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2021 Ykkönen Season

162 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

RoPS

16.54 points above expected

48 points · 31.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Musan Salama

2.51 points below expected

27 points · 29.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 RoPS 22 12 6 4 42 39 25 +14 31.46 +10.54
2 TPS Turku 22 11 7 4 40 32 18 +14 36.68 +3.32
3 VPS 22 11 6 5 39 39 27 +12 35.16 +3.84
4 Jaro 22 9 7 6 34 31 24 +7 37.64 -3.64
5 Ekenas 22 8 6 8 30 40 33 +7 37.71 -7.71
6 Gnistan 22 9 3 10 30 30 31 -1 31.10 -1.10
7 PK-35 Vantaa 22 8 6 8 30 26 30 -4 31.44 -1.44
8 KPV 22 7 8 7 29 26 25 +1 27.03 +1.97
9 MP Mikkeli 22 6 7 9 25 29 35 -6 27.57 -2.57
10 JIPPO 22 6 3 13 21 15 28 -13 23.14 -2.14
11 Musan Salama 22 4 9 9 21 22 41 -19 29.51 -8.51
12 Klubi 04 22 6 2 14 20 26 38 -12 19.66 +0.34
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 VPS 27 15 6 6 51 50 30 +20 — —
2 RoPS 27 14 6 7 48 50 36 +14 — —
3 TPS Turku 27 13 8 6 47 40 25 +15 — —
4 Jaro 27 12 7 8 43 39 34 +5 — —
5 Ekenas 27 10 7 10 37 45 38 +7 — —
6 Gnistan 27 10 3 14 33 36 44 -8 — —
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KPV 27 11 8 8 41 35 30 +5 — —
2 PK-35 Vantaa 27 11 6 10 39 34 37 -3 — —
3 MP Mikkeli 27 8 7 12 31 39 44 -5 — —
4 Klubi 04 27 9 2 16 29 39 42 -3 — —
5 Musan Salama 27 6 9 12 27 30 55 -25 — —
6 JIPPO 27 7 3 17 24 18 40 -22 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 RoPS 48 31.46 +16.54
2 VPS 51 35.16 +15.84
3 KPV 41 27.03 +13.97
4 TPS Turku 47 36.68 +10.32
5 Klubi 04 29 19.66 +9.34

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Musan Salama 27 29.51 -2.51
2 Ekenas 37 37.71 -0.71
3 JIPPO 24 23.14 +0.86
4 Gnistan 33 31.10 +1.90
5 MP Mikkeli 31 27.57 +3.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 7 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 238
2 TPS Turku 7 Aug 28 – Oct 2 1 in 91
3 RoPS 5 Aug 14 – Sep 15 1 in 55
4 PK-35 Vantaa 4 Sep 15 – Oct 3 1 in 22
5 MP Mikkeli 3 Jun 4 – Jun 20 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Musan Salama 6 Jul 24 – Aug 22 1 in 167
2 Gnistan 5 Jul 28 – Aug 14 1 in 115
3 JIPPO 6 Sep 11 – Oct 10 1 in 106
4 KPV 5 May 29 – Jun 24 1 in 53
5 Ekenas 4 Sep 15 – Oct 2 1 in 53

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Musan Salama 10 May 16 – Jul 21 1 in 128
2 RoPS 8 Jun 22 – Aug 1 1 in 70
3 VPS 7 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 16
4 KPV 7 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 16
5 MP Mikkeli 5 Jun 4 – Jul 11 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Musan Salama 10 Jul 4 – Aug 22 1 in 146
2 KPV 11 May 13 – Jul 24 1 in 81
3 Ekenas 5 May 29 – Jun 30 1 in 42
4 TPS Turku 4 Jun 22 – Jul 16 1 in 16
5 Jaro 4 Jul 21 – Aug 1 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
VPS 1204 51 +57 12 8.1 +3.9
RoPS 1151 48 -8 6 7.2 -1.2
TPS Turku 1192 47 -9 7 8.8 -1.8
Jaro 1135 43 -2 9 6.8 +2.2
KPV 1091 41 +10 12 9.3 +2.7
PK-35 Vantaa 1048 39 -2 9 8.3 +0.7
Ekenas 1126 37 -2 7 6.7 +0.3
Gnistan 999 33 -35 3 4.4 -1.4
MP Mikkeli 991 31 -2 6 6.9 -0.9
Klubi 04 1051 29 +83 9 6.6 +2.4
Musan Salama 916 27 -22 6 5.2 +0.8
JIPPO 892 24 -67 3 5.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team EKE GNI JIP JAR KPV K0 MM MS PV ROP TT VPS
Ekenas —
3-0-0
5.17
1-0-1
4.04
1-1-1
4.10
0-1-1
3.54
0-0-2
4.16
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.10
2-1-0
4.55
0-2-1
3.81
0-0-3
4.27
Gnistan
0-0-3
3.19
—
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-2
3.17
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-1
3.55
0-1-2
3.07
1-0-2
3.51
JIPPO
1-0-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.12
—
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-3
3.08
2-0-1
4.31
1-0-2
3.37
0-2-1
3.45
2-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.78
Jaro
1-1-1
4.25
2-1-0
5.19
2-0-0
4.04
—
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
4.10
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.63
0-1-1
3.45
0-0-3
4.83
1-0-2
4.14
1-1-1
4.17
KPV
1-1-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.01
3-0-0
5.29
0-1-1
2.02
—
2-1-0
4.99
2-0-1
4.76
1-0-2
4.90
1-0-2
4.13
0-2-0
2.27
0-2-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.25
Klubi 04
2-0-0
1.44
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-2
4.04
0-0-2
1.49
0-1-2
3.37
—
2-0-1
3.55
2-1-0
3.61
0-0-3
2.73
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
1.41
1-0-1
1.61
MP Mikkeli
1-0-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.34
2-0-1
4.99
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-2
3.60
1-0-2
4.82
—
1-2-0
4.47
0-1-2
3.73
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.32
Musan Salama
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.73
1-2-0
4.91
0-1-1
1.95
2-0-1
3.47
0-1-2
4.75
0-2-1
3.89
—
1-1-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.06
PK-35 Vantaa
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-2
5.31
1-1-0
2.13
2-0-1
4.23
3-0-0
5.65
2-1-0
4.63
1-1-1
5.00
—
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.36
RoPS
0-1-2
3.81
1-0-2
4.81
2-0-0
3.30
3-0-0
3.53
0-2-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.88
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.29
—
2-0-1
3.55
1-1-1
3.80
TPS Turku
1-2-0
4.55
2-1-0
5.30
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-1
4.21
0-2-0
3.54
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-2
4.81
—
1-1-1
4.73
VPS
3-0-0
4.08
2-0-1
4.85
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-1
4.19
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.98
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.21
1-1-1
4.56
1-1-1
3.62
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +7.7
Allowed 0.62 -8.7
Differential 0.86 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.17%8.33%7.41%3.70%0.62%0.31%26.54%
