2026 Veikkausliiga Season
151 games played · 12 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
KuPS
100.00% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Gnistan
9.52 points above expected
42 points · 32.48 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
SJK Seinajoki
10.80 points below expected
24 points · 34.80 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 42.01 | +0.99 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 42 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 39.48 | +2.52 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 35.13 | +1.87 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 26.98 | +9.02 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28.57 | +5.43 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 28.09 | +4.91 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 29.41 | +2.59 |
| 8 | TPS Turku | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 28.53 | +2.47 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 32.81 | -7.81 |
| 10 | SJK Seinajoki | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 30.19 | -11.19 |
| 11 | Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 20.32 | -5.32 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 17.93 | -3.93 |
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 49 | 32 | 18 | +14 | 46.46 | +2.54 |
| 2 | KuPS | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 41 | 24 | +17 | 47.47 | +0.53 |
| 3 | HJK | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 38.08 | +3.92 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 32.48 | +9.52 |
| 5 | VPS | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 31.58 | +4.42 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 31.36 | +2.64 |
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 35.33 | +0.67 |
| 2 | Ilves | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 42 | 38 | +4 | 37.50 | -3.50 |
| 3 | TPS Turku | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 33.73 | -1.73 |
| 4 | SJK Seinajoki | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 34.80 | -10.80 |
| 5 | Mariehamn | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 20.11 | -3.11 |
| 6 | Jaro | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 22.32 | -5.32 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gnistan | 42 | 32.48 | +9.52 |
| 2 | VPS | 36 | 31.58 | +4.42 |
| 3 | HJK | 42 | 38.08 | +3.92 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 34 | 31.36 | +2.64 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 49 | 46.46 | +2.54 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJK Seinajoki | 24 | 34.80 | -10.80 |
| 2 | Jaro | 17 | 22.32 | -5.32 |
| 3 | Ilves | 34 | 37.50 | -3.50 |
| 4 | Mariehamn | 17 | 20.11 | -3.11 |
| 5 | TPS Turku | 32 | 33.73 | -1.73 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariehamn | 3 | Aug 15 – Aug 31 | 1 in 466 |
| 2 | KuPS | 6 | Jun 17 – Aug 1 | 1 in 68 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 3 | Apr 4 – Apr 18 | 1 in 57 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 4 | May 9 – May 23 | 1 in 22 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 3 | May 30 – Jun 17 | 1 in 17 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariehamn | 9 | May 23 – Jul 20 | 1 in 149 |
| 2 | KuPS | 2 | Aug 23 – Aug 31 | 1 in 82 |
| 3 | Jaro | 6 | Aug 1 – Sep 8 | 1 in 48 |
| 4 | SJK Seinajoki | 3 | May 16 – May 30 | 1 in 32 |
| 5 | Ilves | 3 | Aug 17 – Aug 31 | 1 in 31 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gnistan | 8 | Aug 7 – Oct 7 | 1 in 31 |
| 2 | KuPS | 14 | May 8 – Aug 16 | 1 in 20 |
| 3 | Mariehamn | 3 | Aug 15 – Aug 31 | 1 in 20 |
| 4 | Jaro | 4 | Apr 10 – May 2 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 10 | May 9 – Jul 19 | 1 in 15 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mariehamn | 19 | Apr 4 – Aug 9 | 1 in 55 |
| 2 | SJK Seinajoki | 7 | Apr 18 – May 30 | 1 in 35 |
| 3 | KuPS | 4 | Apr 26 – May 16 | 1 in 23 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 5 | Jun 23 – Jul 25 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 4 | May 30 – Jun 23 | 1 in 13 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gnistan | +0.78 | 1404 |
| 2 | Lahti | +0.07 | 1383 |
| 3 | VPS | +0.07 | 1332 |
| 4 | Ilves | +0.04 | 1405 |
| 5 | TPS Turku | +0.04 | 1302 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | -0.65 | 1497 |
| 2 | Jaro | -0.21 | 1139 |
| 3 | KuPS | -0.06 | 1544 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | -0.05 | 1256 |
| 5 | SJK Seinajoki | -0.05 | 1308 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | 1497 | 49 | +12 | 10 | 8.4 | +1.6 | |
| KuPS | 1544 | 48 | -38 | 5 | 9.4 | -4.4 | |
| HJK | 1405 | 42 | +19 | 8 | 5.8 | +2.2 | |
| Gnistan | 1404 | 42 | +9 | 7 | 7.2 | -0.2 | |
| Lahti | 1383 | 36 | +4 | 10 | 8.5 | +1.5 | |
| VPS | 1332 | 36 | -14 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.0 | |
| Ilves | 1405 | 34 | +42 | 9 | 7.9 | +1.1 | |
| AC Oulu | 1256 | 34 | -16 | 4 | 5.8 | -1.8 | |
| TPS Turku | 1302 | 32 | -59 | 3 | 7.3 | -4.3 | |
| SJK Seinajoki | 1308 | 24 | -4 | 6 | 7.1 | -1.1 | |
| Mariehamn | 1186 | 17 | +65 | 9 | 4.0 | +5.0 | |
| Jaro | 1139 | 17 | -35 | 2 | 4.3 | -2.3 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | 0.52 | HJK | 42 pts·1405 | 53% – 28% – 19% | VPS | 36 pts·1332 | 52.5 | |
| 2026-10-08 | 1.33 | KuPS | 48 pts·1544 | 72% – 21% – 7% | AC Oulu | 34 pts·1256 | 33.2 | |
| 2026-10-09 | SJK Seinajoki | 24 pts·1308 | 34% – 30% – 37% | Lahti | 36 pts·1383 | 0.05 | 46.3 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.86 | TPS Turku | 32 pts·1302 | 62% – 25% – 13% | Jaro | 17 pts·1139 | 31.2 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Mariehamn | 17 pts·1186 | 18% – 27% – 55% | Ilves | 34 pts·1405 | 0.59 | 32.1 | |
| 2026-10-11 | 0.06 | Inter Turku | 49 pts·1497 | 38% – 29% – 33% | KuPS | 48 pts·1544 | 66.3 | |
| 2026-10-12 | VPS | 36 pts·1332 | 34% – 30% – 36% | Gnistan | 42 pts·1404 | 0.04 | 54.4 | |
| 2026-10-12 | AC Oulu | 34 pts·1256 | 25% – 29% – 47% | HJK | 42 pts·1405 | 0.33 | 44.2 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 0.18 | AC Oulu | 34 pts·1284·-1.10 | 0 – 0 | SJK Seinajoki | 24 pts·1299·+1.11 | 47.8 | |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.15 | Ilves | 34 pts·1347·-14.07 | 1 – 2 | HJK | 42 pts·1371·+14.07 | 51.4 | |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.36 | Gnistan | 42 pts·1395·-1.90 | 1 – 1 | TPS Turku | 32 pts·1362·+1.90 | 54.9 | |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.23 | Mariehamn | 17 pts·1159·+20.70 | 2 – 0 | Jaro | 17 pts·1162·-20.71 | 35.8 | |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.01 | Inter Turku | 49 pts·1485·+13.13 | 1 – 0 | KuPS | 48 pts·1545·-13.14 | 52.6 | |
| 2026-08-31 | 0.13 | VPS | 36 pts·1362·-14.78 | 0 – 1 | Lahti | 36 pts·1391·+14.77 | 45.9 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | AO | GNI | HJK | ILV | IT | JAR | KUP | LAH | MAR | SS | TT | VPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | — |
1-0-2
3.64
|
1-0-1
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-1-2
2.39
|
2-0-0
3.52
|
1-0-1
1.49
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
1-1-0
4.01
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
1-0-2
3.94
|
| Gnistan |
2-0-1
4.48
|
— |
1-1-1
3.64
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
2-1-0
2.64
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
0-1-2
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
| HJK |
1-0-1
3.36
|
1-1-1
4.49
|
— |
1-1-0
2.90
|
1-2-0
3.48
|
2-0-0
3.96
|
0-2-1
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
2-0-0
4.24
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
| Ilves |
1-0-1
3.27
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
— |
0-0-2
2.34
|
2-0-1
6.00
|
0-0-2
2.14
|
2-0-1
4.37
|
1-1-0
4.03
|
0-2-0
2.83
|
3-0-0
3.76
|
0-0-2
3.27
|
| Inter Turku |
2-1-0
5.80
|
0-1-2
5.54
|
0-2-1
4.64
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
— |
1-1-0
4.22
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
1-1-0
3.52
|
2-0-0
4.45
|
1-1-0
3.44
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
2-1-0
5.63
|
| Jaro |
0-0-2
1.92
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
1-0-2
2.21
|
0-1-1
1.28
|
— |
0-1-1
1.23
|
0-1-2
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-2-0
2.81
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.03
|
| KuPS |
1-0-1
3.98
|
2-1-0
5.82
|
1-2-0
5.19
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-1-0
4.28
|
— |
2-0-0
3.95
|
0-1-1
4.57
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
1-1-0
3.95
|
2-1-0
5.72
|
| Lahti |
1-1-0
2.61
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
1-0-2
3.75
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
2-1-0
5.66
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
— |
2-1-0
6.15
|
1-0-1
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
