2021 Veikkausliiga Season

162 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

HJK

59 points · 31st Title

Last Title: 2020

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

SJK Seinajoki

5.82 points above expected

48 points · 42.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Honka

10.27 points below expected

33 points · 43.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KuPS	22	15	4	3	49	38	14	+24	37.75	+11.25
2	HJK	22	15	4	3	49	32	12	+20	46.14	+2.86
3	Inter Turku	22	12	3	7	39	36	22	+14	39.81	-0.81
4	SJK Seinajoki	22	11	4	7	37	29	24	+5	30.09	+6.91
5	Helsingfors	22	9	6	7	33	23	23	0	29.49	+3.51
6	Ilves	22	10	3	9	33	21	23	-2	33.30	-0.30
7	Lahti	22	8	8	6	32	27	25	+2	33.43	-1.43
8	Honka	22	7	5	10	26	28	29	-1	30.95	-4.95
9	Haka	22	7	3	12	24	21	26	-5	22.92	+1.08
10	Mariehamn	22	7	2	13	23	20	32	-12	20.13	+2.87
11	AC Oulu	22	5	3	14	18	17	35	-18	21.71	-3.71
12	KTP	22	1	5	16	8	18	45	-27	22.65	-14.65

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	HJK Champion	27	18	5	4	59	41	19	+22	58.14	+0.86
2	KuPS	27	17	7	3	58	46	20	+26	58.02	-0.02
3	SJK Seinajoki	27	14	6	7	48	45	34	+11	42.18	+5.82
4	Inter Turku	27	14	3	10	45	45	32	+13	46.76	-1.76
5	Ilves	27	11	3	13	36	29	34	-5	38.65	-2.65
6	Helsingfors	27	9	8	10	35	25	31	-6	38.11	-3.11

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Lahti	27	10	10	7	40	35	30	+5	48.67	-8.67
2	Haka	27	10	5	12	35	30	29	+1	39.82	-4.82
3	Honka	27	9	6	12	33	38	37	+1	43.27	-10.27
4	Mariehamn	27	9	3	15	30	28	40	-12	35.73	-5.73
5	AC Oulu	27	6	5	16	23	21	44	-23	30.26	-7.26
6	KTP	27	2	5	20	11	25	58	-33	16.93	-5.93

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	SJK Seinajoki	48	42.18	+5.82
2	HJK	59	58.14	+0.86
3	KuPS	58	58.02	-0.02
4	Inter Turku	45	46.76	-1.76
5	Ilves	36	38.65	-2.65

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Honka	33	43.27	-10.27
2	Lahti	40	48.67	-8.67
3	AC Oulu	23	30.26	-7.26
4	KTP	11	16.93	-5.93
5	Mariehamn	30	35.73	-5.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KuPS	7	Jun 10 – Jul 25	1 in 142
2	HJK	9	May 11 – Jun 30	1 in 56
3	AC Oulu	3	Aug 7 – Aug 20	1 in 38
4	Haka	3	Sep 22 – Sep 30	1 in 32
5	Ilves	4	Sep 11 – Sep 22	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HJK	3	Sep 22 – Oct 3	1 in 170
2	Mariehamn	7	May 14 – Jun 30	1 in 115
3	KTP	10	Jul 30 – Oct 3	1 in 104
4	AC Oulu	6	May 3 – Jun 11	1 in 80
5	Haka	4	Aug 20 – Sep 18	1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KuPS	21	Jun 10 – Oct 31	1 in 628
2	Lahti	12	May 22 – Aug 8	1 in 199
3	SJK Seinajoki	6	Sep 26 – Oct 31	1 in 60
4	Haka	8	Sep 22 – Oct 31	1 in 45
5	Honka	6	Jun 24 – Aug 8	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KTP	20	May 22 – Oct 3	1 in 362
2	HJK	4	Sep 19 – Oct 3	1 in 49
3	Lahti	6	Aug 8 – Sep 18	1 in 35
4	Honka	6	Sep 19 – Oct 23	1 in 23
5	AC Oulu	9	Aug 28 – Oct 27	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
HJK	1442	59	+5	10	9.1	+0.9
KuPS	1442	58	+9	9	9.1	-0.1
SJK Seinajoki	1319	48	+58	11	5.5	+5.5
Inter Turku	1356	45	-17	6	7.9	-1.9
Lahti	1272	40	+18	8	8.6	-0.6
Ilves	1272	36	-10	3	5.3	-2.3
Haka	1277	35	+43	11	8.2	+2.8
Helsingfors	1213	35	-45	2	5.1	-3.1
Honka	1255	33	-11	7	8.2	-1.2
Mariehamn	1164	30	-6	7	6.4	+0.6
AC Oulu	1128	23	-29	5	6.1	-1.1
KTP	1058	11	-15	3	4.4	-1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AO	HJK	HAK	HEL	HON	ILV	IT	KTP	KUP	LAH	MAR	SS
AC Oulu	—	1-0-1 0.97	1-1-1 3.58	0-0-2 2.15	0-0-3 3.08	0-0-2 1.98	1-0-1 1.54	2-1-0 4.18	0-0-2 1.57	0-3-0 2.97	1-0-2 4.27	0-0-2 2.34
HJK	1-0-1 4.68	—	2-0-0 4.56	2-0-1 6.40	1-1-0 3.89	3-0-0 5.59	2-0-1 5.29	2-0-0 4.69	0-3-0 4.87	2-0-0 4.06	2-0-0 4.76	1-1-1 6.28
Haka	1-1-1 4.78	0-0-2 1.08	—	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-1 3.52	0-0-2 1.93	1-0-1 1.45	1-1-1 4.69	1-0-1 1.65	1-2-0 3.17	2-0-1 4.49	1-0-1 1.93
Helsingfors	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-2 2.01	1-0-1 3.25	—	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-2 4.24	1-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 3.33	0-2-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 3.95	1-2-0 4.13
Honka	3-0-0 5.28	0-1-1 1.70	1-1-1 4.83	0-0-2 3.05	—	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.12	2-0-1 5.58	0-0-2 1.95	1-1-1 3.94	1-1-1 5.68	0-0-2 3.06
Ilves	2-0-0 3.60	0-0-3 2.78	2-0-0 3.65	2-1-0 4.11	0-1-1 2.96	—	1-0-2 3.14	1-1-0 3.64	1-0-2 3.25	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 3.72	0-0-3 4.67
Inter Turku	1-0-1 4.06	1-0-2 3.07	1-0-1 4.15	2-0-1 5.58	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-1 5.23	—	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-2 4.59	0-1-1 3.56	2-0-0 4.34	1-1-1 5.35
KTP	0-1-2 4.18	0-0-2 0.95	1-1-1 3.67	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-2 2.80	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-2 1.55	—	0-0-2 1.06	0-0-3 2.26	0-0-3 3.73	0-1-1 2.17
KuPS	2-0-0 4.02	0-3-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.94	1-2-0 5.95	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-1 5.11	2-0-1 3.77	2-0-0 4.57	—	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 4.02	2-1-0 5.38
Lahti	0-3-0 5.40	0-0-2 1.53	0-2-1 5.20	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-1 4.42	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.02	3-0-0 6.13	0-1-1 2.51	—	2-1-0 5.26	1-0-1 3.14
Mariehamn	2-0-1 4.08	0-0-2 0.89	1-0-2 3.87	1-1-0 1.64	1-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 1.86	0-0-2 1.27	3-0-0 4.63	0-0-2 1.58	0-1-2 3.11	—	0-0-2 2.02
SJK Seinajoki	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 3.65	0-2-1 4.22	2-0-0 2.51	3-0-0 3.69	1-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 3.41	0-1-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 3.56	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.67	+12.7
Allowed	0.86	-12.2
Differential	0.95	+7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	10.80%	8.33%	3.70%	1.23%	—	31.48%
1	10.80%	9.26%	6.48%	3.40%	0.93%	0.93%	31.79%
2	8.33%	6.48%	3.70%	2.16%	1.54%	0.31%	22.53%
3	3.70%	3.40%	2.16%	—	—	—	9.26%
4	1.23%	0.93%	1.54%	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	0.93%	0.31%	—	—	—	1.23%
Total	31.48%	31.79%	22.53%	9.26%	3.70%	1.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.26	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.76
CV	0.94	0.94	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	18.52%	—	3.70%	—	44.44%
1	7.41%	7.41%	7.41%	11.11%	—	3.70%	37.04%
2	3.70%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
3	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	29.63%	25.93%	14.81%	3.70%	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	1.63	-0.85
SD	0.85	1.42	1.66
CV	1.09	0.87	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	18.52%
1	22.22%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	14.81%	11.11%	—	3.70%	—	—	29.63%
3	3.70%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	51.85%	29.63%	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	0.70	+0.81
SD	1.09	0.87	1.18
CV	0.72	1.23	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	14.81%	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	37.04%
1	7.41%	11.11%	14.81%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	18.52%
3	3.70%	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%
4	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.04%	29.63%	25.93%	3.70%	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.07	+0.04
SD	1.19	1.07	1.85
CV	1.07	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.81%	14.81%	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	3.70%	3.70%	25.93%
2	11.11%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.74%	29.63%	14.81%	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.93	1.15	-0.22
SD	1.00	1.35	1.78
CV	1.08	1.18	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	14.81%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	37.04%
1	3.70%	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	—	18.52%
3	—	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	14.81%	48.15%	25.93%	7.41%	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.37	+0.04
SD	1.53	0.97	1.81
CV	1.08	0.71	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	14.81%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	29.63%
1	18.52%	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	40.74%
2	11.11%	3.70%	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	22.22%
3	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.04%	25.93%	18.52%	11.11%	7.41%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.07	1.26	-0.19
SD	0.92	1.29	1.62
CV	0.85	1.02	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	—	14.81%
1	7.41%	3.70%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	25.93%
2	18.52%	11.11%	7.41%	3.70%	—	3.70%	44.44%
3	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
4	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	22.22%	7.41%	—	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.19	+0.48
SD	1.07	1.21	1.76
CV	0.64	1.02	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	7.41%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	—	29.63%
1	—	11.11%	18.52%	18.52%	—	3.70%	51.85%
2	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	7.41%	—	14.81%
3	3.70%	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	18.52%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.93	2.15	-1.22
SD	0.78	1.29	1.53
CV	0.84	0.60	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	14.81%
1	22.22%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	11.11%	11.11%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
4	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	51.85%	25.93%	18.52%	3.70%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	0.74	+0.96
SD	1.27	0.90	1.32
CV	0.74	1.22	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	—	25.93%
1	7.41%	22.22%	—	—	3.70%	—	33.33%
2	—	14.81%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	—	25.93%
3	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.63%	48.15%	11.11%	3.70%	7.41%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.11	+0.19
SD	1.03	1.12	1.52
CV	0.80	1.01	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	18.52%	14.81%	18.52%	—	—	55.56%
1	3.70%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
2	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	14.81%	44.44%	18.52%	22.22%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	1.48	-0.44
SD	1.45	1.01	2.04
CV	1.40	0.68	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	25.93%
1	18.52%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	29.63%
2	3.70%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	14.81%
3	3.70%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	33.33%	18.52%	40.74%	3.70%	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.26	+0.41
SD	1.49	1.10	1.87
CV	0.90	0.87	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KuPS	1442	58	37.75	+20.25	100.0%	27	29	34	37	42	45	49
HJK	1442	59	46.14	+12.86	72.0%	31	34	43	46	50	55	60
Inter Turku	1356	45	39.81	+5.19	45.0%	24	28	36	40	44	48	51
SJK Seinajoki	1319	48	30.09	+17.91	94.0%	13	20	27	31	34	39	42
Haka	1277	35	22.92	+12.08	55.0%	7	15	19	23	27	30	33
Lahti	1272	40	33.43	+6.57	48.0%	19	22	29	33	38	43	49
Ilves	1272	36	33.30	+2.70	54.0%	16	24	29	32	38	44	47
Honka	1255	33	30.95	+2.05	22.0%	18	21	27	31	35	39	48
Helsingfors	1213	35	29.49	+5.51	72.0%	12	17	25	30	34	40	43
Mariehamn	1164	30	20.13	+9.87	75.0%	5	11	17	20	23	29	35
AC Oulu	1141	23	21.71	+1.29	24.0%	11	13	19	21	25	31	40
KTP	1058	11	22.65	-11.65	2.0%	7	13	19	24	26	32	36

