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2020 Ykkönen Season

132 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AC Oulu

13.16 points above expected

50 points · 36.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

MyPa

11.88 points below expected

6 points · 17.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Oulu 22 15 5 2 50 38 16 +22 36.84 +13.16
2 KTP 22 14 5 3 47 51 23 +28 39.21 +7.79
3 Jaro 22 12 5 5 41 50 31 +19 38.63 +2.37
4 Ekenas 22 10 6 6 36 45 25 +20 34.61 +1.39
5 Musan Salama 22 10 4 8 34 38 38 0 26.72 +7.28
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 33 37 36 +1 32.79 +0.21
7 MP Mikkeli 22 8 5 9 29 29 35 -6 27.89 +1.11
8 KPV 22 8 4 10 28 38 34 +4 34.25 -6.25
9 Gnistan 22 7 4 11 25 38 49 -11 23.07 +1.93
10 Kajaani 22 5 8 9 23 35 37 -2 25.46 -2.46
11 SJK Akatemia 22 4 3 15 15 22 49 -27 25.97 -10.97
12 MyPa 22 1 3 18 6 21 69 -48 17.88 -11.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AC Oulu 50 36.84 +13.16
2 KTP 47 39.21 +7.79
3 Musan Salama 34 26.72 +7.28
4 Jaro 41 38.63 +2.37
5 Gnistan 25 23.07 +1.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MyPa 6 17.88 -11.88
2 SJK Akatemia 15 25.97 -10.97
3 KPV 28 34.25 -6.25
4 Kajaani 23 25.46 -2.46
5 VPS 33 32.79 +0.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Oulu 6 Jun 27 – Aug 1 1 in 177
2 Musan Salama 5 Jul 18 – Aug 10 1 in 137
3 Jaro 4 Aug 5 – Aug 23 1 in 26
4 MP Mikkeli 2 Jul 19 – Jul 25 1 in 12
5 KTP 5 Sep 7 – Sep 30 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SJK Akatemia 5 Jun 27 – Jul 24 1 in 426
2 MyPa 7 Sep 30 – Oct 31 1 in 27
3 Jaro 2 Oct 31 – Nov 8 1 in 20
4 AC Oulu 2 Sep 20 – Sep 25 1 in 10
5 Ekenas 2 Aug 1 – Aug 6 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Oulu 14 Jun 27 – Sep 16 1 in 84
2 Musan Salama 7 Jul 11 – Aug 10 1 in 44
3 KTP 11 Aug 1 – Sep 30 1 in 22
4 Jaro 11 Aug 5 – Sep 30 1 in 20
5 Ekenas 5 Jun 27 – Jul 25 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gnistan 8 Jun 27 – Aug 10 1 in 19
2 Kajaani 8 Jul 11 – Aug 22 1 in 17
3 KPV 4 Aug 29 – Sep 12 1 in 11
4 MyPa 14 Aug 26 – Oct 31 1 in 9
5 SJK Akatemia 8 Aug 16 – Sep 26 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AC Oulu 1235 50 +81 15 8.2 +6.8
KTP 1222 47 -22 10 9.2 +0.8
Jaro 1194 41 -68 4 10.3 -6.3
Ekenas 1169 36 +21 10 9.9 +0.1
Musan Salama 1042 34 +50 9 5.2 +3.8
VPS 1082 33 -4 7 7.9 -0.9
MP Mikkeli 1009 29 -52 4 5.9 -1.9
KPV 1019 28 -37 7 6.9 +0.1
Gnistan 1058 25 +108 10 5.0 +5.0
Kajaani 1008 23 +44 7 5.5 +1.5
SJK Akatemia 943 15 +10 6 5.1 +0.9
MyPa 736 6 -79 0 3.3 -3.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO EKE GNI JAR KPV KTP KAJ MM MS MYP SA VPS
AC Oulu —
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.38
0-2-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.46
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.13
Ekenas
0-1-1
2.51
—
1-1-0
3.97
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.50
2-0-0
4.57
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.85
Gnistan
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.54
—
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.67
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.68
Jaro
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.76
—
1-0-1
3.50
0-1-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.08
KPV
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
2.00
—
0-2-0
2.46
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
3.36
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.70
0-0-2
2.82
KTP
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
2.54
0-2-0
3.02
—
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
3.82
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.36
Kajaani
0-2-0
1.57
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
3.12
0-2-0
1.54
0-0-2
2.04
1-0-1
1.31
—
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.00
MP Mikkeli
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.07
2-0-0
3.26
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.67
1-1-0
2.76
—
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.44
0-2-0
2.39
Musan Salama
0-0-2
2.03
1-1-0
1.99
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
1.54
2-0-0
2.12
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
3.08
1-1-0
2.59
—
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
1.94
MyPa
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
2.05
0-1-1
1.19
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.63
—
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.52
SJK Akatemia
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
3.67
—
0-1-1
1.85
VPS
0-0-2
2.34
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.82
0-0-2
2.41
2-0-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.12
1-1-0
3.48
0-2-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.65
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +11.0
Allowed 0.86 -8.4
Differential 0.90 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%6.82%4.17%3.03%2.27%1.89%22.73%
16.82%12.12%6.82%3.03%1.52%1.89%32.20%
24.17%6.82%4.55%3.79%1.89%1.14%22.35%
33.03%3.03%3.79%0.76%—0.76%11.36%
42.27%1.52%1.89%———5.68%
5+1.89%1.89%1.14%0.76%——5.68%
Total22.73%32.20%22.35%11.36%5.68%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.57 1.57 2.35
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
118.18%18.18%4.55%———40.91%
24.55%31.82%————36.36%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%54.55%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.73 +1.00
SD 1.32 0.63 1.60
CV 0.76 0.87 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
313.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total31.82%40.91%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.14 +0.91
SD 1.50 1.13 1.90
CV 0.73 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%—9.09%40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total9.09%18.18%40.91%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.23 -0.50
SD 1.52 1.45 2.32
CV 0.88 0.65 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.41 +0.86
SD 1.49 1.22 2.08
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.55 +0.18
SD 2.27 1.41 2.92
CV 1.32 0.91 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—————13.64%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
24.55%——4.55%——9.09%
313.64%—22.73%———36.36%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total50.00%9.09%31.82%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.05 +1.27
SD 1.55 1.21 2.00
CV 0.67 1.16 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
1—22.73%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%50.00%22.73%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.68 -0.09
SD 2.26 1.78 2.79
CV 1.42 1.06 —
Max 10 8 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%———31.82%
2—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.59 -0.27
SD 1.13 1.37 2.00
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%13.64%——40.91%
24.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.55 2.39
CV 0.88 0.90 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%45.45%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
2———9.09%4.55%4.55%18.18%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%13.64%22.73%18.18%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 3.14 -2.18
SD 1.13 2.25 2.20
CV 1.19 0.72 —
Max 4 10 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%—31.82%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%9.09%—31.82%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%18.18%27.27%22.73%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.23 -1.23
SD 0.82 1.45 1.77
CV 0.82 0.65 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
29.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.64 +0.05
SD 1.39 1.68 1.91
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AC Oulu 1235 50 36.84 +13.16 100.0% 25 26 34 37 40 46 49
KTP 1219 47 39.21 +7.79 91.0% 24 29 35 39 43 49 55
Jaro 1194 41 38.63 +2.37 65.0% 21 29 34 38 43 48 51
Ekenas 1169 36 34.61 +1.39 65.0% 20 25 31 34 39 43 47
VPS 1082 33 32.79 +0.21 57.0% 17 23 30 33 36 42 46
Gnistan 1058 25 23.07 +1.93 69.0% 9 14 19 23 28 33 37
Musan Salama 1042 34 26.72 +7.28 93.0% 15 18 23 26 30 35 41
KPV 1019 28 34.25 -6.25 15.0% 21 24 31 34 38 42 48
MP Mikkeli 1009 29 27.89 +1.11 58.0% 13 18 23 28 31 37 44
Kajaani 1008 23 25.46 -2.46 34.0% 10 16 22 26 28 35 41
SJK Akatemia 943 15 25.97 -10.97 4.0% 11 16 22 26 30 36 42
MyPa 736 6 17.88 -11.88 0.0% 8 9 14 17 22 26 34

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.30%
No Edge
41.67%21.97%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 18.44 Elo pts.
