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2013 Ykkönen Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

SJK Seinajoki

14.05 points above expected

59 points · 44.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kajaani

20.38 points below expected

14 points · 34.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 SJK Seinajoki 27 18 5 4 59 51 17 +34 44.95 +14.05
2 Haka 27 15 9 3 54 44 17 +27 45.75 +8.25
3 KooTeePee 27 12 9 6 45 35 29 +6 37.00 +8.00
4 Ilves 27 11 8 8 41 46 38 +8 44.47 -3.47
5 AC Oulu 27 11 7 9 40 36 38 -2 35.19 +4.81
6 PK-35 Vantaa 27 8 6 13 30 35 43 -8 36.12 -6.12
7 Viikingit 27 7 8 12 29 35 39 -4 32.38 -3.38
8 JIPPO 27 7 8 12 29 18 30 -12 27.27 +1.73
9 OPS Oulu 27 7 7 13 28 40 50 -10 33.47 -5.47
10 Kajaani 27 3 5 19 14 27 66 -39 34.38 -20.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SJK Seinajoki 59 44.95 +14.05
2 Haka 54 45.75 +8.25
3 KooTeePee 45 37.00 +8.00
4 AC Oulu 40 35.19 +4.81
5 JIPPO 29 27.27 +1.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kajaani 14 34.38 -20.38
2 PK-35 Vantaa 30 36.12 -6.12
3 OPS Oulu 28 33.47 -5.47
4 Ilves 41 44.47 -3.47
5 Viikingit 29 32.38 -3.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SJK Seinajoki 8 Aug 3 – Sep 22 1 in 129
2 JIPPO 3 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 118
3 KooTeePee 3 Jul 21 – Aug 5 1 in 60
4 Ilves 4 Jun 19 – Jul 6 1 in 35
5 PK-35 Vantaa 3 Aug 24 – Sep 8 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Oulu 5 Aug 7 – Aug 30 1 in 86
2 Kajaani 5 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 67
3 PK-35 Vantaa 3 May 12 – May 27 1 in 26
4 SJK Seinajoki 2 Jul 18 – Jul 21 1 in 22
5 Ilves 2 Aug 24 – Aug 27 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 14 Jun 18 – Aug 30 1 in 78
2 KooTeePee 9 Jul 14 – Aug 31 1 in 77
3 JIPPO 5 Aug 7 – Sep 1 1 in 27
4 AC Oulu 7 May 9 – Jun 15 1 in 26
5 Viikingit 6 Aug 12 – Sep 22 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kajaani 15 Jun 5 – Aug 24 1 in 650
2 SJK Seinajoki 5 Jul 6 – Jul 27 1 in 33
3 PK-35 Vantaa 8 Jun 15 – Jul 22 1 in 33
4 OPS Oulu 8 Jul 24 – Aug 31 1 in 22
5 Ilves 5 Aug 11 – Aug 30 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
SJK Seinajoki 1342 59 +32 13 9.6 +3.4
Haka 1313 54 +0 8 9.1 -1.1
KooTeePee 1205 45 -22 4 7.0 -3.0
Ilves 1216 41 -19 5 7.5 -2.5
AC Oulu 1179 40 +43 10 6.0 +4.0
PK-35 Vantaa 1151 30 +5 6 5.8 +0.2
JIPPO 1120 29 +23 9 4.6 +4.4
Viikingit 1150 29 +9 7 6.8 +0.2
OPS Oulu 1132 28 +29 7 6.3 +0.7
Kajaani 1018 14 -110 0 5.8 -5.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO HAK ILV JIP KAJ KOO OO PV SS VII
AC Oulu —
0-0-3
3.20
1-1-1
3.48
2-0-1
4.71
3-0-0
4.35
0-2-1
4.35
1-2-0
4.18
2-1-0
4.07
1-1-1
2.75
1-0-2
4.81
Haka
3-0-0
5.03
 —
1-2-0
4.38
1-1-1
5.77
2-1-0
4.72
1-1-1
4.97
3-0-0
5.49
2-1-0
5.53
0-3-0
4.26
2-0-1
5.25
Ilves
1-1-1
4.74
0-2-1
3.84
 —
1-0-2
6.16
2-0-1
5.46
0-2-1
5.19
1-2-0
5.08
3-0-0
4.79
1-0-2
4.22
2-1-0
5.15
JIPPO
1-0-2
3.52
1-1-1
2.52
2-0-1
2.16
 —
2-1-0
3.35
0-1-2
3.16
1-0-2
3.34
0-2-1
3.55
0-0-3
2.46
0-3-0
3.17
Kajaani
0-0-3
3.85
0-1-2
3.51
1-0-2
2.83
0-1-2
4.89
 —
0-0-3
3.89
0-2-1
3.89
1-1-1
4.38
0-0-3
3.10
1-0-2
4.30
KooTeePee
1-2-0
3.85
1-1-1
3.26
1-2-0
3.05
2-1-0
5.08
3-0-0
4.33
 —
3-0-0
4.61
0-1-2
3.96
1-0-2
2.78
0-2-1
4.21
OPS Oulu
0-2-1
4.03
0-0-3
2.79
0-2-1
3.15
2-0-1
4.88
1-2-0
4.32
0-0-3
3.61
 —
2-0-1
3.63
1-0-2
2.55
1-1-1
4.38
PK-35 Vantaa
0-1-2
4.15
0-1-2
2.73
0-0-3
3.44
1-2-0
4.66
1-1-1
3.84
2-1-0
4.24
1-0-2
4.58
 —
0-0-3
3.15
3-0-0
4.22
SJK Seinajoki
1-1-1
5.54
0-3-0
3.96
2-0-1
4.00
3-0-0
5.83
3-0-0
5.15
2-0-1
5.48
2-0-1
5.74
3-0-0
5.10
 —
2-1-0
5.11
Viikingit
2-0-1
3.41
1-0-2
3.00
0-1-2
3.10
0-3-0
5.05
2-0-1
3.92
1-2-0
3.99
1-1-1
3.82
0-0-3
4.00
0-1-2
3.13
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.52 +10.3
Allowed 0.81 -8.3
Differential 0.95 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%8.89%6.30%3.33%1.85%1.85%31.11%
18.89%11.85%7.41%2.96%—1.11%32.22%
26.30%7.41%2.96%1.48%0.74%0.37%19.26%
33.33%2.96%1.48%2.96%—0.37%11.11%
41.85%—0.74%———2.59%
5+1.85%1.11%0.37%0.37%——3.70%
Total31.11%32.22%19.26%11.11%2.59%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.36 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.10
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
114.81%11.11%———3.70%29.63%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
3—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total29.63%33.33%18.52%11.11%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.41 -0.07
SD 1.36 1.45 1.98
CV 1.02 1.03 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%————22.22%
17.41%14.81%3.70%———25.93%
27.41%11.11%3.70%———22.22%
311.11%14.81%————25.93%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total44.44%48.15%7.41%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 0.63 +1.00
SD 1.21 0.63 1.36
CV 0.74 1.00 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—3.70%3.70%3.70%—22.22%
17.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%——29.63%
