2004-05 Bundesliga Season
306 games
Champion
Bayern Munich
77 points · 18th Title
Last Title: 2002-03
Relegated
SC Freiburg
18 pts
Hansa Rosstock · 30 pts
VfL Bochum · 35 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Bayern Munich
14.44 points above expected
77 points · 62.56 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
SC Freiburg
14.45 points below expected
18 points · 32.45 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Champion | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 75 | 33 | +42 | 62.56 | +14.44 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 63 | 56 | 46 | +10 | 52.70 | +10.30 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 59 | 68 | 37 | +31 | 62.06 | -3.06 |
| 4 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 58 | 59 | 31 | +28 | 51.57 | +6.43 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 54 | 40 | +14 | 59.14 | -1.14 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 65 | 44 | +21 | 57.68 | -0.68 |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 50.28 | +4.72 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 47.52 | +3.48 |
| 9 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 46.32 | +1.68 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 45.30 | -0.30 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 39.55 | +3.45 |
| 12 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 40.59 | +1.41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40.07 | -0.07 |
| 14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 42.02 | -4.02 |
| 15 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 41.44 | -5.44 |
| 16 | VfL Bochum Relegated | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 44.96 | -9.96 |
| 17 | Hansa Rostock | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 36.42 | -6.42 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg Relegated | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 18 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 32.45 | -14.45 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2027 | 77 | 62.56 | +14.44 | 98.0% | 33 | 50 | 58 | 63 | 68 | 75 | 88 |
| Werder Bremen | 1965 | 59 | 62.06 | -3.06 | 36.3% | 34 | 50 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 87 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1931 | 57 | 57.68 | -0.68 | 49.0% | 28 | 45 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 85 |
| Hertha BSC | 1923 | 58 | 51.57 | +6.43 | 82.1% | 22 | 39 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 78 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1900 | 58 | 59.14 | -1.14 | 46.1% | 29 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 71 | 88 |
| Schalke 04 | 1887 | 63 | 52.70 | +10.30 | 92.1% | 22 | 40 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 82 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1878 | 55 | 50.28 | +4.72 | 75.9% | 26 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 78 |
| Hamburger SV | 1844 | 51 | 47.52 | +3.48 | 70.2% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 73 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1807 | 48 | 46.32 | +1.68 | 61.5% | 20 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 77 |
| Hannover 96 | 1806 | 45 | 45.30 | -0.30 | 51.9% | 18 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 71 |
| VfL Bochum | 1790 | 35 | 44.96 | -9.96 | 10.0% | 19 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 58 | 75 |
| Mainz 05 | 1782 | 43 | 39.55 | +3.45 | 70.7% | 14 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 52 | 71 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1777 | 38 | 42.02 | -4.02 | 32.0% | 16 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 69 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1774 | 42 | 40.59 | +1.41 | 60.9% | 15 | 29 | 35 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1772 | 36 | 41.44 | -5.44 | 25.3% | 16 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 54 | 69 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1746 | 40 | 40.07 | -0.07 | 53.4% | 12 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 69 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1711 | 30 | 36.42 | -6.42 | 20.3% | 11 | 25 | 32 | 36 | 41 | 48 | 68 |
| SC Freiburg | 1638 | 18 | 32.45 | -14.45 | 1.8% | 9 | 21 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 44 | 59 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | 1FN | AB | BL | BM | BD | BM | HS | H9 | HR | HB | M0 | SF | S0 | VS | VB | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | — |
1-0-1
2.70
|
2-0-0
2.68
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
0-0-2
1.48
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
