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2019 Ykkönen Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Haka

20.25 points above expected

74 points · 53.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AC Oulu

10.87 points below expected

29 points · 39.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Haka 27 24 2 1 74 76 22 +54 53.75 +20.25
2 TPS Turku 27 16 7 4 55 45 23 +22 46.99 +8.01
3 Jaro 27 12 7 8 43 53 40 +13 42.24 +0.76
4 KTP 27 13 3 11 42 46 44 +2 32.58 +9.42
5 Musan Salama 27 11 5 11 38 40 54 -14 38.02 -0.02
6 Ekenas 27 9 3 15 30 42 55 -13 32.68 -2.68
7 AC Oulu 27 7 8 12 29 34 30 +4 39.87 -10.87
8 Kajaani 27 6 6 15 24 40 52 -12 28.42 -4.42
9 MyPa 27 5 7 15 22 30 62 -32 24.90 -2.90
10 TPV Tampere 27 5 6 16 21 30 54 -24 29.30 -8.30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Haka 74 53.75 +20.25
2 KTP 42 32.58 +9.42
3 TPS Turku 55 46.99 +8.01
4 Jaro 43 42.24 +0.76
5 Musan Salama 38 38.02 -0.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AC Oulu 29 39.87 -10.87
2 TPV Tampere 21 29.30 -8.30
3 Kajaani 24 28.42 -4.42
4 MyPa 22 24.90 -2.90
5 Ekenas 30 32.68 -2.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 15 Jun 13 – Sep 14 1 in 1,748
2 KTP 5 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 91
3 Kajaani 3 Jul 13 – Jul 27 1 in 35
4 MyPa 2 Sep 7 – Sep 14 1 in 34
5 Musan Salama 3 Jun 14 – Jun 25 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Oulu 5 Aug 10 – Sep 6 1 in 348
2 MyPa 6 Jul 6 – Aug 9 1 in 64
3 Musan Salama 4 Sep 6 – Sep 30 1 in 57
4 Jaro 3 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 33
5 Ekenas 4 Jun 16 – Jul 2 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 23 Apr 27 – Sep 14 1 in 160
2 TPS Turku 12 Jul 27 – Oct 20 1 in 18
3 KTP 6 Sep 2 – Oct 7 1 in 13
4 AC Oulu 5 Sep 14 – Oct 20 1 in 12
5 Kajaani 3 Jun 2 – Jun 16 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Oulu 7 Jun 20 – Jul 24 1 in 47
2 Jaro 7 May 11 – Jun 16 1 in 28
3 MyPa 11 Jun 25 – Aug 31 1 in 15
4 Kajaani 10 May 15 – Jul 6 1 in 14
5 TPS Turku 3 Sep 27 – Oct 20 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Haka 1341 74 +4 12 11.1 +0.9
TPS Turku 1221 55 +4 7 8.7 -1.7
Jaro 1119 43 -11 7 7.2 -0.2
KTP 1069 42 +8 10 8.2 +1.8
Musan Salama 989 38 -58 4 6.3 -2.3
Ekenas 992 30 +5 7 5.9 +1.1
AC Oulu 1084 29 +85 9 6.7 +2.3
Kajaani 963 24 -37 3 5.5 -2.5
MyPa 888 22 +23 7 3.9 +3.1
TPV Tampere 911 21 -22 3 5.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO EKE HAK JAR KTP KAJ MS MYP TT TT
AC Oulu —
1-1-1
4.84
0-1-2
2.94
1-1-1
3.76
1-0-2
5.18
1-1-1
5.27
1-0-2
4.23
1-2-0
5.86
0-1-2
3.25
1-1-1
5.18
Ekenas
1-1-1
3.32
—
0-0-3
1.80
0-0-3
3.46
0-0-3
4.10
2-0-1
4.63
2-0-1
3.57
2-0-1
4.59
0-2-1
2.82
2-0-1
4.52
Haka
2-1-0
5.27
3-0-0
6.50
—
3-0-0
5.34
3-0-0
6.04
2-1-0
6.66
3-0-0
5.48
3-0-0
7.10
2-0-1
4.95
3-0-0
5.86
Jaro
1-1-1
4.39
3-0-0
4.70
0-0-3
2.84
—
1-1-1
5.26
2-1-0
5.46
0-2-1
4.65
3-0-0
5.33
0-1-2
3.36
2-1-0
5.61
KTP
2-0-1
3.00
3-0-0
4.05
0-0-3
2.20
1-1-1
2.91
—
2-0-1
4.67
2-0-1
3.97
2-1-0
5.06
0-1-2
2.65
1-0-2
4.79
Kajaani
1-1-1
2.91
1-0-2
3.52
0-1-2
1.66
0-1-2
2.73
1-0-2
3.48
—
0-0-3
3.26
1-2-0
4.25
0-0-3
2.20
2-1-0
4.13
Musan Salama
2-0-1
3.92
1-0-2
4.58
0-0-3
2.74
1-2-0
3.51
1-0-2
4.19
3-0-0
4.89
—
1-0-2
5.59
1-1-1
2.28
1-2-0
4.98
MyPa
0-2-1
2.35
1-0-2
3.58
0-0-3
1.32
0-0-3
2.90
0-1-2
3.12
0-2-1
3.92
2-0-1
2.60
—
1-1-1
2.67
1-1-1
3.74
TPS Turku
2-1-0
4.94
1-2-0
5.36
1-0-2
3.21
2-1-0
4.80
2-1-0
5.54
3-0-0
6.03
1-1-1
5.95
1-1-1
5.58
—
3-0-0
5.74
TPV Tampere
1-1-1
2.99
1-0-2
3.63
0-0-3
2.41
0-1-2
2.60
2-0-1
3.38
0-1-2
4.03
0-2-1
3.18
1-1-1
4.41
0-0-3
2.49
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +11.3
Allowed 0.63 -9.2
Differential 0.88 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.93%7.41%4.44%3.33%1.85%0.74%23.70%
17.41%7.41%7.41%5.56%1.48%1.48%30.74%
24.44%7.41%5.19%2.96%0.74%0.74%21.48%
33.33%5.56%2.96%1.48%0.74%0.74%14.81%
41.85%1.48%0.74%0.74%—0.37%5.19%
5+0.74%1.48%0.74%0.74%0.37%—4.07%
Total23.70%30.74%21.48%14.81%5.19%4.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.61 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.02
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%22.22%3.70%———40.74%
13.70%3.70%11.11%3.70%——22.22%
27.41%—7.41%———14.81%
37.41%——3.70%3.70%—14.81%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total37.04%29.63%22.22%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.11 +0.15
SD 1.35 1.12 1.63
CV 1.07 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%7.41%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
13.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%7.41%—25.93%
2—11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%25.93%
33.70%7.41%————11.11%
