.86%	41.66%	-0.41	+51.1	11
1969-06-15	@ KuPS	L 1-4	48.3	1491	1373	41.66%	20.86%	37.48%	+0.41	-51.1	13
1969-06-15	KPV	L 0-1	42.7	1306	1464	32.13%	20.82%	47.05%	-0.73	-17.9	7
1969-06-15	@ MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	42.7	1464	1306	47.05%	20.82%	32.13%	+0.73	+18.0	13
1969-06-15	Haka	W 3-1	43.3	1353	1378	50.29%	20.87%	28.84%	+0.37	+26.9	9
1969-06-15	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	43.3	1378	1353	28.84%	20.87%	50.29%	-0.37	-26.8	7
1969-06-15	Kuopion Elo	L 1-2	55.8	1427	1304	65.09%	20.55%	14.36%	+1.59	-31.5	10
1969-06-15	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	55.8	1304	1427	14.36%	20.55%	65.09%	-1.59	+31.5	9
1969-06-18	MP Mikkeli	L 1-3	51.5	1351	1288	59.86%	20.73%	19.41%	+1.08	-50.1	7
1969-06-18	@ Haka	W 3-1	51.5	1288	1351	19.41%	20.73%	59.86%	-1.08	+50.1	9
1969-06-18	TPS Turku	W 4-2	47.1	1440	1396	58.06%	20.77%	21.17%	+0.93	+18.5	15
1969-06-18	@ HJK	L 2-4	47.1	1396	1440	21.17%	20.77%	58.06%	-0.93	-18.5	10
1969-06-18	Kuopion Elo	W 2-1	41.8	1482	1335	66.78%	20.47%	12.75%	+1.78	+7.6	15
1969-06-18	@ KPV	L 1-2	41.8	1335	1482	12.75%	20.47%	66.78%	-1.78	-7.6	9
1969-06-18	Porin Assat	W 5-2	39.9	1131	1077	59.03%	20.75%	20.22%	+1.01	+24.4	3
1969-06-18	@ KTP	L 2-5	39.9	1077	1131	20.22%	20.75%	59.03%	-1.01	-24.4	3
1969-06-18	Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	51.1	1424	1380	57.99%	20.77%	21.24%	+0.93	-29.7	11
1969-06-18	@ KuPS	W 1-0	51.1	1380	1424	21.24%	20.77%	57.99%	-0.93	+29.7	11
1969-06-18	Ilves-Kissat	W 3-0	36.5	1237	1291	46.45%	20.88%	32.66%	+0.12	+49.8	7
1969-06-18	@ Kuusysi	L 0-3	36.5	1291	1237	32.66%	20.88%	46.45%	-0.12	-49.8	8
1969-06-29	KuPS	W 3-0	39.3	1301	1394	41.11%	20.88%	38.01%	-0.20	+56.3	9
1969-06-29	@ Haka	L 0-3	39.3	1394	1301	38.01%	20.88%	41.11%	+0.20	-56.3	11
1969-06-29	KPV	W 3-2	55.4	1459	1490	49.45%	20.87%	29.68%	+0.31	+15.1	17
1969-06-29	@ HJK	L 2-3	55.4	1490	1459	29.68%	20.87%	49.45%	-0.31	-15.1	15
1969-06-29	Kuusysi	W 2-0	35.4	1328	1287	57.69%	20.78%	21.54%	+0.90	+24.3	11
1969-06-29	@ Kuopion Elo	L 0-2	35.4	1287	1328	21.54%	20.78%	57.69%	-0.90	-24.3	7
1969-06-29	Ilves-Kissat	D 3-3	62.1	1338	1242	62.94%	20.64%	16.42%	+1.37	-3.5	10
1969-06-29	@ MP Mikkeli	D 3-3	62.1	1242	1338	16.42%	20.64%	62.94%	-1.37	+3.5	9
1969-06-29	Porin Assat	W 4-0	26.1	1410	1052	76.49%	19.32%	4.19%	+3.51	+9.9	13
1969-06-29	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	26.1	1052	1410	4.19%	19.32%	76.49%	-3.51	-10.0	3
1969-06-29	KTP	W 2-1	37.0	1377	1155	71.25%	20.13%	8.62%	+2.40	+5.3	12
1969-06-29	@ TPS Turku	L 1-2	37.0	1155	1377	8.62%	20.13%	71.25%	-2.40	-5.3	3
1969-07-06	Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	42.3	1475	1420	59.14%	20.75%	20.12%	+1.02	+12.1	17
1969-07-06	@ KPV	L 0-1	42.3	1420	1475	20.12%	20.75%	59.14%	-1.02	-12.1	13