| Mariehamn |
0-1-1
1.47
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
0-0-2
1.26
|
0-1-1
1.48
|
0-0-2
1.08
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
1-1-0
1.02
|
0-1-2
2.08
|
— |
1-0-2
2.19
|
1-1-1
2.92
|
0-0-2
1.98
|
| SJK Seinajoki |
0-1-1
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-2-1
5.34
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
2-0-1
6.02
|
— |
1-1-1
3.93
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
| TPS Turku |
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-2-0
3.05
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
0-0-3
4.37
|
0-1-1
1.80
|
1-1-0
3.44
|
0-1-1
1.54
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-1-1
5.27
|
1-1-1
4.20
|
— |
2-0-0
2.66
|
| VPS |
2-0-1
4.20
|
0-2-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.15
|
0-1-2
2.56
|
1-1-0
3.39
|
0-1-2
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
2-0-0
2.68
|
0-0-2
2.77
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.60 | +10.7 |
| Allowed | 0.73 | -9.8 |
| Differential | 0.92 | +7.0 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.95% | 10.26% | 5.63% | 3.64% | 0.99% | 0.99% | 29.47% |
| 1 | 10.26% | 15.89% | 6.95% | 2.98% | — | 0.66% | 36.75% |
| 2 | 5.63% | 6.95% | 3.31% | 2.65% | 0.66% | 0.33% | 19.54% |
| 3 | 3.64% | 2.98% | 2.65% | 0.66% | 0.33% | — | 10.26% |
| 4 | 0.99% | — | 0.66% | 0.33% | — | — | 1.99% |
| 5+ | 0.99% | 0.66% | 0.33% | — | — | — | 1.99% |
| Total | 29.47% | 36.75% | 19.54% | 10.26% | 1.99% | 1.99% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.16 | 1.70 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 151
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 32.00% |
| 1 | 24.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 4.00% | 44.00% |
| 2 | 4.00% | 8.00% | — | 8.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| Total | 36.00% | 36.00% | 12.00% | 12.00% | — | 4.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.04 | 1.16 | -0.12 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.28 | 1.64 |
| CV | 1.06 | 1.10 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.85% | 11.54% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 23.08% |
| 1 | 3.85% | 26.92% | — | — | — | 3.85% | 34.62% |
| 2 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 3.85% | — | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | 3.85% | — | 11.54% | — | — | — | 15.38% |
| 4 | — | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| 5+ | 3.85% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85% |
| Total | 23.08% | 46.15% | 23.08% | 3.85% | — | 3.85% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.54 | 1.23 | +0.31 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.81 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | 24.00% |
| 1 | 16.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 32.00% |
| 2 | — | 12.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 12.00% | — | — | 4.00% | — | — | 16.00% |
| 4 | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | 4.00% | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| Total | 36.00% | 32.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 1.16 | +0.40 |
| SD | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.87 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.00% | — | — | — | 4.00% | 12.00% |
| 1 | 12.00% | 4.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 36.00% |
| 2 | 12.00% | — | 12.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 32.00% |
| 3 | 4.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 4.00% | — | 16.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| Total | 32.00% | 20.00% | 24.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.68 | 1.52 | +0.16 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.42 | 2.01 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.08% | — | 3.85% | — | — | — | 26.92% |
| 1 | 19.23% | 11.54% | 7.69% | — | — | — | 38.46% |
| 2 | 11.54% | 7.69% | — | — | — | — | 19.23% |
| 3 | — | 7.69% | 3.85% | 3.85% | — | — | 15.38% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 53.85% | 26.92% | 15.38% | 3.85% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.23 | 0.69 | +0.54 |
| SD | 1.03 | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| CV | 0.84 | 1.28 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 26
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 8.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | — | 8.00% | 48.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 28.00% |
| 2 | — | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | 4.00% | 20.00% |
| 3 | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 12.00% | 36.00% | 24.00% | 16.00% | — | 12.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.92 | -1.12 |
| SD | 0.91 | 1.47 | 1.83 |
| CV | 1.14 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 16.00% |
| 1 | 8.00% | 28.00% | — | — | — | — | 36.00% |
| 2 | 8.00% | 12.00% | — | — | 4.00% | — | 24.00% |
| 3 | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 16.00% |
| 4 | 4.00% | — | — | 4.00% | — | — | 8.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.00% | 52.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.64 | 0.96 | +0.68 |
| SD | 1.19 | 0.98 | 1.38 |
| CV | 0.72 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 24.00% |
| 1 | 12.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 44.00% |
| 2 | 12.00% | 12.00% | — | 4.00% | — | — | 28.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| Total | 36.00% | 40.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 0.96 | +0.24 |
| SD | 1.08 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 12.00% | 12.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | — | 48.00% |
| 1 | 4.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | — | — | — | 32.00% |
| 2 | 8.00% | — | 4.00% | — | 4.00% | — | 16.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | 4.00% | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 12.00% | 28.00% | 32.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.88 | -1.08 |
| SD | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| CV | 1.25 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.00% | 8.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 36.00% |
| 1 | — | 16.00% | 12.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 32.00% |
| 2 | — | 4.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | — | — | 16.00% |
| 3 | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 16.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 32.00% | 36.00% | 12.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.40 | -0.28 |
| SD | 1.09 | 0.96 | 1.49 |
| CV | 0.98 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.00% | 16.00% | — | 4.00% | — | — | 32.00% |
| 1 | 8.00% | 16.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 12.00% |
| 3 | 8.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 16.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.00% | 40.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.08 | +0.04 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.00 | 1.49 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 20.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 32.00% |
| 1 | 16.00% | 16.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 44.00% |
| 2 | — | 8.00% | — | — | — | — | 8.00% |
| 3 | — | 4.00% | 4.00% | — | — | — | 8.00% |
| 4 | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| 5+ | — | 4.00% | — | — | — | — | 4.00% |
| Total | 28.00% | 52.00% | 12.00% | 8.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.00 | +0.20 |
| SD | 1.32 | 0.87 | 1.58 |
| CV | 1.10 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 25
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 1544 | 48 | 43.00 | -5.00 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 |
| Inter Turku | 1497 | 49 | 42.00 | -7.00 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 |
| Ilves | 1405 | 34 | 25.00 | -9.00 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| HJK | 1405 | 42 | 37.00 | -5.00 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
| Gnistan | 1404 | 42 | 36.00 | -6.00 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 |
| Lahti | 1383 | 36 | 32.00 | -4.00 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| VPS | 1332 | 36 | 33.00 | -3.00 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
| SJK Seinajoki | 1308 | 24 | 19.00 | -5.00 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| TPS Turku | 1302 | 32 | 31.00 | -1.00 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| AC Oulu | 1256 | 34 | 34.00 | 0.00 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
| Mariehamn | 1186 | 17 | 14.00 | -3.00 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| Jaro | 1139 | 17 | 15.00 | -2.00 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Point Totals in Context
Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Season metrics are available for completed seasons.
Elo Progression Through The Playoffs
How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KuPS | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| HJK | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gnistan | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lahti | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| VPS | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — |
| AC Oulu | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TPS Turku | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — | — | — |
| SJK Seinajoki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — | — |
| Mariehamn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% |
| Jaro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 100.00% | — |
No playoff sim data.
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Qualified for Championship Round | Survived Relegation Round | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 100% | — | — |
| Gnistan | 100% | — | — |
| HJK | 100% | — | — |
| Inter Turku | 100% | — | — |
| KuPS | 100% | — | — |
| Lahti | 100% | — | — |
| TPS Turku | 99.99% | 0.01% | — |
| VPS | 100% | — | — |
| Ilves | 99.26% | 0.67% | 0.07% |
| SJK Seinajoki | 87.10% | 10.88% | 2.02% |
| Jaro | 6.70% | 45.23% | 48.07% |
| Mariehamn | 6.95% | 43.21% | 49.84% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | VPS | D 0-0 | 50.4 | 1440 | 1281 | 61.67% | 25.34% | 12.98% | +0.84 | -4.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 50.4 | 1281 | 1440 | 12.98% | 25.34% | 61.67% | -0.84 | +4.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | SJK Seinajoki | W 3-0 | 39.1 | 1386 | 1423 | 39.33% | 29.43% | 31.24% | +0.10 | +33.5 | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ HJK | L 0-3 | 39.1 | 1423 | 1386 | 31.24% | 29.43% | 39.33% | -0.10 | -33.5 | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | KuPS | L 1-3 | 51.7 | 1431 | 1482 | 37.32% | 29.49% | 33.20% | +0.04 | -22.7 | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Ilves | W 3-1 | 51.7 | 1482 | 1431 | 33.20% | 29.49% | 37.32% | -0.04 | +22.7 | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Lahti | L 0-1 | 43.6 | 1281 | 1324 | 38.48% | 29.46% | 32.06% | +0.08 | -14.2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Jaro | W 1-0 | 43.6 | 1324 | 1281 | 32.06% | 29.46% | 38.48% | -0.08 | +14.2 | 3 |
| 2026-04-04 | TPS Turku | D 1-1 | 52.7 | 1273 | 1310 | 39.29% | 29.43% | 31.28% | +0.10 | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Mariehamn | D 1-1 | 52.7 | 1310 | 1273 | 31.28% | 29.43% | 39.29% | -0.10 | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | AC Oulu | L 1-5 | 44.3 | 1280 | 1250 | 48.06% | 28.69% | 23.25% | +0.35 | -50.5 | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Gnistan | W 5-1 | 44.3 | 1250 | 1280 | 23.25% | 28.69% | 48.06% | -0.35 | +50.5 | 3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Lahti | W 2-1 | 47.3 | 1310 | 1338 | 40.56% | 29.38% | 30.06% | +0.13 | +11.2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ TPS Turku | L 1-2 | 47.3 | 1338 | 1310 | 30.06% | 29.38% | 40.56% | -0.13 | -11.2 | 3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mariehamn | W 3-0 | 31.2 | 1389 | 1272 | 57.72% | 26.65% | 15.64% | +0.69 | +18.9 | 3 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ SJK Seinajoki | L 0-3 | 31.2 | 1272 | 1389 | 15.64% | 26.65% | 57.72% | -0.69 | -18.9 | 1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Jaro | D 0-0 | 47.8 | 1286 | 1267 | 46.70% | 28.86% | 24.44% | +0.31 | -1.8 | 2 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ VPS | D 0-0 | 47.8 | 1267 | 1286 | 24.44% | 28.86% | 46.70% | -0.31 | +1.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gnistan | W 1-0 | 33.3 | 1505 | 1229 | 71.26% | 20.97% | 7.76% | +1.29 | +3.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ KuPS | L 0-1 | 33.3 | 1229 | 1505 | 7.76% | 20.97% | 71.26% | -1.29 | -3.3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 49.8 | 1420 | 1300 | 57.95% | 26.58% | 15.47% | +0.70 | -19.9 | 3 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ HJK | W 1-0 | 49.8 | 1300 | 1420 | 15.47% | 26.58% | 57.95% | -0.70 | +19.9 | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | Ilves | W 2-1 | 48.6 | 1436 | 1409 | 47.72% | 28.73% | 23.54% | +0.34 | +9.3 | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Inter Turku | L 1-2 | 48.6 | 1409 | 1436 | 23.54% | 28.73% | 47.72% | -0.34 | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | HJK | L 0-3 | 33.3 | 1226 | 1400 | 21.96% | 28.46% | 49.59% | -0.42 | -25.5 | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Gnistan | W 3-0 | 33.3 | 1400 | 1226 | 49.59% | 28.46% | 21.96% | +0.42 | +25.5 | 6 |
| 2026-04-18 | KuPS | D 1-1 | 55.8 | 1269 | 1508 | 16.28% | 26.90% | 56.82% | -0.67 | +3.2 | 2 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Jaro | D 1-1 | 55.8 | 1508 | 1269 | 56.82% | 26.90% | 16.28% | +0.67 | -3.2 | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | VPS | W 1-0 | 38.6 | 1320 | 1284 | 48.76% | 28.58% | 22.65% | +0.38 | +9.6 | 9 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 38.6 | 1284 | 1320 | 22.65% | 28.58% | 48.76% | -0.38 | -9.6 | 2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Inter Turku | L 0-2 | 39.2 | 1327 | 1445 | 28.17% | 29.25% | 42.58% | -0.21 | -21.4 | 3 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Lahti | W 2-0 | 39.2 | 1445 | 1327 | 42.58% | 29.25% | 28.17% | +0.21 | +21.4 | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | SJK Seinajoki | W 2-0 | 41.5 | 1321 | 1408 | 32.26% | 29.47% | 38.28% | -0.09 | +26.7 | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ TPS Turku | L 0-2 | 41.5 | 1408 | 1321 | 38.28% | 29.47% | 32.26% | +0.09 | -26.7 | 3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Ilves | D 2-2 | 59.3 | 1253 | 1399 | 24.91% | 28.92% | 46.17% | -0.32 | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Mariehamn | D 2-2 | 59.3 | 1399 | 1253 | 46.17% | 28.92% | 24.91% | +0.32 | -1.2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | AC Oulu | W 3-2 | 48.8 | 1505 | 1330 | 63.19% | 24.77% | 12.04% | +0.91 | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ KuPS | L 2-3 | 48.8 | 1330 | 1505 | 12.04% | 24.77% | 63.19% | -0.91 | -4.8 | 9 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gnistan | D 1-1 | 53.6 | 1348 | 1200 | 60.66% | 25.71% | 13.64% | +0.80 | -3.8 | 8 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ TPS Turku | D 1-1 | 53.6 | 1200 | 1348 | 13.64% | 25.71% | 60.66% | -0.80 | +3.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Ilves | W 3-2 | 56.6 | 1274 | 1398 | 27.53% | 29.20% | 43.27% | -0.23 | +13.9 | 5 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ VPS | L 2-3 | 56.6 | 1398 | 1274 | 43.27% | 29.20% | 27.53% | +0.23 | -13.9 | 1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Jaro | D 1-1 | 54.0 | 1382 | 1272 | 56.96% | 26.86% | 16.18% | +0.66 | -3.2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ SJK Seinajoki | D 1-1 | 54.0 | 1272 | 1382 | 16.18% | 26.86% | 56.96% | -0.66 | +3.2 | 3 |
| 2026-04-25 | AC Oulu | W 2-1 | 46.8 | 1305 | 1325 | 41.71% | 29.31% | 28.98% | +0.17 | +10.9 | 6 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Lahti | L 1-2 | 46.8 | 1325 | 1305 | 28.98% | 29.31% | 41.71% | -0.17 | -10.9 | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | Mariehamn | W 1-0 | 34.6 | 1467 | 1254 | 66.31% | 23.44% | 10.25% | +1.05 | +4.5 | 10 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Inter Turku | L 0-1 | 34.6 | 1254 | 1467 | 10.25% | 23.44% | 66.31% | -1.05 | -4.5 | 2 |
| 2026-04-26 | HJK | D 1-1 | 60.0 | 1510 | 1425 | 54.30% | 27.54% | 18.16% | +0.56 | -2.8 | 11 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ KuPS | D 1-1 | 60.0 | 1425 | 1510 | 18.16% | 27.54% | 54.30% | -0.56 | +2.8 | 7 |
| 2026-04-29 | HJK | D 1-1 | 58.5 | 1471 | 1428 | 49.59% | 28.46% | 21.95% | +0.40 | -2.1 | 11 |
| 2026-04-29 | @ Inter Turku | D 1-1 | 58.5 | 1428 | 1471 | 21.95% | 28.46% | 49.59% | -0.40 | +2.1 | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | Ilves | D 1-1 | 54.8 | 1378 | 1384 | 43.52% | 29.18% | 27.30% | +0.22 | -1.2 | 5 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ SJK Seinajoki | D 1-1 | 54.8 | 1384 | 1378 | 27.30% | 29.18% | 43.52% | -0.22 | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2026-05-02 | TPS Turku | D 2-2 | 58.9 | 1275 | 1344 | 34.71% | 29.51% | 35.79% | -0.03 | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Jaro | D 2-2 | 58.9 | 1344 | 1275 | 35.79% | 29.51% | 34.71% | +0.03 | -0.1 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | VPS | L 0-1 | 43.4 | 1250 | 1288 | 39.08% | 29.44% | 31.48% | +0.09 | -14.4 | 2 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Mariehamn | W 1-0 | 43.4 | 1288 | 1250 | 31.48% | 29.44% | 39.08% | -0.09 | +14.4 | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 | KuPS | W 2-0 | 47.0 | 1314 | 1507 | 20.11% | 28.07% | 51.82% | -0.50 | +34.0 | 12 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ AC Oulu | L 0-2 | 47.0 | 1507 | 1314 | 51.82% | 28.07% | 20.11% | +0.50 | -34.0 | 11 |