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.32%

No Edge

41.98%20.37%37.65%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.02 Elo pts.

224 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.11 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

One-Team Race

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

66%

HJK, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.04/gm

Photo Finish

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.62 * Some Luck: 4.62 to 6.92 * Lucky: 6.92 to 9.23 * Wild Swing: 9.23 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 1.99 * Off: 1.99 to 2.65 * Way Off: 2.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.19 points

Some Luck

05.7714

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

01.664

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

KuPS

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

KTP

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 107.91

1.94

Wide Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Clear Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Frequent

0%61%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Rare

0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Slight Separation

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.23

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.51

Strong Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.94

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.02

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.025

Well Within Noise

00.1340.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

AC Oulu 3

RoPS 2

Leg 1: RoPS 2-1 AC Oulu

Leg 2: AC Oulu 2-0 RoPS

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
HJK	66.00%	19.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
KuPS	9.00%	22.00%	23.00%	22.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
SJK Seinajoki	—	3.00%	4.00%	11.00%	23.00%	15.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Inter Turku	16.00%	33.00%	24.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Ilves	2.00%	8.00%	19.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%
Helsingfors	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	13.00%	12.00%	19.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Lahti	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	11.00%	18.00%	13.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Haka	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	12.00%	14.00%	22.00%	16.00%	14.00%	16.00%
Honka	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	16.00%	24.00%	11.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Mariehamn	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	16.00%	15.00%	27.00%	31.00%
AC Oulu	1.00%	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	21.00%	28.00%	21.00%
KTP	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	20.00%	15.00%	23.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
HJK	46.44%	52.99%	0.57%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
KuPS	53.52%	45.84%	0.63%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SJK Seinajoki	—	0.05%	14.39%	55.49%	23.56%	6.51%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Inter Turku	0.04%	1.12%	80.22%	15.02%	3.22%	0.38%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ilves	—	—	2.39%	16.11%	35.58%	45.92%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Helsingfors	—	—	1.80%	13.37%	37.64%	47.19%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lahti	—	—	—	—	—	—	70.45%	21.13%	6.80%	1.56%	0.06%	—
Haka	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.31%	24.14%	40.75%	21.49%	6.27%	0.04%
Honka	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.22%	44.70%	24.11%	9.46%	1.50%	0.01%
Mariehamn	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.92%	8.43%	22.21%	47.00%	20.10%	0.34%
AC Oulu	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.10%	1.60%	6.12%	20.34%	68.42%	3.42%
KTP	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.15%	3.65%	96.19%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
HJK	100%	—	—
Ilves	99.00%	1.00%	—
Inter Turku	99.00%	1.00%	—
KuPS	100%	—	—
Lahti	97.00%	1.00%	2.00%
SJK Seinajoki	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Helsingfors	90.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Honka	95.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Haka	79.00%	13.00%	8.00%
AC Oulu	51.00%	26.00%	23.00%
Mariehamn	52.00%	21.00%	27.00%
KTP	42.00%	28.00%	30.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Survived Relegation Round	Relegated
Lahti	99.94%	0.06%	—
Honka	98.49%	1.50%	0.01%
Haka	93.69%	6.27%	0.04%
Mariehamn	79.56%	20.10%	0.34%
AC Oulu	28.16%	68.42%	3.42%
KTP	0.16%	3.65%	96.19%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-04-24	Honka	W 4-2	45.4	1396	1311	52.58%	21.17%	26.25%	+0.45	+11.3	3
2021-04-24	@ HJK	L 2-4	45.4	1311	1396	26.25%	21.17%	52.58%	-0.45	-11.3	0
2021-04-24	KuPS	W 1-0	40.3	1349	1298	48.26%	21.42%	30.32%	+0.29	+8.7	3
2021-04-24	@ Inter Turku	L 0-1	40.3	1298	1349	30.32%	21.42%	48.26%	-0.29	-8.7	0
