1974 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

KuPS

33 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1966

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KuPS

6.96 points above expected

33 points · 26.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ilves-Kissat

6.95 points below expected

10 points · 16.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KuPS Champion	22	13	7	2	33	62	30	+32	26.04	+6.96
2	Reipas Lahti	22	14	2	6	30	49	26	+23	28.28	+1.72
3	HJK	22	12	4	6	28	43	27	+16	26.55	+1.45
4	MiPK	22	10	6	6	26	29	27	+2	21.04	+4.96
5	KPT	22	9	4	9	22	30	30	0	23.16	-1.16
6	TPS Turku	22	9	3	10	21	34	31	+3	20.79	+0.21
7	OTP Oulu	22	7	6	9	20	29	34	-5	20.79	-0.79
8	Haka	22	6	8	8	20	34	40	-6	17.46	+2.54
9	KPV	22	7	6	9	20	24	38	-14	24.21	-4.21
10	MP Mikkeli	22	7	5	10	19	24	36	-12	19.57	-0.57
11	Kuusysi	22	4	7	11	15	22	41	-19	19.16	-4.16
12	Ilves-Kissat	22	3	4	15	10	26	46	-20	16.95	-6.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KuPS	33	26.04	+6.96
2	MiPK	26	21.04	+4.96
3	Haka	20	17.46	+2.54
4	Reipas Lahti	30	28.28	+1.72
5	HJK	28	26.55	+1.45

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ilves-Kissat	10	16.95	-6.95
2	KPV	20	24.21	-4.21
3	Kuusysi	15	19.16	-4.16
4	KPT	22	23.16	-1.16
5	OTP Oulu	20	20.79	-0.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	MP Mikkeli	4	Sep 8 – Sep 29	1 in 92
2	TPS Turku	3	Jul 10 – Jul 21	1 in 35
3	KuPS	5	Jul 21 – Aug 11	1 in 29
4	KPT	3	Aug 28 – Sep 15	1 in 28
5	Reipas Lahti	5	Jul 31 – Aug 28	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	TPS Turku	6	May 12 – Jun 16	1 in 262
2	Kuusysi	6	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 259
3	HJK	4	Sep 8 – Sep 29	1 in 177
4	OTP Oulu	5	Jul 21 – Aug 11	1 in 131
5	KPT	3	Apr 28 – May 5	1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kuusysi	7	Jun 2 – Jul 28	1 in 70
2	HJK	12	Jun 2 – Aug 28	1 in 40
3	KuPS	10	Apr 28 – Jul 10	1 in 38
4	Haka	5	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 18
5	KPT	5	May 12 – Jun 9	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	MP Mikkeli	12	May 12 – Aug 4	1 in 106
2	OTP Oulu	10	Jul 21 – Sep 22	1 in 92
3	KPV	7	May 19 – Jul 14	1 in 69
4	HJK	5	Aug 28 – Sep 29	1 in 40
5	Kuusysi	8	Apr 28 – Jun 9	1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
KuPS	1185	33	+47	8	6.3	+1.7
Reipas Lahti	1181	30	+6	6	6.3	-0.3
HJK	1137	28	-50	1	6.2	-5.2
MiPK	1048	26	+15	6	4.8	+1.2
KPT	1084	22	+23	7	5.2	+1.8
TPS Turku	1046	21	+27	7	4.6	+2.4
Haka	971	20	-5	5	4.4	+0.6
OTP Oulu	1017	20	+4	5	4.2	+0.8
KPV	1059	20	-29	4	5.2	-1.2
MP Mikkeli	1029	19	+33	8	4.8	+3.2
Kuusysi	972	15	-46	2	4.5	-2.5
Ilves-Kissat	925	10	-26	1	3.6	-2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HAK	ILV	KPT	KPV	KUP	KUU	MM	MIP	OO	RL	TT
HJK	—	2-0-0 3.91	1-1-0 3.98	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.40	0-1-1 3.81	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.65	1-0-1 2.40	2-0-0 3.46
Haka	0-0-2 1.62	—	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 1.91	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 1.63	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.44	0-2-0 2.20	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 1.52	1-1-0 2.30
Ilves-Kissat	0-1-1 1.56	0-0-2 2.79	—	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 1.85	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.21	2-0-0 2.09	0-0-2 1.51	0-0-2 2.20
KPT	1-0-1 2.19	1-1-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.51	—	2-0-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 3.18	0-0-2 3.33	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 3.09
KPV	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.66	0-0-2 2.96	—	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 3.32	0-1-1 3.55	1-1-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.21	2-0-0 3.23
KuPS	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.12	—	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.37	0-2-0 3.59	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.44
Kuusysi	0-1-1 2.11	0-1-1 3.19	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.19	0-1-1 1.76	—	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.59
MP Mikkeli	1-1-0 1.72	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 2.18	1-1-0 1.96	0-0-2 2.23	1-1-0 2.86	—	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 1.74	0-1-1 2.70
MiPK	1-0-1 2.00	0-2-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.14	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 1.83	1-0-1 2.80
OTP Oulu	1-0-1 1.87	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-2 3.42	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.26	0-2-0 1.92	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.74	—	2-0-0 1.66	0-0-2 2.74
Reipas Lahti	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 4.01	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.49	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.04	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.78	0-1-1 3.69	0-0-2 3.87	—	1-0-1 3.91
TPS Turku	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.76	1-0-1 1.62	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+4.5
Allowed	0.76	-8.7
Differential	0.89	+3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.92%	6.82%	4.92%	2.27%	0.76%	28.03%
1	4.92%	9.85%	6.06%	4.55%	2.27%	1.52%	29.17%
2	6.82%	6.06%	2.27%	1.52%	1.14%	0.38%	18.18%
3	4.92%	4.55%	1.52%	2.27%	1.14%	—	14.39%
4	2.27%	2.27%	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	—	7.58%
5+	0.76%	1.52%	0.38%	—	—	—	2.65%
Total	28.03%	29.17%	18.18%	14.39%	7.58%	2.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	1.54	+0.00
SD	1.42	1.42	2.15
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.23	+0.73
SD	1.43	1.15	2.07
CV	0.73	0.94	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.82	-0.27
SD	1.34	1.37	1.86
CV	0.86	0.75	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	18.18%	36.36%	—	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	2.09	-0.91
SD	1.26	1.60	1.93
CV	1.07	0.77	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	50.00%
1	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
2	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.56	1.22	2.29
CV	1.14	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	27.27%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.73	-0.64
SD	0.97	2.14	2.65
CV	0.89	1.24	—
Max	3	8	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.82	1.36	+1.45
SD	1.92	1.43	2.50
CV	0.68	1.05	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.86	-0.86
SD	1.11	1.39	1.64
CV	1.11	0.75	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	50.00%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.64	-0.55
SD	0.81	1.71	1.84
CV	0.74	1.04	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	27.27%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.23	+0.09
SD	1.09	1.07	1.54
CV	0.82	0.87	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.55	-0.23
SD	1.32	1.30	2.16
CV	1.00	0.84	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	40.91%	22.73%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	1.18	+1.05
SD	1.51	1.26	2.03
CV	0.68	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.41	+0.14
SD	1.53	1.10	2.01
CV	0.99	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KuPS	1185	33	26.04	+6.96	95.0%	17	20	22	26	29	33	34
Reipas Lahti	1181	30	28.28	+1.72	74.0%	15	23	26	28	31	35	38
HJK	1137	28	26.55	+1.45	67.0%	16	19	24	27	29	34	37
KPT	1084	22	23.16	-1.16	45.0%	15	17	20	23	26	30	33
KPV	1059	20	24.21	-4.21	17.0%	16	19	22	24	27	30	35
MiPK	1048	26	21.04	+4.96	90.0%	12	15	18	21	24	28	30
TPS Turku	1046	21	20.79	+0.21	59.0%	10	15	18	21	23	28	31
MP Mikkeli	1029	19	19.57	-0.57	52.0%	8	12	16	19	22	26	30
OTP Oulu	1017	20	20.79	-0.79	47.0%	13	15	17	21	23	28	31
Kuusysi	972	15	19.16	-4.16	18.0%	10	12	17	19	21	26	29
Haka	971	20	17.46	+2.54	76.0%	8	10	14	17	20	25	29
Ilves-Kissat	925	10	16.95	-6.95	6.0%	7	10	14	16	20	24	28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.82%

