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2012 Ykkönen Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

RoPS

13.17 points above expected

59 points · 45.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Helsingfors

8.75 points below expected

21 points · 29.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 RoPS 27 18 5 4 59 53 20 +33 45.83 +13.17
2 SJK Seinajoki 27 14 5 8 47 42 29 +13 43.49 +3.51
3 Viikingit 27 14 3 10 45 36 36 0 41.34 +3.66
4 PK-35 Vantaa 27 13 4 10 43 54 31 +23 42.71 +0.29
5 OPS Oulu 27 10 8 9 38 34 35 -1 38.46 -0.46
6 AC Oulu 27 9 10 8 37 38 35 +3 43.11 -6.11
7 KooTeePee 27 10 5 12 35 30 33 -3 34.62 +0.38
8 JIPPO 27 7 7 13 28 31 44 -13 32.87 -4.87
9 Hameenlinna 27 5 7 15 22 18 48 -30 25.64 -3.64
10 Helsingfors 27 5 6 16 21 29 54 -25 29.75 -8.75

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 RoPS 59 45.83 +13.17
2 Viikingit 45 41.34 +3.66
3 SJK Seinajoki 47 43.49 +3.51
4 KooTeePee 35 34.62 +0.38
5 PK-35 Vantaa 43 42.71 +0.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingfors 21 29.75 -8.75
2 AC Oulu 37 43.11 -6.11
3 JIPPO 28 32.87 -4.87
4 Hameenlinna 22 25.64 -3.64
5 OPS Oulu 38 38.46 -0.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 RoPS 6 May 17 – Jun 17 1 in 122
2 Viikingit 5 May 16 – Jun 3 1 in 64
3 SJK Seinajoki 5 May 5 – May 24 1 in 52
4 Helsingfors 2 Sep 15 – Sep 22 1 in 27
5 OPS Oulu 3 May 26 – Jun 3 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingfors 6 Jun 26 – Jul 22 1 in 113
2 SJK Seinajoki 3 May 30 – Jun 16 1 in 36
3 RoPS 2 Sep 1 – Sep 15 1 in 26
4 OPS Oulu 3 Jun 20 – Jun 30 1 in 23
5 KooTeePee 4 May 17 – May 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 RoPS 22 Apr 28 – Aug 29 1 in 5,814
2 Hameenlinna 7 Jun 30 – Aug 4 1 in 360
3 AC Oulu 10 Jun 16 – Aug 4 1 in 66
4 KooTeePee 5 Sep 1 – Oct 6 1 in 33
5 JIPPO 6 Jul 7 – Aug 11 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OPS Oulu 12 Jun 17 – Aug 11 1 in 640
2 SJK Seinajoki 7 Jul 4 – Aug 11 1 in 95
3 RoPS 5 Sep 1 – Oct 6 1 in 55
4 Helsingfors 10 Jun 26 – Aug 18 1 in 45
5 AC Oulu 6 Apr 28 – May 27 1 in 44

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
RoPS 1274 59 -28 1 8.9 -7.9
SJK Seinajoki 1254 47 +12 9 7.7 +1.3
Viikingit 1193 45 -22 7 8.0 -1.0
PK-35 Vantaa 1228 43 -5 7 8.7 -1.7
OPS Oulu 1192 38 +20 13 7.1 +5.9
AC Oulu 1218 37 -7 5 7.4 -2.4
KooTeePee 1172 35 +31 13 5.7 +7.3
JIPPO 1123 28 -5 3 5.8 -2.8
Hameenlinna 1077 22 +0 4 5.1 -1.1
Helsingfors 1092 21 +5 7 5.4 +1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO HAM HEL JIP KOO OO PV ROP SS VII
AC Oulu —
1-1-1
5.40
1-1-1
5.09
2-1-0
5.42
2-1-0
5.20
1-2-0
4.93
1-0-2
3.81
0-1-2
3.68
1-1-1
4.35
0-2-1
4.67
Hameenlinna
1-1-1
3.00
 —
2-0-1
4.14
0-2-1
3.33
0-2-1
2.94
0-1-2
2.73
0-0-3
2.59
0-0-3
2.89
0-1-2
2.78
2-0-1
2.46
Helsingfors
1-1-1
3.29
1-0-2
4.23
 —
0-1-2
3.62
1-0-2
4.17
0-2-1
3.56
1-1-1
3.18
1-0-2
2.40
0-0-3
2.80
0-1-2
2.75
JIPPO
0-1-2
2.98
1-2-0
5.05
2-1-0
4.74
 —
1-0-2
3.63
1-0-2
3.30
1-0-2
2.87
0-2-1
2.49
1-1-1
3.55
0-0-3
3.83
KooTeePee
0-1-2
3.19
1-2-0
5.46
2-0-1
4.19
2-0-1
4.75
 —
1-1-1
4.22
2-0-1
3.04
0-0-3
3.02
1-1-1
3.56
1-0-2
3.29
OPS Oulu
0-2-1
3.45
2-1-0
5.69
1-2-0
4.81
2-0-1
5.08
1-1-1
4.15
 —
1-1-1
4.14
1-0-2
3.75
2-1-0
3.23
0-0-3
4.15
PK-35 Vantaa
2-0-1
4.55
3-0-0
5.83
1-1-1
5.20
2-0-1
5.54
1-0-2
5.35
1-1-1
4.23
 —
0-2-1
4.34
1-0-2
3.69
2-0-1
3.91
RoPS
2-1-0
4.69
3-0-0
5.52
2-0-1
6.05
1-2-0
5.94
3-0-0
5.39
2-0-1
4.63
1-2-0
4.04
 —
2-0-1
4.05
2-0-1
5.12
SJK Seinajoki
1-1-1
4.01
2-1-0
5.63
3-0-0
5.62
1-1-1
4.83
1-1-1
4.82
0-1-2
5.15
2-0-1
4.67
1-0-2
4.33
 —
3-0-0
4.10
Viikingit
1-2-0
3.70
1-0-2
5.99
2-1-0
5.66
3-0-0
4.55
2-0-1
5.09
3-0-0
4.19
1-0-2
4.46
1-0-2
3.28
0-0-3
4.26
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +9.0
Allowed 0.90 -11.4
Differential 0.88 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.89%6.67%5.93%2.59%0.37%31.11%
18.89%11.85%4.44%5.19%0.74%0.74%31.85%
26.67%4.44%2.96%1.85%0.37%0.37%16.67%
35.93%5.19%1.85%0.74%0.74%—14.44%
42.59%0.74%0.37%0.74%——4.44%
5+0.37%0.74%0.37%———1.48%
Total31.11%31.85%16.67%14.44%4.44%1.48%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.06
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%7.41%3.70%——33.33%
17.41%11.11%————18.52%
23.70%3.70%14.81%3.70%——25.93%
3—11.11%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total18.52%44.44%25.93%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.30 +0.11
SD 1.25 0.91 1.40
CV 0.89 0.70 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%—14.81%11.11%3.70%3.70%48.15%
17.41%11.11%11.11%11.11%——40.74%
27.41%—————7.41%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%11.11%25.93%22.22%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.78 -1.11
SD 0.78 1.93 2.33
CV 1.18 1.08 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
13.70%11.11%11.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%44.44%
23.70%3.70%3.70%——3.70%14.81%
3—3.70%3.70%—3.70%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%22.22%14.81%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.00 -0.93
