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1989 Mestaruussarja Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Kuusysi

41 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1986

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Reipas Lahti

3.20 points above expected

27 points · 23.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jaro

2.59 points below expected

11 points · 13.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kuusysi 22 13 6 3 32 44 22 +22 28.18 +3.82
2 TPS Turku 22 12 8 2 32 37 17 +20 26.14 +5.86
3 RoPS 22 11 8 3 30 42 20 +22 28.32 +1.68
4 Haka 22 11 5 6 27 34 22 +12 24.97 +2.03
5 HJK 22 10 5 7 25 28 20 +8 27.12 -2.12
6 Ilves 22 9 5 8 23 36 31 +5 21.14 +1.86
7 KuPS 22 9 5 8 23 30 30 0 18.97 +4.03
8 Reipas Lahti 22 8 4 10 20 44 42 +2 23.80 -3.80
9 MP Mikkeli 22 5 6 11 16 27 44 -17 19.61 -3.61
10 OTP Oulu 22 4 7 11 15 19 38 -19 18.18 -3.18
11 Kemi 22 1 9 12 11 20 53 -33 14.48 -3.48
12 Jaro 22 3 4 15 10 25 47 -22 13.09 -3.09
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kuusysi Champion 27 17 7 3 41 51 23 +28 38.22 +2.78
2 TPS Turku 27 15 9 3 39 46 21 +25 37.73 +1.27
3 RoPS 27 12 10 5 34 45 27 +18 35.49 -1.49
4 Haka 27 12 6 9 30 38 30 +8 31.50 -1.50
5 HJK 27 11 7 9 29 36 28 +8 29.89 -0.89
6 Ilves 27 10 6 11 26 45 43 +2 26.17 -0.17
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KuPS 27 12 5 10 29 39 37 +2 29.46 -0.46
2 Reipas Lahti 27 11 5 11 27 56 48 +8 — —
3 OTP Oulu 27 7 8 12 22 31 43 -12 19.71 +2.29
4 MP Mikkeli 27 7 8 12 22 34 50 -16 20.73 +1.27
5 Kemi 27 2 10 15 14 27 66 -39 14.86 -0.86
6 Jaro 27 3 5 19 11 27 59 -32 13.59 -2.59

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Reipas Lahti 27 23.80 +3.20
2 Kuusysi 41 38.22 +2.78
3 OTP Oulu 22 19.71 +2.29
4 TPS Turku 39 37.73 +1.27
5 MP Mikkeli 22 20.73 +1.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jaro 11 13.59 -2.59
2 Haka 30 31.50 -1.50
3 RoPS 34 35.49 -1.49
4 HJK 29 29.89 -0.89
5 Kemi 14 14.86 -0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ilves 3 Apr 29 – May 11 1 in 136
2 TPS Turku 5 Jul 6 – Aug 10 1 in 115
3 KuPS 4 Jul 2 – Jul 30 1 in 65
4 OTP Oulu 3 May 14 – May 25 1 in 29
5 HJK 4 Aug 10 – Aug 20 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MP Mikkeli 7 Jul 30 – Aug 27 1 in 290
2 Ilves 5 Jun 29 – Jul 30 1 in 60
3 Haka 5 Aug 20 – Sep 23 1 in 43
4 Reipas Lahti 4 Aug 10 – Aug 20 1 in 40
5 Jaro 6 Jul 9 – Aug 13 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 17 Jun 18 – Sep 30 1 in 166
2 Kuusysi 16 Jun 29 – Oct 8 1 in 81
3 KuPS 7 Jun 21 – Aug 6 1 in 40
4 MP Mikkeli 7 Jun 11 – Jul 23 1 in 29
5 Haka 9 Jun 29 – Aug 17 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kemi 21 Apr 29 – Aug 20 1 in 162
2 MP Mikkeli 10 Jul 30 – Sep 24 1 in 39
3 RoPS 5 Jul 2 – Aug 6 1 in 32
4 HJK 5 Jun 4 – Jun 21 1 in 24
5 OTP Oulu 9 May 28 – Jul 23 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Kuusysi 1739 41 +32 9 6.3 +2.7
TPS Turku 1692 39 +22 7 5.9 +1.1
RoPS 1609 34 -49 4 5.7 -1.7
Haka 1577 30 -16 3 4.2 -1.2
KuPS 1514 29 -4 6 6.6 -0.6
HJK 1608 29 -11 4 4.9 -0.9
Reipas Lahti 1548 27 +18 7 6.8 +0.2
Ilves 1515 26 +23 3 3.0 -0.0
OTP Oulu 1442 22 +48 7 4.6 +2.4
MP Mikkeli 1413 22 +18 6 5.0 +1.0
Kemi 1306 14 -26 3 3.6 -0.6
Jaro 1256 11 -54 1 3.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK ILV JAR KEM KUP KUU MM OO RL ROP TT
HJK —
1-1-1
4.90
2-0-1
5.44
1-1-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.65
0-1-2
3.74
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-1
3.43
0-0-3
4.13
Haka
1-1-1
3.27
—
1-2-0
5.21
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-2
3.21
0-0-3
3.73
Ilves
1-0-2
2.74
0-2-1
2.96
—
1-1-0
3.92
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-3
2.32
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.19
1-2-0
2.72
1-0-2
2.80
Jaro
0-1-1
1.11
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.55
—
2-0-1
3.96
0-0-3
2.38
0-1-1
1.07
1-0-2
2.83
0-1-2
2.80
0-1-2
1.84
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
1.14
Kemi
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.34
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-2
4.20
—
0-2-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.43
1-2-0
2.83
0-2-1
3.20
0-0-3
2.20
0-1-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.64
KuPS
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.54
3-0-0
5.82
1-2-0
5.42
—
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-2
4.36
1-0-2
4.75
2-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
1.59
0-2-0
1.89
Kuusysi
2-1-0
4.42
2-1-0
5.35
3-0-0
5.88
1-1-0
4.45
1-1-0
4.06
1-0-1
4.00
—
2-0-0
4.08
0-1-1
3.99
1-0-1
3.18
2-1-0
4.12
2-1-0
4.70
MP Mikkeli
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-1
5.35
0-2-1
5.35
2-0-1
3.80
0-0-2
1.39
—
1-1-1
4.72
0-2-1
2.67
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.73
OTP Oulu
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
2.46
2-1-0
5.39
1-2-0
4.97
2-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
1.50
1-1-1
3.44
—
0-0-3
3.03
0-0-2
1.49
0-2-0
1.70
Reipas Lahti
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
3.26
2-1-0
6.40
3-0-0
6.01
0-1-2
4.77
1-0-1
2.27
1-2-0
5.51
3-0-0
5.14
—
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.51
RoPS
1-2-0
4.73
2-1-0
4.95
0-2-1
5.46
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.87
0-1-2
4.04
1-1-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.49
—
0-2-1
4.14
TPS Turku
3-0-0
4.03
3-0-0
4.43
2-0-1
5.39
2-0-0
4.36
1-1-0
3.82
0-2-0
3.56
0-1-2
3.46
1-1-0
3.73
0-2-0
3.78
2-0-0
2.93
1-2-0
4.02
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +7.4
Allowed 0.87 -5.8
