Home / Leagues / Germany / Bundesliga / 2003-04

2003-04 Bundesliga Season

272 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Werder Bremen

68 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1992-93

Relegated

1. FC Koln

23 pts

Eintract Frankfurt · 32 pts

1860 Munich · 32 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Werder Bremen

14.79 points above expected

68 points · 53.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

1860 Munich

12.87 points below expected

26 points · 38.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Werder Bremen 32 20 8 4 68 72 35 +37 53.2 +14.79
2 Bayern Munich 32 19 7 6 64 66 36 +30 58.0 +6.02
3 VfB Stuttgart 32 18 8 6 62 50 22 +28 52.6 +9.42
4 Bayer Leverkusen 32 18 7 7 61 71 39 +32 49.7 +11.30
5 Borussia Dortmund 32 15 7 10 52 58 47 +11 51.2 +0.84
6 VfL Bochum 32 13 11 8 50 51 38 +13 46.1 +3.92
7 Schalke 04 32 11 11 10 44 45 41 +4 46.5 -2.55
8 Hansa Rostock 32 12 7 13 43 54 49 +5 41.9 +1.13
9 Hamburger SV 32 12 7 13 43 42 58 -16 40.3 +2.74
10 VfL Wolfsburg 32 11 3 18 36 51 59 -8 42.4 -6.39
11 Borussia Monchengladbach 32 9 9 14 36 39 48 -9 39.9 -3.91
12 Hertha BSC 32 8 12 12 36 39 55 -16 42.5 -6.48
13 SC Freiburg 32 9 8 15 35 39 66 -27 37.4 -2.44
14 1. FC Kaiserslautern 32 9 6 17 33 36 61 -25 37.4 -4.36
15 Hannover 96 32 7 10 15 31 46 62 -16 41.4 -10.43
16 Eintracht Frankfurt 32 8 5 19 29 34 51 -17 36.0 -7.03
17 1860 Munich 32 6 8 18 26 27 53 -26 38.9 -12.87

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bayern Munich 1960 64 57.98 +6.02 80.0% 44 47 51 58 63 70 80
Werder Bremen 1938 68 53.21 +14.79 99.0% 37 41 48 52 59 66 72
VfB Stuttgart 1928 62 52.58 +9.42 92.0% 37 39 46 53 58 64 73
Bayer Leverkusen 1924 61 49.70 +11.30 97.0% 34 36 44 50 56 61 69
Borussia Dortmund 1889 52 51.16 +0.84 60.0% 30 37 46 50 57 64 75
VfL Bochum 1860 50 46.08 +3.92 72.0% 20 33 41 46 51 57 68
Schalke 04 1853 44 46.55 -2.55 39.0% 27 33 41 47 52 56 66
Hansa Rostock 1827 43 41.87 +1.13 57.0% 23 29 37 42 47 53 63
Hertha BSC 1808 36 42.48 -6.48 15.0% 26 33 39 43 45 51 59
Hamburger SV 1797 43 40.26 +2.74 66.0% 25 29 36 39 45 51 55
VfL Wolfsburg 1796 36 42.39 -6.39 23.0% 25 29 37 43 49 54 60
Borussia Monchengladbach 1795 36 39.91 -3.91 32.0% 20 26 34 40 45 51 58
1. FC Koln 1778 0.00 100.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hannover 96 1776 31 41.43 -10.43 10.0% 24 30 37 41 46 54 60
1. FC Kaiserslautern 1763 33 37.36 -4.36 16.0% 23 27 32 36 42 50 57
Eintracht Frankfurt 1744 29 36.03 -7.03 16.0% 18 25 32 36 41 47 56
1860 Munich 1739 26 38.87 -12.87 6.0% 23 26 33 39 44 53 61
SC Freiburg 1728 35 37.44 -2.44 36.0% 18 28 32 37 41 50 57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1FK 1FK 1M BL BM BD BM EF HS H9 HR HB SF S0 VS VB VW WB
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.85
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.74
0-2-0
1.99
0-1-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.29
1. FC Koln
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1860 Munich
2-0-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
1.89
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.70
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.61
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.87
0-2-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.02
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1-0
3.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.50
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.63
0-0-2
3.12
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.59
Bayern Munich
2-0-0
3.86
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.01
Borussia Dortmund
0-2-0
3.59
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.61
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
2.77
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.15
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.38
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
1.71
Hamburger SV
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.95
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
1.86
0-2-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.00
Hannover 96
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.85
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.09
Hansa Rostock
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.99
Hertha BSC
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.23
0-2-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.53
SC Freiburg
1-1-0
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.00
Schalke 04
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.10
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.32
0-2-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.49
VfB Stuttgart
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.44
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.95
0-1-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.85
0-2-0
3.01
0-2-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.71
VfL Bochum
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
2.43
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.54
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.28
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.46
0-0-2
2.07
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.11
Werder Bremen
2-0-0
3.33
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.45

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%7.35%5.70%3.86%1.47%0.55%25.18%
17.35%10.66%4.60%5.70%3.31%0.55%32.17%
25.70%4.60%5.88%2.76%0.92%0.74%20.59%
33.86%5.70%2.76%1.47%0.18%13.97%
41.47%3.31%0.92%0.37%6.07%
5+0.55%0.55%0.74%0.18%2.02%
Total25.18%32.17%20.59%13.97%6.07%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.51
Mean allowed1.51
StdDev scored1.32
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game3.01
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.056
Sample size (games)272
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%12.50%9.38%3.12%6.25%3.12%37.50%
112.50%6.25%6.25%9.38%34.38%
29.38%3.12%12.50%
33.12%6.25%9.38%
43.12%3.12%6.25%
5+
Total18.75%21.88%34.38%6.25%15.62%3.12%100%

1. FC Kaiserslautern — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.12
Mean allowed1.91
StdDev scored1.21
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.172
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%12.50%6.25%3.12%34.38%
19.38%18.75%9.38%12.50%3.12%53.12%
23.12%3.12%6.25%
33.12%3.12%6.25%
4
5+
Total15.62%34.38%25.00%18.75%6.25%100%

1860 Munich — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.84
Mean allowed1.66
StdDev scored0.81
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.267
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
19.38%3.12%3.12%12.50%28.12%
26.25%3.12%9.38%18.75%
36.25%3.12%6.25%3.12%18.75%
43.12%9.38%3.12%15.62%
5+3.12%3.12%6.25%
Total34.38%25.00%25.00%15.62%100%

Bayer Leverkusen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.22
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.62
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.028
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%6.25%12.50%
112.50%9.38%6.25%28.12%
215.62%6.25%3.12%25.00%
39.38%9.38%18.75%
49.38%9.38%
5+3.12%3.12%6.25%
Total34.38%37.50%9.38%18.75%100%

Bayern Munich — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.06
Mean allowed1.12
StdDev scored1.48
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.055
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
16.25%12.50%6.25%3.12%28.12%
212.50%3.12%9.38%3.12%28.12%
36.25%3.12%9.38%
43.12%6.25%3.12%12.50%
5+3.12%3.12%
Total21.88%34.38%31.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%100%

Borussia Dortmund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.81
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.47
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.122
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%9.38%25.00%
13.12%12.50%12.50%6.25%3.12%37.50%
23.12%12.50%9.38%3.12%28.12%
33.12%6.25%9.38%
4
5+
Total15.62%40.62%31.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%100%

Borussia Monchengladbach — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.015
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%21.88%6.25%9.38%40.62%
19.38%6.25%12.50%28.12%
23.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%15.62%
36.25%3.12%6.25%15.62%
4
5+
Total12.50%40.62%21.88%25.00%100%

Eintracht Frankfurt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.59
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.01
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.179
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%9.38%3.12%3.12%34.38%
112.50%3.12%3.12%18.75%
26.25%15.62%3.12%6.25%31.25%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
43.12%3.12%
5+
Total12.50%43.75%15.62%15.62%6.25%6.25%100%

Hamburger SV — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.31
Mean allowed1.81
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.47
Mean total goals/game3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.282
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%3.12%21.88%
16.25%6.25%15.62%3.12%3.12%34.38%
26.25%12.50%3.12%21.88%
39.38%6.25%6.25%21.88%
4
5+
Total21.88%18.75%25.00%21.88%6.25%6.25%100%

Hannover 96 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.94
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.54
Mean total goals/game3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.022
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%12.50%6.25%25.00%
13.12%9.38%9.38%3.12%3.12%28.12%
23.12%3.12%3.12%9.38%
39.38%12.50%6.25%28.12%
43.12%6.25%9.38%
5+
Total18.75%34.38%25.00%18.75%3.12%100%

Hansa Rostock — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.69
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.38
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.353
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%3.12%9.38%3.12%25.00%
19.38%25.00%3.12%3.12%9.38%50.00%
23.12%3.12%3.12%3.12%12.50%
33.12%3.12%3.12%9.38%
4
5+3.12%3.12%
Total21.88%31.25%15.62%15.62%15.62%100%

Hertha BSC — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.019
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%3.12%12.50%3.12%3.12%34.38%
112.50%6.25%12.50%31.25%
23.12%12.50%3.12%3.12%21.88%
33.12%3.12%
46.25%3.12%9.38%
5+
Total18.75%21.88%21.88%15.62%18.75%3.12%100%

SC Freiburg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed2.06
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.56
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.141
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%3.12%6.25%3.12%25.00%
13.12%12.50%6.25%6.25%3.12%31.25%
26.25%9.38%9.38%3.12%28.12%
36.25%3.12%9.38%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total28.12%34.38%21.88%12.50%3.12%100%

Schalke 04 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.41
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.116
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.62%9.38%3.12%28.12%
115.62%6.25%3.12%25.00%
218.75%3.12%21.88%
33.12%12.50%15.62%
43.12%3.12%6.25%
5+3.12%3.12%
Total53.12%34.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%100%

VfB Stuttgart — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.56
Mean allowed0.69
StdDev scored1.39
StdDev allowed0.97
Mean total goals/game2.25
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.304
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%3.12%12.50%
115.62%12.50%3.12%6.25%3.12%40.62%
26.25%12.50%6.25%3.12%28.12%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total43.75%18.75%18.75%12.50%6.25%100%

