2025-26 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games
Promoted
Schalke 04
70 pts
Elvesrberg · 62 pts
Relegated
Preussen Munster
30 pts
Fortuna Dusseldorf · 37 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Schalke 04
18.48 points above expected
70 points · 51.52 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Holstein Kiel
10.17 points below expected
41 points · 51.17 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 Promoted | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 50 | 31 | +19 | 51.52 | +18.48 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 64 | 39 | +25 | 56.99 | +5.01 |
| 3 | Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 59 | 45 | +14 | 54.97 | +7.03 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 | 60 | 44 | +16 | 54.14 | +5.86 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 52 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 52.92 | -0.92 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 49.40 | +2.60 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 51.33 | -0.33 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 42.65 | +3.35 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 51.10 | -7.10 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 47.11 | -3.11 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 38.50 | +2.50 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51.17 | -10.17 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 42.87 | -3.87 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 42.06 | -3.06 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 35.08 | +1.92 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 35.59 | +1.41 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 43.55 | -6.55 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster Relegated | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 40.10 | -10.10 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 1825 | 60 | 54.14 | +5.86 | 79.9% | 27 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 85 |
| Elversberg | 1825 | 62 | 56.99 | +5.01 | 76.6% | 29 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 83 |
| Paderborn 07 | 1822 | 62 | 54.97 | +7.03 | 84.2% | 26 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 82 |
| Schalke 04 | 1804 | 70 | 51.52 | +18.48 | 99.5% | 26 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 64 | 86 |
| VfL Bochum | 1757 | 44 | 51.10 | -7.10 | 19.2% | 24 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 86 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 1755 | 52 | 52.92 | -0.92 | 47.4% | 25 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 79 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1748 | 41 | 51.17 | -10.17 | 9.9% | 24 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 77 |
| Hertha BSC | 1745 | 51 | 51.33 | -0.33 | 51.2% | 27 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 79 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1744 | 46 | 42.65 | +3.35 | 70.8% | 18 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 71 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1734 | 52 | 49.40 | +2.60 | 66.0% | 22 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 62 | 81 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 1725 | 39 | 42.06 | -3.06 | 36.4% | 16 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 70 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 1723 | 41 | 38.50 | +2.50 | 66.0% | 16 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1719 | 39 | 42.87 | -3.87 | 32.6% | 11 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 75 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1700 | 44 | 47.11 | -3.11 | 36.4% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 75 |
| Dusseldorf | 1667 | 37 | 43.55 | -6.55 | 20.9% | 16 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 49 | 56 | 75 |
| Greuther Furth | 1659 | 37 | 35.59 | +1.41 | 60.5% | 10 | 24 | 31 | 36 | 40 | 47 | 63 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 1647 | 37 | 35.08 | +1.92 | 63.7% | 9 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 66 |
| Preussen Munster | 1614 | 30 | 40.10 | -10.10 | 9.2% | 13 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 75 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | 1FM | 1FN | AB | DUS | DD | EB | ELV | GF | H9 | HB | HK | KS | P0 | PM | SD9 | S0 | VB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | — |
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-1-1
3.24
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.13
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
0-0-2
3.74
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
2-0-0
3.14
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
| 1. FC Magdeburg |
1-0-1
2.52
|
— |
1-0-1
2.51
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
1-0-1
3.25
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
2-0-0
2.09
|
1-1-0
2.29
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
2-0-0
2.68
|
0-2-0
1.84
|
0-0-2
2.42
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
| 1. FC Nurnberg |
1-1-0
2.26
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
— |
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
3.29
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
0-2-0
3.32
|
1-1-0
2.01
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.23
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
1-0-1
1.97
|
1-1-0
2.29
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
0-1-1
2.46
|
2-0-0
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
— |
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-1-1
3.17
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
1-0-1
1.86
|
0-0-2
3.42
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
1-1-0
2.20
|
1-1-0
2.17
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-1-0
2.12
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
| Dusseldorf |
0-1-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
— |
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-0-2
3.37
|
1-0-1
1.69
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
0-0-2
2.41
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
0-0-2
2.31
|
0-2-0
2.54
|
2-0-0
2.21
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-0-2
1.97
|
2-0-0
2.39
|
| Dynamo Dresden |
1-0-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
— |
0-0-2
3.10
|
0-1-1
1.81
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
0-2-0
1.84
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
1-1-0
2.54
|
1-0-1
1.81
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.18
|
| Eintracht Braunschweig |
2-0-0
1.78
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.42
|
2-0-0
2.13
|
2-0-0
2.39
|
— |
0-0-2
1.85
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
0-1-1
1.66
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
1.69
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
| Elversberg |
2-0-0
3.03
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
1-0-1
3.44
|
1-0-1
3.65
|
1-0-1
3.83
|
1-1-0
3.71
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
— |
1-0-1
3.92
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
2.82
|
1-1-0
3.89
|
0-2-0
3.06
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
0-1-1
3.01
|
| Greuther Furth |
0-0-2
2.15
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
0-2-0
2.18
|
2-0-0
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
1-0-1
1.61
|
— |
1-1-0
1.78
|
0-1-1
1.78
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-0-2
1.59
|
1-1-0
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
| Hannover 96 |
1-0-1
2.97
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.49
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
0-2-0
3.68
|
2-0-0
3.65
|
0-2-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
3.76
|
— |
1-0-1
3.09
|
2-0-0
2.88
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-2-0
3.79
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.92
|
0-2-0
3.19
|
| Hertha BSC |
1-0-1
2.90
|
0-0-2
3.41
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
0-1-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
3.14
|
2-0-0
3.46
|
1-1-0
3.86
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-1-0
3.74
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
— |
1-0-1
2.90
|
0-2-0
2.69
|
0-0-2
2.59
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
0-2-0
2.56
|
0-1-1
2.76
|
0-1-1
2.88
|
| Holstein Kiel |
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.26
|
0-1-1
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.18
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
1-1-0
3.62
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
0-0-2
2.61
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
— |
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-0-1
2.68
|
0-1-1
3.47
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-0-2
2.72
|
2-0-0
3.10
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
0-2-0
2.95
|
0-2-0
3.40
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
— |
0-1-1
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.34
|
| Paderborn 07 |
2-0-0
3.01
|
2-0-0
3.72
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
1-1-0
3.53
|
0-0-2
3.28
|
2-0-0
3.68
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
— |
1-1-0
3.36
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
0-0-2
2.90
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
| Preussen Munster |
0-0-2
2.35
|
0-0-2
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
0-1-1
2.98
|
0-2-0
1.75
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.03
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
— |
0-1-1
1.89
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
| SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0-1
2.93
|
0-2-0
3.67
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
0-1-1
3.38
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
3.71
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
0-2-0
2.43
|
1-0-1
3.75
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
— |
0-1-1
2.82
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
| Schalke 04 |
0-1-1
2.75
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
1-0-1
3.53
|
2-0-0
3.13
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.84
|
2-0-0
2.48
|
1-1-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
2-0-0
2.58
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
— |
1-0-1
2.56
|
| VfL Bochum |
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
0-0-2
3.10
|
0-0-2
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
2-0-0
3.51
|
0-2-0
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.65
|
0-1-1
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.43 | +8.7 |
| Allowed | 0.66 | -9.8 |
| Differential | 0.81 | +6.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.23% | 7.19% | 6.21% | 3.27% | 0.65% | 0.33% | 22.88% |
| 1 | 7.19% | 10.13% | 9.97% | 3.27% | 1.47% | 0.65% | 32.68% |
| 2 | 6.21% | 9.97% | 6.21% | 3.59% | 0.16% | 0.33% | 26.47% |
| 3 | 3.27% | 3.27% | 3.59% | 2.61% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 13.24% |
| 4 | 0.65% | 1.47% | 0.16% | 0.33% | — | 0.33% | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 0.33% | 0.65% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 0.33% | — | 1.80% |
| Total | 22.88% | 32.68% | 26.47% | 13.24% | 2.94% | 1.80% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.47 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.38 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.71 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 20.59% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 47.06% | 29.41% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.32 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.23 | 0.84 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 17.65% | 35.29% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 1.50 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.42 | 1.08 | 1.86 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | — | 17.65% | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 44.12% | 23.53% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.56 | -0.59 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 17.65% | 26.47% | 38.24% | 17.65% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.59 | 1.56 | +0.03 |
| SD | 1.16 | 0.99 | 1.60 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.06 | 1.59 | -0.53 |
| SD | 0.85 | 1.13 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 29.41% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.88 | 1.15 | +0.74 |
