2026-27 2. Bundesliga Season

54 games played · 18 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Top Promotion Contender

Hertha BSC

80% promotion probability

Biggest Overachiever

Hertha BSC

8.55 points above expected

18 points · 9.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Eintracht Braunschweig

3.92 points below expected

4 points · 7.92 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hertha BSC	6	6	0	0	18	17	7	+10	9.45	+8.55
2	1. FC Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16	16	6	+10	10.13	+5.87
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	13	14	12	+2	9.57	+3.43
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	11	15	8	+7	10.32	+0.68
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	11	6	4	+2	8.54	+2.46
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	10	11	9	+2	8.06	+1.94
7	Energie Cottbus	6	2	2	2	8	14	13	+1	6.68	+1.32
8	St. Pauli	6	1	4	1	7	8	8	0	8.55	-1.55
9	VfL Bochum	6	2	1	3	7	5	6	-1	8.95	-1.95
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	7	9	-2	8.70	-1.70
11	VfL Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	7	9	12	-3	6.74	+0.26
12	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	6	9	11	-2	6.68	-0.68
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	5	10	12	-2	7.89	-2.89
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	5	6	12	-6	7.44	-2.44
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	4	12	13	-1	7.92	-3.92
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	4	7	10	-3	7.82	-3.82
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	4	8	14	-6	7.01	-3.01
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	1	1	4	4	5	13	-8	7.71	-3.71

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hertha BSC	18	9.45	+8.55
2	1. FC Nurnberg	16	10.13	+5.87
3	1. FC Heidenheim	13	9.57	+3.43
4	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	8.54	+2.46
5	1. FC Magdeburg	10	8.06	+1.94

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Eintracht Braunschweig	4	7.92	-3.92
2	Holstein Kiel	4	7.82	-3.82
3	SV Darmstadt 98	4	7.71	-3.71
4	Dynamo Dresden	4	7.01	-3.01
5	Arminia Bielefeld	5	7.89	-2.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hertha BSC	6	Aug 7 – Sep 19	1 in 155
2	VfL Osnabruck	2	Aug 28 – Sep 6	1 in 15
3	1. FC Nurnberg	3	Aug 9 – Aug 29	1 in 11
4	1. FC Heidenheim	3	Aug 29 – Sep 13	1 in 10
5	1. FC Magdeburg	2	Aug 15 – Aug 30	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Eintracht Braunschweig	3	Aug 14 – Sep 6	1 in 25
2	SV Darmstadt 98	3	Aug 16 – Sep 5	1 in 18
3	Hannover 96	2	Aug 9 – Aug 16	1 in 11
4	Karlsruher SC	2	Sep 13 – Sep 19	1 in 7
5	Energie Cottbus	2	Aug 16 – Aug 29	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hertha BSC	6	Aug 7 – Sep 19	1 in 9
2	Energie Cottbus	3	Sep 5 – Sep 20	1 in 9
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	4	Aug 8 – Sep 5	1 in 7
4	1. FC Nurnberg	6	Aug 9 – Sep 19	1 in 6
5	St. Pauli	3	Sep 4 – Sep 20	1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Holstein Kiel	6	Aug 8 – Sep 19	1 in 14
2	Eintracht Braunschweig	5	Aug 14 – Sep 19	1 in 11
3	St. Pauli	4	Aug 9 – Sep 4	1 in 9
4	Karlsruher SC	5	Aug 15 – Sep 19	1 in 7
5	SV Darmstadt 98	4	Aug 8 – Sep 5	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	1. FC Heidenheim	+0.00	1865
2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	+0.00	1833
3	1. FC Magdeburg	+0.00	1849
4	1. FC Nurnberg	+0.00	1919
5	Arminia Bielefeld	+0.00	1788

Biggest Elo Losers

#	Team	Δ Elo	Current Elo
1	1. FC Heidenheim	+0.00	1865
2	1. FC Kaiserslautern	+0.00	1833
3	1. FC Magdeburg	+0.00	1849
4	1. FC Nurnberg	+0.00	1919
5	Arminia Bielefeld	+0.00	1788

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hertha BSC	1927	18	+88	15	8.3	+6.7
1. FC Nurnberg	1919	16	+63	13	8.5	+4.5
1. FC Heidenheim	1865	13	+8	10	7.7	+2.3
VfL Wolfsburg	1923	11	+47	10	8.5	+1.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern	1833	11	+15	10	7.6	+2.4
1. FC Magdeburg	1849	10	+107	10	6.3	+3.7
Energie Cottbus	1785	8	+5	5	5.6	-0.6
VfL Bochum	1809	7	-4	7	7.4	-0.4
VfL Osnabruck	1748	7	-18	7	5.8	+1.2
Hannover 96	1843	7	+1	7	7.0	-0.0
St. Pauli	1839	7	+1	6	6.7	-0.7
Greuther Furth	1757	6	-15	5	5.7	-0.7
Arminia Bielefeld	1788	5	-5	5	6.7	-1.7
Karlsruher SC	1723	5	-84	2	5.9	-3.9
Dynamo Dresden	1751	4	-23	4	5.9	-1.9
SV Darmstadt 98	1754	4	-74	3	6.1	-3.1
Holstein Kiel	1786	4	-39	3	6.6	-3.6
Eintracht Braunschweig	1756	4	-73	1	6.9	-5.9

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date	Favored By	Home		Win% – Draw% – Win%	Away		Favored By	Excitement
2026-10-10	0.65	St. Pauli	7 pts·1839	57% – 25% – 19%	Karlsruher SC	5 pts·1723		48.4
2026-10-10	0.11	Eintracht Braunschweig	4 pts·1756	39% – 26% – 35%	Holstein Kiel	4 pts·1786		68.2
2026-10-10	0.24	1. FC Magdeburg	10 pts·1849	44% – 26% – 30%	Hannover 96	7 pts·1843		70.7
2026-10-10	0.29	VfL Bochum	7 pts·1809	46% – 26% – 29%	Arminia Bielefeld	5 pts·1788		65.8
2026-10-10	0.20	VfL Osnabruck	7 pts·1748	42% – 26% – 32%	Dynamo Dresden	4 pts·1751		69.8
2026-10-10	0.86	Hertha BSC	18 pts·1927	62% – 24% – 14%	Greuther Furth	6 pts·1757		53.3
2026-10-10	0.10	SV Darmstadt 98	4 pts·1754	39% – 26% – 35%	Energie Cottbus	8 pts·1785		67.9
2026-10-10	0.34	1. FC Heidenheim	13 pts·1865	47% – 26% – 27%	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11 pts·1833		68.4
2026-10-10	0.20	1. FC Nurnberg	16 pts·1919	42% – 26% – 32%	VfL Wolfsburg	11 pts·1923		80.6
2026-10-17	0.22	Greuther Furth	6 pts·1757	43% – 26% – 31%	Eintracht Braunschweig	4 pts·1756		73.8
2026-10-17	0.43	VfL Wolfsburg	11 pts·1923	50% – 25% – 24%	1. FC Heidenheim	13 pts·1865		70.6
2026-10-17	0.23	Hannover 96	7 pts·1843	44% – 26% – 31%	St. Pauli	7 pts·1839		68.3
2026-10-17	0.31	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11 pts·1833	46% – 26% – 28%	VfL Bochum	7 pts·1809		62.8
2026-10-17	0.10	Karlsruher SC	5 pts·1723	39% – 26% – 35%	SV Darmstadt 98	4 pts·1754		62.0
2026-10-17		Dynamo Dresden	4 pts·1751	29% – 26% – 45%	1. FC Magdeburg	10 pts·1849	0.16	56.7
2026-10-17		Holstein Kiel	4 pts·1786	24% – 25% – 50%	Hertha BSC	18 pts·1927	0.32	56.0
2026-10-17	0.37	Arminia Bielefeld	5 pts·1788	48% – 26% – 26%	VfL Osnabruck	7 pts·1748		65.6
2026-10-17		Energie Cottbus	8 pts·1785	25% – 26% – 49%	1. FC Nurnberg	16 pts·1919	0.29	60.5

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date	Favored By	Home		Score	Away		Favored By	Excitement
2026-09-20	0.26	Hannover 96	7 pts·1831·+11.85	2 – 1	VfL Bochum	7 pts·1821·-11.85		62.8
2026-09-20		Arminia Bielefeld	5 pts·1788·+0.59	2 – 2	1. FC Heidenheim	13 pts·1866·-0.59	0.08	76.2
2026-09-20	0.01	Energie Cottbus	8 pts·1785·+0.27	1 – 1	St. Pauli	7 pts·1839·-0.26		71.5
2026-09-19	0.43	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11 pts·1822·+10.75	1 – 0	Eintracht Braunschweig	4 pts·1767·-10.75		56.7
2026-09-19		Karlsruher SC	5 pts·1733·-9.35	0 – 1	1. FC Nurnberg	16 pts·1909·+9.36	0.45	55.5
2026-09-19	0.37	Holstein Kiel	4 pts·1787·-1.81	1 – 1	VfL Osnabruck	7 pts·1746·+1.80		71.4
2026-09-19		Dynamo Dresden	4 pts·1760·-9.48	1 – 2	Hertha BSC	18 pts·1918·+9.48	0.38	60.5
2026-09-18	0.67	VfL Wolfsburg	11 pts·1898·+24.98	5 – 1	SV Darmstadt 98	4 pts·1779·-24.98		51.3
2026-09-18		Greuther Furth	6 pts·1756·+1.14	1 – 1	1. FC Magdeburg	10 pts·1850·-1.14	0.14	71.5
2026-09-13	0.43	1. FC Heidenheim	13 pts·1855·+10.68	1 – 0	Holstein Kiel	4 pts·1798·-10.67		56.7
2026-09-13	0.41	Karlsruher SC	5 pts·1784·-51.04	0 – 3	Energie Cottbus	8 pts·1734·+51.03		57.2
2026-09-13		VfL Osnabruck	7 pts·1764·-17.76	1 – 3	Hertha BSC	18 pts·1900·+17.76	0.30	57.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	1FH	1FK	1FM	1FN	AB	DD	EB	EC	GF	H9	HB	HK	KS	SD9	SP	VB	VO	VW
1. FC Heidenheim	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.52	1-0-0 1.69	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.51	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.27	1-0-0 1.76	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.82	0-0-0 0.00
1. FC Kaiserslautern	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-1 1.43	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.75	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.59	1-0-0 1.69	1-0-0 1.11	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.97
1. FC Magdeburg	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.31	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.73	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.59	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.93	1-0-0 1.40	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.10	0-0-0 0.00
1. FC Nurnberg	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-0-0 1.72	1-0-0 1.60	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.54	1-0-0 1.76	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.62	1-0-0 1.88	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Arminia Bielefeld	0-1-0 1.22	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.02	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.60	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.24	0-0-1 1.35	0-1-0 1.47	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Dynamo Dresden	0-0-1 1.06	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.14	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-1-0 1.16	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.32	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.40	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Eintracht Braunschweig	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.99	1-0-0 1.02	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.58	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.30	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.61	0-0-1 1.42	0-0-0 0.00
Energie Cottbus	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.14	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-1 1.52	1-0-0 1.05	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.01	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.32	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.64
Greuther Furth	0-0-1 1.23	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.16	0-0-1 1.20	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.22	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.94	0-1-0 0.94	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Hannover 96	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.98	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.69	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.77	1-0-0 1.25	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.59	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.41
Hertha BSC	1-0-0 1.47	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.82	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.82	1-0-0 1.44	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.17	1-0-0 1.74	0-0-0 0.00
Holstein Kiel	0-0-1 0.98	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.34	0-1-0 1.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.18	0-1-0 1.49	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.71	0-0-0 0.00
Karlsruher SC	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.15	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.87	1-0-0 1.50	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.74	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.97	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.20
SV Darmstadt 98	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.06	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.39	0-0-1 1.42	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.49	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.56	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.80
St. Pauli	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.63	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.28	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.42	0-1-0 1.81	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.25	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.16
VfL Bochum	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.34	1-0-0 1.13	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.81	0-0-1 1.15	0-0-1 1.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-1 1.94	0-0-0 0.00
VfL Osnabruck	0-0-1 0.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.64	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.32	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.00	0-1-0 1.04	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 0.81	—	0-0-0 0.00
VfL Wolfsburg	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.78	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 2.13	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.33	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.54	1-0-0 1.96	0-0-1 1.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.52	+7.8
Allowed	0.36	-8.6
Differential	0.83	+7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	10.19%	0.93%	5.56%	—	—	20.37%
1	10.19%	9.26%	7.41%	2.78%	1.85%	1.85%	33.33%
2	0.93%	7.41%	12.96%	—	0.93%	0.93%	23.15%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	1.85%	1.85%	12.04%
4	—	1.85%	0.93%	1.85%	1.85%	—	6.48%
5+	—	1.85%	0.93%	1.85%	—	—	4.63%
Total	20.37%	33.33%	23.15%	12.04%	6.48%	4.63%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.66	+0.00
SD	1.38	1.38	1.79
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 54

