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2022 Veikkausliiga Season

163 games · 9 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

HJK

58 points · 32nd Title

Last Title: 2021

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Haka

3.10 points above expected

45 points · 41.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Helsingfors

8.80 points below expected

9 points · 17.80 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK 22 15 4 3 49 34 18 +16 39.04 +9.96
2 KuPS 22 14 5 3 47 36 16 +20 40.40 +6.60
3 Honka 22 12 5 5 41 45 21 +24 37.60 +3.40
4 Haka 22 11 4 7 37 36 38 -2 29.84 +7.16
5 Inter Turku 22 9 5 8 32 40 28 +12 35.41 -3.41
6 SJK Seinajoki 22 9 4 9 31 29 32 -3 28.41 +2.59
7 AC Oulu 22 8 6 8 30 35 35 0 26.33 +3.67
8 Ilves 22 6 7 9 25 31 36 -5 29.74 -4.74
9 Mariehamn 22 6 6 10 24 25 33 -8 23.85 +0.15
10 VPS 22 6 4 12 22 39 36 +3 31.11 -9.11
11 Lahti 22 4 6 12 18 19 43 -24 25.05 -7.05
12 Helsingfors 22 1 6 15 9 15 48 -33 20.83 -11.83
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 27 18 4 5 58 41 23 +18 57.49 +0.51
2 KuPS 27 17 6 4 57 43 21 +22 55.35 +1.65
3 Honka 27 14 7 6 49 53 27 +26 49.04 -0.04
4 Haka 27 13 6 8 45 40 40 0 41.90 +3.10
5 Inter Turku 27 10 5 12 35 42 36 +6 38.97 -3.97
6 SJK Seinajoki 27 10 5 12 35 33 38 -5 36.03 -1.03
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Oulu 28 11 6 11 39 46 44 +2 46.22 -7.22
2 VPS 28 11 5 12 38 53 41 +12 39.00 -1.00
3 Ilves 27 9 7 11 34 43 43 0 40.50 -6.50
4 Mariehamn 27 9 7 11 34 41 43 -2 38.75 -4.75
5 Lahti 27 5 6 16 21 26 55 -29 29.43 -8.43
6 Helsingfors 27 1 6 20 9 20 70 -50 17.80 -8.80

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Haka 45 41.90 +3.10
2 KuPS 57 55.35 +1.65
3 HJK 58 57.49 +0.51
4 Honka 49 49.04 -0.04
5 VPS 38 39.00 -1.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingfors 9 17.80 -8.80
2 Lahti 21 29.43 -8.43
3 AC Oulu 39 46.22 -7.22
4 Ilves 34 40.50 -6.50
5 Mariehamn 34 38.75 -4.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 5 Aug 27 – Oct 2 1 in 234
2 KuPS 5 Apr 2 – Apr 29 1 in 27
3 HJK 5 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 20
4 Honka 3 Apr 25 – May 7 1 in 14
5 VPS 4 Sep 18 – Oct 8 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SJK Seinajoki 5 Apr 8 – May 7 1 in 69
2 Helsingfors 7 Sep 5 – Oct 16 1 in 36
3 HJK 2 Jun 18 – Jun 22 1 in 28
4 Inter Turku 4 Sep 28 – Oct 9 1 in 26
5 Mariehamn 4 May 15 – Jun 18 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 7 May 28 – Jul 31 1 in 46
2 SJK Seinajoki 6 Jun 18 – Jul 31 1 in 24
3 HJK 10 Jul 2 – Sep 18 1 in 21
4 KuPS 10 Apr 2 – May 29 1 in 16
5 AC Oulu 6 Aug 27 – Oct 2 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingfors 16 Jul 4 – Oct 16 1 in 44
2 VPS 5 Aug 13 – Sep 11 1 in 21
3 Haka 6 Apr 29 – May 28 1 in 17
4 Ilves 6 Jul 11 – Aug 13 1 in 17
5 HJK 4 May 29 – Jul 2 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1521 58 +5 9 8.6 +0.4
KuPS 1519 57 +10 10 8.1 +1.9
Honka 1504 49 +11 8 8.4 -0.4
Haka 1392 45 +29 8 5.2 +2.8
AC Oulu 1336 39 -7 6 7.4 -1.4
VPS 1433 38 +75 13 8.9 +4.1
SJK Seinajoki 1355 35 -8 4 5.1 -1.1
Inter Turku 1397 35 -46 3 6.3 -3.3
Mariehamn 1342 34 +38 10 7.9 +2.1
Ilves 1348 34 +28 9 8.0 +1.0
Lahti 1194 21 -31 3 5.0 -2.0
Helsingfors 1082 9 -80 0 4.0 -4.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO HJK HAK HEL HON ILV IT KUP LAH MAR SS VPS
AC Oulu —
1-1-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.29
2-1-0
5.48
1-1-0
1.69
1-1-1
3.86
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.70
2-1-0
5.14
2-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-3
4.91
HJK
0-1-1
3.86
—
3-0-0
5.60
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-1
4.55
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-1
4.93
0-2-1
4.04
1-1-0
3.81
1-0-1
4.19
3-0-0
5.48
2-0-0
3.28
Haka
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-3
2.76
—
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
2.83
3-0-0
3.32
1-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.34
1-2-0
4.26
0-1-1
2.64
Helsingfors
0-1-2
2.88
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
2.10
—
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
1.62
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-2
3.84
0-2-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-2
2.33
Honka
0-1-1
3.90
1-0-2
3.79
1-1-1
5.23
2-0-0
4.23
—
1-1-0
3.60
3-0-0
4.71
1-1-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
3.58
1-1-1
5.11
2-0-0
3.25
Ilves
1-1-1
4.48
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.73
2-0-1
5.65
0-1-1
1.98
—
0-2-0
2.08
0-1-1
1.75
2-1-0
5.48
2-0-1
4.48
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-2
3.88
Inter Turku
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-2
3.42
0-0-3
5.03
1-1-0
3.96
0-0-3
3.64
0-2-0
3.48
—
0-0-3
3.38
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
3.70
2-1-0
4.98
1-1-0
3.15
KuPS
2-0-0
3.88
1-2-0
4.30
1-1-1
5.80
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-1
4.61
1-1-0
3.83
3-0-0
4.97
—
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-2
5.55
2-0-0
3.79
Lahti
0-1-2
3.22
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.22
2-1-0
4.50
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-2
2.87
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
1.61
—
0-1-2
3.94
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-2
3.19
Mariehamn
1-0-2
4.23
1-0-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.22
1-2-0
5.11
0-2-0
1.99
1-0-2
3.86
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
1.42
2-1-0
4.41
—
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-1
3.19
SJK Seinajoki
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-3
2.88
0-2-1
4.08
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-2
3.36
2-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.36
—
2-0-0
2.51
VPS
3-1-0
6.21
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.92
2-1-0
6.06
0-0-2
2.31
2-0-1
4.45
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.79
2-0-1
5.17
1-1-1
5.16
0-0-2
3.05
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +10.0
Allowed 0.92 -9.9
Differential 0.85 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.91%8.28%5.52%2.45%1.53%1.23%23.93%
18.28%11.04%8.59%2.76%1.23%2.45%34.36%
25.52%8.59%4.29%4.91%0.31%—23.62%
32.45%2.76%4.91%1.23%——11.35%
41.53%1.23%0.31%———3.07%
5+1.23%2.45%————3.68%
Total23.93%34.36%23.62%11.35%3.07%3.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.98
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 163

