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1978 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

HJK

33 points · 12th Title

Last Title: 1973

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KPT

9.06 points above expected

32 points · 22.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

OTP Oulu

7.54 points below expected

6 points · 13.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 22 13 7 2 33 52 29 +23 24.72 +8.28
2 KPT 22 12 8 2 32 35 15 +20 22.94 +9.06
3 Haka 22 12 7 3 31 42 19 +23 29.58 +1.42
4 TPS Turku 22 12 2 8 26 57 29 +28 26.66 -0.66
5 OPS Oulu 22 11 4 7 26 34 21 +13 24.27 +1.73
6 MiPK 22 11 3 8 25 29 22 +7 23.47 +1.53
7 KuPS 22 9 3 10 21 33 31 +2 23.91 -2.91
8 KPV 22 8 5 9 21 26 31 -5 22.73 -1.73
9 Reipas Lahti 22 5 9 8 19 20 35 -15 20.47 -1.47
10 Pyrkiva Turku 22 4 9 9 17 14 28 -14 17.31 -0.31
11 Kiffen 08 22 2 3 17 7 13 58 -45 14.40 -7.40
12 OTP Oulu 22 1 4 17 6 15 52 -37 13.54 -7.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KPT 32 22.94 +9.06
2 HJK 33 24.72 +8.28
3 OPS Oulu 26 24.27 +1.73
4 MiPK 25 23.47 +1.53
5 Haka 31 29.58 +1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 OTP Oulu 6 13.54 -7.54
2 Kiffen 08 7 14.40 -7.40
3 KuPS 21 23.91 -2.91
4 KPV 21 22.73 -1.73
5 Reipas Lahti 19 20.47 -1.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 7 Aug 13 – Sep 24 1 in 175
2 KPT 4 Jun 15 – Jul 23 1 in 69
3 OPS Oulu 5 Jul 30 – Aug 27 1 in 43
4 Pyrkiva Turku 2 Sep 24 – Oct 1 1 in 42
5 MiPK 4 Jun 4 – Jul 2 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OPS Oulu 4 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 230
2 Kiffen 08 5 May 1 – May 28 1 in 68
3 Pyrkiva Turku 4 Aug 27 – Sep 17 1 in 46
4 Reipas Lahti 3 Jul 2 – Jul 30 1 in 27
5 Haka 2 Aug 27 – Sep 3 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 11 Apr 29 – Jul 23 1 in 89
2 Pyrkiva Turku 5 Jul 23 – Aug 20 1 in 40
3 OPS Oulu 8 Apr 29 – Jun 12 1 in 25
4 KPT 9 Aug 6 – Oct 1 1 in 24
5 MiPK 7 May 21 – Jul 2 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Reipas Lahti 14 May 7 – Aug 13 1 in 774
2 OTP Oulu 20 Apr 29 – Sep 17 1 in 58
3 Kiffen 08 11 May 1 – Jul 2 1 in 35
4 Pyrkiva Turku 10 Jul 2 – Sep 17 1 in 33
5 TPS Turku 5 May 21 – Jun 12 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1283 33 +71 9 5.4 +3.6
KPT 1263 32 +39 9 6.3 +2.7
Haka 1306 31 -10 6 6.3 -0.3
TPS Turku 1334 26 +52 8 6.8 +1.2
OPS Oulu 1227 26 -35 2 5.7 -3.7
MiPK 1204 25 +27 6 5.7 +0.3
KuPS 1140 21 -21 4 5.2 -1.2
KPV 1128 21 -59 4 5.6 -1.6
Reipas Lahti 1082 19 +24 6 4.5 +1.5
Pyrkiva Turku 1025 17 -23 4 3.2 +0.8
Kiffen 08 897 7 -49 0 2.8 -2.8
OTP Oulu 898 6 -18 2 2.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK KPT KPV K0 KUP MIP OO OO PT RL TT
HJK —
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.89
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
2.39
Haka
0-2-0
3.12
—
0-1-1
3.74
1-1-0
3.88
1-1-0
4.57
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.76
0-1-1
3.54
KPT
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
1.76
—
0-2-0
2.69
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.07
2-0-0
4.01
0-2-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.18
KPV
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.62
0-2-0
2.80
—
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.19
Kiffen 08
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
1.80
—
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.25
KuPS
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.79
—
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.74
0-1-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.19
MiPK
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
3.08
2-0-0
2.50
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
2.52
—
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
4.39
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.36
OPS Oulu
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.17
—
2-0-0
4.21
0-0-2
4.09
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.21
OTP Oulu
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.25
1-1-0
2.49
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
1.31
—
0-2-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.63
Pyrkiva Turku
0-0-2
1.62
0-1-1
1.53
0-2-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
1.42
0-2-0
3.38
—
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
1.61
Reipas Lahti
0-1-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.34
—
0-0-2
1.90
TPS Turku
0-0-2
3.10
1-1-0
1.95
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
3.27
2-0-0
3.87
0-1-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.59
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +4.9
Allowed 0.79 -6.2
Differential 0.92 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.88%9.09%5.30%2.65%2.27%2.27%34.47%