1969-07-06	MP Mikkeli	W 4-0	40.5	1150	1335	28.68%	20.77%	50.55%	-0.95	+93.3	5
1969-07-06	@ KTP	L 0-4	40.5	1335	1150	50.55%	20.77%	28.68%	+0.95	-93.3	10
1969-07-06	TPS Turku	W 4-1	42.1	1338	1383	47.67%	20.88%	31.45%	+0.20	+40.8	13
1969-07-06	@ KuPS	L 1-4	42.1	1383	1338	31.45%	20.88%	47.67%	-0.20	-40.8	12
1969-07-06	HJK	D 0-0	52.0	1263	1474	25.64%	20.71%	53.66%	-1.17	+3.7	8
1969-07-06	@ Kuusysi	D 0-0	52.0	1474	1263	53.66%	20.71%	25.64%	+1.17	-3.7	18
1969-07-06	Haka	L 2-6	36.2	1042	1357	15.73%	20.35%	63.92%	-2.02	-24.6	3
1969-07-06	@ Porin Assat	W 6-2	36.2	1357	1042	63.92%	20.35%	15.73%	+2.02	+24.6	11
1969-07-13	Kuopion Elo	W 4-0	37.8	1245	1352	39.18%	20.87%	39.95%	-0.31	+76.5	11
1969-07-13	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-4	37.8	1352	1245	39.95%	20.87%	39.18%	+0.31	-76.5	11
1969-07-20	KuPS	L 1-2	49.8	1322	1378	46.12%	20.89%	32.99%	+0.10	-22.7	11
1969-07-20	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	49.8	1378	1322	32.99%	20.89%	46.12%	-0.10	+22.7	15
1969-07-20	Porin Assat	W 5-1	29.3	1487	1018	79.25%	18.46%	2.29%	+4.43	+4.5	19
1969-07-20	@ KPV	L 1-5	29.3	1018	1487	2.29%	18.46%	79.25%	-4.43	-4.5	3
1969-07-20	Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	43.0	1243	1408	31.27%	20.80%	47.93%	-0.78	-28.7	5
1969-07-20	@ KTP	W 3-1	43.0	1408	1243	47.93%	20.80%	31.27%	+0.78	+28.7	15
1969-07-20	HJK	W 3-1	50.4	1275	1470	27.53%	20.74%	51.73%	-1.03	+43.5	13
1969-07-20	@ Kuopion Elo	L 1-3	50.4	1470	1275	51.73%	20.74%	27.53%	+1.03	-43.5	18
1969-07-20	MP Mikkeli	D 2-2	57.7	1266	1242	56.02%	20.81%	23.17%	+0.77	-2.9	9
1969-07-20	@ Kuusysi	D 2-2	57.7	1242	1266	23.17%	20.81%	56.02%	-0.77	+2.9	11
1969-07-20	Haka	W 2-1	45.5	1342	1382	48.36%	20.88%	30.76%	+0.24	+16.3	14
1969-07-20	@ TPS Turku	L 1-2	45.5	1382	1342	30.76%	20.88%	48.36%	-0.24	-16.3	11
1969-07-27	KPV	W 1-0	47.9	1365	1492	36.43%	20.86%	42.71%	-0.47	+22.6	13
1969-07-27	@ Haka	L 0-1	47.9	1492	1365	42.71%	20.86%	36.43%	+0.47	-22.6	19
1969-07-27	KTP	W 5-1	32.7	1427	1214	70.72%	20.18%	9.09%	+2.32	+17.6	20
1969-07-27	@ HJK	L 1-5	32.7	1214	1427	9.09%	20.18%	70.72%	-2.32	-17.6	5
1969-07-27	Kuusysi	W 3-0	31.5	1401	1264	66.11%	20.50%	13.38%	+1.70	+23.2	17
1969-07-27	@ KuPS	L 0-3	31.5	1264	1401	13.38%	20.50%	66.11%	-1.70	-23.2	9
1969-07-27	TPS Turku	W 3-0	39.4	1244	1358	38.16%	20.87%	40.97%	-0.37	+59.8	13
1969-07-27	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-3	39.4	1358	1244	40.97%	20.87%	38.16%	+0.37	-59.8	14
1969-07-27	Kuopion Elo	D 0-0	49.8	1013	1319	16.45%	20.39%	63.16%	-1.94	+6.4	4
1969-07-27	@ Porin Assat	D 0-0	49.8	1319	1013	63.16%	20.39%	16.45%	+1.94	-6.4	14
1969-07-27	Ilves-Kissat	D 2-2	59.7	1436	1299	66.10%	20.50%	13.40%	+1.70	-4.9	16