2021-05-02	HJK	D 0-0	52.7	1289	1407	25.96%	21.15%	52.90%	-0.46	+1.8	1
2021-05-02	@ KuPS	D 0-0	52.7	1407	1289	52.90%	21.15%	25.96%	+0.46	-1.8	4
2021-05-03	Haka	W 2-0	35.6	1232	1190	47.07%	21.47%	31.46%	+0.25	+16.9	3
2021-05-03	@ Helsingfors	L 0-2	35.6	1190	1232	31.46%	21.47%	47.07%	-0.25	-17.0	0
2021-05-03	Ilves	L 0-2	35.8	1234	1311	30.74%	21.44%	47.82%	-0.28	-16.6	0
2021-05-03	@ AC Oulu	W 2-0	35.8	1311	1234	47.82%	21.44%	30.74%	+0.28	+16.6	3
2021-05-03	Inter Turku	W 2-1	52.9	1252	1358	27.29%	21.25%	51.46%	-0.41	+12.7	3
2021-05-03	@ Lahti	L 1-2	52.9	1358	1252	51.46%	21.25%	27.29%	+0.41	-12.7	3
2021-05-03	KTP	D 1-1	56.5	1214	1224	39.84%	21.61%	38.55%	+0.02	-0.1	1
2021-05-03	@ SJK Seinajoki	D 1-1	56.5	1224	1214	38.55%	21.61%	39.84%	-0.02	+0.1	1
2021-05-03	Mariehamn	L 0-2	42.9	1300	1186	55.92%	20.89%	23.19%	+0.57	-27.4	0
2021-05-03	@ Honka	W 2-0	42.9	1186	1300	23.19%	20.89%	55.92%	-0.57	+27.4	3
2021-05-07	Helsingfors	D 1-1	56.6	1214	1249	36.41%	21.59%	42.00%	-0.09	+0.3	2
2021-05-07	@ SJK Seinajoki	D 1-1	56.6	1249	1214	42.00%	21.59%	36.41%	+0.09	-0.3	4
2021-05-07	Honka	L 1-3	43.2	1225	1272	34.63%	21.56%	43.81%	-0.15	-15.9	1
2021-05-07	@ KTP	W 3-1	43.2	1272	1225	43.81%	21.56%	34.63%	+0.15	+15.9	3
2021-05-09	AC Oulu	W 3-1	43.9	1214	1217	40.81%	21.61%	37.58%	+0.05	+16.9	6
2021-05-09	@ Mariehamn	L 1-3	43.9	1217	1214	37.58%	21.61%	40.81%	-0.05	-16.9	0
2021-05-09	Haka	W 2-1	42.0	1345	1173	62.08%	20.12%	17.80%	+0.83	+5.1	6
2021-05-09	@ Inter Turku	L 1-2	42.0	1173	1345	17.80%	20.12%	62.08%	-0.83	-5.1	0
2021-05-11	HJK	L 0-3	35.4	1328	1405	30.75%	21.44%	47.81%	-0.28	-24.2	3
2021-05-11	@ Ilves	W 3-0	35.4	1405	1328	47.81%	21.44%	30.75%	+0.28	+24.2	7
2021-05-11	KuPS	L 2-4	47.6	1264	1291	37.52%	21.61%	40.87%	-0.05	-15.1	3
2021-05-11	@ Lahti	W 4-2	47.6	1291	1264	40.87%	21.61%	37.52%	+0.05	+15.1	4
2021-05-14	Inter Turku	L 1-2	47.6	1288	1350	32.72%	21.51%	45.77%	-0.21	-8.8	3
2021-05-14	@ Honka	W 2-1	47.6	1350	1288	45.77%	21.51%	32.72%	+0.21	+8.8	9
2021-05-14	KTP	L 0-3	34.7	1168	1209	35.57%	21.58%	42.85%	-0.12	-27.2	0
2021-05-14	@ Haka	W 3-0	34.7	1209	1168	42.85%	21.58%	35.57%	+0.12	+27.2	4
2021-05-14	Mariehamn	W 2-0	34.6	1306	1231	51.47%	21.25%	27.29%	+0.41	+15.0	7
2021-05-14	@ KuPS	L 0-2	34.6	1231	1306	27.29%	21.25%	51.47%	-0.41	-15.0	6
2021-05-15	Ilves	D 1-1	56.9	1248	1304	33.57%	21.54%	44.89%	-0.18	+0.6	5
2021-05-15	@ Helsingfors	D 1-1	56.9	1304	1248	44.89%	21.54%	33.57%	+0.18	-0.6	4
2021-05-15	SJK Seinajoki	L 0-2	38.0	1200	1214	39.37%	21.61%	39.01%	+0.01	-20.3	0
2021-05-15	@ AC Oulu	W 2-0	38.0	1214	1200	39.01%	21.61%	39.37%	-0.01	+20.3	5
2021-05-17	Lahti	W 2-0	32.3	1429	1249	62.86%	20.00%	17.14%	+0.87	+9.9	10
2021-05-17	@ HJK	L 0-2	32.3	1249	1429	17.14%	20.00%	62.86%	-0.87	-9.9	3
2021-05-22	HJK	L 0-2	32.4	1234	1439	17.56%	20.08%	62.37%	-0.85	-10.2	5
2021-05-22	@ SJK Seinajoki	W 2-0	32.4	1439	1234	62.37%	20.08%	17.56%	+0.85	+10.2	13
2021-05-22	Honka	W 1-0	43.3	1239	1279	35.69%	21.58%	42.73%	-0.11	+11.5	6
2021-05-22	@ Lahti	L 0-1	43.3	1279	1239	42.73%	21.58%	35.69%	+0.11	-11.5	3
2021-05-22	KTP	W 2-1	43.9	1359	1236	57.00%	20.78%	22.22%	+0.62	+6.3	12
2021-05-22	@ Inter Turku	L 1-2	43.9	1236	1359	22.22%	20.78%	57.00%	-0.62	-6.3	4
2021-05-22	KuPS	W 3-2	54.6	1303	1321	38.73%	21.61%	39.66%	-0.01	+9.7	7
2021-05-22	@ Ilves	L 2-3	54.6	1321	1303	39.66%	21.61%	38.73%	+0.01	-9.7	7
2021-05-23	Haka	L 0-3	39.3	1216	1141	51.34%	21.25%	27.41%	+0.40	-36.8	6
2021-05-23	@ Mariehamn	W 3-0	39.3	1141	1216	27.41%	21.25%	51.34%	-0.40	+36.8	3
2021-05-23	Helsingfors	L 1-2	46.4	1180	1249	31.84%	21.48%	46.68%	-0.24	-8.6	0
2021-05-23	@ AC Oulu	W 2-1	46.4	1249	1180	46.68%	21.48%	31.84%	+0.24	+8.6	8
2021-05-28	AC Oulu	W 3-1	35.7	1450	1172	70.98%	18.19%	10.83%	+1.31	+5.5	16
2021-05-28	@ HJK	L 1-3	35.7	1172	1450	10.83%	18.19%	70.98%	-1.31	-5.5	0
2021-05-28	KTP	W 2-0	34.4	1313	1230	52.38%	21.18%	26.43%	+0.44	+14.6	10
2021-05-28	@ Ilves	L 0-2	34.4	1230	1313	26.43%	21.18%	52.38%	-0.44	-14.6	4
2021-05-29	Haka	L 1-2	54.2	1312	1178	58.24%	20.64%	21.12%	+0.67	-14.2	7
2021-05-29	@ KuPS	W 2-1	54.2	1178	1312	21.12%	20.64%	58.24%	-0.67	+14.2	6
2021-05-29	Inter Turku	L 1-4	38.0	1257	1365	27.08%	21.23%	51.69%	-0.41	-18.3	8
2021-05-29	@ Helsingfors	W 4-1	38.0	1365	1257	51.69%	21.23%	27.08%	+0.41	+18.3	15
2021-05-29	SJK Seinajoki	L 0-1	44.6	1268	1224	47.32%	21.46%	31.22%	+0.26	-12.5	3
2021-05-29	@ Honka	W 1-0	44.6	1224	1268	31.22%	21.46%	47.32%	-0.26	+12.5	8
2021-05-30	Lahti	L 0-3	33.5	1179	1251	31.40%	21.47%	47.14%	-0.26	-24.6	6
2021-05-30	@ Mariehamn	W 3-0	33.5	1251	1179	47.14%	21.47%	31.40%	+0.26	+24.6	9
2021-06-10	Helsingfors	L 0-2	37.6	1215	1239	37.88%	21.61%	40.51%	-0.04	-19.7	4
2021-06-10	@ KTP	W 2-0	37.6	1239	1215	40.51%	21.61%	37.88%	+0.04	+19.7	11
2021-06-10	HJK	L 1-2	41.1	1192	1455	13.38%	19.07%	67.55%	-1.11	-3.9	6
2021-06-10	@ Haka	W 2-1	41.1	1455	1192	67.55%	19.07%	13.38%	+1.11	+3.9	19
2021-06-10	Ilves	W 3-1	46.6	1276	1328	34.04%	21.55%	44.41%	-0.17	+19.4	12
2021-06-10	@ Lahti	L 1-3	46.6	1328	1276	44.41%	21.55%	34.04%	+0.17	-19.4	10
