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1979 Mestaruussarja Season

160 games

Final

Champion

OPS Oulu

41 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Reipas Lahti

11.54 points above expected

32 points · 20.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

MiPK

6.44 points below expected

13 points · 19.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 OPS Oulu 22 11 10 1 32 39 15 +24 25.65 +6.35
2 KuPS 22 12 5 5 29 38 25 +13 23.47 +5.53
3 HJK 22 10 7 5 27 34 24 +10 25.08 +1.92
4 Reipas Lahti 22 10 5 7 25 33 36 -3 20.46 +4.54
5 KPT 22 10 4 8 24 31 23 +8 23.26 +0.74
6 TPS Turku 22 9 5 8 23 36 27 +9 25.87 -2.87
7 Haka 22 9 4 9 22 48 42 +6 25.64 -3.64
8 KTP 22 8 4 10 20 27 44 -17 19.09 +0.91
9 KPV 22 5 7 10 17 25 27 -2 19.79 -2.79
10 Ilves 22 6 4 12 16 31 41 -10 18.61 -2.61
11 Pyrkiva Turku 22 5 6 11 16 17 31 -14 17.64 -1.64
12 MiPK 22 4 5 13 13 23 47 -24 19.44 -6.44
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 OPS Oulu Champion 29 15 11 3 41 53 25 +28 40.79 +0.21
2 KuPS 29 17 6 6 40 58 33 +25 36.42 +3.58
3 HJK 29 14 7 8 35 48 36 +12 34.84 +0.16
4 KPT 29 13 7 9 33 47 33 +14 31.77 +1.23
5 Reipas Lahti 29 12 8 9 32 46 49 -3 — —
6 Haka 29 11 7 11 29 58 52 +6 28.57 +0.43
7 TPS Turku 29 9 8 12 26 46 43 +3 30.32 -4.32
8 KTP 29 9 4 16 22 33 68 -35 24.44 -2.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Reipas Lahti 32 20.46 +11.54
2 KuPS 40 36.42 +3.58
3 KPT 33 31.77 +1.23
4 Haka 29 28.57 +0.43
5 OPS Oulu 41 40.79 +0.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MiPK 13 19.44 -6.44
2 TPS Turku 26 30.32 -4.32
3 KPV 17 19.79 -2.79
4 Ilves 16 18.61 -2.61
5 KTP 22 24.44 -2.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Reipas Lahti 5 May 17 – Jun 3 1 in 317
2 KPT 4 Aug 5 – Aug 26 1 in 77
3 KTP 2 Apr 29 – May 1 1 in 16
4 KuPS 3 May 17 – May 24 1 in 14
5 OPS Oulu 4 Aug 19 – Sep 9 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 3 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 53
2 KPV 3 May 17 – May 24 1 in 46
3 TPS Turku 3 Jun 24 – Jul 12 1 in 27
4 Pyrkiva Turku 4 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 26
5 Ilves 4 May 1 – May 17 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OPS Oulu 20 Apr 29 – Aug 5 1 in 2,015
2 KuPS 8 May 17 – Jun 17 1 in 23
3 HJK 7 Jun 10 – Jul 15 1 in 16
4 KPV 4 Jun 24 – Jul 15 1 in 13
5 Reipas Lahti 5 May 17 – Jun 3 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 9 Aug 12 – Oct 7 1 in 94
2 KPV 8 May 17 – Jun 17 1 in 26
3 HJK 5 May 20 – Jun 10 1 in 19
4 Haka 7 Aug 5 – Sep 16 1 in 19
5 MiPK 6 Apr 29 – May 20 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
OPS Oulu 1332 41 -27 5 6.7 -1.7
KuPS 1314 40 +36 8 5.9 +2.1
HJK 1280 35 +6 6 5.5 +0.5
KPT 1331 33 +27 6 5.6 +0.4
Reipas Lahti 1157 32 -20 5 4.5 +0.5
Haka 1226 29 +32 6 4.4 +1.6
TPS Turku 1208 26 -39 2 4.7 -2.7
KTP 1040 22 -15 2 2.7 -0.7
KPV 1166 17 +30 5 4.3 +0.7
Ilves 1118 16 -3 4 4.0 +0.0
Pyrkiva Turku 1059 16 -44 1 3.7 -2.7
MiPK 1086 13 -27 4 4.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK ILV KPT KPV KTP KUP MIP OO PT RL TT
HJK —
3-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-1
4.67
0-2-0
3.51
2-0-1
5.13
1-1-1
4.46
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-1
3.39
0-0-2
3.83
0-1-2
5.51
2-1-0
3.73
Haka
0-0-3
3.42
—
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-1
5.84
1-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.28
0-1-2
4.03
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-1
4.16
0-1-2
4.71
Ilves
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
1.93
—
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.55
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
1.89
KPT
1-0-2
3.54
1-1-1
4.51
1-1-0
3.09
—
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-2
5.66
0-1-2
4.76
2-0-0
3.50
0-2-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-1
4.26
2-1-0
3.69
KPV
0-2-0
1.98
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.30
—
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.12
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.82
KTP
1-0-2
3.09
1-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.70
—
1-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-2
2.45
0-2-0
2.98
1-0-2
2.91
1-1-1
3.11
KuPS
1-1-1
3.75
1-1-1
4.69
1-0-1
3.35
2-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-1
5.38
—
2-0-0
3.10
1-2-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-1
4.58
2-1-0
4.21
MiPK
0-1-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.38
—
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.96
OPS Oulu
1-1-1
4.84
2-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
3.94
1-2-0
5.01
2-0-0
3.34
2-1-0
5.79
0-2-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.32
—
1-1-0
3.75
1-2-0
5.87
3-0-0
4.68
Pyrkiva Turku
2-0-0
1.66
0-1-1
1.95
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.56
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.75
—
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
1.73
Reipas Lahti
2-1-0
2.72
1-1-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-2
3.95
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-1
5.31
1-0-2
3.63
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.05
—
0-2-1
2.74
TPS Turku
0-1-2
4.49
2-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.59
0-1-2
4.53
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-1
5.11
0-1-2
4.01
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-3
3.54
2-0-0
3.76
1-2-0
5.48