1969-07-27	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	59.7	1299	1436	13.40%	20.50%	66.10%	-1.70	+4.9	12
1969-08-03	HJK	W 1-0	46.0	1304	1444	34.47%	20.84%	44.69%	-0.58	+23.4	14
1969-08-03	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	46.0	1444	1304	44.69%	20.84%	34.47%	+0.58	-23.4	20
1969-08-03	Kuopion Elo	D 1-1	53.3	1197	1312	37.90%	20.87%	41.23%	-0.38	+0.4	6
1969-08-03	@ KTP	D 1-1	53.3	1312	1197	41.23%	20.87%	37.90%	+0.38	-0.4	15
1969-08-03	Porin Assat	W 5-1	29.6	1424	1020	77.77%	18.98%	3.25%	+3.90	+6.4	19
1969-08-03	@ KuPS	L 1-5	29.6	1020	1424	3.25%	18.98%	77.77%	-3.90	-6.4	4
1969-08-03	Haka	L 1-2	45.2	1240	1388	33.51%	20.83%	45.66%	-0.64	-17.5	9
1969-08-03	@ Kuusysi	W 2-1	45.2	1388	1240	45.66%	20.83%	33.51%	+0.64	+17.5	15
1969-08-03	Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	49.3	1304	1431	36.28%	20.86%	42.86%	-0.48	+21.3	15
1969-08-03	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-2	49.3	1431	1304	42.86%	20.86%	36.28%	+0.48	-21.3	16
1969-08-03	KPV	L 1-4	42.6	1299	1469	30.54%	20.79%	48.67%	-0.83	-39.8	14
1969-08-03	@ TPS Turku	W 4-1	42.6	1469	1299	48.67%	20.79%	30.54%	+0.83	+39.8	21
1969-08-10	Haka	D 1-1	57.1	1421	1405	54.99%	20.82%	24.19%	+0.70	-3.6	21
1969-08-10	@ HJK	D 1-1	57.1	1405	1421	24.19%	20.82%	54.99%	-0.70	+3.6	16
1969-08-10	TPS Turku	W 3-1	38.8	1327	1259	60.42%	20.72%	18.86%	+1.13	+18.7	16
1969-08-10	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 1-3	38.8	1259	1327	18.86%	20.72%	60.42%	-1.13	-18.7	14
1969-08-10	KuPS	L 0-1	56.1	1509	1431	61.29%	20.69%	18.01%	+1.21	-31.4	21
1969-08-10	@ KPV	W 1-0	56.1	1431	1509	18.01%	20.69%	61.29%	-1.21	+31.4	21
1969-08-10	Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	39.3	1312	1410	40.42%	20.88%	38.70%	-0.24	-77.2	15
1969-08-10	@ Kuopion Elo	W 4-0	39.3	1410	1312	38.70%	20.88%	40.42%	+0.24	+77.2	18
1969-08-10	KTP	W 3-1	39.5	1223	1197	56.12%	20.81%	23.07%	+0.78	+22.3	11
1969-08-10	@ Kuusysi	L 1-3	39.5	1197	1223	23.07%	20.81%	56.12%	-0.78	-22.3	6
1969-08-10	MP Mikkeli	L 0-8	29.8	1013	1326	15.92%	20.36%	63.72%	-2.00	-67.7	4
1969-08-10	@ Porin Assat	W 8-0	29.8	1326	1013	63.72%	20.36%	15.92%	+2.00	+67.7	17
1969-08-14	KuPS	D 3-3	63.1	1235	1462	23.84%	20.66%	55.50%	-1.30	+2.3	16
1969-08-14	@ Kuopion Elo	D 3-3	63.1	1462	1235	55.50%	20.66%	23.84%	+1.30	-2.3	22
1969-08-14	Kuusysi	W 5-0	28.9	1487	1245	72.20%	20.03%	7.77%	+2.56	+22.4	20
1969-08-14	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-5	28.9	1245	1487	7.77%	20.03%	72.20%	-2.56	-22.4	11
1969-08-17	KTP	W 5-0	27.5	1409	1175	71.83%	20.07%	8.10%	+2.50	+23.4	18
1969-08-17	@ Haka	L 0-5	27.5	1175	1409	8.10%	20.07%	71.83%	-2.50	-23.4	6
1969-08-17	Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	36.2	1477	1346	65.65%	20.53%	13.82%	+1.65	+16.4	23
1969-08-17	@ KPV	L 0-2	36.2	1346	1477	13.82%	20.53%	65.65%	-1.65	-16.4	16
