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2008-09 Umaglesi Liga Season

165 games

Final

Champion

WIT Georgia

69 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

WIT Georgia

9.93 points above expected

69 points · 59.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Meskheti

8.19 points below expected

29 points · 37.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 WIT Georgia Champion 30 20 9 1 69 57 19 +38 59.07 +9.93
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 30 19 6 5 63 70 21 +49 62.46 +0.54
3 Olimpi Rustavi 30 16 9 5 57 40 20 +20 51.34 +5.66
4 Zestaponi 30 16 4 10 52 43 27 +16 58.42 -6.42
5 Sioni Bolnisi 30 11 11 8 44 35 29 +6 38.78 +5.22
6 Lokomotive Tbilisi 30 10 8 12 38 35 33 +2 39.20 -1.20
7 Mglebi Zugdidi 30 10 6 14 36 36 41 -5 30.22 +5.78
8 Meskheti 30 7 8 15 29 23 42 -19 37.19 -8.19
9 Gagra 30 7 7 16 28 23 48 -25 32.48 -4.48
10 Spartak Tskhinvali 30 6 7 17 25 28 46 -18 26.18 -1.18
11 Borjomi 30 2 7 21 13 21 85 -64 20.85 -7.85

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 WIT Georgia 69 59.07 +9.93
2 Mglebi Zugdidi 36 30.22 +5.78
3 Olimpi Rustavi 57 51.34 +5.66
4 Sioni Bolnisi 44 38.78 +5.22
5 Dinamo Tbilisi 63 62.46 +0.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Meskheti 29 37.19 -8.19
2 Borjomi 13 20.85 -7.85
3 Zestaponi 52 58.42 -6.42
4 Gagra 28 32.48 -4.48
5 Lokomotive Tbilisi 38 39.20 -1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotive Tbilisi 3 Sep 13 – Oct 1 1 in 124
2 Mglebi Zugdidi 3 Oct 1 – Oct 19 1 in 44
3 Borjomi 2 Sep 30 – Oct 5 1 in 16
4 Sioni Bolnisi 3 Dec 6 – Dec 20 1 in 8
5 Olimpi Rustavi 5 Apr 18 – May 17 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotive Tbilisi 6 Nov 2 – Dec 14 1 in 147
2 Borjomi 7 Feb 25 – Apr 11 1 in 28
3 Spartak Tskhinvali 7 Oct 24 – Dec 7 1 in 23
4 Meskheti 6 Mar 15 – May 2 1 in 18
5 Sioni Bolnisi 2 Mar 7 – Mar 11 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 WIT Georgia 26 Oct 5 – May 23 1 in 441
2 Olimpi Rustavi 17 Oct 24 – Mar 15 1 in 186
3 Mglebi Zugdidi 5 Mar 11 – Apr 10 1 in 11
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 14 Dec 27 – May 10 1 in 10
5 Gagra 3 Mar 14 – Apr 5 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotive Tbilisi 9 Feb 21 – Apr 24 1 in 53
2 Olimpi Rustavi 7 Sep 14 – Oct 29 1 in 46
3 Borjomi 25 Oct 18 – May 23 1 in 37
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 May 3 – May 17 1 in 21
5 Gagra 9 Dec 20 – Mar 21 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
WIT Georgia 1627 69 +43 13 9.8 +3.2
Dinamo Tbilisi 1630 63 -30 8 11.6 -3.6
Olimpi Rustavi 1494 57 +3 12 11.3 +0.7
Zestaponi 1408 52 -31 9 11.2 -2.2
Sioni Bolnisi 1363 44 +5 5 5.1 -0.1
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1310 38 +36 7 5.9 +1.1
Mglebi Zugdidi 1279 36 +29 6 3.8 +2.2
Meskheti 1190 29 -22 6 6.4 -0.4
Gagra 1193 28 +25 7 4.6 +2.4
Spartak Tskhinvali 1201 25 -2 6 4.8 +1.2
Borjomi 934 13 -47 1 1.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOR DT GAG LT MES MZ OR SB ST WG ZES
Borjomi —
0-0-3
0.80
1-0-2
2.71
0-1-2
2.27
0-2-1
2.22
0-1-2
3.02
0-1-2
1.29
0-1-2
2.28
1-0-2
3.04
0-0-3
1.40
0-1-2
1.20
Dinamo Tbilisi
3-0-0
7.72
—
2-0-1
6.78
1-1-1
6.56
3-0-0
6.65
2-0-1
7.01
2-0-1
5.39
2-1-0
6.34
2-1-0
7.34
0-3-0
4.78
2-0-1
4.77
Gagra
2-0-1
5.52
1-0-2
1.56
—
1-1-1
2.87
2-0-1
3.45
1-1-1
4.25
0-1-2
2.15
0-1-2
3.39
0-2-1
4.85
0-1-2
1.85
0-0-3
1.60
Lokomotive Tbilisi
2-1-0
5.99
1-1-1
1.75
1-1-1
5.36
—
1-1-1
4.03
0-2-1
5.27
0-1-2
2.93
0-1-2
4.18
3-0-0
5.28
1-0-2
1.94
1-0-2
2.11
Meskheti
1-2-0
6.04
0-0-3
1.70
1-0-2
4.77
1-1-1
4.18
—
1-1-1
4.21
0-1-2
2.78
0-1-2
3.83
2-1-0
4.99
0-0-3
1.88
1-1-1
1.94
Mglebi Zugdidi
2-1-0
5.21
1-0-2
1.36
1-1-1
3.96
1-2-0
2.96
1-1-1
4.01
—
1-0-2
2.17
1-1-1
2.99
2-0-1
5.14
0-0-3
1.41
0-0-3
1.78
Olimpi Rustavi
2-1-0
7.10
1-0-2
2.84
2-1-0
6.14
2-1-0
5.32
2-1-0
5.46
2-0-1
6.11
—
1-1-1
5.54
2-1-0
6.81
0-2-1
3.65
2-1-0
3.40
Sioni Bolnisi
2-1-0
5.99
0-1-2
1.94
2-1-0
4.85
2-1-0
4.04
2-1-0
4.38
1-1-1
5.25
1-1-1
2.70
—
1-1-1
5.50
0-2-1
2.25
0-1-2
2.30
Spartak Tskhinvali
2-0-1
5.20
0-1-2
1.08
1-2-0
3.38
0-0-3
2.96
0-1-2
3.25
1-0-2
3.09
0-1-2
1.52
1-1-1
2.74
—
0-1-2
1.41
1-0-2
1.51
WIT Georgia
3-0-0
6.97
0-3-0
3.44
2-1-0
6.47
2-0-1
6.35
3-0-0
6.43
3-0-0
6.94
1-2-0
4.57
1-2-0
6.01
2-1-0
6.96
—
3-0-0
4.63
Zestaponi
2-1-0
7.20
1-0-2
3.44
3-0-0
6.72
2-0-1
6.16
1-1-1
6.34
3-0-0
6.52
0-1-2
4.83
2-1-0
5.96
2-0-1
6.83
0-0-3
3.60
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +10.3
Allowed 0.80 -8.2
Differential 0.93 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.91%10.00%6.36%2.73%2.42%1.52%33.94%
110.00%9.70%6.97%4.55%2.12%0.30%33.64%
26.36%6.97%4.24%0.30%——17.88%
32.73%4.55%0.30%—0.30%—7.88%
42.42%2.12%—0.30%——4.85%
5+1.52%0.30%————1.82%
Total33.94%33.64%17.88%7.88%4.85%1.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.16
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%13.33%46.67%
1—10.00%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%40.00%
2—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%20.00%33.33%10.00%13.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 2.83 -2.13
SD 0.79 2.36 2.66
CV 1.13 0.83 —
Max 3 12 +1
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%————16.67%
16.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
26.67%16.67%6.67%———30.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
410.00%6.67%————16.67%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total40.00%50.00%10.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 0.70 +1.63
SD 2.31 0.65 2.61
CV 0.99 0.93 —
Max 12 2 +12
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%53.33%
13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%30.00%23.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.60 -0.83
SD 0.94 1.40 1.91
CV 1.22 0.88 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
13.33%10.00%6.67%16.67%——36.67%
210.00%6.67%————16.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%10.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.10 +0.07
SD 1.18 1.06 1.64
CV 1.01 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%16.67%6.67%6.67%—56.67%
110.00%6.67%—6.67%3.33%—26.67%
26.67%—3.33%———10.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total36.67%20.00%20.00%13.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.40 -0.63
SD 1.28 1.38 2.11
CV 1.67 0.99 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%6.67%—40.00%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
26.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.37 -0.17
SD 1.37 1.16 2.05
CV 1.15 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%————20.00%
