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2023 Veikkausliiga Season

162 games · 7 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

HJK

53 points · 33rd Title

Last Title: 2022

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

VPS

9.87 points above expected

49 points · 39.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Mariehamn

7.58 points below expected

22 points · 29.58 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 27 15 8 4 53 50 26 +24 54.64 -1.64
2 KuPS 27 16 5 6 53 41 20 +21 50.55 +2.45
3 VPS 27 15 4 8 49 41 26 +15 39.13 +9.87
4 SJK Akatemia 27 12 6 9 42 35 33 +2 — —
5 Honka 27 12 5 10 41 29 27 +2 42.06 -1.06
6 AC Oulu 27 11 5 11 38 41 45 -4 34.91 +3.09
7 Inter Turku 27 10 5 12 35 35 40 -5 36.51 -1.51
8 Ilves 27 8 9 10 33 35 33 +2 38.91 -5.91
9 Haka 27 7 11 9 32 35 42 -7 35.13 -3.13
10 Lahti 27 7 8 12 29 26 41 -15 26.91 +2.09
11 Mariehamn 27 5 7 15 22 28 40 -12 29.58 -7.58
12 KTP 27 5 5 17 20 21 44 -23 26.84 -6.84
13 SJK Seinajoki 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 +0.00

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 VPS 49 39.13 +9.87
2 AC Oulu 38 34.91 +3.09
3 KuPS 53 50.55 +2.45
4 Lahti 29 26.91 +2.09
5 SJK Seinajoki 0 0.00 +0.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mariehamn 22 29.58 -7.58
2 KTP 20 26.84 -6.84
3 Ilves 33 38.91 -5.91
4 Haka 32 35.13 -3.13
5 HJK 53 54.64 -1.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 12 Jul 1 – Sep 22 1 in 57,352
2 KuPS 6 Apr 23 – May 20 1 in 103
3 Honka 5 Aug 13 – Sep 16 1 in 26
4 KTP 2 May 26 – Jun 3 1 in 23
5 Lahti 3 Sep 3 – Sep 22 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KTP 8 Aug 21 – Oct 21 1 in 232
2 Mariehamn 4 Apr 16 – May 5 1 in 55
3 VPS 5 May 26 – Jun 27 1 in 48
4 Ilves 4 Jul 22 – Aug 13 1 in 26
5 Inter Turku 3 Apr 15 – May 13 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 15 Jul 1 – Oct 21 1 in 204
2 Haka 7 Jul 30 – Sep 15 1 in 35
3 Ilves 5 May 21 – Jun 11 1 in 12
4 Mariehamn 3 May 13 – May 27 1 in 10
5 Inter Turku 6 May 22 – Jun 27 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ilves 11 Jun 3 – Aug 13 1 in 236
2 Haka 11 May 13 – Jul 30 1 in 97
3 HJK 3 May 21 – Jun 3 1 in 18
4 Inter Turku 5 Jul 1 – Jul 22 1 in 15
5 VPS 7 May 13 – Jun 27 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KuPS 1553 53 +7 10 8.5 +1.5
HJK 1574 53 +6 9 9.5 -0.5
VPS 1636 49 +106 13 8.8 +4.2
SJK Akatemia 1297 42 +50 4 3.0 +1.0
Honka 1418 41 -35 6 6.2 -0.2
AC Oulu 1262 38 +8 7 7.0 -0.0
Inter Turku 1293 35 -91 1 5.2 -4.2
Ilves 1402 33 +113 13 8.2 +4.8
Haka 1328 32 +23 8 8.4 -0.4
Lahti 1188 29 -40 7 6.4 +0.6
Mariehamn 1249 22 +25 7 6.2 +0.8
KTP 1083 20 -129 0 4.9 -4.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO HJK HAK HON ILV IT KTP KUP LAH MAR SS VPS
AC Oulu —
0-1-1
1.28
1-2-0
4.30
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-2
3.74
0-1-1
1.91
3-0-0
5.05
0-0-2
1.54
1-1-1
4.61
3-0-0
4.97
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.64
HJK
1-1-0
4.23
—
1-1-0
4.20
2-1-0
5.42
1-1-0
4.07
3-0-0
6.07
1-1-0
4.45
0-1-2
5.04
1-0-1
4.57
1-1-0
4.37
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-1
4.85
Haka
0-2-1
3.91
0-1-1
1.31
—
1-1-0
2.07
1-2-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.60
3-0-0
5.21
0-1-1
1.33
1-1-1
4.81
0-1-2
4.98
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.40
Honka
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.41
—
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-1
4.48
1-0-1
4.17
1-0-2
3.14
1-0-1
3.98
2-0-0
3.61
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-1
4.67
Ilves
2-0-1
4.48
0-1-1
1.43
0-2-1
4.39
0-1-1
2.40
—
1-0-1
2.38
2-1-0
4.84
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-1
5.35
1-2-0
4.97
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.21
Inter Turku
1-1-0
3.57
0-0-3
2.18
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-2
3.73
1-0-1
3.10
—
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-2
4.05
KTP
0-0-3
3.17
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-3
3.03
1-0-1
1.34
0-1-2
3.37
0-0-2
1.91
—
0-1-1
1.45
1-1-1
3.91
1-1-1
3.66
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
1.81
KuPS
2-0-0
3.96
2-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-1
5.08
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-1
5.51
1-1-0
4.06
—
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
4.05
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-2
5.88
Lahti
1-1-1
3.61
1-0-1
0.98
1-1-1
3.40
1-0-1
1.51
1-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-1
4.29
0-0-2
1.08
—
1-1-1
3.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
1.42
Mariehamn
0-0-3
3.25
0-1-1
1.16
2-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
1.87
0-2-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-1
4.54
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-1
4.58
—
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.56
SJK Seinajoki
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-0-0
0.00
VPS
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-2
3.37
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
3.27
2-1-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.70
2-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.94
0-0-0
0.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +11.1
Allowed 0.03 +1.9
Differential 0.46 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.10%8.33%4.32%0.31%—27.47%
17.10%11.73%10.49%1.54%1.54%0.31%32.72%
28.33%10.49%4.32%3.09%0.62%—26.85%
34.32%1.54%3.09%0.62%0.31%—9.88%
40.31%1.54%0.62%0.31%——2.78%
5+—0.31%————0.31%
Total27.47%32.72%26.85%9.88%2.78%0.31%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.59
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%3.70%11.11%——18.52%
1—14.81%7.41%7.41%3.70%—33.33%
27.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
33.70%3.70%7.41%———14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total11.11%40.74%22.22%22.22%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.67 -0.15
SD 1.09 1.07 1.83
CV 0.72 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%————11.11%
111.11%14.81%7.41%———33.33%
211.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
33.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
43.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
5+———————
Total37.04%37.04%18.52%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.96 +0.89
SD 1.20 0.94 1.34
CV 0.65 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%3.70%11.11%——18.52%
13.70%22.22%11.11%—3.70%—40.74%
211.11%7.41%18.52%———37.04%
3———————
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total14.81%33.33%37.04%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.56 -0.26
SD 0.91 1.01 1.53
CV 0.70 0.65 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%11.11%7.41%——40.74%
114.81%11.11%—3.70%——29.63%
23.70%11.11%————14.81%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%44.44%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.00 +0.07
SD 1.17 0.96 1.75
CV 1.09 0.96 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%——29.63%
13.70%18.52%11.11%———33.33%
23.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
37.41%—3.70%———11.11%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total22.22%40.74%29.63%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.22 +0.07
SD 1.23 0.89 1.59
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
1—14.81%14.81%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
27.41%22.22%3.70%———33.33%
33.70%—————3.70%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total11.11%48.15%25.93%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.48 -0.19
SD 0.99 0.98 1.71
CV 0.77 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%22.22%3.70%——48.15%
17.41%—18.52%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
23.70%3.70%——3.70%—11.11%
3——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%11.11%44.44%11.11%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.63 -0.85
SD 0.93 1.21 1.32
CV 1.20 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%3.70%———22.22%
114.81%7.41%3.70%———25.93%
218.52%7.41%7.41%———33.33%
311.11%3.70%————14.81%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+———————
Total48.15%33.33%14.81%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 0.74 +0.78
SD 1.12 0.86 1.40
CV 0.74 1.16 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%—18.52%3.70%——37.04%
111.11%11.11%14.81%——3.70%40.74%
2—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
3——7.41%—3.70%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%18.52%44.44%3.70%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.52 -0.56
SD 0.98 1.25 1.37
CV 1.02 0.82 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%3.70%11.11%———29.63%
13.70%11.11%22.22%———37.04%
27.41%7.41%—14.81%3.70%—33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%22.22%33.33%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.48 -0.44
SD 0.81 1.16 1.12
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
111.11%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—33.33%
27.41%18.52%—11.11%——37.04%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%14.81%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.22 +0.07
SD 0.91 1.19 1.44
CV 0.70 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
13.70%3.70%7.41%———14.81%
218.52%11.11%3.70%———33.33%
311.11%—7.41%———18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total40.74%29.63%25.93%—3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 0.96 +0.56
SD 1.22 1.02 1.78
CV 0.80 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
VPS 1655 49 39.13 +9.87 98.0% 24 30 35 39 43 47 54
HJK 1574 53 54.64 -1.64 40.0% 38 42 50 55 59 65 67
KuPS 1553 53 50.55 +2.45 64.0% 36 40 46 50 55 60 67
Honka 1437 41 42.06 -1.06 45.0% 27 30 38 43 47 51 57
Ilves 1402 33 38.91 -5.91 23.0% 23 28 34 39 43 50 53
SJK Seinajoki 1351 0 0.00 +0.00 100.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Haka 1328 32 35.13 -3.13 32.0% 23 25 31 34 39 45 48
Mariehamn 1324 22 29.58 -7.58 13.0% 14 19 26 30 34 39 45
Inter Turku 1298 35 36.51 -1.51 40.0% 24 26 33 37 40 45 50
AC Oulu 1221 38 34.91 +3.09 67.0% 19 23 31 35 39 44 50
Lahti 1188 29 26.91 +2.09 66.0% 15 17 22 26 31 37 46
KTP 1083 20 26.84 -6.84 16.0% 12 16 23 26 31 37 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.02%
No Edge
41.98%24.07%33.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 27.94 Elo pts.
263 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
HJK, 1st of 13
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.72 * Some Luck: 4.72 to 7.08 * Lucky: 7.08 to 9.44 * Wild Swing: 9.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 13 * As Expected: 13 to 20.8 * Several Outliers: 20.8 to 28.6 * Many Outliers: 28.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.69 points
As Expected
05.9015
Average Finish Error
1.25
Close
02
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.15%
100.00%
SJK Seinajoki
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.85%
13.00%
Mariehamn
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 13
Minimal Outliers
01.36