1969-08-17	HJK	W 5-0	37.0	1393	1417	50.35%	20.87%	28.78%	+0.37	+72.4	19
1969-08-17	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-5	37.0	1417	1393	28.78%	20.87%	50.35%	-0.37	-72.4	21
1969-08-17	Porin Assat	W 6-0	25.9	1240	946	74.39%	19.73%	5.88%	+2.99	+20.4	16
1969-08-17	@ TPS Turku	L 0-6	25.9	946	1240	5.88%	19.73%	74.39%	-2.99	-20.4	4
1969-08-31	Kuopion Elo	L 1-2	56.3	1432	1237	69.79%	20.26%	9.94%	+2.18	-34.0	18
1969-08-31	@ Haka	W 2-1	56.3	1237	1432	9.94%	20.26%	69.79%	-2.18	+33.9	18
1969-08-31	KPV	L 0-4	30.2	1151	1494	13.71%	20.23%	66.06%	-2.25	-30.7	6
1969-08-31	@ KTP	W 4-0	30.2	1494	1151	66.06%	20.23%	13.71%	+2.25	+30.7	25
1969-08-31	MP Mikkeli	W 5-0	39.7	1460	1466	52.55%	20.85%	26.60%	+0.52	+67.8	24
1969-08-31	@ KuPS	L 0-5	39.7	1466	1460	26.60%	20.85%	52.55%	-0.52	-67.8	19
1969-08-31	Ilves-Kissat	L 1-9	29.1	925	1330	9.98%	19.90%	70.12%	-2.76	-36.2	4
1969-08-31	@ Porin Assat	W 9-1	29.1	1330	925	70.12%	19.90%	9.98%	+2.76	+36.2	18
1969-08-31	HJK	D 0-0	54.7	1510	1345	67.97%	20.40%	11.64%	+1.93	-8.0	21
1969-08-31	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	54.7	1345	1510	11.64%	20.40%	67.97%	-1.93	+8.0	22
1969-08-31	Kuusysi	L 1-2	51.6	1260	1223	57.39%	20.78%	21.82%	+0.88	-27.7	16
1969-08-31	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	51.6	1223	1260	21.82%	20.78%	57.39%	-0.88	+27.7	13
1969-09-07	Porin Assat	W 10-1	26.3	1353	889	79.13%	18.51%	2.36%	+4.39	+9.8	24
1969-09-07	@ HJK	L 1-10	26.3	889	1353	2.36%	18.51%	79.13%	-4.39	-9.8	4
1969-09-07	Haka	L 0-1	47.7	1366	1398	49.26%	20.87%	29.87%	+0.30	-25.5	18
1969-09-07	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	47.7	1398	1366	29.87%	20.87%	49.26%	-0.30	+25.5	20
1969-09-07	Kuusysi	W 4-0	29.7	1524	1250	73.59%	19.85%	6.56%	+2.82	+15.5	27
1969-09-07	@ KPV	L 0-4	29.7	1250	1524	6.56%	19.85%	73.59%	-2.82	-15.5	13
1969-09-07	KTP	W 2-0	29.6	1528	1121	77.83%	18.96%	3.21%	+3.92	+4.0	26
1969-09-07	@ KuPS	L 0-2	29.6	1121	1528	3.21%	18.96%	77.83%	-3.92	-4.0	6
1969-09-07	Kuopion Elo	W 2-0	33.6	1398	1271	65.31%	20.54%	14.14%	+1.61	+16.8	21
1969-09-07	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	33.6	1271	1398	14.14%	20.54%	65.31%	-1.61	-16.8	18
1969-09-07	TPS Turku	D 2-2	59.9	1502	1233	73.39%	19.88%	6.73%	+2.78	-6.5	22
1969-09-07	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	59.9	1233	1502	6.73%	19.88%	73.39%	-2.78	+6.5	17
1969-09-14	Reipas Lahti	L 2-3	58.7	1424	1495	44.15%	20.89%	34.97%	-0.02	-20.8	20
1969-09-14	@ Haka	W 3-2	58.7	1495	1424	34.97%	20.89%	44.15%	+0.02	+20.8	24
1969-09-14	KuPS	D 2-2	63.5	1363	1532	30.71%	20.80%	48.49%	-0.82	+1.5	25
1969-09-14	@ HJK	D 2-2	63.5	1532	1363	48.49%	20.80%	30.71%	+0.82	-1.5	27
1969-09-14	MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	40.4	1540	1415	65.21%	20.55%	14.24%	+1.60	+16.9	29
