1973 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

HJK

33 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1964

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HJK

8.15 points above expected

33 points · 24.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Helsingin Ponnistus

4.74 points below expected

13 points · 17.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	HJK Champion	22	14	5	3	33	36	21	+15	24.85	+8.15
2	KPV	22	12	7	3	31	42	17	+25	27.45	+3.55
3	Reipas Lahti	22	13	4	5	30	39	15	+24	27.11	+2.89
4	KuPS	22	10	6	6	26	34	22	+12	25.18	+0.82
5	OTP Oulu	22	9	8	5	26	29	30	-1	21.88	+4.12
6	KPT	22	9	7	6	25	36	24	+12	23.05	+1.95
7	MP Mikkeli	22	6	7	9	19	23	24	-1	23.53	-4.53
8	Kuusysi	22	7	4	11	18	31	38	-7	19.38	-1.38
9	TPS Turku	22	5	7	10	17	23	32	-9	21.60	-4.60
10	Ilves-Kissat	22	5	7	10	17	25	46	-21	18.66	-1.66
11	Helsingin Ponnistus	22	3	7	12	13	30	44	-14	17.74	-4.74
12	TaPa	22	2	5	15	9	20	55	-35	13.57	-4.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	HJK	33	24.85	+8.15
2	OTP Oulu	26	21.88	+4.12
3	KPV	31	27.45	+3.55
4	Reipas Lahti	30	27.11	+2.89
5	KPT	25	23.05	+1.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Helsingin Ponnistus	13	17.74	-4.74
2	TPS Turku	17	21.60	-4.60
3	TaPa	9	13.57	-4.57
4	MP Mikkeli	19	23.53	-4.53
5	Ilves-Kissat	17	18.66	-1.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kuusysi	3	Sep 16 – Sep 30	1 in 153
2	HJK	6	May 28 – Jul 1	1 in 81
3	KPT	4	Jul 22 – Aug 12	1 in 47
4	OTP Oulu	3	Aug 15 – Aug 23	1 in 35
5	KPV	5	Jul 1 – Aug 12	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	TPS Turku	5	Jun 10 – Jul 22	1 in 336
2	Kuusysi	5	Jun 17 – Jul 29	1 in 86
3	Reipas Lahti	3	Aug 12 – Aug 19	1 in 58
4	TaPa	4	Apr 29 – May 13	1 in 22
5	KuPS	2	Jul 29 – Aug 5	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HJK	11	Apr 29 – Jul 1	1 in 86
2	KPT	10	Jun 17 – Aug 23	1 in 25
3	OTP Oulu	6	Apr 29 – May 27	1 in 17
4	Kuusysi	4	Sep 2 – Sep 30	1 in 13
5	TPS Turku	6	May 6 – May 31	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	MP Mikkeli	8	May 9 – Jun 24	1 in 47
2	TPS Turku	7	May 31 – Jul 29	1 in 20
3	Helsingin Ponnistus	9	Jun 24 – Aug 23	1 in 18
4	TaPa	13	Apr 29 – Jul 29	1 in 14
5	KuPS	5	Aug 23 – Sep 30	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
HJK	1286	33	+14	7	6.1	+0.9
KPV	1348	31	+3	6	6.4	-0.4
Reipas Lahti	1354	30	+80	9	6.2	+2.8
OTP Oulu	1155	26	+2	5	5.5	-0.5
KuPS	1234	26	-34	4	5.2	-1.2
KPT	1262	25	-37	4	6.2	-2.2
MP Mikkeli	1193	19	+1	4	4.5	-0.5
Kuusysi	1177	18	+81	7	3.8	+3.2
TPS Turku	1146	17	-1	5	5.2	-0.2
Ilves-Kissat	1041	17	-62	3	4.2	-1.2
Helsingin Ponnistus	1046	13	-30	3	4.0	-1.0
TaPa	937	9	-18	3	2.7	+0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HP	ILV	KPT	KPV	KUP	KUU	MM	OO	RL	TT	TAP
HJK	—	2-0-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.68	0-1-1 2.95	0-2-0 2.24	2-0-0 2.48	1-0-1 3.68	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.20	2-0-0 3.53	1-1-0 4.28
Helsingin Ponnistus	0-0-2 1.80	—	0-2-0 2.53	0-1-1 1.95	0-1-1 1.57	0-0-2 1.87	0-2-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 2.20	0-1-1 1.65	1-0-1 2.05	2-0-0 3.28
Ilves-Kissat	0-0-2 1.75	0-2-0 2.88	—	1-0-1 1.76	1-0-1 1.44	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.01	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.63	0-2-0 2.29	1-1-0 3.49
KPT	1-1-0 2.46	1-1-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.66	—	0-1-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.60	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.54	2-0-0 2.55	0-2-0 4.10
KPV	0-2-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.88	1-0-1 4.00	1-1-0 3.40	—	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.77
KuPS	0-0-2 2.94	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.17	—	1-0-1 3.55	1-1-0 3.22	0-2-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 4.21
Kuusysi	1-0-1 1.75	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 2.11	0-0-2 1.97	1-0-1 1.88	—	0-0-2 2.16	0-0-2 2.58	1-1-0 1.73	1-1-0 2.16	2-0-0 3.47
MP Mikkeli	0-0-2 2.34	2-0-0 3.13	0-1-1 3.41	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.20	2-0-0 3.26	—	0-2-0 3.26	0-0-2 2.12	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.97
OTP Oulu	1-1-0 2.37	2-0-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 1.73	0-2-0 2.11	2-0-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.15	—	0-1-1 1.95	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 4.07
Reipas Lahti	0-0-2 3.22	1-1-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.81	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 3.71	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.48	—	2-0-0 3.79	2-0-0 4.01
TPS Turku	0-0-2 1.89	1-0-1 3.36	0-2-0 3.13	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 1.93	1-0-1 2.30	0-1-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 1.63	—	1-1-0 3.98
TaPa	0-1-1 1.17	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 1.93	0-2-0 1.36	0-0-2 1.70	1-0-1 1.24	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 1.47	1-0-1 1.38	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 1.46	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.69	+9.1
Allowed	0.80	-5.4
Differential	0.87	+3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.61%	8.33%	6.44%	3.03%	1.14%	1.14%	30.68%
1	8.33%	10.61%	5.30%	3.41%	1.14%	1.14%	29.92%
2	6.44%	5.30%	4.55%	2.65%	0.76%	0.76%	20.45%
3	3.03%	3.41%	2.65%	2.27%	0.38%	0.38%	12.12%
4	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	3.41%
5+	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	3.41%
Total	30.68%	29.92%	20.45%	12.12%	3.41%	3.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.39	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	1.91
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
2	22.73%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	50.00%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.95	+0.68
SD	0.90	1.13	1.25
CV	0.55	1.19	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.00	-0.64
SD	1.26	1.57	1.73
CV	0.92	0.79	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	2.09	-0.95
SD	1.08	1.69	1.99
CV	0.95	0.81	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.09	+0.55
SD	1.65	1.02	1.87
CV	1.01	0.93	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	45.45%	40.91%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	0.77	+1.14
SD	1.60	0.92	1.64
CV	0.84	1.19	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.00	+0.55
SD	1.57	0.87	1.65
CV	1.01	0.87	—
Max	7	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	18.18%	27.27%	27.27%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.73	-0.32
SD	1.22	1.24	1.73
CV	0.87	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	45.45%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.09	-0.05
SD	1.40	0.92	1.70
CV	1.34	0.84	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.36	-0.05
SD	1.39	1.62	2.24
CV	1.06	1.19	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	54.55%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	0.68	+1.09
SD	1.51	0.89	1.80
CV	0.85	1.31	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.45	-0.41
SD	1.46	1.41	1.68
CV	1.40	0.97	—
Max	6	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	40.91%
1	—	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	36.36%	13.64%	31.82%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	2.50	-1.59
SD	0.92	1.50	1.82
CV	1.01	0.60	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	1	-6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Reipas Lahti	1354	30	27.11	+2.89	78.0%	18	20	25	27	29	33	38
KPV	1348	31	27.45	+3.55	83.0%	17	20	25	27	30	33	35
HJK	1286	33	24.85	+8.15	98.0%	15	19	22	25	27	31	35
KPT	1262	25	23.05	+1.95	79.0%	14	16	20	23	25	29	32
KuPS	1234	26	25.18	+0.82	66.0%	18	19	23	25	28	31	34
MP Mikkeli	1193	19	23.53	-4.53	16.0%	16	17	21	24	26	29	30
Kuusysi	1177	18	19.38	-1.38	41.0%	11	13	16	19	22	26	30
OTP Oulu	1155	26	21.88	+4.12	90.0%	11	17	19	21	25	28	31
TPS Turku	1146	17	21.60	-4.60	8.0%	14	16	20	21	24	26	31
Helsingin Ponnistus	1046	13	17.74	-4.74	10.0%	10	11	15	18	20	23	27
Ilves-Kissat	1041	17	18.66	-1.66	45.0%	11	13	16	18	22	25	28
TaPa	937	9	13.57	-4.57	11.0%	5	7	11	14	16	18	23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.91%