2021-06-10	KuPS	L 0-1	40.4	1237	1298	32.88%	21.52%	45.60%	-0.20	-9.3	8
2021-06-10	@ SJK Seinajoki	W 1-0	40.4	1298	1237	45.60%	21.52%	32.88%	+0.20	+9.3	10
2021-06-10	Mariehamn	W 3-0	27.8	1383	1154	67.22%	19.15%	13.63%	+1.09	+11.6	18
2021-06-10	@ Inter Turku	L 0-3	27.8	1154	1383	13.63%	19.15%	67.22%	-1.09	-11.6	6
2021-06-11	Honka	L 0-2	34.9	1166	1255	29.27%	21.37%	49.36%	-0.33	-16.0	0
2021-06-11	@ AC Oulu	W 2-0	34.9	1255	1166	49.36%	21.37%	29.27%	+0.33	+16.0	6
2021-06-14	HJK	L 0-1	33.0	1143	1459	10.41%	18.01%	71.58%	-1.35	-3.2	6
2021-06-14	@ Mariehamn	W 1-0	33.0	1459	1143	71.58%	18.01%	10.41%	+1.35	+3.2	22
2021-06-14	Ilves	W 1-0	45.0	1228	1308	30.33%	21.42%	48.25%	-0.29	+12.7	11
2021-06-14	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 0-1	45.0	1308	1228	48.25%	21.42%	30.33%	+0.29	-12.7	10
2021-06-14	Inter Turku	W 1-0	46.6	1307	1395	29.41%	21.37%	49.22%	-0.33	+12.9	13
2021-06-14	@ KuPS	L 0-1	46.6	1395	1307	49.22%	21.37%	29.41%	+0.33	-13.0	18
2021-06-15	AC Oulu	L 1-3	46.7	1195	1150	47.53%	21.45%	31.02%	+0.27	-20.5	4
2021-06-15	@ KTP	W 3-1	46.7	1150	1195	31.02%	21.45%	47.53%	-0.27	+20.5	3
2021-06-15	Honka	W 1-0	42.2	1259	1271	39.56%	21.61%	38.83%	+0.01	+10.6	14
2021-06-15	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	42.2	1271	1259	38.83%	21.61%	39.56%	-0.01	-10.6	6
2021-06-15	Lahti	D 1-1	56.7	1188	1295	27.15%	21.24%	51.62%	-0.41	+1.4	7
2021-06-15	@ Haka	D 1-1	56.7	1295	1188	51.62%	21.24%	27.15%	+0.41	-1.4	13
2021-06-18	Ilves	W 2-1	44.4	1462	1295	61.57%	20.20%	18.23%	+0.81	+5.3	25
2021-06-18	@ HJK	L 1-2	44.4	1295	1462	18.23%	20.20%	61.57%	-0.81	-5.2	10
2021-06-18	SJK Seinajoki	W 2-0	32.9	1382	1240	59.04%	20.55%	20.41%	+0.70	+11.7	21
2021-06-18	@ Inter Turku	L 0-2	32.9	1240	1382	20.41%	20.55%	59.04%	-0.70	-11.7	11
2021-06-19	Honka	W 2-1	46.1	1320	1261	49.36%	21.37%	29.27%	+0.33	+8.0	16
2021-06-19	@ KuPS	L 1-2	46.1	1261	1320	29.27%	21.37%	49.36%	-0.33	-8.0	6
2021-06-23	Helsingfors	D 0-0	51.4	1293	1269	44.68%	21.54%	33.78%	+0.17	-0.7	14
2021-06-23	@ Lahti	D 0-0	51.4	1269	1293	33.78%	21.54%	44.68%	-0.17	+0.7	15
2021-06-23	Inter Turku	W 2-1	53.5	1290	1394	27.56%	21.26%	51.18%	-0.40	+12.6	13
2021-06-23	@ Ilves	L 1-2	53.5	1394	1290	51.18%	21.26%	27.56%	+0.40	-12.6	21
2021-06-24	Haka	W 2-1	45.4	1253	1189	49.91%	21.34%	28.75%	+0.35	+7.9	9
2021-06-24	@ Honka	L 1-2	45.4	1189	1253	28.75%	21.34%	49.91%	-0.35	-7.9	7
2021-06-24	KTP	W 2-0	29.1	1467	1175	72.02%	17.88%	10.10%	+1.37	+5.9	28
2021-06-24	@ HJK	L 0-2	29.1	1175	1467	10.10%	17.88%	72.02%	-1.37	-5.9	4
2021-06-24	KuPS	L 0-2	32.7	1171	1328	21.81%	20.73%	57.46%	-0.63	-12.4	3
2021-06-24	@ AC Oulu	W 2-0	32.7	1328	1171	57.46%	20.73%	21.81%	+0.63	+12.4	19
2021-06-24	SJK Seinajoki	L 0-1	38.9	1139	1229	29.27%	21.37%	49.36%	-0.33	-8.5	6
2021-06-24	@ Mariehamn	W 1-0	38.9	1229	1139	49.36%	21.37%	29.27%	+0.33	+8.5	14
2021-06-30	AC Oulu	W 2-0	31.0	1340	1158	63.04%	19.97%	16.99%	+0.88	+9.8	22
2021-06-30	@ KuPS	L 0-2	31.0	1158	1340	16.99%	19.97%	63.04%	-0.88	-9.8	3
2021-06-30	HJK	L 0-1	37.4	1270	1473	17.70%	20.10%	62.19%	-0.84	-5.4	15
2021-06-30	@ Helsingfors	W 1-0	37.4	1473	1270	62.19%	20.10%	17.70%	+0.84	+5.4	31
2021-06-30	Honka	D 1-1	56.6	1181	1261	30.52%	21.43%	48.06%	-0.29	+1.0	8
2021-06-30	@ Haka	D 1-1	56.6	1261	1181	48.06%	21.43%	30.52%	+0.29	-1.0	10
2021-06-30	Ilves	D 1-1	56.8	1169	1303	24.17%	20.99%	54.84%	-0.53	+1.8	5
2021-06-30	@ KTP	D 1-1	56.8	1303	1169	54.84%	20.99%	24.17%	+0.53	-1.8	14
2021-06-30	Lahti	D 1-1	57.9	1381	1293	53.00%	21.14%	25.86%	+0.46	-1.6	22
2021-06-30	@ Inter Turku	D 1-1	57.9	1293	1381	25.86%	21.14%	53.00%	-0.46	+1.6	15
2021-06-30	Mariehamn	W 3-0	31.0	1237	1131	55.10%	20.97%	23.93%	+0.54	+19.5	17
2021-06-30	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 0-3	31.0	1131	1237	23.93%	20.97%	55.10%	-0.54	-19.5	6
2021-07-04	Helsingfors	D 0-0	51.1	1111	1265	22.18%	20.78%	57.04%	-0.62	+2.3	7
2021-07-04	@ Mariehamn	D 0-0	51.1	1265	1111	57.04%	20.78%	22.18%	+0.62	-2.3	16
2021-07-04	SJK Seinajoki	W 2-1	46.8	1294	1257	46.55%	21.49%	31.96%	+0.24	+8.6	18
2021-07-04	@ Lahti	L 1-2	46.8	1257	1294	31.96%	21.49%	46.55%	-0.24	-8.6	17
2021-07-05	Haka	W 1-0	36.9	1301	1182	56.52%	20.83%	22.65%	+0.60	+6.8	17
2021-07-05	@ Ilves	L 0-1	36.9	1182	1301	22.65%	20.83%	56.52%	-0.60	-6.8	8
2021-07-05	KTP	D 1-1	56.3	1148	1171	38.16%	21.61%	40.23%	-0.03	+0.1	4
2021-07-05	@ AC Oulu	D 1-1	56.3	1171	1148	40.23%	21.61%	38.16%	+0.03	-0.1	6
2021-07-11	AC Oulu	W 1-0	37.0	1260	1149	55.66%	20.92%	23.43%	+0.56	+7.0	13
2021-07-11	@ Honka	L 0-1	37.0	1149	1260	23.43%	20.92%	55.66%	-0.56	-7.0	4
2021-07-11	KuPS	L 0-1	36.3	1176	1350	20.17%	20.51%	59.31%	-0.71	-6.1	8
2021-07-11	@ Haka	W 1-0	36.3	1350	1176	59.31%	20.51%	20.17%	+0.71	+6.1	25
2021-07-12	Lahti	L 0-1	41.4	1262	1303	35.60%	21.58%	42.82%	-0.11	-9.9	16
2021-07-12	@ Helsingfors	W 1-0	41.4	1303	1262	42.82%	21.58%	35.60%	+0.11	+9.9	21
2021-07-12	Mariehamn	L 1-3	47.1	1171	1114	49.06%	21.38%	29.56%	+0.32	-21.1	6
2021-07-12	@ KTP	W 3-1	47.1	1114	1171	29.56%	21.38%	49.06%	-0.32	+21.1	10
2021-07-16	Mariehamn	D 1-1	57.0	1313	1135	62.68%	20.03%	17.30%	+0.86	-2.8	22
