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2011 Veikkausliiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

HJK

81 points · 24th Title

Last Title: 2010

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HJK

17.07 points above expected

81 points · 63.93 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jaro

12.62 points below expected

31 points · 43.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 33 26 3 4 81 86 23 +63 63.93 +17.07
2 Inter Turku 33 16 9 8 57 70 44 +26 54.46 +2.54
3 JJK 33 14 12 7 54 60 48 +12 44.16 +9.84
4 Honka 33 13 14 6 53 57 40 +17 52.22 +0.78
5 TPS Turku 33 13 11 9 50 48 44 +4 53.09 -3.09
6 KuPS 33 10 10 13 40 44 55 -11 40.79 -0.79
7 Mariehamn 33 10 8 15 38 39 47 -8 42.45 -4.45
8 MyPa 33 11 5 17 38 39 52 -13 38.34 -0.34
9 VPS 33 8 13 12 37 32 44 -12 36.34 +0.66
10 Haka 33 10 7 16 37 36 60 -24 37.39 -0.39
11 Jaro 33 7 10 16 31 49 64 -15 43.62 -12.62
12 RoPS 33 5 8 20 23 39 78 -39 32.75 -9.75

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HJK 81 63.93 +17.07
2 JJK 54 44.16 +9.84
3 Inter Turku 57 54.46 +2.54
4 Honka 53 52.22 +0.78
5 VPS 37 36.34 +0.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jaro 31 43.62 -12.62
2 RoPS 23 32.75 -9.75
3 Mariehamn 38 42.45 -4.45
4 TPS Turku 50 53.09 -3.09
5 KuPS 40 40.79 -0.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 10 May 29 – Jul 16 1 in 565
2 JJK 5 May 9 – May 23 1 in 260
3 Haka 3 Aug 7 – Aug 19 1 in 60
4 Inter Turku 5 May 19 – Jun 13 1 in 52
5 RoPS 2 Oct 13 – Oct 16 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MyPa 5 Sep 8 – Sep 26 1 in 98
2 RoPS 6 Jul 11 – Aug 12 1 in 64
3 Haka 4 Sep 25 – Oct 13 1 in 50
4 Mariehamn 4 Jul 30 – Aug 15 1 in 31
5 VPS 4 May 12 – May 23 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Honka 14 Aug 15 – Oct 29 1 in 79
2 JJK 9 Aug 12 – Sep 28 1 in 57
3 VPS 5 Jul 22 – Aug 15 1 in 21
4 Jaro 4 Jul 9 – Jul 31 1 in 11
5 HJK 10 May 29 – Jul 16 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 RoPS 21 May 22 – Sep 21 1 in 706
2 VPS 10 Jun 9 – Jul 31 1 in 36
3 KuPS 10 Jun 12 – Aug 7 1 in 28
4 Mariehamn 8 Jul 17 – Aug 28 1 in 25
5 TPS Turku 5 Jun 19 – Jul 9 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1630 81 +9 11 11.0 +0.0
Inter Turku 1480 57 -11 5 8.2 -3.2
JJK 1424 54 +4 7 6.5 +0.5
Honka 1505 53 +16 9 8.2 +0.8
TPS Turku 1459 50 -26 5 8.9 -3.9
KuPS 1366 40 -6 6 6.6 -0.6
Mariehamn 1364 38 +12 8 5.8 +2.2
MyPa 1357 38 +8 7 5.4 +1.6
VPS 1355 37 +14 10 6.4 +3.6
Haka 1316 37 -9 4 5.4 -1.4
Jaro 1351 31 -21 4 6.2 -2.2
RoPS 1269 23 +11 6 3.9 +2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK HON IT JJK JAR KUP MAR MYP ROP TT VPS
HJK —
3-0-0
6.25
2-1-0
4.88
2-1-0
5.26
2-1-0
6.00
2-0-1
6.15
3-0-0
6.18
2-0-1
5.63
3-0-0
5.96
3-0-0
6.95
1-0-2
4.63
3-0-0
6.29
Haka
0-0-3
2.10
—
0-2-1
3.28
1-1-1
2.34
0-0-3
3.42
2-1-0
3.43
3-0-0
4.00
0-1-2
4.00
0-0-3
3.70
2-0-1
4.69
1-0-2
2.47
1-2-0
3.81
Honka
0-1-2
3.31
1-2-0
4.89
—
0-1-2
3.60
0-3-0
5.09
1-2-0
5.21
3-0-0
4.77
1-1-1
4.75
2-1-0
5.14
3-0-0
5.81
1-1-1
4.26
1-2-0
5.10
Inter Turku
0-1-2
2.93
1-1-1
5.93
2-1-0
4.54
—
2-0-1
5.21
2-0-1
4.82
1-1-1
4.87
2-0-1
5.41
2-1-0
5.53
3-0-0
5.96
0-2-1
4.01
1-2-0
5.30
JJK
0-1-2
2.29
3-0-0
4.74
0-3-0
3.10
1-0-2
2.97
—
1-2-0
3.97
1-1-1
4.74
2-1-0
4.54
2-0-1
4.45
2-1-0
4.68
1-2-0
3.13
1-1-1
4.95
Jaro
1-0-2
2.15
0-1-2
4.72
0-2-1
3.00
1-0-2
3.37
0-2-1
4.17
—
0-3-0
4.61
1-0-2
3.72
0-0-3
4.64
2-0-1
4.55
1-1-1
3.00
1-1-1
4.86
KuPS
0-0-3
2.14
0-0-3
4.13
0-0-3
3.39
1-1-1
3.32
1-1-1
3.42
0-3-0
3.55
—
2-1-0
4.05
2-0-1
4.34
1-2-0
4.45
1-1-1
3.15
2-1-0
4.46
Mariehamn
1-0-2
2.63
2-1-0
4.16
1-1-1
3.42
1-0-2
2.79
0-1-2
3.61
2-0-1
4.42
0-1-2
4.10
—
2-1-0
3.88
1-2-0
5.32
0-0-3
3.78
0-1-2
4.36
MyPa
0-0-3
2.33
3-0-0
4.43
0-1-2
3.06
0-1-2
2.68
1-0-2
3.70
3-0-0
3.52
1-0-2
3.80
0-1-2
4.28
—
1-0-2
5.06
0-2-1
2.82
2-0-1
4.43
RoPS
0-0-3
1.52
1-0-2
3.47
0-0-3
2.47
0-0-3
2.37
0-1-2
3.49
1-0-2
3.58
0-2-1
3.71
0-2-1
2.88
2-0-1
3.11
—
1-1-1
2.65
0-2-1
3.87
TPS Turku
2-0-1
3.53
2-0-1
5.78
1-1-1
3.89
1-2-0
4.14
0-2-1
5.07
1-1-1
5.19
1-1-1
5.01
3-0-0
4.36
1-2-0
5.42
1-1-1
5.59
—
0-1-2
5.12
VPS
0-0-3
2.09
0-2-1
4.34
0-2-1
3.08
0-2-1
2.88
1-1-1
3.23
1-1-1
3.31
0-1-2
3.69
2-1-0
3.80
1-0-2
3.71
1-2-0
4.29
2-1-0
3.06
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.6
Allowed 0.79 -9.9
Differential 0.96 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%6.57%8.08%1.26%1.26%1.26%22.98%
16.57%16.16%8.08%2.02%1.26%0.76%34.85%
28.08%8.08%4.04%1.77%1.52%2.02%25.51%
31.26%2.02%1.77%2.02%0.25%—7.32%
41.26%1.26%1.52%0.25%1.01%—5.30%
5+1.26%0.76%2.02%———4.04%
Total22.98%34.85%25.51%7.32%5.30%4.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.51 1.51 +0.00
SD 1.36 1.36 1.93
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
115.15%6.06%3.03%———24.24%
218.18%3.03%————21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
5+12.12%3.03%6.06%———21.21%
Total51.52%27.27%21.21%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.61 0.70 +1.91
SD 1.92 0.81 2.02
CV 0.74 1.16 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
13.03%15.15%9.09%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
26.06%18.18%3.03%—3.03%3.03%33.33%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%42.42%24.24%6.06%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.82 -0.73
SD 0.88 1.51 1.89
CV 0.81 0.83 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%3.03%—3.03%—12.12%
19.09%24.24%6.06%———39.39%
29.09%3.03%15.15%3.03%——30.30%
3—3.03%————3.03%
43.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total24.24%39.39%30.30%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.21 +0.52
SD 1.28 0.96 1.60
CV 0.74 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%———18.18%
13.03%12.12%6.06%———21.21%
212.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
33.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%——18.18%
43.03%——3.03%3.03%—9.09%