19.09%9.09%5.30%2.65%4.17%0.76%31.06%
25.30%5.30%2.27%0.76%1.14%0.76%15.53%
32.65%2.65%0.76%——0.38%6.44%
42.27%4.17%1.14%———7.58%
5+2.27%0.76%0.76%0.38%—0.76%4.92%
Total34.47%31.06%15.53%6.44%7.58%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.29
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%———4.55%—18.18%
19.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
5+———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.32 +1.05
SD 1.89 1.43 1.89
CV 0.80 1.08 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
213.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total40.91%40.91%9.09%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.86 +1.05
SD 1.51 0.94 1.84
CV 0.79 1.09 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%——4.55%4.55%—27.27%
113.64%13.64%————27.27%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total59.09%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.68 +0.91
SD 1.53 1.09 2.07
CV 0.96 1.59 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%13.64%9.09%—13.64%4.55%54.55%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%—13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.41 -0.23
SD 1.05 1.56 1.95
CV 0.89 1.11 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%13.64%59.09%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
2———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%13.64%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 2.64 -2.05
SD 0.85 2.06 2.26
CV 1.45 0.78 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
113.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%—45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%31.82%13.64%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.30 1.40 2.11
CV 0.87 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%18.18%———31.82%
127.27%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—45.45%
24.55%—————4.55%
3———————
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%27.27%27.27%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.00 +0.32
SD 1.52 1.07 1.94
CV 1.16 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
1—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
218.18%18.18%4.55%———40.91%
3———————
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%50.00%13.64%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.95 +0.59
SD 1.60 0.95 2.04
CV 1.03 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%4.55%9.09%—9.09%54.55%
1—4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.36 -1.68
SD 0.95 1.89 1.81
CV 1.39 0.80 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%—9.09%9.09%—54.55%
113.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2——4.55%———4.55%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%22.73%13.64%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.27 -0.64
SD 0.95 1.39 1.71
CV 1.50 1.09 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%50.00%
14.55%13.64%——4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%————4.55%9.09%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%27.27%9.09%—9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.59 -0.68
SD 1.19 2.04 2.30
CV 1.31 1.28 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.32 +1.27
SD 2.38 1.46 2.85
CV 0.92 1.11 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
TPS Turku 1334 26 26.66 -0.66 50.0% 19 21 24 26 29 32 35
Haka 1306 31 29.58 +1.42 65.0% 22 23 27 29 32 35 37
HJK 1283 33 24.72 +8.28 98.0% 16 18 22 25 28 31 35
KPT 1263 32 22.94 +9.06 100.0% 10 16 21 23 25 28 32
OPS Oulu 1227 26 24.27 +1.73 74.0% 15 18 22 24 27 30 32
MiPK 1204 25 23.47 +1.53 68.0% 15 17 21 24 26 29 33
KuPS 1140 21 23.91 -2.91 24.0% 13 18 22 24 26 29 34
KPV 1128 21 22.73 -1.73 38.0% 13 15 20 23 26 30 33
Reipas Lahti 1082 19 20.47 -1.47 43.0% 10 14 18 20 23 27 30
Pyrkiva Turku 1025 17 17.31 -0.31 55.0% 9 10 15 17 20 24 30
OTP Oulu 898 6 13.54 -7.54 0.0% 7 8 11 14 16 19 26
Kiffen 08 897 7 14.40 -7.40 1.0% 7 9 12 14 17 20 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.55%
No Edge
40.15%24.24%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
8%
HJK, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.01 * Some Luck: 3.01 to 4.52 * Lucky: 4.52 to 6.03 * Wild Swing: 6.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.48 * Close: 1.48 to 2.22 * Off: 2.22 to 2.96 * Way Off: 2.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.86 points
Lucky
03.779
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.854
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
KPT
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
OTP Oulu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 149.47
2.17
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.74