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +6.3
Allowed 0.06 -2.0
Differential 0.69 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.50%6.25%7.19%3.44%0.31%1.88%26.56%
16.25%11.88%7.50%2.50%1.56%1.25%30.94%
27.19%7.50%2.50%2.50%0.94%1.56%22.19%
33.44%2.50%2.50%3.12%0.31%0.31%12.19%
40.31%1.56%0.94%0.31%——3.12%
5+1.88%1.25%1.56%0.31%——5.00%
Total26.56%30.94%22.19%12.19%3.12%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.52 +0.00
SD 1.42 1.42 2.06
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 160

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%10.34%6.90%———24.14%
13.45%10.34%————13.79%
217.24%17.24%6.90%3.45%—6.90%51.72%
3———————
4—6.90%————6.90%
5+——3.45%———3.45%
Total27.59%44.83%17.24%3.45%—6.90%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.24 +0.41
SD 1.37 1.30 1.74
CV 0.83 1.05 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%3.45%6.90%3.45%——17.24%
1—17.24%6.90%3.45%6.90%—34.48%
23.45%3.45%—3.45%—3.45%13.79%
33.45%3.45%6.90%3.45%——17.24%
4—3.45%6.90%———10.34%
5+—6.90%————6.90%
Total10.34%37.93%27.59%13.79%6.90%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.79 +0.21
SD 1.81 1.24 2.34
CV 0.91 0.69 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%13.64%——22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.86 -0.45
SD 1.30 1.17 1.90
CV 0.92 0.63 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%6.90%6.90%6.90%——27.59%
13.45%10.34%10.34%———24.14%
217.24%6.90%————24.14%
36.90%——6.90%——13.79%
43.45%—————3.45%
5+——6.90%———6.90%
Total37.93%24.14%24.14%13.79%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.14 +0.48
SD 1.47 1.09 1.88
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
1—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.23 -0.09
SD 1.32 1.02 1.85
CV 1.16 0.83 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%6.90%10.34%3.45%—6.90%37.93%
16.90%3.45%3.45%—3.45%10.34%27.59%
26.90%6.90%—3.45%—6.90%24.14%
3——6.90%———6.90%
4———————
5+——3.45%———3.45%
Total24.14%17.24%24.14%6.90%3.45%24.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.34 -1.21
SD 1.22 2.13 2.43
CV 1.07 0.91 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%3.45%3.45%———10.34%
1—13.79%3.45%10.34%——27.59%
210.34%20.69%————31.03%
310.34%10.34%—3.45%——24.14%
4———————
5+3.45%——3.45%——6.90%
Total27.59%48.28%6.90%17.24%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.14 +0.86
SD 1.36 1.03 1.83
CV 0.68 0.90 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—13.64%—4.55%40.91%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%18.18%18.18%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.14 -1.09
SD 1.36 1.93 2.39
CV 1.30 0.91 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.79%—3.45%———17.24%
110.34%20.69%3.45%———34.48%
23.45%6.90%3.45%———13.79%
313.79%—3.45%——3.45%20.69%
4—6.90%3.45%———10.34%
5+3.45%—————3.45%
Total44.83%34.48%17.24%——3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.86 +0.97
SD 1.42 1.09 1.64
CV 0.77 1.27 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%22.73%——4.55%54.55%
113.64%9.09%————22.73%
29.09%———4.55%—13.64%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%22.73%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.41 -0.64
SD 1.02 1.50 1.62
CV 1.32 1.07 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.45%3.45%6.90%
113.79%17.24%10.34%3.45%6.90%—51.72%
26.90%10.34%6.90%3.45%——27.59%
3—3.45%3.45%3.45%——10.34%
4———————
5+——3.45%———3.45%
Total20.69%31.03%24.14%10.34%10.34%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.69 -0.10
SD 1.15 1.39 1.92
CV 0.73 0.82 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%6.90%10.34%3.45%——27.59%
110.34%6.90%13.79%3.45%——34.48%
23.45%3.45%3.45%—3.45%—13.79%
3——3.45%10.34%——13.79%
4———————
5+6.90%3.45%————10.34%
Total27.59%20.69%31.03%17.24%3.45%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.48 +0.10
SD 1.64 1.18 2.06
CV 1.03 0.80 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
OPS Oulu 1332 41 25.65 +15.35 97.0% 16 19 23 26 29 31 34
KPT 1331 33 23.26 +9.74 65.0% 15 18 20 23 26 30 34
KuPS 1314 40 23.47 +16.53 91.0% 13 17 21 23 26 31 34
HJK 1280 35 25.08 +9.92 72.0% 15 17 22 25 28 31 34
Haka 1226 29 25.64 +3.36 18.0% 17 20 23 25 28 32 34
TPS Turku 1208 26 25.87 +0.13 25.0% 18 20 23 26 29 32 35
KPV 1166 17 19.79 -2.79 26.0% 11 14 17 20 22 26 29
Reipas Lahti 1157 32 20.46 +11.54 92.0% 10 15 18 21 22 26 29
Ilves 1118 16 18.61 -2.61 27.0% 11 13 16 19 21 23 26
MiPK 1086 13 19.44 -6.44 5.0% 12 13 17 20 21 26 31
Pyrkiva Turku 1059 16 17.64 -1.64 38.0% 8 12 15 18 20 23 28
KTP 1040 22 19.09 +2.91 67.0% 9 13 16 19 21 26 30

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.75%
Strong Edge
49.38%25.00%25.62%
Elo Value
Home Edge
145 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
084.12400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
OPS Oulu, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3 * Some Luck: 3 to 4.5 * Lucky: 4.5 to 6 * Wild Swing: 6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.85 * Close: 1.85 to 2.78 * Off: 2.78 to 3.71 * Way Off: 3.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.84 points
Some Luck
03.759
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
02.325
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
OPS Oulu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
MiPK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 88.70
2.18
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Occasional
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.05