4———————
5+—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%14.81%14.81%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 2.04 -0.48
SD 1.65 1.48 2.36
CV 1.06 0.73 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%—————7.41%
114.81%—3.70%———18.52%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
3—14.81%3.70%———18.52%
47.41%—7.41%———14.81%
5+3.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
Total44.44%33.33%18.52%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 0.81 +2.00
SD 1.78 0.88 1.52
CV 0.63 1.08 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—3.70%———7.41%
1—14.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%—37.04%
27.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
311.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
4—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total25.93%29.63%18.52%22.22%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.48 +0.48
SD 1.26 1.22 1.95
CV 0.64 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%7.41%3.70%—3.70%29.63%
111.11%7.41%3.70%———22.22%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
3—11.11%3.70%——3.70%18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+—3.70%——3.70%—7.41%
Total14.81%48.15%18.52%7.41%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.63 +0.07
SD 1.64 1.47 2.09
CV 0.96 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%7.41%——22.22%
1—7.41%22.22%3.70%——33.33%
27.41%3.70%11.11%—3.70%—25.93%
33.70%3.70%———3.70%11.11%
4———3.70%—3.70%7.41%
5+———————
Total14.81%22.22%37.04%14.81%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.93 -0.44
SD 1.19 1.36 1.53
CV 0.80 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%——7.41%—18.52%
111.11%3.70%3.70%11.11%—11.11%40.74%
2—18.52%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
3—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total22.22%29.63%7.41%22.22%7.41%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 2.00 -0.52
SD 1.22 1.75 2.23
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%14.81%7.41%7.41%3.70%40.74%
1—11.11%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
2—3.70%11.11%3.70%—3.70%22.22%
3—3.70%11.11%———14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.70%22.22%44.44%14.81%7.41%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.30 -1.19
SD 1.12 1.44 1.90
CV 1.01 0.63 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%————14.81%
118.52%11.11%3.70%3.70%——37.04%
23.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
37.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total44.44%33.33%14.81%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.85 +0.81
SD 1.18 0.95 1.39
CV 0.71 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%7.41%——25.93%
111.11%11.11%3.70%14.81%3.70%3.70%48.15%
23.70%—3.70%7.41%——14.81%
3—3.70%—3.70%3.70%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%25.93%11.11%33.33%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.00 -0.89
SD 0.93 1.52 1.63
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Haka 1341 74 53.75 +20.25 100.0% 33 43 50 54 58 65 73
TPS Turku 1253 55 46.99 +8.01 90.0% 31 34 43 47 51 58 62
Jaro 1119 43 42.24 +0.76 56.0% 20 30 38 43 47 53 60
AC Oulu 1084 29 39.87 -10.87 2.0% 25 31 36 39 43 51 58
KTP 1069 42 32.58 +9.42 94.0% 17 22 29 33 36 44 48
Ekenas 992 30 32.68 -2.68 40.0% 21 22 28 33 37 42 51
Musan Salama 989 38 38.02 -0.02 51.0% 20 27 34 38 42 48 55
Kajaani 963 24 28.42 -4.42 31.0% 13 19 23 29 32 39 47
TPV Tampere 911 21 29.30 -8.30 9.0% 17 20 25 29 33 38 44
MyPa 888 22 24.90 -2.90 31.0% 11 14 21 25 28 35 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.41%
No Edge
43.70%20.00%36.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 25.78 Elo pts.
174 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Haka, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.70/gm
Runaway
00.261/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.03 * Some Luck: 5.03 to 7.54 * Lucky: 7.54 to 10.05 * Wild Swing: 10.05 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.58 * Off: 1.58 to 2.1 * Way Off: 2.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.82 points
Lucky
06.2816
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.313
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Haka
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
AC Oulu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 141.40
2.37
Wide Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.89
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.10
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.71
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.044