2—14.81%7.41%—3.70%3.70%29.63%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+7.41%3.70%————11.11%
Total29.63%33.33%18.52%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.41 +0.30
SD 1.59 1.39 2.32
CV 0.93 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%22.22%14.81%3.70%—3.70%59.26%
13.70%14.81%————18.52%
23.70%14.81%————18.52%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%51.85%14.81%3.70%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.11 -0.44
SD 0.92 1.09 1.63
CV 1.38 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%40.74%
13.70%7.41%14.81%——3.70%29.63%
23.70%3.70%3.70%7.41%——18.52%
3———7.41%—3.70%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%25.93%25.93%25.93%3.70%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.44 -1.44
SD 1.04 1.87 2.10
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%3.70%3.70%—3.70%3.70%29.63%
122.22%11.11%3.70%3.70%——40.74%
23.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
3———3.70%——3.70%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total48.15%22.22%14.81%7.41%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.07 +0.22
SD 1.35 1.38 2.03
CV 1.04 1.29 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%—3.70%22.22%
13.70%11.11%14.81%11.11%—3.70%44.44%
211.11%———3.70%—14.81%
33.70%—3.70%7.41%——14.81%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total29.63%14.81%22.22%22.22%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.85 -0.37
SD 1.63 1.75 2.62
CV 1.10 0.94 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%37.04%
17.41%11.11%7.41%7.41%——33.33%
23.70%7.41%—3.70%——14.81%
3——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
4———————
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total22.22%33.33%18.52%18.52%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.59 -0.30
SD 1.66 1.34 2.32
CV 1.28 0.84 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
114.81%7.41%7.41%———29.63%
222.22%7.41%3.70%———33.33%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
47.41%—3.70%———11.11%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total55.56%25.93%18.52%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.63 +1.26
SD 1.55 0.79 1.75
CV 0.82 1.26 —
Max 7 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%11.11%3.70%——29.63%
13.70%18.52%14.81%3.70%——40.74%
23.70%—3.70%———7.41%
37.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4———————
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total18.52%33.33%33.33%14.81%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.44 -0.15
SD 1.30 0.97 1.56
CV 1.00 0.67 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
SJK Seinajoki 1342 59 44.95 +14.05 99.0% 31 35 42 45 49 55 60
Haka 1313 54 45.75 +8.25 88.0% 29 32 42 45 50 57 61
Ilves 1216 41 44.47 -3.47 34.0% 31 34 40 45 49 54 60
KooTeePee 1205 45 37.00 +8.00 86.0% 20 24 31 38 42 49 56
AC Oulu 1179 40 35.19 +4.81 77.0% 19 24 31 35 40 45 50
PK-35 Vantaa 1151 30 36.12 -6.12 21.0% 22 28 31 36 40 45 53
Viikingit 1150 29 32.38 -3.38 30.0% 14 22 29 32 37 42 48
OPS Oulu 1132 28 33.47 -5.47 28.0% 18 24 28 34 39 42 49
JIPPO 1120 29 27.27 +1.73 69.0% 13 19 23 27 31 38 46
Kajaani 1018 14 34.38 -20.38 0.0% 20 23 29 34 40 44 49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.56%
Slight Edge
44.44%26.67%28.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
131 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
054.49400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.51 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
SJK Seinajoki, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.2 * Some Luck: 5.2 to 7.81 * Lucky: 7.81 to 10.41 * Wild Swing: 10.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.46 * Close: 1.46 to 2.2 * Off: 2.2 to 2.93 * Way Off: 2.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.28 points
Lucky
06.5016
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Pinpoint
01.834
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
SJK Seinajoki
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Kajaani
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 94.02
2.00
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.03
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.22
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.50
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1490.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
SJK Seinajoki24.00%36.00%12.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%——
Haka34.00%21.00%19.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—
KooTeePee5.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%
Ilves28.00%18.00%22.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%———
AC Oulu3.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%18.00%13.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%
PK-35 Vantaa2.00%5.00%8.00%15.00%9.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%
Viikingit1.00%3.00%2.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%16.00%20.00%12.00%