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.15
Weak Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1490.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
HJK8.00%21.00%7.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%—2.00%—
KPT3.00%2.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%
Haka47.00%24.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
TPS Turku24.00%21.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%1.00%7.00%1.00%———
OPS Oulu6.00%8.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
MiPK2.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%24.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%—
KuPS3.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%8.00%15.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—
KPV3.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%
Reipas Lahti3.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%21.00%16.00%12.00%1.00%
Pyrkiva Turku1.00%—1.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%29.00%18.00%11.00%
Kiffen 08——————1.00%2.00%8.00%19.00%33.00%37.00%
OTP Oulu———1.00%———2.00%6.00%21.00%24.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Haka 100% —
TPS Turku 100% —
KuPS 99.00% 1.00%
OPS Oulu 99.00% 1.00%
HJK 98.00% 2.00%
MiPK 98.00% 2.00%
KPT 95.00% 5.00%
KPV 93.00% 7.00%
Reipas Lahti 87.00% 13.00%
Pyrkiva Turku 71.00% 29.00%
Kiffen 08 30.00% 70.00%
OTP Oulu 30.00% 70.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-04-29 HJK D 2-257.6 1150 1149 41.22% 25.70% 33.09%+0.12 -0.4 1
1978-04-29 @ OPS Oulu D 2-257.6 1149 1150 33.09% 25.70% 41.22%-0.12 +0.4 1
1978-04-29 OTP Oulu W 7-033.7 1187 1120 49.64% 25.52% 24.85%+0.58 +61.2 2
1978-04-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-733.7 1120 1187 24.85% 25.52% 49.64%-0.58 -61.2 0
1978-04-30 KPT L 0-244.3 1146 1076 49.96% 25.50% 24.54%+0.60 -33.0 0
1978-04-30 @ MiPK W 2-044.3 1076 1146 24.54% 25.50% 49.96%-0.60 +33.0 2
1978-05-01 Pyrkiva Turku W 2-142.6 1216 1108 54.18% 25.29% 20.52%+0.86 +8.2 2
1978-05-01 @ Haka L 1-242.6 1108 1216 20.52% 25.29% 54.18%-0.86 -8.2 0
1978-05-01 Reipas Lahti L 0-241.3 1150 1162 39.49% 25.70% 34.80%+0.03 -27.2 0
1978-05-01 @ Kiffen 08 W 2-041.3 1162 1150 34.80% 25.70% 39.49%-0.03 +27.2 2
1978-05-01 KPV W 2-147.3 1151 1171 38.32% 25.71% 35.98%-0.03 +12.7 2
1978-05-01 @ KuPS L 1-247.3 1171 1151 35.98% 25.71% 38.32%+0.03 -12.7 0
1978-05-07 KuPS D 0-049.0 1150 1164 39.15% 25.70% 35.14%+0.01 -0.3 2
1978-05-07 @ HJK D 0-049.0 1164 1150 35.14% 25.70% 39.15%-0.01 +0.3 3
1978-05-07 TPS Turku W 1-047.5 1109 1248 23.08% 25.33% 51.59%-0.86 +18.0 4
1978-05-07 @ KPT L 0-147.5 1248 1109 51.59% 25.33% 23.08%+0.86 -18.0 2
1978-05-07 Kiffen 08 W 2-038.0 1158 1123 45.70% 25.63% 28.67%+0.35 +21.3 2
1978-05-07 @ KPV L 0-238.0 1123 1158 28.67% 25.63% 45.70%-0.35 -21.3 0
1978-05-07 Haka L 1-340.0 1059 1224 20.42% 25.15% 54.43%-1.04 -14.0 0
1978-05-07 @ OTP Oulu W 3-140.0 1224 1059 54.43% 25.15% 20.42%+1.04 +14.0 4
1978-05-07 MiPK L 0-143.8 1100 1113 39.31% 25.70% 34.99%+0.02 -14.4 0
1978-05-07 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 1-043.8 1113 1100 34.99% 25.70% 39.31%-0.02 +14.4 2
1978-05-07 OPS Oulu D 0-049.1 1189 1150 46.22% 25.62% 28.16%+0.38 -1.5 3
1978-05-07 @ Reipas Lahti D 0-049.1 1150 1189 28.16% 25.62% 46.22%-0.38 +1.5 2
1978-05-14 MiPK W 2-035.4 1238 1127 54.52% 25.27% 20.20%+0.89 +16.1 6
1978-05-14 @ Haka L 0-235.4 1127 1238 20.20% 25.27% 54.52%-0.89 -16.1 2
1978-05-14 OPS Oulu L 0-239.6 1102 1152 34.08% 25.68% 40.24%-0.24 -24.3 0
1978-05-14 @ Kiffen 08 W 2-039.6 1152 1102 40.24% 25.68% 34.08%+0.24 +24.3 4
1978-05-14 HJK D 0-049.0 1127 1150 37.94% 25.70% 36.36%-0.05 -0.1 5
1978-05-14 @ KPT D 0-049.0 1150 1127 36.36% 25.70% 37.94%+0.05 +0.1 3
1978-05-14 Reipas Lahti D 0-049.1 1179 1187 39.95% 25.70% 34.35%+0.05 -0.5 3
1978-05-14 @ KPV D 0-049.1 1187 1179 34.35% 25.70% 39.95%-0.05 +0.5 4
1978-05-14 Pyrkiva Turku D 1-152.9 1045 1086 35.32% 25.69% 38.99%-0.17 +0.3 1
1978-05-14 @ OTP Oulu D 1-152.9 1086 1045 38.99% 25.69% 35.32%+0.17 -0.3 1
1978-05-14 KuPS W 4-139.1 1230 1164 49.56% 25.52% 24.92%+0.57 +23.4 4
1978-05-14 @ TPS Turku L 1-439.1 1164 1230 24.92% 25.52% 49.56%-0.57 -23.4 3
1978-05-21 OTP Oulu W 6-341.9 1150 1045 53.86% 25.31% 20.83%+0.84 +16.2 5
1978-05-21 @ HJK L 3-641.9 1045 1150 20.83% 25.31% 53.86%-0.84 -16.2 1
1978-05-21 Kiffen 08 W 1-039.5 1141 1078 49.19% 25.53% 25.28%+0.55 +10.2 5
1978-05-21 @ KuPS L 0-139.5 1078 1141 25.28% 25.53% 49.19%-0.55 -10.2 0
1978-05-21 KPV W 2-042.2 1111 1179 31.61% 25.64% 42.75%-0.36 +28.9 4
1978-05-21 @ MiPK L 0-242.2 1179 1111 42.75% 25.64% 31.61%+0.36 -28.9 3
1978-05-21 TPS Turku W 2-042.8 1176 1254 30.34% 25.61% 44.05%-0.43 +29.6 6
1978-05-21 @ OPS Oulu L 0-242.8 1254 1176 44.05% 25.61% 30.34%+0.43 -29.6 4