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
OPS Oulu20.00%22.00%16.00%12.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
KuPS11.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%
HJK17.00%17.00%13.00%12.00%16.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
KPT6.00%6.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%—
Haka16.00%19.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
TPS Turku25.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%——
KTP—4.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%9.00%17.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%21.00%
Reipas Lahti4.00%—1.00%8.00%6.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%
KPV—3.00%6.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%14.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%
Ilves——1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%19.00%14.00%17.00%
Pyrkiva Turku—1.00%3.00%—3.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%29.00%
MiPK1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%12.00%
Team12345678
OPS Oulu87.55%10.24%1.96%0.20%0.05%———
KuPS9.37%55.99%23.94%7.61%2.31%0.74%0.04%—
HJK2.91%26.45%43.54%16.37%7.03%2.97%0.70%0.03%
KPT0.07%3.71%14.50%29.88%25.14%17.26%8.41%1.03%
Haka—0.20%1.51%5.84%12.65%23.14%47.13%9.53%
TPS Turku0.01%1.01%5.58%16.29%24.66%29.68%19.70%3.07%
KTP——0.02%0.12%0.97%2.88%10.97%85.04%
KPV————————
Ilves————————
Pyrkiva Turku————————
MiPK————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
HJK 92.00% 8.00%
Haka 96.00% 4.00%
Ilves 39.00% 61.00%
KPT 80.00% 20.00%
KPV 50.00% 50.00%
KTP 44.00% 56.00%
KuPS 80.00% 20.00%
MiPK 43.00% 57.00%
OPS Oulu 95.00% 5.00%
Pyrkiva Turku 26.00% 74.00%
Reipas Lahti 60.00% 40.00%
TPS Turku 95.00% 5.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
HJK 100% —
Haka 100% —
Ilves — 100%
KPT 100% —
KPV — 100%
KTP 100% —
KuPS 100% —
MiPK — 100%
OPS Oulu 100% —
Pyrkiva Turku — 100%
Reipas Lahti (1st) 100% —
TPS Turku 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-04-29 OPS Oulu L 0-147.6 1240 1217 55.04% 26.09% 18.87%+0.74 -15.0 0
1979-04-29 @ HJK W 1-047.6 1217 1240 18.87% 26.09% 55.04%-0.74 +15.0 2
1979-04-29 MiPK W 3-140.6 1168 1205 48.51% 26.43% 25.06%+0.33 +13.1 2
1979-04-29 @ Ilves L 1-340.6 1205 1168 25.06% 26.43% 48.51%-0.33 -13.1 0
1979-04-29 KTP L 0-246.1 1234 1131 62.10% 25.26% 12.65%+1.30 -31.9 0
1979-04-29 @ KPT W 2-046.1 1131 1234 12.65% 25.26% 62.10%-1.30 +31.9 2
1979-04-29 Haka D 0-048.2 1166 1256 41.85% 26.51% 31.65%-0.04 -0.6 1
1979-04-29 @ KPV D 0-048.2 1256 1166 31.65% 26.51% 41.85%+0.04 +0.6 1
1979-04-29 KuPS W 1-039.4 1110 1174 45.20% 26.49% 28.31%+0.14 +8.8 2
1979-04-29 @ Pyrkiva Turku L 0-139.4 1174 1110 28.31% 26.49% 45.20%-0.14 -8.8 0
1979-04-29 TPS Turku D 1-152.4 1140 1276 35.41% 26.41% 38.18%-0.36 +0.2 1
1979-04-29 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-152.4 1276 1140 38.18% 26.41% 35.41%+0.36 -0.2 1
1979-05-01 Pyrkiva Turku D 3-362.0 1257 1119 64.56% 24.78% 10.66%+1.53 -2.2 2
1979-05-01 @ Haka D 3-362.0 1119 1257 10.66% 24.78% 64.56%-1.53 +2.2 3
1979-05-01 Ilves W 3-247.6 1163 1181 50.61% 26.35% 23.04%+0.45 +6.7 4
1979-05-01 @ KTP L 2-347.6 1181 1163 23.04% 26.35% 50.61%-0.45 -6.7 2
1979-05-01 Reipas Lahti W 2-141.4 1165 1140 55.27% 26.07% 18.65%+0.75 +6.0 2
1979-05-01 @ KuPS L 1-241.4 1140 1165 18.65% 26.07% 55.27%-0.75 -6.0 1
1979-05-01 HJK D 0-048.3 1192 1225 49.02% 26.41% 24.56%+0.36 -1.6 1
1979-05-01 @ MiPK D 0-048.3 1225 1192 24.56% 26.41% 49.02%-0.36 +1.6 1
1979-05-01 KPT D 0-048.4 1232 1202 55.73% 26.04% 18.23%+0.79 -2.6 3
1979-05-01 @ OPS Oulu D 0-048.4 1202 1232 18.23% 26.04% 55.73%-0.79 +2.6 1
1979-05-01 KPV W 2-139.4 1276 1166 62.57% 25.17% 12.26%+1.34 +4.1 3
1979-05-01 @ TPS Turku L 1-239.4 1166 1276 12.26% 25.17% 62.57%-1.34 -4.1 1
1979-05-06 KTP W 5-132.9 1254 1169 60.64% 25.48% 13.87%+1.17 +14.6 4
1979-05-06 @ Haka L 1-532.9 1169 1254 13.87% 25.48% 60.64%-1.17 -14.6 4
1979-05-06 KPT W 2-141.7 1227 1205 54.92% 26.10% 18.98%+0.73 +6.0 3
1979-05-06 @ HJK L 1-241.7 1205 1227 18.98% 26.10% 54.92%-0.73 -6.0 1
1979-05-06 TPS Turku W 3-143.5 1171 1280 39.26% 26.49% 34.26%-0.17 +16.6 4
1979-05-06 @ KuPS L 1-343.5 1280 1171 34.26% 26.49% 39.26%+0.17 -16.6 3
1979-05-06 OPS Oulu D 1-152.4 1191 1230 48.28% 26.43% 25.29%+0.31 -1.4 2
1979-05-06 @ MiPK D 1-152.4 1230 1191 25.29% 26.43% 48.28%-0.31 +1.4 4
1979-05-06 Ilves W 1-039.1 1121 1175 46.48% 26.47% 27.04%+0.21 +8.5 5
1979-05-06 @ Pyrkiva Turku L 0-139.1 1175 1121 27.04% 26.47% 46.48%-0.21 -8.5 2
1979-05-06 KPV D 1-152.3 1134 1162 49.62% 26.39% 23.99%+0.39 -1.5 2
1979-05-06 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-152.3 1162 1134 23.99% 26.39% 49.62%-0.39 +1.5 2
1979-05-13 HJK L 0-241.4 1166 1233 44.89% 26.50% 28.62%+0.12 -23.7 2
1979-05-13 @ Ilves W 2-041.4 1233 1166 28.62% 26.50% 44.89%-0.12 +23.7 5
1979-05-13 Pyrkiva Turku W 2-032.1 1199 1130 59.33% 25.66% 15.00%+1.06 +9.9 3
1979-05-13 @ KPT L 0-232.1 1130 1199 15.00% 25.66% 59.33%-1.06 -9.9 5
1979-05-13 MiPK W 3-032.8 1163 1189 49.77% 26.39% 23.84%+0.40 +21.1 4
1979-05-13 @ KPV L 0-332.8 1189 1163 23.84% 26.39% 49.77%-0.40 -21.1 2
1979-05-13 KuPS W 2-035.2 1155 1188 48.98% 26.41% 24.61%+0.35 +14.9 6
1979-05-13 @ KTP L 0-235.2 1188 1155 24.61% 26.41% 48.98%-0.35 -14.9 4
1979-05-13 Reipas Lahti W 4-134.1 1231 1132 61.71% 25.32% 12.97%+1.26 +10.7 6
1979-05-13 @ OPS Oulu L 1-434.1 1132 1231 12.97% 25.32% 61.71%-1.26 -10.7 2