126.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——53.33%
23.33%10.00%————13.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total53.33%33.33%6.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.67 +0.67
SD 1.30 0.88 1.52
CV 0.97 1.33 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%3.33%———30.00%
110.00%13.33%6.67%—3.33%—33.33%
210.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%——3.33%—10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%16.67%—6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.97 +0.20
SD 0.99 1.10 1.30
CV 0.84 1.14 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%——36.67%
13.33%13.33%13.33%3.33%10.00%—43.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%36.67%23.33%10.00%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.53 -0.60
SD 0.98 1.22 1.71
CV 1.05 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—————10.00%
116.67%13.33%3.33%———33.33%
210.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
310.00%6.67%————16.67%
46.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
5+———————
Total53.33%33.33%10.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.63 +1.27
SD 1.21 0.81 1.31
CV 0.64 1.28 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%3.33%—3.33%—30.00%
120.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
2—6.67%————6.67%
36.67%13.33%————20.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%40.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.90 +0.53
SD 1.48 0.99 1.94
CV 1.03 1.11 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tbilisi 1630 63 62.46 +0.54 59.0% 47 52 58 63 67 74 76
WIT Georgia 1627 69 59.07 +9.93 98.0% 45 50 55 59 63 68 74
Olimpi Rustavi 1494 57 51.34 +5.66 83.0% 35 39 48 52 55 61 64
Zestaponi 1408 52 58.42 -6.42 15.0% 40 49 54 59 63 67 69
Sioni Bolnisi 1363 44 38.78 +5.22 82.0% 23 28 35 38 43 51 54
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1310 38 39.20 -1.20 49.0% 22 29 35 39 43 49 57
Mglebi Zugdidi 1279 36 30.22 +5.78 85.0% 17 19 26 30 34 43 48
Spartak Tskhinvali 1201 25 26.18 -1.18 44.0% 14 18 22 26 30 34 37
Gagra 1193 28 32.48 -4.48 29.0% 17 22 27 34 36 41 50
Meskheti 1190 29 37.19 -8.19 10.0% 26 28 33 37 41 47 52
Borjomi 934 13 20.85 -7.85 5.0% 5 13 16 20 24 33 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 13% * Slight Edge: 13% to 18.5% * Clear Edge: 18.5% to 29% * Strong Edge: 29% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.12%
No Edge
43.64%24.85%31.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.32 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.14 * Tight Race: 0.14 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
WIT Georgia, 2nd of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.20/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.86 * Some Luck: 4.86 to 7.29 * Lucky: 7.29 to 9.72 * Wild Swing: 9.72 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.8 * Close: 0.8 to 1.2 * Off: 1.2 to 1.6 * Way Off: 1.6 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.91 points
Some Luck
06.0715
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.91
Close
01.002.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
98.00%
WIT Georgia
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
5.00%
Borjomi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.22 * Top-Heavy: 0.22 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.25 * Strong Separation: 2.25 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 78.5% * Clear Edge: 78.5% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94% * Clear Edge: 94% to 96% * Strong Edge: 96% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 206.64
2.41
Strong Separation
11.952.253
Interquartile Edge
81%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.44 * Slight Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.51 * Some Carryover: 0.51 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.510.741
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.26
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
WIT Georgia26.00%32.00%28.00%11.00%3.00%——————
Dinamo Tbilisi51.00%25.00%18.00%6.00%———————
Olimpi Rustavi4.00%10.00%25.00%43.00%11.00%6.00%1.00%————
Zestaponi19.00%33.00%26.00%20.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Sioni Bolnisi——1.00%8.00%30.00%23.00%10.00%21.00%6.00%1.00%—
Lokomotive Tbilisi——2.00%8.00%24.00%27.00%24.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%—
Mglebi Zugdidi————7.00%5.00%11.00%21.00%26.00%20.00%10.00%
Meskheti———4.00%17.00%28.00%17.00%22.00%9.00%3.00%—
Gagra————7.00%8.00%30.00%15.00%18.00%15.00%7.00%
Spartak Tskhinvali—————1.00%4.00%12.00%25.00%41.00%17.00%
Borjomi—————2.00%2.00%2.00%10.00%18.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Tbilisi 100% —
Olimpi Rustavi 100% —
WIT Georgia 100% —
Zestaponi 100% —
Sioni Bolnisi 93.00% 7.00%
Lokomotive Tbilisi 92.00% 8.00%
Meskheti 88.00% 12.00%
Gagra 60.00% 40.00%
Mglebi Zugdidi 44.00% 56.00%
Spartak Tskhinvali 17.00% 83.00%
Borjomi 6.00% 94.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-09-13 Meskheti W 2-043.0 1259 1347 30.57% 26.25% 43.18%-0.26 +37.0 3
2008-09-13 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-243.0 1347 1259 43.18% 26.25% 30.57%+0.26 -37.0 0
2008-09-13 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-142.8 1214 1255 37.02% 26.35% 36.63%+0.01 -17.4 0
2008-09-13 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 1-042.8 1255 1214 36.63% 26.35% 37.02%-0.01 +17.4 3
2008-09-13 WIT Georgia L 0-136.1 1179 1429 14.58% 24.31% 61.12%-1.19 -8.1 0
2008-09-13 @ Borjomi W 1-036.1 1429 1179 61.12% 24.31% 14.58%+1.19 +8.1 3
2008-09-14 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-159.0 1309 1540 15.92% 24.64% 59.44%-1.08 +24.5 3
2008-09-14 @ Gagra L 1-259.0 1540 1309 59.44% 24.64% 15.92%+1.08 -24.5 0
2008-09-14 Zestaponi D 0-054.3 1396 1508 27.52% 26.11% 46.37%-0.40 +2.0 1
2008-09-14 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-054.3 1508 1396 46.37% 26.11% 27.52%+0.40 -2.0 1
2008-09-20 Borjomi W 4-140.8 1197 1171 46.14% 26.12% 27.74%+0.39 +32.3 3
2008-09-20 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 1-440.8 1171 1197 27.74% 26.12% 46.14%-0.39 -32.3 0
2008-09-20 Gagra W 2-037.7 1437 1333 55.23% 25.31% 19.47%+0.84 +19.7 6
2008-09-20 @ WIT Georgia L 0-237.7 1333 1437 19.47% 25.31% 55.23%-0.84 -19.7 3
2008-09-21 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-134.7 1515 1192 72.52% 20.63% 6.85%+2.09 +8.7 3
2008-09-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-434.7 1192 1515 6.85% 20.63% 72.52%-2.09 -8.7 0
2008-09-21 Olimpi Rustavi D 1-154.6 1310 1398 30.62% 26.25% 43.13%-0.26 +1.1 1