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%7.14%—3.57%21.43%
17.14%7.14%14.29%———28.57%
27.14%7.14%10.71%7.14%——32.14%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total21.43%28.57%32.14%14.29%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.57 +0.07
SD 1.42 1.32 2.18
CV 0.86 0.84 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%————11.11%
125.93%11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%—48.15%
23.70%18.52%————22.22%
37.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total40.74%44.44%7.41%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 0.85 +0.67
SD 1.01 0.99 1.41
CV 0.67 1.16 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
17.41%11.11%3.70%—3.70%—25.93%
211.11%14.81%3.70%3.70%——33.33%
3——14.81%3.70%——18.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%29.63%29.63%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.12 1.52
CV 0.71 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%—33.33%
13.70%14.81%14.81%—7.41%18.52%59.26%
2——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%22.22%29.63%11.11%11.11%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.74 2.59 -1.85
SD 0.59 1.74 1.73
CV 0.80 0.67 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%————11.11%
17.41%14.81%11.11%———33.33%
27.41%11.11%3.70%7.41%——29.63%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
47.41%3.70%————11.11%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total33.33%40.74%18.52%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.00 +0.96
SD 1.43 0.92 1.76
CV 0.73 0.92 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%—22.22%
111.11%7.41%14.81%———33.33%
23.70%—7.41%11.11%——22.22%
3—3.70%7.41%3.70%——14.81%
4———————
5+—7.41%————7.41%
Total22.22%22.22%33.33%18.52%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.15 1.78
CV 0.88 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
17.41%11.11%18.52%———37.04%
2—7.41%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
37.41%—3.70%———11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total18.52%37.04%37.04%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.33 +0.22
SD 1.37 0.88 1.85
CV 0.88 0.66 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—3.70%———14.81%
118.52%11.11%7.41%3.70%——40.74%
27.41%18.52%————25.93%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total44.44%37.04%14.81%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.78 +0.81
SD 1.22 0.85 1.47
CV 0.76 1.09 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%14.81%—3.70%11.11%51.85%
1—11.11%3.70%3.70%—3.70%22.22%
2—7.41%—7.41%——14.81%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total14.81%33.33%22.22%11.11%3.70%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.04 -1.07
SD 1.40 1.70 2.40
CV 1.45 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%——3.70%—22.22%
1—18.52%—7.41%—3.70%29.63%
211.11%7.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%—33.33%
3—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total18.52%44.44%11.11%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.59 -0.07
SD 1.31 1.37 2.02
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%18.52%11.11%———33.33%
17.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%—3.70%29.63%
27.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
3—7.41%7.41%3.70%——18.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%40.74%29.63%7.41%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.41 -0.19
SD 1.12 1.12 1.52
CV 0.92 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%3.57%—3.57%—21.43%
13.57%7.14%3.57%10.71%——25.00%
27.14%3.57%7.14%7.14%——25.00%
33.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%——14.29%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+7.14%3.57%————10.71%
Total25.00%32.14%17.86%21.43%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.46 +0.43
SD 1.64 1.20 2.36
CV 0.87 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HJK 1521 58 39.04 +18.96 91.0% 24 28 35 38 42 51 54
KuPS 1519 57 40.40 +16.60 89.0% 23 30 36 41 45 50 54
Honka 1504 49 37.60 +11.40 74.0% 22 28 34 38 42 46 52
VPS 1418 38 31.11 +6.89 6.0% 16 22 27 31 35 40 43
Haka 1415 45 29.84 +15.16 94.0% 17 19 26 30 34 38 45
Inter Turku 1364 35 35.41 -0.41 35.0% 22 26 31 35 39 45 57
Ilves 1348 34 29.74 +4.26 26.0% 16 19 25 30 34 41 44
SJK Seinajoki 1344 35 28.41 +6.59 70.0% 18 19 24 28 32 40 46
Mariehamn 1342 34 23.85 +10.15 52.0% 9 14 20 24 28 34 38
AC Oulu 1328 39 26.33 +12.67 77.0% 12 18 23 26 30 33 36
Lahti 1209 21 25.05 -4.05 9.0% 13 16 21 24 28 34 46
Helsingfors 1082 9 20.83 -11.83 1.0% 8 12 17 21 24 28 34

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.36%
No Edge
42.94%21.47%35.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 25.62 Elo pts.
147 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
HJK, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.68 * Some Luck: 4.68 to 7.02 * Lucky: 7.02 to 9.36 * Wild Swing: 9.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.34 * Off: 2.34 to 3.12 * Way Off: 3.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.66 points
Some Luck
05.8515
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.954
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Haka
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Helsingfors
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 110.42
1.98
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.41
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Jaro 2
Ekenas 1
AC Oulu 1
SJK Seinajoki 0
VPS 5
Inter Turku 1