1979-05-13 Haka W 2-034.7 1263 1269 52.05% 26.28% 21.67%+0.54 +13.5 5
1979-05-13 @ TPS Turku L 0-234.7 1269 1263 21.67% 26.28% 52.05%-0.54 -13.5 4
1979-05-17 Ilves W 3-244.0 1255 1143 62.80% 25.13% 12.07%+1.36 +3.9 6
1979-05-17 @ Haka L 2-344.0 1143 1255 12.07% 25.13% 62.80%-1.36 -3.9 2
1979-05-17 KTP W 4-134.5 1256 1170 60.77% 25.47% 13.76%+1.18 +11.2 7
1979-05-17 @ HJK L 1-434.5 1170 1256 13.76% 25.47% 60.77%-1.18 -11.2 6
1979-05-17 OPS Oulu L 2-354.7 1184 1242 46.02% 26.48% 27.50%+0.18 -11.5 4
1979-05-17 @ KPV W 3-254.7 1242 1184 27.50% 26.48% 46.02%-0.18 +11.5 8
1979-05-17 KPT W 3-033.2 1173 1209 48.63% 26.42% 24.95%+0.33 +21.9 6
1979-05-17 @ KuPS L 0-333.2 1209 1173 24.95% 26.42% 48.63%-0.33 -21.9 3
1979-05-17 TPS Turku L 0-140.8 1120 1276 32.54% 26.31% 41.14%-0.50 -9.8 5
1979-05-17 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 1-040.8 1276 1120 41.14% 26.31% 32.54%+0.50 +9.8 7
1979-05-17 MiPK W 1-038.8 1122 1168 47.39% 26.46% 26.15%+0.26 +8.3 4
1979-05-17 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-138.8 1168 1122 26.15% 26.46% 47.39%-0.26 -8.3 2
1979-05-20 Reipas Lahti L 2-359.7 1267 1130 64.54% 24.79% 10.67%+1.53 -15.7 7
1979-05-20 @ HJK W 3-259.7 1130 1267 10.67% 24.79% 64.54%-1.53 +15.7 6
1979-05-20 KPV W 1-038.4 1139 1173 48.86% 26.42% 24.72%+0.35 +7.9 4
1979-05-20 @ Ilves L 0-138.4 1173 1139 24.72% 26.42% 48.86%-0.35 -7.9 4
1979-05-20 Haka W 5-242.4 1187 1259 44.11% 26.50% 29.39%+0.08 +18.1 5
1979-05-20 @ KPT L 2-542.4 1259 1187 29.39% 26.50% 44.11%-0.08 -18.1 6
1979-05-20 KuPS L 1-250.6 1160 1195 48.77% 26.42% 24.81%+0.34 -12.7 2
1979-05-20 @ MiPK W 2-150.6 1195 1160 24.81% 26.42% 48.77%-0.34 +12.7 8
1979-05-20 TPS Turku W 1-038.8 1253 1286 48.96% 26.41% 24.62%+0.35 +7.9 10
1979-05-20 @ OPS Oulu L 0-138.8 1286 1253 24.62% 26.41% 48.96%-0.35 -7.9 7
1979-05-20 KTP D 0-048.1 1110 1158 47.13% 26.46% 26.41%+0.25 -1.4 6
1979-05-20 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 0-048.1 1158 1110 26.41% 26.46% 47.13%-0.25 +1.4 7
1979-05-23 KPT W 2-036.2 1146 1205 45.80% 26.49% 27.72%+0.17 +16.4 8
1979-05-23 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-236.2 1205 1146 27.72% 26.49% 45.80%-0.17 -16.4 5
1979-05-24 OPS Oulu D 1-152.6 1241 1261 50.51% 26.36% 23.14%+0.44 -1.6 7
1979-05-24 @ Haka D 1-152.6 1261 1241 23.14% 26.36% 50.51%-0.44 +1.6 11
1979-05-24 Pyrkiva Turku L 0-245.0 1165 1109 58.19% 25.80% 16.01%+0.97 -29.9 4
1979-05-24 @ KPV W 2-045.0 1109 1165 16.01% 25.80% 58.19%-0.97 +29.9 8
1979-05-24 MiPK L 2-356.8 1160 1147 54.00% 26.17% 19.83%+0.67 -13.2 7
1979-05-24 @ KTP W 3-256.8 1147 1160 19.83% 26.17% 54.00%-0.67 +13.2 4
1979-05-24 Ilves W 2-032.3 1207 1147 58.59% 25.75% 15.66%+1.00 +10.3 10
1979-05-24 @ KuPS L 0-232.3 1147 1207 15.66% 25.75% 58.59%-1.00 -10.3 4
1979-05-24 HJK D 0-048.7 1278 1252 55.41% 26.06% 18.53%+0.76 -2.5 8
1979-05-24 @ TPS Turku D 0-048.7 1252 1278 18.53% 26.06% 55.41%-0.76 +2.6 8
1979-05-27 KPT D 3-361.4 1136 1189 46.66% 26.47% 26.87%+0.22 -0.7 5
1979-05-27 @ Ilves D 3-361.4 1189 1136 26.87% 26.47% 46.66%-0.22 +0.7 6
1979-05-27 HJK D 2-257.6 1135 1254 37.73% 26.46% 35.81%-0.24 -0.1 5
1979-05-27 @ KPV D 2-257.6 1254 1135 35.81% 26.46% 37.73%+0.24 +0.1 9
1979-05-27 TPS Turku D 0-048.3 1146 1276 36.33% 26.43% 37.23%-0.31 +0.0 8
1979-05-27 @ KTP D 0-048.3 1276 1146 37.23% 26.43% 36.33%+0.31 -0.1 9
1979-05-27 OPS Oulu D 0-048.4 1218 1263 47.55% 26.45% 26.00%+0.27 -1.4 11
1979-05-27 @ KuPS D 0-048.4 1263 1218 26.00% 26.45% 47.55%-0.27 +1.4 12
1979-05-27 Haka L 2-450.0 1160 1240 43.23% 26.51% 30.27%+0.03 -17.8 4
1979-05-27 @ MiPK W 4-250.0 1240 1160 30.27% 26.51% 43.23%-0.03 +17.8 9
1979-05-27 Reipas Lahti L 0-242.8 1138 1162 50.06% 26.37% 23.57%+0.42 -26.0 8
1979-05-27 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 2-042.8 1162 1138 23.57% 26.37% 50.06%-0.42 +26.0 10
1979-06-03 KuPS L 1-350.2 1257 1216 56.80% 25.94% 17.26%+0.86 -25.3 9
1979-06-03 @ Haka W 3-150.2 1216 1257 17.26% 25.94% 56.80%-0.86 +25.3 13
1979-06-03 Pyrkiva Turku L 0-149.9 1254 1112 64.85% 24.72% 10.43%+1.56 -17.7 9
1979-06-03 @ HJK W 1-049.9 1112 1254 10.43% 24.72% 64.85%-1.56 +17.7 10
1979-06-03 KPV D 0-048.3 1189 1135 58.05% 25.81% 16.14%+0.96 -3.0 7
1979-06-03 @ KPT D 0-048.3 1135 1189 16.14% 25.81% 58.05%-0.96 +3.0 6
1979-06-03 KTP D 0-048.6 1264 1147 63.14% 25.07% 11.79%+1.39 -3.8 13
1979-06-03 @ OPS Oulu D 0-048.6 1147 1264 11.79% 25.07% 63.14%-1.39 +3.8 9
1979-06-03 Ilves W 2-140.6 1188 1136 57.86% 25.83% 16.31%+0.94 +5.3 12
1979-06-03 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-240.6 1136 1188 16.31% 25.83% 57.86%-0.94 -5.3 5
1979-06-03 MiPK W 5-028.1 1276 1143 64.25% 24.85% 10.90%+1.50 +17.3 11
1979-06-03 @ TPS Turku L 0-528.1 1143 1276 10.90% 24.85% 64.25%-1.50 -17.3 4
1979-06-10 Reipas Lahti W 4-135.7 1232 1194 56.56% 25.96% 17.48%+0.85 +13.8 11
1979-06-10 @ Haka L 1-435.7 1194 1232 17.48% 25.96% 56.56%-0.85 -13.8 12
1979-06-10 KPV W 1-036.8 1150 1138 54.00% 26.17% 19.83%+0.67 +6.7 11
1979-06-10 @ KTP L 0-136.8 1138 1150 19.83% 26.17% 54.00%-0.67 -6.7 6
1979-06-10 HJK D 1-152.6 1242 1237 53.20% 26.22% 20.58%+0.61 -2.0 14
1979-06-10 @ KuPS D 1-152.6 1237 1242 20.58% 26.22% 53.20%-0.61 +2.0 10
1979-06-10 Pyrkiva Turku D 0-048.1 1125 1130 52.17% 26.28% 21.56%+0.55 -2.1 5
1979-06-10 @ MiPK D 0-048.1 1130 1125 21.56% 26.28% 52.17%-0.55 +2.1 11
1979-06-10 Ilves W 2-138.9 1260 1130 64.03% 24.89% 11.08%+1.48 +3.8 15
1979-06-10 @ OPS Oulu L 1-238.9 1130 1260 11.08% 24.89% 64.03%-1.48 -3.8 5
