1977 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Haka

33 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1965

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Haka

5.11 points above expected

33 points · 27.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VPS

8.06 points below expected

8 points · 16.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Haka Champion	22	15	3	4	33	43	15	+28	27.89	+5.11
2	KuPS	22	12	2	8	26	40	35	+5	25.46	+0.54
3	TPS Turku	22	10	5	7	25	43	25	+18	21.44	+3.56
4	OPS Oulu	22	9	6	7	24	27	24	+3	21.28	+2.72
5	Reipas Lahti	22	8	7	7	23	27	22	+5	24.23	-1.23
6	KPV	22	10	3	9	23	32	28	+4	22.80	+0.20
7	HJK	22	9	5	8	23	27	25	+2	22.59	+0.41
8	Kiffen 08	22	8	6	8	22	37	29	+8	21.07	+0.93
9	MiPK	22	8	5	9	21	24	24	0	21.80	-0.80
10	OTP Oulu	22	9	3	10	21	24	34	-10	19.10	+1.90
11	MP Mikkeli	22	6	3	13	15	22	40	-18	20.28	-5.28
12	VPS	22	2	4	16	8	18	63	-45	16.06	-8.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Haka	33	27.89	+5.11
2	TPS Turku	25	21.44	+3.56
3	OPS Oulu	24	21.28	+2.72
4	OTP Oulu	21	19.10	+1.90
5	Kiffen 08	22	21.07	+0.93

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	VPS	8	16.06	-8.06
2	MP Mikkeli	15	20.28	-5.28
3	Reipas Lahti	23	24.23	-1.23
4	MiPK	21	21.80	-0.80
5	KPV	23	22.80	+0.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	OTP Oulu	4	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 269
2	Kiffen 08	4	May 29 – Jun 19	1 in 101
3	HJK	3	Jun 5 – Jun 19	1 in 25
4	KuPS	4	May 1 – May 22	1 in 21
5	MiPK	3	Aug 14 – Aug 31	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	12	May 18 – Aug 7	1 in 4,064
2	MP Mikkeli	4	May 29 – Jun 19	1 in 43
3	HJK	3	Jun 26 – Jul 10	1 in 43
4	OTP Oulu	4	May 22 – Jun 12	1 in 16
5	KuPS	2	May 29 – Jun 5	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	OPS Oulu	7	Aug 11 – Sep 25	1 in 70
2	OTP Oulu	4	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 18
3	TPS Turku	5	Aug 21 – Sep 18	1 in 15
4	Kiffen 08	4	May 29 – Jun 19	1 in 12
5	KuPS	6	Jul 3 – Aug 14	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	19	May 18 – Sep 25	1 in 406
2	Reipas Lahti	7	Aug 21 – Oct 2	1 in 97
3	HJK	5	Jun 26 – Jul 31	1 in 22
4	MP Mikkeli	7	Jul 24 – Sep 4	1 in 16
5	OTP Oulu	6	May 10 – Jun 12	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Haka	1363	33	+2	7	7.0	+0.0
KuPS	1224	26	-39	5	5.4	-0.4
TPS Turku	1288	25	+79	7	4.9	+2.1
OPS Oulu	1219	24	+2	6	5.0	+1.0
HJK	1216	23	+12	6	4.5	+1.5
KPV	1261	23	+7	5	5.3	-0.3
Reipas Lahti	1240	23	-24	3	6.0	-3.0
Kiffen 08	1214	22	-5	3	5.2	-2.2
OTP Oulu	1153	21	+13	8	4.7	+3.3
MiPK	1206	21	-26	3	5.4	-2.4
MP Mikkeli	1123	15	-11	3	3.5	-0.5
VPS	1031	8	-9	4	3.2	+0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HAK	KPV	K0	KUP	MM	MIP	OO	OO	RL	TT	VPS
HJK	—	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 3.03	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 3.19	2-0-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.24	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.37
Haka	1-0-1 3.32	—	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 3.63	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-0 3.64	0-0-2 4.15	2-0-0 3.16	0-2-0 3.71	2-0-0 3.71
KPV	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.32	—	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 3.45	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.72
Kiffen 08	2-0-0 2.56	0-1-1 1.96	1-0-1 2.57	—	0-0-2 2.17	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.00	0-2-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.96
KuPS	1-0-1 3.06	0-0-2 2.67	2-0-0 2.81	2-0-0 3.41	—	2-0-0 3.47	0-0-2 3.26	0-0-2 3.41	2-0-0 3.71	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 3.06	2-0-0 3.74
MP Mikkeli	1-1-0 2.40	0-0-2 1.97	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.12	—	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.26
MiPK	0-0-2 2.77	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.33	2-0-0 2.93	—	0-2-0 2.97	0-0-2 3.19	0-2-0 2.54	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.63
OPS Oulu	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 2.56	1-1-0 2.66	2-0-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.68	0-2-0 2.62	—	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.23	2-0-0 2.68	1-1-0 3.55
OTP Oulu	0-1-1 2.34	2-0-0 1.46	1-0-1 2.25	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.89	1-0-1 2.60	2-0-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.58	—	1-0-1 1.99	0-0-2 2.37	2-0-0 3.17
Reipas Lahti	1-1-0 2.86	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 3.03	0-2-0 3.18	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.18	0-2-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.60	—	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 4.00
TPS Turku	1-1-0 2.55	0-2-0 1.88	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.90	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.30	—	1-0-1 3.21
VPS	0-0-2 2.22	0-0-2 1.89	0-1-1 1.87	1-0-1 1.63	0-0-2 1.85	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 2.03	0-0-2 2.42	0-1-1 1.59	1-0-1 2.38	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+5.6
Allowed	0.78	-4.4
Differential	0.92	+3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	10.61%	5.68%	3.03%	1.52%	1.89%	31.06%
1	10.61%	10.61%	6.82%	3.41%	0.38%	2.65%	34.47%
2	5.68%	6.82%	0.76%	1.89%	1.14%	0.38%	16.67%
3	3.03%	3.41%	1.89%	—	0.38%	0.38%	9.09%
4	1.52%	0.38%	1.14%	0.38%	—	—	3.41%
5+	1.89%	2.65%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	5.30%
Total	31.06%	34.47%	16.67%	9.09%	3.41%	5.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.45	1.45	2.19
CV	1.05	1.05	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.14	+0.09
SD	1.51	1.28	2.20
CV	1.23	1.13	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	50.00%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	0.68	+1.27
SD	1.62	0.84	1.61
CV	0.83	1.23	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.27	+0.18
SD	1.26	1.52	2.13
CV	0.87	1.19	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	45.45%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.32	+0.36
SD	1.49	1.21	1.76
CV	0.89	0.92	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.59	+0.23
SD	1.50	1.74	2.71
CV	0.83	1.09	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.82	-0.82
SD	1.15	1.50	1.68
CV	1.15	0.83	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	—	50.00%
1	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	45.45%	22.73%	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.09	+0.00
SD	1.72	1.44	2.35
CV	1.57	1.32	—
Max	7	6	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	36.36%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.09	+0.14
SD	1.11	1.34	1.78
CV	0.90	1.23	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	36.36%
1	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.55	-0.45
SD	1.15	1.34	1.82
CV	1.06	0.86	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.00	+0.23
SD	1.31	0.98	1.85
CV	1.06	0.98	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.14	+0.82
SD	2.06	1.21	2.46
CV	1.05	1.06	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	45.45%
1	—	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	2.86	-2.05
SD	1.01	1.86	2.26
CV	1.23	0.65	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	1	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Haka	1363	33	27.89	+5.11	91.0%	18	21	26	28	30	34	37
TPS Turku	1288	25	21.44	+3.56	88.0%	13	14	19	22	24	27	32
KPV	1261	23	22.80	+0.20	62.0%	16	18	21	22	26	28	29
Reipas Lahti	1240	23	24.23	-1.23	42.0%	13	19	22	24	27	30	32
KuPS	1224	26	25.46	+0.54	61.0%	17	18	22	25	28	33	39
OPS Oulu	1219	24	21.28	+2.72	81.0%	13	14	19	21	23	27	30
HJK	1216	23	22.59	+0.41	60.0%	7	16	20	23	26	29	32
Kiffen 08	1214	22	21.07	+0.93	64.0%	6	15	18	21	24	27	30
MiPK	1206	21	21.80	-0.80	52.0%	14	16	19	21	24	28	31
OTP Oulu	1153	21	19.10	+1.90	77.0%	11	13	17	19	21	25	27
MP Mikkeli	1123	15	20.28	-5.28	8.0%	10	13	17	21	23	26	30
VPS	1031	8	16.06	-8.06	0.0%	9	10	13	16	19	21	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.21%