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 164.59
2.22
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Wide Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Notable Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.57
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

SJK Seinajoki 2
AC Oulu 2
Honka 0
Inter Turku 0

Semifinals

Honka 5
AC Oulu 0

Finals

Mariehamn 3
Gnistan 0

Leg 1: Gnistan 0-0 Mariehamn

Leg 2: Mariehamn 3-0 Gnistan

VPS 2
Honka 0

Leg 1: Honka 0-1 VPS

Leg 2: VPS 1-0 Honka

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
HJK66.00%22.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%———————
KuPS26.00%44.00%18.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—————
VPS2.00%8.00%15.00%16.00%21.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%—1.00%—
SJK Akatemia————————————
Honka3.00%14.00%23.00%20.00%14.00%13.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%——
AC Oulu2.00%1.00%3.00%15.00%10.00%17.00%19.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%—
Inter Turku—2.00%9.00%8.00%20.00%20.00%16.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%1.00%—
Ilves1.00%7.00%19.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—
Haka—2.00%5.00%11.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%19.00%3.00%5.00%—
Lahti——1.00%—4.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%19.00%29.00%28.00%—
Mariehamn——1.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%18.00%18.00%23.00%17.00%—
KTP——1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%26.00%40.00%—
SJK Seinajoki———————————100.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
AC Oulu 92.00% 8.00% —
HJK 100% — —
Haka 99.00% 1.00% —
Honka 99.00% 1.00% —
Ilves 99.00% 1.00% —
Inter Turku 99.00% 1.00% —
KuPS 100% — —
Lahti 78.00% 22.00% —
VPS 100% — —
KTP 48.00% 51.00% 1.00%
Mariehamn 86.00% 13.00% 1.00%
SJK Seinajoki — 2.00% 98.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
AC Oulu 99.60% 0.40% —
Ilves 98.30% 1.70% —
Lahti 96.50% 3.50% —
KTP 5.60% 93.20% 1.20%
Mariehamn — 1.20% 98.80%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-04-05 AC Oulu L 0-237.9 1307 1344 36.80% 26.51% 36.69%-0.03 -36.8 0
2023-04-05 @ KTP W 2-037.9 1344 1307 36.69% 26.51% 36.80%+0.03 +36.8 3
2023-04-05 Haka W 2-154.6 1154 1400 14.41% 24.63% 60.96%-0.83 +28.2 3
2023-04-05 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-254.6 1400 1154 60.96% 24.63% 14.41%+0.83 -28.2 0
2023-04-05 Honka W 2-042.4 1468 1465 42.29% 26.44% 31.27%+0.11 +32.5 3
2023-04-05 @ HJK L 0-242.4 1465 1468 31.27% 26.44% 42.29%-0.11 -32.6 0
2023-04-05 Ilves D 1-155.5 1353 1357 41.43% 26.46% 32.11%+0.09 -1.0 1
2023-04-05 @ Mariehamn D 1-155.5 1357 1353 32.11% 26.46% 41.43%-0.09 +1.0 1
2023-04-05 Inter Turku L 1-256.9 1470 1368 54.41% 25.64% 19.95%+0.50 -25.4 0
2023-04-05 @ KuPS W 2-156.9 1368 1470 19.95% 25.64% 54.41%-0.50 +25.4 3
2023-04-05 Lahti D 0-050.3 1404 1266 58.07% 25.15% 16.79%+0.63 -5.3 1
2023-04-05 @ VPS D 0-050.3 1266 1404 16.79% 25.15% 58.07%-0.63 +5.3 1
2023-04-14 AC Oulu D 2-262.7 1371 1381 40.73% 26.47% 32.80%+0.07 -0.6 1
2023-04-14 @ Haka D 2-262.7 1381 1371 32.80% 26.47% 40.73%-0.07 +0.6 4
2023-04-14 KuPS D 0-050.7 1270 1445 20.19% 25.67% 54.14%-0.56 +4.2 1
2023-04-14 @ KTP D 0-050.7 1445 1270 54.14% 25.67% 20.19%+0.56 -4.2 1
2023-04-15 HJK L 0-144.6 1399 1500 28.19% 26.32% 45.48%-0.28 -15.9 1
2023-04-15 @ VPS W 1-044.6 1500 1399 45.48% 26.32% 28.19%+0.28 +16.0 6
2023-04-15 Inter Turku W 2-149.8 1358 1393 37.15% 26.51% 36.34%-0.03 +18.2 4
2023-04-15 @ Ilves L 1-249.8 1393 1358 36.34% 26.51% 37.15%+0.03 -18.2 3
2023-04-15 SJK Akatemia D 0-050.4 1433 1202 65.72% 23.49% 10.79%+0.98 -7.3 1
2023-04-15 @ Honka D 0-050.4 1202 1433 10.79% 23.49% 65.72%-0.98 +7.3 4
2023-04-16 Lahti L 2-358.2 1352 1271 52.14% 25.87% 21.98%+0.42 -23.2 1
2023-04-16 @ Mariehamn W 3-258.2 1271 1352 21.98% 25.87% 52.14%-0.42 +23.2 4
2023-04-19 Honka L 0-148.3 1440 1426 43.97% 26.38% 29.65%+0.16 -22.4 1
2023-04-19 @ KuPS W 1-048.3 1426 1440 29.65% 26.38% 43.97%-0.16 +22.4 4
2023-04-19 VPS W 4-035.4 1516 1383 57.51% 25.23% 17.26%+0.61 +38.0 9
2023-04-19 @ HJK L 0-435.4 1383 1516 17.26% 25.23% 57.51%-0.61 -38.0 1
2023-04-22 Lahti D 0-048.9 1227 1294 32.63% 26.47% 40.90%-0.15 +0.9 5
2023-04-22 @ SJK Akatemia D 0-048.9 1294 1227 40.90% 26.47% 32.63%+0.15 -1.0 5
2023-04-22 Mariehamn W 2-149.0 1274 1329 34.25% 26.49% 39.26%-0.10 +19.3 4
2023-04-22 @ KTP L 1-249.0 1329 1274 39.26% 26.49% 34.25%+0.10 -19.3 1
2023-04-23 AC Oulu D 1-161.7 1554 1381 61.16% 24.59% 14.25%+0.76 -5.4 10
2023-04-23 @ HJK D 1-161.7 1381 1554 14.25% 24.59% 61.16%-0.76 +5.4 5
2023-04-23 Ilves W 1-041.2 1418 1377 47.38% 26.23% 26.39%+0.26 +15.1 4
2023-04-23 @ KuPS L 0-141.2 1377 1418 26.39% 26.23% 47.38%-0.26 -15.1 4
2023-04-24 Honka D 1-157.6 1371 1448 31.24% 26.44% 42.32%-0.19 +1.1 2
2023-04-24 @ Haka D 1-157.6 1448 1371 42.32% 26.44% 31.24%+0.19 -1.1 5
2023-04-29 Haka W 2-036.2 1549 1372 61.48% 24.53% 13.99%+0.78 +16.6 13
2023-04-29 @ HJK L 0-236.2 1372 1549 13.99% 24.53% 61.48%-0.78 -16.6 2
2023-04-29 Honka D 0-051.8 1345 1447 28.13% 26.32% 45.55%-0.28 +2.1 2
2023-04-29 @ VPS D 0-051.8 1447 1345 45.55% 26.32% 28.13%+0.28 -2.1 6
2023-04-29 KTP W 1-038.1 1362 1294 50.58% 26.01% 23.41%+0.36 +13.8 7