Differential 0.95 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.64%6.48%5.86%3.40%1.85%0.62%26.85%
16.48%13.58%5.56%5.56%1.54%2.16%34.88%
25.86%5.56%4.32%1.85%0.31%0.93%18.83%
33.40%5.56%1.85%——0.62%11.42%
41.85%1.54%0.31%———3.70%
5+0.62%2.16%0.93%0.62%——4.32%
Total26.85%34.88%18.83%11.42%3.70%4.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.14
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%11.11%———25.93%
13.70%14.81%11.11%3.70%——33.33%
218.52%7.41%3.70%———29.63%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total33.33%33.33%29.63%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.04 +0.30
SD 1.18 0.90 1.56
CV 0.88 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%11.11%7.41%——37.04%
17.41%11.11%—3.70%——22.22%
23.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
33.70%11.11%————14.81%
43.70%7.41%————11.11%
5+———————
Total25.93%48.15%14.81%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.11 +0.30
SD 1.42 0.93 1.94
CV 1.01 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
1—11.11%7.41%3.70%—3.70%25.93%
211.11%————11.11%22.22%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
47.41%—3.70%———11.11%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total33.33%25.93%18.52%7.41%—14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.59 +0.07
SD 1.47 1.72 2.34
CV 0.88 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%11.11%7.41%7.41%—40.74%
1—7.41%14.81%14.81%3.70%3.70%44.44%
2———3.70%——3.70%
3——3.70%———3.70%
4———————
5+—7.41%————7.41%
Total11.11%18.52%29.63%25.93%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.19 -1.19
SD 1.36 1.30 2.00
CV 1.36 0.60 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%7.41%——3.70%33.33%
1—14.81%3.70%11.11%7.41%11.11%48.15%
2—3.70%7.41%3.70%——14.81%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total14.81%25.93%18.52%18.52%7.41%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.44 -1.44
SD 1.21 2.17 2.33
CV 1.21 0.89 —
Max 6 9 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%11.11%——25.93%
17.41%3.70%14.81%—3.70%—29.63%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
37.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total25.93%29.63%29.63%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.37 +0.07
SD 1.19 1.11 1.86
CV 0.82 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%————7.41%
122.22%14.81%3.70%3.70%——44.44%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
37.41%7.41%————14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total40.74%40.74%11.11%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.85 +1.04
SD 1.48 0.91 1.48
CV 0.78 1.07 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
17.41%18.52%—3.70%—7.41%37.04%
2—7.41%7.41%—3.70%—18.52%
37.41%————3.70%11.11%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total18.52%40.74%14.81%7.41%7.41%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.85 -0.59
SD 1.23 1.77 2.17
CV 0.97 0.96 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%7.41%—7.41%3.70%40.74%
1—14.81%7.41%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
23.70%7.41%—3.70%——14.81%
3—7.41%————7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total22.22%40.74%14.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.59 -0.44
SD 1.35 1.53 2.28
CV 1.18 0.96 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%7.41%——18.52%
17.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
2——7.41%11.11%——18.52%
33.70%14.81%7.41%——3.70%29.63%
4———————
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total14.81%33.33%25.93%22.22%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 1.78 +0.30
SD 1.96 1.45 2.61
CV 0.94 0.82 —
Max 9 7 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%——3.70%—25.93%
17.41%18.52%—7.41%——33.33%
23.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total33.33%48.15%7.41%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.00 +0.67
SD 1.78 1.04 2.15
CV 1.07 1.04 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%————11.11%
114.81%22.22%—7.41%——44.44%
222.22%—3.70%———25.93%
3—7.41%————7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+——7.41%———7.41%
Total48.15%33.33%11.11%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.78 +0.93
SD 1.32 0.93 1.47
CV 0.78 1.20 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kuusysi 1739 41 28.18 +12.82 86.0% 18 20 26 29 31 34 38
TPS Turku 1692 39 26.14 +12.86 95.0% 15 19 23 26 29 32 34
RoPS 1609 34 28.32 +5.68 69.0% 19 22 25 28 31 34 37
HJK 1608 29 27.12 +1.88 31.0% 18 20 24 28 30 32 35
Haka 1577 30 24.97 +5.03 72.0% 13 19 22 25 28 31 34
Reipas Lahti 1548 27 23.80 +3.20 16.0% 10 17 21 24 26 29 30
Ilves 1515 26 21.14 +4.86 73.0% 13 15 18 21 24 27 29
KuPS 1514 29 18.97 +10.03 86.0% 12 14 17 19 21 24 27
OTP Oulu 1442 22 18.18 +3.82 23.0% 10 13 16 18 20 24 31
MP Mikkeli 1413 22 19.61 +2.39 20.0% 10 13 17 20 22 25 32
Kemi 1306 14 14.48 -0.48 20.0% 6 9 12 15 17 20 23
Jaro 1256 11 13.09 -2.09 29.0% 5 8 10 13 15 19 24

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.49%
Slight Edge
41.98%26.54%31.48%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.59 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.27 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.5
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Kuusysi, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.48 * Lucky: 4.48 to 5.98 * Wild Swing: 5.98 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.41 points
Some Luck
03.749
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
TPS Turku
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
Reipas Lahti
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 136.06
2.01
