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2022 Ykkönen Season

147 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gnistan

9.37 points above expected

40 points · 30.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pargas

13.27 points below expected

16 points · 29.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KTP 22 14 4 4 46 44 20 +24 37.29 +8.71
2 TPS Turku 22 13 6 3 45 39 16 +23 39.41 +5.59
3 Jaro 22 10 5 7 35 43 25 +18 35.40 -0.40
4 Ekenas 22 8 8 6 32 39 34 +5 31.70 +0.30
5 KPV 22 8 8 6 32 24 32 -8 25.49 +6.51
6 JaPS 22 9 4 9 31 31 39 -8 30.91 +0.09
7 Gnistan 22 8 6 8 30 35 31 +4 30.63 -0.63
8 MP Mikkeli 22 7 6 9 27 35 33 +2 27.04 -0.04
9 SJK Akatemia 22 6 7 9 25 31 32 -1 27.65 -2.65
10 PEPO 22 6 6 10 24 25 38 -13 29.29 -5.29
11 PK-35 Vantaa 22 5 7 10 22 28 44 -16 23.29 -1.29
12 Pargas 22 4 1 17 13 21 51 -30 29.27 -16.27
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KTP 22 14 4 4 46 44 20 +24 37.29 +8.71
2 TPS Turku 22 13 6 3 45 39 16 +23 39.41 +5.59
3 Gnistan 27 11 7 9 40 45 38 +7 30.63 +9.37
4 MP Mikkeli 27 10 6 11 36 48 42 +6 27.04 +8.96
5 Jaro 22 10 5 7 35 43 25 +18 35.40 -0.40
6 SJK Akatemia 27 9 8 10 35 43 40 +3 27.65 +7.35
7 Ekenas 22 8 8 6 32 39 34 +5 31.70 +0.30
8 KPV 22 8 8 6 32 24 32 -8 25.49 +6.51
9 JaPS 22 9 4 9 31 31 39 -8 30.91 +0.09
10 PK-35 Vantaa 27 8 7 12 31 36 52 -16 23.29 +7.71
11 PEPO 27 7 6 14 27 34 56 -22 29.29 -2.29
12 Pargas 27 5 1 21 16 29 61 -32 29.27 -13.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gnistan 40 30.63 +9.37
2 MP Mikkeli 36 27.04 +8.96
3 KTP 46 37.29 +8.71
4 PK-35 Vantaa 31 23.29 +7.71
5 SJK Akatemia 35 27.65 +7.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pargas 16 29.27 -13.27
2 PEPO 27 29.29 -2.29
3 Jaro 35 35.40 -0.40
4 JaPS 31 30.91 +0.09
5 Ekenas 32 31.70 +0.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 PK-35 Vantaa 3 Jul 23 – Aug 4 1 in 71
2 MP Mikkeli 4 Aug 28 – Sep 18 1 in 28
3 JaPS 3 May 13 – May 29 1 in 27
4 KTP 4 Jun 22 – Jul 11 1 in 16
5 Jaro 3 Jun 22 – Jul 6 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pargas 10 Jul 30 – Oct 1 1 in 494
2 Jaro 4 May 21 – Jun 12 1 in 62
3 PEPO 3 Apr 18 – Apr 29 1 in 30
4 PK-35 Vantaa 4 May 7 – May 21 1 in 21
5 JaPS 3 Jun 22 – Jul 6 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KTP 9 May 30 – Jul 11 1 in 45
2 PK-35 Vantaa 5 Jul 23 – Aug 20 1 in 35
3 Jaro 8 Jun 18 – Jul 23 1 in 25
4 JaPS 6 May 13 – Jun 18 1 in 24
5 MP Mikkeli 6 Aug 16 – Sep 18 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekenas 6 Jun 22 – Jul 23 1 in 54
2 SJK Akatemia 6 Jun 3 – Jul 6 1 in 28
3 Pargas 10 Jul 30 – Oct 1 1 in 17
4 Jaro 5 May 21 – Jun 18 1 in 13
5 PK-35 Vantaa 6 Apr 18 – May 21 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KTP 1274 46 -9 12 9.4 +2.6
TPS Turku 1321 45 +14 8 10.0 -2.0
Gnistan 1158 40 +16 10 7.9 +2.1
MP Mikkeli 1186 36 +8 9 8.9 +0.1
Jaro 1267 35 +35 10 8.8 +1.2
SJK Akatemia 1138 35 +35 10 7.5 +2.5
Ekenas 1185 32 +14 8 7.8 +0.2
KPV 1146 32 +23 6 5.2 +0.8
PK-35 Vantaa 1087 31 +12 9 6.0 +3.0
JaPS 1165 31 -16 6 7.6 -1.6
PEPO 1053 27 -69 3 7.0 -4.0
Pargas 1000 16 -2 3 4.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team EKE GNI JAP JAR KPV KTP MM PEP PV PAR SA TT
Ekenas —
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
3.27
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.75
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.28
Gnistan
1-1-0
2.46
—
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-1
4.56
3-0-0
4.74
0-2-1
4.78
2-0-1
5.16
0-2-1
4.71
0-0-2
1.98
JaPS
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.72
—
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.18
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-2
2.24
Jaro
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
2.88
—
1-0-1
3.49
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.39
KPV
1-1-0
1.82
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.07
—
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.49
0-2-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
1.60
KTP
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.44
—
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.32
1-1-0
2.28
MP Mikkeli
0-2-0
2.28
1-1-1
3.78
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.74
—
2-0-1
4.67
1-0-2
5.09
2-0-1
4.49
0-1-2
4.54
0-1-1
1.63
PEPO
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-3
3.60
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-2
3.67
—
2-1-0
4.62
2-0-1
4.76
1-1-1
4.10
0-2-0
1.85
PK-35 Vantaa
1-0-1
2.00
1-2-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
1.91
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-1
3.26
0-1-2
3.72
—
1-1-1
4.01
2-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
1.48
Pargas
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-2
3.19
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
3.20
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-2
3.86
1-0-2
3.58
1-1-1
4.33
—
0-0-3
3.97
1-0-1
2.00
SJK Akatemia
0-0-2
2.59
1-2-0
3.63
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.26
2-1-0
3.80
1-1-1
4.24
1-0-2
4.82
3-0-0
4.39
—
0-0-2
1.87
TPS Turku
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.98
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.95
0-2-0
3.73
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.71
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.38 +6.8
Allowed 0.71 -4.9
Differential 0.84 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.40%5.78%5.78%4.42%2.72%1.36%23.47%
15.78%11.56%8.50%3.40%1.70%0.34%31.29%
25.78%8.50%7.48%1.70%1.02%0.34%24.83%
34.42%3.40%1.70%1.36%1.02%—11.90%