Semifinals

TPS Turku 4
Jaro 0
VPS 1
AC Oulu 0

Finals

Lahti 3
TPS Turku 2

Leg 1: TPS Turku 1-1 Lahti

Leg 2: Lahti 2-1 TPS Turku

Haka 4
VPS 2

Leg 1: VPS 0-3 Haka

Leg 2: Haka 1-2 VPS

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
HJK25.00%21.00%22.00%15.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%——
KuPS36.00%25.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Honka21.00%20.00%23.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%——
Haka—3.00%3.00%16.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%
Inter Turku9.00%13.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%—1.00%2.00%—
SJK Seinajoki4.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%18.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%
AC Oulu—1.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%
VPS2.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%—
Ilves2.00%9.00%3.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%
Mariehamn——2.00%3.00%—8.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%21.00%18.00%
Lahti1.00%——2.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%16.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%
Helsingfors————3.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%47.00%
Team123456789101112
HJK69.10%29.10%1.80%—————————
KuPS29.80%60.50%9.60%0.10%————————
Honka1.10%10.40%80.20%7.60%0.70%———————
Haka——6.80%63.80%26.20%3.20%——————
Inter Turku——1.50%22.70%52.60%23.20%——————
SJK Seinajoki——0.10%5.80%20.50%73.60%——————
AC Oulu——————62.40%21.00%12.50%4.00%0.10%—
VPS——————10.10%23.60%28.20%30.70%7.40%—
Ilves——————15.50%32.60%27.30%20.00%4.50%0.10%
Mariehamn——————11.80%21.00%27.80%30.80%8.40%0.20%
Lahti——————0.20%1.80%4.20%14.00%75.30%4.50%
Helsingfors—————————0.50%4.30%95.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
HJK 100% — —
Honka 100% — —
KuPS 100% — —
Inter Turku 99.00% — 1.00%
Haka 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
SJK Seinajoki 93.00% 4.00% 3.00%
VPS 92.00% 5.00% 3.00%
AC Oulu 78.00% 18.00% 4.00%
Ilves 87.00% 9.00% 4.00%
Mariehamn 68.00% 19.00% 13.00%
Lahti 54.00% 24.00% 22.00%
Helsingfors 33.00% 19.00% 48.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
AC Oulu 99.90% 0.10% —
VPS 92.60% 7.40% —
Ilves 95.40% 4.50% 0.10%
Mariehamn 91.40% 8.40% 0.20%
Lahti 20.20% 75.30% 4.50%
Helsingfors 0.50% 4.30% 95.20%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-04-02 AC Oulu D 2-260.2 1329 1298 45.62% 21.99% 32.39%+0.39 -0.5 1
2022-04-02 @ VPS D 2-260.2 1298 1329 32.39% 21.99% 45.62%-0.39 +0.5 1
2022-04-02 Helsingfors W 2-145.3 1382 1333 48.06% 21.89% 30.06%+0.51 +8.0 3
2022-04-02 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-245.3 1333 1382 30.06% 21.89% 48.06%-0.51 -7.9 0
2022-04-02 Honka W 1-040.0 1439 1358 52.08% 21.64% 26.29%+0.73 +7.5 3
2022-04-02 @ HJK L 0-140.0 1358 1439 26.29% 21.64% 52.08%-0.73 -7.5 0
2022-04-02 Ilves W 2-147.2 1366 1360 42.15% 22.08% 35.77%+0.21 +9.2 3
2022-04-02 @ Haka L 1-247.2 1360 1366 35.77% 22.08% 42.15%-0.21 -9.2 0
2022-04-02 Inter Turku W 2-148.2 1440 1399 46.96% 21.94% 31.10%+0.45 +8.2 3
2022-04-02 @ KuPS L 1-248.2 1399 1440 31.10% 21.94% 46.96%-0.45 -8.2 0
2022-04-02 Lahti D 0-050.2 1311 1363 34.08% 22.04% 43.87%-0.18 +0.6 1
2022-04-02 @ Mariehamn D 0-050.2 1363 1311 43.87% 22.04% 34.08%+0.18 -0.6 1
2022-04-07 Haka W 3-254.0 1350 1375 37.79% 22.10% 40.11%+0.01 +9.5 3
2022-04-07 @ Honka L 2-354.0 1375 1350 40.11% 22.10% 37.79%-0.01 -9.5 3
2022-04-08 HJK L 0-143.2 1390 1447 33.39% 22.02% 44.58%-0.21 -9.2 3
2022-04-08 @ SJK Seinajoki W 1-043.2 1447 1390 44.58% 22.02% 33.39%+0.21 +9.2 6
2022-04-08 VPS L 0-539.7 1362 1328 46.01% 21.98% 32.01%+0.40 -52.4 1
2022-04-08 @ Lahti W 5-039.7 1328 1362 32.01% 21.98% 46.01%-0.40 +52.4 4
2022-04-09 AC Oulu W 2-143.4 1391 1298 53.47% 21.52% 25.01%+0.80 +6.8 3
2022-04-09 @ Inter Turku L 1-243.4 1298 1391 25.01% 21.52% 53.47%-0.80 -6.8 1
2022-04-09 KuPS L 1-246.3 1351 1449 28.25% 21.78% 49.97%-0.49 -7.5 0
2022-04-09 @ Ilves W 2-146.3 1449 1351 49.97% 21.78% 28.25%+0.49 +7.5 6
2022-04-09 Mariehamn D 1-154.3 1325 1312 43.10% 22.06% 34.84%+0.26 -0.5 1
2022-04-09 @ Helsingfors D 1-154.3 1312 1325 34.84% 22.06% 43.10%-0.26 +0.5 2
2022-04-15 SJK Seinajoki W 2-038.0 1456 1381 51.37% 21.69% 26.94%+0.69 +14.5 9
2022-04-15 @ KuPS L 0-238.0 1381 1456 26.94% 21.69% 51.37%-0.69 -14.5 3
2022-04-17 Haka L 0-242.1 1398 1366 45.79% 21.98% 32.23%+0.39 -22.3 3
2022-04-17 @ Inter Turku W 2-042.1 1366 1398 32.23% 21.98% 45.79%-0.39 +22.3 6
2022-04-17 Ilves D 2-260.3 1292 1343 34.05% 22.04% 43.91%-0.18 +0.4 2
2022-04-17 @ AC Oulu D 2-260.3 1343 1292 43.91% 22.04% 34.05%+0.18 -0.4 1
2022-04-18 HJK L 0-142.4 1381 1456 31.03% 21.94% 47.04%-0.34 -8.7 4
2022-04-18 @ VPS W 1-042.4 1456 1381 47.04% 21.94% 31.03%+0.34 +8.7 9
2022-04-18 Honka D 1-154.6 1312 1360 34.64% 22.06% 43.31%-0.15 +0.5 3
2022-04-18 @ Mariehamn D 1-154.6 1360 1312 43.31% 22.06% 34.64%+0.15 -0.5 4
2022-04-18 Lahti L 0-337.9 1324 1310 43.32% 22.05% 34.62%+0.27 -31.0 1
2022-04-18 @ Helsingfors W 3-037.9 1310 1324 34.62% 22.05% 43.32%-0.27 +31.0 4
2022-04-22 Helsingfors W 2-143.2 1388 1293 53.72% 21.50% 24.78%+0.82 +6.8 9
2022-04-22 @ Haka L 1-243.2 1293 1388 24.78% 21.50% 53.72%-0.82 -6.8 1
2022-04-22 KuPS L 0-139.7 1341 1471 24.61% 21.48% 53.91%-0.71 -7.1 4
2022-04-22 @ Lahti W 1-039.7 1471 1341 53.91% 21.48% 24.61%+0.71 +7.1 12
2022-04-23 Inter Turku L 1-449.6 1464 1376 53.02% 21.56% 25.42%+0.78 -31.1 9
2022-04-23 @ HJK W 4-149.6 1376 1464 25.42% 21.56% 53.02%-0.78 +31.0 6
2022-04-23 VPS W 3-254.0 1343 1372 37.17% 22.09% 40.73%-0.02 +9.6 4