Strong Edge

50.76%19.70%29.55%

Elo Value

Home Edge

150 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

074.83400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.55 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

49%

Haka, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.32/gm

Runaway

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.05 * Some Luck: 3.05 to 4.57 * Lucky: 4.57 to 6.09 * Wild Swing: 6.09 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.95 * Close: 1.95 to 2.92 * Off: 2.92 to 3.9 * Way Off: 3.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.49 points

Some Luck

03.8110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Pinpoint

02.445

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Haka

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

VPS

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 83.20

1.43

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%51%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Occasional

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Notable Separation

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.89

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.28

Some Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.52

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.83

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.084

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Haka	49.00%	18.00%	15.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
KuPS	23.00%	15.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
TPS Turku	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%
OPS Oulu	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	13.00%	6.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%
Reipas Lahti	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	10.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
KPV	2.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	—
HJK	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Kiffen 08	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%
MiPK	1.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	13.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	4.00%
OTP Oulu	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	14.00%	9.00%	10.00%	18.00%	24.00%	10.00%
MP Mikkeli	—	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%
VPS	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	21.00%	51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Haka	100%	—
KuPS	98.00%	2.00%
Reipas Lahti	98.00%	2.00%
KPV	95.00%	5.00%
HJK	89.00%	11.00%
MiPK	89.00%	11.00%
OPS Oulu	88.00%	12.00%
TPS Turku	87.00%	13.00%
Kiffen 08	86.00%	14.00%
MP Mikkeli	76.00%	24.00%
OTP Oulu	66.00%	34.00%
VPS	28.00%	72.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1977-05-01	OPS Oulu	W 2-1	40.3	1251	1170	62.53%	20.34%	17.12%	+1.04	+4.0	2
1977-05-01	@ HJK	L 1-2	40.3	1170	1251	17.12%	20.34%	62.53%	-1.04	-3.9	0
1977-05-01	KuPS	L 1-2	50.3	1215	1253	49.61%	20.86%	29.53%	+0.24	-9.7	0
1977-05-01	@ KPV	W 2-1	50.3	1253	1215	29.53%	20.86%	49.61%	-0.24	+9.7	2
1977-05-01	TPS Turku	W 1-0	36.5	1222	1180	58.72%	20.58%	20.70%	+0.77	+5.0	2
1977-05-01	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	36.5	1180	1222	20.70%	20.58%	58.72%	-0.77	-5.0	0
1977-05-01	MiPK	W 3-2	48.8	1181	1220	49.49%	20.86%	29.65%	+0.24	+6.0	2
1977-05-01	@ OTP Oulu	L 2-3	48.8	1220	1181	29.65%	20.86%	49.49%	-0.24	-6.0	0
1977-05-01	Kiffen 08	D 1-1	54.7	1232	1158	61.85%	20.39%	17.76%	+0.99	-2.2	1
1977-05-01	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.7	1158	1232	17.76%	20.39%	61.85%	-0.99	+2.1	1
1977-05-08	KPV	W 4-0	30.7	1248	1206	58.83%	20.58%	20.59%	+0.78	+17.6	2
1977-05-08	@ Haka	L 0-4	30.7	1206	1248	20.59%	20.58%	58.83%	-0.78	-17.6	0
1977-05-08	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.7	1214	1230	52.35%	20.81%	26.84%	+0.39	-1.2	1
1977-05-08	@ MiPK	D 1-1	54.7	1230	1214	26.84%	20.81%	52.35%	-0.39	+1.2	2
1977-05-09	HJK	W 2-1	45.8	1175	1255	44.12%	20.89%	34.99%	-0.03	+7.2	2
1977-05-09	@ TPS Turku	L 1-2	45.8	1255	1175	34.99%	20.89%	44.12%	+0.03	-7.2	2
1977-05-10	OTP Oulu	W 2-0	35.9	1161	1187	51.05%	20.83%	28.11%	+0.32	+12.1	3
1977-05-10	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-2	35.9	1187	1161	28.11%	20.83%	51.05%	-0.32	-12.1	2
1977-05-11	VPS	W 6-0	30.6	1263	1206	60.27%	20.50%	19.23%	+0.88	+24.3	4
1977-05-11	@ KuPS	L 0-6	30.6	1206	1263	19.23%	20.50%	60.27%	-0.88	-24.3	0