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Notable Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.74
Near-Lock
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.13
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.122
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Kuusysi22.00%25.00%21.00%14.00%8.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
TPS Turku16.00%16.00%13.00%19.00%8.00%14.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%—
RoPS30.00%21.00%15.00%16.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%————
Haka6.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%16.00%15.00%14.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
HJK23.00%18.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%———
Ilves—1.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%12.00%2.00%3.00%
KuPS———5.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%29.00%17.00%10.00%1.00%
Reipas Lahti2.00%5.00%11.00%14.00%20.00%17.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
OTP Oulu1.00%—1.00%—2.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%24.00%14.00%10.00%
MP Mikkeli—1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%22.00%17.00%16.00%7.00%4.00%
Kemi————1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%16.00%35.00%32.00%
Jaro—————1.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%28.00%48.00%
Team123456789101112
Kuusysi58.36%30.49%10.46%0.68%0.01%———————
TPS Turku34.82%47.12%16.94%1.10%0.02%———————
RoPS6.80%21.25%62.56%8.46%0.93%———————
Haka0.02%1.05%8.07%64.17%24.88%1.81%——————
HJK—0.09%1.95%24.45%65.38%8.13%——————
Ilves——0.02%1.14%8.78%90.06%——————
KuPS——————86.57%13.33%0.10%———
OTP Oulu———————0.48%31.14%63.31%4.76%0.31%
MP Mikkeli——————0.01%1.93%65.93%30.39%1.70%0.04%
Kemi———————0.01%0.53%4.94%66.01%28.51%
Jaro————————0.08%1.25%27.53%71.14%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
HJK 100% — —
Haka 99.00% 1.00% —
Kuusysi 100% — —
RoPS 100% — —
TPS Turku 100% — —
Reipas Lahti 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Ilves 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
KuPS 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
MP Mikkeli 88.00% 9.00% 3.00%
OTP Oulu 78.00% 14.00% 8.00%
Kemi 32.00% 37.00% 31.00%
Jaro 23.00% 24.00% 53.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
HJK 100% — —
Haka 100% — —
Ilves 100% — —
KuPS 100% — —
Kuusysi 100% — —
Reipas Lahti (1st) 100% — —
RoPS 100% — —
TPS Turku 100% — —
MP Mikkeli 98.26% 1.70% 0.04%
OTP Oulu 94.93% 4.76% 0.31%
Kemi 5.48% 66.01% 28.51%
Jaro 1.33% 27.53% 71.14%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1989-04-29 HJK W 2-057.6 1450 1636 20.22% 27.07% 52.71%-0.92 +24.1 2
1989-04-29 @ Ilves L 0-257.6 1636 1450 52.71% 27.07% 20.22%+0.92 -24.1 0
1989-04-29 Jaro W 2-145.8 1627 1336 69.52% 23.41% 7.08%+2.02 +2.1 2
1989-04-29 @ Kuusysi L 1-245.8 1336 1627 7.08% 23.41% 69.52%-2.02 -2.1 0
1989-04-29 Reipas Lahti D 1-163.4 1478 1571 30.70% 28.00% 41.30%-0.35 +0.5 1
1989-04-29 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-163.4 1571 1478 41.30% 28.00% 30.70%+0.35 -0.5 1
1989-04-29 Haka L 1-258.7 1492 1554 34.83% 28.12% 37.05%-0.16 -8.7 0
1989-04-29 @ OTP Oulu W 2-158.7 1554 1492 37.05% 28.12% 34.83%+0.16 +8.7 2
1989-04-29 KuPS W 4-148.4 1582 1472 55.85% 27.11% 17.04%+0.90 +12.2 2
1989-04-29 @ RoPS L 1-448.4 1472 1582 17.04% 27.11% 55.85%-0.90 -12.2 0
1989-04-29 Kemi W 1-048.0 1557 1466 54.02% 27.35% 18.63%+0.79 +5.7 2
1989-04-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-148.0 1466 1557 18.63% 27.35% 54.02%-0.79 -5.7 0
1989-05-07 MP Mikkeli W 1-048.9 1563 1478 53.40% 27.43% 19.17%+0.75 +5.8 4
1989-05-07 @ Haka L 0-148.9 1478 1563 19.17% 27.43% 53.40%-0.75 -5.8 1
1989-05-07 OTP Oulu W 2-046.7 1612 1483 57.63% 26.83% 15.54%+1.02 +9.2 2
1989-05-07 @ HJK L 0-246.7 1483 1612 15.54% 26.83% 57.63%-1.02 -9.2 0
1989-05-07 RoPS L 0-337.9 1334 1594 14.22% 25.80% 59.98%-1.38 -12.1 0
1989-05-07 @ Jaro W 3-037.9 1594 1334 59.98% 25.80% 14.22%+1.38 +12.1 4
1989-05-07 Kuusysi D 2-270.0 1460 1629 21.89% 27.30% 50.81%-0.82 +1.2 1
1989-05-07 @ Kemi D 2-270.0 1629 1460 50.81% 27.30% 21.89%+0.82 -1.2 3
1989-05-07 TPS Turku D 1-162.4 1460 1563 29.49% 27.94% 42.58%-0.41 +0.7 1
1989-05-07 @ KuPS D 1-162.4 1563 1460 42.58% 27.94% 29.49%+0.41 -0.7 3
1989-05-07 Ilves L 2-368.9 1570 1474 54.51% 27.29% 18.20%+0.82 -11.9 1
1989-05-07 @ Reipas Lahti W 3-268.9 1474 1570 18.20% 27.29% 54.51%-0.82 +11.9 4
1989-05-11 Reipas Lahti W 3-049.5 1569 1558 44.83% 28.04% 27.13%+0.29 +21.0 6
1989-05-11 @ Haka L 0-349.5 1558 1569 27.13% 28.04% 44.83%-0.29 -21.0 1
1989-05-11 HJK L 1-353.6 1461 1621 22.85% 27.41% 49.74%-0.76 -10.9 1
1989-05-11 @ Kemi W 3-153.6 1621 1461 49.74% 27.41% 22.85%+0.76 +10.9 4
1989-05-11 RoPS W 3-158.7 1628 1606 46.20% 27.98% 25.81%+0.36 +12.0 5
1989-05-11 @ Kuusysi L 1-358.7 1606 1628 25.81% 27.98% 46.20%-0.36 -12.0 4
1989-05-11 KuPS W 3-042.6 1472 1461 44.92% 28.04% 27.04%+0.30 +20.9 3
1989-05-11 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-342.6 1461 1472 27.04% 28.04% 44.92%-0.30 -20.9 1
1989-05-11 Jaro D 0-051.6 1474 1322 59.71% 26.44% 13.85%+1.17 -2.9 1
1989-05-11 @ OTP Oulu D 0-051.6 1322 1474 13.85% 26.44% 59.71%-1.17 +2.9 1
1989-05-11 Ilves L 1-361.3 1562 1486 52.44% 27.53% 20.03%+0.70 -20.9 3
1989-05-11 @ TPS Turku W 3-161.3 1486 1562 20.03% 27.53% 52.44%-0.70 +20.9 6
1989-05-14 Haka W 3-050.7 1632 1590 48.61% 27.85% 23.54%+0.48 +18.8 6
1989-05-14 @ HJK L 0-350.7 1590 1632 23.54% 27.85% 48.61%-0.48 -18.8 6
1989-05-14 Kuusysi L 1-259.1 1507 1640 25.78% 27.69% 46.52%-0.60 -6.9 6
1989-05-14 @ Ilves W 2-159.1 1640 1507 46.52% 27.69% 25.78%+0.60 +6.9 7
1989-05-14 KuPS L 1-247.7 1325 1440 27.91% 27.85% 44.25%-0.49 -7.4 1