No Edge

41.67%23.48%34.85%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 23.73 Elo pts.

167 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.20 goals

Neutral

-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.0

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

20%

KuPS, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Comfortable

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.25 * Some Luck: 3.25 to 4.88 * Lucky: 4.88 to 6.51 * Wild Swing: 6.51 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.76 * Close: 1.76 to 2.64 * Off: 2.64 to 3.52 * Way Off: 3.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.77 points

Some Luck

04.0710

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

02.205

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

KuPS

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

6.00%

Ilves-Kissat

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 81.84

1.56

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

63%

Slight Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Even

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

51%

Few

0%51%100%

Blowouts

Expected

24%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.86

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.48

Strong Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Very Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.

Probability calibration

0.93

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.96

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.109

Well Within Noise

00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
KuPS	20.00%	20.00%	16.00%	14.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Reipas Lahti	37.00%	28.00%	12.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
HJK	26.00%	21.00%	11.00%	15.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
MiPK	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	7.00%	15.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%
KPT	4.00%	6.00%	18.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	—
TPS Turku	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	15.00%	9.00%	15.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%
OTP Oulu	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	11.00%	5.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	16.00%	13.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Haka	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	17.00%	18.00%	23.00%
KPV	7.00%	5.00%	17.00%	10.00%	19.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
MP Mikkeli	—	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	12.00%	12.00%	16.00%
Kuusysi	—	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	16.00%	9.00%	16.00%	16.00%	13.00%
Ilves-Kissat	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	12.00%	19.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
HJK	100%	—
KuPS	100%	—
Reipas Lahti	99.00%	1.00%
KPV	97.00%	3.00%
KPT	94.00%	6.00%
MiPK	90.00%	10.00%
OTP Oulu	87.00%	13.00%
TPS Turku	85.00%	15.00%
MP Mikkeli	72.00%	28.00%
Kuusysi	71.00%	29.00%
Haka	59.00%	41.00%
Ilves-Kissat	46.00%	54.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1974-04-28	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	41.0	952	1143	19.35%	23.43%	57.22%	-1.00	-3.2	0
1974-04-28	@ Haka	W 2-1	41.0	1143	952	57.22%	23.43%	19.35%	+1.00	+3.2	2
1974-04-28	Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	41.8	1077	979	54.64%	24.11%	21.25%	+0.73	+3.5	2
1974-04-28	@ KuPS	L 1-2	41.8	979	1077	21.25%	24.11%	54.64%	-0.73	-3.6	0
1974-04-28	HJK	L 0-1	41.9	1048	1088	36.93%	24.89%	38.18%	-0.10	-5.9	0
1974-04-28	@ Kuusysi	W 1-0	41.9	1088	1048	38.18%	24.89%	36.93%	+0.10	+5.9	2
1974-04-28	KPV	D 1-1	52.9	1018	1135	26.99%	24.44%	48.57%	-0.55	+0.7	1
1974-04-28	@ MiPK	D 1-1	52.9	1135	1018	48.57%	24.44%	26.99%	+0.55	-0.7	1
1974-04-28	KPT	W 3-0	37.8	1030	1093	33.83%	24.82%	41.34%	-0.23	+17.5	2
1974-04-28	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-3	37.8	1093	1030	41.34%	24.82%	33.83%	+0.23	-17.5	0
1974-04-28	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.7	1032	1058	38.90%	24.90%	36.20%	-0.01	-0.1	1
1974-04-28	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	48.7	1058	1032	36.20%	24.90%	38.90%	+0.01	+0.1	1
1974-05-01	Haka	W 3-1	37.6	1094	949	59.55%	23.40%	17.06%	+1.01	+5.1	4
1974-05-01	@ HJK	L 1-3	37.6	949	1094	17.06%	23.40%	59.55%	-1.01	-5.1	0
1974-05-01	OTP Oulu	W 3-0	38.2	976	1048	32.52%	24.78%	42.71%	-0.29	+18.0	2
1974-05-01	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-3	38.2	1048	976	42.71%	24.78%	32.52%	+0.29	-18.0	2
1974-05-01	TPS Turku	L 0-2	42.1	1075	1032	48.21%	24.66%	27.13%	+0.40	-13.7	0