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Haka66.00%25.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%—1.00%———
TPS Turku21.00%35.00%29.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Jaro7.00%20.00%27.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%
KTP1.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%21.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%
Musan Salama2.00%6.00%13.00%23.00%19.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%
Ekenas1.00%—2.00%14.00%11.00%19.00%14.00%23.00%11.00%5.00%
AC Oulu2.00%9.00%20.00%24.00%20.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%——
Kajaani—3.00%2.00%—7.00%6.00%15.00%22.00%26.00%19.00%
MyPa———1.00%2.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%24.00%51.00%
TPV Tampere——2.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%16.00%15.00%25.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Haka 66.00% 34.00% —
TPS Turku 21.00% 79.00% —
Jaro 7.00% 92.00% 1.00%
AC Oulu 2.00% 98.00% —
Musan Salama 2.00% 97.00% 1.00%
Ekenas 1.00% 94.00% 5.00%
KTP 1.00% 92.00% 7.00%
TPV Tampere — 84.00% 16.00%
Kajaani — 81.00% 19.00%
MyPa — 49.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-04-27 AC Oulu L 0-139.9 997 1077 27.78% 28.27% 43.95%-0.31 -10.5 0
2019-04-27 @ KTP W 1-039.9 1077 997 43.95% 28.27% 27.78%+0.31 +10.5 3
2019-04-27 Jaro L 1-248.2 1055 1046 39.97% 28.50% 31.54%+0.20 -12.9 0
2019-04-27 @ Ekenas W 2-148.2 1046 1055 31.54% 28.50% 39.97%-0.20 +12.9 3
2019-04-27 Musan Salama L 1-243.0 990 1110 23.32% 27.73% 48.94%-0.54 -8.6 0
2019-04-27 @ Kajaani W 2-143.0 1110 990 48.94% 27.73% 23.32%+0.54 +8.6 3
2019-04-27 TPS Turku L 0-142.8 1080 1091 37.15% 28.57% 34.28%+0.09 -13.0 0
2019-04-27 @ MyPa W 1-042.8 1091 1080 34.28% 28.57% 37.15%-0.09 +13.0 3
2019-04-27 TPV Tampere W 1-041.0 1072 1060 40.43% 28.48% 31.09%+0.22 +11.4 3
2019-04-27 @ Haka L 0-141.0 1060 1072 31.09% 28.48% 40.43%-0.22 -11.4 0
2019-05-02 KTP W 6-341.0 1084 986 51.25% 27.38% 21.38%+0.71 +15.7 6
2019-05-02 @ Haka L 3-641.0 986 1084 21.38% 27.38% 51.25%-0.71 -15.7 0
2019-05-04 Musan Salama D 0-047.9 1048 1118 29.08% 28.37% 42.55%-0.25 +1.0 1
2019-05-04 @ TPV Tampere D 0-047.9 1118 1048 42.55% 28.37% 29.08%+0.25 -1.0 4
2019-05-04 MyPa W 3-035.6 1059 1067 37.53% 28.56% 33.91%+0.10 +33.3 6
2019-05-04 @ Jaro L 0-335.6 1067 1059 33.91% 28.56% 37.53%-0.10 -33.3 0
2019-05-04 TPS Turku D 1-151.6 1042 1104 30.17% 28.43% 41.40%-0.20 +0.8 1
2019-05-04 @ Ekenas D 1-151.6 1104 1042 41.40% 28.43% 30.17%+0.20 -0.8 4
2019-05-06 AC Oulu L 0-235.3 981 1088 24.78% 27.94% 47.28%-0.46 -18.0 0
2019-05-06 @ Kajaani W 2-035.3 1088 981 47.28% 27.94% 24.78%+0.46 +18.0 6
2019-05-09 TPV Tampere W 2-143.9 1103 1049 45.84% 28.10% 26.06%+0.45 +9.4 7
2019-05-09 @ TPS Turku L 1-243.9 1049 1103 26.06% 28.10% 45.84%-0.45 -9.4 1
2019-05-11 Haka D 0-047.9 1106 1100 39.53% 28.51% 31.96%+0.18 -0.6 7
2019-05-11 @ AC Oulu D 0-047.9 1100 1106 31.96% 28.51% 39.53%-0.18 +0.6 7
2019-05-11 Jaro D 1-151.6 1117 1092 42.16% 28.39% 29.45%+0.29 -0.9 5
2019-05-11 @ Musan Salama D 1-151.6 1092 1117 29.45% 28.39% 42.16%-0.29 +0.9 7
2019-05-11 Kajaani L 1-250.4 1034 963 47.98% 27.86% 24.16%+0.55 -14.9 0
2019-05-11 @ MyPa W 2-150.4 963 1034 24.16% 27.86% 47.98%-0.55 +14.9 3
2019-05-13 Ekenas W 3-145.7 971 1043 28.77% 28.35% 42.88%-0.27 +23.6 3
2019-05-13 @ KTP L 1-345.7 1043 971 42.88% 28.35% 28.77%+0.27 -23.6 1
2019-05-15 Kajaani W 1-036.5 1112 978 55.30% 26.57% 18.13%+0.92 +7.3 10
2019-05-15 @ TPS Turku L 0-136.5 978 1112 18.13% 26.57% 55.30%-0.92 -7.3 3
2019-05-16 Musan Salama W 6-138.5 1100 1116 36.35% 28.58% 35.07%+0.05 +45.5 10
2019-05-16 @ Haka L 1-638.5 1116 1100 35.07% 28.58% 36.35%-0.05 -45.5 5
2019-05-17 AC Oulu L 0-334.2 1040 1105 29.70% 28.41% 41.90%-0.23 -30.2 1
2019-05-17 @ TPV Tampere W 3-034.2 1105 1040 41.90% 28.41% 29.70%+0.23 +30.2 10
2019-05-18 MyPa W 7-239.3 1019 1019 38.77% 28.54% 32.69%+0.15 +36.1 4
2019-05-18 @ Ekenas L 2-739.3 1019 1019 32.69% 28.54% 38.77%-0.15 -36.1 0
2019-05-20 Jaro D 2-256.6 994 1093 25.64% 28.05% 46.31%-0.42 +1.1 4
2019-05-20 @ KTP D 2-256.6 1093 994 46.31% 28.05% 25.64%+0.42 -1.1 8
2019-05-22 Ekenas W 1-043.4 1010 1055 32.26% 28.52% 39.22%-0.11 +13.5 4
2019-05-22 @ TPV Tampere L 0-143.4 1055 1010 39.22% 28.52% 32.26%+0.11 -13.5 4
2019-05-25 Haka L 1-342.3 1092 1146 31.16% 28.48% 40.35%-0.16 -18.6 8
2019-05-25 @ Jaro W 3-142.3 1146 1092 40.35% 28.48% 31.16%+0.16 +18.6 13
2019-05-25 KTP L 1-246.7 971 995 35.20% 28.58% 36.23%+0.01 -11.8 3
2019-05-25 @ Kajaani W 2-146.7 995 971 36.23% 28.58% 35.20%-0.01 +11.8 7
2019-05-25 MyPa L 1-250.9 1071 982 50.18% 27.55% 22.27%+0.66 -15.5 5
2019-05-25 @ Musan Salama W 2-150.9 982 1071 22.27% 27.55% 50.18%-0.66 +15.5 3