1989-05-14 @ Jaro W 2-147.7 1440 1325 44.25% 27.85% 27.91%+0.49 +7.4 3
1989-05-14 MP Mikkeli W 3-152.0 1471 1493 40.51% 28.14% 31.35%+0.09 +13.9 3
1989-05-14 @ OTP Oulu L 1-352.0 1493 1471 31.35% 28.14% 40.51%-0.09 -13.9 3
1989-05-14 Kemi W 3-149.0 1537 1450 53.58% 27.41% 19.02%+0.76 +9.4 3
1989-05-14 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-349.0 1450 1537 19.02% 27.41% 53.58%-0.76 -9.4 1
1989-05-14 TPS Turku D 0-062.3 1594 1541 49.91% 27.76% 22.33%+0.55 -1.6 5
1989-05-14 @ RoPS D 0-062.3 1541 1594 22.33% 27.76% 49.91%-0.55 +1.6 4
1989-05-21 Ilves D 1-164.3 1571 1500 51.93% 27.58% 20.49%+0.67 -1.7 7
1989-05-21 @ Haka D 1-164.3 1500 1571 20.49% 27.58% 51.93%-0.67 +1.7 7
1989-05-21 RoPS L 0-745.1 1441 1592 23.72% 27.50% 48.78%-0.71 -41.6 1
1989-05-21 @ Kemi W 7-045.1 1592 1441 48.78% 27.50% 23.72%+0.71 +41.6 7
1989-05-21 OTP Oulu L 1-255.5 1447 1485 38.35% 28.15% 33.50%-0.01 -9.3 3
1989-05-21 @ KuPS W 2-155.5 1485 1447 33.50% 28.15% 38.35%+0.01 +9.3 5
1989-05-21 Reipas Lahti L 0-164.2 1647 1547 54.93% 27.24% 17.83%+0.85 -13.4 7
1989-05-21 @ Kuusysi W 1-064.2 1547 1647 17.83% 27.24% 54.93%-0.85 +13.4 5
1989-05-21 Jaro L 1-551.0 1479 1317 60.52% 26.27% 13.20%+1.23 -43.6 3
1989-05-21 @ MP Mikkeli W 5-151.0 1317 1479 13.20% 26.27% 60.52%-1.23 +43.6 3
1989-05-21 HJK W 2-058.1 1543 1650 28.81% 27.90% 43.29%-0.44 +20.4 6
1989-05-21 @ TPS Turku L 0-258.1 1650 1543 43.29% 27.90% 28.81%+0.44 -20.4 6
1989-05-25 Jaro W 4-141.3 1569 1361 64.13% 25.35% 10.52%+1.52 +7.8 9
1989-05-25 @ Haka L 1-441.3 1361 1569 10.52% 25.35% 64.13%-1.52 -7.8 3
1989-05-25 KuPS W 1-047.0 1630 1438 62.92% 25.69% 11.39%+1.41 +3.7 8
1989-05-25 @ HJK L 0-147.0 1438 1630 11.39% 25.69% 62.92%-1.41 -3.6 3
1989-05-25 Ilves L 0-244.3 1399 1502 29.51% 27.94% 42.55%-0.41 -15.3 1
1989-05-25 @ Kemi W 2-044.3 1502 1399 42.55% 27.94% 29.51%+0.41 +15.3 9
1989-05-25 RoPS D 1-164.5 1436 1634 19.07% 26.88% 54.05%-1.00 +1.9 4
1989-05-25 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-164.5 1634 1436 54.05% 26.88% 19.07%+1.00 -1.9 8
1989-05-25 Kuusysi W 3-162.5 1494 1633 25.08% 27.63% 47.28%-0.63 +19.0 7
1989-05-25 @ OTP Oulu L 1-362.5 1633 1494 47.28% 27.63% 25.08%+0.63 -19.0 7
1989-05-25 TPS Turku L 0-159.0 1560 1563 43.04% 28.10% 28.86%+0.21 -10.8 5
1989-05-25 @ Reipas Lahti W 1-059.0 1563 1560 28.86% 28.10% 43.04%-0.21 +10.8 8
1989-05-28 OTP Oulu W 2-156.0 1632 1513 56.73% 26.98% 16.29%+0.96 +4.8 10
1989-05-28 @ RoPS L 1-256.0 1513 1632 16.29% 26.98% 56.73%-0.96 -4.8 7
1989-06-04 OTP Oulu W 4-045.2 1517 1509 44.53% 28.05% 27.42%+0.28 +27.6 11
1989-06-04 @ Ilves L 0-445.2 1509 1517 27.42% 28.05% 44.53%-0.28 -27.6 7
1989-06-04 Reipas Lahti L 1-345.9 1353 1549 19.28% 26.92% 53.80%-0.99 -9.5 3
1989-06-04 @ Jaro W 3-145.9 1549 1353 53.80% 26.92% 19.28%+0.99 +9.4 7
1989-06-04 Kemi D 0-051.7 1434 1384 49.59% 27.78% 22.63%+0.54 -1.6 4
1989-06-04 @ KuPS D 0-051.7 1384 1434 22.63% 27.78% 49.59%-0.54 +1.6 2
1989-06-04 HJK W 2-163.1 1614 1634 40.88% 28.14% 30.98%+0.11 +8.0 9
1989-06-04 @ Kuusysi L 1-263.1 1634 1614 30.98% 28.14% 40.88%-0.11 -8.0 8
1989-06-04 Haka W 2-052.0 1637 1577 50.65% 27.70% 21.65%+0.59 +12.1 12
1989-06-04 @ RoPS L 0-252.0 1577 1637 21.65% 27.70% 50.65%-0.59 -12.1 9
1989-06-04 MP Mikkeli D 1-162.4 1574 1438 58.34% 26.71% 14.95%+1.07 -2.4 9
1989-06-04 @ TPS Turku D 1-162.4 1438 1574 14.95% 26.71% 58.34%-1.07 +2.4 5
1989-06-08 Reipas Lahti D 1-167.7 1626 1559 51.48% 27.62% 20.89%+0.64 -1.6 9
1989-06-08 @ HJK D 1-167.7 1559 1626 20.89% 27.62% 51.48%-0.64 +1.6 8
1989-06-08 RoPS D 0-063.8 1545 1649 29.25% 27.93% 42.83%-0.42 +0.8 12
1989-06-08 @ Ilves D 0-063.8 1649 1545 42.83% 27.93% 29.25%+0.42 -0.8 13
1989-06-08 Jaro L 2-358.0 1386 1344 48.63% 27.85% 23.52%+0.49 -10.7 2
1989-06-08 @ Kemi W 3-258.0 1344 1386 23.52% 27.85% 48.63%-0.49 +10.7 5
1989-06-08 Haka W 3-157.7 1433 1565 25.83% 27.70% 46.47%-0.59 +18.8 6
1989-06-08 @ KuPS L 1-357.7 1565 1433 46.47% 27.70% 25.83%+0.59 -18.8 9
1989-06-08 MP Mikkeli W 1-047.0 1622 1440 62.17% 25.88% 11.95%+1.35 +3.8 11
1989-06-08 @ Kuusysi L 0-147.0 1440 1622 11.95% 25.88% 62.17%-1.35 -3.8 5
1989-06-08 TPS Turku D 1-163.5 1481 1571 31.04% 28.01% 40.96%-0.33 +0.5 8
1989-06-08 @ OTP Oulu D 1-163.5 1571 1481 40.96% 28.01% 31.04%+0.33 -0.5 10
1989-06-11 Kemi W 1-042.1 1546 1375 61.31% 26.09% 12.60%+1.29 +4.0 11
1989-06-11 @ Haka L 0-142.1 1375 1546 12.60% 26.09% 61.31%-1.29 -4.0 2
1989-06-11 HJK D 1-161.5 1354 1624 13.58% 25.60% 60.82%-1.44 +2.7 6
1989-06-11 @ Jaro D 1-161.5 1624 1354 60.82% 25.60% 13.58%+1.44 -2.7 10
1989-06-11 Ilves W 5-152.2 1436 1545 28.63% 27.89% 43.48%-0.45 +32.4 7
1989-06-11 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-552.2 1545 1436 43.48% 27.89% 28.63%+0.45 -32.4 12
1989-06-11 KuPS D 2-267.2 1560 1451 55.79% 27.12% 17.09%+0.90 -1.6 9
1989-06-11 @ Reipas Lahti D 2-267.2 1451 1560 17.09% 27.12% 55.79%-0.90 +1.6 7
1989-06-11 Kuusysi L 1-361.0 1571 1626 35.89% 28.14% 35.98%-0.12 -15.4 10
1989-06-11 @ TPS Turku W 3-161.0 1626 1571 35.98% 28.14% 35.89%+0.12 +15.4 13
1989-06-18 KuPS W 3-042.0 1513 1453 50.70% 27.69% 21.61%+0.60 +17.6 14
1989-06-18 @ Ilves L 0-342.0 1453 1513 21.61% 27.69% 50.70%-0.60 -17.5 7
1989-06-18 Haka D 2-272.9 1641 1550 54.02% 27.35% 18.63%+0.79 -1.4 14
1989-06-18 @ Kuusysi D 2-272.9 1550 1641 18.63% 27.35% 54.02%-0.79 +1.4 12
1989-06-18 HJK W 2-164.2 1469 1621 23.56% 27.49% 48.95%-0.72 +11.3 9
1989-06-18 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-264.2 1621 1469 48.95% 27.49% 23.56%+0.72 -11.3 10
1989-06-18 Kemi D 1-156.8 1481 1371 55.95% 27.10% 16.95%+0.91 -2.2 9
1989-06-18 @ OTP Oulu D 1-156.8 1371 1481 16.95% 27.10% 55.95%-0.91 +2.2 3