2023-04-29 @ Ilves L 0-138.1 1294 1362 23.41% 26.01% 50.58%-0.36 -13.8 4
2023-04-29 SJK Akatemia L 0-342.2 1387 1228 59.88% 24.84% 15.28%+0.71 -80.6 5
2023-04-29 @ AC Oulu W 3-042.2 1228 1387 15.28% 24.84% 59.88%-0.71 +80.6 8
2023-04-30 KuPS L 0-235.6 1310 1433 25.57% 26.18% 48.25%-0.36 -27.8 1
2023-04-30 @ Mariehamn W 2-035.6 1433 1310 48.25% 26.18% 25.57%+0.36 +27.8 7
2023-05-05 AC Oulu L 1-253.0 1375 1306 50.73% 26.00% 23.27%+0.37 -23.8 7
2023-05-05 @ Ilves W 2-153.0 1306 1375 23.27% 26.00% 50.73%-0.37 +23.8 8
2023-05-05 HJK W 2-160.9 1461 1565 27.80% 26.30% 45.89%-0.29 +21.9 10
2023-05-05 @ KuPS L 1-260.9 1565 1461 45.89% 26.30% 27.80%+0.29 -21.9 13
2023-05-05 Inter Turku W 2-151.8 1251 1375 25.51% 26.17% 48.32%-0.36 +22.8 11
2023-05-05 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-251.8 1375 1251 48.32% 26.17% 25.51%+0.36 -22.8 3
2023-05-05 KTP W 4-243.5 1355 1280 51.46% 25.94% 22.61%+0.39 +19.5 5
2023-05-05 @ Haka L 2-443.5 1280 1355 22.61% 25.94% 51.46%-0.39 -19.5 4
2023-05-05 Lahti W 3-030.4 1445 1293 59.27% 24.95% 15.78%+0.68 +26.9 9
2023-05-05 @ Honka L 0-330.4 1293 1445 15.78% 24.95% 59.27%-0.68 -26.9 5
2023-05-05 Mariehamn W 2-144.4 1347 1282 50.25% 26.04% 23.72%+0.35 +13.1 5
2023-05-05 @ VPS L 1-244.4 1282 1347 23.72% 26.04% 50.25%-0.35 -13.1 1
2023-05-09 Haka L 0-246.2 1472 1375 53.81% 25.71% 20.49%+0.47 -50.2 9
2023-05-09 @ Honka W 2-046.2 1375 1472 20.49% 25.71% 53.81%-0.47 +50.2 8
2023-05-09 HJK D 3-368.2 1260 1544 12.01% 23.94% 64.05%-0.97 +3.8 5
2023-05-09 @ KTP D 3-368.2 1544 1260 64.05% 23.94% 12.01%+0.97 -3.8 14
2023-05-09 KuPS L 0-236.0 1330 1483 22.32% 25.91% 51.77%-0.48 -24.9 8
2023-05-09 @ AC Oulu W 2-036.0 1483 1330 51.77% 25.91% 22.32%+0.48 +24.9 13
2023-05-13 Haka W 2-153.5 1269 1425 22.01% 25.88% 52.11%-0.49 +24.4 4
2023-05-13 @ Mariehamn L 1-253.5 1425 1269 52.11% 25.88% 22.01%+0.49 -24.4 8
2023-05-13 Ilves W 1-043.0 1293 1351 33.76% 26.49% 39.75%-0.12 +20.7 14
2023-05-13 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-143.0 1351 1293 39.75% 26.49% 33.76%+0.12 -20.7 7
2023-05-13 Inter Turku W 4-138.6 1540 1352 62.39% 24.33% 13.27%+0.82 +19.3 17
2023-05-13 @ HJK L 1-438.6 1352 1540 13.27% 24.33% 62.39%-0.82 -19.3 3
2023-05-13 KTP D 0-048.9 1266 1264 42.26% 26.44% 31.30%+0.11 -1.3 6
2023-05-13 @ Lahti D 0-048.9 1264 1266 31.30% 26.44% 42.26%-0.11 +1.3 6
2023-05-13 KuPS L 0-146.2 1421 1508 30.05% 26.40% 43.55%-0.22 -16.8 9
2023-05-13 @ Honka W 1-046.2 1508 1421 43.55% 26.40% 30.05%+0.22 +16.8 16
2023-05-13 VPS W 2-149.5 1305 1360 34.19% 26.49% 39.32%-0.10 +19.3 11
2023-05-13 @ AC Oulu L 1-249.5 1360 1305 39.32% 26.49% 34.19%+0.10 -19.3 5
2023-05-20 Lahti W 2-030.6 1525 1265 67.75% 22.87% 9.38%+1.09 +11.2 19
2023-05-20 @ KuPS L 0-230.6 1265 1525 9.38% 22.87% 67.75%-1.09 -11.2 6
2023-05-21 HJK D 1-160.0 1331 1559 15.65% 24.92% 59.43%-0.76 +5.0 8
2023-05-21 @ Ilves D 1-160.0 1559 1331 59.43% 24.92% 15.65%+0.76 -5.0 18
2023-05-22 Honka L 1-343.5 1324 1405 30.82% 26.42% 42.76%-0.20 -27.9 11
2023-05-22 @ AC Oulu W 3-143.5 1405 1324 42.76% 26.42% 30.82%+0.20 +27.9 12
2023-05-22 Mariehamn D 1-154.7 1333 1293 47.10% 26.24% 26.66%+0.25 -2.2 4
2023-05-22 @ Inter Turku D 1-154.7 1293 1333 26.66% 26.24% 47.10%-0.25 +2.2 5
2023-05-22 SJK Akatemia L 0-237.2 1265 1305 36.45% 26.51% 37.04%-0.04 -36.5 6
2023-05-22 @ KTP W 2-037.2 1305 1265 37.04% 26.51% 36.45%+0.04 +36.5 17
2023-05-22 VPS D 2-262.6 1401 1341 49.61% 26.08% 24.31%+0.33 -2.0 9
2023-05-22 @ Haka D 2-262.6 1341 1401 24.31% 26.08% 49.61%-0.33 +2.0 6
2023-05-26 AC Oulu L 1-247.7 1254 1296 35.98% 26.51% 37.51%-0.06 -18.1 6
2023-05-26 @ Lahti W 2-147.7 1296 1254 37.51% 26.51% 35.98%+0.06 +18.1 14
2023-05-26 Haka W 3-038.4 1330 1399 32.44% 26.46% 41.10%-0.15 +58.1 7
2023-05-26 @ Inter Turku L 0-338.4 1399 1330 41.10% 26.46% 32.44%+0.15 -58.1 9
2023-05-26 Ilves L 0-240.0 1343 1336 42.97% 26.42% 30.62%+0.13 -41.4 6
2023-05-26 @ VPS W 2-040.0 1336 1343 30.62% 26.42% 42.97%-0.13 +41.4 11
2023-05-26 KTP L 0-149.7 1433 1229 63.68% 24.03% 12.29%+0.88 -31.2 12
2023-05-26 @ Honka W 1-049.7 1229 1433 12.29% 24.03% 63.68%-0.88 +31.2 9
2023-05-26 KuPS W 1-051.9 1299 1536 15.03% 24.78% 60.18%-0.79 +29.6 20
2023-05-26 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-151.9 1536 1299 60.18% 24.78% 15.03%+0.79 -29.6 19
2023-05-27 HJK D 0-053.8 1296 1554 13.54% 24.41% 62.05%-0.88 +6.3 6
2023-05-27 @ Mariehamn D 0-053.8 1554 1296 62.05% 24.41% 13.54%+0.88 -6.3 19
2023-06-03 Haka W 3-032.4 1506 1341 60.51% 24.72% 14.77%+0.74 +25.3 22
2023-06-03 @ KuPS L 0-332.4 1341 1506 14.77% 24.72% 60.51%-0.74 -25.3 9
2023-06-03 Honka W 2-038.9 1389 1401 40.21% 26.48% 33.31%+0.06 +34.1 10
2023-06-03 @ Inter Turku L 0-238.9 1401 1389 33.31% 26.48% 40.21%-0.06 -34.2 12
2023-06-03 Lahti D 2-261.4 1377 1236 58.33% 25.10% 16.56%+0.64 -3.5 12
2023-06-03 @ Ilves D 2-261.4 1236 1377 16.56% 25.10% 58.33%-0.64 +3.5 7
2023-06-03 Mariehamn W 3-251.6 1314 1302 43.66% 26.40% 29.95%+0.15 +14.9 17
2023-06-03 @ AC Oulu L 2-351.6 1302 1314 29.95% 26.40% 43.66%-0.15 -14.9 6
2023-06-03 SJK Akatemia D 0-054.8 1548 1329 64.85% 23.73% 11.42%+0.94 -7.1 20
2023-06-03 @ HJK D 0-054.8 1329 1548 11.42% 23.73% 64.85%-0.94 +7.1 21
2023-06-03 VPS W 1-041.8 1260 1302 36.13% 26.51% 37.36%-0.05 +19.7 12