VfL Bochum — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.59
Mean allowed1.19
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.059
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%15.62%9.38%3.12%31.25%
13.12%6.25%6.25%3.12%18.75%
23.12%3.12%9.38%6.25%21.88%
33.12%6.25%6.25%3.12%18.75%
43.12%3.12%6.25%
5+3.12%3.12%
Total15.62%37.50%15.62%15.62%9.38%6.25%100%

VfL Wolfsburg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.59
Mean allowed1.84
StdDev scored1.43
StdDev allowed1.46
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.047
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%9.38%
19.38%12.50%3.12%6.25%31.25%
29.38%6.25%3.12%18.75%
36.25%12.50%18.75%
43.12%3.12%3.12%3.12%12.50%
5+3.12%3.12%3.12%9.38%
Total40.62%37.50%6.25%9.38%3.12%3.12%100%

Werder Bremen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.25
Mean allowed1.09
StdDev scored1.57
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.136
Games played32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Werder Bremen 68 53.2 +14.79
2 Bayer Leverkusen 61 49.7 +11.30
3 VfB Stuttgart 62 52.6 +9.42
4 Bayern Munich 64 58.0 +6.02
5 VfL Bochum 50 46.1 +3.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 1860 Munich 26 38.9 -12.87
2 Hannover 96 31 41.4 -10.43
3 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 36.0 -7.03
4 Hertha BSC 36 42.5 -6.48
5 VfL Wolfsburg 36 42.4 -6.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VfB Stuttgart 7 Sep 20 – Nov 22 1 in 196
2 Hansa Rostock 4 Nov 8 – Dec 6 1 in 106
3 Werder Bremen 5 Dec 13 – Feb 15 1 in 32
4 Bayer Leverkusen 4 Sep 27 – Oct 26 1 in 27
5 Schalke 04 3 Nov 30 – Dec 13 1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hansa Rostock 6 Sep 13 – Oct 25 1 in 170
2 Borussia Monchengladbach 4 Aug 16 – Sep 20 1 in 54
3 Hannover 96 4 Feb 21 – Mar 13 1 in 51
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 Feb 28 – Apr 10 1 in 48
5 Bayer Leverkusen 3 Feb 21 – Mar 6 1 in 26

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Werder Bremen 22 Oct 25 – May 8 1 in 4,371
2 VfB Stuttgart 14 Aug 3 – Dec 6 1 in 299
3 VfL Bochum 10 Dec 13 – Mar 20 1 in 112
4 Bayer Leverkusen 10 Sep 13 – Nov 29 1 in 89
5 Schalke 04 9 Nov 30 – Mar 6 1 in 71