Clear Edge

43.94%28.03%28.03%

Elo Value

Home Edge

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

055.75500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.29 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

HJK, 4th of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.11 * Way Off: 3.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.07 points

Some Luck

03.699

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.954

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

HJK

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

TPS Turku

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 127.09

1.90

Wide Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

70%

Slight Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

92%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.40

Notable Separation

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.24

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.35

Some Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.70

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.112

Well Within Noise

00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
HJK	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	16.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
KPV	36.00%	23.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Reipas Lahti	32.00%	17.00%	22.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
KuPS	12.00%	16.00%	13.00%	16.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
OTP Oulu	2.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	19.00%	14.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%
KPT	1.00%	7.00%	9.00%	20.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%
MP Mikkeli	1.00%	11.00%	17.00%	9.00%	14.00%	13.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Kuusysi	4.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%
TPS Turku	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	13.00%	17.00%	13.00%	11.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Ilves-Kissat	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	21.00%	23.00%	8.00%
Helsingin Ponnistus	1.00%	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	21.00%	23.00%	13.00%
TaPa	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	24.00%	66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KPV	100%	—
Reipas Lahti	100%	—
HJK	99.00%	1.00%
KuPS	99.00%	1.00%
MP Mikkeli	97.00%	3.00%
TPS Turku	96.00%	4.00%
KPT	95.00%	5.00%
OTP Oulu	94.00%	6.00%
Kuusysi	77.00%	23.00%
Ilves-Kissat	69.00%	31.00%
Helsingin Ponnistus	64.00%	36.00%
TaPa	10.00%	90.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1973-04-29	OTP Oulu	D 2-2	56.6	1164	1165	46.65%	29.59%	23.76%	+0.30	-1.3	1
1973-04-29	@ HJK	D 2-2	56.6	1165	1164	23.76%	29.59%	46.65%	-0.30	+1.3	1
1973-04-29	KuPS	L 0-4	38.7	1160	1187	43.43%	29.69%	26.89%	+0.16	-56.6	0
1973-04-29	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 4-0	38.7	1187	1160	26.89%	29.69%	43.43%	-0.16	+56.6	2
1973-04-29	TPS Turku	W 1-0	41.7	1169	1237	38.05%	29.72%	32.22%	-0.07	+12.7	2
1973-04-29	@ KPT	L 0-1	41.7	1237	1169	32.22%	29.72%	38.05%	+0.07	-12.7	0
1973-04-29	Kuusysi	W 1-0	38.8	1195	1186	47.81%	29.54%	22.65%	+0.36	+9.8	2
1973-04-29	@ KPV	L 0-1	38.8	1186	1195	22.65%	29.54%	47.81%	-0.36	-9.8	0
1973-04-29	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	40.4	1233	1112	58.57%	28.44%	13.00%	+0.97	+5.9	2
1973-04-29	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-2	40.4	1112	1233	13.00%	28.44%	58.57%	-0.97	-5.9	0
1973-04-29	TaPa	W 6-0	31.9	1215	1155	53.21%	29.15%	17.64%	+0.64	+42.1	2
1973-04-29	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-6	31.9	1155	1215	17.64%	29.15%	53.21%	-0.64	-42.1	0
1973-05-06	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	51.7	1106	1257	26.91%	29.38%	43.70%	-0.52	+1.2	1
1973-05-06	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 1-1	51.7	1257	1106	43.70%	29.38%	26.91%	+0.52	-1.2	3
1973-05-06	HJK	L 0-1	48.4	1244	1163	55.20%	28.93%	15.87%	+0.75	-19.6	2
1973-05-06	@ KuPS	W 1-0	48.4	1163	1244	15.87%	28.93%	55.20%	-0.75	+19.6	3
1973-05-06	MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	43.7	1176	1239	38.72%	29.73%	31.55%	-0.04	-14.5	0
1973-05-06	@ Kuusysi	W 1-0	43.7	1239	1176	31.55%	29.73%	38.72%	+0.04	+14.5	4
1973-05-06	KPT	W 3-2	49.1	1166	1182	44.88%	29.65%	25.47%	+0.22	+9.5	3
1973-05-06	@ OTP Oulu	L 2-3	49.1	1182	1166	25.47%	29.65%	44.88%	-0.22	-9.6	2
1973-05-06	KPV	L 0-5	36.4	1113	1205	34.64%	29.68%	35.67%	-0.20	-58.8	0
1973-05-06	@ TaPa	W 5-0	36.4	1205	1113	35.67%	29.68%	34.64%	+0.20	+58.8	4
1973-05-06	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	47.8	1224	1104	58.55%	28.44%	13.01%	+0.97	-4.2	1
1973-05-06	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	47.8	1104	1224	13.01%	28.44%	58.55%	-0.97	+4.2	1