| SD | 1.49 | 0.99 | 1.97 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 23.53% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 2.00 | -0.56 |
| SD | 1.31 | 1.46 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 17.65% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.76 | 1.29 | +0.47 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.09 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.56 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 3 | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.29 | +0.09 |
| SD | 1.18 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.85 | 1.12 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 52.94% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.41 | -0.12 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.13 | 1.49 |
| CV | 0.67 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 1.88 | -0.32 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.32 | 2.01 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.74 | 1.32 | +0.41 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.67 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 1 | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | — | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.76% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.79 | -0.68 |
| SD | 0.91 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.74 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 23.53% | 32.35% | 14.71% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.68 | 1.32 | +0.35 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| CV | 0.72 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 26.47% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 41.18% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 0.91 | +0.56 |
| SD | 1.13 | 0.93 | 1.26 |
| CV | 0.77 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 20.59% | 14.71% | — | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.38 | +0.06 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.69 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 70 | 51.52 | +18.48 |
| 2 | Paderborn 07 | 62 | 54.97 | +7.03 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 60 | 54.14 | +5.86 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 62 | 56.99 | +5.01 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 46 | 42.65 | +3.35 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holstein Kiel | 41 | 51.17 | -10.17 |
| 2 | Preussen Munster | 30 | 40.10 | -10.10 |
| 3 | VfL Bochum | 44 | 51.10 | -7.10 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 37 | 43.55 | -6.55 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 39 | 42.87 | -3.87 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paderborn 07 | 8 | Sep 12 – Nov 9 | 1 in 349 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 5 | Sep 20 – Oct 24 | 1 in 159 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 5 | Oct 25 – Nov 29 | 1 in 67 |
| 4 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | Apr 10 – May 2 | 1 in 44 |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 4 | Aug 3 – Aug 30 | 1 in 40 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Bochum | 6 | Aug 23 – Oct 4 | 1 in 498 |
| 2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | Aug 23 – Oct 5 | 1 in 214 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | Jan 31 – Feb 21 | 1 in 119 |
| 4 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | Nov 8 – Dec 13 | 1 in 95 |
| 5 | Dusseldorf | 5 | Mar 14 – Apr 18 | 1 in 90 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 13 | Nov 1 – Feb 21 | 1 in 150 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 12 | Feb 7 – May 2 | 1 in 72 |
| 3 | VfL Bochum | 10 | Nov 29 – Feb 20 | 1 in 61 |
| 4 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 6 | Oct 3 – Nov 23 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | Paderborn 07 | 10 | Feb 7 – Apr 18 | 1 in 26 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | Mar 13 – May 17 | 1 in 231 |
| 2 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | Jan 23 – Mar 14 | 1 in 64 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 6 | Dec 7 – Feb 1 | 1 in 38 |
| 4 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | Nov 23 – Feb 1 | 1 in 30 |
| 5 | Preussen Munster | 10 | Mar 8 – May 17 | 1 in 23 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 7.93% | 9.05% | 9.13% | 8.96% | 9.18% | 8.26% | 7.58% | 7.84% | 6.83% | 6.02% | 4.84% | 4.14% | 3.31% | 2.77% | 1.94% | 1.21% | 0.74% | 0.27% |
| Elversberg | 24.59% | 16.89% | 12.87% | 10.03% | 7.89% | 6.72% | 5.34% | 3.91% | 3.36% | 2.44% | 1.87% | 1.46% | 1.05% | 0.73% | 0.48% | 0.20% | 0.16% | 0.01% |
| Paderborn 07 | 15.82% | 14.13% | 11.65% | 10.69% | 9.04% | 8.12% | 6.66% | 5.76% | 4.78% | 3.49% | 3.25% | 2.18% | 1.81% | 1.08% | 0.78% | 0.51% | 0.19% | 0.06% |
| Hannover 96 | 13.56% | 12.59% | 11.17% | 10.60% | 9.92% | 8.01% | 7.08% | 5.74% | 4.96% | 4.65% | 3.54% | 2.81% | 1.79% | 1.46% | 0.97% | 0.66% | 0.39% | 0.10% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 9.94% | 10.92% | 10.48% | 9.92% | 9.53% | 9.09% | 7.66% | 6.96% | 5.84% | 5.16% | 4.05% | 3.34% | 2.26% | 1.85% | 1.39% | 0.83% | 0.51% | 0.27% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4.16% | 5.47% | 6.83% | 7.33% | 8.22% | 7.73% | 8.15% | 8.14% | 7.89% | 7.34% | 6.10% | 5.69% | 4.97% | 4.11% | 3.23% | 2.56% | 1.30% | 0.78% |
| Hertha BSC | 6.68% | 8.11% | 8.30% | 8.71% | 8.19% | 9.11% | 8.69% | 7.32% | 7.14% | 6.38% | 5.86% | 4.47% | 3.74% | 2.86% | 1.92% | 1.31% | 0.87% | 0.34% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 0.52% | 0.97% | 1.70% | 2.06% | 3.10% | 3.81% | 4.64% | 5.17% | 6.27% | 7.35% | 8.00% | 8.82% | 9.58% | 9.52% | 8.70% | 8.23% | 6.77% | 4.79% |
| VfL Bochum | 6.31% | 7.75% | 8.32% | 8.79% | 8.35% | 8.55% | 8.50% | 8.33% | 6.56% | 6.34% | 5.43% | 4.33% | 3.93% | 3.29% | 2.43% | 1.52% | 0.86% | 0.41% |
| Karlsruher SC | 2.14% | 3.06% | 4.47% | 5.17% | 5.68% | 6.33% | 7.01% | 7.78% | 7.93% | 8.27% | 8.06% | 7.01% | 7.51% | 5.89% | 5.13% | 4.21% | 2.91% | 1.44% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 0.06% | 0.22% | 0.59% | 0.77% | 1.04% | 1.59% | 1.98% | 2.86% | 3.82% | 4.49% | 6.23% | 7.32% | 8.27% | 10.36% | 11.49% | 12.55% | 13.86% | 12.50% |
| Holstein Kiel | 6.22% | 7.30% | 8.35% | 8.67% | 8.78% | 8.86% | 8.42% | 7.25% | 7.03% | 6.37% | 5.68% | 4.97% | 3.75% | 3.01% | 2.43% | 1.78% | 0.83% | 0.30% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.47% | 0.95% | 1.86% | 2.35% | 3.20% | 3.74% | 4.58% | 6.25% | 6.77% | 7.09% | 7.71% | 8.87% | 9.17% | 9.02% | 8.77% | 8.46% | 6.37% | 4.37% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.46% | 0.81% | 1.16% | 1.88% | 2.30% | 3.18% | 4.36% | 5.27% | 5.64% | 6.98% | 7.57% | 8.76% | 9.45% | 9.25% | 10.16% | 9.47% | 7.72% | 5.58% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.13% | 0.27% | 0.40% | 0.59% | 0.86% | 1.22% | 1.97% | 2.29% | 3.33% | 4.20% | 5.98% | 7.86% | 9.91% | 13.07% | 19.64% | 28.19% |
| Greuther Furth | 0.02% | 0.09% | 0.17% | 0.24% | 0.41% | 0.57% | 0.80% | 1.32% | 2.08% | 2.74% | 3.45% | 5.11% | 6.08% | 8.08% | 11.10% | 13.78% | 18.47% | 25.49% |
| Dusseldorf | 0.80% | 1.14% | 2.16% | 2.63% | 3.30% | 3.66% | 4.69% | 5.47% | 6.74% | 7.46% | 8.40% | 8.75% | 8.42% | 9.04% | 8.48% | 7.75% | 6.43% | 4.68% |
| Preussen Munster | 0.31% | 0.47% | 0.66% | 0.93% | 1.47% | 2.08% | 3.00% | 3.41% | 4.39% | 5.14% | 6.63% | 7.77% | 8.93% | 9.82% | 10.69% | 11.90% | 11.98% | 10.42% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.83 * Wild Swing: 11.83 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.62 * Close: 2.62 to 3.93 * Off: 3.93 to 5.24 * Way Off: 5.24 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.08 * A Surprise: 1.08 to 1.73 * Several Surprises: 1.73 to 2.38 * Many Surprises: 2.38 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Lost promotion playoff | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 41.48% | 12.87% | 45.28% | 0.20% | 0.17% |
| Hannover 96 | 26.15% | 11.17% | 61.53% | 0.66% | 0.49% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 20.86% | 10.48% | 67.05% | 0.83% | 0.78% |
| Schalke 04 | 16.98% | 9.13% | 71.67% | 1.21% | 1.01% |
| Hertha BSC | 14.79% | 8.30% | 74.39% | 1.31% | 1.21% |
| VfL Bochum | 14.06% | 8.32% | 74.83% | 1.52% | 1.27% |
| Holstein Kiel | 13.52% | 8.35% | 75.22% | 1.78% | 1.13% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9.63% | 6.83% | 78.90% | 2.56% | 2.08% |
| Karlsruher SC | 5.20% | 4.47% | 81.77% | 4.21% | 4.35% |
| Paderborn 07 | — | 100% | — | — | — |
| Dusseldorf | 1.94% | 2.16% | 77.04% | 7.75% | 11.11% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1.42% | 1.86% | 77.52% | 8.46% | 10.74% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1.49% | 1.70% | 77.02% | 8.23% | 11.56% |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.27% | 1.16% | 74.80% | 9.47% | 13.30% |
| Preussen Munster | 0.78% | 0.66% | 64.26% | 11.90% | 22.40% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 0.28% | 0.59% | 60.22% | 12.55% | 26.36% |
| Greuther Furth | 0.11% | 0.17% | 41.98% | 13.78% | 43.96% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.09% | 0.13% | 38.88% | 13.07% | 47.83% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-01 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1705 | 1736 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-01 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1736 | 1705 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | -6.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Dusseldorf | W 5-1 | 1681 | 1778 | 29.7% | 25.7% | 44.7% | +25.5 | 3 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-5 | 1778 | 1681 | 44.7% | 25.7% | 29.7% | -25.5 | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | VfL Bochum | W 4-1 | 1716 | 1773 | 34.9% | 26.0% | 39.1% | +17.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-4 | 1773 | 1716 | 39.1% | 26.0% | 34.9% | -17.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1765 | 1719 | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.8% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ Elversberg | L 0-1 | 1719 | 1765 | 25.8% | 25.1% | 49.0% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Preussen Munster | W 3-2 | 1774 | 1719 | 50.2% | 24.9% | 24.8% | +4.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1719 | 1774 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 50.2% | -4.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1761 | 1792 | 38.7% | 26.0% | 35.3% | +6.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-02 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1792 | 1761 | 35.3% | 26.0% | 38.7% | -6.7 | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1735 | 1683 | 49.8% | 25.0% | 25.1% | -9.4 | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1683 | 1735 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 49.8% | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-2 | 1698 | 1678 | 45.8% | 25.6% | 28.7% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1678 | 1698 | 28.7% | 25.6% | 45.8% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1762 | 1734 | 46.7% | 25.4% | 27.9% | +5.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-03 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1734 | 1762 | 27.9% | 25.4% | 46.7% | -5.9 | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1713 | 1734 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 33.9% | -7.9 | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1734 | 1713 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.1% | +7.9 | 6 |
| 2025-08-08 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1714 | 1768 | 35.3% | 26.0% | 38.7% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-08 | @ Preussen Munster | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1714 | 38.7% | 26.0% | 35.3% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2025-08-09 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1711 | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% | +6.2 | 3 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1711 | 1728 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.2% | -6.2 | 3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1753 | 1768 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -15.1 | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1753 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | +15.0 | 6 |
| 2025-08-09 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1726 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | -6.8 | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1726 | 1672 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | +6.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1693 | 1704 | 41.4% | 25.9% | 32.7% | +6.0 | 6 |