2021-07-16	@ Lahti	D 1-1	57.0	1135	1313	17.30%	20.03%	62.68%	-0.86	+2.8	11
2021-07-16	SJK Seinajoki	L 0-1	45.4	1308	1248	49.44%	21.36%	29.20%	+0.33	-13.0	17
2021-07-16	@ Ilves	W 1-0	45.4	1248	1308	29.20%	21.36%	49.44%	-0.33	+13.0	20
2021-07-17	HJK	W 2-1	58.3	1142	1479	9.43%	17.56%	73.01%	-1.44	+17.5	7
2021-07-17	@ AC Oulu	L 1-2	58.3	1479	1142	73.01%	17.56%	9.43%	+1.44	-17.5	31
2021-07-19	Haka	D 0-0	50.8	1149	1169	38.48%	21.61%	39.91%	-0.02	+0.1	7
2021-07-19	@ KTP	D 0-0	50.8	1169	1149	39.91%	21.61%	38.48%	+0.02	-0.1	9
2021-07-19	Helsingfors	L 0-1	48.1	1379	1252	57.45%	20.73%	21.82%	+0.63	-14.9	22
2021-07-19	@ Inter Turku	W 1-0	48.1	1252	1379	21.82%	20.73%	57.45%	-0.63	+14.9	19
2021-07-23	KTP	D 2-2	63.1	1267	1150	56.43%	20.84%	22.73%	+0.59	-1.5	20
2021-07-23	@ Helsingfors	D 2-2	63.1	1150	1267	22.73%	20.84%	56.43%	-0.59	+1.5	8
2021-07-24	AC Oulu	W 3-2	49.0	1261	1159	54.61%	21.01%	24.38%	+0.52	+6.5	23
2021-07-24	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 2-3	49.0	1159	1261	24.38%	21.01%	54.61%	-0.52	-6.5	7
2021-07-24	Haka	W 2-0	29.1	1461	1169	71.97%	17.89%	10.14%	+1.37	+5.9	34
2021-07-24	@ HJK	L 0-2	29.1	1169	1461	10.14%	17.89%	71.97%	-1.37	-5.9	9
2021-07-25	Ilves	W 1-0	40.0	1356	1295	49.65%	21.35%	29.00%	+0.34	+8.4	28
2021-07-25	@ KuPS	L 0-1	40.0	1295	1356	29.00%	21.35%	49.65%	-0.34	-8.4	17
2021-07-25	Inter Turku	L 0-2	30.6	1138	1365	15.85%	19.72%	64.43%	-0.95	-9.2	11
2021-07-25	@ Mariehamn	W 2-0	30.6	1365	1138	64.43%	19.72%	15.85%	+0.95	+9.2	25
2021-07-25	Lahti	D 1-1	57.0	1267	1310	35.19%	21.57%	43.24%	-0.13	+0.5	14
2021-07-25	@ Honka	D 1-1	57.0	1310	1267	43.24%	21.57%	35.19%	+0.13	-0.5	23
2021-07-30	AC Oulu	W 1-0	36.3	1286	1153	58.19%	20.65%	21.16%	+0.66	+6.4	20
2021-07-30	@ Ilves	L 0-1	36.3	1153	1286	21.16%	20.65%	58.19%	-0.66	-6.4	7
2021-07-30	KTP	W 3-0	29.5	1310	1151	60.76%	20.32%	18.92%	+0.78	+15.8	26
2021-07-30	@ Lahti	L 0-3	29.5	1151	1310	18.92%	20.32%	60.76%	-0.78	-15.8	8
2021-07-31	SJK Seinajoki	D 0-0	53.7	1467	1267	64.67%	19.68%	15.65%	+0.96	-3.4	35
2021-07-31	@ HJK	D 0-0	53.7	1267	1467	15.65%	19.68%	64.67%	-0.96	+3.4	24
2021-08-02	Honka	D 2-2	64.1	1374	1267	55.18%	20.96%	23.86%	+0.54	-1.4	26
2021-08-02	@ Inter Turku	D 2-2	64.1	1267	1374	23.86%	20.96%	55.18%	-0.54	+1.4	15
2021-08-07	HJK	L 0-1	32.7	1135	1464	9.83%	17.75%	72.42%	-1.40	-3.0	8
2021-08-07	@ KTP	W 1-0	32.7	1464	1135	72.42%	17.75%	9.83%	+1.40	+3.0	38
2021-08-07	Mariehamn	W 1-0	40.4	1146	1128	43.83%	21.56%	34.61%	+0.15	+9.7	10
2021-08-07	@ AC Oulu	L 0-1	40.4	1128	1146	34.61%	21.56%	43.83%	-0.15	-9.7	11
2021-08-08	Ilves	W 4-1	41.8	1268	1293	37.86%	21.61%	40.54%	-0.04	+25.4	18
2021-08-08	@ Honka	L 1-4	41.8	1293	1268	40.54%	21.61%	37.86%	+0.04	-25.4	20
2021-08-08	Inter Turku	W 1-0	48.9	1163	1372	17.23%	20.01%	62.76%	-0.87	+16.1	12
2021-08-08	@ Haka	L 0-1	48.9	1372	1163	62.76%	20.01%	17.23%	+0.87	-16.2	26
2021-08-08	Lahti	D 2-2	64.4	1365	1325	46.73%	21.48%	31.79%	+0.24	-0.6	29
2021-08-08	@ KuPS	D 2-2	64.4	1325	1365	31.79%	21.48%	46.73%	-0.24	+0.6	27
2021-08-13	Haka	L 0-2	44.0	1326	1180	59.52%	20.49%	19.99%	+0.72	-29.0	27
2021-08-13	@ Lahti	W 2-0	44.0	1180	1326	19.99%	20.49%	59.52%	-0.72	+29.0	15
2021-08-14	Inter Turku	W 2-0	44.6	1156	1356	17.92%	20.14%	61.93%	-0.83	+30.1	13
2021-08-14	@ AC Oulu	L 0-2	44.6	1356	1156	61.93%	20.14%	17.92%	+0.83	-30.1	26
2021-08-15	KTP	W 4-0	27.6	1364	1132	67.42%	19.10%	13.47%	+1.10	+14.9	32
2021-08-15	@ KuPS	L 0-4	27.6	1132	1364	13.47%	19.10%	67.42%	-1.10	-14.9	8
2021-08-15	Mariehamn	W 1-0	31.7	1467	1119	75.61%	16.64%	7.75%	+1.62	+2.4	41
2021-08-15	@ HJK	L 0-1	31.7	1119	1467	7.75%	16.64%	75.61%	-1.62	-2.4	11
2021-08-16	Honka	W 3-2	54.4	1271	1294	38.06%	21.61%	40.33%	-0.04	+9.8	27
2021-08-16	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 2-3	54.4	1294	1271	40.33%	21.61%	38.06%	+0.04	-9.8	18
2021-08-20	AC Oulu	L 0-1	43.5	1209	1186	44.50%	21.55%	33.95%	+0.17	-11.9	15
2021-08-20	@ Haka	W 1-0	43.5	1186	1209	33.95%	21.55%	44.50%	-0.17	+11.9	16
2021-08-21	Ilves	W 2-0	35.6	1326	1267	49.32%	21.37%	29.31%	+0.33	+16.0	29
2021-08-21	@ Inter Turku	L 0-2	35.6	1267	1326	29.31%	21.37%	49.32%	-0.33	-16.0	20
2021-08-22	Honka	L 1-3	38.5	1116	1284	20.80%	20.60%	58.60%	-0.68	-10.3	11
2021-08-22	@ Mariehamn	W 3-1	38.5	1284	1116	58.60%	20.60%	20.80%	+0.68	+10.3	21
2021-08-22	KuPS	L 1-5	36.3	1266	1379	26.47%	21.19%	52.35%	-0.44	-23.2	20
2021-08-22	@ Helsingfors	W 5-1	36.3	1379	1266	52.35%	21.19%	26.47%	+0.44	+23.2	35
2021-08-23	HJK	L 0-1	38.7	1297	1469	20.40%	20.55%	59.06%	-0.70	-6.2	27
2021-08-23	@ Lahti	W 1-0	38.7	1469	1297	59.06%	20.55%	20.40%	+0.70	+6.2	44
2021-08-27	Haka	W 4-0	32.0	1281	1197	52.46%	21.18%	26.36%	+0.44	+27.7	30
2021-08-27	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 0-4	32.0	1197	1281	26.36%	21.18%	52.46%	-0.44	-27.7	15
2021-08-28	Helsingfors	L 0-3	38.9	1294	1243	48.38%	21.41%	30.21%	+0.30	-34.9	21
2021-08-28	@ Honka	W 3-0	38.9	1243	1294	30.21%	21.41%	48.38%	-0.30	+34.9	23
2021-08-28	Lahti	D 1-1	56.7	1198	1291	28.80%	21.34%	49.85%	-0.35	+1.2	17
2021-08-28	@ AC Oulu	D 1-1	56.7	1291	1198	49.85%	21.34%	28.80%	+0.35	-1.2	28