SD 0.96 1.49 1.64
CV 0.89 0.75 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%—37.04%
17.41%18.52%3.70%3.70%—3.70%37.04%
23.70%——3.70%——7.41%
3—11.11%——3.70%—14.81%
4———————
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total18.52%40.74%14.81%14.81%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.63 -0.48
SD 1.29 1.36 1.85
CV 1.13 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%18.52%3.70%7.41%3.70%—40.74%
111.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%—29.63%
2—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
318.52%—3.70%———22.22%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.04%29.63%14.81%11.11%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.19 1.28 2.03
CV 1.07 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%—14.81%——29.63%
17.41%22.22%3.70%3.70%——37.04%
27.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
33.70%—3.70%———7.41%
43.70%——3.70%——7.41%
5+———————
Total25.93%40.74%11.11%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.30 -0.04
SD 1.20 1.10 1.79
CV 0.95 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%—3.70%3.70%—25.93%
13.70%7.41%11.11%3.70%——25.93%
27.41%7.41%—3.70%——18.52%
37.41%—————7.41%
47.41%——3.70%——11.11%
5+3.70%7.41%————11.11%
Total37.04%33.33%11.11%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.15 +0.85
SD 2.11 1.20 2.71
CV 1.06 1.04 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
111.11%11.11%————22.22%
214.81%——3.70%3.70%—22.22%
314.81%14.81%3.70%———33.33%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total51.85%33.33%7.41%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.74 +1.22
SD 1.22 1.02 1.60
CV 0.62 1.38 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%14.81%———22.22%
111.11%11.11%—7.41%——29.63%
214.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
33.70%11.11%————14.81%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total37.04%29.63%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.07 +0.48
SD 1.22 1.04 1.76
CV 0.78 0.96 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%11.11%7.41%7.41%—29.63%
118.52%7.41%—7.41%——33.33%
23.70%14.81%————18.52%
37.41%——3.70%——11.11%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+———————
Total37.04%25.93%11.11%18.52%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.36 2.27
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
RoPS 1274 59 45.83 +13.17 99.0% 32 35 41 45 50 57 61
SJK Seinajoki 1254 47 43.49 +3.51 73.0% 27 32 39 44 48 55 58
PK-35 Vantaa 1228 43 42.71 +0.29 53.0% 23 30 38 42 48 54 58
AC Oulu 1218 37 43.11 -6.11 17.0% 28 31 39 42 49 53 59
Viikingit 1193 45 41.34 +3.66 77.0% 26 32 36 41 45 53 58
OPS Oulu 1192 38 38.46 -0.46 47.0% 17 27 34 39 42 49 51
KooTeePee 1172 35 34.62 +0.38 53.0% 16 24 30 35 38 46 54
JIPPO 1123 28 32.87 -4.87 22.0% 16 22 29 33 37 42 46
Helsingfors 1092 21 29.75 -8.75 12.0% 15 19 25 29 34 40 46
Hameenlinna 1077 22 25.64 -3.64 35.0% 13 17 21 25 29 37 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.07%
Slight Edge
45.93%22.22%31.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge
148 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
049.23400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
RoPS, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.44/gm
Runaway
00.160.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.3 * Some Luck: 5.3 to 7.95 * Lucky: 7.95 to 10.6 * Wild Swing: 10.6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.06 * Off: 2.06 to 2.75 * Way Off: 2.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.91 points
Some Luck
06.6317
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.724
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
RoPS
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.00%
Helsingfors
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 66.67
1.69
Moderate Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Few
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
RoPS29.00%20.00%19.00%14.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
SJK Seinajoki21.00%16.00%18.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%—
Viikingit10.00%10.00%14.00%22.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%—
PK-35 Vantaa20.00%17.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
OPS Oulu4.00%6.00%14.00%12.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%
AC Oulu14.00%25.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%—
KooTeePee2.00%3.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%21.00%21.00%12.00%5.00%
JIPPO—2.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%18.00%19.00%14.00%
Hameenlinna———3.00%—3.00%8.00%13.00%15.00%58.00%
Helsingfors—1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%18.00%36.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
RoPS 29.00% 69.00% 2.00%
SJK Seinajoki 21.00% 78.00% 1.00%
PK-35 Vantaa 20.00% 75.00% 5.00%
AC Oulu 14.00% 84.00% 2.00%
Viikingit 10.00% 88.00% 2.00%