1973-05-09	KPT	D 2-2	56.7	1182	1172	47.93%	29.53%	22.54%	+0.36	-1.4	4
1973-05-09	@ HJK	D 2-2	56.7	1172	1182	22.54%	29.53%	47.93%	-0.36	+1.4	3
1973-05-09	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	36.7	1108	1256	27.23%	29.40%	43.37%	-0.51	-21.1	1
1973-05-09	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	36.7	1256	1108	43.37%	29.40%	27.23%	+0.51	+21.1	5
1973-05-09	TaPa	W 1-0	34.3	1224	1054	62.25%	27.66%	10.09%	+1.25	+5.0	4
1973-05-09	@ KuPS	L 0-1	34.3	1054	1224	10.09%	27.66%	62.25%	-1.25	-5.0	0
1973-05-09	Helsingin Ponnistus	D 0-0	47.5	1162	1108	52.58%	29.21%	18.21%	+0.60	-3.0	1
1973-05-09	@ Kuusysi	D 0-0	47.5	1108	1162	18.21%	29.21%	52.58%	-0.60	+3.0	2
1973-05-09	KPV	D 0-0	47.8	1253	1263	45.52%	29.63%	24.85%	+0.25	-1.7	5
1973-05-09	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	47.8	1263	1253	24.85%	29.63%	45.52%	-0.25	+1.7	5
1973-05-09	OTP Oulu	D 0-0	47.6	1220	1176	51.61%	29.29%	19.09%	+0.55	-2.8	2
1973-05-09	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	47.6	1176	1220	19.09%	29.29%	51.61%	-0.55	+2.8	4
1973-05-13	KuPS	L 1-2	46.1	1111	1229	30.98%	29.58%	39.44%	-0.35	-11.6	2
1973-05-13	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	46.1	1229	1111	39.44%	29.58%	30.98%	+0.35	+11.6	6
1973-05-13	Ilves-Kissat	L 0-2	45.0	1174	1087	55.70%	28.87%	15.43%	+0.79	-37.2	3
1973-05-13	@ KPT	W 2-0	45.0	1087	1174	15.43%	28.87%	55.70%	-0.79	+37.2	3
1973-05-13	TPS Turku	D 0-0	47.8	1265	1217	52.02%	29.26%	18.72%	+0.57	-2.9	6
1973-05-13	@ KPV	D 0-0	47.8	1217	1265	18.72%	29.26%	52.02%	-0.57	+2.9	3
1973-05-13	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	47.5	1179	1252	37.32%	29.72%	32.96%	-0.10	-0.3	5
1973-05-13	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	47.5	1252	1179	32.96%	29.72%	37.32%	+0.10	+0.4	6
1973-05-13	HJK	L 0-1	48.8	1277	1181	56.52%	28.76%	14.72%	+0.84	-20.0	5
1973-05-13	@ Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	48.8	1181	1277	14.72%	28.76%	56.52%	-0.84	+20.0	6
1973-05-13	Kuusysi	L 0-3	35.9	1049	1158	32.21%	29.62%	38.16%	-0.30	-34.6	0
1973-05-13	@ TaPa	W 3-0	35.9	1158	1049	38.16%	29.62%	32.21%	+0.30	+34.7	3
1973-05-17	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	51.5	1099	1124	43.72%	29.68%	26.60%	+0.17	-1.2	3
1973-05-17	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 1-1	51.5	1124	1099	26.60%	29.68%	43.72%	-0.17	+1.3	4
1973-05-17	HJK	D 1-1	51.9	1262	1201	53.33%	29.14%	17.53%	+0.65	-2.8	7
1973-05-17	@ KPV	D 1-1	51.9	1201	1262	17.53%	29.14%	53.33%	-0.65	+2.8	7
1973-05-17	Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	39.9	1241	1257	44.82%	29.65%	25.52%	+0.22	+10.7	8
1973-05-17	@ KuPS	L 0-1	39.9	1257	1241	25.52%	29.65%	44.82%	-0.22	-10.7	5
1973-05-17	OTP Oulu	L 0-2	43.1	1193	1178	48.46%	29.50%	22.04%	+0.39	-32.7	3
1973-05-17	@ Kuusysi	W 2-0	43.1	1178	1193	22.04%	29.50%	48.46%	-0.39	+32.7	7
1973-05-17	KPT	L 0-1	49.1	1252	1136	58.16%	28.51%	13.33%	+0.94	-20.6	6
1973-05-17	@ MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	49.1	1136	1252	13.33%	28.51%	58.16%	-0.94	+20.6	5
1973-05-17	TPS Turku	D 1-1	51.7	1014	1220	20.84%	28.86%	50.30%	-0.83	+2.3	1
1973-05-17	@ TaPa	D 1-1	51.7	1220	1014	50.30%	28.86%	20.84%	+0.83	-2.3	4
1973-05-27	MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	43.3	1125	1231	32.68%	29.64%	37.69%	-0.28	+14.2	6
1973-05-27	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	43.3	1231	1125	37.69%	29.64%	32.68%	+0.28	-14.2	6
1973-05-27	Kuusysi	W 3-0	33.5	1157	1160	46.33%	29.60%	24.07%	+0.29	+28.0	7
1973-05-27	@ KPT	L 0-3	33.5	1160	1157	24.07%	29.60%	46.33%	-0.29	-28.1	3
1973-05-27	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-1	40.5	1211	1098	57.95%	28.54%	13.50%	+0.93	+6.1	9
1973-05-27	@ OTP Oulu	L 1-2	40.5	1098	1211	13.50%	28.54%	57.95%	-0.93	-6.1	3
1973-05-27	KPV	W 1-0	39.9	1246	1259	45.15%	29.64%	25.21%	+0.23	+10.6	7
1973-05-27	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	39.9	1259	1246	25.21%	29.64%	45.15%	-0.23	-10.6	7
1973-05-27	KuPS	W 2-1	45.4	1218	1252	42.56%	29.70%	27.74%	+0.12	+10.7	6
1973-05-27	@ TPS Turku	L 1-2	45.4	1252	1218	27.74%	29.70%	42.56%	-0.12	-10.7	8
1973-05-28	TaPa	W 2-0	30.6	1204	1017	63.36%	27.37%	9.28%	+1.34	+8.6	9
1973-05-28	@ HJK	L 0-2	30.6	1017	1204	9.28%	27.37%	63.36%	-1.34	-8.6	1
1973-05-31	HJK	L 0-2	37.7	1092	1212	30.72%	29.57%	39.71%	-0.36	-23.0	3
1973-05-31	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-0	37.7	1212	1092	39.71%	29.57%	30.72%	+0.36	+23.0	11
1973-05-31	TaPa	D 1-1	51.9	1139	1008	59.41%	28.28%	12.30%	+1.03	-3.9	7
1973-05-31	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	51.9	1008	1139	12.30%	28.28%	59.41%	-1.03	+3.9	2
1973-05-31	OTP Oulu	W 5-1	35.7	1249	1217	50.32%	29.39%	20.29%	+0.48	+26.8	9
1973-05-31	@ KPV	L 1-5	35.7	1217	1249	20.29%	29.39%	50.32%	-0.48	-26.8	9
1973-05-31	KPT	W 1-0	37.3	1241	1185	52.81%	29.19%	18.00%	+0.62	+8.2	10
1973-05-31	@ KuPS	L 0-1	37.3	1185	1241	18.00%	29.19%	52.81%	-0.62	-8.2	7