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	33.33%	—	—	—	16.67%	—	50.00%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
Total	33.33%	—	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	2.00	+0.33
SD	1.75	1.67	1.75
CV	0.75	0.84	—
Max	5	4	+2
Min	1	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	33.33%	—	—	16.67%	—	—	50.00%
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	66.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	0.67	+0.33
SD	1.26	1.21	1.97
CV	1.26	1.82	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	16.67%	50.00%
2	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	33.33%	—	—	—	—	—	33.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.50	+0.33
SD	0.98	2.35	3.08
CV	0.54	1.56	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	1	0	-5

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	33.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.67	1.00	+1.67
SD	1.21	0.89	1.21
CV	0.45	0.89	—
Max	4	2	+3
Min	1	0	+0

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	—	33.33%	—	16.67%	—	50.00%
2	—	—	33.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	—	66.67%	—	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	2.00	-0.33
SD	0.82	1.26	1.97
CV	0.49	0.63	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	1	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	—	33.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	—	50.00%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	2.33	-1.00
SD	1.03	1.63	1.41
CV	0.77	0.70	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	33.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	—	50.00%	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	2.17	-0.17
SD	2.28	1.60	2.64
CV	1.14	0.74	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	1	-2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
1	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	16.67%	—	50.00%
4	—	—	—	—	16.67%	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	—	16.67%	33.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.33	2.17	+0.17
SD	1.51	1.72	2.14
CV	0.65	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	50.00%	—	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	—	—	—	16.67%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	66.67%	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.83	-0.33
SD	1.38	1.33	1.03
CV	0.92	0.72	—
Max	4	4	+1
Min	0	1	-2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.50	-0.33
SD	0.75	1.05	1.21
CV	0.65	0.70	—
Max	2	3	+1
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	33.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	66.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.83	1.17	+1.67
SD	1.47	0.98	0.82
CV	0.52	0.84	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	1	0	+1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	50.00%	—	—	—	50.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	33.33%	66.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.67	-0.50
SD	0.98	0.52	0.84
CV	0.84	0.31	—
Max	2	2	+0
Min	0	1	-2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	50.00%
1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	16.67%	50.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.00	-1.00
SD	1.10	1.79	1.67
CV	1.10	0.89	—
Max	2	5	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	33.33%	—	16.67%	—	—	50.00%
1	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%	16.67%
2	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	50.00%	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	2.17	-1.33
SD	0.98	1.60	1.86
CV	1.18	0.74	—
Max	2	5	+1
Min	0	1	-4

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	66.67%
2	—	—	33.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	50.00%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.33	+0.00
SD	0.52	0.82	0.63
CV	0.39	0.61	—
Max	2	2	+1
Min	1	0	-1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	33.33%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	66.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.00	-0.17
SD	0.75	0.63	0.98
CV	0.90	0.63	—
Max	2	2	+1
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	16.67%	—	—	16.67%	—	33.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	—	33.33%	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.00	-0.50
SD	1.22	1.55	1.87
CV	0.82	0.77	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	16.67%	—	16.67%
5+	—	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	—	16.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.33	+1.17
SD	2.43	1.51	1.94
CV	0.97	1.13	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 6