18.33%9.88%8.33%2.47%2.47%0.31%31.79%
27.41%8.33%5.56%2.47%0.93%0.62%25.31%
33.70%2.47%2.47%0.62%0.31%0.62%10.19%
40.62%2.47%0.93%0.31%——4.32%
5+0.31%0.31%0.62%0.62%——1.85%
Total26.54%31.79%25.31%10.19%4.32%1.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.77
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
1—14.81%18.52%———33.33%
27.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
37.41%3.70%7.41%——3.70%22.22%
4———————
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total22.22%29.63%40.74%3.70%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.41 +0.26
SD 1.36 1.12 1.61
CV 0.82 0.79 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%18.52%11.11%——37.04%
17.41%3.70%11.11%—3.70%—25.93%
27.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
33.70%—————3.70%
4—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
5+———————
Total22.22%18.52%37.04%18.52%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.63 -0.30
SD 1.41 1.15 1.98
CV 1.06 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%29.63%11.11%3.70%—3.70%51.85%
114.81%7.41%3.70%3.70%7.41%—37.04%
27.41%—————7.41%
3———————
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total25.93%37.04%18.52%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.48 -0.81
SD 0.92 1.48 1.82
CV 1.38 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
118.52%11.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%—48.15%
211.11%7.41%7.41%———25.93%
3—————3.70%3.70%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total37.04%29.63%18.52%7.41%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.26 +0.19
SD 1.15 1.46 1.71
CV 0.80 1.16 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%——25.93%
114.81%11.11%11.11%———37.04%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
37.41%——3.70%——11.11%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%29.63%29.63%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.11 +0.19
SD 1.10 0.97 1.55
CV 0.85 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%7.41%3.70%——33.33%
17.41%3.70%11.11%—7.41%—29.63%
23.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%—18.52%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+3.70%——3.70%——7.41%
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.56 -0.11
SD 1.60 1.28 2.19
CV 1.11 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%7.41%——22.22%
1—7.41%14.81%7.41%——29.63%
211.11%11.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%—40.74%
3———————
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total18.52%25.93%33.33%18.52%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.63 -0.19
SD 1.19 1.11 1.66
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%7.41%7.41%7.41%—37.04%
13.70%14.81%——3.70%3.70%25.93%
2—7.41%7.41%—3.70%7.41%25.93%
33.70%7.41%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%33.33%14.81%7.41%14.81%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 2.04 -0.93
SD 1.05 1.76 2.06
CV 0.95 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%——25.93%
111.11%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%—37.04%
23.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
33.70%3.70%7.41%———14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%29.63%29.63%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.37 -0.11
SD 1.02 1.11 1.55
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%———14.81%
111.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%——29.63%
211.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
3—7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%—22.22%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total29.63%29.63%22.22%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.33 +0.52
SD 1.38 1.18 1.40
CV 0.74 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
17.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
27.41%18.52%3.70%3.70%——33.33%
37.41%—————7.41%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total33.33%48.15%11.11%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.93 +0.56
SD 1.16 0.87 1.34
CV 0.78 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
13.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
214.81%11.11%11.11%3.70%——40.74%
37.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total29.63%37.04%25.93%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.11 +0.74
SD 1.13 0.93 1.65
CV 0.61 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
VPS 1204 51 35.16 +15.84 74.0% 18 24 31 35 40 46 48
TPS Turku 1192 47 36.68 +10.32 71.0% 23 27 32 36 41 47 52
RoPS 1139 48 31.46 +16.54 96.0% 18 20 27 31 36 41 50
Jaro 1135 43 37.64 +5.36 30.0% 26 28 34 38 41 46 52
Ekenas 1126 37 37.71 -0.71 16.0% 24 27 34 38 42 46 56
KPV 1091 41 27.03 +13.97 65.0% 11 17 23 27 32 36 42
Klubi 04 1051 29 19.66 +9.34 61.0% 6 12 16 19 23 30 39
PK-35 Vantaa 1048 39 31.44 +7.56 48.0% 14 20 26 31 37 42 49
Gnistan 999 33 31.10 +1.90 43.0% 11 20 26 31 35 41 46
MP Mikkeli 991 31 27.57 +3.43 36.0% 13 17 24 29 31 36 40
Musan Salama 916 27 29.51 -2.51 6.0% 16 19 26 30 33 40 44
JIPPO 892 24 23.14 +0.86 34.0% 10 15 19 23 26 32 38

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.88%
No Edge
43.83%22.22%33.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.43 Elo pts.
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
VPS, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.85 * Some Luck: 4.85 to 7.27 * Lucky: 7.27 to 9.69 * Wild Swing: 9.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.45 * Way Off: 3.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.97 points
Some Luck
06.0615
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.165
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
RoPS
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Musan Salama
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 88.91
1.27
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.67