1.54
|
| 1. FC Nurnberg |
1-0-1
2.86
|
— |
0-0-2
2.92
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
0-1-1
1.56
|
0-2-0
2.21
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
1-1-0
1.88
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
2-0-0
2.46
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
0-0-2
2.87
|
2-0-0
2.64
|
— |
1-0-1
1.82
|
1-0-1
1.55
|
1-1-0
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
0-2-0
3.23
|
1-0-1
2.17
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
0-0-2
1.75
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.65
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
1-0-1
3.76
|
— |
1-0-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
3.22
|
1-1-0
3.71
|
1-0-1
3.41
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
4.00
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
2.41
|
| Bayern Munich |
2-0-0
4.13
|
1-1-0
4.05
|
1-0-1
4.05
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
— |
1-1-0
3.31
|
1-0-1
4.02
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
2-0-0
3.70
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
0-2-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
2-0-0
4.23
|
0-0-2
3.40
|
1-1-0
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
2-0-0
2.66
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
1-0-1
3.36
|
0-2-0
3.36
|
0-1-1
3.40
|
2-0-0
2.35
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
— |
1-1-0
3.17
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
3.78
|
2-0-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
3.40
|
1-1-0
3.98
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-0-2
2.23
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-0-1
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
1-0-1
1.59
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
— |
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-0-2
2.67
|
0-2-0
3.13
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
0-2-0
2.88
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
1-0-1
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
1-0-1
1.78
|
| Hamburger SV |
1-0-1
3.04
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
— |
0-0-2
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
| Hannover 96 |
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
2-0-0
2.90
|
2-0-0
2.51
|
— |
1-0-1
3.13
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
0-2-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
0-0-2
1.89
|
| Hansa Rostock |
0-0-2
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-2-0
2.34
|
0-0-2
1.60
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-1-1
1.81
|
0-2-0
2.43
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
— |
1-1-0
1.56
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
0-2-0
3.06
|
1-1-0
1.95
|
1-0-1
1.43
|
2-0-0
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
0-0-2
1.76
|
| Hertha BSC |
1-1-0
3.26
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
1-0-1
3.41
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
0-2-0
2.10
|
0-0-2
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
0-1-1
4.04
|
— |
1-1-0
3.40
|
2-0-0
3.76
|
2-0-0
2.76
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-2-0
2.86
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
1-1-0
2.11
|
| Mainz 05 |
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
0-2-0
2.76
|
1-0-1
1.69
|
0-0-2
1.46
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
0-2-0
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
— |
2-0-0
3.01
|
1-0-1
2.04
|
0-0-2
1.76
|
2-0-0
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
1-1-0
1.62
|
| SC Freiburg |
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.42
|
0-0-2
1.38
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-2-0
2.14
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
0-0-2
1.85
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
— |
0-1-1
1.33
|
1-0-1
1.34
|
0-1-1
2.09
|
2-0-0
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.17
|
| Schalke 04 |
1-0-1
3.42
|
2-0-0
3.40
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
2-0-0
2.17
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
0-1-1
3.62
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
1-0-1
3.53
|
1-1-0
4.29
|
— |
1-0-1
2.38
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-1-0
3.71
|
0-1-1
3.70
|
2-0-0
3.83
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.24
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
1-0-1
3.40
|
1-1-0
3.44
|
1-0-1
4.18
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
1-0-1
4.30
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
— |
1-0-1
3.75
|
0-1-1
3.68