42.72%1.70%1.02%1.02%——6.46%
5+1.36%0.34%0.34%———2.04%
Total23.47%31.29%24.83%11.90%6.46%2.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.55 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 2.12
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 147

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
1—13.64%—9.09%——22.73%
24.55%13.64%18.18%———36.36%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%22.73%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.55 +0.23
SD 1.31 1.06 2.05
CV 0.74 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%—7.41%3.70%29.63%
13.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
211.11%14.81%11.11%———37.04%
3———————
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total22.22%40.74%25.93%—7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.41 +0.26
SD 2.08 1.28 2.71
CV 1.25 0.91 —
Max 10 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.77 -0.36
SD 1.40 2.20 2.65
CV 1.00 1.24 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%—9.09%———18.18%
313.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+———————
Total40.91%18.18%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.14 +0.82
SD 1.36 1.13 2.15
CV 0.70 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
19.09%31.82%—4.55%——45.45%
2—18.18%————18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%50.00%9.09%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.45 -0.36
SD 0.92 1.26 1.87
CV 0.84 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%18.18%————22.73%
49.09%9.09%————18.18%
5+———————
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.91 +1.09
SD 1.38 0.87 1.85
CV 0.69 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
13.70%14.81%18.52%—3.70%—40.74%
27.41%3.70%7.41%7.41%——25.93%
37.41%—3.70%———11.11%
4—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total18.52%25.93%40.74%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.56 +0.22
SD 1.37 1.05 1.74
CV 0.77 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%11.11%—3.70%25.93%
17.41%7.41%14.81%3.70%——33.33%
23.70%11.11%7.41%—7.41%3.70%33.33%
3———3.70%——3.70%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total14.81%22.22%29.63%18.52%7.41%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 2.07 -0.81
SD 1.02 1.52 1.80
CV 0.81 0.73 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%3.70%3.70%11.11%—25.93%
17.41%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
27.41%7.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
3—3.70%—3.70%——7.41%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+———————
Total14.81%29.63%22.22%14.81%18.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.93 -0.59
SD 1.07 1.36 1.82
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%14.81%—11.11%—37.04%
13.70%—18.52%3.70%7.41%—33.33%
23.70%—3.70%7.41%——14.81%
3—3.70%7.41%—3.70%—14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%14.81%44.44%11.11%22.22%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.26 -1.19
SD 1.07 1.20 1.64
CV 1.00 0.53 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%—3.70%25.93%
1—18.52%3.70%3.70%——25.93%
23.70%11.11%7.41%———22.22%
37.41%———7.41%—14.81%
47.41%3.70%————11.11%
5+———————
Total22.22%40.74%18.52%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.48 +0.11
SD 1.34 1.34 2.12
CV 0.84 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
113.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total50.00%31.82%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.73 +1.05
SD 1.38 0.88 1.81
CV 0.78 1.21 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
TPS Turku 1335 45 39.41 +5.59 83.0% 19 30 35 39 43 52 56
KTP 1274 46 37.29 +8.71 95.0% 24 28 33 38 41 46 49
Jaro 1244 35 35.40 -0.40 46.0% 18 22 31 36 40 45 54
MP Mikkeli 1186 36 27.04 +8.96 51.0% 13 17 23 27 30 36 39
Ekenas 1178 32 31.70 +0.30 58.0% 16 22 28 31 36 43 53
JaPS 1165 31 30.91 +0.09 58.0% 16 22 26 30 35 43 46
Gnistan 1158 40 30.63 +9.37 46.0% 13 18 25 31 35 40 43
KPV 1146 32 25.49 +6.51 86.0% 11 17 21 25 29 34 40
SJK Akatemia 1138 35 27.65 +7.35 36.0% 11 18 23 28 32 37 40
PK-35 Vantaa 1087 31 23.29 +7.71 43.0% 8 13 18 23 28 33 37
PEPO 1053 27 29.29 -2.29 19.0% 12 18 25 30 33 38 42
Pargas 1000 16 29.27 -13.27 0.0% 15 18 26 29 33 37 42

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.33%
Slight Edge
46.26%23.81%29.93%
Elo Value
Home Edge
183 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
057.24500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.50 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.8
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
KTP, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.96 * Some Luck: 4.96 to 7.45 * Lucky: 7.45 to 9.93 * Wild Swing: 9.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.94 * Close: 1.94 to 2.91 * Off: 2.91 to 3.88 * Way Off: 3.88 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.12 points
Some Luck
06.2016
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Off
02.435
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
KTP
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Pargas
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 89.71
1.23
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.10
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.53
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Very Upset-Prone
0%30%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.47
Overconfident
0.3107041.001.6893
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.143
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1340.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
