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2012 Veikkausliiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

HJK

64 points · 25th Title

Last Title: 2011

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lahti

9.30 points above expected

50 points · 40.70 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Honka

7.95 points below expected

43 points · 50.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 33 19 7 7 64 63 33 +30 63.21 +0.79
2 Inter Turku 33 17 7 9 58 57 42 +15 55.96 +2.04
3 TPS Turku 33 16 6 11 54 55 33 +22 52.17 +1.83
4 Mariehamn 33 13 12 8 51 50 43 +7 45.03 +5.97
5 Lahti 33 16 2 15 50 45 49 -4 40.70 +9.30
6 MyPa 33 13 10 10 49 39 33 +6 45.59 +3.41
7 Honka 33 12 7 14 43 37 38 -1 50.95 -7.95
8 VPS 33 12 7 14 43 36 38 -2 43.53 -0.53
9 JJK 33 12 4 17 40 54 65 -11 44.66 -4.66
10 KuPS 33 10 6 17 36 39 53 -14 40.88 -4.88
11 Jaro 33 8 9 16 33 28 51 -23 34.57 -1.57
12 Haka 33 9 5 19 32 32 57 -25 36.44 -4.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lahti 50 40.70 +9.30
2 Mariehamn 51 45.03 +5.97
3 MyPa 49 45.59 +3.41
4 Inter Turku 58 55.96 +2.04
5 TPS Turku 54 52.17 +1.83

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Honka 43 50.95 -7.95
2 KuPS 36 40.88 -4.88
3 JJK 40 44.66 -4.66
4 Haka 32 36.44 -4.44
5 Jaro 33 34.57 -1.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 4 May 24 – Jun 20 1 in 86
2 Lahti 4 Aug 25 – Sep 23 1 in 57
3 Inter Turku 4 Apr 19 – May 2 1 in 27
4 MyPa 3 Apr 29 – May 12 1 in 20
5 Mariehamn 3 May 21 – May 27 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 4 May 16 – Jun 16 1 in 142
2 JJK 5 Jun 11 – Jul 2 1 in 120
3 Jaro 5 Aug 5 – Sep 2 1 in 41
4 KuPS 5 Apr 29 – May 16 1 in 30
5 VPS 3 Oct 19 – Oct 27 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lahti 6 Aug 25 – Oct 1 1 in 33
2 Jaro 4 Jun 16 – Jun 28 1 in 31
3 VPS 5 May 24 – Jun 25 1 in 30
4 HJK 12 Aug 18 – Oct 27 1 in 23
5 Inter Turku 7 Aug 18 – Sep 26 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 14 Jul 21 – Oct 19 1 in 117
2 HJK 5 Jun 20 – Jul 7 1 in 65
3 Inter Turku 5 Jun 16 – Jul 2 1 in 37
4 Honka 5 Apr 15 – May 5 1 in 34
5 KuPS 8 Apr 15 – May 16 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1536 64 +16 13 9.8 +3.2
Inter Turku 1441 58 -21 7 8.8 -1.8
TPS Turku 1444 54 -12 4 8.0 -4.0
Mariehamn 1401 51 -3 5 7.0 -2.0
Lahti 1369 50 +6 9 6.9 +2.1
MyPa 1380 49 -2 6 6.7 -0.7
Honka 1418 43 +5 7 7.8 -0.8
VPS 1347 43 -12 4 7.2 -3.2
JJK 1345 40 -4 6 6.2 -0.2
KuPS 1332 36 +13 7 6.0 +1.0
Jaro 1294 33 +5 7 5.0 +2.0
Haka 1278 32 +10 8 4.6 +3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK HON IT JJK JAR KUP LAH MAR MYP TT VPS
HJK —
2-1-0
6.16
2-0-1
5.64
1-1-1
5.26
3-0-0
5.63
1-2-0
6.55
3-0-0
6.31
2-0-1
6.33
2-0-1
5.99
1-1-1
5.38
1-1-1
4.90
1-1-1
5.66
Haka
0-1-2
2.29
—
2-1-0
3.13
0-0-3
2.82
2-0-1
3.19
1-1-1
4.46
0-1-2
3.60
1-0-2
3.45
0-1-2
3.75
1-0-2
3.14
1-0-2
2.76
1-0-2
3.16
Honka
1-0-2
2.78
0-1-2
5.26
—
2-0-1
4.07
2-0-1
5.14
2-0-1
5.03
3-0-0
5.42
1-0-2
4.68
0-3-0
4.27
1-2-0
4.99
0-0-3
4.48
0-1-2
5.21
Inter Turku
1-1-1
3.13
3-0-0
5.58
1-0-2
4.29
—
2-1-0
5.60
2-1-0
5.99
2-0-1
5.85
2-0-1
4.95
1-0-2
5.40
1-1-1
4.73
0-2-1
4.72
2-1-0
5.39
JJK
0-0-3
2.78
1-0-2
5.21
1-0-2
3.25
0-1-2
2.81
—
2-1-0
5.12
1-1-1
4.27
2-0-1
4.64
2-1-0
4.23
1-0-2
3.80
2-0-1
3.07
0-0-3
4.59
Jaro
0-2-1
1.95
1-1-1
3.90
1-0-2
3.34
0-1-2
2.47
0-1-2
3.28
—
1-1-1
4.28
2-0-1
4.06
0-1-2
3.56
1-0-2
3.92
2-0-1
2.50
0-2-1
3.29
KuPS
0-0-3
2.18
2-1-0
4.79
0-0-3
2.98
1-0-2
2.59
1-1-1
4.11
1-1-1
4.08
—
1-0-2
4.39
1-1-1
3.40
1-1-1
4.03
0-1-2
3.60
2-0-1
4.21
Lahti
1-0-2
2.14
2-0-1
4.92
2-0-1
3.69
1-0-2
3.44
1-0-2
3.73
1-0-2
4.30
2-0-1
3.98
—
1-1-1
3.40
1-1-1
4.25
2-0-1
3.51
2-0-1
3.67
Mariehamn
1-0-2
2.45
2-1-0
4.63
0-3-0
4.09
2-0-1
2.99
0-1-2
4.14
2-1-0
4.82
1-1-1
4.98
1-1-1
4.98
—
0-2-1
4.76
2-1-0
4.03
2-1-0
3.99
MyPa
1-1-1
3.02
2-0-1
5.26
0-2-1
3.39
1-1-1
3.64
2-0-1
4.57
2-0-1
4.43
1-1-1
4.33
1-1-1
4.12
1-2-0
3.62
—
1-1-1
3.27
1-1-1
4.69
TPS Turku
1-1-1
3.49
2-0-1
5.66
3-0-0
3.88
1-2-0
3.65
1-0-2
5.33
1-0-2
5.94
2-1-0
4.77
1-0-2
4.86
0-1-2
4.33
1-1-1
5.12
—
3-0-0
5.25
VPS
1-1-1
2.75
2-0-1
5.24
2-1-0
3.18
0-1-2
3.01
3-0-0
3.79
1-2-0
5.09
1-0-2
4.17
1-0-2
4.69
0-1-2
4.38
1-1-1
3.69
0-0-3
3.16
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +7.5
Allowed 0.46 -6.5
Differential 0.92 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.60%8.08%3.79%0.51%0.76%28.79%
19.60%9.09%7.83%3.54%2.02%0.51%32.58%
28.08%7.83%3.54%1.77%0.25%0.51%21.97%
33.79%3.54%1.77%2.02%0.25%0.25%11.62%
40.51%2.02%0.25%0.25%——3.03%
5+0.76%0.51%0.51%0.25%——2.02%
Total28.79%32.58%21.97%11.62%3.03%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.87
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
19.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
212.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
39.09%6.06%—3.03%——18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total36.36%39.39%12.12%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.00 +0.91
SD 1.59 1.00 1.81
CV 0.83 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%12.12%6.06%—3.03%45.45%
112.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
2—3.03%6.06%——3.03%12.12%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%24.24%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.73 -0.76
SD 1.19 1.74 2.11
CV 1.22 1.01 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
112.12%9.09%15.15%———36.36%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%33.33%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.15 -0.03
SD 0.96 0.94 1.42
CV 0.86 0.82 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——6.06%3.03%—18.18%
16.06%9.09%9.09%—6.06%—30.30%
218.18%12.12%————30.30%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total39.39%27.27%12.12%9.09%12.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.27 +0.45