2023-06-03 @ KTP L 0-141.8 1302 1260 37.36% 26.51% 36.13%+0.05 -19.7 6
2023-06-07 AC Oulu W 1-038.0 1532 1329 63.55% 24.06% 12.38%+0.87 +7.8 25
2023-06-07 @ KuPS L 0-138.0 1329 1532 12.38% 24.06% 63.55%-0.87 -7.8 17
2023-06-07 HJK L 1-241.9 1239 1541 11.00% 23.57% 65.43%-1.04 -6.6 7
2023-06-07 @ Lahti W 2-141.9 1541 1239 65.43% 23.57% 11.00%+1.04 +6.6 23
2023-06-07 Ilves D 1-155.2 1315 1374 33.79% 26.49% 39.72%-0.12 +0.6 10
2023-06-07 @ Haka D 1-155.2 1374 1315 39.72% 26.49% 33.79%+0.12 -0.6 13
2023-06-07 KTP W 2-142.7 1423 1280 58.45% 25.08% 16.47%+0.65 +9.6 13
2023-06-07 @ Inter Turku L 1-242.7 1280 1423 16.47% 25.08% 58.45%-0.65 -9.6 12
2023-06-07 Mariehamn W 2-144.1 1367 1287 51.98% 25.89% 22.13%+0.41 +12.4 15
2023-06-07 @ Honka L 1-244.1 1287 1367 22.13% 25.89% 51.98%-0.41 -12.4 6
2023-06-08 VPS W 2-143.9 1366 1282 52.43% 25.85% 21.72%+0.43 +12.2 24
2023-06-08 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-243.9 1282 1366 21.72% 25.85% 52.43%-0.43 -12.2 6
2023-06-11 Haka W 1-043.4 1233 1316 30.44% 26.41% 43.15%-0.21 +22.0 10
2023-06-11 @ Lahti L 0-143.4 1316 1233 43.15% 26.41% 30.44%+0.21 -22.0 10
2023-06-11 Honka D 1-156.2 1373 1380 41.09% 26.46% 32.45%+0.08 -0.9 14
2023-06-11 @ Ilves D 1-156.2 1380 1373 32.45% 26.46% 41.09%-0.08 +0.9 16
2023-06-11 Inter Turku D 1-156.3 1322 1432 27.03% 26.26% 46.70%-0.31 +2.1 18
2023-06-11 @ AC Oulu D 1-156.3 1432 1322 46.70% 26.26% 27.03%+0.31 -2.1 14
2023-06-11 KTP W 1-035.3 1547 1270 68.89% 22.48% 8.63%+1.16 +5.5 26
2023-06-11 @ HJK L 0-135.3 1270 1547 8.63% 22.48% 68.89%-1.16 -5.5 12
2023-06-11 KuPS L 0-232.5 1270 1539 12.83% 24.20% 62.97%-0.92 -15.3 6
2023-06-11 @ VPS W 2-032.5 1539 1270 62.97% 24.20% 12.83%+0.92 +15.3 28
2023-06-11 SJK Akatemia L 0-235.2 1275 1378 27.88% 26.31% 45.81%-0.29 -29.8 6
2023-06-11 @ Mariehamn W 2-035.2 1378 1275 45.81% 26.31% 27.88%+0.29 +29.8 27
2023-06-27 AC Oulu L 1-444.7 1358 1324 46.48% 26.28% 27.25%+0.24 -54.1 27
2023-06-27 @ SJK Akatemia W 4-144.7 1324 1358 27.25% 26.28% 46.48%-0.24 +54.1 21
2023-06-27 HJK D 1-158.9 1294 1553 13.51% 24.40% 62.09%-0.88 +5.7 11
2023-06-27 @ Haka D 1-158.9 1553 1294 62.09% 24.40% 13.51%+0.88 -5.7 27
2023-06-27 Ilves W 2-147.2 1430 1372 49.40% 26.10% 24.50%+0.33 +13.5 17
2023-06-27 @ Inter Turku L 1-247.2 1372 1430 24.50% 26.10% 49.40%-0.33 -13.5 14
2023-06-27 Lahti W 2-035.1 1265 1255 43.34% 26.41% 30.25%+0.14 +31.7 15
2023-06-27 @ KTP L 0-235.1 1255 1265 30.25% 26.41% 43.34%-0.14 -31.8 10
2023-06-27 Mariehamn L 0-153.3 1555 1245 70.92% 21.71% 7.37%+1.28 -34.3 28
2023-06-27 @ KuPS W 1-053.3 1245 1555 7.37% 21.71% 70.92%-1.28 +34.3 9
2023-06-27 VPS W 1-036.0 1381 1254 56.82% 25.33% 17.85%+0.58 +10.9 19
2023-06-27 @ Honka L 0-136.0 1254 1381 17.85% 25.33% 56.82%-0.58 -10.9 6
2023-07-01 Haka W 3-031.9 1378 1300 51.76% 25.91% 22.33%+0.40 +36.2 24
2023-07-01 @ AC Oulu L 0-331.9 1300 1378 22.33% 25.91% 51.76%-0.40 -36.2 11
2023-07-01 HJK D 1-161.4 1391 1547 22.06% 25.88% 52.06%-0.48 +3.3 20
2023-07-01 @ Honka D 1-161.4 1547 1391 52.06% 25.88% 22.06%+0.48 -3.3 28
2023-07-01 Inter Turku W 3-042.1 1244 1444 17.90% 25.34% 56.76%-0.65 +76.7 9
2023-07-01 @ VPS L 0-342.1 1444 1244 56.76% 25.34% 17.90%+0.65 -76.7 17
2023-07-01 KTP D 0-049.1 1279 1296 39.60% 26.49% 33.91%+0.04 -0.7 10
2023-07-01 @ Mariehamn D 0-049.1 1296 1279 33.91% 26.49% 39.60%-0.04 +0.6 16
2023-07-01 KuPS L 3-448.9 1223 1520 11.21% 23.66% 65.13%-1.02 -6.2 10
2023-07-01 @ Lahti W 4-348.9 1520 1223 65.13% 23.66% 11.21%+1.02 +6.2 31
2023-07-01 SJK Akatemia D 1-155.1 1359 1315 47.70% 26.21% 26.09%+0.27 -2.3 15
2023-07-01 @ Ilves D 1-155.1 1315 1359 26.09% 26.21% 47.70%-0.27 +2.3 28
2023-07-08 Honka W 1-044.3 1328 1395 32.61% 26.47% 40.92%-0.15 +21.1 31
2023-07-08 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-144.3 1395 1328 40.92% 26.47% 32.61%+0.15 -21.1 20
2023-07-08 Ilves D 0-049.7 1297 1356 33.65% 26.49% 39.87%-0.12 +0.7 17
2023-07-08 @ KTP D 0-049.7 1356 1297 39.87% 26.49% 33.65%+0.12 -0.7 16
2023-07-08 Inter Turku D 2-261.2 1263 1367 27.89% 26.31% 45.80%-0.29 +1.4 12
2023-07-08 @ Haka D 2-261.2 1367 1263 45.80% 26.31% 27.89%+0.29 -1.4 18
2023-07-08 Lahti L 0-152.7 1544 1217 71.93% 21.28% 6.78%+1.35 -34.7 28
2023-07-08 @ HJK W 1-052.7 1217 1544 6.78% 21.28% 71.93%-1.35 +34.7 13
2023-07-08 VPS L 0-153.1 1527 1320 63.88% 23.98% 12.13%+0.89 -31.3 31
2023-07-08 @ KuPS W 1-053.1 1320 1527 12.13% 23.98% 63.88%-0.89 +31.3 12
2023-07-09 AC Oulu L 1-245.2 1279 1414 24.19% 26.08% 49.73%-0.41 -13.3 10
2023-07-09 @ Mariehamn W 2-145.2 1414 1279 49.73% 26.08% 24.19%+0.41 +13.3 27
2023-07-12 VPS L 0-240.8 1366 1351 43.87% 26.39% 29.74%+0.16 -42.1 18
2023-07-12 @ Inter Turku W 2-040.8 1351 1366 29.74% 26.39% 43.87%-0.16 +42.1 15
2023-07-15 AC Oulu W 3-038.7 1394 1427 37.27% 26.51% 36.22%-0.02 +52.8 18
2023-07-15 @ VPS L 0-338.7 1427 1394 36.22% 26.51% 37.27%+0.02 -52.8 27
2023-07-15 Mariehamn D 0-049.6 1356 1265 53.13% 25.78% 21.09%+0.45 -4.0 17
2023-07-15 @ Ilves D 0-049.6 1265 1356 21.09% 25.78% 53.13%-0.45 +4.0 11
2023-07-16 SJK Akatemia D 1-154.5 1251 1356 27.79% 26.30% 45.90%-0.29 +1.9 14
2023-07-16 @ Lahti D 1-154.5 1356 1251 45.90% 26.30% 27.79%+0.29 -1.9 32
2023-07-17 KuPS D 1-157.8 1323 1495 20.45% 25.70% 53.84%-0.55 +3.7 19