| 2025-08-09 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 2-3 | 1704 | 1693 | 32.7% | 25.9% | 41.4% | -6.0 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1729 | 1778 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1778 | 1729 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2025-08-10 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1785 | 1707 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% | -18.6 | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-0 | 1707 | 1785 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.1% | +18.6 | 6 |
| 2025-08-10 | Elversberg | W 2-0 | 1755 | 1770 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | +12.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-10 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1770 | 1755 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | -12.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-22 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1757 | 1734 | 46.1% | 25.5% | 28.4% | +5.7 | 6 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Elversberg | L 1-2 | 1734 | 1757 | 28.4% | 25.5% | 46.1% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2025-08-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1714 | 1706 | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.2% | +6.0 | 4 |
| 2025-08-22 | @ Preussen Munster | L 1-2 | 1706 | 1714 | 30.2% | 25.7% | 44.1% | -6.0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-1 | 1783 | 1732 | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.3% | +8.9 | 9 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1732 | 1783 | 25.3% | 25.1% | 49.6% | -8.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1778 | 1699 | 53.3% | 24.4% | 22.3% | +9.2 | 7 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1699 | 1778 | 22.3% | 24.4% | 53.3% | -9.2 | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1768 | 1738 | 47.0% | 25.4% | 27.6% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1738 | 1768 | 27.6% | 25.4% | 47.0% | +8.4 | 3 |
| 2025-08-23 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1705 | 1768 | 34.1% | 25.9% | 40.0% | +7.4 | 6 |
| 2025-08-23 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1768 | 1705 | 40.0% | 25.9% | 34.1% | -7.4 | 3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1726 | 1666 | 50.9% | 24.9% | 24.3% | -9.0 | 6 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1666 | 1726 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 50.9% | +9.0 | 3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1742 | 1729 | 44.7% | 25.7% | 29.7% | -0.7 | 7 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1729 | 1742 | 29.7% | 25.7% | 44.7% | +0.7 | 2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Holstein Kiel | L 0-2 | 1698 | 1766 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.8% | -12.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-24 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1766 | 1698 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.3% | +12.9 | 3 |
| 2025-08-29 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1700 | 1759 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.5% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1700 | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.5% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2025-08-29 | Elversberg | L 0-2 | 1730 | 1763 | 38.3% | 26.0% | 35.7% | -14.3 | 2 |
| 2025-08-29 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1763 | 1730 | 35.7% | 26.0% | 38.3% | +14.3 | 9 |
| 2025-08-30 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1746 | 1788 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1788 | 1746 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | +0.0 | 8 |
| 2025-08-30 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1689 | 1717 | 39.1% | 26.0% | 34.9% | -0.2 | 7 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1717 | 1689 | 34.9% | 26.0% | 39.1% | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2025-08-30 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1779 | 1792 | 41.2% | 25.9% | 32.9% | -7.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1792 | 1779 | 32.9% | 25.9% | 41.2% | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2025-08-30 | Preussen Munster | L 1-2 | 1761 | 1720 | 48.4% | 25.2% | 26.3% | -8.6 | 3 |
| 2025-08-30 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1720 | 1761 | 26.3% | 25.2% | 48.4% | +8.6 | 7 |
| 2025-08-31 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-1 | 1729 | 1741 | 41.2% | 25.9% | 32.9% | +11.0 | 6 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1741 | 1729 | 32.9% | 25.9% | 41.2% | -11.1 | 7 |
| 2025-08-31 | Greuther Furth | L 4-5 | 1724 | 1685 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | -7.8 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 5-4 | 1685 | 1724 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | +7.8 | 6 |
| 2025-08-31 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1675 | 1713 | 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.4% | -7.5 | 3 |
| 2025-08-31 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1713 | 1675 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.6% | +7.5 | 9 |
| 2025-09-12 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-0 | 1717 | 1716 | 43.1% | 25.8% | 31.1% | +12.2 | 10 |
| 2025-09-12 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1716 | 1717 | 31.1% | 25.8% | 43.1% | -12.2 | 3 |
| 2025-09-12 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1759 | 1752 | 43.9% | 25.7% | 30.4% | +6.4 | 8 |
| 2025-09-12 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1759 | 30.4% | 25.7% | 43.9% | -6.4 | 3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1730 | 1689 | 48.4% | 25.2% | 26.4% | +5.3 | 10 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1689 | 1730 | 26.4% | 25.2% | 48.4% | -5.3 | 7 |
| 2025-09-13 | Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1799 | 1715 | 53.8% | 24.3% | 21.9% | -27.3 | 12 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1715 | 1799 | 21.9% | 24.3% | 53.8% | +27.3 | 5 |
| 2025-09-13 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1788 | 1700 | 54.2% | 24.2% | 21.6% | +4.5 | 11 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1700 | 1788 | 21.6% | 24.2% | 54.2% | -4.5 | 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Holstein Kiel | L 0-1 | 1720 | 1772 | 35.7% | 26.0% | 38.3% | -7.2 | 9 |
| 2025-09-13 | @ Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1772 | 1720 | 38.3% | 26.0% | 35.7% | +7.2 | 6 |
| 2025-09-14 | Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1777 | 1667 | 56.9% | 23.5% | 19.6% | -1.2 | 10 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Elversberg | D 2-2 | 1667 | 1777 | 19.6% | 23.5% | 56.9% | +1.2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-3 | 1693 | 1740 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | -20.0 | 6 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 1740 | 1693 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | +20.0 | 9 |
| 2025-09-14 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1728 | 1746 | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | -7.5 | 7 |
| 2025-09-14 | @ Preussen Munster | W 2-1 | 1746 | 1728 | 33.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% | +7.5 | 7 |
| 2025-09-19 | Preussen Munster | W 4-1 | 1760 | 1721 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | +13.2 | 12 |
| 2025-09-19 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-4 | 1721 | 1760 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | -13.2 | 7 |
| 2025-09-19 | Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1729 | 1673 | 50.4% | 24.9% | 24.7% | -15.4 | 10 |
| 2025-09-19 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1673 | 1729 | 24.7% | 24.9% | 50.4% | +15.4 | 9 |
| 2025-09-20 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1704 | 1713 | 41.7% | 25.9% | 32.5% | -15.3 | 3 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-0 | 1713 | 1704 | 32.5% | 25.9% | 41.7% | +15.3 | 12 |
| 2025-09-20 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1695 | 1746 | 35.8% | 26.0% | 38.2% | +7.1 | 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1746 | 1695 | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.8% | -7.1 | 3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Elversberg | L 1-4 | 1684 | 1776 | 30.3% | 25.7% | 44.0% | -14.6 | 7 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 4-1 | 1776 | 1684 | 44.0% | 25.7% | 30.3% | +14.6 | 13 |
| 2025-09-20 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1743 | 1765 | 39.8% | 25.9% | 34.3% | -14.7 | 5 |
| 2025-09-20 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1765 | 1743 | 34.3% | 25.9% | 39.8% | +14.7 | 11 |
| 2025-09-21 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-3 | 1754 | 1735 | 45.5% | 25.6% | 28.9% | -23.8 | 7 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1735 | 1754 | 28.9% | 25.6% | 45.5% | +23.8 | 13 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1668 | 1772 | 28.8% | 25.6% | 45.6% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1772 | 1668 | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.8% | -0.5 | 13 |
| 2025-09-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1779 | 1792 | 41.1% | 25.9% | 33.0% | +18.6 | 9 |
| 2025-09-21 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-3 | 1792 | 1779 | 33.0% | 25.9% | 41.1% | -18.6 | 11 |
| 2025-09-26 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1759 | 1669 | 54.5% | 24.1% | 21.3% | +8.9 | 16 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1669 | 1759 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 54.5% | -8.9 | 5 |
| 2025-09-26 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1688 | 48.3% | 25.2% | 26.4% | +5.7 | 15 |
| 2025-09-26 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1688 | 1728 | 26.4% | 25.2% | 48.3% | -5.7 | 9 |
| 2025-09-27 | Holstein Kiel | W 1-0 | 1791 | 1797 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | +6.6 | 16 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Elversberg | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1791 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | -6.7 | 9 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1773 | 1688 | 53.9% | 24.2% | 21.8% | +4.8 | 14 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1688 | 1773 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 53.9% | -4.8 | 3 |
| 2025-09-27 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1780 | 1773 | 44.0% | 25.7% | 30.3% | +12.0 | 14 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1773 | 1780 | 30.3% | 25.7% | 44.0% | -12.0 | 12 |
| 2025-09-27 | Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1739 | 1730 | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -8.5 | 3 |
| 2025-09-27 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1730 | 1739 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.1% | +8.5 | 10 |
| 2025-09-28 | Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1702 | 1728 | 39.4% | 26.0% | 34.6% | -21.2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1728 | 1702 | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.4% | +21.2 | 8 |
| 2025-09-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1771 | 1714 | 50.6% | 24.9% | 24.5% | +8.7 | 16 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1714 | 1771 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 50.6% | -8.7 | 10 |
| 2025-09-28 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-1 | 1708 | 1669 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | +9.3 | 10 |
| 2025-09-28 | @ Preussen Munster | L 1-3 | 1669 | 1708 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | -9.3 | 7 |
| 2025-10-03 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1738 | 1681 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 24.6% | -8.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-03 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 1681 | 1738 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 50.5% | +8.5 | 7 |
| 2025-10-03 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1660 | 1792 | 25.6% | 25.1% | 49.3% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 2025-10-03 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1792 | 1660 | 49.3% | 25.1% | 25.6% | +5.2 | 17 |