2019-05-25 TPS Turku L 0-143.9 1135 1120 40.86% 28.46% 30.68%+0.24 -13.9 10
2019-05-25 @ AC Oulu W 1-043.9 1120 1135 30.68% 28.46% 40.86%-0.24 +13.9 13
2019-05-29 AC Oulu W 1-044.2 1055 1121 29.60% 28.40% 42.00%-0.23 +14.2 8
2019-05-29 @ Musan Salama L 0-144.2 1121 1055 42.00% 28.40% 29.60%+0.23 -14.2 10
2019-05-29 Haka L 0-142.0 1133 1164 34.30% 28.57% 37.13%-0.03 -12.2 13
2019-05-29 @ TPS Turku W 1-042.0 1164 1133 37.13% 28.57% 34.30%+0.03 +12.2 16
2019-05-29 KTP D 1-151.5 998 1007 37.40% 28.57% 34.04%+0.10 -0.2 4
2019-05-29 @ MyPa D 1-151.5 1007 998 34.04% 28.57% 37.40%-0.10 +0.2 8
2019-05-30 Kajaani W 2-142.8 1042 959 49.51% 27.65% 22.84%+0.62 +8.4 7
2019-05-30 @ Ekenas L 1-242.8 959 1042 22.84% 27.65% 49.51%-0.62 -8.4 3
2019-05-30 TPV Tampere D 1-151.7 1073 1023 45.38% 28.14% 26.48%+0.43 -1.3 9
2019-05-30 @ Jaro D 1-151.7 1023 1073 26.48% 28.14% 45.38%-0.43 +1.3 5
2019-06-02 Jaro W 3-248.8 1121 1072 45.33% 28.15% 26.52%+0.43 +9.0 16
2019-06-02 @ TPS Turku L 2-348.8 1072 1121 26.52% 28.15% 45.33%-0.43 -9.0 9
2019-06-02 Kajaani D 1-151.8 1025 951 48.44% 27.80% 23.76%+0.57 -1.7 6
2019-06-02 @ TPV Tampere D 1-151.8 951 1025 23.76% 27.80% 48.44%-0.57 +1.7 4
2019-06-02 MyPa D 0-048.2 1107 998 52.59% 27.14% 20.27%+0.78 -2.6 11
2019-06-02 @ AC Oulu D 0-048.2 998 1107 20.27% 27.14% 52.59%-0.78 +2.6 5
2019-06-03 Musan Salama W 3-145.4 1007 1070 30.02% 28.43% 41.55%-0.21 +23.0 11
2019-06-03 @ KTP L 1-345.4 1070 1007 41.55% 28.43% 30.02%+0.21 -23.0 8
2019-06-04 Ekenas W 2-033.1 1176 1050 54.45% 26.76% 18.79%+0.87 +14.3 19
2019-06-04 @ Haka L 0-233.1 1050 1176 18.79% 26.76% 54.45%-0.87 -14.3 7
2019-06-09 Ekenas L 1-345.0 1047 1036 40.15% 28.49% 31.36%+0.21 -22.4 8
2019-06-09 @ Musan Salama W 3-145.0 1036 1047 31.36% 28.49% 40.15%-0.21 +22.5 10
2019-06-09 Haka D 0-049.0 952 1191 13.66% 24.79% 61.55%-1.22 +4.0 5
2019-06-09 @ Kajaani D 0-049.0 1191 952 61.55% 24.79% 13.66%+1.22 -4.0 20
2019-06-09 Jaro D 0-047.9 1104 1063 44.33% 28.24% 27.43%+0.39 -1.3 12
2019-06-09 @ AC Oulu D 0-047.9 1063 1104 27.43% 28.24% 44.33%-0.39 +1.3 10
2019-06-09 TPV Tampere D 1-151.5 1000 1023 35.46% 28.58% 35.97%+0.02 +0.0 6
2019-06-09 @ MyPa D 1-151.5 1023 1000 35.97% 28.58% 35.46%-0.02 -0.0 7
2019-06-10 TPS Turku L 0-332.9 1030 1130 25.50% 28.03% 46.47%-0.43 -26.8 11
2019-06-10 @ KTP W 3-032.9 1130 1030 46.47% 28.03% 25.50%+0.43 +26.8 19
2019-06-13 MyPa W 2-031.3 1187 1000 60.57% 25.12% 14.32%+1.22 +11.1 23
2019-06-13 @ Haka L 0-231.3 1000 1187 14.32% 25.12% 60.57%-1.22 -11.1 6
2019-06-14 Musan Salama L 1-252.2 1157 1024 55.18% 26.60% 18.22%+0.91 -16.8 19
2019-06-14 @ TPS Turku W 2-152.2 1024 1157 18.22% 26.60% 55.18%-0.91 +16.8 11
2019-06-16 AC Oulu L 0-335.1 1059 1103 32.38% 28.53% 39.09%-0.11 -32.2 10
2019-06-16 @ Ekenas W 3-035.1 1103 1059 39.09% 28.53% 32.38%+0.11 +32.2 15
2019-06-16 Kajaani D 1-151.9 1064 956 52.41% 27.17% 20.42%+0.77 -2.3 11
2019-06-16 @ Jaro D 1-151.9 956 1064 20.42% 27.17% 52.41%-0.77 +2.3 6
2019-06-16 KTP W 1-040.7 1023 1003 41.36% 28.44% 30.20%+0.26 +11.2 10
2019-06-16 @ TPV Tampere L 0-140.7 1003 1023 30.20% 28.44% 41.36%-0.26 -11.1 11
2019-06-19 Ekenas W 3-033.8 1062 1026 43.51% 28.30% 28.19%+0.35 +29.0 14
2019-06-19 @ Jaro L 0-333.8 1026 1062 28.19% 28.30% 43.51%-0.35 -29.0 10
2019-06-19 Haka L 1-338.2 1034 1198 19.14% 26.86% 54.00%-0.79 -12.6 10
2019-06-19 @ TPV Tampere W 3-138.2 1198 1034 54.00% 26.86% 19.14%+0.79 +12.6 26
2019-06-19 Musan Salama L 1-341.1 959 1041 27.55% 28.25% 44.20%-0.32 -17.0 6
2019-06-19 @ Kajaani W 3-141.1 1041 959 44.20% 28.25% 27.55%+0.32 +17.0 14
2019-06-19 TPS Turku W 3-148.3 989 1140 20.28% 27.14% 52.58%-0.72 +27.9 9
2019-06-19 @ MyPa L 1-348.3 1140 989 52.58% 27.14% 20.28%+0.72 -28.0 19
2019-06-20 KTP L 0-147.9 1135 992 56.26% 26.34% 17.40%+0.97 -18.1 15
2019-06-20 @ AC Oulu W 1-047.9 992 1135 17.40% 26.34% 56.26%-0.97 +18.1 14
2019-06-24 Haka L 0-135.8 1010 1210 16.25% 25.94% 57.82%-1.00 -6.6 14
2019-06-24 @ KTP W 1-035.8 1210 1010 57.82% 25.94% 16.25%+1.00 +6.6 29
2019-06-25 Jaro L 0-533.3 1017 1091 28.63% 28.34% 43.03%-0.27 -47.2 9
2019-06-25 @ MyPa W 5-033.3 1091 1017 43.03% 28.34% 28.63%+0.27 +47.2 17
2019-06-25 Kajaani D 2-257.4 1117 942 59.53% 25.44% 15.03%+1.16 -2.5 16
2019-06-25 @ AC Oulu D 2-257.4 942 1117 15.03% 25.44% 59.53%-1.16 +2.5 7
2019-06-25 TPV Tampere W 1-040.0 1058 1022 43.65% 28.29% 28.05%+0.36 +10.5 17
2019-06-25 @ Musan Salama L 0-140.0 1022 1058 28.05% 28.29% 43.65%-0.36 -10.5 10
2019-06-28 Ekenas W 4-029.9 1112 997 53.21% 27.02% 19.77%+0.81 +28.3 22
2019-06-28 @ TPS Turku L 0-429.9 997 1112 19.77% 27.02% 53.21%-0.81 -28.3 10
2019-06-29 AC Oulu W 2-142.2 1217 1115 51.78% 27.29% 20.93%+0.74 +7.8 32
2019-06-29 @ Haka L 1-242.2 1115 1217 20.93% 27.29% 51.78%-0.74 -7.9 16