OPS Oulu 4.00% 87.00% 9.00%
KooTeePee 2.00% 81.00% 17.00%
JIPPO — 67.00% 33.00%
Helsingfors — 44.00% 56.00%
Hameenlinna — 27.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-04-27 KooTeePee L 0-339.8 1150 1165 49.16% 21.37% 29.46%+0.23 -14.4 0
2012-04-27 @ Helsingfors W 3-039.8 1165 1150 29.46% 21.37% 49.16%-0.23 +14.4 3
2012-04-28 AC Oulu W 1-040.0 1191 1232 45.61% 21.72% 32.67%+0.05 +3.8 3
2012-04-28 @ RoPS L 0-140.0 1232 1191 32.67% 21.72% 45.61%-0.05 -3.8 0
2012-04-28 Hameenlinna W 9-032.1 1185 1122 58.99% 19.55% 21.46%+0.75 +20.0 3
2012-04-28 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-932.1 1122 1185 21.46% 19.55% 58.99%-0.75 -20.0 0
2012-04-28 SJK Seinajoki D 1-154.4 1148 1224 40.75% 21.95% 37.29%-0.18 -0.1 1
2012-04-28 @ JIPPO D 1-154.4 1224 1148 37.29% 21.95% 40.75%+0.18 +0.1 1
2012-05-05 Helsingfors W 3-137.9 1224 1136 61.93% 18.76% 19.32%+0.93 +3.8 4
2012-05-05 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-337.9 1136 1224 19.32% 18.76% 61.93%-0.93 -3.8 0
2012-05-05 JIPPO D 1-155.3 1228 1148 61.02% 19.02% 19.96%+0.87 -1.0 1
2012-05-05 @ AC Oulu D 1-155.3 1148 1228 19.96% 19.02% 61.02%-0.87 +1.0 2
2012-05-05 OPS Oulu D 1-154.6 1180 1199 48.69% 21.43% 29.88%+0.21 -0.4 4
2012-05-05 @ KooTeePee D 1-154.6 1199 1180 29.88% 21.43% 48.69%-0.21 +0.4 1
2012-05-05 RoPS L 0-238.7 1102 1195 38.37% 21.97% 39.66%-0.29 -8.1 0
2012-05-05 @ Hameenlinna W 2-038.7 1195 1102 39.66% 21.97% 38.37%+0.29 +8.1 6
2012-05-07 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-439.8 1206 1205 51.30% 21.09% 27.62%+0.34 -19.5 0
2012-05-07 @ Viikingit W 4-039.8 1205 1206 27.62% 21.09% 51.30%-0.34 +19.5 6
2012-05-10 AC Oulu D 2-260.2 1132 1227 37.96% 21.96% 40.07%-0.31 +0.0 1
2012-05-10 @ Helsingfors D 2-260.2 1227 1132 40.07% 21.96% 37.96%+0.31 -0.0 2
2012-05-12 JIPPO W 2-141.9 1199 1149 57.46% 19.92% 22.62%+0.67 +2.6 4
2012-05-12 @ OPS Oulu L 1-241.9 1149 1199 22.62% 19.92% 57.46%-0.67 -2.6 2
2012-05-12 RoPS D 0-050.2 1224 1203 53.97% 20.64% 25.39%+0.48 -0.8 7
2012-05-12 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 0-050.2 1203 1224 25.39% 20.64% 53.97%-0.48 +0.8 7
2012-05-12 SJK Seinajoki L 0-240.9 1186 1228 45.56% 21.72% 32.71%+0.05 -9.3 0
2012-05-12 @ Viikingit W 2-040.9 1228 1186 32.71% 21.72% 45.56%-0.05 +9.3 7
2012-05-13 Hameenlinna D 0-050.6 1179 1094 61.61% 18.85% 19.54%+0.91 -1.2 5
2012-05-13 @ KooTeePee D 0-050.6 1094 1179 19.54% 18.85% 61.61%-0.91 +1.2 1
2012-05-16 Helsingfors L 1-346.7 1095 1132 46.22% 21.67% 32.11%+0.08 -8.2 1
2012-05-16 @ Hameenlinna W 3-146.7 1132 1095 32.11% 21.67% 46.22%-0.08 +8.2 4
2012-05-16 OPS Oulu D 2-260.7 1227 1202 54.47% 20.55% 24.98%+0.50 -0.5 3
2012-05-16 @ AC Oulu D 2-260.7 1202 1227 24.98% 20.55% 54.47%-0.50 +0.5 5
2012-05-16 Viikingit L 0-144.1 1147 1177 47.11% 21.59% 31.30%+0.13 -5.1 2
2012-05-16 @ JIPPO W 1-044.1 1177 1147 31.30% 21.59% 47.11%-0.13 +5.1 3
2012-05-17 KooTeePee W 3-140.2 1203 1178 54.41% 20.56% 25.03%+0.50 +4.9 10
2012-05-17 @ RoPS L 1-340.2 1178 1203 25.03% 20.56% 54.41%-0.50 -4.9 5
2012-05-17 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-143.5 1237 1224 52.93% 20.83% 26.25%+0.42 +3.0 10
2012-05-17 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-243.5 1224 1237 26.25% 20.83% 52.93%-0.42 -3.0 7
2012-05-20 Helsingfors W 1-038.1 1141 1140 51.33% 21.08% 27.59%+0.34 +3.3 5
2012-05-20 @ JIPPO L 0-138.1 1140 1141 27.59% 21.08% 51.33%-0.34 -3.3 4
2012-05-21 AC Oulu W 2-035.7 1221 1227 50.38% 21.22% 28.40%+0.29 +6.3 10
2012-05-21 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-235.7 1227 1221 28.40% 21.22% 50.38%-0.29 -6.3 3
2012-05-21 KooTeePee W 1-037.9 1182 1173 52.29% 20.93% 26.78%+0.39 +3.2 6
2012-05-21 @ Viikingit L 0-137.9 1173 1182 26.78% 20.93% 52.29%-0.39 -3.2 5
2012-05-21 RoPS L 0-145.1 1202 1208 50.35% 21.22% 28.43%+0.29 -5.4 5
2012-05-21 @ OPS Oulu W 1-045.1 1208 1202 28.43% 21.22% 50.35%-0.29 +5.4 13
2012-05-21 SJK Seinajoki L 0-236.2 1087 1240 30.36% 21.49% 48.15%-0.70 -6.7 1
2012-05-21 @ Hameenlinna W 2-036.2 1240 1087 48.15% 21.49% 30.36%+0.70 +6.7 13
2012-05-24 SJK Seinajoki L 0-142.4 1170 1247 40.63% 21.95% 37.42%-0.18 -4.5 5
2012-05-24 @ KooTeePee W 1-042.4 1247 1170 37.42% 21.95% 40.63%+0.18 +4.5 16
2012-05-26 Hameenlinna W 4-028.5 1197 1080 65.03% 17.79% 17.18%+1.12 +7.4 8
2012-05-26 @ OPS Oulu L 0-428.5 1080 1197 17.18% 17.79% 65.03%-1.12 -7.4 1
2012-05-26 Helsingfors W 3-138.2 1214 1137 60.63% 19.12% 20.24%+0.85 +4.0 16
2012-05-26 @ RoPS L 1-338.2 1137 1214 20.24% 19.12% 60.63%-0.85 -4.0 4
2012-05-27 JIPPO W 5-133.6 1227 1145 61.26% 18.95% 19.79%+0.89 +7.1 13
2012-05-27 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-533.6 1145 1227 19.79% 18.95% 61.26%-0.89 -7.1 5
2012-05-27 Viikingit L 0-341.5 1220 1185 55.66% 20.31% 24.02%+0.57 -16.0 3
2012-05-27 @ AC Oulu W 3-041.5 1185 1220 24.02% 20.31% 55.66%-0.57 +16.0 9
2012-05-30 Hameenlinna W 2-139.2 1201 1073 66.28% 17.36% 16.35%+1.20 +1.8 12
2012-05-30 @ Viikingit L 1-239.2 1073 1201 16.35% 17.36% 66.28%-1.20 -1.8 1