1973-05-31	Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	56.7	1132	1257	30.21%	29.55%	40.24%	-0.38	+0.5	4
1973-05-31	@ Kuusysi	D 2-2	56.7	1257	1132	40.24%	29.55%	30.21%	+0.38	-0.5	8
1973-05-31	TPS Turku	D 0-0	47.6	1217	1228	45.39%	29.63%	24.97%	+0.25	-1.7	7
1973-05-31	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	47.6	1228	1217	24.97%	29.63%	45.39%	-0.25	+1.7	7
1973-06-10	MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	35.2	1235	1215	49.03%	29.47%	21.50%	+0.42	+17.7	13
1973-06-10	@ HJK	L 0-2	35.2	1215	1235	21.50%	29.47%	49.03%	-0.42	-17.7	7
1973-06-10	Ilves-Kissat	W 3-0	29.5	1276	1136	60.08%	28.15%	11.77%	+1.08	+15.6	11
1973-06-10	@ KPV	L 0-3	29.5	1136	1276	11.77%	28.15%	60.08%	-1.08	-15.6	7
1973-06-10	OTP Oulu	D 0-0	47.7	1249	1190	53.09%	29.16%	17.74%	+0.63	-3.1	11
1973-06-10	@ KuPS	D 0-0	47.7	1190	1249	17.74%	29.16%	53.09%	-0.63	+3.1	10
1973-06-10	KPT	W 1-0	36.7	1256	1177	55.05%	28.95%	16.00%	+0.75	+7.4	10
1973-06-10	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	36.7	1177	1256	16.00%	28.95%	55.05%	-0.75	-7.4	7
1973-06-10	Helsingin Ponnistus	L 0-2	40.4	1012	1069	39.53%	29.73%	30.74%	-0.01	-27.7	2
1973-06-10	@ TaPa	W 2-0	40.4	1069	1012	30.74%	29.73%	39.53%	+0.01	+27.7	5
1973-06-10	Kuusysi	L 0-1	48.7	1230	1133	56.62%	28.75%	14.63%	+0.84	-20.0	7
1973-06-10	@ TPS Turku	W 1-0	48.7	1133	1230	14.63%	28.75%	56.62%	-0.84	+20.0	6
1973-06-17	TPS Turku	W 4-0	37.2	1096	1210	31.65%	29.60%	38.74%	-0.32	+51.7	7
1973-06-17	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	L 0-4	37.2	1210	1096	38.74%	29.60%	31.65%	+0.32	-51.7	7
1973-06-17	HJK	L 0-2	37.3	1120	1253	29.07%	29.50%	41.43%	-0.43	-22.1	7
1973-06-17	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	37.3	1253	1120	41.43%	29.50%	29.07%	+0.43	+22.1	15
1973-06-17	KPV	D 0-0	47.6	1169	1291	30.54%	29.56%	39.89%	-0.36	+0.8	8
1973-06-17	@ KPT	D 0-0	47.6	1291	1169	39.89%	29.56%	30.54%	+0.36	-0.8	12
1973-06-17	KuPS	L 1-2	47.3	1153	1246	34.49%	29.68%	35.83%	-0.21	-12.5	6
1973-06-17	@ Kuusysi	W 2-1	47.3	1246	1153	35.83%	29.68%	34.49%	+0.21	+12.5	13
1973-06-17	Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	45.4	1198	1264	38.30%	29.73%	31.98%	-0.06	-23.4	7
1973-06-17	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	45.4	1264	1198	31.98%	29.73%	38.30%	+0.06	+23.4	12
1973-06-17	TaPa	W 3-0	27.9	1193	984	64.74%	26.95%	8.31%	+1.46	+11.3	12
1973-06-17	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-3	27.9	984	1193	8.31%	26.95%	64.74%	-1.46	-11.3	2
1973-06-24	KPV	D 3-3	60.6	1148	1291	27.92%	29.44%	42.64%	-0.48	+0.7	8
1973-06-24	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 3-3	60.6	1291	1148	42.64%	29.44%	27.92%	+0.48	-0.7	13
1973-06-24	MP Mikkeli	W 2-1	41.4	1259	1174	55.47%	28.90%	15.63%	+0.77	+6.9	15
1973-06-24	@ KuPS	L 1-2	41.4	1174	1259	15.63%	28.90%	55.47%	-0.77	-6.9	7
1973-06-24	Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	56.7	1140	1098	51.45%	29.31%	19.24%	+0.54	-16.4	6
1973-06-24	@ Kuusysi	W 3-2	56.7	1098	1140	19.24%	29.31%	51.45%	-0.54	+16.4	9
1973-06-24	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	47.7	1205	1287	35.99%	29.70%	34.31%	-0.15	-0.1	13
1973-06-24	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	47.7	1287	1205	34.31%	29.70%	35.99%	+0.15	+0.1	13
1973-06-24	KPT	D 3-3	60.5	973	1170	21.69%	28.95%	49.35%	-0.78	+1.3	3
1973-06-24	@ TaPa	D 3-3	60.5	1170	973	49.35%	28.95%	21.69%	+0.78	-1.3	9
1973-06-24	HJK	L 1-2	46.3	1158	1275	31.21%	29.59%	39.20%	-0.34	-11.7	7
1973-06-24	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	46.3	1275	1158	39.20%	29.59%	31.21%	+0.34	+11.7	17
1973-07-01	Kuusysi	W 3-2	44.2	1287	1124	61.73%	27.79%	10.48%	+1.21	+4.6	19
1973-07-01	@ HJK	L 2-3	44.2	1124	1287	10.48%	27.79%	61.73%	-1.21	-4.6	6
1973-07-01	OTP Oulu	D 1-1	51.5	1114	1204	34.88%	29.69%	35.44%	-0.19	+0.0	10
1973-07-01	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	51.5	1204	1114	35.44%	29.69%	34.88%	+0.19	-0.0	14
1973-07-01	Helsingin Ponnistus	D 0-0	47.4	1169	1149	49.02%	29.47%	21.50%	+0.42	-2.3	10
1973-07-01	@ KPT	D 0-0	47.4	1149	1169	21.50%	29.47%	49.02%	-0.42	+2.4	9
1973-07-01	KuPS	W 2-1	43.6	1290	1265	49.52%	29.44%	21.04%	+0.44	+8.7	15
1973-07-01	@ KPV	L 1-2	43.6	1265	1290	21.04%	29.44%	49.52%	-0.44	-8.7	15
1973-07-01	TaPa	W 3-1	35.5	1167	974	63.75%	27.26%	9.00%	+1.37	+7.3	9
1973-07-01	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-3	35.5	974	1167	9.00%	27.26%	63.75%	-1.37	-7.3	3
1973-07-01	TPS Turku	W 2-0	31.8	1287	1147	60.11%	28.15%	11.75%	+1.08	+10.7	15
1973-07-01	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	31.8	1147	1287	11.75%	28.15%	60.11%	-1.08	-10.7	7
1973-07-22	MP Mikkeli	L 1-4	44.1	1151	1175	43.88%	29.68%	26.45%	+0.18	-36.8	9
1973-07-22	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 4-1	44.1	1175	1151	26.45%	29.68%	43.88%	-0.18	+36.8	11
