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2009-10 Umaglesi Liga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Olimpi Rustavi

82 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 2006-07

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olimpi Rustavi

14.69 points above expected

82 points · 67.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gagra

10.44 points below expected

24 points · 34.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olimpi Rustavi Champion 36 25 7 4 82 69 23 +46 67.31 +14.69
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 36 22 8 6 74 62 19 +43 72.18 +1.82
3 Zestaponi 36 19 10 7 67 58 30 +28 62.01 +4.99
4 WIT Georgia 36 17 13 6 64 48 31 +17 67.14 -3.14
5 Spartak Tskhinvali 36 11 10 15 43 44 58 -14 39.42 +3.58
6 Sioni Bolnisi 36 8 14 14 38 27 43 -16 44.61 -6.61
7 Samtredia 36 10 7 19 37 43 68 -25 30.80 +6.20
8 Baia Zugdidi 36 7 11 18 32 29 48 -19 38.00 -6.00
9 Lokomotive Tbilisi 36 5 11 20 26 19 50 -31 35.85 -9.85
10 Gagra 36 5 9 22 24 30 59 -29 34.44 -10.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Olimpi Rustavi 82 67.31 +14.69
2 Samtredia 37 30.80 +6.20
3 Zestaponi 67 62.01 +4.99
4 Spartak Tskhinvali 43 39.42 +3.58
5 Dinamo Tbilisi 74 72.18 +1.82

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gagra 24 34.44 -10.44
2 Lokomotive Tbilisi 26 35.85 -9.85
3 Sioni Bolnisi 38 44.61 -6.61
4 Baia Zugdidi 32 38.00 -6.00
5 WIT Georgia 64 67.14 -3.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpi Rustavi 11 Oct 4 – Feb 21 1 in 494
2 Samtredia 2 Aug 22 – Aug 30 1 in 25
3 Zestaponi 5 Sep 29 – Oct 30 1 in 19
4 Spartak Tskhinvali 2 Aug 1 – Aug 8 1 in 13
5 Sioni Bolnisi 2 Mar 26 – Apr 3 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokomotive Tbilisi 5 Aug 8 – Sep 12 1 in 189
2 Gagra 7 Feb 8 – Mar 14 1 in 75
3 Sioni Bolnisi 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 22
4 Samtredia 5 Dec 12 – Feb 26 1 in 21
5 Spartak Tskhinvali 3 May 5 – May 14 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpi Rustavi 27 Sep 19 – May 5 1 in 253
2 Lokomotive Tbilisi 6 Dec 12 – Mar 6 1 in 138
3 Zestaponi 13 Aug 2 – Oct 30 1 in 52
4 Sioni Bolnisi 7 Sep 12 – Oct 18 1 in 48
5 WIT Georgia 12 Aug 16 – Nov 8 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gagra 19 Nov 22 – May 5 1 in 151
2 Sioni Bolnisi 13 Oct 25 – Mar 10 1 in 136
3 Lokomotive Tbilisi 14 Aug 2 – Nov 8 1 in 118
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 5 Sep 30 – Oct 30 1 in 81
5 Spartak Tskhinvali 8 Sep 30 – Nov 27 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Olimpi Rustavi 1533 82 -41 7 9.5 -2.5
Dinamo Tbilisi 1577 74 +26 13 10.3 +2.7
Zestaponi 1463 67 -2 6 7.2 -1.2
WIT Georgia 1494 64 +30 11 8.5 +2.5
Spartak Tskhinvali 1269 43 -9 4 5.3 -1.3
Sioni Bolnisi 1287 38 +3 7 7.1 -0.1
Samtredia 1190 37 -2 6 5.5 +0.5
Baia Zugdidi 1248 32 -15 3 4.7 -1.7
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1190 26 -10 4 4.6 -0.6
Gagra 1193 24 +19 8 6.0 +2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BZ DT GAG LT OR SAM SB ST WG ZES
Baia Zugdidi —
0-1-3
2.24
1-2-1
5.97
2-2-0
5.66
0-1-3
2.22
2-1-1
6.48
1-2-1
5.01
1-0-3
5.06
0-2-2
2.58
0-0-4
2.95
Dinamo Tbilisi
3-1-0
8.91
 —
3-1-0
9.11
4-0-0
9.36
1-2-1
5.44
3-0-1
9.56
2-1-1
8.61
2-1-1
8.61
1-2-1
6.04
3-0-1
6.69
Gagra
1-2-1
4.87
0-1-3
2.08
 —
1-1-2
5.50
0-0-4
2.34
1-1-2
5.83
0-2-2
4.44
1-1-2
4.67
1-0-3
2.24
0-1-3
2.87
Lokomotive Tbilisi
0-2-2
5.18
0-0-4
1.89
2-1-1
5.35
 —
0-0-4
2.53
2-0-2
6.02
0-2-2
4.55
1-2-1
4.63
0-1-3
2.26
0-3-1
2.98
Olimpi Rustavi
3-1-0
8.94
1-2-1
5.42
4-0-0
8.83
4-0-0
8.63
 —
4-0-0
9.20
3-1-0
8.31
2-1-1
8.76
2-1-1
6.03
2-2-0
6.52
Samtredia
1-1-2
4.39
1-0-3
1.74
2-1-1
5.01
2-0-2
4.86
0-0-4
2.02
 —
1-2-1
4.18
2-1-1
4.19
1-2-1
2.04
0-0-4
2.64
Sioni Bolnisi
1-2-1
5.84
1-1-2
2.48
2-2-0
6.42
2-2-0
6.32
0-1-3
2.76
1-2-1
6.70
 —
1-1-2
5.87
0-2-2
3.14
0-1-3
3.61
Spartak Tskhinvali
3-0-1
5.77
1-1-2
2.49
2-1-1
6.19
1-2-1
6.22
1-1-2
2.36
1-1-2
6.69
2-1-1
5.00
 —
0-1-3
2.88
0-2-2
3.19
WIT Georgia
2-2-0
8.50
1-2-1
4.83
3-0-1
8.92
3-1-0
8.90
1-1-2
4.81
1-2-1
9.17
2-2-0
7.86
3-1-0
8.14
 —
1-2-1
6.03
Zestaponi
4-0-0
8.06
1-0-3
4.19
3-1-0
8.15
1-3-0
8.03
0-2-2
4.36
4-0-0
8.44
3-1-0
7.33
2-2-0
7.77
1-2-1
4.83
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +11.9
Allowed 0.74 -11.0
Differential 0.97 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.67%10.28%6.67%2.50%1.67%1.39%34.17%
110.28%11.67%6.39%2.50%2.78%0.56%34.17%
26.67%6.39%3.89%0.56%0.28%—17.78%
32.50%2.50%0.56%0.56%0.28%—6.39%
41.67%2.78%0.28%0.28%——5.00%
5+1.39%0.56%———0.56%2.50%
Total34.17%34.17%17.78%6.39%5.00%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.90
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%25.00%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%52.78%
12.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
25.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%47.22%25.00%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.33 -0.53
SD 1.04 1.20 1.68
CV 1.29 0.90 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
119.44%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
216.67%—————16.67%
38.33%—————8.33%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total69.44%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.53 +1.19
SD 1.54 0.97 1.98
CV 0.90 1.84 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%22.22%11.11%2.78%—2.78%47.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
3————2.78%—2.78%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%22.22%5.56%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.64 -0.81
SD 1.08 1.38 1.75
CV 1.30 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%13.89%11.11%——58.33%
15.56%13.89%5.56%8.33%——33.33%
2—5.56%————5.56%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%22.22%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.39 -0.86
SD 0.74 1.05 1.25
CV 1.39 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
116.67%8.33%——2.78%—27.78%
211.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+8.33%————2.78%11.11%
Total55.56%30.56%5.56%—5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.61 +1.28
SD 1.56 1.05 2.04
CV 0.83 1.72 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%27.78%
18.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
22.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%30.56%27.78%13.89%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.89 -0.69
SD 1.01 1.37 1.80
CV 0.84 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%50.00%
18.33%11.11%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
25.56%2.78%5.56%———13.89%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.19 -0.44
SD 0.91 1.41 1.76
CV 1.21 1.18 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%—2.78%2.78%22.22%
15.56%13.89%13.89%5.56%11.11%—50.00%