2008-09-21 @ Meskheti D 1-154.6 1398 1310 43.13% 26.25% 30.62%+0.26 -1.2 2
2008-09-21 Zestaponi L 0-138.7 1273 1506 15.76% 24.60% 59.64%-1.09 -8.7 3
2008-09-21 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-038.7 1506 1273 59.64% 24.60% 15.76%+1.09 +8.7 4
2008-09-26 Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-035.9 1314 1229 53.10% 25.56% 21.33%+0.72 +21.3 6
2008-09-26 @ Gagra L 0-235.9 1229 1314 21.33% 25.56% 53.10%-0.72 -21.3 3
2008-09-26 Meskheti L 0-154.0 1515 1311 64.31% 23.54% 12.15%+1.41 -27.9 4
2008-09-26 @ Zestaponi W 1-054.0 1311 1515 12.15% 23.54% 64.31%-1.41 +27.9 4
2008-09-26 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-048.1 1139 1264 26.00% 26.01% 47.99%-0.47 +2.3 1
2008-09-26 @ Borjomi D 0-048.1 1264 1139 47.99% 26.01% 26.00%+0.47 -2.4 4
2008-09-27 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-052.7 1296 1524 16.16% 24.69% 59.14%-1.06 +25.8 6
2008-09-27 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-152.7 1524 1296 59.14% 24.69% 16.16%+1.06 -25.8 3
2008-09-27 WIT Georgia L 0-135.7 1183 1457 13.00% 23.84% 63.16%-1.32 -7.2 0
2008-09-27 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 1-035.7 1457 1183 63.16% 23.84% 13.00%+1.32 +7.2 9
2008-09-30 Gagra W 3-258.4 1141 1335 19.01% 25.24% 55.75%-0.87 +21.9 4
2008-09-30 @ Borjomi L 2-358.4 1335 1141 55.75% 25.24% 19.01%+0.87 -21.9 6
2008-09-30 Meskheti D 0-048.7 1262 1339 31.95% 26.29% 41.76%-0.20 +1.0 5
2008-09-30 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-048.7 1339 1262 41.76% 26.29% 31.95%+0.20 -1.0 5
2008-10-01 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-037.3 1208 1176 46.95% 26.07% 26.97%+0.43 +25.8 6
2008-10-01 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-237.3 1176 1208 26.97% 26.07% 46.95%-0.43 -25.8 0
2008-10-01 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-257.4 1464 1322 59.01% 24.72% 16.27%+1.05 -24.3 9
2008-10-01 @ WIT Georgia W 2-157.4 1322 1464 16.27% 24.72% 59.01%-1.05 +24.3 9
2008-10-01 Olimpi Rustavi W 2-148.7 1498 1397 55.00% 25.34% 19.66%+0.82 +9.9 6
2008-10-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-248.7 1397 1498 19.66% 25.34% 55.00%-0.82 -9.9 2
2008-10-04 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-153.4 1313 1263 49.16% 25.93% 24.91%+0.53 -2.3 7
2008-10-04 @ Gagra D 1-153.4 1263 1313 24.91% 25.93% 49.16%-0.53 +2.3 6
2008-10-05 Borjomi L 1-249.2 1150 1163 40.95% 26.31% 32.75%+0.17 -17.7 0
2008-10-05 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-149.2 1163 1150 32.75% 26.31% 40.95%-0.17 +17.7 7
2008-10-05 Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-148.6 1346 1234 56.11% 25.18% 18.70%+0.89 -24.6 9
2008-10-05 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-048.6 1234 1346 18.70% 25.18% 56.11%-0.89 +24.6 9
2008-10-05 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-051.3 1487 1508 39.79% 26.33% 33.88%+0.12 +16.3 7
2008-10-05 @ Zestaponi L 0-151.3 1508 1487 33.88% 26.33% 39.79%-0.12 -16.3 6
2008-10-05 WIT Georgia D 0-052.0 1387 1440 35.30% 26.34% 38.36%-0.06 +0.3 3
2008-10-05 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-052.0 1440 1387 38.36% 26.34% 35.30%+0.06 -0.3 10
2008-10-18 Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-247.4 1311 1132 62.26% 24.05% 13.69%+1.26 -51.0 7
2008-10-18 @ Gagra W 2-047.4 1132 1311 13.69% 24.05% 62.26%-1.26 +51.0 3
2008-10-18 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-236.7 1181 1322 24.24% 25.87% 49.89%-0.56 -23.7 7
2008-10-18 @ Borjomi W 2-036.7 1322 1181 49.89% 25.87% 24.24%+0.56 +23.7 12
2008-10-18 Zestaponi W 2-156.7 1439 1503 33.80% 26.33% 39.87%-0.12 +17.3 13
2008-10-18 @ WIT Georgia L 1-256.7 1503 1439 39.87% 26.33% 33.80%+0.12 -17.4 7
2008-10-19 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-345.7 1338 1492 22.86% 25.74% 51.40%-0.64 -19.5 5
2008-10-19 @ Meskheti W 3-145.7 1492 1338 51.40% 25.74% 22.86%+0.64 +19.5 9
2008-10-19 Olimpi Rustavi W 3-150.4 1258 1387 25.61% 25.98% 48.41%-0.49 +35.2 12
2008-10-19 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 1-350.4 1387 1258 48.41% 25.98% 25.61%+0.49 -35.2 3
2008-10-24 Borjomi D 1-153.8 1352 1157 63.61% 23.72% 12.67%+1.36 -5.3 4
2008-10-24 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 1-153.8 1157 1352 12.67% 23.72% 63.61%-1.36 +5.3 8
2008-10-24 Mglebi Zugdidi W 1-037.6 1486 1294 63.41% 23.77% 12.81%+1.34 +7.1 10
2008-10-24 @ Zestaponi L 0-137.6 1294 1486 12.81% 23.77% 63.41%-1.34 -7.1 12
2008-10-24 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-337.3 1183 1265 31.37% 26.27% 42.36%-0.23 -42.1 3
2008-10-24 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 3-037.3 1265 1183 42.36% 26.27% 31.37%+0.23 +42.1 9
2008-10-25 Gagra W 2-036.2 1345 1260 53.28% 25.54% 21.17%+0.73 +21.2 15
2008-10-25 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-236.2 1260 1345 21.17% 25.54% 53.28%-0.73 -21.1 7
2008-10-25 WIT Georgia L 0-141.7 1319 1457 24.55% 25.90% 49.55%-0.55 -12.7 5
2008-10-25 @ Meskheti W 1-041.7 1457 1319 49.55% 25.90% 24.55%+0.55 +12.7 16
2008-10-28 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-246.0 1307 1512 18.08% 25.08% 56.84%-0.93 -9.2 9
2008-10-28 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 2-146.0 1512 1307 56.84% 25.08% 18.08%+0.93 +9.2 12
2008-10-28 Zestaponi D 1-155.0 1162 1493 9.92% 22.59% 67.49%-1.65 +6.1 9
2008-10-28 @ Borjomi D 1-155.0 1493 1162 67.49% 22.59% 9.92%+1.65 -6.1 11
2008-10-29 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-437.3 1141 1366 16.37% 24.74% 58.89%-1.05 -20.7 3
2008-10-29 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-137.3 1366 1141 58.89% 24.74% 16.37%+1.05 +20.7 18
2008-10-29 Meskheti L 0-242.0 1286 1306 40.05% 26.32% 33.63%+0.13 -34.8 12
2008-10-29 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-042.0 1306 1286 33.63% 26.32% 40.05%-0.13 +34.8 8
2008-10-29 Olimpi Rustavi D 0-048.7 1238 1346 28.04% 26.13% 45.83%-0.38 +1.9 8
2008-10-29 @ Gagra D 0-048.7 1346 1238 45.83% 26.13% 28.04%+0.38 -1.9 5
2008-11-01 WIT Georgia D 2-267.8 1521 1469 49.30% 25.92% 24.78%+0.54 -1.8 13
2008-11-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-267.8 1469 1521 24.78% 25.92% 49.30%-0.54 +1.8 17
2008-11-02 Borjomi D 2-259.2 1341 1169 61.74% 24.17% 14.09%+1.23 -3.7 9
2008-11-02 @ Meskheti D 2-259.2 1169 1341 14.09% 24.17% 61.74%-1.23 +3.7 10
2008-11-02 Spartak Tskhinvali W 1-034.0 1345 1120 65.91% 23.09% 11.01%+1.52 +6.2 8
2008-11-02 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-134.0 1120 1345 11.01% 23.09% 65.91%-1.52 -6.2 3
2008-11-02 Gagra W 3-031.7 1487 1240 67.54% 22.57% 9.89%+1.65 +15.1 14