SD 1.42 1.40 2.20
CV 0.82 1.10 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
13.03%3.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%27.27%
23.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%——15.15%
33.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total15.15%18.18%39.39%18.18%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.97 -0.33
SD 1.48 1.38 2.10
CV 0.90 0.70 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%12.12%9.09%——42.42%
112.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%6.06%—36.36%
23.03%6.06%3.03%—3.03%—15.15%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%30.30%21.21%15.15%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.55 -0.70
SD 0.91 1.28 1.47
CV 1.07 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%9.09%9.09%—3.03%27.27%
19.09%15.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
29.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%30.30%27.27%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.61 -0.42
SD 1.16 1.34 2.09
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%15.15%—3.03%3.03%30.30%
19.09%—9.09%6.06%——24.24%
29.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%24.24%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.48 -0.12
SD 1.17 1.28 1.95
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%6.06%———18.18%
16.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%—3.03%27.27%
215.15%9.09%9.09%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
36.06%3.03%—6.06%——15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%12.12%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.30 +0.21
SD 0.97 1.40 1.63
CV 0.64 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%9.09%———30.30%
112.12%15.15%3.03%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
23.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total36.36%39.39%15.15%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.00 +0.18
SD 1.10 1.03 1.63
CV 0.93 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
118.18%9.09%12.12%———39.39%
26.06%3.03%—6.06%——15.15%
33.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.00 +0.67
SD 1.76 0.97 1.85
CV 1.06 0.97 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
16.06%12.12%6.06%12.12%——36.36%
212.12%15.15%————27.27%
33.03%——3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%12.12%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.15 -0.06
SD 0.91 1.00 1.41
CV 0.84 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HJK 1536 64 63.21 +0.79 53.0% 40 52 59 63 68 72 80
TPS Turku 1444 54 52.17 +1.83 59.0% 34 40 46 52 57 64 74
Inter Turku 1441 58 55.96 +2.04 64.0% 36 44 51 55 60 70 75
Honka 1418 43 50.95 -7.95 14.0% 35 38 46 51 56 63 66
Mariehamn 1401 51 45.03 +5.97 88.0% 29 32 40 45 50 58 65
MyPa 1380 49 45.59 +3.41 69.0% 29 34 39 44 51 59 69
Lahti 1369 50 40.70 +9.30 90.0% 22 28 36 41 45 52 57
VPS 1347 43 43.53 -0.53 49.0% 26 31 39 44 48 56 60
JJK 1345 40 44.66 -4.66 28.0% 25 34 39 44 49 58 63
KuPS 1332 36 40.88 -4.88 31.0% 12 26 36 40 46 58 61
Jaro 1294 33 34.57 -1.57 48.0% 20 23 29 34 38 46 57
Haka 1278 32 36.44 -4.44 24.0% 15 25 33 36 41 48 58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.75%
Strong Edge
52.02%20.71%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
218 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
087.80600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
HJK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.03 * Some Luck: 6.03 to 9.05 * Lucky: 9.05 to 12.06 * Wild Swing: 12.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.77 points
As Expected
07.5419
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.005
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
90.00%
Lahti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
14.00%
Honka
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 71.64
1.29
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.42
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Near-Lock
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.83
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
HJK59.00%25.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%————
Inter Turku20.00%23.00%18.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%—3.00%———
TPS Turku10.00%17.00%19.00%11.00%16.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—
Mariehamn—3.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%
Lahti—2.00%2.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%
MyPa2.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%
Honka5.00%12.00%20.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
VPS—2.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%
JJK2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%5.00%
KuPS2.00%5.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%16.00%
Jaro——1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%15.00%22.00%37.00%
Haka—1.00%1.00%—1.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%21.00%25.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HJK 100% —
Inter Turku 100% —
TPS Turku 100% —
Honka 99.00% 1.00%
Mariehamn 97.00% 3.00%
MyPa 97.00% 3.00%
JJK 95.00% 5.00%
VPS 95.00% 5.00%
Lahti 91.00% 9.00%
KuPS 84.00% 16.00%
Haka 79.00% 21.00%
Jaro 63.00% 37.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-04-15 Haka W 1-038.3 1352 1322 55.02% 20.44% 24.53%+0.54 +2.9 3
2012-04-15 @ Lahti L 0-138.3 1322 1352 24.53% 20.44% 55.02%-0.54 -2.9 0
2012-04-15 JJK D 2-262.7 1353 1387 46.50% 21.65% 31.86%+0.24 -0.3 1
2012-04-15 @ KuPS D 2-262.7 1387 1353 31.86% 21.65% 46.50%-0.24 +0.3 1
2012-04-15 Mariehamn W 3-139.5 1511 1352 69.47% 16.19% 14.34%+1.14 +2.8 3
2012-04-15 @ HJK L 1-339.5 1352 1511 14.34% 16.19% 69.47%-1.14 -2.8 0
2012-04-15 MyPa L 0-149.5 1408 1347 58.80% 19.60% 21.60%+0.68 -6.1 0