1973-07-22	Ilves-Kissat	W 7-2	33.1	1257	1114	60.26%	28.12%	11.63%	+1.09	+17.2	17
1973-07-22	@ KuPS	L 2-7	33.1	1114	1257	11.63%	28.12%	60.26%	-1.09	-17.2	10
1973-07-22	KPV	L 1-3	40.7	1119	1299	23.61%	29.14%	47.25%	-0.68	-16.4	6
1973-07-22	@ Kuusysi	W 3-1	40.7	1299	1119	47.25%	29.14%	23.61%	+0.68	+16.4	17
1973-07-22	HJK	W 1-0	42.8	1204	1292	35.33%	29.69%	34.97%	-0.17	+13.4	16
1973-07-22	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-1	42.8	1292	1204	34.97%	29.69%	35.33%	+0.17	-13.4	19
1973-07-22	Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	34.5	967	1298	11.29%	26.88%	61.83%	-1.52	-5.4	3
1973-07-22	@ TaPa	W 1-0	34.5	1298	967	61.83%	26.88%	11.29%	+1.52	+5.3	17
1973-07-22	KPT	L 1-2	49.7	1136	1166	43.01%	29.69%	27.30%	+0.14	-14.8	7
1973-07-22	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	49.7	1166	1136	27.30%	29.69%	43.01%	-0.14	+14.8	12
1973-07-29	KuPS	W 1-0	39.4	1278	1274	47.23%	29.56%	23.20%	+0.33	+10.0	21
1973-07-29	@ HJK	L 0-1	39.4	1274	1278	23.20%	29.56%	47.23%	-0.33	-10.0	17
1973-07-29	TPS Turku	D 3-3	60.3	1097	1121	43.79%	29.68%	26.53%	+0.17	-0.8	11
1973-07-29	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 3-3	60.3	1121	1097	26.53%	29.68%	43.79%	-0.17	+0.8	8
1973-07-29	OTP Oulu	W 5-0	34.5	1181	1218	42.22%	29.71%	28.08%	+0.11	+50.6	14
1973-07-29	@ KPT	L 0-5	34.5	1218	1181	28.08%	29.71%	42.22%	-0.11	-50.6	16
1973-07-29	TaPa	W 3-1	33.0	1315	962	72.21%	23.70%	4.09%	+2.25	+3.2	19
1973-07-29	@ KPV	L 1-3	33.0	962	1315	4.09%	23.70%	72.21%	-2.25	-3.2	3
1973-07-29	Kuusysi	W 2-0	32.4	1212	1103	57.58%	28.60%	13.82%	+0.91	+12.4	13
1973-07-29	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	32.4	1103	1212	13.82%	28.60%	57.58%	-0.91	-12.4	6
1973-07-29	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 1-0	34.1	1303	1114	63.48%	27.33%	9.19%	+1.35	+4.5	19
1973-07-29	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	34.1	1114	1303	9.19%	27.33%	63.48%	-1.35	-4.5	9
1973-08-05	Kuusysi	D 2-2	56.6	1110	1091	48.93%	29.48%	21.60%	+0.41	-1.5	10
1973-08-05	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	D 2-2	56.6	1091	1110	21.60%	29.48%	48.93%	-0.41	+1.5	7
1973-08-05	HJK	W 3-0	36.0	1232	1288	39.62%	29.73%	30.65%	+0.00	+33.5	16
1973-08-05	@ KPT	L 0-3	36.0	1288	1232	30.65%	29.73%	39.62%	+0.00	-33.5	21
1973-08-05	MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	33.3	1318	1224	56.36%	28.78%	14.85%	+0.83	+13.1	21
1973-08-05	@ KPV	L 0-2	33.3	1224	1318	14.85%	28.78%	56.36%	-0.83	-13.2	13
1973-08-05	TPS Turku	L 0-3	41.7	1167	1122	51.72%	29.29%	18.99%	+0.56	-50.4	16
1973-08-05	@ OTP Oulu	W 3-0	41.7	1122	1167	18.99%	29.29%	51.72%	-0.56	+50.4	10
1973-08-05	Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	30.3	1308	1096	64.90%	26.91%	8.20%	+1.47	+7.7	21
1973-08-05	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	30.3	1096	1308	8.20%	26.91%	64.90%	-1.47	-7.7	11
1973-08-05	KuPS	W 2-1	54.0	958	1264	12.80%	27.36%	59.84%	-1.38	+19.7	5
1973-08-05	@ TaPa	L 1-2	54.0	1264	958	59.84%	27.36%	12.80%	+1.38	-19.7	17
1973-08-12	Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	46.9	1255	1316	38.99%	29.73%	31.28%	-0.03	+11.7	23
1973-08-12	@ HJK	L 1-2	46.9	1316	1255	31.28%	29.73%	38.99%	+0.03	-11.7	21
1973-08-12	KPT	L 1-2	43.9	1089	1265	23.87%	29.16%	46.97%	-0.67	-9.5	11
1973-08-12	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	43.9	1265	1089	46.97%	29.16%	23.87%	+0.67	+9.5	18
1973-08-12	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-1	36.8	1244	1108	59.77%	28.22%	12.02%	+1.06	+9.5	19
1973-08-12	@ KuPS	L 1-3	36.8	1108	1244	12.02%	28.22%	59.77%	-1.06	-9.5	10
1973-08-12	TaPa	W 3-2	45.0	1092	978	58.04%	28.53%	13.43%	+0.94	+5.7	9
1973-08-12	@ Kuusysi	L 2-3	45.0	978	1092	13.43%	28.53%	58.04%	-0.94	-5.7	5
1973-08-12	OTP Oulu	D 1-1	51.8	1211	1117	56.34%	28.79%	14.88%	+0.82	-3.3	14
1973-08-12	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	51.8	1117	1211	14.88%	28.79%	56.34%	-0.82	+3.4	17
1973-08-12	KPV	L 1-4	39.0	1172	1331	25.92%	29.32%	44.76%	-0.57	-24.9	10
1973-08-12	@ TPS Turku	W 4-1	39.0	1331	1172	44.76%	29.32%	25.92%	+0.57	+24.9	23
1973-08-15	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-0	31.1	1266	1099	62.05%	27.71%	10.24%	+1.23	+9.5	25
1973-08-15	@ HJK	L 0-2	31.1	1099	1266	10.24%	27.71%	62.05%	-1.23	-9.5	10
1973-08-15	KuPS	D 2-2	57.1	1275	1254	49.16%	29.46%	21.38%	+0.42	-1.6	19
1973-08-15	@ KPT	D 2-2	57.1	1254	1275	21.38%	29.46%	49.16%	-0.42	+1.6	20
1973-08-15	KPV	W 1-0	47.9	1120	1356	18.00%	28.47%	53.52%	-0.99	+18.9	19
1973-08-15	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-1	47.9	1356	1120	53.52%	28.47%	18.00%	+0.99	-18.9	23
1973-08-15	Kuusysi	L 0-1	50.6	1304	1098	64.54%	27.02%	8.44%	+1.44	-22.8	21
1973-08-15	@ Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	50.6	1098	1304	8.44%	27.02%	64.54%	-1.44	+22.8	11
1973-08-15	Ilves-Kissat	L 1-3	43.3	972	1079	32.61%	29.63%	37.75%	-0.28	-20.9	5