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.44 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
16%
AC Oulu, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.62 * Some Luck: 4.62 to 6.93 * Lucky: 6.93 to 9.24 * Wild Swing: 9.24 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.23 * Off: 2.23 to 2.98 * Way Off: 2.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.10 points
Lucky
05.7714
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
AC Oulu
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
MyPa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 139.15
2.00
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.57
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.08
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
AC Oulu16.00%19.00%19.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%——
KTP27.00%25.00%20.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Jaro31.00%19.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Ekenas10.00%13.00%13.00%19.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%——
Musan Salama—2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%12.00%10.00%22.00%23.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%
VPS7.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
MP Mikkeli1.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%18.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%4.00%
KPV7.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%23.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%—
Gnistan——1.00%—6.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%20.00%21.00%19.00%
Kajaani—1.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%
SJK Akatemia1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%22.00%12.00%8.00%
MyPa————1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%26.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Jaro 31.00% 19.00% 49.00% 1.00%
AC Oulu 17.00% 19.00% 63.00% 1.00%
Ekenas 10.00% 13.00% 75.00% 2.00%
KPV 7.00% 13.00% 74.00% 6.00%
KTP — 100% — —
VPS 7.00% 4.00% 81.00% 8.00%
Musan Salama — 2.00% 74.00% 24.00%
MP Mikkeli 1.00% 4.00% 68.00% 27.00%
Kajaani — 1.00% 61.00% 38.00%
SJK Akatemia — — 58.00% 42.00%
Gnistan — — 40.00% 60.00%
MyPa — — 10.00% 90.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Direct promotion Won promotion playoff Lost promotion playoff Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
AC Oulu 100% — — — —
KTP — 60.84% 39.16% — —
Ekenas — — — 100% —
Gnistan — — — 100% —
Jaro — — — 100% —
KPV — — — 100% —
MP Mikkeli — — — 100% —
Musan Salama — — — 100% —
VPS — — — 100% —
Kajaani — — — — 100%
MyPa — — — — 100%
SJK Akatemia — — — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2020-06-27 Ekenas L 0-343.3 1172 1016 58.31% 24.55% 17.13%+1.13 -52.9 0
2020-06-27 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-043.3 1016 1172 17.13% 24.55% 58.31%-1.13 +52.9 3
2020-06-27 Gnistan W 2-038.9 1069 1072 38.93% 26.49% 34.57%+0.10 +23.8 3
2020-06-27 @ AC Oulu L 0-238.9 1072 1069 34.57% 26.49% 38.93%-0.10 -23.7 0
2020-06-27 Jaro D 2-256.1 999 1090 27.13% 26.15% 46.72%-0.47 +1.0 1
2020-06-27 @ Kajaani D 2-256.1 1090 999 46.72% 26.15% 27.13%+0.47 -1.0 1
2020-06-27 KTP D 1-151.4 1113 1061 46.36% 26.18% 27.46%+0.45 -1.4 1
2020-06-27 @ KPV D 1-151.4 1061 1113 27.46% 26.18% 46.36%-0.45 +1.4 1
2020-07-04 AC Oulu L 1-241.8 956 1093 22.10% 25.58% 52.32%-0.77 -8.3 0
2020-07-04 @ MyPa W 2-141.8 1093 956 52.32% 25.58% 22.10%+0.77 +8.3 6
2020-07-04 Kajaani L 0-240.9 1014 1000 41.36% 26.44% 32.20%+0.21 -27.2 0
2020-07-04 @ Musan Salama W 2-040.9 1000 1014 32.20% 26.44% 41.36%-0.21 +27.2 4
2020-07-04 KTP L 0-340.4 1119 1062 47.05% 26.13% 26.83%+0.49 -43.8 0
2020-07-04 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-040.4 1062 1119 26.83% 26.13% 47.05%-0.49 +43.8 4
2020-07-04 VPS D 0-047.8 1068 1099 35.01% 26.50% 38.49%-0.08 +0.3 4
2020-07-04 @ Ekenas D 0-047.8 1099 1068 38.49% 26.50% 35.01%+0.08 -0.3 1
2020-07-05 Jaro L 1-245.5 1049 1089 33.66% 26.48% 39.87%-0.14 -11.6 0
2020-07-05 @ Gnistan W 2-145.5 1089 1049 39.87% 26.48% 33.66%+0.14 +11.6 4
2020-07-05 KPV L 1-244.8 1054 1111 31.41% 26.41% 42.18%-0.25 -11.0 0
2020-07-05 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-144.8 1111 1054 42.18% 26.41% 31.41%+0.25 +11.0 4
