Home / Leagues / Finland / Ykkönen / 2023
‹ ›

2023 Ykkönen Season

162 games · 3 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Gnistan

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ekenas

23.72 points above expected

61 points · 37.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

JJK

2.48 points below expected

16 points · 18.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ekenas 22 14 6 2 48 38 18 +20 37.28 +10.72
2 Gnistan 22 14 6 2 48 38 18 +20 38.89 +9.11
3 MP Mikkeli 22 12 5 5 41 33 21 +12 35.39 +5.61
4 TPS Turku 22 12 4 6 40 40 25 +15 36.59 +3.41
5 SJK Akatemia 22 12 3 7 39 37 35 +2 67.15 -28.15
6 Helsingfors 22 8 6 8 30 27 29 -2 28.21 +1.79
7 SalPa 22 7 5 10 26 30 27 +3 31.15 -5.15
8 JaPS 22 5 6 11 21 26 37 -11 24.42 -3.42
9 Jaro 22 4 9 9 21 22 35 -13 25.23 -4.23
10 KaPa 22 5 5 12 20 37 47 -10 25.65 -5.65
11 KPV 22 2 9 11 15 20 34 -14 21.75 -6.75
12 JJK 22 2 6 14 12 20 42 -22 18.48 -6.48
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ekenas 27 18 7 2 61 49 22 +27 — —
2 Gnistan 27 16 9 2 57 49 26 +23 — —
3 MP Mikkeli 27 13 7 7 46 40 30 +10 — —
4 SJK Akatemia 27 13 5 9 44 46 45 +1 — —
5 TPS Turku 27 12 5 10 41 45 37 +8 — —
6 Helsingfors 27 10 7 10 37 37 39 -2 — —
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 SalPa 27 8 7 12 31 37 35 +2 — —
2 JaPS 27 8 7 12 31 35 41 -6 — —
3 Jaro 27 7 10 10 31 33 42 -9 — —
4 KaPa 27 7 6 14 27 44 53 -9 — —
5 KPV 27 4 9 14 21 27 45 -18 — —
6 JJK 27 3 7 17 16 25 52 -27 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ekenas 61 37.28 +23.72
2 Gnistan 57 38.89 +18.11
3 MP Mikkeli 46 35.39 +10.61
4 Helsingfors 37 28.21 +8.79
5 JaPS 31 24.42 +6.58

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 JJK 16 18.48 -2.48
2 KPV 21 21.75 -0.75
3 SalPa 31 31.15 -0.15
4 KaPa 27 25.65 +1.35
5 TPS Turku 41 36.59 +4.41

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekenas 12 Jul 15 – Oct 2 1 in 1,866
2 TPS Turku 6 Jun 28 – Jul 31 1 in 119
3 MP Mikkeli 4 Apr 21 – May 13 1 in 27
4 Gnistan 5 Jun 11 – Jul 8 1 in 23
5 JaPS 2 Oct 1 – Oct 7 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SalPa 6 May 20 – Jun 17 1 in 516
2 JJK 9 Jul 4 – Aug 29 1 in 118
3 KPV 6 Apr 29 – Jun 4 1 in 95
4 Helsingfors 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 50
5 TPS Turku 3 Sep 27 – Oct 7 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingfors 9 Apr 29 – Jun 17 1 in 276
2 MP Mikkeli 13 Apr 21 – Jul 9 1 in 73
3 Gnistan 13 Apr 14 – Jul 8 1 in 46
4 TPS Turku 10 May 27 – Jul 31 1 in 38
5 Ekenas 15 Jul 2 – Oct 7 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekenas 6 Jun 7 – Jul 9 1 in 85
2 SalPa 9 May 20 – Jul 8 1 in 45
3 KPV 8 Apr 15 – Jun 4 1 in 20
4 Gnistan 4 Jul 15 – Jul 30 1 in 17
5 JJK 13 Jun 22 – Sep 16 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ekenas 1483 61 +51 13 10.4 +2.6
Gnistan 1387 57 +32 9 8.7 +0.3
MP Mikkeli 1231 46 -19 5 6.0 -1.0
SJK Akatemia 1264 44 +27 5 5.5 -0.5
TPS Turku 1213 41 -113 1 6.6 -5.6
Helsingfors 1178 37 +50 7 4.0 +3.0
Jaro 1139 31 +25 10 8.2 +1.8
JaPS 1142 31 +80 10 6.2 +3.8
SalPa 1215 31 -54 5 9.8 -4.8
KaPa 1168 27 +14 7 6.9 +0.1
KPV 1045 21 -40 6 6.2 -0.2
JJK 918 16 -26 4 3.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team EKE GNI HEL JJK JAP JAR KPV KAP MM SA SAL TT
Ekenas —
1-2-0
3.90
2-1-0
6.21
2-0-0
4.62
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
4.44
2-0-0
4.11
2-1-0
5.10
3-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-1
4.65
Gnistan
0-2-1
4.32
—
2-1-0
5.57
2-0-0
4.26
1-1-0
4.12
0-2-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.42
0-3-0
4.95
3-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-1
4.79
Helsingfors
0-1-2
2.07
0-1-2
2.68
—
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
3.76
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-2
3.17
0-1-2
2.80
0-2-0
2.36
2-0-1
2.22
JJK
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
1.94
—
1-1-1
2.97
1-1-1
2.50
0-2-1
3.23
0-0-3
3.02
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
1.19
0-1-2
2.49
0-1-1
1.32
JaPS
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.23
1-1-1
5.25
—
1-2-0
3.60
2-0-1
4.74
1-1-1
3.65
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.47
1-1-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.84
Jaro
0-1-1
2.18
0-2-0
1.22
1-1-0
1.72
1-1-1
5.74
0-2-1
4.61
—
2-1-0
4.46
1-1-1
4.39
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
1.93
KPV
0-1-1
1.09
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
2.44
1-2-0
4.99
1-0-2
3.48
0-1-2
3.75
—
1-2-0
3.66
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
1.31
1-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
1.72
KaPa
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.39
3-0-0
5.20
1-1-1
4.55
1-1-1
3.83
0-2-1
4.55
—
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.58
0-1-2
3.24
1-0-1
1.68
MP Mikkeli
0-1-2
3.14
0-3-0
3.27
2-0-1
5.05
2-0-0
4.49
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.18
—
1-1-1
4.23
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-1
4.41
SJK Akatemia
0-0-3
3.94
0-0-3
3.68
2-1-0
5.43
1-0-1
4.34
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.92
1-1-1
3.98
—
2-0-0
3.40
1-1-1
4.00
SalPa
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.80
0-2-0
3.13
2-1-0
5.78
1-1-1
5.02
1-0-2
5.02
1-1-1
5.78
2-1-0
4.97
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.09
—
1-0-1
2.17
TPS Turku
1-0-2
3.57
1-0-2
3.42
1-0-2
6.02
1-1-0
4.22
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-1
3.80
1-1-1
4.23
1-0-1
3.32
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +14.5
Allowed 0.74 -12.2
Differential 0.94 +8.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%6.48%8.64%2.47%1.54%—26.54%
16.48%9.26%7.10%3.70%1.54%0.31%28.40%
28.64%7.10%7.41%3.09%0.62%0.62%27.47%
32.47%3.70%3.09%1.23%0.31%0.31%11.11%
41.54%1.54%0.62%0.31%1.23%—5.25%
5+—0.31%0.62%0.31%——1.23%
Total26.54%28.40%27.47%11.11%5.25%1.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%————14.81%
111.11%3.70%—3.70%——18.52%
214.81%18.52%7.41%———40.74%
37.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total48.15%29.63%14.81%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.81 +1.00
SD 1.08 0.96 1.27
CV 0.59 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%—3.70%——18.52%
17.41%11.11%————18.52%
218.52%11.11%7.41%———37.04%
3—3.70%11.11%3.70%——18.52%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total40.74%29.63%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.96 +0.85
SD 1.27 0.98 1.35
CV 0.70 1.02 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%—18.52%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
17.41%7.41%7.41%———22.22%
211.11%—11.11%3.70%——25.93%
3—3.70%7.41%———11.11%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total29.63%11.11%48.15%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.44 -0.07
SD 1.28 1.12 1.84
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%7.41%3.70%—44.44%
13.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%3.70%—25.93%
23.70%—11.11%3.70%3.70%—22.22%
3—3.70%——3.70%—7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.52%18.52%29.63%18.52%14.81%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.93 -1.00
SD 1.00 1.33 1.47
CV 1.08 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%——25.93%
13.70%7.41%14.81%11.11%——37.04%
27.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
3———————
4————3.70%—3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total22.22%29.63%25.93%18.52%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.52 -0.22
SD 1.20 1.16 1.55
CV 0.93 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%—33.33%
17.41%22.22%—3.70%3.70%—37.04%
2——7.41%———7.41%
33.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total14.81%44.44%18.52%14.81%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.56 -0.33
SD 1.22 1.15 1.80
CV 1.00 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—33.33%
13.70%14.81%11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%40.74%
23.70%—7.41%3.70%3.70%—18.52%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%29.63%25.93%7.41%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.67 -0.67
SD 0.92 1.41 1.64
CV 0.92 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%14.81%———22.22%
13.70%14.81%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
27.41%3.70%—11.11%—3.70%25.93%
3—3.70%———3.70%7.41%
43.70%3.70%——7.41%—14.81%
5+———————
Total14.81%33.33%22.22%11.11%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.96 -0.33
SD 1.33 1.58 1.84
CV 0.82 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%14.81%———29.63%
111.11%11.11%3.70%———25.93%
211.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total33.33%29.63%29.63%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.11 +0.37
SD 1.48 0.97 1.50
CV 1.00 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%—3.70%—18.52%
111.11%3.70%3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
211.11%11.11%11.11%3.70%—3.70%40.74%
3—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
4————3.70%—3.70%
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total22.22%29.63%25.93%7.41%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.67 +0.04
SD 1.23 1.41 1.72
CV 0.72 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%————18.52%
13.70%7.41%22.22%7.41%——40.74%
27.41%3.70%11.11%3.70%——25.93%
311.11%—3.70%———14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.63%22.22%37.04%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.30 +0.07
SD 0.97 1.03 1.47
CV 0.71 0.80 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%14.81%3.70%——25.93%
13.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
27.41%11.11%7.41%———25.93%
33.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
43.70%11.11%————14.81%
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%29.63%14.81%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.37 +0.30
SD 1.39 1.01 1.98
CV 0.83 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ekenas 1483 61 37.28 +23.72 99.0% 18 25 34 38 41 46 54
Gnistan 1330 57 38.89 +18.11 95.0% 24 28 35 39 43 48 54
SJK Akatemia 1279 44 67.15 -23.15 94.0% 47 54 60 67 73 82 97
SalPa 1215 31 31.15 -0.15 19.0% 19 24 28 31 35 40 45
TPS Turku 1213 41 36.59 +4.41 72.0% 21 26 33 36 41 47 49
MP Mikkeli 1185 46 35.39 +10.61 85.0% 21 26 31 35 39 45 49
Helsingfors 1178 37 28.21 +8.79 71.0% 13 20 24 28 31 38 41
KaPa 1168 27 25.65 +1.35 21.0% 14 18 21 24 30 35 39
JaPS 1142 31 24.42 +6.58 29.0% 9 14 20 24 29 34 36
Jaro 1139 31 25.23 +5.77 25.0% 12 14 21 26 30 34 40
KPV 1045 21 21.75 -0.75 13.0% 6 13 18 22 25 30 37
JJK 918 16 18.48 -2.48 10.0% 5 10 16 18 21 26 29