1977-05-11	MP Mikkeli	L 1-3	46.7	1166	1227	46.66%	20.88%	32.46%	+0.09	-15.9	0
1977-05-11	@ OPS Oulu	W 3-1	46.7	1227	1166	32.46%	20.88%	46.66%	-0.09	+15.8	4
1977-05-15	OPS Oulu	W 5-1	32.4	1266	1150	65.43%	20.08%	14.49%	+1.27	+10.7	4
1977-05-15	@ Haka	L 1-5	32.4	1150	1266	14.49%	20.08%	65.43%	-1.27	-10.7	0
1977-05-15	KuPS	L 1-2	47.1	1173	1287	39.23%	20.85%	39.92%	-0.26	-7.9	3
1977-05-15	@ Kiffen 08	W 2-1	47.1	1287	1173	39.92%	20.85%	39.23%	+0.26	+7.9	6
1977-05-15	KPV	D 0-0	50.4	1213	1188	57.02%	20.66%	22.32%	+0.67	-1.8	2
1977-05-15	@ MiPK	D 0-0	50.4	1188	1213	22.32%	20.66%	57.02%	-0.67	+1.8	1
1977-05-15	HJK	D 1-1	54.6	1175	1248	45.07%	20.89%	34.05%	+0.01	-0.5	3
1977-05-15	@ OTP Oulu	D 1-1	54.6	1248	1175	34.05%	20.89%	45.07%	-0.01	+0.5	3
1977-05-15	MP Mikkeli	W 5-1	36.3	1231	1243	52.91%	20.80%	26.29%	+0.42	+18.1	4
1977-05-15	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-5	36.3	1243	1231	26.29%	20.80%	52.91%	-0.42	-18.1	4
1977-05-15	TPS Turku	W 4-2	43.9	1182	1183	54.09%	20.76%	25.14%	+0.49	+8.5	2
1977-05-15	@ VPS	L 2-4	43.9	1183	1182	25.14%	20.76%	54.09%	-0.49	-8.5	2
1977-05-18	Haka	L 0-1	43.4	1190	1276	43.21%	20.88%	35.90%	-0.08	-9.1	2
1977-05-18	@ VPS	W 1-0	43.4	1276	1190	35.90%	20.88%	43.21%	+0.08	+9.1	6
1977-05-22	Haka	W 1-0	39.5	1248	1286	49.74%	20.85%	29.40%	+0.25	+6.7	5
1977-05-22	@ HJK	L 0-1	39.5	1286	1248	29.40%	20.85%	49.74%	-0.25	-6.7	6
1977-05-22	Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	40.1	1190	1250	46.81%	20.88%	32.30%	+0.10	+7.2	3
1977-05-22	@ KPV	L 0-1	40.1	1250	1190	32.30%	20.88%	46.81%	-0.10	-7.2	4
1977-05-22	OTP Oulu	W 2-0	31.7	1295	1175	65.81%	20.04%	14.15%	+1.30	+6.6	8
1977-05-22	@ KuPS	L 0-2	31.7	1175	1295	14.15%	20.04%	65.81%	-1.30	-6.6	3
1977-05-22	VPS	W 1-0	36.4	1225	1181	58.92%	20.57%	20.50%	+0.79	+4.9	6
1977-05-22	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	36.4	1181	1225	20.50%	20.57%	58.92%	-0.79	-4.9	2
1977-05-22	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	38.6	1139	1165	51.19%	20.83%	27.98%	+0.33	+6.4	2
1977-05-22	@ OPS Oulu	L 0-1	38.6	1165	1139	27.98%	20.83%	51.19%	-0.33	-6.4	3
1977-05-22	MiPK	W 2-0	36.4	1174	1211	49.73%	20.85%	29.41%	+0.25	+12.6	4
1977-05-22	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	36.4	1211	1174	29.41%	20.85%	49.73%	-0.25	-12.6	2
1977-05-29	Kiffen 08	L 0-3	44.5	1255	1158	63.86%	20.23%	15.91%	+1.14	-35.7	5
1977-05-29	@ HJK	W 3-0	44.5	1158	1255	15.91%	20.23%	63.86%	-1.14	+35.7	5
1977-05-29	VPS	W 2-0	34.3	1197	1176	56.55%	20.68%	22.77%	+0.64	+10.1	5
1977-05-29	@ KPV	L 0-2	34.3	1176	1197	22.77%	20.68%	56.55%	-0.64	-10.1	2
1977-05-29	Haka	L 1-2	52.8	1302	1279	56.77%	20.67%	22.55%	+0.65	-10.9	8
1977-05-29	@ KuPS	W 2-1	52.8	1279	1302	22.55%	20.67%	56.77%	-0.65	+10.9	8
1977-05-29	MiPK	L 0-1	47.6	1229	1199	57.60%	20.64%	21.77%	+0.70	-11.8	6
1977-05-29	@ MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	47.6	1199	1229	21.77%	20.64%	57.60%	-0.70	+11.8	4
1977-05-29	OTP Oulu	W 2-1	43.4	1146	1168	51.58%	20.82%	27.60%	+0.35	+6.0	4
1977-05-29	@ OPS Oulu	L 1-2	43.4	1168	1146	27.60%	20.82%	51.58%	-0.35	-6.0	3
1977-05-29	TPS Turku	W 1-0	36.1	1242	1187	60.13%	20.50%	19.37%	+0.87	+4.7	6
1977-05-29	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	36.1	1187	1242	19.37%	20.50%	60.13%	-0.87	-4.7	4
1977-06-05	TPS Turku	D 0-0	50.7	1290	1182	64.79%	20.15%	15.07%	+1.22	-2.7	9
1977-06-05	@ Haka	D 0-0	50.7	1182	1290	15.07%	20.15%	64.79%	-1.22	+2.7	5
1977-06-05	MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	41.0	1194	1218	51.42%	20.83%	27.75%	+0.34	+10.4	7
1977-06-05	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-3	41.0	1218	1194	27.75%	20.83%	51.42%	-0.34	-10.4	6
1977-06-05	KuPS	W 2-1	46.0	1210	1291	44.04%	20.89%	35.07%	-0.04	+7.2	6
1977-06-05	@ MiPK	L 1-2	46.0	1291	1210	35.07%	20.89%	44.04%	+0.04	-7.2	8
1977-06-05	KPV	L 0-3	40.1	1162	1207	48.74%	20.87%	30.40%	+0.20	-27.6	3
1977-06-05	@ OTP Oulu	W 3-0	40.1	1207	1162	30.40%	20.87%	48.74%	-0.20	+27.6	7
1977-06-05	OPS Oulu	W 1-0	34.9	1247	1152	63.75%	20.24%	16.01%	+1.13	+3.9	8
1977-06-05	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	34.9	1152	1247	16.01%	20.24%	63.75%	-1.13	-3.9	4
1977-06-05	HJK	L 1-6	41.5	1166	1219	47.64%	20.88%	31.48%	+0.14	-36.1	2
1977-06-05	@ VPS	W 6-1	41.5	1219	1166	31.48%	20.88%	47.64%	-0.14	+36.1	7
1977-06-12	MiPK	W 2-0	34.0	1256	1218	58.34%	20.60%	21.06%	+0.75	+9.5	9
1977-06-12	@ HJK	L 0-2	34.0	1218	1256	21.06%	20.60%	58.34%	-0.75	-9.5	6
1977-06-12	Kiffen 08	L 3-4	59.9	1235	1204	57.56%	20.64%	21.81%	+0.70	-10.3	7