| 2026-05-04 | Lahti | W 1-0 | 37.7 | 1430 | 1316 | 57.37% | 26.75% | 15.88% | +0.67 | +7.0 | 11 |
| 2026-05-04 | @ HJK | L 0-1 | 37.7 | 1316 | 1430 | 15.88% | 26.75% | 57.37% | -0.67 | -7.0 | 6 |
| 2026-05-05 | Inter Turku | W 2-0 | 46.1 | 1204 | 1469 | 14.53% | 26.16% | 59.31% | -0.77 | +38.2 | 4 |
| 2026-05-05 | @ Gnistan | L 0-2 | 46.1 | 1469 | 1204 | 59.31% | 26.16% | 14.53% | +0.77 | -38.2 | 11 |
| 2026-05-08 | AC Oulu | W 1-0 | 40.0 | 1385 | 1348 | 48.95% | 28.56% | 22.49% | +0.38 | +9.5 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Ilves | L 0-1 | 40.0 | 1348 | 1385 | 22.49% | 28.56% | 48.95% | -0.38 | -9.5 | 12 |
| 2026-05-08 | HJK | W 1-0 | 46.1 | 1344 | 1437 | 31.44% | 29.44% | 39.12% | -0.12 | +14.4 | 12 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ TPS Turku | L 0-1 | 46.1 | 1437 | 1344 | 39.12% | 29.44% | 31.44% | +0.12 | -14.4 | 11 |
| 2026-05-08 | SJK Seinajoki | D 0-0 | 52.5 | 1473 | 1377 | 55.51% | 27.25% | 17.25% | +0.60 | -3.3 | 12 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ KuPS | D 0-0 | 52.5 | 1377 | 1473 | 17.25% | 27.25% | 55.51% | -0.60 | +3.3 | 6 |
| 2026-05-09 | Jaro | W 2-0 | 32.4 | 1431 | 1275 | 61.39% | 25.45% | 13.16% | +0.83 | +11.0 | 14 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Inter Turku | L 0-2 | 32.4 | 1275 | 1431 | 13.16% | 25.45% | 61.39% | -0.83 | -11.0 | 4 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gnistan | D 1-1 | 52.9 | 1303 | 1242 | 51.63% | 28.10% | 20.27% | +0.47 | -2.4 | 9 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ VPS | D 1-1 | 52.9 | 1242 | 1303 | 20.27% | 28.10% | 51.63% | -0.47 | +2.4 | 5 |
| 2026-05-10 | Mariehamn | D 1-1 | 53.0 | 1309 | 1235 | 53.15% | 27.80% | 19.06% | +0.52 | -2.6 | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Lahti | D 1-1 | 53.0 | 1235 | 1309 | 19.06% | 27.80% | 53.15% | -0.52 | +2.6 | 3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Ilves | D 2-2 | 62.1 | 1423 | 1395 | 47.81% | 28.72% | 23.47% | +0.35 | -1.4 | 12 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ HJK | D 2-2 | 62.1 | 1395 | 1423 | 23.47% | 28.72% | 47.81% | -0.35 | +1.4 | 6 |
| 2026-05-16 | KuPS | D 1-1 | 54.5 | 1238 | 1470 | 16.89% | 27.12% | 55.99% | -0.64 | +3.1 | 4 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Mariehamn | D 1-1 | 54.5 | 1470 | 1238 | 55.99% | 27.12% | 16.89% | +0.64 | -3.1 | 13 |
| 2026-05-16 | Inter Turku | L 1-3 | 48.6 | 1381 | 1442 | 35.89% | 29.51% | 34.61% | +0.01 | -22.1 | 6 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ SJK Seinajoki | W 3-1 | 48.6 | 1442 | 1381 | 34.61% | 29.51% | 35.89% | -0.01 | +22.1 | 17 |
| 2026-05-16 | TPS Turku | W 1-0 | 41.7 | 1338 | 1359 | 41.57% | 29.32% | 29.11% | +0.16 | +11.6 | 15 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 41.7 | 1359 | 1338 | 29.11% | 29.32% | 41.57% | -0.16 | -11.6 | 12 |
| 2026-05-16 | Jaro | W 5-0 | 35.6 | 1245 | 1264 | 41.71% | 29.31% | 28.97% | +0.17 | +51.1 | 8 |
| 2026-05-16 | @ Gnistan | L 0-5 | 35.6 | 1264 | 1245 | 28.97% | 29.31% | 41.71% | -0.17 | -51.1 | 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | VPS | D 1-1 | 53.0 | 1307 | 1300 | 45.08% | 29.04% | 25.88% | +0.26 | -1.4 | 8 |
| 2026-05-18 | @ Lahti | D 1-1 | 53.0 | 1300 | 1307 | 25.88% | 29.04% | 45.08% | -0.26 | +1.4 | 10 |
| 2026-05-20 | Inter Turku | L 1-3 | 49.4 | 1396 | 1464 | 34.95% | 29.51% | 35.54% | -0.02 | -21.7 | 6 |
| 2026-05-20 | @ Ilves | W 3-1 | 49.4 | 1464 | 1396 | 35.54% | 29.51% | 34.95% | +0.02 | +21.7 | 20 |
| 2026-05-20 | Jaro | W 3-0 | 27.8 | 1467 | 1213 | 69.60% | 21.85% | 8.55% | +1.21 | +10.0 | 16 |
| 2026-05-20 | @ KuPS | L 0-3 | 27.8 | 1213 | 1467 | 8.55% | 21.85% | 69.60% | -1.21 | -10.0 | 4 |
| 2026-05-22 | HJK | W 2-1 | 52.0 | 1302 | 1422 | 28.00% | 29.24% | 42.76% | -0.22 | +14.5 | 13 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ VPS | L 1-2 | 52.0 | 1422 | 1302 | 42.76% | 29.24% | 28.00% | +0.22 | -14.5 | 12 |
| 2026-05-23 | TPS Turku | W 2-1 | 44.7 | 1486 | 1347 | 59.77% | 26.01% | 14.22% | +0.77 | +5.9 | 23 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Inter Turku | L 1-2 | 44.7 | 1347 | 1486 | 14.22% | 26.01% | 59.77% | -0.77 | -5.9 | 12 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gnistan | W 2-0 | 34.3 | 1374 | 1296 | 53.67% | 27.68% | 18.65% | +0.54 | +15.3 | 9 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Ilves | L 0-2 | 34.3 | 1296 | 1374 | 18.65% | 27.68% | 53.67% | -0.54 | -15.3 | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | Mariehamn | W 3-0 | 35.6 | 1203 | 1241 | 39.13% | 29.44% | 31.43% | +0.09 | +33.7 | 7 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ Jaro | L 0-3 | 35.6 | 1241 | 1203 | 31.43% | 29.44% | 39.13% | -0.09 | -33.7 | 4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Lahti | W 2-1 | 42.6 | 1477 | 1305 | 62.81% | 24.91% | 12.27% | +0.89 | +5.1 | 19 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ KuPS | L 1-2 | 42.6 | 1305 | 1477 | 12.27% | 24.91% | 62.81% | -0.89 | -5.1 | 8 |
| 2026-05-23 | AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 46.6 | 1359 | 1350 | 45.37% | 29.01% | 25.62% | +0.27 | -16.2 | 6 |
| 2026-05-23 | @ SJK Seinajoki | W 1-0 | 46.6 | 1350 | 1359 | 25.62% | 29.01% | 45.37% | -0.27 | +16.2 | 18 |
| 2026-05-30 | Mariehamn | W 1-0 | 33.8 | 1407 | 1207 | 65.26% | 23.91% | 10.84% | +1.00 | +4.8 | 15 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ HJK | L 0-1 | 33.8 | 1207 | 1407 | 10.84% | 23.91% | 65.26% | -1.00 | -4.8 | 4 |
| 2026-05-30 | SJK Seinajoki | W 3-2 | 53.6 | 1281 | 1342 | 35.80% | 29.51% | 34.70% | +0.00 | +11.8 | 11 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Gnistan | L 2-3 | 53.6 | 1342 | 1281 | 34.70% | 29.51% | 35.80% | +0.00 | -11.8 | 6 |
| 2026-05-30 | Inter Turku | D 1-1 | 60.9 | 1482 | 1491 | 43.00% | 29.22% | 27.77% | +0.20 | -1.1 | 20 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ KuPS | D 1-1 | 60.9 | 1491 | 1482 | 27.77% | 29.22% | 43.00% | -0.20 | +1.1 | 24 |
| 2026-05-30 | VPS | W 1-0 | 39.5 | 1341 | 1316 | 47.41% | 28.77% | 23.81% | +0.33 | +10.0 | 15 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ TPS Turku | L 0-1 | 39.5 | 1316 | 1341 | 23.81% | 28.77% | 47.41% | -0.33 | -10.0 | 13 |
| 2026-05-30 | Ilves | W 5-0 | 39.9 | 1300 | 1390 | 31.89% | 29.46% | 38.65% | -0.10 | +62.9 | 11 |
| 2026-05-30 | @ Lahti | L 0-5 | 39.9 | 1390 | 1300 | 38.65% | 29.46% | 31.89% | +0.10 | -63.0 | 9 |
| 2026-05-31 | Jaro | W 2-1 | 41.4 | 1366 | 1237 | 58.91% | 26.28% | 14.80% | +0.73 | +6.2 | 21 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ AC Oulu | L 1-2 | 41.4 | 1237 | 1366 | 14.80% | 26.28% | 58.91% | -0.73 | -6.2 | 7 |
| 2026-06-13 | TPS Turku | W 1-0 | 41.6 | 1327 | 1351 | 41.04% | 29.35% | 29.61% | +0.15 | +11.8 | 12 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Ilves | L 0-1 | 41.6 | 1351 | 1327 | 29.61% | 29.35% | 41.04% | -0.15 | -11.8 | 15 |
| 2026-06-13 | AC Oulu | D 0-0 | 53.1 | 1493 | 1372 | 58.00% | 26.56% | 15.44% | +0.70 | -3.8 | 25 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 53.1 | 1372 | 1493 | 15.44% | 26.56% | 58.00% | -0.70 | +3.8 | 22 |
| 2026-06-13 | HJK | L 2-5 | 40.7 | 1230 | 1412 | 21.24% | 28.32% | 50.45% | -0.45 | -18.1 | 7 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Jaro | W 5-2 | 40.7 | 1412 | 1230 | 50.45% | 28.32% | 21.24% | +0.45 | +18.1 | 18 |
| 2026-06-13 | KuPS | D 1-1 | 55.5 | 1306 | 1481 | 21.92% | 28.45% | 49.63% | -0.42 | +2.1 | 14 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ VPS | D 1-1 | 55.5 | 1481 | 1306 | 49.63% | 28.45% | 21.92% | +0.42 | -2.1 | 21 |
| 2026-06-13 | SJK Seinajoki | L 2-3 | 58.2 | 1363 | 1331 | 48.36% | 28.64% | 23.00% | +0.36 | -15.2 | 11 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Lahti | W 3-2 | 58.2 | 1331 | 1363 | 23.00% | 28.64% | 48.36% | -0.36 | +15.2 | 9 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gnistan | L 0-3 | 35.9 | 1203 | 1292 | 31.88% | 29.45% | 38.66% | -0.10 | -34.0 | 4 |
| 2026-06-13 | @ Mariehamn | W 3-0 | 35.9 | 1292 | 1203 | 38.66% | 29.45% | 31.88% | +0.10 | +34.0 | 14 |
| 2026-06-17 | Jaro | W 5-0 | 30.7 | 1339 | 1212 | 58.60% | 26.38% | 15.02% | +0.72 | +29.3 | 15 |
| 2026-06-17 | @ Ilves | L 0-5 | 30.7 | 1212 | 1339 | 15.02% | 26.38% | 58.60% | -0.72 | -29.3 | 7 |
| 2026-06-17 | Inter Turku | D 3-3 | 68.5 | 1430 | 1489 | 36.21% | 29.50% | 34.28% | +0.01 | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2026-06-17 | @ HJK | D 3-3 | 68.5 | 1489 | 1430 | 34.28% | 29.50% | 36.21% | -0.01 | +0.1 | 26 |
| 2026-06-17 | KuPS | L 1-2 | 48.6 | 1339 | 1479 | 25.68% | 29.02% | 45.30% | -0.29 | -10.0 | 15 |