| 2025-10-04 | VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1761 | 1730 | 47.1% | 25.4% | 27.5% | +5.2 | 15 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-3 | 1730 | 1761 | 27.5% | 25.4% | 47.1% | -5.2 | 3 |
| 2025-10-04 | Karlsruher SC | D 3-3 | 1660 | 1778 | 27.1% | 25.4% | 47.5% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 3-3 | 1778 | 1660 | 47.5% | 25.4% | 27.1% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2025-10-04 | Preussen Munster | W 2-1 | 1749 | 1717 | 47.3% | 25.4% | 27.3% | +5.5 | 11 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1717 | 1749 | 27.3% | 25.4% | 47.3% | -5.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-04 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1768 | 46.1% | 25.5% | 28.4% | -0.7 | 10 |
| 2025-10-04 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1791 | 28.4% | 25.5% | 46.1% | +0.7 | 17 |
| 2025-10-05 | Elversberg | L 0-4 | 1683 | 1797 | 27.6% | 25.4% | 46.9% | -21.1 | 3 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 4-0 | 1797 | 1683 | 46.9% | 25.4% | 27.6% | +21.1 | 19 |
| 2025-10-05 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1705 | 1734 | 38.9% | 26.0% | 35.1% | -7.2 | 10 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1734 | 1705 | 35.1% | 26.0% | 38.9% | +7.2 | 18 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1682 | 1780 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.8% | +0.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-05 | @ Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1780 | 1682 | 44.8% | 25.7% | 29.6% | -0.5 | 17 |
| 2025-10-17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1730 | 1655 | 52.8% | 24.5% | 22.8% | -9.2 | 10 |
| 2025-10-17 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1655 | 1730 | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.8% | +9.2 | 10 |
| 2025-10-17 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1780 | 1741 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | -24.9 | 17 |
| 2025-10-17 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1741 | 1780 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | +24.9 | 21 |
| 2025-10-18 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-3 | 1778 | 1766 | 44.5% | 25.7% | 29.8% | -7.6 | 15 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1766 | 1778 | 29.8% | 25.7% | 44.5% | +7.6 | 18 |
| 2025-10-18 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-3 | 1797 | 1698 | 55.7% | 23.8% | 20.5% | +4.0 | 20 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 3-4 | 1698 | 1797 | 20.5% | 23.8% | 55.7% | -3.9 | 10 |
| 2025-10-18 | Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1712 | 1660 | 49.8% | 25.0% | 25.2% | -0.8 | 11 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ Preussen Munster | D 2-2 | 1660 | 1712 | 25.2% | 25.0% | 49.8% | +0.7 | 7 |
| 2025-10-18 | Hertha BSC | W 3-2 | 1725 | 1755 | 38.8% | 26.0% | 35.2% | +6.4 | 6 |
| 2025-10-18 | @ VfL Bochum | L 2-3 | 1755 | 1725 | 35.2% | 26.0% | 38.8% | -6.4 | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 | Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1690 | 1790 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.1% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2025-10-19 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1790 | 1690 | 45.1% | 25.6% | 29.2% | -0.6 | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 | 1. FC Magdeburg | D 0-0 | 1769 | 1662 | 56.4% | 23.7% | 19.9% | -1.7 | 18 |
| 2025-10-19 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1662 | 1769 | 19.9% | 23.7% | 56.4% | +1.7 | 4 |
| 2025-10-19 | Greuther Furth | W 6-0 | 1818 | 1683 | 59.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% | +20.5 | 22 |
| 2025-10-19 | @ Elversberg | L 0-6 | 1683 | 1818 | 17.6% | 22.7% | 59.7% | -20.5 | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-4 | 1662 | 1770 | 28.4% | 25.5% | 46.1% | -13.9 | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | @ Greuther Furth | W 4-1 | 1770 | 1662 | 46.1% | 25.5% | 28.4% | +13.9 | 18 |
| 2025-10-24 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 1-0 | 1766 | 1767 | 42.9% | 25.8% | 31.4% | +6.5 | 24 |
| 2025-10-24 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1767 | 1766 | 31.4% | 25.8% | 42.9% | -6.5 | 18 |
| 2025-10-25 | Elversberg | W 2-0 | 1694 | 1839 | 24.2% | 24.8% | 51.0% | +18.0 | 13 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1839 | 1694 | 51.0% | 24.8% | 24.2% | -18.0 | 22 |
| 2025-10-25 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1661 | 1801 | 24.7% | 24.9% | 50.3% | -5.0 | 7 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1801 | 1661 | 50.3% | 24.9% | 24.7% | +5.1 | 23 |
| 2025-10-25 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1748 | 1721 | 46.7% | 25.4% | 27.9% | +5.9 | 14 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1721 | 1748 | 27.9% | 25.4% | 46.7% | -5.9 | 10 |
| 2025-10-25 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1789 | 1731 | 50.6% | 24.9% | 24.5% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2025-10-25 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1731 | 1789 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 50.6% | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1774 | 1690 | 53.7% | 24.3% | 22.0% | -1.3 | 19 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1690 | 1774 | 22.0% | 24.3% | 53.7% | +1.3 | 9 |
| 2025-10-26 | Preussen Munster | W 2-0 | 1664 | 1711 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.7% | +14.1 | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-2 | 1711 | 1664 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.4% | -14.1 | 11 |
| 2025-10-26 | Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1664 | 1755 | 30.4% | 25.7% | 43.9% | -17.4 | 10 |
| 2025-10-26 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1755 | 1664 | 43.9% | 25.7% | 30.4% | +17.4 | 20 |
| 2025-10-31 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1821 | 1772 | 49.4% | 25.1% | 25.5% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2025-10-31 | @ Elversberg | D 2-2 | 1772 | 1821 | 25.5% | 25.1% | 49.4% | +0.7 | 21 |
| 2025-10-31 | Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1697 | 1788 | 30.3% | 25.7% | 43.9% | +8.0 | 14 |
| 2025-10-31 | @ Preussen Munster | L 1-2 | 1788 | 1697 | 43.9% | 25.7% | 30.3% | -8.0 | 12 |
| 2025-11-01 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1692 | 1646 | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.9% | +5.3 | 12 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1646 | 1692 | 25.9% | 25.1% | 49.0% | -5.2 | 10 |
| 2025-11-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1760 | 1712 | 49.4% | 25.1% | 25.5% | -0.7 | 19 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1712 | 1760 | 25.5% | 25.1% | 49.4% | +0.7 | 14 |
| 2025-11-01 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1656 | 55.5% | 23.9% | 20.6% | +8.6 | 17 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1656 | 1754 | 20.6% | 23.9% | 55.5% | -8.6 | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1784 | 1773 | 44.5% | 25.7% | 29.8% | +5.9 | 21 |
| 2025-11-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1773 | 1784 | 29.8% | 25.7% | 44.5% | -5.9 | 24 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1715 | 1772 | 34.8% | 26.0% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1772 | 1715 | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.8% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2025-11-02 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1806 | 1648 | 62.1% | 21.9% | 16.0% | +3.3 | 26 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1648 | 1806 | 16.0% | 21.9% | 62.1% | -3.4 | 10 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-0 | 1732 | 1678 | 50.1% | 25.0% | 24.9% | +10.2 | 10 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1678 | 1732 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 50.1% | -10.2 | 7 |
| 2025-11-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1647 | 1697 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | -6.8 | 7 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1697 | 1647 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | +6.8 | 15 |
| 2025-11-07 | Preussen Munster | W 1-0 | 1645 | 1705 | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.5% | +7.8 | 13 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1705 | 1645 | 39.5% | 26.0% | 34.6% | -7.8 | 14 |
| 2025-11-08 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1772 | 1763 | 44.2% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -8.5 | 20 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1763 | 1772 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.2% | +8.5 | 20 |
| 2025-11-08 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1712 | 1790 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | +29.2 | 17 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-4 | 1790 | 1712 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | -29.1 | 21 |
| 2025-11-08 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 2-3 | 1773 | 1760 | 44.8% | 25.6% | 29.6% | -7.7 | 21 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-2 | 1760 | 1773 | 29.6% | 25.6% | 44.8% | +7.7 | 22 |
| 2025-11-08 | Elversberg | W 1-0 | 1767 | 1820 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | +7.6 | 27 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1767 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | -7.6 | 23 |
| 2025-11-09 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1668 | 1810 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 50.5% | -5.3 | 7 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1810 | 1668 | 50.5% | 24.9% | 24.6% | +5.3 | 29 |
| 2025-11-09 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1641 | 1743 | 29.1% | 25.6% | 45.3% | -11.6 | 10 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1743 | 1641 | 45.3% | 25.6% | 29.1% | +11.6 | 13 |
| 2025-11-09 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1780 | 1715 | 51.5% | 24.7% | 23.7% | +5.2 | 15 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-1 | 1715 | 1780 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 51.5% | -5.2 | 11 |
| 2025-11-21 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1771 | 1630 | 60.3% | 22.5% | 17.1% | +3.8 | 23 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1630 | 1771 | 17.1% | 22.5% | 60.3% | -3.8 | 10 |
| 2025-11-21 | Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1754 | 1641 | 57.2% | 23.4% | 19.3% | -9.9 | 13 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1641 | 1754 | 19.3% | 23.4% | 57.2% | +9.9 | 10 |
| 2025-11-22 | Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1767 | 1653 | 57.3% | 23.4% | 19.3% | +6.2 | 25 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 2-4 | 1653 | 1767 | 19.3% | 23.4% | 57.3% | -6.2 | 13 |
| 2025-11-22 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1710 | 1663 | 49.2% | 25.1% | 25.7% | +5.2 | 14 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1663 | 1710 | 25.7% | 25.1% | 49.2% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 2025-11-22 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1765 | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.4% | -17.6 | 29 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-0 | 1765 | 1815 | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.6% | +17.5 | 24 |
| 2025-11-22 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1697 | 1774 | 32.2% | 25.9% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 15 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ Preussen Munster | D 0-0 | 1774 | 1697 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.2% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2025-11-23 | Holstein Kiel | W 4-1 | 1764 | 1786 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.1% | +16.1 | 23 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-4 | 1786 | 1764 | 34.1% | 25.9% | 39.9% | -16.1 | 15 |
| 2025-11-23 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1704 | 1741 | 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.4% | +13.8 | 18 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1741 | 1704 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.6% | -13.8 | 17 |
| 2025-11-23 | Elversberg | L 2-3 | 1761 | 1813 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | -6.4 | 21 |
| 2025-11-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1813 | 1761 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | +6.4 | 26 |
| 2025-11-28 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1783 | 1754 | 46.8% | 25.4% | 27.8% | +16.2 | 27 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1754 | 1783 | 27.8% | 25.4% | 46.8% | -16.2 | 21 |