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Some Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.18
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.82
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
VPS18.00%11.00%11.00%23.00%6.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
RoPS6.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%9.00%2.00%
TPS Turku21.00%17.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%——
Jaro19.00%21.00%20.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%6.00%1.00%———
KPV—1.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%12.00%17.00%5.00%
PK-35 Vantaa8.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Ekenas23.00%24.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%—
Gnistan3.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%
MP Mikkeli—2.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%
Klubi 04——1.00%———4.00%4.00%4.00%16.00%19.00%52.00%
Musan Salama2.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%
JIPPO——2.00%—1.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%24.00%23.00%24.00%
Team123456789101112
VPS————————————
RoPS————————————
TPS Turku————————————
Jaro————————————
KPV————————————
PK-35 Vantaa————————————
Ekenas————————————
Gnistan————————————
MP Mikkeli————————————
Klubi 04————————————
Musan Salama————————————
JIPPO————————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round
Ekenas 100%
Gnistan 100%
JIPPO 100%
Jaro 100%
KPV 100%
Klubi 04 100%
MP Mikkeli 100%
Musan Salama 100%
PK-35 Vantaa 100%
RoPS 100%
TPS Turku 100%
VPS 100%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round
Ekenas 100%
Gnistan 100%
JIPPO 100%
Jaro 100%
KPV 100%
Klubi 04 100%
MP Mikkeli 100%
Musan Salama 100%
PK-35 Vantaa 100%
RoPS 100%
TPS Turku 100%
VPS 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-05-05 VPS D 1-154.5 1130 1079 48.41% 21.41% 30.18%+0.43 -1.0 1
2021-05-05 @ TPS Turku D 1-154.5 1079 1130 30.18% 21.41% 48.41%-0.43 +1.0 1
2021-05-09 Jaro W 3-142.2 1133 1148 39.15% 21.61% 39.24%+0.09 +17.5 3
2021-05-09 @ Ekenas L 1-342.2 1148 1133 39.24% 21.61% 39.15%-0.09 -17.5 0
2021-05-09 JIPPO D 0-049.8 1054 1001 48.63% 21.40% 29.96%+0.44 -1.2 1
2021-05-09 @ Musan Salama D 0-049.8 1001 1054 29.96% 21.40% 48.63%-0.44 +1.2 1
2021-05-09 KPV L 0-234.2 976 1040 32.51% 21.51% 45.99%-0.14 -17.4 0
2021-05-09 @ Klubi 04 W 2-034.2 1040 976 45.99% 21.51% 32.51%+0.14 +17.4 3
2021-05-09 MP Mikkeli D 1-154.4 1032 1034 41.06% 21.60% 37.34%+0.16 -0.2 1
2021-05-09 @ RoPS D 1-154.4 1034 1032 37.34% 21.60% 41.06%-0.16 +0.2 1
2021-05-12 Gnistan W 2-035.0 1080 1064 43.54% 21.57% 34.89%+0.25 +18.4 4
2021-05-12 @ VPS L 0-235.0 1064 1080 34.89% 21.57% 43.54%-0.25 -18.4 0
2021-05-12 Musan Salama W 1-037.6 1107 1053 48.64% 21.40% 29.96%+0.44 +8.6 3
2021-05-12 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-137.6 1053 1107 29.96% 21.40% 48.64%-0.44 -8.6 1
2021-05-13 Ekenas W 2-150.0 1034 1150 26.13% 21.16% 52.71%-0.40 +13.0 4
2021-05-13 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-250.0 1150 1034 52.71% 21.16% 26.13%+0.40 -13.0 3
2021-05-13 Klubi 04 W 4-132.4 1130 959 62.02% 20.13% 17.85%+1.02 +12.6 3
2021-05-13 @ Jaro L 1-432.4 959 1130 17.85% 20.13% 62.02%-1.02 -12.6 0
2021-05-13 RoPS L 1-245.4 1002 1032 37.10% 21.60% 41.29%+0.02 -9.7 1
2021-05-13 @ JIPPO W 2-145.4 1032 1002 41.29% 21.60% 37.10%-0.02 +9.7 4
2021-05-13 TPS Turku D 1-154.5 1057 1129 31.43% 21.47% 47.10%-0.19 +0.9 4
2021-05-13 @ KPV D 1-154.5 1129 1057 47.10% 21.47% 31.43%+0.19 -0.9 2
2021-05-16 JIPPO W 3-028.1 1137 992 59.36% 20.51% 20.13%+0.89 +16.7 6
2021-05-16 @ Ekenas L 0-328.1 992 1137 20.13% 20.51% 59.36%-0.89 -16.7 1
2021-05-16 Musan Salama D 1-154.4 1046 1044 41.51% 21.60% 36.90%+0.18 -0.3 1
2021-05-16 @ Gnistan D 1-154.4 1044 1046 36.90% 21.60% 41.51%-0.18 +0.3 2
2021-05-16 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-038.7 1041 1115 31.17% 21.46% 47.37%-0.20 +23.6 7
2021-05-16 @ RoPS L 0-238.7 1115 1041 47.37% 21.46% 31.17%+0.20 -23.6 3
2021-05-17 Jaro L 1-246.1 1128 1143 39.28% 21.61% 39.11%+0.10 -10.1 2
2021-05-17 @ TPS Turku W 2-146.1 1143 1128 39.11% 21.61% 39.28%-0.10 +10.1 6
2021-05-17 KPV D 2-260.3 1098 1058 46.82% 21.48% 31.71%+0.37 -0.6 5
2021-05-17 @ VPS D 2-260.3 1058 1098 31.71% 21.48% 46.82%-0.37 +0.6 5
2021-05-18 MP Mikkeli W 3-145.5 946 1047 27.91% 21.29% 50.81%-0.33 +21.7 3
2021-05-18 @ Klubi 04 L 1-345.5 1047 946 50.81% 21.29% 27.91%+0.33 -21.7 4
2021-05-21 Ekenas L 2-349.2 1092 1154 32.69% 21.51% 45.79%-0.14 -8.3 3
2021-05-21 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-249.2 1154 1092 45.79% 21.51% 32.69%+0.14 +8.3 9
2021-05-22 Klubi 04 W 1-039.4 975 968 42.37% 21.59% 36.04%+0.21 +10.0 4
2021-05-22 @ JIPPO L 0-139.4 968 975 36.04% 21.59% 42.37%-0.21 -10.0 3
2021-05-22 RoPS W 3-142.3 1045 1065 38.44% 21.61% 39.95%+0.07 +17.8 5
2021-05-22 @ Musan Salama L 1-342.3 1065 1045 39.95% 21.61% 38.44%-0.07 -17.8 7
2021-05-23 TPS Turku L 1-242.9 1025 1118 28.80% 21.34% 49.86%-0.29 -7.9 4
2021-05-23 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-142.9 1118 1025 49.86% 21.34% 28.80%+0.29 +7.9 5
2021-05-23 VPS D 1-154.5 1153 1097 48.90% 21.39% 29.71%+0.45 -1.1 7
2021-05-23 @ Jaro D 1-154.5 1097 1153 29.71% 21.39% 48.90%-0.45 +1.1 6
2021-05-26 Klubi 04 D 1-154.6 1062 958 54.89% 20.99% 24.13%+0.69 -1.8 6
2021-05-26 @ Musan Salama D 1-154.6 958 1062 24.13% 20.99% 54.89%-0.69 +1.8 4
2021-05-29 Jaro L 0-233.1 1059 1152 28.82% 21.34% 49.84%-0.29 -15.8 5
2021-05-29 @ KPV W 2-033.1 1152 1059 49.84% 21.34% 28.82%+0.29 +15.8 10
2021-05-29 JIPPO L 0-146.0 1126 986 58.92% 20.56% 20.51%+0.87 -15.2 5
2021-05-29 @ TPS Turku W 1-046.0 986 1126 20.51% 20.56% 58.92%-0.87 +15.2 7
2021-05-29 MP Mikkeli W 3-030.3 1099 1017 52.13% 21.20% 26.67%+0.57 +21.4 9
2021-05-29 @ VPS L 0-330.3 1017 1099 26.67% 21.20% 52.13%-0.57 -21.4 4