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hertha BSC 9 Aug 2 – Oct 18 1 in 167
2 Borussia Dortmund 7 Nov 9 – Jan 30 1 in 116
3 Borussia Monchengladbach 11 Aug 9 – Nov 8 1 in 115
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 Feb 1 – Mar 6 1 in 48
5 Hannover 96 8 Feb 8 – Mar 27 1 in 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617
Werder Bremen18.00%20.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Bayern Munich38.00%18.00%9.00%16.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
VfB Stuttgart16.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%3.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%
Bayer Leverkusen7.00%16.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%
Borussia Dortmund13.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%
VfL Bochum2.00%3.00%14.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%
Schalke 041.00%5.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%
Hansa Rostock2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%8.00%
Hamburger SV1.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%15.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%
VfL Wolfsburg1.00%2.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%
Borussia Monchengladbach1.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%12.00%6.00%3.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%1.00%15.00%
Hertha BSC1.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%
SC Freiburg2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%2.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%
1. FC Kaiserslautern1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%1.00%16.00%12.00%21.00%11.00%
Hannover 964.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%
Eintracht Frankfurt1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%17.00%
1860 Munich1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Bayer Leverkusen 100%
Bayern Munich 100%
VfB Stuttgart 100%
Werder Bremen 100%
Borussia Dortmund 97.0% 3.0%
Schalke 04 96.0% 4.0%
VfL Bochum 96.0% 4.0%
Hertha BSC 92.0% 8.0%
Hansa Rostock 90.0% 10.0%
Hannover 96 87.0% 13.0%
VfL Wolfsburg 87.0% 13.0%
Borussia Monchengladbach 84.0% 16.0%
Hamburger SV 84.0% 16.0%
1860 Munich 76.0% 24.0%
SC Freiburg 75.0% 25.0%
1. FC Kaiserslautern 68.0% 32.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt 68.0% 32.0%
1. FC Koln 100%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-01 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-1 1909 1779 69.0% 14.7% 16.3% +3.3 3
2003-08-01 @ Bayern Munich L 1-3 1779 1909 16.3% 14.7% 69.0% -3.3 0
2003-08-02 1860 Munich L 0-1 1830 1816 53.5% 21.9% 24.6% -6.2 0
2003-08-02 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 1-0 1816 1830 24.6% 21.9% 53.5% +6.2 3
2003-08-02 SC Freiburg W 4-1 1840 1785 59.4% 19.6% 21.1% +6.4 3
2003-08-02 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-4 1785 1840 21.1% 19.6% 59.4% -6.4 0
2003-08-02 Hannover 96 L 0-3 1839 1807 56.2% 20.9% 22.9% -17.6 0
2003-08-02 @ Hamburger SV W 3-0 1807 1839 22.9% 20.9% 56.2% +17.6 3
2003-08-02 Werder Bremen L 0-3 1854 1836 54.2% 21.6% 24.1% -17.2 0
2003-08-02 @ Hertha BSC W 3-0 1836 1854 24.1% 21.6% 54.2% +17.2 3
2003-08-02 Borussia Dortmund D 2-2 1850 1879 47.5% 23.6% 28.8% -0.3 1
2003-08-02 @ Schalke 04 D 2-2 1879 1850 28.8% 23.6% 47.5% +0.4 1
2003-08-02 VfL Bochum W 3-2 1825 1808 54.1% 21.7% 24.2% +2.9 3
2003-08-02 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 2-3 1808 1825 24.2% 21.7% 54.1% -2.9 0
2003-08-03 VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1808 1847 46.2% 23.9% 29.8% -10.5 0
2003-08-03 @ Hansa Rostock W 2-0 1847 1808 29.8% 23.9% 46.2% +10.5 3
2003-08-09 Schalke 04 D 1-1 1823 1850 47.9% 23.6% 28.6% -0.5 4
2003-08-09 @ 1860 Munich D 1-1 1850 1823 28.6% 23.6% 47.9% +0.5 2
2003-08-09 VfL Wolfsburg W 4-0 1880 1828 58.8% 19.8% 21.4% +10.0 4
2003-08-09 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-4 1828 1880 21.4% 19.8% 58.8% -10.0 3
2003-08-09 Hansa Rostock D 2-2 1778 1798 48.9% 23.3% 27.8% -0.4 1
2003-08-09 @ SC Freiburg D 2-2 1798 1778 27.8% 23.3% 48.9% +0.4 1
2003-08-09 Bayern Munich D 3-3 1824 1912 39.1% 24.8% 36.1% -0.0 4
2003-08-09 @ Hannover 96 D 3-3 1912 1824 36.1% 24.8% 39.1% +0.0 4
2003-08-09 Hamburger SV D 1-1 1805 1822 49.2% 23.2% 27.5% -0.6 1
2003-08-09 @ VfL Bochum D 1-1 1822 1805 27.5% 23.2% 49.2% +0.6 1
2003-08-09 Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1853 1812 57.4% 20.4% 22.2% -0.9 4
2003-08-09 @ Werder Bremen D 1-1 1812 1853 22.2% 20.4% 57.4% +0.9 1
2003-08-10 Bayer Leverkusen L 1-2 1776 1847 41.6% 24.6% 33.8% -4.8 0
2003-08-10 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-1 1847 1776 33.8% 24.6% 41.6% +4.8 6
2003-08-10 Hertha BSC D 0-0 1857 1837 54.4% 21.6% 24.0% -0.9 4
2003-08-10 @ VfB Stuttgart D 0-0 1837 1857 24.0% 21.6% 54.4% +0.9 1
2003-08-16 Werder Bremen L 0-1 1824 1852 47.6% 23.6% 28.8% -5.7 0
2003-08-16 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 1-0 1852 1824 28.8% 23.6% 47.6% +5.7 7
2003-08-16 Hannover 96 W 4-0 1852 1824 55.5% 21.2% 23.4% +11.1 9
2003-08-16 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-4 1824 1852 23.4% 21.2% 55.5% -11.1 4
2003-08-16 VfL Bochum W 2-0 1912 1804 66.3% 16.2% 17.5% +4.2 7
2003-08-16 @ Bayern Munich L 0-2 1804 1912 17.5% 16.2% 66.3% -4.2 1
2003-08-16 1860 Munich W 3-1 1890 1822 61.0% 18.8% 20.2% +4.3 7
2003-08-16 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 1822 1890 20.2% 18.8% 61.0% -4.3 4
2003-08-16 VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1813 1856 45.5% 24.1% 30.4% -5.5 1
2003-08-16 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 1856 1813 30.4% 24.1% 45.5% +5.5 7
2003-08-16 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-0 1798 1771 55.5% 21.2% 23.4% +8.5 4
2003-08-16 @ Hansa Rostock L 0-3 1771 1798 23.4% 21.2% 55.5% -8.5 0
2003-08-16 SC Freiburg D 0-0 1838 1778 60.0% 19.3% 20.8% -1.2 2
2003-08-16 @ Hertha BSC D 0-0 1778 1838 20.8% 19.3% 60.0% +1.2 2
2003-08-17 Hamburger SV W 5-1 1818 1822 51.0% 22.7% 26.2% +10.4 6
2003-08-17 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-5 1822 1818 26.2% 22.7% 51.0% -10.4 1
2003-08-23 VfL Wolfsburg W 1-0 1818 1828 50.2% 22.9% 26.9% +3.6 7
2003-08-23 @ 1860 Munich L 0-1 1828 1818 26.9% 22.9% 50.2% -3.6 6
2003-08-23 Hertha BSC D 0-0 1763 1837 41.1% 24.6% 34.3% -0.2 1
2003-08-23 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 0-0 1837 1763 34.3% 24.6% 41.1% +0.2 3
2003-08-23 Borussia Monchengladbach W 4-1 1779 1807 47.7% 23.6% 28.7% +8.8 5
2003-08-23 @ SC Freiburg L 1-4 1807 1779 28.7% 23.6% 47.7% -8.8 1
2003-08-23 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2-0 1862 1818 57.7% 20.3% 22.0% +5.5 10
2003-08-23 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1818 1862 22.0% 20.3% 57.7% -5.5 0
2003-08-23 Bayer Leverkusen W 1-0 1800 1863 42.7% 24.5% 32.8% +4.2 4
2003-08-23 @ VfL Bochum L 0-1 1863 1800 32.8% 24.5% 42.7% -4.2 9
2003-08-23 Schalke 04 W 4-1 1858 1850 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% +7.7 10
2003-08-23 @ Werder Bremen L 1-4 1850 1858 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% -7.7 2
2003-08-24 Bayern Munich L 0-2 1812 1916 36.7% 24.8% 38.5% -8.8 1
2003-08-24 @ Hamburger SV W 2-0 1916 1812 38.5% 24.8% 36.7% +8.8 10
2003-08-27 Hansa Rostock D 3-3 1813 1807 52.6% 22.2% 25.2% -0.4 5
2003-08-27 @ Hannover 96 D 3-3 1807 1813 25.2% 22.2% 52.6% +0.4 5
2003-09-13 Hamburger SV W 1-0 1858 1803 59.3% 19.6% 21.1% +2.8 12
2003-09-13 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-1 1803 1858 21.1% 19.6% 59.3% -2.8 1
2003-09-13 Werder Bremen W 2-1 1894 1866 55.6% 21.1% 23.3% +2.9 10
2003-09-13 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-2 1866 1894 23.3% 21.1% 55.6% -2.9 10
2003-09-13 VfL Bochum L 0-2 1807 1804 52.1% 22.4% 25.5% -11.5 5
2003-09-13 @ Hansa Rostock W 2-0 1804 1807 25.5% 22.4% 52.1% +11.5 7
2003-09-13 Hannover 96 L 2-3 1837 1813 55.1% 21.3% 23.6% -5.7 3
2003-09-13 @ Hertha BSC W 3-2 1813 1837 23.6% 21.3% 55.1% +5.7 8
2003-09-13 VfB Stuttgart D 0-0 1842 1867 48.2% 23.5% 28.3% -0.6 3
2003-09-13 @ Schalke 04 D 0-0 1867 1842 28.3% 23.5% 48.2% +0.6 11
2003-09-13 Bayern Munich W 3-2 1825 1925 37.3% 24.8% 37.9% +4.2 9
2003-09-13 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 2-3 1925 1825 37.9% 24.8% 37.3% -4.3 10