| 2026-06-17 | @ TPS Turku | W 2-1 | 48.6 | 1479 | 1339 | 45.30% | 29.02% | 25.68% | +0.29 | +10.0 | 24 |
| 2026-06-17 | Lahti | W 1-0 | 41.5 | 1326 | 1348 | 41.42% | 29.33% | 29.25% | +0.16 | +11.7 | 17 |
| 2026-06-17 | @ Gnistan | L 0-1 | 41.5 | 1348 | 1326 | 29.25% | 29.33% | 41.42% | -0.16 | -11.7 | 11 |
| 2026-06-17 | VPS | L 1-2 | 52.8 | 1346 | 1308 | 48.93% | 28.56% | 22.51% | +0.38 | -16.2 | 9 |
| 2026-06-17 | @ SJK Seinajoki | W 2-1 | 52.8 | 1308 | 1346 | 22.51% | 28.56% | 48.93% | -0.38 | +16.2 | 17 |
| 2026-06-18 | Mariehamn | W 2-1 | 39.0 | 1376 | 1169 | 65.91% | 23.62% | 10.47% | +1.03 | +4.3 | 25 |
| 2026-06-18 | @ AC Oulu | L 1-2 | 39.0 | 1169 | 1376 | 10.47% | 23.62% | 65.91% | -1.03 | -4.3 | 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | TPS Turku | D 0-0 | 48.6 | 1336 | 1329 | 45.15% | 29.03% | 25.82% | +0.27 | -1.6 | 12 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ Lahti | D 0-0 | 48.6 | 1329 | 1336 | 25.82% | 29.03% | 45.15% | -0.27 | +1.6 | 16 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ilves | W 4-3 | 53.3 | 1489 | 1368 | 58.04% | 26.55% | 15.41% | +0.70 | +5.9 | 27 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ KuPS | L 3-4 | 53.3 | 1368 | 1489 | 15.41% | 26.55% | 58.04% | -0.70 | -5.9 | 15 |
| 2026-06-23 | AC Oulu | W 5-1 | 41.6 | 1325 | 1380 | 36.66% | 29.50% | 33.84% | +0.03 | +38.7 | 20 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ VPS | L 1-5 | 41.6 | 1380 | 1325 | 33.84% | 29.50% | 36.66% | -0.03 | -38.7 | 25 |
| 2026-06-23 | Gnistan | D 1-1 | 52.6 | 1183 | 1338 | 23.92% | 28.79% | 47.29% | -0.35 | +1.7 | 8 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ Jaro | D 1-1 | 52.6 | 1338 | 1183 | 47.29% | 28.79% | 23.92% | +0.35 | -1.7 | 18 |
| 2026-06-23 | SJK Seinajoki | D 1-1 | 57.1 | 1489 | 1330 | 61.72% | 25.33% | 12.95% | +0.85 | -3.9 | 27 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ Inter Turku | D 1-1 | 57.1 | 1330 | 1489 | 12.95% | 25.33% | 61.72% | -0.85 | +3.9 | 10 |
| 2026-06-23 | HJK | L 0-4 | 30.0 | 1164 | 1430 | 14.49% | 26.14% | 59.38% | -0.77 | -23.0 | 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | @ Mariehamn | W 4-0 | 30.0 | 1430 | 1164 | 59.38% | 26.14% | 14.49% | +0.77 | +23.0 | 22 |
| 2026-06-27 | SJK Seinajoki | D 2-2 | 59.9 | 1362 | 1333 | 47.86% | 28.71% | 23.43% | +0.35 | -1.4 | 16 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ Ilves | D 2-2 | 59.9 | 1333 | 1362 | 23.43% | 28.71% | 47.86% | -0.35 | +1.3 | 11 |
| 2026-06-27 | KuPS | L 0-4 | 45.4 | 1453 | 1495 | 38.63% | 29.46% | 31.91% | +0.08 | -51.1 | 22 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ HJK | W 4-0 | 45.4 | 1495 | 1453 | 31.91% | 29.46% | 38.63% | -0.08 | +51.1 | 30 |
| 2026-06-27 | Inter Turku | L 0-2 | 30.1 | 1141 | 1485 | 10.24% | 23.44% | 66.32% | -1.07 | -8.5 | 4 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ Mariehamn | W 2-0 | 30.1 | 1485 | 1141 | 66.32% | 23.44% | 10.24% | +1.07 | +8.5 | 30 |
| 2026-06-27 | VPS | D 1-1 | 53.8 | 1336 | 1363 | 40.67% | 29.37% | 29.96% | +0.14 | -0.8 | 19 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ Gnistan | D 1-1 | 53.8 | 1363 | 1336 | 29.96% | 29.37% | 40.67% | -0.14 | +0.8 | 21 |
| 2026-06-27 | Jaro | W 3-2 | 45.6 | 1331 | 1185 | 60.51% | 25.76% | 13.73% | +0.80 | +5.4 | 19 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ TPS Turku | L 2-3 | 45.6 | 1185 | 1331 | 13.73% | 25.76% | 60.51% | -0.80 | -5.4 | 8 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lahti | D 1-1 | 53.6 | 1342 | 1335 | 45.18% | 29.03% | 25.79% | +0.27 | -1.4 | 26 |
| 2026-06-27 | @ AC Oulu | D 1-1 | 53.6 | 1335 | 1342 | 25.79% | 29.03% | 45.18% | -0.27 | +1.4 | 13 |
| 2026-07-04 | Gnistan | W 1-0 | 40.6 | 1336 | 1336 | 44.33% | 29.11% | 26.56% | +0.24 | +10.8 | 16 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Lahti | L 0-1 | 40.6 | 1336 | 1336 | 26.56% | 29.11% | 44.33% | -0.24 | -10.8 | 19 |
| 2026-07-04 | Ilves | W 2-1 | 52.4 | 1179 | 1361 | 21.24% | 28.32% | 50.44% | -0.45 | +16.6 | 11 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Jaro | L 1-2 | 52.4 | 1361 | 1179 | 50.44% | 28.32% | 21.24% | +0.45 | -16.6 | 16 |
| 2026-07-04 | TPS Turku | W 3-1 | 43.2 | 1335 | 1336 | 44.06% | 29.14% | 26.80% | +0.23 | +17.8 | 14 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ SJK Seinajoki | L 1-3 | 43.2 | 1336 | 1335 | 26.80% | 29.14% | 44.06% | -0.23 | -17.8 | 19 |
| 2026-07-04 | Mariehamn | W 4-0 | 27.0 | 1364 | 1133 | 67.85% | 22.72% | 9.43% | +1.12 | +14.7 | 24 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ VPS | L 0-4 | 27.0 | 1133 | 1364 | 9.43% | 22.72% | 67.85% | -1.12 | -14.6 | 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | SJK Seinajoki | W 1-0 | 40.4 | 1379 | 1353 | 47.57% | 28.75% | 23.68% | +0.34 | +9.9 | 27 |
| 2026-07-10 | @ VPS | L 0-1 | 40.4 | 1353 | 1379 | 23.68% | 28.75% | 47.57% | -0.34 | -9.9 | 14 |
| 2026-07-11 | HJK | W 2-0 | 40.5 | 1347 | 1402 | 36.79% | 29.50% | 33.72% | +0.03 | +24.4 | 19 |
| 2026-07-11 | @ Lahti | L 0-2 | 40.5 | 1402 | 1347 | 33.72% | 29.50% | 36.79% | -0.03 | -24.4 | 22 |
| 2026-07-11 | Mariehamn | W 4-2 | 39.1 | 1325 | 1118 | 65.83% | 23.65% | 10.51% | +1.03 | +6.7 | 22 |
| 2026-07-11 | @ Gnistan | L 2-4 | 39.1 | 1118 | 1325 | 10.51% | 23.65% | 65.83% | -1.03 | -6.7 | 4 |
| 2026-07-11 | AC Oulu | W 3-0 | 36.1 | 1319 | 1340 | 41.39% | 29.33% | 29.28% | +0.16 | +32.0 | 22 |
| 2026-07-11 | @ TPS Turku | L 0-3 | 36.1 | 1340 | 1319 | 29.28% | 29.33% | 41.39% | -0.16 | -32.0 | 26 |
| 2026-07-18 | VPS | W 2-1 | 48.3 | 1377 | 1389 | 42.78% | 29.24% | 27.98% | +0.20 | +10.6 | 25 |
| 2026-07-18 | @ HJK | L 1-2 | 48.3 | 1389 | 1377 | 27.98% | 29.24% | 42.78% | -0.20 | -10.6 | 27 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gnistan | L 0-2 | 41.3 | 1308 | 1331 | 41.19% | 29.34% | 29.46% | +0.15 | -28.2 | 26 |
| 2026-07-18 | @ AC Oulu | W 2-0 | 41.3 | 1331 | 1308 | 29.46% | 29.34% | 41.19% | -0.15 | +28.2 | 25 |
| 2026-07-18 | KuPS | L 0-2 | 39.0 | 1343 | 1546 | 19.26% | 27.85% | 52.89% | -0.53 | -15.7 | 14 |
| 2026-07-18 | @ SJK Seinajoki | W 2-0 | 39.0 | 1546 | 1343 | 52.89% | 27.85% | 19.26% | +0.53 | +15.7 | 33 |
| 2026-07-19 | Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 50.0 | 1196 | 1493 | 12.56% | 25.09% | 62.35% | -0.89 | +4.5 | 12 |
| 2026-07-19 | @ Jaro | D 0-0 | 50.0 | 1493 | 1196 | 62.35% | 25.09% | 12.56% | +0.89 | -4.5 | 31 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ilves | L 1-3 | 48.9 | 1351 | 1344 | 45.12% | 29.04% | 25.85% | +0.26 | -26.3 | 22 |
| 2026-07-20 | @ TPS Turku | W 3-1 | 48.9 | 1344 | 1351 | 25.85% | 29.04% | 45.12% | -0.26 | +26.3 | 19 |
| 2026-07-20 | Lahti | L 0-2 | 31.6 | 1111 | 1371 | 14.87% | 26.31% | 58.82% | -0.75 | -12.4 | 4 |
| 2026-07-20 | @ Mariehamn | W 2-0 | 31.6 | 1371 | 1111 | 58.82% | 26.31% | 14.87% | +0.75 | +12.4 | 22 |
| 2026-07-24 | SJK Seinajoki | W 2-1 | 50.6 | 1200 | 1327 | 27.17% | 29.17% | 43.66% | -0.24 | +14.8 | 15 |
| 2026-07-24 | @ Jaro | L 1-2 | 50.6 | 1327 | 1200 | 43.66% | 29.17% | 27.17% | +0.24 | -14.8 | 14 |
| 2026-07-25 | AC Oulu | D 1-1 | 52.4 | 1099 | 1280 | 21.27% | 28.32% | 50.41% | -0.45 | +2.2 | 5 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ Mariehamn | D 1-1 | 52.4 | 1280 | 1099 | 50.41% | 28.32% | 21.27% | +0.45 | -2.2 | 27 |
| 2026-07-25 | VPS | W 3-1 | 43.4 | 1561 | 1378 | 63.86% | 24.50% | 11.64% | +0.94 | +8.4 | 36 |
| 2026-07-25 | @ KuPS | L 1-3 | 43.4 | 1378 | 1561 | 11.64% | 24.50% | 63.86% | -0.94 | -8.4 | 27 |
| 2026-07-26 | Lahti | W 1-0 | 42.3 | 1370 | 1384 | 42.50% | 29.26% | 28.24% | +0.19 | +11.4 | 22 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Ilves | L 0-1 | 42.3 | 1384 | 1370 | 28.24% | 29.26% | 42.50% | -0.19 | -11.4 | 22 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gnistan | L 1-2 | 58.6 | 1489 | 1360 | 58.88% | 26.29% | 14.83% | +0.73 | -19.0 | 31 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Inter Turku | W 2-1 | 58.6 | 1360 | 1489 | 14.83% | 26.29% | 58.88% | -0.73 | +19.0 | 28 |
| 2026-07-26 | TPS Turku | W 1-0 | 38.7 | 1388 | 1324 | 52.01% | 28.03% | 19.96% | +0.48 | +8.6 | 28 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ HJK | L 0-1 | 38.7 | 1324 | 1388 | 19.96% | 28.03% | 52.01% | -0.48 | -8.6 | 22 |
| 2026-08-01 | Mariehamn | W 3-0 | 27.4 | 1316 | 1101 | 66.49% | 23.36% | 10.15% | +1.06 | +12.2 | 25 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ TPS Turku | L 0-3 | 27.4 | 1101 | 1316 | 10.15% | 23.36% | 66.49% | -1.06 | -12.2 | 5 |
| 2026-08-01 | Jaro | W 2-0 | 31.3 | 1372 | 1215 | 61.52% | 25.40% | 13.08% | +0.84 | +10.9 | 25 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Lahti | L 0-2 | 31.3 | 1215 | 1372 | 13.08% | 25.40% | 61.52% | -0.84 | -10.9 | 15 |
| 2026-08-01 | KuPS | L 0-1 | 44.9 | 1379 | 1570 | 20.32% | 28.12% | 51.56% | -0.49 | -8.7 | 28 |
| 2026-08-01 | @ Gnistan | W 1-0 | 44.9 | 1570 | 1379 | 51.56% | 28.12% | 20.32% | +0.49 | +8.7 | 39 |