JIPPO——2.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%24.00%41.00%
OPS Oulu1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%21.00%12.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%15.00%
Kajaani2.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Haka 34.00% 64.00% 2.00%
Ilves 28.00% 72.00% —
SJK Seinajoki 24.00% 76.00% —
PK-35 Vantaa 2.00% 88.00% 10.00%
KooTeePee 5.00% 78.00% 17.00%
AC Oulu 3.00% 78.00% 19.00%
Kajaani 2.00% 72.00% 26.00%
OPS Oulu 1.00% 70.00% 29.00%
Viikingit 1.00% 67.00% 32.00%
JIPPO — 35.00% 65.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-04-29 AC Oulu W 3-034.1 1206 1174 49.18% 25.78% 25.03%+0.66 +15.2 3
2013-04-29 @ Haka L 0-334.1 1174 1206 25.03% 25.78% 49.18%-0.66 -15.2 0
2013-04-29 KooTeePee W 5-033.6 1179 1151 48.73% 25.86% 25.41%+0.63 +24.8 3
2013-04-29 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-533.6 1151 1179 25.41% 25.86% 48.73%-0.63 -24.8 0
2013-05-04 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-145.3 1192 1204 43.44% 26.51% 30.06%+0.33 +6.1 3
2013-05-04 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-245.3 1204 1192 30.06% 26.51% 43.44%-0.33 -6.1 3
2013-05-05 Haka D 2-257.7 1227 1221 45.75% 26.27% 27.98%+0.46 -0.5 1
2013-05-05 @ Kajaani D 2-257.7 1221 1227 27.98% 26.27% 45.75%-0.46 +0.5 4
2013-05-05 Ilves D 0-047.8 1161 1245 33.27% 26.72% 40.00%-0.23 +0.3 1
2013-05-05 @ OPS Oulu D 0-047.8 1245 1161 40.00% 26.72% 33.27%+0.23 -0.3 1
2013-05-05 JIPPO W 1-039.6 1126 1127 44.99% 26.36% 28.66%+0.41 +6.2 3
2013-05-05 @ KooTeePee L 0-139.6 1127 1126 28.66% 26.36% 44.99%-0.41 -6.2 0
2013-05-09 Kajaani W 2-038.4 1198 1226 41.21% 26.66% 32.13%+0.20 +12.8 6
2013-05-09 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-238.4 1226 1198 32.13% 26.66% 41.21%-0.20 -12.8 1
2013-05-09 KooTeePee D 3-361.3 1159 1133 48.54% 25.89% 25.57%+0.62 -0.6 1
2013-05-09 @ AC Oulu D 3-361.3 1133 1159 25.57% 25.89% 48.54%-0.62 +0.6 4
2013-05-09 OPS Oulu W 3-140.1 1222 1161 52.78% 25.08% 22.14%+0.88 +8.1 7
2013-05-09 @ Haka L 1-340.1 1161 1222 22.14% 25.08% 52.78%-0.88 -8.1 1
2013-05-09 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-141.4 1120 1198 34.17% 26.76% 39.08%-0.18 -7.1 0
2013-05-09 @ JIPPO W 1-041.4 1198 1120 39.08% 26.76% 34.17%+0.18 +7.1 6
2013-05-12 AC Oulu L 0-142.8 1113 1159 38.73% 26.77% 34.50%+0.07 -7.8 0
2013-05-12 @ JIPPO W 1-042.8 1159 1113 34.50% 26.77% 38.73%-0.07 +7.8 4
2013-05-12 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-039.4 1213 1205 46.14% 26.23% 27.63%+0.48 +6.0 4
2013-05-12 @ Kajaani L 0-139.4 1205 1213 27.63% 26.23% 46.14%-0.48 -6.0 6
2013-05-12 Viikingit W 1-040.0 1153 1162 43.88% 26.47% 29.65%+0.35 +6.4 4
2013-05-12 @ OPS Oulu L 0-140.0 1162 1153 29.65% 26.47% 43.88%-0.35 -6.4 0
2013-05-13 Haka W 1-043.7 1133 1230 31.58% 26.63% 41.79%-0.32 +8.3 7
2013-05-13 @ KooTeePee L 0-143.7 1230 1133 41.79% 26.63% 31.58%+0.32 -8.3 7
2013-05-13 SJK Seinajoki L 2-452.4 1245 1211 49.42% 25.74% 24.84%+0.67 -13.8 1
2013-05-13 @ Ilves W 4-252.4 1211 1245 24.84% 25.74% 49.42%-0.67 +13.8 9
2013-05-19 JIPPO D 1-152.4 1155 1106 51.45% 25.37% 23.18%+0.80 -1.2 1
2013-05-19 @ Viikingit D 1-152.4 1106 1155 23.18% 25.37% 51.45%-0.80 +1.2 1
2013-05-19 Kajaani W 1-043.0 1141 1219 34.10% 26.75% 39.15%-0.18 +7.9 10
2013-05-19 @ KooTeePee L 0-143.0 1219 1141 39.15% 26.75% 34.10%+0.18 -7.9 4
2013-05-19 SJK Seinajoki W 2-147.3 1166 1225 36.85% 26.79% 36.36%-0.03 +7.0 7
2013-05-19 @ AC Oulu L 1-247.3 1225 1166 36.36% 26.79% 36.85%+0.03 -7.0 9
2013-05-20 OPS Oulu L 2-355.8 1199 1160 50.17% 25.61% 24.22%+0.72 -8.6 6
2013-05-20 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-255.8 1160 1199 24.22% 25.61% 50.17%-0.72 +8.6 7
2013-05-23 Ilves L 0-141.5 1154 1231 34.25% 26.76% 38.99%-0.17 -7.1 1
2013-05-23 @ Viikingit W 1-041.5 1231 1154 38.99% 26.76% 34.25%+0.17 +7.1 4
2013-05-25 OPS Oulu W 2-035.2 1218 1168 51.47% 25.36% 23.17%+0.80 +9.8 12
2013-05-25 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-235.2 1168 1218 23.17% 25.36% 51.47%-0.80 -9.8 7
2013-05-26 Haka D 0-047.8 1107 1222 29.29% 26.43% 44.28%-0.46 +0.7 2
2013-05-26 @ JIPPO D 0-047.8 1222 1107 44.28% 26.43% 29.29%+0.46 -0.7 8
2013-05-26 Kajaani W 3-251.1 1174 1212 39.76% 26.73% 33.51%+0.12 +6.3 10
2013-05-26 @ AC Oulu L 2-351.1 1212 1174 33.51% 26.73% 39.76%-0.12 -6.3 4
2013-05-26 KooTeePee D 1-152.2 1147 1149 44.71% 26.39% 28.90%+0.40 -0.6 2
2013-05-26 @ Viikingit D 1-152.2 1149 1147 28.90% 26.39% 44.71%-0.40 +0.6 11
2013-05-27 Ilves L 1-345.5 1191 1238 38.41% 26.77% 34.81%+0.05 -12.7 6
2013-05-27 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-145.5 1238 1191 34.81% 26.77% 38.41%-0.05 +12.6 7
2013-05-29 SJK Seinajoki L 1-246.4 1146 1228 33.63% 26.74% 39.63%-0.21 -6.6 2
2013-05-29 @ Viikingit W 2-146.4 1228 1146 39.63% 26.74% 33.63%+0.21 +6.6 15
2013-05-31 AC Oulu D 0-047.8 1158 1180 42.10% 26.61% 31.29%+0.25 -0.5 8
2013-05-31 @ OPS Oulu D 0-047.8 1180 1158 31.29% 26.61% 42.10%-0.25 +0.5 11
2013-05-31 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.5 1221 1178 50.64% 25.53% 23.84%+0.75 -1.1 9
