‹ ›

1990 Futisliiga Season

149 games

Final

Champion

HJK

28 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 1988

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

MP Mikkeli

3.59 points above expected

23 points · 19.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

OTP Oulu

4.15 points below expected

15 points · 19.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kuusysi 22 14 5 3 33 34 12 +22 31.21 +1.79
2 RoPS 22 12 5 5 29 29 17 +12 27.50 +1.50
3 HJK Champion 22 11 6 5 28 40 29 +11 25.22 +2.78
4 KuPS 22 8 8 6 24 24 22 +2 22.59 +1.41
5 Reipas Lahti 22 7 9 6 23 35 21 +14 24.18 -1.18
6 TPS Turku 22 7 9 6 23 27 20 +7 26.52 -3.52
7 MP Mikkeli 22 6 11 5 23 20 22 -2 19.41 +3.59
8 Haka 22 8 6 8 22 27 34 -7 22.96 -0.96
9 Ilves 22 6 8 8 20 37 33 +4 21.68 -1.68
10 OTP Oulu 22 4 7 11 15 16 32 -16 19.15 -4.15
11 KPV 22 6 3 13 15 15 32 -17 11.58 +3.42
12 Kumu Kuusankoski 22 1 7 14 9 13 43 -30 12.00 -3.00
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK 7 5 2 0 12 13 7 +6 — —
2 Kuusysi 6 3 2 1 8 10 6 +4 — —
3 MP Mikkeli 6 2 1 3 5 10 8 +2 — —
4 RoPS 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 0 — —
5 Reipas Lahti 5 1 1 3 3 8 13 -5 — —
6 Haka 2 0 1 1 1 3 5 -2 — —
7 KuPS 2 0 1 1 1 1 3 -2 — —
8 TPS Turku 3 0 1 2 1 2 5 -3 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MP Mikkeli 23 19.41 +3.59
2 KPV 15 11.58 +3.42
3 HJK 28 25.22 +2.78
4 Kuusysi 33 31.21 +1.79
5 RoPS 29 27.50 +1.50

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 OTP Oulu 15 19.15 -4.15
2 TPS Turku 23 26.52 -3.52
3 Kumu Kuusankoski 9 12.00 -3.00
4 Ilves 20 21.68 -1.68
5 Reipas Lahti 23 24.18 -1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KPV 2 Jul 22 – Jul 29 1 in 145
2 RoPS 4 Apr 29 – May 20 1 in 21
3 KuPS 2 May 24 – May 27 1 in 17
4 TPS Turku 3 Aug 12 – Aug 26 1 in 17
5 MP Mikkeli 2 May 10 – May 13 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 3 May 24 – May 30 1 in 60
2 OTP Oulu 3 Aug 12 – Aug 26 1 in 26
3 Kumu Kuusankoski 7 Jun 17 – Jul 29 1 in 20
4 Ilves 3 Jun 10 – Jun 20 1 in 18
5 RoPS 2 Aug 2 – Aug 5 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MP Mikkeli 8 Jul 15 – Aug 26 1 in 86
2 RoPS 13 Apr 29 – Jun 28 1 in 30
3 Kumu Kuusankoski 3 Apr 29 – May 13 1 in 16
4 Reipas Lahti 6 May 24 – Jun 17 1 in 14
5 KPV 3 Jun 3 – Jun 10 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 8 May 20 – Jun 17 1 in 111
2 Reipas Lahti 7 Apr 29 – May 30 1 in 41
3 Kumu Kuusankoski 21 Apr 29 – Aug 19 1 in 21
4 MP Mikkeli 8 Jun 28 – Aug 12 1 in 15
5 Kuusysi 3 May 24 – Jun 3 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Kuusysi 1691 41 -2 6 6.7 -0.7
HJK 1627 40 +29 9 4.8 +4.2
RoPS 1594 32 -4 5 6.3 -1.3
MP Mikkeli 1494 28 +34 4 3.0 +1.0
Reipas Lahti 1550 26 -39 3 5.7 -2.7
KuPS 1510 25 -8 4 4.5 -0.5
TPS Turku 1585 24 -3 5 4.8 +0.2
Haka 1499 23 -10 3 4.1 -1.1
Ilves 1534 20 +17 5 5.1 -0.1
OTP Oulu 1403 15 -29 3 4.3 -1.3
KPV 1293 15 -17 2 3.2 -1.2
Kumu Kuusankoski 1264 9 +0 4 3.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK ILV KPV KUP KK KUU MM OO RL ROP TT
HJK —
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
3.18
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.30
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.65
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.33
Haka
1-0-1
2.36
—
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
4.16
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.19
Ilves
0-2-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.44
—
2-0-0
4.10
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
4.11
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
1.88
KPV
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.33
—
0-0-2
1.30
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
0.78
1-0-1
1.53
0-1-1
1.50
1-1-0
1.16
1-0-1
0.97
0-1-1
1.08
KuPS
0-1-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.55
2-0-0
2.79
2-0-0
4.13
—
1-1-0
4.21
0-0-2
1.69
0-2-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
2.13
Kumu Kuusankoski
0-0-2
1.16
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
1.23
—
0-1-1
0.81
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
1.61
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
1.06
Kuusysi
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
4.80
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
4.75
—
1-0-1
4.16
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.24
0-2-0
3.36
MP Mikkeli
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
3.86
0-2-0
2.14
1-1-0
3.88
1-0-1
1.28
—
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
1.99
0-2-0
1.70
0-2-0
1.70
OTP Oulu
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
3.89
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
3.77
0-0-2
1.30
1-1-0
2.50
—
0-2-0
2.04
1-1-0
1.61
0-0-2
1.81
Reipas Lahti
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
4.31
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
4.19
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
3.32
—
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.54
RoPS
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
4.55
2-0-0
3.26
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
2.10
0-2-0
3.68
0-1-1
3.77
2-0-0
2.98
—
0-1-1
2.86
TPS Turku
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
3.15
0-1-1
3.48
1-1-0
4.41
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
4.43
0-2-0
1.98
0-2-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.48
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.54 +5.4
Allowed 0.71 -6.4
Differential 0.87 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.09%8.05%7.05%2.68%1.68%1.01%34.56%
18.05%14.77%5.37%2.35%1.01%0.67%32.21%
27.05%5.37%2.01%3.36%0.34%—18.12%
32.68%2.35%3.36%0.67%—0.67%9.73%
41.68%1.01%0.34%———3.02%
5+1.01%0.67%—0.67%——2.35%
Total34.56%32.21%18.12%9.73%3.02%2.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.84
CV 1.05 1.05 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 149