2020-07-11 Ekenas D 2-256.1 1122 1069 46.58% 26.16% 27.26%+0.46 -1.0 5
2020-07-11 @ KPV D 2-256.1 1069 1122 27.26% 26.16% 46.58%-0.46 +1.0 5
2020-07-11 Gnistan D 1-151.3 1027 1037 37.94% 26.50% 35.56%+0.05 -0.2 5
2020-07-11 @ Kajaani D 1-151.3 1037 1027 35.56% 26.50% 37.94%-0.05 +0.2 1
2020-07-11 Musan Salama D 0-048.1 1106 987 54.38% 25.28% 20.34%+0.89 -2.9 5
2020-07-11 @ KTP D 0-048.1 987 1106 20.34% 25.28% 54.38%-0.89 +2.9 1
2020-07-11 MyPa W 1-035.8 1099 947 57.82% 24.66% 17.52%+1.10 +7.2 4
2020-07-11 @ VPS L 0-135.8 947 1099 17.52% 24.66% 57.82%-1.10 -7.2 0
2020-07-11 SJK Akatemia W 1-040.3 1101 1076 42.95% 26.38% 30.67%+0.29 +11.5 9
2020-07-11 @ AC Oulu L 0-140.3 1076 1101 30.67% 26.38% 42.95%-0.29 -11.5 0
2020-07-12 MP Mikkeli W 3-034.3 1101 1043 47.13% 26.12% 26.75%+0.49 +28.3 7
2020-07-12 @ Jaro L 0-334.3 1043 1101 26.75% 26.12% 47.13%-0.49 -28.3 0
2020-07-15 Musan Salama D 1-151.6 1106 990 54.08% 25.33% 20.60%+0.87 -2.5 5
2020-07-15 @ VPS D 1-151.6 990 1106 20.60% 25.33% 54.08%-0.87 +2.5 2
2020-07-18 Jaro W 5-142.1 1070 1129 31.13% 26.40% 42.47%-0.26 +43.9 8
2020-07-18 @ Ekenas L 1-542.1 1129 1070 42.47% 26.40% 31.13%+0.26 -43.9 7
2020-07-18 Musan Salama L 0-243.0 1064 992 48.87% 25.97% 25.16%+0.58 -31.2 0
2020-07-18 @ SJK Akatemia W 2-043.0 992 1064 25.16% 25.97% 48.87%-0.58 +31.1 5
2020-07-18 VPS W 1-041.0 1113 1104 40.69% 26.46% 32.86%+0.18 +12.1 12
2020-07-18 @ AC Oulu L 0-141.0 1104 1113 32.86% 26.46% 40.69%-0.18 -12.1 5
2020-07-19 Kajaani W 2-146.2 1015 1027 37.65% 26.51% 35.84%+0.04 +12.2 3
2020-07-19 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-246.2 1027 1015 35.84% 26.51% 37.65%-0.04 -12.2 5
2020-07-19 KTP L 0-335.4 1037 1103 30.29% 26.36% 43.36%-0.31 -31.2 1
2020-07-19 @ Gnistan W 3-035.4 1103 1037 43.36% 26.36% 30.29%+0.31 +31.2 8
2020-07-24 SJK Akatemia W 3-141.1 1091 1033 47.22% 26.11% 26.66%+0.50 +16.8 8
2020-07-24 @ VPS L 1-341.1 1033 1091 26.66% 26.11% 47.22%-0.50 -16.8 0
2020-07-25 AC Oulu L 0-142.8 1121 1125 38.83% 26.49% 34.68%+0.09 -13.7 5
2020-07-25 @ KPV W 1-042.8 1125 1121 34.68% 26.49% 38.83%-0.09 +13.7 15
2020-07-25 Ekenas L 0-236.2 1015 1114 26.24% 26.08% 47.68%-0.52 -19.2 5
2020-07-25 @ Kajaani W 2-036.2 1114 1015 47.68% 26.08% 26.24%+0.52 +19.2 11
2020-07-25 Gnistan W 5-138.9 1023 1006 41.78% 26.42% 31.80%+0.23 +35.2 8
2020-07-25 @ Musan Salama L 1-538.9 1006 1023 31.80% 26.42% 41.78%-0.23 -35.2 1
2020-07-25 MP Mikkeli L 2-355.7 1134 1027 53.09% 25.47% 21.44%+0.81 -15.9 8
2020-07-25 @ KTP W 3-255.7 1027 1134 21.44% 25.47% 53.09%-0.81 +15.9 6
2020-07-26 MyPa W 1-036.0 1085 940 57.16% 24.79% 18.05%+1.05 +7.4 10
2020-07-26 @ Jaro L 0-136.0 940 1085 18.05% 24.79% 57.16%-1.05 -7.4 0
2020-08-01 Jaro W 2-143.8 1139 1093 45.64% 26.23% 28.13%+0.42 +10.1 18
2020-08-01 @ AC Oulu L 1-243.8 1093 1139 28.13% 26.23% 45.64%-0.42 -10.1 10
2020-08-01 Kajaani D 0-047.8 933 995 30.68% 26.38% 42.95%-0.29 +1.0 1
2020-08-01 @ MyPa D 0-047.8 995 933 42.95% 26.38% 30.68%+0.29 -1.0 6
2020-08-01 KPV W 4-141.3 1108 1107 39.48% 26.48% 34.04%+0.12 +28.7 11
2020-08-01 @ VPS L 1-441.3 1107 1108 34.04% 26.48% 39.48%-0.12 -28.7 5
2020-08-01 KTP L 0-143.6 1133 1118 41.38% 26.44% 32.18%+0.21 -14.4 11
2020-08-01 @ Ekenas W 1-043.6 1118 1133 32.18% 26.44% 41.38%-0.21 +14.4 11
2020-08-02 Gnistan D 2-256.0 1016 971 45.51% 26.24% 28.25%+0.41 -0.9 1
2020-08-02 @ SJK Akatemia D 2-256.0 971 1016 28.25% 26.24% 45.51%-0.41 +0.9 2
2020-08-02 Musan Salama L 1-246.6 1043 1059 37.11% 26.51% 36.38%+0.02 -12.5 6
2020-08-02 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-146.6 1059 1043 36.38% 26.51% 37.11%-0.02 +12.5 11
2020-08-05 AC Oulu D 1-151.6 994 1149 20.47% 25.30% 54.22%-0.88 +2.5 7
2020-08-05 @ Kajaani D 1-151.6 1149 994 54.22% 25.30% 20.47%+0.88 -2.5 19
2020-08-05 MyPa W 3-243.4 1133 934 62.36% 23.56% 14.07%+1.40 +5.2 14
2020-08-05 @ KTP L 2-343.4 934 1133 14.07% 23.56% 62.36%-1.40 -5.2 1
2020-08-05 SJK Akatemia W 4-033.0 1079 1015 47.86% 26.06% 26.08%+0.53 +36.2 8
2020-08-05 @ KPV L 0-433.0 1015 1079 26.08% 26.06% 47.86%-0.53 -36.2 1
2020-08-05 VPS W 6-141.0 1082 1137 31.76% 26.42% 41.82%-0.23 +53.1 13
2020-08-05 @ Jaro L 1-641.0 1137 1082 41.82% 26.42% 31.76%+0.23 -53.1 11
2020-08-06 Ekenas W 1-043.4 1071 1118 32.73% 26.45% 40.82%-0.19 +14.3 14