2012-05-30 KooTeePee W 4-137.0 1204 1166 56.08% 20.23% 23.69%+0.59 +6.6 6
2012-05-30 @ AC Oulu L 1-437.0 1166 1204 23.69% 20.23% 56.08%-0.59 -6.6 5
2012-05-30 OPS Oulu L 0-244.0 1251 1204 57.14% 20.00% 22.87%+0.65 -11.3 16
2012-05-30 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-044.0 1204 1251 22.87% 20.00% 57.14%-0.65 +11.3 11
2012-05-30 PK-35 Vantaa D 0-049.8 1133 1234 37.13% 21.95% 40.92%-0.35 +0.1 5
2012-05-30 @ Helsingfors D 0-049.8 1234 1133 40.92% 21.95% 37.13%+0.35 -0.1 14
2012-06-03 AC Oulu W 1-043.9 1071 1211 32.00% 21.66% 46.34%-0.61 +5.0 4
2012-06-03 @ Hameenlinna L 0-143.9 1211 1071 46.34% 21.66% 32.00%+0.61 -5.0 6
2012-06-03 Helsingfors W 2-141.2 1203 1133 59.84% 19.33% 20.82%+0.80 +2.4 15
2012-06-03 @ Viikingit L 1-241.2 1133 1203 20.82% 19.33% 59.84%-0.80 -2.4 5
2012-06-03 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-039.1 1215 1234 48.70% 21.43% 29.87%+0.21 +3.5 14
2012-06-03 @ OPS Oulu L 0-139.1 1234 1215 29.87% 21.43% 48.70%-0.21 -3.5 14
2012-06-03 RoPS L 1-349.0 1240 1218 54.04% 20.63% 25.33%+0.48 -9.3 16
2012-06-03 @ SJK Seinajoki W 3-149.0 1218 1240 25.33% 20.63% 54.04%-0.48 +9.3 19
2012-06-04 JIPPO W 3-032.4 1159 1138 53.95% 20.65% 25.40%+0.48 +8.3 8
2012-06-04 @ KooTeePee L 0-332.4 1138 1159 25.40% 20.65% 53.95%-0.48 -8.3 5
2012-06-09 JIPPO W 4-029.1 1227 1129 63.01% 18.43% 18.56%+0.99 +8.0 22
2012-06-09 @ RoPS L 0-429.1 1129 1227 18.56% 18.43% 63.01%-0.99 -8.0 5
2012-06-16 Hameenlinna W 3-139.3 1121 1076 56.88% 20.05% 23.06%+0.64 +4.5 8
2012-06-16 @ JIPPO L 1-339.3 1076 1121 23.06% 20.05% 56.88%-0.64 -4.5 4
2012-06-16 KooTeePee W 2-141.5 1230 1167 59.04% 19.54% 21.42%+0.76 +2.4 17
2012-06-16 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-241.5 1167 1230 21.42% 19.54% 59.04%-0.76 -2.4 8
2012-06-16 SJK Seinajoki W 3-142.2 1206 1231 47.86% 21.52% 30.62%+0.16 +5.9 9
2012-06-16 @ AC Oulu L 1-342.2 1231 1206 30.62% 21.52% 47.86%-0.16 -5.9 16
2012-06-17 OPS Oulu D 1-154.4 1131 1219 38.96% 21.97% 39.07%-0.26 +0.0 6
2012-06-17 @ Helsingfors D 1-154.4 1219 1131 39.07% 21.97% 38.96%+0.26 +0.0 15
2012-06-17 Viikingit W 2-034.3 1235 1205 54.98% 20.45% 24.57%+0.53 +5.6 25
2012-06-17 @ RoPS L 0-234.3 1205 1235 24.57% 20.45% 54.98%-0.53 -5.6 15
2012-06-20 Helsingfors L 0-243.3 1165 1131 55.55% 20.34% 24.11%+0.56 -11.0 8
2012-06-20 @ KooTeePee W 2-043.3 1131 1165 24.11% 20.34% 55.55%-0.56 +11.0 9
2012-06-20 JIPPO W 3-137.5 1225 1126 63.14% 18.39% 18.46%+1.00 +3.6 19
2012-06-20 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-337.5 1126 1225 18.46% 18.39% 63.14%-1.00 -3.6 8
2012-06-20 OPS Oulu W 3-034.2 1200 1219 48.64% 21.43% 29.93%+0.20 +9.6 18
2012-06-20 @ Viikingit L 0-334.2 1219 1200 29.93% 21.43% 48.64%-0.20 -9.6 15
2012-06-20 PK-35 Vantaa L 1-244.3 1072 1233 29.37% 21.36% 49.28%-0.76 -3.3 4
2012-06-20 @ Hameenlinna W 2-144.3 1233 1072 49.28% 21.36% 29.37%+0.76 +3.3 20
2012-06-20 RoPS D 0-050.0 1212 1241 47.30% 21.57% 31.13%+0.14 -0.4 10
2012-06-20 @ AC Oulu D 0-050.0 1241 1212 31.13% 21.57% 47.30%-0.14 +0.4 26
2012-06-25 AC Oulu L 2-352.5 1122 1211 38.83% 21.97% 39.20%-0.27 -3.9 8
2012-06-25 @ JIPPO W 3-252.5 1211 1122 39.20% 21.97% 38.83%+0.27 +3.9 13
2012-06-25 Hameenlinna W 3-027.4 1241 1068 70.74% 15.69% 13.57%+1.50 +4.4 29
2012-06-25 @ RoPS L 0-327.4 1068 1241 13.57% 15.69% 70.74%-1.50 -4.4 4
2012-06-25 KooTeePee L 0-342.1 1209 1154 58.11% 19.77% 22.12%+0.70 -16.6 15
2012-06-25 @ OPS Oulu W 3-042.1 1154 1209 22.12% 19.77% 58.11%-0.70 +16.6 11
2012-06-25 Viikingit L 0-440.7 1236 1209 54.61% 20.52% 24.87%+0.51 -20.6 20
2012-06-25 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 4-040.7 1209 1236 24.87% 20.52% 54.61%-0.51 +20.6 21
2012-06-26 SJK Seinajoki L 0-436.4 1142 1228 39.18% 21.97% 38.85%-0.25 -15.7 9
2012-06-26 @ Helsingfors W 4-036.4 1228 1142 38.85% 21.97% 39.18%+0.25 +15.7 22
2012-06-30 Helsingfors W 3-137.8 1215 1126 62.04% 18.72% 19.24%+0.93 +3.8 16
2012-06-30 @ AC Oulu L 1-337.8 1126 1215 19.24% 18.72% 62.04%-0.93 -3.8 9
2012-06-30 KooTeePee D 1-154.3 1064 1171 36.37% 21.93% 41.71%-0.39 +0.1 5
2012-06-30 @ Hameenlinna D 1-154.3 1171 1064 41.71% 21.93% 36.37%+0.39 -0.1 12
2012-06-30 OPS Oulu W 3-144.1 1118 1193 40.95% 21.95% 37.11%-0.17 +6.9 11
2012-06-30 @ JIPPO L 1-344.1 1193 1118 37.11% 21.95% 40.95%+0.17 -6.9 15
2012-06-30 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-155.0 1245 1216 55.00% 20.45% 24.55%+0.53 -0.7 30
2012-06-30 @ RoPS D 1-155.0 1216 1245 24.55% 20.45% 55.00%-0.53 +0.7 21
2012-06-30 Viikingit W 3-140.8 1244 1230 52.99% 20.82% 26.19%+0.43 +5.1 25
2012-06-30 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-340.8 1230 1244 26.19% 20.82% 52.99%-0.43 -5.1 21
2012-07-04 AC Oulu D 1-154.5 1186 1219 46.72% 21.63% 31.65%+0.11 -0.4 16
2012-07-04 @ OPS Oulu D 1-154.5 1219 1186 31.65% 21.63% 46.72%-0.11 +0.3 17
2012-07-04 Hameenlinna L 0-244.0 1122 1064 58.45% 19.69% 21.86%+0.72 -11.5 9
2012-07-04 @ Helsingfors W 2-044.0 1064 1122 21.86% 19.69% 58.45%-0.72 +11.5 8
2012-07-04 JIPPO W 1-034.6 1225 1125 63.24% 18.36% 18.40%+1.00 +2.2 24