5+—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
Total27.27%33.33%24.24%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.33 +0.79
SD 1.67 1.16 1.75
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%—6.06%———12.12%
16.06%9.09%12.12%———27.27%
212.12%9.09%12.12%——3.03%36.36%
33.03%—6.06%6.06%——15.15%
43.03%—3.03%—3.03%—9.09%
5+———————
Total30.30%18.18%39.39%6.06%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.45 +0.36
SD 1.13 1.35 1.54
CV 0.62 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%——3.03%18.18%
13.03%21.21%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%48.48%
26.06%—3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total15.15%33.33%21.21%15.15%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.94 -0.45
SD 1.52 1.56 2.21
CV 1.03 0.80 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%6.06%——3.03%24.24%
13.03%18.18%6.06%3.03%6.06%—36.36%
29.09%15.15%3.03%—3.03%—30.30%
3———————
4——3.03%—6.06%—9.09%
5+———————
Total15.15%45.45%18.18%3.03%15.15%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.14 1.38 1.61
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%18.18%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
19.09%15.15%9.09%———33.33%
29.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
3—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+——6.06%———6.06%
Total18.18%33.33%39.39%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.42 -0.24
SD 1.33 0.97 1.70
CV 1.13 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%15.15%—6.06%—36.36%
16.06%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—27.27%
26.06%12.12%—6.06%—3.03%27.27%
33.03%—————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total18.18%39.39%24.24%6.06%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.58 -0.39
SD 1.24 1.30 1.90
CV 1.05 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%6.06%—3.03%30.30%
16.06%12.12%15.15%—3.03%3.03%39.39%
2—3.03%———12.12%15.15%
3—3.03%—6.06%3.03%—12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%24.24%24.24%12.12%6.06%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.36 -1.18
SD 1.10 1.97 2.05
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%—3.03%——3.03%12.12%
16.06%24.24%6.06%6.06%——42.42%
29.09%18.18%3.03%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%42.42%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.33 +0.12
SD 0.97 1.36 1.85
CV 0.67 1.02 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
19.09%24.24%9.09%3.03%——45.45%
2—9.09%——3.03%—12.12%
3——6.06%3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%39.39%27.27%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.33 -0.36
SD 0.92 1.02 1.14
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HJK 1630 81 63.93 +17.07 99.0% 50 53 59 63 69 74 82
Honka 1505 53 52.22 +0.78 56.0% 36 39 48 52 57 63 71
Inter Turku 1480 57 54.46 +2.54 67.0% 39 42 48 54 60 67 72
TPS Turku 1459 50 53.09 -3.09 36.0% 39 43 48 53 58 64 75
JJK 1424 54 44.16 +9.84 89.0% 29 32 39 44 49 56 63
KuPS 1366 40 40.79 -0.79 54.0% 27 32 36 40 46 50 61
Mariehamn 1364 38 42.45 -4.45 34.0% 25 29 37 42 47 55 61
MyPa 1357 38 38.34 -0.34 51.0% 25 28 33 38 43 50 54
VPS 1355 37 36.34 +0.66 61.0% 20 24 31 36 41 50 55
Jaro 1351 31 43.62 -12.62 7.0% 26 30 38 44 49 54 59
Haka 1316 37 37.39 -0.39 52.0% 21 27 32 36 42 50 56
RoPS 1269 23 32.75 -9.75 7.0% 17 23 28 32 37 45 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.71%
Strong Edge
46.46%27.78%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
133 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
073.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.55+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
HJK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.73/gm
Runaway
00.211/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.43 * Wild Swing: 11.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.9 * Way Off: 2.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.53 points
Some Luck
07.1418
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
HJK
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Jaro
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 98.45
2.04
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.17
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Strong Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.047
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
HJK68.00%21.00%6.00%4.00%—1.00%——————
Inter Turku12.00%26.00%22.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%———
JJK1.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%17.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%
Honka6.00%17.00%25.00%19.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%——
TPS Turku11.00%24.00%16.00%18.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%—1.00%——
KuPS1.00%—4.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%1.00%
Mariehamn1.00%—8.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%4.00%6.00%
MyPa——3.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%20.00%14.00%9.00%
VPS—1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%20.00%12.00%13.00%19.00%
Haka——2.00%4.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%14.00%9.00%25.00%13.00%
Jaro—3.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%
RoPS———2.00%—8.00%3.00%8.00%2.00%10.00%23.00%44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HJK 100% —
Honka 100% —
Inter Turku 100% —
TPS Turku 100% —
KuPS 99.00% 1.00%
JJK 98.00% 2.00%
Jaro 94.00% 6.00%
Mariehamn 94.00% 6.00%
MyPa 91.00% 9.00%
Haka 87.00% 13.00%
VPS 81.00% 19.00%
RoPS 56.00% 44.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-05-02 Mariehamn L 0-245.0 1401 1396 46.20% 28.36% 25.45%+0.59 -15.1 0
2011-05-02 @ MyPa W 2-045.0 1396 1401 25.45% 28.36% 46.20%-0.59 +15.1 3
2011-05-06 HJK W 2-044.1 1471 1483 43.87% 28.78% 27.34%+0.46 +10.2 3