1973-08-15	@ TaPa	W 3-1	43.3	1079	972	37.75%	29.63%	32.61%	+0.28	+20.8	13
1973-08-15	MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	41.3	1148	1207	39.13%	29.73%	31.15%	-0.02	+12.4	12
1973-08-15	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	41.3	1207	1148	31.15%	29.73%	39.13%	+0.02	-12.4	14
1973-08-19	OTP Oulu	L 2-3	53.6	1089	1139	40.49%	29.72%	29.79%	+0.03	-13.4	10
1973-08-19	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 3-2	53.6	1139	1089	29.79%	29.72%	40.49%	-0.03	+13.4	21
1973-08-19	Reipas Lahti	W 3-2	47.7	1337	1281	52.83%	29.19%	17.98%	+0.62	+7.3	25
1973-08-19	@ KPV	L 2-3	47.7	1281	1337	17.98%	29.19%	52.83%	-0.62	-7.3	21
1973-08-19	TPS Turku	W 2-0	32.9	1255	1160	56.46%	28.77%	14.77%	+0.83	+13.1	22
1973-08-19	@ KuPS	L 0-2	32.9	1160	1255	14.77%	28.77%	56.46%	-0.83	-13.1	12
1973-08-19	KPT	L 1-4	39.0	1121	1273	26.67%	29.37%	43.96%	-0.53	-25.4	11
1973-08-19	@ Kuusysi	W 4-1	39.0	1273	1121	43.96%	29.37%	26.67%	+0.53	+25.4	21
1973-08-19	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	51.8	1195	1100	56.45%	28.77%	14.78%	+0.83	-3.4	15
1973-08-19	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	51.8	1100	1195	14.78%	28.77%	56.45%	-0.83	+3.4	14
1973-08-19	HJK	D 2-2	57.3	952	1276	11.67%	27.01%	61.32%	-1.48	+3.1	6
1973-08-19	@ TaPa	D 2-2	57.3	1276	952	61.32%	27.01%	11.67%	+1.48	-3.1	26
1973-08-23	KPV	D 0-0	48.3	1273	1345	37.47%	29.72%	32.80%	-0.09	-0.4	27
1973-08-23	@ HJK	D 0-0	48.3	1345	1273	32.80%	29.72%	37.47%	+0.09	+0.4	26
1973-08-23	Helsingin Ponnistus	D 1-1	51.5	1103	1076	49.83%	29.42%	20.75%	+0.46	-2.2	15
1973-08-23	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	51.5	1076	1103	20.75%	29.42%	49.83%	-0.46	+2.2	11
1973-08-23	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.0	1299	1192	57.45%	28.62%	13.92%	+0.90	-4.0	22
1973-08-23	@ KPT	D 0-0	48.0	1192	1299	13.92%	28.62%	57.45%	-0.90	+4.0	16
1973-08-23	Kuusysi	W 3-1	38.8	1152	1095	52.92%	29.18%	17.90%	+0.62	+13.3	23
1973-08-23	@ OTP Oulu	L 1-3	38.8	1095	1152	17.90%	29.18%	52.92%	-0.62	-13.3	11
1973-08-23	KuPS	D 1-1	52.1	1274	1268	47.37%	29.56%	23.07%	+0.34	-1.8	22
1973-08-23	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	52.1	1268	1274	23.07%	29.56%	47.37%	-0.34	+1.8	23
1973-08-23	TaPa	W 1-0	33.8	1147	955	63.68%	27.28%	9.04%	+1.37	+4.5	14
1973-08-23	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	33.8	955	1147	9.04%	27.28%	63.68%	-1.37	-4.5	6
1973-09-02	TaPa	W 4-2	40.7	1078	950	59.15%	28.33%	12.52%	+1.01	+8.8	13
1973-09-02	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	L 2-4	40.7	950	1078	12.52%	28.33%	59.15%	-1.01	-8.8	6
1973-09-02	KPV	W 3-2	57.6	1101	1345	17.31%	28.36%	54.33%	-1.04	+17.1	17
1973-09-02	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	57.6	1345	1101	54.33%	28.36%	17.31%	+1.04	-17.1	26
1973-09-02	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	43.9	1295	1272	49.34%	29.45%	21.21%	+0.43	-33.2	22
1973-09-02	@ KPT	W 2-0	43.9	1272	1295	21.21%	29.45%	49.34%	-0.43	+33.2	24
1973-09-02	TPS Turku	D 1-1	51.5	1082	1151	37.84%	29.72%	32.44%	-0.07	-0.4	12
1973-09-02	@ Kuusysi	D 1-1	51.5	1151	1082	32.44%	29.72%	37.84%	+0.07	+0.4	15
1973-09-02	HJK	L 1-2	48.1	1196	1272	36.81%	29.71%	33.48%	-0.12	-13.1	16
1973-09-02	@ MP Mikkeli	W 2-1	48.1	1272	1196	33.48%	29.71%	36.81%	+0.12	+13.1	29
1973-09-02	KuPS	D 0-0	47.5	1166	1270	32.89%	29.64%	37.46%	-0.27	+0.4	24
1973-09-02	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	47.5	1270	1166	37.46%	29.64%	32.89%	+0.27	-0.4	24
1973-09-12	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 6-3	40.0	1152	1087	53.66%	29.11%	17.23%	+0.66	+14.6	17
1973-09-12	@ TPS Turku	L 3-6	40.0	1087	1152	17.23%	29.11%	53.66%	-0.66	-14.6	13
1973-09-13	Ilves-Kissat	W 3-1	36.2	1285	1118	62.04%	27.71%	10.25%	+1.23	+8.2	31
1973-09-13	@ HJK	L 1-3	36.2	1118	1285	10.25%	27.71%	62.04%	-1.23	-8.2	17
1973-09-16	KPT	W 2-0	34.3	1328	1261	53.82%	29.09%	17.09%	+0.67	+14.8	28
1973-09-16	@ KPV	L 0-2	34.3	1261	1328	17.09%	29.09%	53.82%	-0.67	-14.8	22
1973-09-16	Kuusysi	L 1-3	52.0	1270	1082	63.43%	27.35%	9.23%	+1.34	-36.5	24
1973-09-16	@ KuPS	W 3-1	52.0	1082	1270	9.23%	27.35%	63.43%	-1.34	+36.5	14
1973-09-16	MP Mikkeli	W 3-0	30.1	1305	1183	58.73%	28.41%	12.86%	+0.98	+16.9	26
1973-09-16	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	30.1	1183	1305	12.86%	28.41%	58.73%	-0.98	-16.9	16
1973-09-16	OTP Oulu	W 2-1	52.1	941	1166	19.02%	28.62%	52.36%	-0.93	+17.4	8
1973-09-16	@ TaPa	L 1-2	52.1	1166	941	52.36%	28.62%	19.02%	+0.93	-17.4	24
1973-09-23	TPS Turku	W 1-0	35.5	1294	1166	59.10%	28.34%	12.55%	+1.01	+6.0	33
1973-09-23	@ HJK	L 0-1	35.5	1166	1294	12.55%	28.34%	59.10%	-1.01	-6.0	17
1973-09-23	Kuusysi	L 0-3	40.0	1110	1118	45.75%	29.62%	24.63%	+0.26	-45.2	17
1973-09-23	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 3-0	40.0	1118	1110	24.63%	29.62%	45.75%	-0.26	+45.2	16