1977-06-12	@ KPV	W 4-3	59.9	1204	1235	21.81%	20.64%	57.56%	-0.70	+10.3	9
1977-06-12	Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	34.4	1284	1251	57.81%	20.63%	21.56%	+0.72	+9.7	10
1977-06-12	@ KuPS	L 0-2	34.4	1251	1284	21.56%	20.63%	57.81%	-0.72	-9.7	8
1977-06-12	Haka	L 0-3	39.0	1207	1287	44.12%	20.89%	35.00%	-0.03	-25.4	6
1977-06-12	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-0	39.0	1287	1207	35.00%	20.89%	44.12%	+0.03	+25.4	11
1977-06-12	VPS	W 2-0	34.3	1148	1130	56.22%	20.69%	23.08%	+0.62	+10.2	6
1977-06-12	@ OPS Oulu	L 0-2	34.3	1130	1148	23.08%	20.69%	56.22%	-0.62	-10.2	2
1977-06-12	OTP Oulu	W 5-0	30.2	1185	1134	59.60%	20.54%	19.86%	+0.83	+21.0	7
1977-06-12	@ TPS Turku	L 0-5	30.2	1134	1185	19.86%	20.54%	59.60%	-0.83	-21.0	3
1977-06-19	TPS Turku	W 3-1	39.9	1215	1206	55.23%	20.73%	24.04%	+0.56	+9.2	11
1977-06-19	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-3	39.9	1206	1215	24.04%	20.73%	55.23%	-0.56	-9.2	7
1977-06-19	MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	33.7	1224	1182	58.82%	20.58%	20.61%	+0.78	+9.3	9
1977-06-19	@ KPV	L 0-2	33.7	1182	1224	20.61%	20.58%	58.82%	-0.78	-9.3	6
1977-06-19	HJK	L 0-2	45.2	1293	1265	57.35%	20.65%	22.01%	+0.69	-22.1	10
1977-06-19	@ KuPS	W 2-0	45.2	1265	1293	22.01%	20.65%	57.35%	-0.69	+22.1	11
1977-06-19	OPS Oulu	D 0-0	50.4	1208	1158	59.60%	20.54%	19.86%	+0.83	-2.1	7
1977-06-19	@ MiPK	D 0-0	50.4	1158	1208	19.86%	20.54%	59.60%	-0.83	+2.1	7
1977-06-19	Haka	W 2-1	50.6	1113	1312	28.10%	20.54%	51.36%	-0.83	+9.9	5
1977-06-19	@ OTP Oulu	L 1-2	50.6	1312	1113	51.36%	20.54%	28.10%	+0.83	-9.9	11
1977-06-19	VPS	W 4-0	28.4	1241	1120	65.89%	20.03%	14.08%	+1.31	+12.5	10
1977-06-19	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	28.4	1120	1241	14.08%	20.03%	65.89%	-1.31	-12.5	2
1977-06-26	Kiffen 08	W 2-1	40.7	1303	1224	62.28%	20.36%	17.36%	+1.02	+4.0	13
1977-06-26	@ Haka	L 1-2	40.7	1224	1303	17.36%	20.36%	62.28%	-1.02	-4.0	11
1977-06-26	Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	43.2	1287	1254	57.88%	20.62%	21.50%	+0.72	-32.4	11
1977-06-26	@ HJK	W 3-0	43.2	1254	1287	21.50%	20.62%	57.88%	-0.72	+32.4	12
1977-06-26	OTP Oulu	W 4-2	42.2	1173	1123	59.51%	20.54%	19.95%	+0.83	+7.0	8
1977-06-26	@ MP Mikkeli	L 2-4	42.2	1123	1173	19.95%	20.54%	59.51%	-0.83	-7.0	5
1977-06-26	KuPS	W 5-0	36.3	1160	1271	39.73%	20.86%	39.42%	-0.24	+37.2	9
1977-06-26	@ OPS Oulu	L 0-5	36.3	1271	1160	39.42%	20.86%	39.73%	+0.24	-37.2	10
1977-06-26	KPV	W 2-0	36.5	1197	1234	49.74%	20.85%	29.40%	+0.25	+12.6	9
1977-06-26	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	36.5	1234	1197	29.40%	20.85%	49.74%	-0.25	-12.6	9
1977-06-26	MiPK	L 0-1	42.7	1107	1206	41.44%	20.87%	37.69%	-0.16	-8.8	2
1977-06-26	@ VPS	W 1-0	42.7	1206	1107	37.69%	20.87%	41.44%	+0.16	+8.8	9
1977-06-29	MiPK	W 2-0	32.6	1307	1215	63.42%	20.27%	16.31%	+1.11	+7.5	15
1977-06-29	@ Haka	L 0-2	32.6	1215	1307	16.31%	20.27%	63.42%	-1.11	-7.5	9
1977-06-30	TPS Turku	W 1-0	38.2	1197	1209	52.84%	20.80%	26.36%	+0.42	+6.1	11
1977-06-30	@ OPS Oulu	L 0-1	38.2	1209	1197	26.36%	20.80%	52.84%	-0.42	-6.1	9
1977-07-03	KPV	L 0-5	41.9	1255	1221	57.90%	20.62%	21.48%	+0.72	-52.2	11
1977-07-03	@ HJK	W 5-0	41.9	1221	1255	21.48%	20.62%	57.90%	-0.72	+52.2	11
1977-07-03	MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	33.4	1234	1180	60.00%	20.51%	19.49%	+0.86	+8.8	12
1977-07-03	@ KuPS	L 0-2	33.4	1180	1234	19.49%	20.51%	60.00%	-0.86	-8.9	8
1977-07-03	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	38.3	1207	1220	52.76%	20.80%	26.44%	+0.41	+6.1	11
1977-07-03	@ MiPK	L 0-1	38.3	1220	1207	26.44%	20.80%	52.76%	-0.41	-6.1	11
1977-07-03	Haka	L 0-3	41.5	1286	1314	50.90%	20.84%	28.27%	+0.31	-28.7	12
1977-07-03	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	41.5	1314	1286	28.27%	20.84%	50.90%	-0.31	+28.7	17
1977-07-03	OTP Oulu	L 1-3	48.1	1098	1116	52.10%	20.81%	27.08%	+0.38	-17.5	2
1977-07-03	@ VPS	W 3-1	48.1	1116	1098	27.08%	20.81%	52.10%	-0.38	+17.5	7
1977-07-07	VPS	W 3-1	36.3	1214	1081	66.75%	19.94%	13.31%	+1.38	+5.4	13
1977-07-07	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-3	36.3	1081	1214	13.31%	19.94%	66.75%	-1.38	-5.4	2
1977-07-07	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	46.6	1134	1257	37.95%	20.83%	41.22%	-0.32	-7.7	7
1977-07-07	@ OTP Oulu	W 2-1	46.6	1257	1134	41.22%	20.83%	37.95%	+0.32	+7.7	14
1977-07-07	KuPS	D 1-1	54.7	1203	1243	49.41%	20.86%	29.73%	+0.23	-0.9	10
1977-07-07	@ TPS Turku	D 1-1	54.7	1243	1203	29.73%	20.86%	49.41%	-0.23	+0.9	13