1989-06-18 Reipas Lahti W 3-155.9 1648 1559 53.86% 27.37% 18.77%+0.78 +9.3 15
1989-06-18 @ RoPS L 1-355.9 1559 1648 18.77% 27.37% 53.86%-0.78 -9.3 9
1989-06-18 Jaro W 4-035.4 1556 1357 63.40% 25.56% 11.04%+1.45 +12.7 12
1989-06-18 @ TPS Turku L 0-435.4 1357 1556 11.04% 25.56% 63.40%-1.45 -12.7 6
1989-06-21 TPS Turku L 0-158.4 1552 1568 41.27% 28.13% 30.59%+0.12 -10.4 12
1989-06-21 @ Haka W 1-058.4 1568 1552 30.59% 28.13% 41.27%-0.12 +10.5 14
1989-06-21 RoPS D 2-274.1 1610 1657 37.00% 28.15% 34.86%-0.07 -0.1 11
1989-06-21 @ HJK D 2-274.1 1657 1610 34.86% 28.15% 37.00%+0.07 +0.1 16
1989-06-21 Ilves D 0-053.5 1344 1530 20.19% 27.06% 52.74%-0.92 +2.0 7
1989-06-21 @ Jaro D 0-053.5 1530 1344 52.74% 27.06% 20.19%+0.92 -2.0 15
1989-06-21 MP Mikkeli D 1-156.6 1373 1480 28.93% 27.91% 43.16%-0.43 +0.7 4
1989-06-21 @ Kemi D 1-156.6 1480 1373 43.16% 27.91% 28.93%+0.43 -0.7 10
1989-06-21 Kuusysi W 2-165.3 1435 1640 18.51% 26.79% 54.71%-1.04 +12.5 9
1989-06-21 @ KuPS L 1-265.3 1640 1435 54.71% 26.79% 18.51%+1.04 -12.5 14
1989-06-21 OTP Oulu W 6-043.5 1549 1479 51.81% 27.59% 20.60%+0.66 +32.3 11
1989-06-21 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-643.5 1479 1549 20.60% 27.59% 51.81%-0.66 -32.3 9
1989-06-29 Reipas Lahti L 0-156.6 1529 1582 36.19% 28.14% 35.67%-0.10 -9.5 15
1989-06-29 @ Ilves W 1-056.6 1582 1529 35.67% 28.14% 36.19%+0.10 +9.5 13
1989-06-29 Kemi W 4-143.0 1628 1374 67.23% 24.32% 8.45%+1.80 +6.3 16
1989-06-29 @ Kuusysi L 1-443.0 1374 1628 8.45% 24.32% 67.23%-1.80 -6.3 4
1989-06-29 Haka D 1-162.3 1479 1541 34.88% 28.12% 37.00%-0.16 +0.1 11
1989-06-29 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-162.3 1541 1479 37.00% 28.12% 34.88%+0.16 -0.1 13
1989-06-29 Jaro W 2-147.0 1658 1346 70.71% 22.87% 6.42%+2.15 +1.9 18
1989-06-29 @ RoPS L 1-247.0 1346 1658 6.42% 22.87% 70.71%-2.15 -1.9 7
1989-06-29 KuPS D 2-267.9 1579 1448 57.84% 26.80% 15.36%+1.04 -1.8 15
1989-06-29 @ TPS Turku D 2-267.9 1448 1579 15.36% 26.80% 57.84%-1.04 +1.8 10
1989-07-02 OTP Oulu W 4-040.8 1541 1447 54.35% 27.31% 18.34%+0.81 +20.0 15
1989-07-02 @ Haka L 0-440.8 1447 1541 18.34% 27.31% 54.35%-0.81 -20.0 9
1989-07-02 Ilves W 2-156.4 1610 1519 54.00% 27.36% 18.64%+0.79 +5.3 13
1989-07-02 @ HJK L 1-256.4 1519 1610 18.64% 27.36% 54.00%-0.79 -5.3 15
1989-07-02 Kuusysi D 0-057.6 1344 1634 12.35% 25.18% 62.47%-1.56 +3.2 8
1989-07-02 @ Jaro D 0-057.6 1634 1344 62.47% 25.18% 12.35%+1.56 -3.2 17
1989-07-02 TPS Turku D 0-055.9 1367 1577 18.09% 26.71% 55.20%-1.07 +2.3 5
1989-07-02 @ Kemi D 0-055.9 1577 1367 55.20% 26.71% 18.09%+1.07 -2.3 16
1989-07-02 RoPS W 1-061.8 1450 1659 18.06% 26.70% 55.24%-1.07 +13.3 12
1989-07-02 @ KuPS L 0-161.8 1659 1450 55.24% 26.70% 18.06%+1.07 -13.3 18
1989-07-02 MP Mikkeli D 2-269.4 1591 1479 56.07% 27.08% 16.85%+0.92 -1.6 14
1989-07-02 @ Reipas Lahti D 2-269.4 1479 1591 16.85% 27.08% 56.07%-0.92 +1.6 12
1989-07-06 TPS Turku L 2-558.2 1514 1575 35.07% 28.12% 36.81%-0.15 -18.5 15
1989-07-06 @ Ilves W 5-258.2 1575 1514 36.81% 28.12% 35.07%+0.15 +18.5 18
1989-07-06 HJK D 0-059.4 1427 1615 19.98% 27.03% 52.99%-0.94 +2.0 10
1989-07-06 @ OTP Oulu D 0-059.4 1615 1427 52.99% 27.03% 19.98%+0.94 -2.0 14
1989-07-09 Kemi W 2-040.0 1613 1370 66.56% 24.56% 8.87%+1.73 +5.4 16
1989-07-09 @ HJK L 0-240.0 1370 1613 8.87% 24.56% 66.56%-1.73 -5.4 5
1989-07-09 MP Mikkeli L 0-143.7 1348 1481 25.75% 27.69% 46.56%-0.60 -7.3 8
1989-07-09 @ Jaro W 1-043.7 1481 1348 46.56% 27.69% 25.75%+0.60 +7.3 14
1989-07-09 KuPS L 1-449.4 1429 1463 38.86% 28.15% 32.98%+0.02 -23.0 10
1989-07-09 @ OTP Oulu W 4-149.4 1463 1429 32.98% 28.15% 38.86%-0.02 +23.0 14
1989-07-09 Haka L 1-265.7 1589 1561 46.98% 27.95% 25.07%+0.40 -11.0 14
1989-07-09 @ Reipas Lahti W 2-165.7 1561 1589 25.07% 27.95% 46.98%-0.40 +11.0 17
1989-07-09 Kuusysi D 1-169.3 1646 1631 45.42% 28.02% 26.56%+0.32 -1.0 19
1989-07-09 @ RoPS D 1-169.3 1631 1646 26.56% 28.02% 45.42%-0.32 +1.0 18
1989-07-23 HJK D 0-063.7 1572 1619 37.13% 28.15% 34.72%-0.06 -0.1 18
1989-07-23 @ Haka D 0-063.7 1619 1572 34.72% 28.15% 37.13%+0.06 +0.1 17
1989-07-23 Reipas Lahti L 1-941.0 1364 1579 17.69% 26.63% 55.68%-1.10 -30.4 5
1989-07-23 @ Kemi W 9-141.0 1579 1364 55.68% 26.63% 17.69%+1.10 +30.4 16
1989-07-23 Jaro W 3-142.1 1486 1340 59.16% 26.55% 14.28%+1.13 +7.4 16
1989-07-23 @ KuPS L 1-342.1 1340 1486 14.28% 26.55% 59.16%-1.13 -7.4 8
1989-07-23 Ilves W 2-047.5 1632 1495 58.34% 26.71% 14.95%+1.07 +8.8 20
1989-07-23 @ Kuusysi L 0-247.5 1495 1632 14.95% 26.71% 58.34%-1.07 -8.9 15
1989-07-23 OTP Oulu W 1-043.6 1488 1406 53.11% 27.46% 19.43%+0.74 +5.9 16
1989-07-23 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-143.6 1406 1488 19.43% 27.46% 53.11%-0.74 -5.9 10
1989-07-23 RoPS W 3-161.8 1593 1645 36.35% 28.14% 35.51%-0.10 +15.2 20
1989-07-23 @ TPS Turku L 1-361.8 1645 1593 35.51% 28.14% 36.35%+0.10 -15.2 19
1989-07-30 TPS Turku L 0-259.4 1619 1608 44.79% 28.04% 27.17%+0.29 -21.1 17
1989-07-30 @ HJK W 2-059.4 1608 1619 27.17% 28.04% 44.79%-0.29 +21.0 22
1989-07-30 Haka L 1-355.6 1486 1572 31.66% 28.03% 40.31%-0.30 -14.0 15
1989-07-30 @ Ilves W 3-155.6 1572 1486 40.31% 28.03% 31.66%+0.30 +14.0 20
1989-07-30 OTP Oulu L 0-241.6 1333 1400 34.21% 28.11% 37.69%-0.19 -17.1 8
1989-07-30 @ Jaro W 2-041.6 1400 1333 37.69% 28.11% 34.21%+0.19 +17.1 12
1989-07-30 MP Mikkeli W 1-049.9 1493 1494 43.36% 28.09% 28.55%+0.22 +7.9 18
1989-07-30 @ KuPS L 0-149.9 1494 1493 28.55% 28.09% 43.36%-0.22 -8.0 16
1989-07-30 Kuusysi L 3-761.9 1609 1640 39.21% 28.15% 32.64%+0.03 -23.2 16
1989-07-30 @ Reipas Lahti W 7-361.9 1640 1609 32.64% 28.15% 39.21%-0.03 +23.2 22
1989-07-30 Kemi D 1-161.6 1630 1334 69.83% 23.27% 6.90%+2.06 -3.7 20