1973-09-23	TaPa	D 1-1	52.8	1247	959	69.10%	25.28%	5.62%	+1.89	-5.5	23
1973-09-23	@ KPT	D 1-1	52.8	959	1247	5.62%	25.28%	69.10%	-1.89	+5.5	9
1973-09-23	Helsingin Ponnistus	W 2-0	29.3	1343	1072	68.20%	25.67%	6.13%	+1.80	+5.7	30
1973-09-23	@ KPV	L 0-2	29.3	1072	1343	6.13%	25.67%	68.20%	-1.80	-5.7	13
1973-09-23	KuPS	D 1-1	51.6	1166	1233	38.07%	29.72%	32.21%	-0.07	-0.4	17
1973-09-23	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	51.6	1233	1166	32.21%	29.72%	38.07%	+0.07	+0.4	25
1973-09-23	OTP Oulu	W 4-0	28.2	1322	1149	62.45%	27.61%	9.94%	+1.26	+17.5	28
1973-09-23	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	28.2	1149	1322	9.94%	27.61%	62.45%	-1.26	-17.5	24
1973-09-30	KPT	L 2-5	40.8	1067	1241	24.11%	29.18%	46.70%	-0.65	-20.4	13
1973-09-30	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	W 5-2	40.8	1241	1067	46.70%	29.18%	24.11%	+0.65	+20.4	25
1973-09-30	KPV	D 1-1	52.3	1234	1348	31.51%	29.60%	38.89%	-0.32	+0.5	26
1973-09-30	@ KuPS	D 1-1	52.3	1348	1234	38.89%	29.60%	31.51%	+0.32	-0.5	31
1973-09-30	HJK	W 4-3	57.0	1163	1300	28.68%	29.48%	41.84%	-0.44	+13.4	18
1973-09-30	@ Kuusysi	L 3-4	57.0	1300	1163	41.84%	29.48%	28.68%	+0.44	-13.4	33
1973-09-30	Ilves-Kissat	W 5-1	34.3	1131	1065	53.83%	29.09%	17.08%	+0.67	+23.3	26
1973-09-30	@ OTP Oulu	L 1-5	34.3	1065	1131	17.08%	29.09%	53.83%	-0.67	-23.4	17
1973-09-30	MP Mikkeli	L 1-5	35.5	964	1165	21.31%	28.91%	49.78%	-0.80	-27.6	9
1973-09-30	@ TaPa	W 5-1	35.5	1165	964	49.78%	28.91%	21.31%	+0.80	+27.6	19
1973-09-30	Reipas Lahti	L 2-4	44.7	1160	1340	23.59%	29.14%	47.27%	-0.68	-14.6	17
1973-09-30	@ TPS Turku	W 4-2	44.7	1340	1160	47.27%	29.14%	23.59%	+0.68	+14.6	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1973-08-15	8.44%	Kuusysi	1098	1	@ Reipas Lahti	1304	0
2	1973-09-16	9.23%	Kuusysi	1082	3	@ KuPS	1270	1
3	1973-08-05	12.80%	@ TaPa	958	2	KuPS	1264	1
4	1973-05-17	13.33%	KPT	1136	1	@ MP Mikkeli	1252	0
5	1973-06-10	14.63%	Kuusysi	1133	1	@ TPS Turku	1230	0
6	1973-05-13	14.72%	HJK	1181	1	@ Reipas Lahti	1277	0
7	1973-05-13	15.43%	Ilves-Kissat	1087	2	@ KPT	1174	0
8	1973-05-06	15.87%	HJK	1163	1	@ KuPS	1244	0
9	1973-09-02	17.31%	@ Ilves-Kissat	1101	3	KPV	1345	2
10	1973-08-15	18.00%	@ OTP Oulu	1120	1	KPV	1356	0
11	1973-08-05	18.99%	TPS Turku	1122	3	@ OTP Oulu	1167	0
12	1973-09-16	19.02%	@ TaPa	941	2	OTP Oulu	1166	1
13	1973-06-24	19.24%	Ilves-Kissat	1098	3	@ Kuusysi	1140	2
14	1973-09-02	21.21%	Reipas Lahti	1272	2	@ KPT	1295	0
15	1973-05-17	22.04%	OTP Oulu	1178	2	@ Kuusysi	1193	0
16	1973-09-23	24.63%	Kuusysi	1118	3	@ Ilves-Kissat	1110	0
17	1973-07-22	26.45%	MP Mikkeli	1175	4	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1151	1
18	1973-04-29	26.89%	KuPS	1187	4	@ Ilves-Kissat	1160	0
19	1973-07-22	27.30%	KPT	1166	2	@ TPS Turku	1136	1
20	1973-09-30	28.68%	@ Kuusysi	1163	4	HJK	1300	3
21	1973-08-19	29.79%	OTP Oulu	1139	3	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1089	2
22	1973-06-10	30.74%	Helsingin Ponnistus	1069	2	@ TaPa	1012	0
23	1973-05-06	31.55%	MP Mikkeli	1239	1	@ Kuusysi	1176	0
24	1973-06-17	31.65%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1096	4	TPS Turku	1210	0
25	1973-06-17	31.98%	Reipas Lahti	1264	3	@ MP Mikkeli	1198	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-05-06	58.77	KPV	5	1205	35.67%	@ TaPa	0	1113	34.64%	29.68%
2	1973-04-29	56.59	KuPS	4	1187	26.89%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1160	43.43%	29.69%
3	1973-06-17	51.67	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	4	1096	31.65%	TPS Turku	0	1210	38.74%	29.60%
4	1973-07-29	50.60	@ KPT	5	1181	42.22%	OTP Oulu	0	1218	28.08%	29.71%
5	1973-08-05	50.40	TPS Turku	3	1122	18.99%	@ OTP Oulu	0	1167	51.72%	29.29%
6	1973-09-23	45.23	Kuusysi	3	1118	24.63%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1110	45.75%	29.62%
7	1973-04-29	42.10	@ Reipas Lahti	6	1215	53.21%	TaPa	0	1155	17.64%	29.15%
8	1973-05-13	37.21	Ilves-Kissat	2	1087	15.43%	@ KPT	0	1174	55.70%	28.87%
9	1973-07-22	36.83	MP Mikkeli	4	1175	26.45%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1	1151	43.88%	29.68%
10	1973-09-16	36.54	Kuusysi	3	1082	9.23%	@ KuPS	1	1270	63.43%	27.35%
11	1973-05-13	34.65	Kuusysi	3	1158	38.16%	@ TaPa	0	1049	32.21%	29.62%
12	1973-08-05	33.48	@ KPT	3	1232	39.62%	HJK	0	1288	30.65%	29.73%
13	1973-09-02	33.25	Reipas Lahti	2	1272	21.21%	@ KPT	0	1295	49.34%	29.45%
14	1973-05-17	32.73	OTP Oulu	2	1178	22.04%	@ Kuusysi	0	1193	48.46%	29.50%
15	1973-05-27	28.05	@ KPT	3	1157	46.33%	Kuusysi	0	1160	24.07%	29.60%
16	1973-06-10	27.69	Helsingin Ponnistus	2	1069	30.74%	@ TaPa	0	1012	39.53%	29.73%
17	1973-09-30	27.58	MP Mikkeli	5	1165	49.78%	@ TaPa	1	964	21.31%	28.91%
18	1973-05-31	26.78	@ KPV	5	1249	50.32%	OTP Oulu	1	1217	20.29%	29.39%
19	1973-08-19	25.42	KPT	4	1273	43.96%	@ Kuusysi	1	1121	26.67%	29.37%
20	1973-08-12	24.87	KPV	4	1331	44.76%	@ TPS Turku	1	1172	25.92%	29.32%