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Exp. Pts. Rem.	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Hertha BSC	1927	18	68.51	50.51	45	57	64	69	73	79	92
VfL Wolfsburg	1923	11	60.85	49.85	38	50	56	61	65	72	84
1. FC Nurnberg	1919	16	64.95	48.95	39	54	60	65	69	76	89
1. FC Heidenheim	1865	13	56.81	43.81	31	46	52	57	61	68	80
1. FC Magdeburg	1849	10	52.00	42.00	28	41	47	52	57	63	78
Hannover 96	1843	7	48.94	41.94	23	38	44	49	54	60	76
St. Pauli	1839	7	48.18	41.18	25	37	44	48	53	59	73
1. FC Kaiserslautern	1833	11	51.55	40.55	25	40	47	52	56	63	78
VfL Bochum	1809	7	44.49	37.49	19	34	40	44	49	56	70
Arminia Bielefeld	1788	5	40.52	35.52	19	30	36	41	45	52	65
Holstein Kiel	1786	4	39.68	35.68	15	29	35	40	44	51	64
Energie Cottbus	1785	8	43.11	35.11	18	32	39	43	48	54	70
Greuther Furth	1757	6	38.91	32.91	16	28	34	39	43	50	65
Eintracht Braunschweig	1756	4	36.19	32.19	11	25	32	36	41	47	61
SV Darmstadt 98	1754	4	35.90	31.90	13	25	31	36	40	47	61
Dynamo Dresden	1751	4	35.81	31.81	13	25	31	36	40	47	62
VfL Osnabruck	1748	7	38.46	31.46	13	28	34	38	43	50	70
Karlsruher SC	1723	5	33.97	28.97	13	24	30	34	38	45	58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Hertha BSC	53.77%	25.99%	11.70%	5.19%	2.07%	0.66%	0.34%	0.18%	0.07%	0.03%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1. FC Nurnberg	28.61%	32.93%	19.70%	9.85%	4.66%	2.17%	1.07%	0.60%	0.24%	0.10%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	—	—	—	—
1. FC Heidenheim	4.14%	10.00%	18.03%	21.32%	16.34%	10.90%	7.32%	4.68%	3.03%	1.73%	1.05%	0.59%	0.47%	0.22%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.01%
VfL Wolfsburg	11.03%	21.31%	26.39%	18.33%	10.46%	5.75%	3.26%	1.67%	0.86%	0.47%	0.26%	0.13%	0.05%	0.02%	0.01%	—	—	—
1. FC Kaiserslautern	0.83%	2.85%	7.48%	12.20%	15.45%	15.50%	12.60%	9.79%	7.27%	5.49%	3.49%	2.64%	2.01%	0.91%	0.79%	0.43%	0.18%	0.09%
1. FC Magdeburg	1.04%	3.69%	7.57%	12.77%	16.56%	15.79%	12.08%	9.10%	7.32%	5.17%	3.17%	2.44%	1.46%	0.83%	0.51%	0.28%	0.16%	0.06%
Energie Cottbus	0.04%	0.21%	0.65%	1.65%	3.63%	5.71%	7.78%	9.82%	10.78%	10.77%	10.20%	8.66%	8.18%	7.40%	5.38%	4.55%	2.83%	1.76%
St. Pauli	0.20%	1.03%	2.94%	6.28%	10.16%	12.45%	13.56%	11.95%	10.42%	8.70%	6.66%	4.87%	3.84%	2.73%	1.97%	1.18%	0.78%	0.28%
VfL Bochum	0.03%	0.33%	1.03%	2.72%	4.46%	6.52%	9.76%	11.53%	10.99%	11.11%	9.41%	8.39%	6.96%	6.41%	4.33%	3.09%	1.83%	1.10%
Hannover 96	0.28%	1.44%	3.75%	7.06%	10.17%	12.86%	12.93%	11.84%	10.41%	8.59%	6.54%	4.71%	3.35%	2.63%	1.62%	0.74%	0.66%	0.42%
VfL Osnabruck	—	0.06%	0.11%	0.39%	0.82%	1.63%	2.72%	3.69%	5.34%	6.75%	8.65%	9.49%	10.15%	10.75%	11.33%	11.00%	9.54%	7.58%
Greuther Furth	0.02%	0.04%	0.13%	0.44%	0.95%	1.96%	3.08%	4.68%	6.10%	7.64%	8.96%	10.18%	10.25%	9.54%	10.39%	9.65%	8.95%	7.04%
Arminia Bielefeld	0.01%	0.06%	0.23%	0.69%	1.74%	2.99%	4.66%	6.82%	7.81%	8.91%	9.57%	10.55%	9.49%	9.27%	8.71%	7.75%	6.27%	4.47%
Karlsruher SC	—	—	0.01%	0.04%	0.13%	0.31%	0.81%	1.25%	2.19%	3.00%	4.37%	5.24%	7.12%	8.68%	10.69%	13.84%	17.70%	24.62%
Eintracht Braunschweig	—	—	0.03%	0.16%	0.49%	0.99%	1.46%	2.69%	4.07%	5.24%	6.81%	7.47%	9.07%	10.84%	12.17%	12.37%	12.95%	13.19%
Holstein Kiel	—	0.04%	0.16%	0.58%	1.25%	2.42%	3.70%	5.28%	6.52%	8.37%	9.61%	10.20%	10.18%	9.65%	9.61%	8.54%	8.23%	5.66%
Dynamo Dresden	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.19%	0.39%	0.76%	1.36%	2.11%	3.50%	3.83%	5.42%	7.09%	8.61%	10.37%	11.29%	13.32%	14.85%	16.87%
SV Darmstadt 98	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.14%	0.27%	0.63%	1.51%	2.32%	3.08%	4.10%	5.79%	7.34%	8.80%	9.74%	11.13%	13.20%	15.03%	16.85%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Hertha BSC	79.76%	11.70%	8.54%	—	—
1. FC Nurnberg	61.54%	19.70%	18.76%	—	—
VfL Wolfsburg	32.34%	26.39%	41.27%	—	—
1. FC Heidenheim	14.14%	18.03%	67.72%	0.06%	0.05%
1. FC Magdeburg	4.73%	7.57%	87.20%	0.28%	0.22%
1. FC Kaiserslautern	3.68%	7.48%	88.14%	0.43%	0.27%
Hannover 96	1.72%	3.75%	92.71%	0.74%	1.08%
St. Pauli	1.23%	2.94%	93.59%	1.18%	1.06%
VfL Bochum	0.36%	1.03%	92.59%	3.09%	2.93%
Energie Cottbus	0.25%	0.65%	89.96%	4.55%	4.59%
Arminia Bielefeld	0.07%	0.23%	81.21%	7.75%	10.74%
Holstein Kiel	0.04%	0.16%	77.37%	8.54%	13.89%
Greuther Furth	0.06%	0.13%	74.17%	9.65%	15.99%
VfL Osnabruck	0.06%	0.11%	71.71%	11.00%	17.12%
Eintracht Braunschweig	—	0.03%	61.46%	12.37%	26.14%
Dynamo Dresden	0.01%	0.03%	54.92%	13.32%	31.72%
SV Darmstadt 98	0.01%	0.06%	54.85%	13.20%	31.88%
Karlsruher SC	—	0.01%	43.83%	13.84%	42.32%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2026-08-07	Hertha BSC	L 0-1	62.7	1830	1822	43.91%	25.85%	30.24%	+0.24	-16.9	0
2026-08-07	@ VfL Bochum	W 1-0	62.7	1822	1830	30.24%	25.85%	43.91%	-0.24	+16.9	3
2026-08-08	VfL Osnabruck	W 4-3	68.1	1849	1774	52.27%	25.23%	22.49%	+0.50	+8.7	3
2026-08-08	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	L 3-4	68.1	1774	1849	22.49%	25.23%	52.27%	-0.50	-8.7	0
2026-08-08	Holstein Kiel	D 2-2	76.2	1828	1824	43.48%	25.87%	30.65%	+0.23	-0.8	1
2026-08-08	@ SV Darmstadt 98	D 2-2	76.2	1824	1828	30.65%	25.87%	43.48%	-0.23	+0.8	1
2026-08-08	Arminia Bielefeld	W 2-1	63.6	1794	1806	41.30%	25.94%	32.76%	+0.17	+12.7	3
2026-08-08	@ Karlsruher SC	L 1-2	63.6	1806	1794	32.76%	25.94%	41.30%	-0.17	-12.7	0
2026-08-08	Eintracht Braunschweig	L 1-6	60.5	1810	1762	49.12%	25.54%	25.34%	+0.40	-67.8	0
2026-08-08	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	W 6-1	60.5	1762	1810	25.34%	25.54%	49.12%	-0.40	+67.8	3
2026-08-08	1. FC Kaiserslautern	D 0-0	68.2	1878	1815	50.89%	25.38%	23.74%	+0.45	-2.5	1
2026-08-08	@ VfL Wolfsburg	D 0-0	68.2	1815	1878	23.74%	25.38%	50.89%	-0.45	+2.5	1
2026-08-09	Greuther Furth	D 1-1	71.7	1840	1769	51.86%	25.28%	22.86%	+0.49	-2.4	1
2026-08-09	@ St. Pauli	D 1-1	71.7	1769	1840	22.86%	25.28%	51.86%	-0.49	+2.4	1
2026-08-09	Dynamo Dresden	W 3-0	51.6	1821	1808	44.67%	25.82%	29.52%	+0.27	+34.1	3
2026-08-09	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	L 0-3	51.6	1808	1821	29.52%	25.82%	44.67%	-0.27	-34.1	0
2026-08-09	Hannover 96	W 3-1	64.3	1750	1872	26.57%	25.64%	47.79%	-0.24	+29.6	3
2026-08-09	@ Energie Cottbus	L 1-3	64.3	1872	1750	47.79%	25.64%	26.57%	+0.24	-29.6	0
2026-08-14	St. Pauli	D 2-2	76.2	1825	1838	41.16%	25.94%	32.90%	+0.17	-0.5	2
2026-08-14	@ Holstein Kiel	D 2-2	76.2	1838	1825	32.90%	25.94%	41.16%	-0.17	+0.5	2
2026-08-14	VfL Bochum	L 0-1	63.1	1829	1813	45.12%	25.80%	29.08%	+0.28	-17.3	3
2026-08-14	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	W 1-0	63.1	1813	1829	29.08%	25.80%	45.12%	-0.28	+17.3	3
2026-08-15	1. FC Heidenheim	W 4-1	57.5	1839	1858	40.36%	25.96%	33.68%	+0.15	+31.8	6
2026-08-15	@ Hertha BSC	L 1-4	57.5	1858	1839	33.68%	25.96%	40.36%	-0.15	-31.8	3
2026-08-15	1. FC Nurnberg	L 2-4	63.4	1771	1855	31.24%	25.89%	42.87%	-0.10	-19.0	1
2026-08-15	@ Greuther Furth	W 4-2	63.4	1855	1771	42.87%	25.89%	31.24%	+0.10	+19.0	6
2026-08-15	1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-3	56.3	1766	1742	46.04%	25.75%	28.21%	+0.31	-48.1	0
2026-08-15	@ VfL Osnabruck	W 3-0	56.3	1742	1766	28.21%	25.75%	46.04%	-0.31	+48.1	3
2026-08-15	Karlsruher SC	D 0-0	68.0	1818	1807	44.35%	25.83%	29.82%	+0.26	-1.3	2
2026-08-15	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	D 0-0	68.0	1807	1818	29.82%	25.83%	44.35%	-0.26	+1.3	4
2026-08-16	VfL Wolfsburg	L 0-1	61.1	1842	1876	38.29%	25.99%	35.73%	+0.09	-15.2	0
2026-08-16	@ Hannover 96	W 1-0	61.1	1876	1842	35.73%	25.99%	38.29%	-0.09	+15.2	4
2026-08-16	SV Darmstadt 98	W 1-0	61.1	1774	1828	35.41%	25.98%	38.61%	+0.01	+15.3	3
2026-08-16	@ Dynamo Dresden	L 0-1	61.1	1828	1774	38.61%	25.98%	35.41%	-0.01	-15.3	1
2026-08-16	Energie Cottbus	W 3-0	51.5	1793	1780	44.75%	25.81%	29.44%	+0.27	+34.0	3
2026-08-16	@ Arminia Bielefeld	L 0-3	51.5	1780	1793	29.44%	25.81%	44.75%	-0.27	-34.0	3
2026-08-28	VfL Osnabruck	L 0-1	65.9	1830	1718	56.41%	24.68%	18.91%	+0.64	-21.0	3
2026-08-28	@ VfL Bochum	W 1-0	65.9	1718	1830	18.91%	24.68%	56.41%	-0.64	+21.0	3
2026-08-28	Hertha BSC	L 3-5	67.0	1812	1871	34.64%	25.97%	39.39%	-0.01	-19.4	3
2026-08-28	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	W 5-3	67.0	1871	1812	39.39%	25.97%	34.64%	+0.01	+19.4	9
2026-08-29	Dynamo Dresden	W 5-3	64.4	1826	1789	47.69%	25.64%	26.67%	+0.35	+15.9	6
2026-08-29	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	L 3-5	64.4	1789	1826	26.67%	25.64%	47.69%	-0.35	-15.9	3
2026-08-29	VfL Wolfsburg	L 2-5	60.1	1808	1891	31.47%	25.90%	42.63%	-0.09	-26.2	4
2026-08-29	@ Karlsruher SC	W 5-2	60.1	1891	1808	42.63%	25.90%	31.47%	+0.09	+26.2	7
2026-08-29	Greuther Furth	L 3-4	73.9	1746	1752	42.00%	25.92%	32.08%	+0.19	-14.2	3
2026-08-29	@ Energie Cottbus	W 4-3	73.9	1752	1746	32.08%	25.92%	42.00%	-0.19	+14.2	4
2026-08-29	Arminia Bielefeld	W 4-1	54.9	1875	1828	48.98%	25.55%	25.47%	+0.39	+25.6	9
2026-08-29	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	L 1-4	54.9	1828	1875	25.47%	25.55%	48.98%	-0.39	-25.6	3
2026-08-30	1. FC Kaiserslautern	L 1-2	67.5	1838	1817	45.78%	25.76%	28.46%	+0.30	-16.5	2
2026-08-30	@ St. Pauli	W 2-1	67.5	1817	1838	28.46%	25.76%	45.78%	-0.30	+16.5	5
2026-08-30	Hannover 96	L 0-1	61.8	1812	1827	40.87%	25.95%	33.18%	+0.16	-16.0	1
2026-08-30	@ SV Darmstadt 98	W 1-0	61.8	1827	1812	33.18%	25.95%	40.87%	-0.16	+16.0	3
2026-08-30	Holstein Kiel	W 2-0	56.2	1790	1824	38.15%	25.99%	35.87%	+0.09	+27.2	6
2026-08-30	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-2	56.2	1824	1790	35.87%	25.99%	38.15%	-0.09	-27.3	2
2026-09-04	Karlsruher SC	D 2-2	76.3	1843	1782	50.66%	25.40%	23.94%	+0.45	-1.7	4
2026-09-04	@ Hannover 96	D 2-2	76.3	1782	1843	23.94%	25.40%	50.66%	-0.45	+1.7	5
2026-09-04	St. Pauli	D 2-2	76.1	1802	1822	40.19%	25.96%	33.85%	+0.14	-0.4	4
2026-09-04	@ Arminia Bielefeld	D 2-2	76.1	1822	1802	33.85%	25.96%	40.19%	-0.14	+0.4	3
2026-09-05	Energie Cottbus	D 4-4	83.4	1917	1731	63.28%	23.27%	13.45%	+0.92	-2.4	8
2026-09-05	@ VfL Wolfsburg	D 4-4	83.4	1731	1917	13.45%	23.27%	63.28%	-0.92	+2.4	4
2026-09-05	SV Darmstadt 98	W 3-0	50.7	1833	1796	47.71%	25.64%	26.65%	+0.36	+31.5	8
2026-09-05	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L 0-3	50.7	1796	1833	26.65%	25.64%	47.71%	-0.36	-31.5	1
2026-09-05	1. FC Nurnberg	D 2-2	76.3	1797	1900	28.84%	25.78%	45.37%	-0.17	+1.0	3
2026-09-05	@ Holstein Kiel	D 2-2	76.3	1900	1797	45.37%	25.78%	28.84%	+0.17	-1.0	10
2026-09-05	VfL Bochum	L 1-2	65.1	1774	1809	37.95%	25.99%	36.06%	+0.08	-14.2	3
2026-09-05	@ Dynamo Dresden	W 2-1	65.1	1809	1774	36.06%	25.99%	37.95%	-0.08	+14.2	6
2026-09-06	1. FC Magdeburg	W 2-1	60.5	1891	1817	52.09%	25.25%	22.65%	+0.49	+9.5	12
2026-09-06	@ Hertha BSC	L 1-2	60.5	1817	1891	22.65%	25.25%	52.09%	-0.49	-9.5	6
2026-09-06	1. FC Heidenheim	L 0-1	59.2	1767	1842	32.41%	25.93%	41.66%	-0.07	-13.4	4
2026-09-06	@ Greuther Furth	W 1-0	59.2	1842	1767	41.66%	25.93%	32.41%	+0.07	+13.4	9
2026-09-06	Eintracht Braunschweig	W 3-1	61.5	1739	1793	35.30%	25.98%	38.71%	+0.01	+25.0	6
2026-09-06	@ VfL Osnabruck	L 1-3	61.5	1793	1739	38.71%	25.98%	35.30%	-0.01	-25.0	3
2026-09-11	Arminia Bielefeld	W 2-1	64.6	1765	1802	37.80%	25.99%	36.22%	+0.08	+13.7	4
2026-09-11	@ SV Darmstadt 98	L 1-2	64.6	1802	1765	36.22%	25.99%	37.80%	-0.08	-13.7	4
2026-09-11	Hannover 96	W 2-1	61.1	1899	1841	50.27%	25.44%	24.29%	+0.43	+10.0	13
2026-09-11	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	L 1-2	61.1	1841	1899	24.29%	25.44%	50.27%	-0.43	-10.0	4
2026-09-12	Greuther Furth	D 1-1	71.6	1823	1753	51.75%	25.29%	22.96%	+0.48	-2.4	7
2026-09-12	@ VfL Bochum	D 1-1	71.6	1753	1823	22.96%	25.29%	51.75%	-0.48	+2.4	5
2026-09-12	1. FC Kaiserslautern	W 3-0	54.5	1808	1864	34.97%	25.98%	39.05%	+0.00	+42.2	9
2026-09-12	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	L 0-3	54.5	1864	1808	39.05%	25.98%	34.97%	+0.00	-42.2	8
2026-09-12	Dynamo Dresden	D 2-2	76.0	1768	1759	44.04%	25.85%	30.11%	+0.25	-0.8	4
2026-09-12	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	D 2-2	76.0	1759	1768	30.11%	25.85%	44.04%	-0.25	+0.8	4
2026-09-12	VfL Wolfsburg	W 1-0	62.8	1822	1915	30.15%	25.85%	44.00%	-0.13	+16.9	6
2026-09-12	@ St. Pauli	L 0-1	62.8	1915	1822	44.00%	25.85%	30.15%	+0.13	-16.9	8
2026-09-13	Holstein Kiel	W 1-0	56.7	1855	1798	50.21%	25.44%	24.35%	+0.43	+10.7	12
2026-09-13	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	L 0-1	56.7	1798	1855	24.35%	25.44%	50.21%	-0.43	-10.7	3
2026-09-13	Energie Cottbus	L 0-3	57.2	1784	1734	49.36%	25.52%	25.13%	+0.41	-51.0	5
2026-09-13	@ Karlsruher SC	W 3-0	57.2	1734	1784	25.13%	25.52%	49.36%	-0.41	+51.0	7
2026-09-13	Hertha BSC	L 1-3	57.4	1764	1900	24.91%	25.50%	49.60%	-0.30	-17.8	6
2026-09-13	@ VfL Osnabruck	W 3-1	57.4	1900	1764	49.60%	25.50%	24.91%	+0.30	+17.8	15
2026-09-18	SV Darmstadt 98	W 5-1	51.3	1898	1779	57.08%	24.58%	18.34%	+0.67	+25.0	11
2026-09-18	@ VfL Wolfsburg	L 1-5	51.3	1779	1898	18.34%	24.58%	57.08%	-0.67	-25.0	4
2026-09-18	1. FC Magdeburg	D 1-1	71.5	1756	1850	29.90%	25.84%	44.27%	-0.14	+1.1	6
2026-09-18	@ Greuther Furth	D 1-1	71.5	1850	1756	44.27%	25.84%	29.90%	+0.14	-1.1	10
2026-09-19	Eintracht Braunschweig	W 1-0	56.7	1822	1767	50.00%	25.46%	24.54%	+0.43	+10.8	11
2026-09-19	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L 0-1	56.7	1767	1822	24.54%	25.46%	50.00%	-0.43	-10.8	4
2026-09-19	1. FC Nurnberg	L 0-1	55.5	1733	1909	20.80%	25.00%	54.20%	-0.45	-9.3	5
2026-09-19	@ Karlsruher SC	W 1-0	55.5	1909	1733	54.20%	25.00%	20.80%	+0.45	+9.4	16
2026-09-19	VfL Osnabruck	D 1-1	71.4	1787	1746	48.32%	25.60%	26.08%	+0.37	-1.8	4
2026-09-19	@ Holstein Kiel	D 1-1	71.4	1746	1787	26.08%	25.60%	48.32%	-0.37	+1.8	7
2026-09-19	Hertha BSC	L 1-2	60.5	1760	1918	22.64%	25.25%	52.10%	-0.38	-9.5	4
2026-09-19	@ Dynamo Dresden	W 2-1	60.5	1918	1760	52.10%	25.25%	22.64%	+0.38	+9.5	18
2026-09-20	VfL Bochum	W 2-1	62.8	1831	1821	44.31%	25.83%	29.85%	+0.26	+11.8	7
2026-09-20	@ Hannover 96	L 1-2	62.8	1821	1831	29.85%	25.83%	44.31%	-0.26	-11.8	7
2026-09-20	1. FC Heidenheim	D 2-2	76.2	1788	1866	32.04%	25.92%	42.05%	-0.08	+0.6	5
2026-09-20	@ Arminia Bielefeld	D 2-2	76.2	1866	1788	42.05%	25.92%	32.04%	+0.08	-0.6	13
2026-09-20	St. Pauli	D 1-1	71.5	1785	1839	35.31%	25.98%	38.71%	+0.01	+0.3	8
2026-09-20	@ Energie Cottbus	D 1-1	71.5	1839	1785	38.71%	25.98%	35.31%	-0.01	-0.3	7