1974-05-01	@ KPT	W 2-0	42.1	1032	1075	27.13%	24.66%	48.21%	-0.40	+13.7	3
1974-05-01	Kuusysi	W 2-1	42.0	1134	1042	53.96%	24.19%	21.85%	+0.69	+3.6	3
1974-05-01	@ KPV	L 1-2	42.0	1042	1134	21.85%	24.19%	53.96%	-0.69	-3.6	0
1974-05-01	KuPS	L 0-4	36.4	1058	1081	39.40%	24.90%	35.70%	+0.01	-22.1	1
1974-05-01	@ MP Mikkeli	W 4-0	36.4	1081	1058	35.70%	24.90%	39.40%	-0.01	+22.1	4
1974-05-01	MiPK	D 0-0	49.1	1146	1019	57.75%	23.69%	18.56%	+0.90	-1.5	3
1974-05-01	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.1	1019	1146	18.56%	23.69%	57.75%	-0.90	+1.5	2
1974-05-05	KuPS	D 3-3	62.4	944	1103	22.37%	23.92%	53.71%	-0.81	+0.6	1
1974-05-05	@ Haka	D 3-3	62.4	1103	944	53.71%	23.92%	22.37%	+0.81	-0.6	5
1974-05-05	KPV	W 3-0	36.9	1099	1138	37.12%	24.89%	37.99%	-0.09	+16.4	6
1974-05-05	@ HJK	L 0-3	36.9	1138	1099	37.99%	24.89%	37.12%	+0.09	-16.4	3
1974-05-05	MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	44.6	1061	1036	45.91%	24.77%	29.32%	+0.29	-7.0	0
1974-05-05	@ KPT	W 1-0	44.6	1036	1061	29.32%	24.77%	45.91%	-0.29	+7.0	3
1974-05-05	Kuusysi	W 3-2	51.2	1021	1039	40.03%	24.90%	35.07%	+0.03	+5.0	4
1974-05-05	@ MiPK	L 2-3	51.2	1039	1021	35.07%	24.90%	40.03%	-0.03	-5.1	0
1974-05-05	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-0	29.0	1145	994	60.10%	23.30%	16.60%	+1.05	+10.8	5
1974-05-05	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	29.0	994	1145	16.60%	23.30%	60.10%	-1.05	-10.8	2
1974-05-05	OTP Oulu	W 2-0	36.9	1046	1030	44.65%	24.82%	30.53%	+0.24	+9.6	5
1974-05-05	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	36.9	1030	1046	30.53%	24.82%	44.65%	-0.24	-9.6	2
1974-05-12	KPT	L 1-2	45.4	983	1054	32.61%	24.78%	42.61%	-0.28	-5.0	2
1974-05-12	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	45.4	1054	983	42.61%	24.78%	32.61%	+0.28	+5.0	2
1974-05-12	TPS Turku	W 1-0	38.1	1121	1055	51.03%	24.46%	24.50%	+0.54	+4.2	5
1974-05-12	@ KPV	L 0-1	38.1	1055	1121	24.50%	24.46%	51.03%	-0.54	-4.2	5
1974-05-12	MiPK	W 2-0	34.6	1102	1026	52.22%	24.36%	23.42%	+0.60	+7.7	7
1974-05-12	@ KuPS	L 0-2	34.6	1026	1102	23.42%	24.36%	52.22%	-0.60	-7.7	4
1974-05-12	Haka	L 0-2	43.6	1034	944	53.71%	24.21%	22.08%	+0.68	-15.1	0
1974-05-12	@ Kuusysi	W 2-0	43.6	944	1034	22.08%	24.21%	53.71%	-0.68	+15.1	3
1974-05-12	Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	41.1	1043	1156	27.43%	24.47%	48.10%	-0.53	-7.6	3
1974-05-12	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	41.1	1156	1043	48.10%	24.47%	27.43%	+0.53	+7.6	7
1974-05-12	HJK	W 2-0	41.4	1020	1116	29.53%	24.62%	45.85%	-0.43	+13.1	4
1974-05-12	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-2	41.4	1116	1020	45.85%	24.62%	29.53%	+0.43	-13.1	6
1974-05-19	Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	41.3	959	978	39.98%	24.90%	35.12%	+0.03	+5.6	5
1974-05-19	@ Haka	L 0-1	41.3	978	959	35.12%	24.90%	39.98%	-0.03	-5.6	2
1974-05-19	KuPS	D 0-0	48.8	1059	1110	35.45%	24.86%	39.69%	-0.16	+0.1	3
1974-05-19	@ KPT	D 0-0	48.8	1110	1059	39.69%	24.86%	35.45%	+0.16	-0.2	8
1974-05-19	MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	43.5	1018	1035	40.12%	24.90%	34.98%	+0.04	+9.2	6
1974-05-19	@ MiPK	L 1-3	43.5	1035	1018	34.98%	24.90%	40.12%	-0.04	-9.2	3
1974-05-19	KPV	D 0-0	48.8	1033	1126	29.92%	24.65%	45.44%	-0.41	+0.6	5
1974-05-19	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	48.8	1126	1033	45.44%	24.65%	29.92%	+0.41	-0.5	6
1974-05-19	Kuusysi	W 4-1	35.1	1163	1019	59.47%	23.41%	17.12%	+1.01	+7.2	9
1974-05-19	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	35.1	1019	1163	17.12%	23.41%	59.47%	-1.01	-7.2	0
1974-05-19	HJK	L 1-2	46.3	1051	1103	35.28%	24.86%	39.86%	-0.17	-5.4	5
1974-05-19	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	46.3	1103	1051	39.86%	24.86%	35.28%	+0.17	+5.4	8
1974-05-26	KPT	L 1-2	50.3	1108	1060	48.85%	24.62%	26.53%	+0.43	-6.9	8
1974-05-26	@ HJK	W 2-1	50.3	1060	1108	26.53%	24.62%	48.85%	-0.43	+6.9	5
1974-05-26	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	49.0	1125	1026	54.75%	24.10%	21.15%	+0.73	-1.3	7
1974-05-26	@ KPV	D 0-0	49.0	1026	1125	21.15%	24.10%	54.75%	-0.73	+1.3	4
1974-05-26	OTP Oulu	L 1-3	44.8	1012	1034	39.42%	24.90%	35.68%	+0.01	-10.1	0
1974-05-26	@ Kuusysi	W 3-1	44.8	1034	1012	35.68%	24.90%	39.42%	-0.01	+10.1	7
1974-06-02	HJK	L 3-4	51.2	972	1101	25.59%	24.31%	50.10%	-0.63	-3.8	2
1974-06-02	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 4-3	51.2	1101	972	50.10%	24.31%	25.59%	+0.63	+3.8	10
1974-06-02	Kuusysi	D 0-0	48.9	1066	1001	50.88%	24.48%	24.65%	+0.53	-1.0	6
1974-06-02	@ KPT	D 0-0	48.9	1001	1066	24.65%	24.48%	50.88%	-0.53	+1.0	1
1974-06-02	Haka	D 1-1	52.8	1028	965	50.57%	24.50%	24.93%	+0.51	-0.8	5