1978-05-21 KPT D 2-257.5 1085 1127 35.18% 25.69% 39.13%-0.18 +0.2 2
1978-05-21 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 2-257.5 1127 1085 39.13% 25.69% 35.18%+0.18 -0.2 6
1978-05-21 Haka L 0-435.8 1188 1254 31.83% 25.65% 42.52%-0.35 -43.8 4
1978-05-21 @ Reipas Lahti W 4-035.8 1254 1188 42.52% 25.65% 31.83%+0.35 +43.8 8
1978-05-28 KPV W 4-136.6 1298 1150 58.12% 25.00% 16.88%+1.15 +16.9 10
1978-05-28 @ Haka L 1-436.6 1150 1298 16.88% 25.00% 58.12%-1.15 -16.9 3
1978-05-28 HJK L 1-342.3 1067 1166 27.71% 25.54% 46.75%-0.58 -18.0 0
1978-05-28 @ Kiffen 08 W 3-142.3 1166 1067 46.75% 25.54% 27.71%+0.58 +18.0 7
1978-05-28 KuPS L 0-437.4 1127 1151 37.71% 25.70% 36.59%-0.06 -49.8 6
1978-05-28 @ KPT W 4-037.4 1151 1127 36.59% 25.70% 37.71%+0.06 +49.8 7
1978-05-28 Reipas Lahti D 1-152.9 1140 1144 40.49% 25.70% 33.81%+0.08 -0.5 5
1978-05-28 @ MiPK D 1-152.9 1144 1140 33.81% 25.70% 40.49%-0.08 +0.5 5
1978-05-28 OPS Oulu L 1-242.1 1029 1206 19.32% 25.07% 55.61%-1.12 -7.7 1
1978-05-28 @ OTP Oulu W 2-142.1 1206 1029 55.61% 25.07% 19.32%+1.12 +7.7 8
1978-05-28 Pyrkiva Turku L 0-149.0 1224 1086 57.22% 25.07% 17.70%+1.08 -19.9 4
1978-05-28 @ TPS Turku W 1-049.0 1086 1224 17.70% 25.07% 57.22%-1.08 +19.9 4
1978-05-31 Pyrkiva Turku D 1-152.9 1049 1105 33.20% 25.67% 41.13%-0.28 +0.6 1
1978-05-31 @ Kiffen 08 D 1-152.9 1105 1049 41.13% 25.67% 33.20%+0.28 -0.6 5
1978-05-31 KPT D 1-152.9 1133 1077 48.33% 25.56% 26.11%+0.50 -1.7 4
1978-05-31 @ KPV D 1-152.9 1077 1133 26.11% 25.56% 48.33%-0.50 +1.7 7
1978-05-31 OTP Oulu W 5-029.7 1201 1021 60.85% 24.71% 14.44%+1.37 +28.2 9
1978-05-31 @ KuPS L 0-529.7 1021 1201 14.44% 24.71% 60.85%-1.37 -28.2 1
1978-05-31 MiPK D 1-153.1 1213 1139 50.46% 25.48% 24.05%+0.63 -2.0 9
1978-05-31 @ OPS Oulu D 1-153.1 1139 1213 24.05% 25.48% 50.46%-0.63 +2.0 6
1978-05-31 HJK D 0-049.0 1145 1184 35.52% 25.69% 38.79%-0.16 +0.3 6
1978-05-31 @ Reipas Lahti D 0-049.0 1184 1145 38.79% 25.69% 35.52%+0.16 -0.3 8
1978-05-31 Haka D 1-153.4 1204 1315 26.24% 25.48% 48.28%-0.66 +1.7 5
1978-05-31 @ TPS Turku D 1-153.4 1315 1204 48.28% 25.48% 26.24%+0.66 -1.7 11
1978-06-04 KuPS W 2-143.8 1313 1229 51.65% 25.43% 22.91%+0.70 +8.9 13
1978-06-04 @ Haka L 1-243.8 1229 1313 22.91% 25.43% 51.65%-0.70 -8.9 9
1978-06-04 OPS Oulu D 0-049.1 1079 1211 23.79% 25.37% 50.84%-0.82 +2.3 8
1978-06-04 @ KPT D 0-049.1 1211 1079 50.84% 25.37% 23.79%+0.82 -2.3 10
1978-06-04 Kiffen 08 W 4-138.1 1141 1050 52.44% 25.39% 22.16%+0.75 +21.3 8
1978-06-04 @ MiPK L 1-438.1 1050 1141 22.16% 25.39% 52.44%-0.75 -21.3 1
1978-06-04 Reipas Lahti D 0-049.1 993 1145 21.73% 25.25% 53.02%-0.95 +2.7 2
1978-06-04 @ OTP Oulu D 0-049.1 1145 993 53.02% 25.25% 21.73%+0.95 -2.7 7
1978-06-04 KPV L 0-338.4 1105 1131 37.35% 25.70% 36.94%-0.07 -37.8 5
1978-06-04 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 3-038.4 1131 1105 36.94% 25.70% 37.35%+0.07 +37.8 6
1978-06-05 TPS Turku W 6-556.7 1184 1206 37.98% 25.70% 36.32%-0.04 +11.5 10
1978-06-05 @ HJK L 5-656.7 1206 1184 36.32% 25.70% 37.98%+0.04 -11.5 5
1978-06-12 Haka D 0-049.6 1029 1322 10.84% 23.83% 65.33%-1.94 +5.1 2
1978-06-12 @ Kiffen 08 D 0-049.6 1322 1029 65.33% 23.83% 10.84%+1.94 -5.1 14
1978-06-12 Reipas Lahti D 0-049.0 1081 1142 32.54% 25.66% 41.80%-0.32 +0.8 9
1978-06-12 @ KPT D 0-049.0 1142 1081 41.80% 25.66% 32.54%+0.32 -0.8 8
1978-06-12 OTP Oulu W 1-036.2 1169 996 60.36% 24.77% 14.88%+1.32 +6.6 8
1978-06-12 @ KPV L 0-136.2 996 1169 14.88% 24.77% 60.36%-1.32 -6.6 2
1978-06-12 TPS Turku W 1-043.4 1163 1194 36.64% 25.70% 37.66%-0.11 +13.9 10
1978-06-12 @ MiPK L 0-143.4 1194 1163 37.66% 25.70% 36.64%+0.11 -13.9 5
1978-06-12 KuPS W 2-147.1 1209 1220 39.54% 25.70% 34.76%+0.03 +12.3 12
1978-06-12 @ OPS Oulu L 1-247.1 1220 1209 34.76% 25.70% 39.54%-0.03 -12.3 9
1978-06-12 HJK L 0-433.2 1067 1195 24.27% 25.40% 50.34%-0.79 -35.4 5
1978-06-12 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 4-033.2 1195 1067 50.34% 25.40% 24.27%+0.79 +35.4 12
1978-06-15 OPS Oulu W 2-036.3 1317 1221 52.91% 25.37% 21.72%+0.78 +17.1 16
1978-06-15 @ Haka L 0-236.3 1221 1317 21.72% 25.37% 52.91%-0.78 -17.1 12
1978-06-15 MiPK L 0-145.7 1208 1177 45.21% 25.64% 29.15%+0.33 -16.1 9
1978-06-15 @ KuPS W 1-045.7 1177 1208 29.15% 25.64% 45.21%-0.33 +16.1 12
1978-06-15 KPT L 0-335.7 989 1082 28.42% 25.56% 46.02%-0.54 -30.7 2
1978-06-15 @ OTP Oulu W 3-035.7 1082 989 46.02% 25.56% 28.42%+0.54 +30.7 11
1978-06-15 Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.1 1141 1032 54.39% 25.28% 20.33%+0.88 -3.0 9
1978-06-15 @ Reipas Lahti D 0-049.1 1032 1141 20.33% 25.28% 54.39%-0.88 +3.0 6
1978-06-15 Kiffen 08 W 7-031.2 1180 1034 57.98% 25.01% 17.01%+1.13 +44.8 7
1978-06-15 @ TPS Turku L 0-731.2 1034 1180 17.01% 25.01% 57.98%-1.13 -44.8 2
1978-06-19 KPV W 1-040.0 1231 1176 48.20% 25.57% 26.24%+0.49 +10.5 14