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.14%
Clear Edge
46.30%26.54%27.16%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 67.31 Elo pts.
278 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
0%
Ekenas, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.881.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.77 * Some Luck: 4.77 to 7.16 * Lucky: 7.16 to 9.55 * Wild Swing: 9.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.2 * Close: 1.2 to 1.8 * Off: 1.8 to 2.4 * Way Off: 2.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.06 points
Some Luck
05.9715
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.503
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Ekenas
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
JJK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 142.51
2.00
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.32
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.13
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.111
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

SJK Akatemia 4
MP Mikkeli 1

Semifinals

Gnistan 4
SJK Akatemia 2

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Ekenas—29.00%23.00%19.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Gnistan—32.00%28.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%———
MP Mikkeli—13.00%18.00%16.00%26.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
SJK Akatemia100.00%———————————
TPS Turku—18.00%21.00%22.00%13.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Helsingfors—1.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%
SalPa—6.00%2.00%10.00%18.00%16.00%23.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%—1.00%
JaPS———3.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%20.00%12.00%14.00%
Jaro—1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%15.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%
KaPa——3.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%12.00%5.00%
KPV——1.00%—1.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%19.00%24.00%22.00%19.00%
JJK———————9.00%2.00%10.00%34.00%45.00%
Team123456789101112
Ekenas————————————
Gnistan————————————
MP Mikkeli————————————
SJK Akatemia————————————
TPS Turku————————————
Helsingfors————————————
SalPa————————————
JaPS————————————
Jaro————————————
KaPa————————————
KPV————————————
JJK————————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round
Ekenas 100%
Gnistan 100%
Helsingfors 100%
JJK 100%
JaPS 100%
Jaro 100%
KPV 100%
KaPa 100%
MP Mikkeli 100%
SJK Akatemia 100%
SalPa 100%
TPS Turku 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-04-14 Gnistan L 0-236.8 1120 1167 35.34% 26.50% 38.16%+0.07 -35.7 0
2023-04-14 @ Helsingfors W 2-036.8 1167 1120 38.16% 26.50% 35.34%-0.07 +35.7 3
2023-04-14 Jaro W 1-041.9 1182 1225 35.99% 26.51% 37.50%+0.09 +19.8 3
2023-04-14 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-141.9 1225 1182 37.50% 26.51% 35.99%-0.09 -19.8 0
2023-04-15 TPS Turku W 2-149.7 1181 1286 27.76% 26.30% 45.93%-0.13 +21.9 3
2023-04-15 @ Ekenas L 1-249.7 1286 1181 45.93% 26.30% 27.76%+0.13 -21.9 0
2023-04-15 JJK D 0-048.8 1160 1062 53.83% 25.70% 20.46%+0.59 -4.2 1
2023-04-15 @ KPV D 0-048.8 1062 1160 20.46% 25.70% 53.83%-0.59 +4.2 1
2023-04-15 JaPS W 2-143.4 1221 1172 48.27% 26.17% 25.56%+0.42 +13.9 3
2023-04-15 @ SalPa L 1-243.4 1172 1221 25.56% 26.17% 48.27%-0.42 -13.9 0
2023-04-16 MP Mikkeli W 2-034.5 1221 1186 46.57% 26.27% 27.16%+0.37 +29.2 3
2023-04-16 @ KaPa L 0-234.5 1186 1221 27.16% 26.27% 46.57%-0.37 -29.2 0
2023-04-21 SalPa W 2-146.4 1209 1235 38.45% 26.50% 35.05%+0.15 +17.7 6
2023-04-21 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-246.4 1235 1209 35.05% 26.50% 38.45%-0.15 -17.7 3
2023-04-21 JJK W 2-030.9 1203 1067 57.84% 25.18% 16.98%+0.73 +19.7 6
2023-04-21 @ Gnistan L 0-230.9 1067 1203 16.98% 25.18% 57.84%-0.73 -19.8 1
2023-04-21 MP Mikkeli L 0-235.8 1085 1157 31.90% 26.45% 41.65%-0.02 -33.1 0
2023-04-21 @ Helsingfors W 2-035.8 1157 1085 41.65% 26.45% 31.90%+0.02 +33.0 3
2023-04-22 KaPa D 1-153.2 1205 1250 35.66% 26.51% 37.83%+0.08 +0.2 1
2023-04-22 @ Jaro D 1-153.2 1250 1205 37.83% 26.51% 35.66%-0.08 -0.2 4
2023-04-22 Ekenas W 1-041.9 1158 1203 35.73% 26.51% 37.76%+0.08 +19.9 3
2023-04-22 @ JaPS L 0-141.9 1203 1158 37.76% 26.51% 35.73%-0.08 -19.9 3
2023-04-22 TPS Turku D 0-048.8 1155 1264 27.31% 26.28% 46.41%-0.15 +2.3 2
2023-04-22 @ KPV D 0-048.8 1264 1155 46.41% 26.28% 27.31%+0.15 -2.3 1
2023-04-29 Jaro W 3-034.4 1183 1205 38.88% 26.50% 34.62%+0.16 +51.0 6
2023-04-29 @ Ekenas L 0-334.4 1205 1183 34.62% 26.50% 38.88%-0.16 -51.1 1
2023-04-29 KPV W 1-038.7 1190 1158 46.23% 26.29% 27.49%+0.36 +15.6 6
2023-04-29 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-138.7 1158 1190 27.49% 26.29% 46.23%-0.36 -15.6 2
2023-04-29 Helsingfors D 1-153.5 1217 1051 60.51% 24.72% 14.77%+0.84 -5.3 4
2023-04-29 @ SalPa D 1-153.5 1051 1217 14.77% 24.72% 60.51%-0.84 +5.3 1
2023-04-29 JaPS W 2-142.3 1262 1178 52.32% 25.86% 21.82%+0.54 +12.2 4
2023-04-29 @ TPS Turku L 1-242.3 1178 1262 21.82% 25.86% 52.32%-0.54 -12.2 3
2023-04-29 SJK Akatemia W 2-044.4 1047 1309 13.32% 24.35% 62.33%-0.70 +57.6 4
2023-04-29 @ JJK L 0-244.4 1309 1047 62.33% 24.35% 13.32%+0.70 -57.6 6
2023-04-29 Gnistan L 0-240.1 1250 1223 45.56% 26.32% 28.12%+0.34 -43.5 4
2023-04-29 @ KaPa W 2-040.1 1223 1250 28.12% 26.32% 45.56%-0.34 +43.5 9
2023-05-03 TPS Turku W 2-043.4 1057 1274 16.52% 25.09% 58.39%-0.54 +54.2 4
2023-05-03 @ Helsingfors L 0-243.4 1274 1057 58.39% 25.09% 16.52%+0.54 -54.2 4
2023-05-06 MP Mikkeli L 1-342.7 1166 1205 36.45% 26.51% 37.04%+0.10 -31.6 3
2023-05-06 @ JaPS W 3-142.7 1205 1166 37.04% 26.51% 36.45%-0.10 +31.6 9