2008-11-02 @ Zestaponi L 0-331.7 1240 1487 9.89% 22.57% 67.54%-1.65 -15.1 8
2008-11-02 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-148.9 1387 1298 53.66% 25.50% 20.84%+0.75 -23.6 18
2008-11-02 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-048.9 1298 1387 20.84% 25.50% 53.66%-0.75 +23.6 12
2008-11-07 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-137.6 1252 1519 13.40% 23.97% 62.63%-1.29 -7.5 12
2008-11-07 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 1-037.6 1519 1252 62.63% 23.97% 13.40%+1.29 +7.5 16
2008-11-07 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-244.5 1364 1351 44.45% 26.20% 29.35%+0.32 -37.8 18
2008-11-07 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-044.5 1351 1364 29.35% 26.20% 44.45%-0.32 +37.8 11
2008-11-07 WIT Georgia D 2-261.7 1322 1471 23.30% 25.78% 50.92%-0.61 +2.0 13
2008-11-07 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 2-261.7 1471 1322 50.92% 25.78% 23.30%+0.61 -2.0 18
2008-11-07 Zestaponi L 1-238.6 1114 1502 7.56% 21.17% 71.27%-1.98 -3.9 3
2008-11-07 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-138.6 1502 1114 71.27% 21.17% 7.56%+1.98 +3.9 17
2008-11-08 Meskheti W 3-149.2 1225 1337 27.55% 26.11% 46.34%-0.40 +33.9 11
2008-11-08 @ Gagra L 1-349.2 1337 1225 46.34% 26.11% 27.55%+0.40 -33.9 9
2008-11-15 Borjomi W 5-028.6 1526 1172 74.26% 19.81% 5.93%+2.27 +14.1 19
2008-11-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-528.6 1172 1526 5.93% 19.81% 74.26%-2.27 -14.2 10
2008-11-15 Mglebi Zugdidi W 3-032.0 1469 1244 65.97% 23.07% 10.96%+1.53 +16.8 21
2008-11-15 @ WIT Georgia L 0-332.0 1244 1469 10.96% 23.07% 65.97%-1.53 -16.8 12
2008-11-15 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-142.4 1506 1326 62.41% 24.02% 13.57%+1.27 +12.3 20
2008-11-15 @ Zestaponi L 1-342.4 1326 1506 13.57% 24.02% 62.41%-1.27 -12.3 18
2008-11-15 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-050.0 1389 1324 50.92% 25.78% 23.29%+0.61 -3.0 12
2008-11-15 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-050.0 1324 1389 23.29% 25.78% 50.92%-0.61 +3.0 14
2008-11-16 Spartak Tskhinvali W 1-034.6 1303 1110 63.47% 23.76% 12.77%+1.35 +7.1 12
2008-11-16 @ Meskheti L 0-134.6 1110 1303 12.77% 23.76% 63.47%-1.35 -7.1 3
2008-11-21 Mglebi Zugdidi D 2-259.0 1327 1227 54.73% 25.37% 19.90%+0.81 -2.6 15
2008-11-21 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 2-259.0 1227 1327 19.90% 25.37% 54.73%-0.81 +2.6 13
2008-11-22 Borjomi W 4-133.9 1486 1158 72.76% 20.52% 6.72%+2.12 +8.5 24
2008-11-22 @ WIT Georgia L 1-433.9 1158 1486 6.72% 20.52% 72.76%-2.12 -8.5 10
2008-11-22 Gagra W 3-032.4 1541 1259 69.91% 21.72% 8.37%+1.85 +12.8 22
2008-11-22 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-332.4 1259 1541 8.37% 21.72% 69.91%-1.85 -12.8 11
2008-11-22 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-145.2 1310 1313 42.32% 26.27% 31.40%+0.22 +25.1 15
2008-11-22 @ Meskheti L 1-345.2 1313 1310 31.40% 26.27% 42.32%-0.22 -25.1 18
2008-11-22 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-154.8 1518 1386 58.12% 24.87% 17.00%+1.00 -25.4 20
2008-11-22 @ Zestaponi W 1-054.8 1386 1518 17.00% 24.87% 58.12%-1.00 +25.4 15
2008-11-29 Mglebi Zugdidi D 2-258.3 1150 1230 31.56% 26.28% 42.16%-0.22 +0.7 11
2008-11-29 @ Borjomi D 2-258.3 1230 1150 42.16% 26.28% 31.56%+0.22 -0.7 14
2008-11-30 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-328.7 1103 1553 5.62% 19.50% 74.88%-2.33 -8.3 3
2008-11-30 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 3-028.7 1553 1103 74.88% 19.50% 5.62%+2.33 +8.3 25
2008-11-30 Meskheti W 4-036.0 1411 1336 52.13% 25.67% 22.21%+0.67 +41.8 18
2008-11-30 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-436.0 1336 1411 22.21% 25.67% 52.13%-0.67 -41.8 15
2008-11-30 Sioni Bolnisi W 1-039.0 1493 1324 61.44% 24.24% 14.32%+1.21 +7.9 23
2008-11-30 @ Zestaponi L 0-139.0 1324 1493 14.32% 24.24% 61.44%-1.21 -7.9 15
2008-11-30 WIT Georgia L 0-433.3 1246 1494 14.69% 24.34% 60.98%-1.18 -29.0 11
2008-11-30 @ Gagra W 4-033.3 1494 1246 60.98% 24.34% 14.69%+1.18 +29.0 27
2008-12-06 Borjomi W 2-140.9 1316 1150 61.18% 24.29% 14.53%+1.19 +7.6 18
2008-12-06 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 1-240.9 1150 1316 14.53% 24.29% 61.18%-1.19 -7.6 11
2008-12-06 Gagra W 1-040.4 1229 1217 44.34% 26.20% 29.46%+0.31 +14.7 17
2008-12-06 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-140.4 1217 1229 29.46% 26.20% 44.34%-0.31 -14.6 11
2008-12-07 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-028.9 1524 1095 78.09% 17.75% 4.16%+2.69 +4.1 30
2008-12-07 @ WIT Georgia L 0-228.9 1095 1524 4.16% 17.75% 78.09%-2.69 -4.1 3
2008-12-07 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-143.0 1562 1288 69.37% 21.93% 8.71%+1.81 +4.6 28
2008-12-07 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-243.0 1288 1562 8.71% 21.93% 69.37%-1.81 -4.6 18
2008-12-07 Zestaponi D 0-051.7 1294 1501 17.85% 25.04% 57.12%-0.94 +4.4 16
2008-12-07 @ Meskheti D 0-051.7 1501 1294 57.12% 25.04% 17.85%+0.94 -4.4 24
2008-12-13 Borjomi W 2-036.3 1203 1143 50.33% 25.83% 23.84%+0.58 +23.3 14
2008-12-13 @ Gagra L 0-236.3 1143 1203 23.84% 25.83% 50.33%-0.58 -23.3 11
2008-12-13 Mglebi Zugdidi W 4-042.3 1091 1244 22.94% 25.75% 51.31%-0.63 +81.1 6
2008-12-13 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-442.3 1244 1091 51.31% 25.75% 22.94%+0.63 -81.1 17
2008-12-13 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-055.9 1453 1566 27.39% 26.10% 46.51%-0.41 +20.8 21
2008-12-13 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-155.9 1566 1453 46.51% 26.10% 27.39%+0.41 -20.8 28
2008-12-14 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-242.0 1298 1324 39.22% 26.34% 34.44%+0.10 -34.3 16
2008-12-14 @ Meskheti W 2-042.0 1324 1298 34.44% 26.34% 39.22%-0.10 +34.3 21
2008-12-14 WIT Georgia L 0-139.1 1284 1528 14.99% 24.41% 60.59%-1.15 -8.3 18
2008-12-14 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-039.1 1528 1284 60.59% 24.41% 14.99%+1.15 +8.3 33
2008-12-20 Gagra W 2-034.6 1358 1226 58.06% 24.88% 17.06%+1.00 +17.5 24
2008-12-20 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-234.6 1226 1358 17.06% 24.88% 58.06%-1.00 -17.5 14
2008-12-21 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-048.1 1163 1275 27.47% 26.10% 46.42%-0.40 +2.0 18
2008-12-21 @ Mglebi Zugdidi D 0-048.1 1275 1163 46.42% 26.10% 27.47%+0.40 -2.0 19
2008-12-21 Olimpi Rustavi D 1-163.0 1536 1474 50.61% 25.81% 23.58%+0.60 -2.6 34
2008-12-21 @ WIT Georgia D 1-163.0 1474 1536 23.58% 25.81% 50.61%-0.60 +2.6 22
2008-12-27 Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-138.7 1476 1165 71.78% 20.95% 7.26%+2.02 +3.8 25