2020-08-06 @ Musan Salama L 0-143.4 1118 1071 40.82% 26.45% 32.73%+0.19 -14.3 11
2020-08-06 MP Mikkeli L 0-140.5 972 1030 31.24% 26.40% 42.36%-0.26 -11.7 2
2020-08-06 @ Gnistan W 1-040.5 1030 972 42.36% 26.40% 31.24%+0.26 +11.7 9
2020-08-08 KTP D 0-047.8 1146 1138 40.54% 26.46% 33.00%+0.17 -0.6 20
2020-08-08 @ AC Oulu D 0-047.8 1138 1146 33.00% 26.46% 40.54%-0.17 +0.6 15
2020-08-09 Jaro L 0-436.3 1115 1136 36.44% 26.51% 37.06%-0.01 -46.8 8
2020-08-09 @ KPV W 4-036.3 1136 1115 37.06% 26.51% 36.44%+0.01 +46.8 16
2020-08-09 Kajaani D 1-151.5 1084 997 50.71% 25.78% 23.52%+0.68 -2.0 12
2020-08-09 @ VPS D 1-151.5 997 1084 23.52% 25.78% 50.71%-0.68 +2.0 8
2020-08-10 Gnistan W 2-140.4 1104 960 57.05% 24.81% 18.14%+1.05 +7.0 14
2020-08-10 @ Ekenas L 1-240.4 960 1104 18.14% 24.81% 57.05%-1.05 -7.0 2
2020-08-10 MP Mikkeli W 1-044.0 979 1042 30.65% 26.37% 42.97%-0.29 +14.9 4
2020-08-10 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-144.0 1042 979 42.97% 26.37% 30.65%+0.29 -14.9 9
2020-08-10 MyPa W 4-135.5 1085 928 58.37% 24.54% 17.09%+1.13 +16.2 17
2020-08-10 @ Musan Salama L 1-435.5 928 1085 17.09% 24.54% 58.37%-1.13 -16.2 1
2020-08-15 AC Oulu L 1-343.2 1102 1146 33.15% 26.46% 40.39%-0.17 -19.9 17
2020-08-15 @ Musan Salama W 3-143.2 1146 1102 40.39% 26.46% 33.15%+0.17 +19.9 23
2020-08-15 VPS W 2-036.5 1139 1082 47.00% 26.13% 26.87%+0.48 +19.5 18
2020-08-15 @ KTP L 0-236.5 1082 1139 26.87% 26.13% 47.00%-0.48 -19.5 12
2020-08-16 Ekenas D 1-151.4 1027 1111 28.01% 26.22% 45.77%-0.42 +1.3 10
2020-08-16 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-151.4 1111 1027 45.77% 26.22% 28.01%+0.42 -1.3 15
2020-08-16 KPV L 0-140.0 999 1068 29.87% 26.34% 43.79%-0.33 -11.3 8
2020-08-16 @ Kajaani W 1-040.0 1068 999 43.79% 26.34% 29.87%+0.33 +11.3 11
2020-08-16 MyPa W 3-248.6 953 912 44.96% 26.27% 28.77%+0.38 +9.8 5
2020-08-16 @ Gnistan L 2-348.6 912 953 28.77% 26.27% 44.96%-0.38 -9.8 1
2020-08-16 SJK Akatemia W 3-030.0 1182 994 61.39% 23.83% 14.78%+1.33 +16.8 19
2020-08-16 @ Jaro L 0-330.0 994 1182 14.78% 23.83% 61.39%-1.33 -16.8 4
2020-08-21 Ekenas D 1-151.5 1166 1110 46.88% 26.14% 26.98%+0.48 -1.4 24
2020-08-21 @ AC Oulu D 1-151.5 1110 1166 26.98% 26.14% 46.88%-0.48 +1.4 16
2020-08-22 Gnistan W 6-134.2 1079 963 54.10% 25.32% 20.58%+0.87 +30.3 14
2020-08-22 @ KPV L 1-634.2 963 1079 20.58% 25.32% 54.10%-0.87 -30.3 5
2020-08-22 KTP L 2-345.3 988 1158 19.03% 25.01% 55.95%-0.98 -6.9 8
2020-08-22 @ Kajaani W 3-245.3 1158 988 55.95% 25.01% 19.03%+0.98 +6.9 21
2020-08-22 MP Mikkeli D 2-256.0 1062 1028 44.03% 26.32% 29.64%+0.34 -0.8 13
2020-08-22 @ VPS D 2-256.0 1028 1062 29.64% 26.32% 44.03%-0.34 +0.8 11
2020-08-22 SJK Akatemia W 4-250.5 902 977 29.17% 26.30% 44.53%-0.36 +22.3 4
2020-08-22 @ MyPa L 2-450.5 977 902 44.53% 26.30% 29.17%+0.36 -22.3 4
2020-08-23 Musan Salama W 5-240.2 1199 1082 54.21% 25.31% 20.49%+0.88 +16.5 22
2020-08-23 @ Jaro L 2-540.2 1082 1199 20.49% 25.31% 54.21%-0.88 -16.5 17
2020-08-26 MP Mikkeli L 0-138.7 925 1029 25.63% 26.02% 48.35%-0.55 -10.0 4
2020-08-26 @ MyPa W 1-038.7 1029 925 48.35% 26.02% 25.63%+0.55 +10.0 14
2020-08-29 KPV W 3-252.2 1065 1110 33.11% 26.46% 40.43%-0.17 +12.7 20
2020-08-29 @ Musan Salama L 2-352.2 1110 1065 40.43% 26.46% 33.11%+0.17 -12.7 14
2020-08-29 MyPa W 3-029.8 1111 915 62.13% 23.63% 14.24%+1.39 +16.2 19
2020-08-29 @ Ekenas L 0-329.8 915 1111 14.24% 23.63% 62.13%-1.39 -16.2 4
2020-08-30 AC Oulu L 0-138.0 1039 1164 23.36% 25.76% 50.88%-0.69 -9.2 14
2020-08-30 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-038.0 1164 1039 50.88% 25.76% 23.36%+0.69 +9.2 27
2020-08-30 Jaro D 1-151.5 1165 1216 32.28% 26.44% 41.28%-0.21 +0.6 22
2020-08-30 @ KTP D 1-151.5 1216 1165 41.28% 26.44% 32.28%+0.21 -0.6 23
2020-08-30 Kajaani L 1-441.7 955 981 35.64% 26.50% 37.85%-0.05 -29.8 4
2020-08-30 @ SJK Akatemia W 4-141.7 981 955 37.85% 26.50% 35.64%+0.05 +29.8 11
2020-08-30 VPS L 1-242.1 933 1062 22.97% 25.70% 51.33%-0.71 -8.6 5
2020-08-30 @ Gnistan W 2-142.1 1062 933 51.33% 25.70% 22.97%+0.71 +8.6 16
2020-09-02 KPV D 1-151.9 898 1097 16.73% 24.44% 58.83%-1.16 +3.2 5
2020-09-02 @ MyPa D 1-151.9 1097 898 58.83% 24.44% 16.73%+1.16 -3.2 15
2020-09-05 Ekenas W 1-043.8 1070 1128 31.38% 26.41% 42.21%-0.25 +14.6 19
2020-09-05 @ VPS L 0-143.8 1128 1070 42.21% 26.41% 31.38%+0.25 -14.6 19