211.11%5.56%————16.67%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%19.44%8.33%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.61 -0.39
SD 1.05 1.48 1.96
CV 0.86 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
113.89%13.89%5.56%———33.33%
28.33%13.89%8.33%———30.56%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%41.67%16.67%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.86 +0.47
SD 1.12 0.90 1.42
CV 0.84 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
119.44%11.11%—2.78%——33.33%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
5+—2.78%———2.78%5.56%
Total38.89%38.89%13.89%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.81 +0.78
SD 1.57 0.92 1.59
CV 0.99 1.14 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tbilisi 1577 74 72.18 +1.82 70.0% 61 62 68 72 76 82 86
Olimpi Rustavi 1533 82 67.31 +14.69 97.0% 49 52 63 67 73 79 84
WIT Georgia 1494 64 67.14 -3.14 29.0% 45 55 64 68 72 76 79
Zestaponi 1463 67 62.01 +4.99 82.0% 43 49 58 62 66 72 84
Sioni Bolnisi 1287 38 44.61 -6.61 22.0% 25 31 39 45 49 57 61
Spartak Tskhinvali 1269 43 39.42 +3.58 73.0% 24 29 34 39 44 52 64
Baia Zugdidi 1248 32 38.00 -6.00 25.0% 22 27 32 38 43 49 51
Gagra 1193 24 34.44 -10.44 11.0% 19 22 29 34 40 46 49
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1190 26 35.85 -9.85 9.0% 21 26 31 35 40 46 50
Samtredia 1190 37 30.80 +6.20 80.0% 16 20 26 31 35 42 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 13% * Slight Edge: 13% to 18.5% * Clear Edge: 18.5% to 29% * Strong Edge: 29% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.44%
Clear Edge
45.56%28.33%26.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
068.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.14 * Tight Race: 0.14 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Olimpi Rustavi, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.53 * Some Luck: 5.53 to 8.3 * Lucky: 8.3 to 11.06 * Wild Swing: 11.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.87 * Close: 0.87 to 1.31 * Off: 1.31 to 1.75 * Way Off: 1.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.11 points
Some Luck
06.9117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Olimpi Rustavi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
9.00%
Lokomotive Tbilisi
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.22 * Top-Heavy: 0.22 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.25 * Strong Separation: 2.25 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 78.5% * Clear Edge: 78.5% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94% * Clear Edge: 94% to 96% * Strong Edge: 96% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 154.60
2.73
Wide Separation
11.952.253
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%72.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
90%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.44 * Slight Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.51 * Some Carryover: 0.51 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.510.741
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Olimpi Rustavi22.00%33.00%24.00%20.00%1.00%—————
Dinamo Tbilisi49.00%32.00%16.00%3.00%——————
Zestaponi7.00%11.00%24.00%51.00%7.00%—————
WIT Georgia22.00%24.00%34.00%17.00%3.00%—————
Spartak Tskhinvali——1.00%1.00%18.00%21.00%16.00%26.00%15.00%2.00%
Sioni Bolnisi——1.00%7.00%41.00%22.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%3.00%
Samtredia————1.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%26.00%42.00%
Baia Zugdidi———1.00%13.00%22.00%24.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%
Lokomotive Tbilisi————7.00%14.00%21.00%22.00%20.00%16.00%
Gagra————9.00%9.00%18.00%22.00%17.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Tbilisi 100% —
Olimpi Rustavi 100% —
WIT Georgia 100% —
Zestaponi 100% —
Sioni Bolnisi 92.00% 8.00%
Spartak Tskhinvali 83.00% 17.00%
Baia Zugdidi 71.00% 29.00%
Lokomotive Tbilisi 64.00% 36.00%
Gagra 58.00% 42.00%
Samtredia 32.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-08-01 Baia Zugdidi W 2-143.0 1430 1293 60.90% 24.37% 14.73%+1.06 +3.9 3
2009-08-01 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-243.0 1293 1430 14.73% 24.37% 60.90%-1.06 -3.8 0
2009-08-01 Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-449.1 1345 1249 56.45% 26.10% 17.45%+0.85 -29.0 0
2009-08-01 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 4-149.1 1249 1345 17.45% 26.10% 56.45%-0.85 +29.0 3
2009-08-02 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-049.5 1373 1313 52.42% 27.36% 20.23%+0.67 -1.8 1
2009-08-02 @ Zestaponi D 0-049.5 1313 1373 20.23% 27.36% 52.42%-0.67 +1.8 1
2009-08-02 Samtredia W 2-137.1 1509 1173 78.80% 14.72% 6.48%+2.10 +1.5 3
2009-08-02 @ WIT Georgia L 1-237.1 1173 1509 6.48% 14.72% 78.80%-2.10 -1.4 0
2009-08-08 Baia Zugdidi W 1-040.9 1278 1289 43.23% 29.15% 27.61%+0.30 +7.3 6
2009-08-08 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-140.9 1289 1278 27.61% 29.15% 43.23%-0.30 -7.3 0
2009-08-08 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-249.0 1314 1433 28.49% 29.26% 42.24%-0.26 -7.0 1
2009-08-08 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-149.0 1433 1314 42.24% 29.26% 28.49%+0.26 +7.0 6
2009-08-08 WIT Georgia W 4-046.3 1238 1510 14.81% 24.43% 60.76%-1.06 +47.6 3
2009-08-08 @ Gagra L 0-446.3 1510 1238 60.76% 24.43% 14.81%+1.06 -47.6 3
2009-08-08 Zestaponi L 0-235.1 1171 1372 20.05% 27.29% 52.66%-0.69 -10.5 0
2009-08-08 @ Samtredia W 2-035.1 1372 1171 52.66% 27.29% 20.05%+0.69 +10.5 4
2009-08-15 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-147.5 1282 1307 41.33% 29.35% 29.32%+0.22 +7.2 3
2009-08-15 @ Baia Zugdidi L 1-247.5 1307 1282 29.32% 29.35% 41.33%-0.22 -7.2 1
2009-08-15 Samtredia W 5-027.1 1440 1161 74.39% 17.39% 8.21%+1.81 +9.1 9
2009-08-15 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-527.1 1161 1440 8.21% 17.39% 74.39%-1.81 -9.1 0
2009-08-16 Spartak Tskhinvali W 5-031.0 1523 1285 70.76% 19.48% 9.76%+1.59 +11.2 3
2009-08-16 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-531.0 1285 1523 9.76% 19.48% 70.76%-1.59 -11.2 6
2009-08-16 Gagra W 1-037.6 1382 1285 56.61% 26.04% 17.35%+0.86 +4.9 7
2009-08-16 @ Zestaponi L 0-137.6 1285 1382 17.35% 26.04% 56.61%-0.86 -4.8 3
2009-08-16 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-143.6 1463 1316 62.01% 23.89% 14.10%+1.12 +3.7 6
2009-08-16 @ WIT Georgia L 1-243.6 1316 1463 14.10% 23.89% 62.01%-1.12 -3.7 0
2009-08-22 Baia Zugdidi W 1-045.5 1152 1289 26.29% 28.95% 44.76%-0.36 +10.4 3
2009-08-22 @ Samtredia L 0-145.5 1289 1152 44.76% 28.95% 26.29%+0.36 -10.4 3
2009-08-22 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-038.7 1274 1300 41.22% 29.36% 29.42%+0.22 +14.4 9
2009-08-22 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-238.7 1300 1274 29.42% 29.36% 41.22%-0.22 -14.4 1