2013-05-31 @ Haka D 1-152.5 1178 1221 23.84% 25.53% 50.64%-0.75 +1.1 7
2013-06-02 JIPPO W 5-029.6 1251 1107 62.11% 22.30% 15.59%+1.51 +15.6 10
2013-06-02 @ Ilves L 0-529.6 1107 1251 15.59% 22.30% 62.11%-1.51 -15.6 2
2013-06-02 KooTeePee W 2-034.0 1234 1150 55.62% 24.39% 19.99%+1.06 +8.5 18
2013-06-02 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-234.0 1150 1234 19.99% 24.39% 55.62%-1.06 -8.6 11
2013-06-02 Viikingit W 2-142.3 1205 1140 53.39% 24.94% 21.66%+0.92 +4.6 7
2013-06-02 @ Kajaani L 1-242.3 1140 1205 21.66% 24.94% 53.39%-0.92 -4.6 2
2013-06-05 Ilves W 3-037.5 1220 1266 38.58% 26.77% 34.65%+0.06 +19.7 12
2013-06-05 @ Haka L 0-337.5 1266 1220 34.65% 26.77% 38.58%-0.06 -19.7 10
2013-06-05 Kajaani D 3-361.1 1158 1210 37.77% 26.78% 35.44%+0.02 -0.0 9
2013-06-05 @ OPS Oulu D 3-361.1 1210 1158 35.44% 26.78% 37.77%-0.02 +0.1 8
2013-06-09 Ilves D 2-257.5 1180 1247 35.71% 26.79% 37.50%-0.09 +0.0 12
2013-06-09 @ AC Oulu D 2-257.5 1247 1180 37.50% 26.79% 35.71%+0.09 -0.0 11
2013-06-09 JIPPO L 0-147.9 1210 1092 59.42% 23.25% 17.33%+1.32 -11.0 8
2013-06-09 @ Kajaani W 1-047.9 1092 1210 17.33% 23.25% 59.42%-1.32 +11.0 5
2013-06-09 OPS Oulu W 4-246.7 1141 1158 42.78% 26.56% 30.66%+0.29 +9.6 14
2013-06-09 @ KooTeePee L 2-446.7 1158 1141 30.66% 26.56% 42.78%-0.29 -9.5 9
2013-06-09 SJK Seinajoki D 0-048.1 1240 1243 44.57% 26.40% 29.03%+0.39 -0.7 13
2013-06-09 @ Haka D 0-048.1 1243 1240 29.03% 26.40% 44.57%-0.39 +0.7 19
2013-06-09 Viikingit W 2-143.0 1179 1135 50.72% 25.51% 23.77%+0.75 +5.0 10
2013-06-09 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-243.0 1135 1179 23.77% 25.51% 50.72%-0.75 -5.0 2
2013-06-14 Haka W 1-044.2 1130 1239 30.06% 26.51% 43.44%-0.41 +8.5 5
2013-06-14 @ Viikingit L 0-144.2 1239 1130 43.44% 26.51% 30.06%+0.41 -8.5 13
2013-06-14 SJK Seinajoki L 0-236.3 1103 1244 26.27% 26.01% 47.71%-0.66 -10.9 5
2013-06-14 @ JIPPO W 2-036.3 1244 1103 47.71% 26.01% 26.27%+0.66 +10.9 22
2013-06-15 AC Oulu D 1-152.2 1184 1180 45.51% 26.30% 28.19%+0.44 -0.7 11
2013-06-15 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.2 1180 1184 28.19% 26.30% 45.51%-0.44 +0.7 13
2013-06-15 KooTeePee D 0-048.6 1247 1151 56.91% 24.03% 19.06%+1.15 -1.8 12
2013-06-15 @ Ilves D 0-048.6 1151 1247 19.06% 24.03% 56.91%-1.15 +1.8 15
2013-06-18 Haka L 0-142.8 1181 1230 38.16% 26.78% 35.06%+0.04 -7.7 13
2013-06-18 @ AC Oulu W 1-042.8 1230 1181 35.06% 26.78% 38.16%-0.04 +7.7 16
2013-06-18 PK-35 Vantaa D 0-047.8 1153 1183 40.83% 26.68% 32.49%+0.18 -0.4 16
2013-06-18 @ KooTeePee D 0-047.8 1183 1153 32.49% 26.68% 40.83%-0.18 +0.4 12
2013-06-19 Ilves L 1-248.1 1199 1245 38.67% 26.77% 34.57%+0.07 -7.3 8
2013-06-19 @ Kajaani W 2-148.1 1245 1199 34.57% 26.77% 38.67%-0.07 +7.3 15
2013-06-19 JIPPO W 2-034.8 1148 1092 52.26% 25.20% 22.54%+0.85 +9.5 12
2013-06-19 @ OPS Oulu L 0-234.8 1092 1148 22.54% 25.20% 52.26%-0.85 -9.5 5
2013-06-19 Viikingit D 2-258.4 1255 1139 59.17% 23.33% 17.50%+1.30 -1.3 23
2013-06-19 @ SJK Seinajoki D 2-258.4 1139 1255 17.50% 23.33% 59.17%-1.30 +1.4 6
2013-06-24 Kajaani W 1-038.0 1238 1192 51.04% 25.45% 23.51%+0.77 +5.2 19
2013-06-24 @ Haka L 0-138.0 1192 1238 23.51% 25.45% 51.04%-0.77 -5.2 8
2013-06-24 KooTeePee L 0-141.7 1082 1152 35.22% 26.78% 38.00%-0.12 -7.3 5
2013-06-24 @ JIPPO W 1-041.7 1152 1082 38.00% 26.78% 35.22%+0.12 +7.3 19
2013-06-26 AC Oulu L 0-240.7 1140 1173 40.44% 26.70% 32.86%+0.16 -15.2 6
2013-06-26 @ Viikingit W 2-040.7 1173 1140 32.86% 26.70% 40.44%-0.16 +15.2 16
2013-06-27 OPS Oulu W 2-141.3 1252 1158 56.76% 24.07% 19.17%+1.14 +4.1 18
2013-06-27 @ Ilves L 1-241.3 1158 1252 19.17% 24.07% 56.76%-1.14 -4.1 12
2013-06-27 SJK Seinajoki L 0-337.6 1184 1253 35.28% 26.78% 37.94%-0.11 -19.9 12
2013-06-27 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-037.6 1253 1184 37.94% 26.78% 35.28%+0.11 +19.9 26
2013-06-30 PK-35 Vantaa D 0-047.7 1075 1164 32.67% 26.69% 40.64%-0.26 +0.4 6
2013-06-30 @ JIPPO D 0-047.7 1164 1075 40.64% 26.69% 32.67%+0.26 -0.4 13
2013-06-30 SJK Seinajoki L 1-738.5 1186 1273 32.93% 26.71% 40.37%-0.25 -29.9 8
2013-06-30 @ Kajaani W 7-138.5 1273 1186 40.37% 26.71% 32.93%+0.25 +29.9 29
2013-06-30 Viikingit W 1-035.0 1256 1125 60.86% 22.76% 16.39%+1.42 +3.7 21
2013-06-30 @ Ilves L 0-135.0 1125 1256 16.39% 22.76% 60.86%-1.42 -3.7 6
2013-07-01 AC Oulu D 0-047.8 1160 1188 41.06% 26.67% 32.26%+0.20 -0.4 20
2013-07-01 @ KooTeePee D 0-047.8 1188 1160 32.26% 26.67% 41.06%-0.20 +0.4 17
2013-07-01 Haka L 1-246.1 1154 1243 32.53% 26.69% 40.79%-0.27 -6.5 12
2013-07-01 @ OPS Oulu W 2-146.1 1243 1154 40.79% 26.69% 32.53%+0.27 +6.5 22
2013-07-06 Ilves L 1-251.7 1303 1260 50.60% 25.53% 23.87%+0.74 -9.1 29
2013-07-06 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-151.7 1260 1303 23.87% 25.53% 50.60%-0.74 +9.1 24
2013-07-06 JIPPO W 1-035.4 1189 1075 58.89% 23.42% 17.69%+1.28 +4.0 20
2013-07-06 @ AC Oulu L 0-135.4 1075 1189 17.69% 23.42% 58.89%-1.28 -4.0 6
2013-07-06 OPS Oulu W 3-036.3 1121 1147 41.43% 26.65% 31.91%+0.22 +18.5 9