| 2025-11-28 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1798 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.4% | +6.6 | 31 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1798 | 1774 | 34.4% | 25.9% | 39.6% | -6.6 | 29 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1657 | 1717 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% | +21.3 | 10 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-3 | 1717 | 1657 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.5% | -21.3 | 18 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1626 | 1780 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 52.0% | +18.3 | 13 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1780 | 1626 | 52.0% | 24.6% | 23.3% | -18.3 | 23 |
| 2025-11-29 | VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1647 | 1744 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.8% | -17.1 | 13 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-0 | 1744 | 1647 | 44.8% | 25.7% | 29.6% | +17.0 | 16 |
| 2025-11-29 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1769 | 1775 | 42.2% | 25.8% | 32.0% | -8.2 | 15 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 1-0 | 1775 | 1769 | 32.0% | 25.8% | 42.2% | +8.2 | 26 |
| 2025-11-30 | Preussen Munster | L 1-2 | 1728 | 1697 | 47.0% | 25.4% | 27.5% | -8.4 | 17 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1697 | 1728 | 27.5% | 25.4% | 47.0% | +8.4 | 18 |
| 2025-11-30 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1651 | 1715 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.2% | +7.4 | 13 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1715 | 1651 | 40.2% | 25.9% | 33.9% | -7.4 | 14 |
| 2025-11-30 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1819 | 1773 | 49.0% | 25.1% | 25.8% | -1.0 | 27 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ Elversberg | D 0-0 | 1773 | 1819 | 25.8% | 25.1% | 49.0% | +1.0 | 26 |
| 2025-12-05 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1708 | 1780 | 32.8% | 25.9% | 41.3% | -12.7 | 14 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1780 | 1708 | 41.3% | 25.9% | 32.8% | +12.7 | 34 |
| 2025-12-05 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1706 | 1799 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 19 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ Preussen Munster | D 2-2 | 1799 | 1706 | 44.2% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2025-12-06 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-1 | 1762 | 1658 | 56.1% | 23.7% | 20.2% | +7.3 | 26 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1658 | 1762 | 20.2% | 23.7% | 56.1% | -7.3 | 13 |
| 2025-12-06 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-2 | 1775 | 1738 | 47.9% | 25.3% | 26.9% | +5.2 | 29 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 2-3 | 1738 | 1775 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.9% | -5.1 | 21 |
| 2025-12-06 | Elversberg | L 1-2 | 1791 | 1818 | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.9% | -7.3 | 29 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1791 | 34.9% | 26.0% | 39.2% | +7.3 | 30 |
| 2025-12-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1761 | 1719 | 48.6% | 25.2% | 26.2% | +5.6 | 19 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1719 | 1761 | 26.2% | 25.2% | 48.6% | -5.6 | 17 |
| 2025-12-07 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1696 | 1630 | 51.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | -0.9 | 19 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1630 | 1696 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.7% | +0.9 | 14 |
| 2025-12-07 | Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1761 | 27.3% | 25.4% | 47.4% | +0.8 | 14 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1761 | 1644 | 47.4% | 25.4% | 27.3% | -0.8 | 16 |
| 2025-12-07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-2 | 1783 | 1679 | 56.2% | 23.7% | 20.1% | -19.5 | 26 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1679 | 1783 | 20.1% | 23.7% | 56.2% | +19.5 | 13 |
| 2025-12-12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 2-3 | 1651 | 1645 | 43.8% | 25.7% | 30.5% | -7.5 | 13 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 3-2 | 1645 | 1651 | 30.5% | 25.7% | 43.8% | +7.5 | 17 |
| 2025-12-12 | Hertha BSC | D 3-3 | 1630 | 1764 | 25.5% | 25.1% | 49.5% | +0.6 | 15 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ Greuther Furth | D 3-3 | 1764 | 1630 | 49.5% | 25.1% | 25.5% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2025-12-13 | Holstein Kiel | D 3-3 | 1698 | 1760 | 34.2% | 25.9% | 39.9% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 3-3 | 1760 | 1698 | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% | -0.1 | 17 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1714 | 1769 | 35.2% | 26.0% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1769 | 1714 | 38.9% | 26.0% | 35.2% | -0.2 | 27 |
| 2025-12-13 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1767 | 47.2% | 25.4% | 27.4% | -0.9 | 29 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1767 | 1799 | 27.4% | 25.4% | 47.2% | +0.9 | 20 |
| 2025-12-13 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-4 | 1733 | 1784 | 35.8% | 26.0% | 38.2% | -25.8 | 21 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1784 | 1733 | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.8% | +25.8 | 32 |
| 2025-12-14 | Preussen Munster | W 1-0 | 1780 | 1706 | 52.5% | 24.5% | 22.9% | +5.0 | 32 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1706 | 1780 | 22.9% | 24.5% | 52.5% | -5.0 | 19 |
| 2025-12-14 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1825 | 1695 | 59.1% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +4.0 | 33 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Elversberg | L 0-1 | 1695 | 1825 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.1% | -4.0 | 14 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1793 | 1695 | 55.4% | 23.9% | 20.7% | +4.6 | 37 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1695 | 1793 | 20.7% | 23.9% | 55.4% | -4.6 | 19 |
| 2025-12-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1763 | 1714 | 49.5% | 25.1% | 25.4% | -1.0 | 28 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1714 | 1763 | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.5% | +1.0 | 19 |
| 2025-12-19 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1809 | 1785 | 46.3% | 25.5% | 28.2% | -0.5 | 33 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1785 | 1809 | 28.2% | 25.5% | 46.3% | +0.5 | 33 |
| 2025-12-20 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 2-3 | 1769 | 1698 | 52.1% | 24.6% | 23.3% | -8.7 | 27 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-2 | 1698 | 1769 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 52.1% | +8.7 | 17 |
| 2025-12-20 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1691 | 1631 | 50.8% | 24.9% | 24.3% | +5.0 | 17 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1631 | 1691 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 50.8% | -5.0 | 15 |
| 2025-12-20 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1760 | 1643 | 57.6% | 23.3% | 19.0% | +4.0 | 20 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1643 | 1760 | 19.0% | 23.3% | 57.6% | -4.0 | 13 |
| 2025-12-20 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1768 | 1707 | 50.9% | 24.8% | 24.2% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1707 | 1768 | 24.2% | 24.8% | 50.9% | +0.8 | 22 |
| 2025-12-21 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1691 | 1798 | 28.5% | 25.5% | 46.0% | +8.3 | 22 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1798 | 1691 | 46.0% | 25.5% | 28.5% | -8.3 | 29 |
| 2025-12-21 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1652 | 1798 | 24.2% | 24.8% | 51.0% | +9.0 | 20 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1798 | 1652 | 51.0% | 24.8% | 24.2% | -9.0 | 37 |
| 2025-12-21 | Elversberg | D 1-1 | 1701 | 1829 | 26.0% | 25.2% | 48.8% | +0.9 | 20 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ Preussen Munster | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1701 | 48.8% | 25.2% | 26.0% | -0.9 | 34 |
| 2026-01-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1696 | 1715 | 40.3% | 25.9% | 33.8% | +6.9 | 20 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1715 | 1696 | 33.8% | 25.9% | 40.3% | -6.9 | 19 |
| 2026-01-16 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-3 | 1661 | 1707 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | -20.1 | 20 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1707 | 1661 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | +20.1 | 20 |
| 2026-01-17 | Elversberg | W 3-2 | 1699 | 1828 | 25.9% | 25.1% | 48.9% | +8.2 | 25 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1828 | 1699 | 48.9% | 25.1% | 25.9% | -8.2 | 34 |
| 2026-01-17 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1639 | 1626 | 44.7% | 25.7% | 29.6% | +11.8 | 16 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1626 | 1639 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.7% | -11.8 | 15 |
| 2026-01-17 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1762 | 1789 | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.8% | -0.2 | 29 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1789 | 1762 | 34.8% | 26.0% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 38 |
| 2026-01-17 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1702 | 1708 | 42.1% | 25.8% | 32.0% | -15.4 | 20 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ Preussen Munster | W 2-0 | 1708 | 1702 | 32.0% | 25.8% | 42.1% | +15.4 | 25 |
| 2026-01-18 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1760 | 1789 | 38.8% | 26.0% | 35.2% | +11.6 | 30 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1789 | 1760 | 35.2% | 26.0% | 38.8% | -11.6 | 29 |
| 2026-01-18 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-0 | 1764 | 1809 | 36.7% | 26.0% | 37.4% | +14.0 | 23 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-2 | 1809 | 1764 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.7% | -14.0 | 33 |
| 2026-01-18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 3-3 | 1767 | 1785 | 40.4% | 25.9% | 33.7% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1785 | 1767 | 33.7% | 25.9% | 40.4% | +0.2 | 34 |
| 2026-01-23 | Holstein Kiel | D 2-2 | 1708 | 1778 | 33.1% | 25.9% | 41.0% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1778 | 1708 | 41.0% | 25.9% | 33.1% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 2026-01-23 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1785 | 1707 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% | +9.3 | 37 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1707 | 1785 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.1% | -9.3 | 25 |
| 2026-01-24 | Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1727 | 1651 | 52.9% | 24.5% | 22.7% | -9.3 | 20 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1651 | 1727 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.9% | +9.3 | 19 |
| 2026-01-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1614 | 1641 | 39.2% | 26.0% | 34.9% | -0.2 | 16 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1641 | 1614 | 34.9% | 26.0% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 2026-01-24 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1778 | 1703 | 52.7% | 24.5% | 22.8% | +4.7 | 32 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1703 | 1778 | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% | -4.7 | 20 |
| 2026-01-24 | Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1723 | 1762 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.5% | -0.0 | 26 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1762 | 1723 | 36.5% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +0.0 | 30 |
| 2026-01-25 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1820 | 1767 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | -1.0 | 35 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Elversberg | D 1-1 | 1767 | 1820 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | +1.0 | 23 |
| 2026-01-25 | Preussen Munster | W 2-1 | 1795 | 1687 | 56.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | +4.1 | 36 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1687 | 1795 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 56.6% | -4.1 | 20 |
| 2026-01-25 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1789 | 1772 | 45.3% | 25.6% | 29.1% | -0.5 | 39 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1772 | 1789 | 29.1% | 25.6% | 45.3% | +0.5 | 31 |