1979-06-10 KPT L 0-246.4 1293 1186 62.33% 25.22% 12.45%+1.32 -32.0 11
1979-06-10 @ TPS Turku W 2-046.4 1186 1293 12.45% 25.22% 62.33%-1.32 +32.0 9
1979-06-13 OPS Oulu D 0-048.2 1132 1264 35.97% 26.42% 37.61%-0.33 +0.1 12
1979-06-13 @ Pyrkiva Turku D 0-048.2 1264 1132 37.61% 26.42% 35.97%+0.33 -0.1 16
1979-06-14 Haka W 4-137.3 1239 1246 51.92% 26.29% 21.79%+0.53 +16.6 12
1979-06-14 @ HJK L 1-437.3 1246 1239 21.79% 26.29% 51.92%-0.53 -16.6 11
1979-06-14 TPS Turku W 1-042.4 1127 1261 35.60% 26.41% 37.98%-0.35 +11.0 7
1979-06-14 @ Ilves L 0-142.4 1261 1127 37.98% 26.41% 35.60%+0.35 -11.0 11
1979-06-14 MiPK W 2-139.6 1218 1123 61.46% 25.36% 13.18%+1.24 +4.4 11
1979-06-14 @ KPT L 1-239.6 1123 1218 13.18% 25.36% 61.46%-1.24 -4.4 5
1979-06-14 KuPS L 1-247.8 1131 1240 39.27% 26.49% 34.25%-0.17 -10.6 6
1979-06-14 @ KPV W 2-147.8 1240 1131 34.25% 26.49% 39.27%+0.17 +10.6 16
1979-06-14 KTP W 2-141.5 1180 1157 55.03% 26.09% 18.88%+0.74 +6.0 14
1979-06-14 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-241.5 1157 1180 18.88% 26.09% 55.03%-0.74 -6.0 11
1979-06-17 KPV W 3-029.0 1229 1120 62.49% 25.19% 12.32%+1.33 +12.1 13
1979-06-17 @ Haka L 0-329.0 1120 1229 12.32% 25.19% 62.49%-1.33 -12.1 6
1979-06-17 KPT W 1-039.8 1151 1223 44.17% 26.50% 29.33%+0.08 +9.1 13
1979-06-17 @ KTP L 0-139.8 1223 1151 29.33% 26.50% 44.17%-0.08 -9.1 11
1979-06-17 Pyrkiva Turku W 2-031.0 1250 1132 63.16% 25.06% 11.77%+1.39 +8.0 18
1979-06-17 @ KuPS L 0-231.0 1132 1250 11.77% 25.06% 63.16%-1.39 -8.0 12
1979-06-17 Ilves W 5-032.1 1119 1138 50.63% 26.35% 23.02%+0.45 +33.1 7
1979-06-17 @ MiPK L 0-532.1 1138 1119 23.02% 26.35% 50.63%-0.45 -33.1 7
1979-06-17 HJK D 1-152.7 1264 1255 53.60% 26.19% 20.21%+0.64 -2.0 17
1979-06-17 @ OPS Oulu D 1-152.7 1255 1264 20.21% 26.19% 53.60%-0.64 +2.0 13
1979-06-17 Reipas Lahti W 5-029.8 1250 1186 58.91% 25.71% 15.38%+1.03 +23.7 13
1979-06-17 @ TPS Turku L 0-529.8 1186 1250 15.38% 25.71% 58.91%-1.03 -23.7 14
1979-06-20 KPT W 2-141.5 1241 1214 55.50% 26.06% 18.45%+0.77 +5.9 15
1979-06-20 @ Haka L 1-241.5 1214 1241 18.45% 26.06% 55.50%-0.77 -5.9 11
1979-06-24 MiPK W 2-139.4 1257 1152 62.24% 25.23% 12.53%+1.31 +4.2 15
1979-06-24 @ HJK L 1-239.4 1152 1257 12.53% 25.23% 62.24%-1.31 -4.2 7
1979-06-24 KTP W 5-137.0 1104 1160 46.26% 26.48% 27.27%+0.20 +25.5 9
1979-06-24 @ Ilves L 1-537.0 1160 1104 27.27% 26.48% 46.26%-0.20 -25.5 13
1979-06-24 OPS Oulu D 1-152.5 1208 1262 46.45% 26.47% 27.08%+0.21 -1.1 12
1979-06-24 @ KPT D 1-152.5 1262 1208 27.08% 26.47% 46.45%-0.21 +1.1 18
1979-06-24 TPS Turku W 2-148.6 1108 1274 31.42% 26.27% 42.31%-0.56 +11.2 8
1979-06-24 @ KPV L 1-248.6 1274 1108 42.31% 26.27% 31.42%+0.56 -11.2 13
1979-06-24 Haka L 2-448.2 1124 1247 37.25% 26.45% 36.30%-0.27 -15.8 12
1979-06-24 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 4-248.2 1247 1124 36.30% 26.45% 37.25%+0.27 +15.8 17
1979-06-24 KuPS W 3-142.9 1162 1258 40.97% 26.50% 32.53%-0.08 +16.0 16
1979-06-24 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-342.9 1258 1162 32.53% 26.50% 40.97%+0.08 -16.0 18
1979-07-08 Ilves D 1-152.2 1120 1130 51.56% 26.31% 22.13%+0.51 -1.8 9
1979-07-08 @ KPV D 1-152.2 1130 1120 22.13% 26.31% 51.56%-0.51 +1.8 10
1979-07-08 Pyrkiva Turku D 1-152.3 1134 1109 55.35% 26.07% 18.59%+0.76 -2.3 14
1979-07-08 @ KTP D 1-152.3 1109 1134 18.59% 26.07% 55.35%-0.76 +2.3 13
1979-07-08 MiPK W 3-136.8 1242 1148 61.39% 25.37% 13.24%+1.23 +7.7 20
1979-07-08 @ KuPS L 1-336.8 1148 1242 13.24% 25.37% 61.39%-1.23 -7.7 7
1979-07-08 HJK D 2-257.6 1178 1262 42.65% 26.51% 30.84%+0.00 -0.5 17
1979-07-08 @ Reipas Lahti D 2-257.6 1262 1178 30.84% 26.51% 42.65%+0.00 +0.5 16
1979-07-08 OPS Oulu L 2-453.1 1263 1263 52.62% 26.25% 21.12%+0.58 -21.1 13
1979-07-08 @ TPS Turku W 4-253.1 1263 1263 21.12% 26.25% 52.62%-0.58 +21.1 20
1979-07-12 TPS Turku W 2-033.8 1262 1241 54.82% 26.11% 19.07%+0.72 +12.1 18
1979-07-12 @ HJK L 0-233.8 1241 1262 19.07% 26.11% 54.82%-0.72 -12.1 13
1979-07-12 KuPS W 3-143.8 1132 1250 37.93% 26.47% 35.61%-0.23 +17.1 12
1979-07-12 @ Ilves L 1-343.8 1250 1132 35.61% 26.47% 37.93%+0.23 -17.1 20
1979-07-12 Reipas Lahti W 2-141.3 1207 1178 55.67% 26.04% 18.29%+0.78 +5.9 14
1979-07-12 @ KPT L 1-241.3 1178 1207 18.29% 26.04% 55.67%-0.78 -5.9 17
1979-07-12 KTP W 1-036.9 1140 1132 53.51% 26.20% 20.29%+0.63 +6.8 9
1979-07-12 @ MiPK L 0-136.9 1132 1140 20.29% 26.20% 53.51%-0.63 -6.8 14
1979-07-12 Haka W 3-031.8 1284 1263 54.87% 26.11% 19.02%+0.73 +17.6 22
1979-07-12 @ OPS Oulu L 0-331.8 1263 1284 19.02% 26.11% 54.87%-0.73 -17.6 17
1979-07-12 KPV L 0-243.3 1111 1118 51.92% 26.29% 21.78%+0.53 -26.9 13
1979-07-12 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 2-043.3 1118 1111 21.78% 26.29% 51.92%-0.53 +26.9 11
1979-07-15 MiPK W 8-131.5 1245 1147 61.72% 25.32% 12.96%+1.26 +23.0 19
1979-07-15 @ Haka L 1-831.5 1147 1245 12.96% 25.32% 61.72%-1.26 -23.0 9
1979-07-15 KPV D 1-152.9 1274 1145 63.99% 24.90% 11.11%+1.47 -3.5 19
1979-07-15 @ HJK D 1-152.9 1145 1274 11.11% 24.90% 63.99%-1.47 +3.5 12
1979-07-15 Ilves W 3-030.1 1213 1149 58.85% 25.72% 15.42%+1.02 +14.7 16
1979-07-15 @ KPT L 0-330.1 1149 1213 15.42% 25.72% 58.85%-1.02 -14.7 12
1979-07-15 KuPS D 1-153.0 1302 1233 59.30% 25.67% 15.03%+1.06 -2.8 23
1979-07-15 @ OPS Oulu D 1-153.0 1233 1302 15.03% 25.67% 59.30%-1.06 +2.8 21
1979-07-15 Pyrkiva Turku W 1-034.7 1172 1084 60.86% 25.45% 13.69%+1.19 +4.8 19
1979-07-15 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-134.7 1084 1172 13.69% 25.45% 60.86%-1.19 -4.8 13