2021-05-29 Musan Salama D 2-260.5 1162 1061 54.56% 21.02% 24.42%+0.67 -1.3 10
2021-05-29 @ Ekenas D 2-260.5 1061 1162 24.42% 21.02% 54.56%-0.67 +1.3 7
2021-05-30 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-136.1 960 1083 25.31% 21.09% 53.60%-0.44 -7.5 4
2021-05-30 @ Klubi 04 W 1-036.1 1083 960 53.60% 21.09% 25.31%+0.44 +7.5 6
2021-05-30 RoPS W 2-145.5 1045 1047 41.08% 21.60% 37.32%+0.16 +9.7 4
2021-05-30 @ Gnistan L 1-245.5 1047 1045 37.32% 21.60% 41.08%-0.16 -9.7 7
2021-06-04 KPV W 2-147.4 996 1043 34.68% 21.56% 43.76%-0.06 +11.0 7
2021-06-04 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-247.4 1043 996 43.76% 21.56% 34.68%+0.06 -11.0 5
2021-06-06 Ekenas D 0-050.0 1037 1161 25.31% 21.09% 53.60%-0.44 +1.9 8
2021-06-06 @ RoPS D 0-050.0 1161 1037 53.60% 21.09% 25.31%+0.44 -1.9 11
2021-06-06 Gnistan D 2-260.5 1168 1055 55.85% 20.90% 23.25%+0.73 -1.5 11
2021-06-06 @ Jaro D 2-260.5 1055 1168 23.25% 20.90% 55.85%-0.73 +1.5 5
2021-06-06 TPS Turku D 0-049.8 1091 1111 38.45% 21.61% 39.94%+0.07 +0.1 7
2021-06-06 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 0-049.8 1111 1091 39.94% 21.61% 38.45%-0.07 -0.1 6
2021-06-06 VPS D 1-154.6 1001 1120 25.76% 21.13% 53.10%-0.42 +1.6 8
2021-06-06 @ JIPPO D 1-154.6 1120 1001 53.10% 21.13% 25.76%+0.42 -1.6 10
2021-06-11 Klubi 04 L 1-253.3 1159 952 65.28% 19.56% 15.17%+1.19 -15.8 11
2021-06-11 @ Ekenas W 2-153.3 952 1159 15.17% 19.56% 65.28%-1.19 +15.8 7
2021-06-13 Jaro L 0-230.6 1002 1166 21.16% 20.65% 58.19%-0.64 -12.1 8
2021-06-13 @ JIPPO W 2-030.6 1166 1002 58.19% 20.65% 21.16%+0.64 +12.0 14
2021-06-13 KPV W 3-031.1 1091 1032 49.30% 21.37% 29.33%+0.46 +23.2 10
2021-06-13 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-331.1 1032 1091 29.33% 21.37% 49.30%-0.46 -23.2 5
2021-06-13 MP Mikkeli L 0-238.9 1056 1007 48.10% 21.43% 30.47%+0.41 -23.9 5
2021-06-13 @ Gnistan W 2-038.9 1007 1056 30.47% 21.43% 48.10%-0.41 +23.9 10
2021-06-13 TPS Turku L 0-138.1 1039 1111 31.47% 21.47% 47.06%-0.18 -9.0 8
2021-06-13 @ RoPS W 1-038.1 1111 1039 47.06% 21.47% 31.47%+0.18 +9.0 9
2021-06-13 VPS W 3-035.9 1062 1118 33.45% 21.53% 45.02%-0.11 +32.8 10
2021-06-13 @ Musan Salama L 0-335.9 1118 1062 45.02% 21.53% 33.45%+0.11 -32.9 10
2021-06-20 Gnistan L 0-332.1 968 1033 32.42% 21.50% 46.08%-0.15 -25.2 7
2021-06-20 @ Klubi 04 W 3-032.1 1033 968 46.08% 21.50% 32.42%+0.15 +25.2 8
2021-06-20 JIPPO W 4-136.9 1031 990 46.93% 21.47% 31.60%+0.37 +20.8 13
2021-06-20 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-436.9 990 1031 31.60% 21.47% 46.93%-0.37 -20.8 8
2021-06-20 Musan Salama L 1-243.1 1009 1095 29.69% 21.39% 48.92%-0.25 -8.1 5
2021-06-20 @ KPV W 2-143.1 1095 1009 48.92% 21.39% 29.69%+0.25 +8.1 13
2021-06-20 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-154.6 1178 1114 50.00% 21.33% 28.67%+0.49 -1.2 15
2021-06-20 @ Jaro D 1-154.6 1114 1178 28.67% 21.33% 50.00%-0.49 +1.2 11
2021-06-22 Ekenas D 1-154.5 1120 1143 38.02% 21.61% 40.37%+0.06 +0.1 10
2021-06-22 @ TPS Turku D 1-154.5 1143 1120 40.37% 21.61% 38.02%-0.06 -0.1 12
2021-06-22 RoPS D 2-260.3 1086 1030 48.86% 21.39% 29.75%+0.44 -0.8 11
2021-06-22 @ VPS D 2-260.3 1030 1086 29.75% 21.39% 48.86%-0.44 +0.8 9
2021-06-24 Gnistan L 0-234.5 1001 1058 33.39% 21.53% 45.07%-0.11 -17.8 5
2021-06-24 @ KPV W 2-034.5 1058 1001 45.07% 21.53% 33.39%+0.11 +17.8 11
2021-06-30 Ekenas W 2-147.9 1085 1143 33.21% 21.53% 45.26%-0.12 +11.4 14
2021-06-30 @ VPS L 1-247.9 1143 1085 45.26% 21.53% 33.21%+0.12 -11.4 12
2021-06-30 Gnistan L 1-435.6 969 1076 27.26% 21.24% 51.49%-0.35 -18.4 8
2021-06-30 @ JIPPO W 4-135.6 1076 969 51.49% 21.24% 27.26%+0.35 +18.4 14
2021-06-30 RoPS D 1-154.4 983 1031 34.58% 21.56% 43.86%-0.07 +0.5 6
2021-06-30 @ KPV D 1-154.4 1031 983 43.86% 21.56% 34.58%+0.07 -0.5 10
2021-07-01 Klubi 04 L 0-146.9 1120 943 62.57% 20.04% 17.38%+1.05 -16.1 10
2021-07-01 @ TPS Turku W 1-046.9 943 1120 17.38% 20.04% 62.57%-1.05 +16.1 10
2021-07-04 Jaro W 3-147.0 1031 1177 22.87% 20.86% 56.27%-0.55 +23.8 13
2021-07-04 @ RoPS L 1-347.0 1177 1031 56.27% 20.86% 22.87%+0.55 -23.8 15
2021-07-04 MP Mikkeli D 2-260.3 1103 1052 48.32% 21.42% 30.27%+0.42 -0.8 14
2021-07-04 @ Musan Salama D 2-260.3 1052 1103 30.27% 21.42% 48.32%-0.42 +0.8 14
2021-07-05 TPS Turku D 0-049.8 1094 1104 39.92% 21.61% 38.47%+0.12 -0.1 15
2021-07-05 @ Gnistan D 0-049.8 1104 1094 38.47% 21.61% 39.92%-0.12 +0.1 11
2021-07-10 Klubi 04 D 2-260.3 984 959 44.75% 21.54% 33.71%+0.29 -0.5 7
2021-07-10 @ KPV D 2-260.3 959 984 33.71% 21.54% 44.75%-0.29 +0.5 11
2021-07-10 Musan Salama D 1-154.7 951 1102 22.41% 20.80% 56.78%-0.58 +2.1 9
2021-07-10 @ JIPPO D 1-154.7 1102 951 56.78% 20.80% 22.41%+0.58 -2.1 15
2021-07-11 RoPS D 0-049.8 1053 1054 41.07% 21.60% 37.33%+0.16 -0.2 15
2021-07-11 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-049.8 1054 1053 37.33% 21.60% 41.07%-0.16 +0.2 14
2021-07-15 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-154.5 1100 1115 39.14% 21.61% 39.24%+0.09 +0.0 16
2021-07-15 @ Musan Salama D 1-154.5 1115 1100 39.24% 21.61% 39.14%-0.09 -0.0 12
2021-07-16 KPV D 0-050.0 1104 983 56.77% 20.81% 22.42%+0.77 -2.3 12
2021-07-16 @ TPS Turku D 0-050.0 983 1104 22.42% 20.81% 56.77%-0.77 +2.3 8
2021-07-17 Jaro L 0-133.8 960 1153 18.49% 20.25% 61.27%-0.79 -5.6 11
2021-07-17 @ Klubi 04 W 1-033.8 1153 960 61.27% 20.25% 18.49%+0.79 +5.7 18
2021-07-17 JIPPO W 2-031.6 1055 953 54.57% 21.01% 24.42%+0.67 +13.7 17
2021-07-17 @ RoPS L 0-231.6 953 1055 24.42% 21.01% 54.57%-0.67 -13.7 9
2021-07-17 MP Mikkeli W 2-142.3 1132 1052 51.90% 21.22% 26.88%+0.56 +7.4 15
2021-07-17 @ Ekenas L 1-242.3 1052 1132 26.88% 21.22% 51.90%-0.56 -7.4 15
2021-07-18 VPS W 2-035.7 1094 1096 41.03% 21.60% 37.37%+0.16 +19.5 18
2021-07-18 @ Gnistan L 0-235.7 1096 1094 37.37% 21.60% 41.03%-0.16 -19.5 14
2021-07-21 Musan Salama D 0-049.9 1159 1100 49.32% 21.37% 29.31%+0.46 -1.3 19
2021-07-21 @ Jaro D 0-049.9 1100 1159 29.31% 21.37% 49.32%-0.46 +1.3 17