2020-09-05 MP Mikkeli L 1-249.7 1094 1030 47.90% 26.06% 26.04%+0.53 -15.3 15
2020-09-05 @ KPV W 2-149.7 1030 1094 26.04% 26.06% 47.90%-0.53 +15.3 17
2020-09-05 Musan Salama W 3-146.2 1011 1078 30.09% 26.35% 43.56%-0.31 +24.5 14
2020-09-05 @ Kajaani L 1-346.2 1078 1011 43.56% 26.35% 30.09%+0.31 -24.5 20
2020-09-05 MyPa W 4-026.9 1174 902 68.35% 21.57% 10.08%+1.87 +14.9 30
2020-09-05 @ AC Oulu L 0-426.9 902 1174 10.08% 21.57% 68.35%-1.87 -14.9 5
2020-09-06 Gnistan D 2-257.6 1215 924 69.78% 20.99% 9.23%+1.99 -3.6 24
2020-09-06 @ Jaro D 2-257.6 924 1215 9.23% 20.99% 69.78%-1.99 +3.6 6
2020-09-07 SJK Akatemia W 4-027.6 1166 925 65.92% 22.46% 11.62%+1.67 +17.3 25
2020-09-07 @ KTP L 0-427.6 925 1166 11.62% 22.46% 65.92%-1.67 -17.3 4
2020-09-11 Jaro L 1-240.9 1045 1211 19.39% 25.09% 55.52%-0.95 -7.4 17
2020-09-11 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-140.9 1211 1045 55.52% 25.09% 19.39%+0.95 +7.4 27
2020-09-12 AC Oulu D 1-152.5 908 1188 11.46% 22.37% 66.17%-1.69 +4.4 5
2020-09-12 @ SJK Akatemia D 1-152.5 1188 908 66.17% 22.37% 11.46%+1.69 -4.3 31
2020-09-12 Kajaani W 1-045.6 928 1035 25.29% 25.98% 48.73%-0.57 +16.5 9
2020-09-12 @ Gnistan L 0-145.6 1035 928 48.73% 25.98% 25.29%+0.57 -16.5 14
2020-09-12 KPV W 2-037.3 1113 1078 44.09% 26.32% 29.59%+0.34 +21.1 22
2020-09-12 @ Ekenas L 0-237.3 1078 1113 29.59% 26.32% 44.09%-0.34 -21.1 15
2020-09-12 KTP L 0-632.2 1053 1183 22.90% 25.69% 51.40%-0.72 -47.6 20
2020-09-12 @ Musan Salama W 6-032.2 1183 1053 51.40% 25.69% 22.90%+0.72 +47.6 28
2020-09-12 VPS L 3-640.4 887 1085 16.77% 24.45% 58.78%-1.16 -12.8 5
2020-09-12 @ MyPa W 6-340.4 1085 887 58.78% 24.45% 16.77%+1.16 +12.8 22
2020-09-16 AC Oulu L 1-243.7 1098 1184 27.72% 26.20% 46.08%-0.44 -10.0 22
2020-09-16 @ VPS W 2-143.7 1184 1098 46.08% 26.20% 27.72%+0.44 +10.0 34
2020-09-16 Ekenas W 4-244.3 1219 1134 50.47% 25.80% 23.73%+0.67 +13.7 30
2020-09-16 @ Jaro L 2-444.3 1134 1219 23.73% 25.80% 50.47%-0.67 -13.7 22
2020-09-16 Gnistan W 4-026.5 1231 944 69.45% 21.12% 9.42%+1.97 +13.9 31
2020-09-16 @ KTP L 0-426.5 944 1231 9.42% 21.12% 69.45%-1.97 -13.9 9
2020-09-16 MP Mikkeli D 0-047.7 1019 1038 36.65% 26.51% 36.84%+0.00 +0.0 15
2020-09-16 @ Kajaani D 0-047.7 1038 1019 36.84% 26.51% 36.65%+0.00 -0.0 18
2020-09-16 MyPa W 6-029.3 1057 874 60.91% 23.95% 15.14%+1.30 +32.9 18
2020-09-16 @ KPV L 0-629.3 874 1057 15.14% 23.95% 60.91%-1.30 -32.9 5
2020-09-16 SJK Akatemia W 3-246.6 1006 912 51.52% 25.68% 22.80%+0.72 +8.1 23
2020-09-16 @ Musan Salama L 2-346.6 912 1006 22.80% 25.68% 51.52%-0.72 -8.1 5
2020-09-20 Jaro D 1-153.5 841 1233 6.90% 18.99% 74.11%-2.40 +5.4 6
2020-09-20 @ MyPa D 1-153.5 1233 841 74.11% 18.99% 6.90%+2.40 -5.4 31
2020-09-20 Kajaani W 5-031.5 1120 1019 52.44% 25.56% 22.00%+0.77 +38.8 25
2020-09-20 @ Ekenas L 0-531.5 1019 1120 22.00% 25.56% 52.44%-0.77 -38.8 15
2020-09-20 KPV L 1-251.0 1194 1090 52.69% 25.53% 21.79%+0.79 -16.6 34
2020-09-20 @ AC Oulu W 2-151.0 1090 1194 21.79% 25.53% 52.69%-0.79 +16.6 21
2020-09-20 Musan Salama W 3-146.8 930 1014 28.06% 26.22% 45.71%-0.42 +25.5 12
2020-09-20 @ Gnistan L 1-346.8 1014 930 45.71% 26.22% 28.06%+0.42 -25.5 23
2020-09-20 VPS D 1-151.8 904 1088 17.91% 24.75% 57.34%-1.07 +3.0 6
2020-09-20 @ SJK Akatemia D 1-151.8 1088 904 57.34% 24.75% 17.91%+1.07 -3.0 23
2020-09-25 AC Oulu W 2-036.9 1227 1178 46.09% 26.20% 27.71%+0.44 +20.0 34
2020-09-25 @ Jaro L 0-236.9 1178 1227 27.71% 26.20% 46.09%-0.44 -20.0 34
2020-09-25 Ekenas W 3-247.1 1245 1159 50.54% 25.80% 23.67%+0.67 +8.4 34
2020-09-25 @ KTP L 2-347.1 1159 1245 23.67% 25.80% 50.54%-0.67 -8.4 25
2020-09-26 MP Mikkeli D 1-151.3 988 1038 32.45% 26.44% 41.11%-0.20 +0.6 24
2020-09-26 @ Musan Salama D 1-151.3 1038 988 41.11% 26.44% 32.45%+0.20 -0.6 19
2020-09-26 SJK Akatemia W 2-143.7 956 907 45.98% 26.21% 27.81%+0.43 +10.0 15
2020-09-26 @ Gnistan L 1-243.7 907 956 27.81% 26.21% 45.98%-0.43 -10.1 6
2020-09-26 VPS L 0-143.9 1107 1085 42.46% 26.40% 31.15%+0.26 -14.7 21
2020-09-26 @ KPV W 1-043.9 1085 1107 31.15% 26.40% 42.46%-0.26 +14.7 26
2020-09-30 Gnistan W 3-140.6 1037 966 48.82% 25.97% 25.20%+0.58 +16.1 22
2020-09-30 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-340.6 966 1037 25.20% 25.97% 48.82%-0.58 -16.1 15
2020-09-30 Jaro L 1-339.3 1099 1247 21.09% 25.41% 53.50%-0.83 -13.8 26