2003-09-14 SC Freiburg D 2-2 1812 1788 55.1% 21.3% 23.6% -0.6 1
2003-09-14 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 2-2 1788 1812 23.6% 21.3% 55.1% +0.6 6
2003-09-14 Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-2 1798 1762 56.7% 20.7% 22.6% -12.2 1
2003-09-14 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-0 1762 1798 22.6% 20.7% 56.7% +12.2 4
2003-09-20 Bayer Leverkusen D 3-3 1921 1861 59.9% 19.3% 20.8% -0.7 11
2003-09-20 @ Bayern Munich D 3-3 1861 1921 20.8% 19.3% 59.9% +0.6 13
2003-09-20 Schalke 04 W 2-1 1788 1842 44.1% 24.3% 31.6% +3.9 9
2003-09-20 @ SC Freiburg L 1-2 1842 1788 31.6% 24.3% 44.1% -3.9 3
2003-09-20 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-0 1819 1786 56.2% 20.9% 22.9% +5.7 11
2003-09-20 @ Hannover 96 L 0-2 1786 1819 22.9% 20.9% 56.2% -5.7 1
2003-09-20 Borussia Dortmund W 1-0 1868 1897 47.5% 23.6% 28.8% +3.8 14
2003-09-20 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1897 1868 28.8% 23.6% 47.5% -3.8 10
2003-09-20 Hertha BSC D 2-2 1816 1832 49.4% 23.2% 27.4% -0.4 8
2003-09-20 @ VfL Bochum D 2-2 1832 1816 27.4% 23.2% 49.4% +0.4 4
2003-09-20 1860 Munich W 2-1 1863 1821 57.4% 20.4% 22.2% +2.8 13
2003-09-20 @ Werder Bremen L 1-2 1821 1863 22.2% 20.4% 57.4% -2.8 7
2003-09-21 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 1-3 1775 1812 46.4% 23.9% 29.7% -9.1 4
2003-09-21 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-1 1812 1775 29.7% 23.9% 46.4% +9.1 4
2003-09-21 Hansa Rostock W 2-1 1800 1796 52.3% 22.3% 25.4% +3.2 4
2003-09-21 @ Hamburger SV L 1-2 1796 1800 25.4% 22.3% 52.3% -3.2 5
2003-09-27 Hannover 96 W 1-0 1821 1824 51.2% 22.7% 26.2% +3.5 7
2003-09-27 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 0-1 1824 1821 26.2% 22.7% 51.2% -3.5 11
2003-09-27 VfB Stuttgart L 0-3 1819 1872 44.2% 24.3% 31.6% -14.7 7
2003-09-27 @ 1860 Munich W 3-0 1872 1819 31.6% 24.3% 44.2% +14.7 17
2003-09-27 SC Freiburg W 1-0 1893 1792 65.3% 16.7% 18.0% +2.3 13
2003-09-27 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-1 1792 1893 18.0% 16.7% 65.3% -2.3 9
2003-09-27 VfL Bochum D 2-2 1781 1815 46.8% 23.8% 29.4% -0.3 2
2003-09-27 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1815 1781 29.4% 23.8% 46.8% +0.3 9
2003-09-27 Bayern Munich L 1-2 1793 1920 33.6% 24.6% 41.9% -4.1 5
2003-09-27 @ Hansa Rostock W 2-1 1920 1793 41.9% 24.6% 33.6% +4.1 14
2003-09-27 Bayer Leverkusen L 0-1 1829 1862 47.0% 23.8% 29.2% -5.6 9
2003-09-27 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 1-0 1862 1829 29.2% 23.8% 47.0% +5.6 16
2003-09-28 Hamburger SV D 1-1 1832 1804 55.6% 21.1% 23.3% -0.9 5
2003-09-28 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1804 1832 23.3% 21.1% 55.6% +0.8 5
2003-09-28 Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1838 1766 61.6% 18.5% 19.9% -1.1 4
2003-09-28 @ Schalke 04 D 1-1 1766 1838 19.9% 18.5% 61.6% +1.1 5
2003-10-04 Hertha BSC W 4-1 1924 1831 64.3% 17.2% 18.5% +5.5 17
2003-10-04 @ Bayern Munich L 1-4 1831 1924 18.5% 17.2% 64.3% -5.4 5
2003-10-04 Borussia Dortmund L 0-1 1767 1895 33.5% 24.6% 42.0% -4.3 5
2003-10-04 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1895 1767 42.0% 24.6% 33.5% +4.3 16
2003-10-04 1860 Munich W 1-0 1790 1804 49.7% 23.1% 27.2% +3.6 12
2003-10-04 @ SC Freiburg L 0-1 1804 1790 27.2% 23.1% 49.7% -3.6 7
2003-10-04 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1804 1780 55.1% 21.3% 23.6% +3.0 8
2003-10-04 @ Hamburger SV L 1-2 1780 1804 23.6% 21.3% 55.1% -3.0 2
2003-10-04 Schalke 04 L 1-2 1821 1837 49.4% 23.2% 27.4% -5.5 11
2003-10-04 @ Hannover 96 W 2-1 1837 1821 27.4% 23.2% 49.4% +5.5 7
2003-10-04 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 4-0 1816 1824 50.4% 22.9% 26.7% +12.7 12
2003-10-04 @ VfL Bochum L 0-4 1824 1816 26.7% 22.9% 50.4% -12.7 7
2003-10-05 Hansa Rostock W 3-0 1868 1788 62.5% 18.1% 19.4% +6.9 19
2003-10-05 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-3 1788 1868 19.4% 18.1% 62.5% -6.9 5
2003-10-05 VfL Wolfsburg W 5-3 1866 1823 57.5% 20.3% 22.1% +4.0 16
2003-10-05 @ Werder Bremen L 3-5 1823 1866 22.1% 20.3% 57.5% -4.0 9
2003-10-18 Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1800 1762 56.9% 20.6% 22.5% +3.0 10
2003-10-18 @ 1860 Munich L 0-1 1762 1800 22.5% 20.6% 56.9% -3.0 5
2003-10-18 Hannover 96 W 6-2 1900 1815 63.2% 17.8% 19.1% +6.2 19
2003-10-18 @ Borussia Dortmund L 2-6 1815 1900 19.1% 17.8% 63.2% -6.2 11
2003-10-18 Bayern Munich D 0-0 1777 1930 30.5% 24.1% 45.4% +0.4 3
2003-10-18 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 0-0 1930 1777 45.4% 24.1% 30.5% -0.4 18
2003-10-18 Bayer Leverkusen L 1-4 1826 1874 44.8% 24.2% 31.1% -12.5 5
2003-10-18 @ Hertha BSC W 4-1 1874 1826 31.1% 24.2% 44.8% +12.5 22
2003-10-18 VfB Stuttgart L 1-3 1870 1886 49.4% 23.2% 27.5% -9.5 16
2003-10-18 @ Werder Bremen W 3-1 1886 1870 27.5% 23.2% 49.4% +9.5 20
2003-10-18 Hansa Rostock W 3-1 1819 1782 56.9% 20.6% 22.5% +4.8 12
2003-10-18 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-3 1782 1819 22.5% 20.6% 56.9% -4.8 5
2003-10-19 Hamburger SV W 4-0 1812 1807 52.3% 22.3% 25.4% +12.1 10
2003-10-19 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 0-4 1807 1812 25.4% 22.3% 52.3% -12.1 8
2003-10-19 VfL Bochum L 0-2 1842 1828 53.7% 21.9% 24.5% -11.7 7
2003-10-19 @ Schalke 04 W 2-0 1828 1842 24.5% 21.9% 53.7% +11.7 15
2003-10-25 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 4-1 1929 1824 65.9% 16.4% 17.7% +5.2 21
2003-10-25 @ Bayern Munich L 1-4 1824 1929 17.7% 16.4% 65.9% -5.2 10
2003-10-25 Werder Bremen L 2-4 1794 1860 42.2% 24.6% 33.3% -7.5 12
2003-10-25 @ SC Freiburg W 4-2 1860 1794 33.3% 24.6% 42.2% +7.5 19
2003-10-25 Schalke 04 D 2-2 1795 1831 46.7% 23.8% 29.5% -0.3 9
2003-10-25 @ Hamburger SV D 2-2 1831 1795 29.5% 23.8% 46.7% +0.3 8
2003-10-25 1860 Munich D 1-1 1809 1803 52.5% 22.2% 25.3% -0.7 12
2003-10-25 @ Hannover 96 D 1-1 1803 1809 25.3% 22.2% 52.5% +0.7 11
2003-10-25 Hertha BSC L 0-1 1777 1813 46.5% 23.9% 29.6% -5.6 5
2003-10-25 @ Hansa Rostock W 1-0 1813 1777 29.6% 23.9% 46.5% +5.6 8
2003-10-25 VfL Wolfsburg W 1-0 1896 1824 61.5% 18.6% 20.0% +2.6 23
2003-10-25 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1824 1896 20.0% 18.6% 61.5% -2.6 12
2003-10-26 Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 1887 1778 66.4% 16.1% 17.5% +2.2 25
2003-10-26 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-1 1778 1887 17.5% 16.1% 66.4% -2.2 3
2003-10-26 Borussia Dortmund W 3-0 1840 1906 42.3% 24.5% 33.2% +11.8 18
2003-10-26 @ VfL Bochum L 0-3 1906 1840 33.2% 24.5% 42.3% -11.8 19
2003-11-01 VfL Bochum W 3-1 1804 1852 44.9% 24.2% 30.9% +6.6 14
2003-11-01 @ 1860 Munich L 1-3 1852 1804 30.9% 24.2% 44.9% -6.6 18
2003-11-01 Hansa Rostock D 1-1 1776 1771 52.3% 22.3% 25.4% -0.7 4
2003-11-01 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1771 1776 25.4% 22.3% 52.3% +0.7 6
2003-11-01 Bayern Munich W 2-0 1831 1935 36.9% 24.8% 38.4% +9.1 11
2003-11-01 @ Schalke 04 L 0-2 1935 1831 38.4% 24.8% 36.9% -9.1 21
2003-11-01 SC Freiburg W 4-1 1898 1786 66.8% 15.9% 17.3% +5.0 26
2003-11-01 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-4 1786 1898 17.3% 15.9% 66.8% -5.0 12
2003-11-01 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-1 1868 1759 66.3% 16.2% 17.5% +3.6 22
2003-11-01 @ Werder Bremen L 1-3 1759 1868 17.5% 16.2% 66.3% -3.6 5
2003-11-01 Hertha BSC W 3-0 1822 1819 52.1% 22.4% 25.5% +9.3 15
2003-11-01 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-3 1819 1822 25.5% 22.4% 52.1% -9.3 8
2003-11-02 Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1819 1889 41.6% 24.6% 33.8% -0.2 11
2003-11-02 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 0-0 1889 1819 33.8% 24.6% 41.6% +0.2 26
2003-11-02 Hamburger SV W 3-2 1894 1795 65.1% 16.8% 18.1% +2.1 22
2003-11-02 @ Borussia Dortmund L 2-3 1795 1894 18.1% 16.8% 65.1% -2.1 9
2003-11-08 VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1756 1903 31.1% 24.2% 44.7% -7.7 5
2003-11-08 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-0 1903 1756 44.7% 24.2% 31.1% +7.7 29
2003-11-08 VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 1781 1831 44.6% 24.2% 31.2% +3.7 15
2003-11-08 @ SC Freiburg L 2-3 1831 1781 31.2% 24.2% 44.6% -3.7 15
2003-11-08 1860 Munich W 3-1 1793 1811 49.2% 23.2% 27.6% +6.0 12