2011-05-06 @ TPS Turku L 0-244.1 1483 1471 27.34% 28.78% 43.87%-0.46 -10.2 0
2011-05-06 Inter Turku L 0-147.5 1392 1421 41.55% 29.10% 29.35%+0.33 -7.4 0
2011-05-06 @ KuPS W 1-047.5 1421 1392 29.35% 29.10% 41.55%-0.33 +7.4 3
2011-05-06 Jaro W 1-044.4 1340 1411 35.48% 29.46% 35.06%+0.01 +6.5 3
2011-05-06 @ RoPS L 0-144.4 1411 1340 35.06% 29.46% 35.48%-0.01 -6.5 0
2011-05-06 JJK D 0-052.1 1455 1350 58.76% 24.28% 16.95%+1.34 -1.8 1
2011-05-06 @ Honka D 0-052.1 1350 1455 16.95% 24.28% 58.76%-1.34 +1.8 1
2011-05-06 VPS D 0-049.9 1384 1373 47.00% 28.19% 24.82%+0.63 -0.9 1
2011-05-06 @ Haka D 0-049.9 1373 1384 24.82% 28.19% 47.00%-0.63 +0.9 1
2011-05-09 Haka L 1-253.4 1405 1383 48.40% 27.86% 23.74%+0.71 -7.8 0
2011-05-09 @ Jaro W 2-153.4 1383 1405 23.74% 27.86% 48.40%-0.71 +7.8 4
2011-05-09 Honka W 4-039.4 1428 1453 42.06% 29.04% 28.89%+0.36 +20.2 6
2011-05-09 @ Inter Turku L 0-439.4 1453 1428 28.89% 29.04% 42.06%-0.36 -20.2 1
2011-05-09 KuPS W 4-139.8 1472 1385 56.67% 25.16% 18.17%+1.21 +8.6 3
2011-05-09 @ HJK L 1-439.8 1385 1472 18.17% 25.16% 56.67%-1.21 -8.6 0
2011-05-09 MyPa W 1-042.6 1352 1386 40.79% 29.19% 30.02%+0.29 +5.8 4
2011-05-09 @ JJK L 0-142.6 1386 1352 30.02% 29.19% 40.79%-0.29 -5.8 0
2011-05-09 RoPS D 3-363.7 1411 1346 53.85% 26.22% 19.93%+1.04 -0.8 4
2011-05-09 @ Mariehamn D 3-363.7 1346 1411 19.93% 26.22% 53.85%-1.04 +0.8 4
2011-05-09 TPS Turku W 2-153.0 1374 1481 30.61% 29.25% 40.15%-0.26 +6.8 4
2011-05-09 @ VPS L 1-253.0 1481 1374 40.15% 29.25% 30.61%+0.26 -6.8 3
2011-05-12 Honka L 0-146.6 1380 1433 38.12% 29.39% 32.49%+0.15 -6.9 0
2011-05-12 @ MyPa W 1-046.6 1433 1380 32.49% 29.39% 38.12%-0.15 +6.9 4
2011-05-12 Inter Turku W 1-044.9 1481 1449 49.78% 27.50% 22.72%+0.79 +4.6 6
2011-05-12 @ HJK L 0-144.9 1449 1481 22.72% 27.50% 49.78%-0.79 -4.6 6
2011-05-12 Jaro L 1-354.0 1474 1397 55.39% 25.66% 18.95%+1.13 -15.1 3
2011-05-12 @ TPS Turku W 3-154.0 1397 1474 18.95% 25.66% 55.39%-1.13 +15.1 3
2011-05-12 JJK L 1-251.0 1347 1358 44.08% 28.75% 27.17%+0.47 -7.3 4
2011-05-12 @ RoPS W 2-151.0 1358 1347 27.17% 28.75% 44.08%-0.47 +7.3 7
2011-05-12 VPS W 2-146.5 1376 1380 44.92% 28.60% 26.47%+0.52 +5.0 3
2011-05-12 @ KuPS L 1-246.5 1380 1376 26.47% 28.60% 44.92%-0.52 -5.0 4
2011-05-13 Mariehamn L 0-244.2 1391 1410 42.87% 28.93% 28.20%+0.41 -14.3 4
2011-05-13 @ Haka W 2-044.2 1410 1391 28.20% 28.93% 42.87%-0.41 +14.3 7
2011-05-15 HJK L 0-242.1 1375 1486 30.23% 29.21% 40.56%-0.28 -11.0 4
2011-05-15 @ VPS W 2-042.1 1486 1375 40.56% 29.21% 30.23%+0.28 +11.0 9
2011-05-15 KuPS D 1-154.8 1412 1381 49.59% 27.55% 22.86%+0.78 -1.0 4
2011-05-15 @ Jaro D 1-154.8 1381 1412 22.86% 27.55% 49.59%-0.78 +1.0 4
2011-05-15 RoPS W 1-038.1 1440 1340 58.17% 24.54% 17.29%+1.30 +3.5 7
2011-05-15 @ Honka L 0-138.1 1340 1440 17.29% 24.54% 58.17%-1.30 -3.5 4
2011-05-16 Haka W 4-247.5 1365 1377 43.90% 28.78% 27.32%+0.46 +7.9 10
2011-05-16 @ JJK L 2-447.5 1377 1365 27.32% 28.78% 43.90%-0.46 -7.9 4
2011-05-16 MyPa D 1-155.9 1444 1373 54.63% 25.94% 19.43%+1.08 -1.3 7
2011-05-16 @ Inter Turku D 1-155.9 1373 1444 19.43% 25.94% 54.63%-1.08 +1.3 1
2011-05-16 TPS Turku L 0-149.2 1424 1459 40.72% 29.19% 30.08%+0.29 -7.3 7
2011-05-16 @ Mariehamn W 1-049.2 1459 1424 30.08% 29.19% 40.72%-0.29 +7.3 6
2011-05-19 Honka D 2-259.8 1369 1444 34.99% 29.46% 35.54%-0.01 +0.0 5
2011-05-19 @ Haka D 2-259.8 1444 1369 35.54% 29.46% 34.99%+0.01 -0.0 8
2011-05-19 Jaro W 1-042.1 1497 1411 56.42% 25.26% 18.32%+1.19 +3.8 12
2011-05-19 @ HJK L 0-142.1 1411 1497 18.32% 25.26% 56.42%-1.19 -3.8 4
2011-05-19 Mariehamn W 2-148.6 1382 1417 40.69% 29.20% 30.12%+0.29 +5.5 7
2011-05-19 @ KuPS L 1-248.6 1417 1382 30.12% 29.20% 40.69%-0.29 -5.5 7
2011-05-19 RoPS L 0-441.6 1374 1336 50.52% 27.29% 22.19%+0.84 -30.7 1
2011-05-19 @ MyPa W 4-041.6 1336 1374 22.19% 27.29% 50.52%-0.84 +30.7 7
2011-05-19 VPS W 3-141.3 1443 1364 55.54% 25.60% 18.86%+1.14 +6.3 10
2011-05-19 @ Inter Turku L 1-341.3 1364 1443 18.86% 25.60% 55.54%-1.14 -6.3 4
2011-05-20 JJK L 2-361.3 1466 1373 57.38% 24.87% 17.75%+1.25 -8.5 6
2011-05-20 @ TPS Turku W 3-261.3 1373 1466 17.75% 24.87% 57.38%-1.25 +8.5 13
2011-05-22 Haka W 3-036.3 1344 1369 42.07% 29.04% 28.89%+0.36 +15.5 4
2011-05-22 @ MyPa L 0-336.3 1369 1344 28.89% 29.04% 42.07%-0.36 -15.5 5
2011-05-22 HJK W 2-045.9 1412 1500 33.04% 29.42% 37.54%-0.12 +12.9 10
2011-05-22 @ Mariehamn L 0-245.9 1500 1412 37.54% 29.42% 33.04%+0.12 -12.9 12
2011-05-22 Inter Turku L 3-458.1 1367 1449 34.01% 29.45% 36.54%-0.07 -5.6 7
2011-05-22 @ RoPS W 4-358.1 1449 1367 36.54% 29.45% 34.01%+0.07 +5.6 13
2011-05-23 KuPS W 2-038.7 1381 1388 44.62% 28.66% 26.72%+0.50 +10.0 16
2011-05-23 @ JJK L 0-238.7 1388 1381 26.72% 28.66% 44.62%-0.50 -10.0 7
2011-05-23 TPS Turku L 1-255.3 1444 1458 43.56% 28.83% 27.61%+0.44 -7.2 8
2011-05-23 @ Honka W 2-155.3 1458 1444 27.61% 28.83% 43.56%-0.44 +7.2 9
2011-05-23 VPS W 2-036.4 1407 1358 51.94% 26.86% 21.20%+0.92 +8.2 7
2011-05-23 @ Jaro L 0-236.4 1358 1407 21.20% 26.86% 51.94%-0.92 -8.2 4
2011-05-29 Inter Turku L 1-350.5 1416 1455 40.11% 29.25% 30.64%+0.26 -11.8 7
2011-05-29 @ Jaro W 3-150.5 1455 1416 30.64% 29.25% 40.11%-0.26 +11.8 16
2011-05-29 JJK W 6-240.8 1488 1391 57.70% 24.74% 17.56%+1.27 +9.1 15
2011-05-29 @ HJK L 2-640.8 1391 1488 17.56% 24.74% 57.70%-1.27 -9.1 16
2011-05-29 Mariehamn W 1-045.0 1350 1425 35.04% 29.46% 35.50%-0.01 +6.6 7
2011-05-29 @ VPS L 0-145.0 1425 1350 35.50% 29.46% 35.04%+0.01 -6.6 10
2011-05-30 Honka L 0-243.0 1378 1436 37.32% 29.43% 33.26%+0.11 -12.9 7
2011-05-30 @ KuPS W 2-043.0 1436 1378 33.26% 29.43% 37.32%-0.11 +12.9 11
2011-05-30 MyPa W 2-143.7 1465 1359 58.83% 24.25% 16.92%+1.35 +3.3 12
2011-05-30 @ TPS Turku L 1-243.7 1359 1465 16.92% 24.25% 58.83%-1.35 -3.2 4
2011-05-30 RoPS W 2-037.8 1353 1362 44.37% 28.70% 26.93%+0.49 +10.1 8
2011-05-30 @ Haka L 0-237.8 1362 1353 26.93% 28.70% 44.37%-0.49 -10.1 7