| 2026-08-02 | Inter Turku | L 0-1 | 44.9 | 1370 | 1470 | 30.47% | 29.40% | 40.13% | -0.14 | -12.0 | 27 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ VPS | W 1-0 | 44.9 | 1470 | 1370 | 40.13% | 29.40% | 30.47% | +0.14 | +12.0 | 34 |
| 2026-08-02 | Ilves | W 1-0 | 44.7 | 1278 | 1382 | 30.02% | 29.38% | 40.60% | -0.16 | +14.8 | 30 |
| 2026-08-02 | @ AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 44.7 | 1382 | 1278 | 40.60% | 29.38% | 30.02% | +0.16 | -14.8 | 22 |
| 2026-08-03 | HJK | W 3-0 | 39.3 | 1312 | 1397 | 32.62% | 29.48% | 37.91% | -0.08 | +38.5 | 17 |
| 2026-08-03 | @ SJK Seinajoki | L 0-3 | 39.3 | 1397 | 1312 | 37.91% | 29.48% | 32.62% | +0.08 | -38.5 | 28 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gnistan | D 2-2 | 60.0 | 1351 | 1370 | 41.73% | 29.31% | 28.96% | +0.17 | -0.7 | 18 |
| 2026-08-07 | @ SJK Seinajoki | D 2-2 | 60.0 | 1370 | 1351 | 28.96% | 29.31% | 41.73% | -0.17 | +0.7 | 29 |
| 2026-08-08 | VPS | L 1-3 | 41.4 | 1204 | 1358 | 24.11% | 28.82% | 47.07% | -0.34 | -16.4 | 15 |
| 2026-08-08 | @ Jaro | W 3-1 | 41.4 | 1358 | 1204 | 47.07% | 28.82% | 24.11% | +0.34 | +16.4 | 30 |
| 2026-08-09 | HJK | L 0-1 | 43.1 | 1293 | 1358 | 35.28% | 29.51% | 35.21% | -0.01 | -13.4 | 30 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ AC Oulu | W 1-0 | 43.1 | 1358 | 1293 | 35.21% | 29.51% | 35.28% | +0.01 | +13.4 | 31 |
| 2026-08-09 | Mariehamn | W 2-0 | 27.8 | 1367 | 1089 | 71.39% | 20.90% | 7.70% | +1.30 | +6.1 | 25 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Ilves | L 0-2 | 27.8 | 1089 | 1367 | 7.70% | 20.90% | 71.39% | -1.30 | -6.1 | 5 |
| 2026-08-09 | Lahti | D 0-0 | 53.0 | 1482 | 1383 | 55.80% | 27.17% | 17.02% | +0.61 | -3.4 | 35 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 53.0 | 1383 | 1482 | 17.02% | 27.17% | 55.80% | -0.61 | +3.4 | 26 |
| 2026-08-09 | TPS Turku | D 1-1 | 60.7 | 1578 | 1328 | 69.36% | 21.97% | 8.67% | +1.19 | -5.0 | 40 |
| 2026-08-09 | @ KuPS | D 1-1 | 60.7 | 1328 | 1578 | 8.67% | 21.97% | 69.36% | -1.19 | +5.0 | 26 |
| 2026-08-14 | TPS Turku | L 1-3 | 50.2 | 1374 | 1333 | 49.40% | 28.49% | 22.12% | +0.40 | -28.3 | 30 |
| 2026-08-14 | @ VPS | W 3-1 | 50.2 | 1333 | 1374 | 22.12% | 28.49% | 49.40% | -0.40 | +28.3 | 29 |
| 2026-08-15 | SJK Seinajoki | W 2-0 | 44.8 | 1083 | 1350 | 14.39% | 26.09% | 59.53% | -0.78 | +38.3 | 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | @ Mariehamn | L 0-2 | 44.8 | 1350 | 1083 | 59.53% | 26.09% | 14.39% | +0.78 | -38.4 | 18 |
| 2026-08-16 | KuPS | L 1-2 | 51.3 | 1387 | 1574 | 20.72% | 28.20% | 51.08% | -0.47 | -8.4 | 26 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Lahti | W 2-1 | 51.3 | 1574 | 1387 | 51.08% | 28.20% | 20.72% | +0.47 | +8.4 | 43 |
| 2026-08-16 | Inter Turku | L 2-3 | 50.3 | 1279 | 1479 | 19.58% | 27.93% | 52.49% | -0.52 | -7.6 | 30 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ AC Oulu | W 3-2 | 50.3 | 1479 | 1279 | 52.49% | 27.93% | 19.58% | +0.52 | +7.6 | 38 |
| 2026-08-16 | Jaro | W 3-0 | 28.6 | 1371 | 1188 | 63.88% | 24.49% | 11.63% | +0.94 | +14.1 | 34 |
| 2026-08-16 | @ HJK | L 0-3 | 28.6 | 1188 | 1371 | 11.63% | 24.49% | 63.88% | -0.94 | -14.1 | 15 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ilves | W 3-2 | 52.6 | 1371 | 1373 | 43.97% | 29.14% | 26.88% | +0.23 | +9.8 | 32 |
| 2026-08-17 | @ Gnistan | L 2-3 | 52.6 | 1373 | 1371 | 26.88% | 29.14% | 43.97% | -0.23 | -9.8 | 25 |
| 2026-08-21 | Lahti | L 1-2 | 49.3 | 1312 | 1378 | 35.11% | 29.51% | 35.38% | -0.01 | -12.6 | 18 |
| 2026-08-21 | @ SJK Seinajoki | W 2-1 | 49.3 | 1378 | 1312 | 35.38% | 29.51% | 35.11% | +0.01 | +12.6 | 29 |
| 2026-08-22 | VPS | L 0-1 | 46.9 | 1363 | 1346 | 46.49% | 28.89% | 24.62% | +0.31 | -16.5 | 25 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Ilves | W 1-0 | 46.9 | 1346 | 1363 | 24.62% | 28.89% | 46.49% | -0.31 | +16.5 | 33 |
| 2026-08-22 | AC Oulu | L 0-1 | 40.6 | 1174 | 1272 | 30.78% | 29.41% | 39.81% | -0.13 | -12.1 | 15 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Jaro | W 1-0 | 40.6 | 1272 | 1174 | 39.81% | 29.41% | 30.78% | +0.13 | +12.1 | 33 |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 51.9 | 1361 | 1486 | 27.36% | 29.19% | 43.45% | -0.24 | +1.3 | 30 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ TPS Turku | D 0-0 | 51.9 | 1486 | 1361 | 43.45% | 29.19% | 27.36% | +0.24 | -1.3 | 39 |
| 2026-08-23 | Mariehamn | L 2-4 | 59.5 | 1582 | 1121 | 82.77% | 13.84% | 3.40% | +1.99 | -37.2 | 43 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ KuPS | W 4-2 | 59.5 | 1121 | 1582 | 3.40% | 13.84% | 82.77% | -1.99 | +37.2 | 11 |
| 2026-08-23 | Gnistan | L 2-3 | 58.4 | 1385 | 1380 | 44.92% | 29.06% | 26.03% | +0.26 | -14.3 | 34 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ HJK | W 3-2 | 58.4 | 1380 | 1385 | 26.03% | 29.06% | 44.92% | -0.26 | +14.3 | 35 |
| 2026-08-31 | SJK Seinajoki | D 0-0 | 47.8 | 1284 | 1299 | 42.24% | 29.28% | 28.48% | +0.18 | -1.1 | 34 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ AC Oulu | D 0-0 | 47.8 | 1299 | 1284 | 28.48% | 29.28% | 42.24% | -0.18 | +1.1 | 19 |
| 2026-08-31 | HJK | L 1-2 | 51.4 | 1347 | 1371 | 41.01% | 29.35% | 29.64% | +0.15 | -14.1 | 25 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Ilves | W 2-1 | 51.4 | 1371 | 1347 | 29.64% | 29.35% | 41.01% | -0.15 | +14.1 | 37 |
| 2026-08-31 | TPS Turku | D 1-1 | 54.9 | 1395 | 1362 | 48.33% | 28.65% | 23.02% | +0.36 | -1.9 | 36 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Gnistan | D 1-1 | 54.9 | 1362 | 1395 | 23.02% | 28.65% | 48.33% | -0.36 | +1.9 | 31 |
| 2026-08-31 | Jaro | W 2-0 | 35.8 | 1159 | 1162 | 43.86% | 29.15% | 26.99% | +0.23 | +20.7 | 14 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Mariehamn | L 0-2 | 35.8 | 1162 | 1159 | 26.99% | 29.15% | 43.86% | -0.23 | -20.7 | 15 |
| 2026-08-31 | KuPS | W 1-0 | 52.6 | 1485 | 1545 | 36.08% | 29.50% | 34.42% | +0.01 | +13.1 | 42 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ Inter Turku | L 0-1 | 52.6 | 1545 | 1485 | 34.42% | 29.50% | 36.08% | -0.01 | -13.1 | 43 |
| 2026-08-31 | Lahti | L 0-1 | 45.9 | 1362 | 1391 | 40.44% | 29.38% | 30.18% | +0.13 | -14.8 | 33 |
| 2026-08-31 | @ VPS | W 1-0 | 45.9 | 1391 | 1362 | 30.18% | 29.38% | 40.44% | -0.13 | +14.8 | 32 |
Second Phase Game Log
Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | AC Oulu | W 1-0 | 37.8 | 1347 | 1283 | 52.11% | 28.01% | 19.88% | +0.49 | +8.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ VPS | L 0-1 | 37.8 | 1283 | 1347 | 19.88% | 28.01% | 52.11% | -0.49 | -8.6 | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | KuPS | D 1-1 | 59.2 | 1393 | 1532 | 25.76% | 29.03% | 45.22% | -0.29 | +1.4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ Gnistan | D 1-1 | 59.2 | 1532 | 1393 | 45.22% | 29.03% | 25.76% | +0.29 | -1.4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Jaro | W 2-0 | 29.9 | 1333 | 1141 | 64.58% | 24.20% | 11.22% | +0.97 | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ Ilves | L 0-2 | 29.9 | 1141 | 1333 | 11.22% | 24.20% | 64.58% | -0.97 | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Mariehamn | W 2-1 | 38.8 | 1406 | 1179 | 67.46% | 22.91% | 9.63% | +1.10 | +4.0 | 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ Lahti | L 1-2 | 38.8 | 1179 | 1406 | 9.63% | 22.91% | 67.46% | -1.10 | -4.0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | SJK Seinajoki | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1364 | 1300 | 52.04% | 28.02% | 19.94% | +0.48 | -2.8 | 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | @ TPS Turku | D 0-0 | 48.9 | 1300 | 1364 | 19.94% | 28.02% | 52.04% | -0.48 | +2.8 | 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Inter Turku | W 2-1 | 55.4 | 1385 | 1498 | 28.87% | 29.31% | 41.82% | -0.19 | +14.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | @ HJK | L 1-2 | 55.4 | 1498 | 1385 | 41.82% | 29.31% | 28.87% | +0.19 | -14.3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Gnistan | L 1-2 | 46.8 | 1274 | 1394 | 27.95% | 29.24% | 42.81% | -0.22 | -10.6 | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ AC Oulu | W 2-1 | 46.8 | 1394 | 1274 | 42.81% | 29.24% | 27.95% | +0.22 | +10.6 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | TPS Turku | W 1-0 | 46.7 | 1175 | 1362 | 20.76% | 28.22% | 51.02% | -0.47 | +17.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Mariehamn | L 0-1 | 46.7 | 1362 | 1175 | 51.02% | 28.22% | 20.76% | +0.47 | -17.8 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lahti | W 3-1 | 47.0 | 1342 | 1410 | 34.95% | 29.51% | 35.54% | -0.02 | +21.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Ilves | L 1-3 | 47.0 | 1410 | 1342 | 35.54% | 29.51% | 34.95% | +0.02 | -21.9 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | SJK Seinajoki | D 1-1 | 52.4 | 1132 | 1303 | 22.21% | 28.51% | 49.28% | -0.41 | +2.0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Jaro | D 1-1 | 52.4 | 1303 | 1132 | 49.28% | 28.51% | 22.21% | +0.41 | -2.0 | 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | HJK | D 0-0 | 55.3 | 1530 | 1400 | 59.01% | 26.25% | 14.73% | +0.74 | -3.9 | 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ KuPS | D 0-0 | 55.3 | 1400 | 1530 | 14.73% | 26.25% | 59.01% | -0.74 | +3.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | VPS | W 1-0 | 39.3 | 1484 | 1356 | 58.73% | 26.34% | 14.93% | +0.73 | +6.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | @ Inter Turku | L 0-1 | 39.3 | 1356 | 1484 | 14.93% | 26.34% | 58.73% | -0.73 | -6.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | Inter Turku | L 0-1 | 38.4 | 1264 | 1490 | 17.27% | 27.26% | 55.47% | -0.62 | -7.6 | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ AC Oulu | W 1-0 | 38.4 | 1490 | 1264 | 55.47% | 27.26% | 17.27% | +0.62 | +7.6 | 6 |