2003-11-08 @ Hamburger SV L 1-3 1811 1793 27.6% 23.2% 49.2% -6.0 14
2003-11-08 Werder Bremen L 1-5 1808 1871 42.7% 24.5% 32.8% -15.6 12
2003-11-08 @ Hannover 96 W 5-1 1871 1808 32.8% 24.5% 42.7% +15.5 25
2003-11-08 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 4-0 1772 1818 45.1% 24.1% 30.8% +14.4 9
2003-11-08 @ Hansa Rostock L 0-4 1818 1772 30.8% 24.1% 45.1% -14.4 11
2003-11-08 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1809 1775 56.5% 20.8% 22.7% +2.8 11
2003-11-08 @ Hertha BSC L 1-2 1775 1809 22.7% 20.8% 56.5% -2.8 4
2003-11-09 Schalke 04 W 3-1 1889 1840 58.5% 19.9% 21.6% +4.6 29
2003-11-09 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-3 1840 1889 21.6% 19.9% 58.5% -4.6 11
2003-11-09 Borussia Dortmund W 4-1 1926 1896 55.8% 21.1% 23.2% +7.1 24
2003-11-09 @ Bayern Munich L 1-4 1896 1926 23.2% 21.1% 55.8% -7.1 22
2003-11-22 Bayern Munich L 0-1 1805 1933 33.6% 24.6% 41.9% -4.3 14
2003-11-22 @ 1860 Munich W 1-0 1933 1805 41.9% 24.6% 33.6% +4.3 27
2003-11-22 Bayer Leverkusen D 2-2 1889 1894 51.0% 22.7% 26.3% -0.5 23
2003-11-22 @ Borussia Dortmund D 2-2 1894 1889 26.3% 22.7% 51.0% +0.5 30
2003-11-22 Hansa Rostock L 0-1 1835 1786 58.5% 20.0% 21.6% -6.6 11
2003-11-22 @ Schalke 04 W 1-0 1786 1835 21.6% 20.0% 58.5% +6.6 12
2003-11-22 Hannover 96 W 3-1 1911 1793 67.5% 15.5% 17.0% +3.5 32
2003-11-22 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-3 1793 1911 17.0% 15.5% 67.5% -3.5 12
2003-11-22 VfL Bochum W 3-1 1887 1845 57.5% 20.4% 22.2% +4.8 28
2003-11-22 @ Werder Bremen L 1-3 1845 1887 22.2% 20.4% 57.5% -4.8 18
2003-11-22 Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-3 1827 1772 59.3% 19.6% 21.1% -10.9 15
2003-11-22 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 3-1 1772 1827 21.1% 19.6% 59.3% +10.9 7
2003-11-23 Hertha BSC W 4-2 1804 1812 50.5% 22.9% 26.6% +5.2 14
2003-11-23 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2-4 1812 1804 26.6% 22.9% 50.5% -5.2 11
2003-11-23 Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1785 1748 56.7% 20.7% 22.6% +3.0 18
2003-11-23 @ SC Freiburg L 0-1 1748 1785 22.6% 20.7% 56.7% -3.0 5
2003-11-29 1860 Munich D 2-2 1894 1800 64.4% 17.1% 18.4% -0.9 31
2003-11-29 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 2-2 1800 1894 18.4% 17.1% 64.4% +0.9 15
2003-11-29 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2-1 1783 1809 48.0% 23.5% 28.5% +3.5 10
2003-11-29 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-2 1809 1783 28.5% 23.5% 48.0% -3.5 14
2003-11-29 VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 1745 1816 41.5% 24.6% 33.9% +3.9 8
2003-11-29 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 2-3 1816 1745 33.9% 24.6% 41.5% -3.9 15
2003-11-29 Werder Bremen D 1-1 1799 1892 38.4% 24.8% 36.8% -0.0 13
2003-11-29 @ Hamburger SV D 1-1 1892 1799 36.8% 24.8% 38.4% +0.0 29
2003-11-29 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1789 1788 51.9% 22.4% 25.7% +9.3 15
2003-11-29 @ Hannover 96 L 0-3 1788 1789 25.7% 22.4% 51.9% -9.3 18
2003-11-29 VfB Stuttgart D 0-0 1840 1914 41.1% 24.6% 34.2% -0.2 19
2003-11-29 @ VfL Bochum D 0-0 1914 1840 34.2% 24.6% 41.1% +0.2 33
2003-11-30 Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1793 1889 38.0% 24.8% 37.2% +4.4 15
2003-11-30 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-2 1889 1793 37.2% 24.8% 38.0% -4.4 23
2003-11-30 Schalke 04 L 1-3 1807 1829 48.6% 23.4% 28.0% -9.4 11
2003-11-30 @ Hertha BSC W 3-1 1829 1807 28.0% 23.4% 48.6% +9.4 14
2003-12-06 Hansa Rostock L 1-4 1801 1797 52.2% 22.3% 25.4% -14.1 15
2003-12-06 @ 1860 Munich W 4-1 1797 1801 25.4% 22.3% 52.2% +14.1 18
2003-12-06 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1884 1798 63.4% 17.6% 18.9% -1.2 24
2003-12-06 @ Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1798 1884 18.9% 17.6% 63.4% +1.2 12
2003-12-06 Hannover 96 D 2-2 1749 1799 44.6% 24.2% 31.2% -0.3 9
2003-12-06 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 2-2 1799 1749 31.2% 24.2% 44.6% +0.3 16
2003-12-06 VfL Bochum W 4-2 1778 1840 42.9% 24.5% 32.7% +6.2 21
2003-12-06 @ SC Freiburg L 2-4 1840 1778 32.7% 24.5% 42.9% -6.2 19
2003-12-06 Hamburger SV D 0-0 1915 1799 67.2% 15.7% 17.1% -1.5 34
2003-12-06 @ VfB Stuttgart D 0-0 1799 1915 17.1% 15.7% 67.2% +1.5 14
2003-12-06 Bayern Munich D 1-1 1892 1937 45.2% 24.1% 30.6% -0.4 30
2003-12-06 @ Werder Bremen D 1-1 1937 1892 30.6% 24.1% 45.2% +0.4 28
2003-12-06 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 4-1 1812 1806 52.6% 22.2% 25.2% +7.7 18
2003-12-06 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-4 1806 1812 25.2% 22.2% 52.6% -7.7 14
2003-12-07 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1838 1786 58.8% 19.8% 21.4% +2.6 17
2003-12-07 @ Schalke 04 L 1-2 1786 1838 21.4% 19.8% 58.8% -2.7 10
2003-12-13 Schalke 04 L 0-2 1798 1841 45.6% 24.1% 30.4% -10.3 14
2003-12-13 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2-0 1841 1798 30.4% 24.1% 45.6% +10.3 20
2003-12-13 Werder Bremen L 1-3 1893 1891 52.0% 22.4% 25.6% -9.9 31
2003-12-13 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 3-1 1891 1893 25.6% 22.4% 52.0% +9.9 33
2003-12-13 VfB Stuttgart W 1-0 1937 1913 55.0% 21.3% 23.6% +3.1 31
2003-12-13 @ Bayern Munich L 0-1 1913 1937 23.6% 21.3% 55.0% -3.1 34
2003-12-13 SC Freiburg W 4-1 1800 1785 53.9% 21.8% 24.3% +7.5 17
2003-12-13 @ Hamburger SV L 1-4 1785 1800 24.3% 21.8% 53.9% -7.5 21
2003-12-13 1860 Munich D 1-1 1799 1787 53.3% 22.0% 24.7% -0.8 13
2003-12-13 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1787 1799 24.7% 22.0% 53.3% +0.8 16
2003-12-13 Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1834 1749 63.3% 17.7% 19.0% +2.4 22
2003-12-13 @ VfL Bochum L 0-1 1749 1834 19.0% 17.7% 63.3% -2.4 9
2003-12-14 Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1784 1883 37.5% 24.8% 37.7% +4.5 13
2003-12-14 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-2 1883 1784 37.7% 24.8% 37.5% -4.5 24
2003-12-14 Hannover 96 W 2-1 1820 1799 54.6% 21.5% 23.9% +3.0 21
2003-12-14 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-2 1799 1820 23.9% 21.5% 54.6% -3.0 16
2003-12-16 Hamburger SV L 2-3 1746 1808 42.9% 24.5% 32.6% -4.7 9
2003-12-16 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-2 1808 1746 32.6% 24.5% 42.9% +4.7 20
2003-12-16 Bayern Munich L 0-6 1777 1940 29.3% 23.8% 47.0% -20.2 21
2003-12-16 @ SC Freiburg W 6-0 1940 1777 47.0% 23.8% 29.3% +20.2 34
2003-12-16 Hansa Rostock W 3-0 1901 1811 63.9% 17.4% 18.7% +6.6 36
2003-12-16 @ Werder Bremen L 0-3 1811 1901 18.7% 17.4% 63.9% -6.6 18
2003-12-17 Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-2 1788 1788 51.6% 22.5% 25.8% -5.7 16
2003-12-17 @ 1860 Munich W 2-1 1788 1788 25.8% 22.5% 51.6% +5.7 16
2003-12-17 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 1-1 1879 1788 64.0% 17.3% 18.6% -1.2 25
2003-12-17 @ Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1788 1879 18.6% 17.3% 64.0% +1.2 15
2003-12-17 VfL Bochum D 2-2 1796 1836 46.0% 24.0% 30.1% -0.3 17
2003-12-17 @ Hannover 96 D 2-2 1836 1796 30.1% 24.0% 46.0% +0.3 23
2003-12-17 VfL Wolfsburg D 1-1 1851 1823 55.6% 21.1% 23.3% -0.9 21
2003-12-17 @ Schalke 04 D 1-1 1823 1851 23.3% 21.1% 55.6% +0.8 22
2003-12-17 Bayer Leverkusen L 2-3 1910 1884 55.4% 21.2% 23.4% -5.7 34
2003-12-17 @ VfB Stuttgart W 3-2 1884 1910 23.4% 21.2% 55.4% +5.7 34
2004-01-30 Schalke 04 L 0-1 1877 1850 55.4% 21.2% 23.4% -6.4 25
2004-01-30 @ Borussia Dortmund W 1-0 1850 1877 23.4% 21.2% 55.4% +6.4 24
2004-01-31 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2-1 1782 1789 50.8% 22.8% 26.4% +3.3 19
2004-01-31 @ 1860 Munich L 1-2 1789 1782 26.4% 22.8% 50.8% -3.3 15
2004-01-31 Bayern Munich D 1-1 1742 1961 23.8% 21.4% 54.8% +0.8 10
2004-01-31 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1961 1742 54.8% 21.4% 23.8% -0.8 35
2004-01-31 Hansa Rostock W 2-0 1904 1805 65.1% 16.8% 18.1% +4.3 37
2004-01-31 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1805 1904 18.1% 16.8% 65.1% -4.3 18
2004-01-31 VfL Wolfsburg W 1-0 1837 1824 53.4% 21.9% 24.6% +3.3 26
2004-01-31 @ VfL Bochum L 0-1 1824 1837 24.6% 21.9% 53.4% -3.3 22
2004-01-31 Hertha BSC W 4-0 1908 1798 66.4% 16.1% 17.5% +7.9 39
2004-01-31 @ Werder Bremen L 0-4 1798 1908 17.5% 16.1% 66.4% -7.9 13
2004-02-01 Bayer Leverkusen W 1-0 1757 1889 33.0% 24.5% 42.5% +5.2 24