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date	Opponent	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Excitement
2026-10-10	Karlsruher SC	1839	1723	56.68%	24.64%	18.67%	+0.65	48.4
2026-10-10	@ St. Pauli	1723	1839	18.67%	24.64%	56.68%	-0.65	48.4
2026-10-10	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1865	1833	47.15%	25.68%	27.17%	+0.34	68.4
2026-10-10	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1833	1865	27.17%	25.68%	47.15%	-0.34	68.4
2026-10-10	Energie Cottbus	1754	1785	38.54%	25.98%	35.48%	+0.10	67.9
2026-10-10	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1785	1754	35.48%	25.98%	38.54%	-0.10	67.9
2026-10-10	Greuther Furth	1927	1757	61.98%	23.60%	14.43%	+0.86	53.3
2026-10-10	@ Hertha BSC	1757	1927	14.43%	23.60%	61.98%	-0.86	53.3
2026-10-10	VfL Wolfsburg	1919	1923	42.35%	25.91%	31.74%	+0.20	80.6
2026-10-10	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1923	1919	31.74%	25.91%	42.35%	-0.20	80.6
2026-10-10	Arminia Bielefeld	1809	1788	45.66%	25.77%	28.57%	+0.29	65.8
2026-10-10	@ VfL Bochum	1788	1809	28.57%	25.77%	45.66%	-0.29	65.8
2026-10-10	Hannover 96	1849	1843	43.68%	25.86%	30.46%	+0.24	70.7
2026-10-10	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1843	1849	30.46%	25.86%	43.68%	-0.24	70.7
2026-10-10	Holstein Kiel	1756	1786	38.83%	25.98%	35.19%	+0.11	68.2
2026-10-10	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1786	1756	35.19%	25.98%	38.83%	-0.11	68.2
2026-10-10	Dynamo Dresden	1748	1751	42.50%	25.90%	31.60%	+0.20	69.8
2026-10-10	@ VfL Osnabruck	1751	1748	31.60%	25.90%	42.50%	-0.20	69.8
2026-10-17	1. FC Heidenheim	1923	1865	50.24%	25.44%	24.33%	+0.43	70.6
2026-10-17	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1865	1923	24.33%	25.44%	50.24%	-0.43	70.6
2026-10-17	St. Pauli	1843	1839	43.53%	25.87%	30.60%	+0.23	68.3
2026-10-17	@ Hannover 96	1839	1843	30.60%	25.87%	43.53%	-0.23	68.3
2026-10-17	VfL Bochum	1833	1809	46.07%	25.74%	28.18%	+0.31	62.8
2026-10-17	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1809	1833	28.18%	25.74%	46.07%	-0.31	62.8
2026-10-17	SV Darmstadt 98	1723	1754	38.73%	25.98%	35.28%	+0.10	62.0
2026-10-17	@ Karlsruher SC	1754	1723	35.28%	25.98%	38.73%	-0.10	62.0
2026-10-17	1. FC Magdeburg	1751	1849	29.42%	25.81%	44.77%	-0.16	56.7
2026-10-17	@ Dynamo Dresden	1849	1751	44.77%	25.81%	29.42%	+0.16	56.7
2026-10-17	Hertha BSC	1786	1927	24.34%	25.44%	50.22%	-0.32	56.0
2026-10-17	@ Holstein Kiel	1927	1786	50.22%	25.44%	24.34%	+0.32	56.0
2026-10-17	VfL Osnabruck	1788	1748	48.22%	25.60%	26.17%	+0.37	65.6
2026-10-17	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1748	1788	26.17%	25.60%	48.22%	-0.37	65.6
2026-10-17	Eintracht Braunschweig	1757	1756	42.99%	25.89%	31.13%	+0.22	73.8
2026-10-17	@ Greuther Furth	1756	1757	31.13%	25.89%	42.99%	-0.22	73.8
2026-10-17	1. FC Nurnberg	1785	1919	25.25%	25.53%	49.22%	-0.29	60.5
2026-10-17	@ Energie Cottbus	1919	1785	49.22%	25.53%	25.25%	+0.29	60.5
2026-10-24	Energie Cottbus	1865	1785	52.90%	25.16%	21.93%	+0.52	65.6
2026-10-24	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1785	1865	21.93%	25.16%	52.90%	-0.52	65.6
2026-10-24	St. Pauli	1754	1839	31.11%	25.89%	43.00%	-0.11	53.9
2026-10-24	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1839	1754	43.00%	25.89%	31.11%	+0.11	53.9
2026-10-24	Arminia Bielefeld	1927	1788	59.04%	24.23%	16.73%	+0.74	56.6
2026-10-24	@ Hertha BSC	1788	1927	16.73%	24.23%	59.04%	-0.74	56.6
2026-10-24	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1919	1833	53.49%	25.09%	21.42%	+0.54	60.3
2026-10-24	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1833	1919	21.42%	25.09%	53.49%	-0.54	60.3
2026-10-24	VfL Wolfsburg	1809	1923	27.56%	25.71%	46.74%	-0.21	55.6
2026-10-24	@ VfL Bochum	1923	1809	46.74%	25.71%	27.56%	+0.21	55.6
2026-10-24	Dynamo Dresden	1786	1751	47.49%	25.66%	26.86%	+0.35	63.3
2026-10-24	@ Holstein Kiel	1751	1786	26.86%	25.66%	47.49%	-0.35	63.3
2026-10-24	Karlsruher SC	1849	1723	57.73%	24.47%	17.81%	+0.69	49.5
2026-10-24	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1723	1849	17.81%	24.47%	57.73%	-0.69	49.5
2026-10-24	Hannover 96	1756	1843	30.85%	25.88%	43.27%	-0.11	58.5
2026-10-24	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1843	1756	43.27%	25.88%	30.85%	+0.11	58.5
2026-10-24	Greuther Furth	1748	1757	41.67%	25.93%	32.40%	+0.18	70.0
2026-10-24	@ VfL Osnabruck	1757	1748	32.40%	25.93%	41.67%	-0.18	70.0
2026-10-31	VfL Osnabruck	1923	1748	62.37%	23.50%	14.13%	+0.88	51.4
2026-10-31	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1748	1923	14.13%	23.50%	62.37%	-0.88	51.4
2026-10-31	1. FC Nurnberg	1839	1919	31.81%	25.91%	42.28%	-0.09	64.4
2026-10-31	@ St. Pauli	1919	1839	42.28%	25.91%	31.81%	+0.09	64.4
2026-10-31	Dynamo Dresden	1843	1751	54.28%	24.99%	20.73%	+0.57	52.7
2026-10-31	@ Hannover 96	1751	1843	20.73%	24.99%	54.28%	-0.57	52.7
2026-10-31	1. FC Magdeburg	1754	1849	29.79%	25.83%	44.38%	-0.14	54.5
2026-10-31	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1849	1754	44.38%	25.83%	29.79%	+0.14	54.5
2026-10-31	Hertha BSC	1833	1927	29.94%	25.84%	44.22%	-0.14	61.1
2026-10-31	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1927	1833	44.22%	25.84%	29.94%	+0.14	61.1
2026-10-31	1. FC Heidenheim	1723	1865	24.31%	25.44%	50.25%	-0.32	52.3
2026-10-31	@ Karlsruher SC	1865	1723	50.25%	25.44%	24.31%	+0.32	52.3
2026-10-31	Eintracht Braunschweig	1788	1756	47.14%	25.68%	27.18%	+0.34	70.0
2026-10-31	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1756	1788	27.18%	25.68%	47.14%	-0.34	70.0
2026-10-31	Holstein Kiel	1757	1786	38.91%	25.98%	35.11%	+0.11	65.7
2026-10-31	@ Greuther Furth	1786	1757	35.11%	25.98%	38.91%	-0.11	65.7
2026-10-31	VfL Bochum	1785	1809	39.59%	25.97%	34.44%	+0.13	69.2
2026-10-31	@ Energie Cottbus	1809	1785	34.44%	25.97%	39.59%	-0.13	69.2
2026-11-07	Hannover 96	1865	1843	45.83%	25.76%	28.41%	+0.30	71.0
2026-11-07	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1843	1865	28.41%	25.76%	45.83%	-0.30	71.0
2026-11-07	VfL Wolfsburg	1927	1923	43.54%	25.87%	30.60%	+0.23	80.8
2026-11-07	@ Hertha BSC	1923	1927	30.60%	25.87%	43.54%	-0.23	80.8
2026-11-07	SV Darmstadt 98	1919	1754	61.47%	23.71%	14.81%	+0.84	49.5
2026-11-07	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1754	1919	14.81%	23.71%	61.47%	-0.84	49.5
2026-11-07	Karlsruher SC	1809	1723	53.51%	25.09%	21.40%	+0.54	51.2
2026-11-07	@ VfL Bochum	1723	1809	21.40%	25.09%	53.51%	-0.54	51.2
2026-11-07	Greuther Furth	1751	1757	42.09%	25.92%	32.00%	+0.19	69.5
2026-11-07	@ Dynamo Dresden	1757	1751	32.00%	25.92%	42.09%	-0.19	69.5
2026-11-07	Arminia Bielefeld	1786	1788	42.54%	25.90%	31.56%	+0.21	70.1
2026-11-07	@ Holstein Kiel	1788	1786	31.56%	25.90%	42.54%	-0.21	70.1
2026-11-07	St. Pauli	1849	1839	44.29%	25.84%	29.88%	+0.26	70.9
2026-11-07	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1839	1849	29.88%	25.84%	44.29%	-0.26	70.9
2026-11-07	Energie Cottbus	1756	1785	38.90%	25.98%	35.12%	+0.11	74.3
2026-11-07	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1785	1756	35.12%	25.98%	38.90%	-0.11	74.3
2026-11-07	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1748	1833	31.07%	25.88%	43.05%	-0.11	55.3
2026-11-07	@ VfL Osnabruck	1833	1748	43.05%	25.88%	31.07%	+0.11	55.3
2026-11-21	Holstein Kiel	1923	1786	58.86%	24.26%	16.88%	+0.73	52.9
2026-11-21	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1786	1923	16.88%	24.26%	58.86%	-0.73	52.9
2026-11-21	VfL Bochum	1839	1809	46.80%	25.70%	27.50%	+0.33	63.0
2026-11-21	@ St. Pauli	1809	1839	27.50%	25.70%	46.80%	-0.33	63.0
2026-11-21	Greuther Furth	1843	1757	53.61%	25.08%	21.31%	+0.54	54.5
2026-11-21	@ Hannover 96	1757	1843	21.31%	25.08%	53.61%	-0.54	54.5
2026-11-21	1. FC Heidenheim	1754	1865	27.77%	25.72%	46.51%	-0.21	54.8
2026-11-21	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1865	1754	46.51%	25.72%	27.77%	+0.21	54.8
2026-11-21	Dynamo Dresden	1833	1751	53.15%	25.13%	21.72%	+0.53	53.7
2026-11-21	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1751	1833	21.72%	25.13%	53.15%	-0.53	53.7
2026-11-21	Eintracht Braunschweig	1919	1756	61.24%	23.77%	14.99%	+0.83	55.1
2026-11-21	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1756	1919	14.99%	23.77%	61.24%	-0.83	55.1
2026-11-21	VfL Osnabruck	1723	1748	39.58%	25.97%	34.45%	+0.13	65.4
2026-11-21	@ Karlsruher SC	1748	1723	34.45%	25.97%	39.58%	-0.13	65.4
2026-11-21	1. FC Magdeburg	1788	1849	34.41%	25.97%	39.62%	-0.01	65.0
2026-11-21	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1849	1788	39.62%	25.97%	34.41%	+0.01	65.0
2026-11-21	Hertha BSC	1785	1927	24.28%	25.43%	50.28%	-0.32	60.1
2026-11-21	@ Energie Cottbus	1927	1785	50.28%	25.43%	24.28%	+0.32	60.1
2026-11-28	1. FC Nurnberg	1865	1919	35.45%	25.98%	38.57%	+0.02	72.8
2026-11-28	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1919	1865	38.57%	25.98%	35.45%	-0.02	72.8
2026-11-28	Karlsruher SC	1927	1723	64.80%	22.86%	12.34%	+0.99	49.0
2026-11-28	@ Hertha BSC	1723	1927	12.34%	22.86%	64.80%	-0.99	49.0
2026-11-28	SV Darmstadt 98	1809	1754	50.02%	25.46%	24.52%	+0.43	56.5
2026-11-28	@ VfL Bochum	1754	1809	24.52%	25.46%	50.02%	-0.43	56.5
2026-11-28	St. Pauli	1751	1839	30.73%	25.87%	43.40%	-0.12	55.7
2026-11-28	@ Dynamo Dresden	1839	1751	43.40%	25.87%	30.73%	+0.12	55.7
2026-11-28	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1786	1833	36.26%	25.99%	37.75%	+0.04	60.6
2026-11-28	@ Holstein Kiel	1833	1786	37.75%	25.99%	36.26%	-0.04	60.6
2026-11-28	Energie Cottbus	1849	1785	51.02%	25.37%	23.62%	+0.46	66.7
2026-11-28	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1785	1849	23.62%	25.37%	51.02%	-0.46	66.7
2026-11-28	VfL Wolfsburg	1756	1923	21.76%	25.14%	53.11%	-0.41	56.1