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%3.45%3.45%6.90%——17.24%
113.79%20.69%—3.45%——37.93%
23.45%6.90%3.45%———13.79%
33.45%3.45%10.34%———17.24%
43.45%3.45%————6.90%
5+———6.90%——6.90%
Total27.59%37.93%17.24%17.24%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.24 +0.59
SD 1.56 1.06 1.70
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%4.17%——8.33%25.00%
18.33%12.50%16.67%4.17%——41.67%
28.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
3—4.17%8.33%4.17%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%33.33%8.33%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.62 -0.38
SD 1.03 1.53 1.95
CV 0.83 0.94 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%18.18%36.36%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.50 +0.18
SD 1.52 1.60 2.38
CV 0.91 1.06 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%—59.09%
113.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.45 -0.77
SD 0.99 1.47 1.66
CV 1.46 1.01 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.17%12.50%———33.33%
112.50%20.83%——4.17%—37.50%
28.33%8.33%—8.33%——25.00%
3———————
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total37.50%37.50%12.50%8.33%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.04 +0.00
SD 1.00 1.12 1.41
CV 0.96 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%—59.09%
1—18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2———————
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 1.95 -1.36
SD 0.91 1.43 1.43
CV 1.54 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%3.57%———25.00%
110.71%7.14%3.57%———21.43%
217.86%10.71%3.57%———32.14%
33.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
4———————
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total50.00%35.71%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 0.64 +0.93
SD 1.26 0.73 1.44
CV 0.80 1.14 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%3.57%3.57%——35.71%
13.57%21.43%3.57%7.14%3.57%—39.29%
27.14%10.71%————17.86%
3—3.57%————3.57%
4———————
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total32.14%46.43%7.14%10.71%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.09 1.66
CV 1.19 1.01 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.27%13.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%54.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%——4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.91%18.18%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.45 -0.73
SD 0.94 1.60 1.72
CV 1.29 1.10 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%7.41%———29.63%
1—22.22%———3.70%25.93%
27.41%3.70%3.70%11.11%——25.93%
37.41%—3.70%———11.11%
4———————
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total29.63%40.74%14.81%11.11%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.26 +0.33
SD 1.74 1.35 2.29
CV 1.09 1.07 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.00%8.00%—4.00%——20.00%
120.00%16.00%8.00%———44.00%
212.00%12.00%—4.00%——28.00%
34.00%—————4.00%
4—4.00%————4.00%
5+———————
Total44.00%40.00%8.00%8.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.80 +0.48
SD 0.98 0.91 1.39
CV 0.77 1.14 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.00%4.00%8.00%—4.00%—44.00%
14.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%——24.00%
24.00%——8.00%——12.00%
38.00%—4.00%———12.00%
48.00%—————8.00%
5+———————
Total52.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%4.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.00 +0.16
SD 1.34 1.26 1.91
CV 1.16 1.26 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kuusysi 1691 33 31.21 +1.79 78.0% 22 25 29 32 33 37 40
HJK 1627 28 25.22 +2.78 79.0% 17 19 23 25 28 31 33
RoPS 1594 29 27.50 +1.50 74.0% 18 21 25 28 30 33 36
TPS Turku 1585 23 26.52 -3.52 19.0% 18 21 24 26 29 32 37
Reipas Lahti 1550 23 24.18 -1.18 45.0% 17 18 21 24 27 29 32
Ilves 1534 20 21.68 -1.68 41.0% 13 16 19 22 24 28 33
KuPS 1510 24 22.59 +1.41 64.0% 13 15 20 23 26 27 32
Haka 1499 22 22.96 -0.96 46.0% 11 17 20 23 25 29 32
MP Mikkeli 1494 23 19.41 +3.59 83.0% 11 14 17 19 22 25 27
OTP Oulu 1403 15 19.15 -4.15 16.0% 5 12 17 19 22 26 29
KPV 1293 15 11.58 +3.42 92.0% 5 6 9 12 13 16 21
Kumu Kuusankoski 1264 9 12.00 -3.00 20.0% 5 6 10 12 14 17 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.05%
No Edge
38.26%31.54%30.20%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 28.04 Elo pts.
237 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.07 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
3%
HJK, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.88 * Some Luck: 2.88 to 4.32 * Lucky: 4.32 to 5.76 * Wild Swing: 5.76 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.48 * Way Off: 2.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.64 points
As Expected
03.609
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.00%
KPV
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
OTP Oulu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 129.08
1.71
Strong Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.56
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Near-Lock
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.070
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Kuusysi60.00%22.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%——————
RoPS22.00%16.00%25.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%——