1974-06-02	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	52.8	965	1028	24.93%	24.50%	50.57%	-0.51	+0.9	6
1974-06-02	MiPK	L 0-3	38.9	1044	1027	44.80%	24.81%	30.38%	+0.24	-18.7	7
1974-06-02	@ OTP Oulu	W 3-0	38.9	1027	1044	30.38%	24.81%	44.80%	-0.24	+18.7	8
1974-06-02	KPV	W 3-1	41.0	1171	1124	48.64%	24.63%	26.72%	+0.42	+7.5	11
1974-06-02	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	41.0	1124	1171	26.72%	24.63%	48.64%	-0.42	-7.4	7
1974-06-02	KuPS	L 0-3	35.5	1046	1110	33.57%	24.81%	41.62%	-0.24	-15.0	5
1974-06-02	@ TPS Turku	W 3-0	35.5	1110	1046	41.62%	24.81%	33.57%	+0.24	+15.0	10
1974-06-09	Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	45.9	1105	1178	32.37%	24.77%	42.86%	-0.30	+10.8	12
1974-06-09	@ HJK	L 1-3	45.9	1178	1105	42.86%	24.77%	32.37%	+0.30	-10.8	11
1974-06-09	MP Mikkeli	W 3-0	37.6	968	1027	34.38%	24.84%	40.79%	-0.21	+17.3	4
1974-06-09	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-3	37.6	1027	968	40.79%	24.84%	34.38%	+0.21	-17.4	5
1974-06-09	KPV	W 3-0	37.4	1066	1116	35.39%	24.86%	39.75%	-0.16	+17.0	8
1974-06-09	@ KPT	L 0-3	37.4	1116	1066	39.75%	24.86%	35.39%	+0.16	-17.0	7
1974-06-09	KuPS	D 1-1	52.9	1002	1125	26.32%	24.38%	49.31%	-0.59	+0.8	2
1974-06-09	@ Kuusysi	D 1-1	52.9	1125	1002	49.31%	24.38%	26.32%	+0.59	-0.8	11
1974-06-09	TPS Turku	W 1-0	40.0	1046	1031	44.61%	24.82%	30.57%	+0.23	+5.1	10
1974-06-09	@ MiPK	L 0-1	40.0	1031	1046	30.57%	24.82%	44.61%	-0.23	-5.1	5
1974-06-09	Haka	W 3-1	40.4	1025	966	50.20%	24.53%	25.27%	+0.50	+7.1	9
1974-06-09	@ OTP Oulu	L 1-3	40.4	966	1025	25.27%	24.53%	50.20%	-0.50	-7.1	6
1974-06-12	TPS Turku	W 3-2	53.2	959	1026	33.23%	24.80%	41.96%	-0.26	+5.8	8
1974-06-12	@ Haka	L 2-3	53.2	1026	959	41.96%	24.80%	33.23%	+0.26	-5.8	5
1974-06-12	Reipas Lahti	D 4-4	64.3	1124	1167	36.46%	24.88%	38.66%	-0.12	+0.0	12
1974-06-12	@ KuPS	D 4-4	64.3	1167	1124	38.66%	24.88%	36.46%	+0.12	-0.0	12
1974-06-12	Ilves-Kissat	D 2-2	58.1	1051	986	50.90%	24.47%	24.62%	+0.53	-0.6	11
1974-06-12	@ MiPK	D 2-2	58.1	986	1051	24.62%	24.47%	50.90%	-0.53	+0.7	5
1974-06-16	MiPK	D 0-0	48.8	965	1050	30.74%	24.69%	44.57%	-0.37	+0.5	9
1974-06-16	@ Haka	D 0-0	48.8	1050	965	44.57%	24.69%	30.74%	+0.37	-0.5	12
1974-06-16	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	53.0	1099	986	56.27%	23.91%	19.82%	+0.82	-1.2	8
1974-06-16	@ KPV	D 1-1	53.0	986	1099	19.82%	23.91%	56.27%	-0.82	+1.2	6
1974-06-16	OTP Oulu	D 1-1	52.9	1124	1032	53.94%	24.19%	21.87%	+0.69	-1.1	13
1974-06-16	@ KuPS	D 1-1	52.9	1032	1124	21.87%	24.19%	53.94%	-0.69	+1.1	10
1974-06-16	HJK	D 1-1	52.8	1009	1116	28.20%	24.53%	47.26%	-0.49	+0.6	6
1974-06-16	@ MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	52.8	1116	1009	47.26%	24.53%	28.20%	+0.49	-0.6	13
1974-06-16	KPT	W 3-0	32.1	1167	1083	53.17%	24.27%	22.56%	+0.65	+10.9	14
1974-06-16	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	32.1	1083	1167	22.56%	24.27%	53.17%	-0.65	-10.9	8
1974-06-16	Kuusysi	L 0-1	44.2	1020	1003	44.77%	24.81%	30.42%	+0.24	-6.8	5
1974-06-16	@ TPS Turku	W 1-0	44.2	1003	1020	30.42%	24.81%	44.77%	-0.24	+6.8	4
1974-07-10	MiPK	W 3-0	32.7	1115	1050	50.88%	24.48%	24.64%	+0.53	+11.7	15
1974-07-10	@ HJK	L 0-3	32.7	1050	1115	24.64%	24.48%	50.88%	-0.53	-11.7	12
1974-07-10	Kuusysi	L 1-2	47.5	988	1010	39.44%	24.90%	35.66%	+0.01	-5.8	6
1974-07-10	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	47.5	1010	988	35.66%	24.90%	39.44%	-0.01	+5.8	6
1974-07-10	Haka	W 2-1	41.5	1072	965	55.59%	23.99%	20.42%	+0.78	+3.4	10
1974-07-10	@ KPT	L 1-2	41.5	965	1072	20.42%	23.99%	55.59%	-0.78	-3.4	9
1974-07-10	KuPS	L 2-4	48.9	1098	1123	39.10%	24.90%	36.00%	-0.01	-9.0	8
1974-07-10	@ KPV	W 4-2	48.9	1123	1098	36.00%	24.90%	39.10%	+0.01	+9.0	15
1974-07-10	OTP Oulu	L 1-4	42.2	1010	1034	39.26%	24.90%	35.83%	+0.00	-14.2	6
1974-07-10	@ MP Mikkeli	W 4-1	42.2	1034	1010	35.83%	24.90%	39.26%	+0.00	+14.2	12
1974-07-10	TPS Turku	L 1-2	53.6	1178	1013	61.41%	23.04%	15.55%	+1.13	-8.5	14
1974-07-10	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	53.6	1013	1178	15.55%	23.04%	61.41%	-1.13	+8.5	7
1974-07-14	KPV	W 6-1	42.6	962	1089	25.72%	24.32%	49.96%	-0.62	+27.3	11
1974-07-14	@ Haka	L 1-6	42.6	1089	962	49.96%	24.32%	25.72%	+0.62	-27.3	8
1974-07-14	HJK	L 0-5	37.7	1132	1127	43.25%	24.86%	31.89%	+0.17	-29.3	15
1974-07-14	@ KuPS	W 5-0	37.7	1127	1132	31.89%	24.86%	43.25%	-0.17	+29.3	17
1974-07-14	MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	48.8	1016	996	45.23%	24.80%	29.97%	+0.26	-0.5	7
1974-07-14	@ Kuusysi	D 0-0	48.8	996	1016	29.97%	24.80%	45.23%	-0.26	+0.5	7
1974-07-14	KPT	W 1-0	42.1	1038	1075	37.37%	24.89%	37.74%	-0.08	+6.0	14
1974-07-14	@ MiPK	L 0-1	42.1	1075	1038	37.74%	24.89%	37.37%	+0.08	-6.0	10