2020-09-30 @ VPS W 3-139.3 1247 1099 53.50% 25.41% 21.09%+0.83 +13.8 37
2020-09-30 Kajaani D 1-152.0 1157 980 60.37% 24.08% 15.54%+1.26 -3.5 35
2020-09-30 @ AC Oulu D 1-152.0 980 1157 15.54% 24.08% 60.37%-1.26 +3.5 16
2020-09-30 KPV W 2-045.4 897 1092 16.98% 24.51% 58.51%-1.14 +36.5 9
2020-09-30 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-245.4 1092 897 58.51% 24.51% 16.98%+1.14 -36.5 21
2020-09-30 KTP L 0-325.9 846 1253 6.44% 18.50% 75.05%-2.50 -7.0 6
2020-09-30 @ MyPa W 3-025.9 1253 846 75.05% 18.50% 6.44%+2.50 +7.0 37
2020-09-30 Musan Salama D 1-151.9 1151 989 58.84% 24.44% 16.72%+1.16 -3.2 26
2020-09-30 @ Ekenas D 1-151.9 989 1151 16.72% 24.44% 58.84%-1.16 +3.2 25
2020-10-04 AC Oulu L 1-251.2 1260 1154 52.91% 25.50% 21.59%+0.80 -16.7 37
2020-10-04 @ KTP W 2-151.2 1154 1260 21.59% 25.50% 52.91%-0.80 +16.7 38
2020-10-04 Ekenas D 3-360.7 950 1147 16.79% 24.46% 58.75%-1.16 +2.0 16
2020-10-04 @ Gnistan D 3-360.7 1147 950 58.75% 24.46% 16.79%+1.16 -2.0 27
2020-10-04 KPV L 0-149.2 1261 1056 62.91% 23.41% 13.68%+1.44 -20.6 37
2020-10-04 @ Jaro W 1-049.2 1056 1261 13.68% 23.41% 62.91%-1.44 +20.6 24
2020-10-04 Musan Salama L 1-535.2 840 992 20.64% 25.33% 54.03%-0.86 -24.8 6
2020-10-04 @ MyPa W 5-135.2 992 840 54.03% 25.33% 20.64%+0.86 +24.8 28
2020-10-04 SJK Akatemia W 2-141.1 1053 933 54.47% 25.26% 20.26%+0.89 +7.7 25
2020-10-04 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-241.1 933 1053 20.26% 25.26% 54.47%-0.89 -7.7 9
2020-10-04 VPS L 0-236.1 983 1085 25.89% 26.04% 48.07%-0.54 -19.0 16
2020-10-04 @ Kajaani W 2-036.1 1085 983 48.07% 26.04% 25.89%+0.54 +19.0 29
2020-10-10 Gnistan L 2-443.6 815 952 22.16% 25.59% 52.25%-0.76 -12.9 6
2020-10-10 @ MyPa W 4-243.6 952 815 52.25% 25.59% 22.16%+0.76 +12.9 19
2020-10-10 Kajaani W 8-235.1 1076 964 53.60% 25.40% 21.00%+0.84 +30.2 27
2020-10-10 @ KPV L 2-835.1 964 1076 21.00% 25.40% 53.60%-0.84 -30.2 16
2020-10-10 MP Mikkeli W 3-033.3 1145 1061 50.43% 25.81% 23.76%+0.66 +25.7 30
2020-10-10 @ Ekenas L 0-333.3 1061 1145 23.76% 25.81% 50.43%-0.66 -25.7 25
2020-10-10 Musan Salama W 2-140.1 1171 1017 58.03% 24.61% 17.35%+1.11 +6.7 41
2020-10-10 @ AC Oulu L 1-240.1 1017 1171 17.35% 24.61% 58.03%-1.11 -6.7 28
2020-10-15 KPV D 0-048.3 1243 1107 56.28% 24.96% 18.76%+1.00 -3.2 38
2020-10-15 @ KTP D 0-048.3 1107 1243 18.76% 24.96% 56.28%-1.00 +3.2 28
2020-10-16 MyPa W 4-027.8 1035 802 65.31% 22.67% 12.03%+1.62 +17.9 28
2020-10-16 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-427.8 802 1035 12.03% 22.67% 65.31%-1.62 -17.9 6
2020-10-17 AC Oulu L 1-239.4 965 1177 15.67% 24.12% 60.21%-1.25 -6.1 19
2020-10-17 @ Gnistan W 2-139.4 1177 965 60.21% 24.12% 15.67%+1.25 +6.1 44
2020-10-17 Kajaani D 1-153.1 1240 934 70.87% 20.52% 8.61%+2.09 -5.0 38
2020-10-17 @ Jaro D 1-153.1 934 1240 8.61% 20.52% 70.87%-2.09 +5.0 17
2020-10-17 SJK Akatemia W 4-239.4 1171 926 66.30% 22.33% 11.37%+1.70 +6.9 33
2020-10-17 @ Ekenas L 2-439.4 926 1171 11.37% 22.33% 66.30%-1.70 -6.9 9
2020-10-20 Jaro L 2-341.4 919 1235 9.72% 21.33% 68.96%-1.92 -3.6 9
2020-10-20 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-241.4 1235 919 68.96% 21.33% 9.72%+1.92 +3.6 41
2020-10-20 KTP L 2-344.9 1053 1240 17.65% 24.69% 57.66%-1.09 -6.5 28
2020-10-20 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-244.9 1240 1053 57.66% 24.69% 17.65%+1.09 +6.5 41
2020-10-20 VPS L 0-236.4 1010 1104 26.81% 26.13% 47.06%-0.49 -19.5 28
2020-10-20 @ Musan Salama W 2-036.4 1104 1010 47.06% 26.13% 26.81%+0.49 +19.5 32
2020-10-21 MyPa W 10-232.8 939 784 58.19% 24.58% 17.23%+1.12 +32.7 20
2020-10-21 @ Kajaani L 2-1032.8 784 939 17.23% 24.58% 58.19%-1.12 -32.7 6
2020-10-24 Ekenas L 1-332.3 751 1178 5.86% 17.84% 76.30%-2.63 -3.7 6
2020-10-24 @ MyPa W 3-132.3 1178 751 76.30% 17.84% 5.86%+2.63 +3.7 36
2020-10-24 Musan Salama L 0-147.1 1110 991 54.38% 25.28% 20.34%+0.89 -18.1 28
2020-10-24 @ KPV W 1-047.1 991 1110 20.34% 25.28% 54.38%-0.89 +18.1 31
2020-10-24 SJK Akatemia L 0-145.1 972 915 47.00% 26.13% 26.87%+0.48 -16.0 20
2020-10-24 @ Kajaani W 1-045.1 915 972 26.87% 26.13% 47.00%-0.48 +16.0 12
2020-10-25 Gnistan L 3-556.8 1124 958 59.20% 24.36% 16.44%+1.18 -27.0 32
2020-10-25 @ VPS W 5-356.8 958 1124 16.44% 24.36% 59.20%-1.18 +27.0 22
2020-10-31 AC Oulu L 1-247.3 1182 1184 39.13% 26.49% 34.38%+0.11 -13.0 36