2021-07-24 Ekenas W 2-042.6 939 1139 17.99% 20.16% 61.85%-0.82 +30.0 12
2021-07-24 @ JIPPO L 0-242.6 1139 939 61.85% 20.16% 17.99%+0.82 -30.0 15
2021-07-24 Gnistan L 2-446.1 1101 1113 39.62% 21.61% 38.77%+0.11 -15.8 17
2021-07-24 @ Musan Salama W 4-246.1 1113 1101 38.77% 21.61% 39.62%-0.11 +15.8 21
2021-07-24 RoPS L 1-344.6 1115 1068 47.78% 21.44% 30.78%+0.40 -20.6 12
2021-07-24 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 3-144.6 1068 1115 30.78% 21.44% 47.78%-0.40 +20.6 20
2021-07-24 TPS Turku L 0-239.2 1158 1102 48.94% 21.39% 29.68%+0.45 -24.3 19
2021-07-24 @ Jaro W 2-039.2 1102 1158 29.68% 21.39% 48.94%-0.45 +24.3 15
2021-07-24 VPS L 1-242.9 985 1077 29.04% 21.35% 49.61%-0.28 -7.9 8
2021-07-24 @ KPV W 2-142.9 1077 985 49.61% 21.35% 29.04%+0.28 +7.9 17
2021-07-25 Klubi 04 W 2-032.0 1045 954 53.31% 21.12% 25.58%+0.62 +14.2 18
2021-07-25 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-232.0 954 1045 25.58% 21.12% 53.31%-0.62 -14.2 11
2021-07-28 Jaro W 2-147.5 1085 1133 34.48% 21.56% 43.96%-0.07 +11.1 20
2021-07-28 @ VPS L 1-247.5 1133 1085 43.96% 21.56% 34.48%+0.07 -11.1 19
2021-07-28 JIPPO L 0-139.8 940 970 37.10% 21.60% 41.30%+0.02 -10.3 11
2021-07-28 @ Klubi 04 W 1-039.8 970 940 41.30% 21.60% 37.10%-0.02 +10.3 15
2021-07-28 KPV L 0-340.1 1129 978 60.06% 20.42% 19.52%+0.92 -42.5 21
2021-07-28 @ Gnistan W 3-040.1 978 1129 19.52% 20.42% 60.06%-0.92 +42.5 11
2021-07-28 Musan Salama W 2-035.5 1089 1086 41.82% 21.60% 36.58%+0.19 +19.1 23
2021-07-28 @ RoPS L 0-235.5 1086 1089 36.58% 21.60% 41.82%-0.19 -19.1 17
2021-07-28 PK-35 Vantaa D 0-049.8 1109 1095 43.34% 21.57% 35.09%+0.24 -0.5 16
2021-07-28 @ Ekenas D 0-049.8 1095 1109 35.09% 21.57% 43.34%-0.24 +0.5 13
2021-07-30 MP Mikkeli D 2-260.4 1126 1059 50.35% 21.31% 28.34%+0.50 -1.0 16
2021-07-30 @ TPS Turku D 2-260.4 1059 1126 28.34% 21.31% 50.35%-0.50 +1.0 19
2021-08-01 Ekenas L 2-638.5 1066 1108 35.39% 21.58% 43.03%-0.04 -25.0 17
2021-08-01 @ Musan Salama W 6-238.5 1108 1066 43.03% 21.58% 35.39%+0.04 +25.0 19
2021-08-01 Gnistan W 2-144.5 1108 1087 44.33% 21.55% 34.12%+0.28 +9.1 26
2021-08-01 @ RoPS L 1-244.5 1087 1108 34.12% 21.55% 44.33%-0.28 -9.0 21
2021-08-01 KPV D 0-050.0 1122 1020 54.64% 21.01% 24.35%+0.68 -2.0 20
2021-08-01 @ Jaro D 0-050.0 1020 1122 24.35% 21.01% 54.64%-0.68 +2.0 12
2021-08-02 Klubi 04 W 2-139.3 1095 929 61.49% 20.21% 18.30%+0.99 +5.3 16
2021-08-02 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-239.3 929 1095 18.30% 20.21% 61.49%-0.99 -5.3 11
2021-08-03 TPS Turku L 0-135.3 980 1125 22.99% 20.87% 56.14%-0.55 -6.9 15
2021-08-03 @ JIPPO W 1-035.3 1125 980 56.14% 20.87% 22.99%+0.55 +6.9 19
2021-08-03 VPS L 0-333.3 1060 1096 36.29% 21.59% 42.12%-0.01 -27.6 19
2021-08-03 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-033.3 1096 1060 42.12% 21.59% 36.29%+0.01 +27.6 23
2021-08-07 Jaro L 0-139.3 1078 1120 35.33% 21.58% 43.10%-0.04 -9.9 21
2021-08-07 @ Gnistan W 1-039.3 1120 1078 43.10% 21.58% 35.33%+0.04 +9.9 23
2021-08-07 MP Mikkeli W 1-040.2 1022 1032 39.86% 21.61% 38.53%+0.12 +10.6 15
2021-08-07 @ KPV L 0-140.2 1032 1022 38.53% 21.61% 39.86%-0.12 -10.6 19
2021-08-07 Musan Salama W 4-038.2 924 1041 26.00% 21.15% 52.85%-0.41 +49.3 14
2021-08-07 @ Klubi 04 L 0-438.2 1041 924 52.85% 21.15% 26.00%+0.41 -49.3 17
2021-08-07 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-144.1 1132 1101 45.69% 21.52% 32.80%+0.33 +8.8 22
2021-08-07 @ TPS Turku L 1-244.1 1101 1132 32.80% 21.52% 45.69%-0.33 -8.8 16
2021-08-07 RoPS W 3-249.9 1133 1117 43.63% 21.57% 34.80%+0.25 +8.7 22
2021-08-07 @ Ekenas L 2-349.9 1117 1133 34.80% 21.57% 43.63%-0.25 -8.7 26
2021-08-08 JIPPO W 1-034.2 1123 973 59.93% 20.43% 19.64%+0.91 +6.0 26
2021-08-08 @ VPS L 0-134.2 973 1123 19.64% 20.43% 59.93%-0.91 -6.0 15
2021-08-11 Gnistan W 3-249.5 1092 1068 44.69% 21.54% 33.77%+0.29 +8.5 19
2021-08-11 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 2-349.5 1068 1092 33.77% 21.54% 44.69%-0.29 -8.5 21
2021-08-11 KPV D 1-154.7 1142 1033 55.50% 20.93% 23.57%+0.71 -1.9 23
2021-08-11 @ Ekenas D 1-154.7 1033 1142 23.57% 20.93% 55.50%-0.71 +1.9 16
2021-08-14 Gnistan W 2-032.4 1140 1059 52.11% 21.20% 26.69%+0.57 +14.8 26
2021-08-14 @ Ekenas L 0-232.4 1059 1140 26.69% 21.20% 52.11%-0.57 -14.8 21
2021-08-14 Klubi 04 W 4-133.5 1108 974 58.31% 20.64% 21.06%+0.84 +14.7 29
2021-08-14 @ RoPS L 1-433.5 974 1108 21.06% 20.64% 58.31%-0.84 -14.7 14
2021-08-14 KPV L 0-138.2 967 1034 31.99% 21.49% 46.52%-0.16 -9.1 15
2021-08-14 @ JIPPO W 1-038.2 1034 967 46.52% 21.49% 31.99%+0.16 +9.1 19
2021-08-14 TPS Turku L 0-231.1 992 1141 22.65% 20.83% 56.52%-0.56 -12.8 17
2021-08-14 @ Musan Salama W 2-031.1 1141 992 56.52% 20.83% 22.65%+0.56 +12.8 25
2021-08-14 VPS D 2-260.3 1100 1129 37.22% 21.60% 41.18%+0.03 +0.2 20
2021-08-14 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 2-260.3 1129 1100 41.18% 21.60% 37.22%-0.03 -0.2 27
2021-08-15 Jaro L 1-242.3 1022 1130 27.02% 21.23% 51.76%-0.36 -7.5 19
2021-08-15 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-142.3 1130 1022 51.76% 21.23% 27.02%+0.36 +7.5 26
2021-08-18 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-141.0 1044 1100 33.51% 21.54% 44.95%-0.11 +27.7 24
2021-08-18 @ Gnistan L 1-441.0 1100 1044 44.95% 21.54% 33.51%+0.11 -27.7 20
2021-08-18 VPS W 1-046.0 959 1129 20.56% 20.57% 58.87%-0.67 +15.2 17
2021-08-18 @ Klubi 04 L 0-146.0 1129 959 58.87% 20.57% 20.56%+0.67 -15.2 27
2021-08-19 RoPS L 2-353.1 1154 1123 45.56% 21.52% 32.93%+0.32 -10.8 25
2021-08-19 @ TPS Turku W 3-253.1 1123 1154 32.93% 21.52% 45.56%-0.32 +10.8 32
2021-08-21 Ekenas W 5-353.4 974 1155 19.58% 20.42% 60.00%-0.73 +21.4 20
2021-08-21 @ Klubi 04 L 3-553.4 1155 974 60.00% 20.42% 19.58%+0.73 -21.4 26
2021-08-21 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-034.8 1044 1073 37.18% 21.60% 41.22%+0.03 +30.6 22