2026-11-28	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1923	1756	53.11%	25.14%	21.76%	+0.41	56.1
2026-11-28	Arminia Bielefeld	1757	1788	38.51%	25.98%	35.51%	+0.10	67.9
2026-11-28	@ Greuther Furth	1788	1757	35.51%	25.98%	38.51%	-0.10	67.9
2026-11-28	Hannover 96	1748	1843	29.75%	25.83%	44.42%	-0.15	54.4
2026-11-28	@ VfL Osnabruck	1843	1748	44.42%	25.83%	29.75%	+0.15	54.4
2026-12-05	1. FC Magdeburg	1923	1849	52.15%	25.25%	22.60%	+0.49	65.7
2026-12-05	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1849	1923	22.60%	25.25%	52.15%	-0.49	65.7
2026-12-05	1. FC Heidenheim	1839	1865	39.23%	25.98%	34.79%	+0.12	71.7
2026-12-05	@ St. Pauli	1865	1839	34.79%	25.98%	39.23%	-0.12	71.7
2026-12-05	Hertha BSC	1843	1927	31.26%	25.89%	42.85%	-0.10	63.7
2026-12-05	@ Hannover 96	1927	1843	42.85%	25.89%	31.26%	+0.10	63.7
2026-12-05	Eintracht Braunschweig	1754	1756	42.56%	25.90%	31.54%	+0.21	69.9
2026-12-05	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1756	1754	31.54%	25.90%	42.56%	-0.21	69.9
2026-12-05	Greuther Furth	1833	1757	52.46%	25.21%	22.33%	+0.50	55.6
2026-12-05	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1757	1833	22.33%	25.21%	52.46%	-0.50	55.6
2026-12-05	VfL Bochum	1919	1809	56.07%	24.74%	19.19%	+0.63	55.5
2026-12-05	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1809	1919	19.19%	24.74%	56.07%	-0.63	55.5
2026-12-05	Holstein Kiel	1723	1786	34.19%	25.97%	39.84%	-0.02	57.8
2026-12-05	@ Karlsruher SC	1786	1723	39.84%	25.97%	34.19%	+0.02	57.8
2026-12-05	Dynamo Dresden	1788	1751	47.84%	25.63%	26.53%	+0.36	65.3
2026-12-05	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1751	1788	26.53%	25.63%	47.84%	-0.36	65.3
2026-12-05	VfL Osnabruck	1785	1748	47.81%	25.63%	26.56%	+0.36	69.9
2026-12-05	@ Energie Cottbus	1748	1785	26.56%	25.63%	47.81%	-0.36	69.9
2026-12-12	SV Darmstadt 98	1927	1754	62.25%	23.53%	14.22%	+0.87	49.8
2026-12-12	@ Hertha BSC	1754	1927	14.22%	23.53%	62.25%	-0.87	49.8
2026-12-12	1. FC Heidenheim	1809	1865	35.02%	25.98%	39.00%	+0.00	64.0
2026-12-12	@ VfL Bochum	1865	1809	39.00%	25.98%	35.02%	+0.00	64.0
2026-12-12	Energie Cottbus	1751	1785	38.12%	25.99%	35.89%	+0.09	70.2
2026-12-12	@ Dynamo Dresden	1785	1751	35.89%	25.99%	38.12%	-0.09	70.2
2026-12-12	Hannover 96	1786	1843	34.82%	25.98%	39.21%	+0.00	59.5
2026-12-12	@ Holstein Kiel	1843	1786	39.21%	25.98%	34.82%	+0.00	59.5
2026-12-12	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1788	1833	36.66%	25.99%	37.35%	+0.05	63.3
2026-12-12	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1833	1788	37.35%	25.99%	36.66%	-0.05	63.3
2026-12-12	1. FC Nurnberg	1849	1919	33.19%	25.95%	40.87%	-0.05	68.3
2026-12-12	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1919	1849	40.87%	25.95%	33.19%	+0.05	68.3
2026-12-12	Karlsruher SC	1756	1723	47.20%	25.68%	27.12%	+0.34	66.0
2026-12-12	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1723	1756	27.12%	25.68%	47.20%	-0.34	66.0
2026-12-12	VfL Wolfsburg	1757	1923	21.81%	25.15%	53.04%	-0.41	54.0
2026-12-12	@ Greuther Furth	1923	1757	53.04%	25.15%	21.81%	+0.41	54.0
2026-12-12	St. Pauli	1748	1839	30.34%	25.86%	43.81%	-0.13	56.0
2026-12-12	@ VfL Osnabruck	1839	1748	43.81%	25.86%	30.34%	+0.13	56.0
2026-12-19	Arminia Bielefeld	1923	1788	58.59%	24.31%	17.10%	+0.72	55.7
2026-12-19	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1788	1923	17.10%	24.31%	58.59%	-0.72	55.7
2026-12-19	Hertha BSC	1839	1927	30.66%	25.87%	43.47%	-0.12	63.7
2026-12-19	@ St. Pauli	1927	1839	43.47%	25.87%	30.66%	+0.12	63.7
2026-12-19	Eintracht Braunschweig	1865	1756	56.05%	24.74%	19.21%	+0.63	59.5
2026-12-19	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1756	1865	19.21%	24.74%	56.05%	-0.63	59.5
2026-12-19	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1843	1833	44.28%	25.84%	29.88%	+0.26	66.1
2026-12-19	@ Hannover 96	1833	1843	29.88%	25.84%	44.28%	-0.26	66.1
2026-12-19	Greuther Furth	1754	1757	42.49%	25.90%	31.61%	+0.20	67.5
2026-12-19	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1757	1754	31.61%	25.90%	42.49%	-0.20	67.5
2026-12-19	VfL Osnabruck	1919	1748	62.01%	23.59%	14.40%	+0.86	52.5
2026-12-19	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1748	1919	14.40%	23.59%	62.01%	-0.86	52.5
2026-12-19	1. FC Magdeburg	1809	1849	37.35%	25.99%	36.66%	+0.07	64.1
2026-12-19	@ VfL Bochum	1849	1809	36.66%	25.99%	37.35%	-0.07	64.1
2026-12-19	Dynamo Dresden	1723	1751	39.15%	25.98%	34.87%	+0.11	64.2
2026-12-19	@ Karlsruher SC	1751	1723	34.87%	25.98%	39.15%	-0.11	64.2
2026-12-19	Holstein Kiel	1785	1786	42.84%	25.89%	31.27%	+0.21	74.0
2026-12-19	@ Energie Cottbus	1786	1785	31.27%	25.89%	42.84%	-0.21	74.0
2027-01-16	Energie Cottbus	1833	1785	49.10%	25.54%	25.36%	+0.40	65.4
2027-01-16	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1785	1833	25.36%	25.54%	49.10%	-0.40	65.4
2027-01-16	1. FC Nurnberg	1927	1919	44.09%	25.84%	30.07%	+0.25	80.5
2027-01-16	@ Hertha BSC	1919	1927	30.07%	25.84%	44.09%	-0.25	80.5
2027-01-16	VfL Wolfsburg	1751	1923	21.21%	25.06%	53.72%	-0.43	52.8
2027-01-16	@ Dynamo Dresden	1923	1751	53.72%	25.06%	21.21%	+0.43	52.8
2027-01-16	VfL Bochum	1786	1809	39.67%	25.97%	34.36%	+0.13	63.8
2027-01-16	@ Holstein Kiel	1809	1786	34.36%	25.97%	39.67%	-0.13	63.8
2027-01-16	Hannover 96	1788	1843	35.21%	25.98%	38.81%	+0.01	62.3
2027-01-16	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1843	1788	38.81%	25.98%	35.21%	-0.01	62.3
2027-01-16	1. FC Heidenheim	1849	1865	40.67%	25.95%	33.38%	+0.15	75.7
2027-01-16	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1865	1849	33.38%	25.95%	40.67%	-0.15	75.7
2027-01-16	St. Pauli	1756	1839	31.45%	25.90%	42.65%	-0.10	60.2
2027-01-16	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1839	1756	42.65%	25.90%	31.45%	+0.10	60.2
2027-01-16	Karlsruher SC	1757	1723	47.27%	25.67%	27.06%	+0.34	63.4
2027-01-16	@ Greuther Furth	1723	1757	27.06%	25.67%	47.27%	-0.34	63.4
2027-01-16	SV Darmstadt 98	1748	1754	42.10%	25.92%	31.99%	+0.19	67.1
2027-01-16	@ VfL Osnabruck	1754	1748	31.99%	25.92%	42.10%	-0.19	67.1
2027-01-23	VfL Bochum	1927	1809	56.98%	24.59%	18.43%	+0.66	55.2
2027-01-23	@ Hertha BSC	1809	1927	18.43%	24.59%	56.98%	-0.66	55.2
2027-01-23	VfL Wolfsburg	1833	1923	30.53%	25.86%	43.61%	-0.12	60.1
2027-01-23	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1923	1833	43.61%	25.86%	30.53%	+0.12	60.1
2027-01-23	St. Pauli	1757	1839	31.52%	25.90%	42.58%	-0.09	57.5
2027-01-23	@ Greuther Furth	1839	1757	42.58%	25.90%	31.52%	+0.09	57.5
2027-01-23	1. FC Heidenheim	1748	1865	27.05%	25.67%	47.28%	-0.23	57.7
2027-01-23	@ VfL Osnabruck	1865	1748	47.28%	25.67%	27.05%	+0.23	57.7
2027-01-23	SV Darmstadt 98	1786	1754	47.12%	25.68%	27.20%	+0.34	61.8
2027-01-23	@ Holstein Kiel	1754	1786	27.20%	25.68%	47.12%	-0.34	61.8
2027-01-23	1. FC Nurnberg	1751	1919	21.62%	25.12%	53.26%	-0.42	53.9
2027-01-23	@ Dynamo Dresden	1919	1751	53.26%	25.12%	21.62%	+0.42	53.9
2027-01-23	Karlsruher SC	1788	1723	51.14%	25.35%	23.51%	+0.46	58.3
2027-01-23	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1723	1788	23.51%	25.35%	51.14%	-0.46	58.3
2027-01-23	1. FC Magdeburg	1756	1849	30.12%	25.85%	44.03%	-0.13	61.2
2027-01-23	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1849	1756	44.03%	25.85%	30.12%	+0.13	61.2
2027-01-23	Energie Cottbus	1843	1785	50.34%	25.43%	24.23%	+0.44	64.4
2027-01-23	@ Hannover 96	1785	1843	24.23%	25.43%	50.34%	-0.44	64.4
2027-01-30	Hannover 96	1923	1843	52.80%	25.17%	22.02%	+0.52	61.4
2027-01-30	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1843	1923	22.02%	25.17%	52.80%	-0.52	61.4
2027-01-30	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1723	1833	28.03%	25.74%	46.23%	-0.20	49.5
2027-01-30	@ Karlsruher SC	1833	1723	46.23%	25.74%	28.03%	+0.20	49.5
2027-01-30	Hertha BSC	1865	1927	34.22%	25.97%	39.81%	-0.02	71.6
2027-01-30	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1927	1865	39.81%	25.97%	34.22%	+0.02	71.6
2027-01-30	Dynamo Dresden	1754	1751	43.31%	25.88%	30.82%	+0.23	66.8
2027-01-30	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1751	1754	30.82%	25.88%	43.31%	-0.23	66.8
2027-01-30	Holstein Kiel	1839	1786	49.73%	25.48%	24.79%	+0.42	60.1
2027-01-30	@ St. Pauli	1786	1839	24.79%	25.48%	49.73%	-0.42	60.1
2027-01-30	Arminia Bielefeld	1785	1788	42.46%	25.90%	31.63%	+0.20	76.3
2027-01-30	@ Energie Cottbus	1788	1785	31.63%	25.90%	42.46%	-0.20	76.3
2027-01-30	Eintracht Braunschweig	1809	1756	49.71%	25.49%	24.80%	+0.42	61.6
2027-01-30	@ VfL Bochum	1756	1809	24.80%	25.49%	49.71%	-0.42	61.6
2027-01-30	Greuther Furth	1919	1757	61.19%	23.78%	15.03%	+0.83	53.2
2027-01-30	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1757	1919	15.03%	23.78%	61.19%	-0.83	53.2
2027-01-30	VfL Osnabruck	1849	1748	55.23%	24.86%	19.91%	+0.60	55.6
2027-01-30	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1748	1849	19.91%	24.86%	55.23%	-0.60	55.6
2027-02-06	St. Pauli	1833	1839	42.14%	25.91%	31.94%	+0.20	67.5
2027-02-06	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1839	1833	31.94%	25.91%	42.14%	-0.20	67.5
2027-02-06	1. FC Heidenheim	1751	1865	27.42%	25.70%	46.89%	-0.22	57.2
2027-02-06	@ Dynamo Dresden	1865	1751	46.89%	25.70%	27.42%	+0.22	57.2
2027-02-06	SV Darmstadt 98	1843	1754	53.96%	25.03%	21.01%	+0.56	51.2
2027-02-06	@ Hannover 96	1754	1843	21.01%	25.03%	53.96%	-0.56	51.2
2027-02-06	1. FC Nurnberg	1788	1919	25.62%	25.56%	48.82%	-0.28	58.7
2027-02-06	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1919	1788	48.82%	25.56%	25.62%	+0.28	58.7
2027-02-06	VfL Bochum	1748	1809	34.28%	25.97%	39.75%	-0.02	58.7
2027-02-06	@ VfL Osnabruck	1809	1748	39.75%	25.97%	34.28%	+0.02	58.7
2027-02-06	Karlsruher SC	1923	1723	64.42%	22.96%	12.61%	+0.97	47.4
2027-02-06	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1723	1923	12.61%	22.96%	64.42%	-0.97	47.4