2009-08-22 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-140.8 1280 1450 22.94% 28.23% 48.83%-0.52 -6.3 3
2009-08-22 @ Gagra W 1-040.8 1450 1280 48.83% 28.23% 22.94%+0.52 +6.3 12
2009-08-22 WIT Georgia D 0-057.9 1534 1466 53.27% 27.12% 19.61%+0.71 -1.9 4
2009-08-22 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-057.9 1466 1534 19.61% 27.12% 53.27%-0.71 +1.9 7
2009-08-22 Zestaponi D 0-049.0 1312 1387 34.30% 29.61% 36.08%-0.03 +0.1 1
2009-08-22 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-049.0 1387 1312 36.08% 29.61% 34.30%+0.03 -0.1 8
2009-08-25 Gagra W 2-032.3 1532 1274 72.58% 18.45% 8.97%+1.70 +4.3 7
2009-08-25 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-232.3 1274 1532 8.97% 18.45% 72.58%-1.70 -4.3 3
2009-08-29 Dinamo Tbilisi W 4-153.1 1387 1537 24.94% 28.71% 46.35%-0.42 +24.7 11
2009-08-29 @ Zestaponi L 1-453.1 1537 1387 46.35% 28.71% 24.94%+0.42 -24.7 7
2009-08-30 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-033.5 1468 1289 65.31% 22.35% 12.34%+1.29 +6.3 10
2009-08-30 @ WIT Georgia L 0-233.5 1289 1468 12.34% 22.35% 65.31%-1.29 -6.3 9
2009-08-30 Gagra D 2-258.9 1279 1270 45.95% 28.77% 25.28%+0.40 -0.7 4
2009-08-30 @ Baia Zugdidi D 2-258.9 1270 1279 25.28% 28.77% 45.95%-0.40 +0.7 4
2009-08-30 Samtredia L 0-344.2 1286 1162 59.56% 24.93% 15.51%+1.00 -35.9 1
2009-08-30 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-044.2 1162 1286 15.51% 24.93% 59.56%-1.00 +35.9 6
2009-08-30 Sioni Bolnisi W 3-033.0 1456 1312 61.68% 24.03% 14.28%+1.10 +10.8 15
2009-08-30 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-333.0 1312 1456 14.28% 24.03% 61.68%-1.10 -10.8 1
2009-09-12 Baia Zugdidi W 1-039.6 1301 1278 47.74% 28.45% 23.80%+0.48 +6.5 4
2009-09-12 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-139.6 1278 1301 23.80% 28.45% 47.74%-0.48 -6.5 4
2009-09-12 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-036.6 1270 1250 47.43% 28.51% 24.06%+0.46 +12.3 7
2009-09-12 @ Gagra L 0-236.6 1250 1270 24.06% 28.51% 47.43%-0.46 -12.3 1
2009-09-12 Samtredia W 2-034.1 1282 1198 55.18% 26.53% 18.30%+0.79 +9.6 12
2009-09-12 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-234.1 1198 1282 18.30% 26.53% 55.18%-0.79 -9.6 6
2009-09-13 Olimpi Rustavi W 4-042.2 1512 1467 50.54% 27.85% 21.62%+0.59 +21.3 10
2009-09-13 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-442.2 1467 1512 21.62% 27.85% 50.54%-0.59 -21.3 15
2009-09-13 Zestaponi D 1-158.8 1475 1412 52.67% 27.29% 20.04%+0.68 -1.6 11
2009-09-13 @ WIT Georgia D 1-158.8 1412 1475 20.04% 27.29% 52.67%-0.68 +1.6 12
2009-09-19 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-137.6 1413 1292 59.31% 25.03% 15.66%+0.99 +10.1 15
2009-09-19 @ Zestaponi L 1-437.6 1292 1413 15.66% 25.03% 59.31%-0.99 -10.1 12
2009-09-19 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-047.7 1238 1308 35.01% 29.62% 35.37%-0.01 +0.0 2
2009-09-19 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-047.7 1308 1238 35.37% 29.62% 35.01%+0.01 -0.0 5
2009-09-19 WIT Georgia D 0-054.2 1445 1473 41.03% 29.38% 29.60%+0.21 -0.6 16
2009-09-19 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-054.2 1473 1445 29.60% 29.38% 41.03%-0.21 +0.6 12
2009-09-20 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-634.8 1272 1533 15.50% 24.92% 59.58%-1.00 -22.6 4
2009-09-20 @ Baia Zugdidi W 6-034.8 1533 1272 59.58% 24.92% 15.50%+1.00 +22.6 13
2009-09-20 Gagra W 4-357.0 1188 1283 31.63% 29.52% 38.85%-0.14 +8.2 9
2009-09-20 @ Samtredia L 3-457.0 1283 1188 38.85% 29.52% 31.63%+0.14 -8.2 7
2009-09-22 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-053.6 1308 1556 16.38% 25.49% 58.13%-0.93 +2.4 6
2009-09-22 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-053.6 1556 1308 58.13% 25.49% 16.38%+0.93 -2.4 14
2009-09-25 Baia Zugdidi W 2-140.4 1473 1249 69.57% 20.14% 10.30%+1.52 +2.6 15
2009-09-25 @ WIT Georgia L 1-240.4 1249 1473 10.30% 20.14% 69.57%-1.52 -2.6 4
2009-09-25 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-033.4 1554 1238 77.28% 15.66% 7.06%+2.00 +1.7 17
2009-09-25 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-133.4 1238 1554 7.06% 15.66% 77.28%-2.00 -1.7 2
2009-09-25 Olimpi Rustavi D 2-263.5 1423 1445 41.85% 29.30% 28.85%+0.24 -0.4 16
2009-09-25 @ Zestaponi D 2-263.5 1445 1423 28.85% 29.30% 41.85%-0.24 +0.5 17
2009-09-26 Gagra W 3-143.1 1282 1275 45.69% 28.81% 25.50%+0.39 +11.2 15
2009-09-26 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-343.1 1275 1282 25.50% 28.81% 45.69%-0.39 -11.2 7
2009-09-26 Samtredia W 3-031.5 1310 1196 58.46% 25.36% 16.18%+0.95 +12.4 9
2009-09-26 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-331.5 1196 1310 16.18% 25.36% 58.46%-0.95 -12.4 9
2009-09-29 WIT Georgia L 1-341.0 1236 1476 16.95% 25.82% 57.23%-0.89 -7.7 2
2009-09-29 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-141.0 1476 1236 57.23% 25.82% 16.95%+0.89 +7.7 18
2009-09-29 Zestaponi L 0-139.7 1246 1423 22.24% 28.04% 49.73%-0.56 -6.1 4
2009-09-29 @ Baia Zugdidi W 1-039.7 1423 1246 49.73% 28.04% 22.24%+0.56 +6.1 19
2009-09-30 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-155.6 1184 1555 9.92% 19.68% 70.39%-1.57 +24.2 12
2009-09-30 @ Samtredia L 1-355.6 1555 1184 70.39% 19.68% 9.92%+1.57 -24.2 17
2009-09-30 Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-156.4 1445 1293 62.57% 23.64% 13.79%+1.15 -2.5 18
2009-09-30 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 1-156.4 1293 1445 13.79% 23.64% 62.57%-1.15 +2.5 16
2009-09-30 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-153.0 1263 1322 36.61% 29.60% 33.79%+0.05 -0.1 8
2009-09-30 @ Gagra D 1-153.0 1322 1263 33.79% 29.60% 36.61%-0.05 +0.1 10
2009-10-03 Zestaponi L 0-138.7 1228 1429 20.02% 27.28% 52.70%-0.69 -5.6 2
2009-10-03 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-038.7 1429 1228 52.70% 27.28% 20.02%+0.69 +5.5 22
2009-10-04 Baia Zugdidi W 2-031.7 1443 1240 67.51% 21.23% 11.26%+1.41 +5.7 21
2009-10-04 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-231.7 1240 1443 11.26% 21.23% 67.51%-1.41 -5.7 4
2009-10-04 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-052.1 1263 1531 15.11% 24.65% 60.24%-1.04 +2.6 9
2009-10-04 @ Gagra D 0-052.1 1531 1263 60.24% 24.65% 15.11%+1.04 -2.6 18
2009-10-04 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-153.3 1295 1322 41.08% 29.37% 29.55%+0.21 -0.5 17
2009-10-04 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-153.3 1322 1295 29.55% 29.37% 41.08%-0.21 +0.5 11
2009-10-04 WIT Georgia D 2-261.4 1208 1484 14.63% 24.30% 61.06%-1.08 +1.8 13
2009-10-04 @ Samtredia D 2-261.4 1484 1208 61.06% 24.30% 14.63%+1.08 -1.8 19
2009-10-17 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-143.0 1235 1295 36.43% 29.61% 33.97%+0.04 +19.6 7
2009-10-17 @ Baia Zugdidi L 1-443.0 1295 1235 33.97% 29.61% 36.43%-0.04 -19.6 17
2009-10-17 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-136.7 1448 1223 69.69% 20.07% 10.24%+1.53 +4.4 24