1978-06-19 @ HJK L 0-140.0 1176 1231 26.24% 25.57% 48.20%-0.49 -10.5 8
1978-06-20 KuPS D 1-153.0 1138 1192 33.59% 25.67% 40.73%-0.26 +0.5 10
1978-06-20 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-153.0 1192 1138 40.73% 25.67% 33.59%+0.26 -0.5 10
1978-06-22 Haka W 2-154.4 1113 1334 15.53% 24.66% 59.81%-1.44 +19.5 13
1978-06-22 @ KPT L 1-254.4 1334 1113 59.81% 24.66% 15.53%+1.44 -19.5 16
1978-06-22 TPS Turku W 3-039.8 1165 1225 32.70% 25.66% 41.64%-0.31 +41.1 10
1978-06-22 @ KPV L 0-339.8 1225 1165 41.64% 25.66% 32.70%+0.31 -41.1 7
1978-06-22 Kiffen 08 D 0-048.9 958 989 36.75% 25.70% 37.55%-0.10 +0.1 3
1978-06-22 @ OTP Oulu D 0-048.9 989 958 37.55% 25.70% 36.75%+0.10 -0.1 3
1978-06-22 OPS Oulu W 4-147.8 1035 1204 19.99% 25.12% 54.89%-1.08 +44.1 8
1978-06-22 @ Pyrkiva Turku L 1-447.8 1204 1035 54.89% 25.12% 19.99%+1.08 -44.1 12
1978-07-02 HJK D 1-153.6 1315 1241 50.42% 25.49% 24.10%+0.62 -2.0 17
1978-07-02 @ Haka D 1-153.6 1241 1315 24.10% 25.49% 50.42%-0.62 +2.0 15
1978-07-02 KPT L 0-632.5 989 1132 22.64% 25.30% 52.06%-0.89 -49.0 3
1978-07-02 @ Kiffen 08 W 6-032.5 1132 989 52.06% 25.30% 22.64%+0.89 +49.0 15
1978-07-02 Pyrkiva Turku W 2-142.4 1191 1079 54.66% 25.26% 20.07%+0.90 +8.0 12
1978-07-02 @ KuPS L 1-242.4 1079 1191 20.07% 25.26% 54.66%-0.90 -8.0 8
1978-07-02 OTP Oulu W 1-034.8 1193 958 64.93% 24.11% 10.96%+1.75 +5.0 14
1978-07-02 @ MiPK L 0-134.8 958 1193 10.96% 24.11% 64.93%-1.75 -5.0 3
1978-07-02 KPV W 4-143.6 1160 1206 34.56% 25.69% 39.76%-0.21 +33.5 14
1978-07-02 @ OPS Oulu L 1-443.6 1206 1160 39.76% 25.69% 34.56%+0.21 -33.5 10
1978-07-02 Reipas Lahti W 6-239.9 1184 1139 46.99% 25.60% 27.41%+0.43 +27.6 9
1978-07-02 @ TPS Turku L 2-639.9 1139 1184 27.41% 25.60% 46.99%-0.43 -27.6 10
1978-07-23 OPS Oulu W 2-037.6 1243 1194 47.55% 25.58% 26.86%+0.46 +20.3 17
1978-07-23 @ HJK L 0-237.6 1194 1243 26.86% 25.58% 47.55%-0.46 -20.3 14
1978-07-23 MiPK W 4-142.3 1181 1198 38.77% 25.70% 35.53%-0.01 +30.7 17
1978-07-23 @ KPT L 1-442.3 1198 1181 35.53% 25.70% 38.77%+0.01 -30.7 14
1978-07-23 KuPS W 4-248.8 1173 1199 37.40% 25.70% 36.90%-0.07 +20.0 12
1978-07-23 @ KPV L 2-448.8 1199 1173 36.90% 25.70% 37.40%+0.07 -20.0 12
1978-07-23 TPS Turku L 1-239.9 953 1211 12.95% 24.27% 62.78%-1.69 -5.5 3
1978-07-23 @ OTP Oulu W 2-139.9 1211 953 62.78% 24.27% 12.95%+1.69 +5.5 11
1978-07-23 Haka D 0-049.5 1071 1313 14.04% 24.45% 61.51%-1.58 +4.3 9
1978-07-23 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.5 1313 1071 61.51% 24.45% 14.04%+1.58 -4.3 18
1978-07-23 Kiffen 08 L 0-149.7 1111 940 60.17% 24.79% 15.04%+1.31 -20.9 10
1978-07-23 @ Reipas Lahti W 1-049.7 940 1111 15.04% 24.79% 60.17%-1.31 +20.9 5
1978-07-26 MiPK L 0-442.0 1263 1167 52.99% 25.36% 21.65%+0.79 -66.1 17
1978-07-26 @ HJK W 4-042.0 1167 1263 21.65% 25.36% 52.99%-0.79 +66.1 16
1978-07-30 OTP Oulu W 2-137.2 1308 948 71.92% 22.30% 5.78%+2.63 +2.5 20
1978-07-30 @ Haka L 1-237.2 948 1308 5.78% 22.30% 71.92%-2.63 -2.5 3
1978-07-30 KPV L 1-240.5 961 1193 14.74% 24.55% 60.71%-1.51 -6.1 5
1978-07-30 @ Kiffen 08 W 2-140.5 1193 961 60.71% 24.55% 14.74%+1.51 +6.1 14
1978-07-30 HJK D 1-153.0 1179 1197 38.53% 25.71% 35.77%-0.02 -0.2 13
1978-07-30 @ KuPS D 1-153.0 1197 1179 35.77% 25.71% 38.53%+0.02 +0.2 18
1978-07-30 Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.3 1233 1075 59.02% 24.91% 16.07%+1.22 -3.9 17
1978-07-30 @ MiPK D 0-049.3 1075 1233 16.07% 24.91% 59.02%-1.22 +3.9 10
1978-07-30 Reipas Lahti W 2-036.2 1173 1090 51.50% 25.44% 23.06%+0.69 +17.9 16
1978-07-30 @ OPS Oulu L 0-236.2 1090 1173 23.06% 25.44% 51.50%-0.69 -17.9 10
1978-07-30 KPT W 3-037.2 1217 1212 41.76% 25.69% 32.54%+0.15 +34.1 13
1978-07-30 @ TPS Turku L 0-337.2 1212 1217 32.54% 25.69% 41.76%-0.15 -34.1 17
1978-08-06 KPT L 1-347.2 1197 1178 43.73% 25.67% 30.60%+0.25 -25.5 18
1978-08-06 @ HJK W 3-147.2 1178 1197 30.60% 25.67% 43.73%-0.25 +25.5 19
1978-08-06 TPS Turku L 1-343.5 1179 1251 31.04% 25.63% 43.33%-0.39 -19.6 13
1978-08-06 @ KuPS W 3-143.5 1251 1179 43.33% 25.63% 31.04%+0.39 +19.6 15
1978-08-06 Haka L 0-238.8 1229 1311 29.83% 25.60% 44.56%-0.46 -22.0 17
1978-08-06 @ MiPK W 2-038.8 1311 1229 44.56% 25.60% 29.83%+0.46 +22.0 22
1978-08-06 Kiffen 08 W 6-028.6 1191 955 65.08% 24.08% 10.83%+1.76 +25.8 18
1978-08-06 @ OPS Oulu L 0-628.6 955 1191 10.83% 24.08% 65.08%-1.76 -25.8 5
1978-08-06 OTP Oulu D 0-049.1 1079 945 56.76% 25.11% 18.13%+1.04 -3.4 11
1978-08-06 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.1 945 1079 18.13% 25.11% 56.76%-1.04 +3.4 4
1978-08-06 KPV D 1-153.0 1072 1199 24.44% 25.40% 50.16%-0.77 +2.0 11
1978-08-06 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-153.0 1199 1072 50.16% 25.40% 24.44%+0.77 -2.0 15
1978-08-13 Reipas Lahti W 6-131.0 1333 1074 66.49% 23.81% 9.70%+1.92 +16.2 24