2012-07-04 @ Viikingit L 0-134.6 1125 1225 18.40% 18.36% 63.24%-1.00 -2.2 11
2012-07-04 RoPS L 0-337.6 1170 1245 40.97% 21.95% 37.08%-0.17 -12.4 12
2012-07-04 @ KooTeePee W 3-037.6 1245 1170 37.08% 21.95% 40.97%+0.17 +12.4 33
2012-07-04 SJK Seinajoki W 2-036.8 1216 1249 46.76% 21.62% 31.62%+0.11 +7.0 24
2012-07-04 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-236.8 1249 1216 31.62% 21.62% 46.76%-0.11 -7.0 25
2012-07-07 Hameenlinna D 1-156.1 1242 1076 70.16% 15.92% 13.92%+1.45 -1.4 26
2012-07-07 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-156.1 1076 1242 13.92% 15.92% 70.16%-1.45 +1.4 9
2012-07-07 Helsingfors W 5-240.5 1123 1111 52.76% 20.86% 26.39%+0.41 +6.3 14
2012-07-07 @ JIPPO L 2-540.5 1111 1123 26.39% 20.86% 52.76%-0.41 -6.3 9
2012-07-07 OPS Oulu W 3-030.8 1257 1185 60.05% 19.28% 20.67%+0.82 +6.8 36
2012-07-07 @ RoPS L 0-330.8 1185 1257 20.67% 19.28% 60.05%-0.82 -6.8 16
2012-07-07 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-144.1 1219 1223 50.65% 21.18% 28.17%+0.31 +3.2 20
2012-07-07 @ AC Oulu L 1-244.1 1223 1219 28.17% 21.18% 50.65%-0.31 -3.2 24
2012-07-07 Viikingit L 0-437.2 1158 1227 41.69% 21.93% 36.39%-0.13 -16.5 12
2012-07-07 @ KooTeePee W 4-037.2 1227 1158 36.39% 21.93% 41.69%+0.13 +16.5 27
2012-07-13 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-144.9 1129 1220 38.57% 21.97% 39.46%-0.28 +7.2 17
2012-07-13 @ JIPPO L 1-344.9 1220 1129 39.46% 21.97% 38.57%+0.28 -7.2 24
2012-07-14 KooTeePee D 0-050.9 1241 1142 63.18% 18.38% 18.44%+1.00 -1.2 27
2012-07-14 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-050.9 1142 1241 18.44% 18.38% 63.18%-1.00 +1.2 13
2012-07-14 OPS Oulu D 0-049.7 1077 1179 37.07% 21.95% 40.98%-0.35 +0.1 10
2012-07-14 @ Hameenlinna D 0-049.7 1179 1077 40.98% 21.95% 37.07%+0.35 -0.1 17
2012-07-14 RoPS L 1-439.1 1104 1264 29.58% 21.39% 49.04%-0.74 -8.0 9
2012-07-14 @ Helsingfors W 4-139.1 1264 1104 49.04% 21.39% 29.58%+0.74 +8.0 39
2012-07-14 Viikingit D 3-364.4 1222 1244 48.35% 21.47% 30.19%+0.19 -0.3 21
2012-07-14 @ AC Oulu D 3-364.4 1244 1222 30.19% 21.47% 48.35%-0.19 +0.3 28
2012-07-19 AC Oulu L 0-142.2 1143 1222 40.23% 21.96% 37.81%-0.20 -4.5 13
2012-07-19 @ KooTeePee W 1-042.2 1222 1143 37.81% 21.96% 40.23%+0.20 +4.5 24
2012-07-20 SJK Seinajoki D 1-154.5 1178 1240 42.82% 21.89% 35.29%-0.08 -0.2 18
2012-07-20 @ OPS Oulu D 1-154.5 1240 1178 35.29% 21.89% 42.82%+0.08 +0.2 28
2012-07-21 Hameenlinna L 0-246.4 1244 1077 70.17% 15.92% 13.91%+1.46 -13.4 28
2012-07-21 @ Viikingit W 2-046.4 1077 1244 13.91% 15.92% 70.17%-1.46 +13.4 13
2012-07-21 JIPPO D 1-155.9 1272 1136 67.05% 17.09% 15.86%+1.25 -1.3 40
2012-07-21 @ RoPS D 1-155.9 1136 1272 15.86% 17.09% 67.05%-1.25 +1.3 18
2012-07-22 Helsingfors W 5-132.4 1213 1096 65.05% 17.78% 17.17%+1.12 +6.1 27
2012-07-22 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-532.4 1096 1213 17.17% 17.78% 65.05%-1.12 -6.2 9
2012-07-24 Viikingit L 1-249.0 1178 1231 44.07% 21.82% 34.10%-0.02 -4.5 18
2012-07-24 @ OPS Oulu W 2-149.0 1231 1178 34.10% 21.82% 44.07%+0.02 +4.5 31
2012-07-28 OPS Oulu W 3-031.7 1219 1174 56.91% 20.05% 23.04%+0.64 +7.6 30
2012-07-28 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-331.7 1174 1219 23.04% 20.05% 56.91%-0.64 -7.6 18
2012-07-28 SJK Seinajoki W 2-034.4 1271 1240 55.13% 20.42% 24.44%+0.54 +5.5 43
2012-07-28 @ RoPS L 0-234.4 1240 1271 24.44% 20.42% 55.13%-0.54 -5.5 28
2012-07-28 Viikingit D 1-154.4 1090 1235 31.35% 21.60% 47.05%-0.64 +0.4 10
2012-07-28 @ Helsingfors D 1-154.4 1235 1090 47.05% 21.60% 31.35%+0.64 -0.4 32
2012-07-30 KooTeePee W 1-038.1 1138 1138 51.09% 21.12% 27.79%+0.33 +3.3 21
2012-07-30 @ JIPPO L 0-138.1 1138 1138 27.79% 21.12% 51.09%-0.33 -3.3 13
2012-07-31 Hameenlinna D 0-051.2 1227 1091 67.11% 17.07% 15.82%+1.25 -1.4 25
2012-07-31 @ AC Oulu D 0-051.2 1091 1227 15.82% 17.07% 67.11%-1.25 +1.4 14
2012-08-02 Helsingfors D 1-155.1 1166 1091 60.49% 19.16% 20.35%+0.84 -1.0 19
2012-08-02 @ OPS Oulu D 1-155.1 1091 1166 20.35% 19.16% 60.49%-0.84 +1.0 11
2012-08-04 AC Oulu D 2-260.7 1234 1225 52.35% 20.92% 26.73%+0.39 -0.5 29
2012-08-04 @ SJK Seinajoki D 2-260.7 1225 1234 26.73% 20.92% 52.35%-0.39 +0.5 26
2012-08-04 JIPPO D 1-154.3 1092 1141 44.53% 21.80% 33.68%+0.00 -0.2 15
2012-08-04 @ Hameenlinna D 1-154.3 1141 1092 33.68% 21.80% 44.53%+0.00 +0.2 22
2012-08-04 RoPS L 1-347.0 1235 1276 45.57% 21.72% 32.71%+0.05 -8.1 32
2012-08-04 @ Viikingit W 3-147.0 1276 1235 32.71% 21.72% 45.57%-0.05 +8.1 46
2012-08-06 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-042.0 1135 1227 38.47% 21.97% 39.57%-0.29 +4.4 16
2012-08-06 @ KooTeePee L 0-142.0 1227 1135 39.57% 21.97% 38.47%+0.29 -4.4 30
2012-08-09 Hameenlinna W 3-028.7 1222 1092 66.53% 17.28% 16.20%+1.21 +5.3 33
2012-08-09 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-328.7 1092 1222 16.20% 17.28% 66.53%-1.21 -5.3 15
2012-08-09 KooTeePee L 1-249.0 1092 1139 44.69% 21.79% 33.52%+0.01 -4.6 11
2012-08-09 @ Helsingfors W 2-149.0 1139 1092 33.52% 21.79% 44.69%-0.01 +4.6 19