| 2026-01-30 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1718 | 1783 | 33.9% | 25.9% | 40.2% | -6.5 | 20 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-1 | 1783 | 1718 | 40.2% | 25.9% | 33.9% | +6.5 | 35 |
| 2026-01-30 | Preussen Munster | D 1-1 | 1698 | 1683 | 45.1% | 25.6% | 29.3% | -0.6 | 26 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1683 | 1698 | 29.3% | 25.6% | 45.1% | +0.6 | 21 |
| 2026-01-31 | Elversberg | L 1-3 | 1772 | 1819 | 36.3% | 26.0% | 37.7% | -11.9 | 31 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1819 | 1772 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.3% | +11.9 | 38 |
| 2026-01-31 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1642 | 1723 | 31.6% | 25.8% | 42.6% | +8.2 | 24 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1723 | 1642 | 42.6% | 25.8% | 31.6% | -8.2 | 26 |
| 2026-01-31 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1614 | 62.7% | 21.7% | 15.6% | -10.7 | 24 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1614 | 1778 | 15.6% | 21.7% | 62.7% | +10.7 | 19 |
| 2026-01-31 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1788 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 34.0% | +13.1 | 26 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1788 | 1768 | 34.0% | 25.9% | 40.1% | -13.1 | 39 |
| 2026-02-01 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1698 | 1799 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.2% | +8.1 | 23 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1799 | 1698 | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% | -8.1 | 36 |
| 2026-02-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1660 | 1708 | 36.2% | 26.0% | 37.8% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1708 | 1660 | 37.8% | 26.0% | 36.2% | -0.1 | 21 |
| 2026-02-01 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1762 | 1795 | 38.4% | 26.0% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 31 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1795 | 1762 | 35.6% | 26.0% | 38.4% | +0.1 | 38 |
| 2026-02-06 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 4-5 | 1625 | 1711 | 31.0% | 25.8% | 43.2% | -5.6 | 19 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ Greuther Furth | W 5-4 | 1711 | 1625 | 43.2% | 25.8% | 31.0% | +5.5 | 23 |
| 2026-02-06 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1683 | 1781 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.8% | +0.6 | 22 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ Preussen Munster | D 1-1 | 1781 | 1683 | 44.8% | 25.7% | 29.6% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 4-0 | 1795 | 1760 | 47.6% | 25.3% | 27.1% | +20.7 | 41 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-4 | 1760 | 1795 | 27.1% | 25.3% | 47.6% | -20.7 | 31 |
| 2026-02-07 | Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1831 | 1762 | 52.0% | 24.6% | 23.4% | -26.5 | 38 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Elversberg | W 3-0 | 1762 | 1831 | 23.4% | 24.6% | 52.0% | +26.5 | 34 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1791 | 1697 | 54.9% | 24.0% | 21.1% | +4.4 | 39 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1697 | 1791 | 21.1% | 24.0% | 54.9% | -4.4 | 26 |
| 2026-02-07 | Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1775 | 1660 | 57.4% | 23.4% | 19.2% | -1.2 | 40 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1660 | 1775 | 19.2% | 23.4% | 57.4% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2026-02-08 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-2 | 1708 | 1650 | 50.6% | 24.9% | 24.5% | +4.8 | 24 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1650 | 1708 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 50.6% | -4.8 | 24 |
| 2026-02-08 | Holstein Kiel | W 3-1 | 1789 | 1767 | 45.9% | 25.5% | 28.6% | +9.9 | 38 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1767 | 1789 | 28.6% | 25.5% | 45.9% | -9.9 | 24 |
| 2026-02-08 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1715 | 1706 | 44.2% | 25.7% | 30.1% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1706 | 1715 | 30.1% | 25.7% | 44.2% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2026-02-13 | Karlsruher SC | W 5-1 | 1693 | 1715 | 40.0% | 25.9% | 34.1% | +20.7 | 29 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-5 | 1715 | 1693 | 34.1% | 25.9% | 40.0% | -20.8 | 27 |
| 2026-02-13 | Preussen Munster | D 0-0 | 1707 | 1684 | 46.1% | 25.5% | 28.4% | -0.8 | 25 |
| 2026-02-13 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1684 | 1707 | 28.4% | 25.5% | 46.1% | +0.8 | 23 |
| 2026-02-14 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1739 | 1619 | 58.0% | 23.2% | 18.8% | +4.2 | 34 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1619 | 1739 | 18.8% | 23.2% | 58.0% | -4.2 | 19 |
| 2026-02-14 | Elversberg | L 1-2 | 1661 | 1804 | 24.4% | 24.9% | 50.7% | -5.0 | 21 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1661 | 50.7% | 24.9% | 24.4% | +5.0 | 41 |
| 2026-02-14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1645 | 1816 | 21.7% | 24.2% | 54.0% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1645 | 54.0% | 24.2% | 21.7% | -1.0 | 42 |
| 2026-02-14 | Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1789 | 1799 | 41.5% | 25.9% | 32.6% | -7.2 | 34 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-2 | 1799 | 1789 | 32.6% | 25.9% | 41.5% | +7.2 | 41 |
| 2026-02-15 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1780 | 1795 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -0.3 | 28 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1780 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2026-02-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1717 | 1713 | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.7% | -15.8 | 23 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 2-0 | 1713 | 1717 | 30.7% | 25.8% | 43.5% | +15.8 | 27 |
| 2026-02-15 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1758 | 1774 | 40.7% | 25.9% | 33.4% | -7.5 | 24 |
| 2026-02-15 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1758 | 33.4% | 25.9% | 40.7% | +7.5 | 43 |
| 2026-02-20 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1615 | 1729 | 27.7% | 25.4% | 46.9% | +8.4 | 22 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1729 | 1615 | 46.9% | 25.4% | 27.7% | -8.4 | 27 |
| 2026-02-20 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1780 | 1714 | 51.6% | 24.7% | 23.6% | -1.2 | 29 |
| 2026-02-20 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1714 | 1780 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 51.6% | +1.2 | 30 |
| 2026-02-21 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1706 | 56.7% | 23.6% | 19.8% | +4.1 | 45 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1706 | 1814 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 56.7% | -4.1 | 25 |
| 2026-02-21 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-1 | 1809 | 1646 | 62.6% | 21.8% | 15.6% | +5.7 | 44 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Elversberg | L 1-3 | 1646 | 1809 | 15.6% | 21.8% | 62.6% | -5.7 | 25 |
| 2026-02-21 | Holstein Kiel | W 3-1 | 1694 | 1750 | 35.0% | 26.0% | 39.0% | +12.6 | 30 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1750 | 1694 | 39.0% | 26.0% | 35.0% | -12.6 | 24 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 5-3 | 1782 | 1701 | 53.4% | 24.4% | 22.3% | +6.8 | 46 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ Schalke 04 | L 3-5 | 1701 | 1782 | 22.3% | 24.4% | 53.4% | -6.8 | 23 |
| 2026-02-22 | Dynamo Dresden | D 0-0 | 1806 | 1656 | 61.2% | 22.2% | 16.6% | -2.2 | 42 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1656 | 1806 | 16.6% | 22.2% | 61.2% | +2.1 | 22 |
| 2026-02-22 | Hertha BSC | W 5-2 | 1796 | 1781 | 44.9% | 25.6% | 29.5% | +12.4 | 43 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-5 | 1781 | 1796 | 29.5% | 25.6% | 44.9% | -12.4 | 34 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-3 | 1685 | 1744 | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.4% | -6.3 | 23 |
| 2026-02-22 | @ Preussen Munster | W 3-2 | 1744 | 1685 | 39.4% | 26.0% | 34.6% | +6.3 | 37 |
| 2026-02-27 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1702 | 1779 | 32.2% | 25.9% | 41.9% | +7.7 | 28 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1779 | 1702 | 41.9% | 25.9% | 32.2% | -7.7 | 29 |
| 2026-02-27 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-1 | 1659 | 1819 | 22.7% | 24.5% | 52.8% | +16.0 | 25 |
| 2026-02-27 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-3 | 1819 | 1659 | 52.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% | -16.0 | 45 |
| 2026-02-28 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1750 | 1808 | 34.8% | 26.0% | 39.3% | -6.7 | 37 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1808 | 1750 | 39.3% | 26.0% | 34.8% | +6.7 | 46 |
| 2026-02-28 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1720 | 1804 | 31.3% | 25.8% | 42.9% | -6.5 | 27 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1720 | 42.9% | 25.8% | 31.3% | +6.5 | 45 |
| 2026-02-28 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1788 | 22.3% | 24.4% | 53.4% | +1.3 | 23 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1788 | 1623 | 53.4% | 24.4% | 22.3% | -1.3 | 47 |
| 2026-02-28 | Elversberg | D 1-1 | 1738 | 1815 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1738 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | -0.4 | 45 |
| 2026-03-01 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1694 | 1706 | 41.3% | 25.9% | 32.8% | -13.1 | 23 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 3-1 | 1706 | 1694 | 32.8% | 25.9% | 41.3% | +13.1 | 33 |
| 2026-03-01 | Preussen Munster | L 1-2 | 1640 | 1678 | 37.6% | 26.0% | 36.4% | -7.1 | 25 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1678 | 1640 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.6% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1769 | 1715 | 50.1% | 25.0% | 24.9% | +5.1 | 37 |
| 2026-03-01 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1715 | 1769 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 50.1% | -5.1 | 30 |
| 2026-03-06 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1815 | 1681 | 59.5% | 22.8% | 17.8% | +4.0 | 48 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ Elversberg | L 0-1 | 1681 | 1815 | 17.8% | 22.8% | 59.5% | -3.9 | 23 |
| 2026-03-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1787 | 1714 | 52.5% | 24.5% | 22.9% | +5.0 | 50 |
| 2026-03-06 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1714 | 1787 | 22.9% | 24.5% | 52.5% | -5.0 | 27 |
| 2026-03-07 | Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1710 | 1710 | 43.0% | 25.8% | 31.2% | -8.3 | 30 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1710 | 1710 | 31.2% | 25.8% | 43.0% | +8.3 | 31 |
| 2026-03-07 | Holstein Kiel | W 2-0 | 1803 | 1738 | 51.4% | 24.7% | 23.8% | +9.8 | 48 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1738 | 1803 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 51.4% | -9.8 | 25 |
| 2026-03-07 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1633 | 64.4% | 21.1% | 14.5% | -2.2 | 47 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1633 | 1815 | 14.5% | 21.1% | 64.4% | +2.2 | 26 |
| 2026-03-07 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-2 | 1771 | 1743 | 46.7% | 25.4% | 27.8% | +5.3 | 32 |
| 2026-03-07 | @ VfL Bochum | L 2-3 | 1743 | 1771 | 27.8% | 25.4% | 46.7% | -5.3 | 37 |
| 2026-03-08 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1625 | 64.9% | 20.9% | 14.2% | -11.0 | 45 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1625 | 1811 | 14.2% | 20.9% | 64.9% | +11.0 | 26 |
| 2026-03-08 | Dynamo Dresden | D 3-3 | 1720 | 1675 | 48.9% | 25.1% | 25.9% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 3-3 | 1675 | 1720 | 25.9% | 25.1% | 48.9% | +0.6 | 26 |
| 2026-03-08 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1685 | 1774 | 30.7% | 25.8% | 43.5% | -6.0 | 26 |
| 2026-03-08 | @ Preussen Munster | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1685 | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.7% | +6.0 | 40 |
| 2026-03-13 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1677 | 1812 | 25.3% | 25.0% | 49.7% | +1.0 | 24 |
| 2026-03-13 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1677 | 49.7% | 25.0% | 25.3% | -1.0 | 49 |
| 2026-03-13 | Elversberg | W 2-0 | 1636 | 1819 | 20.6% | 23.9% | 55.5% | +19.3 | 29 |
| 2026-03-13 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1819 | 1636 | 55.5% | 23.9% | 20.6% | -19.3 | 48 |