2027-02-06	1. FC Magdeburg	1786	1849	34.03%	25.96%	40.01%	-0.02	61.7
2027-02-06	@ Holstein Kiel	1849	1786	40.01%	25.96%	34.03%	+0.02	61.7
2027-02-06	Eintracht Braunschweig	1927	1756	62.03%	23.58%	14.39%	+0.86	55.0
2027-02-06	@ Hertha BSC	1756	1927	14.39%	23.58%	62.03%	-0.86	55.0
2027-02-06	Energie Cottbus	1757	1785	38.98%	25.98%	35.04%	+0.11	72.1
2027-02-06	@ Greuther Furth	1785	1757	35.04%	25.98%	38.98%	-0.11	72.1
2027-02-13	VfL Wolfsburg	1785	1923	24.79%	25.48%	49.73%	-0.30	59.7
2027-02-13	@ Energie Cottbus	1923	1785	49.73%	25.48%	24.79%	+0.30	59.7
2027-02-13	Hannover 96	1723	1843	26.81%	25.65%	47.54%	-0.24	48.8
2027-02-13	@ Karlsruher SC	1843	1723	47.54%	25.65%	26.81%	+0.24	48.8
2027-02-13	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1754	1833	31.85%	25.91%	42.23%	-0.08	53.8
2027-02-13	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1833	1754	42.23%	25.91%	31.85%	+0.08	53.8
2027-02-13	Hertha BSC	1849	1927	32.01%	25.92%	42.08%	-0.08	67.4
2027-02-13	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1927	1849	42.08%	25.92%	32.01%	+0.08	67.4
2027-02-13	Dynamo Dresden	1809	1751	50.37%	25.43%	24.20%	+0.44	57.5
2027-02-13	@ VfL Bochum	1751	1809	24.20%	25.43%	50.37%	-0.44	57.5
2027-02-13	Holstein Kiel	1919	1786	58.46%	24.34%	17.21%	+0.72	54.2
2027-02-13	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1786	1919	17.21%	24.34%	58.46%	-0.72	54.2
2027-02-13	Arminia Bielefeld	1839	1788	49.39%	25.51%	25.10%	+0.41	63.1
2027-02-13	@ St. Pauli	1788	1839	25.10%	25.51%	49.39%	-0.41	63.1
2027-02-13	Greuther Furth	1865	1757	56.00%	24.75%	19.26%	+0.63	57.3
2027-02-13	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1757	1865	19.26%	24.75%	56.00%	-0.63	57.3
2027-02-13	VfL Osnabruck	1756	1748	44.06%	25.84%	30.09%	+0.25	72.7
2027-02-13	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1748	1756	30.09%	25.84%	44.06%	-0.25	72.7
2027-02-20	St. Pauli	1923	1839	53.32%	25.11%	21.57%	+0.53	61.5
2027-02-20	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1839	1923	21.57%	25.11%	53.32%	-0.53	61.5
2027-02-20	1. FC Heidenheim	1786	1865	31.82%	25.91%	42.27%	-0.08	61.7
2027-02-20	@ Holstein Kiel	1865	1786	42.27%	25.91%	31.82%	+0.08	61.7
2027-02-20	SV Darmstadt 98	1788	1754	47.47%	25.66%	26.87%	+0.35	63.3
2027-02-20	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1754	1788	26.87%	25.66%	47.47%	-0.35	63.3
2027-02-20	1. FC Nurnberg	1843	1919	32.42%	25.93%	41.65%	-0.07	64.3
2027-02-20	@ Hannover 96	1919	1843	41.65%	25.93%	32.42%	+0.07	64.3
2027-02-20	VfL Bochum	1757	1809	35.55%	25.98%	38.46%	+0.02	60.3
2027-02-20	@ Greuther Furth	1809	1757	38.46%	25.98%	35.55%	-0.02	60.3
2027-02-20	Karlsruher SC	1785	1723	50.75%	25.39%	23.86%	+0.45	62.5
2027-02-20	@ Energie Cottbus	1723	1785	23.86%	25.39%	50.75%	-0.45	62.5
2027-02-20	1. FC Magdeburg	1833	1849	40.73%	25.95%	33.32%	+0.16	68.6
2027-02-20	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1849	1833	33.32%	25.95%	40.73%	-0.16	68.6
2027-02-20	Eintracht Braunschweig	1751	1756	42.16%	25.91%	31.92%	+0.20	72.3
2027-02-20	@ Dynamo Dresden	1756	1751	31.92%	25.91%	42.16%	-0.20	72.3
2027-02-20	VfL Osnabruck	1927	1748	62.78%	23.40%	13.82%	+0.90	52.7
2027-02-20	@ Hertha BSC	1748	1927	13.82%	23.40%	62.78%	-0.90	52.7
2027-02-27	VfL Wolfsburg	1754	1923	21.50%	25.10%	53.40%	-0.42	50.2
2027-02-27	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1923	1754	53.40%	25.10%	21.50%	+0.42	50.2
2027-02-27	Hannover 96	1809	1843	38.16%	25.99%	35.85%	+0.09	62.3
2027-02-27	@ VfL Bochum	1843	1809	35.85%	25.99%	38.16%	-0.09	62.3
2027-02-27	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1756	1833	32.20%	25.92%	41.88%	-0.07	59.3
2027-02-27	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1833	1756	41.88%	25.92%	32.20%	+0.07	59.3
2027-02-27	Karlsruher SC	1919	1723	64.08%	23.06%	12.86%	+0.95	48.6
2027-02-27	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1723	1919	12.86%	23.06%	64.08%	-0.95	48.6
2027-02-27	Dynamo Dresden	1927	1751	62.51%	23.47%	14.02%	+0.88	52.1
2027-02-27	@ Hertha BSC	1751	1927	14.02%	23.47%	62.51%	-0.88	52.1
2027-02-27	Holstein Kiel	1748	1786	37.61%	25.99%	36.41%	+0.07	64.2
2027-02-27	@ VfL Osnabruck	1786	1748	36.41%	25.99%	37.61%	-0.07	64.2
2027-02-27	Arminia Bielefeld	1865	1788	52.53%	25.21%	22.27%	+0.51	63.5
2027-02-27	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1788	1865	22.27%	25.21%	52.53%	-0.51	63.5
2027-02-27	Greuther Furth	1849	1757	54.24%	25.00%	20.76%	+0.57	57.1
2027-02-27	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1757	1849	20.76%	25.00%	54.24%	-0.57	57.1
2027-02-27	Energie Cottbus	1839	1785	49.79%	25.48%	24.73%	+0.42	66.2
2027-02-27	@ St. Pauli	1785	1839	24.73%	25.48%	49.79%	-0.42	66.2
2027-03-03	St. Pauli	1723	1839	27.35%	25.69%	46.96%	-0.22	50.1
2027-03-03	@ Karlsruher SC	1839	1723	46.96%	25.69%	27.35%	+0.22	50.1
2027-03-03	1. FC Heidenheim	1833	1865	38.43%	25.98%	35.59%	+0.09	69.0
2027-03-03	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1865	1833	35.59%	25.98%	38.43%	-0.09	69.0
2027-03-03	SV Darmstadt 98	1785	1754	47.05%	25.69%	27.26%	+0.34	67.3
2027-03-03	@ Energie Cottbus	1754	1785	27.26%	25.69%	47.05%	-0.34	67.3
2027-03-03	Hertha BSC	1757	1927	21.35%	25.08%	53.56%	-0.43	55.2
2027-03-03	@ Greuther Furth	1927	1757	53.56%	25.08%	21.35%	+0.43	55.2
2027-03-03	1. FC Nurnberg	1923	1919	43.47%	25.87%	30.66%	+0.23	80.5
2027-03-03	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1919	1923	30.66%	25.87%	43.47%	-0.23	80.5
2027-03-03	VfL Bochum	1788	1809	40.06%	25.96%	33.98%	+0.14	66.2
2027-03-03	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1809	1788	33.98%	25.96%	40.06%	-0.14	66.2
2027-03-03	1. FC Magdeburg	1843	1849	42.14%	25.91%	31.95%	+0.19	70.8
2027-03-03	@ Hannover 96	1849	1843	31.95%	25.91%	42.14%	-0.19	70.8
2027-03-03	Eintracht Braunschweig	1786	1756	46.79%	25.70%	27.51%	+0.33	67.7
2027-03-03	@ Holstein Kiel	1756	1786	27.51%	25.70%	46.79%	-0.33	67.7
2027-03-03	VfL Osnabruck	1751	1748	43.33%	25.87%	30.80%	+0.23	69.8
2027-03-03	@ Dynamo Dresden	1748	1751	30.80%	25.87%	43.33%	-0.23	69.8
2027-03-06	VfL Wolfsburg	1865	1923	34.87%	25.98%	39.16%	+0.00	71.6
2027-03-06	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1923	1865	39.16%	25.98%	34.87%	+0.00	71.6
2027-03-06	Hannover 96	1839	1843	42.29%	25.91%	31.80%	+0.20	68.4
2027-03-06	@ St. Pauli	1843	1839	31.80%	25.91%	42.29%	-0.20	68.4
2027-03-06	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1809	1833	39.61%	25.97%	34.42%	+0.13	63.3
2027-03-06	@ VfL Bochum	1833	1809	34.42%	25.97%	39.61%	-0.13	63.3
2027-03-06	Karlsruher SC	1754	1723	46.87%	25.70%	27.43%	+0.33	61.4
2027-03-06	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1723	1754	27.43%	25.70%	46.87%	-0.33	61.4
2027-03-06	Dynamo Dresden	1849	1751	54.90%	24.91%	20.19%	+0.59	55.2
2027-03-06	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1751	1849	20.19%	24.91%	54.90%	-0.59	55.2
2027-03-06	Holstein Kiel	1927	1786	59.31%	24.17%	16.52%	+0.75	54.2
2027-03-06	@ Hertha BSC	1786	1927	16.52%	24.17%	59.31%	-0.75	54.2
2027-03-06	Arminia Bielefeld	1748	1788	37.21%	25.99%	36.80%	+0.06	66.4
2027-03-06	@ VfL Osnabruck	1788	1748	36.80%	25.99%	37.21%	-0.06	66.4
2027-03-06	Greuther Furth	1756	1757	42.84%	25.89%	31.27%	+0.21	73.8
2027-03-06	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1757	1756	31.27%	25.89%	42.84%	-0.21	73.8
2027-03-06	Energie Cottbus	1919	1785	58.51%	24.33%	17.16%	+0.72	58.7
2027-03-06	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1785	1919	17.16%	24.33%	58.51%	-0.72	58.7
2027-03-13	1. FC Heidenheim	1785	1865	31.75%	25.91%	42.34%	-0.09	66.9
2027-03-13	@ Energie Cottbus	1865	1785	42.34%	25.91%	31.75%	+0.09	66.9
2027-03-13	SV Darmstadt 98	1839	1754	53.45%	25.10%	21.45%	+0.54	52.6
2027-03-13	@ St. Pauli	1754	1839	21.45%	25.10%	53.45%	-0.54	52.6
2027-03-13	Hertha BSC	1788	1927	24.64%	25.47%	49.89%	-0.31	58.4
2027-03-13	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1927	1788	49.89%	25.47%	24.64%	+0.31	58.4
2027-03-13	1. FC Nurnberg	1833	1919	31.07%	25.88%	43.05%	-0.11	61.7
2027-03-13	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1919	1833	43.05%	25.88%	31.07%	+0.11	61.7
2027-03-13	VfL Bochum	1923	1809	56.51%	24.67%	18.82%	+0.65	54.0
2027-03-13	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1809	1923	18.82%	24.67%	56.51%	-0.65	54.0
2027-03-13	Holstein Kiel	1751	1786	38.04%	25.99%	35.97%	+0.08	63.9
2027-03-13	@ Dynamo Dresden	1786	1751	35.97%	25.99%	38.04%	-0.08	63.9
2027-03-13	1. FC Magdeburg	1723	1849	26.15%	25.60%	48.25%	-0.26	51.2
2027-03-13	@ Karlsruher SC	1849	1723	48.25%	25.60%	26.15%	+0.26	51.2
2027-03-13	Eintracht Braunschweig	1843	1756	53.67%	25.07%	21.26%	+0.55	57.1
2027-03-13	@ Hannover 96	1756	1843	21.26%	25.07%	53.67%	-0.55	57.1
2027-03-13	VfL Osnabruck	1757	1748	44.14%	25.84%	30.02%	+0.25	69.9
2027-03-13	@ Greuther Furth	1748	1757	30.02%	25.84%	44.14%	-0.25	69.9
2027-03-20	VfL Wolfsburg	1748	1923	20.92%	25.02%	54.06%	-0.44	53.4
2027-03-20	@ VfL Osnabruck	1923	1748	54.06%	25.02%	20.92%	+0.44	53.4
2027-03-20	St. Pauli	1919	1839	52.85%	25.17%	21.98%	+0.52	63.0
2027-03-20	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1839	1919	21.98%	25.17%	52.85%	-0.52	63.0
2027-03-20	Hannover 96	1751	1843	30.14%	25.85%	44.01%	-0.13	54.1
2027-03-20	@ Dynamo Dresden	1843	1751	44.01%	25.85%	30.14%	+0.13	54.1
2027-03-20	SV Darmstadt 98	1849	1754	54.58%	24.95%	20.47%	+0.58	53.0
2027-03-20	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1754	1849	20.47%	24.95%	54.58%	-0.58	53.0
2027-03-20	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1927	1833	54.46%	24.97%	20.57%	+0.57	59.7
2027-03-20	@ Hertha BSC	1833	1927	20.57%	24.97%	54.46%	-0.57	59.7