1969-09-14	@ KPV	L 0-2	40.4	1415	1540	14.24%	20.55%	65.21%	-1.60	-16.9	21
1969-09-14	Ilves-Kissat	L 1-4	38.0	1117	1340	24.24%	20.67%	55.09%	-1.27	-32.8	6
1969-09-14	@ KTP	W 4-1	38.0	1340	1117	55.09%	20.67%	24.24%	+1.27	+32.8	20
1969-09-14	TPS Turku	D 2-2	57.7	1254	1239	54.97%	20.82%	24.21%	+0.70	-2.7	19
1969-09-14	@ Kuopion Elo	D 2-2	57.7	1239	1254	24.21%	20.82%	54.97%	-0.70	+2.7	18
1969-09-14	Porin Assat	W 1-0	30.9	1235	879	76.44%	19.33%	4.23%	+3.50	+2.8	15
1969-09-14	@ Kuusysi	L 0-1	30.9	879	1235	4.23%	19.33%	76.44%	-3.50	-2.8	4
1969-09-21	Kuusysi	W 3-0	31.1	1373	1238	65.95%	20.51%	13.54%	+1.68	+23.4	22
1969-09-21	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-3	31.1	1238	1373	13.54%	20.51%	65.95%	-1.68	-23.4	15
1969-09-21	KPV	L 1-2	42.7	1252	1557	16.49%	20.39%	63.12%	-1.94	-9.6	19
1969-09-21	@ Kuopion Elo	W 2-1	42.7	1557	1252	63.12%	20.39%	16.49%	+1.94	+9.6	31
1969-09-21	Haka	W 1-0	41.7	1398	1403	52.59%	20.85%	26.56%	+0.53	+15.4	23
1969-09-21	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	41.7	1403	1398	26.56%	20.85%	52.59%	-0.53	-15.4	20
1969-09-21	KTP	W 3-2	54.3	876	1084	26.03%	20.71%	53.25%	-1.14	+24.5	6
1969-09-21	@ Porin Assat	L 2-3	54.3	1084	876	53.25%	20.71%	26.03%	+1.14	-24.5	6
1969-09-21	KuPS	L 0-1	57.2	1516	1530	51.57%	20.86%	27.57%	+0.46	-26.6	24
1969-09-21	@ Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	57.2	1530	1516	27.57%	20.86%	51.57%	-0.46	+26.6	29
1969-09-21	HJK	W 4-3	55.3	1242	1364	36.97%	20.86%	42.17%	-0.44	+19.5	20
1969-09-21	@ TPS Turku	L 3-4	55.3	1364	1242	42.17%	20.86%	36.97%	+0.44	-19.5	25
1969-09-28	MP Mikkeli	D 2-2	61.1	1396	1413	51.25%	20.86%	27.89%	+0.43	-2.0	23
1969-09-28	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 2-2	61.1	1413	1396	27.89%	20.86%	51.25%	-0.43	+2.0	24
1969-09-28	HJK	W 1-0	39.2	1566	1345	71.21%	20.14%	8.65%	+2.39	+5.7	33
1969-09-28	@ KPV	L 0-1	39.2	1345	1566	8.65%	20.14%	71.21%	-2.39	-5.7	25
1969-09-28	TPS Turku	L 1-8	34.7	1059	1261	26.69%	20.73%	52.58%	-1.09	-76.8	6
1969-09-28	@ KTP	W 8-1	34.7	1261	1059	52.58%	20.73%	26.69%	+1.09	+76.8	22
1969-09-28	Haka	D 0-0	57.6	1557	1388	68.22%	20.38%	11.40%	+1.96	-8.0	30
1969-09-28	@ KuPS	D 0-0	57.6	1388	1557	11.40%	20.38%	68.22%	-1.96	+8.0	21
1969-09-28	Kuopion Elo	L 0-1	45.3	1214	1242	49.88%	20.87%	29.25%	+0.34	-25.8	15
1969-09-28	@ Kuusysi	W 1-0	45.3	1242	1214	29.25%	20.87%	49.88%	-0.34	+25.8	21
1969-09-28	Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	30.7	901	1490	3.76%	18.62%	77.62%	-4.27	-2.5	6
1969-09-28	@ Porin Assat	W 1-0	30.7	1490	901	77.62%	18.62%	3.76%	+4.27	+2.5	26
1969-10-05	Porin Assat	W 8-2	28.2	1396	898	79.81%	18.22%	1.97%	+4.66	+4.6	23
1969-10-05	@ Haka	L 2-8	28.2	898	1396	1.97%	18.22%	79.81%	-4.66	-4.6	6