2021-08-29	Ilves	W 1-0	46.8	1106	1251	22.99%	20.87%	56.14%	-0.58	+14.6	14
2021-08-29	@ Mariehamn	L 0-1	46.8	1251	1106	56.14%	20.87%	22.99%	+0.58	-14.6	20
2021-08-29	KuPS	D 1-1	62.0	1475	1402	51.14%	21.27%	27.59%	+0.39	-1.4	45
2021-08-29	@ HJK	D 1-1	62.0	1402	1475	27.59%	21.27%	51.14%	-0.39	+1.4	36
2021-08-31	Inter Turku	L 1-3	36.9	1117	1342	16.01%	19.76%	64.24%	-0.94	-8.1	8
2021-08-31	@ KTP	W 3-1	36.9	1342	1117	64.24%	19.76%	16.01%	+0.94	+8.1	32
2021-09-05	KuPS	L 0-1	33.3	1121	1403	12.20%	18.70%	69.10%	-1.20	-3.8	14
2021-09-05	@ Mariehamn	W 1-0	33.3	1403	1121	69.10%	18.70%	12.20%	+1.20	+3.8	39
2021-09-07	SJK Seinajoki	W 1-0	43.3	1278	1308	36.95%	21.60%	41.45%	-0.07	+11.2	26
2021-09-07	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	43.3	1308	1278	41.45%	21.60%	36.95%	+0.07	-11.2	30
2021-09-11	AC Oulu	W 3-1	40.3	1289	1199	53.17%	21.13%	25.71%	+0.47	+12.4	29
2021-09-11	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	40.3	1199	1289	25.71%	21.13%	53.17%	-0.47	-12.4	17
2021-09-11	HJK	L 1-3	44.0	1350	1474	25.28%	21.09%	53.63%	-0.49	-12.2	32
2021-09-11	@ Inter Turku	W 3-1	44.0	1474	1350	53.63%	21.09%	25.28%	+0.49	+12.2	48
2021-09-11	KTP	W 3-1	38.1	1259	1109	59.90%	20.44%	19.66%	+0.74	+9.8	24
2021-09-11	@ Honka	L 1-3	38.1	1109	1259	19.66%	20.44%	59.90%	-0.74	-9.8	8
2021-09-11	Lahti	W 1-0	43.9	1237	1290	33.92%	21.55%	44.53%	-0.17	+11.9	23
2021-09-11	@ Ilves	L 0-1	43.9	1290	1237	44.53%	21.55%	33.92%	+0.17	-11.9	28
2021-09-11	Mariehamn	L 1-2	51.1	1169	1117	48.46%	21.41%	30.13%	+0.30	-12.0	15
2021-09-11	@ Haka	W 2-1	51.1	1117	1169	30.13%	21.41%	48.46%	-0.30	+12.0	17
2021-09-11	SJK Seinajoki	W 3-0	32.7	1407	1297	55.55%	20.93%	23.53%	+0.56	+19.2	42
2021-09-11	@ KuPS	L 0-3	32.7	1297	1407	23.53%	20.93%	55.55%	-0.56	-19.2	30
2021-09-14	Helsingfors	W 1-0	44.0	1249	1301	33.97%	21.55%	44.48%	-0.17	+11.9	26
2021-09-14	@ Ilves	L 0-1	44.0	1301	1249	44.48%	21.55%	33.97%	+0.17	-11.9	29
2021-09-14	SJK Seinajoki	L 0-1	35.8	1099	1278	19.81%	20.46%	59.73%	-0.73	-6.0	8
2021-09-14	@ KTP	W 1-0	35.8	1278	1099	59.73%	20.46%	19.81%	+0.73	+6.0	33
2021-09-18	AC Oulu	D 0-0	51.2	1278	1187	53.33%	21.12%	25.55%	+0.47	-1.8	29
2021-09-18	@ Lahti	D 0-0	51.2	1187	1278	25.55%	21.12%	53.33%	-0.47	+1.8	18
2021-09-18	Ilves	L 0-1	38.4	1157	1261	27.56%	21.26%	51.18%	-0.40	-8.0	15
2021-09-18	@ Haka	W 1-0	38.4	1261	1157	51.18%	21.26%	27.56%	+0.40	+8.0	29
2021-09-18	Inter Turku	D 2-2	63.7	1284	1338	33.77%	21.54%	44.69%	-0.17	+0.5	34
2021-09-18	@ SJK Seinajoki	D 2-2	63.7	1338	1284	44.69%	21.54%	33.77%	+0.17	-0.5	33
2021-09-18	KuPS	L 1-2	38.8	1093	1426	9.62%	17.65%	72.73%	-1.42	-2.8	8
2021-09-18	@ KTP	W 2-1	38.8	1426	1093	72.73%	17.65%	9.62%	+1.42	+2.8	45
2021-09-18	Mariehamn	L 0-3	42.0	1289	1129	60.95%	20.29%	18.76%	+0.78	-43.0	29
2021-09-18	@ Helsingfors	W 3-0	42.0	1129	1289	18.76%	20.29%	60.95%	-0.78	+43.1	20
2021-09-19	HJK	D 0-0	54.0	1269	1486	16.60%	19.89%	63.51%	-0.90	+3.2	25
2021-09-19	@ Honka	D 0-0	54.0	1486	1269	63.51%	19.89%	16.60%	+0.90	-3.2	49
2021-09-22	AC Oulu	W 4-0	30.0	1338	1188	59.79%	20.45%	19.75%	+0.73	+21.5	36
2021-09-22	@ Inter Turku	L 0-4	30.0	1188	1338	19.75%	20.45%	59.79%	-0.73	-21.5	18
2021-09-22	Helsingfors	L 0-2	47.8	1483	1246	67.82%	19.01%	13.17%	+1.12	-32.7	49
2021-09-22	@ HJK	W 2-0	47.8	1246	1483	13.17%	19.01%	67.82%	-1.12	+32.8	32
2021-09-22	KuPS	L 0-1	38.2	1272	1429	21.83%	20.74%	57.43%	-0.63	-6.6	25
2021-09-22	@ Honka	W 1-0	38.2	1429	1272	57.43%	20.74%	21.83%	+0.63	+6.6	48
2021-09-22	Lahti	L 1-2	42.1	1091	1276	19.21%	20.37%	60.43%	-0.76	-5.5	8
2021-09-22	@ KTP	W 2-1	42.1	1276	1091	60.43%	20.37%	19.21%	+0.76	+5.5	32
2021-09-22	Mariehamn	W 2-0	33.6	1269	1172	53.99%	21.06%	24.94%	+0.50	+13.9	32
2021-09-22	@ Ilves	L 0-2	33.6	1172	1269	24.94%	21.06%	53.99%	-0.50	-13.9	20
2021-09-22	SJK Seinajoki	W 4-0	40.4	1149	1284	24.00%	20.97%	55.02%	-0.54	+51.2	18
2021-09-22	@ Haka	L 0-4	40.4	1284	1149	55.02%	20.97%	24.00%	+0.54	-51.2	34
2021-09-26	Haka	L 0-1	41.1	1167	1200	36.64%	21.60%	41.77%	-0.08	-10.2	18
2021-09-26	@ AC Oulu	W 1-0	41.1	1200	1167	41.77%	21.60%	36.64%	+0.08	+10.2	21
2021-09-26	Helsingfors	D 0-0	53.2	1436	1279	60.59%	20.34%	19.07%	+0.77	-2.8	49
2021-09-26	@ KuPS	D 0-0	53.2	1279	1436	19.07%	20.34%	60.59%	-0.77	+2.8	33
2021-09-26	Honka	D 0-0	51.4	1283	1266	43.69%	21.57%	34.75%	+0.14	-0.6	33
2021-09-26	@ Ilves	D 0-0	51.4	1266	1283	34.75%	21.57%	43.69%	-0.14	+0.6	26
2021-09-26	Inter Turku	L 0-1	49.7	1450	1359	53.33%	21.12%	25.56%	+0.47	-13.9	49
2021-09-26	@ HJK	W 1-0	49.7	1359	1450	25.56%	21.12%	53.33%	-0.47	+13.9	39
2021-09-26	KTP	W 4-2	43.9	1158	1085	51.09%	21.27%	27.64%	+0.39	+11.8	23
2021-09-26	@ Mariehamn	L 2-4	43.9	1085	1158	27.64%	21.27%	51.09%	-0.39	-11.8	8
2021-09-26	Lahti	W 4-1	42.6	1233	1281	34.56%	21.56%	43.88%	-0.15	+27.1	37
2021-09-26	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 1-4	42.6	1281	1233	43.88%	21.56%	34.56%	+0.15	-27.1	32
2021-09-30	Helsingfors	W 2-0	40.5	1210	1282	31.48%	21.47%	47.05%	-0.25	+23.5	24
2021-09-30	@ Haka	L 0-2	40.5	1282	1210	47.05%	21.47%	31.48%	+0.25	-23.5	33