2013-07-06 @ Viikingit L 0-336.3 1147 1121 31.91% 26.65% 41.43%-0.22 -18.5 12
2013-07-07 Kajaani D 3-361.2 1163 1157 45.93% 26.25% 27.82%+0.47 -0.5 14
2013-07-07 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 3-361.2 1157 1163 27.82% 26.25% 45.93%-0.47 +0.5 9
2013-07-07 KooTeePee W 2-141.5 1250 1159 56.32% 24.19% 19.49%+1.11 +4.2 25
2013-07-07 @ Haka L 1-241.5 1159 1250 19.49% 24.19% 56.32%-1.11 -4.2 20
2013-07-09 Viikingit L 0-243.7 1193 1140 51.89% 25.28% 22.83%+0.82 -18.6 20
2013-07-09 @ AC Oulu W 2-043.7 1140 1193 22.83% 25.28% 51.89%-0.82 +18.6 12
2013-07-12 Viikingit D 0-047.7 1071 1158 32.93% 26.71% 40.36%-0.25 +0.3 7
2013-07-12 @ JIPPO D 0-047.7 1158 1071 40.36% 26.71% 32.93%+0.25 -0.3 13
2013-07-13 AC Oulu D 1-153.4 1294 1174 59.56% 23.20% 17.24%+1.33 -1.8 30
2013-07-13 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-153.4 1174 1294 17.24% 23.20% 59.56%-1.33 +1.8 21
2013-07-13 Haka D 1-152.7 1269 1254 47.03% 26.11% 26.86%+0.53 -0.8 25
2013-07-13 @ Ilves D 1-152.7 1254 1269 26.86% 26.11% 47.03%-0.53 +0.8 26
2013-07-13 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-038.5 1129 1163 40.32% 26.71% 32.97%+0.16 +13.0 15
2013-07-13 @ OPS Oulu L 0-238.5 1163 1129 32.97% 26.71% 40.32%-0.16 -13.0 14
2013-07-14 KooTeePee L 1-249.7 1157 1155 45.28% 26.33% 28.39%+0.43 -8.3 9
2013-07-14 @ Kajaani W 2-149.7 1155 1157 28.39% 26.33% 45.28%-0.43 +8.3 23
2013-07-17 AC Oulu L 1-248.6 1149 1176 41.26% 26.66% 32.08%+0.21 -7.7 9
2013-07-17 @ Kajaani W 2-148.6 1176 1149 32.08% 26.66% 41.26%-0.21 +7.7 24
2013-07-17 Viikingit D 1-152.2 1163 1158 45.77% 26.27% 27.96%+0.46 -0.7 24
2013-07-17 @ KooTeePee D 1-152.2 1158 1163 27.96% 26.27% 45.77%-0.46 +0.7 14
2013-07-18 JIPPO W 2-030.7 1255 1072 66.11% 20.69% 13.21%+1.81 +5.6 29
2013-07-18 @ Haka L 0-230.7 1072 1255 13.21% 20.69% 66.11%-1.81 -5.6 7
2013-07-18 PK-35 Vantaa W 5-030.5 1268 1150 59.44% 23.24% 17.32%+1.32 +17.4 28
2013-07-18 @ Ilves L 0-530.5 1150 1268 17.32% 23.24% 59.44%-1.32 -17.4 14
2013-07-18 SJK Seinajoki W 2-043.2 1142 1292 25.25% 25.83% 48.93%-0.73 +17.7 18
2013-07-18 @ OPS Oulu L 0-243.2 1292 1142 48.93% 25.83% 25.25%+0.73 -17.7 30
2013-07-20 Kajaani W 5-347.2 1158 1141 47.34% 26.07% 26.60%+0.55 +8.0 17
2013-07-20 @ Viikingit L 3-547.2 1141 1158 26.60% 26.07% 47.34%-0.55 -8.0 9
2013-07-21 Ilves W 2-152.6 1066 1286 18.81% 23.92% 57.28%-1.26 +10.1 10
2013-07-21 @ JIPPO L 1-252.6 1286 1066 57.28% 23.92% 18.81%+1.26 -10.1 28
2013-07-21 KooTeePee L 0-148.0 1274 1163 58.71% 23.48% 17.81%+1.27 -10.9 30
2013-07-21 @ SJK Seinajoki W 1-048.0 1163 1274 17.81% 23.48% 58.71%-1.27 +10.9 27
2013-07-22 Haka L 0-236.9 1132 1260 27.75% 26.24% 46.01%-0.56 -11.4 14
2013-07-22 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 2-036.9 1260 1132 46.01% 26.24% 27.75%+0.56 +11.4 32
2013-07-24 OPS Oulu W 3-141.4 1184 1159 48.24% 25.94% 25.82%+0.60 +9.3 27
2013-07-24 @ AC Oulu L 1-341.4 1159 1184 25.82% 25.94% 48.24%-0.60 -9.3 18
2013-07-27 SJK Seinajoki D 0-048.4 1272 1263 46.13% 26.23% 27.64%+0.48 -0.8 33
2013-07-27 @ Haka D 0-048.4 1263 1272 27.64% 26.23% 46.13%-0.48 +0.8 31
2013-07-28 Kajaani D 1-152.0 1076 1133 37.11% 26.79% 36.10%-0.02 -0.0 11
2013-07-28 @ JIPPO D 1-152.0 1133 1076 36.10% 26.79% 37.11%+0.02 +0.0 10
2013-07-28 Viikingit W 2-146.6 1121 1167 38.73% 26.77% 34.51%+0.07 +6.8 17
2013-07-28 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-246.6 1167 1121 34.51% 26.77% 38.73%-0.07 -6.8 17
2013-07-31 KooTeePee L 1-248.8 1150 1174 41.83% 26.63% 31.55%+0.24 -7.8 18
2013-07-31 @ OPS Oulu W 2-148.8 1174 1150 31.55% 26.63% 41.83%-0.24 +7.8 30
2013-08-01 AC Oulu W 6-134.5 1276 1193 55.37% 24.45% 20.17%+1.04 +16.7 31
2013-08-01 @ Ilves L 1-634.5 1193 1276 20.17% 24.45% 55.37%-1.04 -16.7 27
2013-08-03 Haka L 0-335.8 1160 1271 29.77% 26.48% 43.75%-0.43 -17.5 17
2013-08-03 @ Viikingit W 3-035.8 1271 1160 43.75% 26.48% 29.77%+0.43 +17.5 36
2013-08-03 JIPPO W 2-030.6 1264 1076 66.59% 20.47% 12.93%+1.85 +5.5 34
2013-08-03 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-230.6 1076 1264 12.93% 20.47% 66.59%-1.85 -5.4 11
2013-08-04 OPS Oulu D 1-152.1 1133 1142 43.75% 26.48% 29.77%+0.34 -0.6 11
2013-08-04 @ Kajaani D 1-152.1 1142 1133 29.77% 26.48% 43.75%-0.34 +0.6 19
2013-08-04 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-037.7 1176 1128 51.31% 25.39% 23.29%+0.79 +5.2 30
2013-08-04 @ AC Oulu L 0-137.7 1128 1176 23.29% 25.39% 51.31%-0.79 -5.2 17
2013-08-05 Ilves W 4-039.4 1181 1292 29.80% 26.48% 43.72%-0.43 +30.6 33
2013-08-05 @ KooTeePee L 0-439.4 1292 1181 43.72% 26.48% 29.80%+0.43 -30.6 31
2013-08-07 AC Oulu W 4-030.9 1288 1182 58.15% 23.65% 18.20%+1.23 +14.8 39
2013-08-07 @ Haka L 0-430.9 1182 1288 18.20% 23.65% 58.15%-1.23 -14.8 30
2013-08-07 OPS Oulu W 2-147.7 1071 1143 34.91% 26.78% 38.31%-0.13 +7.3 14
2013-08-07 @ JIPPO L 1-247.7 1143 1071 38.31% 26.78% 34.91%+0.13 -7.3 19
2013-08-07 SJK Seinajoki L 0-236.9 1142 1270 27.80% 26.25% 45.95%-0.56 -11.4 17
2013-08-07 @ Viikingit W 2-036.9 1270 1142 45.95% 26.25% 27.80%+0.56 +11.4 37