2011-06-09 Haka W 6-136.5 1466 1363 58.50% 24.40% 17.10%+1.33 +12.8 19
2011-06-09 @ Inter Turku L 1-636.5 1363 1466 17.10% 24.40% 58.50%-1.33 -12.8 8
2011-06-09 HJK L 0-247.5 1449 1497 38.94% 29.34% 31.72%+0.19 -13.3 11
2011-06-09 @ Honka W 2-047.5 1497 1449 31.72% 29.34% 38.94%-0.19 +13.3 18
2011-06-09 MyPa W 2-037.2 1365 1356 46.67% 28.26% 25.07%+0.62 +9.5 10
2011-06-09 @ KuPS L 0-237.2 1356 1365 25.07% 28.26% 46.67%-0.62 -9.5 4
2011-06-09 TPS Turku D 1-155.0 1351 1468 29.39% 29.11% 41.50%-0.33 +0.4 8
2011-06-09 @ RoPS D 1-155.0 1468 1351 41.50% 29.11% 29.39%+0.33 -0.4 13
2011-06-09 VPS W 2-036.8 1382 1356 48.91% 27.73% 23.36%+0.74 +9.0 19
2011-06-09 @ JJK L 0-236.8 1356 1382 23.36% 27.73% 48.91%-0.74 -9.0 7
2011-06-10 Jaro W 3-144.1 1418 1404 47.38% 28.10% 24.51%+0.66 +8.1 13
2011-06-10 @ Mariehamn L 1-344.1 1404 1418 24.51% 28.10% 47.38%-0.66 -8.1 7
2011-06-12 Haka W 2-035.1 1468 1351 60.17% 23.66% 16.17%+1.43 +6.2 16
2011-06-12 @ TPS Turku L 0-235.1 1351 1468 16.17% 23.66% 60.17%-1.43 -6.2 8
2011-06-12 HJK L 0-239.8 1346 1510 24.18% 28.00% 47.82%-0.68 -9.2 4
2011-06-12 @ MyPa W 2-039.8 1510 1346 47.82% 28.00% 24.18%+0.68 +9.2 21
2011-06-12 Honka D 1-154.1 1348 1436 33.10% 29.42% 37.48%-0.12 +0.2 8
2011-06-12 @ VPS D 1-154.1 1436 1348 37.48% 29.42% 33.10%+0.12 -0.2 12
2011-06-12 KuPS D 0-049.2 1352 1374 42.42% 29.00% 28.58%+0.38 -0.5 9
2011-06-12 @ RoPS D 0-049.2 1374 1352 28.58% 29.00% 42.42%-0.38 +0.5 11
2011-06-13 JJK D 1-154.5 1396 1391 46.11% 28.38% 25.51%+0.58 -0.7 8
2011-06-13 @ Jaro D 1-154.5 1391 1396 25.51% 28.38% 46.11%-0.58 +0.7 20
2011-06-13 Mariehamn W 2-039.9 1479 1426 52.42% 26.71% 20.88%+0.95 +8.1 22
2011-06-13 @ Inter Turku L 0-239.9 1426 1479 20.88% 26.71% 52.42%-0.95 -8.1 13
2011-06-15 KuPS W 1-042.1 1344 1375 41.31% 29.13% 29.56%+0.32 +5.8 11
2011-06-15 @ Haka L 0-142.1 1375 1344 29.56% 29.13% 41.31%-0.32 -5.8 11
2011-06-15 RoPS W 5-136.0 1519 1351 65.80% 20.88% 13.32%+1.81 +7.8 24
2011-06-15 @ HJK L 1-536.0 1351 1519 13.32% 20.88% 65.80%-1.81 -7.8 9
2011-06-16 Inter Turku W 2-152.6 1474 1487 43.72% 28.81% 27.47%+0.45 +5.1 19
2011-06-16 @ TPS Turku L 1-252.6 1487 1474 27.47% 28.81% 43.72%-0.45 -5.1 22
2011-06-16 Jaro W 4-140.8 1436 1395 50.87% 27.19% 21.95%+0.86 +10.4 15
2011-06-16 @ Honka L 1-440.8 1395 1436 21.95% 27.19% 50.87%-0.86 -10.4 8
2011-06-16 Mariehamn W 2-148.5 1392 1418 41.92% 29.06% 29.02%+0.35 +5.4 23
2011-06-16 @ JJK L 1-248.5 1418 1392 29.02% 29.06% 41.92%-0.35 -5.4 13
2011-06-16 VPS W 1-040.9 1337 1348 44.08% 28.75% 27.17%+0.47 +5.4 7
2011-06-16 @ MyPa L 0-140.9 1348 1337 27.17% 28.75% 44.08%-0.47 -5.4 8
2011-06-18 HJK L 0-537.5 1350 1527 22.87% 27.56% 49.57%-0.78 -20.5 11
2011-06-18 @ Haka W 5-037.5 1527 1350 49.57% 27.56% 22.87%+0.78 +20.5 27
2011-06-19 Honka W 1-045.3 1413 1446 40.87% 29.18% 29.95%+0.30 +5.8 16
2011-06-19 @ Mariehamn L 0-145.3 1446 1413 29.95% 29.18% 40.87%-0.30 -5.8 15
2011-06-19 MyPa L 1-546.0 1385 1343 51.01% 27.14% 21.84%+0.87 -25.8 8
2011-06-19 @ Jaro W 5-146.0 1343 1385 21.84% 27.14% 51.01%-0.87 +25.8 10
2011-06-19 TPS Turku D 1-155.7 1369 1479 30.24% 29.21% 40.55%-0.28 +0.4 12
2011-06-19 @ KuPS D 1-155.7 1479 1369 40.55% 29.21% 30.24%+0.28 -0.4 20
2011-06-19 VPS D 1-152.8 1343 1342 45.65% 28.47% 25.88%+0.56 -0.7 10
2011-06-19 @ RoPS D 1-152.8 1342 1343 25.88% 28.47% 45.65%-0.56 +0.7 9
2011-06-20 JJK W 2-037.9 1482 1397 56.33% 25.29% 18.38%+1.19 +7.1 25
2011-06-20 @ Inter Turku L 0-237.9 1397 1482 18.38% 25.29% 56.33%-1.19 -7.1 23
2011-06-22 Haka D 1-152.8 1343 1330 47.29% 28.12% 24.59%+0.65 -0.8 10
2011-06-22 @ VPS D 1-152.8 1330 1343 24.59% 28.12% 47.29%-0.65 +0.8 12
2011-06-22 MyPa D 1-154.9 1418 1368 52.03% 26.83% 21.14%+0.93 -1.2 17
2011-06-22 @ Mariehamn D 1-154.9 1368 1418 21.14% 26.83% 52.03%-0.93 +1.1 11
2011-06-22 TPS Turku W 6-042.1 1547 1479 54.36% 26.04% 19.60%+1.07 +21.1 30
2011-06-22 @ HJK L 0-642.1 1479 1547 19.60% 26.04% 54.36%-1.07 -21.1 20
2011-06-23 Honka D 2-260.3 1390 1440 38.52% 29.37% 32.11%+0.17 -0.2 24
2011-06-23 @ JJK D 2-260.3 1440 1390 32.11% 29.37% 38.52%-0.17 +0.2 16
2011-06-29 HJK L 0-144.4 1370 1569 20.89% 26.71% 52.40%-0.95 -4.3 11
2011-06-29 @ MyPa W 1-044.4 1569 1370 52.40% 26.71% 20.89%+0.95 +4.3 33
2011-06-29 KuPS D 4-469.0 1489 1369 60.44% 23.53% 16.03%+1.45 -0.9 26
2011-06-29 @ Inter Turku D 4-469.0 1369 1489 16.03% 23.53% 60.44%-1.45 +0.9 13
2011-06-29 RoPS W 8-238.0 1359 1343 47.64% 28.04% 24.32%+0.67 +17.6 11
2011-06-29 @ Jaro L 2-838.0 1343 1359 24.32% 28.04% 47.64%-0.67 -17.6 10
2011-06-30 Haka L 1-255.9 1458 1330 61.32% 23.12% 15.56%+1.51 -9.4 20
2011-06-30 @ TPS Turku W 2-155.9 1330 1458 15.56% 23.12% 61.32%-1.51 +9.4 15
2011-07-03 Inter Turku L 2-359.9 1441 1488 38.89% 29.35% 31.76%+0.19 -6.3 16
2011-07-03 @ Honka W 3-259.9 1488 1441 31.76% 29.35% 38.89%-0.19 +6.3 29
2011-07-03 Mariehamn D 1-153.3 1325 1417 32.60% 29.40% 38.00%-0.14 +0.2 11
2011-07-03 @ RoPS D 1-153.3 1417 1325 38.00% 29.40% 32.60%+0.14 -0.2 18
2011-07-03 VPS D 1-155.8 1448 1342 58.87% 24.23% 16.89%+1.35 -1.6 21
2011-07-03 @ TPS Turku D 1-155.8 1342 1448 16.89% 24.23% 58.87%-1.35 +1.6 11
2011-07-04 HJK L 2-450.2 1370 1573 20.59% 26.57% 52.84%-0.98 -6.2 13
2011-07-04 @ KuPS W 4-250.2 1573 1370 52.84% 26.57% 20.59%+0.98 +6.2 36
2011-07-04 Jaro W 3-144.2 1340 1376 40.45% 29.22% 30.33%+0.27 +9.6 18
2011-07-04 @ Haka L 1-344.2 1376 1340 30.33% 29.22% 40.45%-0.27 -9.6 11
2011-07-04 JJK W 2-147.3 1365 1390 42.12% 29.03% 28.84%+0.36 +5.3 14
2011-07-04 @ MyPa L 1-247.3 1390 1365 28.84% 29.03% 42.12%-0.36 -5.3 24
2011-07-08 Inter Turku W 4-254.0 1579 1494 56.29% 25.31% 18.40%+1.19 +5.5 39
2011-07-08 @ HJK L 2-454.0 1494 1579 18.40% 25.31% 56.29%-1.19 -5.5 29
2011-07-09 TPS Turku D 1-154.7 1367 1447 34.28% 29.46% 36.27%-0.05 +0.1 12
2011-07-09 @ Jaro D 1-154.7 1447 1367 36.27% 29.46% 34.28%+0.05 -0.1 22
2011-07-10 Haka W 2-143.9 1417 1349 54.24% 26.08% 19.68%+1.06 +3.8 21