2012-04-15 @ TPS Turku W 1-049.5 1347 1408 21.60% 19.60% 58.80%-0.68 +6.1 3
2012-04-15 VPS D 1-158.9 1439 1346 62.49% 18.59% 18.92%+0.83 -1.1 1
2012-04-15 @ Honka D 1-158.9 1346 1439 18.92% 18.59% 62.49%-0.83 +1.1 1
2012-04-18 Honka W 2-150.2 1355 1438 39.69% 21.97% 38.35%+0.02 +4.1 6
2012-04-18 @ Lahti L 1-250.2 1438 1355 38.35% 21.97% 39.69%-0.02 -4.1 1
2012-04-19 Haka L 1-447.9 1388 1319 59.69% 19.38% 20.94%+0.72 -14.4 1
2012-04-19 @ JJK W 4-147.9 1319 1388 20.94% 19.38% 59.69%-0.72 +14.4 3
2012-04-19 HJK W 3-151.4 1402 1514 35.65% 21.90% 42.45%-0.11 +7.6 3
2012-04-19 @ TPS Turku L 1-351.4 1514 1402 42.45% 21.90% 35.65%+0.11 -7.6 3
2012-04-19 Inter Turku L 0-241.3 1347 1423 40.74% 21.95% 37.31%+0.06 -8.5 1
2012-04-19 @ VPS W 2-041.3 1423 1347 37.31% 21.95% 40.74%-0.06 +8.5 3
2012-04-19 Jaro W 2-035.7 1353 1345 52.27% 20.94% 26.80%+0.44 +6.0 6
2012-04-19 @ MyPa L 0-235.7 1345 1353 26.80% 20.94% 52.27%-0.44 -6.0 0
2012-04-19 KuPS D 1-156.7 1349 1352 50.72% 21.17% 28.11%+0.39 -0.5 1
2012-04-19 @ Mariehamn D 1-156.7 1352 1349 28.11% 21.17% 50.72%-0.39 +0.5 2
2012-04-22 JJK L 0-246.8 1434 1373 58.77% 19.61% 21.62%+0.68 -11.6 1
2012-04-22 @ Honka W 2-046.8 1373 1434 21.62% 19.61% 58.77%-0.68 +11.6 4
2012-04-22 Lahti W 2-146.0 1339 1359 48.45% 21.45% 30.09%+0.31 +3.3 4
2012-04-22 @ VPS L 1-246.0 1359 1339 30.09% 21.45% 48.45%-0.31 -3.3 6
2012-04-22 Mariehamn L 0-242.4 1333 1348 49.20% 21.37% 29.44%+0.33 -10.0 3
2012-04-22 @ Haka W 2-042.4 1348 1333 29.44% 21.37% 49.20%-0.33 +10.0 4
2012-04-22 MyPa W 2-034.9 1431 1359 60.08% 19.27% 20.65%+0.73 +4.7 6
2012-04-22 @ Inter Turku L 0-234.9 1359 1431 20.65% 19.27% 60.08%-0.73 -4.7 6
2012-04-22 TPS Turku D 1-157.4 1353 1410 43.41% 21.86% 34.73%+0.14 -0.2 3
2012-04-22 @ KuPS D 1-157.4 1410 1353 34.73% 21.86% 43.41%-0.14 +0.2 4
2012-04-23 Jaro W 4-135.9 1506 1339 70.23% 15.90% 13.88%+1.17 +3.8 6
2012-04-23 @ HJK L 1-435.9 1339 1506 13.88% 15.90% 70.23%-1.17 -3.8 0
2012-04-29 Haka W 2-033.4 1410 1323 61.76% 18.81% 19.44%+0.80 +4.4 7
2012-04-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-233.4 1323 1410 19.44% 18.81% 61.76%-0.80 -4.4 3
2012-04-29 HJK W 1-049.5 1355 1510 30.07% 21.45% 48.48%-0.31 +5.2 9
2012-04-29 @ MyPa L 0-149.5 1510 1355 48.48% 21.45% 30.07%+0.31 -5.2 6
2012-04-29 Honka D 0-053.2 1358 1422 42.39% 21.90% 35.71%+0.11 -0.2 5
2012-04-29 @ Mariehamn D 0-053.2 1422 1358 35.71% 21.90% 42.39%-0.11 +0.2 2
2012-04-29 Inter Turku L 0-539.3 1356 1436 40.08% 21.96% 37.96%+0.03 -19.7 6
2012-04-29 @ Lahti W 5-039.3 1436 1356 37.96% 21.96% 40.08%-0.03 +19.7 9
2012-04-29 KuPS W 1-040.3 1335 1353 48.86% 21.41% 29.73%+0.32 +3.5 3
2012-04-29 @ Jaro L 0-140.3 1353 1335 29.73% 21.41% 48.86%-0.32 -3.5 3
2012-04-30 VPS L 0-244.8 1385 1342 56.62% 20.11% 23.27%+0.60 -11.2 4
2012-04-30 @ JJK W 2-044.8 1342 1385 23.27% 20.11% 56.62%-0.60 +11.2 7
2012-05-02 HJK L 0-337.7 1349 1505 30.02% 21.44% 48.54%-0.31 -9.7 3
2012-05-02 @ KuPS W 3-037.7 1505 1349 48.54% 21.44% 30.02%+0.31 +9.7 9
2012-05-02 Inter Turku L 0-143.7 1339 1456 34.94% 21.87% 43.19%-0.13 -4.0 3
2012-05-02 @ Jaro W 1-043.7 1456 1339 43.19% 21.87% 34.94%+0.13 +4.0 12
2012-05-05 Jaro W 4-138.8 1319 1335 49.09% 21.38% 29.53%+0.33 +8.0 6
2012-05-05 @ Haka L 1-438.8 1335 1319 29.53% 21.38% 49.09%-0.33 -8.0 3
2012-05-05 Lahti W 2-143.9 1374 1336 55.96% 20.25% 23.78%+0.58 +2.7 7
2012-05-05 @ JJK L 1-243.9 1336 1374 23.78% 20.25% 55.96%-0.58 -2.7 6
2012-05-05 Mariehamn L 1-252.2 1353 1358 50.52% 21.20% 28.28%+0.38 -5.1 7
2012-05-05 @ VPS W 2-152.2 1358 1353 28.28% 21.20% 50.52%-0.38 +5.1 8
2012-05-05 MyPa L 1-251.5 1340 1360 48.45% 21.45% 30.10%+0.31 -4.9 3
2012-05-05 @ KuPS W 2-151.5 1360 1340 30.10% 21.45% 48.45%-0.31 +4.9 12
2012-05-05 TPS Turku L 0-246.0 1423 1414 52.24% 20.94% 26.82%+0.44 -10.5 2
2012-05-05 @ Honka W 2-046.0 1414 1423 26.82% 20.94% 52.24%-0.44 +10.5 10
2012-05-06 Inter Turku W 2-150.2 1515 1460 58.05% 19.78% 22.16%+0.66 +2.5 12
2012-05-06 @ HJK L 1-250.2 1460 1515 22.16% 19.78% 58.05%-0.66 -2.5 12
2012-05-12 Haka W 3-140.1 1365 1327 55.99% 20.25% 23.76%+0.58 +4.7 15
2012-05-12 @ MyPa L 1-340.1 1327 1365 23.76% 20.25% 55.99%-0.58 -4.7 6
2012-05-12 Honka L 0-144.0 1327 1412 39.35% 21.97% 38.68%+0.01 -4.4 3
2012-05-12 @ Jaro W 1-044.0 1412 1327 38.68% 21.97% 39.35%-0.01 +4.4 5
2012-05-12 JJK W 2-144.7 1457 1376 61.12% 18.99% 19.89%+0.78 +2.3 15
2012-05-12 @ Inter Turku L 1-244.7 1376 1457 19.89% 18.99% 61.12%-0.78 -2.3 7
2012-05-12 KuPS W 2-033.0 1517 1335 71.67% 15.31% 13.01%+1.24 +2.9 15
2012-05-12 @ HJK L 0-233.0 1335 1517 13.01% 15.31% 71.67%-1.24 -2.9 3
2012-05-13 Lahti W 2-034.9 1363 1333 55.00% 20.45% 24.55%+0.54 +5.5 11
2012-05-13 @ Mariehamn L 0-234.9 1333 1363 24.55% 20.45% 55.00%-0.54 -5.6 6
2012-05-13 VPS W 1-038.1 1425 1348 60.65% 19.12% 20.23%+0.76 +2.4 13
2012-05-13 @ TPS Turku L 0-138.1 1348 1425 20.23% 19.12% 60.65%-0.76 -2.4 7
2012-05-16 HJK L 0-141.7 1322 1520 25.35% 20.64% 54.01%-0.50 -3.0 6
2012-05-16 @ Haka W 1-041.7 1520 1322 54.01% 20.64% 25.35%+0.50 +3.0 18
2012-05-16 Jaro D 1-156.5 1346 1322 54.18% 20.61% 25.22%+0.51 -0.7 8
2012-05-16 @ VPS D 1-156.5 1322 1346 25.22% 20.61% 54.18%-0.51 +0.7 4
2012-05-16 KuPS W 2-142.2 1460 1332 66.25% 17.38% 16.38%+0.99 +1.9 18
2012-05-16 @ Inter Turku L 1-242.2 1332 1460 16.38% 17.38% 66.25%-0.99 -1.8 3
2012-05-16 Mariehamn W 5-241.8 1374 1369 51.87% 21.00% 27.13%+0.43 +6.5 10
2012-05-16 @ JJK L 2-541.8 1369 1374 27.13% 21.00% 51.87%-0.43 -6.5 11
2012-05-16 MyPa W 2-144.8 1417 1370 57.12% 20.00% 22.88%+0.62 +2.6 8
2012-05-16 @ Honka L 1-244.8 1370 1417 22.88% 20.00% 57.12%-0.62 -2.6 15
2012-05-16 TPS Turku W 2-041.1 1328 1427 37.34% 21.95% 40.71%-0.05 +8.5 9
2012-05-16 @ Lahti L 0-241.1 1427 1328 40.71% 21.95% 37.34%+0.05 -8.5 13
2012-05-21 Haka W 3-032.8 1330 1319 52.54% 20.89% 26.57%+0.45 +8.7 6