2012-08-11 AC Oulu W 3-247.0 1284 1226 58.51% 19.67% 21.81%+0.73 +2.4 49
2012-08-11 @ RoPS L 2-347.0 1226 1284 21.81% 19.67% 58.51%-0.73 -2.4 26
2012-08-11 SJK Seinajoki W 2-039.2 1141 1234 38.34% 21.97% 39.70%-0.29 +8.4 25
2012-08-11 @ JIPPO L 0-239.2 1234 1141 39.70% 21.97% 38.34%+0.29 -8.3 29
2012-08-11 Viikingit L 0-143.0 1165 1227 42.77% 21.89% 35.34%-0.08 -4.7 19
2012-08-11 @ OPS Oulu W 1-043.0 1227 1165 35.34% 21.89% 42.77%+0.08 +4.7 35
2012-08-18 Helsingfors W 1-033.3 1225 1087 67.34% 16.99% 15.67%+1.26 +1.9 32
2012-08-18 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-133.3 1087 1225 15.67% 16.99% 67.34%-1.26 -1.9 11
2012-08-18 OPS Oulu L 0-144.6 1144 1160 49.00% 21.39% 29.61%+0.22 -5.3 19
2012-08-18 @ KooTeePee W 1-044.6 1160 1144 29.61% 21.39% 49.00%-0.22 +5.3 22
2012-08-18 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-440.0 1231 1228 51.67% 21.03% 27.30%+0.36 -19.7 35
2012-08-18 @ Viikingit W 4-040.0 1228 1231 27.30% 21.03% 51.67%-0.36 +19.7 36
2012-08-18 RoPS L 0-234.4 1086 1287 25.08% 20.57% 54.35%-1.02 -5.7 15
2012-08-18 @ Hameenlinna W 2-034.4 1287 1086 54.35% 20.57% 25.08%+1.02 +5.7 52
2012-08-19 JIPPO W 2-032.6 1223 1150 60.28% 19.22% 20.50%+0.83 +4.7 29
2012-08-19 @ AC Oulu L 0-232.6 1150 1223 20.50% 19.22% 60.28%-0.83 -4.7 25
2012-08-23 AC Oulu W 1-044.0 1085 1228 31.60% 21.62% 46.78%-0.63 +5.1 14
2012-08-23 @ Helsingfors L 0-144.0 1228 1085 46.78% 21.62% 31.60%+0.63 -5.1 29
2012-08-23 Hameenlinna W 3-031.0 1139 1081 58.44% 19.69% 21.87%+0.72 +7.2 22
2012-08-23 @ KooTeePee L 0-331.0 1081 1139 21.87% 19.69% 58.44%-0.72 -7.2 15
2012-08-25 JIPPO W 3-032.5 1166 1145 53.86% 20.66% 25.48%+0.47 +8.3 25
2012-08-25 @ OPS Oulu L 0-332.5 1145 1166 25.48% 20.66% 53.86%-0.47 -8.4 25
2012-08-25 RoPS L 0-144.1 1247 1292 45.07% 21.76% 33.17%+0.03 -4.9 36
2012-08-25 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 1-044.1 1292 1247 33.17% 21.76% 45.07%-0.03 +4.9 55
2012-08-25 SJK Seinajoki L 0-144.8 1212 1227 49.10% 21.38% 29.52%+0.23 -5.3 35
2012-08-25 @ Viikingit W 1-044.8 1227 1212 29.52% 21.38% 49.10%-0.23 +5.3 35
2012-08-29 Helsingfors W 1-038.7 1074 1090 48.96% 21.40% 29.64%+0.22 +3.5 18
2012-08-29 @ Hameenlinna L 0-138.7 1090 1074 29.64% 21.40% 48.96%-0.22 -3.5 14
2012-08-29 KooTeePee W 3-028.2 1297 1146 68.64% 16.51% 14.85%+1.35 +4.8 58
2012-08-29 @ RoPS L 0-328.2 1146 1297 14.85% 16.51% 68.64%-1.35 -4.8 22
2012-08-29 OPS Oulu W 1-036.4 1223 1174 57.34% 19.95% 22.71%+0.66 +2.7 32
2012-08-29 @ AC Oulu L 0-136.4 1174 1223 22.71% 19.95% 57.34%-0.66 -2.7 25
2012-08-29 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-033.9 1233 1242 49.89% 21.28% 28.83%+0.27 +9.3 38
2012-08-29 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-333.9 1242 1233 28.83% 21.28% 49.89%-0.27 -9.3 36
2012-08-29 Viikingit L 0-239.7 1137 1206 41.59% 21.93% 36.48%-0.14 -8.7 25
2012-08-29 @ JIPPO W 2-039.7 1206 1137 36.48% 21.93% 41.59%+0.14 +8.7 38
2012-09-01 JIPPO D 0-049.7 1087 1128 45.61% 21.72% 32.67%+0.05 -0.3 15
2012-09-01 @ Helsingfors D 0-049.7 1128 1087 32.67% 21.72% 45.61%-0.05 +0.3 26
2012-09-01 KooTeePee L 0-342.5 1215 1141 60.30% 19.21% 20.48%+0.83 -17.2 38
2012-09-01 @ Viikingit W 3-042.5 1141 1215 20.48% 19.21% 60.30%-0.83 +17.2 25
2012-09-01 RoPS W 2-040.9 1171 1302 33.14% 21.76% 45.11%-0.55 +9.2 28
2012-09-01 @ OPS Oulu L 0-240.9 1302 1171 45.11% 21.76% 33.14%+0.55 -9.3 58
2012-09-01 SJK Seinajoki L 0-235.7 1077 1242 28.95% 21.30% 49.76%-0.78 -6.4 18
2012-09-01 @ Hameenlinna W 2-035.7 1242 1077 49.76% 21.30% 28.95%+0.78 +6.5 41
2012-09-02 AC Oulu W 1-038.1 1233 1226 52.13% 20.96% 26.91%+0.38 +3.2 39
2012-09-02 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-138.1 1226 1233 26.91% 20.96% 52.13%-0.38 -3.2 32
2012-09-13 SJK Seinajoki W 1-042.0 1158 1248 38.70% 21.97% 39.33%-0.27 +4.4 28
2012-09-13 @ KooTeePee L 0-142.0 1248 1158 39.33% 21.97% 38.70%+0.27 -4.4 41
2012-09-15 AC Oulu D 1-154.6 1198 1222 47.90% 21.51% 30.59%+0.17 -0.4 39
2012-09-15 @ Viikingit D 1-154.6 1222 1198 30.59% 21.51% 47.90%-0.17 +0.4 33
2012-09-15 Hameenlinna W 2-139.8 1181 1071 64.35% 18.01% 17.64%+1.07 +2.0 31
2012-09-15 @ OPS Oulu L 1-239.8 1071 1181 17.64% 18.01% 64.35%-1.07 -2.0 18
2012-09-15 Helsingfors L 2-360.8 1293 1086 73.86% 14.39% 11.75%+1.72 -6.6 58
2012-09-15 @ RoPS W 3-260.8 1086 1293 11.75% 14.39% 73.86%-1.72 +6.6 18
2012-09-15 JIPPO W 4-347.6 1236 1128 64.12% 18.09% 17.79%+1.06 +1.9 42
2012-09-15 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 3-447.6 1128 1236 17.79% 18.09% 64.12%-1.06 -1.9 26
2012-09-22 KooTeePee D 2-260.9 1223 1163 58.69% 19.63% 21.68%+0.74 -0.7 34
2012-09-22 @ AC Oulu D 2-260.9 1163 1223 21.68% 19.63% 58.69%-0.74 +0.7 29
2012-09-22 OPS Oulu L 2-357.9 1244 1183 58.84% 19.59% 21.57%+0.75 -5.5 41
2012-09-22 @ SJK Seinajoki W 3-257.9 1183 1244 21.57% 19.59% 58.84%-0.75 +5.5 34
2012-09-22 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-149.7 1093 1238 31.32% 21.59% 47.08%-0.65 +4.8 21
2012-09-22 @ Helsingfors L 1-249.7 1238 1093 47.08% 21.59% 31.32%+0.65 -4.8 42