| 2026-09-18 | HJK | D 1-1 | 55.8 | 1405 | 1403 | 44.46% | 29.10% | 26.44% | +0.24 | -1.3 | 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Gnistan | D 1-1 | 55.8 | 1403 | 1405 | 26.44% | 29.10% | 44.46% | -0.24 | +1.3 | 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | Jaro | D 1-1 | 54.7 | 1388 | 1134 | 69.62% | 21.84% | 8.54% | +1.21 | -5.0 | 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Lahti | D 1-1 | 54.7 | 1134 | 1388 | 8.54% | 21.84% | 69.62% | -1.21 | +5.0 | 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | Mariehamn | W 2-1 | 41.6 | 1301 | 1193 | 56.76% | 26.92% | 16.32% | +0.65 | +6.8 | 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ SJK Seinajoki | L 1-2 | 41.6 | 1193 | 1301 | 16.32% | 26.92% | 56.76% | -0.65 | -6.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | KuPS | L 0-2 | 39.5 | 1349 | 1526 | 21.69% | 28.41% | 49.91% | -0.43 | -17.4 | 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ VPS | W 2-0 | 39.5 | 1526 | 1349 | 49.91% | 28.41% | 21.69% | +0.43 | +17.4 | 5 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ilves | L 0-3 | 40.3 | 1344 | 1364 | 41.61% | 29.32% | 29.07% | +0.16 | -41.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ TPS Turku | W 3-0 | 40.3 | 1364 | 1344 | 29.07% | 29.32% | 41.61% | -0.16 | +41.3 | 9 |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Turku | D 0-0 | 53.4 | 1404 | 1498 | 31.28% | 29.43% | 39.29% | -0.12 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 2026-10-07 | @ Gnistan | D 0-0 | 53.4 | 1498 | 1404 | 39.29% | 29.43% | 31.28% | +0.12 | -0.6 | 7 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | VPS | 1405 | 1332 | 53.02% | 27.82% | 19.16% | +0.52 | 52.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | @ HJK | 1332 | 1405 | 19.16% | 27.82% | 53.02% | -0.52 | 52.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | AC Oulu | 1544 | 1256 | 72.11% | 20.51% | 7.38% | +1.33 | 33.2 |
| 2026-10-08 | @ KuPS | 1256 | 1544 | 7.38% | 20.51% | 72.11% | -1.33 | 33.2 |
| 2026-10-09 | Lahti | 1308 | 1383 | 33.93% | 29.50% | 36.57% | -0.05 | 46.3 |
| 2026-10-09 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 1383 | 1308 | 36.57% | 29.50% | 33.93% | +0.05 | 46.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Jaro | 1302 | 1139 | 62.12% | 25.18% | 12.70% | +0.86 | 31.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ TPS Turku | 1139 | 1302 | 12.70% | 25.18% | 62.12% | -0.86 | 31.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Ilves | 1186 | 1405 | 17.90% | 27.46% | 54.64% | -0.59 | 32.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Mariehamn | 1405 | 1186 | 54.64% | 27.46% | 17.90% | +0.59 | 32.1 |
| 2026-10-11 | KuPS | 1497 | 1544 | 37.99% | 29.47% | 32.54% | +0.06 | 66.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Inter Turku | 1544 | 1497 | 32.54% | 29.47% | 37.99% | -0.06 | 66.3 |
| 2026-10-12 | Gnistan | 1332 | 1404 | 34.30% | 29.50% | 36.20% | -0.04 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-12 | @ VPS | 1404 | 1332 | 36.20% | 29.50% | 34.30% | +0.04 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-12 | HJK | 1256 | 1405 | 24.61% | 28.88% | 46.51% | -0.33 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-12 | @ AC Oulu | 1405 | 1256 | 46.51% | 28.88% | 24.61% | +0.33 | 44.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Gnistan | 1405 | 1404 | 44.33% | 29.11% | 26.56% | +0.24 | 63.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ HJK | 1404 | 1405 | 26.56% | 29.11% | 44.33% | -0.24 | 63.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | AC Oulu | 1497 | 1256 | 68.63% | 22.34% | 9.03% | +1.16 | 30.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Inter Turku | 1256 | 1497 | 9.03% | 22.34% | 68.63% | -1.16 | 30.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | SJK Seinajoki | 1405 | 1308 | 55.67% | 27.21% | 17.12% | +0.61 | 46.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Ilves | 1308 | 1405 | 17.12% | 27.21% | 55.67% | -0.61 | 46.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | TPS Turku | 1383 | 1302 | 53.84% | 27.65% | 18.52% | +0.54 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lahti | 1302 | 1383 | 18.52% | 27.65% | 53.84% | -0.54 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | Mariehamn | 1139 | 1186 | 37.80% | 29.48% | 32.72% | +0.06 | 41.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Jaro | 1186 | 1139 | 32.72% | 29.48% | 37.80% | -0.06 | 41.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | VPS | 1544 | 1332 | 66.25% | 23.47% | 10.28% | +1.04 | 42.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | @ KuPS | 1332 | 1544 | 10.28% | 23.47% | 66.25% | -1.04 | 42.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Inter Turku | 1332 | 1497 | 22.85% | 28.62% | 48.53% | -0.39 | 44.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ VPS | 1497 | 1332 | 48.53% | 28.62% | 22.85% | +0.39 | 44.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | AC Oulu | 1404 | 1256 | 60.70% | 25.69% | 13.61% | +0.80 | 41.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Gnistan | 1256 | 1404 | 13.61% | 25.69% | 60.70% | -0.80 | 41.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | KuPS | 1405 | 1544 | 25.74% | 29.02% | 45.24% | -0.29 | 56.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ HJK | 1544 | 1405 | 45.24% | 29.02% | 25.74% | +0.29 | 56.9 |
| 2026-10-28 | VPS | 1256 | 1332 | 33.77% | 29.50% | 36.73% | -0.05 | 46.8 |
| 2026-10-28 | @ AC Oulu | 1332 | 1256 | 36.73% | 29.50% | 33.77% | +0.05 | 46.8 |
| 2026-10-29 | HJK | 1497 | 1405 | 55.15% | 27.34% | 17.51% | +0.59 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | @ Inter Turku | 1405 | 1497 | 17.51% | 27.34% | 55.15% | -0.59 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-29 | Gnistan | 1544 | 1404 | 59.85% | 25.98% | 14.17% | +0.77 | 54.2 |
| 2026-10-29 | @ KuPS | 1404 | 1544 | 14.17% | 25.98% | 59.85% | -0.77 | 54.2 |
| 2026-11-01 | KuPS | 1256 | 1544 | 13.13% | 25.43% | 61.44% | -0.86 | 36.4 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ AC Oulu | 1544 | 1256 | 61.44% | 25.43% | 13.13% | +0.86 | 36.4 |
| 2026-11-02 | Gnistan | 1497 | 1404 | 55.20% | 27.32% | 17.47% | +0.59 | 54.4 |
| 2026-11-02 | @ Inter Turku | 1404 | 1497 | 17.47% | 27.32% | 55.20% | -0.59 | 54.4 |
| 2026-11-02 | HJK | 1332 | 1405 | 34.23% | 29.50% | 36.27% | -0.04 | 54.3 |
| 2026-11-02 | @ VPS | 1405 | 1332 | 36.27% | 29.50% | 34.23% | +0.04 | 54.3 |
| 2026-11-08 | AC Oulu | 1405 | 1256 | 60.75% | 25.68% | 13.58% | +0.81 | 41.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ HJK | 1256 | 1405 | 13.58% | 25.68% | 60.75% | -0.81 | 41.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | VPS | 1404 | 1332 | 52.97% | 27.84% | 19.20% | +0.51 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ Gnistan | 1332 | 1404 | 19.20% | 27.84% | 52.97% | -0.51 | 52.6 |
| 2026-11-08 | Inter Turku | 1544 | 1497 | 50.00% | 28.39% | 21.61% | +0.42 | 65.1 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ KuPS | 1497 | 1544 | 21.61% | 28.39% | 50.00% | -0.42 | 65.1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-08-23 | 3.40% | Mariehamn | 1121 | 4 | @ KuPS | 1582 | 2 |
| 2 | 2026-08-15 | 14.39% | @ Mariehamn | 1083 | 2 | SJK Seinajoki | 1350 | 0 |
| 3 | 2026-05-05 | 14.53% | @ Gnistan | 1204 | 2 | Inter Turku | 1469 | 0 |
| 4 | 2026-07-26 | 14.83% | Gnistan | 1360 | 2 | @ Inter Turku | 1489 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-04-11 | 15.47% | AC Oulu | 1300 | 1 | @ HJK | 1420 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-05-02 | 20.11% | @ AC Oulu | 1314 | 2 | KuPS | 1507 | 0 |
| 7 | 2026-09-12 | 20.76% | @ Mariehamn | 1175 | 1 | TPS Turku | 1362 | 0 |
| 8 | 2026-07-04 | 21.24% | @ Jaro | 1179 | 2 | Ilves | 1361 | 1 |
| 9 | 2026-08-14 | 22.12% | TPS Turku | 1333 | 3 | @ VPS | 1374 | 1 |
| 10 | 2026-06-17 | 22.51% | VPS | 1308 | 2 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 1346 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-06-13 | 23.00% | SJK Seinajoki | 1331 | 3 | @ Lahti | 1363 | 2 |
| 12 | 2026-04-04 | 23.25% | AC Oulu | 1250 | 5 | @ Gnistan | 1280 | 1 |