1977-07-10	OPS Oulu	W 1-0	35.8	1273	1203	61.48%	20.42%	18.10%	+0.96	+4.4	13
1977-07-10	@ KPV	L 0-1	35.8	1203	1273	18.10%	20.42%	61.48%	-0.96	-4.4	11
1977-07-10	HJK	W 1-0	38.9	1171	1203	50.41%	20.84%	28.74%	+0.29	+6.5	10
1977-07-10	@ MP Mikkeli	L 0-1	38.9	1203	1171	28.74%	20.84%	50.41%	-0.29	-6.5	11
1977-07-24	VPS	W 3-0	26.8	1343	1075	74.81%	18.44%	6.76%	+2.28	+4.7	19
1977-07-24	@ Haka	L 0-3	26.8	1075	1343	6.76%	18.44%	74.81%	-2.28	-4.7	2
1977-07-24	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.8	1219	1265	48.62%	20.87%	30.51%	+0.19	-0.8	14
1977-07-24	@ Kiffen 08	D 1-1	54.8	1265	1219	30.51%	20.87%	48.62%	-0.19	+0.8	15
1977-07-24	KPV	W 5-1	37.3	1244	1278	50.14%	20.85%	29.01%	+0.27	+19.7	15
1977-07-24	@ KuPS	L 1-5	37.3	1278	1244	29.01%	20.85%	50.14%	-0.27	-19.7	13
1977-07-24	OTP Oulu	L 0-1	49.0	1213	1126	63.06%	20.30%	16.64%	+1.08	-12.9	11
1977-07-24	@ MiPK	W 1-0	49.0	1126	1213	16.64%	20.30%	63.06%	-1.08	+12.9	9
1977-07-24	HJK	D 1-1	54.6	1199	1196	54.56%	20.75%	24.69%	+0.52	-1.4	12
1977-07-24	@ OPS Oulu	D 1-1	54.6	1196	1199	24.69%	20.75%	54.56%	-0.52	+1.4	12
1977-07-24	MP Mikkeli	W 4-1	36.8	1202	1177	56.98%	20.66%	22.36%	+0.66	+12.2	12
1977-07-24	@ TPS Turku	L 1-4	36.8	1177	1202	22.36%	20.66%	56.98%	-0.66	-12.2	10
1977-07-31	TPS Turku	D 0-0	50.4	1197	1214	52.23%	20.81%	26.96%	+0.39	-1.3	13
1977-07-31	@ HJK	D 0-0	50.4	1214	1197	26.96%	20.81%	52.23%	-0.39	+1.3	13
1977-07-31	Haka	W 1-0	42.0	1258	1347	42.79%	20.88%	36.32%	-0.10	+7.9	15
1977-07-31	@ KPV	L 0-1	42.0	1347	1258	36.32%	20.88%	42.79%	+0.10	-7.9	19
1977-07-31	OPS Oulu	L 0-1	45.4	1165	1198	50.33%	20.85%	28.83%	+0.28	-10.4	10
1977-07-31	@ MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	45.4	1198	1165	28.83%	20.85%	50.33%	-0.28	+10.4	14
1977-07-31	Kiffen 08	D 1-1	54.5	1139	1218	44.17%	20.89%	34.94%	-0.03	-0.4	10
1977-07-31	@ OTP Oulu	D 1-1	54.5	1218	1139	34.94%	20.89%	44.17%	+0.03	+0.4	15
1977-07-31	MiPK	D 0-0	50.6	1266	1201	61.05%	20.45%	18.50%	+0.93	-2.3	16
1977-07-31	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	50.6	1201	1266	18.50%	20.45%	61.05%	-0.93	+2.3	12
1977-07-31	KuPS	L 1-3	41.2	1071	1263	28.87%	20.57%	50.56%	-0.78	-10.7	2
1977-07-31	@ VPS	W 3-1	41.2	1263	1071	50.56%	20.57%	28.87%	+0.78	+10.7	17
1977-08-07	OTP Oulu	W 1-0	35.9	1196	1138	60.31%	20.49%	19.19%	+0.88	+4.6	15
1977-08-07	@ HJK	L 0-1	35.9	1138	1196	19.19%	20.49%	60.31%	-0.88	-4.6	10
1977-08-07	MiPK	W 2-0	33.2	1266	1203	60.83%	20.46%	18.71%	+0.92	+8.5	17
1977-08-07	@ KPV	L 0-2	33.2	1203	1266	18.71%	20.46%	60.83%	-0.92	-8.5	12
1977-08-07	Kiffen 08	W 3-2	45.8	1274	1219	60.09%	20.51%	19.40%	+0.87	+4.2	19
1977-08-07	@ KuPS	L 2-3	45.8	1219	1274	19.40%	20.51%	60.09%	-0.87	-4.2	15
1977-08-07	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	39.6	1155	1264	40.04%	20.86%	39.10%	-0.23	-16.1	10
1977-08-07	@ MP Mikkeli	W 2-0	39.6	1264	1155	39.10%	20.86%	40.04%	+0.23	+16.1	18
1977-08-07	Haka	L 2-3	51.4	1208	1340	36.85%	20.81%	42.34%	-0.38	-7.2	14
1977-08-07	@ OPS Oulu	W 3-2	51.4	1340	1208	42.34%	20.81%	36.85%	+0.38	+7.2	21
1977-08-07	VPS	W 5-1	31.4	1216	1060	68.38%	19.72%	11.89%	+1.53	+8.9	15
1977-08-07	@ TPS Turku	L 1-5	31.4	1060	1216	11.89%	19.72%	68.38%	-1.53	-8.9	2
1977-08-11	HJK	W 2-1	39.1	1347	1201	67.70%	19.82%	12.48%	+1.47	+2.9	23
1977-08-11	@ Haka	L 1-2	39.1	1201	1347	12.48%	19.82%	67.70%	-1.47	-3.0	15
1977-08-11	OPS Oulu	D 1-1	54.7	1215	1201	55.78%	20.71%	23.52%	+0.59	-1.5	16
1977-08-11	@ Kiffen 08	D 1-1	54.7	1201	1215	23.52%	20.71%	55.78%	-0.59	+1.5	15
1977-08-11	KPV	W 1-0	38.1	1280	1274	54.83%	20.74%	24.43%	+0.53	+5.7	20
1977-08-11	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	38.1	1274	1280	24.43%	20.74%	54.83%	-0.53	-5.7	17
1977-08-11	MP Mikkeli	D 2-2	59.5	1051	1139	43.06%	20.88%	36.06%	-0.08	-0.2	3
1977-08-11	@ VPS	D 2-2	59.5	1139	1051	36.06%	20.88%	43.06%	+0.08	+0.2	11
1977-08-14	TPS Turku	W 4-0	33.1	1194	1225	50.61%	20.84%	28.54%	+0.30	+23.3	14
1977-08-14	@ MiPK	L 0-4	33.1	1225	1194	28.54%	20.84%	50.61%	-0.30	-23.3	15
1977-08-14	KuPS	L 0-1	40.9	1134	1278	35.09%	20.78%	44.14%	-0.46	-7.7	10
1977-08-14	@ OTP Oulu	W 1-0	40.9	1278	1134	44.14%	20.78%	35.09%	+0.46	+7.7	21
1977-08-21	KuPS	W 3-0	32.0	1350	1286	60.90%	20.46%	18.65%	+0.92	+12.4	25
1977-08-21	@ Haka	L 0-3	32.0	1286	1350	18.65%	20.46%	60.90%	-0.92	-12.4	21
1977-08-21	HJK	W 1-0	37.3	1213	1198	55.94%	20.70%	23.36%	+0.60	+5.5	18
1977-08-21	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-1	37.3	1198	1213	23.36%	20.70%	55.94%	-0.60	-5.5	15