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
| VfL Bochum |
1-1-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
3.29
|
0-2-0
2.69
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
1-0-1
1.82
|
— |
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-0-2
2.05
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-0-2
3.10
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.09
|
0-0-2
1.86
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
2-0-0
3.07
|
0-0-2
3.56
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-1-0
1.90
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
— |
1-0-1
1.90
|
| Werder Bremen |
1-1-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
3.96
|
1-0-1
3.95
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
0-0-2
2.90
|
1-0-1
3.51
|
1-0-1
3.81
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
2-0-0
3.69
|
2-0-0
3.85
|
0-1-1
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.99
|
2-0-0
4.49
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
1-0-1
3.68
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.71 | +9.1 |
| Allowed | 0.72 | -9.6 |
| Differential | 0.91 | +5.9 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 7.03% | 6.21% | 4.08% | 1.31% | 0.98% | 25.49% |
| 1 | 7.03% | 9.15% | 8.50% | 4.74% | 1.47% | 0.33% | 31.21% |
| 2 | 6.21% | 8.50% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 0.98% | 0.33% | 24.35% |
| 3 | 4.08% | 4.74% | 2.78% | 0.65% | 0.49% | 0.16% | 12.91% |
| 4 | 1.31% | 1.47% | 0.98% | 0.49% | — | — | 4.25% |
| 5+ | 0.98% | 0.33% | 0.33% | 0.16% | — | — | 1.80% |
| Total | 25.49% | 31.21% | 24.35% | 12.91% | 4.25% | 1.80% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.45 | 1.45 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.53 | -0.26 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.19 | 1.60 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 14.71% | 35.29% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.85 | -0.24 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.48 | 1.79 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 38.24% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.44 | -0.35 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.19 | 1.59 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 14.71% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.91 | 1.29 | +0.62 |
| SD | 1.46 | 1.00 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 17.65% | — | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 41.18% | 32.35% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.21 | 0.97 | +1.24 |
| SD | 1.43 | 1.06 | 1.72 |
| CV | 0.65 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 38.24% | 38.24% | — | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.29 | +0.09 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.52 |
| CV | 0.78 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 26.47% | 23.53% | 14.71% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.50 | -0.47 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.46 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 17.65% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.47 | +0.15 |
| SD | 1.48 | 1.05 | 2.03 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 44.12% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 35.29% | 41.18% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.06 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.74 |
| CV | 1.07 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.91 | 1.91 | -1.00 |
| SD | 0.87 | 1.46 | 1.92 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 32.35% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.74 | 0.91 | +0.82 |
| SD | 1.48 | 0.79 | 1.59 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 17.65% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.62 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.42 | 1.23 | 1.86 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 35.29% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 2.21 | -1.32 |
| SD | 0.73 | 1.53 | 1.70 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.69 | — |
| Max | 2 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.65 | 1.35 | +0.29 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.10 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 41.18% | 14.71% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.59 | 1.18 | +0.41 |
| SD | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.99 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 11.76% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 2.00 | -0.62 |