1974-07-14	Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	40.1	1048	1170	26.37%	24.38%	49.25%	-0.59	+20.2	14
1974-07-14	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-3	40.1	1170	1048	49.25%	24.38%	26.37%	+0.59	-20.2	14
1974-07-14	Ilves-Kissat	W 5-1	36.8	1021	982	47.75%	24.68%	27.57%	+0.38	+13.9	9
1974-07-14	@ TPS Turku	L 1-5	36.8	982	1021	27.57%	24.68%	47.75%	-0.38	-14.0	6
1974-07-21	Kuusysi	D 2-2	58.4	1156	1015	59.08%	23.48%	17.44%	+0.98	-1.1	18
1974-07-21	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.4	1015	1156	17.44%	23.48%	59.08%	-0.98	+1.1	8
1974-07-21	KuPS	L 1-5	35.9	968	1103	24.93%	24.24%	50.83%	-0.66	-12.8	6
1974-07-21	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 5-1	35.9	1103	968	50.83%	24.24%	24.93%	+0.66	+12.8	17
1974-07-21	OTP Oulu	W 4-1	40.1	1069	1068	42.69%	24.87%	32.44%	+0.15	+12.3	12
1974-07-21	@ KPT	L 1-4	40.1	1068	1069	32.44%	24.87%	42.69%	-0.15	-12.3	14
1974-07-21	MiPK	W 2-0	36.8	1062	1044	44.92%	24.81%	30.27%	+0.25	+9.5	10
1974-07-21	@ KPV	L 0-2	36.8	1044	1062	30.27%	24.81%	44.92%	-0.25	-9.5	14
1974-07-21	TPS Turku	L 1-2	46.8	996	1035	37.06%	24.89%	38.05%	-0.09	-5.5	7
1974-07-21	@ MP Mikkeli	W 2-1	46.8	1035	996	38.05%	24.89%	37.06%	+0.09	+5.6	11
1974-07-21	Haka	W 5-2	37.7	1149	989	60.96%	23.13%	15.91%	+1.10	+5.8	16
1974-07-21	@ Reipas Lahti	L 2-5	37.7	989	1149	15.91%	23.13%	60.96%	-1.10	-5.8	11
1974-07-28	HJK	L 0-2	33.7	983	1155	21.14%	23.74%	55.12%	-0.88	-7.0	11
1974-07-28	@ Haka	W 2-0	33.7	1155	983	55.12%	23.74%	21.14%	+0.88	+7.0	20
1974-07-28	MP Mikkeli	W 4-3	49.0	1115	991	57.48%	23.73%	18.79%	+0.89	+3.0	19
1974-07-28	@ KuPS	L 3-4	49.0	991	1115	18.79%	23.73%	57.48%	-0.89	-3.0	7
1974-07-28	KPV	D 1-1	52.7	1016	1071	34.82%	24.85%	40.33%	-0.19	+0.2	9
1974-07-28	@ Kuusysi	D 1-1	52.7	1071	1016	40.33%	24.85%	34.82%	+0.19	-0.2	11
1974-07-28	Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	50.3	1035	1155	26.53%	24.40%	49.08%	-0.58	+6.9	16
1974-07-28	@ MiPK	L 1-2	50.3	1155	1035	49.08%	24.40%	26.53%	+0.58	-6.9	16
1974-07-28	Ilves-Kissat	L 2-4	53.3	1056	955	54.94%	24.07%	20.98%	+0.74	-11.9	14
1974-07-28	@ OTP Oulu	W 4-2	53.3	955	1056	20.98%	24.07%	54.94%	-0.74	+11.9	8
1974-07-28	KPT	L 0-4	35.6	1041	1081	36.86%	24.89%	38.26%	-0.10	-21.0	11
1974-07-28	@ TPS Turku	W 4-0	35.6	1081	1041	38.26%	24.89%	36.86%	+0.10	+21.0	14
1974-07-31	TPS Turku	W 2-1	40.5	1162	1020	59.21%	23.46%	17.33%	+0.99	+3.0	22
1974-07-31	@ HJK	L 1-2	40.5	1020	1162	17.33%	23.46%	59.21%	-0.99	-3.0	11
1974-07-31	Haka	L 0-1	43.2	967	976	41.28%	24.89%	33.82%	+0.09	-6.4	8
1974-07-31	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	43.2	976	967	33.82%	24.89%	41.28%	-0.09	+6.4	13
1974-07-31	OTP Oulu	W 3-0	34.1	1071	1044	46.20%	24.76%	29.04%	+0.31	+13.4	13
1974-07-31	@ KPV	L 0-3	34.1	1044	1071	29.04%	24.76%	46.20%	-0.31	-13.4	14
1974-07-31	KPT	W 3-1	42.1	1118	1102	44.69%	24.82%	30.50%	+0.24	+8.3	21
1974-07-31	@ KuPS	L 1-3	42.1	1102	1118	30.50%	24.82%	44.69%	-0.24	-8.3	14
1974-07-31	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	35.1	1017	1148	25.26%	24.27%	50.46%	-0.64	-8.2	9
1974-07-31	@ Kuusysi	W 2-0	35.1	1148	1017	50.46%	24.27%	25.26%	+0.64	+8.2	18
1974-07-31	MiPK	L 2-3	51.1	988	1042	34.99%	24.85%	40.16%	-0.18	-5.0	7
1974-07-31	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-2	51.1	1042	988	40.16%	24.85%	34.99%	+0.18	+5.0	18
1974-08-04	Kuusysi	D 2-2	57.9	983	1008	38.95%	24.90%	36.15%	-0.01	-0.1	14
1974-08-04	@ Haka	D 2-2	57.9	1008	983	36.15%	24.90%	38.95%	+0.01	+0.1	10
1974-08-04	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.1	1094	961	58.37%	23.60%	18.03%	+0.94	-1.6	15
1974-08-04	@ KPT	D 0-0	49.1	961	1094	18.03%	23.60%	58.37%	-0.94	+1.5	9
1974-08-04	HJK	D 1-1	52.8	1085	1165	31.44%	24.73%	43.83%	-0.34	+0.4	14
1974-08-04	@ KPV	D 1-1	52.8	1165	1085	43.83%	24.73%	31.44%	+0.34	-0.4	23
1974-08-04	KuPS	L 0-2	37.1	1047	1127	31.48%	24.73%	43.79%	-0.34	-9.8	18
1974-08-04	@ MiPK	W 2-0	37.1	1127	1047	43.79%	24.73%	31.48%	+0.34	+9.8	23
1974-08-04	TPS Turku	L 0-2	41.0	1030	1017	44.35%	24.83%	30.82%	+0.22	-12.8	14
1974-08-04	@ OTP Oulu	W 2-0	41.0	1017	1030	30.82%	24.83%	44.35%	-0.22	+12.8	13
1974-08-04	MP Mikkeli	W 5-1	32.5	1156	983	62.17%	22.88%	14.95%	+1.18	+8.2	20
1974-08-04	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-5	32.5	983	1156	14.95%	22.88%	62.17%	-1.18	-8.2	7
1974-08-11	OTP Oulu	W 3-1	37.6	1164	1018	59.68%	23.37%	16.94%	+1.02	+5.0	25
1974-08-11	@ HJK	L 1-3	37.6	1018	1164	16.94%	23.37%	59.68%	-1.02	-5.0	14
1974-08-11	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	32.7	962	1165	18.38%	23.23%	58.38%	-1.07	-6.2	9
1974-08-11	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	32.7	1165	962	58.38%	23.23%	18.38%	+1.07	+6.2	22