2012-05-21 @ KuPS L 0-332.8 1319 1330 26.57% 20.89% 52.54%-0.45 -8.7 6
2012-05-21 Honka W 3-036.0 1523 1419 63.68% 18.23% 18.09%+0.88 +6.0 21
2012-05-21 @ HJK L 0-336.0 1419 1523 18.09% 18.23% 63.68%-0.88 -6.0 8
2012-05-21 Inter Turku W 2-151.6 1362 1461 37.40% 21.95% 40.64%-0.05 +4.2 14
2012-05-21 @ Mariehamn L 1-251.6 1461 1362 40.64% 21.95% 37.40%+0.05 -4.3 18
2012-05-21 JJK L 2-360.1 1419 1381 56.05% 20.23% 23.72%+0.58 -5.3 13
2012-05-21 @ TPS Turku W 3-260.1 1381 1419 23.72% 20.23% 56.05%-0.58 +5.3 13
2012-05-21 Lahti L 0-242.2 1323 1336 49.42% 21.34% 29.24%+0.34 -10.0 4
2012-05-21 @ Jaro W 2-042.2 1336 1323 29.24% 21.34% 49.42%-0.34 +10.0 12
2012-05-21 VPS W 1-039.0 1367 1345 54.02% 20.64% 25.35%+0.50 +3.0 18
2012-05-21 @ MyPa L 0-139.0 1345 1367 25.35% 20.64% 54.02%-0.50 -3.0 8
2012-05-24 Haka W 4-134.7 1457 1311 68.16% 16.69% 15.15%+1.08 +4.2 21
2012-05-24 @ Inter Turku L 1-434.7 1311 1457 15.15% 16.69% 68.16%-1.08 -4.2 6
2012-05-24 HJK W 1-050.7 1342 1529 26.46% 20.87% 52.67%-0.46 +5.6 11
2012-05-24 @ VPS L 0-150.7 1529 1342 52.67% 20.87% 26.46%+0.46 -5.6 21
2012-05-24 Jaro D 1-157.2 1386 1313 60.17% 19.25% 20.58%+0.74 -1.0 14
2012-05-24 @ JJK D 1-157.2 1313 1386 20.58% 19.25% 60.17%-0.74 +1.0 5
2012-05-24 KuPS W 1-037.7 1413 1339 60.39% 19.19% 20.42%+0.75 +2.5 11
2012-05-24 @ Honka L 0-137.7 1339 1413 20.42% 19.19% 60.39%-0.75 -2.5 6
2012-05-24 MyPa D 0-052.3 1346 1370 48.01% 21.50% 30.49%+0.29 -0.5 13
2012-05-24 @ Lahti D 0-052.3 1370 1346 30.49% 21.50% 48.01%-0.29 +0.5 19
2012-05-24 TPS Turku W 2-148.4 1367 1414 44.80% 21.78% 33.42%+0.19 +3.6 17
2012-05-24 @ Mariehamn L 1-248.4 1414 1367 33.42% 21.78% 44.80%-0.19 -3.6 13
2012-05-27 Honka W 2-150.0 1307 1416 36.02% 21.92% 42.07%-0.10 +4.4 9
2012-05-27 @ Haka L 1-250.0 1416 1307 42.07% 21.92% 36.02%+0.10 -4.4 11
2012-05-27 JJK L 0-147.1 1370 1385 49.27% 21.36% 29.37%+0.34 -5.3 19
2012-05-27 @ MyPa W 1-047.1 1385 1370 29.37% 21.36% 49.27%-0.34 +5.3 17
2012-05-27 Lahti W 2-033.6 1523 1346 71.21% 15.50% 13.29%+1.22 +2.9 24
2012-05-27 @ HJK L 0-233.6 1346 1523 13.29% 15.50% 71.21%-1.22 -2.9 13
2012-05-27 Mariehamn L 0-338.5 1314 1370 43.52% 21.85% 34.63%+0.15 -13.1 5
2012-05-27 @ Jaro W 3-038.5 1370 1314 34.63% 21.85% 43.52%-0.15 +13.1 20
2012-05-27 VPS L 0-340.2 1336 1347 49.67% 21.31% 29.02%+0.35 -14.6 6
2012-05-27 @ KuPS W 3-040.2 1347 1336 29.02% 21.31% 49.67%-0.35 +14.6 14
2012-05-30 Lahti W 2-033.7 1461 1343 65.26% 17.72% 17.03%+0.95 +3.9 24
2012-05-30 @ Inter Turku L 0-233.7 1343 1461 17.03% 17.72% 65.26%-0.95 -3.9 13
2012-06-11 KuPS L 1-546.3 1390 1322 59.69% 19.38% 20.94%+0.72 -18.5 17
2012-06-11 @ JJK W 5-146.3 1322 1390 20.94% 19.38% 59.69%-0.72 +18.5 9
2012-06-16 HJK L 0-339.0 1372 1526 30.14% 21.46% 48.40%-0.31 -9.7 17
2012-06-16 @ JJK W 3-039.0 1526 1372 48.40% 21.46% 30.14%+0.31 +9.7 27
2012-06-16 Inter Turku W 2-151.1 1411 1465 43.84% 21.84% 34.32%+0.16 +3.7 14
2012-06-16 @ Honka L 1-251.1 1465 1411 34.32% 21.84% 43.84%-0.16 -3.7 24
2012-06-16 Jaro L 2-360.3 1410 1301 64.24% 18.05% 17.71%+0.90 -5.9 13
2012-06-16 @ TPS Turku W 3-260.3 1301 1410 17.71% 18.05% 64.24%-0.90 +5.9 8
2012-06-16 VPS L 0-144.6 1311 1362 44.23% 21.81% 33.96%+0.17 -4.8 9
2012-06-16 @ Haka W 1-044.6 1362 1311 33.96% 21.81% 44.23%-0.17 +4.8 17
2012-06-17 Lahti L 1-252.0 1340 1339 51.31% 21.08% 27.61%+0.41 -5.2 9
2012-06-17 @ KuPS W 2-152.0 1339 1340 27.61% 21.08% 51.31%-0.41 +5.2 16
2012-06-17 MyPa D 0-053.0 1383 1365 53.51% 20.73% 25.76%+0.49 -0.7 21
2012-06-17 @ Mariehamn D 0-053.0 1365 1383 25.76% 20.73% 53.51%-0.49 +0.7 20
2012-06-19 Jaro D 1-159.2 1461 1307 68.98% 16.38% 14.64%+1.11 -1.4 25
2012-06-19 @ Inter Turku D 1-159.2 1307 1461 14.64% 16.38% 68.98%-1.11 +1.4 9
2012-06-20 Haka L 0-147.4 1344 1306 56.03% 20.24% 23.74%+0.58 -5.9 16
2012-06-20 @ Lahti W 1-047.4 1306 1344 23.74% 20.24% 56.03%-0.58 +5.9 12
2012-06-20 HJK W 2-047.5 1383 1536 30.29% 21.48% 48.23%-0.30 +9.8 24
2012-06-20 @ Mariehamn L 0-247.5 1536 1383 48.23% 21.48% 30.29%+0.30 -9.8 27
2012-06-20 Honka W 2-039.4 1367 1415 44.65% 21.79% 33.56%+0.18 +7.3 20
2012-06-20 @ VPS L 0-239.4 1415 1367 33.56% 21.79% 44.65%-0.18 -7.3 14
2012-06-20 MyPa W 1-039.4 1404 1366 56.02% 20.24% 23.74%+0.58 +2.9 16
2012-06-20 @ TPS Turku L 0-139.4 1366 1404 23.74% 20.24% 56.02%-0.58 -2.9 20
2012-06-25 JJK W 3-143.4 1312 1362 44.40% 21.80% 33.80%+0.17 +6.4 15
2012-06-25 @ Haka L 1-343.4 1362 1312 33.80% 21.80% 44.40%-0.17 -6.4 17
2012-06-25 Lahti W 3-248.2 1408 1338 59.78% 19.35% 20.87%+0.72 +2.2 17
2012-06-25 @ Honka L 2-348.2 1338 1408 20.87% 19.35% 59.78%-0.72 -2.2 16
2012-06-25 Mariehamn W 2-038.8 1335 1392 43.35% 21.86% 34.79%+0.14 +7.5 12
2012-06-25 @ KuPS L 0-238.8 1392 1335 34.79% 21.86% 43.35%-0.14 -7.5 24
2012-06-25 MyPa W 1-041.6 1308 1363 43.71% 21.84% 34.45%+0.15 +4.0 12
2012-06-25 @ Jaro L 0-141.6 1363 1308 34.45% 21.84% 43.71%-0.15 -4.0 20
2012-06-25 TPS Turku D 0-058.8 1526 1407 65.36% 17.68% 16.96%+0.95 -1.3 28
2012-06-25 @ HJK D 0-058.8 1407 1526 16.96% 17.68% 65.36%-0.95 +1.3 17
2012-06-25 VPS D 1-159.9 1460 1374 61.68% 18.83% 19.49%+0.80 -1.0 26
2012-06-25 @ Inter Turku D 1-159.9 1374 1460 19.49% 18.83% 61.68%-0.80 +1.0 21
2012-06-28 Haka W 1-037.3 1385 1318 59.43% 19.44% 21.12%+0.71 +2.5 27
2012-06-28 @ Mariehamn L 0-137.3 1318 1385 21.12% 19.44% 59.43%-0.71 -2.5 15
2012-06-28 HJK D 2-265.2 1312 1525 23.83% 20.26% 55.90%-0.57 +0.6 13
2012-06-28 @ Jaro D 2-265.2 1525 1312 55.90% 20.26% 23.83%+0.57 -0.6 29
2012-06-28 Honka L 0-145.8 1356 1410 43.76% 21.84% 34.40%+0.15 -4.8 17
2012-06-28 @ JJK W 1-045.8 1410 1356 34.40% 21.84% 43.76%-0.15 +4.8 20
2012-06-28 Inter Turku W 4-039.6 1359 1459 37.29% 21.95% 40.76%-0.06 +16.2 23
2012-06-28 @ MyPa L 0-439.6 1459 1359 40.76% 21.95% 37.29%+0.06 -16.2 26
2012-06-28 KuPS W 3-032.1 1408 1342 59.36% 19.46% 21.18%+0.71 +7.0 20