2022-04-23 @ Ilves L 2-354.0 1372 1343 40.73% 22.09% 37.17%+0.02 -9.6 4
2022-04-24 AC Oulu W 2-145.3 1313 1292 44.24% 22.03% 33.73%+0.32 +8.7 6
2022-04-24 @ Mariehamn L 1-245.3 1292 1313 33.73% 22.03% 44.24%-0.32 -8.7 2
2022-04-25 SJK Seinajoki W 5-141.2 1359 1366 40.37% 22.10% 37.53%+0.13 +30.1 7
2022-04-25 @ Honka L 1-541.2 1366 1359 37.53% 22.10% 40.37%-0.13 -30.1 3
2022-04-28 HJK L 0-234.3 1286 1433 22.81% 21.28% 55.91%-0.82 -12.6 1
2022-04-28 @ Helsingfors W 2-034.3 1433 1286 55.91% 21.28% 22.81%+0.82 +12.6 12
2022-04-29 Haka W 3-040.8 1283 1395 26.63% 21.66% 51.71%-0.58 +36.0 5
2022-04-29 @ AC Oulu L 0-340.8 1395 1283 51.71% 21.66% 26.63%+0.58 -36.0 9
2022-04-29 Honka L 0-237.8 1334 1390 33.52% 22.03% 44.45%-0.20 -17.4 4
2022-04-29 @ Lahti W 2-037.8 1390 1334 44.45% 22.03% 33.52%+0.20 +17.4 10
2022-04-29 Mariehamn W 4-033.4 1407 1322 52.55% 21.60% 25.85%+0.75 +26.6 9
2022-04-29 @ Inter Turku L 0-433.4 1322 1407 25.85% 21.60% 52.55%-0.75 -26.6 6
2022-04-29 SJK Seinajoki W 3-143.6 1353 1336 43.65% 22.05% 34.31%+0.29 +15.3 7
2022-04-29 @ Ilves L 1-343.6 1336 1353 34.31% 22.05% 43.65%-0.29 -15.3 3
2022-04-29 VPS W 3-142.7 1478 1363 56.08% 21.27% 22.66%+0.96 +10.8 15
2022-04-29 @ KuPS L 1-342.7 1363 1478 22.66% 21.27% 56.08%-0.96 -10.8 4
2022-05-03 HJK L 0-146.3 1433 1446 39.52% 22.10% 38.38%+0.09 -10.5 9
2022-05-03 @ Inter Turku W 1-046.3 1446 1433 38.38% 22.10% 39.52%-0.09 +10.5 15
2022-05-07 Helsingfors D 1-154.0 1319 1274 47.54% 21.91% 30.54%+0.48 -0.9 6
2022-05-07 @ AC Oulu D 1-154.0 1274 1319 30.54% 21.91% 47.54%-0.48 +0.9 2
2022-05-07 Inter Turku W 2-150.3 1407 1423 39.07% 22.10% 38.83%+0.07 +9.8 13
2022-05-07 @ Honka L 1-250.3 1423 1407 38.83% 22.10% 39.07%-0.07 -9.8 9
2022-05-07 Lahti L 1-248.1 1321 1316 41.94% 22.08% 35.98%+0.20 -10.4 3
2022-05-07 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-148.1 1316 1321 35.98% 22.08% 41.94%-0.20 +10.4 7
2022-05-07 VPS L 0-240.3 1359 1352 42.31% 22.07% 35.62%+0.22 -20.9 9
2022-05-07 @ Haka W 2-040.3 1352 1359 35.62% 22.07% 42.31%-0.22 +20.9 7
2022-05-08 Ilves W 2-146.0 1456 1368 52.97% 21.57% 25.47%+0.78 +6.9 18
2022-05-08 @ HJK L 1-246.0 1368 1456 25.47% 21.57% 52.97%-0.78 -6.9 7
2022-05-08 KuPS D 1-156.8 1295 1489 18.51% 20.63% 60.87%-1.14 +2.5 7
2022-05-08 @ Mariehamn D 1-156.8 1489 1295 60.87% 20.63% 18.51%+1.14 -2.5 16
2022-05-12 Haka W 2-143.9 1486 1338 59.65% 20.81% 19.54%+1.18 +5.5 19
2022-05-12 @ KuPS L 1-243.9 1338 1486 19.54% 20.81% 59.65%-1.18 -5.5 9
2022-05-12 HJK D 1-156.7 1327 1463 23.87% 21.41% 54.72%-0.75 +1.8 8
2022-05-12 @ Lahti D 1-156.7 1463 1327 54.72% 21.41% 23.87%+0.75 -1.8 19
2022-05-13 Honka W 2-151.6 1318 1417 28.15% 21.78% 50.07%-0.49 +12.0 9
2022-05-13 @ AC Oulu L 1-251.6 1417 1318 50.07% 21.78% 28.15%+0.49 -12.1 13
2022-05-13 SJK Seinajoki L 0-145.2 1373 1310 49.73% 21.80% 28.47%+0.60 -12.7 7
2022-05-13 @ VPS W 1-045.2 1310 1373 28.47% 21.80% 49.73%-0.60 +12.7 6
2022-05-14 Helsingfors D 2-261.1 1413 1275 58.60% 20.96% 20.44%+1.11 -1.7 10
2022-05-14 @ Inter Turku D 2-261.1 1275 1413 20.44% 20.96% 58.60%-1.11 +1.7 3
2022-05-15 Mariehamn W 1-038.5 1361 1298 49.88% 21.79% 28.33%+0.61 +8.0 10
2022-05-15 @ Ilves L 0-138.5 1298 1361 28.33% 21.79% 49.88%-0.61 -8.0 7
2022-05-17 KuPS L 0-334.0 1330 1491 21.42% 21.10% 57.47%-0.92 -17.3 9
2022-05-17 @ AC Oulu W 3-034.0 1491 1330 57.47% 21.10% 21.42%+0.92 +17.3 22
2022-05-17 Lahti W 3-249.1 1462 1329 58.05% 21.03% 20.92%+1.08 +5.5 22
2022-05-17 @ HJK L 2-349.1 1329 1462 20.92% 21.03% 58.05%-1.08 -5.5 8
2022-05-17 SJK Seinajoki D 1-154.4 1332 1323 42.63% 22.07% 35.30%+0.24 -0.4 10
2022-05-17 @ Haka D 1-154.4 1323 1332 35.30% 22.07% 42.63%-0.24 +0.4 7
2022-05-19 Inter Turku L 1-247.5 1360 1411 34.11% 22.04% 43.84%-0.17 -8.8 7
2022-05-19 @ VPS W 2-147.5 1411 1360 43.84% 22.04% 34.11%+0.17 +8.8 13
2022-05-20 Ilves D 0-051.7 1405 1369 46.22% 21.97% 31.81%+0.42 -0.9 14
2022-05-20 @ Honka D 0-051.7 1369 1405 31.81% 21.97% 46.22%-0.42 +0.9 11
2022-05-21 Mariehamn W 1-039.2 1323 1290 46.01% 21.98% 32.02%+0.40 +8.9 10
2022-05-21 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-139.2 1290 1323 32.02% 21.98% 46.01%-0.40 -8.9 7
2022-05-22 AC Oulu L 0-239.6 1323 1313 42.71% 22.07% 35.22%+0.24 -21.1 8
2022-05-22 @ Lahti W 2-039.6 1313 1323 35.22% 22.07% 42.71%-0.24 +21.1 12
2022-05-22 Haka W 4-138.7 1467 1332 58.28% 21.00% 20.72%+1.09 +14.1 25
2022-05-22 @ HJK L 1-438.7 1332 1467 20.72% 21.00% 58.28%-1.09 -14.1 10
2022-05-23 KuPS L 0-136.0 1277 1509 15.49% 19.96% 64.56%-1.40 -4.7 3
2022-05-23 @ Helsingfors W 1-036.0 1509 1277 64.56% 19.96% 15.49%+1.40 +4.7 25
2022-05-28 Ilves D 2-262.5 1420 1370 48.15% 21.88% 29.96%+0.51 -0.8 14
2022-05-28 @ Inter Turku D 2-262.5 1370 1420 29.96% 21.88% 48.15%-0.51 +0.8 12
2022-05-28 Lahti D 1-154.1 1318 1302 43.55% 22.05% 34.40%+0.28 -0.5 11
2022-05-28 @ Haka D 1-154.1 1302 1318 34.40% 22.05% 43.55%-0.28 +0.5 9
2022-05-28 SJK Seinajoki W 1-041.0 1334 1332 41.59% 22.09% 36.32%+0.19 +9.8 15
2022-05-28 @ AC Oulu L 0-141.0 1332 1334 36.32% 22.09% 41.59%-0.19 -9.8 10
2022-05-29 HJK D 0-058.4 1513 1481 45.77% 21.98% 32.25%+0.39 -0.8 26
2022-05-29 @ KuPS D 0-058.4 1481 1513 32.25% 21.98% 45.77%-0.39 +0.8 26
2022-05-29 Honka L 1-243.0 1272 1404 24.37% 21.46% 54.17%-0.72 -6.7 3
2022-05-29 @ Helsingfors W 2-143.0 1404 1272 54.17% 21.46% 24.37%+0.72 +6.7 17
2022-05-29 VPS L 1-342.2 1281 1351 31.60% 21.96% 46.44%-0.30 -14.4 7
2022-05-29 @ Mariehamn W 3-142.2 1351 1281 46.44% 21.96% 31.60%+0.30 +14.3 10
2022-06-18 AC Oulu L 0-150.1 1482 1344 58.58% 20.96% 20.46%+1.11 -14.7 26