2027-03-20	Karlsruher SC	1865	1723	59.33%	24.17%	16.50%	+0.75	50.4
2027-03-20	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1723	1865	16.50%	24.17%	59.33%	-0.75	50.4
2027-03-20	Arminia Bielefeld	1756	1788	38.43%	25.98%	35.58%	+0.09	70.6
2027-03-20	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1788	1756	35.58%	25.98%	38.43%	-0.09	70.6
2027-03-20	Greuther Furth	1786	1757	46.72%	25.71%	27.57%	+0.33	65.1
2027-03-20	@ Holstein Kiel	1757	1786	27.57%	25.71%	46.72%	-0.33	65.1
2027-03-20	Energie Cottbus	1809	1785	46.09%	25.74%	28.16%	+0.31	68.7
2027-03-20	@ VfL Bochum	1785	1809	28.16%	25.74%	46.09%	-0.31	68.7
2027-04-03	1. FC Heidenheim	1843	1865	39.87%	25.97%	34.16%	+0.13	71.5
2027-04-03	@ Hannover 96	1865	1843	34.16%	25.97%	39.87%	-0.13	71.5
2027-04-03	Hertha BSC	1923	1927	42.28%	25.91%	31.81%	+0.20	80.8
2027-04-03	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1927	1923	31.81%	25.91%	42.28%	-0.20	80.8
2027-04-03	1. FC Nurnberg	1754	1919	21.91%	25.16%	52.93%	-0.41	51.4
2027-04-03	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1919	1754	52.93%	25.16%	21.91%	+0.41	51.4
2027-04-03	VfL Bochum	1723	1809	31.04%	25.88%	43.08%	-0.11	52.6
2027-04-03	@ Karlsruher SC	1809	1723	43.08%	25.88%	31.04%	+0.11	52.6
2027-04-03	Dynamo Dresden	1757	1751	43.73%	25.86%	30.41%	+0.24	69.4
2027-04-03	@ Greuther Furth	1751	1757	30.41%	25.86%	43.73%	-0.24	69.4
2027-04-03	Holstein Kiel	1788	1786	43.29%	25.88%	30.84%	+0.23	70.0
2027-04-03	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1786	1788	30.84%	25.88%	43.29%	-0.23	70.0
2027-04-03	1. FC Magdeburg	1839	1849	41.51%	25.93%	32.56%	+0.18	71.1
2027-04-03	@ St. Pauli	1849	1839	32.56%	25.93%	41.51%	-0.18	71.1
2027-04-03	Eintracht Braunschweig	1785	1756	46.72%	25.71%	27.57%	+0.33	73.8
2027-04-03	@ Energie Cottbus	1756	1785	27.57%	25.71%	46.72%	-0.33	73.8
2027-04-03	VfL Osnabruck	1833	1748	53.49%	25.09%	21.42%	+0.54	53.9
2027-04-03	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1748	1833	21.42%	25.09%	53.49%	-0.54	53.9
2027-04-10	VfL Wolfsburg	1786	1923	24.85%	25.49%	49.66%	-0.30	54.7
2027-04-10	@ Holstein Kiel	1923	1786	49.66%	25.49%	24.85%	+0.30	54.7
2027-04-10	St. Pauli	1809	1839	38.81%	25.98%	35.21%	+0.10	63.6
2027-04-10	@ VfL Bochum	1839	1809	35.21%	25.98%	38.81%	-0.10	63.6
2027-04-10	Hannover 96	1757	1843	30.92%	25.88%	43.20%	-0.11	55.9
2027-04-10	@ Greuther Furth	1843	1757	43.20%	25.88%	30.92%	+0.11	55.9
2027-04-10	SV Darmstadt 98	1865	1754	56.32%	24.70%	18.98%	+0.64	53.2
2027-04-10	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1754	1865	18.98%	24.70%	56.32%	-0.64	53.2
2027-04-10	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1751	1833	31.47%	25.90%	42.63%	-0.09	55.1
2027-04-10	@ Dynamo Dresden	1833	1751	42.63%	25.90%	31.47%	+0.09	55.1
2027-04-10	1. FC Nurnberg	1756	1919	22.17%	25.19%	52.64%	-0.40	57.0
2027-04-10	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1919	1756	52.64%	25.19%	22.17%	+0.40	57.0
2027-04-10	Karlsruher SC	1748	1723	46.10%	25.74%	28.15%	+0.31	64.9
2027-04-10	@ VfL Osnabruck	1723	1748	28.15%	25.74%	46.10%	-0.31	64.9
2027-04-10	Arminia Bielefeld	1849	1788	50.62%	25.40%	23.97%	+0.45	64.0
2027-04-10	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1788	1849	23.97%	25.40%	50.62%	-0.45	64.0
2027-04-10	Energie Cottbus	1927	1785	59.36%	24.16%	16.47%	+0.75	58.2
2027-04-10	@ Hertha BSC	1785	1927	16.47%	24.16%	59.36%	-0.75	58.2
2027-04-17	1. FC Heidenheim	1919	1865	49.74%	25.48%	24.78%	+0.42	71.8
2027-04-17	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1865	1919	24.78%	25.48%	49.74%	-0.42	71.8
2027-04-17	Hertha BSC	1723	1927	18.32%	24.57%	57.11%	-0.55	51.1
2027-04-17	@ Karlsruher SC	1927	1723	57.11%	24.57%	18.32%	+0.55	51.1
2027-04-17	VfL Bochum	1754	1809	35.11%	25.98%	38.91%	+0.01	57.5
2027-04-17	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1809	1754	38.91%	25.98%	35.11%	-0.01	57.5
2027-04-17	Dynamo Dresden	1839	1751	53.78%	25.06%	21.17%	+0.55	54.2
2027-04-17	@ St. Pauli	1751	1839	21.17%	25.06%	53.78%	-0.55	54.2
2027-04-17	Holstein Kiel	1833	1786	49.04%	25.54%	25.42%	+0.40	59.7
2027-04-17	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1786	1833	25.42%	25.54%	49.04%	-0.40	59.7
2027-04-17	1. FC Magdeburg	1785	1849	33.96%	25.96%	40.08%	-0.02	67.8
2027-04-17	@ Energie Cottbus	1849	1785	40.08%	25.96%	33.96%	+0.02	67.8
2027-04-17	Eintracht Braunschweig	1923	1756	61.61%	23.68%	14.70%	+0.85	54.2
2027-04-17	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1756	1923	14.70%	23.68%	61.61%	-0.85	54.2
2027-04-17	Greuther Furth	1788	1757	47.07%	25.68%	27.24%	+0.34	67.3
2027-04-17	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1757	1788	27.24%	25.68%	47.07%	-0.34	67.3
2027-04-17	VfL Osnabruck	1843	1748	54.62%	24.95%	20.44%	+0.58	52.9
2027-04-17	@ Hannover 96	1748	1843	20.44%	24.95%	54.62%	-0.58	52.9
2027-04-24	VfL Wolfsburg	1849	1923	32.63%	25.93%	41.44%	-0.06	66.9
2027-04-24	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1923	1849	41.44%	25.93%	32.63%	+0.06	66.9
2027-04-24	St. Pauli	1865	1839	46.42%	25.72%	27.85%	+0.32	71.2
2027-04-24	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1839	1865	27.85%	25.72%	46.42%	-0.32	71.2
2027-04-24	Hannover 96	1927	1843	53.33%	25.11%	21.56%	+0.53	62.3
2027-04-24	@ Hertha BSC	1843	1927	21.56%	25.11%	53.33%	-0.53	62.3
2027-04-24	SV Darmstadt 98	1756	1754	43.26%	25.88%	30.86%	+0.23	69.9
2027-04-24	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1754	1756	30.86%	25.88%	43.26%	-0.23	69.9
2027-04-24	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1757	1833	32.27%	25.92%	41.81%	-0.07	56.8
2027-04-24	@ Greuther Furth	1833	1757	41.81%	25.92%	32.27%	+0.07	56.8
2027-04-24	1. FC Nurnberg	1809	1919	28.06%	25.74%	46.20%	-0.20	57.1
2027-04-24	@ VfL Bochum	1919	1809	46.20%	25.74%	28.06%	+0.20	57.1
2027-04-24	Karlsruher SC	1786	1723	50.81%	25.39%	23.80%	+0.45	56.7
2027-04-24	@ Holstein Kiel	1723	1786	23.80%	25.39%	50.81%	-0.45	56.7
2027-04-24	Arminia Bielefeld	1751	1788	37.65%	25.99%	36.36%	+0.07	66.0
2027-04-24	@ Dynamo Dresden	1788	1751	36.36%	25.99%	37.65%	-0.07	66.0
2027-04-24	Energie Cottbus	1748	1785	37.68%	25.99%	36.33%	+0.07	70.6
2027-04-24	@ VfL Osnabruck	1785	1748	36.33%	25.99%	37.68%	-0.07	70.6
2027-05-08	Hertha BSC	1754	1927	21.05%	25.04%	53.91%	-0.44	51.8
2027-05-08	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1927	1754	53.91%	25.04%	21.05%	+0.44	51.8
2027-05-08	VfL Bochum	1865	1809	50.10%	25.45%	24.45%	+0.43	63.0
2027-05-08	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1809	1865	24.45%	25.45%	50.10%	-0.43	63.0
2027-05-08	Dynamo Dresden	1785	1751	47.42%	25.66%	26.92%	+0.35	69.6
2027-05-08	@ Energie Cottbus	1751	1785	26.92%	25.66%	47.42%	-0.35	69.6
2027-05-08	Holstein Kiel	1843	1786	50.28%	25.44%	24.29%	+0.43	58.5
2027-05-08	@ Hannover 96	1786	1843	24.29%	25.44%	50.28%	-0.43	58.5
2027-05-08	Arminia Bielefeld	1833	1788	48.69%	25.57%	25.74%	+0.39	62.5
2027-05-08	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1788	1833	25.74%	25.57%	48.69%	-0.39	62.5
2027-05-08	1. FC Magdeburg	1919	1849	51.68%	25.30%	23.03%	+0.48	67.1
2027-05-08	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1849	1919	23.03%	25.30%	51.68%	-0.48	67.1
2027-05-08	Eintracht Braunschweig	1723	1756	38.37%	25.98%	35.65%	+0.09	66.6
2027-05-08	@ Karlsruher SC	1756	1723	35.65%	25.98%	38.37%	-0.09	66.6
2027-05-08	Greuther Furth	1923	1757	61.56%	23.69%	14.74%	+0.84	52.1
2027-05-08	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1757	1923	14.74%	23.69%	61.56%	-0.84	52.1
2027-05-08	VfL Osnabruck	1839	1748	54.12%	25.01%	20.87%	+0.56	54.5
2027-05-08	@ St. Pauli	1748	1839	20.87%	25.01%	54.12%	-0.56	54.5
2027-05-15	VfL Wolfsburg	1788	1923	25.16%	25.52%	49.33%	-0.29	57.5
2027-05-15	@ Arminia Bielefeld	1923	1788	49.33%	25.52%	25.16%	+0.29	57.5
2027-05-15	St. Pauli	1927	1839	53.84%	25.05%	21.12%	+0.55	62.3
2027-05-15	@ Hertha BSC	1839	1927	21.12%	25.05%	53.84%	-0.55	62.3
2027-05-15	1. FC Heidenheim	1756	1865	28.08%	25.74%	46.18%	-0.20	61.2
2027-05-15	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1865	1756	46.18%	25.74%	28.08%	+0.20	61.2
2027-05-15	Hannover 96	1833	1843	41.51%	25.93%	32.55%	+0.18	66.3
2027-05-15	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1843	1833	32.55%	25.93%	41.51%	-0.18	66.3
2027-05-15	SV Darmstadt 98	1757	1754	43.33%	25.87%	30.79%	+0.23	67.4
2027-05-15	@ Greuther Furth	1754	1757	30.79%	25.87%	43.33%	-0.23	67.4
2027-05-15	1. FC Nurnberg	1748	1919	21.32%	25.08%	53.60%	-0.43	54.5
2027-05-15	@ VfL Osnabruck	1919	1748	53.60%	25.08%	21.32%	+0.43	54.5
2027-05-15	VfL Bochum	1849	1809	48.10%	25.61%	26.29%	+0.37	63.4
2027-05-15	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1809	1849	26.29%	25.61%	48.10%	-0.37	63.4
2027-05-15	Karlsruher SC	1751	1723	46.50%	25.72%	27.78%	+0.32	63.7
2027-05-15	@ Dynamo Dresden	1723	1751	27.78%	25.72%	46.50%	-0.32	63.7
2027-05-15	Energie Cottbus	1786	1785	42.98%	25.89%	31.13%	+0.22	74.0
2027-05-15	@ Holstein Kiel	1785	1786	31.13%	25.89%	42.98%	-0.22	74.0
2027-05-23	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1785	1833	36.19%	25.99%	37.83%	+0.04	66.3
2027-05-23	@ Energie Cottbus	1833	1785	37.83%	25.99%	36.19%	-0.04	66.3
2027-05-23	Hertha BSC	1919	1927	41.72%	25.93%	32.36%	+0.18	80.7
2027-05-23	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	1927	1919	32.36%	25.93%	41.72%	-0.18	80.7
2027-05-23	Dynamo Dresden	1923	1751	62.10%	23.57%	14.33%	+0.87	50.8
2027-05-23	@ VfL Wolfsburg	1751	1923	14.33%	23.57%	62.10%	-0.87	50.8
2027-05-23	Holstein Kiel	1809	1786	46.02%	25.75%	28.23%	+0.31	63.3
2027-05-23	@ VfL Bochum	1786	1809	28.23%	25.75%	46.02%	-0.31	63.3
2027-05-23	Arminia Bielefeld	1843	1788	49.94%	25.47%	24.59%	+0.42	61.4