2023-05-06 JJK W 3-029.5 1212 1105 54.92% 25.58% 19.50%+0.63 +32.3 7
2023-05-06 @ SalPa L 0-329.5 1105 1212 19.50% 25.58% 54.92%-0.63 -32.3 4
2023-05-06 KaPa W 5-344.6 1274 1206 50.52% 26.01% 23.47%+0.49 +19.0 9
2023-05-06 @ SJK Akatemia L 3-544.6 1206 1274 23.47% 26.01% 50.52%-0.49 -19.0 4
2023-05-07 TPS Turku D 3-362.4 1154 1220 32.85% 26.47% 40.68%+0.01 +0.5 2
2023-05-07 @ Jaro D 3-362.4 1220 1154 40.68% 26.47% 32.85%-0.01 -0.5 5
2023-05-07 Ekenas D 0-049.0 1266 1234 46.23% 26.29% 27.48%+0.36 -2.2 10
2023-05-07 @ Gnistan D 0-049.0 1234 1266 27.48% 26.29% 46.23%-0.36 +2.2 7
2023-05-08 KPV W 1-041.2 1111 1142 37.65% 26.51% 35.84%+0.13 +19.1 7
2023-05-08 @ Helsingfors L 0-141.2 1142 1111 35.84% 26.51% 37.65%-0.13 -19.1 2
2023-05-12 SalPa L 2-351.0 1187 1244 34.01% 26.49% 39.50%+0.04 -16.5 4
2023-05-12 @ KaPa W 3-251.0 1244 1187 39.50% 26.49% 34.01%-0.04 +16.5 10
2023-05-13 SJK Akatemia W 2-149.0 1236 1314 31.23% 26.44% 42.33%-0.04 +20.5 10
2023-05-13 @ Ekenas L 1-249.0 1314 1236 42.33% 26.44% 31.23%+0.04 -20.5 9
2023-05-13 Helsingfors D 0-048.6 1072 1130 33.85% 26.49% 39.66%+0.03 +0.7 5
2023-05-13 @ JJK D 0-048.6 1130 1072 39.66% 26.49% 33.85%-0.03 -0.7 8
2023-05-13 JaPS L 1-247.8 1123 1134 40.39% 26.48% 33.13%+0.20 -19.7 2
2023-05-13 @ KPV W 2-147.8 1134 1123 33.13% 26.48% 40.39%-0.20 +19.7 6
2023-05-13 Jaro W 1-037.0 1237 1155 52.21% 25.87% 21.92%+0.54 +13.0 12
2023-05-13 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-137.0 1155 1237 21.92% 25.87% 52.21%-0.54 -13.0 2
2023-05-13 Gnistan L 0-237.3 1219 1264 35.65% 26.51% 37.85%+0.08 -35.9 5
2023-05-13 @ TPS Turku W 2-037.3 1264 1219 37.85% 26.51% 35.65%-0.08 +35.9 13
2023-05-20 KaPa L 1-244.2 1073 1171 28.57% 26.34% 45.09%-0.11 -15.2 5
2023-05-20 @ JJK W 2-144.2 1171 1073 45.09% 26.34% 28.57%+0.11 +15.2 7
2023-05-20 Ekenas L 1-248.9 1261 1257 42.51% 26.43% 31.06%+0.26 -20.5 10
2023-05-20 @ SalPa W 2-148.9 1257 1261 31.06% 26.43% 42.51%-0.26 +20.5 13
2023-05-21 KPV W 1-038.4 1142 1103 47.04% 26.25% 26.71%+0.38 +15.3 5
2023-05-21 @ Jaro L 0-138.4 1103 1142 26.71% 26.25% 47.04%-0.38 -15.3 2
2023-05-21 MP Mikkeli D 1-153.7 1300 1250 48.43% 26.16% 25.41%+0.42 -2.5 14
2023-05-21 @ Gnistan D 1-153.7 1250 1300 25.41% 26.16% 48.43%-0.42 +2.5 13
2023-05-21 TPS Turku W 1-036.3 1293 1183 55.20% 25.55% 19.26%+0.64 +11.7 12
2023-05-21 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-136.3 1183 1293 19.26% 25.55% 55.20%-0.64 -11.7 5
2023-05-22 JaPS W 2-036.7 1129 1154 38.54% 26.50% 34.95%+0.15 +35.4 11
2023-05-22 @ Helsingfors L 0-236.7 1154 1129 34.95% 26.50% 38.54%-0.15 -35.4 6
2023-05-25 SJK Akatemia W 2-040.2 1253 1341 29.76% 26.39% 43.86%-0.08 +42.1 16
2023-05-25 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-240.2 1341 1253 43.86% 26.39% 29.76%+0.08 -42.1 12
2023-05-26 Helsingfors L 0-239.7 1186 1165 44.83% 26.35% 28.82%+0.32 -42.9 7
2023-05-26 @ KaPa W 2-039.7 1165 1186 28.82% 26.35% 44.83%-0.32 +42.9 14
2023-05-27 JJK W 3-026.5 1277 1058 64.90% 23.72% 11.38%+1.03 +19.8 16
2023-05-27 @ Ekenas L 0-326.5 1058 1277 11.38% 23.72% 64.90%-1.03 -19.8 5
2023-05-27 Jaro W 2-037.3 1119 1157 36.61% 26.51% 36.88%+0.10 +36.8 9
2023-05-27 @ JaPS L 0-237.3 1157 1119 36.88% 26.51% 36.61%-0.10 -36.8 5
2023-05-27 Gnistan L 1-240.5 1088 1298 17.10% 25.20% 57.69%-0.51 -9.9 2
2023-05-27 @ KPV W 2-140.5 1298 1088 57.69% 25.20% 17.10%+0.51 +9.9 17
2023-05-27 SalPa W 2-148.2 1171 1240 32.39% 26.46% 41.15%+0.00 +20.0 8
2023-05-27 @ TPS Turku L 1-248.2 1240 1171 41.15% 26.46% 32.39%+0.00 -20.0 10
2023-06-04 JaPS D 0-049.3 1308 1156 59.28% 24.95% 15.77%+0.79 -5.6 18
2023-06-04 @ Gnistan D 0-049.3 1156 1308 15.77% 24.95% 59.28%-0.79 +5.6 10
2023-06-04 Jaro D 1-153.2 1208 1120 52.78% 25.81% 21.40%+0.56 -3.5 15
2023-06-04 @ Helsingfors D 1-153.2 1120 1208 21.40% 25.81% 52.78%-0.56 +3.5 6
2023-06-04 Ekenas L 2-347.3 1143 1297 22.25% 25.90% 51.85%-0.31 -11.8 7
2023-06-04 @ KaPa W 3-247.3 1297 1143 51.85% 25.90% 22.25%+0.31 +11.8 19
2023-06-04 MP Mikkeli L 1-245.6 1220 1295 31.58% 26.44% 41.97%-0.03 -16.4 10
2023-06-04 @ SalPa W 2-145.6 1295 1220 41.97% 26.44% 31.58%+0.03 +16.4 19
2023-06-04 KPV W 2-028.2 1336 1078 67.62% 22.91% 9.47%+1.17 +11.4 15
2023-06-04 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-228.2 1078 1336 9.47% 22.91% 67.62%-1.17 -11.4 2
2023-06-07 Helsingfors D 0-049.3 1309 1204 54.64% 25.61% 19.74%+0.62 -4.4 20
2023-06-07 @ Ekenas D 0-049.3 1204 1309 19.74% 25.61% 54.64%-0.62 +4.3 16
2023-06-07 SJK Akatemia L 1-337.5 1161 1347 19.14% 25.53% 55.33%-0.43 -19.0 10
2023-06-07 @ JaPS W 3-137.5 1347 1161 55.33% 25.53% 19.14%+0.43 +19.0 18
2023-06-07 JJK W 4-344.9 1311 1038 68.64% 22.57% 8.79%+1.23 +4.9 22
2023-06-07 @ MP Mikkeli L 3-444.9 1038 1311 8.79% 22.57% 68.64%-1.23 -4.9 5
2023-06-08 SalPa W 1-045.3 1067 1204 24.02% 26.06% 49.92%-0.25 +24.9 5
2023-06-08 @ KPV L 0-145.3 1204 1067 49.92% 26.06% 24.02%+0.25 -24.9 10
2023-06-08 KaPa W 4-136.0 1191 1132 49.64% 26.08% 24.28%+0.46 +32.7 11
2023-06-08 @ TPS Turku L 1-436.0 1132 1191 24.28% 26.08% 49.64%-0.46 -32.7 7
2023-06-11 SalPa W 1-042.3 1124 1179 34.25% 26.49% 39.25%+0.04 +20.5 9
2023-06-11 @ Jaro L 0-142.3 1179 1124 39.25% 26.49% 34.25%-0.04 -20.5 10
2023-06-11 SJK Akatemia W 5-247.3 1302 1408 27.58% 26.29% 46.13%-0.14 +46.6 21
2023-06-11 @ Gnistan L 2-547.3 1408 1302 46.13% 26.29% 27.58%+0.14 -46.6 18
2023-06-11 JJK D 1-153.2 1142 1033 55.12% 25.56% 19.32%+0.64 -4.0 11
2023-06-11 @ JaPS D 1-153.2 1033 1142 19.32% 25.56% 55.12%-0.64 +4.0 6
2023-06-11 KaPa D 1-152.9 1092 1099 40.98% 26.47% 32.55%+0.22 -0.9 6
2023-06-11 @ KPV D 1-152.9 1099 1092 32.55% 26.47% 40.98%-0.22 +0.9 8
2023-06-11 Ekenas D 0-049.7 1316 1305 43.53% 26.40% 30.07%+0.28 -1.6 23