2021-08-21 @ KPV L 0-334.8 1073 1044 41.22% 21.60% 37.18%-0.03 -30.6 20
2021-08-22 Gnistan W 2-147.8 1014 1072 33.27% 21.53% 45.20%-0.12 +11.4 22
2021-08-22 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-247.8 1072 1014 45.20% 21.53% 33.27%+0.12 -11.4 24
2021-08-22 JIPPO W 1-033.3 1138 958 62.83% 20.00% 17.17%+1.06 +5.3 29
2021-08-22 @ Jaro L 0-133.3 958 1138 17.17% 20.00% 62.83%-1.06 -5.3 15
2021-08-22 Musan Salama W 4-028.5 1114 979 58.27% 20.64% 21.09%+0.84 +22.8 30
2021-08-22 @ VPS L 0-428.5 979 1114 21.09% 20.64% 58.27%-0.84 -22.8 17
2021-08-25 Ekenas D 1-154.5 1143 1134 42.62% 21.59% 35.79%+0.22 -0.4 30
2021-08-25 @ Jaro D 1-154.5 1134 1143 35.79% 21.59% 42.62%-0.22 +0.4 27
2021-08-28 Jaro W 2-149.4 1042 1142 27.96% 21.29% 50.75%-0.33 +12.5 23
2021-08-28 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-249.4 1142 1042 50.75% 21.29% 27.96%+0.33 -12.5 30
2021-08-28 Klubi 04 W 1-037.1 1061 995 50.16% 21.32% 28.52%+0.49 +8.3 27
2021-08-28 @ Gnistan L 0-137.1 995 1061 28.52% 21.32% 50.16%-0.49 -8.3 20
2021-08-28 KPV W 1-044.4 956 1074 25.93% 21.15% 52.92%-0.41 +13.8 20
2021-08-28 @ Musan Salama L 0-144.4 1074 956 52.92% 21.15% 25.93%+0.41 -13.8 22
2021-08-28 MP Mikkeli W 4-248.3 953 1026 31.27% 21.46% 47.27%-0.19 +18.3 18
2021-08-28 @ JIPPO L 2-448.3 1026 953 47.27% 21.46% 31.27%+0.19 -18.3 22
2021-08-28 TPS Turku L 1-246.4 1134 1143 40.12% 21.61% 38.27%+0.13 -10.3 27
2021-08-28 @ Ekenas W 2-146.4 1143 1134 38.27% 21.61% 40.12%-0.13 +10.3 28
2021-08-28 VPS W 3-250.7 1134 1137 40.96% 21.60% 37.44%+0.16 +9.2 35
2021-08-28 @ RoPS L 2-350.7 1137 1134 37.44% 21.60% 40.96%-0.16 -9.2 30
2021-09-01 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-154.4 1007 1055 34.68% 21.56% 43.76%-0.06 +0.5 23
2021-09-01 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-154.4 1055 1007 43.76% 21.56% 34.68%+0.06 -0.5 24
2021-09-01 TPS Turku L 1-245.7 1127 1153 37.69% 21.61% 40.70%+0.04 -9.8 30
2021-09-01 @ VPS W 2-145.7 1153 1127 40.70% 21.61% 37.69%-0.04 +9.8 31
2021-09-05 JIPPO L 0-144.2 1054 971 52.41% 21.18% 26.41%+0.58 -13.7 24
2021-09-05 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 1-044.2 971 1054 26.41% 21.18% 52.41%-0.58 +13.7 21
2021-09-10 Ekenas L 0-332.5 1069 1124 33.69% 21.54% 44.77%-0.10 -26.0 27
2021-09-10 @ Gnistan W 3-032.5 1124 1069 44.77% 21.54% 33.69%+0.10 +26.0 30
2021-09-10 Musan Salama W 3-026.7 1163 970 64.03% 19.79% 16.18%+1.12 +13.7 34
2021-09-10 @ TPS Turku L 0-326.7 970 1163 16.18% 19.79% 64.03%-1.12 -13.6 20
2021-09-10 RoPS L 0-135.0 987 1143 21.91% 20.75% 57.34%-0.60 -6.6 20
2021-09-10 @ Klubi 04 W 1-035.0 1143 987 57.34% 20.75% 21.91%+0.60 +6.6 38
2021-09-11 JIPPO W 1-036.7 1060 984 51.48% 21.25% 27.28%+0.55 +8.0 25
2021-09-11 @ KPV L 0-136.7 984 1060 27.28% 21.25% 51.48%-0.55 -8.0 21
2021-09-11 MP Mikkeli D 2-260.5 1130 1008 56.88% 20.79% 22.32%+0.77 -1.5 31
2021-09-11 @ Jaro D 2-260.5 1008 1130 22.32% 20.79% 56.88%-0.77 +1.5 24
2021-09-11 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-032.5 1118 1041 51.61% 21.24% 27.15%+0.55 +15.0 33
2021-09-11 @ VPS L 0-232.5 1041 1118 27.15% 21.24% 51.61%-0.55 -15.0 24
2021-09-15 Ekenas W 2-148.8 1068 1150 30.23% 21.41% 48.36%-0.23 +12.0 28
2021-09-15 @ KPV L 1-248.8 1150 1068 48.36% 21.41% 30.23%+0.23 -12.0 30
2021-09-15 Gnistan W 3-028.5 1176 1043 58.14% 20.66% 21.21%+0.83 +17.5 37
2021-09-15 @ TPS Turku L 0-328.5 1043 1176 21.21% 20.66% 58.14%-0.83 -17.5 27
2021-09-15 Klubi 04 W 3-244.9 1133 981 60.10% 20.41% 19.49%+0.92 +5.3 36
2021-09-15 @ VPS L 2-344.9 981 1133 19.49% 20.41% 60.10%-0.92 -5.3 20
2021-09-15 Musan Salama D 0-049.8 1010 957 48.56% 21.41% 30.04%+0.43 -1.2 25
2021-09-15 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-049.8 957 1010 30.04% 21.41% 48.56%-0.43 +1.2 21
2021-09-15 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-138.9 976 1026 34.43% 21.56% 44.01%-0.07 -9.7 21
2021-09-15 @ JIPPO W 1-038.9 1026 976 44.01% 21.56% 34.43%+0.07 +9.7 27
2021-09-15 RoPS L 0-140.2 1128 1150 38.27% 21.61% 40.12%+0.06 -10.5 31
2021-09-15 @ Jaro W 1-040.2 1150 1128 40.12% 21.61% 38.27%-0.06 +10.5 41
2021-09-19 Jaro L 1-532.5 958 1118 21.53% 20.70% 57.77%-0.62 -19.3 21
2021-09-19 @ Musan Salama W 5-132.5 1118 958 57.77% 20.70% 21.53%+0.62 +19.4 34
2021-09-19 JIPPO W 1-037.4 1026 967 49.30% 21.37% 29.33%+0.46 +8.5 30
2021-09-19 @ Gnistan L 0-137.4 967 1026 29.33% 21.37% 49.30%-0.46 -8.5 21
2021-09-19 KPV D 3-364.3 1160 1080 51.98% 21.21% 26.81%+0.57 -0.9 42
2021-09-19 @ RoPS D 3-364.3 1080 1160 26.81% 21.21% 51.98%-0.57 +0.9 29
2021-09-19 MP Mikkeli W 3-140.3 1035 1008 45.09% 21.53% 33.38%+0.30 +15.4 30
2021-09-19 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-340.3 1008 1035 33.38% 21.53% 45.09%-0.30 -15.4 25
2021-09-19 TPS Turku L 2-438.6 975 1194 16.47% 19.86% 63.67%-0.91 -7.4 20
2021-09-19 @ Klubi 04 W 4-238.6 1194 975 63.67% 19.86% 16.47%+0.91 +7.4 40
2021-09-19 VPS L 2-351.9 1138 1138 41.33% 21.60% 37.07%+0.17 -10.0 30
2021-09-19 @ Ekenas W 3-251.9 1138 1138 37.07% 21.60% 41.33%-0.17 +10.0 39

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-09-25 Ekenas W 2-034.8 1148 1128 44.15% 21.56% 34.30%+0.27 +18.2 3
2021-09-25 @ VPS L 0-234.8 1128 1148 34.30% 21.56% 44.15%-0.27 -18.2 0
2021-09-25 Jaro W 4-136.1 1201 1137 50.00% 21.33% 28.66%+0.49 +19.2 3
2021-09-25 @ TPS Turku L 1-436.1 1137 1201 28.66% 21.33% 50.00%-0.49 -19.2 0
2021-09-25 JIPPO W 1-035.1 1081 958 57.00% 20.78% 22.22%+0.78 +6.7 3
2021-09-25 @ KPV L 0-135.1 958 1081 22.22% 20.78% 57.00%-0.78 -6.7 0
2021-09-25 Klubi 04 W 2-142.1 1051 968 52.33% 21.19% 26.48%+0.58 +7.3 3
2021-09-25 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-242.1 968 1051 26.48% 21.19% 52.33%-0.58 -7.3 0
2021-09-26 Gnistan L 3-458.9 1159 1034 57.27% 20.75% 21.98%+0.79 -13.0 0
2021-09-26 @ RoPS W 4-358.9 1034 1159 21.98% 20.75% 57.27%-0.79 +13.0 3
2021-09-26 Musan Salama W 5-239.0 993 938 48.76% 21.40% 29.85%+0.44 +17.2 3