KTP22.00%27.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%——
TPS Turku33.00%26.00%15.00%14.00%1.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%———1.00%
Gnistan6.00%3.00%14.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%
MP Mikkeli1.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%15.00%6.00%
Jaro19.00%15.00%20.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%
SJK Akatemia—4.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%
Ekenas8.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
KPV—4.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%15.00%21.00%17.00%
JaPS7.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%2.00%12.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%
PK-35 Vantaa———2.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%—8.00%16.00%16.00%35.00%
PEPO2.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%
Pargas2.00%1.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%
Team123456789101112
KTP————————————
TPS Turku————————————
Gnistan————————————
MP Mikkeli————————————
Jaro————————————
SJK Akatemia————————————
Ekenas————————————
KPV————————————
JaPS————————————
PK-35 Vantaa————————————
PEPO————————————
Pargas————————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round
Ekenas 100%
Gnistan 100%
JaPS 100%
Jaro 100%
KPV 100%
KTP 100%
MP Mikkeli 100%
PEPO 100%
PK-35 Vantaa 100%
Pargas 100%
SJK Akatemia 100%
TPS Turku 100%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round
Ekenas 100%
Gnistan 100%
JaPS 100%
Jaro 100%
KPV 100%
KTP 100%
MP Mikkeli 100%
PEPO 100%
PK-35 Vantaa 100%
Pargas 100%
SJK Akatemia 100%
TPS Turku 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-04-18 Jaro D 0-048.5 1226 1176 48.05% 21.89% 30.06%+0.58 -1.1 1
2022-04-18 @ JaPS D 0-048.5 1176 1226 30.06% 21.89% 48.05%-0.58 +1.1 1
2022-04-18 MP Mikkeli W 3-249.3 1156 1110 47.65% 21.91% 30.44%+0.57 +7.6 3
2022-04-18 @ KPV L 2-349.3 1110 1156 30.44% 21.91% 47.65%-0.57 -7.6 0
2022-04-18 PEPO W 1-043.3 1146 1226 30.49% 21.91% 47.60%-0.12 +12.2 3
2022-04-18 @ KTP L 0-143.3 1226 1146 47.60% 21.91% 30.49%+0.12 -12.2 0
2022-04-18 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.7 1113 1136 38.06% 22.10% 39.84%+0.19 +0.1 1
2022-04-18 @ Gnistan D 1-152.7 1136 1113 39.84% 22.10% 38.06%-0.19 -0.1 1
2022-04-18 SJK Akatemia L 0-243.7 1226 1090 58.31% 21.00% 20.69%+1.05 -27.6 0
2022-04-18 @ Pargas W 2-043.7 1090 1226 20.69% 21.00% 58.31%-1.05 +27.7 3
2022-04-18 TPS Turku L 1-343.8 1172 1203 36.95% 22.09% 40.96%+0.14 -16.3 0
2022-04-18 @ Ekenas W 3-143.8 1203 1172 40.96% 22.09% 36.95%-0.14 +16.3 3
2022-04-23 Gnistan L 0-240.9 1164 1113 48.17% 21.88% 29.95%+0.59 -23.3 3
2022-04-23 @ KPV W 2-040.9 1113 1164 29.95% 21.88% 48.17%-0.59 +23.3 4
2022-04-23 JaPS W 3-036.4 1219 1224 40.53% 22.10% 37.37%+0.28 +27.5 6
2022-04-23 @ TPS Turku L 0-336.4 1224 1219 37.37% 22.10% 40.53%-0.28 -27.5 1
2022-04-23 PEPO W 2-148.1 1156 1213 33.25% 22.02% 44.73%+0.00 +10.9 3
2022-04-23 @ Ekenas L 1-248.1 1213 1156 44.73% 22.02% 33.25%+0.00 -10.9 0
2022-04-25 Pargas D 2-258.9 1136 1198 32.71% 22.00% 45.29%-0.03 +0.5 2
2022-04-25 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 2-258.9 1198 1136 45.29% 22.00% 32.71%+0.03 -0.5 1
2022-04-28 TPS Turku D 0-048.6 1159 1246 29.43% 21.85% 48.72%-0.17 +1.2 4
2022-04-28 @ KTP D 0-048.6 1246 1159 48.72% 21.85% 29.43%+0.17 -1.2 7
2022-04-29 Jaro L 0-338.5 1202 1177 44.80% 22.02% 33.18%+0.45 -31.8 0
2022-04-29 @ PEPO W 3-038.5 1177 1202 33.18% 22.02% 44.80%-0.45 +31.8 4
2022-04-29 KPV D 0-048.5 1197 1140 49.01% 21.84% 29.15%+0.62 -1.2 2
2022-04-29 @ JaPS D 0-048.5 1140 1197 29.15% 21.84% 49.01%-0.62 +1.2 4
2022-04-30 Ekenas D 1-152.7 1137 1166 37.07% 22.09% 40.84%+0.15 +0.2 5
2022-04-30 @ Gnistan D 1-152.7 1166 1137 40.84% 22.09% 37.07%-0.15 -0.2 4
2022-04-30 MP Mikkeli L 2-356.2 1197 1102 53.79% 21.49% 24.71%+0.83 -12.2 1
2022-04-30 @ Pargas W 3-256.2 1102 1197 24.71% 21.49% 53.79%-0.83 +12.2 3
2022-05-07 PEPO L 1-245.6 1137 1171 36.49% 22.09% 41.43%+0.13 -9.3 2
2022-05-07 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 2-145.6 1171 1137 41.43% 22.09% 36.49%-0.13 +9.3 3
2022-05-08 JaPS W 10-140.3 1137 1196 33.12% 22.01% 44.87%-0.01 +73.6 8
2022-05-08 @ Gnistan L 1-1040.3 1196 1137 44.87% 22.01% 33.12%+0.01 -73.6 2
2022-05-08 Jaro W 2-147.5 1166 1209 35.26% 22.07% 42.67%+0.08 +10.5 7
2022-05-08 @ Ekenas L 1-247.5 1209 1166 42.67% 22.07% 35.26%-0.08 -10.5 4
2022-05-08 KTP L 1-344.3 1141 1160 38.70% 22.10% 39.19%+0.21 -16.9 4
2022-05-08 @ KPV W 3-144.3 1160 1141 39.19% 22.10% 38.70%-0.21 +16.9 7
2022-05-08 SJK Akatemia D 1-152.7 1114 1118 40.83% 22.09% 37.08%+0.29 -0.2 4
2022-05-08 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-152.7 1118 1114 37.08% 22.09% 40.83%-0.29 +0.2 4
2022-05-09 Pargas L 0-241.4 1245 1185 49.43% 21.81% 28.76%+0.64 -23.8 7
2022-05-09 @ TPS Turku W 2-041.4 1185 1245 28.76% 21.81% 49.43%-0.64 +23.8 4
2022-05-11 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-141.9 1118 1127 40.01% 22.10% 37.89%+0.26 +23.5 7
2022-05-11 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-441.9 1127 1118 37.89% 22.10% 40.01%-0.26 -23.5 2
2022-05-13 Ekenas W 1-042.3 1122 1177 33.65% 22.03% 44.32%+0.01 +11.5 5
2022-05-13 @ JaPS L 0-142.3 1177 1122 44.32% 22.03% 33.65%-0.01 -11.5 7
2022-05-14 KPV L 1-250.2 1209 1125 52.48% 21.60% 25.91%+0.77 -12.6 4
2022-05-14 @ Pargas W 2-150.2 1125 1209 25.91% 21.60% 52.48%-0.77 +12.6 7
2022-05-15 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-031.9 1199 1104 53.74% 21.50% 24.76%+0.83 +25.6 7