HJK3.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%20.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%——
KuPS—3.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%—
Reipas Lahti2.00%12.00%16.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%——
TPS Turku10.00%24.00%10.00%16.00%17.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%———
MP Mikkeli——3.00%3.00%3.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%22.00%28.00%5.00%1.00%
Haka1.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%—
Ilves2.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%17.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%
OTP Oulu—1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%10.00%6.00%15.00%25.00%26.00%5.00%2.00%
KPV——————1.00%1.00%—9.00%41.00%48.00%
Kumu Kuusankoski————————1.00%6.00%45.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
HJK — — —
Haka — — —
KuPS — — —
Kuusysi — — —
MP Mikkeli — — —
Reipas Lahti — — —
RoPS — — —
TPS Turku — — —
Ilves 24.00% 1.00% 1.00%
OTP Oulu 51.00% 5.00% 2.00%
KPV 9.00% 41.00% 48.00%
Kumu Kuusankoski 7.00% 45.00% 48.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
HJK —
Haka —
KuPS —
Kuusysi —
MP Mikkeli —
RoPS —
TPS Turku —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-04-29 MP Mikkeli D 1-161.3 1551 1448 51.82% 31.60% 16.57%+0.55 -1.4 1
1990-04-29 @ Haka D 1-161.3 1448 1551 16.57% 31.60% 51.82%-0.55 +1.4 1
1990-04-29 Kuusysi L 0-353.7 1572 1648 29.21% 33.25% 37.54%-0.20 -16.7 0
1990-04-29 @ HJK W 3-053.7 1648 1572 37.54% 33.25% 29.21%+0.20 +16.8 2
1990-04-29 OTP Oulu D 0-049.4 1281 1467 17.65% 30.98% 51.37%-0.67 +1.5 1
1990-04-29 @ KPV D 0-049.4 1467 1281 51.37% 30.98% 17.65%+0.67 -1.5 1
1990-04-29 Ilves W 2-157.5 1512 1513 39.47% 33.37% 27.15%+0.11 +5.5 2
1990-04-29 @ KuPS L 1-257.5 1513 1512 27.15% 33.37% 39.47%-0.11 -5.5 0
1990-04-29 RoPS L 0-157.2 1534 1572 34.38% 33.46% 32.16%-0.04 -6.8 0
1990-04-29 @ Reipas Lahti W 1-057.2 1572 1534 32.16% 33.46% 34.38%+0.04 +6.8 2
1990-04-29 Kumu Kuusankoski D 0-056.8 1623 1321 69.28% 23.83% 6.89%+1.39 -3.0 1
1990-04-29 @ TPS Turku D 0-056.8 1321 1623 6.89% 23.83% 69.28%-1.39 +2.9 1
1990-05-06 TPS Turku D 0-060.7 1507 1620 24.75% 32.75% 42.50%-0.36 +0.7 1
1990-05-06 @ Ilves D 0-060.7 1620 1507 42.50% 32.75% 24.75%+0.36 -0.7 2
1990-05-06 Reipas Lahti D 1-156.6 1324 1527 16.30% 30.42% 53.28%-0.74 +1.5 2
1990-05-06 @ Kumu Kuusankoski D 1-156.6 1527 1324 53.28% 30.42% 16.30%+0.74 -1.5 1
1990-05-06 KPV W 2-035.6 1665 1283 74.93% 20.14% 4.94%+1.73 +2.0 4
1990-05-06 @ Kuusysi L 0-235.6 1283 1665 4.94% 20.14% 74.93%-1.73 -2.0 1
1990-05-06 HJK D 1-161.1 1450 1555 25.53% 32.86% 41.60%-0.33 +0.6 2
1990-05-06 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-161.1 1555 1450 41.60% 32.86% 25.53%+0.33 -0.6 1
1990-05-06 Haka D 0-056.7 1466 1550 28.12% 33.16% 38.72%-0.24 +0.4 2
1990-05-06 @ OTP Oulu D 0-056.7 1550 1466 38.72% 33.16% 28.12%+0.24 -0.4 2
1990-05-06 KuPS W 1-052.4 1579 1517 47.22% 32.57% 20.21%+0.38 +4.7 4
1990-05-06 @ RoPS L 0-152.4 1517 1579 20.21% 32.57% 47.22%-0.38 -4.7 2
1990-05-10 HJK W 3-157.4 1549 1555 38.90% 33.40% 27.70%+0.10 +9.7 4
1990-05-10 @ Haka L 1-357.4 1555 1549 27.70% 33.40% 38.90%-0.10 -9.7 1
1990-05-10 Reipas Lahti D 1-155.9 1281 1525 13.54% 28.94% 57.52%-0.91 +1.8 2
1990-05-10 @ KPV D 1-155.9 1525 1281 57.52% 28.94% 13.54%+0.91 -1.8 2
1990-05-10 OTP Oulu W 3-151.6 1667 1466 61.11% 28.28% 10.62%+0.96 +4.2 6
1990-05-10 @ Kuusysi L 1-351.6 1466 1667 10.62% 28.28% 61.11%-0.96 -4.2 2
1990-05-10 Ilves W 2-049.0 1450 1508 31.61% 33.39% 35.00%-0.13 +13.0 4
1990-05-10 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-249.0 1508 1450 35.00% 33.39% 31.61%+0.13 -13.0 1
1990-05-13 Kuusysi D 1-166.9 1495 1671 18.49% 31.28% 50.23%-0.62 +1.2 2
1990-05-13 @ Ilves D 1-166.9 1671 1495 50.23% 31.28% 18.49%+0.62 -1.2 7
1990-05-13 Haka D 0-053.2 1325 1559 14.20% 29.34% 56.46%-0.87 +1.9 3
1990-05-13 @ Kumu Kuusankoski D 0-053.2 1559 1325 56.46% 29.34% 14.20%+0.87 -1.9 5
1990-05-13 KPV W 1-037.5 1513 1282 63.63% 27.04% 9.33%+1.09 +2.3 4
1990-05-13 @ KuPS L 0-137.5 1282 1513 9.33% 27.04% 63.63%-1.09 -2.3 2
1990-05-13 MP Mikkeli L 0-253.5 1524 1463 47.11% 32.59% 20.31%+0.37 -16.4 2
1990-05-13 @ Reipas Lahti W 2-053.5 1463 1524 20.31% 32.59% 47.11%-0.37 +16.4 6
1990-05-13 HJK W 3-049.3 1583 1545 44.48% 32.96% 22.56%+0.28 +14.0 6
1990-05-13 @ RoPS L 0-349.3 1545 1583 22.56% 32.96% 44.48%-0.28 -13.9 1
1990-05-13 OTP Oulu W 3-043.9 1619 1462 57.22% 29.91% 12.88%+0.78 +8.7 4
1990-05-13 @ TPS Turku L 0-343.9 1462 1619 12.88% 29.91% 57.22%-0.78 -8.7 2
1990-05-20 Kumu Kuusankoski W 5-347.0 1531 1327 61.43% 28.13% 10.45%+0.98 +3.5 3
1990-05-20 @ HJK L 3-547.0 1327 1531 10.45% 28.13% 61.43%-0.98 -3.5 3
1990-05-20 Haka L 2-364.3 1496 1557 31.18% 33.37% 35.45%-0.14 -5.7 2
1990-05-20 @ Ilves W 3-264.3 1557 1496 35.45% 33.37% 31.18%+0.14 +5.7 7
1990-05-20 OTP Oulu D 0-055.1 1515 1453 47.28% 32.56% 20.16%+0.38 -1.2 5
1990-05-20 @ KuPS D 0-055.1 1453 1515 20.16% 32.56% 47.28%-0.38 +1.2 3
1990-05-20 Kuusysi L 0-251.3 1507 1670 19.68% 31.65% 48.66%-0.57 -8.5 2
1990-05-20 @ Reipas Lahti W 2-051.3 1670 1507 48.66% 31.65% 19.68%+0.57 +8.5 9
1990-05-20 KPV W 1-037.7 1597 1280 70.40% 23.13% 6.47%+1.46 +1.5 8
1990-05-20 @ RoPS L 0-137.7 1280 1597 6.47% 23.13% 70.40%-1.46 -1.5 2
1990-05-20 MP Mikkeli D 0-060.8 1628 1480 56.34% 30.23% 13.43%+0.74 -2.0 5