2004-02-01 @ SC Freiburg L 0-1 1889 1757 42.5% 24.5% 33.0% -5.2 34
2004-02-01 Hamburger SV W 3-2 1796 1813 49.3% 23.2% 27.5% +3.3 20
2004-02-01 @ Hannover 96 L 2-3 1813 1796 27.5% 23.2% 49.3% -3.3 20
2004-02-07 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 1884 1743 70.4% 14.0% 15.6% -7.1 34
2004-02-07 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 2-1 1743 1884 15.6% 14.0% 70.4% +7.1 13
2004-02-07 Werder Bremen L 1-2 1794 1916 34.4% 24.7% 41.0% -4.2 16
2004-02-07 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1916 1794 41.0% 24.7% 34.4% +4.2 42
2004-02-07 VfL Bochum D 1-1 1809 1840 47.3% 23.7% 29.0% -0.5 21
2004-02-07 @ Hamburger SV D 1-1 1840 1809 29.0% 23.7% 47.3% +0.5 27
2004-02-07 SC Freiburg W 4-1 1801 1762 57.0% 20.6% 22.4% +6.8 21
2004-02-07 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-4 1762 1801 22.4% 20.6% 57.0% -6.8 24
2004-02-07 1860 Munich D 0-0 1857 1786 61.4% 18.6% 20.0% -1.2 25
2004-02-07 @ Schalke 04 D 0-0 1786 1857 20.0% 18.6% 61.4% +1.2 20
2004-02-07 Borussia Dortmund L 2-4 1821 1871 44.5% 24.2% 31.2% -7.9 22
2004-02-07 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 4-2 1871 1821 31.2% 24.2% 44.5% +7.9 28
2004-02-08 Hannover 96 W 3-1 1960 1799 72.8% 12.7% 14.6% +2.8 38
2004-02-08 @ Bayern Munich L 1-3 1799 1960 14.6% 12.7% 72.8% -2.8 20
2004-02-08 VfB Stuttgart W 1-0 1790 1909 34.8% 24.7% 40.5% +5.0 16
2004-02-08 @ Hertha BSC L 0-1 1909 1790 40.5% 24.7% 34.8% -5.0 37
2004-02-14 Hansa Rostock D 1-1 1750 1807 43.5% 24.4% 32.1% -0.3 14
2004-02-14 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1807 1750 32.1% 24.4% 43.5% +0.3 22
2004-02-14 Hertha BSC L 2-3 1755 1795 46.0% 24.0% 30.0% -4.9 24
2004-02-14 @ SC Freiburg W 3-2 1795 1755 30.0% 24.0% 46.0% +4.9 19
2004-02-14 VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 1809 1813 51.1% 22.7% 26.2% +6.6 24
2004-02-14 @ Hamburger SV L 0-2 1813 1809 26.2% 22.7% 51.1% -6.6 22
2004-02-14 Bayer Leverkusen D 2-2 1796 1877 40.1% 24.7% 35.1% -0.1 21
2004-02-14 @ Hannover 96 D 2-2 1877 1796 35.1% 24.7% 40.1% +0.1 35
2004-02-14 Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1904 1790 67.0% 15.8% 17.2% -1.3 38
2004-02-14 @ VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1790 1904 17.2% 15.8% 67.0% +1.3 17
2004-02-14 Bayern Munich W 1-0 1840 1963 34.3% 24.6% 41.1% +5.1 30
2004-02-14 @ VfL Bochum L 0-1 1963 1840 41.1% 24.6% 34.3% -5.1 38
2004-02-15 Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1787 1879 38.5% 24.8% 36.7% -9.1 20
2004-02-15 @ 1860 Munich W 2-0 1879 1787 36.7% 24.8% 38.5% +9.1 31
2004-02-15 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 1-0 1920 1785 69.6% 14.4% 16.0% +2.0 45
2004-02-15 @ Werder Bremen L 0-1 1785 1920 16.0% 14.4% 69.6% -2.0 15
2004-02-21 VfB Stuttgart W 1-0 1783 1902 34.8% 24.7% 40.6% +5.0 18
2004-02-21 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 0-1 1902 1783 40.6% 24.7% 34.8% -5.0 38
2004-02-21 VfL Bochum L 1-3 1877 1845 56.1% 20.9% 23.0% -10.5 35
2004-02-21 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 3-1 1845 1877 23.0% 20.9% 56.1% +10.5 33
2004-02-21 Hamburger SV W 1-0 1958 1815 70.5% 13.9% 15.6% +1.9 41
2004-02-21 @ Bayern Munich L 0-1 1815 1958 15.6% 13.9% 70.5% -1.9 24
2004-02-21 SC Freiburg D 2-2 1791 1750 57.3% 20.4% 22.2% -0.7 18
2004-02-21 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1750 1791 22.2% 20.4% 57.3% +0.7 25
2004-02-21 Hannover 96 W 3-1 1808 1796 53.3% 22.0% 24.7% +5.4 25
2004-02-21 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-3 1796 1808 24.7% 22.0% 53.3% -5.4 21
2004-02-21 Werder Bremen D 0-0 1855 1922 42.2% 24.5% 33.2% -0.2 26
2004-02-21 @ Schalke 04 D 0-0 1922 1855 33.2% 24.5% 42.2% +0.2 46
2004-02-21 1860 Munich W 3-1 1806 1778 55.6% 21.1% 23.2% +5.0 25
2004-02-21 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-3 1778 1806 23.2% 21.1% 55.6% -5.0 20
2004-02-22 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 1800 1749 58.7% 19.9% 21.5% -6.3 19
2004-02-22 @ Hertha BSC W 2-1 1749 1800 21.5% 19.9% 58.7% +6.3 17
2004-02-28 VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 1960 1811 71.2% 13.5% 15.2% +3.5 44
2004-02-28 @ Bayern Munich L 0-2 1811 1960 15.2% 13.5% 71.2% -3.5 25
2004-02-28 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-1 1756 1790 46.8% 23.8% 29.4% +6.3 20
2004-02-28 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1790 1756 29.4% 23.8% 46.8% -6.3 18
2004-02-28 Bayer Leverkusen W 3-1 1813 1867 44.1% 24.3% 31.6% +6.7 27
2004-02-28 @ Hamburger SV L 1-3 1867 1813 31.6% 24.3% 44.1% -6.7 35
2004-02-28 Schalke 04 D 0-0 1897 1855 57.5% 20.4% 22.1% -1.0 39
2004-02-28 @ VfB Stuttgart D 0-0 1855 1897 22.1% 20.4% 57.5% +1.0 27
2004-02-28 Hansa Rostock D 0-0 1856 1813 57.6% 20.3% 22.1% -1.1 34
2004-02-28 @ VfL Bochum D 0-0 1813 1856 22.1% 20.3% 57.6% +1.0 26
2004-02-28 Borussia Dortmund W 2-0 1922 1888 56.4% 20.8% 22.8% +5.7 49
2004-02-28 @ Werder Bremen L 0-2 1888 1922 22.8% 20.8% 56.4% -5.7 31
2004-02-29 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 1-0 1751 1788 46.4% 23.9% 29.7% +3.9 28
2004-02-29 @ SC Freiburg L 0-1 1788 1751 29.7% 23.9% 46.4% -3.9 18
2004-02-29 Hertha BSC L 1-3 1791 1794 51.2% 22.7% 26.1% -9.8 21
2004-02-29 @ Hannover 96 W 3-1 1794 1791 26.1% 22.7% 51.2% +9.8 22
2004-03-06 Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1785 1762 54.8% 21.4% 23.8% +3.2 21
2004-03-06 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 0-1 1762 1785 23.8% 21.4% 54.8% -3.1 20
2004-03-06 Bayern Munich L 1-3 1860 1963 36.9% 24.8% 38.3% -7.6 35
2004-03-06 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 3-1 1963 1860 38.3% 24.8% 36.9% +7.6 47
2004-03-06 VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1882 1896 49.7% 23.1% 27.2% -11.0 31
2004-03-06 @ Borussia Dortmund W 2-0 1896 1882 27.2% 23.1% 49.7% +11.1 42
2004-03-06 Hannover 96 W 1-0 1784 1781 52.1% 22.4% 25.5% +3.4 21
2004-03-06 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-1 1781 1784 25.5% 22.4% 52.1% -3.4 21
2004-03-06 Hamburger SV W 3-0 1814 1820 50.8% 22.8% 26.4% +9.6 29
2004-03-06 @ Hansa Rostock L 0-3 1820 1814 26.4% 22.8% 50.8% -9.6 27
2004-03-06 VfL Bochum D 1-1 1804 1855 44.4% 24.2% 31.3% -0.3 23
2004-03-06 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1855 1804 31.3% 24.2% 44.4% +0.3 35
2004-03-06 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1856 1755 65.4% 16.6% 18.0% +6.2 30
2004-03-06 @ Schalke 04 L 0-3 1755 1856 18.0% 16.6% 65.4% -6.2 28
2004-03-07 Werder Bremen L 0-2 1773 1928 30.2% 24.0% 45.8% -7.5 20
2004-03-07 @ 1860 Munich W 2-0 1928 1773 45.8% 24.0% 30.2% +7.5 52
2004-03-13 VfL Wolfsburg W 4-2 1852 1808 57.8% 20.2% 22.0% +4.2 38
2004-03-13 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 2-4 1808 1852 22.0% 20.2% 57.8% -4.2 25
2004-03-13 Hansa Rostock D 3-3 1971 1824 71.1% 13.6% 15.3% -0.9 48
2004-03-13 @ Bayern Munich D 3-3 1824 1971 15.3% 13.6% 71.1% +0.9 30
2004-03-13 Schalke 04 W 3-0 1759 1862 36.8% 24.8% 38.4% +13.2 23
2004-03-13 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-3 1862 1759 38.4% 24.8% 36.8% -13.2 30
2004-03-13 Borussia Dortmund D 2-2 1749 1871 34.3% 24.6% 41.1% +0.1 29
2004-03-13 @ SC Freiburg D 2-2 1871 1749 41.1% 24.6% 34.3% -0.1 32
2004-03-13 Hertha BSC W 2-0 1811 1803 52.7% 22.2% 25.1% +6.3 30
2004-03-13 @ Hamburger SV L 0-2 1803 1811 25.1% 22.2% 52.7% -6.3 23
2004-03-13 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 0-1 1777 1788 50.2% 22.9% 26.8% -5.9 21
2004-03-13 @ Hannover 96 W 1-0 1788 1777 26.8% 22.9% 50.2% +5.9 24
2004-03-14 1860 Munich W 2-0 1907 1765 70.5% 13.9% 15.6% +3.6 45
2004-03-14 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1765 1907 15.6% 13.9% 70.5% -3.6 20
2004-03-14 Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 1855 1788 61.0% 18.8% 20.2% +2.6 38
2004-03-14 @ VfL Bochum L 0-1 1788 1855 20.2% 18.8% 61.0% -2.6 21
2004-03-20 VfL Bochum D 2-2 1794 1858 42.5% 24.5% 33.0% -0.2 25
2004-03-20 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 2-2 1858 1794 33.0% 24.5% 42.5% +0.2 39
2004-03-20 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-0 1871 1772 65.1% 16.8% 18.1% +4.3 35
2004-03-20 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1772 1871 18.1% 16.8% 65.1% -4.3 23
2004-03-20 Hamburger SV W 3-0 1785 1817 47.1% 23.7% 29.1% +10.5 24