2022-05-15 @ Jaro L 0-431.9 1104 1199 24.76% 21.50% 53.74%-0.83 -25.6 2
2022-05-15 TPS Turku L 0-235.6 1141 1221 30.40% 21.91% 47.69%-0.12 -16.1 7
2022-05-15 @ SJK Akatemia W 2-035.6 1221 1141 47.69% 21.91% 30.40%+0.12 +16.1 10
2022-05-20 KTP W 2-147.4 1134 1177 35.22% 22.07% 42.71%+0.08 +10.5 8
2022-05-20 @ JaPS L 1-247.4 1177 1134 42.71% 22.07% 35.22%-0.08 -10.5 7
2022-05-21 Jaro W 3-040.4 1114 1224 26.76% 21.67% 51.57%-0.29 +35.9 7
2022-05-21 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-340.4 1224 1114 51.57% 21.67% 26.76%+0.29 -35.9 7
2022-05-21 Pargas W 1-039.5 1210 1196 43.28% 22.06% 34.66%+0.39 +9.5 11
2022-05-21 @ Gnistan L 0-139.5 1196 1210 34.66% 22.06% 43.28%-0.39 -9.5 4
2022-05-21 PEPO D 0-048.6 1237 1180 49.12% 21.83% 29.05%+0.63 -1.3 11
2022-05-21 @ TPS Turku D 0-048.6 1180 1237 29.05% 21.83% 49.12%-0.63 +1.3 4
2022-05-21 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-142.1 1165 1078 52.82% 21.58% 25.61%+0.79 +7.0 10
2022-05-21 @ Ekenas L 1-242.1 1078 1165 25.61% 21.58% 52.82%-0.79 -7.0 2
2022-05-21 SJK Akatemia L 0-337.8 1137 1125 42.98% 22.06% 34.96%+0.38 -30.8 7
2022-05-21 @ KPV W 3-037.8 1125 1137 34.96% 22.06% 42.98%-0.38 +30.8 10
2022-05-29 Gnistan W 4-038.4 1156 1220 32.46% 21.99% 45.54%-0.04 +42.2 13
2022-05-29 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-438.4 1220 1156 45.54% 21.99% 32.46%+0.04 -42.2 11
2022-05-29 JaPS L 0-143.1 1187 1144 47.21% 21.93% 30.86%+0.55 -12.2 4
2022-05-29 @ Pargas W 1-043.1 1144 1187 30.86% 21.93% 47.21%-0.55 +12.2 11
2022-05-29 MP Mikkeli W 2-040.7 1071 1150 30.54% 21.91% 47.55%-0.12 +23.0 5
2022-05-29 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-240.7 1150 1071 47.55% 21.91% 30.54%+0.12 -23.0 7
2022-05-29 TPS Turku L 1-245.1 1188 1236 34.60% 22.05% 43.35%+0.05 -8.9 7
2022-05-29 @ Jaro W 2-145.1 1236 1188 43.35% 22.05% 34.60%-0.05 +8.9 14
2022-05-30 Ekenas D 1-152.8 1166 1172 40.46% 22.10% 37.44%+0.28 -0.2 8
2022-05-30 @ KTP D 1-152.8 1172 1166 37.44% 22.10% 40.46%-0.28 +0.2 11
2022-05-30 KPV D 1-152.8 1181 1106 51.29% 21.69% 27.02%+0.72 -1.4 5
2022-05-30 @ PEPO D 1-152.8 1106 1181 27.02% 21.69% 51.29%-0.72 +1.4 8
2022-06-03 Jaro W 1-042.9 1108 1179 31.44% 21.95% 46.60%-0.08 +12.0 11
2022-06-03 @ KPV L 0-142.9 1179 1108 46.60% 21.95% 31.44%+0.08 -12.0 7
2022-06-03 Pargas W 3-144.0 1166 1175 40.07% 22.10% 37.83%+0.26 +16.6 11
2022-06-03 @ KTP L 1-344.0 1175 1166 37.83% 22.10% 40.07%-0.26 -16.6 4
2022-06-03 SJK Akatemia D 1-152.8 1156 1198 35.37% 22.07% 42.56%+0.08 +0.4 12
2022-06-03 @ JaPS D 1-152.8 1198 1156 42.56% 22.07% 35.37%-0.08 -0.4 14
2022-06-05 MP Mikkeli D 2-258.9 1172 1127 47.55% 21.91% 30.53%+0.56 -0.7 12
2022-06-05 @ Ekenas D 2-258.9 1127 1172 30.53% 21.91% 47.55%-0.56 +0.7 8
2022-06-05 PEPO W 5-036.2 1178 1180 41.05% 22.09% 36.86%+0.30 +43.9 14
2022-06-05 @ Gnistan L 0-536.2 1180 1178 36.86% 22.09% 41.05%-0.30 -43.9 5
2022-06-06 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-031.9 1245 1094 59.92% 20.77% 19.30%+1.14 +10.8 17
2022-06-06 @ TPS Turku L 0-231.9 1094 1245 19.30% 20.77% 59.92%-1.14 -10.8 5
2022-06-10 Ekenas L 2-352.1 1158 1172 39.41% 22.10% 38.49%+0.24 -9.4 4
2022-06-10 @ Pargas W 3-252.1 1172 1158 38.49% 22.10% 39.41%-0.24 +9.4 15
2022-06-10 JaPS L 2-448.5 1136 1157 38.36% 22.10% 39.54%+0.20 -15.0 5
2022-06-10 @ PEPO W 4-248.5 1157 1136 39.54% 22.10% 38.36%-0.20 +15.0 15
2022-06-10 TPS Turku D 1-153.0 1128 1256 24.76% 21.50% 53.74%-0.39 +1.7 9
2022-06-10 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-153.0 1256 1128 53.74% 21.50% 24.76%+0.39 -1.7 18
2022-06-11 KPV D 1-152.7 1083 1120 36.16% 22.08% 41.76%+0.11 +0.3 6
2022-06-11 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.7 1120 1083 41.76% 22.08% 36.16%-0.11 -0.3 12
2022-06-11 KTP D 1-152.8 1198 1183 43.47% 22.05% 34.48%+0.40 -0.5 15
2022-06-11 @ SJK Akatemia D 1-152.8 1183 1198 34.48% 22.05% 43.47%-0.40 +0.5 12
2022-06-12 Gnistan L 0-236.7 1167 1222 33.73% 22.03% 44.24%+0.02 -17.5 7
2022-06-12 @ Jaro W 2-036.7 1222 1167 44.24% 22.03% 33.73%-0.02 +17.5 17
2022-06-15 Gnistan W 4-038.1 1183 1239 33.49% 22.03% 44.49%+0.01 +41.4 15
2022-06-15 @ KTP L 0-438.1 1239 1183 44.49% 22.03% 33.49%-0.01 -41.3 17
2022-06-18 Gnistan D 1-152.8 1129 1198 31.85% 21.97% 46.18%-0.06 +0.8 10
2022-06-18 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-152.8 1198 1129 46.18% 21.97% 31.85%+0.06 -0.8 18
2022-06-18 JaPS D 2-258.9 1084 1172 29.41% 21.85% 48.74%-0.17 +0.8 7
2022-06-18 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 2-258.9 1172 1084 48.74% 21.85% 29.41%+0.17 -0.8 16
2022-06-18 KPV W 5-031.0 1254 1120 58.23% 21.01% 20.76%+1.05 +27.0 21
2022-06-18 @ TPS Turku L 0-531.0 1120 1254 20.76% 21.01% 58.23%-1.05 -27.0 12
2022-06-18 KTP D 2-259.0 1150 1224 31.08% 21.94% 46.98%-0.09 +0.7 8
2022-06-18 @ Jaro D 2-259.0 1224 1150 46.98% 21.94% 31.08%+0.09 -0.7 16
2022-06-18 Pargas W 2-146.8 1121 1149 37.33% 22.10% 40.58%+0.16 +10.1 8
2022-06-18 @ PEPO L 1-246.8 1149 1121 40.58% 22.10% 37.33%-0.16 -10.1 4
2022-06-18 SJK Akatemia W 5-036.8 1181 1197 38.99% 22.10% 38.90%+0.22 +45.8 18
2022-06-18 @ Ekenas L 0-536.8 1197 1181 38.90% 22.10% 38.99%-0.22 -45.8 15
2022-06-22 Ekenas D 1-152.9 1092 1227 24.11% 21.43% 54.46%-0.42 +1.8 13
2022-06-22 @ KPV D 1-152.9 1227 1092 54.46% 21.43% 24.11%+0.42 -1.8 19
2022-06-22 Jaro L 0-238.4 1139 1151 39.64% 22.10% 38.26%+0.25 -19.9 4
2022-06-22 @ Pargas W 2-038.4 1151 1139 38.26% 22.10% 39.64%-0.25 +19.9 11
2022-06-22 MP Mikkeli L 1-444.6 1171 1130 46.92% 21.94% 31.14%+0.54 -27.9 16
2022-06-22 @ JaPS W 4-144.6 1130 1171 31.14% 21.94% 46.92%-0.54 +27.9 13