2011-07-10 @ Mariehamn L 1-243.9 1349 1417 19.68% 26.08% 54.24%-1.06 -3.8 18
2011-07-10 KuPS D 1-152.9 1344 1364 42.71% 28.96% 28.34%+0.40 -0.5 12
2011-07-10 @ VPS D 1-152.9 1364 1344 28.34% 28.96% 42.71%-0.40 +0.5 14
2011-07-10 MyPa D 1-155.5 1434 1371 53.74% 26.26% 20.00%+1.03 -1.3 17
2011-07-10 @ Honka D 1-155.5 1371 1434 20.00% 26.26% 53.74%-1.03 +1.3 15
2011-07-11 RoPS W 3-032.9 1385 1325 53.20% 26.45% 20.36%+1.00 +11.4 27
2011-07-11 @ JJK L 0-332.9 1325 1385 20.36% 26.45% 53.20%-1.00 -11.4 11
2011-07-15 JJK L 0-241.9 1346 1396 38.49% 29.37% 32.14%+0.17 -13.2 18
2011-07-15 @ Haka W 2-041.9 1396 1346 32.14% 29.37% 38.49%-0.17 +13.2 30
2011-07-16 VPS W 3-032.2 1584 1343 73.23% 16.74% 10.03%+2.37 +5.1 42
2011-07-16 @ HJK L 0-332.2 1343 1584 10.03% 16.74% 73.23%-2.37 -5.1 12
2011-07-17 Honka L 1-247.2 1314 1433 29.13% 29.07% 41.80%-0.35 -5.4 11
2011-07-17 @ RoPS W 2-147.2 1433 1314 41.80% 29.07% 29.13%+0.35 +5.4 20
2011-07-17 Jaro D 1-153.4 1365 1367 45.20% 28.55% 26.25%+0.53 -0.7 15
2011-07-17 @ KuPS D 1-153.4 1367 1365 26.25% 28.55% 45.20%-0.53 +0.7 13
2011-07-17 Mariehamn W 2-039.8 1447 1421 48.92% 27.73% 23.35%+0.74 +8.9 25
2011-07-17 @ TPS Turku L 0-239.8 1421 1447 23.35% 27.73% 48.92%-0.74 -9.0 21
2011-07-18 MyPa W 5-241.9 1489 1372 60.14% 23.67% 16.19%+1.43 +6.6 32
2011-07-18 @ Inter Turku L 2-541.9 1372 1489 16.19% 23.67% 60.14%-1.43 -6.6 15
2011-07-22 Inter Turku D 3-364.8 1338 1496 24.80% 28.19% 47.01%-0.64 +0.5 13
2011-07-22 @ VPS D 3-364.8 1496 1338 47.01% 28.19% 24.80%+0.64 -0.5 33
2011-07-23 HJK W 1-055.1 1368 1590 19.03% 25.71% 55.26%-1.12 +9.2 16
2011-07-23 @ Jaro L 0-155.1 1590 1368 55.26% 25.71% 19.03%+1.12 -9.2 42
2011-07-24 Haka D 1-155.4 1438 1332 58.84% 24.25% 16.91%+1.35 -1.6 21
2011-07-24 @ Honka D 1-155.4 1332 1438 16.91% 24.25% 58.84%-1.35 +1.6 19
2011-07-24 KuPS D 2-259.8 1412 1364 51.77% 26.91% 21.32%+0.91 -0.8 22
2011-07-24 @ Mariehamn D 2-259.8 1364 1412 21.32% 26.91% 51.77%-0.91 +0.9 16
2011-07-24 TPS Turku D 1-156.1 1409 1456 39.07% 29.33% 31.60%+0.20 -0.3 31
2011-07-24 @ JJK D 1-156.1 1456 1409 31.60% 29.33% 39.07%-0.20 +0.3 26
2011-07-25 RoPS W 2-034.8 1365 1309 52.89% 26.55% 20.56%+0.98 +8.0 18
2011-07-25 @ MyPa L 0-234.8 1309 1365 20.56% 26.55% 52.89%-0.98 -8.0 11
2011-07-30 Mariehamn W 1-042.3 1580 1411 65.95% 20.80% 13.25%+1.82 +2.6 45
2011-07-30 @ HJK L 0-142.3 1411 1580 13.25% 20.80% 65.95%-1.82 -2.6 22
2011-07-30 MyPa L 1-250.0 1334 1373 40.08% 29.25% 30.67%+0.25 -6.8 19
2011-07-30 @ Haka W 2-150.0 1373 1334 30.67% 29.25% 40.08%-0.25 +6.8 21
2011-07-31 Honka L 2-457.2 1456 1437 48.05% 27.95% 24.01%+0.69 -12.1 26
2011-07-31 @ TPS Turku W 4-257.2 1437 1456 24.01% 27.95% 48.05%-0.69 +12.1 24
2011-07-31 Jaro D 0-049.0 1339 1377 40.25% 29.24% 30.51%+0.26 -0.4 14
2011-07-31 @ VPS D 0-049.0 1377 1339 30.51% 29.24% 40.25%-0.26 +0.4 17
2011-07-31 JJK D 4-465.2 1365 1409 39.39% 29.31% 31.30%+0.22 -0.2 17
2011-07-31 @ KuPS D 4-465.2 1409 1365 31.30% 29.31% 39.39%-0.22 +0.1 32
2011-08-01 RoPS W 3-029.8 1495 1301 68.60% 19.37% 12.03%+2.01 +6.4 36
2011-08-01 @ Inter Turku L 0-329.8 1301 1495 12.03% 19.37% 68.60%-2.01 -6.3 11
2011-08-06 HJK L 0-244.0 1409 1583 23.16% 27.66% 49.18%-0.76 -8.9 32
2011-08-06 @ JJK W 2-044.0 1583 1409 49.18% 27.66% 23.16%+0.76 +8.9 48
2011-08-06 Jaro W 2-036.5 1501 1377 60.97% 23.29% 15.75%+1.49 +6.0 39
2011-08-06 @ Inter Turku L 0-236.5 1377 1501 15.75% 23.29% 60.97%-1.49 -6.0 17
2011-08-07 Haka L 1-249.3 1294 1327 40.96% 29.17% 29.87%+0.30 -6.9 11
2011-08-07 @ RoPS W 2-149.3 1327 1294 29.87% 29.17% 40.96%-0.30 +6.9 22
2011-08-07 KuPS W 3-141.3 1449 1365 56.25% 25.33% 18.43%+1.18 +6.2 27
2011-08-07 @ Honka L 1-341.3 1365 1449 18.43% 25.33% 56.25%-1.18 -6.2 17
2011-08-07 TPS Turku D 0-051.0 1380 1444 36.60% 29.45% 33.96%+0.07 -0.1 22
2011-08-07 @ MyPa D 0-051.0 1444 1380 33.96% 29.45% 36.60%-0.07 +0.1 27
2011-08-07 VPS L 0-149.1 1408 1338 54.54% 25.97% 19.48%+1.08 -9.1 22
2011-08-07 @ Mariehamn W 1-049.1 1338 1408 19.48% 25.97% 54.54%-1.08 +9.1 17
2011-08-12 Honka W 2-150.2 1592 1455 62.40% 22.61% 15.00%+1.58 +2.9 51
2011-08-12 @ HJK L 1-250.2 1455 1592 15.00% 22.61% 62.40%-1.58 -2.8 27
2011-08-12 Inter Turku W 2-046.7 1334 1507 23.21% 27.68% 49.11%-0.76 +15.8 25
2011-08-12 @ Haka L 0-246.7 1507 1334 49.11% 27.68% 23.21%+0.76 -15.8 39
2011-08-12 JJK D 1-153.4 1347 1400 38.16% 29.39% 32.45%+0.15 -0.2 18
2011-08-12 @ VPS D 1-153.4 1400 1347 32.45% 29.39% 38.16%-0.15 +0.2 33
2011-08-12 Mariehamn W 4-036.8 1371 1399 41.62% 29.10% 29.28%+0.34 +20.5 20
2011-08-12 @ Jaro L 0-436.8 1399 1371 29.28% 29.10% 41.62%-0.34 -20.5 22
2011-08-12 MyPa W 2-038.7 1359 1380 42.57% 28.98% 28.46%+0.39 +10.5 20
2011-08-12 @ KuPS L 0-238.7 1380 1359 28.46% 28.98% 42.57%-0.39 -10.5 22
2011-08-12 RoPS W 2-140.1 1444 1287 64.58% 21.51% 13.91%+1.73 +2.6 30
2011-08-12 @ TPS Turku L 1-240.1 1287 1444 13.91% 21.51% 64.58%-1.73 -2.6 11
2011-08-15 Jaro D 3-363.8 1400 1392 46.68% 28.26% 25.06%+0.62 -0.5 34
2011-08-15 @ JJK D 3-363.8 1392 1400 25.06% 28.26% 46.68%-0.62 +0.5 21
2011-08-15 KuPS D 1-152.2 1285 1369 33.67% 29.44% 36.89%-0.09 +0.1 12
2011-08-15 @ RoPS D 1-152.2 1369 1285 36.89% 29.44% 33.67%+0.09 -0.1 21
2011-08-15 Mariehamn W 2-036.6 1492 1379 59.63% 23.90% 16.47%+1.40 +6.3 42
2011-08-15 @ Inter Turku L 0-236.6 1379 1492 16.47% 23.90% 59.63%-1.40 -6.3 22
2011-08-15 VPS D 1-156.0 1452 1347 58.72% 24.30% 16.98%+1.34 -1.6 28
2011-08-15 @ Honka D 1-156.0 1347 1452 16.98% 24.30% 58.72%-1.34 +1.6 19
2011-08-19 Haka L 1-252.1 1369 1350 48.03% 27.95% 24.02%+0.69 -7.8 21
2011-08-19 @ KuPS W 2-152.1 1350 1369 24.02% 27.95% 48.03%-0.69 +7.8 28
2011-08-21 JJK D 2-259.1 1373 1400 41.74% 29.08% 29.18%+0.34 -0.3 23
2011-08-21 @ Mariehamn D 2-259.1 1400 1373 29.18% 29.08% 41.74%-0.34 +0.3 35
2011-08-21 MyPa L 1-250.8 1349 1369 42.69% 28.96% 28.35%+0.40 -7.1 19