2022-06-18 @ HJK W 1-050.1 1344 1482 20.46% 20.96% 58.58%-1.11 +14.7 18
2022-06-18 Inter Turku D 1-155.6 1323 1419 28.33% 21.79% 49.88%-0.48 +1.2 11
2022-06-18 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-155.6 1419 1323 49.88% 21.79% 28.33%+0.48 -1.2 15
2022-06-18 KuPS W 2-047.8 1410 1513 27.70% 21.75% 50.55%-0.52 +24.3 20
2022-06-18 @ Honka L 0-247.8 1513 1410 50.55% 21.75% 27.70%+0.52 -24.3 26
2022-06-18 Lahti W 3-249.5 1371 1302 50.49% 21.75% 27.76%+0.64 +7.1 15
2022-06-18 @ Ilves L 2-349.5 1302 1371 27.76% 21.75% 50.49%-0.64 -7.1 9
2022-06-18 Mariehamn W 3-249.4 1317 1266 48.27% 21.88% 29.85%+0.52 +7.5 14
2022-06-18 @ Haka L 2-349.4 1266 1317 29.85% 21.88% 48.27%-0.52 -7.5 7
2022-06-18 VPS L 1-537.1 1265 1366 27.92% 21.76% 50.32%-0.51 -23.7 3
2022-06-18 @ Helsingfors W 5-137.1 1366 1265 50.32% 21.76% 27.92%+0.51 +23.7 13
2022-06-22 AC Oulu W 2-145.1 1488 1359 57.66% 21.08% 21.26%+1.05 +5.9 29
2022-06-22 @ KuPS L 1-245.1 1359 1488 21.26% 21.08% 57.66%-1.05 -5.9 18
2022-06-22 Haka D 2-260.4 1324 1325 41.17% 22.09% 36.74%+0.17 -0.2 12
2022-06-22 @ SJK Seinajoki D 2-260.4 1325 1324 36.74% 22.09% 41.17%-0.17 +0.2 15
2022-06-22 Helsingfors L 0-146.9 1378 1242 58.40% 20.99% 20.61%+1.10 -14.7 15
2022-06-22 @ Ilves W 1-046.9 1242 1378 20.61% 20.99% 58.40%-1.10 +14.7 6
2022-06-22 HJK W 2-154.7 1259 1467 17.27% 20.38% 62.35%-1.24 +14.7 10
2022-06-22 @ Mariehamn L 1-254.7 1467 1259 62.35% 20.38% 17.27%+1.24 -14.7 26
2022-06-22 Honka L 0-143.3 1389 1435 34.90% 22.06% 43.04%-0.14 -9.5 13
2022-06-22 @ VPS W 1-043.3 1435 1389 43.04% 22.06% 34.90%+0.14 +9.5 23
2022-06-22 Lahti W 5-136.1 1418 1295 56.93% 21.17% 21.90%+1.01 +19.2 18
2022-06-22 @ Inter Turku L 1-536.1 1295 1418 21.90% 21.17% 56.93%-1.01 -19.2 9
2022-07-02 Inter Turku W 2-153.3 1276 1437 21.42% 21.10% 57.48%-0.92 +13.7 12
2022-07-02 @ Lahti L 1-253.3 1437 1276 57.48% 21.10% 21.42%+0.92 -13.6 18
2022-07-02 KuPS D 1-161.1 1453 1494 35.45% 22.07% 42.48%-0.11 +0.4 27
2022-07-02 @ HJK D 1-161.1 1494 1453 42.48% 22.07% 35.45%+0.11 -0.4 30
2022-07-02 Mariehamn D 1-155.7 1444 1274 61.91% 20.46% 17.63%+1.34 -2.6 24
2022-07-02 @ Honka D 1-155.7 1274 1444 17.63% 20.46% 61.91%-1.34 +2.6 11
2022-07-02 VPS L 0-638.6 1353 1380 37.51% 22.10% 40.39%-0.01 -52.8 18
2022-07-02 @ AC Oulu W 6-038.6 1380 1353 40.39% 22.10% 37.51%+0.01 +52.8 16
2022-07-04 Ilves L 0-137.8 1256 1363 27.14% 21.70% 51.15%-0.55 -7.8 6
2022-07-04 @ Helsingfors W 1-037.8 1363 1256 51.15% 21.70% 27.14%+0.55 +7.8 18
2022-07-09 Haka L 0-235.5 1248 1325 30.83% 21.93% 47.25%-0.35 -16.2 6
2022-07-09 @ Helsingfors W 2-035.5 1325 1248 47.25% 21.93% 30.83%+0.35 +16.2 18
2022-07-09 Mariehamn L 1-351.3 1432 1276 60.48% 20.69% 18.83%+1.24 -24.8 16
2022-07-09 @ VPS W 3-151.3 1276 1432 18.83% 20.69% 60.48%-1.24 +24.8 14
2022-07-10 Honka W 3-258.2 1324 1442 25.88% 21.60% 52.52%-0.63 +11.9 15
2022-07-10 @ SJK Seinajoki L 2-358.2 1442 1324 52.52% 21.60% 25.88%+0.63 -11.9 24
2022-07-10 Lahti W 4-030.7 1494 1290 65.00% 19.86% 15.13%+1.56 +16.3 33
2022-07-10 @ KuPS L 0-430.7 1290 1494 15.13% 19.86% 65.00%-1.56 -16.3 12
2022-07-11 AC Oulu L 0-242.2 1371 1300 50.80% 21.73% 27.47%+0.66 -24.4 18
2022-07-11 @ Ilves W 2-042.2 1300 1371 27.47% 21.73% 50.80%-0.66 +24.4 21
2022-07-15 Lahti W 5-031.3 1430 1274 60.46% 20.69% 18.85%+1.24 +24.7 27
2022-07-15 @ Honka L 0-531.3 1274 1430 18.85% 20.69% 60.46%-1.24 -24.7 12
2022-07-16 Helsingfors D 1-153.7 1301 1232 50.54% 21.75% 27.71%+0.64 -1.3 15
2022-07-16 @ Mariehamn D 1-153.7 1232 1301 27.71% 21.75% 50.54%-0.64 +1.3 7
2022-07-16 VPS W 3-145.9 1453 1408 47.53% 21.91% 30.55%+0.48 +14.0 30
2022-07-16 @ HJK L 1-345.9 1408 1453 30.55% 21.91% 47.53%-0.48 -14.0 16
2022-07-17 Ilves D 3-364.9 1336 1347 39.76% 22.10% 38.14%+0.10 -0.0 16
2022-07-17 @ SJK Seinajoki D 3-364.9 1347 1336 38.14% 22.10% 39.76%-0.10 +0.1 19
2022-07-18 Inter Turku W 3-257.0 1341 1424 30.09% 21.89% 48.02%-0.39 +11.0 21
2022-07-18 @ Haka L 2-357.0 1424 1341 48.02% 21.89% 30.09%+0.39 -11.0 18
2022-07-23 Haka D 3-365.9 1394 1352 47.01% 21.94% 31.05%+0.46 -0.5 17
2022-07-23 @ VPS D 3-365.9 1352 1394 31.05% 21.94% 47.01%-0.46 +0.5 22
2022-07-23 HJK L 1-245.7 1347 1467 25.61% 21.58% 52.81%-0.64 -7.0 19
2022-07-23 @ Ilves W 2-145.7 1467 1347 52.81% 21.58% 25.61%+0.64 +7.0 33
2022-07-23 Mariehamn W 3-142.6 1325 1300 44.78% 22.02% 33.20%+0.34 +14.9 24
2022-07-23 @ AC Oulu L 1-342.6 1300 1325 33.20% 22.02% 44.78%-0.34 -15.0 15
2022-07-24 Helsingfors W 5-132.3 1510 1234 70.88% 18.35% 10.77%+2.05 +9.7 36
2022-07-24 @ KuPS L 1-532.3 1234 1510 10.77% 18.35% 70.88%-2.05 -9.7 7
2022-07-24 SJK Seinajoki L 1-341.2 1249 1335 29.57% 21.86% 48.57%-0.41 -13.6 12
2022-07-24 @ Lahti W 3-141.2 1335 1249 48.57% 21.86% 29.57%+0.41 +13.6 19
2022-07-25 Honka L 0-144.6 1413 1454 35.42% 22.07% 42.51%-0.11 -9.6 18
2022-07-25 @ Inter Turku W 1-044.6 1454 1413 42.51% 22.07% 35.42%+0.11 +9.6 30
2022-07-29 Ilves D 1-153.9 1235 1340 27.44% 21.73% 50.83%-0.54 +1.3 13
2022-07-29 @ Lahti D 1-153.9 1340 1235 50.83% 21.73% 27.44%+0.54 -1.3 20
2022-07-30 Mariehamn W 1-035.7 1474 1285 63.67% 20.13% 16.19%+1.46 +4.9 36
2022-07-30 @ HJK L 0-135.7 1285 1474 16.19% 20.13% 63.67%-1.46 -4.9 15
2022-07-30 VPS W 4-036.7 1464 1393 50.81% 21.73% 27.46%+0.66 +28.0 33
2022-07-30 @ Honka L 0-436.7 1393 1464 27.46% 21.73% 50.81%-0.66 -28.0 17
2022-07-31 AC Oulu W 3-252.0 1349 1339 42.67% 22.07% 35.26%+0.24 +8.6 22
2022-07-31 @ SJK Seinajoki L 2-352.0 1339 1349 35.26% 22.07% 42.67%-0.24 -8.6 24
2022-07-31 KuPS W 2-156.9 1353 1520 20.87% 21.02% 58.11%-0.96 +13.8 25