1969-10-05	Kuusysi	W 3-0	30.3	1339	1189	67.01%	20.46%	12.53%	+1.81	+21.8	27
1969-10-05	@ HJK	L 0-3	30.3	1189	1339	12.53%	20.46%	67.01%	-1.81	-21.8	15
1969-10-05	Ilves-Kissat	L 1-3	44.7	1268	1394	36.38%	20.86%	42.77%	-0.47	-32.4	21
1969-10-05	@ Kuopion Elo	W 3-1	44.7	1394	1268	42.77%	20.86%	36.38%	+0.47	+32.4	25
1969-10-05	KTP	W 4-2	36.7	1415	983	78.44%	18.76%	2.80%	+4.13	+2.7	26
1969-10-05	@ MP Mikkeli	L 2-4	36.7	983	1415	2.80%	18.76%	78.44%	-4.13	-2.7	6
1969-10-05	KPV	L 2-3	63.6	1492	1572	42.96%	20.89%	36.16%	-0.09	-20.3	26
1969-10-05	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-2	63.6	1572	1492	36.16%	20.89%	42.96%	+0.09	+20.3	35
1969-10-05	KuPS	L 2-3	52.0	1338	1549	25.69%	20.71%	53.60%	-1.16	-13.3	22
1969-10-05	@ TPS Turku	W 3-2	52.0	1549	1338	53.60%	20.71%	25.69%	+1.16	+13.3	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1969-08-31	9.94%	Kuopion Elo	1237	2	@ Haka	1432	1
2	1969-06-15	14.36%	Kuopion Elo	1304	2	@ TPS Turku	1427	1
3	1969-08-10	18.01%	KuPS	1431	1	@ KPV	1509	0
4	1969-06-18	19.41%	MP Mikkeli	1288	3	@ Haka	1351	1
5	1969-06-01	20.23%	Haka	1309	2	@ Kuopion Elo	1363	0
6	1969-06-18	21.24%	Reipas Lahti	1380	1	@ KuPS	1424	0
7	1969-08-31	21.82%	Kuusysi	1223	2	@ TPS Turku	1260	1
8	1969-09-21	26.03%	@ Porin Assat	876	3	KTP	1084	2
9	1969-05-27	27.21%	Reipas Lahti	1322	3	@ Kuusysi	1311	1
10	1969-05-04	27.36%	@ Ilves-Kissat	1213	5	Reipas Lahti	1409	1
11	1969-07-20	27.53%	@ Kuopion Elo	1275	3	HJK	1470	1
12	1969-09-21	27.57%	KuPS	1530	1	@ Reipas Lahti	1516	0
13	1969-07-06	28.68%	@ KTP	1150	4	MP Mikkeli	1335	0
14	1969-09-28	29.25%	Kuopion Elo	1242	1	@ Kuusysi	1214	0
15	1969-09-07	29.87%	Haka	1398	1	@ Ilves-Kissat	1366	0
16	1969-04-27	31.49%	TPS Turku	1386	2	@ Haka	1341	1
17	1969-05-26	32.42%	KPV	1357	3	@ Ilves-Kissat	1304	0
18	1969-07-20	32.99%	KuPS	1378	2	@ Ilves-Kissat	1322	1
19	1969-08-03	34.47%	@ Ilves-Kissat	1304	1	HJK	1444	0
20	1969-09-14	34.97%	Reipas Lahti	1495	3	@ Haka	1424	2
21	1969-05-18	35.52%	Kuusysi	1289	1	@ KTP	1213	0
22	1969-10-05	36.16%	KPV	1572	3	@ Reipas Lahti	1492	2
23	1969-05-18	36.22%	HJK	1413	1	@ Haka	1333	0
24	1969-08-03	36.28%	@ MP Mikkeli	1304	2	Reipas Lahti	1431	1
25	1969-07-27	36.43%	@ Haka	1365	1	KPV	1492	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-07-06	93.34	@ KTP	4	1150	28.68%	MP Mikkeli	0	1335	50.55%	20.77%
2	1969-05-04	79.67	@ Ilves-Kissat	5	1213	27.36%	Reipas Lahti	1	1409	51.90%	20.74%
3	1969-08-10	77.22	Reipas Lahti	4	1410	38.70%	@ Kuopion Elo	0	1312	40.42%	20.88%
4	1969-09-28	76.80	TPS Turku	8	1261	52.58%	@ KTP	1	1059	26.69%	20.73%
5	1969-07-13	76.50	@ Ilves-Kissat	4	1245	39.18%	Kuopion Elo	0	1352	39.95%	20.87%
6	1969-08-17	72.38	@ MP Mikkeli	5	1393	50.35%	HJK	0	1417	28.78%	20.87%
7	1969-08-31	67.80	@ KuPS	5	1460	52.55%	MP Mikkeli	0	1466	26.60%	20.85%