1990-05-20 @ TPS Turku D 0-060.8 1480 1628 13.43% 30.23% 56.34%-0.74 +2.0 7
1990-05-24 KuPS L 1-264.8 1563 1514 45.78% 32.79% 21.43%+0.33 -8.0 7
1990-05-24 @ Haka W 2-164.8 1514 1563 21.43% 32.79% 45.78%-0.33 +8.0 7
1990-05-24 TPS Turku W 2-057.3 1535 1626 27.27% 33.07% 39.66%-0.27 +14.2 5
1990-05-24 @ HJK L 0-257.3 1626 1535 39.66% 33.07% 27.27%+0.27 -14.2 5
1990-05-24 Ilves L 0-434.4 1279 1491 15.69% 30.14% 54.17%-0.77 -13.3 2
1990-05-24 @ KPV W 4-034.4 1491 1279 54.17% 30.14% 15.69%+0.77 +13.3 4
1990-05-24 Kumu Kuusankoski D 0-059.7 1678 1323 73.07% 21.39% 5.54%+1.61 -3.2 10
1990-05-24 @ Kuusysi D 0-059.7 1323 1678 5.54% 21.39% 73.07%-1.61 +3.2 4
1990-05-24 RoPS D 1-163.9 1482 1599 24.21% 32.67% 43.12%-0.38 +0.7 8
1990-05-24 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-163.9 1599 1482 43.12% 32.67% 24.21%+0.38 -0.7 9
1990-05-24 Reipas Lahti D 0-054.3 1454 1499 33.47% 33.45% 33.08%-0.07 -0.0 4
1990-05-24 @ OTP Oulu D 0-054.3 1499 1454 33.08% 33.45% 33.47%+0.07 +0.0 3
1990-05-27 RoPS L 1-247.6 1327 1598 12.04% 27.87% 60.09%-1.03 -2.7 4
1990-05-27 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 2-147.6 1598 1327 60.09% 27.87% 12.04%+1.03 +2.7 11
1990-05-27 TPS Turku W 2-056.5 1522 1612 27.44% 33.09% 39.47%-0.26 +14.2 9
1990-05-27 @ KuPS L 0-256.5 1612 1522 39.47% 33.09% 27.44%+0.26 -14.2 5
1990-05-30 KPV W 1-036.7 1549 1265 67.87% 24.68% 7.45%+1.31 +1.7 7
1990-05-30 @ HJK L 0-136.7 1265 1549 7.45% 24.68% 67.87%-1.31 -1.7 2
1990-05-30 Kumu Kuusankoski W 3-034.7 1504 1324 59.30% 29.08% 11.62%+0.88 +7.8 6
1990-05-30 @ Ilves L 0-334.7 1324 1504 11.62% 29.08% 59.30%-0.88 -7.8 4
1990-05-30 MP Mikkeli W 2-047.0 1454 1482 35.78% 33.47% 30.75%+0.00 +12.0 6
1990-05-30 @ OTP Oulu L 0-247.0 1482 1454 30.75% 33.47% 35.78%+0.00 -12.0 8
1990-05-30 KuPS D 0-057.3 1499 1536 34.51% 33.46% 32.03%-0.04 -0.1 4
1990-05-30 @ Reipas Lahti D 0-057.3 1536 1499 32.03% 33.46% 34.51%+0.04 +0.1 10
1990-05-30 Kuusysi W 2-059.0 1601 1675 29.43% 33.26% 37.30%-0.19 +13.6 13
1990-05-30 @ RoPS L 0-259.0 1675 1601 37.30% 33.26% 29.43%+0.19 -13.6 10
1990-05-30 Haka L 0-161.6 1597 1555 44.98% 32.90% 22.13%+0.30 -8.4 5
1990-05-30 @ TPS Turku W 1-061.6 1555 1597 22.13% 32.90% 44.98%-0.30 +8.3 9
1990-06-03 Reipas Lahti L 0-654.7 1563 1499 47.59% 32.50% 19.90%+0.39 -45.8 9
1990-06-03 @ Haka W 6-054.7 1499 1563 19.90% 32.50% 47.59%-0.39 +45.8 6
1990-06-03 Ilves D 2-268.5 1551 1512 44.56% 32.95% 22.49%+0.28 -0.6 8
1990-06-03 @ HJK D 2-268.5 1512 1551 22.49% 32.95% 44.56%-0.28 +0.6 7
1990-06-03 Kumu Kuusankoski W 2-041.2 1264 1316 32.37% 33.42% 34.21%-0.10 +12.8 4
1990-06-03 @ KPV L 0-241.2 1316 1264 34.21% 33.42% 32.37%+0.10 -12.8 4
1990-06-03 TPS Turku D 0-063.7 1661 1589 48.47% 32.34% 19.18%+0.42 -1.3 11
1990-06-03 @ Kuusysi D 0-063.7 1589 1661 19.18% 32.34% 48.47%-0.42 +1.3 6
1990-06-03 KuPS D 0-056.3 1470 1536 30.54% 33.33% 36.13%-0.16 +0.2 9
1990-06-03 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-056.3 1536 1470 36.13% 33.33% 30.54%+0.16 -0.2 11
1990-06-03 RoPS D 0-059.4 1466 1615 20.98% 32.01% 47.01%-0.51 +1.1 7
1990-06-03 @ OTP Oulu D 0-059.4 1615 1466 47.01% 32.01% 20.98%+0.51 -1.1 14
1990-06-07 OTP Oulu W 4-254.4 1512 1467 45.29% 32.86% 21.86%+0.31 +7.3 9
1990-06-07 @ Ilves L 2-454.4 1467 1512 21.86% 32.86% 45.29%-0.31 -7.3 7
1990-06-07 MP Mikkeli L 1-343.6 1303 1471 19.21% 31.51% 49.27%-0.59 -7.2 4
1990-06-07 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 3-143.6 1471 1303 49.27% 31.51% 19.21%+0.59 +7.2 11
1990-06-07 Kuusysi L 2-366.0 1536 1660 23.45% 32.53% 44.01%-0.41 -4.7 11
1990-06-07 @ KuPS W 3-266.0 1660 1536 44.01% 32.53% 23.45%+0.41 +4.7 13
1990-06-07 HJK D 1-164.2 1545 1550 38.86% 33.40% 27.74%+0.09 -0.4 7
1990-06-07 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-164.2 1550 1545 27.74% 33.40% 38.86%-0.09 +0.4 9
1990-06-07 Haka D 1-165.8 1613 1518 51.07% 31.79% 17.14%+0.52 -1.3 15
1990-06-07 @ RoPS D 1-165.8 1518 1613 17.14% 31.79% 51.07%-0.52 +1.3 10
1990-06-07 KPV D 0-054.5 1590 1277 70.14% 23.29% 6.57%+1.44 -3.0 7
1990-06-07 @ TPS Turku D 0-054.5 1277 1590 6.57% 23.29% 70.14%-1.44 +3.0 5
1990-06-10 OTP Oulu W 1-048.3 1550 1460 50.48% 31.93% 17.59%+0.50 +4.2 11
1990-06-10 @ HJK L 0-148.3 1460 1550 17.59% 31.93% 50.48%-0.50 -4.2 7
1990-06-10 RoPS L 1-261.0 1520 1612 27.10% 33.06% 39.85%-0.27 -5.5 9
1990-06-10 @ Ilves W 2-161.0 1612 1520 39.85% 33.06% 27.10%+0.27 +5.5 17
1990-06-10 MP Mikkeli W 3-153.1 1280 1478 16.68% 30.59% 52.73%-0.72 +15.4 7
1990-06-10 @ KPV L 1-353.1 1478 1280 52.73% 30.59% 16.68%+0.72 -15.4 11
1990-06-10 KuPS D 1-156.3 1296 1531 14.12% 29.30% 56.58%-0.87 +1.7 5
1990-06-10 @ Kumu Kuusankoski D 1-156.3 1531 1296 56.58% 29.30% 14.12%+0.87 -1.7 12
1990-06-10 Haka W 5-047.0 1665 1519 56.13% 30.30% 13.57%+0.73 +14.7 15
1990-06-10 @ Kuusysi L 0-547.0 1519 1665 13.57% 30.30% 56.13%-0.73 -14.7 10
1990-06-10 Reipas Lahti L 2-370.9 1587 1544 45.07% 32.88% 22.05%+0.30 -7.5 7
1990-06-10 @ TPS Turku W 3-270.9 1544 1587 22.05% 32.88% 45.07%-0.30 +7.5 9
1990-06-17 KPV W 2-035.1 1504 1295 61.86% 27.92% 10.22%+1.00 +4.7 12
1990-06-17 @ Haka L 0-235.1 1295 1504 10.22% 27.92% 61.86%-1.00 -4.7 7
1990-06-17 HJK L 2-366.9 1530 1555 36.20% 33.47% 30.34%+0.01 -6.3 12
1990-06-17 @ KuPS W 3-266.9 1555 1530 30.34% 33.47% 36.20%-0.01 +6.3 13
1990-06-17 Kuusysi L 0-151.5 1462 1679 15.33% 29.96% 54.71%-0.80 -3.6 11
1990-06-17 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-051.5 1679 1462 54.71% 29.96% 15.33%+0.80 +3.6 17