1979-07-15 KTP W 6-131.6 1229 1125 62.12% 25.25% 12.63%+1.30 +16.4 15
1979-07-15 @ TPS Turku L 1-631.6 1125 1229 12.63% 25.25% 62.12%-1.30 -16.4 14
1979-07-22 Reipas Lahti L 1-250.3 1134 1177 47.87% 26.44% 25.69%+0.29 -12.5 12
1979-07-22 @ Ilves W 2-150.3 1177 1134 25.69% 26.44% 47.87%-0.29 +12.5 21
1979-07-22 KPT L 0-144.0 1148 1227 43.23% 26.51% 30.26%+0.03 -12.2 12
1979-07-22 @ KPV W 1-044.0 1227 1148 30.26% 26.51% 43.23%-0.03 +12.1 18
1979-07-22 OPS Oulu L 0-236.3 1109 1299 28.30% 26.10% 45.60%-0.73 -16.5 14
1979-07-22 @ KTP W 2-036.3 1299 1109 45.60% 26.10% 28.30%+0.73 +16.5 25
1979-07-22 Haka D 1-152.6 1236 1268 49.00% 26.41% 24.59%+0.35 -1.5 22
1979-07-22 @ KuPS D 1-152.6 1268 1236 24.59% 26.41% 49.00%-0.35 +1.4 20
1979-07-22 TPS Turku L 0-142.2 1124 1246 37.38% 26.46% 36.17%-0.26 -10.8 9
1979-07-22 @ MiPK W 1-042.2 1246 1124 36.17% 26.46% 37.38%+0.26 +10.8 17
1979-07-22 HJK W 2-041.5 1079 1271 28.09% 26.09% 45.82%-0.74 +24.0 15
1979-07-22 @ Pyrkiva Turku L 0-241.5 1271 1079 45.82% 26.09% 28.09%+0.74 -24.0 19
1979-07-29 Pyrkiva Turku D 1-152.3 1122 1103 54.61% 26.12% 19.26%+0.71 -2.2 13
1979-07-29 @ Ilves D 1-152.3 1103 1122 19.26% 26.12% 54.61%-0.71 +2.2 16
1979-07-29 HJK L 0-146.8 1240 1247 51.90% 26.29% 21.80%+0.53 -14.2 18
1979-07-29 @ KPT W 1-046.8 1247 1240 21.80% 26.29% 51.90%-0.53 +14.2 21
1979-07-29 Reipas Lahti W 3-141.1 1136 1189 46.58% 26.47% 26.95%+0.22 +13.9 14
1979-07-29 @ KPV L 1-341.1 1189 1136 26.95% 26.47% 46.58%-0.22 -13.9 21
1979-07-29 Haka W 2-149.1 1092 1270 29.86% 26.19% 43.95%-0.64 +11.6 16
1979-07-29 @ KTP L 1-249.1 1270 1092 43.95% 26.19% 29.86%+0.64 -11.6 20
1979-07-29 MiPK W 3-027.3 1315 1113 68.59% 23.71% 7.70%+1.98 +7.7 27
1979-07-29 @ OPS Oulu L 0-327.3 1113 1315 7.70% 23.71% 68.59%-1.98 -7.7 9
1979-07-29 KuPS D 3-361.8 1257 1234 55.00% 26.10% 18.90%+0.74 -1.4 18
1979-07-29 @ TPS Turku D 3-361.8 1234 1257 18.90% 26.10% 55.00%-0.74 +1.4 23
1979-08-02 Haka L 2-351.3 1119 1258 35.00% 26.40% 38.60%-0.38 -9.2 13
1979-08-02 @ Ilves W 3-251.3 1258 1119 38.60% 26.40% 35.00%+0.38 +9.2 22
1979-08-02 KuPS L 1-251.6 1225 1236 51.58% 26.31% 22.11%+0.51 -13.4 18
1979-08-02 @ KPT W 2-151.6 1236 1225 22.11% 26.31% 51.58%-0.51 +13.3 25
1979-08-02 HJK W 5-245.7 1104 1261 32.52% 26.31% 41.17%-0.50 +23.3 18
1979-08-02 @ KTP L 2-545.7 1261 1104 41.17% 26.31% 32.52%+0.50 -23.3 21
1979-08-02 Reipas Lahti D 1-152.2 1105 1175 44.43% 26.50% 29.06%+0.10 -0.9 10
1979-08-02 @ MiPK D 1-152.2 1175 1105 29.06% 26.50% 44.43%-0.10 +0.9 22
1979-08-02 KPV W 3-027.9 1323 1150 66.86% 24.22% 8.92%+1.78 +8.9 29
1979-08-02 @ OPS Oulu L 0-327.9 1150 1323 8.92% 24.22% 66.86%-1.78 -8.9 14
1979-08-05 TPS Turku L 2-357.3 1268 1255 53.98% 26.17% 19.85%+0.67 -13.2 22
1979-08-05 @ Haka W 3-257.3 1255 1268 19.85% 26.17% 53.98%-0.67 +13.2 20
1979-08-05 Ilves W 2-030.8 1238 1110 63.85% 24.93% 11.22%+1.46 +7.6 23
1979-08-05 @ HJK L 0-230.8 1110 1238 11.22% 24.93% 63.85%-1.46 -7.6 13
1979-08-05 KTP W 3-028.8 1249 1127 63.43% 25.01% 11.56%+1.42 +11.4 27
1979-08-05 @ KuPS L 0-328.8 1127 1249 11.56% 25.01% 63.43%-1.42 -11.4 18
1979-08-05 KPV D 0-048.1 1104 1141 48.55% 26.43% 25.03%+0.33 -1.6 11
1979-08-05 @ MiPK D 0-048.1 1141 1104 25.03% 26.43% 48.55%-0.33 +1.6 15
1979-08-05 KPT L 0-239.7 1105 1212 39.51% 26.49% 34.00%-0.16 -21.3 16
1979-08-05 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 2-039.7 1212 1105 34.00% 26.49% 39.51%+0.16 +21.3 20
1979-08-05 OPS Oulu D 2-257.9 1176 1332 32.65% 26.32% 41.03%-0.50 +0.4 23
1979-08-05 @ Reipas Lahti D 2-257.9 1332 1176 41.03% 26.32% 32.65%+0.50 -0.3 30
1979-08-07 Pyrkiva Turku W 1-032.8 1268 1084 67.55% 24.03% 8.43%+1.85 +3.1 22
1979-08-07 @ TPS Turku L 0-132.8 1084 1268 8.43% 24.03% 67.55%-1.85 -3.1 16
1979-08-12 OPS Oulu W 2-151.0 1103 1332 23.80% 25.75% 50.45%-1.00 +13.0 15
1979-08-12 @ Ilves L 1-251.0 1332 1103 50.45% 25.75% 23.80%+1.00 -13.0 30
1979-08-12 TPS Turku W 2-035.7 1233 1271 48.37% 26.43% 25.20%+0.32 +15.2 22
1979-08-12 @ KPT L 0-235.7 1271 1233 25.20% 26.43% 48.37%-0.32 -15.2 22
1979-08-12 KTP W 5-030.6 1143 1116 55.42% 26.06% 18.52%+0.76 +27.7 17
1979-08-12 @ KPV L 0-530.6 1116 1143 18.52% 26.06% 55.42%-0.76 -27.7 18
1979-08-12 MiPK L 3-458.6 1081 1103 50.26% 26.37% 23.37%+0.43 -12.1 16
1979-08-12 @ Pyrkiva Turku W 4-358.6 1103 1081 23.37% 26.37% 50.26%-0.43 +12.1 13
1979-08-12 Haka W 1-040.2 1176 1254 43.40% 26.51% 30.10%+0.04 +9.2 25
1979-08-12 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-140.2 1254 1176 30.10% 26.51% 43.40%-0.04 -9.2 22
1979-08-14 KuPS W 2-143.0 1245 1260 51.06% 26.33% 22.61%+0.48 +7.0 25
1979-08-14 @ HJK L 1-243.0 1260 1245 22.61% 26.33% 51.06%-0.48 -7.0 27
1979-08-16 KPT L 0-336.4 1115 1248 35.73% 26.42% 37.86%-0.34 -28.7 13
1979-08-16 @ MiPK W 3-036.4 1248 1115 37.86% 26.42% 35.73%+0.34 +28.7 24
1979-08-19 HJK L 0-243.7 1245 1252 51.90% 26.29% 21.80%+0.53 -26.9 22
1979-08-19 @ Haka W 2-043.7 1252 1245 21.80% 26.29% 51.90%-0.53 +26.9 27
1979-08-19 Reipas Lahti W 3-250.5 1088 1186 40.79% 26.50% 32.71%-0.09 +8.8 20
1979-08-19 @ KTP L 2-350.5 1186 1088 32.71% 26.50% 40.79%+0.09 -8.8 25
1979-08-19 KPV W 2-140.0 1253 1170 60.47% 25.51% 14.02%+1.15 +4.7 29
1979-08-19 @ KuPS L 1-240.0 1170 1253 14.02% 25.51% 60.47%-1.15 -4.7 17
1979-08-19 Pyrkiva Turku W 5-026.0 1319 1069 71.12% 22.80% 6.08%+2.31 +9.7 32
1979-08-19 @ OPS Oulu L 0-526.0 1069 1319 6.08% 22.80% 71.12%-2.31 -9.7 16
1979-08-19 Ilves D 2-258.0 1256 1116 64.76% 24.74% 10.50%+1.55 -2.7 23
1979-08-19 @ TPS Turku D 2-258.0 1116 1256 10.50% 24.74% 64.76%-1.55 +2.7 16