1978-08-13 @ Haka L 1-631.0 1074 1333 9.70% 23.81% 66.49%-1.92 -16.2 11
1978-08-13 KuPS L 0-136.1 929 1159 14.87% 24.57% 60.56%-1.50 -6.5 5
1978-08-13 @ Kiffen 08 W 1-036.1 1159 929 60.56% 24.57% 14.87%+1.50 +6.5 15
1978-08-13 Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.2 1203 1075 56.21% 25.15% 18.63%+1.00 -3.3 20
1978-08-13 @ KPT D 0-049.2 1075 1203 18.63% 25.15% 56.21%-1.00 +3.3 12
1978-08-13 MiPK L 0-144.1 1197 1207 39.66% 25.70% 34.63%+0.04 -14.5 15
1978-08-13 @ KPV W 1-044.1 1207 1197 34.63% 25.70% 39.66%-0.04 +14.5 19
1978-08-13 HJK L 2-441.9 949 1172 15.41% 24.65% 59.94%-1.45 -9.9 4
1978-08-13 @ OTP Oulu W 4-241.9 1172 949 59.94% 24.65% 15.41%+1.45 +9.9 20
1978-08-13 OPS Oulu L 1-251.2 1271 1217 48.05% 25.57% 26.38%+0.49 -16.0 15
1978-08-13 @ TPS Turku W 2-151.2 1217 1271 26.38% 25.57% 48.05%-0.49 +16.0 20
1978-08-20 Kiffen 08 W 4-133.8 1182 922 66.56% 23.79% 9.65%+1.93 +10.2 22
1978-08-20 @ HJK L 1-433.8 922 1182 9.65% 23.79% 66.56%-1.93 -10.2 5
1978-08-20 Haka D 0-049.7 1183 1349 20.30% 25.14% 54.56%-1.05 +3.0 16
1978-08-20 @ KPV D 0-049.7 1349 1183 54.56% 25.14% 20.30%+1.05 -3.0 25
1978-08-20 KPT L 0-240.3 1166 1200 36.25% 25.70% 38.05%-0.13 -25.5 15
1978-08-20 @ KuPS W 2-040.3 1200 1166 38.05% 25.70% 36.25%+0.13 +25.5 22
1978-08-20 OTP Oulu W 2-138.2 1233 939 68.59% 23.32% 8.09%+2.17 +3.5 22
1978-08-20 @ OPS Oulu L 1-238.2 939 1233 8.09% 23.32% 68.59%-2.17 -3.5 4
1978-08-20 TPS Turku D 0-049.2 1079 1255 19.39% 25.07% 55.54%-1.12 +3.2 13
1978-08-20 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 0-049.2 1255 1079 55.54% 25.07% 19.39%+1.12 -3.2 16
1978-08-20 MiPK W 1-048.1 1058 1222 20.57% 25.17% 54.26%-1.03 +18.9 13
1978-08-20 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-148.1 1222 1058 54.26% 25.17% 20.57%+1.03 -18.9 19
1978-08-27 TPS Turku L 1-350.6 1346 1251 52.76% 25.38% 21.86%+0.77 -30.1 25
1978-08-27 @ Haka W 3-150.6 1251 1346 21.86% 25.38% 52.76%-0.77 +30.1 18
1978-08-27 Reipas Lahti W 4-137.4 1192 1077 54.93% 25.25% 19.82%+0.91 +19.4 24
1978-08-27 @ HJK L 1-437.4 1077 1192 19.82% 25.25% 54.93%-0.91 -19.4 13
1978-08-27 KPV D 1-153.1 1225 1186 46.34% 25.62% 28.05%+0.39 -1.4 23
1978-08-27 @ KPT D 1-153.1 1186 1225 28.05% 25.62% 46.34%-0.39 +1.4 17
1978-08-27 OPS Oulu L 0-240.5 1203 1237 36.30% 25.70% 38.00%-0.13 -25.5 19
1978-08-27 @ MiPK W 2-040.5 1237 1203 38.00% 25.70% 36.30%+0.13 +25.5 24
1978-08-27 KuPS L 0-332.0 936 1140 16.86% 24.82% 58.32%-1.32 -20.0 4
1978-08-27 @ OTP Oulu W 3-032.0 1140 936 58.32% 24.82% 16.86%+1.32 +20.0 17
1978-08-27 Kiffen 08 L 1-351.7 1082 912 60.05% 24.80% 15.15%+1.30 -34.0 13
1978-08-27 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 3-151.7 912 1082 15.15% 24.80% 60.05%-1.30 +34.0 7
1978-09-03 MiPK L 2-538.4 946 1177 14.81% 24.56% 60.63%-1.51 -13.0 7
1978-09-03 @ Kiffen 08 W 5-238.4 1177 946 60.63% 24.56% 14.81%+1.51 +13.0 21
1978-09-03 Pyrkiva Turku W 1-037.1 1187 1048 57.29% 25.07% 17.64%+1.08 +7.6 19
1978-09-03 @ KPV L 0-137.1 1048 1187 17.64% 25.07% 57.29%-1.08 -7.6 13
1978-09-03 Haka W 3-150.2 1160 1316 21.36% 25.22% 53.42%-0.98 +30.4 19
1978-09-03 @ KuPS L 1-350.2 1316 1160 53.42% 25.22% 21.36%+0.98 -30.4 25
1978-09-03 KPT L 0-146.2 1262 1224 46.11% 25.62% 28.27%+0.38 -16.3 24
1978-09-03 @ OPS Oulu W 1-046.2 1224 1262 28.27% 25.62% 46.11%-0.38 +16.3 25
1978-09-03 OTP Oulu W 4-136.5 1058 916 57.58% 25.04% 17.38%+1.10 +17.4 15
1978-09-03 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-436.5 916 1058 17.38% 25.04% 57.58%-1.10 -17.4 4
1978-09-03 HJK L 2-453.0 1282 1211 50.03% 25.50% 24.47%+0.60 -25.6 18
1978-09-03 @ TPS Turku W 4-253.0 1211 1282 24.47% 25.50% 50.03%-0.60 +25.6 26
1978-09-10 Kiffen 08 W 4-026.8 1285 933 71.56% 22.43% 6.01%+2.57 +9.9 27
1978-09-10 @ Haka L 0-426.8 933 1285 6.01% 22.43% 71.56%-2.57 -9.9 7
1978-09-10 Pyrkiva Turku W 4-029.7 1237 1040 62.21% 24.53% 13.25%+1.49 +21.2 28
1978-09-10 @ HJK L 0-429.7 1040 1237 13.25% 24.53% 62.21%-1.49 -21.2 13
1978-09-10 OPS Oulu W 1-044.5 1191 1246 33.34% 25.67% 40.99%-0.27 +14.8 21
1978-09-10 @ KuPS L 0-144.5 1246 1191 40.99% 25.67% 33.34%+0.27 -14.8 24
1978-09-10 KPV L 0-134.6 898 1195 10.68% 23.79% 65.53%-1.96 -4.8 4
1978-09-10 @ OTP Oulu W 1-034.6 1195 898 65.53% 23.79% 10.68%+1.96 +4.8 21
1978-09-10 KPT L 0-138.0 1075 1240 20.39% 25.15% 54.46%-1.05 -8.6 15
1978-09-10 @ Reipas Lahti W 1-038.0 1240 1075 54.46% 25.15% 20.39%+1.05 +8.6 27
1978-09-10 MiPK W 2-144.2 1256 1190 49.50% 25.52% 24.98%+0.57 +9.6 20
1978-09-10 @ TPS Turku L 1-244.2 1190 1256 24.98% 25.52% 49.50%-0.57 -9.6 21
1978-09-17 TPS Turku L 0-133.8 923 1266 8.47% 23.16% 68.38%-2.28 -3.9 7
1978-09-17 @ Kiffen 08 W 1-033.8 1266 923 68.38% 23.16% 8.47%+2.28 +3.9 22
1978-09-17 OTP Oulu W 2-030.1 1249 893 71.71% 22.38% 5.91%+2.60 +5.1 29
1978-09-17 @ KPT L 0-230.1 893 1249 5.91% 22.38% 71.71%-2.60 -5.1 4