2012-06-28 @ TPS Turku L 0-332.1 1342 1408 21.18% 19.46% 59.36%-0.71 -7.0 12
2012-06-28 VPS W 1-041.5 1336 1375 45.89% 21.70% 32.41%+0.22 +3.8 19
2012-06-28 @ Lahti L 0-141.5 1375 1336 32.41% 21.70% 45.89%-0.22 -3.8 21
2012-07-02 Inter Turku W 4-358.4 1340 1443 36.86% 21.94% 41.20%-0.07 +4.0 22
2012-07-02 @ Lahti L 3-458.4 1443 1340 41.20% 21.94% 36.86%+0.07 -4.0 26
2012-07-02 Jaro W 1-038.3 1335 1313 54.10% 20.62% 25.28%+0.51 +3.0 15
2012-07-02 @ KuPS L 0-138.3 1313 1335 25.28% 20.62% 54.10%-0.51 -3.0 13
2012-07-02 JJK W 2-035.6 1371 1351 53.85% 20.67% 25.48%+0.50 +5.8 24
2012-07-02 @ VPS L 0-235.6 1351 1371 25.48% 20.67% 53.85%-0.50 -5.8 17
2012-07-02 MyPa D 1-162.5 1524 1375 68.42% 16.59% 14.99%+1.09 -1.3 30
2012-07-02 @ HJK D 1-162.5 1375 1524 14.99% 16.59% 68.42%-1.09 +1.3 24
2012-07-02 TPS Turku W 1-044.3 1316 1415 37.36% 21.95% 40.69%-0.05 +4.5 18
2012-07-02 @ Haka L 0-144.3 1415 1316 40.69% 21.95% 37.36%+0.05 -4.5 20
2012-07-03 Mariehamn D 2-264.3 1415 1387 54.70% 20.51% 24.79%+0.53 -0.5 21
2012-07-03 @ Honka D 2-264.3 1387 1415 24.79% 20.51% 54.70%-0.53 +0.5 28
2012-07-07 Haka W 1-039.4 1310 1320 49.78% 21.30% 28.93%+0.35 +3.4 16
2012-07-07 @ Jaro L 0-139.4 1320 1310 28.93% 21.30% 49.78%-0.35 -3.4 18
2012-07-07 HJK W 2-046.2 1439 1523 39.55% 21.97% 38.49%+0.02 +8.1 29
2012-07-07 @ Inter Turku L 0-246.2 1523 1439 38.49% 21.97% 39.55%-0.02 -8.2 30
2012-07-07 VPS D 0-053.2 1388 1377 52.56% 20.89% 26.55%+0.45 -0.7 29
2012-07-07 @ Mariehamn D 0-053.2 1377 1388 26.55% 20.89% 52.56%-0.45 +0.7 25
2012-07-08 KuPS D 1-157.2 1377 1338 56.04% 20.24% 23.73%+0.58 -0.8 25
2012-07-08 @ MyPa D 1-157.2 1338 1377 23.73% 20.24% 56.04%-0.58 +0.8 16
2012-07-08 Lahti W 3-141.5 1345 1344 51.33% 21.08% 27.59%+0.41 +5.3 20
2012-07-08 @ JJK L 1-341.5 1344 1345 27.59% 21.08% 51.33%-0.41 -5.3 22
2012-07-09 Honka W 2-147.6 1411 1414 50.71% 21.17% 28.12%+0.39 +3.1 23
2012-07-09 @ TPS Turku L 1-247.6 1414 1411 28.12% 21.17% 50.71%-0.39 -3.1 21
2012-07-14 TPS Turku L 1-349.0 1378 1414 46.34% 21.66% 32.00%+0.24 -8.2 25
2012-07-14 @ VPS W 3-149.0 1414 1378 32.00% 21.66% 46.34%-0.24 +8.2 26
2012-07-15 Jaro W 2-032.8 1411 1313 63.03% 18.43% 18.54%+0.85 +4.2 24
2012-07-15 @ Honka L 0-232.8 1313 1411 18.54% 18.43% 63.03%-0.85 -4.2 16
2012-07-15 JJK W 3-248.3 1447 1350 62.89% 18.47% 18.64%+0.85 +2.0 32
2012-07-15 @ Inter Turku L 2-348.3 1350 1447 18.64% 18.47% 62.89%-0.85 -2.0 20
2012-07-15 MyPa W 3-144.0 1317 1376 43.13% 21.87% 35.00%+0.13 +6.5 21
2012-07-15 @ Haka L 1-344.0 1376 1317 35.00% 21.87% 43.13%-0.13 -6.5 25
2012-07-16 Mariehamn W 2-038.4 1338 1387 44.57% 21.79% 33.64%+0.18 +7.3 25
2012-07-16 @ Lahti L 0-238.4 1387 1338 33.64% 21.79% 44.57%-0.18 -7.3 29
2012-07-21 Haka W 1-036.0 1515 1323 72.50% 14.97% 12.53%+1.28 +1.5 33
2012-07-21 @ HJK L 0-136.0 1323 1515 12.53% 14.97% 72.50%-1.28 -1.5 21
2012-07-21 VPS D 0-051.7 1309 1370 42.87% 21.88% 35.24%+0.12 -0.2 17
2012-07-21 @ Jaro D 0-051.7 1370 1309 35.24% 21.88% 42.87%-0.12 +0.2 26
2012-07-22 Honka D 0-053.4 1369 1415 44.95% 21.77% 33.28%+0.19 -0.3 26
2012-07-22 @ MyPa D 0-053.4 1415 1369 33.28% 21.77% 44.95%-0.19 +0.3 25
2012-07-22 Inter Turku L 0-638.8 1339 1449 35.92% 21.91% 42.16%-0.10 -21.5 16
2012-07-22 @ KuPS W 6-038.8 1449 1339 42.16% 21.91% 35.92%+0.10 +21.5 35
2012-07-22 JJK D 3-366.7 1380 1348 55.21% 20.41% 24.38%+0.55 -0.5 30
2012-07-22 @ Mariehamn D 3-366.7 1348 1380 24.38% 20.41% 55.21%-0.55 +0.5 21
2012-07-22 Lahti W 4-031.5 1422 1346 60.58% 19.14% 20.28%+0.75 +8.8 29
2012-07-22 @ TPS Turku L 0-431.5 1346 1422 20.28% 19.14% 60.58%-0.75 -8.8 25
2012-07-28 HJK W 1-049.5 1416 1516 37.19% 21.95% 40.87%-0.06 +4.5 28
2012-07-28 @ Honka L 0-149.5 1516 1416 40.87% 21.95% 37.19%+0.06 -4.5 33
2012-07-29 Jaro L 0-243.4 1337 1309 54.80% 20.49% 24.71%+0.53 -10.9 25
2012-07-29 @ Lahti W 2-043.4 1309 1337 24.71% 20.49% 54.80%-0.53 +10.9 20
2012-07-29 KuPS L 0-242.6 1322 1318 51.72% 21.02% 27.26%+0.42 -10.4 21
2012-07-29 @ Haka W 2-042.6 1318 1322 27.26% 21.02% 51.72%-0.42 +10.4 19
2012-07-29 MyPa W 2-036.6 1370 1369 51.29% 21.09% 27.62%+0.41 +6.2 29
2012-07-29 @ VPS L 0-236.6 1369 1370 27.62% 21.09% 51.29%-0.41 -6.2 26
2012-07-29 TPS Turku W 2-149.9 1349 1431 39.85% 21.96% 38.19%+0.03 +4.1 24
2012-07-29 @ JJK L 1-249.9 1431 1349 38.19% 21.96% 39.85%-0.03 -4.1 29
2012-07-30 Mariehamn L 0-346.4 1471 1379 62.27% 18.66% 19.07%+0.82 -17.6 35
2012-07-30 @ Inter Turku W 3-046.4 1379 1471 19.07% 18.66% 62.27%-0.82 +17.6 33
2012-08-04 Lahti W 3-140.1 1363 1326 55.85% 20.28% 23.87%+0.57 +4.7 29
2012-08-04 @ MyPa L 1-340.1 1326 1363 23.87% 20.28% 55.85%-0.57 -4.7 25
2012-08-04 VPS D 3-371.5 1512 1376 67.06% 17.09% 15.85%+1.03 -0.8 34
2012-08-04 @ HJK D 3-371.5 1376 1512 15.85% 17.09% 67.06%-1.03 +0.8 30
2012-08-05 Honka L 0-240.3 1328 1420 38.42% 21.97% 39.61%-0.02 -8.2 19
2012-08-05 @ KuPS W 2-040.3 1420 1328 39.61% 21.97% 38.42%+0.02 +8.1 31
2012-08-05 Inter Turku L 0-238.5 1312 1453 31.80% 21.64% 46.56%-0.25 -7.0 21
2012-08-05 @ Haka W 2-038.5 1453 1312 46.56% 21.64% 31.80%+0.25 +7.0 38
2012-08-05 JJK L 0-339.3 1320 1353 46.72% 21.63% 31.65%+0.25 -13.8 20
2012-08-05 @ Jaro W 3-039.3 1353 1320 31.65% 21.63% 46.72%-0.25 +13.8 27
2012-08-06 Mariehamn D 1-159.2 1427 1397 54.99% 20.45% 24.56%+0.54 -0.7 30
2012-08-06 @ TPS Turku D 1-159.2 1397 1427 24.56% 20.45% 54.99%-0.54 +0.7 34
2012-08-11 Jaro W 2-032.8 1398 1306 62.36% 18.63% 19.01%+0.83 +4.3 37
2012-08-11 @ Mariehamn L 0-232.8 1306 1398 19.01% 18.63% 62.36%-0.83 -4.3 20
2012-08-11 MyPa L 0-341.3 1367 1368 51.07% 21.12% 27.81%+0.40 -14.9 27
2012-08-11 @ JJK W 3-041.3 1368 1367 27.81% 21.12% 51.07%-0.40 +14.9 32
2012-08-12 Haka D 2-263.8 1428 1305 65.81% 17.53% 16.66%+0.97 -0.9 32
2012-08-12 @ Honka D 2-263.8 1305 1428 16.66% 17.53% 65.81%-0.97 +0.9 22
2012-08-12 HJK W 3-043.8 1321 1511 26.20% 20.82% 52.98%-0.47 +15.4 28