| 2026-03-14 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1709 | 1812 | 28.8% | 25.6% | 45.6% | +0.5 | 28 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1812 | 1709 | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.8% | -0.5 | 48 |
| 2026-03-14 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1635 | 1718 | 31.5% | 25.8% | 42.7% | +8.2 | 29 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1718 | 1635 | 42.7% | 25.8% | 31.5% | -8.2 | 31 |
| 2026-03-14 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1780 | 1776 | 43.5% | 25.8% | 30.8% | -0.5 | 41 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1776 | 1780 | 30.8% | 25.8% | 43.5% | +0.5 | 33 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1728 | 1701 | 46.6% | 25.5% | 28.0% | -7.9 | 25 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-2 | 1701 | 1728 | 28.0% | 25.5% | 46.6% | +7.9 | 33 |
| 2026-03-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1738 | 1719 | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.9% | +16.7 | 40 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-3 | 1719 | 1738 | 28.9% | 25.6% | 45.6% | -16.7 | 34 |
| 2026-03-15 | Preussen Munster | W 6-0 | 1675 | 1679 | 42.4% | 25.8% | 31.8% | +34.5 | 29 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-6 | 1679 | 1675 | 31.8% | 25.8% | 42.4% | -34.5 | 26 |
| 2026-03-15 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1792 | 1800 | 41.9% | 25.9% | 32.2% | -0.3 | 51 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1800 | 1792 | 32.2% | 25.9% | 41.9% | +0.3 | 46 |
| 2026-03-20 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1800 | 1644 | 61.9% | 22.0% | 16.1% | +3.6 | 49 |
| 2026-03-20 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1644 | 1800 | 16.1% | 22.0% | 61.9% | -3.6 | 29 |
| 2026-03-20 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1702 | 1655 | 49.2% | 25.1% | 25.7% | +9.0 | 37 |
| 2026-03-20 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1655 | 1702 | 25.7% | 25.1% | 49.2% | -9.0 | 29 |
| 2026-03-21 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-0 | 1709 | 1755 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.5% | +20.4 | 36 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1755 | 1709 | 37.5% | 26.0% | 36.6% | -20.4 | 40 |
| 2026-03-21 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1792 | 45.6% | 25.6% | 28.8% | -0.7 | 50 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1811 | 28.8% | 25.6% | 45.6% | +0.7 | 52 |
| 2026-03-21 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 | 1799 | 1709 | 54.5% | 24.1% | 21.4% | +7.7 | 51 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Elversberg | L 1-3 | 1709 | 1799 | 21.4% | 24.1% | 54.5% | -7.7 | 28 |
| 2026-03-21 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1812 | 1710 | 56.0% | 23.8% | 20.3% | +4.2 | 51 |
| 2026-03-21 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1710 | 1812 | 20.3% | 23.8% | 56.0% | -4.2 | 29 |
| 2026-03-22 | Hertha BSC | L 2-5 | 1710 | 1780 | 33.1% | 25.9% | 40.9% | -13.6 | 31 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Dusseldorf | W 5-2 | 1780 | 1710 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.1% | +13.6 | 44 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-3 | 1645 | 1678 | 38.2% | 26.0% | 35.8% | -12.4 | 26 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ Preussen Munster | W 3-1 | 1678 | 1645 | 35.8% | 26.0% | 38.2% | +12.4 | 27 |
| 2026-03-22 | Holstein Kiel | L 2-3 | 1777 | 1720 | 50.4% | 24.9% | 24.6% | -8.5 | 33 |
| 2026-03-22 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1720 | 1777 | 24.6% | 24.9% | 50.4% | +8.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-04 | Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1734 | 1696 | 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.6% | +15.6 | 43 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-3 | 1696 | 1734 | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | -15.6 | 31 |
| 2026-04-04 | VfL Bochum | W 4-1 | 1691 | 1769 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | +18.8 | 30 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-4 | 1769 | 1691 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | -18.8 | 33 |
| 2026-04-04 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-1 | 1702 | 1811 | 28.2% | 25.5% | 46.3% | +8.3 | 31 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1702 | 46.3% | 25.5% | 28.2% | -8.3 | 50 |
| 2026-04-04 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1705 | 1793 | 30.8% | 25.8% | 43.4% | -6.4 | 29 |
| 2026-04-04 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1793 | 1705 | 43.4% | 25.8% | 30.8% | +6.4 | 47 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1640 | 1730 | 30.6% | 25.7% | 43.7% | +0.5 | 30 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1730 | 1640 | 43.7% | 25.7% | 30.6% | -0.5 | 37 |
| 2026-04-05 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1646 | 1816 | 21.8% | 24.2% | 54.0% | -9.0 | 29 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1646 | 54.0% | 24.2% | 21.8% | +9.0 | 54 |
| 2026-04-05 | Elversberg | D 1-1 | 1803 | 1807 | 42.5% | 25.8% | 31.7% | -0.4 | 50 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1803 | 31.7% | 25.8% | 42.5% | +0.4 | 52 |
| 2026-04-05 | Preussen Munster | D 0-0 | 1729 | 1632 | 55.2% | 23.9% | 20.8% | -1.6 | 29 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Holstein Kiel | D 0-0 | 1632 | 1729 | 20.8% | 23.9% | 55.2% | +1.6 | 27 |
| 2026-04-05 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1792 | 1711 | 53.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | +4.9 | 55 |
| 2026-04-05 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1711 | 1792 | 22.2% | 24.3% | 53.5% | -4.9 | 37 |
| 2026-04-10 | Holstein Kiel | L 1-2 | 1680 | 1727 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.7% | -6.9 | 31 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1727 | 1680 | 37.7% | 26.0% | 36.4% | +6.9 | 32 |
| 2026-04-10 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-1 | 1706 | 1710 | 42.5% | 25.8% | 31.7% | +15.2 | 40 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-4 | 1710 | 1706 | 31.7% | 25.8% | 42.5% | -15.2 | 31 |
| 2026-04-11 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1729 | 1699 | 47.0% | 25.4% | 27.6% | -16.8 | 37 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1699 | 1729 | 27.6% | 25.4% | 47.0% | +16.8 | 32 |
| 2026-04-11 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1802 | 1803 | 42.9% | 25.8% | 31.3% | -15.6 | 50 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 1803 | 1802 | 31.3% | 25.8% | 42.9% | +15.6 | 53 |
| 2026-04-11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1800 | 1750 | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.4% | -9.3 | 47 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1750 | 1800 | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.6% | +9.3 | 46 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1634 | 1637 | 42.5% | 25.8% | 31.6% | -0.5 | 28 |
| 2026-04-11 | @ Preussen Munster | D 0-0 | 1637 | 1634 | 31.6% | 25.8% | 42.5% | +0.5 | 30 |
| 2026-04-12 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1797 | 44.3% | 25.7% | 30.0% | -8.0 | 52 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Elversberg | W 2-1 | 1797 | 1807 | 30.0% | 25.7% | 44.3% | +8.0 | 58 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 4-3 | 1825 | 1710 | 57.5% | 23.4% | 19.1% | +3.7 | 57 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 3-4 | 1710 | 1825 | 19.1% | 23.4% | 57.5% | -3.7 | 30 |
| 2026-04-12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 4-1 | 1750 | 1641 | 56.7% | 23.6% | 19.7% | +10.1 | 36 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-4 | 1641 | 1750 | 19.7% | 23.6% | 56.7% | -10.1 | 30 |
| 2026-04-17 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1799 | 1722 | 53.1% | 24.4% | 22.5% | +13.5 | 55 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Elversberg | L 0-3 | 1722 | 1799 | 22.5% | 24.4% | 53.1% | -13.5 | 40 |
| 2026-04-17 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-0 | 1734 | 1759 | 39.4% | 26.0% | 34.6% | +19.3 | 35 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-3 | 1759 | 1734 | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.4% | -19.3 | 46 |
| 2026-04-18 | Dusseldorf | W 2-0 | 1706 | 1673 | 47.3% | 25.4% | 27.3% | +11.0 | 33 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-2 | 1673 | 1706 | 27.3% | 25.4% | 47.3% | -11.0 | 31 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1695 | 1712 | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | -0.3 | 32 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1712 | 1695 | 33.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2026-04-18 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1716 | 1760 | 36.8% | 26.0% | 37.2% | +14.0 | 35 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1760 | 1716 | 37.2% | 26.0% | 36.8% | -14.0 | 36 |
| 2026-04-18 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1819 | 1829 | 41.5% | 25.9% | 32.6% | -0.3 | 54 |
| 2026-04-18 | @ Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1819 | 32.6% | 25.9% | 41.5% | +0.3 | 58 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1631 | 1790 | 22.8% | 24.5% | 52.7% | +1.2 | 31 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1790 | 1631 | 52.7% | 24.5% | 22.8% | -1.2 | 48 |
| 2026-04-19 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-2 | 1637 | 1787 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 51.5% | +8.6 | 33 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1787 | 1637 | 51.5% | 24.7% | 23.8% | -8.6 | 50 |
| 2026-04-19 | Preussen Munster | W 4-1 | 1805 | 1634 | 63.5% | 21.4% | 15.1% | +7.7 | 61 |
| 2026-04-19 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1634 | 1805 | 15.1% | 21.4% | 63.5% | -7.7 | 28 |
| 2026-04-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1740 | 1632 | 56.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | -19.6 | 46 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1632 | 1740 | 19.8% | 23.6% | 56.6% | +19.6 | 34 |
| 2026-04-24 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-1 | 1662 | 1730 | 33.5% | 25.9% | 40.6% | +12.9 | 34 |
| 2026-04-24 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1730 | 1662 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 33.5% | -12.9 | 35 |
| 2026-04-25 | Elversberg | D 3-3 | 1778 | 1813 | 38.1% | 26.0% | 35.9% | -0.0 | 51 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 3-3 | 1813 | 1778 | 35.9% | 26.0% | 38.1% | +0.0 | 56 |
| 2026-04-25 | Holstein Kiel | L 0-1 | 1789 | 1753 | 47.8% | 25.3% | 26.9% | -9.0 | 48 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1753 | 1789 | 26.9% | 25.3% | 47.8% | +9.0 | 38 |
| 2026-04-25 | Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1708 | 1818 | 28.1% | 25.5% | 46.5% | -9.8 | 40 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1818 | 1708 | 46.5% | 25.5% | 28.1% | +9.7 | 57 |
| 2026-04-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1626 | 1694 | 33.3% | 25.9% | 40.8% | -6.1 | 28 |
| 2026-04-25 | @ Preussen Munster | W 3-2 | 1694 | 1626 | 40.8% | 25.9% | 33.3% | +6.1 | 35 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1713 | 1717 | 42.4% | 25.8% | 31.8% | +6.6 | 41 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1717 | 1713 | 31.8% | 25.8% | 42.4% | -6.6 | 33 |
| 2026-04-26 | Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1829 | 1813 | 45.2% | 25.6% | 29.2% | -7.7 | 58 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 3-2 | 1813 | 1829 | 29.2% | 25.6% | 45.2% | +7.7 | 64 |
| 2026-04-26 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1746 | 1646 | 55.6% | 23.8% | 20.5% | +4.3 | 39 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1646 | 1746 | 20.5% | 23.8% | 55.6% | -4.3 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1700 | 1750 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.1% | +0.1 | 36 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1700 | 38.1% | 26.0% | 36.0% | -0.1 | 40 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1717 | 1720 | 42.5% | 25.8% | 31.7% | +6.6 | 38 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1720 | 1717 | 31.7% | 25.8% | 42.5% | -6.6 | 46 |
| 2026-05-02 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1762 | 1651 | 56.9% | 23.5% | 19.6% | +8.2 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Holstein Kiel | L 0-2 | 1651 | 1762 | 19.6% | 23.5% | 56.9% | -8.2 | 34 |