2013-08-08 Kajaani W 3-030.7 1262 1132 60.61% 22.84% 16.55%+1.40 +10.3 34
2013-08-08 @ Ilves L 0-330.7 1132 1262 16.55% 22.84% 60.61%-1.40 -10.3 11
2013-08-11 Haka L 1-242.6 1122 1303 22.14% 25.08% 52.78%-0.97 -4.7 11
2013-08-11 @ Kajaani W 2-142.6 1303 1122 52.78% 25.08% 22.14%+0.97 +4.7 42
2013-08-11 Ilves D 1-152.4 1136 1272 26.79% 26.10% 47.11%-0.62 +0.8 20
2013-08-11 @ OPS Oulu D 1-152.4 1272 1136 47.11% 26.10% 26.79%+0.62 -0.8 35
2013-08-11 JIPPO D 0-048.9 1212 1078 61.11% 22.67% 16.22%+1.44 -2.2 34
2013-08-11 @ KooTeePee D 0-048.9 1078 1212 16.22% 22.67% 61.11%-1.44 +2.2 15
2013-08-11 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-029.1 1281 1123 63.67% 21.70% 14.63%+1.62 +11.8 40
2013-08-11 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-429.1 1123 1281 14.63% 21.70% 63.67%-1.62 -11.8 17
2013-08-12 Viikingit L 2-355.6 1167 1131 49.73% 25.69% 24.58%+0.69 -8.5 30
2013-08-12 @ AC Oulu W 3-255.6 1131 1167 24.58% 25.69% 49.73%-0.69 +8.5 20
2013-08-17 JIPPO D 1-152.3 1111 1080 49.03% 25.81% 25.16%+0.65 -1.0 18
2013-08-17 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.3 1080 1111 25.16% 25.81% 49.03%-0.65 +1.0 16
2013-08-17 Kajaani W 1-033.7 1293 1117 65.37% 21.00% 13.63%+1.75 +3.1 43
2013-08-17 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-133.7 1117 1293 13.63% 21.00% 65.37%-1.75 -3.1 11
2013-08-17 OPS Oulu W 3-136.5 1308 1136 64.96% 21.17% 13.86%+1.72 +5.1 45
2013-08-17 @ Haka L 1-336.5 1136 1308 13.86% 21.17% 64.96%-1.72 -5.1 20
2013-08-18 KooTeePee L 0-142.6 1158 1210 37.88% 26.78% 35.34%+0.02 -7.7 30
2013-08-18 @ AC Oulu W 1-042.6 1210 1158 35.34% 26.78% 37.88%-0.02 +7.7 37
2013-08-19 Ilves D 1-152.4 1139 1271 27.31% 26.18% 46.52%-0.59 +0.8 21
2013-08-19 @ Viikingit D 1-152.4 1271 1139 46.52% 26.18% 27.31%+0.59 -0.8 36
2013-08-24 AC Oulu W 2-039.9 1081 1151 35.29% 26.78% 37.93%-0.11 +14.5 19
2013-08-24 @ JIPPO L 0-239.9 1151 1081 37.93% 26.78% 35.29%+0.11 -14.5 30
2013-08-24 PK-35 Vantaa L 2-354.5 1114 1110 45.63% 26.29% 28.08%+0.45 -7.9 11
2013-08-24 @ Kajaani W 3-254.5 1110 1114 28.08% 26.29% 45.63%-0.45 +7.9 21
2013-08-24 SJK Seinajoki L 1-346.9 1270 1296 41.50% 26.65% 31.85%+0.22 -13.4 36
2013-08-24 @ Ilves W 3-146.9 1296 1270 31.85% 26.65% 41.50%-0.22 +13.4 46
2013-08-24 Viikingit D 3-361.1 1131 1140 43.84% 26.47% 29.69%+0.35 -0.4 21
2013-08-24 @ OPS Oulu D 3-361.1 1140 1131 29.69% 26.47% 43.84%-0.35 +0.3 22
2013-08-26 Haka D 1-152.6 1217 1313 31.75% 26.64% 41.61%-0.31 +0.4 38
2013-08-26 @ KooTeePee D 1-152.6 1313 1217 41.61% 26.64% 31.75%+0.31 -0.4 46
2013-08-27 Kajaani L 0-246.1 1257 1106 62.84% 22.02% 15.14%+1.56 -21.7 36
2013-08-27 @ Ilves W 2-046.1 1106 1257 15.14% 22.02% 62.84%-1.56 +21.7 14
2013-08-30 AC Oulu W 1-033.8 1309 1136 65.14% 21.10% 13.76%+1.74 +3.1 49
2013-08-30 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-133.8 1136 1309 13.76% 21.10% 65.14%-1.74 -3.1 30
2013-08-30 Ilves D 0-048.9 1313 1235 54.79% 24.60% 20.60%+1.01 -1.6 47
2013-08-30 @ Haka D 0-048.9 1235 1313 20.60% 24.60% 54.79%-1.01 +1.6 37
2013-08-31 Kajaani W 2-033.7 1218 1128 56.21% 24.22% 19.56%+1.10 +8.4 41
2013-08-31 @ KooTeePee L 0-233.7 1128 1218 19.56% 24.22% 56.21%-1.10 -8.4 14
2013-08-31 OPS Oulu W 7-137.4 1118 1131 43.22% 26.52% 30.26%+0.31 +28.0 24
2013-08-31 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-737.4 1131 1118 30.26% 26.52% 43.22%-0.31 -28.0 21
2013-09-01 JIPPO D 1-152.4 1140 1096 50.83% 25.49% 23.68%+0.76 -1.1 23
2013-09-01 @ Viikingit D 1-152.4 1096 1140 23.68% 25.49% 50.83%-0.76 +1.1 20
2013-09-07 JIPPO W 3-035.0 1103 1097 45.86% 26.26% 27.89%+0.46 +16.6 24
2013-09-07 @ OPS Oulu L 0-335.0 1097 1103 27.89% 26.26% 45.86%-0.46 -16.6 20
2013-09-08 KooTeePee W 1-043.1 1146 1226 33.77% 26.74% 39.49%-0.20 +7.9 27
2013-09-08 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-143.1 1226 1146 39.49% 26.74% 33.77%+0.20 -7.9 41
2013-09-14 OPS Oulu W 1-033.2 1313 1120 67.05% 20.27% 12.68%+1.89 +2.8 52
2013-09-14 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-133.2 1120 1313 12.68% 20.27% 67.05%-1.89 -2.8 24
2013-09-15 Haka W 2-153.0 1080 1311 17.93% 23.53% 58.54%-1.34 +10.2 23
2013-09-15 @ JIPPO L 1-253.0 1311 1080 58.54% 23.53% 17.93%+1.34 -10.2 47
2013-09-15 Ilves L 1-246.4 1154 1237 33.40% 26.73% 39.87%-0.22 -6.6 27
2013-09-15 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 2-146.4 1237 1154 39.87% 26.73% 33.40%+0.22 +6.6 40
2013-09-15 Kajaani W 4-034.0 1133 1120 46.80% 26.14% 27.06%+0.52 +21.2 33
2013-09-15 @ AC Oulu L 0-434.0 1120 1133 27.06% 26.14% 46.80%-0.52 -21.2 14
2013-09-16 KooTeePee W 3-145.7 1139 1218 33.98% 26.75% 39.27%-0.19 +12.9 26
2013-09-16 @ Viikingit L 1-345.7 1218 1139 39.27% 26.75% 33.98%+0.19 -12.9 41
2013-09-20 AC Oulu D 1-152.0 1117 1154 39.85% 26.73% 33.42%+0.13 -0.2 25
2013-09-20 @ OPS Oulu D 1-152.0 1154 1117 33.42% 26.73% 39.85%-0.13 +0.2 34
2013-09-20 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-137.1 1301 1147 63.17% 21.89% 14.93%+1.59 +5.5 50