2022-07-31 @ Haka L 1-256.9 1520 1353 58.11% 21.02% 20.87%+0.96 -13.8 36
2022-08-01 Inter Turku L 0-330.4 1224 1403 19.75% 20.85% 59.41%-1.04 -16.0 7
2022-08-01 @ Helsingfors W 3-030.4 1403 1224 59.41% 20.85% 19.75%+1.04 +16.0 21
2022-08-06 Haka W 2-041.4 1280 1367 29.55% 21.86% 48.59%-0.42 +23.5 18
2022-08-06 @ Mariehamn L 0-241.4 1367 1280 48.59% 21.86% 29.55%+0.42 -23.5 25
2022-08-06 Ilves W 3-035.5 1365 1338 45.06% 22.01% 32.93%+0.36 +24.9 20
2022-08-06 @ VPS L 0-335.5 1338 1365 32.93% 22.01% 45.06%-0.36 -24.9 20
2022-08-06 SJK Seinajoki W 1-040.3 1419 1358 49.62% 21.80% 28.58%+0.59 +8.1 24
2022-08-06 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.3 1358 1419 28.58% 21.80% 49.62%-0.59 -8.1 22
2022-08-07 HJK D 1-157.1 1331 1479 22.71% 21.27% 56.02%-0.83 +1.9 25
2022-08-07 @ AC Oulu D 1-157.1 1479 1331 56.02% 21.27% 22.71%+0.83 -1.9 37
2022-08-07 Honka D 1-163.0 1506 1492 43.28% 22.06% 34.67%+0.27 -0.5 37
2022-08-07 @ KuPS D 1-163.0 1492 1506 34.67% 22.06% 43.28%-0.27 +0.5 34
2022-08-08 Helsingfors D 0-048.9 1237 1208 45.31% 22.00% 32.69%+0.37 -0.8 14
2022-08-08 @ Lahti D 0-048.9 1208 1237 32.69% 22.00% 45.31%-0.37 +0.8 8
2022-08-12 AC Oulu W 3-251.8 1343 1333 42.78% 22.07% 35.16%+0.24 +8.6 28
2022-08-12 @ Haka L 2-351.8 1333 1343 35.16% 22.07% 42.78%-0.24 -8.6 25
2022-08-13 Honka L 0-432.8 1313 1493 19.75% 20.85% 59.40%-1.04 -21.0 20
2022-08-13 @ Ilves W 4-032.8 1493 1313 59.40% 20.85% 19.75%+1.04 +21.0 37
2022-08-13 VPS D 1-157.1 1427 1390 46.43% 21.96% 31.61%+0.43 -0.8 25
2022-08-13 @ Inter Turku D 1-157.1 1390 1427 31.61% 21.96% 46.43%-0.43 +0.8 21
2022-08-14 Mariehamn W 1-036.4 1505 1303 64.85% 19.90% 15.25%+1.55 +4.6 40
2022-08-14 @ KuPS L 0-136.4 1303 1505 15.25% 19.90% 64.85%-1.55 -4.6 18
2022-08-15 SJK Seinajoki L 0-233.0 1209 1350 23.42% 21.36% 55.22%-0.78 -12.9 8
2022-08-15 @ Helsingfors W 2-033.0 1350 1209 55.22% 21.36% 23.42%+0.78 +12.9 25
2022-08-20 KuPS W 2-156.4 1362 1510 22.73% 21.28% 55.99%-0.83 +13.3 28
2022-08-20 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-256.4 1510 1362 55.99% 21.28% 22.73%+0.83 -13.3 40
2022-08-20 Lahti L 2-358.5 1391 1236 60.36% 20.71% 18.93%+1.23 -13.5 21
2022-08-20 @ VPS W 3-258.5 1236 1391 18.93% 20.71% 60.36%-1.23 +13.5 17
2022-08-21 HJK L 0-335.4 1352 1477 25.09% 21.53% 53.38%-0.68 -19.8 28
2022-08-21 @ Haka W 3-035.4 1477 1352 53.38% 21.53% 25.09%+0.68 +19.8 40
2022-08-21 Ilves L 1-541.2 1299 1292 42.21% 22.08% 35.71%+0.22 -33.0 18
2022-08-21 @ Mariehamn W 5-141.2 1292 1299 35.71% 22.08% 42.21%-0.22 +33.0 23
2022-08-21 Inter Turku L 0-334.6 1324 1426 27.71% 21.75% 50.55%-0.52 -21.6 25
2022-08-21 @ AC Oulu W 3-034.6 1426 1324 50.55% 21.75% 27.71%+0.52 +21.6 28
2022-08-22 Helsingfors W 4-132.5 1513 1196 73.74% 17.39% 8.87%+2.33 +6.1 40
2022-08-22 @ Honka L 1-432.5 1196 1513 8.87% 17.39% 73.74%-2.33 -6.1 8
2022-08-26 Mariehamn L 0-237.7 1249 1266 38.99% 22.10% 38.91%+0.06 -19.6 17
2022-08-26 @ Lahti W 2-037.7 1266 1249 38.91% 22.10% 38.99%-0.06 +19.6 21
2022-08-27 AC Oulu D 2-264.0 1520 1303 66.14% 19.61% 14.24%+1.65 -2.3 41
2022-08-27 @ Honka D 2-264.0 1303 1520 14.24% 19.61% 66.14%-1.65 +2.3 26
2022-08-27 Haka L 2-353.2 1325 1332 40.42% 22.10% 37.49%+0.13 -9.6 23
2022-08-27 @ Ilves W 3-253.2 1332 1325 37.49% 22.10% 40.42%-0.13 +9.6 31
2022-08-27 KuPS L 1-252.5 1448 1497 34.45% 22.05% 43.50%-0.16 -8.9 28
2022-08-27 @ Inter Turku W 2-152.5 1497 1448 43.50% 22.05% 34.45%+0.16 +8.9 43
2022-08-28 Helsingfors D 1-154.4 1377 1190 63.53% 20.16% 16.31%+1.45 -2.8 22
2022-08-28 @ VPS D 1-154.4 1190 1377 16.31% 20.16% 63.53%-1.45 +2.8 9
2022-08-28 SJK Seinajoki W 1-040.5 1497 1376 56.74% 21.19% 22.07%+1.00 +6.5 43
2022-08-28 @ HJK L 0-140.5 1376 1497 22.07% 21.19% 56.74%-1.00 -6.5 28
2022-09-01 Honka W 2-156.8 1341 1517 20.05% 20.90% 59.06%-1.02 +14.0 34
2022-09-01 @ Haka L 1-256.8 1517 1341 59.06% 20.90% 20.05%+1.02 -14.0 41
2022-09-03 Ilves D 0-053.3 1506 1316 63.72% 20.12% 16.15%+1.46 -3.2 44
2022-09-03 @ KuPS D 0-053.3 1316 1506 16.15% 20.12% 63.72%-1.46 +3.2 24
2022-09-03 VPS W 2-039.3 1369 1375 40.58% 22.10% 37.33%+0.14 +18.9 31
2022-09-03 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-239.3 1375 1369 37.33% 22.10% 40.58%-0.14 -18.9 22
2022-09-04 Inter Turku L 2-348.3 1285 1439 22.13% 21.20% 56.66%-0.87 -5.8 21
2022-09-04 @ Mariehamn W 3-248.3 1439 1285 56.66% 21.20% 22.13%+0.87 +5.8 31
2022-09-04 Lahti D 0-049.3 1305 1230 51.36% 21.69% 26.95%+0.69 -1.5 27
2022-09-04 @ AC Oulu D 0-049.3 1230 1305 26.95% 21.69% 51.36%-0.69 +1.5 18
2022-09-05 Helsingfors W 2-137.5 1503 1192 73.28% 17.55% 9.17%+2.29 +2.6 46
2022-09-05 @ HJK L 1-237.5 1192 1503 9.17% 17.55% 73.28%-2.29 -2.6 9
2022-09-11 AC Oulu L 1-635.2 1190 1303 26.39% 21.64% 51.97%-0.60 -27.6 9
2022-09-11 @ Helsingfors W 6-135.2 1303 1190 51.97% 21.64% 26.39%+0.60 +27.6 30
2022-09-11 Haka L 0-136.9 1231 1355 25.21% 21.54% 53.25%-0.67 -7.3 18
2022-09-11 @ Lahti W 1-036.9 1355 1231 53.25% 21.54% 25.21%+0.67 +7.3 37
2022-09-11 HJK L 1-256.9 1503 1506 40.97% 22.09% 36.94%+0.16 -10.2 41
2022-09-11 @ Honka W 2-156.9 1506 1503 36.94% 22.09% 40.97%-0.16 +10.2 49
2022-09-11 Inter Turku D 1-156.1 1319 1445 25.03% 21.52% 53.44%-0.68 +1.6 25
2022-09-11 @ Ilves D 1-156.1 1445 1319 53.44% 21.52% 25.03%+0.68 -1.6 32
2022-09-11 KuPS L 0-140.4 1356 1502 22.82% 21.29% 55.90%-0.82 -6.7 22
2022-09-11 @ VPS W 1-040.4 1502 1356 55.90% 21.29% 22.82%+0.82 +6.7 47
2022-09-11 SJK Seinajoki W 2-042.3 1280 1388 26.94% 21.69% 51.37%-0.56 +24.7 24
2022-09-11 @ Mariehamn L 0-242.3 1388 1280 51.37% 21.69% 26.94%+0.56 -24.7 31