2011-08-21 @ VPS W 2-150.8 1369 1349 28.35% 28.96% 42.69%-0.40 +7.1 25
2011-08-21 RoPS W 5-028.6 1595 1285 79.26% 13.15% 7.59%+2.88 +5.8 54
2011-08-21 @ HJK L 0-528.6 1285 1595 7.59% 13.15% 79.26%-2.88 -5.8 12
2011-08-22 Honka D 2-260.6 1392 1451 37.35% 29.42% 33.22%+0.11 -0.1 22
2011-08-22 @ Jaro D 2-260.6 1451 1392 33.22% 29.42% 37.35%-0.11 +0.1 29
2011-08-22 TPS Turku D 0-055.5 1498 1447 52.20% 26.78% 21.02%+0.94 -1.3 43
2011-08-22 @ Inter Turku D 0-055.5 1447 1498 21.02% 26.78% 52.20%-0.94 +1.3 31
2011-08-26 KuPS W 5-033.5 1448 1361 56.55% 25.20% 18.24%+1.20 +16.5 34
2011-08-26 @ TPS Turku L 0-533.5 1361 1448 18.24% 25.20% 56.55%-1.20 -16.5 21
2011-08-27 Inter Turku W 1-049.1 1400 1497 32.04% 29.36% 38.60%-0.18 +7.0 38
2011-08-27 @ JJK L 0-149.1 1497 1400 38.60% 29.36% 32.04%+0.18 -7.0 43
2011-08-28 Mariehamn W 2-036.6 1451 1372 55.55% 25.60% 18.85%+1.14 +7.3 32
2011-08-28 @ Honka L 0-236.6 1372 1451 18.85% 25.60% 55.55%-1.14 -7.3 23
2011-08-28 VPS D 0-047.9 1279 1342 36.76% 29.44% 33.80%+0.08 -0.1 13
2011-08-28 @ RoPS D 0-047.9 1342 1279 33.80% 29.44% 36.76%-0.08 +0.1 20
2011-08-29 HJK L 1-345.3 1358 1600 17.53% 24.72% 57.75%-1.28 -5.9 28
2011-08-29 @ Haka W 3-145.3 1600 1358 57.75% 24.72% 17.53%+1.28 +5.9 57
2011-08-29 Jaro W 2-147.1 1377 1392 43.39% 28.86% 27.75%+0.43 +5.2 28
2011-08-29 @ MyPa L 1-247.1 1392 1377 27.75% 28.86% 43.39%-0.43 -5.2 22
2011-09-08 Haka L 1-250.9 1342 1352 44.13% 28.74% 27.13%+0.47 -7.3 20
2011-09-08 @ VPS W 2-150.9 1352 1342 27.13% 28.74% 44.13%-0.47 +7.3 31
2011-09-08 HJK W 2-161.8 1464 1606 26.46% 28.60% 44.94%-0.52 +7.4 37
2011-09-08 @ TPS Turku L 1-261.8 1606 1464 44.94% 28.60% 26.46%+0.52 -7.4 57
2011-09-08 Jaro L 0-238.5 1279 1387 30.53% 29.24% 40.22%-0.26 -11.1 13
2011-09-08 @ RoPS W 2-038.5 1387 1279 40.22% 29.24% 30.53%+0.26 +11.1 25
2011-09-08 JJK D 2-262.0 1458 1407 52.11% 26.80% 21.08%+0.93 -0.9 33
2011-09-08 @ Honka D 2-262.0 1407 1458 21.08% 26.80% 52.11%-0.93 +0.9 39
2011-09-08 Mariehamn L 0-147.7 1382 1365 47.73% 28.02% 24.25%+0.68 -8.2 28
2011-09-08 @ MyPa W 1-047.7 1365 1382 24.25% 28.02% 47.73%-0.68 +8.2 26
2011-09-09 Inter Turku W 2-153.8 1345 1490 26.13% 28.53% 45.34%-0.54 +7.4 24
2011-09-09 @ KuPS L 1-253.8 1490 1345 45.34% 28.53% 26.13%+0.54 -7.4 43
2011-09-11 Haka D 1-154.2 1398 1359 50.60% 27.27% 22.14%+0.84 -1.1 26
2011-09-11 @ Jaro D 1-154.2 1359 1398 22.14% 27.27% 50.60%-0.84 +1.0 32
2011-09-11 MyPa W 4-034.5 1408 1373 50.07% 27.42% 22.51%+0.81 +16.4 42
2011-09-11 @ JJK L 0-434.5 1373 1408 22.51% 27.42% 50.07%-0.81 -16.4 28
2011-09-11 RoPS W 5-238.4 1373 1268 58.77% 24.28% 16.95%+1.34 +6.9 29
2011-09-11 @ Mariehamn L 2-538.4 1268 1373 16.95% 24.28% 58.77%-1.34 -6.9 13
2011-09-11 TPS Turku W 3-257.7 1335 1472 26.99% 28.71% 44.29%-0.48 +6.9 23
2011-09-11 @ VPS L 2-357.7 1472 1335 44.29% 28.71% 26.99%+0.48 -6.9 37
2011-09-12 Honka D 2-264.2 1482 1457 48.83% 27.75% 23.42%+0.74 -0.7 44
2011-09-12 @ Inter Turku D 2-264.2 1457 1482 23.42% 27.75% 48.83%-0.74 +0.7 34
2011-09-12 KuPS W 1-038.4 1599 1352 73.75% 16.43% 9.81%+2.41 +1.8 60
2011-09-12 @ HJK L 0-138.4 1352 1599 9.81% 16.43% 73.75%-2.41 -1.8 24
2011-09-16 Jaro W 2-146.1 1465 1397 54.27% 26.07% 19.66%+1.06 +3.8 40
2011-09-16 @ TPS Turku L 1-246.1 1397 1465 19.66% 26.07% 54.27%-1.06 -3.8 26
2011-09-18 HJK D 1-163.9 1481 1601 29.11% 29.07% 41.82%-0.35 +0.5 45
2011-09-18 @ Inter Turku D 1-163.9 1601 1481 41.82% 29.07% 29.11%+0.35 -0.4 61
2011-09-18 JJK D 3-362.1 1261 1425 24.16% 27.99% 47.84%-0.68 +0.5 14
2011-09-18 @ RoPS D 3-362.1 1425 1261 47.84% 27.99% 24.16%+0.68 -0.5 43
2011-09-18 MyPa W 2-035.6 1458 1357 58.23% 24.51% 17.26%+1.31 +6.7 37
2011-09-18 @ Honka L 0-235.6 1357 1458 17.26% 24.51% 58.23%-1.31 -6.6 28
2011-09-18 VPS W 4-246.0 1350 1342 46.68% 28.26% 25.06%+0.62 +7.4 27
2011-09-18 @ KuPS L 2-446.0 1342 1350 25.06% 28.26% 46.68%-0.62 -7.4 23
2011-09-19 Mariehamn D 1-153.4 1360 1380 42.78% 28.95% 28.27%+0.40 -0.5 33
2011-09-19 @ Haka D 1-153.4 1380 1360 28.27% 28.95% 42.78%-0.40 +0.5 30
2011-09-21 Inter Turku L 2-353.4 1350 1482 27.64% 28.84% 43.52%-0.44 -4.9 28
2011-09-21 @ MyPa W 3-253.4 1482 1350 43.52% 28.84% 27.64%+0.44 +4.9 48
2011-09-21 KuPS D 1-154.1 1393 1358 50.16% 27.39% 22.45%+0.82 -1.0 27
2011-09-21 @ Jaro D 1-154.1 1358 1393 22.45% 27.39% 50.16%-0.82 +1.0 28
2011-09-21 RoPS W 5-236.1 1464 1262 69.47% 18.89% 11.64%+2.08 +4.4 40
2011-09-21 @ Honka L 2-536.1 1262 1464 11.64% 18.89% 69.47%-2.08 -4.5 14
2011-09-21 VPS W 2-034.0 1600 1334 75.53% 15.39% 9.08%+2.55 +3.1 64
2011-09-21 @ HJK L 0-234.0 1334 1600 9.08% 15.39% 75.53%-2.55 -3.1 23
2011-09-22 TPS Turku L 0-340.5 1381 1469 33.16% 29.42% 37.42%-0.11 -17.2 30
2011-09-22 @ Mariehamn W 3-040.5 1469 1381 37.42% 29.42% 33.16%+0.11 +17.2 43
2011-09-25 Haka W 2-144.3 1424 1360 53.82% 26.23% 19.95%+1.03 +3.9 46
2011-09-25 @ JJK L 1-244.3 1360 1424 19.95% 26.23% 53.82%-1.03 -3.9 33
2011-09-26 Inter Turku D 0-051.2 1331 1487 24.97% 28.23% 46.80%-0.62 +0.9 24
2011-09-26 @ VPS D 0-051.2 1487 1331 46.80% 28.23% 24.97%+0.62 -0.9 49
2011-09-26 MyPa W 2-148.2 1257 1346 33.09% 29.42% 37.49%-0.12 +6.5 17
2011-09-26 @ RoPS L 1-248.2 1346 1257 37.49% 29.42% 33.09%+0.12 -6.5 28
2011-09-28 Honka L 0-438.2 1356 1469 29.88% 29.17% 40.95%-0.30 -20.8 33
2011-09-28 @ Haka W 4-038.2 1469 1356 40.95% 29.17% 29.88%+0.30 +20.8 43
2011-09-28 Jaro W 6-036.2 1603 1392 70.31% 18.41% 11.27%+2.14 +11.2 67
2011-09-28 @ HJK L 0-636.2 1392 1603 11.27% 18.41% 70.31%-2.14 -11.2 27
2011-09-28 JJK D 2-263.7 1486 1428 53.02% 26.50% 20.47%+0.99 -0.9 44
2011-09-28 @ TPS Turku D 2-263.7 1428 1486 20.47% 26.50% 53.02%-0.99 +0.9 47
2011-09-28 Mariehamn W 2-145.9 1359 1363 44.86% 28.62% 26.53%+0.51 +5.0 31
2011-09-28 @ KuPS L 1-245.9 1363 1359 26.53% 28.62% 44.86%-0.51 -5.0 30
2011-10-02 HJK L 0-240.2 1358 1614 16.64% 24.03% 59.33%-1.38 -6.4 30
2011-10-02 @ Mariehamn W 2-040.2 1614 1358 59.33% 24.03% 16.64%+1.38 +6.4 70