2013-09-20 @ Haka L 1-337.1 1147 1301 14.93% 21.89% 63.17%-1.59 -5.5 27
2013-09-21 JIPPO L 1-253.8 1243 1090 63.09% 21.93% 14.98%+1.58 -10.9 40
2013-09-21 @ Ilves W 2-153.8 1090 1243 14.98% 21.93% 63.09%-1.58 +10.9 26
2013-09-22 SJK Seinajoki L 0-435.4 1205 1315 29.92% 26.49% 43.59%-0.42 -23.0 41
2013-09-22 @ KooTeePee W 4-035.4 1315 1205 43.59% 26.49% 29.92%+0.42 +22.9 55
2013-09-22 Viikingit L 0-338.0 1099 1152 37.57% 26.79% 35.65%+0.01 -20.9 14
2013-09-22 @ Kajaani W 3-038.0 1152 1099 35.65% 26.79% 37.57%-0.01 +20.9 29
2013-09-29 Haka D 1-153.5 1338 1306 49.23% 25.78% 25.00%+0.66 -1.0 56
2013-09-29 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-153.5 1306 1338 25.00% 25.78% 49.23%-0.66 +1.0 51
2013-09-29 Ilves W 5-246.1 1155 1232 34.12% 26.75% 39.12%-0.18 +15.7 37
2013-09-29 @ AC Oulu L 2-546.1 1232 1155 39.12% 26.75% 34.12%+0.18 -15.7 40
2013-09-29 JIPPO L 0-339.2 1078 1101 41.80% 26.63% 31.58%+0.24 -22.6 14
2013-09-29 @ Kajaani W 3-039.2 1101 1078 31.58% 26.63% 41.80%-0.24 +22.6 29
2013-09-29 OPS Oulu W 5-032.1 1182 1117 53.42% 24.94% 21.64%+0.92 +21.5 44
2013-09-29 @ KooTeePee L 0-532.1 1117 1182 21.64% 24.94% 53.42%-0.92 -21.5 25
2013-09-29 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-243.1 1173 1142 49.16% 25.79% 25.05%+0.66 -17.7 29
2013-09-29 @ Viikingit W 2-043.1 1142 1173 25.05% 25.79% 49.16%-0.66 +17.7 30
2013-10-05 AC Oulu L 0-144.2 1159 1170 43.53% 26.50% 29.98%+0.33 -8.5 30
2013-10-05 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 1-044.2 1170 1159 29.98% 26.50% 43.53%-0.33 +8.5 40
2013-10-05 Kajaani W 8-034.2 1095 1055 50.22% 25.60% 24.17%+0.72 +37.0 28
2013-10-05 @ OPS Oulu L 0-834.2 1055 1095 24.17% 25.60% 50.22%-0.72 -37.0 14
2013-10-05 KooTeePee D 2-257.6 1217 1204 46.72% 26.15% 27.13%+0.51 -0.6 41
2013-10-05 @ Ilves D 2-257.6 1204 1217 27.13% 26.15% 46.72%-0.51 +0.6 45
2013-10-05 SJK Seinajoki L 0-136.4 1124 1337 19.30% 24.12% 56.58%-1.21 -4.4 29
2013-10-05 @ JIPPO W 1-036.4 1337 1124 56.58% 24.12% 19.30%+1.21 +4.4 59
2013-10-05 Viikingit W 3-137.2 1307 1155 62.99% 21.97% 15.04%+1.57 +5.6 54
2013-10-05 @ Haka L 1-337.2 1155 1307 15.04% 21.97% 62.99%-1.57 -5.6 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-09-21 14.98% JIPPO 1090 2 @ Ilves 1243 1
2 2013-08-27 15.14% Kajaani 1106 2 @ Ilves 1257 0
3 2013-06-09 17.33% JIPPO 1092 1 @ Kajaani 1210 0
4 2013-07-21 17.81% KooTeePee 1163 1 @ SJK Seinajoki 1274 0
5 2013-09-15 17.93% @ JIPPO 1080 2 Haka 1311 1
6 2013-07-21 18.81% @ JIPPO 1066 2 Ilves 1286 1
7 2013-07-09 22.83% Viikingit 1140 2 @ AC Oulu 1193 0
8 2013-07-06 23.87% Ilves 1260 2 @ SJK Seinajoki 1303 1
9 2013-05-20 24.22% OPS Oulu 1160 3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1199 2
10 2013-08-12 24.58% Viikingit 1131 3 @ AC Oulu 1167 2
11 2013-05-13 24.84% SJK Seinajoki 1211 4 @ Ilves 1245 2
12 2013-09-29 25.05% PK-35 Vantaa 1142 2 @ Viikingit 1173 0
13 2013-07-18 25.25% @ OPS Oulu 1142 2 SJK Seinajoki 1292 0
14 2013-08-24 28.08% PK-35 Vantaa 1110 3 @ Kajaani 1114 2
15 2013-07-14 28.39% KooTeePee 1155 2 @ Kajaani 1157 1
16 2013-08-05 29.80% @ KooTeePee 1181 4 Ilves 1292 0
17 2013-10-05 29.98% AC Oulu 1170 1 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1159 0
18 2013-06-14 30.06% @ Viikingit 1130 1 Haka 1239 0
19 2013-07-31 31.55% KooTeePee 1174 2 @ OPS Oulu 1150 1
20 2013-05-13 31.58% @ KooTeePee 1133 1 Haka 1230 0
21 2013-09-29 31.58% JIPPO 1101 3 @ Kajaani 1078 0
22 2013-08-24 31.85% SJK Seinajoki 1296 3 @ Ilves 1270 1
23 2013-07-17 32.08% AC Oulu 1176 2 @ Kajaani 1149 1
24 2013-06-26 32.86% AC Oulu 1173 2 @ Viikingit 1140 0
25 2013-09-08 33.77% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1146 1 KooTeePee 1226 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-10-05 37.03 @ OPS Oulu 8 1095 50.22% Kajaani 0 1055 24.17% 25.60%
2 2013-08-05 30.62 @ KooTeePee 4 1181 29.80% Ilves 0 1292 43.72% 26.48%
3 2013-06-30 29.86 SJK Seinajoki 7 1273 40.37% @ Kajaani 1 1186 32.93% 26.71%
4 2013-08-31 27.97 @ PK-35 Vantaa 7 1118 43.22% OPS Oulu 1 1131 30.26% 26.52%
5 2013-04-29 24.75 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1179 48.73% KooTeePee 0 1151 25.41% 25.86%
6 2013-09-22 22.95 SJK Seinajoki 4 1315 43.59% @ KooTeePee 0 1205 29.92% 26.49%
7 2013-09-29 22.63 JIPPO 3 1101 31.58% @ Kajaani 0 1078 41.80% 26.63%
8 2013-08-27 21.74 Kajaani 2 1106 15.14% @ Ilves 0 1257 62.84% 22.02%
9 2013-09-29 21.50 @ KooTeePee 5 1182 53.42% OPS Oulu 0 1117 21.64% 24.94%
10 2013-09-15 21.17 @ AC Oulu 4 1133 46.80% Kajaani 0 1120 27.06% 26.14%
11 2013-09-22 20.87 Viikingit 3 1152 35.65% @ Kajaani 0 1099 37.57% 26.79%
12 2013-06-27 19.93 SJK Seinajoki 3 1253 37.94% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1184 35.28% 26.78%
13 2013-06-05 19.67 @ Haka 3 1220 38.58% Ilves 0 1266 34.65% 26.77%
14 2013-07-09 18.56 Viikingit 2 1140 22.83% @ AC Oulu 0 1193 51.89% 25.28%
15 2013-07-06 18.48 @ Viikingit 3 1121 41.43% OPS Oulu 0 1147 31.91% 26.65%
16 2013-09-29 17.74 PK-35 Vantaa 2 1142 25.05% @ Viikingit 0 1173 49.16% 25.79%