1974-08-11	Haka	W 4-1	34.8	1136	982	60.36%	23.25%	16.39%	+1.06	+6.9	25
1974-08-11	@ KuPS	L 1-4	34.8	982	1136	16.39%	23.25%	60.36%	-1.06	-6.9	14
1974-08-11	MiPK	W 3-1	43.9	1008	1037	38.57%	24.90%	36.53%	-0.03	+9.5	12
1974-08-11	@ Kuusysi	L 1-3	43.9	1037	1008	36.53%	24.90%	38.57%	+0.03	-9.5	18
1974-08-11	KPT	W 2-0	42.2	975	1093	26.81%	24.42%	48.76%	-0.56	+13.8	9
1974-08-11	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	42.2	1093	975	48.76%	24.42%	26.81%	+0.56	-13.8	15
1974-08-11	KPV	L 0-2	38.1	1030	1085	34.79%	24.85%	40.36%	-0.19	-10.6	13
1974-08-11	@ TPS Turku	W 2-0	38.1	1085	1030	40.36%	24.85%	34.79%	+0.19	+10.6	16
1974-08-25	MiPK	L 0-1	40.6	956	1027	32.61%	24.78%	42.61%	-0.28	-5.3	9
1974-08-25	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	40.6	1027	956	42.61%	24.78%	32.61%	+0.28	+5.3	20
1974-08-25	HJK	L 0-4	33.5	1079	1170	30.10%	24.66%	45.24%	-0.40	-17.9	15
1974-08-25	@ KPT	W 4-0	33.5	1170	1079	45.24%	24.66%	30.10%	+0.40	+17.9	27
1974-08-25	KPV	W 1-0	44.9	988	1096	28.09%	24.53%	47.39%	-0.50	+7.1	11
1974-08-25	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	44.9	1096	988	47.39%	24.53%	28.09%	+0.50	-7.1	16
1974-08-25	Kuusysi	D 0-0	48.7	1013	1018	41.81%	24.88%	33.30%	+0.11	-0.3	15
1974-08-25	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	48.7	1018	1013	33.30%	24.88%	41.81%	-0.11	+0.3	13
1974-08-25	KuPS	W 1-0	39.6	1171	1143	46.19%	24.76%	29.05%	+0.31	+4.9	24
1974-08-25	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	39.6	1143	1171	29.05%	24.76%	46.19%	-0.31	-4.9	25
1974-08-25	Haka	D 1-1	52.8	1019	976	48.26%	24.66%	27.09%	+0.40	-0.7	14
1974-08-25	@ TPS Turku	D 1-1	52.8	976	1019	27.09%	24.66%	48.26%	-0.40	+0.7	15
1974-08-28	MP Mikkeli	W 2-1	46.2	976	996	39.87%	24.90%	35.23%	+0.03	+5.3	17
1974-08-28	@ Haka	L 1-2	46.2	996	976	35.23%	24.90%	39.87%	-0.03	-5.3	11
1974-08-28	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.8	1187	951	67.37%	21.52%	11.11%	+1.56	-2.2	28
1974-08-28	@ HJK	D 0-0	49.8	951	1187	11.11%	21.52%	67.37%	-1.56	+2.2	10
1974-08-28	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	36.9	1088	1176	30.55%	24.68%	44.77%	-0.38	-9.6	16
1974-08-28	@ KPV	W 2-0	36.9	1176	1088	44.77%	24.68%	30.55%	+0.38	+9.6	26
1974-08-28	TPS Turku	D 3-3	62.4	1138	1018	57.00%	23.80%	19.20%	+0.86	-0.8	26
1974-08-28	@ KuPS	D 3-3	62.4	1018	1138	19.20%	23.80%	57.00%	-0.86	+0.8	15
1974-08-28	KPT	L 0-4	35.5	1018	1061	36.56%	24.88%	38.56%	-0.11	-20.8	13
1974-08-28	@ Kuusysi	W 4-0	35.5	1061	1018	38.56%	24.88%	36.56%	+0.11	+20.9	17
1974-08-28	OTP Oulu	D 1-1	52.7	1033	1012	45.27%	24.80%	29.93%	+0.26	-0.5	21
1974-08-28	@ MiPK	D 1-1	52.7	1012	1033	29.93%	24.80%	45.27%	-0.26	+0.5	16
1974-09-08	MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	46.2	1185	990	64.02%	22.45%	13.52%	+1.31	-17.7	28
1974-09-08	@ HJK	W 2-0	46.2	990	1185	13.52%	22.45%	64.02%	-1.31	+17.7	13
1974-09-08	KPV	L 0-2	35.3	953	1079	25.90%	24.34%	49.76%	-0.61	-8.4	10
1974-09-08	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	35.3	1079	953	49.76%	24.34%	25.90%	+0.61	+8.4	18
1974-09-08	Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	49.7	1082	1185	28.52%	24.56%	46.92%	-0.48	+6.7	19
1974-09-08	@ KPT	L 1-2	49.7	1185	1082	46.92%	24.56%	28.52%	+0.48	-6.7	26
1974-09-08	TPS Turku	L 1-4	42.2	997	1019	39.49%	24.90%	35.60%	+0.01	-14.3	13
1974-09-08	@ Kuusysi	W 4-1	42.2	1019	997	35.60%	24.90%	39.49%	-0.01	+14.3	17
1974-09-08	Haka	D 1-1	52.8	1032	982	49.13%	24.60%	26.27%	+0.44	-0.8	22
1974-09-08	@ MiPK	D 1-1	52.8	982	1032	26.27%	24.60%	49.13%	-0.44	+0.8	18
1974-09-08	KuPS	D 1-1	52.9	1013	1138	26.03%	24.35%	49.62%	-0.60	+0.8	17
1974-09-08	@ OTP Oulu	D 1-1	52.9	1138	1013	49.62%	24.35%	26.03%	+0.60	-0.8	27
1974-09-15	OTP Oulu	D 1-1	52.7	982	1014	38.18%	24.90%	36.92%	-0.04	-0.0	19
1974-09-15	@ Haka	D 1-1	52.7	1014	982	36.92%	24.90%	38.18%	+0.04	+0.0	18
1974-09-15	KPT	L 1-3	45.7	1087	1088	42.39%	24.87%	32.74%	+0.14	-10.7	18
1974-09-15	@ KPV	W 3-1	45.7	1088	1087	32.74%	24.87%	42.39%	-0.14	+10.7	21
1974-09-15	Kuusysi	W 4-0	29.0	1137	983	60.34%	23.25%	16.40%	+1.06	+10.7	29
1974-09-15	@ KuPS	L 0-4	29.0	983	1137	16.40%	23.25%	60.34%	-1.06	-10.7	13
1974-09-15	Ilves-Kissat	W 2-1	43.0	1008	945	50.69%	24.49%	24.82%	+0.52	+4.1	15
1974-09-15	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-2	43.0	945	1008	24.82%	24.49%	50.69%	-0.52	-4.0	10
1974-09-15	HJK	W 3-0	34.9	1178	1167	44.03%	24.84%	31.13%	+0.21	+14.1	28
1974-09-15	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	34.9	1167	1178	31.13%	24.84%	44.03%	-0.21	-14.1	28
1974-09-15	MiPK	W 3-2	50.3	1034	1031	42.83%	24.87%	32.31%	+0.15	+4.8	19
1974-09-15	@ TPS Turku	L 2-3	50.3	1031	1034	32.31%	24.87%	42.83%	-0.15	-4.7	22