1989-07-30 @ RoPS D 1-161.6 1334 1630 6.90% 23.27% 69.83%-2.06 +3.7 6
1989-08-02 Kuusysi L 0-159.6 1598 1664 34.38% 28.11% 37.51%-0.18 -9.1 17
1989-08-02 @ HJK W 1-059.6 1664 1598 37.51% 28.11% 34.38%+0.18 +9.1 24
1989-08-06 RoPS D 0-064.2 1586 1626 38.03% 28.15% 33.81%-0.02 -0.2 21
1989-08-06 @ Haka D 0-064.2 1626 1586 33.81% 28.15% 38.03%+0.02 +0.2 21
1989-08-06 KuPS D 0-052.4 1338 1501 22.41% 27.36% 50.23%-0.79 +1.6 7
1989-08-06 @ Kemi D 0-052.4 1501 1338 50.23% 27.36% 22.41%+0.79 -1.6 19
1989-08-06 TPS Turku L 0-250.3 1486 1629 24.60% 27.59% 47.81%-0.66 -13.3 16
1989-08-06 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-050.3 1629 1486 47.81% 27.59% 24.60%+0.66 +13.3 24
1989-08-06 Ilves L 0-245.9 1417 1472 35.88% 28.14% 35.98%-0.12 -17.7 12
1989-08-06 @ OTP Oulu W 2-045.9 1472 1417 35.98% 28.14% 35.88%+0.12 +17.7 17
1989-08-06 Jaro W 3-248.7 1586 1316 68.25% 23.93% 7.82%+1.90 +2.2 18
1989-08-06 @ Reipas Lahti L 2-348.7 1316 1586 7.82% 23.93% 68.25%-1.90 -2.2 8
1989-08-09 OTP Oulu D 1-165.5 1673 1399 68.47% 23.84% 7.69%+1.92 -3.6 25
1989-08-09 @ Kuusysi D 1-165.5 1399 1673 7.69% 23.84% 68.47%-1.92 +3.6 13
1989-08-10 Kemi D 1-156.4 1490 1339 59.60% 26.47% 13.94%+1.16 -2.6 18
1989-08-10 @ Ilves D 1-156.4 1339 1490 13.94% 26.47% 59.60%-1.16 +2.6 8
1989-08-10 Haka L 1-343.6 1314 1586 13.40% 25.54% 61.05%-1.46 -6.8 8
1989-08-10 @ Jaro W 3-143.6 1586 1314 61.05% 25.54% 13.40%+1.46 +6.8 23
1989-08-10 HJK L 1-259.0 1500 1589 31.23% 28.02% 40.75%-0.32 -8.0 19
1989-08-10 @ KuPS W 2-159.0 1589 1500 40.75% 28.02% 31.23%+0.32 +8.0 19
1989-08-10 MP Mikkeli W 6-146.1 1626 1473 59.84% 26.42% 13.74%+1.18 +15.9 23
1989-08-10 @ RoPS L 1-646.1 1473 1626 13.74% 26.42% 59.84%-1.18 -15.9 16
1989-08-10 Reipas Lahti W 2-052.5 1643 1588 50.12% 27.74% 22.14%+0.57 +12.3 26
1989-08-10 @ TPS Turku L 0-252.5 1588 1643 22.14% 27.74% 50.12%-0.57 -12.3 18
1989-08-13 Jaro W 2-036.3 1597 1307 69.48% 23.42% 7.10%+2.02 +4.3 21
1989-08-13 @ HJK L 0-236.3 1307 1597 7.10% 23.42% 69.48%-2.02 -4.3 8
1989-08-13 MP Mikkeli W 4-253.2 1488 1457 47.29% 27.93% 24.78%+0.42 +10.4 20
1989-08-13 @ Ilves L 2-453.2 1457 1488 24.78% 27.93% 47.29%-0.42 -10.4 16
1989-08-13 Haka L 1-443.0 1342 1593 14.85% 25.97% 59.17%-1.33 -10.6 8
1989-08-13 @ Kemi W 4-143.0 1593 1342 59.17% 25.97% 14.85%+1.33 +10.6 25
1989-08-13 Reipas Lahti W 3-051.4 1492 1576 31.90% 28.04% 40.05%-0.29 +27.9 21
1989-08-13 @ KuPS L 0-351.4 1576 1492 40.05% 28.04% 31.90%+0.29 -27.9 18
1989-08-13 TPS Turku D 1-170.0 1669 1655 45.25% 28.03% 26.73%+0.31 -1.0 26
1989-08-13 @ Kuusysi D 1-170.0 1655 1669 26.73% 28.03% 45.25%-0.31 +1.0 27
1989-08-13 RoPS L 0-147.6 1403 1642 15.69% 26.19% 58.11%-1.25 -4.8 13
1989-08-13 @ OTP Oulu W 1-047.6 1642 1403 58.11% 26.19% 15.69%+1.25 +4.8 25
1989-08-17 KuPS W 2-048.9 1603 1520 53.26% 27.44% 19.29%+0.74 +11.0 27
1989-08-17 @ Haka L 0-248.9 1520 1603 19.29% 27.44% 53.26%-0.74 -11.0 21
1989-08-17 Kemi W 5-140.8 1302 1331 39.59% 28.15% 32.26%+0.05 +26.0 10
1989-08-17 @ Jaro L 1-540.8 1331 1302 32.26% 28.15% 39.59%-0.05 -26.0 8
1989-08-17 Kuusysi L 0-444.7 1446 1668 17.06% 26.50% 56.44%-1.15 -18.6 16
1989-08-17 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-044.7 1668 1446 56.44% 26.50% 17.06%+1.15 +18.6 28
1989-08-17 HJK L 0-254.9 1548 1601 36.16% 28.14% 35.70%-0.10 -17.8 18
1989-08-17 @ Reipas Lahti W 2-054.9 1601 1548 35.70% 28.14% 36.16%+0.10 +17.8 23
1989-08-17 Ilves D 0-063.0 1647 1498 59.46% 26.49% 14.04%+1.15 -2.9 26
1989-08-17 @ RoPS D 0-063.0 1498 1647 14.04% 26.49% 59.46%-1.15 +2.9 21
1989-08-17 OTP Oulu D 1-164.7 1656 1398 67.49% 24.22% 8.28%+1.82 -3.5 28
1989-08-17 @ TPS Turku D 1-164.7 1398 1656 8.28% 24.22% 67.49%-1.82 +3.5 14
1989-08-20 Kuusysi L 0-159.9 1614 1687 33.46% 28.09% 38.45%-0.22 -8.9 27
1989-08-20 @ Haka W 1-059.9 1687 1614 38.45% 28.09% 33.46%+0.22 +8.9 30
1989-08-20 MP Mikkeli W 2-043.5 1619 1428 62.84% 25.71% 11.45%+1.41 +6.9 25
1989-08-20 @ HJK L 0-243.5 1428 1619 11.45% 25.71% 62.84%-1.41 -6.9 16
1989-08-20 TPS Turku L 1-345.3 1328 1653 10.46% 24.39% 65.15%-1.78 -5.4 10
1989-08-20 @ Jaro W 3-145.3 1653 1328 65.15% 24.39% 10.46%+1.78 +5.4 30
1989-08-20 OTP Oulu D 0-049.6 1305 1402 30.27% 27.98% 41.75%-0.37 +0.7 9
1989-08-20 @ Kemi D 0-049.6 1402 1305 41.75% 27.98% 30.27%+0.37 -0.7 15
1989-08-20 Ilves W 3-045.5 1509 1501 44.45% 28.06% 27.49%+0.27 +21.2 23
1989-08-20 @ KuPS L 0-345.5 1501 1509 27.49% 28.06% 44.45%-0.27 -21.2 21
1989-08-20 RoPS L 2-365.2 1530 1644 27.99% 27.85% 44.16%-0.48 -7.0 18
1989-08-20 @ Reipas Lahti W 3-265.2 1644 1530 44.16% 27.85% 27.99%+0.48 +7.0 28
1989-08-27 Jaro W 5-137.1 1480 1323 60.09% 26.37% 13.55%+1.19 +12.8 23
1989-08-27 @ Ilves L 1-537.1 1323 1480 13.55% 26.37% 60.09%-1.19 -12.8 10
1989-08-27 KuPS W 3-047.1 1696 1530 60.87% 26.19% 12.94%+1.25 +11.3 32
1989-08-27 @ Kuusysi L 0-347.1 1530 1696 12.94% 26.19% 60.87%-1.25 -11.3 23
1989-08-27 Kemi L 3-654.7 1421 1306 56.37% 27.04% 16.60%+0.94 -25.3 16
1989-08-27 @ MP Mikkeli W 6-354.7 1306 1421 16.60% 27.04% 56.37%-0.94 +25.3 11
1989-08-27 Reipas Lahti L 2-356.4 1401 1523 27.08% 27.79% 45.13%-0.53 -6.8 15
1989-08-27 @ OTP Oulu W 3-256.4 1523 1401 45.13% 27.79% 27.08%+0.53 +6.8 20
1989-08-27 HJK W 2-161.8 1651 1626 46.66% 27.96% 25.37%+0.38 +6.9 30
1989-08-27 @ RoPS L 1-261.8 1626 1651 25.37% 27.96% 46.66%-0.38 -6.8 25
1989-08-27 Haka W 2-053.2 1658 1605 49.85% 27.76% 22.39%+0.55 +12.4 32
1989-08-27 @ TPS Turku L 0-253.2 1605 1658 22.39% 27.76% 49.85%-0.55 -12.4 27

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1989-09-09 TPS Turku L 0-256.4 1593 1670 32.80% 28.07% 39.13%-0.25 -16.6 0
1989-09-09 @ Haka W 2-056.4 1670 1593 39.13% 28.07% 32.80%+0.25 +16.6 2