2004-03-20 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-3 1817 1785 29.1% 23.7% 47.1% -10.5 30
2004-03-20 Bayer Leverkusen L 0-2 1825 1856 47.2% 23.7% 29.1% -10.6 30
2004-03-20 @ Hansa Rostock W 2-0 1856 1825 29.1% 23.7% 47.2% +10.6 41
2004-03-20 Bayern Munich D 1-1 1797 1970 28.3% 23.5% 48.3% +0.5 24
2004-03-20 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1970 1797 48.3% 23.5% 28.3% -0.5 49
2004-03-20 Hannover 96 D 2-2 1849 1772 62.3% 18.2% 19.5% -0.9 31
2004-03-20 @ Schalke 04 D 2-2 1772 1849 19.5% 18.2% 62.3% +0.9 22
2004-03-21 SC Freiburg D 1-1 1762 1749 53.5% 21.9% 24.6% -0.8 21
2004-03-21 @ 1860 Munich D 1-1 1749 1762 24.6% 21.9% 53.5% +0.8 30
2004-03-21 Werder Bremen L 0-2 1804 1935 33.1% 24.5% 42.4% -8.1 25
2004-03-21 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 1935 1804 42.4% 24.5% 33.1% +8.1 55
2004-03-27 Hertha BSC W 4-1 1867 1798 61.2% 18.7% 20.1% +6.0 44
2004-03-27 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-4 1798 1867 20.1% 18.7% 61.2% -6.0 24
2004-03-27 Borussia Monchengladbach W 5-2 1969 1795 74.3% 11.8% 13.9% +3.3 52
2004-03-27 @ Bayern Munich L 2-5 1795 1969 13.9% 11.8% 74.3% -3.3 24
2004-03-27 1860 Munich L 0-3 1768 1761 52.6% 22.2% 25.2% -16.8 23
2004-03-27 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-0 1761 1768 25.2% 22.2% 52.6% +16.8 24
2004-03-27 Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1772 1875 36.9% 24.8% 38.3% +0.0 23
2004-03-27 @ Hannover 96 D 1-1 1875 1772 38.3% 24.8% 36.9% -0.0 36
2004-03-27 VfL Wolfsburg W 3-1 1814 1796 54.2% 21.6% 24.1% +5.2 33
2004-03-27 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-3 1796 1814 24.1% 21.6% 54.2% -5.2 25
2004-03-27 Schalke 04 L 1-2 1858 1848 53.0% 22.1% 24.9% -5.8 39
2004-03-27 @ VfL Bochum W 2-1 1848 1858 24.9% 22.1% 53.0% +5.8 34
2004-03-28 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 3-2 1806 1793 53.5% 21.9% 24.6% +2.9 33
2004-03-28 @ Hamburger SV L 2-3 1793 1806 24.6% 21.9% 53.5% -2.9 25
2004-03-28 Werder Bremen D 4-4 1911 1943 47.1% 23.7% 29.2% -0.2 46
2004-03-28 @ VfB Stuttgart D 4-4 1943 1911 29.2% 23.7% 47.1% +0.2 56
2004-04-03 Bayern Munich L 0-2 1790 1972 27.3% 23.1% 49.6% -6.8 25
2004-04-03 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2-0 1972 1790 49.6% 23.1% 27.3% +6.8 55
2004-04-03 Hannover 96 L 0-2 1778 1772 52.4% 22.3% 25.3% -11.5 24
2004-04-03 @ 1860 Munich W 2-0 1772 1778 25.3% 22.3% 52.4% +11.5 26
2004-04-03 Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1792 1873 40.1% 24.7% 35.2% -0.1 25
2004-04-03 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 0-0 1873 1792 35.2% 24.7% 40.1% +0.1 45
2004-04-03 Hansa Rostock D 1-1 1792 1819 47.8% 23.6% 28.6% -0.5 25
2004-04-03 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1819 1792 28.6% 23.6% 47.8% +0.5 34
2004-04-03 Hamburger SV W 4-1 1854 1809 57.9% 20.2% 21.9% +6.7 37
2004-04-03 @ Schalke 04 L 1-4 1809 1854 21.9% 20.2% 57.9% -6.7 33
2004-04-03 VfB Stuttgart L 1-5 1790 1911 34.6% 24.7% 40.8% -13.2 25
2004-04-03 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 5-1 1911 1790 40.8% 24.7% 34.6% +13.2 49
2004-04-04 VfL Bochum W 4-1 1875 1852 54.9% 21.4% 23.7% +7.2 39
2004-04-04 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-4 1852 1875 23.7% 21.4% 54.9% -7.3 39
2004-04-04 SC Freiburg D 1-1 1943 1750 76.6% 10.6% 12.9% -1.7 57
2004-04-04 @ Werder Bremen D 1-1 1750 1943 12.9% 10.6% 76.6% +1.7 31
2004-04-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 6-0 1873 1784 63.8% 17.4% 18.7% +12.6 48
2004-04-10 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-6 1784 1873 18.7% 17.4% 63.8% -12.6 25
2004-04-10 Schalke 04 W 2-1 1979 1861 67.5% 15.5% 16.9% +2.0 58
2004-04-10 @ Bayern Munich L 1-2 1861 1979 16.9% 15.5% 67.5% -2.0 37
2004-04-10 Werder Bremen L 0-1 1751 1942 26.4% 22.8% 50.9% -3.5 23
2004-04-10 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1942 1751 50.9% 22.8% 26.4% +3.5 60
2004-04-10 Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1803 1883 40.2% 24.7% 35.0% -9.4 33
2004-04-10 @ Hamburger SV W 2-0 1883 1803 35.0% 24.7% 40.2% +9.4 42
2004-04-10 Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-2 1820 1792 55.5% 21.1% 23.3% -6.0 34
2004-04-10 @ Hansa Rostock W 2-1 1792 1820 23.3% 21.1% 55.5% +6.0 28
2004-04-10 VfL Wolfsburg W 1-0 1791 1777 53.6% 21.9% 24.5% +3.3 28
2004-04-10 @ Hertha BSC L 0-1 1777 1791 24.5% 21.9% 53.6% -3.2 25
2004-04-10 1860 Munich W 4-0 1845 1766 62.4% 18.1% 19.4% +9.0 42
2004-04-10 @ VfL Bochum L 0-4 1766 1845 19.4% 18.1% 62.4% -9.0 24
2004-04-11 VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1751 1924 28.3% 23.5% 48.3% -3.7 31
2004-04-11 @ SC Freiburg W 1-0 1924 1751 48.3% 23.5% 28.3% +3.7 52
2004-04-17 Hansa Rostock W 3-2 1771 1814 45.6% 24.0% 30.3% +3.6 28
2004-04-17 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2-3 1814 1771 30.3% 24.0% 45.6% -3.6 34
2004-04-17 Hamburger SV L 1-2 1757 1793 46.6% 23.8% 29.6% -5.2 24
2004-04-17 @ 1860 Munich W 2-1 1793 1757 29.6% 23.8% 46.6% +5.2 36
2004-04-17 Bayern Munich W 2-0 1892 1981 38.9% 24.8% 36.3% +8.7 45
2004-04-17 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1981 1892 36.3% 24.8% 38.9% -8.7 58
2004-04-17 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1798 1794 52.2% 22.4% 25.5% -0.7 29
2004-04-17 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1794 1798 25.5% 22.4% 52.2% +0.7 29
2004-04-17 Bayer Leverkusen L 2-3 1859 1886 47.9% 23.6% 28.5% -5.1 37
2004-04-17 @ Schalke 04 W 3-2 1886 1859 28.5% 23.6% 47.9% +5.1 51
2004-04-17 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-1 1928 1747 75.0% 11.4% 13.6% +2.6 55
2004-04-17 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-3 1747 1928 13.6% 11.4% 75.0% -2.6 23
2004-04-17 SC Freiburg W 4-0 1774 1747 55.4% 21.2% 23.4% +11.1 28
2004-04-17 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-4 1747 1774 23.4% 21.2% 55.4% -11.1 31
2004-04-18 Hannover 96 D 0-0 1945 1784 72.8% 12.6% 14.5% -1.7 61
2004-04-18 @ Werder Bremen D 0-0 1784 1945 14.5% 12.6% 72.8% +1.7 27
2004-04-24 Borussia Dortmund W 3-0 1891 1901 50.3% 22.9% 26.8% +9.7 54
2004-04-24 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-3 1901 1891 26.8% 22.9% 50.3% -9.7 45
2004-04-24 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-2 1797 1785 53.4% 21.9% 24.7% -11.7 29
2004-04-24 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-0 1785 1797 24.7% 21.9% 53.4% +11.7 31
2004-04-24 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1745 1736 52.8% 22.1% 25.0% +9.1 26
2004-04-24 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-3 1736 1745 25.0% 22.1% 52.8% -9.1 31
2004-04-24 VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1786 1930 31.5% 24.3% 44.2% -4.1 27
2004-04-24 @ Hannover 96 W 1-0 1930 1786 44.2% 24.3% 31.5% +4.1 58
2004-04-24 Schalke 04 W 3-1 1810 1854 45.5% 24.1% 30.5% +6.5 37
2004-04-24 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-3 1854 1810 30.5% 24.1% 45.5% -6.5 37
2004-04-24 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 3-0 1795 1775 54.5% 21.5% 23.9% +8.7 32
2004-04-24 @ Hertha BSC L 0-3 1775 1795 23.9% 21.5% 54.5% -8.7 28
2004-04-25 1860 Munich W 1-0 1973 1752 79.4% 9.0% 11.6% +1.3 61
2004-04-25 @ Bayern Munich L 0-1 1752 1973 11.6% 9.0% 79.4% -1.3 24
2004-04-25 Werder Bremen D 0-0 1854 1944 38.9% 24.8% 36.4% -0.1 43
2004-04-25 @ VfL Bochum D 0-0 1944 1854 36.4% 24.8% 38.9% +0.1 62
2004-05-01 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1766 1786 48.9% 23.3% 27.8% -0.4 29
2004-05-01 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 2-2 1786 1766 27.8% 23.3% 48.9% +0.4 30
2004-05-01 Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 1751 1901 30.8% 24.1% 45.0% +0.4 25
2004-05-01 @ 1860 Munich D 1-1 1901 1751 45.0% 24.1% 30.8% -0.4 55
2004-05-01 Hansa Rostock W 4-1 1891 1817 61.8% 18.4% 19.8% +5.9 48
2004-05-01 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-4 1817 1891 19.8% 18.4% 61.8% -5.9 37
2004-05-01 Hannover 96 W 4-1 1727 1782 44.0% 24.3% 31.7% +9.5 34
2004-05-01 @ SC Freiburg L 1-4 1782 1727 31.7% 24.3% 44.0% -9.5 27
2004-05-01 Hamburger SV W 6-0 1944 1799 70.9% 13.7% 15.4% +9.8 65
2004-05-01 @ Werder Bremen L 0-6 1799 1944 15.4% 13.7% 70.9% -9.8 36
2004-05-01 Eintracht Frankfurt W 1-0 1797 1754 57.6% 20.3% 22.1% +2.9 34