1990-06-17 Kumu Kuusankoski W 1-038.6 1456 1298 57.30% 29.87% 12.82%+0.79 +3.2 9
1990-06-17 @ OTP Oulu L 0-138.6 1298 1456 12.82% 29.87% 57.30%-0.79 -3.2 5
1990-06-17 Ilves W 7-149.1 1552 1514 44.38% 32.97% 22.65%+0.28 +22.1 11
1990-06-17 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-749.1 1514 1552 22.65% 32.97% 44.38%-0.28 -22.1 9
1990-06-17 TPS Turku D 1-167.2 1618 1580 44.40% 32.97% 22.63%+0.28 -0.8 18
1990-06-17 @ RoPS D 1-167.2 1580 1618 22.63% 32.97% 44.40%-0.28 +0.8 8
1990-06-20 KuPS L 0-154.3 1492 1523 35.36% 33.47% 31.18%-0.01 -7.0 9
1990-06-20 @ Ilves W 1-054.3 1523 1492 31.18% 33.47% 35.36%+0.01 +7.0 14
1990-06-20 TPS Turku L 0-434.8 1294 1581 11.31% 27.27% 61.42%-1.09 -9.6 5
1990-06-20 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 4-034.8 1581 1294 61.42% 27.27% 11.31%+1.09 +9.6 10
1990-06-20 HJK W 1-054.2 1683 1561 53.79% 31.06% 15.15%+0.63 +3.7 19
1990-06-20 @ Kuusysi L 0-154.2 1561 1683 15.15% 31.06% 53.79%-0.63 -3.7 13
1990-06-20 Haka W 2-157.4 1459 1509 32.68% 33.43% 33.89%-0.09 +6.4 13
1990-06-20 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-257.4 1509 1459 33.89% 33.43% 32.68%+0.09 -6.4 12
1990-06-20 KPV W 2-035.2 1459 1290 58.28% 29.49% 12.22%+0.83 +5.7 11
1990-06-20 @ OTP Oulu L 0-235.2 1290 1459 12.22% 29.49% 58.28%-0.83 -5.7 7
1990-06-20 Reipas Lahti W 1-055.7 1617 1574 45.05% 32.89% 22.06%+0.30 +5.0 20
1990-06-20 @ RoPS L 0-155.7 1574 1617 22.06% 32.89% 45.05%-0.30 -5.0 11
1990-06-28 OTP Oulu W 2-153.8 1502 1465 44.42% 32.96% 22.62%+0.28 +4.8 14
1990-06-28 @ Haka L 1-253.8 1465 1502 22.62% 32.96% 44.42%-0.28 -4.8 11
1990-06-28 MP Mikkeli W 4-148.3 1557 1465 50.67% 31.88% 17.45%+0.51 +9.6 15
1990-06-28 @ HJK L 1-448.3 1465 1557 17.45% 31.88% 50.67%-0.51 -9.6 13
1990-06-28 Kuusysi W 1-059.9 1285 1687 6.95% 22.03% 71.02%-1.58 +11.9 9
1990-06-28 @ KPV L 0-159.9 1687 1285 71.02% 22.03% 6.95%+1.58 -11.9 19
1990-06-28 RoPS L 1-455.9 1530 1622 27.21% 33.07% 39.72%-0.27 -13.4 14
1990-06-28 @ KuPS W 4-155.9 1622 1530 39.72% 33.07% 27.21%+0.27 +13.4 22
1990-06-28 Kumu Kuusankoski W 3-032.8 1569 1285 67.89% 24.67% 7.44%+1.31 +4.8 13
1990-06-28 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-332.8 1285 1569 7.44% 24.67% 67.89%-1.31 -4.8 5
1990-06-28 Ilves L 0-455.4 1590 1485 52.05% 31.54% 16.40%+0.56 -33.7 10
1990-06-28 @ TPS Turku W 4-055.4 1485 1590 16.40% 31.54% 52.05%-0.56 +33.7 11
1990-07-01 Kumu Kuusankoski W 1-037.4 1507 1280 63.37% 27.17% 9.46%+1.08 +2.3 16
1990-07-01 @ Haka L 0-137.4 1280 1507 9.46% 27.17% 63.37%-1.08 -2.3 5
1990-07-01 KuPS L 0-237.5 1296 1517 15.10% 29.84% 55.06%-0.81 -6.8 9
1990-07-01 @ KPV W 2-037.5 1517 1296 55.06% 29.84% 15.10%+0.81 +6.8 16
1990-07-01 Ilves W 2-157.5 1675 1519 57.10% 29.95% 12.95%+0.78 +3.0 21
1990-07-01 @ Kuusysi L 1-257.5 1519 1675 12.95% 29.95% 57.10%-0.78 -3.0 11
1990-07-01 Reipas Lahti L 0-346.3 1456 1573 24.14% 32.65% 43.21%-0.38 -14.6 13
1990-07-01 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-046.3 1573 1456 43.21% 32.65% 24.14%+0.38 +14.6 15
1990-07-01 TPS Turku L 0-446.1 1460 1557 26.60% 33.00% 40.40%-0.29 -20.5 11
1990-07-01 @ OTP Oulu W 4-046.1 1557 1460 40.40% 33.00% 26.60%+0.29 +20.5 12
1990-07-11 RoPS W 3-055.5 1567 1635 30.20% 33.31% 36.49%-0.17 +19.5 17
1990-07-11 @ HJK L 0-355.5 1635 1567 36.49% 33.31% 30.20%+0.17 -19.5 22
1990-07-15 KPV W 1-037.8 1516 1290 63.29% 27.22% 9.50%+1.07 +2.3 13
1990-07-15 @ Ilves L 0-137.8 1290 1516 9.50% 27.22% 63.29%-1.07 -2.3 9
1990-07-15 Kuusysi L 0-237.2 1278 1678 7.01% 22.13% 70.86%-1.57 -2.9 5
1990-07-15 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 2-037.2 1678 1278 70.86% 22.13% 7.01%+1.57 +2.9 23
1990-07-15 Haka D 1-162.0 1523 1510 41.41% 33.25% 25.34%+0.18 -0.6 17
1990-07-15 @ KuPS D 1-162.0 1510 1523 25.34% 33.25% 41.41%-0.18 +0.6 17
1990-07-15 OTP Oulu D 1-162.7 1588 1439 56.39% 30.21% 13.40%+0.74 -1.8 16
1990-07-15 @ Reipas Lahti D 1-162.7 1439 1588 13.40% 30.21% 56.39%-0.74 +1.8 12
1990-07-15 MP Mikkeli D 0-059.4 1616 1441 58.82% 29.28% 11.90%+0.85 -2.2 23
1990-07-15 @ RoPS D 0-059.4 1441 1616 11.90% 29.28% 58.82%-0.85 +2.2 14
1990-07-15 HJK D 1-166.2 1577 1586 38.34% 33.42% 28.24%+0.08 -0.4 13
1990-07-15 @ TPS Turku D 1-166.2 1586 1577 28.24% 33.42% 38.34%-0.08 +0.4 18
1990-07-22 Ilves D 3-370.5 1510 1518 38.55% 33.41% 28.04%+0.08 -0.2 18
1990-07-22 @ Haka D 3-370.5 1518 1510 28.04% 33.41% 38.55%-0.08 +0.2 14
1990-07-22 RoPS W 2-162.0 1287 1614 9.54% 25.52% 64.94%-1.26 +10.5 11
1990-07-22 @ KPV L 1-262.0 1614 1287 64.94% 25.52% 9.54%+1.26 -10.5 23
1990-07-22 HJK L 0-433.7 1275 1587 10.14% 26.16% 63.71%-1.20 -8.5 5
1990-07-22 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 4-033.7 1587 1275 63.71% 26.16% 10.14%+1.20 +8.5 20
1990-07-22 Reipas Lahti D 0-064.2 1681 1586 50.92% 31.82% 17.26%+0.52 -1.5 24
1990-07-22 @ Kuusysi D 0-064.2 1586 1681 17.26% 31.82% 50.92%-0.52 +1.5 17
1990-07-22 TPS Turku D 1-161.8 1443 1577 22.47% 32.34% 45.18%-0.44 +0.8 15
1990-07-22 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-161.8 1577 1443 45.18% 32.34% 22.47%+0.44 -0.8 14
1990-07-22 KuPS L 0-150.2 1441 1523 28.44% 33.19% 38.37%-0.23 -6.0 12
1990-07-22 @ OTP Oulu W 1-050.2 1523 1441 38.37% 33.19% 28.44%+0.23 +6.0 19
1990-07-29 Haka W 2-157.2 1595 1510 49.92% 32.05% 18.03%+0.48 +4.0 22
1990-07-29 @ HJK L 1-257.2 1510 1595 18.03% 32.05% 49.92%-0.48 -4.0 18