1989-09-09 Ilves W 1-050.3 1707 1492 64.58% 25.22% 10.21%+1.55 +3.3 2
1989-09-09 @ Kuusysi L 0-150.3 1492 1707 10.21% 25.22% 64.58%-1.55 -3.3 0
1989-09-10 Jaro W 2-035.7 1518 1310 64.12% 25.35% 10.53%+1.51 +6.4 2
1989-09-10 @ KuPS L 0-235.7 1310 1518 10.53% 25.35% 64.12%-1.51 -6.4 0
1989-09-10 Kemi D 2-258.9 1396 1331 51.17% 27.65% 21.17%+0.62 -1.2 1
1989-09-10 @ MP Mikkeli D 2-258.9 1331 1396 21.17% 27.65% 51.17%-0.62 +1.2 1
1989-09-10 Reipas Lahti L 1-348.7 1394 1530 25.48% 27.67% 46.85%-0.61 -11.9 0
1989-09-10 @ OTP Oulu W 3-148.7 1530 1394 46.85% 27.67% 25.48%+0.61 +11.9 2
1989-09-10 HJK D 1-169.4 1658 1619 48.31% 27.87% 23.82%+0.47 -1.3 1
1989-09-10 @ RoPS D 1-169.4 1619 1658 23.82% 27.87% 48.31%-0.47 +1.3 1
1989-09-16 Ilves W 5-252.9 1687 1489 63.35% 25.57% 11.08%+1.45 +7.1 4
1989-09-16 @ TPS Turku L 2-552.9 1489 1687 11.08% 25.57% 63.35%-1.45 -7.1 0
1989-09-17 Kuusysi D 1-170.0 1620 1710 31.07% 28.01% 40.91%-0.33 +0.5 2
1989-09-17 @ HJK D 1-170.0 1710 1620 40.91% 28.01% 31.07%+0.33 -0.5 3
1989-09-17 KuPS L 1-247.1 1332 1525 19.60% 26.97% 53.43%-0.96 -5.5 1
1989-09-17 @ Kemi W 2-147.1 1525 1332 53.43% 26.97% 19.60%+0.96 +5.5 4
1989-09-17 OTP Oulu D 0-050.7 1394 1382 44.99% 28.04% 26.98%+0.30 -1.0 2
1989-09-17 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-050.7 1382 1394 26.98% 28.04% 44.99%-0.30 +1.0 1
1989-09-17 Jaro D 1-157.3 1542 1304 66.18% 24.70% 9.13%+1.70 -3.3 3
1989-09-17 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-157.3 1304 1542 9.13% 24.70% 66.18%-1.70 +3.3 1
1989-09-17 Haka W 1-054.5 1657 1576 52.91% 27.48% 19.61%+0.72 +5.9 3
1989-09-17 @ RoPS L 0-154.5 1576 1657 19.61% 27.48% 52.91%-0.72 -5.9 0
1989-09-23 Haka W 3-048.8 1710 1571 58.61% 26.66% 14.73%+1.09 +12.7 5
1989-09-23 @ Kuusysi L 0-348.8 1571 1710 14.73% 26.66% 58.61%-1.09 -12.7 0
1989-09-24 HJK L 2-555.6 1482 1621 25.12% 27.64% 47.24%-0.63 -14.4 0
1989-09-24 @ Ilves W 5-255.6 1621 1482 47.24% 27.64% 25.12%+0.63 +14.4 4
1989-09-24 Kemi L 1-250.0 1307 1327 40.82% 28.14% 31.04%+0.10 -9.8 1
1989-09-24 @ Jaro W 2-150.0 1327 1307 31.04% 28.14% 40.82%-0.10 +9.8 3
1989-09-24 OTP Oulu L 1-260.7 1530 1383 59.28% 26.53% 14.19%+1.14 -13.5 4
1989-09-24 @ KuPS W 2-160.7 1383 1530 14.19% 26.53% 59.28%-1.14 +13.5 3
1989-09-24 MP Mikkeli W 3-038.3 1538 1393 59.09% 26.57% 14.34%+1.12 +12.4 5
1989-09-24 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-338.3 1393 1538 14.34% 26.57% 59.09%-1.12 -12.4 2
1989-09-24 RoPS D 1-170.3 1694 1663 47.37% 27.92% 24.70%+0.42 -1.2 5
1989-09-24 @ TPS Turku D 1-170.3 1663 1694 24.70% 27.92% 47.37%-0.42 +1.2 4
1989-09-30 HJK W 1-056.6 1693 1635 50.46% 27.71% 21.83%+0.58 +6.5 7
1989-09-30 @ TPS Turku L 0-156.6 1635 1693 21.83% 27.71% 50.46%-0.58 -6.5 4
1989-10-01 Ilves D 1-162.7 1558 1468 53.93% 27.36% 18.71%+0.78 -1.9 1
1989-10-01 @ Haka D 1-162.7 1468 1558 18.71% 27.36% 53.93%-0.78 +1.9 1
1989-10-01 KuPS W 2-156.8 1381 1517 25.43% 27.67% 46.91%-0.61 +10.9 4
1989-10-01 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-256.8 1517 1381 46.91% 27.67% 25.43%+0.61 -10.9 4
1989-10-01 Jaro W 4-032.9 1397 1297 54.87% 27.25% 17.89%+0.84 +19.6 5
1989-10-01 @ OTP Oulu L 0-432.9 1297 1397 17.89% 27.25% 54.87%-0.84 -19.6 1
1989-10-01 Kemi W 3-142.2 1551 1337 64.52% 25.23% 10.24%+1.55 +5.4 7
1989-10-01 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-342.2 1337 1551 10.24% 25.23% 64.52%-1.55 -5.4 3
1989-10-01 Kuusysi L 0-161.4 1664 1723 35.40% 28.13% 36.47%-0.14 -9.3 4
1989-10-01 @ RoPS W 1-061.4 1723 1664 36.47% 28.13% 35.40%+0.14 +9.3 7
1989-10-07 OTP Oulu L 1-542.0 1331 1416 31.74% 28.04% 40.23%-0.30 -25.6 3
1989-10-07 @ Kemi W 5-142.0 1416 1331 40.23% 28.04% 31.74%+0.30 +25.6 7
1989-10-07 Reipas Lahti W 3-264.0 1506 1556 36.62% 28.14% 35.23%-0.08 +8.3 6
1989-10-07 @ KuPS L 2-364.0 1556 1506 35.23% 28.14% 36.62%+0.08 -8.3 7
1989-10-08 Haka L 1-365.4 1629 1556 52.09% 27.56% 20.34%+0.68 -20.8 4
1989-10-08 @ HJK W 3-165.4 1556 1629 20.34% 27.56% 52.09%-0.68 +20.8 3
1989-10-08 RoPS W 4-055.8 1470 1655 20.29% 27.08% 52.63%-0.92 +45.7 3
1989-10-08 @ Ilves L 0-455.8 1655 1470 52.63% 27.08% 20.29%+0.92 -45.7 4
1989-10-08 MP Mikkeli L 0-336.8 1278 1392 28.03% 27.86% 44.11%-0.48 -21.4 1
1989-10-08 @ Jaro W 3-036.8 1392 1278 44.11% 27.86% 28.03%+0.48 +21.4 6
1989-10-08 TPS Turku W 1-058.3 1732 1699 47.51% 27.92% 24.57%+0.43 +7.1 9
1989-10-08 @ Kuusysi L 0-158.3 1699 1732 24.57% 27.92% 47.51%-0.43 -7.1 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1989-05-21 13.20% Jaro 1317 5 @ MP Mikkeli 1479 1
2 1989-09-24 14.19% OTP Oulu 1383 2 @ KuPS 1530 1
3 1989-08-27 16.60% Kemi 1306 6 @ MP Mikkeli 1421 3
4 1989-05-21 17.83% Reipas Lahti 1547 1 @ Kuusysi 1647 0
5 1989-07-02 18.06% @ KuPS 1450 1 RoPS 1659 0
6 1989-05-07 18.20% Ilves 1474 3 @ Reipas Lahti 1570 2
7 1989-06-21 18.51% @ KuPS 1435 2 Kuusysi 1640 1
8 1989-05-11 20.03% Ilves 1486 3 @ TPS Turku 1562 1
9 1989-04-29 20.22% @ Ilves 1450 2 HJK 1636 0
10 1989-10-08 20.29% @ Ilves 1470 4 RoPS 1655 0
11 1989-10-08 20.34% Haka 1556 3 @ HJK 1629 1
12 1989-06-08 23.52% Jaro 1344 3 @ Kemi 1386 2
13 1989-06-18 23.56% @ MP Mikkeli 1469 2 HJK 1621 1
14 1989-07-09 25.07% Haka 1561 2 @ Reipas Lahti 1589 1
15 1989-05-25 25.08% @ OTP Oulu 1494 3 Kuusysi 1633 1
16 1989-10-01 25.43% @ MP Mikkeli 1381 2 KuPS 1517 1
17 1989-06-08 25.83% @ KuPS 1433 3 Haka 1565 1
18 1989-07-30 27.17% TPS Turku 1608 2 @ HJK 1619 0
19 1989-06-11 28.63% @ MP Mikkeli 1436 5 Ilves 1545 1
20 1989-05-21 28.81% @ TPS Turku 1543 2 HJK 1650 0
21 1989-05-25 28.86% TPS Turku 1563 1 @ Reipas Lahti 1560 0
22 1989-06-21 30.59% TPS Turku 1568 1 @ Haka 1552 0
23 1989-09-24 31.04% Kemi 1327 2 @ Jaro 1307 1