| SD | 1.13 | 1.46 | 2.02 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 11.76% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.50 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.35 | 1.38 | 2.20 |
| CV | 0.94 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 41.18% | 29.41% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.09 | +0.91 |
| SD | 1.48 | 0.83 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.74 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 77 | 62.56 | +14.44 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 63 | 52.70 | +10.30 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 58 | 51.57 | +6.43 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 55 | 50.28 | +4.72 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 51 | 47.52 | +3.48 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 18 | 32.45 | -14.45 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 35 | 44.96 | -9.96 |
| 3 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 36.42 | -6.42 |
| 4 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 36 | 41.44 | -5.44 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 38 | 42.02 | -4.02 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 6 | Oct 3 – Nov 7 | 1 in 478 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | Aug 29 – Oct 2 | 1 in 121 |
| 3 | Hannover 96 | 5 | Oct 2 – Oct 30 | 1 in 105 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 9 | Mar 19 – May 21 | 1 in 88 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | Mar 5 – Apr 9 | 1 in 44 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz 05 | 7 | Nov 27 – Feb 13 | 1 in 130 |
| 2 | SC Freiburg | 7 | Oct 27 – Dec 4 | 1 in 113 |
| 3 | Hansa Rostock | 5 | Oct 23 – Nov 14 | 1 in 63 |
| 4 | VfL Bochum | 4 | Sep 25 – Oct 23 | 1 in 60 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | Jan 22 – Feb 12 | 1 in 51 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | Oct 30 – Feb 12 | 1 in 171 |
| 2 | Mainz 05 | 7 | Aug 14 – Oct 16 | 1 in 72 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | Nov 27 – Feb 12 | 1 in 70 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | Mar 19 – May 21 | 1 in 70 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | Apr 16 – May 14 | 1 in 29 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hansa Rostock | 15 | Oct 23 – Feb 26 | 1 in 189 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | Aug 29 – Oct 23 | 1 in 65 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 15 | Feb 6 – May 21 | 1 in 32 |
| 4 | VfL Bochum | 6 | Sep 11 – Oct 23 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 6 | Feb 5 – Mar 12 | 1 in 26 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 33.03% | 22.23% | 15.02% | 10.58% | 6.67% | 4.63% | 3.03% | 1.91% | 1.14% | 0.70% | 0.40% | 0.30% | 0.20% | 0.12% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — |
| Schalke 04 | 3.71% | 6.38% | 8.97% | 10.98% | 11.76% | 11.36% | 10.40% | 8.19% | 6.81% | 5.72% | 4.59% | 4.00% | 2.62% | 1.91% | 1.20% | 0.87% | 0.32% | 0.21% |
| Werder Bremen | 28.73% | 22.63% | 16.36% | 11.17% | 7.41% | 4.77% | 3.41% | 1.85% | 1.41% | 1.04% | 0.56% | 0.32% | 0.18% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.02% | — |
| Hertha BSC | 2.64% | 5.61% | 8.27% | 10.04% | 10.94% | 11.47% | 9.76% | 9.31% | 7.32% | 6.93% | 4.99% | 3.78% | 2.97% | 2.33% | 1.57% | 1.23% | 0.59% | 0.25% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15.64% | 17.49% | 17.30% | 14.09% | 10.56% | 7.52% | 5.75% | 3.99% | 2.82% | 1.63% | 1.35% | 0.73% | 0.42% | 0.36% | 0.23% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.04% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 12.18% | 15.34% | 15.61% | 13.81% | 11.74% | 9.08% | 6.70% | 4.95% | 3.37% | 2.54% | 1.75% | 1.13% | 0.72% | 0.52% | 0.35% | 0.13% | 0.05% | 0.03% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.61% | 3.82% | 5.88% | 7.96% | 9.65% | 11.17% | 10.19% | 9.91% | 8.84% | 7.37% | 5.94% | 5.04% | 4.05% | 3.23% | 2.31% | 1.62% | 1.04% | 0.37% |
| Hamburger SV | 0.77% | 2.09% | 3.49% | 5.34% | 6.76% | 8.15% | 9.33% | 10.09% | 8.72% | 8.66% | 7.56% | 7.13% | 6.37% | 5.56% | 3.80% | 2.86% | 2.27% | 1.05% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 0.58% | 1.39% | 2.77% | 4.12% | 5.74% | 6.71% | 8.39% | 8.54% | 8.99% | 9.32% | 8.88% | 7.76% | 6.78% | 6.31% | 5.28% | 3.89% | 3.01% | 1.54% |
| Hannover 96 | 0.43% | 0.87% | 1.73% | 3.62% | 4.68% | 6.31% | 7.33% | 8.06% | 8.72% | 8.96% | 9.32% | 8.79% | 7.87% | 7.37% | 5.52% | 4.76% | 3.72% | 1.94% |