8	1969-08-10	67.68	MP Mikkeli	8	1326	63.72%	@ Porin Assat	0	1013	15.92%	20.36%
9	1969-05-26	66.67	KPV	3	1357	32.42%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1304	46.69%	20.88%
10	1969-07-27	59.76	@ MP Mikkeli	3	1244	38.16%	TPS Turku	0	1358	40.97%	20.87%
11	1969-06-01	58.03	@ Ilves-Kissat	6	1238	61.18%	Porin Assat	0	1161	18.12%	20.69%
12	1969-06-01	57.03	Haka	2	1309	20.23%	@ Kuopion Elo	0	1363	59.02%	20.75%
13	1969-06-29	56.30	@ Haka	3	1301	41.11%	KuPS	0	1394	38.01%	20.88%
14	1969-05-04	55.49	@ Kuopion Elo	5	1294	58.24%	Porin Assat	0	1248	20.99%	20.77%
15	1969-06-15	51.07	@ KuPS	4	1373	37.48%	HJK	1	1491	41.66%	20.86%
16	1969-06-18	50.10	MP Mikkeli	3	1288	19.41%	@ Haka	1	1351	59.86%	20.73%
17	1969-06-18	49.85	@ Kuusysi	3	1237	46.45%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1291	32.66%	20.88%
18	1969-05-27	43.71	Reipas Lahti	3	1322	27.21%	@ Kuusysi	1	1311	51.93%	20.86%
19	1969-07-20	43.50	@ Kuopion Elo	3	1275	27.53%	HJK	1	1470	51.73%	20.74%
20	1969-06-08	42.63	KuPS	4	1330	45.91%	@ KTP	1	1181	33.26%	20.83%
21	1969-04-27	41.15	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1368	60.37%	KTP	0	1300	18.91%	20.72%
22	1969-07-06	40.77	@ KuPS	4	1338	47.67%	TPS Turku	1	1383	31.45%	20.88%
23	1969-06-01	40.33	@ MP Mikkeli	2	1264	39.17%	KuPS	0	1370	39.96%	20.87%
24	1969-08-03	39.76	KPV	4	1469	48.67%	@ TPS Turku	1	1299	30.54%	20.79%
25	1969-05-26	38.96	TPS Turku	4	1376	49.42%	@ Porin Assat	1	1200	29.80%	20.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-10-05	63.6	KPV	3	1572	36.16%	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1492	42.96%	20.89%
2	1969-09-14	63.5	@ HJK	2	1363	30.71%	KuPS	2	1532	48.49%	20.80%
3	1969-08-14	63.1	@ Kuopion Elo	3	1235	23.84%	KuPS	3	1462	55.50%	20.66%
4	1969-06-29	62.1	@ MP Mikkeli	3	1338	62.94%	Ilves-Kissat	3	1242	16.42%	20.64%
5	1969-09-28	61.1	@ Ilves-Kissat	2	1396	51.25%	MP Mikkeli	2	1413	27.89%	20.86%
6	1969-09-07	59.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1502	73.39%	TPS Turku	2	1233	6.73%	19.88%
7	1969-07-27	59.7	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1436	66.10%	Ilves-Kissat	2	1299	13.40%	20.50%
8	1969-05-04	58.8	@ Kuusysi	2	1320	48.60%	KuPS	2	1358	30.52%	20.88%
9	1969-09-14	58.7	Reipas Lahti	3	1495	34.97%	@ Haka	2	1424	44.15%	20.89%
10	1969-06-08	58.2	@ Kuopion Elo	2	1306	53.49%	MP Mikkeli	2	1304	25.67%	20.84%
11	1969-05-11	57.9	@ Porin Assat	2	1192	30.95%	KuPS	2	1360	48.25%	20.80%
12	1969-07-20	57.7	@ Kuusysi	2	1266	56.02%	MP Mikkeli	2	1242	23.17%	20.81%
13	1969-09-14	57.7	@ Kuopion Elo	2	1254	54.97%	TPS Turku	2	1239	24.21%	20.82%
14	1969-09-28	57.6	@ KuPS	0	1557	68.22%	Haka	0	1388	11.40%	20.38%
15	1969-09-21	57.2	KuPS	1	1530	27.57%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	1516	51.57%	20.86%