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-09-18 Helsingfors W 4-134.5 1331 1162 61.73% 20.49% 17.79%+1.32 +12.3 3
2022-09-18 @ AC Oulu L 1-434.5 1162 1331 17.79% 20.49% 61.73%-1.32 -12.3 0
2022-09-18 Lahti W 6-033.3 1304 1224 51.96% 21.65% 26.39%+0.72 +39.6 3
2022-09-18 @ Mariehamn L 0-633.3 1224 1304 26.39% 21.65% 51.96%-0.72 -39.6 0
2022-09-18 SJK Seinajoki W 2-145.4 1516 1364 60.09% 20.75% 19.16%+1.21 +5.4 3
2022-09-18 @ HJK L 1-245.4 1364 1516 19.16% 20.75% 60.09%-1.21 -5.4 0
2022-09-18 VPS L 2-352.4 1321 1349 37.30% 22.10% 40.60%-0.02 -9.0 0
2022-09-18 @ Ilves W 3-252.4 1349 1321 40.60% 22.10% 37.30%+0.02 +9.0 3
2022-09-28 AC Oulu L 2-449.9 1344 1343 41.39% 22.09% 36.52%+0.18 -15.9 3
2022-09-28 @ Mariehamn W 4-249.9 1343 1344 36.52% 22.09% 41.39%-0.18 +15.9 6
2022-09-28 Haka L 0-147.9 1443 1363 52.00% 21.64% 26.35%+0.72 -13.2 0
2022-09-28 @ Inter Turku W 1-047.9 1363 1443 26.35% 21.64% 52.00%-0.72 +13.2 3
2022-09-28 Ilves L 1-534.1 1150 1312 21.36% 21.09% 57.55%-0.93 -18.7 0
2022-09-28 @ Helsingfors W 5-134.1 1312 1150 57.55% 21.09% 21.36%+0.93 +18.7 3
2022-09-28 KuPS W 3-153.6 1358 1509 22.41% 21.23% 56.36%-0.85 +23.2 3
2022-09-28 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-353.6 1509 1358 56.36% 21.23% 22.41%+0.85 -23.2 0
2022-09-28 VPS L 0-231.9 1184 1358 20.26% 20.93% 58.81%-1.01 -11.3 0
2022-09-28 @ Lahti W 2-031.9 1358 1184 58.81% 20.93% 20.26%+1.01 +11.3 6
2022-09-29 HJK W 3-154.3 1493 1521 37.29% 22.10% 40.61%-0.02 +17.5 3
2022-09-29 @ Honka L 1-354.3 1521 1493 40.61% 22.10% 37.29%+0.02 -17.5 3
2022-10-02 Helsingfors W 4-027.0 1369 1131 67.90% 19.19% 12.91%+1.79 +14.0 9
2022-10-02 @ VPS L 0-427.0 1131 1369 12.91% 19.19% 67.90%-1.79 -13.9 0
2022-10-02 Honka W 3-261.6 1486 1511 37.80% 22.10% 40.10%+0.01 +9.5 3
2022-10-02 @ KuPS L 2-361.6 1511 1486 40.10% 22.10% 37.80%-0.01 -9.5 3
2022-10-02 Inter Turku W 3-039.3 1504 1430 51.18% 21.70% 27.12%+0.68 +21.2 6
2022-10-02 @ HJK L 0-339.3 1430 1504 27.12% 21.70% 51.18%-0.68 -21.2 0
2022-10-02 Lahti W 2-139.2 1359 1173 63.39% 20.19% 16.42%+1.44 +4.6 9
2022-10-02 @ AC Oulu L 1-239.2 1173 1359 16.42% 20.19% 63.39%-1.44 -4.6 0
2022-10-02 Mariehamn L 2-353.6 1330 1328 41.69% 22.08% 36.22%+0.19 -9.8 3
2022-10-02 @ Ilves W 3-253.6 1328 1330 36.22% 22.08% 41.69%-0.19 +9.8 6
2022-10-02 SJK Seinajoki W 2-039.5 1376 1381 40.55% 22.10% 37.35%+0.14 +19.0 6
2022-10-02 @ Haka L 0-239.5 1381 1376 37.35% 22.10% 40.55%-0.14 -19.0 3
2022-10-05 Haka D 0-054.9 1495 1395 54.40% 21.44% 24.16%+0.86 -2.0 4
2022-10-05 @ KuPS D 0-054.9 1395 1495 24.16% 21.44% 54.40%-0.86 +2.0 7
2022-10-06 Inter Turku W 2-148.3 1501 1409 53.43% 21.53% 25.05%+0.80 +6.8 6
2022-10-06 @ Honka L 1-248.3 1409 1501 25.05% 21.53% 53.43%-0.80 -6.8 0
2022-10-08 AC Oulu W 2-147.0 1383 1364 44.01% 22.04% 33.95%+0.31 +8.8 12
2022-10-08 @ VPS L 1-247.0 1364 1383 33.95% 22.04% 44.01%-0.31 -8.8 9
2022-10-08 Mariehamn L 2-344.3 1117 1338 16.36% 20.17% 63.47%-1.32 -4.4 0
2022-10-08 @ Helsingfors W 3-244.3 1338 1117 63.47% 20.17% 16.36%+1.32 +4.4 9
2022-10-09 HJK L 0-143.0 1397 1525 24.76% 21.50% 53.74%-0.70 -7.2 7
2022-10-09 @ Haka W 1-043.0 1525 1397 53.74% 21.50% 24.76%+0.70 +7.2 9
2022-10-09 Inter Turku W 2-039.2 1493 1402 53.33% 21.53% 25.13%+0.80 +13.7 7
2022-10-09 @ KuPS L 0-239.2 1402 1493 25.13% 21.53% 53.33%-0.80 -13.7 0
2022-10-09 Lahti W 1-034.4 1321 1168 60.07% 20.75% 19.18%+1.21 +5.7 6
2022-10-09 @ Ilves L 0-134.4 1168 1321 19.18% 20.75% 60.07%-1.21 -5.7 0
2022-10-10 Honka D 0-054.3 1362 1508 22.96% 21.30% 55.74%-0.81 +2.1 4
2022-10-10 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-054.3 1508 1362 55.74% 21.30% 22.96%+0.81 -2.1 7
2022-10-16 Haka D 1-159.5 1506 1390 56.19% 21.25% 22.56%+0.96 -2.0 8
2022-10-16 @ Honka D 1-159.5 1390 1506 22.56% 21.25% 56.19%-0.96 +2.0 8
2022-10-16 Helsingfors W 6-136.0 1163 1113 48.12% 21.89% 30.00%+0.51 +30.8 3
2022-10-16 @ Lahti L 1-636.0 1113 1163 30.00% 21.89% 48.12%-0.51 -30.8 0
2022-10-16 Ilves L 0-240.8 1355 1326 45.31% 22.00% 32.69%+0.37 -22.1 9
2022-10-16 @ AC Oulu W 2-040.8 1326 1355 32.69% 22.00% 45.31%-0.37 +22.1 9
2022-10-16 KuPS L 0-153.5 1532 1507 44.81% 22.02% 33.18%+0.34 -11.6 9
2022-10-16 @ HJK W 1-053.5 1507 1532 33.18% 22.02% 44.81%-0.34 +11.6 10
2022-10-16 SJK Seinajoki W 1-041.3 1388 1365 44.63% 22.02% 33.35%+0.34 +9.2 3
2022-10-16 @ Inter Turku L 0-141.3 1365 1388 33.35% 22.02% 44.63%-0.34 -9.2 4
2022-10-16 VPS D 2-261.5 1342 1392 34.31% 22.05% 43.64%-0.16 +0.4 10
2022-10-16 @ Mariehamn D 2-261.5 1392 1342 43.64% 22.05% 34.31%+0.16 -0.4 13
2022-10-22 VPS L 0-140.0 1345 1425 30.39% 21.91% 47.70%-0.37 -8.5 9
2022-10-22 @ AC Oulu W 1-040.0 1425 1345 47.70% 21.91% 30.39%+0.37 +8.5 16