| 2026-05-02 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1675 | 60.7% | 22.4% | 16.9% | +3.8 | 67 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1675 | 1821 | 16.9% | 22.4% | 60.7% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1710 | 1780 | 33.2% | 25.9% | 40.9% | +8.0 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | L 0-1 | 1780 | 1710 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 33.2% | -8.0 | 48 |
| 2026-05-03 | Paderborn 07 | W 5-1 | 1813 | 1822 | 41.8% | 25.9% | 32.4% | +19.9 | 59 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Elversberg | L 1-5 | 1822 | 1813 | 32.4% | 25.9% | 41.8% | -19.9 | 58 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1642 | 1719 | 32.1% | 25.9% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 34 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1719 | 1642 | 42.0% | 25.9% | 32.1% | -0.4 | 42 |
| 2026-05-03 | Preussen Munster | D 3-3 | 1828 | 1620 | 67.0% | 20.0% | 12.9% | -1.5 | 58 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Hannover 96 | D 3-3 | 1620 | 1828 | 12.9% | 20.0% | 67.0% | +1.5 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-1 | 1698 | 1778 | 31.8% | 25.8% | 42.3% | +7.7 | 43 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1698 | 42.3% | 25.8% | 31.8% | -7.7 | 51 |
| 2026-05-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1714 | 1701 | 44.8% | 25.7% | 29.6% | +11.8 | 49 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1701 | 1714 | 29.6% | 25.7% | 44.8% | -11.8 | 36 |
| 2026-05-08 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1802 | 1706 | 55.2% | 24.0% | 20.9% | -1.1 | 59 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1706 | 1802 | 20.9% | 24.0% | 55.2% | +1.1 | 44 |
| 2026-05-09 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1719 | 1825 | 28.6% | 25.5% | 45.8% | +23.9 | 45 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1825 | 1719 | 45.8% | 25.5% | 28.6% | -23.9 | 67 |
| 2026-05-09 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1643 | 1723 | 31.8% | 25.8% | 42.4% | +7.7 | 37 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1723 | 1643 | 42.4% | 25.8% | 31.8% | -7.7 | 38 |
| 2026-05-09 | 1. FC Magdeburg | L 1-3 | 1770 | 1718 | 49.9% | 25.0% | 25.1% | -15.3 | 41 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ Holstein Kiel | W 3-1 | 1718 | 1770 | 25.1% | 25.0% | 49.9% | +15.3 | 39 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1827 | 32.3% | 25.9% | 41.9% | +0.4 | 41 |
| 2026-05-09 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1750 | 41.9% | 25.9% | 32.3% | -0.4 | 59 |
| 2026-05-10 | Elversberg | W 3-1 | 1672 | 1833 | 22.6% | 24.4% | 52.9% | +16.1 | 37 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1833 | 1672 | 52.9% | 24.4% | 22.6% | -16.1 | 59 |
| 2026-05-10 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1772 | 1642 | 59.1% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +3.8 | 51 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1642 | 1772 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.1% | -3.8 | 34 |
| 2026-05-10 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1621 | 1770 | 23.8% | 24.7% | 51.5% | +1.1 | 30 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ Preussen Munster | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1621 | 51.5% | 24.7% | 23.8% | -1.1 | 52 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1733 | 1725 | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.2% | -8.5 | 39 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | W 1-0 | 1725 | 1733 | 30.2% | 25.7% | 44.1% | +8.5 | 52 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hertha BSC | W 6-1 | 1689 | 1776 | 30.9% | 25.8% | 43.3% | +30.5 | 39 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-6 | 1776 | 1689 | 43.3% | 25.8% | 30.9% | -30.5 | 51 |
| 2026-05-17 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1769 | 1801 | 38.6% | 26.0% | 35.4% | -14.4 | 52 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 1801 | 1769 | 35.4% | 26.0% | 38.6% | +14.4 | 62 |
| 2026-05-17 | Holstein Kiel | W 2-1 | 1716 | 1755 | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.6% | +6.9 | 41 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1755 | 1716 | 36.6% | 26.0% | 37.4% | -6.9 | 41 |
| 2026-05-17 | Preussen Munster | W 3-0 | 1817 | 1622 | 65.7% | 20.6% | 13.7% | +8.3 | 62 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Elversberg | L 0-3 | 1622 | 1817 | 13.7% | 20.6% | 65.7% | -8.2 | 30 |
| 2026-05-17 | Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1638 | 1688 | 36.0% | 26.0% | 38.0% | +20.7 | 37 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1688 | 1638 | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% | -20.7 | 37 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 3-3 | 1826 | 1743 | 53.7% | 24.3% | 22.0% | -0.8 | 60 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Hannover 96 | D 3-3 | 1743 | 1826 | 22.0% | 24.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | 46 |
| 2026-05-17 | VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1707 | 1750 | 36.9% | 26.0% | 37.1% | -6.9 | 44 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1750 | 1707 | 37.1% | 26.0% | 36.9% | +7.0 | 44 |
| 2026-05-17 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1801 | 1651 | 61.2% | 22.2% | 16.6% | +3.7 | 70 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1651 | 1801 | 16.6% | 22.2% | 61.2% | -3.7 | 37 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1841 | 1815 | 46.5% | 25.5% | 28.1% | -0.8 | 0-0-1 |
| 2026-05-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1815 | 1841 | 28.1% | 25.5% | 46.5% | +0.8 | 0-0-1 |
| 2026-05-25 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1816 | 1840 | 39.6% | 25.9% | 34.5% | +6.6 | 1-0-1 |
| 2026-05-25 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1816 | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% | -6.6 | 0-1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-03-08 | 14.22% | Greuther Furth | 1625 | 2 | @ Hannover 96 | 1811 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-01-31 | 15.59% | Greuther Furth | 1614 | 2 | @ Holstein Kiel | 1778 | 1 |
| 3 | 2025-11-21 | 19.33% | Dynamo Dresden | 1641 | 2 | @ VfL Bochum | 1754 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-04-24 | 19.78% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1632 | 2 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1740 | 0 |
| 5 | 2025-12-07 | 20.08% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1679 | 2 | @ Hertha BSC | 1783 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-03-13 | 20.62% | @ Greuther Furth | 1636 | 2 | Elversberg | 1819 | 0 |
| 7 | 2025-09-13 | 21.94% | Hertha BSC | 1715 | 3 | @ Hannover 96 | 1799 | 0 |
| 8 | 2025-08-10 | 22.50% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1707 | 2 | @ Holstein Kiel | 1785 | 0 |
| 9 | 2026-05-10 | 22.60% | @ Dusseldorf | 1672 | 3 | Elversberg | 1833 | 1 |
| 10 | 2026-01-24 | 22.66% | Dynamo Dresden | 1651 | 2 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 1727 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-02-27 | 22.73% | @ Dynamo Dresden | 1659 | 3 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1819 | 1 |
| 12 | 2025-10-17 | 22.76% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1655 | 2 | @ Dusseldorf | 1730 | 1 |
| 13 | 2025-12-20 | 23.26% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1698 | 3 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1769 | 2 |
| 14 | 2025-11-29 | 23.32% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1626 | 2 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1780 | 0 |
| 15 | 2026-02-07 | 23.38% | Hertha BSC | 1762 | 3 | @ Elversberg | 1831 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-04-19 | 23.79% | @ Greuther Furth | 1637 | 3 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1787 | 2 |
| 17 | 2025-10-25 | 24.20% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1694 | 2 | Elversberg | 1839 | 0 |
| 18 | 2025-12-21 | 24.21% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1652 | 2 | Schalke 04 | 1798 | 1 |
| 19 | 2025-08-24 | 24.29% | Dynamo Dresden | 1666 | 2 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1726 | 1 |
| 20 | 2025-10-03 | 24.58% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1681 | 3 | @ Dusseldorf | 1738 | 2 |
| 21 | 2026-03-22 | 24.63% | Holstein Kiel | 1720 | 3 | @ VfL Bochum | 1777 | 2 |
| 22 | 2025-09-19 | 24.68% | Greuther Furth | 1673 | 3 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1729 | 1 |
| 23 | 2026-05-09 | 25.11% | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1718 | 3 | @ Holstein Kiel | 1770 | 1 |
| 24 | 2025-08-03 | 25.15% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1683 | 1 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 1735 | 0 |
| 25 | 2025-11-22 | 25.37% | Hannover 96 | 1765 | 2 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1815 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-03-15 | 34.52 | @ Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 1675 | 42.39% | Preussen Munster | 0 | 1679 | 31.78% | 25.83% |
| 2 | 2026-05-17 | 30.48 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1689 | 30.92% | Hertha BSC | 1 | 1776 | 43.31% | 25.77% |
| 3 | 2025-11-08 | 29.15 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1712 | 32.14% | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1790 | 42.01% | 25.85% |
| 4 | 2025-09-13 | 27.31 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 1715 | 21.94% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1799 | 53.78% | 24.28% |
| 5 | 2026-02-07 | 26.53 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 1762 | 23.38% | @ Elversberg | 0 | 1831 | 51.98% | 24.64% |
| 6 | 2025-12-13 | 25.82 | Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1784 | 38.22% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1733 | 35.80% | 25.98% |
| 7 | 2025-08-02 | 25.50 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 1681 | 29.67% | Dusseldorf | 1 | 1778 | 44.68% | 25.65% |
| 8 | 2025-10-17 | 24.89 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1741 | 26.60% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1780 | 48.13% | 25.27% |
| 9 | 2026-05-09 | 23.92 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1719 | 28.62% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1825 | 45.84% | 25.54% |
| 10 | 2025-09-21 | 23.77 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3 | 1735 | 28.94% | @ Dusseldorf | 0 | 1754 | 45.48% | 25.58% |
| 11 | 2025-11-29 | 21.30 | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 1657 | 34.50% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1717 | 39.55% | 25.95% |
| 12 | 2025-09-28 | 21.23 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 1728 | 34.65% | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1702 | 39.39% | 25.96% |
| 13 | 2025-10-05 | 21.08 | Elversberg | 4 | 1797 | 46.94% | @ 1. FC Magdeburg | 0 | 1683 | 27.64% | 25.42% |
| 14 | 2026-02-13 | 20.75 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 5 | 1693 | 39.95% | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1715 | 34.11% | 25.94% |
| 15 | 2026-02-07 | 20.71 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | 4 | 1795 | 47.61% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1760 | 27.05% | 25.34% |
| 16 | 2026-05-17 | 20.67 | @ Greuther Furth | 3 | 1638 | 36.00% | Dusseldorf | 0 | 1688 | 38.02% | 25.98% |
| 17 | 2025-10-19 | 20.49 | @ Elversberg | 6 | 1818 | 59.68% | Greuther Furth | 0 | 1683 | 17.59% | 22.73% |
| 18 | 2026-03-21 | 20.44 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1709 | 36.56% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1755 | 37.45% | 25.99% |
| 19 | 2026-01-16 | 20.06 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 1707 | 37.50% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1661 | 36.51% | 25.99% |
| 20 | 2025-09-14 | 19.98 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3 | 1740 | 37.69% | @ Greuther Furth | 0 | 1693 | 36.32% | 25.99% |
| 21 | 2026-05-03 | 19.93 | @ Elversberg | 5 | 1813 | 41.78% | Paderborn 07 | 1 | 1822 | 32.36% | 25.86% |
| 22 | 2026-04-24 | 19.64 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 1632 | 19.78% | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1740 | 56.62% | 23.60% |
| 23 | 2025-12-07 | 19.52 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1679 | 20.08% | @ Hertha BSC | 0 | 1783 | 56.21% | 23.70% |
| 24 | 2026-03-13 | 19.31 | @ Greuther Furth | 2 | 1636 | 20.62% | Elversberg | 0 | 1819 | 55.50% | 23.88% |
| 25 | 2026-04-17 | 19.27 | @ Holstein Kiel | 3 | 1734 | 39.42% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1759 | 34.62% | 25.96% |