2023-06-11 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-049.7 1305 1316 30.07% 26.40% 43.53%-0.28 +1.6 21
2023-06-15 MP Mikkeli D 1-153.5 1224 1314 29.56% 26.38% 44.06%-0.08 +1.5 12
2023-06-15 @ TPS Turku D 1-153.5 1314 1224 44.06% 26.38% 29.56%+0.08 -1.5 24
2023-06-17 KPV D 2-259.4 1306 1091 64.58% 23.80% 11.61%+1.02 -4.7 22
2023-06-17 @ Ekenas D 2-259.4 1091 1306 11.61% 23.80% 64.58%-1.02 +4.7 7
2023-06-17 Jaro W 3-145.5 1037 1144 27.46% 26.29% 46.26%-0.14 +38.1 9
2023-06-17 @ JJK L 1-345.5 1144 1037 46.26% 26.29% 27.46%+0.14 -38.1 9
2023-06-17 JaPS W 3-142.7 1100 1138 36.58% 26.51% 36.91%+0.10 +31.9 11
2023-06-17 @ KaPa L 1-342.7 1138 1100 36.91% 26.51% 36.58%-0.10 -31.9 11
2023-06-17 Gnistan L 1-337.4 1158 1348 18.76% 25.47% 55.76%-0.44 -18.6 10
2023-06-17 @ SalPa W 3-137.4 1348 1158 55.76% 25.47% 18.76%+0.44 +18.7 24
2023-06-17 Helsingfors D 2-259.6 1362 1209 59.38% 24.93% 15.69%+0.79 -3.7 19
2023-06-17 @ SJK Akatemia D 2-259.6 1209 1362 15.69% 24.93% 59.38%-0.79 +3.7 17
2023-06-22 TPS Turku D 2-258.6 1075 1226 22.58% 25.93% 51.49%-0.30 +2.4 10
2023-06-22 @ JJK D 2-258.6 1226 1075 51.49% 25.93% 22.58%+0.30 -2.4 13
2023-06-28 SJK Akatemia L 0-135.7 1106 1304 18.12% 25.38% 56.51%-0.47 -11.1 9
2023-06-28 @ Jaro W 1-035.7 1304 1106 56.51% 25.38% 18.12%+0.47 +11.1 22
2023-06-28 Helsingfors W 4-028.6 1367 1212 59.55% 24.90% 15.55%+0.80 +34.6 27
2023-06-28 @ Gnistan L 0-428.6 1212 1367 15.55% 24.90% 59.55%-0.80 -34.6 17
2023-06-28 SalPa D 0-048.6 1106 1140 37.33% 26.51% 36.17%+0.12 -0.1 12
2023-06-28 @ JaPS D 0-048.6 1140 1106 36.17% 26.51% 37.33%-0.12 +0.1 11
2023-06-28 KPV D 0-048.6 1077 1095 39.53% 26.49% 33.98%+0.18 -0.6 11
2023-06-28 @ JJK D 0-048.6 1095 1077 33.98% 26.49% 39.53%-0.18 +0.6 8
2023-06-28 KaPa W 6-233.1 1313 1132 61.86% 24.45% 13.69%+0.90 +21.8 27
2023-06-28 @ MP Mikkeli L 2-633.1 1132 1313 13.69% 24.45% 61.86%-0.90 -21.8 11
2023-06-28 Ekenas W 3-144.9 1223 1301 31.13% 26.43% 42.44%-0.04 +35.5 16
2023-06-28 @ TPS Turku L 1-344.9 1301 1223 42.44% 26.43% 31.13%+0.04 -35.5 22
2023-07-01 MP Mikkeli L 2-439.7 1096 1335 14.88% 24.75% 60.37%-0.62 -13.6 8
2023-07-01 @ KPV W 4-239.7 1335 1096 60.37% 24.75% 14.88%+0.62 +13.6 30
2023-07-02 Ekenas D 1-153.3 1095 1266 20.55% 25.71% 53.74%-0.37 +3.7 10
2023-07-02 @ Jaro D 1-153.3 1266 1095 53.74% 25.71% 20.55%+0.37 -3.7 23
2023-07-02 KaPa W 1-032.0 1402 1110 69.84% 22.13% 8.03%+1.29 +5.1 30
2023-07-02 @ Gnistan L 0-132.0 1110 1402 8.03% 22.13% 69.84%-1.29 -5.1 11
2023-07-02 TPS Turku L 1-242.3 1106 1259 22.36% 25.91% 51.73%-0.31 -12.5 12
2023-07-02 @ JaPS W 2-142.3 1259 1106 51.73% 25.91% 22.36%+0.31 +12.5 19
2023-07-02 SalPa D 2-258.5 1178 1140 46.95% 26.25% 26.80%+0.38 -1.6 18
2023-07-02 @ Helsingfors D 2-258.5 1140 1178 26.80% 26.25% 46.95%-0.38 +1.6 12
2023-07-04 JJK W 3-133.9 1317 1077 66.40% 23.29% 10.31%+1.11 +10.7 25
2023-07-04 @ SJK Akatemia L 1-333.9 1077 1317 10.31% 23.29% 66.40%-1.11 -10.7 11
2023-07-06 KPV W 4-132.2 1271 1082 62.49% 24.31% 13.20%+0.92 +19.2 22
2023-07-06 @ TPS Turku L 1-432.2 1082 1271 13.20% 24.31% 62.49%-0.92 -19.2 8
2023-07-08 SJK Akatemia L 1-240.8 1141 1349 17.28% 25.23% 57.49%-0.50 -10.0 12
2023-07-08 @ SalPa W 2-140.8 1349 1141 57.49% 25.23% 17.28%+0.50 +10.0 28
2023-07-08 Gnistan L 2-342.5 1066 1407 9.10% 22.73% 68.17%-0.98 -5.2 11
2023-07-08 @ JJK W 3-242.5 1407 1066 68.17% 22.73% 9.10%+0.98 +5.2 33
2023-07-09 JaPS D 2-259.0 1262 1094 60.77% 24.67% 14.56%+0.85 -4.0 24
2023-07-09 @ Ekenas D 2-259.0 1094 1262 14.56% 24.67% 60.77%-0.85 +4.0 13
2023-07-09 Jaro L 2-353.4 1105 1099 42.79% 26.42% 30.78%+0.26 -19.6 11
2023-07-09 @ KaPa W 3-253.4 1099 1105 30.78% 26.42% 42.79%-0.26 +19.6 13
2023-07-09 Helsingfors W 2-139.9 1348 1176 61.08% 24.61% 14.31%+0.86 +8.5 33
2023-07-09 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-239.9 1176 1348 14.31% 24.61% 61.08%-0.86 -8.5 18
2023-07-14 JaPS L 0-245.7 1357 1098 67.70% 22.88% 9.41%+1.18 -62.2 33
2023-07-14 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-045.7 1098 1357 9.41% 22.88% 67.70%-1.18 +62.2 16
2023-07-14 Jaro W 4-027.5 1291 1118 61.09% 24.61% 14.30%+0.86 +32.1 25
2023-07-14 @ TPS Turku L 0-427.5 1118 1291 14.30% 24.61% 61.09%-0.86 -32.1 13
2023-07-15 Gnistan W 1-047.3 1258 1412 22.24% 25.90% 51.86%-0.31 +25.8 27
2023-07-15 @ Ekenas L 0-147.3 1412 1258 51.86% 25.90% 22.24%+0.31 -25.8 33
2023-07-15 SalPa L 0-140.1 1061 1131 32.16% 26.46% 41.39%-0.01 -17.6 11
2023-07-15 @ JJK W 1-040.1 1131 1061 41.39% 26.46% 32.16%+0.01 +17.6 15
2023-07-15 SJK Akatemia D 4-465.1 1085 1359 12.57% 24.12% 63.31%-0.74 +3.2 12
2023-07-15 @ KaPa D 4-465.1 1359 1085 63.31% 24.12% 12.57%+0.74 -3.2 29
2023-07-15 Helsingfors L 0-431.9 1063 1168 27.78% 26.30% 45.91%-0.13 -56.4 8
2023-07-15 @ KPV W 4-031.9 1168 1063 45.91% 26.30% 27.78%+0.13 +56.4 21
2023-07-19 Gnistan D 2-259.6 1086 1386 11.07% 23.60% 65.32%-0.84 +4.8 14
2023-07-19 @ Jaro D 2-259.6 1386 1086 65.32% 23.60% 11.07%+0.84 -4.8 34
2023-07-21 JJK W 4-239.1 1224 1043 61.80% 24.46% 13.74%+0.89 +12.6 24
2023-07-21 @ Helsingfors L 2-439.1 1043 1224 13.74% 24.46% 61.80%-0.89 -12.6 11
2023-07-21 KaPa W 2-033.4 1149 1088 49.72% 26.08% 24.21%+0.46 +26.6 18
2023-07-21 @ SalPa L 0-233.4 1088 1149 24.21% 26.08% 49.72%-0.46 -26.6 12
2023-07-22 MP Mikkeli L 0-231.3 1091 1295 17.61% 25.29% 57.10%-0.49 -20.4 14
2023-07-22 @ Jaro W 2-031.3 1295 1091 57.10% 25.29% 17.61%+0.49 +20.4 36
2023-07-22 KPV L 0-341.2 1160 1007 59.39% 24.93% 15.68%+0.79 -80.0 16
2023-07-22 @ JaPS W 3-041.2 1007 1160 15.68% 24.93% 59.39%-0.79 +80.0 11
2023-07-23 TPS Turku L 0-340.5 1382 1323 49.50% 26.09% 24.40%+0.45 -67.8 34
2023-07-23 @ Gnistan W 3-040.5 1323 1382 24.40% 26.09% 49.50%-0.45 +67.8 28