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-08-26 KPT L 2-549.8 1279 1277 52.90% 26.24% 20.87%+0.59 -29.0 0
1979-08-26 @ HJK W 5-249.8 1277 1279 20.87% 26.24% 52.90%-0.59 +29.0 2
1979-08-26 KTP W 6-028.2 1258 1097 66.09% 24.42% 9.49%+1.69 +18.0 2
1979-08-26 @ KuPS L 0-628.2 1097 1258 9.49% 24.42% 66.09%-1.69 -18.0 0
1979-08-26 TPS Turku W 2-140.8 1328 1254 59.79% 25.60% 14.60%+1.10 +4.8 2
1979-08-26 @ OPS Oulu L 1-240.8 1254 1328 14.60% 25.60% 59.79%-1.10 -4.8 0
1979-08-26 Haka D 1-152.4 1177 1218 47.99% 26.44% 25.57%+0.30 -1.3 1
1979-08-26 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-152.4 1218 1177 25.57% 26.44% 47.99%-0.30 +1.3 1
1979-09-02 OPS Oulu L 1-442.6 1220 1333 38.54% 26.48% 34.99%-0.20 -25.6 1
1979-09-02 @ Haka W 4-142.6 1333 1220 34.99% 26.48% 38.54%+0.20 +25.6 4
1979-09-02 KuPS D 1-153.1 1306 1276 55.77% 26.03% 18.20%+0.79 -2.3 3
1979-09-02 @ KPT D 1-153.1 1276 1306 18.20% 26.03% 55.77%-0.79 +2.3 3
1979-09-02 HJK L 2-640.0 1079 1250 30.66% 26.23% 43.11%-0.60 -23.6 0
1979-09-02 @ KTP W 6-240.0 1250 1079 43.11% 26.23% 30.66%+0.60 +23.6 2
1979-09-02 Reipas Lahti D 3-361.8 1249 1176 59.67% 25.62% 14.71%+1.09 -1.8 1
1979-09-02 @ TPS Turku D 3-361.8 1176 1249 14.71% 25.62% 59.67%-1.09 +1.8 2
1979-09-09 Haka W 2-140.2 1274 1194 60.22% 25.54% 14.24%+1.13 +4.7 4
1979-09-09 @ HJK L 1-240.2 1194 1274 14.24% 25.54% 60.22%-1.13 -4.7 1
1979-09-09 TPS Turku W 3-031.4 1278 1247 55.87% 26.02% 18.10%+0.80 +16.9 5
1979-09-09 @ KuPS L 0-331.4 1247 1278 18.10% 26.02% 55.87%-0.80 -16.9 1
1979-09-09 KPT W 3-031.7 1359 1304 58.08% 25.81% 16.11%+0.96 +15.3 6
1979-09-09 @ OPS Oulu L 0-331.7 1304 1359 16.11% 25.81% 58.08%-0.96 -15.3 3
1979-09-09 KTP W 6-233.8 1177 1055 63.45% 25.01% 11.54%+1.42 +10.5 4
1979-09-09 @ Reipas Lahti L 2-633.8 1055 1177 11.54% 25.01% 63.45%-1.42 -10.5 0
1979-09-16 KuPS L 0-243.7 1279 1295 50.86% 26.34% 22.80%+0.47 -26.4 4
1979-09-16 @ HJK W 2-043.7 1295 1279 22.80% 26.34% 50.86%-0.47 +26.4 7
1979-09-16 Haka D 1-152.9 1289 1189 61.78% 25.31% 12.91%+1.27 -3.2 4
1979-09-16 @ KPT D 1-152.9 1189 1289 12.91% 25.31% 61.78%-1.27 +3.2 2
1979-09-16 TPS Turku W 2-149.3 1045 1230 28.88% 26.14% 44.98%-0.70 +11.8 2
1979-09-16 @ KTP L 1-249.3 1230 1045 44.98% 26.14% 28.88%+0.70 -11.8 1
1979-09-16 Reipas Lahti D 1-153.6 1374 1188 67.66% 23.99% 8.35%+1.87 -4.0 7
1979-09-16 @ OPS Oulu D 1-153.6 1188 1374 8.35% 23.99% 67.66%-1.87 +4.0 5
1979-09-23 KTP W 2-030.5 1192 1057 64.42% 24.81% 10.77%+1.52 +7.3 4
1979-09-23 @ Haka L 0-230.5 1057 1192 10.77% 24.81% 64.42%-1.52 -7.3 2
1979-09-23 OPS Oulu W 5-348.5 1322 1370 47.11% 26.46% 26.43%+0.24 +11.5 9
1979-09-23 @ KuPS L 3-548.5 1370 1322 26.43% 26.46% 47.11%-0.24 -11.5 7
1979-09-23 KPT L 0-437.6 1192 1285 41.30% 26.50% 32.20%-0.07 -41.9 5
1979-09-23 @ Reipas Lahti W 4-037.6 1285 1192 32.20% 26.50% 41.30%+0.07 +41.9 6
1979-09-23 HJK L 1-250.8 1218 1252 48.89% 26.42% 24.70%+0.35 -12.7 1
1979-09-23 @ TPS Turku W 2-150.8 1252 1218 24.70% 26.42% 48.89%-0.35 +12.7 6
1979-09-30 Reipas Lahti L 0-149.6 1265 1150 62.96% 25.10% 11.94%+1.38 -17.1 6
1979-09-30 @ HJK W 1-049.6 1150 1265 11.94% 25.10% 62.96%-1.38 +17.2 7
1979-09-30 OPS Oulu L 0-135.5 1049 1359 16.36% 24.73% 58.91%-1.55 -5.5 2
1979-09-30 @ KTP W 1-035.5 1359 1049 58.91% 24.73% 16.36%+1.55 +5.5 9
1979-09-30 Haka L 1-352.3 1333 1200 64.27% 24.84% 10.89%+1.50 -28.6 9
1979-09-30 @ KuPS W 3-152.3 1200 1333 10.89% 24.84% 64.27%-1.50 +28.6 6
1979-09-30 KPT D 3-361.9 1206 1327 37.41% 26.46% 36.13%-0.26 -0.0 2
1979-09-30 @ TPS Turku D 3-361.9 1327 1206 36.13% 26.46% 37.41%+0.26 +0.0 7
1979-10-07 TPS Turku D 1-152.5 1228 1206 55.03% 26.09% 18.88%+0.74 -2.2 7
1979-10-07 @ Haka D 1-152.5 1206 1228 18.88% 26.09% 55.03%-0.74 +2.2 3
1979-10-07 KTP W 2-028.1 1327 1044 72.74% 22.11% 5.15%+2.54 +3.5 9
1979-10-07 @ KPT L 0-228.1 1044 1327 5.15% 22.11% 72.74%-2.54 -3.5 2
1979-10-07 HJK L 0-247.2 1364 1248 63.06% 25.08% 11.85%+1.39 -32.4 9
1979-10-07 @ OPS Oulu W 2-047.2 1248 1364 11.85% 25.08% 63.06%-1.39 +32.4 8
1979-10-07 KuPS L 1-246.7 1167 1305 35.18% 26.40% 38.42%-0.37 -9.8 7
1979-10-07 @ Reipas Lahti W 2-146.7 1305 1167 38.42% 26.40% 35.18%+0.37 +9.8 11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-06-03 10.43% Pyrkiva Turku 1112 1 @ HJK 1254 0
2 1979-05-20 10.67% Reipas Lahti 1130 3 @ HJK 1267 2
3 1979-09-30 10.89% Haka 1200 3 @ KuPS 1333 1
4 1979-10-07 11.85% HJK 1248 2 @ OPS Oulu 1364 0
5 1979-09-30 11.94% Reipas Lahti 1150 1 @ HJK 1265 0
6 1979-06-10 12.45% KPT 1186 2 @ TPS Turku 1293 0
7 1979-04-29 12.65% KTP 1131 2 @ KPT 1234 0
8 1979-05-24 16.01% Pyrkiva Turku 1109 2 @ KPV 1165 0
9 1979-06-03 17.26% KuPS 1216 3 @ Haka 1257 1
10 1979-04-29 18.87% OPS Oulu 1217 1 @ HJK 1240 0
11 1979-05-24 19.83% MiPK 1147 3 @ KTP 1160 2
12 1979-08-05 19.85% TPS Turku 1255 3 @ Haka 1268 2
13 1979-08-26 20.87% KPT 1277 5 @ HJK 1279 2
14 1979-07-08 21.12% OPS Oulu 1263 4 @ TPS Turku 1263 2
15 1979-07-12 21.78% KPV 1118 2 @ Pyrkiva Turku 1111 0
16 1979-07-29 21.80% HJK 1247 1 @ KPT 1240 0
17 1979-08-19 21.80% HJK 1252 2 @ Haka 1245 0
18 1979-08-02 22.11% KuPS 1236 2 @ KPT 1225 1
19 1979-09-16 22.80% KuPS 1295 2 @ HJK 1279 0
20 1979-08-12 23.37% MiPK 1103 4 @ Pyrkiva Turku 1081 3
21 1979-05-27 23.57% Reipas Lahti 1162 2 @ Pyrkiva Turku 1138 0
22 1979-08-12 23.80% @ Ilves 1103 2 OPS Oulu 1332 1
23 1979-09-23 24.70% HJK 1252 2 @ TPS Turku 1218 1
24 1979-05-20 24.81% KuPS 1195 2 @ MiPK 1160 1