2027-05-23	@ Hannover 96	1788	1843	24.59%	25.47%	49.94%	-0.42	61.4
2027-05-23	1. FC Magdeburg	1865	1849	45.09%	25.80%	29.11%	+0.28	75.3
2027-05-23	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1849	1865	29.11%	25.80%	45.09%	-0.28	75.3
2027-05-23	Eintracht Braunschweig	1839	1756	53.16%	25.13%	21.71%	+0.53	58.8
2027-05-23	@ St. Pauli	1756	1839	21.71%	25.13%	53.16%	-0.53	58.8
2027-05-23	Greuther Furth	1723	1757	38.29%	25.99%	35.73%	+0.09	64.0
2027-05-23	@ Karlsruher SC	1757	1723	35.73%	25.99%	38.29%	-0.09	64.0
2027-05-23	VfL Osnabruck	1754	1748	43.72%	25.86%	30.42%	+0.24	67.0
2027-05-23	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1748	1754	30.42%	25.86%	43.72%	-0.24	67.0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2026-08-28	18.91%	VfL Osnabruck	1718	1	@ VfL Bochum	1830	0
2	2026-09-13	25.13%	Energie Cottbus	1734	3	@ Karlsruher SC	1784	0
3	2026-08-08	25.34%	Eintracht Braunschweig	1762	6	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1810	1
4	2026-08-09	26.57%	@ Energie Cottbus	1750	3	Hannover 96	1872	1
5	2026-08-15	28.21%	1. FC Magdeburg	1742	3	@ VfL Osnabruck	1766	0
6	2026-08-30	28.46%	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1817	2	@ St. Pauli	1838	1
7	2026-08-14	29.08%	VfL Bochum	1813	1	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1829	0
8	2026-09-12	30.15%	@ St. Pauli	1822	1	VfL Wolfsburg	1915	0
9	2026-08-07	30.24%	Hertha BSC	1822	1	@ VfL Bochum	1830	0
10	2026-08-29	32.08%	Greuther Furth	1752	4	@ Energie Cottbus	1746	3
11	2026-08-30	33.18%	Hannover 96	1827	1	@ SV Darmstadt 98	1812	0
12	2026-09-12	34.97%	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1808	3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	1864	0
13	2026-09-06	35.30%	@ VfL Osnabruck	1739	3	Eintracht Braunschweig	1793	1
14	2026-08-16	35.41%	@ Dynamo Dresden	1774	1	SV Darmstadt 98	1828	0
15	2026-08-16	35.73%	VfL Wolfsburg	1876	1	@ Hannover 96	1842	0
16	2026-09-05	36.06%	VfL Bochum	1809	2	@ Dynamo Dresden	1774	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-08-08	67.76	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1762	25.34%	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1810	49.12%	25.54%
2	2026-09-13	51.04	Energie Cottbus	3	1734	25.13%	@ Karlsruher SC	0	1784	49.36%	25.52%
3	2026-08-15	48.11	1. FC Magdeburg	3	1742	28.21%	@ VfL Osnabruck	0	1766	46.04%	25.75%
4	2026-09-12	42.19	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	3	1808	34.97%	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	1864	39.05%	25.98%
5	2026-08-09	34.12	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	3	1821	44.67%	Dynamo Dresden	0	1808	29.52%	25.82%
6	2026-08-16	34.05	@ Arminia Bielefeld	3	1793	44.75%	Energie Cottbus	0	1780	29.44%	25.81%
7	2026-08-15	31.85	@ Hertha BSC	4	1839	40.36%	1. FC Heidenheim	1	1858	33.68%	25.96%
8	2026-09-05	31.47	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	3	1833	47.71%	SV Darmstadt 98	0	1796	26.65%	25.64%
9	2026-08-09	29.60	@ Energie Cottbus	3	1750	26.57%	Hannover 96	1	1872	47.79%	25.64%
10	2026-08-30	27.26	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	2	1790	38.15%	Holstein Kiel	0	1824	35.87%	25.99%
11	2026-08-29	26.19	VfL Wolfsburg	5	1891	42.63%	@ Karlsruher SC	2	1808	31.47%	25.90%
12	2026-08-29	25.58	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	4	1875	48.98%	Arminia Bielefeld	1	1828	25.47%	25.55%
13	2026-09-06	24.99	@ VfL Osnabruck	3	1739	35.30%	Eintracht Braunschweig	1	1793	38.71%	25.98%
14	2026-09-18	24.98	@ VfL Wolfsburg	5	1898	57.08%	SV Darmstadt 98	1	1779	18.34%	24.58%
15	2026-08-28	20.99	VfL Osnabruck	1	1718	18.91%	@ VfL Bochum	0	1830	56.41%	24.68%
16	2026-08-28	19.44	Hertha BSC	5	1871	39.39%	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	3	1812	34.64%	25.97%
17	2026-08-15	19.02	1. FC Nurnberg	4	1855	42.87%	@ Greuther Furth	2	1771	31.24%	25.89%
18	2026-09-13	17.76	Hertha BSC	3	1900	49.60%	@ VfL Osnabruck	1	1764	24.91%	25.50%
19	2026-08-14	17.27	VfL Bochum	1	1813	29.08%	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	0	1829	45.12%	25.80%
20	2026-09-12	16.92	@ St. Pauli	1	1822	30.15%	VfL Wolfsburg	0	1915	44.00%	25.85%
21	2026-08-07	16.89	Hertha BSC	1	1822	30.24%	@ VfL Bochum	0	1830	43.91%	25.85%
22	2026-08-30	16.49	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	1817	28.46%	@ St. Pauli	1	1838	45.78%	25.76%
23	2026-08-30	15.96	Hannover 96	1	1827	33.18%	@ SV Darmstadt 98	0	1812	40.87%	25.95%
24	2026-08-29	15.87	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	5	1826	47.69%	Dynamo Dresden	3	1789	26.67%	25.64%
25	2026-08-16	15.27	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1774	35.41%	SV Darmstadt 98	0	1828	38.61%	25.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-09-05	83.4	@ VfL Wolfsburg	4	1917	63.28%	Energie Cottbus	4	1731	13.45%	23.27%
2	2026-09-04	76.3	@ Hannover 96	2	1843	50.66%	Karlsruher SC	2	1782	23.94%	25.40%
3	2026-09-05	76.3	@ Holstein Kiel	2	1797	28.84%	1. FC Nurnberg	2	1900	45.37%	25.78%
4	2026-08-08	76.2	@ SV Darmstadt 98	2	1828	43.48%	Holstein Kiel	2	1824	30.65%	25.87%
5	2026-08-14	76.2	@ Holstein Kiel	2	1825	41.16%	St. Pauli	2	1838	32.90%	25.94%
6	2026-09-20	76.2	@ Arminia Bielefeld	2	1788	32.04%	1. FC Heidenheim	2	1866	42.05%	25.92%
7	2026-09-04	76.1	@ Arminia Bielefeld	2	1802	40.19%	St. Pauli	2	1822	33.85%	25.96%
8	2026-09-12	76.0	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	2	1768	44.04%	Dynamo Dresden	2	1759	30.11%	25.85%
9	2026-08-29	73.9	Greuther Furth	4	1752	32.08%	@ Energie Cottbus	3	1746	42.00%	25.92%
10	2026-08-09	71.7	@ St. Pauli	1	1840	51.86%	Greuther Furth	1	1769	22.86%	25.28%
11	2026-09-12	71.6	@ VfL Bochum	1	1823	51.75%	Greuther Furth	1	1753	22.96%	25.29%
12	2026-09-18	71.5	@ Greuther Furth	1	1756	29.90%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1850	44.27%	25.84%
13	2026-09-20	71.5	@ Energie Cottbus	1	1785	35.31%	St. Pauli	1	1839	38.71%	25.98%
14	2026-09-19	71.4	@ Holstein Kiel	1	1787	48.32%	VfL Osnabruck	1	1746	26.08%	25.60%
15	2026-08-08	68.2	@ VfL Wolfsburg	0	1878	50.89%	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	1815	23.74%	25.38%
16	2026-08-08	68.1	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	4	1849	52.27%	VfL Osnabruck	3	1774	22.49%	25.23%
17	2026-08-15	68.0	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	1818	44.35%	Karlsruher SC	0	1807	29.82%	25.83%
18	2026-08-30	67.5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	1817	28.46%	@ St. Pauli	1	1838	45.78%	25.76%
19	2026-08-28	67.0	Hertha BSC	5	1871	39.39%	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	3	1812	34.64%	25.97%
20	2026-08-28	65.9	VfL Osnabruck	1	1718	18.91%	@ VfL Bochum	0	1830	56.41%	24.68%
21	2026-09-05	65.1	VfL Bochum	2	1809	36.06%	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1774	37.95%	25.99%
22	2026-09-11	64.6	@ SV Darmstadt 98	2	1765	37.80%	Arminia Bielefeld	1	1802	36.22%	25.99%
23	2026-08-29	64.4	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	5	1826	47.69%	Dynamo Dresden	3	1789	26.67%	25.64%
24	2026-08-09	64.3	@ Energie Cottbus	3	1750	26.57%	Hannover 96	1	1872	47.79%	25.64%
25	2026-08-08	63.6	@ Karlsruher SC	2	1794	41.30%	Arminia Bielefeld	1	1806	32.76%	25.94%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2026-09-05	50.7	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	3	1833	47.71%	SV Darmstadt 98	0	1796	26.65%	25.64%
2	2026-09-18	51.3	@ VfL Wolfsburg	5	1898	57.08%	SV Darmstadt 98	1	1779	18.34%	24.58%
3	2026-08-16	51.5	@ Arminia Bielefeld	3	1793	44.75%	Energie Cottbus	0	1780	29.44%	25.81%
4	2026-08-09	51.6	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	3	1821	44.67%	Dynamo Dresden	0	1808	29.52%	25.82%
5	2026-09-12	54.5	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	3	1808	34.97%	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	1864	39.05%	25.98%
6	2026-08-29	54.9	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	4	1875	48.98%	Arminia Bielefeld	1	1828	25.47%	25.55%
7	2026-09-19	55.5	1. FC Nurnberg	1	1909	54.20%	@ Karlsruher SC	0	1733	20.80%	25.00%
8	2026-08-30	56.2	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	2	1790	38.15%	Holstein Kiel	0	1824	35.87%	25.99%
9	2026-08-15	56.3	1. FC Magdeburg	3	1742	28.21%	@ VfL Osnabruck	0	1766	46.04%	25.75%
10	2026-09-13	56.7	@ 1. FC Heidenheim	1	1855	50.21%	Holstein Kiel	0	1798	24.35%	25.44%
11	2026-09-19	56.7	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1	1822	50.00%	Eintracht Braunschweig	0	1767	24.54%	25.46%
12	2026-09-13	57.2	Energie Cottbus	3	1734	25.13%	@ Karlsruher SC	0	1784	49.36%	25.52%
13	2026-09-13	57.4	Hertha BSC	3	1900	49.60%	@ VfL Osnabruck	1	1764	24.91%	25.50%
14	2026-08-15	57.5	@ Hertha BSC	4	1839	40.36%	1. FC Heidenheim	1	1858	33.68%	25.96%
15	2026-09-06	59.2	1. FC Heidenheim	1	1842	41.66%	@ Greuther Furth	0	1767	32.41%	25.93%
16	2026-08-29	60.1	VfL Wolfsburg	5	1891	42.63%	@ Karlsruher SC	2	1808	31.47%	25.90%
17	2026-08-08	60.5	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1762	25.34%	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	1	1810	49.12%	25.54%
18	2026-09-06	60.5	@ Hertha BSC	2	1891	52.09%	1. FC Magdeburg	1	1817	22.65%	25.25%
19	2026-09-19	60.5	Hertha BSC	2	1918	52.10%	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1760	22.64%	25.25%
20	2026-08-16	61.1	VfL Wolfsburg	1	1876	35.73%	@ Hannover 96	0	1842	38.29%	25.99%
21	2026-08-16	61.1	@ Dynamo Dresden	1	1774	35.41%	SV Darmstadt 98	0	1828	38.61%	25.98%
22	2026-09-11	61.1	@ 1. FC Nurnberg	2	1899	50.27%	Hannover 96	1	1841	24.29%	25.44%
23	2026-09-06	61.5	@ VfL Osnabruck	3	1739	35.30%	Eintracht Braunschweig	1	1793	38.71%	25.98%
24	2026-08-30	61.8	Hannover 96	1	1827	33.18%	@ SV Darmstadt 98	0	1812	40.87%	25.95%
25	2026-08-07	62.7	Hertha BSC	1	1822	30.24%	@ VfL Bochum	0	1830	43.91%	25.85%