2008-12-27 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-238.7 1165 1476 7.26% 20.95% 71.78%-2.02 -3.8 18
2008-12-27 Gagra D 1-152.7 1172 1208 37.68% 26.35% 35.97%+0.03 -0.1 7
2008-12-27 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-152.7 1208 1172 35.97% 26.35% 37.68%-0.03 +0.1 15
2008-12-27 Meskheti W 4-032.0 1545 1264 69.90% 21.72% 8.38%+1.85 +16.7 31
2008-12-27 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-432.0 1264 1545 8.38% 21.72% 69.90%-1.85 -16.7 16
2008-12-28 Borjomi W 4-031.2 1273 1119 60.13% 24.51% 15.36%+1.12 +30.3 22
2008-12-28 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-431.2 1119 1273 15.36% 24.51% 60.13%-1.12 -30.3 11
2008-12-28 WIT Georgia L 1-259.2 1496 1533 37.60% 26.35% 36.05%+0.03 -16.6 24
2008-12-28 @ Zestaponi W 2-159.2 1533 1496 36.05% 26.35% 37.60%-0.03 +16.6 37
2009-02-07 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-048.3 1209 1304 29.64% 26.21% 44.15%-0.30 +1.5 16
2009-02-07 @ Gagra D 0-048.3 1304 1209 44.15% 26.21% 29.64%+0.30 -1.5 23
2009-02-07 Meskheti W 1-035.6 1550 1247 71.24% 21.18% 7.58%+1.97 +4.2 40
2009-02-07 @ WIT Georgia L 0-135.6 1247 1550 7.58% 21.18% 71.24%-1.97 -4.2 16
2009-02-07 Zestaponi L 0-134.7 1161 1480 10.49% 22.86% 66.65%-1.58 -5.9 18
2009-02-07 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 1-034.7 1480 1161 66.65% 22.86% 10.49%+1.58 +5.9 27
2009-02-08 Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-049.2 1375 1172 64.33% 23.54% 12.14%+1.41 -6.1 25
2009-02-08 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-049.2 1172 1375 12.14% 23.54% 64.33%-1.41 +6.1 8
2009-02-08 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-238.2 1089 1480 7.45% 21.09% 71.47%-1.99 -3.9 11
2009-02-08 @ Borjomi W 2-138.2 1480 1089 71.47% 21.09% 7.45%+1.99 +3.9 28
2009-02-14 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-142.1 1302 1178 57.30% 25.01% 17.69%+0.95 +9.1 26
2009-02-14 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-242.1 1178 1302 17.69% 25.01% 57.30%-0.95 -9.0 8
2009-02-14 Gagra W 3-030.7 1484 1210 69.40% 21.91% 8.69%+1.81 +13.2 31
2009-02-14 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-330.7 1210 1484 8.69% 21.91% 69.40%-1.81 -13.2 16
2009-02-15 Borjomi W 1-031.1 1486 1085 76.71% 18.54% 4.76%+2.53 +2.5 30
2009-02-15 @ Zestaponi L 0-131.1 1085 1486 4.76% 18.54% 76.71%-2.53 -2.5 11
2009-02-15 Mglebi Zugdidi D 0-048.2 1243 1155 53.52% 25.52% 20.96%+0.75 -3.6 17
2009-02-15 @ Meskheti D 0-048.2 1155 1243 20.96% 25.52% 53.52%-0.75 +3.6 19
2009-02-15 Sioni Bolnisi W 4-142.9 1562 1369 63.45% 23.77% 12.79%+1.34 +16.5 34
2009-02-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-442.9 1369 1562 12.79% 23.77% 63.45%-1.34 -16.5 25
2009-02-21 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-167.1 1554 1578 39.37% 26.33% 34.30%+0.10 -0.5 41
2009-02-21 @ WIT Georgia D 1-167.1 1578 1554 34.30% 26.33% 39.37%-0.10 +0.5 35
2009-02-21 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-143.8 1353 1311 48.12% 26.00% 25.88%+0.48 +21.6 28
2009-02-21 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 1-343.8 1311 1353 25.88% 26.00% 48.12%-0.48 -21.6 26
2009-02-21 Meskheti D 0-048.1 1083 1239 22.55% 25.70% 51.75%-0.65 +3.2 12
2009-02-21 @ Borjomi D 0-048.1 1239 1083 51.75% 25.70% 22.55%+0.65 -3.2 18
2009-02-21 Olimpi Rustavi D 1-155.1 1169 1497 10.03% 22.64% 67.32%-1.64 +6.0 9
2009-02-21 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-155.1 1497 1169 67.32% 22.64% 10.03%+1.64 -6.0 32
2009-02-21 Zestaponi L 1-339.1 1197 1488 11.96% 23.47% 64.57%-1.42 -10.9 16
2009-02-21 @ Gagra W 3-139.1 1488 1197 64.57% 23.47% 11.96%+1.42 +10.9 33
2009-02-25 Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-343.8 1086 1175 30.42% 26.24% 43.34%-0.27 -24.5 12
2009-02-25 @ Borjomi W 3-143.8 1175 1086 43.34% 26.24% 30.42%+0.27 +24.5 12
2009-02-25 Zestaponi W 2-048.3 1579 1499 52.63% 25.62% 21.76%+0.70 +21.6 38
2009-02-25 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-248.3 1499 1579 21.76% 25.62% 52.63%-0.70 -21.6 33
2009-02-28 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-051.8 1491 1290 64.15% 23.58% 12.27%+1.39 -6.1 33
2009-02-28 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-051.8 1290 1491 12.27% 23.58% 64.15%-1.39 +6.1 27
2009-02-28 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-160.6 1554 1375 62.32% 24.04% 13.64%+1.27 -5.0 42
2009-02-28 @ WIT Georgia D 1-160.6 1375 1554 13.64% 24.04% 62.32%-1.27 +5.0 29
2009-03-01 Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-138.1 1601 1159 78.72% 17.38% 3.90%+2.77 +1.9 41
2009-03-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-238.1 1159 1601 3.90% 17.38% 78.72%-2.77 -1.9 19
2009-03-01 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-135.2 1477 1200 69.67% 21.81% 8.52%+1.83 +10.9 36
2009-03-01 @ Zestaponi L 1-435.2 1200 1477 8.52% 21.81% 69.67%-1.83 -10.9 12
2009-03-01 Gagra W 2-036.7 1236 1186 49.19% 25.92% 24.89%+0.53 +24.2 21
2009-03-01 @ Meskheti L 0-236.7 1186 1236 24.89% 25.92% 49.19%-0.53 -24.2 16
2009-03-06 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-426.7 1061 1602 3.64% 16.97% 79.39%-2.85 -6.7 12
2009-03-06 @ Borjomi W 4-026.7 1602 1061 79.39% 16.97% 3.64%+2.85 +6.6 44
2009-03-06 Meskheti D 1-152.8 1189 1260 32.70% 26.31% 41.00%-0.17 +0.8 13
2009-03-06 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-152.8 1260 1189 41.00% 26.31% 32.70%+0.17 -0.8 22
2009-03-06 WIT Georgia L 0-231.7 1157 1549 7.42% 21.07% 71.52%-2.00 -7.7 19
2009-03-06 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-031.7 1549 1157 71.52% 21.07% 7.42%+2.00 +7.7 45
2009-03-07 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-145.1 1380 1485 28.36% 26.15% 45.48%-0.36 -14.2 29
2009-03-07 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-045.1 1485 1380 45.48% 26.15% 28.36%+0.36 +14.2 36
2009-03-07 Zestaponi L 1-245.5 1296 1488 19.10% 25.25% 55.65%-0.86 -9.7 27
2009-03-07 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-145.5 1488 1296 55.65% 25.25% 19.10%+0.86 +9.7 39
2009-03-10 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-134.0 1162 1609 5.69% 19.58% 74.73%-2.32 -3.1 16
2009-03-10 @ Gagra W 1-034.0 1609 1162 74.73% 19.58% 5.69%+2.32 +3.1 47
2009-03-10 WIT Georgia L 0-327.5 1055 1556 4.40% 18.08% 77.53%-2.63 -6.3 12
2009-03-10 @ Borjomi W 3-027.5 1556 1055 77.53% 18.08% 4.40%+2.63 +6.3 48
2009-03-11 Meskheti D 0-048.4 1286 1260 46.20% 26.12% 27.68%+0.39 -2.0 28
2009-03-11 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-048.4 1260 1286 27.68% 26.12% 46.20%-0.39 +2.0 23