2023-07-23 Ekenas L 0-440.7 1373 1284 52.93% 25.80% 21.27%+0.56 -93.9 29
2023-07-23 @ SJK Akatemia W 4-040.7 1284 1373 21.27% 25.80% 52.93%-0.56 +93.9 30
2023-07-29 SalPa W 1-034.0 1378 1176 63.57% 24.06% 12.37%+0.97 +7.8 33
2023-07-29 @ Ekenas L 0-134.0 1176 1378 12.37% 24.06% 63.57%-0.97 -7.8 18
2023-07-29 Helsingfors L 2-347.0 1080 1237 21.94% 25.87% 52.19%-0.32 -11.7 16
2023-07-29 @ JaPS W 3-247.0 1237 1080 52.19% 25.87% 21.94%+0.32 +11.7 27
2023-07-29 Jaro D 1-153.0 1087 1071 44.14% 26.38% 29.48%+0.30 -1.5 12
2023-07-29 @ KPV D 1-153.0 1071 1087 29.48% 26.38% 44.14%-0.30 +1.5 15
2023-07-30 Gnistan D 0-049.7 1315 1314 42.15% 26.44% 31.41%+0.25 -1.2 37
2023-07-30 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-049.7 1314 1315 31.41% 26.44% 42.15%-0.25 +1.2 35
2023-07-31 JJK W 4-031.8 1062 1031 46.07% 26.30% 27.64%+0.35 +56.1 15
2023-07-31 @ KaPa L 0-431.8 1031 1062 27.64% 26.30% 46.07%-0.35 -56.2 11
2023-07-31 SJK Akatemia W 4-135.3 1390 1270 56.25% 25.41% 18.34%+0.68 +25.9 31
2023-07-31 @ TPS Turku L 1-435.3 1270 1390 18.34% 25.41% 56.25%-0.68 -25.9 29
2023-08-04 KaPa W 1-035.4 1248 1118 57.25% 25.27% 17.48%+0.71 +10.8 30
2023-08-04 @ Helsingfors L 0-135.4 1118 1248 17.48% 25.27% 57.25%-0.71 -10.7 15
2023-08-05 KPV W 2-138.2 1315 1085 65.65% 23.51% 10.84%+1.07 +6.5 38
2023-08-05 @ Gnistan L 1-238.2 1085 1315 10.84% 23.51% 65.65%-1.07 -6.5 12
2023-08-05 TPS Turku W 3-042.4 1168 1416 14.20% 24.58% 61.22%-0.65 +82.3 21
2023-08-05 @ SalPa L 0-342.4 1416 1168 61.22% 24.58% 14.20%+0.65 -82.3 31
2023-08-05 MP Mikkeli W 2-039.2 1244 1314 32.27% 26.46% 41.27%-0.01 +40.1 32
2023-08-05 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-239.2 1314 1244 41.27% 26.46% 32.27%+0.01 -40.1 37
2023-08-06 JaPS D 1-152.9 1072 1068 42.51% 26.43% 31.05%+0.26 -1.2 16
2023-08-06 @ Jaro D 1-152.9 1068 1072 31.05% 26.43% 42.51%-0.26 +1.2 17
2023-08-10 JJK W 2-026.2 1334 975 73.72% 20.47% 5.81%+1.54 +6.8 34
2023-08-10 @ TPS Turku L 0-226.2 975 1334 5.81% 20.47% 73.72%-1.54 -6.8 11
2023-08-11 Gnistan L 1-239.4 1069 1321 13.96% 24.52% 61.52%-0.67 -8.3 17
2023-08-11 @ JaPS W 2-139.4 1321 1069 61.52% 24.52% 13.96%+0.67 +8.3 41
2023-08-12 KaPa W 2-137.4 1386 1107 68.99% 22.44% 8.56%+1.25 +5.1 36
2023-08-12 @ Ekenas L 1-237.4 1107 1386 8.56% 22.44% 68.99%-1.25 -5.1 15
2023-08-12 SJK Akatemia D 1-153.4 1079 1278 18.01% 25.36% 56.64%-0.47 +4.4 13
2023-08-12 @ KPV D 1-153.4 1278 1079 56.64% 25.36% 18.01%+0.47 -4.4 33
2023-08-13 Helsingfors W 3-040.3 1071 1259 18.95% 25.50% 55.55%-0.43 +75.1 19
2023-08-13 @ Jaro L 0-340.3 1259 1071 55.55% 25.50% 18.95%+0.43 -75.1 30
2023-08-13 SalPa D 0-049.1 1274 1250 45.11% 26.34% 28.55%+0.33 -1.9 38
2023-08-13 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-049.1 1250 1274 28.55% 26.34% 45.11%-0.33 +2.0 22
2023-08-18 Ekenas L 0-231.8 1184 1391 17.33% 25.24% 57.43%-0.50 -20.1 30
2023-08-18 @ Helsingfors W 2-031.8 1391 1184 57.43% 25.24% 17.33%+0.50 +20.1 39
2023-08-18 MP Mikkeli L 0-132.8 968 1272 10.87% 23.53% 65.60%-0.85 -6.9 11
2023-08-18 @ JJK W 1-032.8 1272 968 65.60% 23.53% 10.87%+0.85 +6.9 41
2023-08-19 TPS Turku W 2-044.0 1102 1341 14.88% 24.75% 60.37%-0.62 +55.9 18
2023-08-19 @ KaPa L 0-244.0 1341 1102 60.37% 24.75% 14.88%+0.62 -55.9 34
2023-08-19 JaPS W 2-029.5 1252 1061 62.61% 24.28% 13.11%+0.93 +15.6 36
2023-08-19 @ SJK Akatemia L 0-229.5 1061 1252 13.11% 24.28% 62.61%-0.93 -15.6 17
2023-08-19 KPV D 2-259.0 1252 1083 60.80% 24.66% 14.53%+0.85 -4.0 23
2023-08-19 @ SalPa D 2-259.0 1083 1252 14.53% 24.66% 60.80%-0.85 +4.0 14
2023-08-20 Jaro D 1-153.9 1330 1146 62.05% 24.41% 13.54%+0.90 -5.7 42
2023-08-20 @ Gnistan D 1-153.9 1146 1330 13.54% 24.41% 62.05%-0.90 +5.7 20
2023-08-22 Ekenas L 0-226.0 961 1411 5.38% 20.06% 74.56%-1.38 -6.2 11
2023-08-22 @ JJK W 2-026.0 1411 961 74.56% 20.06% 5.38%+1.38 +6.2 42
2023-08-24 Helsingfors W 2-031.6 1285 1164 56.33% 25.40% 18.27%+0.68 +21.1 37
2023-08-24 @ TPS Turku L 0-231.6 1164 1285 18.27% 25.40% 56.33%-0.68 -21.1 30
2023-08-26 KPV D 1-153.1 1158 1087 50.92% 25.98% 23.10%+0.50 -3.0 19
2023-08-26 @ KaPa D 1-153.1 1087 1158 23.10% 25.98% 50.92%-0.50 +3.0 15
2023-08-26 Jaro W 3-029.9 1248 1152 53.75% 25.71% 20.53%+0.59 +33.8 26
2023-08-26 @ SalPa L 0-329.9 1152 1248 20.53% 25.71% 53.75%-0.59 -33.8 20
2023-08-27 MP Mikkeli W 2-142.1 1417 1279 58.05% 25.15% 16.80%+0.74 +9.8 45
2023-08-27 @ Ekenas L 1-242.1 1279 1417 16.80% 25.15% 58.05%-0.74 -9.8 41
2023-08-27 Gnistan L 0-141.4 1267 1324 33.91% 26.49% 39.60%+0.04 -18.4 36
2023-08-27 @ SJK Akatemia W 1-041.4 1324 1267 39.60% 26.49% 33.91%-0.04 +18.4 45
2023-08-29 JaPS L 1-244.4 955 1046 29.47% 26.38% 44.15%-0.08 -15.6 11
2023-08-29 @ JJK W 2-144.4 1046 955 44.15% 26.38% 29.47%+0.08 +15.6 20
2023-09-02 JJK D 2-259.0 1118 939 61.65% 24.49% 13.85%+0.89 -4.2 21
2023-09-02 @ Jaro D 2-259.0 939 1118 13.85% 24.49% 61.65%-0.89 +4.1 12
2023-09-02 SalPa W 3-248.8 1342 1282 49.72% 26.08% 24.20%+0.46 +12.6 48
2023-09-02 @ Gnistan L 2-348.8 1282 1342 24.20% 26.08% 49.72%-0.46 -12.6 26
2023-09-02 SJK Akatemia L 1-244.1 1143 1248 27.66% 26.30% 46.04%-0.14 -14.8 30
2023-09-02 @ Helsingfors W 2-144.1 1248 1143 46.04% 26.30% 27.66%+0.14 +14.8 39
2023-09-02 KaPa D 4-464.1 1061 1155 29.11% 26.36% 44.53%-0.10 +0.9 21
2023-09-02 @ JaPS D 4-464.1 1155 1061 44.53% 26.36% 29.11%+0.10 -0.9 20
2023-09-02 Ekenas L 2-342.7 1090 1427 9.27% 22.82% 67.91%-0.97 -5.3 15
2023-09-02 @ KPV W 3-242.7 1427 1090 67.91% 22.82% 9.27%+0.97 +5.3 48
2023-09-02 TPS Turku L 0-142.2 1269 1306 36.78% 26.51% 36.71%+0.11 -19.5 41
2023-09-02 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-042.2 1306 1269 36.71% 26.51% 36.78%-0.11 +19.5 40