2021-09-26 @ MP Mikkeli L 2-539.0 938 993 29.85% 21.40% 48.76%-0.44 -17.2 0
2021-10-02 Jaro L 0-140.7 1110 1118 40.15% 21.61% 38.24%+0.13 -10.9 0
2021-10-02 @ Ekenas W 1-040.7 1118 1110 38.24% 21.61% 40.15%-0.13 +10.9 3
2021-10-02 JIPPO W 3-142.7 921 952 37.00% 21.60% 41.40%+0.02 +18.3 3
2021-10-02 @ Musan Salama L 1-342.7 952 921 41.40% 21.60% 37.00%-0.02 -18.3 0
2021-10-02 KPV L 1-241.6 960 1088 24.86% 21.06% 54.08%-0.46 -7.0 0
2021-10-02 @ Klubi 04 W 2-141.6 1088 960 54.08% 21.06% 24.86%+0.46 +7.0 6
2021-10-02 RoPS W 2-034.9 1166 1146 44.08% 21.56% 34.36%+0.27 +18.2 6
2021-10-02 @ VPS L 0-234.9 1146 1166 34.36% 21.56% 44.08%-0.27 -18.2 0
2021-10-02 TPS Turku L 1-240.1 1047 1221 20.25% 20.52% 59.22%-0.69 -5.8 3
2021-10-02 @ Gnistan W 2-140.1 1221 1047 59.22% 20.52% 20.25%+0.69 +5.8 6
2021-10-03 PK-35 Vantaa L 2-349.8 1010 1058 34.60% 21.56% 43.84%-0.07 -8.7 3
2021-10-03 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-249.8 1058 1010 43.84% 21.56% 34.60%+0.07 +8.7 6
2021-10-08 Ekenas L 1-247.9 1128 1099 45.44% 21.52% 33.03%+0.32 -11.4 0
2021-10-08 @ RoPS W 2-147.9 1099 1128 33.03% 21.52% 45.44%-0.32 +11.4 3
2021-10-08 VPS L 1-344.6 1226 1184 47.13% 21.47% 31.41%+0.38 -20.4 6
2021-10-08 @ TPS Turku W 3-144.6 1184 1226 31.41% 21.47% 47.13%-0.38 +20.4 9
2021-10-10 Gnistan W 2-032.2 1129 1041 52.92% 21.15% 25.93%+0.60 +14.4 6
2021-10-10 @ Jaro L 0-232.2 1041 1129 25.93% 21.15% 52.92%-0.60 -14.4 3
2021-10-10 Klubi 04 L 0-636.0 933 954 38.46% 21.61% 39.93%+0.07 -55.3 0
2021-10-10 @ JIPPO W 6-036.0 954 933 39.93% 21.61% 38.46%-0.07 +55.3 3
2021-10-10 MP Mikkeli W 2-141.7 1095 1001 53.61% 21.09% 25.30%+0.63 +7.0 9
2021-10-10 @ KPV L 1-241.7 1001 1095 25.30% 21.09% 53.61%-0.63 -7.1 3
2021-10-10 Musan Salama L 1-251.3 1067 940 57.47% 20.73% 21.80%+0.80 -14.0 6
2021-10-10 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 2-151.3 940 1067 21.80% 20.73% 57.47%-0.80 +14.0 6
2021-10-14 Ekenas D 1-154.7 1206 1110 53.90% 21.07% 25.03%+0.64 -1.7 7
2021-10-14 @ TPS Turku D 1-154.7 1110 1206 25.03% 21.07% 53.90%-0.64 +1.7 4
2021-10-16 Musan Salama W 4-133.1 1102 954 59.73% 20.46% 19.81%+0.90 +13.9 12
2021-10-16 @ KPV L 1-433.1 954 1102 19.81% 20.46% 59.73%-0.90 -13.9 6
2021-10-16 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-042.0 878 1053 20.16% 20.51% 59.33%-0.69 +28.9 3
2021-10-16 @ JIPPO L 0-242.0 1053 878 59.33% 20.51% 20.16%+0.69 -28.9 6
2021-10-16 RoPS L 3-644.6 1143 1117 45.02% 21.53% 33.45%+0.30 -22.2 6
2021-10-16 @ Jaro W 6-344.6 1117 1143 33.45% 21.53% 45.02%-0.30 +22.2 3
2021-10-16 VPS L 1-433.2 1027 1205 19.86% 20.47% 59.67%-0.71 -13.9 3
2021-10-16 @ Gnistan W 4-133.2 1205 1027 59.67% 20.47% 19.86%+0.71 +13.9 12
2021-10-17 MP Mikkeli W 2-035.0 1009 994 43.37% 21.57% 35.06%+0.24 +18.5 6
2021-10-17 @ Klubi 04 L 0-235.0 994 1009 35.06% 21.57% 43.37%-0.24 -18.5 3
2021-10-23 Gnistan W 2-031.7 1112 1013 54.26% 21.04% 24.70%+0.66 +13.8 7
2021-10-23 @ Ekenas L 0-231.7 1013 1112 24.70% 21.04% 54.26%-0.66 -13.8 3
2021-10-23 Jaro L 0-144.8 1219 1121 54.09% 21.05% 24.85%+0.65 -14.1 12
2021-10-23 @ VPS W 1-044.8 1121 1219 24.85% 21.05% 54.09%-0.65 +14.1 9
2021-10-23 JIPPO W 2-032.8 976 907 50.61% 21.30% 28.10%+0.51 +15.4 6
2021-10-23 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-232.8 907 976 28.10% 21.30% 50.61%-0.51 -15.4 3
2021-10-23 Klubi 04 L 0-331.2 940 1027 29.45% 21.38% 49.17%-0.26 -23.3 6
2021-10-23 @ Musan Salama W 3-031.2 1027 940 49.17% 21.38% 29.45%+0.26 +23.3 9
2021-10-23 KPV W 2-039.4 1024 1116 28.92% 21.35% 49.73%-0.29 +24.6 9
2021-10-23 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-239.4 1116 1024 49.73% 21.35% 28.92%+0.29 -24.6 12
2021-10-23 TPS Turku W 1-042.6 1139 1204 32.30% 21.50% 46.20%-0.15 +12.3 6
2021-10-23 @ RoPS L 0-142.6 1204 1139 46.20% 21.50% 32.30%+0.15 -12.3 7

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2021-11-03 AC Oulu W 2-1 1151 1128 44.58% 21.55% 33.87%+0.29 +9.0 1-0
2021-11-03 @ RoPS L 1-2 1128 1151 33.87% 21.55% 44.58%-0.29 -9.0 0-1
2021-11-07 RoPS W 2-0 1119 1160 35.50% 21.58% 42.92%-0.03 +21.8 1-1
2021-11-07 @ AC Oulu L 0-2 1160 1119 42.92% 21.58% 35.50%+0.03 -21.7 1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-06-11 15.17% Klubi 04 952 2 @ Ekenas 1159 1
2 2021-07-01 17.38% Klubi 04 943 1 @ TPS Turku 1120 0
3 2021-07-24 17.99% @ JIPPO 939 2 Ekenas 1139 0
4 2021-07-28 19.52% KPV 978 3 @ Gnistan 1129 0
5 2021-08-21 19.58% @ Klubi 04 974 5 Ekenas 1155 3
6 2021-10-16 20.16% @ JIPPO 878 2 PK-35 Vantaa 1053 0
7 2021-05-29 20.51% JIPPO 986 1 @ TPS Turku 1126 0
8 2021-08-18 20.56% @ Klubi 04 959 1 VPS 1129 0
9 2021-10-10 21.80% Musan Salama 940 2 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1067 1
10 2021-09-26 21.98% Gnistan 1034 4 @ RoPS 1159 3
11 2021-07-04 22.87% @ RoPS 1031 3 Jaro 1177 1
12 2021-10-23 24.85% Jaro 1121 1 @ VPS 1219 0
13 2021-08-28 25.93% @ Musan Salama 956 1 KPV 1074 0
14 2021-08-07 26.00% @ Klubi 04 924 4 Musan Salama 1041 0
15 2021-05-13 26.13% @ MP Mikkeli 1034 2 Ekenas 1150 1
16 2021-09-05 26.41% JIPPO 971 1 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1054 0
17 2021-05-18 27.91% @ Klubi 04 946 3 MP Mikkeli 1047 1
18 2021-08-28 27.96% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1042 2 Jaro 1142 1
19 2021-10-23 28.92% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1024 2 KPV 1116 0
20 2021-07-24 29.68% TPS Turku 1102 2 @ Jaro 1158 0
21 2021-09-15 30.23% @ KPV 1068 2 Ekenas 1150 1
22 2021-06-13 30.47% MP Mikkeli 1007 2 @ Gnistan 1056 0
23 2021-07-24 30.78% RoPS 1068 3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1115 1
24 2021-05-16 31.17% @ RoPS 1041 2 PK-35 Vantaa 1115 0
25 2021-08-28 31.27% @ JIPPO 953 4 MP Mikkeli 1026 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-10-10 55.32 Klubi 04 6 954 39.93% @ JIPPO 0 933 38.46% 21.61%