1990-07-29 MP Mikkeli D 0-055.0 1518 1444 48.70% 32.30% 19.00%+0.43 -1.3 15
1990-07-29 @ Ilves D 0-055.0 1444 1518 19.00% 32.30% 48.70%-0.43 +1.3 16
1990-07-29 Kuusysi L 1-255.2 1435 1679 13.58% 28.97% 57.45%-0.91 -3.1 12
1990-07-29 @ OTP Oulu W 2-155.2 1679 1435 57.45% 28.97% 13.58%+0.91 +3.1 26
1990-07-29 KPV L 0-156.8 1588 1298 68.36% 24.39% 7.25%+1.34 -11.7 17
1990-07-29 @ Reipas Lahti W 1-056.8 1298 1588 7.25% 24.39% 68.36%-1.34 +11.7 13
1990-07-29 Kumu Kuusankoski W 2-034.0 1603 1266 71.80% 22.23% 5.97%+1.54 +2.5 25
1990-07-29 @ RoPS L 0-234.0 1266 1603 5.97% 22.23% 71.80%-1.54 -2.5 5
1990-07-29 KuPS W 2-050.1 1576 1529 45.51% 32.82% 21.66%+0.32 +9.3 16
1990-07-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-250.1 1529 1576 21.66% 32.82% 45.51%-0.32 -9.3 19
1990-08-02 TPS Turku W 3-267.6 1506 1585 28.78% 33.21% 38.01%-0.22 +6.5 20
1990-08-02 @ Haka L 2-367.6 1585 1506 38.01% 33.21% 28.78%+0.22 -6.5 16
1990-08-02 HJK L 3-644.2 1310 1599 11.14% 27.11% 61.75%-1.10 -4.9 13
1990-08-02 @ KPV W 6-344.2 1599 1310 61.75% 27.11% 11.14%+1.10 +4.9 24
1990-08-02 Ilves D 1-155.4 1264 1517 13.05% 28.62% 58.33%-0.95 +1.8 6
1990-08-02 @ Kumu Kuusankoski D 1-155.4 1517 1264 58.33% 28.62% 13.05%+0.95 -1.8 16
1990-08-02 Reipas Lahti D 1-164.2 1520 1576 31.79% 33.40% 34.81%-0.12 +0.1 20
1990-08-02 @ KuPS D 1-164.2 1576 1520 34.81% 33.40% 31.79%+0.12 -0.1 18
1990-08-02 RoPS W 2-161.6 1682 1606 48.99% 32.24% 18.77%+0.44 +4.2 28
1990-08-02 @ Kuusysi L 1-261.6 1606 1682 18.77% 32.24% 48.99%-0.44 -4.2 25
1990-08-02 OTP Oulu D 0-051.8 1445 1432 41.32% 33.26% 25.42%+0.17 -0.6 17
1990-08-02 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-051.8 1432 1445 25.42% 33.26% 41.32%-0.17 +0.7 13
1990-08-05 HJK D 1-165.1 1515 1604 27.53% 33.10% 39.37%-0.26 +0.4 17
1990-08-05 @ Ilves D 1-165.1 1604 1515 39.37% 33.10% 27.53%+0.26 -0.4 25
1990-08-05 KPV L 0-144.1 1266 1305 34.27% 33.46% 32.27%-0.05 -6.8 6
1990-08-05 @ Kumu Kuusankoski W 1-044.1 1305 1266 32.27% 33.46% 34.27%+0.05 +6.8 15
1990-08-05 MP Mikkeli D 0-055.1 1520 1445 48.79% 32.28% 18.93%+0.43 -1.3 21
1990-08-05 @ KuPS D 0-055.1 1445 1520 18.93% 32.28% 48.79%-0.43 +1.3 18
1990-08-05 Haka W 2-157.4 1576 1512 47.47% 32.52% 20.01%+0.39 +4.4 20
1990-08-05 @ Reipas Lahti L 1-257.4 1512 1576 20.01% 32.52% 47.47%-0.39 -4.4 20
1990-08-05 OTP Oulu L 2-370.5 1601 1433 58.26% 29.50% 12.24%+0.83 -9.3 25
1990-08-05 @ RoPS W 3-270.5 1433 1601 12.24% 29.50% 58.26%-0.83 +9.3 15
1990-08-05 Kuusysi D 0-063.8 1579 1687 25.26% 32.83% 41.91%-0.34 +0.7 17
1990-08-05 @ TPS Turku D 0-063.8 1687 1579 41.91% 32.83% 25.26%+0.34 -0.7 29
1990-08-09 Reipas Lahti L 0-258.8 1604 1580 42.62% 33.15% 24.22%+0.22 -15.1 25
1990-08-09 @ HJK W 2-058.8 1580 1604 24.22% 33.15% 42.62%-0.22 +15.1 22
1990-08-12 RoPS L 0-155.0 1508 1592 28.16% 33.16% 38.68%-0.24 -6.0 20
1990-08-12 @ Haka W 1-055.0 1592 1508 38.68% 33.16% 28.16%+0.24 +6.0 27
1990-08-12 TPS Turku L 0-336.4 1311 1579 12.25% 28.03% 59.72%-1.01 -8.0 15
1990-08-12 @ KPV W 3-036.4 1579 1311 59.72% 28.03% 12.25%+1.01 +8.0 19
1990-08-12 KuPS W 2-049.1 1686 1518 58.16% 29.54% 12.30%+0.82 +5.7 31
1990-08-12 @ Kuusysi L 0-249.1 1518 1686 12.30% 29.54% 58.16%-0.82 -5.7 21
1990-08-12 Kumu Kuusankoski D 1-154.1 1446 1259 59.93% 28.81% 11.27%+0.91 -2.0 19
1990-08-12 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-154.1 1259 1446 11.27% 28.81% 59.93%-0.91 +2.0 7
1990-08-12 Ilves L 0-545.1 1442 1516 29.50% 33.27% 37.23%-0.19 -27.1 15
1990-08-12 @ OTP Oulu W 5-045.1 1516 1442 37.23% 33.27% 29.50%+0.19 +27.1 19
1990-08-19 Kuusysi L 0-250.7 1502 1692 17.37% 30.87% 51.76%-0.68 -7.7 20
1990-08-19 @ Haka W 2-050.7 1692 1502 51.76% 30.87% 17.37%+0.68 +7.7 33
1990-08-19 Kumu Kuusankoski W 4-136.2 1513 1261 65.38% 26.11% 8.52%+1.18 +4.7 23
1990-08-19 @ KuPS L 1-436.2 1261 1513 8.52% 26.11% 65.38%-1.18 -4.7 7
1990-08-19 KPV W 2-144.3 1444 1303 55.61% 30.48% 13.91%+0.71 +3.2 21
1990-08-19 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-244.3 1303 1444 13.91% 30.48% 55.61%-0.71 -3.2 15
1990-08-19 HJK L 0-148.2 1415 1589 18.66% 31.34% 50.00%-0.61 -4.3 15
1990-08-19 @ OTP Oulu W 1-048.2 1589 1415 50.00% 31.34% 18.66%+0.61 +4.3 27
1990-08-19 TPS Turku L 2-371.1 1595 1587 40.68% 33.30% 26.02%+0.15 -6.9 22
1990-08-19 @ Reipas Lahti W 3-271.1 1587 1595 26.02% 33.30% 40.68%-0.15 +6.9 21
1990-08-19 Ilves W 2-051.0 1598 1543 46.51% 32.68% 20.81%+0.35 +9.0 29
1990-08-19 @ RoPS L 0-251.0 1543 1598 20.81% 32.68% 46.51%-0.35 -9.0 19
1990-08-26 KuPS D 1-165.0 1593 1517 48.85% 32.27% 18.88%+0.44 -1.2 28
1990-08-26 @ HJK D 1-165.0 1517 1593 18.88% 32.27% 48.85%-0.44 +1.2 24
1990-08-26 Reipas Lahti D 2-270.3 1534 1589 32.03% 33.40% 34.57%-0.11 +0.1 20
1990-08-26 @ Ilves D 2-270.3 1589 1534 34.57% 33.40% 32.03%+0.11 -0.1 23
1990-08-26 Haka L 0-237.9 1300 1494 16.99% 30.72% 52.29%-0.70 -7.5 15
1990-08-26 @ KPV W 2-037.9 1494 1300 52.29% 30.72% 16.99%+0.70 +7.5 22
1990-08-26 OTP Oulu W 3-258.3 1256 1411 20.41% 31.86% 47.73%-0.53 +7.8 9
1990-08-26 @ Kumu Kuusankoski L 2-358.3 1411 1256 47.73% 31.86% 20.41%+0.53 -7.8 15
1990-08-26 MP Mikkeli L 1-270.8 1699 1447 65.40% 26.09% 8.50%+1.18 -10.7 33
1990-08-26 @ Kuusysi W 2-170.8 1447 1699 8.50% 26.09% 65.40%-1.18 +10.7 23
1990-08-26 RoPS W 1-058.1 1594 1607 37.86% 33.43% 28.71%+0.06 +6.1 23
1990-08-26 @ TPS Turku L 0-158.1 1607 1594 28.71% 33.43% 37.86%-0.06 -6.1 29