21	1973-06-17	23.41	Reipas Lahti	3	1264	31.98%	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1198	38.30%	29.73%
22	1973-09-30	23.35	@ OTP Oulu	5	1131	53.83%	Ilves-Kissat	1	1065	17.08%	29.09%
23	1973-05-31	23.05	HJK	2	1212	39.71%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	0	1092	30.72%	29.57%
24	1973-08-15	22.75	Kuusysi	1	1098	8.44%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	1304	64.54%	27.02%
25	1973-06-17	22.13	HJK	2	1253	41.43%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1120	29.07%	29.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-06-24	60.6	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	3	1148	27.92%	KPV	3	1291	42.64%	29.44%
2	1973-06-24	60.5	@ TaPa	3	973	21.69%	KPT	3	1170	49.35%	28.95%
3	1973-07-29	60.3	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	1097	43.79%	TPS Turku	3	1121	26.53%	29.68%
4	1973-09-02	57.6	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	1101	17.31%	KPV	2	1345	54.33%	28.36%
5	1973-08-19	57.3	@ TaPa	2	952	11.67%	HJK	2	1276	61.32%	27.01%
6	1973-08-15	57.1	@ KPT	2	1275	49.16%	KuPS	2	1254	21.38%	29.46%
7	1973-09-30	57.0	@ Kuusysi	4	1163	28.68%	HJK	3	1300	41.84%	29.48%
8	1973-05-09	56.7	@ HJK	2	1182	47.93%	KPT	2	1172	22.54%	29.53%
9	1973-05-31	56.7	@ Kuusysi	2	1132	30.21%	Reipas Lahti	2	1257	40.24%	29.55%
10	1973-06-24	56.7	Ilves-Kissat	3	1098	19.24%	@ Kuusysi	2	1140	51.45%	29.31%
11	1973-04-29	56.6	@ HJK	2	1164	46.65%	OTP Oulu	2	1165	23.76%	29.59%
12	1973-08-05	56.6	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	2	1110	48.93%	Kuusysi	2	1091	21.60%	29.48%
13	1973-08-05	54.0	@ TaPa	2	958	12.80%	KuPS	1	1264	59.84%	27.36%
14	1973-08-19	53.6	OTP Oulu	3	1139	29.79%	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	2	1089	40.49%	29.72%
15	1973-09-23	52.8	@ KPT	1	1247	69.10%	TaPa	1	959	5.62%	25.28%
16	1973-09-30	52.3	@ KuPS	1	1234	31.51%	KPV	1	1348	38.89%	29.60%
17	1973-08-23	52.1	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1274	47.37%	KuPS	1	1268	23.07%	29.56%
18	1973-09-16	52.1	@ TaPa	2	941	19.02%	OTP Oulu	1	1166	52.36%	28.62%
19	1973-09-16	52.0	Kuusysi	3	1082	9.23%	@ KuPS	1	1270	63.43%	27.35%
20	1973-05-17	51.9	@ KPV	1	1262	53.33%	HJK	1	1201	17.53%	29.14%
21	1973-05-31	51.9	@ Ilves-Kissat	1	1139	59.41%	TaPa	1	1008	12.30%	28.28%
22	1973-08-12	51.8	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1211	56.34%	OTP Oulu	1	1117	14.88%	28.79%
23	1973-08-19	51.8	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1195	56.45%	Ilves-Kissat	1	1100	14.78%	28.77%
24	1973-05-06	51.7	@ Helsingin Ponnistus	1	1106	26.91%	Reipas Lahti	1	1257	43.70%	29.38%
25	1973-05-17	51.7	@ TaPa	1	1014	20.84%	TPS Turku	1	1220	50.30%	28.86%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1973-06-17	27.9	@ OTP Oulu	3	1193	64.74%	TaPa	0	984	8.31%	26.95%
2	1973-09-23	28.2	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1322	62.45%	OTP Oulu	0	1149	9.94%	27.61%
3	1973-09-23	29.3	@ KPV	2	1343	68.20%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	1072	6.13%	25.67%
4	1973-06-10	29.5	@ KPV	3	1276	60.08%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1136	11.77%	28.15%
5	1973-09-16	30.1	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1305	58.73%	MP Mikkeli	0	1183	12.86%	28.41%
6	1973-08-05	30.3	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1308	64.90%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1096	8.20%	26.91%
7	1973-05-28	30.6	@ HJK	2	1204	63.36%	TaPa	0	1017	9.28%	27.37%
8	1973-08-15	31.1	@ HJK	2	1266	62.05%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	1099	10.24%	27.71%
9	1973-07-01	31.8	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1287	60.11%	TPS Turku	0	1147	11.75%	28.15%
10	1973-04-29	31.9	@ Reipas Lahti	6	1215	53.21%	TaPa	0	1155	17.64%	29.15%
11	1973-07-29	32.4	@ MP Mikkeli	2	1212	57.58%	Kuusysi	0	1103	13.82%	28.60%
12	1973-08-19	32.9	@ KuPS	2	1255	56.46%	TPS Turku	0	1160	14.77%	28.77%
13	1973-07-29	33.0	@ KPV	3	1315	72.21%	TaPa	1	962	4.09%	23.70%
14	1973-07-22	33.1	@ KuPS	7	1257	60.26%	Ilves-Kissat	2	1114	11.63%	28.12%
15	1973-08-05	33.3	@ KPV	2	1318	56.36%	MP Mikkeli	0	1224	14.85%	28.78%
16	1973-05-27	33.5	@ KPT	3	1157	46.33%	Kuusysi	0	1160	24.07%	29.60%
17	1973-08-23	33.8	@ TPS Turku	1	1147	63.68%	TaPa	0	955	9.04%	27.28%
18	1973-07-29	34.1	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1303	63.48%	Helsingin Ponnistus	0	1114	9.19%	27.33%
19	1973-05-09	34.3	@ KuPS	1	1224	62.25%	TaPa	0	1054	10.09%	27.66%
20	1973-09-16	34.3	@ KPV	2	1328	53.82%	KPT	0	1261	17.09%	29.09%
21	1973-09-30	34.3	@ OTP Oulu	5	1131	53.83%	Ilves-Kissat	1	1065	17.08%	29.09%
22	1973-07-22	34.5	Reipas Lahti	1	1298	61.83%	@ TaPa	0	967	11.29%	26.88%
23	1973-07-29	34.5	@ KPT	5	1181	42.22%	OTP Oulu	0	1218	28.08%	29.71%
24	1973-06-10	35.2	@ HJK	2	1235	49.03%	MP Mikkeli	0	1215	21.50%	29.47%
25	1973-07-01	35.5	@ MP Mikkeli	3	1167	63.75%	TaPa	1	974	9.00%	27.26%