2011-10-02 KuPS L 1-254.7 1429 1364 53.92% 26.20% 19.88%+1.04 -8.5 47
2011-10-02 @ JJK W 2-154.7 1364 1429 19.88% 26.20% 53.92%-1.04 +8.5 34
2011-10-02 TPS Turku D 1-160.1 1490 1485 46.14% 28.37% 25.49%+0.59 -0.8 44
2011-10-02 @ Honka D 1-160.1 1485 1490 25.49% 28.37% 46.14%-0.59 +0.7 45
2011-10-02 VPS L 0-148.1 1381 1332 51.89% 26.87% 21.23%+0.92 -8.8 27
2011-10-02 @ Jaro W 1-048.1 1332 1381 21.23% 26.87% 51.89%-0.92 +8.8 27
2011-10-03 Haka W 2-036.8 1339 1335 46.03% 28.39% 25.58%+0.58 +9.7 31
2011-10-03 @ MyPa L 0-236.8 1335 1339 25.58% 28.39% 46.03%-0.58 -9.7 33
2011-10-03 RoPS W 6-233.6 1486 1264 71.42% 17.79% 10.80%+2.23 +5.1 52
2011-10-03 @ Inter Turku L 2-633.6 1264 1486 10.80% 17.79% 71.42%-2.23 -5.1 17
2011-10-13 Honka L 1-444.5 1372 1489 29.42% 29.11% 41.47%-0.33 -13.3 34
2011-10-13 @ KuPS W 4-144.5 1489 1372 41.47% 29.11% 29.42%+0.33 +13.2 47
2011-10-13 JJK D 0-061.5 1621 1420 69.24% 19.02% 11.75%+2.06 -2.5 71
2011-10-13 @ HJK D 0-061.5 1420 1621 11.75% 19.02% 69.24%-2.06 +2.5 48
2011-10-13 Mariehamn D 1-152.8 1341 1352 43.96% 28.77% 27.27%+0.46 -0.6 28
2011-10-13 @ VPS D 1-152.8 1352 1341 27.27% 28.77% 43.96%-0.46 +0.6 31
2011-10-13 MyPa D 1-157.3 1486 1349 62.40% 22.60% 15.00%+1.58 -1.8 46
2011-10-13 @ TPS Turku D 1-157.3 1349 1486 15.00% 22.60% 62.40%-1.58 +1.8 32
2011-10-13 RoPS L 0-147.3 1325 1258 54.16% 26.11% 19.73%+1.06 -9.1 33
2011-10-13 @ Haka W 1-047.3 1258 1325 19.73% 26.11% 54.16%-1.06 +9.1 20
2011-10-14 Inter Turku W 3-258.5 1372 1491 29.14% 29.08% 41.78%-0.35 +6.6 30
2011-10-14 @ Jaro L 2-358.5 1491 1372 41.78% 29.08% 29.14%+0.35 -6.6 52
2011-10-16 HJK D 1-165.1 1502 1618 29.47% 29.12% 41.41%-0.33 +0.4 48
2011-10-16 @ Honka D 1-165.1 1618 1502 41.41% 29.12% 29.47%+0.33 -0.4 72
2011-10-16 TPS Turku W 3-151.0 1267 1484 19.47% 25.96% 54.57%-1.08 +14.9 23
2011-10-16 @ RoPS L 1-351.0 1484 1267 54.57% 25.96% 19.47%+1.08 -14.9 46
2011-10-16 VPS L 1-254.5 1423 1340 56.07% 25.40% 18.53%+1.17 -8.8 48
2011-10-16 @ JJK W 2-154.5 1340 1423 18.53% 25.40% 56.07%-1.17 +8.8 31
2011-10-17 Haka D 1-157.0 1484 1316 65.82% 20.87% 13.31%+1.82 -2.0 53
2011-10-17 @ Inter Turku D 1-157.0 1316 1484 13.31% 20.87% 65.82%-1.82 +2.0 34
2011-10-17 Jaro W 5-244.5 1353 1379 41.92% 29.06% 29.02%+0.35 +11.4 34
2011-10-17 @ Mariehamn L 2-544.5 1379 1353 29.02% 29.06% 41.92%-0.35 -11.4 30
2011-10-17 KuPS W 1-041.1 1351 1359 44.35% 28.70% 26.94%+0.49 +5.4 35
2011-10-17 @ MyPa L 0-141.1 1359 1351 26.94% 28.70% 44.35%-0.49 -5.3 34
2011-10-22 Honka L 0-143.4 1349 1503 25.19% 28.29% 46.52%-0.61 -5.1 31
2011-10-22 @ VPS W 1-043.4 1503 1349 46.52% 28.29% 25.19%+0.61 +5.1 51
2011-10-22 Inter Turku W 1-048.4 1364 1482 29.21% 29.09% 41.70%-0.34 +7.4 37
2011-10-22 @ Mariehamn L 0-148.4 1482 1364 41.70% 29.09% 29.21%+0.34 -7.4 53
2011-10-22 JJK L 2-355.8 1367 1414 39.04% 29.34% 31.63%+0.20 -6.3 30
2011-10-22 @ Jaro W 3-255.8 1414 1367 31.63% 29.34% 39.04%-0.20 +6.3 51
2011-10-22 MyPa W 4-138.2 1618 1356 75.17% 15.60% 9.23%+2.52 +3.8 75
2011-10-22 @ HJK L 1-438.2 1356 1618 9.23% 15.60% 75.17%-2.52 -3.9 35
2011-10-22 RoPS W 1-037.2 1354 1282 54.69% 25.92% 19.39%+1.09 +4.0 37
2011-10-22 @ KuPS L 0-137.2 1282 1354 19.39% 25.92% 54.69%-1.09 -4.0 23
2011-10-22 TPS Turku L 0-141.9 1318 1469 25.52% 28.38% 46.10%-0.58 -5.1 34
2011-10-22 @ Haka W 1-041.9 1469 1318 46.10% 28.38% 25.52%+0.58 +5.1 49
2011-10-26 HJK L 1-437.4 1278 1622 11.89% 19.20% 68.92%-2.04 -5.3 23
2011-10-26 @ RoPS W 4-137.4 1622 1278 68.92% 19.20% 11.89%+2.04 +5.3 78
2011-10-26 Inter Turku D 1-159.2 1474 1475 45.37% 28.52% 26.11%+0.54 -0.7 50
2011-10-26 @ TPS Turku D 1-159.2 1475 1474 26.11% 28.52% 45.37%-0.54 +0.7 54
2011-10-26 Jaro D 1-158.4 1508 1361 63.48% 22.07% 14.45%+1.65 -1.9 52
2011-10-26 @ Honka D 1-158.4 1361 1508 14.45% 22.07% 63.48%-1.65 +1.9 31
2011-10-26 KuPS W 2-146.9 1313 1358 39.36% 29.31% 31.33%+0.22 +5.7 37
2011-10-26 @ Haka L 1-246.9 1358 1313 31.33% 29.31% 39.36%-0.22 -5.7 37
2011-10-26 Mariehamn W 2-036.9 1420 1371 51.89% 26.87% 21.24%+0.92 +8.2 54
2011-10-26 @ JJK L 0-236.9 1371 1420 21.24% 26.87% 51.89%-0.92 -8.2 37
2011-10-26 VPS L 2-356.3 1352 1344 46.60% 28.27% 25.13%+0.61 -7.2 35
2011-10-26 @ MyPa W 3-256.3 1344 1352 25.13% 28.27% 46.60%-0.61 +7.2 34
2011-10-29 Haka W 5-239.0 1627 1319 79.13% 13.23% 7.64%+2.87 +2.6 81
2011-10-29 @ HJK L 2-539.0 1319 1627 7.64% 13.23% 79.13%-2.87 -2.6 37
2011-10-29 Honka D 1-156.5 1363 1506 26.39% 28.59% 45.02%-0.52 +0.7 38
2011-10-29 @ Mariehamn D 1-156.5 1506 1363 45.02% 28.59% 26.39%+0.52 -0.7 53
2011-10-29 JJK W 2-148.2 1476 1428 51.67% 26.94% 21.39%+0.91 +4.1 57
2011-10-29 @ Inter Turku L 1-248.2 1428 1476 21.39% 26.94% 51.67%-0.91 -4.1 54
2011-10-29 MyPa L 2-453.0 1363 1345 47.91% 27.98% 24.11%+0.69 -12.0 31
2011-10-29 @ Jaro W 4-253.0 1345 1363 24.11% 27.98% 47.91%-0.69 +12.0 38
2011-10-29 RoPS W 2-141.6 1351 1273 55.51% 25.61% 18.88%+1.14 +3.7 37
2011-10-29 @ VPS L 1-241.6 1273 1351 18.88% 25.61% 55.51%-1.14 -3.6 23
2011-10-29 TPS Turku W 2-044.6 1352 1473 28.84% 29.03% 42.12%-0.36 +14.1 40
2011-10-29 @ KuPS L 0-244.6 1473 1352 42.12% 29.03% 28.84%+0.36 -14.1 50

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-06-30 15.56% Haka 1330 2 @ TPS Turku 1458 1
2 2011-05-20 17.75% JJK 1373 3 @ TPS Turku 1466 2
3 2011-10-16 18.53% VPS 1340 2 @ JJK 1423 1
4 2011-05-12 18.95% Jaro 1397 3 @ TPS Turku 1474 1
5 2011-07-23 19.03% @ Jaro 1368 1 HJK 1590 0
6 2011-10-16 19.47% @ RoPS 1267 3 TPS Turku 1484 1
7 2011-08-07 19.48% VPS 1338 1 @ Mariehamn 1408 0
8 2011-10-13 19.73% RoPS 1258 1 @ Haka 1325 0
9 2011-10-02 19.88% KuPS 1364 2 @ JJK 1429 1
10 2011-10-02 21.23% VPS 1332 1 @ Jaro 1381 0
11 2011-06-19 21.84% MyPa 1343 5 @ Jaro 1385 1
12 2011-05-19 22.19% RoPS 1336 4 @ MyPa 1374 0
13 2011-08-12 23.21% @ Haka 1334 2 Inter Turku 1507 0
14 2011-05-09 23.74% Haka 1383 2 @ Jaro 1405 1