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-09-16 SJK Akatemia D 2-258.8 1249 1237 43.63% 26.40% 29.97%+0.29 -1.1 1
2023-09-16 @ MP Mikkeli D 2-258.8 1237 1249 29.97% 26.40% 43.63%-0.29 +1.1 1
2023-09-16 JJK D 2-259.9 1269 943 71.87% 21.31% 6.82%+1.42 -5.9 1
2023-09-16 @ SalPa D 2-259.9 943 1269 6.82% 21.31% 71.87%-1.42 +5.8 1
2023-09-16 KaPa W 2-148.9 1062 1154 29.33% 26.37% 44.30%-0.09 +21.2 3
2023-09-16 @ JaPS L 1-248.9 1154 1062 44.30% 26.37% 29.33%+0.09 -21.2 0
2023-09-17 TPS Turku W 2-036.1 1355 1325 45.90% 26.30% 27.79%+0.35 +29.7 3
2023-09-17 @ Gnistan L 0-236.1 1325 1355 27.79% 26.30% 45.90%-0.35 -29.7 0
2023-09-17 Helsingfors W 2-027.7 1432 1128 70.59% 21.84% 7.57%+1.34 +9.0 3
2023-09-17 @ Ekenas L 0-227.7 1128 1432 7.57% 21.84% 70.59%-1.34 -9.0 0
2023-09-17 KPV W 3-140.0 1114 1085 45.82% 26.31% 27.88%+0.35 +25.8 3
2023-09-17 @ Jaro L 1-340.0 1085 1114 27.88% 26.31% 45.82%-0.35 -25.8 0
2023-09-22 Gnistan D 2-259.5 1119 1385 13.06% 24.27% 62.67%-0.71 +4.3 1
2023-09-22 @ Helsingfors D 2-259.5 1385 1119 62.67% 24.27% 13.06%+0.71 -4.3 4
2023-09-22 TPS Turku D 2-258.9 1238 1296 33.89% 26.49% 39.62%+0.04 +0.4 2
2023-09-22 @ SJK Akatemia D 2-258.9 1296 1238 39.62% 26.49% 33.89%-0.04 -0.4 1
2023-09-23 Ekenas L 0-233.2 1248 1441 18.51% 25.44% 56.05%-0.45 -21.3 1
2023-09-23 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-033.2 1441 1248 56.05% 25.44% 18.51%+0.45 +21.3 6
2023-09-23 KaPa W 2-038.7 1059 1133 31.70% 26.45% 41.85%-0.02 +40.6 3
2023-09-23 @ KPV L 0-238.7 1133 1059 41.85% 26.45% 31.70%+0.02 -40.6 0
2023-09-23 SalPa W 3-146.2 1140 1263 25.52% 26.17% 48.31%-0.20 +39.6 6
2023-09-23 @ Jaro L 1-346.2 1263 1140 48.31% 26.17% 25.52%+0.20 -39.6 1
2023-09-23 JaPS W 1-045.1 949 1083 24.34% 26.09% 49.57%-0.24 +24.8 4
2023-09-23 @ JJK L 0-145.1 1083 949 49.57% 26.09% 24.34%+0.24 -24.8 3
2023-09-27 Helsingfors L 1-349.6 1295 1123 61.06% 24.61% 14.32%+0.86 -49.0 1
2023-09-27 @ TPS Turku W 3-149.6 1123 1295 14.32% 24.61% 61.06%-0.86 +49.0 4
2023-09-27 MP Mikkeli D 1-154.4 1380 1227 59.43% 24.92% 15.65%+0.80 -5.0 5
2023-09-27 @ Gnistan D 1-154.4 1227 1380 15.65% 24.92% 59.43%-0.80 +5.0 2
2023-09-27 SJK Akatemia W 1-034.6 1463 1233 65.60% 23.53% 10.87%+1.07 +6.9 9
2023-09-27 @ Ekenas L 0-134.6 1233 1463 10.87% 23.53% 65.60%-1.07 -6.9 2
2023-09-27 KPV W 2-031.3 1224 1100 56.64% 25.36% 18.00%+0.69 +20.8 4
2023-09-27 @ SalPa L 0-231.3 1100 1224 18.00% 25.36% 56.64%-0.69 -20.8 3
2023-09-27 JJK W 1-035.6 1092 974 56.06% 25.44% 18.51%+0.67 +11.3 3
2023-09-27 @ KaPa L 0-135.6 974 1092 18.51% 25.44% 56.06%-0.67 -11.3 4
2023-09-27 Jaro D 0-048.7 1058 1179 25.86% 26.19% 47.95%-0.19 +2.6 4
2023-09-27 @ JaPS D 0-048.7 1179 1058 47.95% 26.19% 25.86%+0.19 -2.7 7
2023-10-01 SJK Akatemia W 3-246.1 1375 1234 58.31% 25.11% 16.58%+0.75 +9.2 8
2023-10-01 @ Gnistan L 2-346.1 1234 1375 16.58% 25.11% 58.31%-0.75 -9.2 2
2023-10-01 Jaro L 1-433.4 963 1177 16.76% 25.14% 58.10%-0.53 -23.9 4
2023-10-01 @ JJK W 4-133.4 1177 963 58.10% 25.14% 16.76%+0.53 +23.9 10
2023-10-01 SalPa D 1-153.2 1103 1245 23.59% 26.03% 50.39%-0.27 +2.9 4
2023-10-01 @ KaPa D 1-153.2 1245 1103 50.39% 26.03% 23.59%+0.27 -2.9 5
2023-10-01 KPV W 5-137.7 1061 1079 39.54% 26.49% 33.97%+0.18 +54.8 7
2023-10-01 @ JaPS L 1-537.7 1079 1061 33.97% 26.49% 39.54%-0.18 -54.8 3
2023-10-02 MP Mikkeli W 3-252.7 1172 1232 33.59% 26.49% 39.92%+0.03 +18.5 7
2023-10-02 @ Helsingfors L 2-352.7 1232 1172 39.92% 26.49% 33.59%-0.03 -18.5 2
2023-10-02 Ekenas L 1-338.1 1246 1470 16.03% 25.00% 58.97%-0.56 -16.2 1
2023-10-02 @ TPS Turku W 3-138.1 1470 1246 58.97% 25.00% 16.03%+0.56 +16.2 12
2023-10-07 TPS Turku W 2-146.1 1213 1230 39.69% 26.49% 33.82%+0.18 +17.3 5
2023-10-07 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-246.1 1230 1213 33.82% 26.49% 39.69%-0.18 -17.3 1
2023-10-07 Helsingfors W 3-248.0 1252 1191 49.75% 26.07% 24.17%+0.46 +12.6 5
2023-10-07 @ SJK Akatemia L 2-348.0 1191 1252 24.17% 26.07% 49.75%-0.46 -12.6 7
2023-10-07 Gnistan D 3-368.0 1486 1385 54.27% 25.66% 20.07%+0.61 -2.4 13
2023-10-07 @ Ekenas D 3-368.0 1385 1486 20.07% 25.66% 54.27%-0.61 +2.4 9
2023-10-07 JJK W 3-137.9 1024 939 52.56% 25.84% 21.61%+0.55 +21.0 6
2023-10-07 @ KPV L 1-337.9 939 1024 21.61% 25.84% 52.56%-0.55 -21.0 4
2023-10-07 KaPa L 1-444.6 1200 1106 53.51% 25.74% 20.75%+0.58 -61.2 10
2023-10-07 @ Jaro W 4-144.6 1106 1200 20.75% 25.74% 53.51%-0.58 +61.2 7
2023-10-07 JaPS L 1-252.5 1242 1116 56.80% 25.33% 17.87%+0.70 -26.4 5
2023-10-07 @ SalPa W 2-152.5 1116 1242 17.87% 25.33% 56.80%-0.70 +26.4 10