2009-10-17 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-336.7 1223 1448 10.24% 20.07% 69.69%-1.53 -4.4 2
2009-10-18 Gagra W 5-133.6 1482 1266 68.80% 20.55% 10.65%+1.48 +8.4 22
2009-10-18 @ WIT Georgia L 1-533.6 1266 1482 10.65% 20.55% 68.80%-1.48 -8.4 9
2009-10-18 Samtredia W 4-240.0 1435 1210 69.57% 20.13% 10.30%+1.52 +4.0 25
2009-10-18 @ Zestaponi L 2-440.0 1210 1435 10.30% 20.13% 69.57%-1.52 -4.0 13
2009-10-18 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-251.9 1528 1323 67.79% 21.08% 11.12%+1.42 -27.2 18
2009-10-18 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-051.9 1323 1528 11.12% 21.08% 67.79%-1.42 +27.2 14
2009-10-24 Baia Zugdidi D 0-047.5 1218 1254 39.83% 29.47% 30.70%+0.17 -0.5 3
2009-10-24 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-047.5 1254 1218 30.70% 29.47% 39.83%-0.17 +0.5 8
2009-10-25 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-156.3 1275 1501 17.99% 26.38% 55.63%-0.82 +1.9 18
2009-10-25 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-156.3 1501 1275 55.63% 26.38% 17.99%+0.82 -1.9 19
2009-10-25 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-432.2 1206 1453 16.48% 25.55% 57.97%-0.93 -16.5 13
2009-10-25 @ Samtredia W 4-032.2 1453 1206 57.97% 25.55% 16.48%+0.93 +16.5 27
2009-10-25 WIT Georgia L 0-144.2 1350 1490 26.02% 28.91% 45.08%-0.37 -7.0 14
2009-10-25 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-044.2 1490 1350 45.08% 28.91% 26.02%+0.37 +7.0 25
2009-10-25 Zestaponi L 0-139.9 1257 1438 21.80% 27.90% 50.30%-0.59 -6.0 9
2009-10-25 @ Gagra W 1-039.9 1438 1257 50.30% 27.90% 21.80%+0.59 +6.0 28
2009-10-30 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-057.2 1497 1499 44.49% 28.99% 26.52%+0.35 -1.0 26
2009-10-30 @ WIT Georgia D 0-057.2 1499 1497 26.52% 28.99% 44.49%-0.35 +1.0 20
2009-10-30 Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-047.5 1218 1277 36.53% 29.60% 33.86%+0.05 -0.1 4
2009-10-30 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-047.5 1277 1218 33.86% 29.60% 36.53%-0.05 +0.1 19
2009-10-30 Samtredia D 2-259.0 1255 1190 52.94% 27.21% 19.85%+0.69 -1.2 9
2009-10-30 @ Baia Zugdidi D 2-259.0 1190 1255 19.85% 27.21% 52.94%-0.69 +1.2 14
2009-10-30 Sioni Bolnisi W 3-034.8 1444 1343 57.08% 25.87% 17.04%+0.88 +13.0 31
2009-10-30 @ Zestaponi L 0-334.8 1343 1444 17.04% 25.87% 57.08%-0.88 -13.0 14
2009-10-31 Gagra W 5-029.9 1469 1251 68.96% 20.47% 10.58%+1.49 +12.4 30
2009-10-31 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-529.9 1251 1469 10.58% 20.47% 68.96%-1.49 -12.4 9
2009-11-07 Zestaponi W 2-043.6 1500 1458 50.21% 27.92% 21.86%+0.58 +11.3 23
2009-11-07 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-243.6 1458 1500 21.86% 27.92% 50.21%-0.58 -11.3 31
2009-11-08 Baia Zugdidi W 1-040.7 1239 1254 42.81% 29.20% 27.99%+0.28 +7.4 12
2009-11-08 @ Gagra L 0-140.7 1254 1239 27.99% 29.20% 42.81%-0.28 -7.4 9
2009-11-08 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-038.2 1191 1218 41.13% 29.37% 29.51%+0.22 +14.5 17
2009-11-08 @ Samtredia L 0-238.2 1218 1191 29.51% 29.37% 41.13%-0.22 -14.4 4
2009-11-08 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-638.9 1330 1482 24.78% 28.67% 46.55%-0.43 -35.0 14
2009-11-08 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 6-038.9 1482 1330 46.55% 28.67% 24.78%+0.43 +35.0 33
2009-11-08 WIT Georgia L 1-245.7 1277 1496 18.52% 26.64% 54.85%-0.78 -4.9 19
2009-11-08 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-145.7 1496 1277 54.85% 26.64% 18.52%+0.78 +4.9 29
2009-11-22 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-050.5 1517 1512 45.42% 28.86% 25.72%+0.38 +6.9 36
2009-11-22 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-150.5 1512 1517 25.72% 28.86% 45.42%-0.38 -6.9 23
2009-11-22 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-148.8 1205 1272 35.43% 29.62% 34.95%+0.01 +8.2 20
2009-11-22 @ Samtredia L 1-248.8 1272 1205 34.95% 29.62% 35.43%-0.01 -8.2 19
2009-11-22 Gagra W 1-041.8 1203 1246 38.82% 29.53% 31.65%+0.13 +8.1 7
2009-11-22 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-141.8 1246 1203 31.65% 29.53% 38.82%-0.13 -8.1 12
2009-11-22 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-039.5 1246 1295 38.00% 29.56% 32.44%+0.10 +15.5 12
2009-11-22 @ Baia Zugdidi L 0-239.5 1295 1246 32.44% 29.56% 38.00%-0.10 -15.5 14
2009-11-22 WIT Georgia W 2-155.9 1446 1501 37.16% 29.59% 33.25%+0.07 +7.9 34
2009-11-22 @ Zestaponi L 1-255.9 1501 1446 33.25% 29.59% 37.16%-0.07 -7.9 29
2009-11-27 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-048.3 1280 1211 53.34% 27.10% 19.56%+0.71 -1.9 15
2009-11-27 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-048.3 1211 1280 19.56% 27.10% 53.34%-0.71 +1.9 8
2009-11-27 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-260.7 1493 1524 40.66% 29.41% 29.94%+0.20 -9.1 29
2009-11-27 @ WIT Georgia W 2-160.7 1524 1493 29.94% 29.41% 40.66%-0.20 +9.1 39
2009-11-27 Samtredia D 1-152.9 1238 1213 47.98% 28.41% 23.61%+0.48 -1.2 13
2009-11-27 @ Gagra D 1-152.9 1213 1238 23.61% 28.41% 47.98%-0.48 +1.2 21
2009-11-27 Zestaponi D 3-364.2 1264 1454 20.99% 27.64% 51.38%-0.63 +0.9 20
2009-11-27 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 3-364.2 1454 1264 51.38% 27.64% 20.99%+0.63 -0.9 35
2009-11-28 Baia Zugdidi W 1-034.7 1505 1262 71.24% 19.21% 9.55%+1.62 +2.5 26
2009-11-28 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-134.7 1262 1505 9.55% 19.21% 71.24%-1.62 -2.5 12
2009-12-05 Zestaponi W 1-046.2 1533 1453 54.62% 26.71% 18.67%+0.77 +5.2 42
2009-12-05 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-146.2 1453 1533 18.67% 26.71% 54.62%-0.77 -5.2 35
2009-12-06 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-331.9 1213 1507 13.56% 23.45% 62.98%-1.17 -10.2 8
2009-12-06 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-031.9 1507 1213 62.98% 23.45% 13.56%+1.17 +10.2 29
2009-12-06 Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-250.6 1237 1265 40.95% 29.38% 29.66%+0.21 -9.2 13
2009-12-06 @ Gagra W 2-150.6 1265 1237 29.66% 29.38% 40.95%-0.21 +9.2 23
2009-12-06 Sioni Bolnisi D 1-152.6 1215 1278 35.99% 29.61% 34.40%+0.03 -0.1 22
2009-12-06 @ Samtredia D 1-152.6 1278 1215 34.40% 29.61% 35.99%-0.03 +0.1 16
2009-12-06 WIT Georgia L 0-139.0 1259 1484 18.06% 26.41% 55.53%-0.81 -5.0 12
2009-12-06 @ Baia Zugdidi W 1-039.0 1484 1259 55.53% 26.41% 18.06%+0.81 +5.0 32
2009-12-12 Baia Zugdidi W 2-140.9 1448 1254 66.69% 21.66% 11.66%+1.36 +3.0 38
2009-12-12 @ Zestaponi L 1-240.9 1254 1448 11.66% 21.66% 66.69%-1.36 -3.0 12
2009-12-12 Gagra D 1-153.2 1278 1228 51.11% 27.70% 21.19%+0.62 -1.5 17
2009-12-12 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 1-153.2 1228 1278 21.19% 27.70% 51.11%-0.62 +1.5 14
2009-12-12 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-157.7 1489 1203 74.94% 17.07% 7.99%+1.84 -3.5 33