2012-08-12 @ Lahti L 0-343.8 1511 1321 52.98% 20.82% 26.20%+0.47 -15.4 34
2012-08-12 Inter Turku W 4-144.2 1426 1460 46.63% 21.64% 31.73%+0.25 +8.5 33
2012-08-12 @ TPS Turku L 1-444.2 1460 1426 31.73% 21.64% 46.63%-0.25 -8.5 38
2012-08-12 KuPS L 0-148.4 1377 1320 58.30% 19.72% 21.97%+0.66 -6.1 30
2012-08-12 @ VPS W 1-048.4 1320 1377 21.97% 19.72% 58.30%-0.66 +6.1 22
2012-08-18 Honka W 2-148.1 1451 1427 54.26% 20.59% 25.15%+0.51 +2.8 41
2012-08-18 @ Inter Turku L 1-248.1 1427 1451 25.15% 20.59% 54.26%-0.51 -2.8 32
2012-08-18 JJK W 2-034.0 1496 1352 67.89% 16.79% 15.32%+1.06 +3.4 37
2012-08-18 @ HJK L 0-234.0 1352 1496 15.32% 16.79% 67.89%-1.06 -3.4 27
2012-08-18 Lahti W 1-039.7 1326 1337 49.76% 21.30% 28.94%+0.35 +3.4 25
2012-08-18 @ KuPS L 0-139.7 1337 1326 28.94% 21.30% 49.76%-0.35 -3.4 28
2012-08-19 Haka W 2-142.4 1371 1306 59.30% 19.48% 21.23%+0.70 +2.4 33
2012-08-19 @ VPS L 1-242.4 1306 1371 21.23% 19.48% 59.30%-0.70 -2.4 22
2012-08-19 TPS Turku L 0-142.0 1301 1435 32.84% 21.73% 45.43%-0.21 -3.8 20
2012-08-19 @ Jaro W 1-042.0 1435 1301 45.43% 21.73% 32.84%+0.21 +3.8 36
2012-08-20 Mariehamn W 2-147.4 1382 1402 48.56% 21.44% 30.00%+0.31 +3.3 35
2012-08-20 @ MyPa L 1-247.4 1402 1382 30.00% 21.44% 48.56%-0.31 -3.3 37
2012-08-22 Haka W 9-232.5 1438 1303 67.02% 17.10% 15.88%+1.02 +7.8 39
2012-08-22 @ TPS Turku L 2-932.5 1303 1438 15.88% 17.10% 67.02%-1.02 -7.8 22
2012-08-25 Lahti L 0-338.7 1295 1333 46.05% 21.69% 32.27%+0.23 -13.7 22
2012-08-25 @ Haka W 3-038.7 1333 1295 32.27% 21.69% 46.05%-0.23 +13.7 31
2012-08-26 Jaro W 3-137.1 1454 1298 69.16% 16.31% 14.53%+1.12 +2.8 44
2012-08-26 @ Inter Turku L 1-337.1 1298 1454 14.53% 16.31% 69.16%-1.12 -2.8 20
2012-08-26 JJK L 2-356.2 1330 1348 48.68% 21.43% 29.90%+0.32 -4.7 25
2012-08-26 @ KuPS W 3-256.2 1348 1330 29.90% 21.43% 48.68%-0.32 +4.7 30
2012-08-26 Mariehamn W 5-137.9 1499 1399 63.28% 18.35% 18.37%+0.86 +6.6 40
2012-08-26 @ HJK L 1-537.9 1399 1499 18.37% 18.35% 63.28%-0.86 -6.6 37
2012-08-26 TPS Turku D 1-159.0 1386 1446 42.93% 21.88% 35.19%+0.13 -0.2 36
2012-08-26 @ MyPa D 1-159.0 1446 1386 35.19% 21.88% 42.93%-0.13 +0.2 40
2012-08-27 VPS L 1-255.5 1425 1373 57.64% 19.88% 22.48%+0.64 -5.7 32
2012-08-27 @ Honka W 2-155.5 1373 1425 22.48% 19.88% 57.64%-0.64 +5.7 36
2012-08-31 Honka W 3-254.1 1347 1419 41.31% 21.94% 36.75%+0.07 +3.7 34
2012-08-31 @ Lahti L 2-354.1 1419 1347 36.75% 21.94% 41.31%-0.07 -3.7 32
2012-09-02 Haka W 5-030.5 1353 1282 60.01% 19.29% 20.70%+0.73 +11.0 33
2012-09-02 @ JJK L 0-530.5 1282 1353 20.70% 19.29% 60.01%-0.73 -11.0 22
2012-09-02 HJK L 1-256.3 1446 1506 43.08% 21.87% 35.04%+0.13 -4.5 40
2012-09-02 @ TPS Turku W 2-156.3 1506 1446 35.04% 21.87% 43.08%-0.13 +4.5 43
2012-09-02 KuPS W 2-033.8 1392 1325 59.54% 19.41% 21.05%+0.71 +4.8 40
2012-09-02 @ Mariehamn L 0-233.8 1325 1392 21.05% 19.41% 59.54%-0.71 -4.8 25
2012-09-02 MyPa L 0-337.1 1295 1386 38.60% 21.97% 39.43%-0.01 -11.9 20
2012-09-02 @ Jaro W 3-037.1 1386 1295 39.43% 21.97% 38.60%+0.01 +11.9 39
2012-09-03 VPS W 2-035.8 1457 1379 60.78% 19.08% 20.13%+0.76 +4.6 47
2012-09-03 @ Inter Turku L 0-235.8 1379 1457 20.13% 19.08% 60.78%-0.76 -4.6 36
2012-09-13 TPS Turku L 1-344.8 1320 1442 34.31% 21.84% 43.85%-0.16 -6.4 25
2012-09-13 @ KuPS W 3-144.8 1442 1320 43.85% 21.84% 34.31%+0.16 +6.4 43
2012-09-14 Inter Turku D 0-055.2 1397 1462 42.40% 21.90% 35.69%+0.11 -0.2 40
2012-09-14 @ MyPa D 0-055.2 1462 1397 35.69% 21.90% 42.40%-0.11 +0.2 48
2012-09-14 Jaro D 0-056.0 1510 1283 75.66% 13.59% 10.75%+1.45 -1.8 44
2012-09-14 @ HJK D 0-056.0 1283 1510 10.75% 13.59% 75.66%-1.45 +1.8 21
2012-09-14 Lahti L 1-349.8 1374 1351 54.20% 20.60% 25.20%+0.51 -9.3 36
2012-09-14 @ VPS W 3-149.8 1351 1374 25.20% 20.60% 54.20%-0.51 +9.4 37
2012-09-14 Mariehamn D 1-156.1 1271 1397 33.71% 21.80% 44.49%-0.18 +0.2 23
2012-09-14 @ Haka D 1-156.1 1397 1271 44.49% 21.80% 33.71%+0.18 -0.2 41
2012-09-15 JJK W 3-033.1 1415 1364 57.61% 19.89% 22.50%+0.64 +7.4 35
2012-09-15 @ Honka L 0-333.1 1364 1415 22.50% 19.89% 57.61%-0.64 -7.4 33
2012-09-17 HJK L 1-446.1 1397 1508 35.76% 21.91% 42.33%-0.11 -9.4 40
2012-09-17 @ MyPa W 4-146.1 1508 1397 42.33% 21.91% 35.76%+0.11 +9.4 47
2012-09-17 KuPS D 1-155.6 1285 1314 47.32% 21.57% 31.11%+0.27 -0.4 22
2012-09-17 @ Jaro D 1-155.6 1314 1285 31.11% 21.57% 47.32%-0.27 +0.4 26
2012-09-17 TPS Turku D 3-371.1 1462 1448 52.92% 20.83% 26.25%+0.47 -0.4 49
2012-09-17 @ Inter Turku D 3-371.1 1448 1462 26.25% 20.83% 52.92%-0.47 +0.4 44
2012-09-18 Honka D 1-158.8 1397 1423 47.72% 21.53% 30.74%+0.28 -0.4 42
2012-09-18 @ Mariehamn D 1-158.8 1423 1397 30.74% 21.53% 47.72%-0.28 +0.4 36
2012-09-18 VPS L 1-252.2 1357 1365 50.07% 21.26% 28.67%+0.36 -5.0 33
2012-09-18 @ JJK W 2-152.2 1365 1357 28.67% 21.26% 50.07%-0.36 +5.0 39
2012-09-22 TPS Turku L 0-149.5 1423 1449 47.73% 21.53% 30.74%+0.29 -5.2 36
2012-09-22 @ Honka W 1-049.5 1449 1423 30.74% 21.53% 47.73%-0.29 +5.1 47
2012-09-23 Inter Turku D 1-164.4 1518 1461 58.24% 19.74% 22.02%+0.66 -0.9 48
2012-09-23 @ HJK D 1-164.4 1461 1518 22.02% 19.74% 58.24%-0.66 +0.9 50
2012-09-23 Jaro D 0-050.9 1271 1284 49.38% 21.34% 29.27%+0.34 -0.5 24
2012-09-23 @ Haka D 0-050.9 1284 1271 29.27% 21.34% 49.38%-0.34 +0.5 23
2012-09-23 JJK W 2-145.0 1360 1352 52.30% 20.93% 26.77%+0.44 +3.0 40
2012-09-23 @ Lahti L 1-245.0 1352 1360 26.77% 20.93% 52.30%-0.44 -3.0 33
2012-09-23 Mariehamn L 1-348.8 1370 1396 47.66% 21.54% 30.80%+0.28 -8.4 39
2012-09-23 @ VPS W 3-148.8 1396 1370 30.80% 21.54% 47.66%-0.28 +8.4 45
2012-09-23 MyPa W 2-039.1 1314 1388 41.02% 21.95% 37.04%+0.06 +7.9 29
2012-09-23 @ KuPS L 0-239.1 1388 1314 37.04% 21.95% 41.02%-0.06 -7.9 40
2012-09-26 Haka W 1-035.2 1380 1270 64.30% 18.03% 17.67%+0.91 +2.1 43
2012-09-26 @ MyPa L 0-135.2 1270 1380 17.67% 18.03% 64.30%-0.91 -2.1 24
2012-09-26 Honka W 1-045.3 1285 1418 32.87% 21.74% 45.39%-0.21 +4.9 26