2009-03-11 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-046.6 1149 1365 17.09% 24.89% 58.02%-0.99 +47.8 22
2009-03-11 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-246.6 1365 1149 58.02% 24.89% 17.09%+0.99 -47.8 29
2009-03-11 Zestaponi W 1-050.4 1499 1498 42.90% 26.26% 30.85%+0.25 +15.2 39
2009-03-11 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-150.4 1498 1499 30.85% 26.26% 42.90%-0.25 -15.2 39
2009-03-14 Gagra D 0-052.3 1563 1159 76.88% 18.44% 4.68%+2.55 -8.6 49
2009-03-14 @ WIT Georgia D 0-052.3 1159 1563 4.68% 18.44% 76.88%-2.55 +8.6 17
2009-03-15 Borjomi W 5-031.2 1197 1048 59.62% 24.61% 15.78%+1.09 +38.2 25
2009-03-15 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-531.2 1048 1197 15.78% 24.61% 59.62%-1.09 -38.2 12
2009-03-15 Spartak Tskhinvali D 2-264.3 1612 1189 77.82% 17.91% 4.27%+2.66 -5.8 48
2009-03-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-264.3 1189 1612 4.27% 17.91% 77.82%-2.66 +5.8 14
2009-03-15 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-138.1 1262 1514 14.37% 24.25% 61.38%-1.20 -8.0 23
2009-03-15 @ Meskheti W 1-038.1 1514 1262 61.38% 24.25% 14.37%+1.20 +8.0 42
2009-03-15 Zestaponi D 0-051.6 1318 1483 21.68% 25.61% 52.71%-0.70 +3.4 30
2009-03-15 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-051.6 1483 1318 52.71% 25.61% 21.68%+0.70 -3.4 40
2009-03-21 Mglebi Zugdidi D 2-258.3 1167 1235 33.24% 26.32% 40.44%-0.15 +0.5 18
2009-03-21 @ Gagra D 2-258.3 1235 1167 40.44% 26.32% 33.24%+0.15 -0.5 26
2009-03-21 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-054.9 1284 1606 10.32% 22.78% 66.90%-1.60 +6.7 29
2009-03-21 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-054.9 1606 1284 66.90% 22.78% 10.32%+1.60 -6.7 49
2009-03-21 Sioni Bolnisi L 1-239.2 1010 1321 10.90% 23.04% 66.05%-1.54 -5.8 12
2009-03-21 @ Borjomi W 2-139.2 1321 1010 66.05% 23.04% 10.90%+1.54 +5.7 33
2009-03-22 Meskheti W 3-032.3 1479 1254 66.03% 23.05% 10.92%+1.53 +16.7 43
2009-03-22 @ Zestaponi L 0-332.3 1254 1479 10.92% 23.05% 66.03%-1.53 -16.7 23
2009-03-22 WIT Georgia D 0-051.7 1195 1554 8.67% 21.90% 69.43%-1.81 +7.2 15
2009-03-22 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-051.7 1554 1195 69.43% 21.90% 8.67%+1.81 -7.2 50
2009-04-04 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-145.1 1235 1202 46.95% 26.07% 26.97%+0.43 +12.9 29
2009-04-04 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 1-245.1 1202 1235 26.97% 26.07% 46.95%-0.43 -12.9 15
2009-04-04 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-140.9 1547 1291 68.19% 22.35% 9.46%+1.71 +8.6 53
2009-04-04 @ WIT Georgia L 1-340.9 1291 1547 9.46% 22.35% 68.19%-1.71 -8.6 29
2009-04-05 Gagra L 1-243.2 1004 1168 21.88% 25.63% 52.49%-0.69 -10.9 12
2009-04-05 @ Borjomi W 2-143.2 1168 1004 52.49% 25.63% 21.88%+0.69 +10.9 21
2009-04-05 Meskheti W 2-035.8 1327 1237 53.71% 25.50% 20.79%+0.76 +20.8 36
2009-04-05 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-235.8 1237 1327 20.79% 25.50% 53.71%-0.76 -20.8 23
2009-04-05 Olimpi Rustavi W 2-157.5 1600 1522 52.34% 25.65% 22.01%+0.68 +10.9 52
2009-04-05 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-257.5 1522 1600 22.01% 25.65% 52.34%-0.68 -10.9 42
2009-04-10 Mglebi Zugdidi D 1-153.2 1282 1248 47.25% 26.06% 26.69%+0.44 -2.0 30
2009-04-10 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-153.2 1248 1282 26.69% 26.06% 47.25%-0.44 +2.0 30
2009-04-10 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-448.9 1496 1611 27.27% 26.09% 46.64%-0.41 -49.3 43
2009-04-10 @ Zestaponi W 4-048.9 1611 1496 46.64% 26.09% 27.27%+0.41 +49.3 55
2009-04-10 WIT Georgia L 1-358.1 1511 1555 36.59% 26.35% 37.06%-0.01 -28.2 42
2009-04-10 @ Olimpi Rustavi W 3-158.1 1555 1511 37.06% 26.35% 36.59%+0.01 +28.2 56
2009-04-11 Borjomi W 2-032.1 1189 994 63.71% 23.70% 12.59%+1.36 +13.2 18
2009-04-11 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-232.1 994 1189 12.59% 23.70% 63.71%-1.36 -13.2 12
2009-04-11 Sioni Bolnisi L 1-243.6 1179 1348 21.33% 25.56% 53.11%-0.72 -10.6 21
2009-04-11 @ Gagra W 2-143.6 1348 1179 53.11% 25.56% 21.33%+0.72 +10.6 39
2009-04-17 Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-152.7 1168 1203 37.91% 26.35% 35.74%+0.04 -0.2 22
2009-04-17 @ Gagra D 1-152.7 1203 1168 35.74% 26.35% 37.91%-0.04 +0.2 19
2009-04-18 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-153.5 980 1280 11.48% 23.29% 65.23%-1.47 +5.6 13
2009-04-18 @ Borjomi D 1-153.5 1280 980 65.23% 23.29% 11.48%+1.47 -5.6 31
2009-04-18 Meskheti W 2-033.2 1660 1216 78.81% 17.32% 3.87%+2.78 +3.8 58
2009-04-18 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-233.2 1216 1660 3.87% 17.32% 78.81%-2.78 -3.8 23
2009-04-18 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-243.4 1249 1483 15.73% 24.60% 59.68%-1.10 -8.2 30
2009-04-18 @ Mglebi Zugdidi W 2-143.4 1483 1249 59.68% 24.60% 15.73%+1.10 +8.2 45
2009-04-18 Zestaponi W 2-152.5 1584 1447 58.51% 24.81% 16.68%+1.02 +8.6 59
2009-04-18 @ WIT Georgia L 1-252.5 1447 1584 16.68% 24.81% 58.51%-1.02 -8.6 43
2009-04-24 Gagra L 0-147.9 1275 1168 55.53% 25.27% 19.20%+0.85 -24.3 31
2009-04-24 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-047.9 1168 1275 19.20% 25.27% 55.53%-0.85 +24.4 25
2009-04-24 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-152.8 1203 1358 22.71% 25.72% 51.57%-0.65 +21.5 22
2009-04-24 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-252.8 1358 1203 51.57% 25.72% 22.71%+0.65 -21.5 39
2009-04-25 Borjomi W 6-127.4 1491 986 81.52% 15.61% 2.87%+3.13 +5.2 48
2009-04-25 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-627.4 986 1491 2.87% 15.61% 81.52%-3.13 -5.2 13
2009-04-25 Mglebi Zugdidi W 3-139.3 1438 1241 63.79% 23.68% 12.53%+1.37 +11.4 46
2009-04-25 @ Zestaponi L 1-339.3 1241 1438 12.53% 23.68% 63.79%-1.37 -11.4 30
2009-04-25 WIT Georgia L 0-332.2 1212 1592 7.85% 21.38% 70.77%-1.93 -11.9 23
2009-04-25 @ Meskheti W 3-032.2 1592 1212 70.77% 21.38% 7.85%+1.93 +11.9 62
2009-05-02 Meskheti W 4-140.8 1230 1200 46.59% 26.09% 27.31%+0.41 +31.9 33
2009-05-02 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 1-440.8 1200 1230 27.31% 26.09% 46.59%-0.41 -31.9 23
2009-05-03 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-163.6 1337 1664 10.09% 22.67% 67.24%-1.63 +6.0 40
2009-05-03 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 1-163.6 1664 1337 67.24% 22.67% 10.09%+1.63 -6.0 59
2009-05-03 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-346.8 1224 1250 39.17% 26.34% 34.49%+0.09 -29.7 22
2009-05-03 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 3-146.8 1250 1224 34.49% 26.34% 39.17%-0.09 +29.7 34