1974-09-22	KPT	D 3-3	62.2	982	1099	26.96%	24.43%	48.60%	-0.56	+0.4	20
1974-09-22	@ Haka	D 3-3	62.2	1099	982	48.60%	24.43%	26.96%	+0.56	-0.4	22
1974-09-22	KPV	W 8-0	33.6	1148	1077	51.59%	24.42%	23.99%	+0.57	+28.8	31
1974-09-22	@ KuPS	L 0-8	33.6	1077	1148	23.99%	24.42%	51.59%	-0.57	-28.8	18
1974-09-22	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-3	52.2	972	940	46.77%	24.73%	28.49%	+0.33	+4.2	15
1974-09-22	@ Kuusysi	L 3-4	52.2	940	972	28.49%	24.73%	46.77%	-0.33	-4.2	10
1974-09-22	HJK	W 2-1	50.5	1027	1153	25.82%	24.33%	49.85%	-0.61	+7.0	24
1974-09-22	@ MiPK	L 1-2	50.5	1153	1027	49.85%	24.33%	25.82%	+0.61	-7.0	28
1974-09-22	MP Mikkeli	L 0-2	40.5	1014	1012	42.76%	24.87%	32.37%	+0.15	-12.4	18
1974-09-22	@ OTP Oulu	W 2-0	40.5	1012	1014	32.37%	24.87%	42.76%	-0.15	+12.4	17
1974-09-22	Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	37.4	1038	1193	22.85%	23.99%	53.15%	-0.78	-4.0	19
1974-09-22	@ TPS Turku	W 1-0	37.4	1193	1038	53.15%	23.99%	22.85%	+0.78	+4.0	30
1974-09-29	KuPS	L 2-4	48.7	1146	1176	38.35%	24.90%	36.75%	-0.04	-8.8	28
1974-09-29	@ HJK	W 4-2	48.7	1176	1146	36.75%	24.90%	38.35%	+0.04	+8.8	33
1974-09-29	TPS Turku	L 1-4	39.1	936	1034	29.20%	24.60%	46.20%	-0.44	-11.3	10
1974-09-29	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 4-1	39.1	1034	936	46.20%	24.60%	29.20%	+0.44	+11.3	21
1974-09-29	MiPK	L 0-2	42.9	1099	1034	50.85%	24.48%	24.67%	+0.53	-14.4	22
1974-09-29	@ KPT	W 2-0	42.9	1034	1099	24.67%	24.48%	50.85%	-0.53	+14.4	26
1974-09-29	Haka	W 3-0	32.7	1048	983	50.88%	24.48%	24.64%	+0.53	+11.7	20
1974-09-29	@ KPV	L 0-3	32.7	983	1048	24.64%	24.48%	50.88%	-0.53	-11.7	20
1974-09-29	Kuusysi	W 1-0	38.7	1024	977	48.78%	24.62%	26.59%	+0.43	+4.5	19
1974-09-29	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	38.7	977	1024	26.59%	24.62%	48.78%	-0.43	-4.6	15
1974-09-29	OTP Oulu	L 1-3	51.5	1197	1001	64.06%	22.44%	13.49%	+1.31	-15.4	30
1974-09-29	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	51.5	1001	1197	13.49%	22.44%	64.06%	-1.31	+15.4	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1974-09-29	13.49%	OTP Oulu	1001	3	@ Reipas Lahti	1197	1
2	1974-09-08	13.52%	MP Mikkeli	990	2	@ HJK	1185	0
3	1974-07-10	15.55%	TPS Turku	1013	2	@ Reipas Lahti	1178	1
4	1974-07-28	20.98%	Ilves-Kissat	955	4	@ OTP Oulu	1056	2
5	1974-05-12	22.08%	Haka	944	2	@ Kuusysi	1034	0
6	1974-09-29	24.67%	MiPK	1034	2	@ KPT	1099	0
7	1974-07-14	25.72%	@ Haka	962	6	KPV	1089	1
8	1974-09-22	25.82%	@ MiPK	1027	2	HJK	1153	1
9	1974-07-14	26.37%	@ OTP Oulu	1048	3	Reipas Lahti	1170	0
10	1974-05-26	26.53%	KPT	1060	2	@ HJK	1108	1
11	1974-07-28	26.53%	@ MiPK	1035	2	Reipas Lahti	1155	1
12	1974-08-11	26.81%	@ MP Mikkeli	975	2	KPT	1093	0
13	1974-05-01	27.13%	TPS Turku	1032	2	@ KPT	1075	0
14	1974-08-25	28.09%	@ MP Mikkeli	988	1	KPV	1096	0
15	1974-09-08	28.52%	@ KPT	1082	2	Reipas Lahti	1185	1
16	1974-05-05	29.32%	MP Mikkeli	1036	1	@ KPT	1061	0
17	1974-05-12	29.53%	@ OTP Oulu	1020	2	HJK	1116	0
18	1974-06-02	30.38%	MiPK	1027	3	@ OTP Oulu	1044	0
19	1974-06-16	30.42%	Kuusysi	1003	1	@ TPS Turku	1020	0
20	1974-08-04	30.82%	TPS Turku	1017	2	@ OTP Oulu	1030	0
21	1974-07-14	31.89%	HJK	1127	5	@ KuPS	1132	0
22	1974-06-09	32.37%	@ HJK	1105	3	Reipas Lahti	1178	1
23	1974-09-22	32.37%	MP Mikkeli	1012	2	@ OTP Oulu	1014	0
24	1974-05-01	32.52%	@ Ilves-Kissat	976	3	OTP Oulu	1048	0
25	1974-09-15	32.74%	KPT	1088	3	@ KPV	1087	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1974-07-14	29.29	HJK	5	1127	31.89%	@ KuPS	0	1132	43.25%	24.86%
2	1974-09-22	28.76	@ KuPS	8	1148	51.59%	KPV	0	1077	23.99%	24.42%
3	1974-07-14	27.33	@ Haka	6	962	25.72%	KPV	1	1089	49.96%	24.32%
4	1974-05-01	22.07	KuPS	4	1081	35.70%	@ MP Mikkeli	0	1058	39.40%	24.90%
5	1974-07-28	20.98	KPT	4	1081	38.26%	@ TPS Turku	0	1041	36.86%	24.89%
6	1974-08-28	20.85	KPT	4	1061	38.56%	@ Kuusysi	0	1018	36.56%	24.88%
7	1974-07-14	20.25	@ OTP Oulu	3	1048	26.37%	Reipas Lahti	0	1170	49.25%	24.38%
8	1974-06-02	18.73	MiPK	3	1027	30.38%	@ OTP Oulu	0	1044	44.80%	24.81%
9	1974-05-01	17.99	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	976	32.52%	OTP Oulu	0	1048	42.71%	24.78%
10	1974-08-25	17.92	HJK	4	1170	45.24%	@ KPT	0	1079	30.10%	24.66%
11	1974-09-08	17.72	MP Mikkeli	2	990	13.52%	@ HJK	0	1185	64.02%	22.45%
12	1974-04-28	17.53	@ OTP Oulu	3	1030	33.83%	KPT	0	1093	41.34%	24.82%
13	1974-06-09	17.35	@ Ilves-Kissat	3	968	34.38%	MP Mikkeli	0	1027	40.79%	24.84%
14	1974-06-09	17.00	@ KPT	3	1066	35.39%	KPV	0	1116	39.75%	24.86%
15	1974-05-05	16.43	@ HJK	3	1099	37.12%	KPV	0	1138	37.99%	24.89%
16	1974-09-29	15.36	OTP Oulu	3	1001	13.49%	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1197	64.06%	22.44%