| 13 | 2026-08-22 | 24.62% | VPS | 1346 | 1 | @ Ilves | 1363 | 0 |
| 14 | 2026-05-23 | 25.62% | AC Oulu | 1350 | 1 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 1359 | 0 |
| 15 | 2026-07-20 | 25.85% | Ilves | 1344 | 3 | @ TPS Turku | 1351 | 1 |
| 16 | 2026-08-23 | 26.03% | Gnistan | 1380 | 3 | @ HJK | 1385 | 2 |
| 17 | 2026-07-24 | 27.17% | @ Jaro | 1200 | 2 | SJK Seinajoki | 1327 | 1 |
| 18 | 2026-04-24 | 27.53% | @ VPS | 1274 | 3 | Ilves | 1398 | 2 |
| 19 | 2026-05-22 | 28.00% | @ VPS | 1302 | 2 | HJK | 1422 | 1 |
| 20 | 2026-09-09 | 28.87% | @ HJK | 1385 | 2 | Inter Turku | 1498 | 1 |
| 21 | 2026-09-19 | 29.07% | Ilves | 1364 | 3 | @ TPS Turku | 1344 | 0 |
| 22 | 2026-07-18 | 29.46% | Gnistan | 1331 | 2 | @ AC Oulu | 1308 | 0 |
| 23 | 2026-08-31 | 29.64% | HJK | 1371 | 2 | @ Ilves | 1347 | 1 |
| 24 | 2026-08-02 | 30.02% | @ AC Oulu | 1278 | 1 | Ilves | 1382 | 0 |
| 25 | 2026-08-31 | 30.18% | Lahti | 1391 | 1 | @ VPS | 1362 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-05-30 | 62.95 | @ Lahti | 5 | 1300 | 31.89% | Ilves | 0 | 1390 | 38.65% | 29.46% |
| 2 | 2026-05-16 | 51.09 | @ Gnistan | 5 | 1245 | 41.71% | Jaro | 0 | 1264 | 28.97% | 29.31% |
| 3 | 2026-06-27 | 51.07 | KuPS | 4 | 1495 | 31.91% | @ HJK | 0 | 1453 | 38.63% | 29.46% |
| 4 | 2026-04-04 | 50.52 | AC Oulu | 5 | 1250 | 23.25% | @ Gnistan | 1 | 1280 | 48.06% | 28.69% |
| 5 | 2026-09-19 | 41.34 | Ilves | 3 | 1364 | 29.07% | @ TPS Turku | 0 | 1344 | 41.61% | 29.32% |
| 6 | 2026-06-23 | 38.69 | @ VPS | 5 | 1325 | 36.66% | AC Oulu | 1 | 1380 | 33.84% | 29.50% |
| 7 | 2026-08-03 | 38.54 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 3 | 1312 | 32.62% | HJK | 0 | 1397 | 37.91% | 29.48% |
| 8 | 2026-08-15 | 38.35 | @ Mariehamn | 2 | 1083 | 14.39% | SJK Seinajoki | 0 | 1350 | 59.53% | 26.09% |
| 9 | 2026-05-05 | 38.23 | @ Gnistan | 2 | 1204 | 14.53% | Inter Turku | 0 | 1469 | 59.31% | 26.16% |
| 10 | 2026-08-23 | 37.22 | Mariehamn | 4 | 1121 | 3.40% | @ KuPS | 2 | 1582 | 82.77% | 13.84% |
| 11 | 2026-05-02 | 34.05 | @ AC Oulu | 2 | 1314 | 20.11% | KuPS | 0 | 1507 | 51.82% | 28.07% |
| 12 | 2026-06-13 | 34.04 | Gnistan | 3 | 1292 | 38.66% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1203 | 31.88% | 29.45% |
| 13 | 2026-05-23 | 33.69 | @ Jaro | 3 | 1203 | 39.13% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1241 | 31.43% | 29.44% |
| 14 | 2026-04-04 | 33.54 | @ HJK | 3 | 1386 | 39.33% | SJK Seinajoki | 0 | 1423 | 31.24% | 29.43% |
| 15 | 2026-07-11 | 31.98 | @ TPS Turku | 3 | 1319 | 41.39% | AC Oulu | 0 | 1340 | 29.28% | 29.33% |
| 16 | 2026-06-17 | 29.31 | @ Ilves | 5 | 1339 | 58.60% | Jaro | 0 | 1212 | 15.02% | 26.38% |
| 17 | 2026-08-14 | 28.31 | TPS Turku | 3 | 1333 | 22.12% | @ VPS | 1 | 1374 | 49.40% | 28.49% |
| 18 | 2026-07-18 | 28.25 | Gnistan | 2 | 1331 | 29.46% | @ AC Oulu | 0 | 1308 | 41.19% | 29.34% |
| 19 | 2026-04-18 | 26.73 | @ TPS Turku | 2 | 1321 | 32.26% | SJK Seinajoki | 0 | 1408 | 38.28% | 29.47% |
| 20 | 2026-07-20 | 26.28 | Ilves | 3 | 1344 | 25.85% | @ TPS Turku | 1 | 1351 | 45.12% | 29.04% |
| 21 | 2026-04-18 | 25.52 | HJK | 3 | 1400 | 49.59% | @ Gnistan | 0 | 1226 | 21.96% | 28.46% |
| 22 | 2026-07-11 | 24.40 | @ Lahti | 2 | 1347 | 36.79% | HJK | 0 | 1402 | 33.72% | 29.50% |
| 23 | 2026-06-23 | 22.97 | HJK | 4 | 1430 | 59.38% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1164 | 14.49% | 26.14% |
| 24 | 2026-04-04 | 22.72 | KuPS | 3 | 1482 | 33.20% | @ Ilves | 1 | 1431 | 37.32% | 29.49% |
| 25 | 2026-05-16 | 22.09 | Inter Turku | 3 | 1442 | 34.61% | @ SJK Seinajoki | 1 | 1381 | 35.89% | 29.51% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-06-17 | 68.5 | @ HJK | 3 | 1430 | 36.21% | Inter Turku | 3 | 1489 | 34.28% | 29.50% |
| 2 | 2026-05-16 | 62.1 | @ HJK | 2 | 1423 | 47.81% | Ilves | 2 | 1395 | 23.47% | 28.72% |
| 3 | 2026-05-30 | 60.9 | @ KuPS | 1 | 1482 | 43.00% | Inter Turku | 1 | 1491 | 27.77% | 29.22% |
| 4 | 2026-08-09 | 60.7 | @ KuPS | 1 | 1578 | 69.36% | TPS Turku | 1 | 1328 | 8.67% | 21.97% |
| 5 | 2026-04-26 | 60.0 | @ KuPS | 1 | 1510 | 54.30% | HJK | 1 | 1425 | 18.16% | 27.54% |
| 6 | 2026-08-07 | 60.0 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 2 | 1351 | 41.73% | Gnistan | 2 | 1370 | 28.96% | 29.31% |
| 7 | 2026-06-27 | 59.9 | @ Ilves | 2 | 1362 | 47.86% | SJK Seinajoki | 2 | 1333 | 23.43% | 28.71% |
| 8 | 2026-08-23 | 59.5 | Mariehamn | 4 | 1121 | 3.40% | @ KuPS | 2 | 1582 | 82.77% | 13.84% |
| 9 | 2026-04-18 | 59.3 | @ Mariehamn | 2 | 1253 | 24.91% | Ilves | 2 | 1399 | 46.17% | 28.92% |
| 10 | 2026-09-08 | 59.2 | @ Gnistan | 1 | 1393 | 25.76% | KuPS | 1 | 1532 | 45.22% | 29.03% |
| 11 | 2026-05-02 | 58.9 | @ Jaro | 2 | 1275 | 34.71% | TPS Turku | 2 | 1344 | 35.79% | 29.51% |
| 12 | 2026-07-26 | 58.6 | Gnistan | 2 | 1360 | 14.83% | @ Inter Turku | 1 | 1489 | 58.88% | 26.29% |
| 13 | 2026-04-29 | 58.5 | @ Inter Turku | 1 | 1471 | 49.59% | HJK | 1 | 1428 | 21.95% | 28.46% |
| 14 | 2026-08-23 | 58.4 | Gnistan | 3 | 1380 | 26.03% | @ HJK | 2 | 1385 | 44.92% | 29.06% |
| 15 | 2026-06-13 | 58.2 | SJK Seinajoki | 3 | 1331 | 23.00% | @ Lahti | 2 | 1363 | 48.36% | 28.64% |
| 16 | 2026-06-23 | 57.1 | @ Inter Turku | 1 | 1489 | 61.72% | SJK Seinajoki | 1 | 1330 | 12.95% | 25.33% |
| 17 | 2026-04-24 | 56.6 | @ VPS | 3 | 1274 | 27.53% | Ilves | 2 | 1398 | 43.27% | 29.20% |
| 18 | 2026-04-18 | 55.8 | @ Jaro | 1 | 1269 | 16.28% | KuPS | 1 | 1508 | 56.82% | 26.90% |
| 19 | 2026-09-18 | 55.8 | @ Gnistan | 1 | 1405 | 44.46% | HJK | 1 | 1403 | 26.44% | 29.10% |
| 20 | 2026-06-13 | 55.5 | @ VPS | 1 | 1306 | 21.92% | KuPS | 1 | 1481 | 49.63% | 28.45% |
| 21 | 2026-09-09 | 55.4 | @ HJK | 2 | 1385 | 28.87% | Inter Turku | 1 | 1498 | 41.82% | 29.31% |
| 22 | 2026-09-13 | 55.3 | @ KuPS | 0 | 1530 | 59.01% | HJK | 0 | 1400 | 14.73% | 26.25% |
| 23 | 2026-08-31 | 54.9 | @ Gnistan | 1 | 1395 | 48.33% | TPS Turku | 1 | 1362 | 23.02% | 28.65% |
| 24 | 2026-05-02 | 54.8 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 1 | 1378 | 43.52% | Ilves | 1 | 1384 | 27.30% | 29.18% |
| 25 | 2026-09-18 | 54.7 | @ Lahti | 1 | 1388 | 69.62% | Jaro | 1 | 1134 | 8.54% | 21.84% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-07-04 | 27.0 | @ VPS | 4 | 1364 | 67.85% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1133 | 9.43% | 22.72% |
| 2 | 2026-08-01 | 27.4 | @ TPS Turku | 3 | 1316 | 66.49% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1101 | 10.15% | 23.36% |
| 3 | 2026-05-20 | 27.8 | @ KuPS | 3 | 1467 | 69.60% | Jaro | 0 | 1213 | 8.55% | 21.85% |
| 4 | 2026-08-09 | 27.8 | @ Ilves | 2 | 1367 | 71.39% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1089 | 7.70% | 20.90% |
| 5 | 2026-08-16 | 28.6 | @ HJK | 3 | 1371 | 63.88% | Jaro | 0 | 1188 | 11.63% | 24.49% |
| 6 | 2026-09-08 | 29.9 | @ Ilves | 2 | 1333 | 64.58% | Jaro | 0 | 1141 | 11.22% | 24.20% |
| 7 | 2026-06-23 | 30.0 | HJK | 4 | 1430 | 59.38% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1164 | 14.49% | 26.14% |
| 8 | 2026-06-27 | 30.1 | Inter Turku | 2 | 1485 | 66.32% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1141 | 10.24% | 23.44% |
| 9 | 2026-06-17 | 30.7 | @ Ilves | 5 | 1339 | 58.60% | Jaro | 0 | 1212 | 15.02% | 26.38% |
| 10 | 2026-04-10 | 31.2 | @ SJK Seinajoki | 3 | 1389 | 57.72% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1272 | 15.64% | 26.65% |
| 11 | 2026-08-01 | 31.3 | @ Lahti | 2 | 1372 | 61.52% | Jaro | 0 | 1215 | 13.08% | 25.40% |
| 12 | 2026-07-20 | 31.6 | Lahti | 2 | 1371 | 58.82% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1111 | 14.87% | 26.31% |
| 13 | 2026-05-09 | 32.4 | @ Inter Turku | 2 | 1431 | 61.39% | Jaro | 0 | 1275 | 13.16% | 25.45% |
| 14 | 2026-04-11 | 33.3 | @ KuPS | 1 | 1505 | 71.26% | Gnistan | 0 | 1229 | 7.76% | 20.97% |
| 15 | 2026-04-18 | 33.3 | HJK | 3 | 1400 | 49.59% | @ Gnistan | 0 | 1226 | 21.96% | 28.46% |
| 16 | 2026-05-30 | 33.8 | @ HJK | 1 | 1407 | 65.26% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1207 | 10.84% | 23.91% |
| 17 | 2026-05-23 | 34.3 | @ Ilves | 2 | 1374 | 53.67% | Gnistan | 0 | 1296 | 18.65% | 27.68% |
| 18 | 2026-04-25 | 34.6 | @ Inter Turku | 1 | 1467 | 66.31% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1254 | 10.25% | 23.44% |
| 19 | 2026-05-16 | 35.6 | @ Gnistan | 5 | 1245 | 41.71% | Jaro | 0 | 1264 | 28.97% | 29.31% |
| 20 | 2026-05-23 | 35.6 | @ Jaro | 3 | 1203 | 39.13% | Mariehamn | 0 | 1241 | 31.43% | 29.44% |
| 21 | 2026-08-31 | 35.8 | @ Mariehamn | 2 | 1159 | 43.86% | Jaro | 0 | 1162 | 26.99% | 29.15% |
| 22 | 2026-06-13 | 35.9 | Gnistan | 3 | 1292 | 38.66% | @ Mariehamn | 0 | 1203 | 31.88% | 29.45% |
| 23 | 2026-07-11 | 36.1 | @ TPS Turku | 3 | 1319 | 41.39% | AC Oulu | 0 | 1340 | 29.28% | 29.33% |
| 24 | 2026-05-04 | 37.7 | @ HJK | 1 | 1430 | 57.37% | Lahti | 0 | 1316 | 15.88% | 26.75% |
| 25 | 2026-09-08 | 37.8 | @ VPS | 1 | 1347 | 52.11% | AC Oulu | 0 | 1283 | 19.88% | 28.01% |