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1990-09-02 Reipas Lahti D 1-164.6 1519 1588 29.98% 33.30% 36.72%-0.18 +0.2 1
1990-09-02 @ KuPS D 1-164.6 1588 1519 36.72% 33.30% 29.98%+0.18 -0.2 1
1990-09-02 Haka W 3-153.5 1689 1502 59.88% 28.83% 11.29%+0.90 +4.5 2
1990-09-02 @ Kuusysi L 1-353.5 1502 1689 11.29% 28.83% 59.88%-0.90 -4.5 0
1990-09-02 MP Mikkeli D 1-163.8 1601 1458 55.88% 30.39% 13.74%+0.72 -1.7 1
1990-09-02 @ RoPS D 1-163.8 1458 1601 13.74% 30.39% 55.88%-0.72 +1.7 1
1990-09-02 HJK D 0-062.3 1600 1592 40.69% 33.30% 26.01%+0.15 -0.6 1
1990-09-02 @ TPS Turku D 0-062.3 1592 1600 26.01% 33.30% 40.69%-0.15 +0.6 1
1990-09-05 Kuusysi D 2-273.0 1497 1693 16.89% 30.68% 52.44%-0.71 +1.0 1
1990-09-05 @ Haka D 2-273.0 1693 1497 52.44% 30.68% 16.89%+0.71 -1.0 3
1990-09-05 RoPS L 1-256.8 1460 1599 21.83% 32.21% 45.97%-0.47 -4.6 1
1990-09-05 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-156.8 1599 1460 45.97% 32.21% 21.83%+0.47 +4.6 3
1990-09-05 KuPS W 2-049.4 1588 1519 48.15% 32.40% 19.45%+0.41 +8.6 3
1990-09-05 @ Reipas Lahti L 0-249.4 1519 1588 19.45% 32.40% 48.15%-0.41 -8.6 1
1990-09-06 TPS Turku W 2-163.0 1592 1600 38.65% 33.41% 27.95%+0.09 +5.6 3
1990-09-06 @ HJK L 1-263.0 1600 1592 27.95% 33.41% 38.65%-0.09 -5.6 1
1990-09-09 TPS Turku W 3-159.5 1598 1594 40.13% 33.34% 26.53%+0.14 +9.4 5
1990-09-09 @ HJK L 1-359.5 1594 1598 26.53% 33.34% 40.13%-0.14 -9.4 1
1990-09-13 MP Mikkeli L 0-161.2 1604 1455 56.44% 30.19% 13.37%+0.75 -10.1 3
1990-09-13 @ RoPS W 1-061.2 1455 1604 13.37% 30.19% 56.44%-0.75 +10.1 3
1990-09-16 Reipas Lahti W 3-267.1 1607 1597 40.98% 33.28% 25.73%+0.16 +5.0 7
1990-09-16 @ HJK L 2-367.1 1597 1607 25.73% 33.28% 40.98%-0.16 -5.0 3
1990-09-16 MP Mikkeli W 3-151.6 1692 1465 63.36% 27.18% 9.46%+1.08 +3.8 5
1990-09-16 @ Kuusysi L 1-351.6 1465 1692 9.46% 27.18% 63.36%-1.08 -3.8 3
1990-09-23 Kuusysi L 0-151.4 1461 1696 14.17% 29.33% 56.50%-0.87 -3.4 3
1990-09-23 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-051.4 1696 1461 56.50% 29.33% 14.17%+0.87 +3.4 7
1990-09-23 HJK L 2-370.4 1592 1612 36.81% 33.46% 29.73%+0.03 -6.4 3
1990-09-23 @ Reipas Lahti W 3-270.4 1612 1592 29.73% 33.46% 36.81%-0.03 +6.4 9
1990-09-30 HJK D 1-169.4 1699 1619 49.38% 32.17% 18.46%+0.46 -1.2 8
1990-09-30 @ Kuusysi D 1-169.4 1619 1699 18.46% 32.17% 49.38%-0.46 +1.2 10
1990-10-07 Kuusysi W 1-062.7 1620 1698 28.93% 33.23% 37.84%-0.21 +7.3 12
1990-10-07 @ HJK L 0-162.7 1698 1620 37.84% 33.23% 28.93%+0.21 -7.3 8
1990-10-07 MP Mikkeli L 1-657.4 1585 1458 54.34% 30.89% 14.77%+0.66 -35.7 3
1990-10-07 @ Reipas Lahti W 6-157.4 1458 1585 14.77% 30.89% 54.34%-0.66 +35.7 5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1990-06-28 6.95% @ KPV 1285 1 Kuusysi 1687 0
2 1990-07-29 7.25% KPV 1298 1 @ Reipas Lahti 1588 0
3 1990-08-26 8.50% MP Mikkeli 1447 2 @ Kuusysi 1699 1
4 1990-07-22 9.54% @ KPV 1287 2 RoPS 1614 1
5 1990-08-05 12.24% OTP Oulu 1433 3 @ RoPS 1601 2
6 1990-09-13 13.37% MP Mikkeli 1455 1 @ RoPS 1604 0
7 1990-10-07 14.77% MP Mikkeli 1458 6 @ Reipas Lahti 1585 1
8 1990-06-28 16.40% Ilves 1485 4 @ TPS Turku 1590 0
9 1990-06-10 16.68% @ KPV 1280 3 MP Mikkeli 1478 1
10 1990-06-03 19.90% Reipas Lahti 1499 6 @ Haka 1563 0
11 1990-05-13 20.31% MP Mikkeli 1463 2 @ Reipas Lahti 1524 0
12 1990-08-26 20.41% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 1256 3 OTP Oulu 1411 2
13 1990-05-24 21.43% KuPS 1514 2 @ Haka 1563 1
14 1990-06-10 22.05% Reipas Lahti 1544 3 @ TPS Turku 1587 2
15 1990-05-30 22.13% Haka 1555 1 @ TPS Turku 1597 0
16 1990-08-09 24.22% Reipas Lahti 1580 2 @ HJK 1604 0
17 1990-08-19 26.02% TPS Turku 1587 3 @ Reipas Lahti 1595 2
18 1990-05-24 27.27% @ HJK 1535 2 TPS Turku 1626 0
19 1990-05-27 27.44% @ KuPS 1522 2 TPS Turku 1612 0
20 1990-08-02 28.78% @ Haka 1506 3 TPS Turku 1585 2
21 1990-10-07 28.93% @ HJK 1620 1 Kuusysi 1698 0
22 1990-05-30 29.43% @ RoPS 1601 2 Kuusysi 1675 0
23 1990-09-23 29.73% HJK 1612 3 @ Reipas Lahti 1592 2
24 1990-07-11 30.20% @ HJK 1567 3 RoPS 1635 0
25 1990-06-17 30.34% HJK 1555 3 @ KuPS 1530 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-06-03 45.80 Reipas Lahti 6 1499 19.90% @ Haka 0 1563 47.59% 32.50%
2 1990-10-07 35.69 MP Mikkeli 6 1458 14.77% @ Reipas Lahti 1 1585 54.34% 30.89%
3 1990-06-28 33.71 Ilves 4 1485 16.40% @ TPS Turku 0 1590 52.05% 31.54%
4 1990-08-12 27.15 Ilves 5 1516 37.23% @ OTP Oulu 0 1442 29.50% 33.27%
5 1990-06-17 22.09 @ Reipas Lahti 7 1552 44.38% Ilves 1 1514 22.65% 32.97%
6 1990-07-01 20.46 TPS Turku 4 1557 40.40% @ OTP Oulu 0 1460 26.60% 33.00%
7 1990-07-11 19.49 @ HJK 3 1567 30.20% RoPS 0 1635 36.49% 33.31%
8 1990-04-29 16.75 Kuusysi 3 1648 37.54% @ HJK 0 1572 29.21% 33.25%
9 1990-05-13 16.35 MP Mikkeli 2 1463 20.31% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1524 47.11% 32.59%
10 1990-06-10 15.43 @ KPV 3 1280 16.68% MP Mikkeli 1 1478 52.73% 30.59%
11 1990-08-09 15.09 Reipas Lahti 2 1580 24.22% @ HJK 0 1604 42.62% 33.15%
12 1990-06-10 14.69 @ Kuusysi 5 1665 56.13% Haka 0 1519 13.57% 30.30%