2009-12-12 @ WIT Georgia D 1-157.7 1203 1489 7.99% 17.07% 74.94%-1.84 +3.5 9
2009-12-12 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-245.0 1274 1538 15.38% 24.84% 59.79%-1.01 -4.0 23
2009-12-12 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-145.0 1538 1274 59.79% 24.84% 15.38%+1.01 +4.0 45
2009-12-12 Samtredia W 2-029.8 1517 1215 76.26% 16.28% 7.46%+1.93 +3.5 32
2009-12-12 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-229.8 1215 1517 7.46% 16.28% 76.26%-1.93 -3.5 22
2010-02-05 Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-146.1 1276 1270 45.56% 28.83% 25.61%+0.39 -10.6 17
2010-02-05 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-046.1 1270 1276 25.61% 28.83% 45.56%-0.39 +10.6 26
2010-02-08 Gagra W 4-133.4 1521 1229 75.34% 16.83% 7.83%+1.87 +4.5 35
2010-02-08 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-433.4 1229 1521 7.83% 16.83% 75.34%-1.87 -4.5 14
2010-02-08 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-156.7 1451 1206 71.38% 19.13% 9.49%+1.63 -3.2 39
2010-02-08 @ Zestaponi D 1-156.7 1206 1451 9.49% 19.13% 71.38%-1.63 +3.2 10
2010-02-12 Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-241.9 1251 1281 40.72% 29.40% 29.88%+0.20 -18.3 12
2010-02-12 @ Baia Zugdidi W 2-041.9 1281 1251 29.88% 29.40% 40.72%-0.20 +18.3 29
2010-02-13 Zestaponi L 2-348.2 1211 1448 17.20% 25.96% 56.83%-0.87 -4.3 22
2010-02-13 @ Samtredia W 3-248.2 1448 1211 56.83% 25.96% 17.20%+0.87 +4.3 42
2010-02-16 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-052.6 1486 1266 69.15% 20.36% 10.49%+1.50 -3.4 34
2010-02-16 @ WIT Georgia D 0-052.6 1266 1486 10.49% 20.36% 69.15%-1.50 +3.4 18
2010-02-17 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-033.6 1525 1299 69.72% 20.05% 10.23%+1.53 +5.1 38
2010-02-17 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-233.6 1299 1525 10.23% 20.05% 69.72%-1.53 -5.1 29
2010-02-17 Gagra W 4-134.1 1452 1225 69.80% 20.01% 10.19%+1.54 +6.2 45
2010-02-17 @ Zestaponi L 1-434.1 1225 1452 10.19% 20.01% 69.80%-1.54 -6.2 14
2010-02-17 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-047.7 1233 1210 47.79% 28.45% 23.77%+0.48 -1.3 13
2010-02-17 @ Baia Zugdidi D 0-047.7 1210 1233 23.77% 28.45% 47.79%-0.48 +1.3 11
2010-02-17 Samtredia W 3-135.1 1542 1207 78.72% 14.77% 6.51%+2.10 +2.5 48
2010-02-17 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-335.1 1207 1542 6.51% 14.77% 78.72%-2.10 -2.5 22
2010-02-21 Baia Zugdidi L 0-144.5 1204 1232 41.05% 29.37% 29.58%+0.21 -9.8 22
2010-02-21 @ Samtredia W 1-044.5 1232 1204 29.58% 29.37% 41.05%-0.21 +9.8 16
2010-02-21 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-153.6 1294 1211 55.05% 26.57% 18.38%+0.79 -1.8 30
2010-02-21 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-153.6 1211 1294 18.38% 26.57% 55.05%-0.79 +1.9 12
2010-02-21 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-233.3 1219 1544 11.93% 21.94% 66.13%-1.34 -6.1 14
2010-02-21 @ Gagra W 2-033.3 1544 1219 66.13% 21.94% 11.93%+1.34 +6.1 51
2010-02-21 WIT Georgia L 1-263.1 1530 1482 50.87% 27.76% 21.37%+0.61 -10.9 38
2010-02-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-163.1 1482 1530 21.37% 27.76% 50.87%-0.61 +10.9 37
2010-02-21 Zestaponi L 0-140.0 1269 1458 21.08% 27.67% 51.25%-0.63 -5.8 18
2010-02-21 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-040.0 1458 1269 51.25% 27.67% 21.08%+0.63 +5.8 48
2010-02-25 Spartak Tskhinvali W 3-139.2 1493 1292 67.38% 21.30% 11.32%+1.40 +5.0 40
2010-02-25 @ WIT Georgia L 1-339.2 1292 1493 11.32% 21.30% 67.38%-1.40 -5.0 30
2010-02-26 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-152.5 1464 1520 37.09% 29.59% 33.32%+0.07 -9.0 48
2010-02-26 @ Zestaponi W 1-052.5 1520 1464 33.32% 29.59% 37.09%-0.07 +9.0 41
2010-02-26 Gagra W 2-144.8 1241 1213 48.46% 28.31% 23.23%+0.50 +6.0 19
2010-02-26 @ Baia Zugdidi L 1-244.8 1213 1241 23.23% 28.31% 48.46%-0.50 -6.0 14
2010-02-26 Samtredia W 3-249.9 1213 1195 47.12% 28.57% 24.31%+0.45 +5.9 15
2010-02-26 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 2-349.9 1195 1213 24.31% 28.57% 47.12%-0.45 -5.9 22
2010-02-26 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-054.8 1551 1264 74.99% 17.04% 7.97%+1.85 -3.9 52
2010-02-26 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 0-054.8 1264 1551 7.97% 17.04% 74.99%-1.85 +3.9 19
2010-03-02 Samtredia D 1-158.0 1498 1189 76.79% 15.96% 7.25%+1.96 -3.6 41
2010-03-02 @ WIT Georgia D 1-158.0 1189 1498 7.25% 15.96% 76.79%-1.96 +3.6 23
2010-03-06 Baia Zugdidi D 0-047.9 1267 1247 47.37% 28.52% 24.11%+0.46 -1.3 20
2010-03-06 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 0-047.9 1247 1267 24.11% 28.52% 47.37%-0.46 +1.3 20
2010-03-06 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-145.1 1207 1219 43.16% 29.16% 27.68%+0.29 -10.1 14
2010-03-06 @ Gagra W 1-045.1 1219 1207 27.68% 29.16% 43.16%-0.29 +10.1 18
2010-03-06 Olimpi Rustavi D 0-060.0 1529 1547 42.32% 29.26% 28.43%+0.26 -0.7 42
2010-03-06 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-060.0 1547 1529 28.43% 29.26% 42.32%-0.26 +0.7 53
2010-03-06 Samtredia D 1-153.6 1287 1192 56.39% 26.12% 17.49%+0.85 -2.0 31
2010-03-06 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 1-153.6 1192 1287 17.49% 26.12% 56.39%-0.85 +2.0 24
2010-03-06 Zestaponi D 1-160.8 1495 1455 49.84% 28.01% 22.15%+0.56 -1.4 42
2010-03-06 @ WIT Georgia D 1-160.8 1455 1495 22.15% 28.01% 49.84%-0.56 +1.4 49
2010-03-10 Baia Zugdidi W 1-033.9 1547 1249 75.94% 16.47% 7.59%+1.91 +1.9 56
2010-03-10 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-133.9 1249 1547 7.59% 16.47% 75.94%-1.91 -1.9 20
2010-03-10 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-138.7 1266 1528 15.49% 24.91% 59.59%-1.00 -4.3 20
2010-03-10 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-038.7 1528 1266 59.59% 24.91% 15.49%+1.00 +4.3 45
2010-03-10 WIT Georgia L 0-135.9 1197 1493 13.42% 23.33% 63.26%-1.19 -3.7 14
2010-03-10 @ Gagra W 1-035.9 1493 1197 63.26% 23.33% 13.42%+1.19 +3.7 45
2010-03-14 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-157.1 1247 1532 14.05% 23.85% 62.10%-1.13 +2.5 21
2010-03-14 @ Baia Zugdidi D 1-157.1 1532 1247 62.10% 23.85% 14.05%+1.13 -2.5 46
2010-03-14 Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-051.7 1456 1285 64.46% 22.76% 12.78%+1.24 -3.0 50
2010-03-14 @ Zestaponi D 0-051.7 1285 1456 12.78% 22.76% 64.46%-1.24 +3.0 32
2010-03-14 Gagra W 1-039.8 1194 1193 44.92% 28.93% 26.15%+0.36 +7.0 27
2010-03-14 @ Samtredia L 0-139.8 1193 1194 26.15% 28.93% 44.92%-0.36 -7.0 14
2010-03-14 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-144.4 1229 1262 40.24% 29.44% 30.32%+0.18 -9.6 18
2010-03-14 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-044.4 1262 1229 30.32% 29.44% 40.24%-0.18 +9.6 23
2010-03-14 WIT Georgia W 1-049.4 1549 1497 51.39% 27.63% 20.98%+0.63 +5.8 59