2012-09-26 @ Jaro L 0-145.3 1418 1285 45.39% 21.74% 32.87%+0.21 -4.9 36
2012-09-26 Inter Turku D 0-053.9 1349 1462 35.40% 21.89% 42.71%-0.12 +0.2 34
2012-09-26 @ JJK D 0-053.9 1462 1349 42.71% 21.89% 35.40%+0.12 -0.2 51
2012-09-26 KuPS W 4-134.9 1517 1322 72.82% 14.83% 12.35%+1.30 +3.3 51
2012-09-26 @ HJK L 1-434.9 1322 1517 12.35% 14.83% 72.82%-1.30 -3.3 29
2012-09-26 Lahti D 2-263.7 1405 1363 56.45% 20.15% 23.40%+0.59 -0.6 46
2012-09-26 @ Mariehamn D 2-263.7 1363 1405 23.40% 20.15% 56.45%-0.59 +0.6 41
2012-09-26 VPS W 1-038.5 1454 1362 62.39% 18.62% 18.99%+0.83 +2.3 50
2012-09-26 @ TPS Turku L 0-138.5 1362 1454 18.99% 18.62% 62.39%-0.83 -2.3 39
2012-10-01 HJK D 2-264.4 1268 1520 20.28% 19.14% 60.58%-0.75 +0.7 25
2012-10-01 @ Haka D 2-264.4 1520 1268 60.58% 19.14% 20.28%+0.75 -0.7 52
2012-10-01 Jaro W 2-142.0 1359 1290 59.79% 19.35% 20.86%+0.72 +2.4 42
2012-10-01 @ VPS L 1-242.0 1290 1359 20.86% 19.35% 59.79%-0.72 -2.4 26
2012-10-01 Mariehamn W 3-253.2 1349 1404 43.64% 21.85% 34.52%+0.15 +3.5 37
2012-10-01 @ JJK L 2-353.2 1404 1349 34.52% 21.85% 43.64%-0.15 -3.5 46
2012-10-01 TPS Turku W 1-045.8 1364 1456 38.36% 21.97% 39.67%-0.02 +4.4 44
2012-10-01 @ Lahti L 0-145.8 1456 1364 39.67% 21.97% 38.36%+0.02 -4.4 50
2012-10-03 KuPS L 1-450.8 1462 1319 67.85% 16.80% 15.34%+1.06 -16.0 51
2012-10-03 @ Inter Turku W 4-150.8 1319 1462 15.34% 16.80% 67.85%-1.06 +16.0 32
2012-10-04 MyPa D 1-158.5 1413 1382 55.12% 20.42% 24.46%+0.54 -0.7 37
2012-10-04 @ Honka D 1-158.5 1382 1413 24.46% 20.42% 55.12%-0.54 +0.7 44
2012-10-07 Haka D 1-156.2 1335 1269 59.34% 19.47% 21.20%+0.70 -0.9 33
2012-10-07 @ KuPS D 1-156.2 1269 1335 21.20% 19.47% 59.34%-0.70 +0.9 26
2012-10-07 JJK W 1-038.0 1452 1352 63.19% 18.38% 18.43%+0.86 +2.2 53
2012-10-07 @ TPS Turku L 0-138.0 1352 1452 18.43% 18.38% 63.19%-0.86 -2.2 37
2012-10-07 Lahti W 2-148.0 1288 1368 40.04% 21.96% 38.00%+0.03 +4.0 29
2012-10-07 @ Jaro L 1-248.0 1368 1288 38.00% 21.96% 40.04%-0.03 -4.0 44
2012-10-07 VPS D 1-157.5 1383 1362 53.90% 20.66% 25.45%+0.50 -0.7 45
2012-10-07 @ MyPa D 1-157.5 1362 1383 25.45% 20.66% 53.90%-0.50 +0.7 43
2012-10-08 Honka W 1-041.4 1519 1412 64.05% 18.11% 17.84%+0.90 +2.1 55
2012-10-08 @ HJK L 0-141.4 1412 1519 17.84% 18.11% 64.05%-0.90 -2.1 37
2012-10-08 Mariehamn W 1-040.9 1446 1401 56.93% 20.04% 23.03%+0.61 +2.8 54
2012-10-08 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.9 1401 1446 23.03% 20.04% 56.93%-0.61 -2.8 46
2012-10-19 HJK L 1-346.3 1362 1522 29.62% 21.39% 48.99%-0.33 -5.7 43
2012-10-19 @ VPS W 3-146.3 1522 1362 48.99% 21.39% 29.62%+0.33 +5.7 58
2012-10-19 Inter Turku L 1-245.3 1270 1449 27.35% 21.04% 51.61%-0.42 -3.1 26
2012-10-19 @ Haka W 2-145.3 1449 1270 51.61% 21.04% 27.35%+0.42 +3.1 57
2012-10-19 Jaro W 4-242.7 1350 1292 58.50% 19.68% 21.83%+0.67 +3.9 40
2012-10-19 @ JJK L 2-442.7 1292 1350 21.83% 19.68% 58.50%-0.67 -3.8 29
2012-10-19 KuPS W 2-143.0 1410 1334 60.58% 19.14% 20.28%+0.75 +2.3 40
2012-10-19 @ Honka L 1-243.0 1334 1410 20.28% 19.14% 60.58%-0.75 -2.3 33
2012-10-19 MyPa W 3-143.1 1364 1382 48.79% 21.42% 29.80%+0.32 +5.7 47
2012-10-19 @ Lahti L 1-343.1 1382 1364 29.80% 21.42% 48.79%-0.32 -5.7 45
2012-10-19 TPS Turku W 1-045.1 1398 1454 43.53% 21.85% 34.62%+0.15 +4.0 49
2012-10-19 @ Mariehamn L 0-145.1 1454 1398 34.62% 21.85% 43.53%-0.15 -4.0 53
2012-10-22 Honka W 1-045.4 1267 1412 31.28% 21.59% 47.13%-0.26 +5.1 29
2012-10-22 @ Haka L 0-145.4 1412 1267 47.13% 21.59% 31.28%+0.26 -5.1 40
2012-10-22 JJK W 2-144.7 1376 1354 54.07% 20.62% 25.30%+0.51 +2.9 48
2012-10-22 @ MyPa L 1-244.7 1354 1376 25.30% 20.62% 54.07%-0.51 -2.9 40
2012-10-22 Lahti W 2-035.1 1527 1370 69.25% 16.28% 14.47%+1.13 +3.2 61
2012-10-22 @ HJK L 0-235.1 1370 1527 14.47% 16.28% 69.25%-1.13 -3.2 47
2012-10-22 Mariehamn D 3-365.8 1288 1402 35.35% 21.89% 42.76%-0.12 +0.1 30
2012-10-22 @ Jaro D 3-365.8 1402 1288 42.76% 21.89% 35.35%+0.12 -0.1 50
2012-10-22 TPS Turku D 0-056.7 1452 1450 51.43% 21.07% 27.51%+0.41 -0.6 58
2012-10-22 @ Inter Turku D 0-056.7 1450 1452 27.51% 21.07% 51.43%-0.41 +0.6 54
2012-10-22 VPS W 2-146.0 1331 1357 47.79% 21.53% 30.69%+0.29 +3.4 36
2012-10-22 @ KuPS L 1-246.0 1357 1331 30.69% 21.53% 47.79%-0.29 -3.4 43
2012-10-27 Haka L 0-148.3 1353 1272 61.16% 18.98% 19.86%+0.78 -6.3 43
2012-10-27 @ VPS W 1-048.3 1272 1353 19.86% 18.98% 61.16%-0.78 +6.3 32
2012-10-27 HJK L 3-646.2 1351 1530 27.30% 21.03% 51.67%-0.42 -6.0 40
2012-10-27 @ JJK W 6-346.2 1530 1351 51.67% 21.03% 27.30%+0.42 +6.0 64
2012-10-27 Inter Turku W 3-038.8 1407 1451 45.22% 21.75% 33.03%+0.20 +10.5 43
2012-10-27 @ Honka L 0-338.8 1451 1407 33.03% 21.75% 45.22%-0.20 -10.5 58
2012-10-27 Jaro L 1-256.8 1451 1288 69.78% 16.07% 14.15%+1.15 -6.7 54
2012-10-27 @ TPS Turku W 2-156.8 1288 1451 14.15% 16.07% 69.78%-1.15 +6.7 33
2012-10-27 KuPS W 2-144.0 1367 1335 55.26% 20.40% 24.34%+0.55 +2.8 50
2012-10-27 @ Lahti L 1-244.0 1335 1367 24.34% 20.40% 55.26%-0.55 -2.8 36
2012-10-27 MyPa D 2-263.8 1402 1379 54.06% 20.63% 25.31%+0.51 -0.5 51
2012-10-27 @ Mariehamn D 2-263.8 1379 1402 25.31% 20.63% 54.06%-0.51 +0.5 49

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-10-27 14.15% Jaro 1288 2 @ TPS Turku 1451 1
2 2012-10-03 15.34% KuPS 1319 4 @ Inter Turku 1462 1
3 2012-06-16 17.71% Jaro 1301 3 @ TPS Turku 1410 2
4 2012-07-30 19.07% Mariehamn 1379 3 @ Inter Turku 1471 0
5 2012-10-27 19.86% Haka 1272 1 @ VPS 1353 0
6 2012-04-19 20.94% Haka 1319 4 @ JJK 1388 1
7 2012-06-11 20.94% KuPS 1322 5 @ JJK 1390 1
8 2012-04-15 21.60% MyPa 1347 1 @ TPS Turku 1408 0
9 2012-04-22 21.62% JJK 1373 2 @ Honka 1434 0
10 2012-08-12 21.97% KuPS 1320 1 @ VPS 1377 0
11 2012-08-27 22.48% VPS 1373 2 @ Honka 1425 1
12 2012-04-30 23.27% VPS 1342 2 @ JJK 1385 0
13 2012-05-21 23.72% JJK 1381 3 @ TPS Turku 1419 2
14 2012-06-20 23.74% Haka 1306 1 @ Lahti 1344 0
15 2012-07-29 24.71% Jaro 1309 2 @ Lahti 1337 0