2020-10-31 @ Ekenas W 2-147.3 1184 1182 34.38% 26.49% 39.13%-0.11 +13.0 47
2020-10-31 Jaro W 3-150.9 1009 1239 14.47% 23.71% 61.82%-1.36 +33.2 34
2020-10-31 @ Musan Salama L 1-350.9 1239 1009 61.82% 23.71% 14.47%+1.36 -33.2 41
2020-10-31 Kajaani L 1-450.3 1246 956 69.75% 21.00% 9.25%+1.99 -52.0 41
2020-10-31 @ KTP W 4-150.3 956 1246 9.25% 21.00% 69.75%-1.99 +52.0 23
2020-10-31 KPV W 5-039.6 985 1092 25.44% 26.00% 48.57%-0.57 +72.5 25
2020-10-31 @ Gnistan L 0-539.6 1092 985 48.57% 26.00% 25.44%+0.57 -72.4 28
2020-10-31 MyPa W 2-032.2 931 747 60.94% 23.94% 15.12%+1.30 +11.8 15
2020-10-31 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-232.2 747 931 15.12% 23.94% 60.94%-1.30 -11.8 6
2020-10-31 VPS D 2-256.0 1047 1097 32.32% 26.44% 41.24%-0.21 +0.5 29
2020-10-31 @ MP Mikkeli D 2-256.0 1097 1047 41.24% 26.44% 32.32%+0.21 -0.5 33
2020-11-04 KTP L 2-445.1 1096 1194 26.37% 26.09% 47.55%-0.51 -14.9 33
2020-11-04 @ VPS W 4-245.1 1194 1096 47.55% 26.09% 26.37%+0.51 +14.9 44
2020-11-08 KTP L 2-351.9 1206 1209 38.87% 26.49% 34.63%+0.10 -12.3 41
2020-11-08 @ Jaro W 3-251.9 1209 1206 34.63% 26.49% 38.87%-0.10 +12.3 47
2020-11-08 MP Mikkeli W 6-030.4 1197 1047 57.60% 24.70% 17.70%+1.08 +38.0 50
2020-11-08 @ AC Oulu L 0-630.4 1047 1197 17.70% 24.70% 57.60%-1.08 -38.0 29

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2020-11-11 TPS Turku D 0-0 1222 1160 47.56% 26.09% 26.36%+0.51 -1.7 0-0-1
2020-11-11 @ KTP D 0-0 1160 1222 26.36% 26.09% 47.56%-0.51 +1.7 0-0-1
2020-11-14 KTP D 1-1 1162 1220 31.33% 26.40% 42.26%-0.25 +0.8 0-0-2
2020-11-14 @ TPS Turku D 1-1 1220 1162 42.26% 26.40% 31.33%+0.25 -0.8 0-0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-10-31 9.25% Kajaani 956 4 @ KTP 1246 1
2 2020-10-04 13.68% KPV 1056 1 @ Jaro 1261 0
3 2020-10-31 14.47% @ Musan Salama 1009 3 Jaro 1239 1
4 2020-10-25 16.44% Gnistan 958 5 @ VPS 1124 3
5 2020-09-30 16.98% @ SJK Akatemia 897 2 KPV 1092 0
6 2020-06-27 17.13% Ekenas 1016 3 @ SJK Akatemia 1172 0
7 2020-10-24 20.34% Musan Salama 991 1 @ KPV 1110 0
8 2020-07-25 21.44% MP Mikkeli 1027 3 @ KTP 1134 2
9 2020-10-04 21.59% AC Oulu 1154 2 @ KTP 1260 1
10 2020-09-20 21.79% KPV 1090 2 @ AC Oulu 1194 1
11 2020-07-18 25.16% Musan Salama 992 2 @ SJK Akatemia 1064 0
12 2020-09-12 25.29% @ Gnistan 928 1 Kajaani 1035 0
13 2020-10-31 25.44% @ Gnistan 985 5 KPV 1092 0
14 2020-09-05 26.04% MP Mikkeli 1030 2 @ KPV 1094 1
15 2020-07-04 26.83% KTP 1062 3 @ SJK Akatemia 1119 0
16 2020-10-24 26.87% SJK Akatemia 915 1 @ Kajaani 972 0
17 2020-09-20 28.06% @ Gnistan 930 3 Musan Salama 1014 1
18 2020-08-22 29.17% @ MyPa 902 4 SJK Akatemia 977 2
19 2020-09-05 30.09% @ Kajaani 1011 3 Musan Salama 1078 1
20 2020-08-10 30.65% @ SJK Akatemia 979 1 MP Mikkeli 1042 0
21 2020-07-18 31.13% @ Ekenas 1070 5 Jaro 1129 1
22 2020-09-26 31.15% VPS 1085 1 @ KPV 1107 0
23 2020-09-05 31.38% @ VPS 1070 1 Ekenas 1128 0
24 2020-08-05 31.76% @ Jaro 1082 6 VPS 1137 1
25 2020-08-01 32.18% KTP 1118 1 @ Ekenas 1133 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-31 72.45 @ Gnistan 5 985 25.44% KPV 0 1092 48.57% 26.00%
2 2020-08-05 53.08 @ Jaro 6 1082 31.76% VPS 1 1137 41.82% 26.42%
3 2020-06-27 52.85 Ekenas 3 1016 17.13% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1172 58.31% 24.55%
4 2020-10-31 52.05 Kajaani 4 956 9.25% @ KTP 1 1246 69.75% 21.00%
5 2020-09-12 47.63 KTP 6 1183 51.40% @ Musan Salama 0 1053 22.90% 25.69%
6 2020-08-09 46.83 Jaro 4 1136 37.06% @ KPV 0 1115 36.44% 26.51%
7 2020-07-18 43.87 @ Ekenas 5 1070 31.13% Jaro 1 1129 42.47% 26.40%
8 2020-07-04 43.80 KTP 3 1062 26.83% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1119 47.05% 26.13%
9 2020-09-20 38.77 @ Ekenas 5 1120 52.44% Kajaani 0 1019 22.00% 25.56%
10 2020-11-08 38.02 @ AC Oulu 6 1197 57.60% MP Mikkeli 0 1047 17.70% 24.70%
11 2020-09-30 36.50 @ SJK Akatemia 2 897 16.98% KPV 0 1092 58.51% 24.51%
12 2020-08-05 36.20 @ KPV 4 1079 47.86% SJK Akatemia 0 1015 26.08% 26.06%
13 2020-07-25 35.24 @ Musan Salama 5 1023 41.78% Gnistan 1 1006 31.80% 26.42%
14 2020-10-31 33.21 @ Musan Salama 3 1009 14.47% Jaro 1 1239 61.82% 23.71%
15 2020-09-16 32.89 @ KPV 6 1057 60.91% MyPa 0 874 15.14% 23.95%
16 2020-10-21 32.73 @ Kajaani 10 939 58.19% MyPa 2 784 17.23% 24.58%
17 2020-07-19 31.19 KTP 3 1103 43.36% @ Gnistan 0 1037 30.29% 26.36%