2023-07-17 @ Inter Turku D 1-157.8 1495 1323 53.84% 25.70% 20.45%+0.55 -3.7 32
2023-07-22 Ilves W 1-039.2 1509 1352 59.77% 24.86% 15.37%+0.70 +9.6 31
2023-07-22 @ HJK L 0-139.2 1352 1509 15.37% 24.86% 59.77%-0.70 -9.6 17
2023-07-22 KTP W 3-140.1 1375 1298 51.59% 25.93% 22.48%+0.40 +21.7 30
2023-07-22 @ AC Oulu L 1-340.1 1298 1375 22.48% 25.93% 51.59%-0.40 -21.7 17
2023-07-22 SJK Akatemia L 1-249.4 1327 1354 38.28% 26.50% 35.22%+0.00 -18.9 19
2023-07-22 @ Inter Turku W 2-149.4 1354 1327 35.22% 26.50% 38.28%+0.00 +18.9 35
2023-07-23 Haka W 4-134.6 1446 1265 61.88% 24.44% 13.67%+0.80 +19.9 21
2023-07-23 @ VPS L 1-434.6 1265 1446 13.67% 24.44% 61.88%-0.80 -19.9 12
2023-07-23 Mariehamn L 0-238.0 1253 1269 39.79% 26.49% 33.73%+0.05 -39.0 14
2023-07-23 @ Lahti W 2-038.0 1269 1253 33.73% 26.49% 39.79%-0.05 +39.0 14
2023-07-28 VPS L 0-236.9 1342 1466 25.47% 26.17% 48.36%-0.37 -27.8 17
2023-07-28 @ Ilves W 2-036.9 1466 1342 48.36% 26.17% 25.47%+0.37 +27.8 24
2023-07-29 HJK L 1-243.7 1279 1519 14.81% 24.73% 60.46%-0.80 -8.7 35
2023-07-29 @ SJK Akatemia W 2-143.7 1519 1279 60.46% 24.73% 14.81%+0.80 +8.7 34
2023-07-30 AC Oulu W 4-142.5 1374 1396 38.85% 26.50% 34.65%+0.02 +43.1 23
2023-07-30 @ Honka L 1-442.5 1396 1374 34.65% 26.50% 38.85%-0.02 -43.1 30
2023-07-30 Inter Turku L 0-239.1 1308 1308 41.98% 26.44% 31.58%+0.11 -40.7 14
2023-07-30 @ Mariehamn W 2-039.1 1308 1308 31.58% 26.44% 41.98%-0.11 +40.7 22
2023-07-30 KTP W 2-031.1 1492 1276 64.59% 23.80% 11.61%+0.92 +13.9 35
2023-07-30 @ KuPS L 0-231.1 1276 1492 11.61% 23.80% 64.59%-0.92 -13.9 17
2023-07-30 Lahti D 1-153.9 1245 1214 46.02% 26.30% 27.68%+0.22 -1.9 13
2023-07-30 @ Haka D 1-153.9 1214 1245 27.68% 26.30% 46.02%-0.22 +2.0 15
2023-08-04 Haka L 1-252.1 1314 1243 50.99% 25.98% 23.03%+0.38 -23.9 17
2023-08-04 @ Ilves W 2-152.1 1243 1314 23.03% 25.98% 50.99%-0.38 +23.9 16
2023-08-05 Mariehamn W 4-241.0 1527 1267 67.76% 22.87% 9.37%+1.09 +8.7 37
2023-08-05 @ HJK L 2-441.0 1267 1527 9.37% 22.87% 67.76%-1.09 -8.7 14
2023-08-07 Honka W 1-047.7 1216 1417 17.87% 25.33% 56.80%-0.66 +28.0 18
2023-08-07 @ Lahti L 0-147.7 1417 1216 56.80% 25.33% 17.87%+0.66 -28.0 23
2023-08-07 Inter Turku L 1-439.1 1262 1349 30.01% 26.40% 43.59%-0.22 -38.6 17
2023-08-07 @ KTP W 4-139.1 1349 1262 43.59% 26.40% 30.01%+0.22 +38.6 25
2023-08-09 SJK Akatemia W 3-247.6 1494 1284 64.14% 23.92% 11.94%+0.90 +6.8 27
2023-08-09 @ VPS L 2-347.6 1284 1494 11.94% 23.92% 64.14%-0.90 -6.8 35
2023-08-11 Mariehamn D 1-154.0 1267 1259 43.07% 26.41% 30.51%+0.14 -1.3 17
2023-08-11 @ Haka D 1-154.0 1259 1267 30.51% 26.41% 43.07%-0.14 +1.3 15
2023-08-12 Lahti D 1-154.7 1353 1244 55.09% 25.56% 19.35%+0.52 -4.0 31
2023-08-12 @ AC Oulu D 1-154.7 1244 1353 19.35% 25.56% 55.09%-0.52 +4.0 19
2023-08-13 Inter Turku W 1-042.4 1389 1388 42.14% 26.44% 31.42%+0.11 +17.3 26
2023-08-13 @ Honka L 0-142.4 1388 1389 31.42% 26.44% 42.14%-0.11 -17.3 25
2023-08-13 KuPS L 0-331.9 1290 1505 16.68% 25.12% 58.20%-0.71 -28.2 17
2023-08-13 @ Ilves W 3-031.9 1505 1290 58.20% 25.12% 16.68%+0.71 +28.2 38
2023-08-15 KTP L 2-356.5 1273 1224 48.40% 26.17% 25.43%+0.29 -21.7 35
2023-08-15 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-256.5 1224 1273 25.43% 26.17% 48.40%-0.29 +21.7 20
2023-08-18 Honka L 0-138.1 1260 1406 23.07% 25.98% 50.95%-0.45 -13.6 15
2023-08-18 @ Mariehamn W 1-038.1 1406 1260 50.95% 25.98% 23.07%+0.45 +13.6 29
2023-08-18 VPS L 0-231.7 1248 1501 13.93% 24.51% 61.56%-0.85 -16.5 19
2023-08-18 @ Lahti W 2-031.7 1501 1248 61.56% 24.51% 13.93%+0.85 +16.5 30
2023-08-19 Ilves L 0-340.4 1349 1262 52.73% 25.82% 21.45%+0.44 -71.7 31
2023-08-19 @ AC Oulu W 3-040.4 1262 1349 21.45% 25.82% 52.73%-0.44 +71.7 20
2023-08-20 HJK L 1-344.7 1370 1536 21.03% 25.77% 53.20%-0.52 -20.5 25
2023-08-20 @ Inter Turku W 3-144.7 1536 1370 53.20% 25.77% 21.03%+0.52 +20.5 40
2023-08-20 SJK Akatemia W 3-029.0 1534 1267 68.21% 22.72% 9.08%+1.12 +15.8 41
2023-08-20 @ KuPS L 0-329.0 1267 1534 9.08% 22.72% 68.21%-1.12 -15.8 35
2023-08-21 Haka L 1-248.5 1245 1266 39.17% 26.49% 34.34%+0.03 -19.3 20
2023-08-21 @ KTP W 2-148.5 1266 1245 34.34% 26.49% 39.17%-0.03 +19.3 20
2023-08-25 KTP W 2-139.9 1517 1226 69.79% 22.15% 8.06%+1.21 +4.8 33
2023-08-25 @ VPS L 1-239.9 1226 1517 8.06% 22.15% 69.79%-1.21 -4.8 20
2023-08-26 Lahti W 2-142.3 1350 1232 56.01% 25.44% 18.54%+0.55 +10.7 28
2023-08-26 @ Inter Turku L 1-242.3 1232 1350 18.54% 25.44% 56.01%-0.55 -10.7 19
2023-08-26 Mariehamn W 3-251.3 1251 1247 42.63% 26.43% 30.94%+0.12 +15.3 38
2023-08-26 @ SJK Akatemia L 2-351.3 1247 1251 30.94% 26.43% 42.63%-0.12 -15.3 15
2023-08-27 HJK L 1-339.4 1278 1557 12.25% 24.02% 63.73%-0.95 -12.7 31
2023-08-27 @ AC Oulu W 3-139.4 1557 1278 63.73% 24.02% 12.25%+0.95 +12.7 43
2023-08-27 Ilves W 2-034.5 1420 1334 52.59% 25.83% 21.57%+0.43 +24.2 32
2023-08-27 @ Honka L 0-234.5 1334 1420 21.57% 25.83% 52.59%-0.43 -24.2 20
2023-08-27 KuPS D 2-265.1 1285 1550 13.14% 24.29% 62.57%-0.90 +4.3 21
2023-08-27 @ Haka D 2-265.1 1550 1285 62.57% 24.29% 13.14%+0.90 -4.3 42
2023-08-30 Inter Turku L 1-244.1 1221 1360 23.78% 26.04% 50.18%-0.42 -13.1 19
2023-08-30 @ Lahti W 2-144.1 1360 1221 50.18% 26.04% 23.78%+0.42 +13.1 31
2023-09-03 AC Oulu W 2-143.0 1373 1265 55.05% 25.56% 19.38%+0.52 +11.1 34