2009-05-03 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-135.5 1192 1497 11.23% 23.19% 65.58%-1.50 -6.3 25
2009-05-03 @ Gagra W 1-035.5 1497 1192 65.58% 23.19% 11.23%+1.50 +6.3 51
2009-05-03 Zestaponi L 1-334.3 981 1450 5.14% 18.98% 75.87%-2.44 -4.5 13
2009-05-03 @ Borjomi W 3-134.3 1450 981 75.87% 18.98% 5.14%+2.44 +4.5 49
2009-05-09 Borjomi W 6-030.2 1169 976 63.42% 23.77% 12.81%+1.34 +37.4 26
2009-05-09 @ Meskheti L 0-630.2 976 1169 12.81% 23.77% 63.42%-1.34 -37.4 13
2009-05-09 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-153.6 1280 1343 33.93% 26.33% 39.74%-0.12 +0.5 35
2009-05-09 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-153.6 1343 1280 39.74% 26.33% 33.93%+0.12 -0.5 41
2009-05-10 Spartak Tskhinvali W 1-033.8 1503 1195 71.58% 21.04% 7.38%+2.00 +4.1 54
2009-05-10 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-133.8 1195 1503 7.38% 21.04% 71.58%-2.00 -4.1 22
2009-05-10 Gagra W 6-029.8 1454 1186 69.03% 22.05% 8.92%+1.78 +26.0 52
2009-05-10 @ Zestaponi L 0-629.8 1186 1454 8.92% 22.05% 69.03%-1.78 -26.0 25
2009-05-10 WIT Georgia D 1-170.2 1658 1604 49.58% 25.89% 24.53%+0.55 -2.4 60
2009-05-10 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-170.2 1604 1658 24.53% 25.89% 49.58%-0.55 +2.4 63
2009-05-17 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-058.2 1262 1655 7.36% 21.02% 71.62%-2.01 +30.6 36
2009-05-17 @ Mglebi Zugdidi L 0-158.2 1655 1262 71.62% 21.02% 7.36%+2.01 -30.6 60
2009-05-17 Meskheti W 2-040.5 1160 1206 36.28% 26.35% 37.37%-0.02 +33.1 28
2009-05-17 @ Gagra L 0-240.5 1206 1160 37.37% 26.35% 36.28%+0.02 -33.0 26
2009-05-17 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-342.4 1280 1507 16.28% 24.72% 59.00%-1.05 -14.6 35
2009-05-17 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-142.4 1507 1280 59.00% 24.72% 16.28%+1.05 +14.6 57
2009-05-17 WIT Georgia L 3-455.5 1342 1606 13.60% 24.03% 62.37%-1.27 -6.6 41
2009-05-17 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 4-355.5 1606 1342 62.37% 24.03% 13.60%+1.27 +6.6 66
2009-05-17 Zestaponi W 1-051.3 1191 1480 12.06% 23.51% 64.43%-1.41 +27.9 25
2009-05-17 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-151.3 1480 1191 64.43% 23.51% 12.06%+1.41 -27.9 52
2009-05-23 Borjomi W 12-024.3 1625 939 87.84% 11.00% 1.17%+4.16 +5.3 63
2009-05-23 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-1224.3 939 1625 1.17% 11.00% 87.84%-4.16 -5.2 13
2009-05-23 Mglebi Zugdidi W 4-034.0 1613 1292 72.33% 20.71% 6.95%+2.08 +13.7 69
2009-05-23 @ WIT Georgia L 0-434.0 1292 1613 6.95% 20.71% 72.33%-2.08 -13.7 36
2009-05-23 Spartak Tskhinvali W 1-042.7 1173 1219 36.34% 26.35% 37.31%-0.02 +17.5 29
2009-05-23 @ Meskheti L 0-142.7 1219 1173 37.31% 26.35% 36.34%+0.02 -17.5 25
2009-05-23 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-354.9 1452 1266 62.93% 23.89% 13.17%+1.31 -44.7 52
2009-05-23 @ Zestaponi W 3-154.9 1266 1452 13.17% 23.89% 62.93%-1.31 +44.7 38
2009-05-23 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-154.5 1522 1336 62.89% 23.90% 13.20%+1.31 -27.3 57
2009-05-23 @ Olimpi Rustavi W 1-054.5 1336 1522 13.20% 23.90% 62.89%-1.31 +27.3 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-05-17 7.36% @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1262 1 Dinamo Tbilisi 1655 0
2 2009-05-17 12.06% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1191 1 Zestaponi 1480 0
3 2008-09-26 12.15% Meskheti 1311 1 @ Zestaponi 1515 0
4 2009-05-23 13.17% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1266 3 @ Zestaponi 1452 1
5 2009-05-23 13.20% Sioni Bolnisi 1336 1 @ Olimpi Rustavi 1522 0
6 2008-10-18 13.69% Spartak Tskhinvali 1132 2 @ Gagra 1311 0
7 2008-09-14 15.92% @ Gagra 1309 2 Dinamo Tbilisi 1540 1
8 2008-09-27 16.16% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1296 1 Dinamo Tbilisi 1524 0
9 2008-10-01 16.27% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1322 2 @ WIT Georgia 1464 1
10 2008-11-22 17.00% Olimpi Rustavi 1386 1 @ Zestaponi 1518 0
11 2009-03-11 17.09% @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1149 2 Sioni Bolnisi 1365 0
12 2008-10-05 18.70% Mglebi Zugdidi 1234 1 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1346 0
13 2008-09-30 19.01% @ Borjomi 1141 3 Gagra 1335 2
14 2009-04-24 19.20% Gagra 1168 1 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1275 0
15 2008-11-02 20.84% Sioni Bolnisi 1298 1 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1387 0
16 2009-04-24 22.71% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1203 2 Sioni Bolnisi 1358 1
17 2008-12-13 22.94% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1091 4 Mglebi Zugdidi 1244 0
18 2008-10-19 25.61% @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1258 3 Olimpi Rustavi 1387 1
19 2008-12-13 27.39% @ Olimpi Rustavi 1453 1 Dinamo Tbilisi 1566 0
20 2008-11-08 27.55% @ Gagra 1225 3 Meskheti 1337 1
21 2008-11-07 29.35% Olimpi Rustavi 1351 2 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1364 0
22 2008-09-13 30.57% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1259 2 Meskheti 1347 0
23 2008-10-05 32.75% Borjomi 1163 2 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1150 1
24 2008-10-29 33.63% Meskheti 1306 2 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1286 0
25 2008-10-18 33.80% @ WIT Georgia 1439 2 Zestaponi 1503 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-12-13 81.14 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 4 1091 22.94% Mglebi Zugdidi 0 1244 51.31% 25.75%
2 2008-10-18 51.05 Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1132 13.69% @ Gagra 0 1311 62.26% 24.05%
3 2009-04-10 49.33 Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1611 46.64% @ Zestaponi 0 1496 27.27% 26.09%
4 2009-03-11 47.82 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 2 1149 17.09% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1365 58.02% 24.89%
5 2009-05-23 44.65 Lokomotive Tbilisi 3 1266 13.17% @ Zestaponi 1 1452 62.93% 23.89%
6 2008-10-24 42.10 Sioni Bolnisi 3 1265 42.36% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1183 31.37% 26.27%
7 2008-11-30 41.77 @ Olimpi Rustavi 4 1411 52.13% Meskheti 0 1336 22.21% 25.67%
8 2009-03-15 38.23 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 5 1197 59.62% Borjomi 0 1048 15.78% 24.61%
9 2008-11-07 37.84 Olimpi Rustavi 2 1351 29.35% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1364 44.45% 26.20%
10 2009-05-09 37.37 @ Meskheti 6 1169 63.42% Borjomi 0 976 12.81% 23.77%
11 2008-09-13 36.95 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 2 1259 30.57% Meskheti 0 1347 43.18% 26.25%