16 2012-09-14 25.20% Lahti 1351 3 @ VPS 1374 1
17 2012-08-12 26.20% @ Lahti 1321 3 HJK 1511 0
18 2012-05-24 26.46% @ VPS 1342 1 HJK 1529 0
19 2012-05-05 26.82% TPS Turku 1414 2 @ Honka 1423 0
20 2012-07-29 27.26% KuPS 1318 2 @ Haka 1322 0
21 2012-06-17 27.61% Lahti 1339 2 @ KuPS 1340 1
22 2012-08-11 27.81% MyPa 1368 3 @ JJK 1367 0
23 2012-05-05 28.28% Mariehamn 1358 2 @ VPS 1353 1
24 2012-09-18 28.67% VPS 1365 2 @ JJK 1357 1
25 2012-05-27 29.02% VPS 1347 3 @ KuPS 1336 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-07-22 21.45 Inter Turku 6 1449 42.16% @ KuPS 0 1339 35.92% 21.91%
2 2012-04-29 19.70 Inter Turku 5 1436 37.96% @ Lahti 0 1356 40.08% 21.96%
3 2012-06-11 18.54 KuPS 5 1322 20.94% @ JJK 1 1390 59.69% 19.38%
4 2012-07-30 17.64 Mariehamn 3 1379 19.07% @ Inter Turku 0 1471 62.27% 18.66%
5 2012-06-28 16.19 @ MyPa 4 1359 37.29% Inter Turku 0 1459 40.76% 21.95%
6 2012-10-03 15.98 KuPS 4 1319 15.34% @ Inter Turku 1 1462 67.85% 16.80%
7 2012-08-12 15.39 @ Lahti 3 1321 26.20% HJK 0 1511 52.98% 20.82%
8 2012-08-11 14.91 MyPa 3 1368 27.81% @ JJK 0 1367 51.07% 21.12%
9 2012-05-27 14.57 VPS 3 1347 29.02% @ KuPS 0 1336 49.67% 21.31%
10 2012-04-19 14.36 Haka 4 1319 20.94% @ JJK 1 1388 59.69% 19.38%
11 2012-08-05 13.84 JJK 3 1353 31.65% @ Jaro 0 1320 46.72% 21.63%
12 2012-08-25 13.68 Lahti 3 1333 32.27% @ Haka 0 1295 46.05% 21.69%
13 2012-05-27 13.06 Mariehamn 3 1370 34.63% @ Jaro 0 1314 43.52% 21.85%
14 2012-09-02 11.88 MyPa 3 1386 39.43% @ Jaro 0 1295 38.60% 21.97%
15 2012-04-22 11.57 JJK 2 1373 21.62% @ Honka 0 1434 58.77% 19.61%
16 2012-04-30 11.21 VPS 2 1342 23.27% @ JJK 0 1385 56.62% 20.11%
17 2012-09-02 11.01 @ JJK 5 1353 60.01% Haka 0 1282 20.70% 19.29%
18 2012-07-29 10.90 Jaro 2 1309 24.71% @ Lahti 0 1337 54.80% 20.49%
19 2012-05-05 10.47 TPS Turku 2 1414 26.82% @ Honka 0 1423 52.24% 20.94%
20 2012-10-27 10.47 @ Honka 3 1407 45.22% Inter Turku 0 1451 33.03% 21.75%
21 2012-07-29 10.38 KuPS 2 1318 27.26% @ Haka 0 1322 51.72% 21.02%
22 2012-05-21 9.99 Lahti 2 1336 29.24% @ Jaro 0 1323 49.42% 21.34%
23 2012-04-22 9.95 Mariehamn 2 1348 29.44% @ Haka 0 1333 49.20% 21.37%
24 2012-06-20 9.79 @ Mariehamn 2 1383 30.29% HJK 0 1536 48.23% 21.48%
25 2012-06-16 9.70 HJK 3 1526 48.40% @ JJK 0 1372 30.14% 21.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-08-04 71.5 @ HJK 3 1512 67.06% VPS 3 1376 15.85% 17.09%
2 2012-09-17 71.1 @ Inter Turku 3 1462 52.92% TPS Turku 3 1448 26.25% 20.83%
3 2012-07-22 66.7 @ Mariehamn 3 1380 55.21% JJK 3 1348 24.38% 20.41%
4 2012-10-22 65.8 @ Jaro 3 1288 35.35% Mariehamn 3 1402 42.76% 21.89%
5 2012-06-28 65.2 @ Jaro 2 1312 23.83% HJK 2 1525 55.90% 20.26%
6 2012-09-23 64.4 @ HJK 1 1518 58.24% Inter Turku 1 1461 22.02% 19.74%
7 2012-10-01 64.4 @ Haka 2 1268 20.28% HJK 2 1520 60.58% 19.14%
8 2012-07-03 64.3 @ Honka 2 1415 54.70% Mariehamn 2 1387 24.79% 20.51%
9 2012-08-12 63.8 @ Honka 2 1428 65.81% Haka 2 1305 16.66% 17.53%
10 2012-10-27 63.8 @ Mariehamn 2 1402 54.06% MyPa 2 1379 25.31% 20.63%
11 2012-09-26 63.7 @ Mariehamn 2 1405 56.45% Lahti 2 1363 23.40% 20.15%
12 2012-04-15 62.7 @ KuPS 2 1353 46.50% JJK 2 1387 31.86% 21.65%
13 2012-07-02 62.5 @ HJK 1 1524 68.42% MyPa 1 1375 14.99% 16.59%
14 2012-06-16 60.3 Jaro 3 1301 17.71% @ TPS Turku 2 1410 64.24% 18.05%
15 2012-05-21 60.1 JJK 3 1381 23.72% @ TPS Turku 2 1419 56.05% 20.23%
16 2012-06-25 59.9 @ Inter Turku 1 1460 61.68% VPS 1 1374 19.49% 18.83%
17 2012-06-19 59.2 @ Inter Turku 1 1461 68.98% Jaro 1 1307 14.64% 16.38%
18 2012-08-06 59.2 @ TPS Turku 1 1427 54.99% Mariehamn 1 1397 24.56% 20.45%
19 2012-08-26 59.0 @ MyPa 1 1386 42.93% TPS Turku 1 1446 35.19% 21.88%
20 2012-04-15 58.9 @ Honka 1 1439 62.49% VPS 1 1346 18.92% 18.59%
21 2012-06-25 58.8 @ HJK 0 1526 65.36% TPS Turku 0 1407 16.96% 17.68%
22 2012-09-18 58.8 @ Mariehamn 1 1397 47.72% Honka 1 1423 30.74% 21.53%
23 2012-10-04 58.5 @ Honka 1 1413 55.12% MyPa 1 1382 24.46% 20.42%
24 2012-07-02 58.4 @ Lahti 4 1340 36.86% Inter Turku 3 1443 41.20% 21.94%
25 2012-10-07 57.5 @ MyPa 1 1383 53.90% VPS 1 1362 25.45% 20.66%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-02 30.5 @ JJK 5 1353 60.01% Haka 0 1282 20.70% 19.29%
2 2012-07-22 31.5 @ TPS Turku 4 1422 60.58% Lahti 0 1346 20.28% 19.14%
3 2012-06-28 32.1 @ TPS Turku 3 1408 59.36% KuPS 0 1342 21.18% 19.46%
4 2012-08-22 32.5 @ TPS Turku 9 1438 67.02% Haka 2 1303 15.88% 17.10%
5 2012-05-21 32.8 @ KuPS 3 1330 52.54% Haka 0 1319 26.57% 20.89%
6 2012-07-15 32.8 @ Honka 2 1411 63.03% Jaro 0 1313 18.54% 18.43%
7 2012-08-11 32.8 @ Mariehamn 2 1398 62.36% Jaro 0 1306 19.01% 18.63%
8 2012-05-12 33.0 @ HJK 2 1517 71.67% KuPS 0 1335 13.01% 15.31%
9 2012-09-15 33.1 @ Honka 3 1415 57.61% JJK 0 1364 22.50% 19.89%
10 2012-04-29 33.4 @ TPS Turku 2 1410 61.76% Haka 0 1323 19.44% 18.81%
11 2012-05-27 33.6 @ HJK 2 1523 71.21% Lahti 0 1346 13.29% 15.50%
12 2012-05-30 33.7 @ Inter Turku 2 1461 65.26% Lahti 0 1343 17.03% 17.72%
13 2012-09-02 33.8 @ Mariehamn 2 1392 59.54% KuPS 0 1325 21.05% 19.41%
14 2012-08-18 34.0 @ HJK 2 1496 67.89% JJK 0 1352 15.32% 16.79%
15 2012-05-24 34.7 @ Inter Turku 4 1457 68.16% Haka 1 1311 15.15% 16.69%
16 2012-04-22 34.9 @ Inter Turku 2 1431 60.08% MyPa 0 1359 20.65% 19.27%
17 2012-05-13 34.9 @ Mariehamn 2 1363 55.00% Lahti 0 1333 24.55% 20.45%
18 2012-09-26 34.9 @ HJK 4 1517 72.82% KuPS 1 1322 12.35% 14.83%
19 2012-10-22 35.1 @ HJK 2 1527 69.25% Lahti 0 1370 14.47% 16.28%
20 2012-09-26 35.2 @ MyPa 1 1380 64.30% Haka 0 1270 17.67% 18.03%
21 2012-07-02 35.6 @ VPS 2 1371 53.85% JJK 0 1351 25.48% 20.67%
22 2012-04-19 35.7 @ MyPa 2 1353 52.27% Jaro 0 1345 26.80% 20.94%
23 2012-09-03 35.8 @ Inter Turku 2 1457 60.78% VPS 0 1379 20.13% 19.08%
24 2012-04-23 35.9 @ HJK 4 1506 70.23% Jaro 1 1339 13.88% 15.90%
25 2012-05-21 36.0 @ HJK 3 1523 63.68% Honka 0 1419 18.09% 18.23%