| Mainz 05 | 0.04% | 0.22% | 0.36% | 0.76% | 1.21% | 2.09% | 2.94% | 3.66% | 5.05% | 6.30% | 7.50% | 8.26% | 9.28% | 9.57% | 11.02% | 11.79% | 11.24% | 8.71% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.06% | 0.19% | 0.51% | 1.04% | 1.93% | 2.37% | 3.46% | 4.58% | 5.57% | 6.69% | 7.87% | 8.67% | 9.42% | 9.54% | 10.74% | 10.79% | 9.69% | 6.88% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.03% | 0.19% | 0.35% | 0.83% | 1.47% | 1.89% | 3.23% | 4.25% | 5.53% | 6.02% | 7.05% | 8.58% | 9.48% | 10.32% | 10.82% | 11.28% | 10.95% | 7.73% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 0.14% | 0.33% | 0.73% | 1.33% | 2.41% | 3.55% | 4.59% | 5.45% | 6.68% | 7.71% | 8.27% | 9.46% | 9.01% | 9.71% | 9.84% | 9.16% | 7.07% | 4.56% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 0.09% | 0.22% | 0.61% | 1.20% | 2.23% | 2.85% | 3.38% | 5.20% | 6.46% | 7.15% | 8.10% | 9.26% | 9.91% | 9.59% | 9.78% | 9.16% | 8.85% | 5.96% |
| VfL Bochum | 0.31% | 0.98% | 1.91% | 2.91% | 4.34% | 4.95% | 6.60% | 7.65% | 8.58% | 8.57% | 9.03% | 8.60% | 8.82% | 7.90% | 6.96% | 5.56% | 4.00% | 2.33% |
| Hansa Rostock | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.18% | 0.40% | 0.85% | 1.18% | 1.70% | 2.77% | 3.28% | 4.61% | 5.58% | 7.70% | 9.71% | 11.67% | 14.49% | 17.73% | 18.02% |
| SC Freiburg | — | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.28% | 0.33% | 0.71% | 1.22% | 1.41% | 2.23% | 2.61% | 4.20% | 5.86% | 8.85% | 12.32% | 19.43% | 40.38% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.93 * Some Luck: 5.93 to 8.89 * Lucky: 8.89 to 11.85 * Wild Swing: 11.85 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.23 * Close: 2.23 to 3.34 * Off: 3.34 to 4.46 * Way Off: 4.46 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.46 * A Surprise: 1.46 to 2.33 * Several Surprises: 2.33 to 3.21 * Many Surprises: 3.21 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 99.98% | 0.02% |
| Werder Bremen | 99.97% | 0.03% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 99.88% | 0.12% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.79% | 0.21% |
| Schalke 04 | 98.60% | 1.40% |
| Hertha BSC | 97.93% | 2.07% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 96.97% | 3.03% |
| Hamburger SV | 93.82% | 6.18% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 91.56% | 8.44% |
| Hannover 96 | 89.58% | 10.42% |
| VfL Bochum | 88.11% | 11.89% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 79.21% | 20.79% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 76.03% | 23.97% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 72.64% | 27.36% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 70.04% | 29.96% |
| Mainz 05 | 68.26% | 31.74% |
| Hansa Rostock | 49.76% | 50.24% |
| SC Freiburg | 27.87% | 72.13% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-08-06 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1910 | 1849 | 55.5% | 21.2% | 23.3% | +4.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-06 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1910 | 23.3% | 21.2% | 55.5% | -4.2 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1784 | 1779 | 48.5% | 22.1% | 29.3% | -12.7 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1779 | 1784 | 29.3% | 22.1% | 48.5% | +12.7 | 3 |
| 2004-08-07 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1812 | 1912 | 33.9% | 22.4% | 43.6% | -11.0 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1912 | 1812 | 43.6% | 22.4% | 33.9% | +11.0 | 3 |
| 2004-08-07 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1802 | 60.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | +3.3 | 3 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1908 | 19.2% | 20.2% | 60.6% | -3.3 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1769 | 1821 | 40.7% | 22.5% | 36.8% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1821 | 1769 | 36.8% | 22.5% | 40.7% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-07 | VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1868 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.3% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1813 | 37.3% | 22.5% | 40.2% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1865 | 1814 | 54.4% | 21.4% | 24.2% | -8.1 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1865 | 24.2% | 21.4% | 54.4% | +8.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-08 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1768 | 1812 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 35.6% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1812 | 1768 | 35.6% | 22.5% | 41.9% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | Mainz 05 | W 4-2 | 1905 | 1769 | 63.7% | 19.5% | 16.8% | +4.5 | 3 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 2-4 | 1769 | 1905 | 16.8% | 19.5% | 63.7% | -4.5 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1845 | 1772 | 57.0% | 21.0% | 22.0% | +3.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1772 | 1845 | 22.0% | 21.0% | 57.0% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1812 | 1857 | 41.6% | 22.5% | 35.9% | -6.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-2 | 1857 | 1812 | 35.9% | 22.5% | 41.6% | +6.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1765 | 1801 | 42.9% | 22.4% | 34.6% | +5.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1801 | 1765 | 34.6% | 22.4% | 42.9% | -5.6 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1923 | 1813 | 61.1% | 20.1% | 18.8% | -1.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1923 | 18.8% | 20.1% | 61.1% | +1.6 | 2 |