2023-09-03 @ Inter Turku L 1-243.0 1265 1373 19.38% 25.56% 55.05%-0.52 -11.1 31
2023-09-03 Honka L 1-242.1 1221 1444 16.07% 25.01% 58.92%-0.74 -9.4 20
2023-09-03 @ KTP W 2-142.1 1444 1221 58.92% 25.01% 16.07%+0.74 +9.4 35
2023-09-03 Ilves W 3-255.7 1208 1310 28.12% 26.32% 45.56%-0.28 +20.6 22
2023-09-03 @ Lahti L 2-355.7 1310 1208 45.56% 26.32% 28.12%+0.28 -20.6 20
2023-09-03 KuPS D 2-274.1 1569 1545 45.18% 26.34% 28.48%+0.20 -1.3 44
2023-09-03 @ HJK D 2-274.1 1545 1569 28.48% 26.34% 45.18%-0.20 +1.3 43
2023-09-03 SJK Akatemia W 1-038.9 1289 1263 45.43% 26.33% 28.24%+0.21 +16.0 24
2023-09-03 @ Haka L 0-138.9 1263 1289 28.24% 26.33% 45.43%-0.21 -16.0 38
2023-09-03 VPS L 1-241.6 1231 1522 11.58% 23.79% 64.63%-1.00 -6.9 15
2023-09-03 @ Mariehamn W 2-141.6 1522 1231 64.63% 23.79% 11.58%+1.00 +6.9 36
2023-09-15 Ilves D 2-260.9 1305 1289 44.13% 26.38% 29.49%+0.17 -1.1 25
2023-09-15 @ Haka D 2-260.9 1289 1305 29.49% 26.38% 44.13%-0.17 +1.2 21
2023-09-15 KTP W 2-145.3 1229 1212 44.23% 26.38% 29.40%+0.17 +15.5 25
2023-09-15 @ Lahti L 1-245.3 1212 1229 29.40% 26.38% 44.23%-0.17 -15.5 20
2023-09-16 Honka L 1-243.0 1247 1453 17.40% 25.26% 57.35%-0.68 -10.1 38
2023-09-16 @ SJK Akatemia W 2-143.0 1453 1247 57.35% 25.26% 17.40%+0.68 +10.1 38
2023-09-16 Inter Turku W 2-037.2 1568 1384 62.04% 24.41% 13.55%+0.80 +16.1 47
2023-09-16 @ HJK L 0-237.2 1384 1568 13.55% 24.41% 62.04%-0.80 -16.1 34
2023-09-16 Mariehamn W 3-250.3 1254 1224 45.88% 26.31% 27.82%+0.22 +14.1 34
2023-09-16 @ AC Oulu L 2-350.3 1224 1254 27.82% 26.31% 45.88%-0.22 -14.1 15
2023-09-17 VPS L 0-251.5 1547 1529 44.32% 26.37% 29.31%+0.17 -42.5 43
2023-09-17 @ KuPS W 2-051.5 1529 1547 29.31% 26.37% 44.32%-0.17 +42.5 39
2023-09-22 AC Oulu W 2-147.2 1244 1268 38.68% 26.50% 34.82%+0.02 +17.7 28
2023-09-22 @ Lahti L 1-247.2 1268 1244 34.82% 26.50% 38.68%-0.02 -17.6 34
2023-09-22 Haka W 2-150.1 1210 1304 29.11% 26.36% 44.53%-0.25 +21.3 18
2023-09-22 @ Mariehamn L 1-250.1 1304 1210 44.53% 26.36% 29.11%+0.25 -21.3 25
2023-09-22 Ilves L 0-332.8 1196 1290 29.09% 26.36% 44.55%-0.25 -44.7 20
2023-09-22 @ KTP W 3-032.8 1290 1196 44.55% 26.36% 29.09%+0.25 +44.7 24
2023-09-22 VPS L 0-343.2 1463 1571 27.34% 26.28% 46.38%-0.30 -42.6 38
2023-09-22 @ Honka W 3-043.2 1571 1463 46.38% 26.28% 27.34%+0.30 +42.6 42
2023-09-23 KuPS L 0-142.5 1368 1504 24.18% 26.07% 49.75%-0.41 -14.1 34
2023-09-23 @ Inter Turku W 1-042.5 1504 1368 49.75% 26.07% 24.18%+0.41 +14.1 46
2023-09-24 HJK L 2-347.3 1239 1584 8.89% 22.62% 68.48%-1.21 -5.0 38
2023-09-24 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-247.3 1584 1239 68.48% 22.62% 8.89%+1.21 +5.0 50
2023-09-27 Honka W 3-037.9 1589 1421 60.76% 24.67% 14.57%+0.75 +25.0 53
2023-09-27 @ HJK L 0-337.9 1421 1589 14.57% 24.67% 60.76%-0.75 -25.0 38
2023-09-27 Mariehamn W 2-142.7 1335 1231 54.52% 25.63% 19.86%+0.50 +11.3 27
2023-09-27 @ Ilves L 1-242.7 1231 1335 19.86% 25.63% 54.52%-0.50 -11.3 18
2023-09-29 Inter Turku D 1-163.4 1614 1354 67.75% 22.87% 9.38%+1.09 -7.0 43
2023-09-29 @ VPS D 1-163.4 1354 1614 9.38% 22.87% 67.75%-1.09 +7.0 35
2023-09-29 KTP W 2-031.6 1250 1151 54.02% 25.68% 20.30%+0.48 +23.0 37
2023-09-29 @ AC Oulu L 0-231.6 1151 1250 20.30% 25.68% 54.02%-0.48 -23.0 20
2023-10-01 Lahti W 2-034.7 1283 1262 44.77% 26.35% 28.88%+0.19 +30.6 28
2023-10-01 @ Haka L 0-234.7 1262 1283 28.88% 26.35% 44.77%-0.19 -30.6 28
2023-10-01 SJK Akatemia D 1-157.3 1518 1227 69.81% 22.14% 8.05%+1.21 -7.4 47
2023-10-01 @ KuPS D 1-157.3 1227 1518 8.05% 22.14% 69.81%-1.21 +7.4 39
2023-10-06 AC Oulu W 3-249.4 1346 1273 51.16% 25.96% 22.88%+0.38 +12.1 30
2023-10-06 @ Ilves L 2-349.4 1273 1346 22.88% 25.96% 51.16%-0.38 -12.1 37
2023-10-07 KTP W 2-029.2 1313 1128 62.15% 24.39% 13.47%+0.81 +16.0 31
2023-10-07 @ Haka L 0-229.2 1128 1313 13.47% 24.39% 62.15%-0.81 -16.0 20
2023-10-07 SJK Akatemia L 1-254.0 1361 1225 57.84% 25.18% 16.98%+0.62 -26.9 35
2023-10-07 @ Inter Turku W 2-154.0 1225 1361 16.98% 25.18% 57.84%-0.62 +26.9 42
2023-10-08 HJK W 3-268.1 1607 1614 41.03% 26.47% 32.51%+0.08 +15.9 46
2023-10-08 @ VPS L 2-368.1 1614 1607 32.51% 26.47% 41.03%-0.08 -15.9 53
2023-10-08 Honka W 3-144.0 1511 1396 55.72% 25.48% 18.80%+0.54 +18.7 50
2023-10-08 @ KuPS L 1-344.0 1396 1511 18.80% 25.48% 55.72%-0.54 -18.7 38
2023-10-08 Lahti D 0-048.6 1220 1231 40.49% 26.48% 33.04%+0.06 -0.9 19
2023-10-08 @ Mariehamn D 0-048.6 1231 1220 33.04% 26.48% 40.49%-0.06 +0.9 29
2023-10-21 Haka D 1-154.4 1261 1329 32.47% 26.47% 41.07%-0.15 +0.9 38
2023-10-21 @ AC Oulu D 1-154.4 1329 1261 41.07% 26.47% 32.47%+0.15 -0.9 32
2023-10-21 Ilves L 1-536.3 1232 1358 25.21% 26.15% 48.64%-0.37 -43.5 29
2023-10-21 @ Lahti W 5-136.3 1358 1232 48.64% 26.15% 25.21%+0.37 +43.5 33
2023-10-21 Inter Turku W 3-033.6 1377 1334 47.53% 26.22% 26.25%+0.27 +41.3 41
2023-10-21 @ Honka L 0-333.6 1334 1377 26.25% 26.22% 47.53%-0.27 -41.3 35
2023-10-21 KuPS L 1-265.7 1598 1529 50.68% 26.00% 23.32%+0.37 -23.8 53
2023-10-21 @ HJK W 2-165.7 1529 1598 23.32% 26.00% 50.68%-0.37 +23.8 53
2023-10-21 Mariehamn L 0-233.8 1112 1219 27.50% 26.29% 46.21%-0.30 -29.5 20
2023-10-21 @ KTP W 2-033.8 1219 1112 46.21% 26.29% 27.50%+0.30 +29.5 22
2023-10-21 VPS L 0-235.2 1310 1623 10.39% 23.33% 66.28%-1.08 -12.5 42
2023-10-21 @ SJK Akatemia W 2-035.2 1623 1310 66.28% 23.33% 10.39%+1.08 +12.5 49