25 1979-07-22 25.69% Reipas Lahti 1177 2 @ Ilves 1134 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-09-23 41.92 KPT 4 1285 32.20% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1192 41.30% 26.50%
2 1979-06-17 33.09 @ MiPK 5 1119 50.63% Ilves 0 1138 23.02% 26.35%
3 1979-10-07 32.40 HJK 2 1248 11.85% @ OPS Oulu 0 1364 63.06% 25.08%
4 1979-06-10 32.03 KPT 2 1186 12.45% @ TPS Turku 0 1293 62.33% 25.22%
5 1979-04-29 31.91 KTP 2 1131 12.65% @ KPT 0 1234 62.10% 25.26%
6 1979-05-24 29.94 Pyrkiva Turku 2 1109 16.01% @ KPV 0 1165 58.19% 25.80%
7 1979-08-26 29.00 KPT 5 1277 20.87% @ HJK 2 1279 52.90% 26.24%
8 1979-08-16 28.72 KPT 3 1248 37.86% @ MiPK 0 1115 35.73% 26.42%
9 1979-09-30 28.58 Haka 3 1200 10.89% @ KuPS 1 1333 64.27% 24.84%
10 1979-08-12 27.71 @ KPV 5 1143 55.42% KTP 0 1116 18.52% 26.06%
11 1979-07-12 26.88 KPV 2 1118 21.78% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1111 51.92% 26.29%
12 1979-08-19 26.87 HJK 2 1252 21.80% @ Haka 0 1245 51.90% 26.29%
13 1979-09-16 26.37 KuPS 2 1295 22.80% @ HJK 0 1279 50.86% 26.34%
14 1979-05-27 26.00 Reipas Lahti 2 1162 23.57% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1138 50.06% 26.37%
15 1979-09-02 25.64 OPS Oulu 4 1333 34.99% @ Haka 1 1220 38.54% 26.48%
16 1979-06-24 25.55 @ Ilves 5 1104 46.26% KTP 1 1160 27.27% 26.48%
17 1979-06-03 25.33 KuPS 3 1216 17.26% @ Haka 1 1257 56.80% 25.94%
18 1979-07-22 23.97 @ Pyrkiva Turku 2 1079 28.09% HJK 0 1271 45.82% 26.09%
19 1979-05-13 23.66 HJK 2 1233 28.62% @ Ilves 0 1166 44.89% 26.50%
20 1979-06-17 23.66 @ TPS Turku 5 1250 58.91% Reipas Lahti 0 1186 15.38% 25.71%
21 1979-09-02 23.62 HJK 6 1250 43.11% @ KTP 2 1079 30.66% 26.23%
22 1979-08-02 23.34 @ KTP 5 1104 32.52% HJK 2 1261 41.17% 26.31%
23 1979-07-15 23.01 @ Haka 8 1245 61.72% MiPK 1 1147 12.96% 25.32%
24 1979-05-17 21.90 @ KuPS 3 1173 48.63% KPT 0 1209 24.95% 26.42%
25 1979-08-05 21.34 KPT 2 1212 34.00% @ Pyrkiva Turku 0 1105 39.51% 26.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-05-01 62.0 @ Haka 3 1257 64.56% Pyrkiva Turku 3 1119 10.66% 24.78%
2 1979-09-30 61.9 @ TPS Turku 3 1206 37.41% KPT 3 1327 36.13% 26.46%
3 1979-07-29 61.8 @ TPS Turku 3 1257 55.00% KuPS 3 1234 18.90% 26.10%
4 1979-09-02 61.8 @ TPS Turku 3 1249 59.67% Reipas Lahti 3 1176 14.71% 25.62%
5 1979-05-27 61.4 @ Ilves 3 1136 46.66% KPT 3 1189 26.87% 26.47%
6 1979-05-20 59.7 Reipas Lahti 3 1130 10.67% @ HJK 2 1267 64.54% 24.79%
7 1979-08-12 58.6 MiPK 4 1103 23.37% @ Pyrkiva Turku 3 1081 50.26% 26.37%
8 1979-08-19 58.0 @ TPS Turku 2 1256 64.76% Ilves 2 1116 10.50% 24.74%
9 1979-08-05 57.9 @ Reipas Lahti 2 1176 32.65% OPS Oulu 2 1332 41.03% 26.32%
10 1979-05-27 57.6 @ KPV 2 1135 37.73% HJK 2 1254 35.81% 26.46%
11 1979-07-08 57.6 @ Reipas Lahti 2 1178 42.65% HJK 2 1262 30.84% 26.51%
12 1979-08-05 57.3 TPS Turku 3 1255 19.85% @ Haka 2 1268 53.98% 26.17%
13 1979-05-24 56.8 MiPK 3 1147 19.83% @ KTP 2 1160 54.00% 26.17%
14 1979-05-17 54.7 OPS Oulu 3 1242 27.50% @ KPV 2 1184 46.02% 26.48%
15 1979-09-16 53.6 @ OPS Oulu 1 1374 67.66% Reipas Lahti 1 1188 8.35% 23.99%
16 1979-07-08 53.1 OPS Oulu 4 1263 21.12% @ TPS Turku 2 1263 52.62% 26.25%
17 1979-09-02 53.1 @ KPT 1 1306 55.77% KuPS 1 1276 18.20% 26.03%
18 1979-07-15 53.0 @ OPS Oulu 1 1302 59.30% KuPS 1 1233 15.03% 25.67%
19 1979-07-15 52.9 @ HJK 1 1274 63.99% KPV 1 1145 11.11% 24.90%
20 1979-09-16 52.9 @ KPT 1 1289 61.78% Haka 1 1189 12.91% 25.31%
21 1979-06-17 52.7 @ OPS Oulu 1 1264 53.60% HJK 1 1255 20.21% 26.19%
22 1979-05-24 52.6 @ Haka 1 1241 50.51% OPS Oulu 1 1261 23.14% 26.36%
23 1979-06-10 52.6 @ KuPS 1 1242 53.20% HJK 1 1237 20.58% 26.22%
24 1979-07-22 52.6 @ KuPS 1 1236 49.00% Haka 1 1268 24.59% 26.41%
25 1979-06-24 52.5 @ KPT 1 1208 46.45% OPS Oulu 1 1262 27.08% 26.47%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-08-19 26.0 @ OPS Oulu 5 1319 71.12% Pyrkiva Turku 0 1069 6.08% 22.80%
2 1979-07-29 27.3 @ OPS Oulu 3 1315 68.59% MiPK 0 1113 7.70% 23.71%
3 1979-08-02 27.9 @ OPS Oulu 3 1323 66.86% KPV 0 1150 8.92% 24.22%
4 1979-06-03 28.1 @ TPS Turku 5 1276 64.25% MiPK 0 1143 10.90% 24.85%
5 1979-10-07 28.1 @ KPT 2 1327 72.74% KTP 0 1044 5.15% 22.11%
6 1979-08-26 28.2 @ KuPS 6 1258 66.09% KTP 0 1097 9.49% 24.42%
7 1979-08-05 28.8 @ KuPS 3 1249 63.43% KTP 0 1127 11.56% 25.01%
8 1979-06-17 29.0 @ Haka 3 1229 62.49% KPV 0 1120 12.32% 25.19%
9 1979-06-17 29.8 @ TPS Turku 5 1250 58.91% Reipas Lahti 0 1186 15.38% 25.71%
10 1979-07-15 30.1 @ KPT 3 1213 58.85% Ilves 0 1149 15.42% 25.72%
11 1979-09-23 30.5 @ Haka 2 1192 64.42% KTP 0 1057 10.77% 24.81%
12 1979-08-12 30.6 @ KPV 5 1143 55.42% KTP 0 1116 18.52% 26.06%
13 1979-08-05 30.8 @ HJK 2 1238 63.85% Ilves 0 1110 11.22% 24.93%
14 1979-06-17 31.0 @ KuPS 2 1250 63.16% Pyrkiva Turku 0 1132 11.77% 25.06%
15 1979-09-09 31.4 @ KuPS 3 1278 55.87% TPS Turku 0 1247 18.10% 26.02%
16 1979-07-15 31.5 @ Haka 8 1245 61.72% MiPK 1 1147 12.96% 25.32%
17 1979-07-15 31.6 @ TPS Turku 6 1229 62.12% KTP 1 1125 12.63% 25.25%
18 1979-09-09 31.7 @ OPS Oulu 3 1359 58.08% KPT 0 1304 16.11% 25.81%
19 1979-07-12 31.8 @ OPS Oulu 3 1284 54.87% Haka 0 1263 19.02% 26.11%
20 1979-05-13 32.1 @ KPT 2 1199 59.33% Pyrkiva Turku 0 1130 15.00% 25.66%
21 1979-06-17 32.1 @ MiPK 5 1119 50.63% Ilves 0 1138 23.02% 26.35%
22 1979-05-24 32.3 @ KuPS 2 1207 58.59% Ilves 0 1147 15.66% 25.75%
23 1979-05-13 32.8 @ KPV 3 1163 49.77% MiPK 0 1189 23.84% 26.39%
24 1979-08-07 32.8 @ TPS Turku 1 1268 67.55% Pyrkiva Turku 0 1084 8.43% 24.03%
25 1979-05-06 32.9 @ Haka 5 1254 60.64% KTP 1 1169 13.87% 25.48%