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2023-10-14 SJK Akatemia L 1-440.3 1231 1264 37.29% 26.51% 36.21%+0.12 -45.5 0-1
2023-10-14 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-140.3 1264 1231 36.21% 26.51% 37.29%-0.12 +45.5 1-0
2023-10-21 SJK Akatemia W 4-243.3 1387 1297 53.04% 25.79% 21.18%+0.57 +18.5 1-0
2023-10-21 @ Gnistan L 2-443.3 1297 1387 21.18% 25.79% 53.04%-0.57 -18.5 1-1
2023-10-25 Mariehamn D 0-0 1405 1249 59.72% 24.87% 15.42%+0.81 -5.7 1-0-1
2023-10-25 @ Gnistan D 0-0 1249 1405 15.42% 24.87% 59.72%-0.81 +5.7 0-0-1
2023-10-29 Gnistan W 3-0 1254 1400 23.14% 25.99% 50.88%-0.28 +69.4 1-0-1
2023-10-29 @ Mariehamn L 0-3 1400 1254 50.88% 25.99% 23.14%+0.28 -69.4 1-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-07-14 9.41% JaPS 1098 2 @ MP Mikkeli 1357 0
2 2023-04-29 13.32% @ JJK 1047 2 SJK Akatemia 1309 0
3 2023-08-05 14.20% @ SalPa 1168 3 TPS Turku 1416 0
4 2023-09-27 14.32% Helsingfors 1123 3 @ TPS Turku 1295 1
5 2023-08-19 14.88% @ KaPa 1102 2 TPS Turku 1341 0
6 2023-07-22 15.68% KPV 1007 3 @ JaPS 1160 0
7 2023-05-03 16.52% @ Helsingfors 1057 2 TPS Turku 1274 0
8 2023-10-07 17.87% JaPS 1116 2 @ SalPa 1242 1
9 2023-08-13 18.95% @ Jaro 1071 3 Helsingfors 1259 0
10 2023-10-07 20.75% KaPa 1106 4 @ Jaro 1200 1
11 2023-07-23 21.27% Ekenas 1284 4 @ SJK Akatemia 1373 0
12 2023-07-15 22.24% @ Ekenas 1258 1 Gnistan 1412 0
13 2023-06-08 24.02% @ KPV 1067 1 SalPa 1204 0
14 2023-09-23 24.34% @ JJK 949 1 JaPS 1083 0
15 2023-07-23 24.40% TPS Turku 1323 3 @ Gnistan 1382 0
16 2023-09-23 25.52% @ Jaro 1140 3 SalPa 1263 1
17 2023-06-17 27.46% @ JJK 1037 3 Jaro 1144 1
18 2023-06-11 27.58% @ Gnistan 1302 5 SJK Akatemia 1408 2
19 2023-04-15 27.76% @ Ekenas 1181 2 TPS Turku 1286 1
20 2023-04-29 28.12% Gnistan 1223 2 @ KaPa 1250 0
21 2023-05-26 28.82% Helsingfors 1165 2 @ KaPa 1186 0
22 2023-09-16 29.33% @ JaPS 1062 2 KaPa 1154 1
23 2023-05-25 29.76% @ MP Mikkeli 1253 2 SJK Akatemia 1341 0
24 2023-07-09 30.78% Jaro 1099 3 @ KaPa 1105 2
25 2023-05-20 31.06% Ekenas 1257 2 @ SalPa 1261 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-07-23 93.93 Ekenas 4 1284 21.27% @ SJK Akatemia 0 1373 52.93% 25.80%
2 2023-08-05 82.29 @ SalPa 3 1168 14.20% TPS Turku 0 1416 61.22% 24.58%
3 2023-07-22 79.98 KPV 3 1007 15.68% @ JaPS 0 1160 59.39% 24.93%
4 2023-08-13 75.14 @ Jaro 3 1071 18.95% Helsingfors 0 1259 55.55% 25.50%
5 2023-07-23 67.76 TPS Turku 3 1323 24.40% @ Gnistan 0 1382 49.50% 26.09%
6 2023-07-14 62.18 JaPS 2 1098 9.41% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1357 67.70% 22.88%
7 2023-10-07 61.23 KaPa 4 1106 20.75% @ Jaro 1 1200 53.51% 25.74%
8 2023-04-29 57.63 @ JJK 2 1047 13.32% SJK Akatemia 0 1309 62.33% 24.35%
9 2023-07-15 56.39 Helsingfors 4 1168 45.91% @ KPV 0 1063 27.78% 26.30%
10 2023-07-31 56.16 @ KaPa 4 1062 46.07% JJK 0 1031 27.64% 26.30%
11 2023-08-19 55.92 @ KaPa 2 1102 14.88% TPS Turku 0 1341 60.37% 24.75%
12 2023-10-01 54.80 @ JaPS 5 1061 39.54% KPV 1 1079 33.97% 26.49%
13 2023-05-03 54.20 @ Helsingfors 2 1057 16.52% TPS Turku 0 1274 58.39% 25.09%
14 2023-04-29 51.05 @ Ekenas 3 1183 38.88% Jaro 0 1205 34.62% 26.50%
15 2023-09-27 48.95 Helsingfors 3 1123 14.32% @ TPS Turku 1 1295 61.06% 24.61%
16 2023-06-11 46.58 @ Gnistan 5 1302 27.58% SJK Akatemia 2 1408 46.13% 26.29%
17 2023-10-14 * 45.48 SJK Akatemia 4 1264 36.21% @ MP Mikkeli 1 1231 37.29% 26.51%
18 2023-04-29 43.47 Gnistan 2 1223 28.12% @ KaPa 0 1250 45.56% 26.32%
19 2023-05-26 42.88 Helsingfors 2 1165 28.82% @ KaPa 0 1186 44.83% 26.35%
20 2023-05-25 42.12 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1253 29.76% SJK Akatemia 0 1341 43.86% 26.39%
21 2023-09-23 40.57 @ KPV 2 1059 31.70% KaPa 0 1133 41.85% 26.45%
22 2023-08-05 40.12 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1244 32.27% MP Mikkeli 0 1314 41.27% 26.46%
23 2023-09-23 39.56 @ Jaro 3 1140 25.52% SalPa 1 1263 48.31% 26.17%