1977-08-21	MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	35.3	1218	1139	62.30%	20.36%	17.35%	+1.02	+4.2	16
1977-08-21	@ MiPK	L 0-1	35.3	1139	1218	17.35%	20.36%	62.30%	-1.02	-4.2	11
1977-08-21	OPS Oulu	D 0-0	50.3	1126	1202	44.62%	20.89%	34.49%	-0.01	-0.5	11
1977-08-21	@ OTP Oulu	D 0-0	50.3	1202	1126	34.49%	20.89%	44.62%	+0.01	+0.5	16
1977-08-21	Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	46.1	1201	1286	43.52%	20.89%	35.60%	-0.06	+7.3	17
1977-08-21	@ TPS Turku	L 1-2	46.1	1286	1201	35.60%	20.89%	43.52%	+0.06	-7.3	20
1977-08-21	KPV	D 1-1	54.6	1051	1269	25.92%	20.43%	53.65%	-0.95	+1.3	4
1977-08-21	@ VPS	D 1-1	54.6	1269	1051	53.65%	20.43%	25.92%	+0.95	-1.3	18
1977-08-28	Kiffen 08	D 0-0	50.3	1135	1219	43.55%	20.89%	35.56%	-0.06	-0.4	12
1977-08-28	@ MP Mikkeli	D 0-0	50.3	1219	1135	35.56%	20.89%	43.55%	+0.06	+0.4	19
1977-08-29	VPS	W 4-0	27.9	1192	1052	67.28%	19.87%	12.85%	+1.43	+11.5	17
1977-08-29	@ HJK	L 0-4	27.9	1052	1192	12.85%	19.87%	67.28%	-1.43	-11.5	4
1977-08-29	Haka	D 0-0	50.9	1209	1362	33.88%	20.75%	45.37%	-0.52	+0.6	18
1977-08-29	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	50.9	1362	1209	45.37%	20.75%	33.88%	+0.52	-0.6	26
1977-08-31	OTP Oulu	L 0-1	50.2	1267	1126	67.40%	19.86%	12.74%	+1.44	-13.8	18
1977-08-31	@ KPV	W 1-0	50.2	1126	1267	12.74%	19.86%	67.40%	-1.44	+13.8	13
1977-08-31	MiPK	L 2-3	57.9	1274	1222	59.74%	20.53%	19.74%	+0.84	-10.9	21
1977-08-31	@ KuPS	W 3-2	57.9	1222	1274	19.74%	20.53%	59.74%	-0.84	+10.9	18
1977-08-31	Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	38.1	1203	1278	44.73%	20.89%	34.38%	+0.00	+14.3	18
1977-08-31	@ OPS Oulu	L 0-2	38.1	1278	1203	34.38%	20.89%	44.73%	+0.00	-14.3	20
1977-09-04	MP Mikkeli	W 5-3	40.5	1361	1134	72.76%	18.94%	8.29%	+2.01	+2.9	28
1977-09-04	@ Haka	L 3-5	40.5	1134	1361	8.29%	18.94%	72.76%	-2.01	-2.9	12
1977-09-04	KPV	L 1-2	50.4	1219	1254	50.04%	20.85%	29.11%	+0.27	-9.7	19
1977-09-04	@ Kiffen 08	W 2-1	50.4	1254	1219	29.11%	20.85%	50.04%	-0.27	+9.7	20
1977-09-04	HJK	L 0-1	47.6	1233	1204	57.42%	20.64%	21.93%	+0.69	-11.7	18
1977-09-04	@ MiPK	W 1-0	47.6	1204	1233	21.93%	20.64%	57.42%	-0.69	+11.7	19
1977-09-04	TPS Turku	L 0-3	39.1	1139	1209	45.48%	20.89%	33.63%	+0.03	-26.0	13
1977-09-04	@ OTP Oulu	W 3-0	39.1	1209	1139	33.63%	20.89%	45.48%	-0.03	+26.0	20
1977-09-04	KuPS	D 1-1	54.9	1264	1263	54.36%	20.76%	24.88%	+0.51	-1.4	21
1977-09-04	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.9	1263	1264	24.88%	20.76%	54.36%	-0.51	+1.4	22
1977-09-04	OPS Oulu	D 1-1	54.5	1041	1217	30.88%	20.65%	48.46%	-0.68	+0.8	5
1977-09-04	@ VPS	D 1-1	54.5	1217	1041	48.46%	20.65%	30.88%	+0.68	-0.8	19
1977-09-11	OTP Oulu	L 0-1	52.0	1364	1113	74.00%	18.65%	7.35%	+2.17	-15.1	28
1977-09-11	@ Haka	W 1-0	52.0	1113	1364	7.35%	18.65%	74.00%	-2.17	+15.1	15
1977-09-11	KuPS	L 0-1	45.0	1216	1264	48.29%	20.87%	30.84%	+0.17	-10.0	19
1977-09-11	@ HJK	W 1-0	45.0	1264	1216	30.84%	20.87%	48.29%	-0.17	+10.0	24
1977-09-11	MiPK	D 0-0	50.5	1216	1221	53.67%	20.78%	25.55%	+0.47	-1.5	20
1977-09-11	@ OPS Oulu	D 0-0	50.5	1221	1216	25.55%	20.78%	53.67%	-0.47	+1.5	19
1977-09-11	Kiffen 08	W 5-2	39.6	1235	1209	57.10%	20.66%	22.24%	+0.67	+10.5	22
1977-09-11	@ TPS Turku	L 2-5	39.6	1209	1235	22.24%	20.66%	57.10%	-0.67	-10.5	19
1977-09-11	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.6	1041	1262	25.57%	20.41%	54.02%	-0.97	+1.3	6
1977-09-11	@ VPS	D 1-1	54.6	1262	1041	54.02%	20.41%	25.57%	+0.97	-1.3	22
1977-09-15	KPV	W 2-1	48.0	1131	1263	36.76%	20.81%	42.42%	-0.38	+8.5	14
1977-09-15	@ MP Mikkeli	L 1-2	48.0	1263	1131	42.42%	20.81%	36.76%	+0.38	-8.4	20
1977-09-18	Haka	D 0-0	50.8	1199	1349	34.25%	20.76%	44.99%	-0.50	+0.5	20
1977-09-18	@ Kiffen 08	D 0-0	50.8	1349	1199	44.99%	20.76%	34.25%	+0.50	-0.5	29
1977-09-18	TPS Turku	D 1-1	54.9	1255	1246	55.27%	20.73%	24.00%	+0.56	-1.5	21
1977-09-18	@ KPV	D 1-1	54.9	1246	1255	24.00%	20.73%	55.27%	-0.56	+1.5	23
1977-09-18	OPS Oulu	L 1-2	53.5	1274	1215	60.47%	20.48%	19.05%	+0.89	-11.6	24
1977-09-18	@ KuPS	W 2-1	53.5	1215	1274	19.05%	20.48%	60.47%	-0.89	+11.6	22
1977-09-18	VPS	W 7-0	27.9	1223	1043	69.98%	19.48%	10.54%	+1.69	+16.1	21
1977-09-18	@ MiPK	L 0-7	27.9	1043	1223	10.54%	19.48%	69.98%	-1.69	-16.1	6
1977-09-18	MP Mikkeli	W 1-0	38.1	1128	1140	52.91%	20.80%	26.30%	+0.42	+6.1	17
1977-09-18	@ OTP Oulu	L 0-1	38.1	1140	1128	26.30%	20.80%	52.91%	-0.42	-6.1	14
1977-09-18	HJK	D 0-0	50.6	1261	1206	60.12%	20.50%	19.37%	+0.87	-2.2	23
1977-09-18	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	50.6	1206	1261	19.37%	20.50%	60.12%	-0.87	+2.2	20