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-10-02	Ilves	W 2-1	44.2	1433	1282	60.00%	20.42%	19.58%	+0.74	+5.6	3
2021-10-02	@ KuPS	L 1-2	44.2	1282	1433	19.58%	20.42%	60.00%	-0.74	-5.6	0
2021-10-02	Mariehamn	D 1-1	56.7	1266	1170	53.98%	21.06%	24.96%	+0.50	-1.7	1
2021-10-02	@ Honka	D 1-1	56.7	1170	1266	24.96%	21.06%	53.98%	-0.50	+1.7	1
2021-10-03	AC Oulu	D 0-0	51.0	1234	1157	51.60%	21.24%	27.17%	+0.41	-1.6	1
2021-10-03	@ Haka	D 0-0	51.0	1157	1234	27.17%	21.24%	51.60%	-0.41	+1.6	1
2021-10-03	Helsingfors	W 2-0	33.8	1373	1258	56.07%	20.88%	23.06%	+0.58	+13.0	3
2021-10-03	@ Inter Turku	L 0-2	33.8	1258	1373	23.06%	20.88%	56.07%	-0.58	-13.0	0
2021-10-03	KTP	W 2-1	41.3	1254	1073	62.95%	19.98%	17.07%	+0.88	+5.0	3
2021-10-03	@ Lahti	L 1-2	41.3	1073	1254	17.07%	19.98%	62.95%	-0.88	-4.9	0
2021-10-03	SJK Seinajoki	L 2-3	61.7	1436	1260	62.46%	20.06%	17.48%	+0.85	-14.4	0
2021-10-03	@ HJK	W 3-2	61.7	1260	1436	17.48%	20.06%	62.46%	-0.85	+14.4	3
2021-10-16	HJK	L 2-3	50.2	1276	1422	22.97%	20.87%	56.16%	-0.58	-6.1	0
2021-10-16	@ Ilves	W 3-2	50.2	1422	1276	56.16%	20.87%	22.97%	+0.58	+6.2	3
2021-10-16	Honka	W 2-0	44.1	1068	1265	18.27%	20.21%	61.52%	-0.81	+29.9	3
2021-10-16	@ KTP	L 0-2	44.1	1265	1068	61.52%	20.21%	18.27%	+0.81	-29.9	1
2021-10-16	KuPS	L 2-3	56.0	1386	1439	33.96%	21.55%	44.49%	-0.17	-8.5	3
2021-10-16	@ Inter Turku	W 3-2	56.0	1439	1386	44.49%	21.55%	33.96%	+0.17	+8.6	6
2021-10-16	Lahti	D 1-1	56.6	1232	1259	37.47%	21.60%	40.93%	-0.05	+0.2	2
2021-10-16	@ Haka	D 1-1	56.6	1259	1232	40.93%	21.60%	37.47%	+0.05	-0.2	4
2021-10-16	Mariehamn	L 1-2	48.5	1158	1171	39.48%	21.61%	38.91%	+0.01	-10.2	1
2021-10-16	@ AC Oulu	W 2-1	48.5	1171	1158	38.91%	21.61%	39.48%	-0.01	+10.2	4
2021-10-16	SJK Seinajoki	D 2-2	63.1	1245	1275	37.14%	21.60%	41.25%	-0.06	+0.2	1
2021-10-16	@ Helsingfors	D 2-2	63.1	1275	1245	41.25%	21.60%	37.14%	+0.06	-0.2	4
2021-10-22	AC Oulu	D 0-0	51.1	1259	1148	55.64%	20.92%	23.45%	+0.56	-2.1	5
2021-10-22	@ Lahti	D 0-0	51.1	1148	1259	23.45%	20.92%	55.64%	-0.56	+2.2	2
2021-10-22	Ilves	W 4-2	47.3	1275	1270	41.96%	21.59%	36.44%	+0.09	+14.8	7
2021-10-22	@ SJK Seinajoki	L 2-4	47.3	1270	1275	36.44%	21.59%	41.96%	-0.09	-14.8	0
2021-10-23	Haka	L 0-2	38.8	1235	1232	41.68%	21.60%	36.73%	+0.08	-21.2	1
2021-10-23	@ Honka	W 2-0	38.8	1232	1235	36.73%	21.60%	41.68%	-0.08	+21.2	5
2021-10-23	Helsingfors	D 0-0	53.1	1447	1246	64.85%	19.64%	15.51%	+0.97	-3.4	7
2021-10-23	@ KuPS	D 0-0	53.1	1246	1447	15.51%	19.64%	64.85%	-0.97	+3.4	2
2021-10-23	KTP	W 5-1	35.1	1182	1098	52.39%	21.18%	26.43%	+0.44	+23.1	7
2021-10-23	@ Mariehamn	L 1-5	35.1	1098	1182	26.43%	21.18%	52.39%	-0.44	-23.1	3
2021-10-24	Inter Turku	W 2-1	49.4	1428	1377	48.25%	21.42%	30.33%	+0.29	+8.2	6
2021-10-24	@ HJK	L 1-2	49.4	1377	1428	30.33%	21.42%	48.25%	-0.29	-8.2	3
2021-10-27	AC Oulu	W 6-1	35.3	1213	1150	49.86%	21.34%	28.80%	+0.35	+30.5	4
2021-10-27	@ Honka	L 1-6	35.3	1150	1213	28.80%	21.34%	49.86%	-0.35	-30.5	2
2021-10-27	Haka	L 2-4	41.4	1075	1254	19.82%	20.46%	59.72%	-0.73	-8.8	3
2021-10-27	@ KTP	W 4-2	41.4	1254	1075	59.72%	20.46%	19.82%	+0.73	+8.8	8
2021-10-27	Helsingfors	W 1-0	36.2	1436	1249	63.54%	19.88%	16.58%	+0.90	+5.1	9
2021-10-27	@ HJK	L 0-1	36.2	1249	1436	16.58%	19.88%	63.54%	-0.90	-5.1	2
2021-10-27	Inter Turku	L 0-2	34.9	1255	1369	26.38%	21.18%	52.44%	-0.44	-14.6	0
2021-10-27	@ Ilves	W 2-0	34.9	1369	1255	52.44%	21.18%	26.38%	+0.44	+14.6	6
2021-10-27	KuPS	D 2-2	65.2	1289	1444	22.09%	20.77%	57.15%	-0.62	+1.6	8
2021-10-27	@ SJK Seinajoki	D 2-2	65.2	1444	1289	57.15%	20.77%	22.09%	+0.62	-1.6	8
2021-10-27	Lahti	L 0-3	34.4	1205	1257	34.03%	21.55%	44.42%	-0.17	-26.2	7
2021-10-27	@ Mariehamn	W 3-0	34.4	1257	1205	44.42%	21.55%	34.03%	+0.17	+26.2	8
2021-10-31	HJK	D 1-1	62.1	1442	1441	41.46%	21.60%	36.94%	+0.07	-0.2	9
2021-10-31	@ KuPS	D 1-1	62.1	1441	1442	36.94%	21.60%	41.46%	-0.07	+0.2	10
2021-10-31	Honka	L 2-3	56.1	1283	1244	46.74%	21.48%	31.78%	+0.24	-11.1	8
2021-10-31	@ Lahti	W 3-2	56.1	1244	1283	31.78%	21.48%	46.74%	-0.24	+11.1	7
2021-10-31	Ilves	L 0-3	36.8	1244	1241	41.77%	21.60%	36.63%	+0.08	-30.9	2
2021-10-31	@ Helsingfors	W 3-0	36.8	1241	1244	36.63%	21.60%	41.77%	-0.08	+30.9	3
2021-10-31	KTP	W 2-1	45.5	1120	1066	48.64%	21.40%	29.96%	+0.31	+8.1	5
2021-10-31	@ AC Oulu	L 1-2	45.5	1066	1120	29.96%	21.40%	48.64%	-0.31	-8.1	3
2021-10-31	Mariehamn	W 2-0	34.0	1262	1179	52.45%	21.18%	26.37%	+0.44	+14.6	11
2021-10-31	@ Haka	L 0-2	34.0	1179	1262	26.37%	21.18%	52.45%	-0.44	-14.6	7
2021-10-31	SJK Seinajoki	L 2-5	48.4	1384	1291	53.54%	21.10%	25.37%	+0.48	-27.9	6
2021-10-31	@ Inter Turku	W 5-2	48.4	1291	1384	25.37%	21.10%	53.54%	-0.48	+27.9	11