24 2023-06-17 38.12 @ JJK 3 1037 27.46% Jaro 1 1144 46.26% 26.29%
25 2023-05-27 36.84 @ JaPS 2 1119 36.61% Jaro 0 1157 36.88% 26.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-10-07 68.0 @ Ekenas 3 1486 54.27% Gnistan 3 1385 20.07% 25.66%
2 2023-07-15 65.1 @ KaPa 4 1085 12.57% SJK Akatemia 4 1359 63.31% 24.12%
3 2023-09-02 64.1 @ JaPS 4 1061 29.11% KaPa 4 1155 44.53% 26.36%
4 2023-05-07 62.4 @ Jaro 3 1154 32.85% TPS Turku 3 1220 40.68% 26.47%
5 2023-09-16 59.9 @ SalPa 2 1269 71.87% JJK 2 943 6.82% 21.31%
6 2023-06-17 59.6 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1362 59.38% Helsingfors 2 1209 15.69% 24.93%
7 2023-07-19 59.6 @ Jaro 2 1086 11.07% Gnistan 2 1386 65.32% 23.60%
8 2023-09-22 59.5 @ Helsingfors 2 1119 13.06% Gnistan 2 1385 62.67% 24.27%
9 2023-06-17 59.4 @ Ekenas 2 1306 64.58% KPV 2 1091 11.61% 23.80%
10 2023-07-09 59.0 @ Ekenas 2 1262 60.77% JaPS 2 1094 14.56% 24.67%
11 2023-08-19 59.0 @ SalPa 2 1252 60.80% KPV 2 1083 14.53% 24.66%
12 2023-09-02 59.0 @ Jaro 2 1118 61.65% JJK 2 939 13.85% 24.49%
13 2023-09-22 58.9 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1238 33.89% TPS Turku 2 1296 39.62% 26.49%
14 2023-09-16 58.8 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1249 43.63% SJK Akatemia 2 1237 29.97% 26.40%
15 2023-06-22 58.6 @ JJK 2 1075 22.58% TPS Turku 2 1226 51.49% 25.93%
16 2023-07-02 58.5 @ Helsingfors 2 1178 46.95% SalPa 2 1140 26.80% 26.25%
17 2023-09-27 54.4 @ Gnistan 1 1380 59.43% MP Mikkeli 1 1227 15.65% 24.92%
18 2023-08-20 53.9 @ Gnistan 1 1330 62.05% Jaro 1 1146 13.54% 24.41%
19 2023-05-21 53.7 @ Gnistan 1 1300 48.43% MP Mikkeli 1 1250 25.41% 26.16%
20 2023-04-29 53.5 @ SalPa 1 1217 60.51% Helsingfors 1 1051 14.77% 24.72%
21 2023-06-15 53.5 @ TPS Turku 1 1224 29.56% MP Mikkeli 1 1314 44.06% 26.38%
22 2023-07-09 53.4 Jaro 3 1099 30.78% @ KaPa 2 1105 42.79% 26.42%
23 2023-08-12 53.4 @ KPV 1 1079 18.01% SJK Akatemia 1 1278 56.64% 25.36%
24 2023-07-02 53.3 @ Jaro 1 1095 20.55% Ekenas 1 1266 53.74% 25.71%
25 2023-04-22 53.2 @ Jaro 1 1205 35.66% KaPa 1 1250 37.83% 26.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-08-22 26.0 Ekenas 2 1411 74.56% @ JJK 0 961 5.38% 20.06%
2 2023-08-10 26.2 @ TPS Turku 2 1334 73.72% JJK 0 975 5.81% 20.47%
3 2023-05-27 26.5 @ Ekenas 3 1277 64.90% JJK 0 1058 11.38% 23.72%
4 2023-07-14 27.5 @ TPS Turku 4 1291 61.09% Jaro 0 1118 14.30% 24.61%
5 2023-09-17 27.7 @ Ekenas 2 1432 70.59% Helsingfors 0 1128 7.57% 21.84%
6 2023-06-04 28.2 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1336 67.62% KPV 0 1078 9.47% 22.91%
7 2023-06-28 28.6 @ Gnistan 4 1367 59.55% Helsingfors 0 1212 15.55% 24.90%
8 2023-05-06 29.5 @ SalPa 3 1212 54.92% JJK 0 1105 19.50% 25.58%
9 2023-08-19 29.5 @ SJK Akatemia 2 1252 62.61% JaPS 0 1061 13.11% 24.28%
10 2023-08-26 29.9 @ SalPa 3 1248 53.75% Jaro 0 1152 20.53% 25.71%
11 2023-04-21 30.9 @ Gnistan 2 1203 57.84% JJK 0 1067 16.98% 25.18%
12 2023-07-22 31.3 MP Mikkeli 2 1295 57.10% @ Jaro 0 1091 17.61% 25.29%
13 2023-09-27 31.3 @ SalPa 2 1224 56.64% KPV 0 1100 18.00% 25.36%
14 2023-08-24 31.6 @ TPS Turku 2 1285 56.33% Helsingfors 0 1164 18.27% 25.40%
15 2023-07-31 31.8 @ KaPa 4 1062 46.07% JJK 0 1031 27.64% 26.30%
16 2023-08-18 31.8 Ekenas 2 1391 57.43% @ Helsingfors 0 1184 17.33% 25.24%
17 2023-07-15 31.9 Helsingfors 4 1168 45.91% @ KPV 0 1063 27.78% 26.30%
18 2023-07-02 32.0 @ Gnistan 1 1402 69.84% KaPa 0 1110 8.03% 22.13%
19 2023-07-06 32.2 @ TPS Turku 4 1271 62.49% KPV 1 1082 13.20% 24.31%
20 2023-08-18 32.8 MP Mikkeli 1 1272 65.60% @ JJK 0 968 10.87% 23.53%
21 2023-06-28 33.1 @ MP Mikkeli 6 1313 61.86% KaPa 2 1132 13.69% 24.45%
22 2023-09-23 33.2 Ekenas 2 1441 56.05% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1248 18.51% 25.44%
23 2023-07-21 33.4 @ SalPa 2 1149 49.72% KaPa 0 1088 24.21% 26.08%
24 2023-10-01 33.4 Jaro 4 1177 58.10% @ JJK 1 963 16.76% 25.14%
25 2023-07-04 33.9 @ SJK Akatemia 3 1317 66.40% JJK 1 1077 10.31% 23.29%