1977-09-25	Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	38.2	1349	1259	63.26%	20.28%	16.46%	+1.09	+6.6	31
1977-09-25	@ Haka	L 1-3	38.2	1259	1349	16.46%	20.28%	63.26%	-1.09	-6.6	23
1977-09-25	MiPK	W 6-1	36.2	1199	1239	49.45%	20.86%	29.69%	+0.24	+24.5	22
1977-09-25	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-6	36.2	1239	1199	29.69%	20.86%	49.45%	-0.24	-24.5	21
1977-09-25	HJK	L 2-3	57.7	1254	1208	59.16%	20.56%	20.29%	+0.80	-10.8	21
1977-09-25	@ KPV	W 3-2	57.7	1208	1254	20.29%	20.56%	59.16%	-0.80	+10.8	22
1977-09-25	KuPS	L 1-3	43.8	1134	1262	37.24%	20.82%	41.94%	-0.36	-13.2	14
1977-09-25	@ MP Mikkeli	W 3-1	43.8	1262	1134	41.94%	20.82%	37.24%	+0.36	+13.2	26
1977-09-25	VPS	W 4-2	40.6	1135	1027	64.79%	20.15%	15.06%	+1.22	+5.4	19
1977-09-25	@ OTP Oulu	L 2-4	40.6	1027	1135	15.06%	20.15%	64.79%	-1.22	-5.4	6
1977-09-25	OPS Oulu	L 1-2	52.3	1247	1226	56.54%	20.68%	22.78%	+0.64	-10.9	23
1977-09-25	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	52.3	1226	1247	22.78%	20.68%	56.54%	-0.64	+10.9	24
1977-10-02	MP Mikkeli	D 1-1	54.7	1219	1120	63.97%	20.22%	15.81%	+1.15	-2.4	23
1977-10-02	@ HJK	D 1-1	54.7	1120	1219	15.81%	20.22%	63.97%	-1.15	+2.4	15
1977-10-02	TPS Turku	L 1-7	44.4	1276	1236	58.49%	20.59%	20.92%	+0.76	-51.6	26
1977-10-02	@ KuPS	W 7-1	44.4	1236	1276	20.92%	20.59%	58.49%	-0.76	+51.6	25
1977-10-02	Haka	L 0-1	41.5	1214	1355	35.52%	20.79%	43.69%	-0.44	-7.8	21
1977-10-02	@ MiPK	W 1-0	41.5	1355	1214	43.69%	20.79%	35.52%	+0.44	+7.8	33
1977-10-02	KPV	L 1-3	48.9	1237	1243	53.60%	20.78%	25.62%	+0.46	-18.0	24
1977-10-02	@ OPS Oulu	W 3-1	48.9	1243	1237	25.62%	20.78%	53.60%	-0.46	+18.0	23
1977-10-02	OTP Oulu	L 1-2	54.6	1252	1140	65.15%	20.11%	14.74%	+1.25	-12.5	23
1977-10-02	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-1	54.6	1140	1252	14.74%	20.11%	65.15%	-1.25	+12.5	21
1977-10-02	Kiffen 08	W 2-1	50.5	1021	1224	27.69%	20.52%	51.79%	-0.85	+10.0	8
1977-10-02	@ VPS	L 1-2	50.5	1224	1021	51.79%	20.52%	27.69%	+0.85	-10.0	22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1977-09-11	7.35%	OTP Oulu	1113	1	@ Haka	1364	0
2	1977-08-31	12.74%	OTP Oulu	1126	1	@ KPV	1267	0
3	1977-10-02	14.74%	OTP Oulu	1140	2	@ Reipas Lahti	1252	1
4	1977-05-29	15.91%	Kiffen 08	1158	3	@ HJK	1255	0
5	1977-07-24	16.64%	OTP Oulu	1126	1	@ MiPK	1213	0
6	1977-09-18	19.05%	OPS Oulu	1215	2	@ KuPS	1274	1
7	1977-08-31	19.74%	MiPK	1222	3	@ KuPS	1274	2
8	1977-09-25	20.29%	HJK	1208	3	@ KPV	1254	2
9	1977-10-02	20.92%	TPS Turku	1236	7	@ KuPS	1276	1
10	1977-07-03	21.48%	KPV	1221	5	@ HJK	1255	0
11	1977-06-26	21.50%	Reipas Lahti	1254	3	@ HJK	1287	0
12	1977-05-29	21.77%	MiPK	1199	1	@ MP Mikkeli	1229	0
13	1977-06-12	21.81%	Kiffen 08	1204	4	@ KPV	1235	3
14	1977-09-04	21.93%	HJK	1204	1	@ MiPK	1233	0
15	1977-06-19	22.01%	HJK	1265	2	@ KuPS	1293	0
16	1977-05-29	22.55%	Haka	1279	2	@ KuPS	1302	1
17	1977-09-25	22.78%	OPS Oulu	1226	2	@ TPS Turku	1247	1
18	1977-10-02	25.62%	KPV	1243	3	@ OPS Oulu	1237	1
19	1977-07-03	27.08%	OTP Oulu	1116	3	@ VPS	1098	1
20	1977-10-02	27.69%	@ VPS	1021	2	Kiffen 08	1224	1
21	1977-06-19	28.10%	@ OTP Oulu	1113	2	Haka	1312	1
22	1977-07-03	28.27%	Haka	1314	3	@ Reipas Lahti	1286	0
23	1977-07-31	28.83%	OPS Oulu	1198	1	@ MP Mikkeli	1165	0
24	1977-09-04	29.11%	KPV	1254	2	@ Kiffen 08	1219	1
25	1977-05-01	29.53%	KuPS	1253	2	@ KPV	1215	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-07-03	52.17	KPV	5	1221	21.48%	@ HJK	0	1255	57.90%	20.62%
2	1977-10-02	51.61	TPS Turku	7	1236	20.92%	@ KuPS	1	1276	58.49%	20.59%
3	1977-06-26	37.23	@ OPS Oulu	5	1160	39.73%	KuPS	0	1271	39.42%	20.86%
4	1977-06-05	36.11	HJK	6	1219	31.48%	@ VPS	1	1166	47.64%	20.88%
5	1977-05-29	35.68	Kiffen 08	3	1158	15.91%	@ HJK	0	1255	63.86%	20.23%
6	1977-06-26	32.38	Reipas Lahti	3	1254	21.50%	@ HJK	0	1287	57.88%	20.62%
7	1977-07-03	28.72	Haka	3	1314	28.27%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	1286	50.90%	20.84%
8	1977-06-05	27.63	KPV	3	1207	30.40%	@ OTP Oulu	0	1162	48.74%	20.87%
9	1977-09-04	26.01	TPS Turku	3	1209	33.63%	@ OTP Oulu	0	1139	45.48%	20.89%
10	1977-06-12	25.36	Haka	3	1287	35.00%	@ MP Mikkeli	0	1207	44.12%	20.89%
11	1977-09-25	24.53	@ Kiffen 08	6	1199	49.45%	MiPK	1	1239	29.69%	20.86%
12	1977-05-11	24.29	@ KuPS	6	1263	60.27%	VPS	0	1206	19.23%	20.50%
13	1977-08-14	23.28	@ MiPK	4	1194	50.61%	TPS Turku	0	1225	28.54%	20.84%
14	1977-06-19	22.10	HJK	2	1265	22.01%	@ KuPS	0	1293	57.35%	20.65%
15	1977-06-12	21.04	@ TPS Turku	5	1185	59.60%	OTP Oulu	0	1134	19.86%	20.54%
16	1977-07-24	19.65	@ KuPS	5	1244	50.14%	KPV	1	1278	29.01%	20.85%