2022-06-22 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-030.4 1224 1085 58.72% 20.94% 20.34%+1.07 +21.5 19
2022-06-22 @ KTP L 0-430.4 1085 1224 20.34% 20.94% 58.72%-1.07 -21.5 7
2022-06-22 TPS Turku L 0-138.2 1197 1281 29.86% 21.88% 48.26%-0.15 -8.4 18
2022-06-22 @ Gnistan W 1-038.2 1281 1197 48.26% 21.88% 29.86%+0.15 +8.4 24
2022-06-23 PEPO D 2-258.9 1152 1131 44.21% 22.03% 33.76%+0.43 -0.4 16
2022-06-23 @ SJK Akatemia D 2-258.9 1131 1152 33.76% 22.03% 44.21%-0.43 +0.4 9
2022-07-01 KPV L 1-250.5 1189 1094 53.67% 21.50% 24.82%+0.83 -12.8 18
2022-07-01 @ Gnistan W 2-150.5 1094 1189 24.82% 21.50% 53.67%-0.83 +12.8 16
2022-07-01 MP Mikkeli W 4-138.3 1245 1158 52.83% 21.58% 25.59%+0.79 +17.0 22
2022-07-01 @ KTP L 1-438.3 1158 1245 25.59% 21.58% 52.83%-0.79 -17.0 13
2022-07-01 TPS Turku L 0-135.8 1143 1290 22.83% 21.29% 55.88%-0.49 -6.7 16
2022-07-01 @ JaPS W 1-035.8 1290 1143 55.88% 21.29% 22.83%+0.49 +6.7 27
2022-07-02 Ekenas D 2-259.0 1131 1225 28.71% 21.81% 49.48%-0.20 +0.9 10
2022-07-02 @ PEPO D 2-259.0 1225 1131 49.48% 21.81% 28.71%+0.20 -0.9 20
2022-07-02 Jaro L 1-344.2 1151 1170 38.58% 22.10% 39.32%+0.21 -16.8 16
2022-07-02 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-144.2 1170 1151 39.32% 22.10% 38.58%-0.21 +16.8 14
2022-07-02 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-248.9 1119 1063 48.91% 21.84% 29.24%+0.62 +7.4 7
2022-07-02 @ Pargas L 2-348.9 1063 1119 29.24% 21.84% 48.91%-0.62 -7.4 7
2022-07-04 KTP L 1-347.0 1296 1262 46.02% 21.98% 32.01%+0.50 -19.4 27
2022-07-04 @ TPS Turku W 3-147.0 1262 1296 32.01% 21.98% 46.02%-0.50 +19.4 25
2022-07-06 Gnistan L 0-240.9 1224 1176 47.94% 21.89% 30.16%+0.58 -23.2 20
2022-07-06 @ Ekenas W 2-040.9 1176 1224 30.16% 21.89% 47.94%-0.58 +23.2 21
2022-07-06 JaPS W 1-041.2 1107 1136 37.16% 22.09% 40.74%+0.15 +10.8 19
2022-07-06 @ KPV L 0-141.2 1136 1107 40.74% 22.09% 37.16%-0.15 -10.8 16
2022-07-06 Pargas L 2-353.2 1141 1126 43.38% 22.05% 34.57%+0.39 -10.1 13
2022-07-06 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-253.2 1126 1141 34.57% 22.05% 43.38%-0.39 +10.1 10
2022-07-06 PEPO W 3-033.7 1187 1132 48.79% 21.85% 29.36%+0.61 +22.7 17
2022-07-06 @ Jaro L 0-333.7 1132 1187 29.36% 21.85% 48.79%-0.61 -22.6 10
2022-07-06 SJK Akatemia W 2-040.6 1056 1134 30.54% 21.91% 47.55%-0.12 +23.0 10
2022-07-06 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-240.6 1134 1056 47.55% 21.91% 30.54%+0.12 -23.1 16
2022-07-10 Ekenas D 3-363.4 1210 1201 42.59% 22.07% 35.34%+0.36 -0.2 18
2022-07-10 @ Jaro D 3-363.4 1201 1210 35.34% 22.07% 42.59%-0.36 +0.2 21
2022-07-10 PK-35 Vantaa D 3-363.2 1110 1079 45.61% 21.99% 32.40%+0.48 -0.5 11
2022-07-10 @ PEPO D 3-363.2 1079 1110 32.40% 21.99% 45.61%-0.48 +0.5 11
2022-07-10 TPS Turku L 0-233.5 1136 1277 23.47% 21.36% 55.16%-0.45 -12.9 10
2022-07-10 @ Pargas W 2-033.5 1277 1136 55.16% 21.36% 23.47%+0.45 +12.9 30
2022-07-11 Gnistan W 2-148.6 1125 1199 31.21% 21.94% 46.85%-0.09 +11.4 19
2022-07-11 @ JaPS L 1-248.6 1199 1125 46.85% 21.94% 31.21%+0.09 -11.4 21
2022-07-11 KPV W 3-030.1 1282 1118 61.25% 20.57% 18.19%+1.21 +14.9 28
2022-07-11 @ KTP L 0-330.1 1118 1282 18.19% 20.57% 61.25%-1.21 -14.9 19
2022-07-11 MP Mikkeli W 2-146.4 1111 1131 38.54% 22.10% 39.35%+0.21 +9.9 19
2022-07-11 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-246.4 1131 1111 39.35% 22.10% 38.54%-0.21 -9.9 13
2022-07-15 PEPO W 2-145.0 1121 1109 42.98% 22.06% 34.96%+0.38 +9.0 16
2022-07-15 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-245.0 1109 1121 34.96% 22.06% 42.98%-0.38 -9.0 11
2022-07-15 SJK Akatemia W 2-139.6 1290 1121 61.70% 20.49% 17.81%+1.23 +5.0 33
2022-07-15 @ TPS Turku L 1-239.6 1121 1290 17.81% 20.49% 61.70%-1.23 -5.0 19
2022-07-16 JaPS L 0-339.9 1201 1137 50.00% 21.78% 28.22%+0.66 -35.0 21
2022-07-16 @ Ekenas W 3-039.9 1137 1201 28.22% 21.78% 50.00%-0.66 +35.0 22
2022-07-16 Jaro L 0-431.8 1079 1210 24.51% 21.47% 54.02%-0.40 -25.4 11
2022-07-16 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 4-031.8 1210 1079 54.02% 21.47% 24.51%+0.40 +25.4 21
2022-07-16 Pargas W 2-146.4 1103 1124 38.38% 22.10% 39.52%+0.20 +9.9 22
2022-07-16 @ KPV L 1-246.4 1124 1103 39.52% 22.10% 38.38%-0.20 -9.9 10
2022-07-17 KTP W 2-150.2 1188 1297 26.90% 21.69% 51.41%-0.28 +12.3 24
2022-07-17 @ Gnistan L 1-250.2 1297 1188 51.41% 21.69% 26.90%+0.28 -12.3 28
2022-07-20 SJK Akatemia D 1-153.0 1235 1116 56.50% 21.22% 22.28%+0.96 -2.0 22
2022-07-20 @ Jaro D 1-153.0 1116 1235 22.28% 21.22% 56.50%-0.96 +2.0 20
2022-07-22 JaPS W 3-139.5 1284 1172 55.77% 21.30% 22.93%+0.93 +10.9 31
2022-07-22 @ KTP L 1-339.5 1172 1284 22.93% 21.30% 55.77%-0.93 -10.9 22
2022-07-23 Ekenas W 3-148.0 1054 1166 26.50% 21.65% 51.85%-0.30 +21.5 14
2022-07-23 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-348.0 1166 1054 51.85% 21.65% 26.50%+0.30 -21.5 21
2022-07-23 Gnistan W 1-043.5 1114 1200 29.61% 21.86% 48.53%-0.16 +12.4 13
2022-07-23 @ Pargas L 0-143.5 1200 1114 48.53% 21.86% 29.61%+0.16 -12.4 24
2022-07-23 MP Mikkeli W 2-033.5 1233 1130 54.71% 21.41% 23.88%+0.88 +13.1 25
2022-07-23 @ Jaro L 0-233.5 1130 1233 23.88% 21.41% 54.71%-0.88 -13.1 16
2022-07-23 TPS Turku D 1-153.3 1100 1295 18.41% 20.61% 60.98%-0.75 +2.5 12
2022-07-23 @ PEPO D 1-153.3 1295 1100 60.98% 20.61% 18.41%+0.75 -2.5 34
2022-07-25 KPV D 1-152.7 1118 1113 42.08% 22.08% 35.84%+0.34 -0.3 21
2022-07-25 @ SJK Akatemia D 1-152.7 1113 1118 35.84% 22.08% 42.08%-0.34 +0.3 23
2022-07-27 MP Mikkeli W 2-146.1 1103 1117 39.31% 22.10% 38.59%+0.24 +9.7 15
2022-07-27 @ PEPO L 1-246.1 1117 1103 38.59% 22.10% 39.31%-0.24 -9.7 16
2022-07-30 Jaro W 3-142.2 1292 1246 47.62% 21.91% 30.47%+0.56 +13.9 37