2 2021-08-07 49.33 @ Klubi 04 4 924 26.00% Musan Salama 0 1041 52.85% 21.15%
3 2021-07-28 42.46 KPV 3 978 19.52% @ Gnistan 0 1129 60.06% 20.42%
4 2021-06-13 32.85 @ Musan Salama 3 1062 33.45% VPS 0 1118 45.02% 21.53%
5 2021-08-21 30.57 @ KPV 3 1044 37.18% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1073 41.22% 21.60%
6 2021-07-24 30.05 @ JIPPO 2 939 17.99% Ekenas 0 1139 61.85% 20.16%
7 2021-10-16 28.90 @ JIPPO 2 878 20.16% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1053 59.33% 20.51%
8 2021-08-18 27.67 @ Gnistan 4 1044 33.51% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1100 44.95% 21.54%
9 2021-08-03 27.63 VPS 3 1096 42.12% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1060 36.29% 21.59%
10 2021-09-10 26.03 Ekenas 3 1124 44.77% @ Gnistan 0 1069 33.69% 21.54%
11 2021-06-20 25.23 Gnistan 3 1033 46.08% @ Klubi 04 0 968 32.42% 21.50%
12 2021-08-01 25.01 Ekenas 6 1108 43.03% @ Musan Salama 2 1066 35.39% 21.58%
13 2021-10-23 24.63 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1024 28.92% KPV 0 1116 49.73% 21.35%
14 2021-07-24 24.29 TPS Turku 2 1102 29.68% @ Jaro 0 1158 48.94% 21.39%
15 2021-06-13 23.93 MP Mikkeli 2 1007 30.47% @ Gnistan 0 1056 48.10% 21.43%
16 2021-07-04 23.84 @ RoPS 3 1031 22.87% Jaro 1 1177 56.27% 20.86%
17 2021-05-16 23.62 @ RoPS 2 1041 31.17% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1115 47.37% 21.46%
18 2021-10-23 23.31 Klubi 04 3 1027 49.17% @ Musan Salama 0 940 29.45% 21.38%
19 2021-06-13 23.23 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1091 49.30% KPV 0 1032 29.33% 21.37%
20 2021-08-22 22.79 @ VPS 4 1114 58.27% Musan Salama 0 979 21.09% 20.64%
21 2021-10-16 22.21 RoPS 6 1117 33.45% @ Jaro 3 1143 45.02% 21.53%
22 2021-05-18 21.74 @ Klubi 04 3 946 27.91% MP Mikkeli 1 1047 50.81% 21.29%
23 2021-05-29 21.44 @ VPS 3 1099 52.13% MP Mikkeli 0 1017 26.67% 21.20%
24 2021-08-21 21.38 @ Klubi 04 5 974 19.58% Ekenas 3 1155 60.00% 20.42%
25 2021-06-20 20.83 @ MP Mikkeli 4 1031 46.93% JIPPO 1 990 31.60% 21.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-09-19 64.3 @ RoPS 3 1160 51.98% KPV 3 1080 26.81% 21.21%
2 2021-05-29 60.5 @ Ekenas 2 1162 54.56% Musan Salama 2 1061 24.42% 21.02%
3 2021-06-06 60.5 @ Jaro 2 1168 55.85% Gnistan 2 1055 23.25% 20.90%
4 2021-09-11 60.5 @ Jaro 2 1130 56.88% MP Mikkeli 2 1008 22.32% 20.79%
5 2021-07-30 60.4 @ TPS Turku 2 1126 50.35% MP Mikkeli 2 1059 28.34% 21.31%
6 2021-05-17 60.3 @ VPS 2 1098 46.82% KPV 2 1058 31.71% 21.48%
7 2021-06-22 60.3 @ VPS 2 1086 48.86% RoPS 2 1030 29.75% 21.39%
8 2021-07-04 60.3 @ Musan Salama 2 1103 48.32% MP Mikkeli 2 1052 30.27% 21.42%
9 2021-07-10 60.3 @ KPV 2 984 44.75% Klubi 04 2 959 33.71% 21.54%
10 2021-08-14 60.3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1100 37.22% VPS 2 1129 41.18% 21.60%
11 2021-09-26 58.9 Gnistan 4 1034 21.98% @ RoPS 3 1159 57.27% 20.75%
12 2021-07-10 54.7 @ JIPPO 1 951 22.41% Musan Salama 1 1102 56.78% 20.80%
13 2021-08-11 54.7 @ Ekenas 1 1142 55.50% KPV 1 1033 23.57% 20.93%
14 2021-10-14 54.7 @ TPS Turku 1 1206 53.90% Ekenas 1 1110 25.03% 21.07%
15 2021-05-26 54.6 @ Musan Salama 1 1062 54.89% Klubi 04 1 958 24.13% 20.99%
16 2021-06-06 54.6 @ JIPPO 1 1001 25.76% VPS 1 1120 53.10% 21.13%
17 2021-06-20 54.6 @ Jaro 1 1178 50.00% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1114 28.67% 21.33%
18 2021-05-05 54.5 @ TPS Turku 1 1130 48.41% VPS 1 1079 30.18% 21.41%
19 2021-05-13 54.5 @ KPV 1 1057 31.43% TPS Turku 1 1129 47.10% 21.47%
20 2021-05-23 54.5 @ Jaro 1 1153 48.90% VPS 1 1097 29.71% 21.39%
21 2021-06-22 54.5 @ TPS Turku 1 1120 38.02% Ekenas 1 1143 40.37% 21.61%
22 2021-07-15 54.5 @ Musan Salama 1 1100 39.14% PK-35 Vantaa 1 1115 39.24% 21.61%
23 2021-08-25 54.5 @ Jaro 1 1143 42.62% Ekenas 1 1134 35.79% 21.59%
24 2021-05-09 54.4 @ RoPS 1 1032 41.06% MP Mikkeli 1 1034 37.34% 21.60%
25 2021-05-16 54.4 @ Gnistan 1 1046 41.51% Musan Salama 1 1044 36.90% 21.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-09-10 26.7 @ TPS Turku 3 1163 64.03% Musan Salama 0 970 16.18% 19.79%
2 2021-05-16 28.1 @ Ekenas 3 1137 59.36% JIPPO 0 992 20.13% 20.51%
3 2021-08-22 28.5 @ VPS 4 1114 58.27% Musan Salama 0 979 21.09% 20.64%
4 2021-09-15 28.5 @ TPS Turku 3 1176 58.14% Gnistan 0 1043 21.21% 20.66%
5 2021-05-29 30.3 @ VPS 3 1099 52.13% MP Mikkeli 0 1017 26.67% 21.20%
6 2021-06-13 30.6 Jaro 2 1166 58.19% @ JIPPO 0 1002 21.16% 20.65%
7 2021-06-13 31.1 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1091 49.30% KPV 0 1032 29.33% 21.37%
8 2021-08-14 31.1 TPS Turku 2 1141 56.52% @ Musan Salama 0 992 22.65% 20.83%
9 2021-10-23 31.2 Klubi 04 3 1027 49.17% @ Musan Salama 0 940 29.45% 21.38%
10 2021-07-17 31.6 @ RoPS 2 1055 54.57% JIPPO 0 953 24.42% 21.01%
11 2021-10-23 31.7 @ Ekenas 2 1112 54.26% Gnistan 0 1013 24.70% 21.04%
12 2021-07-25 32.0 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1045 53.31% Klubi 04 0 954 25.58% 21.12%
13 2021-06-20 32.1 Gnistan 3 1033 46.08% @ Klubi 04 0 968 32.42% 21.50%
14 2021-10-10 32.2 @ Jaro 2 1129 52.92% Gnistan 0 1041 25.93% 21.15%
15 2021-05-13 32.4 @ Jaro 4 1130 62.02% Klubi 04 1 959 17.85% 20.13%
16 2021-08-14 32.4 @ Ekenas 2 1140 52.11% Gnistan 0 1059 26.69% 21.20%
17 2021-09-10 32.5 Ekenas 3 1124 44.77% @ Gnistan 0 1069 33.69% 21.54%
18 2021-09-11 32.5 @ VPS 2 1118 51.61% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1041 27.15% 21.24%
19 2021-09-19 32.5 Jaro 5 1118 57.77% @ Musan Salama 1 958 21.53% 20.70%
20 2021-10-23 32.8 @ MP Mikkeli 2 976 50.61% JIPPO 0 907 28.10% 21.30%
21 2021-05-29 33.1 Jaro 2 1152 49.84% @ KPV 0 1059 28.82% 21.34%
22 2021-10-16 33.1 @ KPV 4 1102 59.73% Musan Salama 1 954 19.81% 20.46%
23 2021-10-16 33.2 VPS 4 1205 59.67% @ Gnistan 1 1027 19.86% 20.47%
24 2021-08-03 33.3 VPS 3 1096 42.12% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1060 36.29% 21.59%
25 2021-08-22 33.3 @ Jaro 1 1138 62.83% JIPPO 0 958 17.17% 20.00%