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-10-25 AC Oulu D 2-261.2 1354 1262 53.25% 25.77% 20.99%+0.45 -2.7 0-0-1
2023-10-25 @ SJK Seinajoki D 2-261.2 1262 1354 20.99% 25.77% 53.25%-0.45 +2.7 0-0-1
2023-10-25 Inter Turku D 0-050.7 1418 1293 56.74% 25.34% 17.92%+0.58 -4.9 0-0-1
2023-10-25 @ Honka D 0-050.7 1293 1418 17.92% 25.34% 56.74%-0.58 +4.9 0-0-1
2023-10-25 Mariehamn D 0-050.2 1405 1249 59.72% 24.87% 15.42%+0.70 -5.7 0-0-1
2023-10-25 @ Gnistan D 0-050.2 1249 1405 15.42% 24.87% 59.72%-0.70 +5.7 0-0-1
2023-10-28 AC Oulu W 5-031.4 1413 1265 58.98% 25.00% 16.02%+0.67 +43.8 1-0-1
2023-10-28 @ Honka L 0-531.4 1265 1413 16.02% 25.00% 58.98%-0.67 -43.8 0-1-1
2023-10-29 Gnistan W 3-040.2 1254 1400 23.14% 25.99% 50.88%-0.45 +69.4 1-0-1
2023-10-29 @ Mariehamn L 0-340.2 1400 1254 50.88% 25.99% 23.14%+0.45 -69.4 0-1-1
2023-11-01 VPS L 0-148.9 1457 1636 19.85% 25.63% 54.52%-0.57 -12.0 1-1-1
2023-11-01 @ Honka W 1-048.9 1636 1457 54.52% 25.63% 19.85%+0.57 +12.0 1-0
2023-11-05 Honka W 1-046.2 1647 1445 63.56% 24.06% 12.38%+0.87 +7.8 2-0
2023-11-05 @ VPS L 0-146.2 1445 1647 12.38% 24.06% 63.56%-0.87 -7.8 1-2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-07-08 6.78% Lahti 1217 1 @ HJK 1544 0
2 2023-06-27 7.37% Mariehamn 1245 1 @ KuPS 1555 0
3 2023-07-08 12.13% VPS 1320 1 @ KuPS 1527 0
4 2023-05-26 12.29% KTP 1229 1 @ Honka 1433 0
5 2023-04-05 14.41% @ SJK Akatemia 1154 2 Haka 1400 1
6 2023-05-26 15.03% @ SJK Akatemia 1299 1 KuPS 1536 0
7 2023-04-29 15.28% SJK Akatemia 1228 3 @ AC Oulu 1387 0
8 2023-10-07 16.98% SJK Akatemia 1225 2 @ Inter Turku 1361 1
9 2023-08-07 17.87% @ Lahti 1216 1 Honka 1417 0
10 2023-07-01 17.90% @ VPS 1244 3 Inter Turku 1444 0
11 2023-04-05 19.95% Inter Turku 1368 2 @ KuPS 1470 1
12 2023-05-09 20.49% Haka 1375 2 @ Honka 1472 0
13 2023-08-19 21.45% Ilves 1262 3 @ AC Oulu 1349 0
14 2023-04-16 21.98% Lahti 1271 3 @ Mariehamn 1352 2
15 2023-05-13 22.01% @ Mariehamn 1269 2 Haka 1425 1
16 2023-08-04 23.03% Haka 1243 2 @ Ilves 1314 1
17 2023-10-29 * 23.14% @ Mariehamn 1254 3 Gnistan 1400 0
18 2023-05-05 23.27% AC Oulu 1306 2 @ Ilves 1375 1
19 2023-10-21 23.32% KuPS 1529 2 @ HJK 1598 1
20 2023-08-15 25.43% KTP 1224 3 @ SJK Akatemia 1273 2
21 2023-05-05 25.51% @ SJK Akatemia 1251 2 Inter Turku 1375 1
22 2023-06-27 27.25% AC Oulu 1324 4 @ SJK Akatemia 1358 1
23 2023-05-05 27.80% @ KuPS 1461 2 HJK 1565 1
24 2023-09-03 28.12% @ Lahti 1208 3 Ilves 1310 2
25 2023-09-22 29.11% @ Mariehamn 1210 2 Haka 1304 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-04-29 80.60 SJK Akatemia 3 1228 15.28% @ AC Oulu 0 1387 59.88% 24.84%
2 2023-07-01 76.66 @ VPS 3 1244 17.90% Inter Turku 0 1444 56.76% 25.34%
3 2023-08-19 71.66 Ilves 3 1262 21.45% @ AC Oulu 0 1349 52.73% 25.82%
4 2023-10-29 * 69.41 @ Mariehamn 3 1254 23.14% Gnistan 0 1400 50.88% 25.99%
5 2023-05-26 58.08 @ Inter Turku 3 1330 32.44% Haka 0 1399 41.10% 26.46%
6 2023-06-27 54.12 AC Oulu 4 1324 27.25% @ SJK Akatemia 1 1358 46.48% 26.28%
7 2023-07-15 52.78 @ VPS 3 1394 37.27% AC Oulu 0 1427 36.22% 26.51%
8 2023-05-09 50.25 Haka 2 1375 20.49% @ Honka 0 1472 53.81% 25.71%
9 2023-09-22 44.73 Ilves 3 1290 44.55% @ KTP 0 1196 29.09% 26.36%
10 2023-10-28 * 43.85 @ Honka 5 1413 58.98% AC Oulu 0 1265 16.02% 25.00%
11 2023-10-21 43.52 Ilves 5 1358 48.64% @ Lahti 1 1232 25.21% 26.15%
12 2023-07-30 43.08 @ Honka 4 1374 38.85% AC Oulu 1 1396 34.65% 26.50%
13 2023-09-22 42.63 VPS 3 1571 46.38% @ Honka 0 1463 27.34% 26.28%
14 2023-09-17 42.48 VPS 2 1529 29.31% @ KuPS 0 1547 44.32% 26.37%
15 2023-07-12 42.13 VPS 2 1351 29.74% @ Inter Turku 0 1366 43.87% 26.39%
16 2023-05-26 41.42 Ilves 2 1336 30.62% @ VPS 0 1343 42.97% 26.42%
17 2023-10-21 41.28 @ Honka 3 1377 47.53% Inter Turku 0 1334 26.25% 26.22%
18 2023-07-30 40.66 Inter Turku 2 1308 31.58% @ Mariehamn 0 1308 41.98% 26.44%
19 2023-07-23 39.00 Mariehamn 2 1269 33.73% @ Lahti 0 1253 39.79% 26.49%
20 2023-08-07 38.64 Inter Turku 4 1349 43.59% @ KTP 1 1262 30.01% 26.40%