2022-07-30 @ TPS Turku L 1-342.2 1246 1292 30.47% 21.91% 47.62%-0.56 -13.9 25
2022-07-30 KTP W 2-043.3 1145 1295 22.46% 21.24% 56.30%-0.51 +26.8 24
2022-07-30 @ Ekenas L 0-243.3 1295 1145 56.30% 21.24% 22.46%+0.51 -26.8 31
2022-07-30 Pargas W 4-140.1 1161 1126 46.13% 21.97% 31.90%+0.50 +20.5 25
2022-07-30 @ JaPS L 1-440.1 1126 1161 31.90% 21.97% 46.13%-0.50 -20.5 13
2022-07-30 PEPO W 2-145.5 1113 1112 41.43% 22.09% 36.48%+0.32 +9.3 26
2022-07-30 @ KPV L 1-245.5 1112 1113 36.48% 22.09% 41.43%-0.32 -9.3 15
2022-07-31 PK-35 Vantaa L 1-248.2 1107 1075 45.74% 21.99% 32.28%+0.49 -11.2 16
2022-07-31 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-148.2 1075 1107 32.28% 21.99% 45.74%-0.49 +11.2 17
2022-07-31 SJK Akatemia D 0-048.5 1187 1118 50.65% 21.74% 27.61%+0.69 -1.5 25
2022-07-31 @ Gnistan D 0-048.5 1118 1187 27.61% 21.74% 50.65%-0.69 +1.4 22
2022-08-04 Gnistan L 1-243.6 1103 1186 30.03% 21.89% 48.08%-0.14 -8.0 15
2022-08-04 @ PEPO W 2-143.6 1186 1103 48.08% 21.89% 30.03%+0.14 +8.0 28
2022-08-04 TPS Turku W 2-153.2 1086 1306 16.40% 20.18% 63.41%-0.89 +14.9 20
2022-08-04 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-253.2 1306 1086 63.41% 20.18% 16.40%+0.89 -14.9 37
2022-08-06 JaPS L 3-452.9 1119 1181 32.70% 22.00% 45.30%-0.03 -7.9 22
2022-08-06 @ SJK Akatemia W 4-352.9 1181 1119 45.30% 22.00% 32.70%+0.03 +7.9 28
2022-08-06 KTP L 1-436.8 1106 1268 21.25% 21.08% 57.67%-0.58 -14.5 13
2022-08-06 @ Pargas W 4-136.8 1268 1106 57.67% 21.08% 21.25%+0.58 +14.4 34
2022-08-07 Ekenas D 2-258.9 1096 1172 30.95% 21.93% 47.12%-0.10 +0.7 17
2022-08-07 @ MP Mikkeli D 2-258.9 1172 1096 47.12% 21.93% 30.95%+0.10 -0.7 25
2022-08-07 KPV W 3-031.8 1232 1122 55.47% 21.33% 23.20%+0.91 +18.5 28
2022-08-07 @ Jaro L 0-331.8 1122 1232 23.20% 21.33% 55.47%-0.91 -18.5 26
2022-08-12 Jaro D 2-259.1 1194 1251 33.38% 22.02% 44.60%+0.00 +0.5 29
2022-08-12 @ Gnistan D 2-259.1 1251 1194 44.60% 22.02% 33.38%+0.00 -0.5 29
2022-08-12 MP Mikkeli W 1-033.2 1291 1097 64.16% 20.04% 15.80%+1.38 +4.8 40
2022-08-12 @ TPS Turku L 0-133.2 1097 1291 15.80% 20.04% 64.16%-1.38 -4.8 17
2022-08-12 PEPO L 0-144.9 1189 1095 53.64% 21.51% 24.86%+0.83 -13.6 28
2022-08-12 @ JaPS W 1-044.9 1095 1189 24.86% 21.51% 53.64%-0.83 +13.6 18
2022-08-12 SJK Akatemia W 1-033.9 1283 1111 61.98% 20.44% 17.57%+1.25 +5.2 37
2022-08-12 @ KTP L 0-133.9 1111 1283 17.57% 20.44% 61.98%-1.25 -5.3 22
2022-08-13 Pargas W 4-032.4 1171 1091 51.90% 21.65% 26.45%+0.75 +27.1 28
2022-08-13 @ Ekenas L 0-432.4 1091 1171 26.45% 21.65% 51.90%-0.75 -27.1 13
2022-08-13 PK-35 Vantaa D 1-152.7 1104 1101 41.69% 22.08% 36.22%+0.33 -0.3 27
2022-08-13 @ KPV D 1-152.7 1101 1104 36.22% 22.08% 41.69%-0.33 +0.3 21
2022-08-16 KTP W 3-043.0 1092 1288 18.27% 20.58% 61.14%-0.76 +42.0 20
2022-08-16 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-343.0 1288 1092 61.14% 20.58% 18.27%+0.76 -41.9 37
2022-08-18 Ekenas D 2-259.4 1296 1198 54.11% 21.47% 24.43%+0.85 -1.3 41
2022-08-18 @ TPS Turku D 2-259.4 1198 1296 24.43% 21.47% 54.11%-0.85 +1.3 29
2022-08-20 Gnistan D 2-259.0 1102 1194 28.82% 21.82% 49.37%-0.19 +0.9 22
2022-08-20 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 2-259.0 1194 1102 49.37% 21.82% 28.82%+0.19 -0.9 30
2022-08-20 JaPS W 3-140.8 1250 1176 51.29% 21.69% 27.02%+0.72 +12.6 32
2022-08-20 @ Jaro L 1-340.8 1176 1250 27.02% 21.69% 51.29%-0.72 -12.6 28
2022-08-20 KTP L 0-233.5 1109 1246 23.79% 21.40% 54.81%-0.44 -13.0 18
2022-08-20 @ PEPO W 2-033.5 1246 1109 54.81% 21.40% 23.79%+0.44 +13.0 40
2022-08-21 KPV D 1-152.7 1134 1104 45.51% 21.99% 32.49%+0.48 -0.7 21
2022-08-21 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-152.7 1104 1134 32.49% 21.99% 45.51%-0.48 +0.7 28
2022-08-23 Pargas W 4-033.8 1106 1064 47.11% 21.93% 30.96%+0.54 +30.9 25
2022-08-23 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-433.8 1064 1106 30.96% 21.93% 47.11%-0.54 -30.9 13
2022-08-25 TPS Turku D 1-153.3 1104 1295 18.77% 20.68% 60.55%-0.73 +2.5 29
2022-08-25 @ KPV D 1-153.3 1295 1104 60.55% 20.68% 18.77%+0.73 -2.5 42
2022-08-26 Jaro W 2-146.2 1259 1263 40.80% 22.09% 37.11%+0.29 +9.4 43
2022-08-26 @ KTP L 1-246.2 1263 1259 37.11% 22.09% 40.80%-0.29 -9.4 32
2022-08-26 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-033.5 1163 1103 49.50% 21.81% 28.69%+0.64 +22.2 31
2022-08-26 @ JaPS L 0-333.5 1103 1163 28.69% 21.81% 49.50%-0.64 -22.2 22
2022-08-27 Ekenas L 0-334.8 1137 1199 32.68% 22.00% 45.32%-0.03 -24.7 25
2022-08-27 @ SJK Akatemia W 3-034.8 1199 1137 45.32% 22.00% 32.68%+0.03 +24.7 32
2022-08-27 PEPO L 0-236.2 1033 1096 32.62% 22.00% 45.38%-0.03 -17.0 13
2022-08-27 @ Pargas W 2-036.2 1096 1033 45.38% 22.00% 32.62%+0.03 +17.0 21
2022-08-28 MP Mikkeli L 0-241.3 1194 1133 49.49% 21.81% 28.70%+0.64 -23.9 30
2022-08-28 @ Gnistan W 2-041.3 1133 1194 28.70% 21.81% 49.49%-0.64 +23.9 24
2022-09-03 Gnistan W 5-031.6 1292 1170 56.90% 21.17% 21.92%+0.98 +28.4 45
2022-09-03 @ TPS Turku L 0-531.6 1170 1292 21.92% 21.17% 56.90%-0.98 -28.4 30
2022-09-03 JaPS W 2-038.7 1157 1185 37.30% 22.10% 40.61%+0.16 +20.2 27
2022-09-03 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-238.7 1185 1157 40.61% 22.10% 37.30%-0.16 -20.2 31
2022-09-03 KPV L 0-341.7 1224 1107 56.30% 21.24% 22.46%+0.95 -38.9 32
2022-09-03 @ Ekenas W 3-041.7 1107 1224 22.46% 21.24% 56.30%-0.95 +38.9 32
2022-09-03 KTP L 0-134.3 1080 1269 18.94% 20.71% 60.35%-0.72 -5.6 22
2022-09-03 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 1-034.3 1269 1080 60.35% 20.71% 18.94%+0.72 +5.6 46
2022-09-03 Pargas W 4-027.7 1254 1016 67.86% 19.20% 12.95%+1.61 +14.0 35
2022-09-03 @ Jaro L 0-427.7 1016 1254 12.95% 19.20% 67.86%-1.61 -14.0 13