1978-09-17 HJK L 1-246.6 1199 1258 32.83% 25.66% 41.51%-0.30 -11.8 21
1978-09-17 @ KPV W 2-146.6 1258 1199 41.51% 25.66% 32.83%+0.30 +11.8 30
1978-09-17 KuPS W 4-142.7 1181 1205 37.60% 25.70% 36.70%-0.06 +31.5 23
1978-09-17 @ MiPK L 1-442.7 1205 1181 36.70% 25.70% 37.60%+0.06 -31.5 21
1978-09-17 Haka L 0-142.1 1231 1295 32.07% 25.65% 42.28%-0.34 -12.3 24
1978-09-17 @ OPS Oulu W 1-042.1 1295 1231 42.28% 25.65% 32.07%+0.34 +12.3 29
1978-09-17 Reipas Lahti L 0-337.5 1019 1066 34.41% 25.68% 39.91%-0.22 -35.6 13
1978-09-17 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 3-037.5 1066 1019 39.91% 25.68% 34.41%+0.22 +35.6 17
1978-09-24 KPT D 1-153.6 1308 1254 48.05% 25.57% 26.38%+0.49 -1.6 30
1978-09-24 @ Haka D 1-153.6 1254 1308 26.38% 25.57% 48.05%-0.49 +1.6 30
1978-09-24 OTP Oulu L 2-354.3 919 888 45.23% 25.64% 29.13%+0.33 -14.4 7
1978-09-24 @ Kiffen 08 W 3-254.3 888 919 29.13% 25.64% 45.23%-0.33 +14.4 6
1978-09-24 Reipas Lahti L 2-355.8 1174 1102 50.25% 25.49% 24.26%+0.61 -15.8 21
1978-09-24 @ KuPS W 3-255.8 1102 1174 24.26% 25.49% 50.25%-0.61 +15.8 19
1978-09-24 HJK L 0-142.2 1212 1270 32.96% 25.66% 41.37%-0.29 -12.6 23
1978-09-24 @ MiPK W 1-042.2 1270 1212 41.37% 25.66% 32.96%+0.29 +12.6 32
1978-09-24 Pyrkiva Turku L 0-151.0 1219 984 64.98% 24.10% 10.92%+1.75 -22.6 24
1978-09-24 @ OPS Oulu W 1-051.0 984 1219 10.92% 24.10% 64.98%-1.75 +22.6 15
1978-09-24 KPV W 5-136.8 1269 1188 51.37% 25.44% 23.19%+0.68 +28.5 24
1978-09-24 @ TPS Turku L 1-536.8 1188 1269 23.19% 25.44% 51.37%-0.68 -28.5 21
1978-10-01 Haka D 2-258.4 1283 1306 37.78% 25.70% 36.51%-0.05 -0.1 33
1978-10-01 @ HJK D 2-258.4 1306 1283 36.51% 25.70% 37.78%+0.05 +0.1 31
1978-10-01 Kiffen 08 W 3-028.0 1256 905 71.48% 22.45% 6.06%+2.56 +7.7 32
1978-10-01 @ KPT L 0-328.0 905 1256 6.06% 22.45% 71.48%-2.56 -7.6 7
1978-10-01 OPS Oulu L 1-442.4 1159 1196 35.86% 25.70% 38.45%-0.15 -30.9 21
1978-10-01 @ KPV W 4-142.4 1196 1159 38.45% 25.70% 35.86%+0.15 +31.0 26
1978-10-01 MiPK L 0-134.6 903 1200 10.64% 23.79% 65.57%-1.97 -4.8 6
1978-10-01 @ OTP Oulu W 1-034.6 1200 903 65.57% 23.79% 10.64%+1.97 +4.8 25
1978-10-01 KuPS W 1-047.7 1006 1158 21.71% 25.25% 53.05%-0.95 +18.5 17
1978-10-01 @ Pyrkiva Turku L 0-147.7 1158 1006 53.05% 25.25% 21.71%+0.95 -18.5 21
1978-10-01 TPS Turku L 0-531.4 1118 1298 19.00% 25.04% 55.96%-1.15 -35.7 19
1978-10-01 @ Reipas Lahti W 5-031.4 1298 1118 55.96% 25.04% 19.00%+1.15 +35.7 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-09-24 10.92% Pyrkiva Turku 984 1 @ OPS Oulu 1219 0
2 1978-07-23 15.04% Kiffen 08 940 1 @ Reipas Lahti 1111 0
3 1978-08-27 15.15% Kiffen 08 912 3 @ Pyrkiva Turku 1082 1
4 1978-06-22 15.53% @ KPT 1113 2 Haka 1334 1
5 1978-05-28 17.70% Pyrkiva Turku 1086 1 @ TPS Turku 1224 0
6 1978-06-22 19.99% @ Pyrkiva Turku 1035 4 OPS Oulu 1204 1
7 1978-08-20 20.57% @ Reipas Lahti 1058 1 MiPK 1222 0
8 1978-09-03 21.36% @ KuPS 1160 3 Haka 1316 1
9 1978-07-26 21.65% MiPK 1167 4 @ HJK 1263 0
10 1978-10-01 21.71% @ Pyrkiva Turku 1006 1 KuPS 1158 0
11 1978-08-27 21.86% TPS Turku 1251 3 @ Haka 1346 1
12 1978-05-07 23.08% @ KPT 1109 1 TPS Turku 1248 0
13 1978-09-24 24.26% Reipas Lahti 1102 3 @ KuPS 1174 2
14 1978-09-03 24.47% HJK 1211 4 @ TPS Turku 1282 2
15 1978-04-30 24.54% KPT 1076 2 @ MiPK 1146 0
16 1978-08-13 26.38% OPS Oulu 1217 2 @ TPS Turku 1271 1
17 1978-09-03 28.27% KPT 1224 1 @ OPS Oulu 1262 0
18 1978-09-24 29.13% OTP Oulu 888 3 @ Kiffen 08 919 2
19 1978-06-15 29.15% MiPK 1177 1 @ KuPS 1208 0
20 1978-05-21 30.34% @ OPS Oulu 1176 2 TPS Turku 1254 0
21 1978-08-06 30.60% KPT 1178 3 @ HJK 1197 1
22 1978-05-21 31.61% @ MiPK 1111 2 KPV 1179 0
23 1978-06-22 32.70% @ KPV 1165 3 TPS Turku 1225 0
24 1978-09-10 33.34% @ KuPS 1191 1 OPS Oulu 1246 0
25 1978-07-02 34.56% @ OPS Oulu 1160 4 KPV 1206 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-07-26 66.13 MiPK 4 1167 21.65% @ HJK 0 1263 52.99% 25.36%
2 1978-04-29 61.24 @ TPS Turku 7 1187 49.64% OTP Oulu 0 1120 24.85% 25.52%
3 1978-05-28 49.79 KuPS 4 1151 36.59% @ KPT 0 1127 37.71% 25.70%
4 1978-07-02 49.00 KPT 6 1132 52.06% @ Kiffen 08 0 989 22.64% 25.30%
5 1978-06-15 44.76 @ TPS Turku 7 1180 57.98% Kiffen 08 0 1034 17.01% 25.01%
6 1978-06-22 44.06 @ Pyrkiva Turku 4 1035 19.99% OPS Oulu 1 1204 54.89% 25.12%
7 1978-05-21 43.82 Haka 4 1254 42.52% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1188 31.83% 25.65%
8 1978-06-22 41.14 @ KPV 3 1165 32.70% TPS Turku 0 1225 41.64% 25.66%
9 1978-06-04 37.84 KPV 3 1131 36.94% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1105 37.35% 25.70%
10 1978-10-01 35.67 TPS Turku 5 1298 55.96% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1118 19.00% 25.04%
11 1978-09-17 35.58 Reipas Lahti 3 1066 39.91% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1019 34.41% 25.68%