12 2008-10-19 35.20 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 3 1258 25.61% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1387 48.41% 25.98%
13 2008-10-29 34.83 Meskheti 2 1306 33.63% @ Mglebi Zugdidi 0 1286 40.05% 26.32%
14 2008-12-14 34.28 Sioni Bolnisi 2 1324 34.44% @ Meskheti 0 1298 39.22% 26.34%
15 2008-11-08 33.92 @ Gagra 3 1225 27.55% Meskheti 1 1337 46.34% 26.11%
16 2009-05-17 33.05 @ Gagra 2 1160 36.28% Meskheti 0 1206 37.37% 26.35%
17 2008-09-20 32.28 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 4 1197 46.14% Borjomi 1 1171 27.74% 26.12%
18 2009-05-02 31.88 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 4 1230 46.59% Meskheti 1 1200 27.31% 26.09%
19 2009-05-17 30.62 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1 1262 7.36% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1655 71.62% 21.02%
20 2008-12-28 30.27 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 4 1273 60.13% Borjomi 0 1119 15.36% 24.51%
21 2009-05-03 29.65 Lokomotive Tbilisi 3 1250 34.49% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1224 39.17% 26.34%
22 2008-11-30 29.05 WIT Georgia 4 1494 60.98% @ Gagra 0 1246 14.69% 24.34%
23 2009-04-10 28.18 WIT Georgia 3 1555 37.06% @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1511 36.59% 26.35%
24 2009-05-17 27.94 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1191 12.06% Zestaponi 0 1480 64.43% 23.51%
25 2008-09-26 27.90 Meskheti 1 1311 12.15% @ Zestaponi 0 1515 64.31% 23.54%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-10 70.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1658 49.58% WIT Georgia 1 1604 24.53% 25.89%
2 2008-11-01 67.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1521 49.30% WIT Georgia 2 1469 24.78% 25.92%
3 2009-02-21 67.1 @ WIT Georgia 1 1554 39.37% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1578 34.30% 26.33%
4 2009-03-15 64.3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1612 77.82% Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1189 4.27% 17.91%
5 2009-05-03 63.6 @ Sioni Bolnisi 1 1337 10.09% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1664 67.24% 22.67%
6 2008-12-21 63.0 @ WIT Georgia 1 1536 50.61% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1474 23.58% 25.81%
7 2008-11-07 61.7 @ Sioni Bolnisi 2 1322 23.30% WIT Georgia 2 1471 50.92% 25.78%
8 2009-02-28 60.6 @ WIT Georgia 1 1554 62.32% Sioni Bolnisi 1 1375 13.64% 24.04%
9 2008-11-02 59.2 @ Meskheti 2 1341 61.74% Borjomi 2 1169 14.09% 24.17%
10 2008-12-28 59.2 WIT Georgia 2 1533 36.05% @ Zestaponi 1 1496 37.60% 26.35%
11 2008-09-14 59.0 @ Gagra 2 1309 15.92% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1540 59.44% 24.64%
12 2008-11-21 59.0 @ Sioni Bolnisi 2 1327 54.73% Mglebi Zugdidi 2 1227 19.90% 25.37%
13 2008-09-30 58.4 @ Borjomi 3 1141 19.01% Gagra 2 1335 55.75% 25.24%
14 2008-11-29 58.3 @ Borjomi 2 1150 31.56% Mglebi Zugdidi 2 1230 42.16% 26.28%
15 2009-03-21 58.3 @ Gagra 2 1167 33.24% Mglebi Zugdidi 2 1235 40.44% 26.32%
16 2009-05-17 58.2 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 1 1262 7.36% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1655 71.62% 21.02%
17 2009-04-10 58.1 WIT Georgia 3 1555 37.06% @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1511 36.59% 26.35%
18 2009-04-05 57.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1600 52.34% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1522 22.01% 25.65%
19 2008-10-01 57.4 Lokomotive Tbilisi 2 1322 16.27% @ WIT Georgia 1 1464 59.01% 24.72%
20 2008-10-18 56.7 @ WIT Georgia 2 1439 33.80% Zestaponi 1 1503 39.87% 26.33%
21 2008-12-13 55.9 @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1453 27.39% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1566 46.51% 26.10%
22 2009-05-17 55.5 WIT Georgia 4 1606 62.37% @ Sioni Bolnisi 3 1342 13.60% 24.03%
23 2009-02-21 55.1 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1169 10.03% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1497 67.32% 22.64%
24 2008-10-28 55.0 @ Borjomi 1 1162 9.92% Zestaponi 1 1493 67.49% 22.59%
25 2009-03-21 54.9 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1284 10.32% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1606 66.90% 22.78%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-23 24.3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 12 1625 87.84% Borjomi 0 939 1.17% 11.00%
2 2009-03-06 26.7 Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1602 79.39% @ Borjomi 0 1061 3.64% 16.97%
3 2009-04-25 27.4 @ Olimpi Rustavi 6 1491 81.52% Borjomi 1 986 2.87% 15.61%
4 2009-03-10 27.5 WIT Georgia 3 1556 77.53% @ Borjomi 0 1055 4.40% 18.08%
5 2008-11-15 28.6 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 5 1526 74.26% Borjomi 0 1172 5.93% 19.81%
6 2008-11-30 28.7 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1553 74.88% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1103 5.62% 19.50%
7 2008-12-07 28.9 @ WIT Georgia 2 1524 78.09% Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1095 4.16% 17.75%
8 2009-05-10 29.8 @ Zestaponi 6 1454 69.03% Gagra 0 1186 8.92% 22.05%
9 2009-05-09 30.2 @ Meskheti 6 1169 63.42% Borjomi 0 976 12.81% 23.77%
10 2009-02-14 30.7 @ Olimpi Rustavi 3 1484 69.40% Gagra 0 1210 8.69% 21.91%
11 2009-02-15 31.1 @ Zestaponi 1 1486 76.71% Borjomi 0 1085 4.76% 18.54%
12 2008-12-28 31.2 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 4 1273 60.13% Borjomi 0 1119 15.36% 24.51%
13 2009-03-15 31.2 @ Mglebi Zugdidi 5 1197 59.62% Borjomi 0 1048 15.78% 24.61%
14 2008-11-02 31.7 @ Zestaponi 3 1487 67.54% Gagra 0 1240 9.89% 22.57%
15 2009-03-06 31.7 WIT Georgia 2 1549 71.52% @ Mglebi Zugdidi 0 1157 7.42% 21.07%
16 2008-11-15 32.0 @ WIT Georgia 3 1469 65.97% Mglebi Zugdidi 0 1244 10.96% 23.07%
17 2008-12-27 32.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1545 69.90% Meskheti 0 1264 8.38% 21.72%
18 2009-04-11 32.1 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1189 63.71% Borjomi 0 994 12.59% 23.70%
19 2009-04-25 32.2 WIT Georgia 3 1592 70.77% @ Meskheti 0 1212 7.85% 21.38%
20 2009-03-22 32.3 @ Zestaponi 3 1479 66.03% Meskheti 0 1254 10.92% 23.05%
21 2008-11-22 32.4 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1541 69.91% Gagra 0 1259 8.37% 21.72%
22 2009-04-18 33.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1660 78.81% Meskheti 0 1216 3.87% 17.32%
23 2008-11-30 33.3 WIT Georgia 4 1494 60.98% @ Gagra 0 1246 14.69% 24.34%
24 2009-05-10 33.8 @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1503 71.58% Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1195 7.38% 21.04%
25 2008-11-22 33.9 @ WIT Georgia 4 1486 72.76% Borjomi 1 1158 6.72% 20.52%