2022-09-03 SJK Akatemia W 1-039.9 1113 1112 41.38% 22.09% 36.53%+0.31 +9.9 24
2022-09-03 @ PEPO L 0-139.9 1112 1113 36.53% 22.09% 41.38%-0.31 -9.9 25

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-09-10 Pargas W 2-140.3 1141 1002 58.71% 20.94% 20.35%+1.07 +5.7 3
2022-09-10 @ Gnistan L 1-240.3 1002 1141 20.35% 20.94% 58.71%-1.07 -5.7 0
2022-09-10 PEPO W 3-036.8 1102 1123 38.45% 22.10% 39.45%+0.20 +28.7 3
2022-09-10 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-336.8 1123 1102 39.45% 22.10% 38.45%-0.20 -28.7 0
2022-09-10 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-035.9 1177 1075 54.64% 21.41% 23.94%+0.87 +7.0 3
2022-09-10 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-135.9 1075 1177 23.94% 21.41% 54.64%-0.87 -7.0 0
2022-09-16 PK-35 Vantaa W 4-246.8 1094 1068 44.96% 22.01% 33.02%+0.46 +13.3 3
2022-09-16 @ PEPO L 2-446.8 1068 1094 33.02% 22.01% 44.96%-0.46 -13.3 0
2022-09-18 Gnistan D 2-258.9 1131 1147 39.08% 22.10% 38.82%+0.23 -0.0 4
2022-09-18 @ SJK Akatemia D 2-258.9 1147 1131 38.82% 22.10% 39.08%-0.23 +0.0 4
2022-09-18 MP Mikkeli L 3-448.4 996 1184 18.99% 20.72% 60.29%-0.71 -4.9 0
2022-09-18 @ Pargas W 4-348.4 1184 996 60.29% 20.72% 18.99%+0.71 +4.9 6
2022-09-24 PEPO W 4-246.3 1147 1107 46.80% 21.95% 31.26%+0.53 +12.7 7
2022-09-24 @ Gnistan L 2-446.3 1107 1147 31.26% 21.95% 46.80%-0.53 -12.7 3
2022-09-24 SJK Akatemia L 1-249.3 1189 1131 49.17% 21.83% 29.00%+0.63 -11.9 6
2022-09-24 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-149.3 1131 1189 29.00% 21.83% 49.17%-0.63 +11.9 7
2022-09-25 Pargas W 1-037.3 1054 992 49.80% 21.79% 28.41%+0.66 +8.0 3
2022-09-25 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-137.3 992 1054 28.41% 21.79% 49.80%-0.66 -8.0 0
2022-10-01 Gnistan W 1-043.8 1062 1160 28.27% 21.78% 49.94%-0.22 +12.8 6
2022-10-01 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-143.8 1160 1062 49.94% 21.78% 28.27%+0.22 -12.8 7
2022-10-01 SJK Akatemia L 1-240.7 984 1143 21.56% 21.12% 57.32%-0.56 -6.0 0
2022-10-01 @ Pargas W 2-140.7 1143 984 57.32% 21.12% 21.56%+0.56 +6.0 10
2022-10-02 PEPO W 6-238.4 1177 1094 52.29% 21.62% 26.09%+0.77 +19.0 9
2022-10-02 @ MP Mikkeli L 2-638.4 1094 1177 26.09% 21.62% 52.29%-0.77 -19.0 3
2022-10-08 MP Mikkeli W 2-147.7 1147 1196 34.40% 22.05% 43.55%+0.04 +10.7 10
2022-10-08 @ Gnistan L 1-247.7 1196 1147 43.55% 22.05% 34.40%-0.04 -10.7 9
2022-10-08 Pargas L 1-348.6 1076 978 54.11% 21.47% 24.43%+0.85 -22.4 3
2022-10-08 @ PEPO W 3-148.6 978 1076 24.43% 21.47% 54.11%-0.85 +22.4 3
2022-10-08 PK-35 Vantaa L 3-458.3 1149 1075 51.18% 21.70% 27.11%+0.72 -11.4 10
2022-10-08 @ SJK Akatemia W 4-358.3 1075 1149 27.11% 21.70% 51.18%-0.72 +11.4 9

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2022-10-12 Ekenas W 2-1 1267 1185 52.23% 21.62% 26.14%+0.76 +7.1 1-0
2022-10-12 @ Jaro L 1-2 1185 1267 26.14% 21.62% 52.23%-0.76 -7.1 0-1
2022-10-17 Jaro W 4-0 1321 1275 47.62% 21.91% 30.47%+0.56 +30.5 1-0
2022-10-17 @ TPS Turku L 0-4 1275 1321 30.47% 21.91% 47.62%-0.56 -30.5 1-1
2022-10-20 Lahti D 1-1 1351 1194 60.61% 20.67% 18.72%+1.17 -2.5 1-0-1
2022-10-20 @ TPS Turku D 1-1 1194 1351 18.72% 20.67% 60.61%-1.17 +2.5 0-0-1
2022-10-23 TPS Turku W 2-1 1196 1349 22.24% 21.21% 56.55%-0.52 +13.4 1-0-1
2022-10-23 @ Lahti L 1-2 1349 1196 56.55% 21.21% 22.24%+0.52 -13.4 1-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-08-04 16.40% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1086 2 TPS Turku 1306 1
2 2022-08-16 18.27% @ MP Mikkeli 1092 3 KTP 1288 0
3 2022-04-18 20.69% SJK Akatemia 1090 2 @ Pargas 1226 0
4 2022-07-30 22.46% @ Ekenas 1145 2 KTP 1295 0
5 2022-09-03 22.46% KPV 1107 3 @ Ekenas 1224 0
6 2022-10-08 24.43% Pargas 978 3 @ PEPO 1076 1
7 2022-04-30 24.71% MP Mikkeli 1102 3 @ Pargas 1197 2
8 2022-07-01 24.82% KPV 1094 2 @ Gnistan 1189 1
9 2022-08-12 24.86% PEPO 1095 1 @ JaPS 1189 0
10 2022-05-14 25.91% KPV 1125 2 @ Pargas 1209 1
11 2022-07-23 26.50% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1054 3 Ekenas 1166 1
12 2022-05-21 26.76% @ MP Mikkeli 1114 3 Jaro 1224 0
13 2022-07-17 26.90% @ Gnistan 1188 2 KTP 1297 1
14 2022-10-08 27.11% PK-35 Vantaa 1075 4 @ SJK Akatemia 1149 3
15 2022-07-16 28.22% JaPS 1137 3 @ Ekenas 1201 0
16 2022-10-01 28.27% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1062 1 Gnistan 1160 0
17 2022-08-28 28.70% MP Mikkeli 1133 2 @ Gnistan 1194 0
18 2022-05-09 28.76% Pargas 1185 2 @ TPS Turku 1245 0
19 2022-09-24 29.00% SJK Akatemia 1131 2 @ MP Mikkeli 1189 1
20 2022-07-23 29.61% @ Pargas 1114 1 Gnistan 1200 0
21 2022-04-23 29.95% Gnistan 1113 2 @ KPV 1164 0
22 2022-07-06 30.16% Gnistan 1176 2 @ Ekenas 1224 0
23 2022-04-18 30.49% @ KTP 1146 1 PEPO 1226 0
24 2022-05-29 30.54% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1071 2 MP Mikkeli 1150 0
25 2022-07-06 30.54% @ PK-35 Vantaa 1056 2 SJK Akatemia 1134 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-08 73.61 @ Gnistan 10 1137 33.12% JaPS 1 1196 44.87% 22.01%
2 2022-06-18 45.76 @ Ekenas 5 1181 38.99% SJK Akatemia 0 1197 38.90% 22.10%
3 2022-06-05 43.86 @ Gnistan 5 1178 41.05% PEPO 0 1180 36.86% 22.09%
4 2022-05-29 42.17 @ SJK Akatemia 4 1156 32.46% Gnistan 0 1220 45.54% 21.99%
5 2022-08-16 41.96 @ MP Mikkeli 3 1092 18.27% KTP 0 1288 61.14% 20.58%
6 2022-06-15 41.35 @ KTP 4 1183 33.49% Gnistan 0 1239 44.49% 22.03%
7 2022-09-03 38.88 KPV 3 1107 22.46% @ Ekenas 0 1224 56.30% 21.24%
8 2022-05-21 35.93 @ MP Mikkeli 3 1114 26.76% Jaro 0 1224 51.57% 21.67%
9 2022-07-16 34.96 JaPS 3 1137 28.22% @ Ekenas 0 1201 50.00% 21.78%
10 2022-04-29 31.84 Jaro 3 1177 33.18% @ PEPO 0 1202 44.80% 22.02%