21 2023-04-19 38.01 @ HJK 4 1516 57.51% VPS 0 1383 17.26% 25.23%
22 2023-04-05 36.78 AC Oulu 2 1344 36.69% @ KTP 0 1307 36.80% 26.51%
23 2023-05-22 36.52 SJK Akatemia 2 1305 37.04% @ KTP 0 1265 36.45% 26.51%
24 2023-07-01 36.23 @ AC Oulu 3 1378 51.76% Haka 0 1300 22.33% 25.91%
25 2023-07-08 34.71 Lahti 1 1217 6.78% @ HJK 0 1544 71.93% 21.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-09-03 74.1 @ HJK 2 1569 45.18% KuPS 2 1545 28.48% 26.34%
2 2023-05-09 68.2 @ KTP 3 1260 12.01% HJK 3 1544 64.05% 23.94%
3 2023-10-08 68.1 @ VPS 3 1607 41.03% HJK 2 1614 32.51% 26.47%
4 2023-10-21 65.7 KuPS 2 1529 23.32% @ HJK 1 1598 50.68% 26.00%
5 2023-08-27 65.1 @ Haka 2 1285 13.14% KuPS 2 1550 62.57% 24.29%
6 2023-09-29 63.4 @ VPS 1 1614 67.75% Inter Turku 1 1354 9.38% 22.87%
7 2023-04-14 62.7 @ Haka 2 1371 40.73% AC Oulu 2 1381 32.80% 26.47%
8 2023-05-22 62.6 @ Haka 2 1401 49.61% VPS 2 1341 24.31% 26.08%
9 2023-04-23 61.7 @ HJK 1 1554 61.16% AC Oulu 1 1381 14.25% 24.59%
10 2023-06-03 61.4 @ Ilves 2 1377 58.33% Lahti 2 1236 16.56% 25.10%
11 2023-07-01 61.4 @ Honka 1 1391 22.06% HJK 1 1547 52.06% 25.88%
12 2023-07-08 61.2 @ Haka 2 1263 27.89% Inter Turku 2 1367 45.80% 26.31%
13 2023-10-25 * 61.2 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1354 53.25% AC Oulu 2 1262 20.99% 25.77%
14 2023-05-05 60.9 @ KuPS 2 1461 27.80% HJK 1 1565 45.89% 26.30%
15 2023-09-15 60.9 @ Haka 2 1305 44.13% Ilves 2 1289 29.49% 26.38%
16 2023-05-21 60.0 @ Ilves 1 1331 15.65% HJK 1 1559 59.43% 24.92%
17 2023-06-27 58.9 @ Haka 1 1294 13.51% HJK 1 1553 62.09% 24.40%
18 2023-04-16 58.2 Lahti 3 1271 21.98% @ Mariehamn 2 1352 52.14% 25.87%
19 2023-07-17 57.8 @ Inter Turku 1 1323 20.45% KuPS 1 1495 53.84% 25.70%
20 2023-04-24 57.6 @ Haka 1 1371 31.24% Honka 1 1448 42.32% 26.44%
21 2023-10-01 57.3 @ KuPS 1 1518 69.81% SJK Akatemia 1 1227 8.05% 22.14%
22 2023-04-05 56.9 Inter Turku 2 1368 19.95% @ KuPS 1 1470 54.41% 25.64%
23 2023-08-15 56.5 KTP 3 1224 25.43% @ SJK Akatemia 2 1273 48.40% 26.17%
24 2023-06-11 56.3 @ AC Oulu 1 1322 27.03% Inter Turku 1 1432 46.70% 26.26%
25 2023-06-11 56.2 @ Ilves 1 1373 41.09% Honka 1 1380 32.45% 26.46%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-20 29.0 @ KuPS 3 1534 68.21% SJK Akatemia 0 1267 9.08% 22.72%
2 2023-10-07 29.2 @ Haka 2 1313 62.15% KTP 0 1128 13.47% 24.39%
3 2023-05-05 30.4 @ Honka 3 1445 59.27% Lahti 0 1293 15.78% 24.95%
4 2023-05-20 30.6 @ KuPS 2 1525 67.75% Lahti 0 1265 9.38% 22.87%
5 2023-07-30 31.1 @ KuPS 2 1492 64.59% KTP 0 1276 11.61% 23.80%
6 2023-10-28 * 31.4 @ Honka 5 1413 58.98% AC Oulu 0 1265 16.02% 25.00%
7 2023-09-29 31.6 @ AC Oulu 2 1250 54.02% KTP 0 1151 20.30% 25.68%
8 2023-08-18 31.7 VPS 2 1501 61.56% @ Lahti 0 1248 13.93% 24.51%
9 2023-07-01 31.9 @ AC Oulu 3 1378 51.76% Haka 0 1300 22.33% 25.91%
10 2023-08-13 31.9 KuPS 3 1505 58.20% @ Ilves 0 1290 16.68% 25.12%
11 2023-06-03 32.4 @ KuPS 3 1506 60.51% Haka 0 1341 14.77% 24.72%
12 2023-06-11 32.5 KuPS 2 1539 62.97% @ VPS 0 1270 12.83% 24.20%
13 2023-09-22 32.8 Ilves 3 1290 44.55% @ KTP 0 1196 29.09% 26.36%
14 2023-10-21 33.6 @ Honka 3 1377 47.53% Inter Turku 0 1334 26.25% 26.22%
15 2023-10-21 33.8 Mariehamn 2 1219 46.21% @ KTP 0 1112 27.50% 26.29%
16 2023-08-27 34.5 @ Honka 2 1420 52.59% Ilves 0 1334 21.57% 25.83%
17 2023-07-23 34.6 @ VPS 4 1446 61.88% Haka 1 1265 13.67% 24.44%
18 2023-10-01 34.7 @ Haka 2 1283 44.77% Lahti 0 1262 28.88% 26.35%
19 2023-06-27 35.1 @ KTP 2 1265 43.34% Lahti 0 1255 30.25% 26.41%
20 2023-06-11 35.2 SJK Akatemia 2 1378 45.81% @ Mariehamn 0 1275 27.88% 26.31%
21 2023-10-21 35.2 VPS 2 1623 66.28% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1310 10.39% 23.33%
22 2023-06-11 35.3 @ HJK 1 1547 68.89% KTP 0 1270 8.63% 22.48%
23 2023-04-19 35.4 @ HJK 4 1516 57.51% VPS 0 1383 17.26% 25.23%
24 2023-04-30 35.6 KuPS 2 1433 48.25% @ Mariehamn 0 1310 25.57% 26.18%
25 2023-05-09 36.0 KuPS 2 1483 51.77% @ AC Oulu 0 1330 22.32% 25.91%