17 2013-07-18 17.67 @ OPS Oulu 2 1142 25.25% SJK Seinajoki 0 1292 48.93% 25.83%
18 2013-08-03 17.50 Haka 3 1271 43.75% @ Viikingit 0 1160 29.77% 26.48%
19 2013-07-18 17.36 @ Ilves 5 1268 59.44% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1150 17.32% 23.24%
20 2013-08-01 16.68 @ Ilves 6 1276 55.37% AC Oulu 1 1193 20.17% 24.45%
21 2013-09-07 16.60 @ OPS Oulu 3 1103 45.86% JIPPO 0 1097 27.89% 26.26%
22 2013-09-29 15.72 @ AC Oulu 5 1155 34.12% Ilves 2 1232 39.12% 26.75%
23 2013-06-02 15.59 @ Ilves 5 1251 62.11% JIPPO 0 1107 15.59% 22.30%
24 2013-06-26 15.19 AC Oulu 2 1173 32.86% @ Viikingit 0 1140 40.44% 26.70%
25 2013-04-29 15.18 @ Haka 3 1206 49.18% AC Oulu 0 1174 25.03% 25.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-05-09 61.3 @ AC Oulu 3 1159 48.54% KooTeePee 3 1133 25.57% 25.89%
2 2013-07-07 61.2 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1163 45.93% Kajaani 3 1157 27.82% 26.25%
3 2013-06-05 61.1 @ OPS Oulu 3 1158 37.77% Kajaani 3 1210 35.44% 26.78%
4 2013-08-24 61.1 @ OPS Oulu 3 1131 43.84% Viikingit 3 1140 29.69% 26.47%
5 2013-06-19 58.4 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1255 59.17% Viikingit 2 1139 17.50% 23.33%
6 2013-05-05 57.7 @ Kajaani 2 1227 45.75% Haka 2 1221 27.98% 26.27%
7 2013-10-05 57.6 @ Ilves 2 1217 46.72% KooTeePee 2 1204 27.13% 26.15%
8 2013-06-09 57.5 @ AC Oulu 2 1180 35.71% Ilves 2 1247 37.50% 26.79%
9 2013-05-20 55.8 OPS Oulu 3 1160 24.22% @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1199 50.17% 25.61%
10 2013-08-12 55.6 Viikingit 3 1131 24.58% @ AC Oulu 2 1167 49.73% 25.69%
11 2013-08-24 54.5 PK-35 Vantaa 3 1110 28.08% @ Kajaani 2 1114 45.63% 26.29%
12 2013-09-21 53.8 JIPPO 2 1090 14.98% @ Ilves 1 1243 63.09% 21.93%
13 2013-09-29 53.5 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1338 49.23% Haka 1 1306 25.00% 25.78%
14 2013-07-13 53.4 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1294 59.56% AC Oulu 1 1174 17.24% 23.20%
15 2013-09-15 53.0 @ JIPPO 2 1080 17.93% Haka 1 1311 58.54% 23.53%
16 2013-07-13 52.7 @ Ilves 1 1269 47.03% Haka 1 1254 26.86% 26.11%
17 2013-07-21 52.6 @ JIPPO 2 1066 18.81% Ilves 1 1286 57.28% 23.92%
18 2013-08-26 52.6 @ KooTeePee 1 1217 31.75% Haka 1 1313 41.61% 26.64%
19 2013-05-31 52.5 @ Haka 1 1221 50.64% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1178 23.84% 25.53%
20 2013-05-13 52.4 SJK Seinajoki 4 1211 24.84% @ Ilves 2 1245 49.42% 25.74%
21 2013-05-19 52.4 @ Viikingit 1 1155 51.45% JIPPO 1 1106 23.18% 25.37%
22 2013-08-11 52.4 @ OPS Oulu 1 1136 26.79% Ilves 1 1272 47.11% 26.10%
23 2013-08-19 52.4 @ Viikingit 1 1139 27.31% Ilves 1 1271 46.52% 26.18%
24 2013-09-01 52.4 @ Viikingit 1 1140 50.83% JIPPO 1 1096 23.68% 25.49%
25 2013-08-17 52.3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1 1111 49.03% JIPPO 1 1080 25.16% 25.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-08-11 29.1 @ SJK Seinajoki 4 1281 63.67% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1123 14.63% 21.70%
2 2013-06-02 29.6 @ Ilves 5 1251 62.11% JIPPO 0 1107 15.59% 22.30%
3 2013-07-18 30.5 @ Ilves 5 1268 59.44% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1150 17.32% 23.24%
4 2013-08-03 30.6 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1264 66.59% JIPPO 0 1076 12.93% 20.47%
5 2013-07-18 30.7 @ Haka 2 1255 66.11% JIPPO 0 1072 13.21% 20.69%
6 2013-08-08 30.7 @ Ilves 3 1262 60.61% Kajaani 0 1132 16.55% 22.84%
7 2013-08-07 30.9 @ Haka 4 1288 58.15% AC Oulu 0 1182 18.20% 23.65%
8 2013-09-29 32.1 @ KooTeePee 5 1182 53.42% OPS Oulu 0 1117 21.64% 24.94%
9 2013-09-14 33.2 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1313 67.05% OPS Oulu 0 1120 12.68% 20.27%
10 2013-04-29 33.6 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1179 48.73% KooTeePee 0 1151 25.41% 25.86%
11 2013-08-17 33.7 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1293 65.37% Kajaani 0 1117 13.63% 21.00%
12 2013-08-31 33.7 @ KooTeePee 2 1218 56.21% Kajaani 0 1128 19.56% 24.22%
13 2013-08-30 33.8 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1309 65.14% AC Oulu 0 1136 13.76% 21.10%
14 2013-06-02 34.0 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1234 55.62% KooTeePee 0 1150 19.99% 24.39%
15 2013-09-15 34.0 @ AC Oulu 4 1133 46.80% Kajaani 0 1120 27.06% 26.14%
16 2013-04-29 34.1 @ Haka 3 1206 49.18% AC Oulu 0 1174 25.03% 25.78%
17 2013-10-05 34.2 @ OPS Oulu 8 1095 50.22% Kajaani 0 1055 24.17% 25.60%
18 2013-08-01 34.5 @ Ilves 6 1276 55.37% AC Oulu 1 1193 20.17% 24.45%
19 2013-06-19 34.8 @ OPS Oulu 2 1148 52.26% JIPPO 0 1092 22.54% 25.20%
20 2013-06-30 35.0 @ Ilves 1 1256 60.86% Viikingit 0 1125 16.39% 22.76%
21 2013-09-07 35.0 @ OPS Oulu 3 1103 45.86% JIPPO 0 1097 27.89% 26.26%
22 2013-05-25 35.2 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1218 51.47% OPS Oulu 0 1168 23.17% 25.36%
23 2013-07-06 35.4 @ AC Oulu 1 1189 58.89% JIPPO 0 1075 17.69% 23.42%
24 2013-09-22 35.4 SJK Seinajoki 4 1315 43.59% @ KooTeePee 0 1205 29.92% 26.49%
25 2013-08-03 35.8 Haka 3 1271 43.75% @ Viikingit 0 1160 29.77% 26.48%