11 2022-08-23 30.93 @ SJK Akatemia 4 1106 47.11% Pargas 0 1064 30.96% 21.93%
12 2022-05-21 30.76 SJK Akatemia 3 1125 34.96% @ KPV 0 1137 42.98% 22.06%
13 2022-09-10 28.73 @ SJK Akatemia 3 1102 38.45% PEPO 0 1123 39.45% 22.10%
14 2022-09-03 28.37 @ TPS Turku 5 1292 56.90% Gnistan 0 1170 21.92% 21.17%
15 2022-06-22 27.91 MP Mikkeli 4 1130 31.14% @ JaPS 1 1171 46.92% 21.94%
16 2022-04-18 27.65 SJK Akatemia 2 1090 20.69% @ Pargas 0 1226 58.31% 21.00%
17 2022-04-23 27.54 @ TPS Turku 3 1219 40.53% JaPS 0 1224 37.37% 22.10%
18 2022-08-13 27.11 @ Ekenas 4 1171 51.90% Pargas 0 1091 26.45% 21.65%
19 2022-06-18 27.02 @ TPS Turku 5 1254 58.23% KPV 0 1120 20.76% 21.01%
20 2022-07-30 26.77 @ Ekenas 2 1145 22.46% KTP 0 1295 56.30% 21.24%
21 2022-05-15 25.62 @ Jaro 4 1199 53.74% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1104 24.76% 21.50%
22 2022-07-16 25.40 Jaro 4 1210 54.02% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1079 24.51% 21.47%
23 2022-08-27 24.74 Ekenas 3 1199 45.32% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1137 32.68% 22.00%
24 2022-08-28 23.86 MP Mikkeli 2 1133 28.70% @ Gnistan 0 1194 49.49% 21.81%
25 2022-05-09 23.84 Pargas 2 1185 28.76% @ TPS Turku 0 1245 49.43% 21.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-10 63.4 @ Jaro 3 1210 42.59% Ekenas 3 1201 35.34% 22.07%
2 2022-07-10 63.2 @ PEPO 3 1110 45.61% PK-35 Vantaa 3 1079 32.40% 21.99%
3 2022-08-18 59.4 @ TPS Turku 2 1296 54.11% Ekenas 2 1198 24.43% 21.47%
4 2022-08-12 59.1 @ Gnistan 2 1194 33.38% Jaro 2 1251 44.60% 22.02%
5 2022-06-18 59.0 @ Jaro 2 1150 31.08% KTP 2 1224 46.98% 21.94%
6 2022-07-02 59.0 @ PEPO 2 1131 28.71% Ekenas 2 1225 49.48% 21.81%
7 2022-08-20 59.0 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1102 28.82% Gnistan 2 1194 49.37% 21.82%
8 2022-04-25 58.9 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1136 32.71% Pargas 2 1198 45.29% 22.00%
9 2022-06-05 58.9 @ Ekenas 2 1172 47.55% MP Mikkeli 2 1127 30.53% 21.91%
10 2022-06-18 58.9 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1084 29.41% JaPS 2 1172 48.74% 21.85%
11 2022-06-23 58.9 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1152 44.21% PEPO 2 1131 33.76% 22.03%
12 2022-08-07 58.9 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1096 30.95% Ekenas 2 1172 47.12% 21.93%
13 2022-09-18 58.9 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1131 39.08% Gnistan 2 1147 38.82% 22.10%
14 2022-10-08 58.3 PK-35 Vantaa 4 1075 27.11% @ SJK Akatemia 3 1149 51.18% 21.70%
15 2022-04-30 56.2 MP Mikkeli 3 1102 24.71% @ Pargas 2 1197 53.79% 21.49%
16 2022-07-23 53.3 @ PEPO 1 1100 18.41% TPS Turku 1 1295 60.98% 20.61%
17 2022-08-25 53.3 @ KPV 1 1104 18.77% TPS Turku 1 1295 60.55% 20.68%
18 2022-07-06 53.2 Pargas 3 1126 34.57% @ MP Mikkeli 2 1141 43.38% 22.05%
19 2022-08-04 53.2 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1086 16.40% TPS Turku 1 1306 63.41% 20.18%
20 2022-06-10 53.0 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1128 24.76% TPS Turku 1 1256 53.74% 21.50%
21 2022-07-20 53.0 @ Jaro 1 1235 56.50% SJK Akatemia 1 1116 22.28% 21.22%
22 2022-06-22 52.9 @ KPV 1 1092 24.11% Ekenas 1 1227 54.46% 21.43%
23 2022-08-06 52.9 JaPS 4 1181 45.30% @ SJK Akatemia 3 1119 32.70% 22.00%
24 2022-05-30 52.8 @ KTP 1 1166 40.46% Ekenas 1 1172 37.44% 22.10%
25 2022-05-30 52.8 @ PEPO 1 1181 51.29% KPV 1 1106 27.02% 21.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-09-03 27.7 @ Jaro 4 1254 67.86% Pargas 0 1016 12.95% 19.20%
2 2022-07-11 30.1 @ KTP 3 1282 61.25% KPV 0 1118 18.19% 20.57%
3 2022-06-22 30.4 @ KTP 4 1224 58.72% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1085 20.34% 20.94%
4 2022-06-18 31.0 @ TPS Turku 5 1254 58.23% KPV 0 1120 20.76% 21.01%
5 2022-09-03 31.6 @ TPS Turku 5 1292 56.90% Gnistan 0 1170 21.92% 21.17%
6 2022-07-16 31.8 Jaro 4 1210 54.02% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1079 24.51% 21.47%
7 2022-08-07 31.8 @ Jaro 3 1232 55.47% KPV 0 1122 23.20% 21.33%
8 2022-05-15 31.9 @ Jaro 4 1199 53.74% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1104 24.76% 21.50%
9 2022-06-06 31.9 @ TPS Turku 2 1245 59.92% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1094 19.30% 20.77%
10 2022-08-13 32.4 @ Ekenas 4 1171 51.90% Pargas 0 1091 26.45% 21.65%
11 2022-08-12 33.2 @ TPS Turku 1 1291 64.16% MP Mikkeli 0 1097 15.80% 20.04%
12 2022-07-10 33.5 TPS Turku 2 1277 55.16% @ Pargas 0 1136 23.47% 21.36%
13 2022-07-23 33.5 @ Jaro 2 1233 54.71% MP Mikkeli 0 1130 23.88% 21.41%
14 2022-08-20 33.5 KTP 2 1246 54.81% @ PEPO 0 1109 23.79% 21.40%
15 2022-08-26 33.5 @ JaPS 3 1163 49.50% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1103 28.69% 21.81%
16 2022-07-06 33.7 @ Jaro 3 1187 48.79% PEPO 0 1132 29.36% 21.85%
17 2022-08-23 33.8 @ SJK Akatemia 4 1106 47.11% Pargas 0 1064 30.96% 21.93%
18 2022-08-12 33.9 @ KTP 1 1283 61.98% SJK Akatemia 0 1111 17.57% 20.44%
19 2022-09-03 34.3 KTP 1 1269 60.35% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1080 18.94% 20.71%
20 2022-08-27 34.8 Ekenas 3 1199 45.32% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1137 32.68% 22.00%
21 2022-05-15 35.6 TPS Turku 2 1221 47.69% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1141 30.40% 21.91%
22 2022-07-01 35.8 TPS Turku 1 1290 55.88% @ JaPS 0 1143 22.83% 21.29%
23 2022-09-10 35.9 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1177 54.64% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1075 23.94% 21.41%
24 2022-06-05 36.2 @ Gnistan 5 1178 41.05% PEPO 0 1180 36.86% 22.09%
25 2022-08-27 36.2 PEPO 2 1096 45.38% @ Pargas 0 1033 32.62% 22.00%