24 1989-08-13 31.90% @ KuPS 1492 3 Reipas Lahti 1576 0
25 1989-07-30 32.64% Kuusysi 1640 7 @ Reipas Lahti 1609 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-10-08 45.73 @ Ilves 4 1470 20.29% RoPS 0 1655 52.63% 27.08%
2 1989-05-21 43.60 Jaro 5 1317 13.20% @ MP Mikkeli 1 1479 60.52% 26.27%
3 1989-05-21 41.61 RoPS 7 1592 48.78% @ Kemi 0 1441 23.72% 27.50%
4 1989-06-11 32.42 @ MP Mikkeli 5 1436 28.63% Ilves 1 1545 43.48% 27.89%
5 1989-06-21 32.30 @ Reipas Lahti 6 1549 51.81% OTP Oulu 0 1479 20.60% 27.59%
6 1989-07-23 30.41 Reipas Lahti 9 1579 55.68% @ Kemi 1 1364 17.69% 26.63%
7 1989-08-13 27.93 @ KuPS 3 1492 31.90% Reipas Lahti 0 1576 40.05% 28.04%
8 1989-06-04 27.60 @ Ilves 4 1517 44.53% OTP Oulu 0 1509 27.42% 28.05%
9 1989-08-17 25.96 @ Jaro 5 1302 39.59% Kemi 1 1331 32.26% 28.15%
10 1989-10-07 25.62 OTP Oulu 5 1416 40.23% @ Kemi 1 1331 31.74% 28.04%
11 1989-08-27 25.33 Kemi 6 1306 16.60% @ MP Mikkeli 3 1421 56.37% 27.04%
12 1989-04-29 24.13 @ Ilves 2 1450 20.22% HJK 0 1636 52.71% 27.07%
13 1989-07-30 23.20 Kuusysi 7 1640 32.64% @ Reipas Lahti 3 1609 39.21% 28.15%
14 1989-07-09 23.04 KuPS 4 1463 32.98% @ OTP Oulu 1 1429 38.86% 28.15%
15 1989-10-08 21.42 MP Mikkeli 3 1392 44.11% @ Jaro 0 1278 28.03% 27.86%
16 1989-08-20 21.17 @ KuPS 3 1509 44.45% Ilves 0 1501 27.49% 28.06%
17 1989-07-30 21.05 TPS Turku 2 1608 27.17% @ HJK 0 1619 44.79% 28.04%
18 1989-05-11 20.96 @ Haka 3 1569 44.83% Reipas Lahti 0 1558 27.13% 28.04%
19 1989-05-11 20.91 @ MP Mikkeli 3 1472 44.92% KuPS 0 1461 27.04% 28.04%
20 1989-05-11 20.90 Ilves 3 1486 20.03% @ TPS Turku 1 1562 52.44% 27.53%
21 1989-10-08 20.77 Haka 3 1556 20.34% @ HJK 1 1629 52.09% 27.56%
22 1989-05-21 20.43 @ TPS Turku 2 1543 28.81% HJK 0 1650 43.29% 27.90%
23 1989-07-02 20.04 @ Haka 4 1541 54.35% OTP Oulu 0 1447 18.34% 27.31%
24 1989-10-01 19.63 @ OTP Oulu 4 1397 54.87% Jaro 0 1297 17.89% 27.25%
25 1989-05-25 19.03 @ OTP Oulu 3 1494 25.08% Kuusysi 1 1633 47.28% 27.63%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-06-21 74.1 @ HJK 2 1610 37.00% RoPS 2 1657 34.86% 28.15%
2 1989-06-18 72.9 @ Kuusysi 2 1641 54.02% Haka 2 1550 18.63% 27.35%
3 1989-09-24 70.3 @ TPS Turku 1 1694 47.37% RoPS 1 1663 24.70% 27.92%
4 1989-05-07 70.0 @ Kemi 2 1460 21.89% Kuusysi 2 1629 50.81% 27.30%
5 1989-08-13 70.0 @ Kuusysi 1 1669 45.25% TPS Turku 1 1655 26.73% 28.03%
6 1989-09-17 70.0 @ HJK 1 1620 31.07% Kuusysi 1 1710 40.91% 28.01%
7 1989-07-02 69.4 @ Reipas Lahti 2 1591 56.07% MP Mikkeli 2 1479 16.85% 27.08%
8 1989-09-10 69.4 @ RoPS 1 1658 48.31% HJK 1 1619 23.82% 27.87%
9 1989-07-09 69.3 @ RoPS 1 1646 45.42% Kuusysi 1 1631 26.56% 28.02%
10 1989-05-07 68.9 Ilves 3 1474 18.20% @ Reipas Lahti 2 1570 54.51% 27.29%
11 1989-06-29 67.9 @ TPS Turku 2 1579 57.84% KuPS 2 1448 15.36% 26.80%
12 1989-06-08 67.7 @ HJK 1 1626 51.48% Reipas Lahti 1 1559 20.89% 27.62%
13 1989-06-11 67.2 @ Reipas Lahti 2 1560 55.79% KuPS 2 1451 17.09% 27.12%
14 1989-07-09 65.7 Haka 2 1561 25.07% @ Reipas Lahti 1 1589 46.98% 27.95%
15 1989-08-09 65.5 @ Kuusysi 1 1673 68.47% OTP Oulu 1 1399 7.69% 23.84%
16 1989-10-08 65.4 Haka 3 1556 20.34% @ HJK 1 1629 52.09% 27.56%
17 1989-06-21 65.3 @ KuPS 2 1435 18.51% Kuusysi 1 1640 54.71% 26.79%
18 1989-08-20 65.2 RoPS 3 1644 44.16% @ Reipas Lahti 2 1530 27.99% 27.85%
19 1989-08-17 64.7 @ TPS Turku 1 1656 67.49% OTP Oulu 1 1398 8.28% 24.22%
20 1989-05-25 64.5 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1436 19.07% RoPS 1 1634 54.05% 26.88%
21 1989-05-21 64.3 @ Haka 1 1571 51.93% Ilves 1 1500 20.49% 27.58%
22 1989-05-21 64.2 Reipas Lahti 1 1547 17.83% @ Kuusysi 0 1647 54.93% 27.24%
23 1989-06-18 64.2 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1469 23.56% HJK 1 1621 48.95% 27.49%
24 1989-08-06 64.2 @ Haka 0 1586 38.03% RoPS 0 1626 33.81% 28.15%
25 1989-10-07 64.0 @ KuPS 3 1506 36.62% Reipas Lahti 2 1556 35.23% 28.14%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1989-10-01 32.9 @ OTP Oulu 4 1397 54.87% Jaro 0 1297 17.89% 27.25%
2 1989-06-18 35.4 @ TPS Turku 4 1556 63.40% Jaro 0 1357 11.04% 25.56%
3 1989-09-10 35.7 @ KuPS 2 1518 64.12% Jaro 0 1310 10.53% 25.35%
4 1989-08-13 36.3 @ HJK 2 1597 69.48% Jaro 0 1307 7.10% 23.42%
5 1989-10-08 36.8 MP Mikkeli 3 1392 44.11% @ Jaro 0 1278 28.03% 27.86%
6 1989-08-27 37.1 @ Ilves 5 1480 60.09% Jaro 1 1323 13.55% 26.37%
7 1989-05-07 37.9 RoPS 3 1594 59.98% @ Jaro 0 1334 14.22% 25.80%
8 1989-09-24 38.3 @ Reipas Lahti 3 1538 59.09% MP Mikkeli 0 1393 14.34% 26.57%
9 1989-07-09 40.0 @ HJK 2 1613 66.56% Kemi 0 1370 8.87% 24.56%
10 1989-07-02 40.8 @ Haka 4 1541 54.35% OTP Oulu 0 1447 18.34% 27.31%
11 1989-08-17 40.8 @ Jaro 5 1302 39.59% Kemi 1 1331 32.26% 28.15%
12 1989-07-23 41.0 Reipas Lahti 9 1579 55.68% @ Kemi 1 1364 17.69% 26.63%
13 1989-05-25 41.3 @ Haka 4 1569 64.13% Jaro 1 1361 10.52% 25.35%
14 1989-07-30 41.6 OTP Oulu 2 1400 37.69% @ Jaro 0 1333 34.21% 28.11%
15 1989-06-18 42.0 @ Ilves 3 1513 50.70% KuPS 0 1453 21.61% 27.69%
16 1989-10-07 42.0 OTP Oulu 5 1416 40.23% @ Kemi 1 1331 31.74% 28.04%
17 1989-06-11 42.1 @ Haka 1 1546 61.31% Kemi 0 1375 12.60% 26.09%
18 1989-07-23 42.1 @ KuPS 3 1486 59.16% Jaro 1 1340 14.28% 26.55%
19 1989-10-01 42.2 @ Reipas Lahti 3 1551 64.52% Kemi 1 1337 10.24% 25.23%
20 1989-05-11 42.6 @ MP Mikkeli 3 1472 44.92% KuPS 0 1461 27.04% 28.04%
21 1989-06-29 43.0 @ Kuusysi 4 1628 67.23% Kemi 1 1374 8.45% 24.32%
22 1989-08-13 43.0 Haka 4 1593 59.17% @ Kemi 1 1342 14.85% 25.97%
23 1989-06-21 43.5 @ Reipas Lahti 6 1549 51.81% OTP Oulu 0 1479 20.60% 27.59%
24 1989-08-20 43.5 @ HJK 2 1619 62.84% MP Mikkeli 0 1428 11.45% 25.71%
25 1989-07-23 43.6 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1488 53.11% OTP Oulu 0 1406 19.43% 27.46%