2010-03-14 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-149.4 1497 1549 20.98% 27.63% 51.39%-0.63 -5.8 45
2010-03-19 Baia Zugdidi D 2-263.6 1491 1249 71.15% 19.26% 9.59%+1.61 -2.4 46
2010-03-19 @ WIT Georgia D 2-263.6 1249 1491 9.59% 19.26% 71.15%-1.61 +2.4 22
2010-03-19 Gagra D 0-048.6 1288 1186 57.22% 25.83% 16.96%+0.89 -2.3 33
2010-03-19 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-048.6 1186 1288 16.96% 25.83% 57.22%-0.89 +2.3 15
2010-03-19 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-032.7 1530 1219 76.87% 15.91% 7.22%+1.97 +1.8 49
2010-03-19 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-132.7 1219 1530 7.22% 15.91% 76.87%-1.97 -1.8 18
2010-03-20 Olimpi Rustavi FL55.0 1453 1555 30.67% 29.46% 39.86%-0.17 +0.0 50
2010-03-20 @ Zestaponi FL55.0 1555 1453 39.86% 29.46% 30.67%+0.17 +0.0 59
2010-03-20 Samtredia D 2-259.1 1271 1201 53.54% 27.04% 19.42%+0.72 -1.3 24
2010-03-20 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 2-259.1 1201 1271 19.42% 27.04% 53.54%-0.72 +1.3 28
2010-03-24 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-029.7 1555 1217 78.92% 14.65% 6.44%+2.11 +2.9 62
2010-03-24 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-229.7 1217 1555 6.44% 14.65% 78.92%-2.11 -2.9 18
2010-03-26 Sioni Bolnisi L 1-248.2 1188 1270 33.33% 29.59% 37.07%-0.07 -7.9 15
2010-03-26 @ Gagra W 2-148.2 1270 1188 37.07% 29.59% 33.33%+0.07 +7.9 27
2010-03-27 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-135.6 1202 1531 11.77% 21.77% 66.46%-1.35 -3.2 28
2010-03-27 @ Samtredia W 1-035.6 1531 1202 66.46% 21.77% 11.77%+1.35 +3.2 52
2010-03-27 Zestaponi L 0-139.2 1252 1453 19.94% 27.25% 52.81%-0.69 -5.5 22
2010-03-27 @ Baia Zugdidi W 1-039.2 1453 1252 52.81% 27.25% 19.94%+0.69 +5.5 53
2010-03-28 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-030.7 1558 1286 73.74% 17.78% 8.49%+1.77 +7.7 65
2010-03-28 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-430.7 1286 1558 8.49% 17.78% 73.74%-1.77 -7.7 33
2010-03-28 WIT Georgia L 0-136.8 1214 1489 14.70% 24.36% 60.94%-1.07 -4.1 18
2010-03-28 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-036.8 1489 1214 60.94% 24.36% 14.70%+1.07 +4.1 49
2010-04-02 Zestaponi D 1-155.0 1210 1459 16.37% 25.48% 58.15%-0.94 +2.1 19
2010-04-02 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-155.0 1459 1210 58.15% 25.48% 16.37%+0.94 -2.1 54
2010-04-03 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-134.6 1180 1535 10.63% 20.52% 68.85%-1.49 -2.8 15
2010-04-03 @ Gagra W 1-034.6 1535 1180 68.85% 20.52% 10.63%+1.49 +2.8 55
2010-04-03 Olimpi Rustavi D 1-158.3 1246 1566 12.23% 22.23% 65.54%-1.31 +2.8 23
2010-04-03 @ Baia Zugdidi D 1-158.3 1566 1246 65.54% 22.23% 12.23%+1.31 -2.8 66
2010-04-03 Sioni Bolnisi L 1-348.9 1278 1278 44.78% 28.95% 26.27%+0.36 -17.0 33
2010-04-03 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 3-148.9 1278 1278 26.27% 28.95% 44.78%-0.36 +17.0 30
2010-04-03 WIT Georgia W 1-050.8 1199 1493 13.59% 23.47% 62.94%-1.17 +13.7 31
2010-04-03 @ Samtredia L 0-150.8 1493 1199 62.94% 23.47% 13.59%+1.17 -13.7 49
2010-04-09 Samtredia W 5-131.8 1457 1213 71.30% 19.17% 9.52%+1.62 +7.4 57
2010-04-09 @ Zestaponi L 1-531.8 1213 1457 9.52% 19.17% 71.30%-1.62 -7.4 31
2010-04-10 Baia Zugdidi W 2-036.9 1261 1249 46.38% 28.70% 24.92%+0.42 +12.7 36
2010-04-10 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 0-236.9 1249 1261 24.92% 28.70% 46.38%-0.42 -12.6 23
2010-04-10 Gagra W 2-028.8 1479 1177 76.17% 16.33% 7.50%+1.92 +3.5 52
2010-04-10 @ WIT Georgia L 0-228.8 1177 1479 7.50% 16.33% 76.17%-1.92 -3.5 15
2010-04-10 Sioni Bolnisi W 4-031.2 1537 1295 71.18% 19.24% 9.58%+1.61 +8.9 58
2010-04-10 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-431.2 1295 1537 9.58% 19.24% 71.18%-1.61 -8.9 30
2010-04-12 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-232.9 1213 1563 10.80% 20.72% 68.48%-1.46 -5.4 19
2010-04-12 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-032.9 1563 1213 68.48% 20.72% 10.80%+1.46 +5.4 69
2010-04-17 Olimpi Rustavi L 0-135.3 1206 1568 10.27% 20.10% 69.62%-1.53 -2.7 31
2010-04-17 @ Samtredia W 1-035.3 1568 1206 69.62% 20.10% 10.27%+1.53 +2.7 72
2010-04-17 Zestaponi D 0-050.1 1174 1464 13.79% 23.64% 62.58%-1.15 +2.8 16
2010-04-17 @ Gagra D 0-050.1 1464 1174 62.58% 23.64% 13.79%+1.15 -2.8 58
2010-04-18 Baia Zugdidi L 1-347.4 1207 1236 40.80% 29.39% 29.80%+0.20 -15.8 19
2010-04-18 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-147.4 1236 1207 29.80% 29.39% 40.80%-0.20 +15.8 26
2010-04-18 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-158.7 1274 1546 14.82% 24.44% 60.74%-1.06 +12.5 39
2010-04-18 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-258.7 1546 1274 60.74% 24.44% 14.82%+1.06 -12.6 58
2010-04-18 WIT Georgia D 2-261.6 1286 1483 20.39% 27.42% 52.18%-0.67 +1.2 31
2010-04-18 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 2-261.6 1483 1286 52.18% 27.42% 20.39%+0.67 -1.2 53
2010-04-24 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-251.0 1482 1534 37.55% 29.58% 32.87%+0.08 -17.2 53
2010-04-24 @ WIT Georgia W 2-051.0 1534 1482 32.87% 29.58% 37.55%-0.08 +17.2 61
2010-04-25 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-149.9 1191 1286 31.53% 29.52% 38.95%-0.14 +8.8 22
2010-04-25 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-249.9 1286 1191 38.95% 29.52% 31.53%+0.14 -8.8 39
2010-04-25 Gagra W 3-026.3 1571 1177 82.78% 12.20% 5.02%+2.40 +3.1 75
2010-04-25 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 0-326.3 1177 1571 5.02% 12.20% 82.78%-2.40 -3.1 16
2010-04-25 Samtredia W 2-035.3 1252 1203 51.01% 27.73% 21.26%+0.61 +11.0 29
2010-04-25 @ Baia Zugdidi L 0-235.3 1203 1252 21.26% 27.73% 51.01%-0.61 -11.0 31
2010-04-25 Sioni Bolnisi W 1-036.3 1461 1287 64.74% 22.62% 12.63%+1.26 +3.5 61
2010-04-25 @ Zestaponi L 0-136.3 1287 1461 12.63% 22.62% 64.74%-1.26 -3.4 31
2010-04-30 Baia Zugdidi D 1-152.5 1174 1263 32.32% 29.56% 38.12%-0.11 +0.3 17
2010-04-30 @ Gagra D 1-152.5 1263 1174 38.12% 29.56% 32.32%+0.11 -0.3 30
2010-05-01 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-251.0 1192 1200 43.64% 29.10% 27.25%+0.31 -9.6 31
2010-05-01 @ Samtredia W 2-151.0 1200 1192 27.25% 29.10% 43.64%-0.31 +9.6 25
2010-05-01 Olimpi Rustavi L 1-245.4 1284 1574 13.78% 23.63% 62.59%-1.15 -3.6 31
2010-05-01 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 2-145.4 1574 1284 62.59% 23.63% 13.78%+1.15 +3.6 78
2010-05-01 WIT Georgia D 0-050.2 1278 1464 21.28% 27.73% 50.99%-0.61 +1.6 40
2010-05-01 @ Spartak Tskhinvali D 0-050.2 1464 1278 50.99% 27.73% 21.28%+0.61 -1.6 54
2010-05-01 Zestaponi W 2-044.2 1551 1465 55.41% 26.45% 18.14%+0.80 +9.5 64
2010-05-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-244.2 1465 1551 18.14% 26.45% 55.41%-0.80 -9.5 61
2010-05-05 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-167.2 1578 1561 46.98% 28.60% 24.42%+0.44 -1.1 79