2019-06-29 Musan Salama D 3-360.9 1138 1069 47.87% 27.87% 24.26%+0.55 -1.0 18
2019-06-29 @ Jaro D 3-360.9 1069 1138 24.26% 27.87% 47.87%-0.55 +1.0 18
2019-06-29 MyPa D 2-256.5 944 970 34.99% 28.58% 36.43%+0.00 +0.1 8
2019-06-29 @ Kajaani D 2-256.5 970 944 36.43% 28.58% 34.99%+0.00 -0.1 10
2019-07-02 KTP L 1-440.3 969 1004 33.73% 28.56% 37.71%-0.05 -27.9 10
2019-07-02 @ Ekenas W 4-140.3 1004 969 37.71% 28.56% 33.73%+0.05 +27.9 17
2019-07-02 TPS Turku L 1-436.6 1011 1141 22.33% 27.56% 50.11%-0.60 -20.3 10
2019-07-02 @ TPV Tampere W 4-136.6 1141 1011 50.11% 27.56% 22.33%+0.60 +20.3 25
2019-07-06 Ekenas L 0-338.1 970 941 42.64% 28.36% 29.00%+0.31 -39.4 10
2019-07-06 @ MyPa W 3-038.1 941 970 29.00% 28.36% 42.64%-0.31 +39.4 13
2019-07-06 Haka L 1-534.1 1070 1225 19.89% 27.05% 53.06%-0.74 -23.7 18
2019-07-06 @ Musan Salama W 5-134.1 1225 1070 53.06% 27.05% 19.89%+0.74 +23.7 35
2019-07-06 KTP W 3-246.8 1137 1032 52.12% 27.23% 20.65%+0.75 +7.4 21
2019-07-06 @ Jaro L 2-346.8 1032 1137 20.65% 27.23% 52.12%-0.75 -7.4 17
2019-07-06 TPS Turku L 0-135.3 944 1161 15.06% 25.46% 59.48%-1.10 -6.2 8
2019-07-06 @ Kajaani W 1-035.3 1161 944 59.48% 25.46% 15.06%+1.10 +6.2 28
2019-07-06 TPV Tampere D 3-361.1 1107 991 53.36% 26.99% 19.65%+0.82 -1.5 17
2019-07-06 @ AC Oulu D 3-361.1 991 1107 19.65% 26.99% 53.36%-0.82 +1.5 11
2019-07-13 AC Oulu W 1-039.1 1167 1105 46.90% 27.99% 25.11%+0.50 +9.7 31
2019-07-13 @ TPS Turku L 0-139.1 1105 1167 25.11% 27.99% 46.90%-0.50 -9.7 17
2019-07-13 Jaro W 2-034.0 1249 1144 52.01% 27.25% 20.75%+0.75 +15.6 38
2019-07-13 @ Haka L 0-234.0 1144 1249 20.75% 27.25% 52.01%-0.75 -15.6 21
2019-07-13 Kajaani L 0-242.7 1024 938 49.92% 27.59% 22.49%+0.64 -30.9 17
2019-07-13 @ KTP W 2-042.7 938 1024 22.49% 27.59% 49.92%-0.64 +30.9 11
2019-07-13 MyPa W 4-029.9 1046 931 53.27% 27.01% 19.73%+0.81 +28.3 21
2019-07-13 @ Musan Salama L 0-429.9 931 1046 19.73% 27.01% 53.27%-0.81 -28.3 10
2019-07-13 TPV Tampere W 3-143.3 981 992 37.02% 28.57% 34.41%+0.08 +20.1 16
2019-07-13 @ Ekenas L 1-343.3 992 981 34.41% 28.57% 37.02%-0.08 -20.1 11
2019-07-18 Jaro L 0-233.5 972 1129 19.76% 27.02% 53.23%-0.75 -14.9 11
2019-07-18 @ TPV Tampere W 2-033.5 1129 972 53.23% 27.02% 19.76%+0.75 +14.9 24
2019-07-18 Musan Salama L 1-248.7 1096 1074 41.65% 28.42% 29.93%+0.27 -13.3 17
2019-07-18 @ AC Oulu W 2-148.7 1074 1096 29.93% 28.42% 41.65%-0.27 +13.3 24
2019-07-20 Haka L 2-349.2 1177 1264 26.95% 28.19% 44.86%-0.35 -9.1 31
2019-07-20 @ TPS Turku W 3-249.2 1264 1177 44.86% 28.19% 26.95%+0.35 +9.1 41
2019-07-20 Kajaani L 0-240.8 1001 969 43.00% 28.34% 28.66%+0.33 -27.3 16
2019-07-20 @ Ekenas W 2-040.8 969 1001 28.66% 28.34% 43.00%-0.33 +27.3 14
2019-07-22 MyPa W 2-034.3 994 902 50.51% 27.50% 21.99%+0.67 +16.4 20
2019-07-22 @ KTP L 0-234.3 902 994 21.99% 27.50% 50.51%-0.67 -16.4 10
2019-07-24 AC Oulu W 4-351.6 1144 1082 46.86% 27.99% 25.15%+0.50 +8.5 27
2019-07-24 @ Jaro L 3-451.6 1082 1144 25.15% 27.99% 46.86%-0.50 -8.4 17
2019-07-27 AC Oulu L 0-232.4 886 1074 17.14% 26.25% 56.61%-0.93 -13.1 10
2019-07-27 @ MyPa W 2-032.4 1074 886 56.61% 26.25% 17.14%+0.93 +13.1 20
2019-07-27 Ekenas W 6-231.3 1273 973 70.21% 21.14% 8.65%+1.87 +8.7 44
2019-07-27 @ Haka L 2-631.3 973 1273 8.65% 21.14% 70.21%-1.87 -8.7 16
2019-07-27 KTP W 2-143.0 1087 1010 48.87% 27.74% 23.39%+0.59 +8.6 27
2019-07-27 @ Musan Salama L 1-243.0 1010 1087 23.39% 27.74% 48.87%-0.59 -8.6 20
2019-07-27 TPS Turku L 1-247.3 1152 1168 36.49% 28.57% 34.93%+0.06 -12.1 27
2019-07-27 @ Jaro W 2-147.3 1168 1152 34.93% 28.57% 36.49%-0.06 +12.1 34
2019-07-27 TPV Tampere W 3-033.6 996 957 44.00% 28.26% 27.74%+0.37 +28.6 17
2019-07-27 @ Kajaani L 0-333.6 957 996 27.74% 28.26% 44.00%-0.37 -28.6 11
2019-08-02 KTP W 2-031.5 1180 1001 59.81% 25.36% 14.83%+1.17 +11.5 37
2019-08-02 @ TPS Turku L 0-231.5 1001 1180 14.83% 25.36% 59.81%-1.17 -11.5 20
2019-08-02 MyPa W 3-140.5 929 873 46.16% 28.07% 25.77%+0.47 +16.1 14
2019-08-02 @ TPV Tampere L 1-340.5 873 929 25.77% 28.07% 46.16%-0.47 -16.1 10
2019-08-03 Kajaani W 4-238.6 1282 1025 66.81% 22.74% 10.45%+1.62 +6.2 47
2019-08-03 @ Haka L 2-438.6 1025 1282 10.45% 22.74% 66.81%-1.62 -6.2 17
2019-08-03 Musan Salama W 5-143.3 965 1096 22.13% 27.53% 50.34%-0.61 +49.2 19
2019-08-03 @ Ekenas L 1-543.3 1096 965 50.34% 27.53% 22.13%+0.61 -49.2 27
2019-08-09 Haka L 0-422.9 857 1288 5.82% 17.69% 76.49%-2.33 -7.8 10
2019-08-09 @ MyPa W 4-022.9 1288 857 76.49% 17.69% 5.82%+2.33 +7.8 50
2019-08-10 Ekenas L 1-250.5 1087 1014 48.35% 27.81% 23.84%+0.57 -15.0 20
2019-08-10 @ AC Oulu W 2-150.5 1014 1087 23.84% 27.81% 48.35%-0.57 +15.0 22
2019-08-10 Jaro L 1-242.9 1019 1140 23.17% 27.71% 49.12%-0.55 -8.5 17
2019-08-10 @ Kajaani W 2-142.9 1140 1019 49.12% 27.71% 23.17%+0.55 +8.5 30