16	1969-08-10	57.1	@ HJK	1	1421	54.99%	Haka	1	1405	24.19%	20.82%
17	1969-08-31	56.3	Kuopion Elo	2	1237	9.94%	@ Haka	1	1432	69.79%	20.26%
18	1969-08-10	56.1	KuPS	1	1431	18.01%	@ KPV	0	1509	61.29%	20.69%
19	1969-06-15	55.8	Kuopion Elo	2	1304	14.36%	@ TPS Turku	1	1427	65.09%	20.55%
20	1969-06-29	55.4	@ HJK	3	1459	49.45%	KPV	2	1490	29.68%	20.87%
21	1969-09-21	55.3	@ TPS Turku	4	1242	36.97%	HJK	3	1364	42.17%	20.86%
22	1969-05-27	55.2	@ KuPS	1	1374	54.87%	Kuopion Elo	1	1360	24.30%	20.82%
23	1969-05-11	55.0	@ HJK	1	1419	65.32%	Ilves-Kissat	1	1292	14.13%	20.54%
24	1969-08-31	54.7	@ Reipas Lahti	0	1510	67.97%	HJK	0	1345	11.64%	20.40%
25	1969-05-18	54.5	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1325	49.26%	Kuopion Elo	1	1357	29.86%	20.87%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-08-17	25.9	@ TPS Turku	6	1240	74.39%	Porin Assat	0	946	5.88%	19.73%
2	1969-06-29	26.1	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1410	76.49%	Porin Assat	0	1052	4.19%	19.32%
3	1969-09-07	26.3	@ HJK	10	1353	79.13%	Porin Assat	1	889	2.36%	18.51%
4	1969-08-17	27.5	@ Haka	5	1409	71.83%	KTP	0	1175	8.10%	20.07%
5	1969-10-05	28.2	@ Haka	8	1396	79.81%	Porin Assat	2	898	1.97%	18.22%
6	1969-08-14	28.9	@ Reipas Lahti	5	1487	72.20%	Kuusysi	0	1245	7.77%	20.03%
7	1969-08-31	29.1	Ilves-Kissat	9	1330	70.12%	@ Porin Assat	1	925	9.98%	19.90%
8	1969-07-20	29.3	@ KPV	5	1487	79.25%	Porin Assat	1	1018	2.29%	18.46%
9	1969-08-03	29.6	@ KuPS	5	1424	77.77%	Porin Assat	1	1020	3.25%	18.98%
10	1969-09-07	29.6	@ KuPS	2	1528	77.83%	KTP	0	1121	3.21%	18.96%
11	1969-09-07	29.7	@ KPV	4	1524	73.59%	Kuusysi	0	1250	6.56%	19.85%
12	1969-08-10	29.8	MP Mikkeli	8	1326	63.72%	@ Porin Assat	0	1013	15.92%	20.36%
13	1969-06-01	30.0	@ Ilves-Kissat	6	1238	61.18%	Porin Assat	0	1161	18.12%	20.69%
14	1969-08-31	30.2	KPV	4	1494	66.06%	@ KTP	0	1151	13.71%	20.23%
15	1969-10-05	30.3	@ HJK	3	1339	67.01%	Kuusysi	0	1189	12.53%	20.46%
16	1969-09-28	30.7	Reipas Lahti	1	1490	77.62%	@ Porin Assat	0	901	3.76%	18.62%
17	1969-09-14	30.9	@ Kuusysi	1	1235	76.44%	Porin Assat	0	879	4.23%	19.33%
18	1969-05-27	31.0	@ HJK	4	1436	66.45%	MP Mikkeli	0	1293	13.06%	20.49%
19	1969-09-21	31.1	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	1373	65.95%	Kuusysi	0	1238	13.54%	20.51%
20	1969-06-01	31.2	@ KPV	2	1423	71.76%	KTP	0	1191	8.16%	20.08%
21	1969-05-04	31.3	@ Kuopion Elo	5	1294	58.24%	Porin Assat	0	1248	20.99%	20.77%
22	1969-07-27	31.5	@ KuPS	3	1401	66.11%	Kuusysi	0	1264	13.38%	20.50%
23	1969-04-27	32.1	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1368	60.37%	KTP	0	1300	18.91%	20.72%
24	1969-07-27	32.7	@ HJK	5	1427	70.72%	KTP	1	1214	9.09%	20.18%
25	1969-09-07	33.6	@ MP Mikkeli	2	1398	65.31%	Kuopion Elo	0	1271	14.14%	20.54%