18 2020-07-18 31.15 Musan Salama 2 992 25.16% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1064 48.87% 25.97%
19 2020-08-22 30.31 @ KPV 6 1079 54.10% Gnistan 1 963 20.58% 25.32%
20 2020-10-10 30.23 @ KPV 8 1076 53.60% Kajaani 2 964 21.00% 25.40%
21 2020-08-30 29.75 Kajaani 4 981 37.85% @ SJK Akatemia 1 955 35.64% 26.50%
22 2020-08-01 28.74 @ VPS 4 1108 39.48% KPV 1 1107 34.04% 26.48%
23 2020-07-12 28.28 @ Jaro 3 1101 47.13% MP Mikkeli 0 1043 26.75% 26.12%
24 2020-07-04 27.17 Kajaani 2 1000 32.20% @ Musan Salama 0 1014 41.36% 26.44%
25 2020-10-25 26.99 Gnistan 5 958 16.44% @ VPS 3 1124 59.20% 24.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-10-04 60.7 @ Gnistan 3 950 16.79% Ekenas 3 1147 58.75% 24.46%
2 2020-09-06 57.6 @ Jaro 2 1215 69.78% Gnistan 2 924 9.23% 20.99%
3 2020-10-25 56.8 Gnistan 5 958 16.44% @ VPS 3 1124 59.20% 24.36%
4 2020-06-27 56.1 @ Kajaani 2 999 27.13% Jaro 2 1090 46.72% 26.15%
5 2020-07-11 56.1 @ KPV 2 1122 46.58% Ekenas 2 1069 27.26% 26.16%
6 2020-08-02 56.0 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1016 45.51% Gnistan 2 971 28.25% 26.24%
7 2020-08-22 56.0 @ VPS 2 1062 44.03% MP Mikkeli 2 1028 29.64% 26.32%
8 2020-10-31 56.0 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1047 32.32% VPS 2 1097 41.24% 26.44%
9 2020-07-25 55.7 MP Mikkeli 3 1027 21.44% @ KTP 2 1134 53.09% 25.47%
10 2020-09-20 53.5 @ MyPa 1 841 6.90% Jaro 1 1233 74.11% 18.99%
11 2020-10-17 53.1 @ Jaro 1 1240 70.87% Kajaani 1 934 8.61% 20.52%
12 2020-09-12 52.5 @ SJK Akatemia 1 908 11.46% AC Oulu 1 1188 66.17% 22.37%
13 2020-08-29 52.2 @ Musan Salama 3 1065 33.11% KPV 2 1110 40.43% 26.46%
14 2020-09-30 52.0 @ AC Oulu 1 1157 60.37% Kajaani 1 980 15.54% 24.08%
15 2020-09-02 51.9 @ MyPa 1 898 16.73% KPV 1 1097 58.83% 24.44%
16 2020-09-30 51.9 @ Ekenas 1 1151 58.84% Musan Salama 1 989 16.72% 24.44%
17 2020-11-08 51.9 KTP 3 1209 34.63% @ Jaro 2 1206 38.87% 26.49%
18 2020-09-20 51.8 @ SJK Akatemia 1 904 17.91% VPS 1 1088 57.34% 24.75%
19 2020-07-15 51.6 @ VPS 1 1106 54.08% Musan Salama 1 990 20.60% 25.33%
20 2020-08-05 51.6 @ Kajaani 1 994 20.47% AC Oulu 1 1149 54.22% 25.30%
21 2020-08-09 51.5 @ VPS 1 1084 50.71% Kajaani 1 997 23.52% 25.78%
22 2020-08-21 51.5 @ AC Oulu 1 1166 46.88% Ekenas 1 1110 26.98% 26.14%
23 2020-08-30 51.5 @ KTP 1 1165 32.28% Jaro 1 1216 41.28% 26.44%
24 2020-06-27 51.4 @ KPV 1 1113 46.36% KTP 1 1061 27.46% 26.18%
25 2020-08-16 51.4 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1027 28.01% Ekenas 1 1111 45.77% 26.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-09-30 25.9 KTP 3 1253 75.05% @ MyPa 0 846 6.44% 18.50%
2 2020-09-16 26.5 @ KTP 4 1231 69.45% Gnistan 0 944 9.42% 21.12%
3 2020-09-05 26.9 @ AC Oulu 4 1174 68.35% MyPa 0 902 10.08% 21.57%
4 2020-09-07 27.6 @ KTP 4 1166 65.92% SJK Akatemia 0 925 11.62% 22.46%
5 2020-10-16 27.8 @ MP Mikkeli 4 1035 65.31% MyPa 0 802 12.03% 22.67%
6 2020-09-16 29.3 @ KPV 6 1057 60.91% MyPa 0 874 15.14% 23.95%
7 2020-08-29 29.8 @ Ekenas 3 1111 62.13% MyPa 0 915 14.24% 23.63%
8 2020-08-16 30.0 @ Jaro 3 1182 61.39% SJK Akatemia 0 994 14.78% 23.83%
9 2020-11-08 30.4 @ AC Oulu 6 1197 57.60% MP Mikkeli 0 1047 17.70% 24.70%
10 2020-09-20 31.5 @ Ekenas 5 1120 52.44% Kajaani 0 1019 22.00% 25.56%
11 2020-09-12 32.2 KTP 6 1183 51.40% @ Musan Salama 0 1053 22.90% 25.69%
12 2020-10-31 32.2 @ SJK Akatemia 2 931 60.94% MyPa 0 747 15.12% 23.94%
13 2020-10-24 32.3 Ekenas 3 1178 76.30% @ MyPa 1 751 5.86% 17.84%
14 2020-10-21 32.8 @ Kajaani 10 939 58.19% MyPa 2 784 17.23% 24.58%
15 2020-08-05 33.0 @ KPV 4 1079 47.86% SJK Akatemia 0 1015 26.08% 26.06%
16 2020-10-10 33.3 @ Ekenas 3 1145 50.43% MP Mikkeli 0 1061 23.76% 25.81%
17 2020-08-22 34.2 @ KPV 6 1079 54.10% Gnistan 1 963 20.58% 25.32%
18 2020-07-12 34.3 @ Jaro 3 1101 47.13% MP Mikkeli 0 1043 26.75% 26.12%
19 2020-10-10 35.1 @ KPV 8 1076 53.60% Kajaani 2 964 21.00% 25.40%
20 2020-10-04 35.2 Musan Salama 5 992 54.03% @ MyPa 1 840 20.64% 25.33%
21 2020-07-19 35.4 KTP 3 1103 43.36% @ Gnistan 0 1037 30.29% 26.36%
22 2020-08-10 35.5 @ Musan Salama 4 1085 58.37% MyPa 1 928 17.09% 24.54%
23 2020-07-11 35.8 @ VPS 1 1099 57.82% MyPa 0 947 17.52% 24.66%
24 2020-07-26 36.0 @ Jaro 1 1085 57.16% MyPa 0 940 18.05% 24.79%
25 2020-10-04 36.1 VPS 2 1085 48.07% @ Kajaani 0 983 25.89% 26.04%