2004-05-01 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-1 1754 1797 22.1% 20.3% 57.6% -2.9 26
2004-05-02 Hertha BSC W 3-0 1847 1804 57.7% 20.3% 22.0% +8.0 40
2004-05-02 @ Schalke 04 L 0-3 1804 1847 22.0% 20.3% 57.7% -7.9 32
2004-05-02 VfL Bochum D 1-1 1934 1854 62.6% 18.0% 19.3% -1.2 59
2004-05-02 @ VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1854 1934 19.3% 18.0% 62.6% +1.1 44
2004-05-08 VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 1766 1800 46.9% 23.8% 29.3% +3.5 32
2004-05-08 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2-3 1800 1766 29.3% 23.8% 46.9% -3.5 34
2004-05-08 Werder Bremen L 1-3 1974 1953 54.5% 21.5% 23.9% -10.3 61
2004-05-08 @ Bayern Munich W 3-1 1953 1974 23.9% 21.5% 54.5% +10.3 68
2004-05-08 Schalke 04 W 2-0 1786 1855 41.8% 24.6% 33.6% +8.2 33
2004-05-08 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-2 1855 1786 33.6% 24.6% 41.8% -8.2 40
2004-05-08 VfB Stuttgart W 2-1 1789 1933 31.5% 24.3% 44.2% +5.0 39
2004-05-08 @ Hamburger SV L 1-2 1933 1789 44.2% 24.3% 31.5% -5.0 59
2004-05-08 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-0 1772 1751 54.6% 21.5% 23.9% +8.7 30
2004-05-08 @ Hannover 96 L 0-3 1751 1772 23.9% 21.5% 54.6% -8.7 26
2004-05-08 Borussia Dortmund W 6-2 1796 1897 37.2% 24.8% 38.0% +12.1 35
2004-05-08 @ Hertha BSC L 2-6 1897 1796 38.0% 24.8% 37.2% -12.1 48
2004-05-09 1860 Munich W 3-0 1811 1751 59.9% 19.3% 20.8% +7.4 40
2004-05-09 @ Hansa Rostock L 0-3 1751 1811 20.8% 19.3% 59.9% -7.4 25
2004-05-09 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1855 1737 67.5% 15.5% 17.0% +5.8 47
2004-05-09 @ VfL Bochum L 0-3 1737 1855 17.0% 15.5% 67.5% -5.8 34
2004-05-15 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1744 1808 42.5% 24.5% 33.0% -0.2 26
2004-05-15 @ 1860 Munich D 1-1 1808 1744 33.0% 24.5% 42.5% +0.2 36
2004-05-15 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-1 1885 1794 64.0% 17.3% 18.7% +3.9 51
2004-05-15 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 1794 1885 18.7% 17.3% 64.0% -3.9 33
2004-05-15 VfL Bochum W 3-2 1742 1861 34.8% 24.7% 40.5% +4.5 29
2004-05-15 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 2-3 1861 1742 40.5% 24.7% 34.8% -4.5 47
2004-05-15 Hamburger SV D 0-0 1731 1794 42.7% 24.5% 32.8% -0.3 35
2004-05-15 @ SC Freiburg D 0-0 1794 1731 32.8% 24.5% 42.7% +0.3 40
2004-05-15 VfL Wolfsburg D 0-0 1781 1796 49.5% 23.2% 27.3% -0.6 31
2004-05-15 @ Hannover 96 D 0-0 1796 1781 27.3% 23.2% 49.5% +0.6 35
2004-05-15 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 4-1 1847 1769 62.3% 18.2% 19.5% +5.8 43
2004-05-15 @ Schalke 04 L 1-4 1769 1847 19.5% 18.2% 62.3% -5.8 32
2004-05-15 Bayern Munich W 3-1 1928 1964 46.6% 23.8% 29.5% +6.4 62
2004-05-15 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-3 1964 1928 29.5% 23.8% 46.6% -6.3 61
2004-05-15 Bayer Leverkusen L 2-6 1964 1900 60.4% 19.1% 20.5% -17.2 68
2004-05-15 @ Werder Bremen W 6-2 1900 1964 20.5% 19.1% 60.4% +17.2 58
2004-05-22 Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1763 1889 33.9% 24.6% 41.5% +0.2 33
2004-05-22 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern D 1-1 1889 1763 41.5% 24.6% 33.9% -0.2 52
2004-05-22 VfB Stuttgart W 2-0 1917 1934 49.3% 23.2% 27.5% +6.9 61
2004-05-22 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 0-2 1934 1917 27.5% 23.2% 49.3% -6.9 62
2004-05-22 SC Freiburg W 2-0 1957 1731 80.0% 8.6% 11.4% +2.4 64
2004-05-22 @ Bayern Munich L 0-2 1731 1957 11.4% 8.6% 80.0% -2.4 35
2004-05-22 1860 Munich W 3-1 1790 1743 58.2% 20.1% 21.8% +4.7 36
2004-05-22 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-3 1743 1790 21.8% 20.1% 58.2% -4.7 26
2004-05-22 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-1 1794 1747 58.2% 20.1% 21.7% +2.7 43
2004-05-22 @ Hamburger SV L 1-2 1747 1794 21.7% 20.1% 58.2% -2.7 29
2004-05-22 Werder Bremen W 3-1 1818 1947 33.5% 24.6% 41.9% +8.4 43
2004-05-22 @ Hansa Rostock L 1-3 1947 1818 41.9% 24.6% 33.5% -8.4 68
2004-05-22 Hannover 96 W 3-1 1856 1780 62.1% 18.3% 19.6% +4.2 50
2004-05-22 @ VfL Bochum L 1-3 1780 1856 19.6% 18.3% 62.1% -4.1 31
2004-05-22 Schalke 04 D 1-1 1797 1853 43.7% 24.4% 32.0% -0.3 36
2004-05-22 @ VfL Wolfsburg D 1-1 1853 1797 32.0% 24.4% 43.7% +0.3 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-02-07 15.61% Eintracht Frankfurt 1743 2 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1884 1
2 2004-05-15 20.52% Bayer Leverkusen 1900 6 @ Werder Bremen 1964 2
3 2003-11-22 21.12% Borussia Monchengladbach 1772 3 @ VfL Wolfsburg 1827 1
4 2004-02-22 21.46% Eintracht Frankfurt 1749 2 @ Hertha BSC 1800 1
5 2003-11-22 21.59% Hansa Rostock 1786 1 @ Schalke 04 1835 0
6 2003-09-14 22.63% Eintracht Frankfurt 1762 2 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1798 0
7 2003-08-02 22.91% Hannover 96 1807 3 @ Hamburger SV 1839 0
8 2004-02-21 22.99% VfL Bochum 1845 3 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1877 1
9 2004-04-10 23.32% Borussia Monchengladbach 1792 2 @ Hansa Rostock 1820 1
10 2004-01-30 23.37% Schalke 04 1850 1 @ Borussia Dortmund 1877 0
11 2003-12-17 23.43% Bayer Leverkusen 1884 3 @ VfB Stuttgart 1910 2
12 2003-09-13 23.61% Hannover 96 1813 3 @ Hertha BSC 1837 2
13 2004-05-08 23.94% Werder Bremen 1953 3 @ Bayern Munich 1974 1
14 2003-08-02 24.13% Werder Bremen 1836 3 @ Hertha BSC 1854 0
15 2003-10-19 24.50% VfL Bochum 1828 2 @ Schalke 04 1842 0
16 2003-08-02 24.57% 1860 Munich 1816 1 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1830 0
17 2004-04-24 24.66% VfL Wolfsburg 1785 2 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1797 0
18 2004-03-27 24.91% Schalke 04 1848 2 @ VfL Bochum 1858 1
19 2004-03-27 25.18% 1860 Munich 1761 3 @ Eintracht Frankfurt 1768 0
20 2004-04-03 25.32% Hannover 96 1772 2 @ 1860 Munich 1778 0
21 2003-12-06 25.44% Hansa Rostock 1797 4 @ 1860 Munich 1801 1
22 2003-09-13 25.53% VfL Bochum 1804 2 @ Hansa Rostock 1807 0
23 2003-12-13 25.60% Werder Bremen 1891 3 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1893 1
24 2003-12-17 25.84% Borussia Monchengladbach 1788 2 @ 1860 Munich 1788 1
25 2004-02-29 26.13% Hertha BSC 1794 3 @ Hannover 96 1791 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-12-16 20.20 Bayern Munich 6 1940 46.97% @ SC Freiburg 0 1777 29.27%
2 2003-08-02 17.63 Hannover 96 3 1807 22.91% @ Hamburger SV 0 1839 56.21%
3 2004-05-15 17.19 Bayer Leverkusen 6 1900 20.52% @ Werder Bremen 2 1964 60.40%
4 2003-08-02 17.16 Werder Bremen 3 1836 24.13% @ Hertha BSC 0 1854 54.22%
5 2004-03-27 16.77 1860 Munich 3 1761 25.18% @ Eintracht Frankfurt 0 1768 52.62%
6 2003-11-08 15.55 Werder Bremen 5 1871 32.80% @ Hannover 96 1 1808 42.72%
7 2003-09-27 14.65 VfB Stuttgart 3 1872 31.55% @ 1860 Munich 0 1819 44.16%
8 2003-11-08 14.43 @ Hansa Rostock 4 1772 45.08% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 1818 30.79%
9 2003-12-06 14.06 Hansa Rostock 4 1797 25.44% @ 1860 Munich 1 1801 52.22%
10 2004-04-03 13.23 VfB Stuttgart 5 1911 40.76% @ VfL Wolfsburg 1 1790 34.56%
11 2004-03-13 13.16 @ Eintracht Frankfurt 3 1759 36.84% Schalke 04 0 1862 38.37%
12 2003-10-04 12.66 @ VfL Bochum 4 1816 50.44% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 1824 26.68%
13 2004-04-10 12.56 @ Bayer Leverkusen 6 1873 63.84% 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0 1784 18.73%
14 2003-10-18 12.49 Bayer Leverkusen 4 1874 31.05% @ Hertha BSC 1 1826 44.75%
15 2003-09-14 12.22 Eintracht Frankfurt 2 1762 22.63% @ Borussia Monchengladbach 0 1798 56.67%
16 2003-10-19 12.08 @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4 1812 52.27% Hamburger SV 0 1807 25.41%
17 2004-05-08 12.07 @ Hertha BSC 6 1796 37.21% Borussia Dortmund 2 1897 38.00%
18 2003-10-26 11.76 @ VfL Bochum 3 1840 42.26% Borussia Dortmund 0 1906 33.20%
19 2003-10-19 11.72 VfL Bochum 2 1828 24.50% @ Schalke 04 0 1842 53.66%
20 2004-04-24 11.68 VfL Wolfsburg 2 1785 24.66% @ Borussia Monchengladbach 0 1797 53.40%
21 2004-04-03 11.51 Hannover 96 2 1772 25.32% @ 1860 Munich 0 1778 52.40%
22 2003-09-13 11.46 VfL Bochum 2 1804 25.53% @ Hansa Rostock 0 1807 52.10%
23 2004-04-17 11.10 @ VfL Wolfsburg 4 1774 55.35% SC Freiburg 0 1747 23.43%
24 2003-08-16 11.07 @ Bayer Leverkusen 4 1852 55.47% Hannover 96 0 1824 23.36%
25 2004-03-06 11.06 VfB Stuttgart 2 1896 27.20% @ Borussia Dortmund 0 1882 49.71%