2019-08-10 TPS Turku L 1-338.9 1047 1191 20.90% 27.28% 51.82%-0.68 -13.6 27
2019-08-10 @ Musan Salama W 3-138.9 1191 1047 51.82% 27.28% 20.90%+0.68 +13.6 40
2019-08-12 TPV Tampere W 6-135.9 990 945 44.78% 28.20% 27.02%+0.41 +37.4 23
2019-08-12 @ KTP L 1-635.9 945 990 27.02% 28.20% 44.78%-0.41 -37.4 14
2019-08-15 TPV Tampere W 3-131.5 1296 907 76.41% 17.74% 5.85%+2.38 +3.6 53
2019-08-15 @ Haka L 1-331.5 907 1296 5.85% 17.74% 76.41%-2.38 -3.6 14
2019-08-16 Kajaani W 5-348.3 1033 1010 41.86% 28.41% 29.73%+0.28 +15.2 30
2019-08-16 @ Musan Salama L 3-548.3 1010 1033 29.73% 28.41% 41.86%-0.28 -15.2 17
2019-08-16 KTP L 0-145.0 1072 1027 44.74% 28.20% 27.06%+0.41 -15.0 20
2019-08-16 @ AC Oulu W 1-045.0 1027 1072 27.06% 28.20% 44.74%-0.41 +15.0 26
2019-08-17 Ekenas W 4-135.5 1149 1029 53.77% 26.91% 19.32%+0.84 +17.9 33
2019-08-17 @ Jaro L 1-435.5 1029 1149 19.32% 26.91% 53.77%-0.84 -17.9 22
2019-08-19 MyPa D 2-259.3 1205 849 74.23% 19.00% 6.76%+2.19 -3.9 41
2019-08-19 @ TPS Turku D 2-259.3 849 1205 6.76% 19.00% 74.23%-2.19 +3.9 11
2019-08-22 Musan Salama D 2-256.9 904 1049 20.84% 27.27% 51.89%-0.68 +1.7 15
2019-08-22 @ TPV Tampere D 2-256.9 1049 904 51.89% 27.27% 20.84%+0.68 -1.7 31
2019-08-23 KTP W 5-026.2 1299 1042 66.83% 22.73% 10.44%+1.63 +18.7 56
2019-08-23 @ Haka L 0-526.2 1042 1299 10.44% 22.73% 66.83%-1.63 -18.7 26
2019-08-24 AC Oulu W 3-145.4 995 1057 30.08% 28.43% 41.49%-0.21 +23.0 20
2019-08-24 @ Kajaani L 1-345.4 1057 995 41.49% 28.43% 30.08%+0.21 -23.0 20
2019-08-24 MyPa W 2-028.1 1167 853 71.24% 20.62% 8.14%+1.95 +6.0 36
2019-08-24 @ Jaro L 0-228.1 853 1167 8.14% 20.62% 71.24%-1.95 -6.0 11
2019-08-24 TPS Turku D 0-048.6 1011 1201 16.99% 26.20% 56.81%-0.94 +3.3 23
2019-08-24 @ Ekenas D 0-048.6 1201 1011 56.81% 26.20% 16.99%+0.94 -3.3 42
2019-08-30 TPV Tampere W 3-241.5 1198 905 69.61% 21.44% 8.95%+1.83 +3.2 45
2019-08-30 @ TPS Turku L 2-341.5 905 1198 8.95% 21.44% 69.61%-1.83 -3.2 15
2019-08-31 Haka L 0-133.5 1034 1318 11.14% 23.26% 65.60%-1.48 -4.5 20
2019-08-31 @ AC Oulu W 1-033.5 1318 1034 65.60% 23.26% 11.14%+1.48 +4.5 59
2019-08-31 Jaro W 2-150.9 1047 1173 22.72% 27.63% 49.65%-0.57 +15.4 34
2019-08-31 @ Musan Salama L 1-250.9 1173 1047 49.65% 27.63% 22.72%+0.57 -15.4 36
2019-08-31 Kajaani D 2-257.0 847 1018 18.48% 26.67% 54.84%-0.84 +2.0 12
2019-08-31 @ MyPa D 2-257.0 1018 847 54.84% 26.67% 18.48%+0.84 -2.0 21
2019-09-02 Ekenas W 2-145.6 1024 1014 39.99% 28.50% 31.52%+0.20 +10.9 29
2019-09-02 @ KTP L 1-245.6 1014 1024 31.52% 28.50% 39.99%-0.20 -10.9 23
2019-09-06 AC Oulu W 2-042.7 902 1030 22.56% 27.60% 49.84%-0.58 +30.8 18
2019-09-06 @ TPV Tampere L 0-242.7 1030 902 49.84% 27.60% 22.56%+0.58 -30.8 20
2019-09-06 Kajaani W 3-028.7 1201 1016 60.42% 25.16% 14.42%+1.21 +16.2 48
2019-09-06 @ TPS Turku L 0-328.7 1016 1201 14.42% 25.16% 60.42%-1.21 -16.2 21
2019-09-06 Musan Salama W 4-025.9 1323 1062 67.09% 22.61% 10.29%+1.64 +14.9 62
2019-09-06 @ Haka L 0-425.9 1062 1323 10.29% 22.61% 67.09%-1.64 -14.9 34
2019-09-07 MyPa L 2-357.4 1003 849 57.46% 26.03% 16.51%+1.04 -16.5 23
2019-09-07 @ Ekenas W 3-257.4 849 1003 16.51% 26.03% 57.46%-1.04 +16.5 15
2019-09-09 Jaro W 3-147.5 1034 1157 23.01% 27.68% 49.30%-0.56 +26.5 32
2019-09-09 @ KTP L 1-347.5 1157 1034 49.30% 27.68% 23.01%+0.56 -26.5 36
2019-09-14 Haka L 1-337.2 1131 1338 15.74% 25.74% 58.52%-1.04 -10.5 36
2019-09-14 @ Jaro W 3-137.2 1338 1131 58.52% 25.74% 15.74%+1.04 +10.5 65
2019-09-14 KTP L 4-554.8 1000 1061 30.22% 28.44% 41.35%-0.20 -9.6 21
2019-09-14 @ Kajaani W 5-454.8 1061 1000 41.35% 28.44% 30.22%+0.20 +9.6 35
2019-09-14 Musan Salama W 3-257.1 865 1047 17.60% 26.41% 55.99%-0.90 +16.2 18
2019-09-14 @ MyPa L 2-357.1 1047 865 55.99% 26.41% 17.60%+0.90 -16.2 34
2019-09-14 TPS Turku D 0-048.8 999 1217 14.95% 25.41% 59.64%-1.11 +3.7 21
2019-09-14 @ AC Oulu D 0-048.8 1217 999 59.64% 25.41% 14.95%+1.11 -3.7 49
2019-09-14 TPV Tampere W 1-039.3 987 933 45.89% 28.09% 26.02%+0.46 +10.0 26
2019-09-14 @ Ekenas L 0-139.3 933 987 26.02% 28.09% 45.89%-0.46 -9.9 18
2019-09-19 TPS Turku L 1-252.9 1348 1213 55.40% 26.55% 18.05%+0.92 -16.9 65
2019-09-19 @ Haka W 2-152.9 1213 1348 18.05% 26.55% 55.40%-0.92 +16.9 52
2019-09-21 AC Oulu L 0-437.1 1031 1002 42.62% 28.36% 29.01%+0.31 -51.5 34
2019-09-21 @ Musan Salama W 4-037.1 1002 1031 29.01% 28.36% 42.62%-0.31 +51.5 24
2019-09-21 Ekenas L 1-247.5 990 997 37.77% 28.56% 33.67%+0.11 -12.4 21
2019-09-21 @ Kajaani W 2-147.5 997 990 33.67% 28.56% 37.77%-0.11 +12.4 29
2019-09-21 KTP L 2-345.4 881 1070 17.06% 26.23% 56.72%-0.94 -6.2 18
2019-09-21 @ MyPa W 3-245.4 1070 881 56.72% 26.23% 17.06%+0.94 +6.2 38
2019-09-21 TPV Tampere W 3-135.9 1120 923 61.59% 24.78% 13.63%+1.28 +9.1 39