17	1977-05-15	18.11	@ Reipas Lahti	5	1231	52.91%	MP Mikkeli	1	1243	26.29%	20.80%
18	1977-10-02	17.96	KPV	3	1243	25.62%	@ OPS Oulu	1	1237	53.60%	20.78%
19	1977-05-08	17.62	@ Haka	4	1248	58.83%	KPV	0	1206	20.59%	20.58%
20	1977-07-03	17.49	OTP Oulu	3	1116	27.08%	@ VPS	1	1098	52.10%	20.81%
21	1977-08-07	16.12	Reipas Lahti	2	1264	39.10%	@ MP Mikkeli	0	1155	40.04%	20.86%
22	1977-09-18	16.12	@ MiPK	7	1223	69.98%	VPS	0	1043	10.54%	19.48%
23	1977-05-11	15.86	MP Mikkeli	3	1227	32.46%	@ OPS Oulu	1	1166	46.66%	20.88%
24	1977-09-11	15.08	OTP Oulu	1	1113	7.35%	@ Haka	0	1364	74.00%	18.65%
25	1977-08-31	14.28	@ OPS Oulu	2	1203	44.73%	Reipas Lahti	0	1278	34.38%	20.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-06-12	59.9	Kiffen 08	4	1204	21.81%	@ KPV	3	1235	57.56%	20.64%
2	1977-08-11	59.5	@ VPS	2	1051	43.06%	MP Mikkeli	2	1139	36.06%	20.88%
3	1977-08-31	57.9	MiPK	3	1222	19.74%	@ KuPS	2	1274	59.74%	20.53%
4	1977-09-25	57.7	HJK	3	1208	20.29%	@ KPV	2	1254	59.16%	20.56%
5	1977-09-04	54.9	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1264	54.36%	KuPS	1	1263	24.88%	20.76%
6	1977-09-18	54.9	@ KPV	1	1255	55.27%	TPS Turku	1	1246	24.00%	20.73%
7	1977-07-24	54.8	@ Kiffen 08	1	1219	48.62%	Reipas Lahti	1	1265	30.51%	20.87%
8	1977-05-01	54.7	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1232	61.85%	Kiffen 08	1	1158	17.76%	20.39%
9	1977-05-08	54.7	@ MiPK	1	1214	52.35%	Reipas Lahti	1	1230	26.84%	20.81%
10	1977-07-07	54.7	@ TPS Turku	1	1203	49.41%	KuPS	1	1243	29.73%	20.86%
11	1977-08-11	54.7	@ Kiffen 08	1	1215	55.78%	OPS Oulu	1	1201	23.52%	20.71%
12	1977-10-02	54.7	@ HJK	1	1219	63.97%	MP Mikkeli	1	1120	15.81%	20.22%
13	1977-05-15	54.6	@ OTP Oulu	1	1175	45.07%	HJK	1	1248	34.05%	20.89%
14	1977-07-24	54.6	@ OPS Oulu	1	1199	54.56%	HJK	1	1196	24.69%	20.75%
15	1977-08-21	54.6	@ VPS	1	1051	25.92%	KPV	1	1269	53.65%	20.43%
16	1977-09-11	54.6	@ VPS	1	1041	25.57%	Reipas Lahti	1	1262	54.02%	20.41%
17	1977-10-02	54.6	OTP Oulu	2	1140	14.74%	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1252	65.15%	20.11%
18	1977-07-31	54.5	@ OTP Oulu	1	1139	44.17%	Kiffen 08	1	1218	34.94%	20.89%
19	1977-09-04	54.5	@ VPS	1	1041	30.88%	OPS Oulu	1	1217	48.46%	20.65%
20	1977-09-18	53.5	OPS Oulu	2	1215	19.05%	@ KuPS	1	1274	60.47%	20.48%
21	1977-05-29	52.8	Haka	2	1279	22.55%	@ KuPS	1	1302	56.77%	20.67%
22	1977-09-25	52.3	OPS Oulu	2	1226	22.78%	@ TPS Turku	1	1247	56.54%	20.68%
23	1977-09-11	52.0	OTP Oulu	1	1113	7.35%	@ Haka	0	1364	74.00%	18.65%
24	1977-08-07	51.4	Haka	3	1340	42.34%	@ OPS Oulu	2	1208	36.85%	20.81%
25	1977-08-29	50.9	@ TPS Turku	0	1209	33.88%	Haka	0	1362	45.37%	20.75%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-07-24	26.8	@ Haka	3	1343	74.81%	VPS	0	1075	6.76%	18.44%
2	1977-08-29	27.9	@ HJK	4	1192	67.28%	VPS	0	1052	12.85%	19.87%
3	1977-09-18	27.9	@ MiPK	7	1223	69.98%	VPS	0	1043	10.54%	19.48%
4	1977-06-19	28.4	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1241	65.89%	VPS	0	1120	14.08%	20.03%
5	1977-06-12	30.2	@ TPS Turku	5	1185	59.60%	OTP Oulu	0	1134	19.86%	20.54%
6	1977-05-11	30.6	@ KuPS	6	1263	60.27%	VPS	0	1206	19.23%	20.50%
7	1977-05-08	30.7	@ Haka	4	1248	58.83%	KPV	0	1206	20.59%	20.58%
8	1977-08-07	31.4	@ TPS Turku	5	1216	68.38%	VPS	1	1060	11.89%	19.72%
9	1977-05-22	31.7	@ KuPS	2	1295	65.81%	OTP Oulu	0	1175	14.15%	20.04%
10	1977-08-21	32.0	@ Haka	3	1350	60.90%	KuPS	0	1286	18.65%	20.46%
11	1977-05-15	32.4	@ Haka	5	1266	65.43%	OPS Oulu	1	1150	14.49%	20.08%
12	1977-06-29	32.6	@ Haka	2	1307	63.42%	MiPK	0	1215	16.31%	20.27%
13	1977-08-14	33.1	@ MiPK	4	1194	50.61%	TPS Turku	0	1225	28.54%	20.84%
14	1977-08-07	33.2	@ KPV	2	1266	60.83%	MiPK	0	1203	18.71%	20.46%
15	1977-07-03	33.4	@ KuPS	2	1234	60.00%	MP Mikkeli	0	1180	19.49%	20.51%
16	1977-06-19	33.7	@ KPV	2	1224	58.82%	MP Mikkeli	0	1182	20.61%	20.58%
17	1977-06-12	34.0	@ HJK	2	1256	58.34%	MiPK	0	1218	21.06%	20.60%
18	1977-05-29	34.3	@ KPV	2	1197	56.55%	VPS	0	1176	22.77%	20.68%
19	1977-06-12	34.3	@ OPS Oulu	2	1148	56.22%	VPS	0	1130	23.08%	20.69%
20	1977-06-12	34.4	@ KuPS	2	1284	57.81%	Reipas Lahti	0	1251	21.56%	20.63%
21	1977-06-05	34.9	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1247	63.75%	OPS Oulu	0	1152	16.01%	20.24%
22	1977-08-21	35.3	@ MiPK	1	1218	62.30%	MP Mikkeli	0	1139	17.35%	20.36%
23	1977-07-10	35.8	@ KPV	1	1273	61.48%	OPS Oulu	0	1203	18.10%	20.42%
24	1977-05-10	35.9	@ Kiffen 08	2	1161	51.05%	OTP Oulu	0	1187	28.11%	20.83%
25	1977-08-07	35.9	@ HJK	1	1196	60.31%	OTP Oulu	0	1138	19.19%	20.49%