13 1990-07-01 14.57 Reipas Lahti 3 1573 43.21% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1456 24.14% 32.65%
14 1990-05-24 14.25 @ HJK 2 1535 27.27% TPS Turku 0 1626 39.66% 33.07%
15 1990-05-27 14.19 @ KuPS 2 1522 27.44% TPS Turku 0 1612 39.47% 33.09%
16 1990-05-13 13.96 @ RoPS 3 1583 44.48% HJK 0 1545 22.56% 32.96%
17 1990-05-30 13.63 @ RoPS 2 1601 29.43% Kuusysi 0 1675 37.30% 33.26%
18 1990-06-28 13.43 RoPS 4 1622 39.72% @ KuPS 1 1530 27.21% 33.07%
19 1990-05-24 13.29 Ilves 4 1491 54.17% @ KPV 0 1279 15.69% 30.14%
20 1990-05-10 13.04 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1450 31.61% Ilves 0 1508 35.00% 33.39%
21 1990-06-03 12.85 @ KPV 2 1264 32.37% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1316 34.21% 33.42%
22 1990-05-30 11.97 @ OTP Oulu 2 1454 35.78% MP Mikkeli 0 1482 30.75% 33.47%
23 1990-06-28 11.85 @ KPV 1 1285 6.95% Kuusysi 0 1687 71.02% 22.03%
24 1990-07-29 11.69 KPV 1 1298 7.25% @ Reipas Lahti 0 1588 68.36% 24.39%
25 1990-08-26 10.69 MP Mikkeli 2 1447 8.50% @ Kuusysi 1 1699 65.40% 26.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-09-05 73.0 @ Haka 2 1497 16.89% Kuusysi 2 1693 52.44% 30.68%
2 1990-08-19 71.1 TPS Turku 3 1587 26.02% @ Reipas Lahti 2 1595 40.68% 33.30%
3 1990-06-10 70.9 Reipas Lahti 3 1544 22.05% @ TPS Turku 2 1587 45.07% 32.88%
4 1990-08-26 70.8 MP Mikkeli 2 1447 8.50% @ Kuusysi 1 1699 65.40% 26.09%
5 1990-07-22 70.5 @ Haka 3 1510 38.55% Ilves 3 1518 28.04% 33.41%
6 1990-08-05 70.5 OTP Oulu 3 1433 12.24% @ RoPS 2 1601 58.26% 29.50%
7 1990-09-23 70.4 HJK 3 1612 29.73% @ Reipas Lahti 2 1592 36.81% 33.46%
8 1990-08-26 70.3 @ Ilves 2 1534 32.03% Reipas Lahti 2 1589 34.57% 33.40%
9 1990-09-30 69.4 @ Kuusysi 1 1699 49.38% HJK 1 1619 18.46% 32.17%
10 1990-06-03 68.5 @ HJK 2 1551 44.56% Ilves 2 1512 22.49% 32.95%
11 1990-08-02 67.6 @ Haka 3 1506 28.78% TPS Turku 2 1585 38.01% 33.21%
12 1990-06-17 67.2 @ RoPS 1 1618 44.40% TPS Turku 1 1580 22.63% 32.97%
13 1990-09-16 67.1 @ HJK 3 1607 40.98% Reipas Lahti 2 1597 25.73% 33.28%
14 1990-05-13 66.9 @ Ilves 1 1495 18.49% Kuusysi 1 1671 50.23% 31.28%
15 1990-06-17 66.9 HJK 3 1555 30.34% @ KuPS 2 1530 36.20% 33.47%
16 1990-07-15 66.2 @ TPS Turku 1 1577 38.34% HJK 1 1586 28.24% 33.42%
17 1990-06-07 66.0 Kuusysi 3 1660 44.01% @ KuPS 2 1536 23.45% 32.53%
18 1990-06-07 65.8 @ RoPS 1 1613 51.07% Haka 1 1518 17.14% 31.79%
19 1990-08-05 65.1 @ Ilves 1 1515 27.53% HJK 1 1604 39.37% 33.10%
20 1990-08-26 65.0 @ HJK 1 1593 48.85% KuPS 1 1517 18.88% 32.27%
21 1990-05-24 64.8 KuPS 2 1514 21.43% @ Haka 1 1563 45.78% 32.79%
22 1990-09-02 64.6 @ KuPS 1 1519 29.98% Reipas Lahti 1 1588 36.72% 33.30%
23 1990-05-20 64.3 Haka 3 1557 35.45% @ Ilves 2 1496 31.18% 33.37%
24 1990-06-07 64.2 @ Reipas Lahti 1 1545 38.86% HJK 1 1550 27.74% 33.40%
25 1990-07-22 64.2 @ Kuusysi 0 1681 50.92% Reipas Lahti 0 1586 17.26% 31.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-06-28 32.8 @ Reipas Lahti 3 1569 67.89% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1285 7.44% 24.67%
2 1990-07-22 33.7 HJK 4 1587 63.71% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1275 10.14% 26.16%
3 1990-07-29 34.0 @ RoPS 2 1603 71.80% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1266 5.97% 22.23%
4 1990-05-24 34.4 Ilves 4 1491 54.17% @ KPV 0 1279 15.69% 30.14%
5 1990-05-30 34.7 @ Ilves 3 1504 59.30% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1324 11.62% 29.08%
6 1990-06-20 34.8 TPS Turku 4 1581 61.42% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1294 11.31% 27.27%
7 1990-06-17 35.1 @ Haka 2 1504 61.86% KPV 0 1295 10.22% 27.92%
8 1990-06-20 35.2 @ OTP Oulu 2 1459 58.28% KPV 0 1290 12.22% 29.49%
9 1990-05-06 35.6 @ Kuusysi 2 1665 74.93% KPV 0 1283 4.94% 20.14%
10 1990-08-19 36.2 @ KuPS 4 1513 65.38% Kumu Kuusankoski 1 1261 8.52% 26.11%
11 1990-08-12 36.4 TPS Turku 3 1579 59.72% @ KPV 0 1311 12.25% 28.03%
12 1990-05-30 36.7 @ HJK 1 1549 67.87% KPV 0 1265 7.45% 24.68%
13 1990-07-15 37.2 Kuusysi 2 1678 70.86% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1278 7.01% 22.13%
14 1990-07-01 37.4 @ Haka 1 1507 63.37% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1280 9.46% 27.17%
15 1990-05-13 37.5 @ KuPS 1 1513 63.63% KPV 0 1282 9.33% 27.04%
16 1990-07-01 37.5 KuPS 2 1517 55.06% @ KPV 0 1296 15.10% 29.84%
17 1990-05-20 37.7 @ RoPS 1 1597 70.40% KPV 0 1280 6.47% 23.13%
18 1990-07-15 37.8 @ Ilves 1 1516 63.29% KPV 0 1290 9.50% 27.22%
19 1990-08-26 37.9 Haka 2 1494 52.29% @ KPV 0 1300 16.99% 30.72%
20 1990-06-17 38.6 @ OTP Oulu 1 1456 57.30% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1298 12.82% 29.87%
21 1990-06-03 41.2 @ KPV 2 1264 32.37% Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1316 34.21% 33.42%
22 1990-06-07 43.6 MP Mikkeli 3 1471 49.27% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 1 1303 19.21% 31.51%
23 1990-05-13 43.9 @ TPS Turku 3 1619 57.22% OTP Oulu 0 1462 12.88% 29.91%
24 1990-08-05 44.1 KPV 1 1305 32.27% @ Kumu Kuusankoski 0 1266 34.27% 33.46%
25 1990-08-02 44.2 HJK 6 1599 61.75% @ KPV 3 1310 11.14% 27.11%