2019-09-21 @ Jaro L 1-335.9 923 1120 13.63% 24.78% 61.59%-1.28 -9.1 18
2019-09-27 Jaro D 1-152.1 1230 1129 51.60% 27.32% 21.08%+0.73 -2.2 53
2019-09-27 @ TPS Turku D 1-152.1 1129 1230 21.08% 27.32% 51.60%-0.73 +2.2 40
2019-09-28 Haka L 2-438.0 1009 1331 9.42% 21.88% 68.70%-1.70 -5.5 29
2019-09-28 @ Ekenas W 4-238.0 1331 1009 68.70% 21.88% 9.42%+1.70 +5.5 68
2019-09-28 Kajaani L 3-453.1 914 978 29.84% 28.41% 41.74%-0.22 -9.6 18
2019-09-28 @ TPV Tampere W 4-353.1 978 914 41.74% 28.41% 29.84%+0.22 +9.6 24
2019-09-28 MyPa D 1-152.5 1054 875 59.85% 25.34% 14.81%+1.17 -3.4 25
2019-09-28 @ AC Oulu D 1-152.5 875 1054 14.81% 25.34% 59.85%-1.17 +3.4 19
2019-09-30 Musan Salama W 1-037.7 1077 980 51.18% 27.39% 21.43%+0.71 +8.5 41
2019-09-30 @ KTP L 0-137.7 980 1077 21.43% 27.39% 51.18%-0.71 -8.5 34
2019-10-04 TPV Tampere W 3-251.9 879 904 35.00% 28.58% 36.42%+0.00 +11.4 22
2019-10-04 @ MyPa L 2-351.9 904 879 36.42% 28.58% 35.00%+0.00 -11.4 18
2019-10-05 Ekenas W 1-042.9 971 1004 34.07% 28.57% 37.36%-0.04 +13.0 37
2019-10-05 @ Musan Salama L 0-142.9 1004 971 37.36% 28.57% 34.07%+0.04 -13.0 29
2019-10-05 Haka L 1-236.5 988 1337 8.37% 20.86% 70.78%-1.86 -3.1 24
2019-10-05 @ Kajaani W 2-136.5 1337 988 70.78% 20.86% 8.37%+1.86 +3.1 71
2019-10-05 Jaro W 4-143.3 1051 1132 27.70% 28.26% 44.03%-0.32 +34.1 28
2019-10-05 @ AC Oulu L 1-443.3 1132 1051 44.03% 28.26% 27.70%+0.32 -34.1 40
2019-10-07 TPS Turku D 1-152.0 1085 1228 21.04% 27.31% 51.65%-0.67 +2.2 42
2019-10-07 @ KTP D 1-152.0 1228 1085 51.65% 27.31% 21.04%+0.67 -2.2 54
2019-10-20 AC Oulu D 2-256.6 991 1085 26.16% 28.11% 45.73%-0.39 +1.0 30
2019-10-20 @ Ekenas D 2-256.6 1085 991 45.73% 28.11% 26.16%+0.39 -1.0 29
2019-10-20 Kajaani W 3-030.9 1097 984 53.01% 27.06% 19.93%+0.80 +21.8 43
2019-10-20 @ Jaro L 0-330.9 984 1097 19.93% 27.06% 53.01%-0.80 -21.8 24
2019-10-20 KTP W 1-048.1 893 1087 16.64% 26.08% 57.27%-0.97 +18.4 21
2019-10-20 @ TPV Tampere L 0-148.1 1087 893 57.27% 26.08% 16.64%+0.97 -18.4 42
2019-10-20 Musan Salama D 0-049.4 1226 984 65.52% 23.29% 11.19%+1.53 -4.6 55
2019-10-20 @ TPS Turku D 0-049.4 984 1226 11.19% 23.29% 65.52%-1.53 +4.6 38
2019-10-20 MyPa W 2-133.6 1340 890 80.13% 15.44% 4.43%+2.73 +1.5 74
2019-10-20 @ Haka L 1-233.6 890 1340 4.43% 15.44% 80.13%-2.73 -1.5 22

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2019-10-24 KPV D 0-0 1221 1185 43.65% 28.29% 28.06%+0.36 -1.2 0-0-1
2019-10-24 @ TPS Turku D 0-0 1185 1221 28.06% 28.29% 43.65%-0.36 +1.2 0-0-1
2019-10-27 TPS Turku L 0-3 1186 1220 33.83% 28.56% 37.61%-0.05 -33.2 0-1-1
2019-10-27 @ KPV W 3-0 1220 1186 37.61% 28.56% 33.83%+0.05 +33.2 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-09-07 16.51% MyPa 849 3 @ Ekenas 1003 2
2 2019-10-20 16.64% @ TPV Tampere 893 1 KTP 1087 0
3 2019-06-20 17.40% KTP 992 1 @ AC Oulu 1135 0
4 2019-09-14 17.60% @ MyPa 865 3 Musan Salama 1047 2
5 2019-09-19 18.05% TPS Turku 1213 2 @ Haka 1348 1
6 2019-06-14 18.22% Musan Salama 1024 2 @ TPS Turku 1157 1
7 2019-06-19 20.28% @ MyPa 989 3 TPS Turku 1140 1
8 2019-08-03 22.13% @ Ekenas 965 5 Musan Salama 1096 1
9 2019-05-25 22.27% MyPa 982 2 @ Musan Salama 1071 1
10 2019-07-13 22.49% Kajaani 938 2 @ KTP 1024 0
11 2019-09-06 22.56% @ TPV Tampere 902 2 AC Oulu 1030 0
12 2019-08-31 22.72% @ Musan Salama 1047 2 Jaro 1173 1
13 2019-09-09 23.01% @ KTP 1034 3 Jaro 1157 1
14 2019-08-10 23.84% Ekenas 1014 2 @ AC Oulu 1087 1
15 2019-05-11 24.16% Kajaani 963 2 @ MyPa 1034 1
16 2019-08-16 27.06% KTP 1027 1 @ AC Oulu 1072 0
17 2019-10-05 27.70% @ AC Oulu 1051 4 Jaro 1132 1
18 2019-07-20 28.66% Kajaani 969 2 @ Ekenas 1001 0
19 2019-05-13 28.77% @ KTP 971 3 Ekenas 1043 1
20 2019-07-06 29.00% Ekenas 941 3 @ MyPa 970 0
21 2019-09-21 29.01% AC Oulu 1002 4 @ Musan Salama 1031 0
22 2019-05-29 29.60% @ Musan Salama 1055 1 AC Oulu 1121 0
23 2019-07-18 29.93% Musan Salama 1074 2 @ AC Oulu 1096 1
24 2019-06-03 30.02% @ KTP 1007 3 Musan Salama 1070 1
25 2019-08-24 30.08% @ Kajaani 995 3 AC Oulu 1057 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-09-21 51.51 AC Oulu 4 1002 29.01% @ Musan Salama 0 1031 42.62% 28.36%
2 2019-08-03 49.18 @ Ekenas 5 965 22.13% Musan Salama 1 1096 50.34% 27.53%
3 2019-06-25 47.23 Jaro 5 1091 43.03% @ MyPa 0 1017 28.63% 28.34%
4 2019-05-16 45.45 @ Haka 6 1100 36.35% Musan Salama 1 1116 35.07% 28.58%
5 2019-07-06 39.44 Ekenas 3 941 29.00% @ MyPa 0 970 42.64% 28.36%
6 2019-08-12 37.41 @ KTP 6 990 44.78% TPV Tampere 1 945 27.02% 28.20%
7 2019-05-18 36.14 @ Ekenas 7 1019 38.77% MyPa 2 1019 32.69% 28.54%
8 2019-10-05 34.12 @ AC Oulu 4 1051 27.70% Jaro 1 1132 44.03% 28.26%
9 2019-05-04 33.27 @ Jaro 3 1059 37.53% MyPa 0 1067 33.91% 28.56%
10 2019-06-16 32.17 AC Oulu 3 1103 39.09% @ Ekenas 0 1059 32.38% 28.53%