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2021-11-03	AC Oulu	W 2-1	46.8	1151	1128	44.58%	21.55%	33.87%	+0.17	+9.0	1-0
2021-11-03	@ RoPS	L 1-2	46.8	1128	1151	33.87%	21.55%	44.58%	-0.17	-9.0	0-1
2021-11-07	RoPS	W 2-0	38.9	1119	1160	35.50%	21.58%	42.92%	-0.12	+21.8	1-1
2021-11-07	@ AC Oulu	L 0-2	38.9	1160	1119	42.92%	21.58%	35.50%	+0.12	-21.7	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-07-17	9.43%	@ AC Oulu	1142	2	HJK	1479	1
2	2021-09-22	13.17%	Helsingfors	1246	2	@ HJK	1483	0
3	2021-08-08	17.23%	@ Haka	1163	1	Inter Turku	1372	0
4	2021-10-03	17.48%	SJK Seinajoki	1260	3	@ HJK	1436	2
5	2021-08-14	17.92%	@ AC Oulu	1156	2	Inter Turku	1356	0
6	2021-10-16	18.27%	@ KTP	1068	2	Honka	1265	0
7	2021-09-18	18.76%	Mariehamn	1129	3	@ Helsingfors	1289	0
8	2021-08-13	19.99%	Haka	1180	2	@ Lahti	1326	0
9	2021-05-29	21.12%	Haka	1178	2	@ KuPS	1312	1
10	2021-07-19	21.82%	Helsingfors	1252	1	@ Inter Turku	1379	0
11	2021-08-29	22.99%	@ Mariehamn	1106	1	Ilves	1251	0
12	2021-05-03	23.19%	Mariehamn	1186	2	@ Honka	1300	0
13	2021-09-22	24.00%	@ Haka	1149	4	SJK Seinajoki	1284	0
14	2021-10-31	25.37%	SJK Seinajoki	1291	5	@ Inter Turku	1384	2
15	2021-09-26	25.56%	Inter Turku	1359	1	@ HJK	1450	0
16	2021-05-03	27.29%	@ Lahti	1252	2	Inter Turku	1358	1
17	2021-05-23	27.41%	Haka	1141	3	@ Mariehamn	1216	0
18	2021-06-23	27.56%	@ Ilves	1290	2	Inter Turku	1394	1
19	2021-07-16	29.20%	SJK Seinajoki	1248	1	@ Ilves	1308	0
20	2021-06-14	29.41%	@ KuPS	1307	1	Inter Turku	1395	0
21	2021-07-12	29.56%	Mariehamn	1114	3	@ KTP	1171	1
22	2021-09-11	30.13%	Mariehamn	1117	2	@ Haka	1169	1
23	2021-08-28	30.21%	Helsingfors	1243	3	@ Honka	1294	0
24	2021-06-14	30.33%	@ SJK Seinajoki	1228	1	Ilves	1308	0
25	2021-06-15	31.02%	AC Oulu	1150	3	@ KTP	1195	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-09-22	51.16	@ Haka	4	1149	24.00%	SJK Seinajoki	0	1284	55.02%	20.97%
2	2021-09-18	43.05	Mariehamn	3	1129	18.76%	@ Helsingfors	0	1289	60.95%	20.29%
3	2021-05-23	36.80	Haka	3	1141	27.41%	@ Mariehamn	0	1216	51.34%	21.25%
4	2021-08-28	34.93	Helsingfors	3	1243	30.21%	@ Honka	0	1294	48.38%	21.41%
5	2021-09-22	32.75	Helsingfors	2	1246	13.17%	@ HJK	0	1483	67.82%	19.01%
6	2021-10-31	30.90	Ilves	3	1241	36.63%	@ Helsingfors	0	1244	41.77%	21.60%
7	2021-10-27	30.51	@ Honka	6	1213	49.86%	AC Oulu	1	1150	28.80%	21.34%
8	2021-08-14	30.09	@ AC Oulu	2	1156	17.92%	Inter Turku	0	1356	61.93%	20.14%
9	2021-10-16	29.90	@ KTP	2	1068	18.27%	Honka	0	1265	61.52%	20.21%
10	2021-08-13	29.00	Haka	2	1180	19.99%	@ Lahti	0	1326	59.52%	20.49%
11	2021-10-31	27.90	SJK Seinajoki	5	1291	25.37%	@ Inter Turku	2	1384	53.54%	21.10%
12	2021-08-27	27.73	@ SJK Seinajoki	4	1281	52.46%	Haka	0	1197	26.36%	21.18%
13	2021-05-03	27.37	Mariehamn	2	1186	23.19%	@ Honka	0	1300	55.92%	20.89%
14	2021-05-14	27.20	KTP	3	1209	42.85%	@ Haka	0	1168	35.57%	21.58%
15	2021-09-26	27.12	@ SJK Seinajoki	4	1233	34.56%	Lahti	1	1281	43.88%	21.56%
16	2021-10-27	26.24	Lahti	3	1257	44.42%	@ Mariehamn	0	1205	34.03%	21.55%
17	2021-08-08	25.43	@ Honka	4	1268	37.86%	Ilves	1	1293	40.54%	21.61%
18	2021-05-30	24.58	Lahti	3	1251	47.14%	@ Mariehamn	0	1179	31.40%	21.47%
19	2021-05-11	24.16	HJK	3	1405	47.81%	@ Ilves	0	1328	30.75%	21.44%
20	2021-09-30	23.48	@ Haka	2	1210	31.48%	Helsingfors	0	1282	47.05%	21.47%
21	2021-08-22	23.19	KuPS	5	1379	52.35%	@ Helsingfors	1	1266	26.47%	21.19%
22	2021-10-23	23.15	@ Mariehamn	5	1182	52.39%	KTP	1	1098	26.43%	21.18%
23	2021-11-07 *	21.75	@ AC Oulu	2	1119	35.50%	RoPS	0	1160	42.92%	21.58%
24	2021-09-22	21.49	@ Inter Turku	4	1338	59.79%	AC Oulu	0	1188	19.75%	20.45%
25	2021-10-23	21.23	Haka	2	1232	36.73%	@ Honka	0	1235	41.68%	21.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-10-27	65.2	@ SJK Seinajoki	2	1289	22.09%	KuPS	2	1444	57.15%	20.77%
2	2021-08-08	64.4	@ KuPS	2	1365	46.73%	Lahti	2	1325	31.79%	21.48%
3	2021-08-02	64.1	@ Inter Turku	2	1374	55.18%	Honka	2	1267	23.86%	20.96%
4	2021-09-18	63.7	@ SJK Seinajoki	2	1284	33.77%	Inter Turku	2	1338	44.69%	21.54%
5	2021-07-23	63.1	@ Helsingfors	2	1267	56.43%	KTP	2	1150	22.73%	20.84%
6	2021-10-16	63.1	@ Helsingfors	2	1245	37.14%	SJK Seinajoki	2	1275	41.25%	21.60%
7	2021-10-31	62.1	@ KuPS	1	1442	41.46%	HJK	1	1441	36.94%	21.60%
8	2021-08-29	62.0	@ HJK	1	1475	51.14%	KuPS	1	1402	27.59%	21.27%
9	2021-10-03	61.7	SJK Seinajoki	3	1260	17.48%	@ HJK	2	1436	62.46%	20.06%
10	2021-07-17	58.3	@ AC Oulu	2	1142	9.43%	HJK	1	1479	73.01%	17.56%
11	2021-06-30	57.9	@ Inter Turku	1	1381	53.00%	Lahti	1	1293	25.86%	21.14%
12	2021-07-16	57.0	@ Lahti	1	1313	62.68%	Mariehamn	1	1135	17.30%	20.03%
13	2021-07-25	57.0	@ Honka	1	1267	35.19%	Lahti	1	1310	43.24%	21.57%
14	2021-05-15	56.9	@ Helsingfors	1	1248	33.57%	Ilves	1	1304	44.89%	21.54%
15	2021-06-30	56.8	@ KTP	1	1169	24.17%	Ilves	1	1303	54.84%	20.99%
16	2021-06-15	56.7	@ Haka	1	1188	27.15%	Lahti	1	1295	51.62%	21.24%
17	2021-08-28	56.7	@ AC Oulu	1	1198	28.80%	Lahti	1	1291	49.85%	21.34%
18	2021-10-02	56.7	@ Honka	1	1266	53.98%	Mariehamn	1	1170	24.96%	21.06%
19	2021-05-07	56.6	@ SJK Seinajoki	1	1214	36.41%	Helsingfors	1	1249	42.00%	21.59%
20	2021-06-30	56.6	@ Haka	1	1181	30.52%	Honka	1	1261	48.06%	21.43%
21	2021-10-16	56.6	@ Haka	1	1232	37.47%	Lahti	1	1259	40.93%	21.60%
22	2021-05-03	56.5	@ SJK Seinajoki	1	1214	39.84%	KTP	1	1224	38.55%	21.61%
23	2021-07-05	56.3	@ AC Oulu	1	1148	38.16%	KTP	1	1171	40.23%	21.61%
24	2021-10-31	56.1	Honka	3	1244	31.78%	@ Lahti	2	1283	46.74%	21.48%
25	2021-10-16	56.0	KuPS	3	1439	44.49%	@ Inter Turku	2	1386	33.96%	21.55%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-08-15	27.6	@ KuPS	4	1364	67.42%	KTP	0	1132	13.47%	19.10%
2	2021-06-10	27.8	@ Inter Turku	3	1383	67.22%	Mariehamn	0	1154	13.63%	19.15%
3	2021-06-24	29.1	@ HJK	2	1467	72.02%	KTP	0	1175	10.10%	17.88%
4	2021-07-24	29.1	@ HJK	2	1461	71.97%	Haka	0	1169	10.14%	17.89%
5	2021-07-30	29.5	@ Lahti	3	1310	60.76%	KTP	0	1151	18.92%	20.32%
6	2021-09-22	30.0	@ Inter Turku	4	1338	59.79%	AC Oulu	0	1188	19.75%	20.45%
7	2021-07-25	30.6	Inter Turku	2	1365	64.43%	@ Mariehamn	0	1138	15.85%	19.72%
8	2021-06-30	31.0	@ KuPS	2	1340	63.04%	AC Oulu	0	1158	16.99%	19.97%
9	2021-06-30	31.0	@ SJK Seinajoki	3	1237	55.10%	Mariehamn	0	1131	23.93%	20.97%
10	2021-08-15	31.7	@ HJK	1	1467	75.61%	Mariehamn	0	1119	7.75%	16.64%
11	2021-08-27	32.0	@ SJK Seinajoki	4	1281	52.46%	Haka	0	1197	26.36%	21.18%
12	2021-05-17	32.3	@ HJK	2	1429	62.86%	Lahti	0	1249	17.14%	20.00%
13	2021-05-22	32.4	HJK	2	1439	62.37%	@ SJK Seinajoki	0	1234	17.56%	20.08%
14	2021-06-24	32.7	KuPS	2	1328	57.46%	@ AC Oulu	0	1171	21.81%	20.73%
15	2021-08-07	32.7	HJK	1	1464	72.42%	@ KTP	0	1135	9.83%	17.75%
16	2021-09-11	32.7	@ KuPS	3	1407	55.55%	SJK Seinajoki	0	1297	23.53%	20.93%
17	2021-06-18	32.9	@ Inter Turku	2	1382	59.04%	SJK Seinajoki	0	1240	20.41%	20.55%
18	2021-06-14	33.0	HJK	1	1459	71.58%	@ Mariehamn	0	1143	10.41%	18.01%
19	2021-09-05	33.3	KuPS	1	1403	69.10%	@ Mariehamn	0	1121	12.20%	18.70%
20	2021-05-30	33.5	Lahti	3	1251	47.14%	@ Mariehamn	0	1179	31.40%	21.47%
21	2021-09-22	33.6	@ Ilves	2	1269	53.99%	Mariehamn	0	1172	24.94%	21.06%
22	2021-10-03	33.8	@ Inter Turku	2	1373	56.07%	Helsingfors	0	1258	23.06%	20.88%
23	2021-10-31	34.0	@ Haka	2	1262	52.45%	Mariehamn	0	1179	26.37%	21.18%
24	2021-05-28	34.4	@ Ilves	2	1313	52.38%	KTP	0	1230	26.43%	21.18%
25	2021-10-27	34.4	Lahti	3	1257	44.42%	@ Mariehamn	0	1205	34.03%	21.55%