17	1974-05-12	15.08	Haka	2	944	22.08%	@ Kuusysi	0	1034	53.71%	24.21%
18	1974-06-02	14.95	KuPS	3	1110	41.62%	@ TPS Turku	0	1046	33.57%	24.81%
19	1974-09-29	14.37	MiPK	2	1034	24.67%	@ KPT	0	1099	50.85%	24.48%
20	1974-09-08	14.27	TPS Turku	4	1019	35.60%	@ Kuusysi	1	997	39.49%	24.90%
21	1974-07-10	14.21	OTP Oulu	4	1034	35.83%	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1010	39.26%	24.90%
22	1974-09-15	14.11	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1178	44.03%	HJK	0	1167	31.13%	24.84%
23	1974-07-14	13.95	@ TPS Turku	5	1021	47.75%	Ilves-Kissat	1	982	27.57%	24.68%
24	1974-08-11	13.82	@ MP Mikkeli	2	975	26.81%	KPT	0	1093	48.76%	24.42%
25	1974-05-01	13.71	TPS Turku	2	1032	27.13%	@ KPT	0	1075	48.21%	24.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1974-06-12	64.3	@ KuPS	4	1124	36.46%	Reipas Lahti	4	1167	38.66%	24.88%
2	1974-05-05	62.4	@ Haka	3	944	22.37%	KuPS	3	1103	53.71%	23.92%
3	1974-08-28	62.4	@ KuPS	3	1138	57.00%	TPS Turku	3	1018	19.20%	23.80%
4	1974-09-22	62.2	@ Haka	3	982	26.96%	KPT	3	1099	48.60%	24.43%
5	1974-07-21	58.4	@ HJK	2	1156	59.08%	Kuusysi	2	1015	17.44%	23.48%
6	1974-06-12	58.1	@ MiPK	2	1051	50.90%	Ilves-Kissat	2	986	24.62%	24.47%
7	1974-08-04	57.9	@ Haka	2	983	38.95%	Kuusysi	2	1008	36.15%	24.90%
8	1974-07-10	53.6	TPS Turku	2	1013	15.55%	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1178	61.41%	23.04%
9	1974-07-28	53.3	Ilves-Kissat	4	955	20.98%	@ OTP Oulu	2	1056	54.94%	24.07%
10	1974-06-12	53.2	@ Haka	3	959	33.23%	TPS Turku	2	1026	41.96%	24.80%
11	1974-06-16	53.0	@ KPV	1	1099	56.27%	Ilves-Kissat	1	986	19.82%	23.91%
12	1974-04-28	52.9	@ MiPK	1	1018	26.99%	KPV	1	1135	48.57%	24.44%
13	1974-06-09	52.9	@ Kuusysi	1	1002	26.32%	KuPS	1	1125	49.31%	24.38%
14	1974-06-16	52.9	@ KuPS	1	1124	53.94%	OTP Oulu	1	1032	21.87%	24.19%
15	1974-09-08	52.9	@ OTP Oulu	1	1013	26.03%	KuPS	1	1138	49.62%	24.35%
16	1974-06-02	52.8	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1028	50.57%	Haka	1	965	24.93%	24.50%
17	1974-06-16	52.8	@ MP Mikkeli	1	1009	28.20%	HJK	1	1116	47.26%	24.53%
18	1974-08-04	52.8	@ KPV	1	1085	31.44%	HJK	1	1165	43.83%	24.73%
19	1974-08-25	52.8	@ TPS Turku	1	1019	48.26%	Haka	1	976	27.09%	24.66%
20	1974-09-08	52.8	@ MiPK	1	1032	49.13%	Haka	1	982	26.27%	24.60%
21	1974-07-28	52.7	@ Kuusysi	1	1016	34.82%	KPV	1	1071	40.33%	24.85%
22	1974-08-28	52.7	@ MiPK	1	1033	45.27%	OTP Oulu	1	1012	29.93%	24.80%
23	1974-09-15	52.7	@ Haka	1	982	38.18%	OTP Oulu	1	1014	36.92%	24.90%
24	1974-09-22	52.2	@ Kuusysi	4	972	46.77%	Ilves-Kissat	3	940	28.49%	24.73%
25	1974-09-29	51.5	OTP Oulu	3	1001	13.49%	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1197	64.06%	22.44%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1974-05-05	29.0	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1145	60.10%	Ilves-Kissat	0	994	16.60%	23.30%
2	1974-09-15	29.0	@ KuPS	4	1137	60.34%	Kuusysi	0	983	16.40%	23.25%
3	1974-06-16	32.1	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1167	53.17%	KPT	0	1083	22.56%	24.27%
4	1974-08-04	32.5	@ Reipas Lahti	5	1156	62.17%	MP Mikkeli	1	983	14.95%	22.88%
5	1974-07-10	32.7	@ HJK	3	1115	50.88%	MiPK	0	1050	24.64%	24.48%
6	1974-08-11	32.7	Reipas Lahti	2	1165	58.38%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	962	18.38%	23.23%
7	1974-09-29	32.7	@ KPV	3	1048	50.88%	Haka	0	983	24.64%	24.48%
8	1974-08-25	33.5	HJK	4	1170	45.24%	@ KPT	0	1079	30.10%	24.66%
9	1974-09-22	33.6	@ KuPS	8	1148	51.59%	KPV	0	1077	23.99%	24.42%
10	1974-07-28	33.7	HJK	2	1155	55.12%	@ Haka	0	983	21.14%	23.74%
11	1974-07-31	34.1	@ KPV	3	1071	46.20%	OTP Oulu	0	1044	29.04%	24.76%
12	1974-05-12	34.6	@ KuPS	2	1102	52.22%	MiPK	0	1026	23.42%	24.36%
13	1974-08-11	34.8	@ KuPS	4	1136	60.36%	Haka	1	982	16.39%	23.25%
14	1974-09-15	34.9	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1178	44.03%	HJK	0	1167	31.13%	24.84%
15	1974-05-19	35.1	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1163	59.47%	Kuusysi	1	1019	17.12%	23.41%
16	1974-07-31	35.1	Reipas Lahti	2	1148	50.46%	@ Kuusysi	0	1017	25.26%	24.27%
17	1974-09-08	35.3	KPV	2	1079	49.76%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	953	25.90%	24.34%
18	1974-06-02	35.5	KuPS	3	1110	41.62%	@ TPS Turku	0	1046	33.57%	24.81%
19	1974-08-28	35.5	KPT	4	1061	38.56%	@ Kuusysi	0	1018	36.56%	24.88%
20	1974-07-28	35.6	KPT	4	1081	38.26%	@ TPS Turku	0	1041	36.86%	24.89%
21	1974-07-21	35.9	KuPS	5	1103	50.83%	@ Ilves-Kissat	1	968	24.93%	24.24%
22	1974-05-01	36.4	KuPS	4	1081	35.70%	@ MP Mikkeli	0	1058	39.40%	24.90%
23	1974-07-14	36.8	@ TPS Turku	5	1021	47.75%	Ilves-Kissat	1	982	27.57%	24.68%
24	1974-07-21	36.8	@ KPV	2	1062	44.92%	MiPK	0	1044	30.27%	24.81%
25	1974-05-05	36.9	@ HJK	3	1099	37.12%	KPV	0	1138	37.99%	24.89%