2010-05-05 @ Olimpi Rustavi D 1-167.2 1561 1578 24.42% 28.60% 46.98%-0.44 +1.1 65
2010-05-05 Spartak Tskhinvali W 2-150.0 1182 1279 31.28% 29.50% 39.22%-0.15 +8.9 34
2010-05-05 @ Samtredia L 1-250.0 1279 1182 39.22% 29.50% 31.28%+0.15 -8.9 40
2010-05-05 Gagra D 1-152.8 1210 1174 49.34% 28.12% 22.53%+0.54 -1.3 26
2010-05-05 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-152.8 1174 1210 22.53% 28.12% 49.34%-0.54 +1.3 18
2010-05-05 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-047.8 1263 1280 42.39% 29.25% 28.36%+0.26 -0.7 31
2010-05-05 @ Baia Zugdidi D 0-047.8 1280 1263 28.36% 29.25% 42.39%-0.26 +0.7 32
2010-05-05 WIT Georgia L 0-152.0 1455 1463 43.74% 29.09% 27.17%+0.32 -10.2 61
2010-05-05 @ Zestaponi W 1-052.0 1463 1455 27.17% 29.09% 43.74%-0.32 +10.2 57
2010-05-09 Baia Zugdidi W 3-030.0 1562 1262 76.00% 16.43% 7.57%+1.91 +5.1 68
2010-05-09 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-330.0 1262 1562 7.57% 16.43% 76.00%-1.91 -5.1 31
2010-05-09 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 1-037.4 1281 1208 53.82% 26.95% 19.23%+0.73 +5.4 35
2010-05-09 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-137.4 1208 1281 19.23% 26.95% 53.82%-0.73 -5.4 26
2010-05-09 Olimpi Rustavi W 2-053.0 1473 1577 30.42% 29.45% 40.13%-0.18 +18.1 60
2010-05-09 @ WIT Georgia L 0-253.0 1577 1473 40.13% 29.45% 30.42%+0.18 -18.1 79
2010-05-09 Samtredia W 2-146.4 1175 1191 42.63% 29.22% 28.15%+0.27 +7.0 21
2010-05-09 @ Gagra L 1-246.4 1191 1175 28.15% 29.22% 42.63%-0.27 -7.0 34
2010-05-09 Zestaponi L 1-440.7 1270 1445 22.42% 28.09% 49.49%-0.55 -14.2 40
2010-05-09 @ Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-140.7 1445 1270 49.49% 28.09% 22.42%+0.55 +14.2 64
2010-05-14 Spartak Tskhinvali W 4-143.3 1182 1256 34.46% 29.61% 35.93%-0.03 +20.4 24
2010-05-14 @ Gagra L 1-443.3 1256 1182 35.93% 29.61% 34.46%+0.03 -20.4 40
2010-05-15 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-330.7 1203 1567 10.23% 20.05% 69.72%-1.53 -7.4 26
2010-05-15 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-030.7 1567 1203 69.72% 20.05% 10.23%+1.53 +7.4 71
2010-05-15 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-150.2 1184 1286 30.60% 29.46% 39.94%-0.18 +9.0 37
2010-05-15 @ Samtredia L 1-250.2 1286 1184 39.94% 29.46% 30.60%+0.18 -9.0 35
2010-05-15 WIT Georgia D 1-155.9 1257 1491 17.39% 26.07% 56.54%-0.86 +2.0 32
2010-05-15 @ Baia Zugdidi D 1-155.9 1491 1257 56.54% 26.07% 17.39%+0.86 -2.0 61
2010-05-15 Zestaponi W 3-149.7 1559 1459 56.89% 25.94% 17.17%+0.87 +7.8 82
2010-05-15 @ Olimpi Rustavi L 1-349.7 1459 1559 17.17% 25.94% 56.89%-0.87 -7.8 64
2010-05-20 Baia Zugdidi W 4-030.2 1451 1259 66.55% 21.73% 11.73%+1.35 +11.4 67
2010-05-20 @ Zestaponi L 0-430.2 1259 1451 11.73% 21.73% 66.55%-1.35 -11.3 32
2010-05-20 Gagra W 2-034.5 1277 1203 54.06% 26.88% 19.06%+0.74 +10.0 38
2010-05-20 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-234.5 1203 1277 19.06% 26.88% 54.06%-0.74 -10.0 24
2010-05-20 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-027.6 1489 1196 75.50% 16.74% 7.77%+1.88 +5.3 64
2010-05-20 @ WIT Georgia L 0-327.6 1196 1489 7.77% 16.74% 75.50%-1.88 -5.3 26
2010-05-20 Olimpi Rustavi W 4-153.6 1236 1566 11.70% 21.70% 66.60%-1.36 +33.0 43
2010-05-20 @ Spartak Tskhinvali L 1-453.6 1566 1236 66.60% 21.70% 11.70%+1.36 -33.0 82
2010-05-20 Samtredia W 4-131.8 1574 1193 81.93% 12.75% 5.32%+2.34 +2.8 74
2010-05-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-431.8 1193 1574 5.32% 12.75% 81.93%-2.34 -2.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-09-30 9.92% @ Samtredia 1184 3 Dinamo Tbilisi 1555 1
2 2009-10-18 11.12% Sioni Bolnisi 1323 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1528 0
3 2010-05-20 11.70% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1236 4 Olimpi Rustavi 1566 1
4 2010-04-03 13.59% @ Samtredia 1199 1 WIT Georgia 1493 0
5 2009-08-08 14.81% @ Gagra 1238 4 WIT Georgia 1510 0
6 2010-04-18 14.82% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1274 2 Dinamo Tbilisi 1546 1
7 2009-08-30 15.51% Samtredia 1162 3 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1286 0
8 2009-08-01 17.45% Spartak Tskhinvali 1249 4 @ Sioni Bolnisi 1345 1
9 2010-02-21 21.37% WIT Georgia 1482 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1530 1
10 2009-08-29 24.94% @ Zestaponi 1387 4 Dinamo Tbilisi 1537 1
11 2010-02-05 25.61% Spartak Tskhinvali 1270 1 @ Sioni Bolnisi 1276 0
12 2010-04-03 26.27% Sioni Bolnisi 1278 3 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1278 1
13 2009-08-22 26.29% @ Samtredia 1152 1 Baia Zugdidi 1289 0
14 2010-05-05 27.17% WIT Georgia 1463 1 @ Zestaponi 1455 0
15 2010-05-01 27.25% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1200 2 @ Samtredia 1192 1
16 2010-03-06 27.68% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1219 1 @ Gagra 1207 0
17 2010-02-21 29.58% Baia Zugdidi 1232 1 @ Samtredia 1204 0
18 2009-12-06 29.66% Spartak Tskhinvali 1265 2 @ Gagra 1237 1
19 2010-04-18 29.80% Baia Zugdidi 1236 3 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1207 1
20 2010-02-12 29.88% Spartak Tskhinvali 1281 2 @ Baia Zugdidi 1251 0
21 2009-11-27 29.94% Olimpi Rustavi 1524 2 @ WIT Georgia 1493 1
22 2010-03-14 30.32% Sioni Bolnisi 1262 1 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1229 0
23 2010-05-09 30.42% @ WIT Georgia 1473 2 Olimpi Rustavi 1577 0
24 2010-05-15 30.60% @ Samtredia 1184 2 Sioni Bolnisi 1286 1
25 2010-05-05 31.28% @ Samtredia 1182 2 Spartak Tskhinvali 1279 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-08-08 47.62 @ Gagra 4 1238 14.81% WIT Georgia 0 1510 60.76% 24.43%
2 2009-08-30 35.89 Samtredia 3 1162 15.51% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1286 59.56% 24.93%
3 2009-11-08 34.99 Olimpi Rustavi 6 1482 46.55% @ Sioni Bolnisi 0 1330 24.78% 28.67%
4 2010-05-20 32.95 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 4 1236 11.70% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1566 66.60% 21.70%
5 2009-08-01 28.99 Spartak Tskhinvali 4 1249 17.45% @ Sioni Bolnisi 1 1345 56.45% 26.10%
6 2009-10-18 27.25 Sioni Bolnisi 2 1323 11.12% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1528 67.79% 21.08%
7 2009-08-29 24.73 @ Zestaponi 4 1387 24.94% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1537 46.35% 28.71%
8 2009-09-30 24.22 @ Samtredia 3 1184 9.92% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1555 70.39% 19.68%
9 2009-09-20 22.63 Dinamo Tbilisi 6 1533 59.58% @ Baia Zugdidi 0 1272 15.50% 24.92%
10 2009-09-13 21.29 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1512 50.54% Olimpi Rustavi 0 1467 21.62% 27.85%
11 2010-05-14 20.42 @ Gagra 4 1182 34.46% Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1256 35.93% 29.61%
12 2009-10-17 19.63 @ Baia Zugdidi 4 1235 36.43% Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1295 33.97% 29.61%