15 2011-07-31 24.01% Honka 1437 4 @ TPS Turku 1456 2
16 2011-08-19 24.02% Haka 1350 2 @ KuPS 1369 1
17 2011-10-29 24.11% MyPa 1345 4 @ Jaro 1363 2
18 2011-09-08 24.25% Mariehamn 1365 1 @ MyPa 1382 0
19 2011-10-26 25.13% VPS 1344 3 @ MyPa 1352 2
20 2011-05-02 25.45% Mariehamn 1396 2 @ MyPa 1401 0
21 2011-09-09 26.13% @ KuPS 1345 2 Inter Turku 1490 1
22 2011-09-08 26.46% @ TPS Turku 1464 2 HJK 1606 1
23 2011-09-11 26.99% @ VPS 1335 3 TPS Turku 1472 2
24 2011-09-08 27.13% Haka 1352 2 @ VPS 1342 1
25 2011-05-12 27.17% JJK 1358 2 @ RoPS 1347 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-05-19 30.72 RoPS 4 1336 22.19% @ MyPa 0 1374 50.52% 27.29%
2 2011-06-19 25.80 MyPa 5 1343 21.84% @ Jaro 1 1385 51.01% 27.14%
3 2011-06-22 21.08 @ HJK 6 1547 54.36% TPS Turku 0 1479 19.60% 26.04%
4 2011-09-28 20.78 Honka 4 1469 40.95% @ Haka 0 1356 29.88% 29.17%
5 2011-06-18 20.53 HJK 5 1527 49.57% @ Haka 0 1350 22.87% 27.56%
6 2011-08-12 20.46 @ Jaro 4 1371 41.62% Mariehamn 0 1399 29.28% 29.10%
7 2011-05-09 20.25 @ Inter Turku 4 1428 42.06% Honka 0 1453 28.89% 29.04%
8 2011-06-29 17.58 @ Jaro 8 1359 47.64% RoPS 2 1343 24.32% 28.04%
9 2011-09-22 17.19 TPS Turku 3 1469 37.42% @ Mariehamn 0 1381 33.16% 29.42%
10 2011-08-26 16.49 @ TPS Turku 5 1448 56.55% KuPS 0 1361 18.24% 25.20%
11 2011-09-11 16.42 @ JJK 4 1408 50.07% MyPa 0 1373 22.51% 27.42%
12 2011-08-12 15.84 @ Haka 2 1334 23.21% Inter Turku 0 1507 49.11% 27.68%
13 2011-05-22 15.50 @ MyPa 3 1344 42.07% Haka 0 1369 28.89% 29.04%
14 2011-05-02 15.11 Mariehamn 2 1396 25.45% @ MyPa 0 1401 46.20% 28.36%
15 2011-05-12 15.07 Jaro 3 1397 18.95% @ TPS Turku 1 1474 55.39% 25.66%
16 2011-10-16 14.90 @ RoPS 3 1267 19.47% TPS Turku 1 1484 54.57% 25.96%
17 2011-05-13 14.27 Mariehamn 2 1410 28.20% @ Haka 0 1391 42.87% 28.93%
18 2011-10-29 14.08 @ KuPS 2 1352 28.84% TPS Turku 0 1473 42.12% 29.03%
19 2011-06-09 13.28 HJK 2 1497 31.72% @ Honka 0 1449 38.94% 29.34%
20 2011-10-13 13.26 Honka 4 1489 41.47% @ KuPS 1 1372 29.42% 29.11%
21 2011-07-15 13.17 JJK 2 1396 32.14% @ Haka 0 1346 38.49% 29.37%
22 2011-05-22 12.93 @ Mariehamn 2 1412 33.04% HJK 0 1500 37.54% 29.42%
23 2011-05-30 12.88 Honka 2 1436 33.26% @ KuPS 0 1378 37.32% 29.43%
24 2011-06-09 12.76 @ Inter Turku 6 1466 58.50% Haka 1 1363 17.10% 24.40%
25 2011-07-31 12.07 Honka 4 1437 24.01% @ TPS Turku 2 1456 48.05% 27.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-06-29 69.0 @ Inter Turku 4 1489 60.44% KuPS 4 1369 16.03% 23.53%
2 2011-07-31 65.2 @ KuPS 4 1365 39.39% JJK 4 1409 31.30% 29.31%
3 2011-10-16 65.1 @ Honka 1 1502 29.47% HJK 1 1618 41.41% 29.12%
4 2011-07-22 64.8 @ VPS 3 1338 24.80% Inter Turku 3 1496 47.01% 28.19%
5 2011-09-12 64.2 @ Inter Turku 2 1482 48.83% Honka 2 1457 23.42% 27.75%
6 2011-09-18 63.9 @ Inter Turku 1 1481 29.11% HJK 1 1601 41.82% 29.07%
7 2011-08-15 63.8 @ JJK 3 1400 46.68% Jaro 3 1392 25.06% 28.26%
8 2011-05-09 63.7 @ Mariehamn 3 1411 53.85% RoPS 3 1346 19.93% 26.22%
9 2011-09-28 63.7 @ TPS Turku 2 1486 53.02% JJK 2 1428 20.47% 26.50%
10 2011-09-18 62.1 @ RoPS 3 1261 24.16% JJK 3 1425 47.84% 27.99%
11 2011-09-08 62.0 @ Honka 2 1458 52.11% JJK 2 1407 21.08% 26.80%
12 2011-09-08 61.8 @ TPS Turku 2 1464 26.46% HJK 1 1606 44.94% 28.60%
13 2011-10-13 61.5 @ HJK 0 1621 69.24% JJK 0 1420 11.75% 19.02%
14 2011-05-20 61.3 JJK 3 1373 17.75% @ TPS Turku 2 1466 57.38% 24.87%
15 2011-08-22 60.6 @ Jaro 2 1392 37.35% Honka 2 1451 33.22% 29.42%
16 2011-06-23 60.3 @ JJK 2 1390 38.52% Honka 2 1440 32.11% 29.37%
17 2011-10-02 60.1 @ Honka 1 1490 46.14% TPS Turku 1 1485 25.49% 28.37%
18 2011-07-03 59.9 Inter Turku 3 1488 31.76% @ Honka 2 1441 38.89% 29.35%
19 2011-05-19 59.8 @ Haka 2 1369 34.99% Honka 2 1444 35.54% 29.46%
20 2011-07-24 59.8 @ Mariehamn 2 1412 51.77% KuPS 2 1364 21.32% 26.91%
21 2011-10-26 59.2 @ TPS Turku 1 1474 45.37% Inter Turku 1 1475 26.11% 28.52%
22 2011-08-21 59.1 @ Mariehamn 2 1373 41.74% JJK 2 1400 29.18% 29.08%
23 2011-10-14 58.5 @ Jaro 3 1372 29.14% Inter Turku 2 1491 41.78% 29.08%
24 2011-10-26 58.4 @ Honka 1 1508 63.48% Jaro 1 1361 14.45% 22.07%
25 2011-05-22 58.1 Inter Turku 4 1449 36.54% @ RoPS 3 1367 34.01% 29.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-08-21 28.6 @ HJK 5 1595 79.26% RoPS 0 1285 7.59% 13.15%
2 2011-08-01 29.8 @ Inter Turku 3 1495 68.60% RoPS 0 1301 12.03% 19.37%
3 2011-07-16 32.2 @ HJK 3 1584 73.23% VPS 0 1343 10.03% 16.74%
4 2011-07-11 32.9 @ JJK 3 1385 53.20% RoPS 0 1325 20.36% 26.45%
5 2011-08-26 33.5 @ TPS Turku 5 1448 56.55% KuPS 0 1361 18.24% 25.20%
6 2011-10-03 33.6 @ Inter Turku 6 1486 71.42% RoPS 2 1264 10.80% 17.79%
7 2011-09-21 34.0 @ HJK 2 1600 75.53% VPS 0 1334 9.08% 15.39%
8 2011-09-11 34.5 @ JJK 4 1408 50.07% MyPa 0 1373 22.51% 27.42%
9 2011-07-25 34.8 @ MyPa 2 1365 52.89% RoPS 0 1309 20.56% 26.55%
10 2011-06-12 35.1 @ TPS Turku 2 1468 60.17% Haka 0 1351 16.17% 23.66%
11 2011-09-18 35.6 @ Honka 2 1458 58.23% MyPa 0 1357 17.26% 24.51%
12 2011-06-15 36.0 @ HJK 5 1519 65.80% RoPS 1 1351 13.32% 20.88%
13 2011-09-21 36.1 @ Honka 5 1464 69.47% RoPS 2 1262 11.64% 18.89%
14 2011-09-28 36.2 @ HJK 6 1603 70.31% Jaro 0 1392 11.27% 18.41%
15 2011-05-22 36.3 @ MyPa 3 1344 42.07% Haka 0 1369 28.89% 29.04%
16 2011-05-23 36.4 @ Jaro 2 1407 51.94% VPS 0 1358 21.20% 26.86%
17 2011-06-09 36.5 @ Inter Turku 6 1466 58.50% Haka 1 1363 17.10% 24.40%
18 2011-08-06 36.5 @ Inter Turku 2 1501 60.97% Jaro 0 1377 15.75% 23.29%
19 2011-08-15 36.6 @ Inter Turku 2 1492 59.63% Mariehamn 0 1379 16.47% 23.90%
20 2011-08-28 36.6 @ Honka 2 1451 55.55% Mariehamn 0 1372 18.85% 25.60%
21 2011-06-09 36.8 @ JJK 2 1382 48.91% VPS 0 1356 23.36% 27.73%
22 2011-08-12 36.8 @ Jaro 4 1371 41.62% Mariehamn 0 1399 29.28% 29.10%
23 2011-10-03 36.8 @ MyPa 2 1339 46.03% Haka 0 1335 25.58% 28.39%
24 2011-10-26 36.9 @ JJK 2 1420 51.89% Mariehamn 0 1371 21.24% 26.87%
25 2011-06-09 37.2 @ KuPS 2 1365 46.67% MyPa 0 1356 25.07% 28.26%