2012-09-22 RoPS D 1-154.6 1126 1286 29.54% 21.38% 49.08%-0.75 +0.5 27
2012-09-22 @ JIPPO D 1-154.6 1286 1126 49.08% 21.38% 29.54%+0.75 -0.5 59
2012-09-22 Viikingit W 3-038.6 1069 1197 33.38% 21.77% 44.85%-0.54 +13.4 21
2012-09-22 @ Hameenlinna L 0-338.6 1197 1069 44.85% 21.77% 33.38%+0.54 -13.4 39
2012-09-30 AC Oulu L 1-342.5 1082 1222 31.93% 21.65% 46.42%-0.61 -6.1 21
2012-09-30 @ Hameenlinna W 3-142.5 1222 1082 46.42% 21.65% 31.93%+0.61 +6.1 37
2012-09-30 Helsingfors W 2-140.6 1184 1098 61.73% 18.82% 19.46%+0.91 +2.2 42
2012-09-30 @ Viikingit L 1-240.6 1098 1184 19.46% 18.82% 61.73%-0.91 -2.2 21
2012-09-30 JIPPO W 1-036.7 1163 1127 55.84% 20.28% 23.88%+0.58 +2.9 32
2012-09-30 @ KooTeePee L 0-136.7 1127 1163 23.88% 20.28% 55.84%-0.58 -2.9 27
2012-09-30 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-154.5 1188 1233 45.06% 21.76% 33.18%+0.03 -0.3 35
2012-09-30 @ OPS Oulu D 1-154.5 1233 1188 33.18% 21.76% 45.06%-0.03 +0.3 43
2012-09-30 RoPS W 4-247.3 1238 1286 44.77% 21.78% 33.45%+0.01 +5.6 44
2012-09-30 @ SJK Seinajoki L 2-447.3 1286 1238 33.45% 21.78% 44.77%-0.01 -5.6 59
2012-10-06 Hameenlinna D 0-050.2 1124 1076 57.25% 19.97% 22.78%+0.66 -0.9 28
2012-10-06 @ JIPPO D 0-050.2 1076 1124 22.78% 19.97% 57.25%-0.66 +0.9 22
2012-10-06 KooTeePee L 2-358.0 1234 1166 59.53% 19.42% 21.06%+0.78 -5.5 43
2012-10-06 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-258.0 1166 1234 21.06% 19.42% 59.53%-0.78 +5.5 35
2012-10-06 OPS Oulu L 3-454.9 1096 1188 38.38% 21.97% 39.65%-0.29 -3.8 21
2012-10-06 @ Helsingfors W 4-354.9 1188 1096 39.65% 21.97% 38.38%+0.29 +3.8 38
2012-10-06 SJK Seinajoki L 0-242.0 1228 1244 49.07% 21.38% 29.54%+0.23 -9.9 37
2012-10-06 @ AC Oulu W 2-042.0 1244 1228 29.54% 21.38% 49.07%-0.23 +9.9 47
2012-10-06 Viikingit L 0-148.1 1280 1186 62.57% 18.57% 18.87%+0.96 -6.5 59
2012-10-06 @ RoPS W 1-048.1 1186 1280 18.87% 18.57% 62.57%-0.96 +6.5 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-09-15 11.75% Helsingfors 1086 3 @ RoPS 1293 2
2 2012-07-21 13.91% Hameenlinna 1077 2 @ Viikingit 1244 0
3 2012-10-06 18.87% Viikingit 1186 1 @ RoPS 1280 0
4 2012-09-01 20.48% KooTeePee 1141 3 @ Viikingit 1215 0
5 2012-10-06 21.06% KooTeePee 1166 3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1234 2
6 2012-09-22 21.57% OPS Oulu 1183 3 @ SJK Seinajoki 1244 2
7 2012-07-04 21.86% Hameenlinna 1064 2 @ Helsingfors 1122 0
8 2012-06-25 22.12% KooTeePee 1154 3 @ OPS Oulu 1209 0
9 2012-05-30 22.87% OPS Oulu 1204 2 @ SJK Seinajoki 1251 0
10 2012-05-27 24.02% Viikingit 1185 3 @ AC Oulu 1220 0
11 2012-06-20 24.11% Helsingfors 1131 2 @ KooTeePee 1165 0
12 2012-06-25 24.87% Viikingit 1209 4 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1236 0
13 2012-06-03 25.33% RoPS 1218 3 @ SJK Seinajoki 1240 1
14 2012-08-18 27.30% PK-35 Vantaa 1228 4 @ Viikingit 1231 0
15 2012-05-07 27.62% PK-35 Vantaa 1205 4 @ Viikingit 1206 0
16 2012-05-21 28.43% RoPS 1208 1 @ OPS Oulu 1202 0
17 2012-04-27 29.46% KooTeePee 1165 3 @ Helsingfors 1150 0
18 2012-08-25 29.52% SJK Seinajoki 1227 1 @ Viikingit 1212 0
19 2012-10-06 29.54% SJK Seinajoki 1244 2 @ AC Oulu 1228 0
20 2012-08-18 29.61% OPS Oulu 1160 1 @ KooTeePee 1144 0
21 2012-05-16 31.30% Viikingit 1177 1 @ JIPPO 1147 0
22 2012-09-22 31.32% @ Helsingfors 1093 2 PK-35 Vantaa 1238 1
23 2012-08-23 31.60% @ Helsingfors 1085 1 AC Oulu 1228 0
24 2012-06-03 32.00% @ Hameenlinna 1071 1 AC Oulu 1211 0
25 2012-05-16 32.11% Helsingfors 1132 3 @ Hameenlinna 1095 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-06-25 20.62 Viikingit 4 1209 24.87% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1236 54.61% 20.52%
2 2012-04-28 19.96 @ PK-35 Vantaa 9 1185 58.99% Hameenlinna 0 1122 21.46% 19.55%
3 2012-08-18 19.67 PK-35 Vantaa 4 1228 27.30% @ Viikingit 0 1231 51.67% 21.03%
4 2012-05-07 19.55 PK-35 Vantaa 4 1205 27.62% @ Viikingit 0 1206 51.30% 21.09%
5 2012-09-01 17.18 KooTeePee 3 1141 20.48% @ Viikingit 0 1215 60.30% 19.21%
6 2012-06-25 16.64 KooTeePee 3 1154 22.12% @ OPS Oulu 0 1209 58.11% 19.77%
7 2012-07-07 16.48 Viikingit 4 1227 36.39% @ KooTeePee 0 1158 41.69% 21.93%
8 2012-05-27 16.04 Viikingit 3 1185 24.02% @ AC Oulu 0 1220 55.66% 20.31%
9 2012-06-26 15.70 SJK Seinajoki 4 1228 38.85% @ Helsingfors 0 1142 39.18% 21.97%
10 2012-04-27 14.44 KooTeePee 3 1165 29.46% @ Helsingfors 0 1150 49.16% 21.37%
11 2012-07-21 13.40 Hameenlinna 2 1077 13.91% @ Viikingit 0 1244 70.17% 15.92%
12 2012-09-22 13.39 @ Hameenlinna 3 1069 33.38% Viikingit 0 1197 44.85% 21.77%
13 2012-07-04 12.44 RoPS 3 1245 37.08% @ KooTeePee 0 1170 40.97% 21.95%
14 2012-07-04 11.52 Hameenlinna 2 1064 21.86% @ Helsingfors 0 1122 58.45% 19.69%
15 2012-05-30 11.30 OPS Oulu 2 1204 22.87% @ SJK Seinajoki 0 1251 57.14% 20.00%
16 2012-06-20 11.03 Helsingfors 2 1131 24.11% @ KooTeePee 0 1165 55.55% 20.34%
17 2012-10-06 9.93 SJK Seinajoki 2 1244 29.54% @ AC Oulu 0 1228 49.07% 21.38%
18 2012-06-20 9.64 @ Viikingit 3 1200 48.64% OPS Oulu 0 1219 29.93% 21.43%