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2022-10-12 Ekenas W 2-142.3 1267 1185 52.23% 21.62% 26.14%+0.73 +7.1 1-0
2022-10-12 @ Jaro L 1-242.3 1185 1267 26.14% 21.62% 52.23%-0.73 -7.1 0-1
2022-10-17 Jaro W 4-033.5 1321 1275 47.62% 21.91% 30.47%+0.49 +30.5 1-0
2022-10-17 @ TPS Turku L 0-433.5 1275 1321 30.47% 21.91% 47.62%-0.49 -30.5 1-1
2022-10-19 AC Oulu L 0-143.7 1355 1333 44.44% 22.03% 33.53%+0.33 -11.5 0-1
2022-10-19 @ SJK Seinajoki W 1-043.7 1333 1355 33.53% 22.03% 44.44%-0.33 +11.5 1-0
2022-10-19 VPS L 1-543.7 1397 1392 42.16% 22.08% 35.76%+0.21 -33.0 0-1
2022-10-19 @ Inter Turku W 5-143.7 1392 1397 35.76% 22.08% 42.16%-0.21 +33.0 1-0
2022-10-20 Lahti D 1-154.1 1351 1194 60.61% 20.67% 18.72%+1.25 -2.5 1-0-1
2022-10-20 @ TPS Turku D 1-154.1 1194 1351 18.72% 20.67% 60.61%-1.25 +2.5 0-0-1
2022-10-22 VPS L 0-140.0 1336 1433 28.31% 21.79% 49.91%-0.49 -8.0 1-1
2022-10-22 @ AC Oulu W 1-040.0 1433 1336 49.91% 21.79% 28.31%+0.49 +8.0 2-0
2022-10-23 TPS Turku W 2-151.6 1196 1349 22.24% 21.21% 56.55%-0.86 +13.4 1-0-1
2022-10-23 @ Lahti L 1-251.6 1349 1196 56.55% 21.21% 22.24%+0.86 -13.4 1-1-1
2022-10-26 Haka L 0-342.5 1441 1392 48.07% 21.89% 30.04%+0.51 -33.8 2-1
2022-10-26 @ VPS W 3-042.5 1392 1441 30.04% 21.89% 48.07%-0.51 +33.8 1-0
2022-10-30 VPS L 1-251.8 1425 1407 43.86% 22.04% 34.10%+0.30 -10.8 1-1
2022-10-30 @ Haka W 2-151.8 1407 1425 34.10% 22.04% 43.86%-0.30 +10.8 3-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-06-22 17.27% @ Mariehamn 1259 2 HJK 1467 1
2 2022-07-09 18.83% Mariehamn 1276 3 @ VPS 1432 1
3 2022-08-20 18.93% Lahti 1236 3 @ VPS 1391 2
4 2022-09-01 20.05% @ Haka 1341 2 Honka 1517 1
5 2022-06-18 20.46% AC Oulu 1344 1 @ HJK 1482 0
6 2022-06-22 20.61% Helsingfors 1242 1 @ Ilves 1378 0
7 2022-07-31 20.87% @ Haka 1353 2 KuPS 1520 1
8 2022-07-02 21.42% @ Lahti 1276 2 Inter Turku 1437 1
9 2022-10-23 * 22.24% @ Lahti 1196 2 TPS Turku 1349 1
10 2022-09-28 22.41% @ SJK Seinajoki 1358 3 KuPS 1509 1
11 2022-08-20 22.73% @ SJK Seinajoki 1362 2 KuPS 1510 1
12 2022-04-23 25.42% Inter Turku 1376 4 @ HJK 1464 1
13 2022-07-10 25.88% @ SJK Seinajoki 1324 3 Honka 1442 2
14 2022-09-28 26.35% Haka 1363 1 @ Inter Turku 1443 0
15 2022-04-29 26.63% @ AC Oulu 1283 3 Haka 1395 0
16 2022-09-11 26.94% @ Mariehamn 1280 2 SJK Seinajoki 1388 0
17 2022-07-11 27.47% AC Oulu 1300 2 @ Ilves 1371 0
18 2022-06-18 27.70% @ Honka 1410 2 KuPS 1513 0
19 2022-05-13 28.15% @ AC Oulu 1318 2 Honka 1417 1
20 2022-05-13 28.47% SJK Seinajoki 1310 1 @ VPS 1373 0
21 2022-08-06 29.55% @ Mariehamn 1280 2 Haka 1367 0
22 2022-10-26 * 30.04% Haka 1392 3 @ VPS 1441 0
23 2022-07-18 30.09% @ Haka 1341 3 Inter Turku 1424 2
24 2022-04-08 32.01% VPS 1328 5 @ Lahti 1362 0
25 2022-04-17 32.23% Haka 1366 2 @ Inter Turku 1398 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-02 52.82 VPS 6 1380 40.39% @ AC Oulu 0 1353 37.51% 22.10%
2 2022-04-08 52.42 VPS 5 1328 32.01% @ Lahti 0 1362 46.01% 21.98%
3 2022-09-18 39.62 @ Mariehamn 6 1304 51.96% Lahti 0 1224 26.39% 21.65%
4 2022-04-29 36.02 @ AC Oulu 3 1283 26.63% Haka 0 1395 51.71% 21.66%
5 2022-10-26 * 33.79 Haka 3 1392 30.04% @ VPS 0 1441 48.07% 21.89%
6 2022-08-21 33.01 Ilves 5 1292 35.71% @ Mariehamn 1 1299 42.21% 22.08%
7 2022-10-19 * 32.97 VPS 5 1392 35.76% @ Inter Turku 1 1397 42.16% 22.08%
8 2022-04-23 31.06 Inter Turku 4 1376 25.42% @ HJK 1 1464 53.02% 21.56%
9 2022-04-18 30.97 Lahti 3 1310 34.62% @ Helsingfors 0 1324 43.32% 22.05%
10 2022-10-16 30.76 @ Lahti 6 1163 48.12% Helsingfors 1 1113 30.00% 21.89%
11 2022-10-17 * 30.53 @ TPS Turku 4 1321 47.62% Jaro 0 1275 30.47% 21.91%
12 2022-04-25 30.08 @ Honka 5 1359 40.37% SJK Seinajoki 1 1366 37.53% 22.10%
13 2022-07-30 27.99 @ Honka 4 1464 50.81% VPS 0 1393 27.46% 21.73%
14 2022-09-11 27.62 AC Oulu 6 1303 51.97% @ Helsingfors 1 1190 26.39% 21.64%
15 2022-04-29 26.59 @ Inter Turku 4 1407 52.55% Mariehamn 0 1322 25.85% 21.60%
16 2022-08-06 24.89 @ VPS 3 1365 45.06% Ilves 0 1338 32.93% 22.01%
17 2022-07-09 24.77 Mariehamn 3 1276 18.83% @ VPS 1 1432 60.48% 20.69%
18 2022-07-15 24.74 @ Honka 5 1430 60.46% Lahti 0 1274 18.85% 20.69%
19 2022-09-11 24.65 @ Mariehamn 2 1280 26.94% SJK Seinajoki 0 1388 51.37% 21.69%
20 2022-07-11 24.42 AC Oulu 2 1300 27.47% @ Ilves 0 1371 50.80% 21.73%
21 2022-06-18 24.31 @ Honka 2 1410 27.70% KuPS 0 1513 50.55% 21.75%
22 2022-06-18 23.65 VPS 5 1366 50.32% @ Helsingfors 1 1265 27.92% 21.76%
23 2022-08-06 23.48 @ Mariehamn 2 1280 29.55% Haka 0 1367 48.59% 21.86%
24 2022-09-28 23.21 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1358 22.41% KuPS 1 1509 56.36% 21.23%
25 2022-04-17 22.32 Haka 2 1366 32.23% @ Inter Turku 0 1398 45.79% 21.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-23 65.9 @ VPS 3 1394 47.01% Haka 3 1352 31.05% 21.94%
2 2022-07-17 64.9 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1336 39.76% Ilves 3 1347 38.14% 22.10%
3 2022-08-27 64.0 @ Honka 2 1520 66.14% AC Oulu 2 1303 14.24% 19.61%
4 2022-08-07 63.0 @ KuPS 1 1506 43.28% Honka 1 1492 34.67% 22.06%
5 2022-05-28 62.5 @ Inter Turku 2 1420 48.15% Ilves 2 1370 29.96% 21.88%
6 2022-10-02 61.6 @ KuPS 3 1486 37.80% Honka 2 1511 40.10% 22.10%
7 2022-10-16 61.5 @ Mariehamn 2 1342 34.31% VPS 2 1392 43.64% 22.05%
8 2022-05-14 61.1 @ Inter Turku 2 1413 58.60% Helsingfors 2 1275 20.44% 20.96%
9 2022-07-02 61.1 @ HJK 1 1453 35.45% KuPS 1 1494 42.48% 22.07%
10 2022-06-22 60.4 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1324 41.17% Haka 2 1325 36.74% 22.09%
11 2022-04-17 60.3 @ AC Oulu 2 1292 34.05% Ilves 2 1343 43.91% 22.04%
12 2022-04-02 60.2 @ VPS 2 1329 45.62% AC Oulu 2 1298 32.39% 21.99%
13 2022-10-16 59.5 @ Honka 1 1506 56.19% Haka 1 1390 22.56% 21.25%
14 2022-08-20 58.5 Lahti 3 1236 18.93% @ VPS 2 1391 60.36% 20.71%
15 2022-05-29 58.4 @ KuPS 0 1513 45.77% HJK 0 1481 32.25% 21.98%
16 2022-07-10 58.2 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1324 25.88% Honka 2 1442 52.52% 21.60%
17 2022-08-07 57.1 @ AC Oulu 1 1331 22.71% HJK 1 1479 56.02% 21.27%
18 2022-08-13 57.1 @ Inter Turku 1 1427 46.43% VPS 1 1390 31.61% 21.96%
19 2022-07-18 57.0 @ Haka 3 1341 30.09% Inter Turku 2 1424 48.02% 21.89%
20 2022-07-31 56.9 @ Haka 2 1353 20.87% KuPS 1 1520 58.11% 21.02%
21 2022-09-11 56.9 HJK 2 1506 36.94% @ Honka 1 1503 40.97% 22.09%
22 2022-05-08 56.8 @ Mariehamn 1 1295 18.51% KuPS 1 1489 60.87% 20.63%
23 2022-09-01 56.8 @ Haka 2 1341 20.05% Honka 1 1517 59.06% 20.90%
24 2022-05-12 56.7 @ Lahti 1 1327 23.87% HJK 1 1463 54.72% 21.41%
25 2022-08-20 56.4 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1362 22.73% KuPS 1 1510 55.99% 21.28%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-10-02 27.0 @ VPS 4 1369 67.90% Helsingfors 0 1131 12.91% 19.19%
2 2022-08-01 30.4 Inter Turku 3 1403 59.41% @ Helsingfors 0 1224 19.75% 20.85%
3 2022-07-10 30.7 @ KuPS 4 1494 65.00% Lahti 0 1290 15.13% 19.86%
4 2022-07-15 31.3 @ Honka 5 1430 60.46% Lahti 0 1274 18.85% 20.69%
5 2022-09-28 31.9 VPS 2 1358 58.81% @ Lahti 0 1184 20.26% 20.93%
6 2022-07-24 32.3 @ KuPS 5 1510 70.88% Helsingfors 1 1234 10.77% 18.35%
7 2022-08-22 32.5 @ Honka 4 1513 73.74% Helsingfors 1 1196 8.87% 17.39%
8 2022-08-13 32.8 Honka 4 1493 59.40% @ Ilves 0 1313 19.75% 20.85%
9 2022-08-15 33.0 SJK Seinajoki 2 1350 55.22% @ Helsingfors 0 1209 23.42% 21.36%
10 2022-09-18 33.3 @ Mariehamn 6 1304 51.96% Lahti 0 1224 26.39% 21.65%
11 2022-04-29 33.4 @ Inter Turku 4 1407 52.55% Mariehamn 0 1322 25.85% 21.60%
12 2022-10-17 * 33.5 @ TPS Turku 4 1321 47.62% Jaro 0 1275 30.47% 21.91%
13 2022-05-17 34.0 KuPS 3 1491 57.47% @ AC Oulu 0 1330 21.42% 21.10%
14 2022-09-28 34.1 Ilves 5 1312 57.55% @ Helsingfors 1 1150 21.36% 21.09%
15 2022-04-28 34.3 HJK 2 1433 55.91% @ Helsingfors 0 1286 22.81% 21.28%
16 2022-10-09 34.4 @ Ilves 1 1321 60.07% Lahti 0 1168 19.18% 20.75%
17 2022-09-18 34.5 @ AC Oulu 4 1331 61.73% Helsingfors 1 1162 17.79% 20.49%
18 2022-08-21 34.6 Inter Turku 3 1426 50.55% @ AC Oulu 0 1324 27.71% 21.75%
19 2022-09-11 35.2 AC Oulu 6 1303 51.97% @ Helsingfors 1 1190 26.39% 21.64%
20 2022-08-21 35.4 HJK 3 1477 53.38% @ Haka 0 1352 25.09% 21.53%
21 2022-07-09 35.5 Haka 2 1325 47.25% @ Helsingfors 0 1248 30.83% 21.93%
22 2022-08-06 35.5 @ VPS 3 1365 45.06% Ilves 0 1338 32.93% 22.01%
23 2022-07-30 35.7 @ HJK 1 1474 63.67% Mariehamn 0 1285 16.19% 20.13%
24 2022-05-23 36.0 KuPS 1 1509 64.56% @ Helsingfors 0 1277 15.49% 19.96%
25 2022-10-16 36.0 @ Lahti 6 1163 48.12% Helsingfors 1 1113 30.00% 21.89%