12 1978-06-12 35.41 HJK 4 1195 50.34% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1067 24.27% 25.40%
13 1978-07-30 34.13 @ TPS Turku 3 1217 41.76% KPT 0 1212 32.54% 25.69%
14 1978-08-27 34.04 Kiffen 08 3 912 15.15% @ Pyrkiva Turku 1 1082 60.05% 24.80%
15 1978-07-02 33.46 @ OPS Oulu 4 1160 34.56% KPV 1 1206 39.76% 25.69%
16 1978-04-30 33.04 KPT 2 1076 24.54% @ MiPK 0 1146 49.96% 25.50%
17 1978-09-17 31.49 @ MiPK 4 1181 37.60% KuPS 1 1205 36.70% 25.70%
18 1978-10-01 30.95 OPS Oulu 4 1196 38.45% @ KPV 1 1159 35.86% 25.70%
19 1978-07-23 30.74 @ KPT 4 1181 38.77% MiPK 1 1198 35.53% 25.70%
20 1978-06-15 30.73 KPT 3 1082 46.02% @ OTP Oulu 0 989 28.42% 25.56%
21 1978-09-03 30.38 @ KuPS 3 1160 21.36% Haka 1 1316 53.42% 25.22%
22 1978-08-27 30.07 TPS Turku 3 1251 21.86% @ Haka 1 1346 52.76% 25.38%
23 1978-05-21 29.63 @ OPS Oulu 2 1176 30.34% TPS Turku 0 1254 44.05% 25.61%
24 1978-05-21 28.93 @ MiPK 2 1111 31.61% KPV 0 1179 42.75% 25.64%
25 1978-09-24 28.49 @ TPS Turku 5 1269 51.37% KPV 1 1188 23.19% 25.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-10-01 58.4 @ HJK 2 1283 37.78% Haka 2 1306 36.51% 25.70%
2 1978-04-29 57.6 @ OPS Oulu 2 1150 41.22% HJK 2 1149 33.09% 25.70%
3 1978-05-21 57.5 @ Pyrkiva Turku 2 1085 35.18% KPT 2 1127 39.13% 25.69%
4 1978-06-05 56.7 @ HJK 6 1184 37.98% TPS Turku 5 1206 36.32% 25.70%
5 1978-09-24 55.8 Reipas Lahti 3 1102 24.26% @ KuPS 2 1174 50.25% 25.49%
6 1978-06-22 54.4 @ KPT 2 1113 15.53% Haka 1 1334 59.81% 24.66%
7 1978-09-24 54.3 OTP Oulu 3 888 29.13% @ Kiffen 08 2 919 45.23% 25.64%
8 1978-07-02 53.6 @ Haka 1 1315 50.42% HJK 1 1241 24.10% 25.49%
9 1978-09-24 53.6 @ Haka 1 1308 48.05% KPT 1 1254 26.38% 25.57%
10 1978-05-31 53.4 @ TPS Turku 1 1204 26.24% Haka 1 1315 48.28% 25.48%
11 1978-05-31 53.1 @ OPS Oulu 1 1213 50.46% MiPK 1 1139 24.05% 25.48%
12 1978-08-27 53.1 @ KPT 1 1225 46.34% KPV 1 1186 28.05% 25.62%
13 1978-06-20 53.0 @ Reipas Lahti 1 1138 33.59% KuPS 1 1192 40.73% 25.67%
14 1978-07-30 53.0 @ KuPS 1 1179 38.53% HJK 1 1197 35.77% 25.71%
15 1978-08-06 53.0 @ Reipas Lahti 1 1072 24.44% KPV 1 1199 50.16% 25.40%
16 1978-09-03 53.0 HJK 4 1211 24.47% @ TPS Turku 2 1282 50.03% 25.50%
17 1978-05-14 52.9 @ OTP Oulu 1 1045 35.32% Pyrkiva Turku 1 1086 38.99% 25.69%
18 1978-05-28 52.9 @ MiPK 1 1140 40.49% Reipas Lahti 1 1144 33.81% 25.70%
19 1978-05-31 52.9 @ Kiffen 08 1 1049 33.20% Pyrkiva Turku 1 1105 41.13% 25.67%
20 1978-05-31 52.9 @ KPV 1 1133 48.33% KPT 1 1077 26.11% 25.56%
21 1978-08-27 51.7 Kiffen 08 3 912 15.15% @ Pyrkiva Turku 1 1082 60.05% 24.80%
22 1978-08-13 51.2 OPS Oulu 2 1217 26.38% @ TPS Turku 1 1271 48.05% 25.57%
23 1978-09-24 51.0 Pyrkiva Turku 1 984 10.92% @ OPS Oulu 0 1219 64.98% 24.10%
24 1978-08-27 50.6 TPS Turku 3 1251 21.86% @ Haka 1 1346 52.76% 25.38%
25 1978-09-03 50.2 @ KuPS 3 1160 21.36% Haka 1 1316 53.42% 25.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-09-10 26.8 @ Haka 4 1285 71.56% Kiffen 08 0 933 6.01% 22.43%
2 1978-10-01 28.0 @ KPT 3 1256 71.48% Kiffen 08 0 905 6.06% 22.45%
3 1978-08-06 28.6 @ OPS Oulu 6 1191 65.08% Kiffen 08 0 955 10.83% 24.08%
4 1978-05-31 29.7 @ KuPS 5 1201 60.85% OTP Oulu 0 1021 14.44% 24.71%
5 1978-09-10 29.7 @ HJK 4 1237 62.21% Pyrkiva Turku 0 1040 13.25% 24.53%
6 1978-09-17 30.1 @ KPT 2 1249 71.71% OTP Oulu 0 893 5.91% 22.38%
7 1978-08-13 31.0 @ Haka 6 1333 66.49% Reipas Lahti 1 1074 9.70% 23.81%
8 1978-06-15 31.2 @ TPS Turku 7 1180 57.98% Kiffen 08 0 1034 17.01% 25.01%
9 1978-10-01 31.4 TPS Turku 5 1298 55.96% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1118 19.00% 25.04%
10 1978-08-27 32.0 KuPS 3 1140 58.32% @ OTP Oulu 0 936 16.86% 24.82%
11 1978-07-02 32.5 KPT 6 1132 52.06% @ Kiffen 08 0 989 22.64% 25.30%
12 1978-06-12 33.2 HJK 4 1195 50.34% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1067 24.27% 25.40%
13 1978-04-29 33.7 @ TPS Turku 7 1187 49.64% OTP Oulu 0 1120 24.85% 25.52%
14 1978-08-20 33.8 @ HJK 4 1182 66.56% Kiffen 08 1 922 9.65% 23.79%
15 1978-09-17 33.8 TPS Turku 1 1266 68.38% @ Kiffen 08 0 923 8.47% 23.16%
16 1978-09-10 34.6 KPV 1 1195 65.53% @ OTP Oulu 0 898 10.68% 23.79%
17 1978-10-01 34.6 MiPK 1 1200 65.57% @ OTP Oulu 0 903 10.64% 23.79%
18 1978-07-02 34.8 @ MiPK 1 1193 64.93% OTP Oulu 0 958 10.96% 24.11%
19 1978-05-14 35.4 @ Haka 2 1238 54.52% MiPK 0 1127 20.20% 25.27%
20 1978-06-15 35.7 KPT 3 1082 46.02% @ OTP Oulu 0 989 28.42% 25.56%
21 1978-05-21 35.8 Haka 4 1254 42.52% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1188 31.83% 25.65%
22 1978-08-13 36.1 KuPS 1 1159 60.56% @ Kiffen 08 0 929 14.87% 24.57%
23 1978-06-12 36.2 @ KPV 1 1169 60.36% OTP Oulu 0 996 14.88% 24.77%
24 1978-07-30 36.2 @ OPS Oulu 2 1173 51.50% Reipas Lahti 0 1090 23.06% 25.44%
25 1978-06-15 36.3 @ Haka 2 1317 52.91% OPS Oulu 0 1221 21.72% 25.37%