19 2012-05-12 9.34 SJK Seinajoki 2 1228 32.71% @ Viikingit 0 1186 45.56% 21.72%
20 2012-06-03 9.33 RoPS 3 1218 25.33% @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1240 54.04% 20.63%
21 2012-08-29 9.33 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1233 49.89% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1242 28.83% 21.28%
22 2012-09-01 9.26 @ OPS Oulu 2 1171 33.14% RoPS 0 1302 45.11% 21.76%
23 2012-08-29 8.67 Viikingit 2 1206 36.48% @ JIPPO 0 1137 41.59% 21.93%
24 2012-08-11 8.36 @ JIPPO 2 1141 38.34% SJK Seinajoki 0 1234 39.70% 21.97%
25 2012-08-25 8.35 @ OPS Oulu 3 1166 53.86% JIPPO 0 1145 25.48% 20.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-07-14 64.4 @ AC Oulu 3 1222 48.35% Viikingit 3 1244 30.19% 21.47%
2 2012-09-22 60.9 @ AC Oulu 2 1223 58.69% KooTeePee 2 1163 21.68% 19.63%
3 2012-09-15 60.8 Helsingfors 3 1086 11.75% @ RoPS 2 1293 73.86% 14.39%
4 2012-05-16 60.7 @ AC Oulu 2 1227 54.47% OPS Oulu 2 1202 24.98% 20.55%
5 2012-08-04 60.7 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1234 52.35% AC Oulu 2 1225 26.73% 20.92%
6 2012-05-10 60.2 @ Helsingfors 2 1132 37.96% AC Oulu 2 1227 40.07% 21.96%
7 2012-10-06 58.0 KooTeePee 3 1166 21.06% @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1234 59.53% 19.42%
8 2012-09-22 57.9 OPS Oulu 3 1183 21.57% @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1244 58.84% 19.59%
9 2012-07-07 56.1 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1242 70.16% Hameenlinna 1 1076 13.92% 15.92%
10 2012-07-21 55.9 @ RoPS 1 1272 67.05% JIPPO 1 1136 15.86% 17.09%
11 2012-05-05 55.3 @ AC Oulu 1 1228 61.02% JIPPO 1 1148 19.96% 19.02%
12 2012-08-02 55.1 @ OPS Oulu 1 1166 60.49% Helsingfors 1 1091 20.35% 19.16%
13 2012-06-30 55.0 @ RoPS 1 1245 55.00% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1216 24.55% 20.45%
14 2012-10-06 54.9 OPS Oulu 4 1188 39.65% @ Helsingfors 3 1096 38.38% 21.97%
15 2012-05-05 54.6 @ KooTeePee 1 1180 48.69% OPS Oulu 1 1199 29.88% 21.43%
16 2012-09-15 54.6 @ Viikingit 1 1198 47.90% AC Oulu 1 1222 30.59% 21.51%
17 2012-09-22 54.6 @ JIPPO 1 1126 29.54% RoPS 1 1286 49.08% 21.38%
18 2012-07-04 54.5 @ OPS Oulu 1 1186 46.72% AC Oulu 1 1219 31.65% 21.63%
19 2012-07-20 54.5 @ OPS Oulu 1 1178 42.82% SJK Seinajoki 1 1240 35.29% 21.89%
20 2012-09-30 54.5 @ OPS Oulu 1 1188 45.06% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1233 33.18% 21.76%
21 2012-04-28 54.4 @ JIPPO 1 1148 40.75% SJK Seinajoki 1 1224 37.29% 21.95%
22 2012-06-17 54.4 @ Helsingfors 1 1131 38.96% OPS Oulu 1 1219 39.07% 21.97%
23 2012-07-28 54.4 @ Helsingfors 1 1090 31.35% Viikingit 1 1235 47.05% 21.60%
24 2012-06-30 54.3 @ Hameenlinna 1 1064 36.37% KooTeePee 1 1171 41.71% 21.93%
25 2012-08-04 54.3 @ Hameenlinna 1 1092 44.53% JIPPO 1 1141 33.68% 21.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-06-25 27.4 @ RoPS 3 1241 70.74% Hameenlinna 0 1068 13.57% 15.69%
2 2012-08-29 28.2 @ RoPS 3 1297 68.64% KooTeePee 0 1146 14.85% 16.51%
3 2012-05-26 28.5 @ OPS Oulu 4 1197 65.03% Hameenlinna 0 1080 17.18% 17.79%
4 2012-08-09 28.7 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1222 66.53% Hameenlinna 0 1092 16.20% 17.28%
5 2012-06-09 29.1 @ RoPS 4 1227 63.01% JIPPO 0 1129 18.56% 18.43%
6 2012-07-07 30.8 @ RoPS 3 1257 60.05% OPS Oulu 0 1185 20.67% 19.28%
7 2012-08-23 31.0 @ KooTeePee 3 1139 58.44% Hameenlinna 0 1081 21.87% 19.69%
8 2012-07-28 31.7 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1219 56.91% OPS Oulu 0 1174 23.04% 20.05%
9 2012-04-28 32.1 @ PK-35 Vantaa 9 1185 58.99% Hameenlinna 0 1122 21.46% 19.55%
10 2012-06-04 32.4 @ KooTeePee 3 1159 53.95% JIPPO 0 1138 25.40% 20.65%
11 2012-07-22 32.4 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1213 65.05% Helsingfors 1 1096 17.17% 17.78%
12 2012-08-25 32.5 @ OPS Oulu 3 1166 53.86% JIPPO 0 1145 25.48% 20.66%
13 2012-08-19 32.6 @ AC Oulu 2 1223 60.28% JIPPO 0 1150 20.50% 19.22%
14 2012-08-18 33.3 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1225 67.34% Helsingfors 0 1087 15.67% 16.99%
15 2012-05-27 33.6 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1227 61.26% JIPPO 1 1145 19.79% 18.95%
16 2012-08-29 33.9 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1233 49.89% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1242 28.83% 21.28%
17 2012-06-20 34.2 @ Viikingit 3 1200 48.64% OPS Oulu 0 1219 29.93% 21.43%
18 2012-06-17 34.3 @ RoPS 2 1235 54.98% Viikingit 0 1205 24.57% 20.45%
19 2012-07-28 34.4 @ RoPS 2 1271 55.13% SJK Seinajoki 0 1240 24.44% 20.42%
20 2012-08-18 34.4 RoPS 2 1287 54.35% @ Hameenlinna 0 1086 25.08% 20.57%
21 2012-07-04 34.6 @ Viikingit 1 1225 63.24% JIPPO 0 1125 18.40% 18.36%
22 2012-05-21 35.7 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1221 50.38% AC Oulu 0 1227 28.40% 21.22%
23 2012-09-01 35.7 SJK Seinajoki 2 1242 49.76% @ Hameenlinna 0 1077 28.95% 21.30%
24 2012-05-21 36.2 SJK Seinajoki 2 1240 48.15% @ Hameenlinna 0 1087 30.36% 21.49%
25 2012-06-26 36.4 SJK Seinajoki 4 1228 38.85% @ Helsingfors 0 1142 39.18% 21.97%