13 2010-02-12 18.27 Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1281 29.88% @ Baia Zugdidi 0 1251 40.72% 29.40%
14 2010-05-09 18.08 @ WIT Georgia 2 1473 30.42% Olimpi Rustavi 0 1577 40.13% 29.45%
15 2010-04-24 17.21 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1534 32.87% @ WIT Georgia 0 1482 37.55% 29.58%
16 2010-04-03 17.03 Sioni Bolnisi 3 1278 26.27% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1278 44.78% 28.95%
17 2009-10-25 16.47 Olimpi Rustavi 4 1453 57.97% @ Samtredia 0 1206 16.48% 25.55%
18 2010-04-18 15.85 Baia Zugdidi 3 1236 29.80% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1207 40.80% 29.39%
19 2009-11-22 15.51 @ Baia Zugdidi 2 1246 38.00% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1295 32.44% 29.56%
20 2009-11-08 14.45 @ Samtredia 2 1191 41.13% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1218 29.51% 29.37%
21 2009-08-22 14.42 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1274 41.22% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1300 29.42% 29.36%
22 2010-05-09 14.19 Zestaponi 4 1445 49.49% @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1270 22.42% 28.09%
23 2010-04-03 13.68 @ Samtredia 1 1199 13.59% WIT Georgia 0 1493 62.94% 23.47%
24 2009-10-30 13.04 @ Zestaponi 3 1444 57.08% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1343 17.04% 25.87%
25 2010-04-10 12.66 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1261 46.38% Baia Zugdidi 0 1249 24.92% 28.70%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-05-05 67.2 @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1578 46.98% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1561 24.42% 28.60%
2 2009-11-27 64.2 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 3 1264 20.99% Zestaponi 3 1454 51.38% 27.64%
3 2010-03-19 63.6 @ WIT Georgia 2 1491 71.15% Baia Zugdidi 2 1249 9.59% 19.26%
4 2009-09-25 63.5 @ Zestaponi 2 1423 41.85% Olimpi Rustavi 2 1445 28.85% 29.30%
5 2010-02-21 63.1 WIT Georgia 2 1482 21.37% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1530 50.87% 27.76%
6 2010-04-18 61.6 @ Sioni Bolnisi 2 1286 20.39% WIT Georgia 2 1483 52.18% 27.42%
7 2009-10-04 61.4 @ Samtredia 2 1208 14.63% WIT Georgia 2 1484 61.06% 24.30%
8 2010-03-06 60.8 @ WIT Georgia 1 1495 49.84% Zestaponi 1 1455 22.15% 28.01%
9 2009-11-27 60.7 Olimpi Rustavi 2 1524 29.94% @ WIT Georgia 1 1493 40.66% 29.41%
10 2010-03-06 60.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1529 42.32% Olimpi Rustavi 0 1547 28.43% 29.26%
11 2010-03-20 59.1 @ Sioni Bolnisi 2 1271 53.54% Samtredia 2 1201 19.42% 27.04%
12 2009-10-30 59.0 @ Baia Zugdidi 2 1255 52.94% Samtredia 2 1190 19.85% 27.21%
13 2009-08-30 58.9 @ Baia Zugdidi 2 1279 45.95% Gagra 2 1270 25.28% 28.77%
14 2009-09-13 58.8 @ WIT Georgia 1 1475 52.67% Zestaponi 1 1412 20.04% 27.29%
15 2010-04-18 58.7 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 2 1274 14.82% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1546 60.74% 24.44%
16 2010-04-03 58.3 @ Baia Zugdidi 1 1246 12.23% Olimpi Rustavi 1 1566 65.54% 22.23%
17 2010-03-02 58.0 @ WIT Georgia 1 1498 76.79% Samtredia 1 1189 7.25% 15.96%
18 2009-08-22 57.9 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1534 53.27% WIT Georgia 0 1466 19.61% 27.12%
19 2009-12-12 57.7 @ WIT Georgia 1 1489 74.94% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1203 7.99% 17.07%
20 2009-10-30 57.2 @ WIT Georgia 0 1497 44.49% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1499 26.52% 28.99%
21 2010-03-14 57.1 @ Baia Zugdidi 1 1247 14.05% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1532 62.10% 23.85%
22 2009-09-20 57.0 @ Samtredia 4 1188 31.63% Gagra 3 1283 38.85% 29.52%
23 2010-02-08 56.7 @ Zestaponi 1 1451 71.38% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1206 9.49% 19.13%
24 2009-09-30 56.4 @ Olimpi Rustavi 1 1445 62.57% Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1293 13.79% 23.64%
25 2009-10-25 56.3 @ Spartak Tskhinvali 1 1275 17.99% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1501 55.63% 26.38%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-04-25 26.3 @ Olimpi Rustavi 3 1571 82.78% Gagra 0 1177 5.02% 12.20%
2 2009-08-15 27.1 @ Olimpi Rustavi 5 1440 74.39% Samtredia 0 1161 8.21% 17.39%
3 2010-05-20 27.6 @ WIT Georgia 3 1489 75.50% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1196 7.77% 16.74%
4 2010-04-10 28.8 @ WIT Georgia 2 1479 76.17% Gagra 0 1177 7.50% 16.33%
5 2010-03-24 29.7 @ Olimpi Rustavi 2 1555 78.92% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1217 6.44% 14.65%
6 2009-12-12 29.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1517 76.26% Samtredia 0 1215 7.46% 16.28%
7 2009-10-31 29.9 @ Olimpi Rustavi 5 1469 68.96% Gagra 0 1251 10.58% 20.47%
8 2010-05-09 30.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1562 76.00% Baia Zugdidi 0 1262 7.57% 16.43%
9 2010-05-20 30.2 @ Zestaponi 4 1451 66.55% Baia Zugdidi 0 1259 11.73% 21.73%
10 2010-03-28 30.7 @ Olimpi Rustavi 4 1558 73.74% Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1286 8.49% 17.78%
11 2010-05-15 30.7 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1567 69.72% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1203 10.23% 20.05%
12 2009-08-16 31.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 5 1523 70.76% Spartak Tskhinvali 0 1285 9.76% 19.48%
13 2010-04-10 31.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1537 71.18% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1295 9.58% 19.24%
14 2009-09-26 31.5 @ Sioni Bolnisi 3 1310 58.46% Samtredia 0 1196 16.18% 25.36%
15 2009-10-04 31.7 @ Olimpi Rustavi 2 1443 67.51% Baia Zugdidi 0 1240 11.26% 21.23%
16 2010-04-09 31.8 @ Zestaponi 5 1457 71.30% Samtredia 1 1213 9.52% 19.17%
17 2010-05-20 31.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1574 81.93% Samtredia 1 1193 5.32% 12.75%
18 2009-12-06 31.9 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1507 62.98% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1213 13.56% 23.45%
19 2009-10-25 32.2 Olimpi Rustavi 4 1453 57.97% @ Samtredia 0 1206 16.48% 25.55%
20 2009-08-25 32.3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1532 72.58% Gagra 0 1274 8.97% 18.45%
21 2010-03-19 32.7 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1530 76.87% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1219 7.22% 15.91%
22 2010-04-12 32.9 Olimpi Rustavi 2 1563 68.48% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1213 10.80% 20.72%
23 2009-08-30 33.0 @ Olimpi Rustavi 3 1456 61.68% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1312 14.28% 24.03%
24 2010-02-21 33.3 Olimpi Rustavi 2 1544 66.13% @ Gagra 0 1219 11.93% 21.94%
25 2009-09-25 33.4 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1554 77.28% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1238 7.06% 15.66%