11 2019-07-13 30.88 Kajaani 2 938 22.49% @ KTP 0 1024 49.92% 27.59%
12 2019-09-06 30.84 @ TPV Tampere 2 902 22.56% AC Oulu 0 1030 49.84% 27.60%
13 2019-05-17 30.16 AC Oulu 3 1105 41.90% @ TPV Tampere 0 1040 29.70% 28.41%
14 2019-06-19 28.99 @ Jaro 3 1062 43.51% Ekenas 0 1026 28.19% 28.30%
15 2019-07-27 28.64 @ Kajaani 3 996 44.00% TPV Tampere 0 957 27.74% 28.26%
16 2019-06-28 28.34 @ TPS Turku 4 1112 53.21% Ekenas 0 997 19.77% 27.02%
17 2019-07-13 28.29 @ Musan Salama 4 1046 53.27% MyPa 0 931 19.73% 27.01%
18 2019-06-19 27.96 @ MyPa 3 989 20.28% TPS Turku 1 1140 52.58% 27.14%
19 2019-07-02 27.95 KTP 4 1004 37.71% @ Ekenas 1 969 33.73% 28.56%
20 2019-07-20 27.34 Kajaani 2 969 28.66% @ Ekenas 0 1001 43.00% 28.34%
21 2019-06-10 26.80 TPS Turku 3 1130 46.47% @ KTP 0 1030 25.50% 28.03%
22 2019-09-09 26.47 @ KTP 3 1034 23.01% Jaro 1 1157 49.30% 27.68%
23 2019-07-06 23.74 Haka 5 1225 53.06% @ Musan Salama 1 1070 19.89% 27.05%
24 2019-05-13 23.62 @ KTP 3 971 28.77% Ekenas 1 1043 42.88% 28.35%
25 2019-06-03 23.05 @ KTP 3 1007 30.02% Musan Salama 1 1070 41.55% 28.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-07-06 61.1 @ AC Oulu 3 1107 53.36% TPV Tampere 3 991 19.65% 26.99%
2 2019-06-29 60.9 @ Jaro 3 1138 47.87% Musan Salama 3 1069 24.26% 27.87%
3 2019-08-19 59.3 @ TPS Turku 2 1205 74.23% MyPa 2 849 6.76% 19.00%
4 2019-06-25 57.4 @ AC Oulu 2 1117 59.53% Kajaani 2 942 15.03% 25.44%
5 2019-09-07 57.4 MyPa 3 849 16.51% @ Ekenas 2 1003 57.46% 26.03%
6 2019-09-14 57.1 @ MyPa 3 865 17.60% Musan Salama 2 1047 55.99% 26.41%
7 2019-08-31 57.0 @ MyPa 2 847 18.48% Kajaani 2 1018 54.84% 26.67%
8 2019-08-22 56.9 @ TPV Tampere 2 904 20.84% Musan Salama 2 1049 51.89% 27.27%
9 2019-05-20 56.6 @ KTP 2 994 25.64% Jaro 2 1093 46.31% 28.05%
10 2019-10-20 56.6 @ Ekenas 2 991 26.16% AC Oulu 2 1085 45.73% 28.11%
11 2019-06-29 56.5 @ Kajaani 2 944 34.99% MyPa 2 970 36.43% 28.58%
12 2019-09-14 54.8 KTP 5 1061 41.35% @ Kajaani 4 1000 30.22% 28.44%
13 2019-09-28 53.1 Kajaani 4 978 41.74% @ TPV Tampere 3 914 29.84% 28.41%
14 2019-09-19 52.9 TPS Turku 2 1213 18.05% @ Haka 1 1348 55.40% 26.55%
15 2019-09-28 52.5 @ AC Oulu 1 1054 59.85% MyPa 1 875 14.81% 25.34%
16 2019-06-14 52.2 Musan Salama 2 1024 18.22% @ TPS Turku 1 1157 55.18% 26.60%
17 2019-09-27 52.1 @ TPS Turku 1 1230 51.60% Jaro 1 1129 21.08% 27.32%
18 2019-10-07 52.0 @ KTP 1 1085 21.04% TPS Turku 1 1228 51.65% 27.31%
19 2019-06-16 51.9 @ Jaro 1 1064 52.41% Kajaani 1 956 20.42% 27.17%
20 2019-10-04 51.9 @ MyPa 3 879 35.00% TPV Tampere 2 904 36.42% 28.58%
21 2019-06-02 51.8 @ TPV Tampere 1 1025 48.44% Kajaani 1 951 23.76% 27.80%
22 2019-05-30 51.7 @ Jaro 1 1073 45.38% TPV Tampere 1 1023 26.48% 28.14%
23 2019-05-04 51.6 @ Ekenas 1 1042 30.17% TPS Turku 1 1104 41.40% 28.43%
24 2019-05-11 51.6 @ Musan Salama 1 1117 42.16% Jaro 1 1092 29.45% 28.39%
25 2019-07-24 51.6 @ Jaro 4 1144 46.86% AC Oulu 3 1082 25.15% 27.99%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-08-09 22.9 Haka 4 1288 76.49% @ MyPa 0 857 5.82% 17.69%
2 2019-09-06 25.9 @ Haka 4 1323 67.09% Musan Salama 0 1062 10.29% 22.61%
3 2019-08-23 26.2 @ Haka 5 1299 66.83% KTP 0 1042 10.44% 22.73%
4 2019-08-24 28.1 @ Jaro 2 1167 71.24% MyPa 0 853 8.14% 20.62%
5 2019-09-06 28.7 @ TPS Turku 3 1201 60.42% Kajaani 0 1016 14.42% 25.16%
6 2019-06-28 29.9 @ TPS Turku 4 1112 53.21% Ekenas 0 997 19.77% 27.02%
7 2019-07-13 29.9 @ Musan Salama 4 1046 53.27% MyPa 0 931 19.73% 27.01%
8 2019-10-20 30.9 @ Jaro 3 1097 53.01% Kajaani 0 984 19.93% 27.06%
9 2019-06-13 31.3 @ Haka 2 1187 60.57% MyPa 0 1000 14.32% 25.12%
10 2019-07-27 31.3 @ Haka 6 1273 70.21% Ekenas 2 973 8.65% 21.14%
11 2019-08-02 31.5 @ TPS Turku 2 1180 59.81% KTP 0 1001 14.83% 25.36%
12 2019-08-15 31.5 @ Haka 3 1296 76.41% TPV Tampere 1 907 5.85% 17.74%
13 2019-07-27 32.4 AC Oulu 2 1074 56.61% @ MyPa 0 886 17.14% 26.25%
14 2019-06-10 32.9 TPS Turku 3 1130 46.47% @ KTP 0 1030 25.50% 28.03%
15 2019-06-04 33.1 @ Haka 2 1176 54.45% Ekenas 0 1050 18.79% 26.76%
16 2019-06-25 33.3 Jaro 5 1091 43.03% @ MyPa 0 1017 28.63% 28.34%
17 2019-07-18 33.5 Jaro 2 1129 53.23% @ TPV Tampere 0 972 19.76% 27.02%
18 2019-08-31 33.5 Haka 1 1318 65.60% @ AC Oulu 0 1034 11.14% 23.26%
19 2019-07-27 33.6 @ Kajaani 3 996 44.00% TPV Tampere 0 957 27.74% 28.26%
20 2019-10-20 33.6 @ Haka 2 1340 80.13% MyPa 1 890 4.43% 15.44%
21 2019-06-19 33.8 @ Jaro 3 1062 43.51% Ekenas 0 1026 28.19% 28.30%
22 2019-07-13 34.0 @ Haka 2 1249 52.01% Jaro 0 1144 20.75% 27.25%
23 2019-07-06 34.1 Haka 5 1225 53.06% @ Musan Salama 1 1070 19.89% 27.05%
24 2019-05-17 34.2 AC Oulu 3 1105 41.90% @ TPV Tampere 0 1040 29.70% 28.41%
25 2019-07-22 34.3 @ KTP 2 994 50.51% MyPa 0 902 21.99% 27.50%