| 2004-08-14 | VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1909 | 31.7% | 22.3% | 46.0% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1792 | 46.0% | 22.3% | 31.7% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2004-08-14 | Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1821 | 1914 | 34.8% | 22.5% | 42.7% | -21.3 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 4-0 | 1914 | 1821 | 42.7% | 22.5% | 34.8% | +21.3 | 6 |
| 2004-08-15 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1911 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 35.6% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1911 | 1868 | 35.6% | 22.5% | 41.9% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-15 | SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1769 | 54.6% | 21.4% | 24.0% | -8.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1769 | 1822 | 24.0% | 21.4% | 54.6% | +8.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-3 | 1795 | 1792 | 48.2% | 22.1% | 29.6% | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Hamburger SV | L 3-4 | 1792 | 1795 | 29.6% | 22.1% | 48.2% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Bayern Munich | W 4-1 | 1911 | 1921 | 46.5% | 22.3% | 31.3% | +12.6 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1921 | 1911 | 31.3% | 22.3% | 46.5% | -12.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1777 | 1806 | 44.0% | 22.4% | 33.6% | -0.4 | 5 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1806 | 1777 | 33.6% | 22.4% | 44.0% | +0.4 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1799 | 54.2% | 21.4% | 24.4% | -16.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1799 | 1849 | 24.4% | 21.4% | 54.2% | +16.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1814 | 1770 | 53.5% | 21.6% | 25.0% | -1.0 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1814 | 25.0% | 21.6% | 53.5% | +1.0 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1768 | 1909 | 28.8% | 22.1% | 49.1% | -4.6 | 0 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-2 | 1909 | 1768 | 49.1% | 22.1% | 28.8% | +4.6 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1768 | 1868 | 34.0% | 22.4% | 43.6% | -5.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1868 | 1768 | 43.6% | 22.4% | 34.0% | +5.5 | 5 |
| 2004-08-29 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1799 | 55.9% | 21.2% | 22.9% | -1.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1799 | 1863 | 22.9% | 21.2% | 55.9% | +1.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-29 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1813 | 62.4% | 19.8% | 17.8% | -9.1 | 6 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1813 | 1936 | 17.8% | 19.8% | 62.4% | +9.1 | 6 |
| 2004-09-11 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1762 | 64.8% | 19.1% | 16.1% | +3.0 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1762 | 1909 | 16.1% | 19.1% | 64.8% | -3.0 | 1 |
| 2004-09-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1771 | 1924 | 27.4% | 21.9% | 50.7% | +15.2 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1771 | 50.7% | 21.9% | 27.4% | -15.2 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1862 | 49.3% | 22.0% | 28.6% | -0.5 | 6 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1862 | 1873 | 28.6% | 22.0% | 49.3% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-09-11 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1800 | 61.4% | 20.1% | 18.5% | +6.4 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1800 | 1913 | 18.5% | 20.1% | 61.4% | -6.4 | 3 |
| 2004-09-11 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1788 | 1813 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | -0.4 | 5 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1788 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1822 | 1833 | 46.4% | 22.3% | 31.3% | +15.0 | 9 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1833 | 1822 | 31.3% | 22.3% | 46.4% | -15.0 | 3 |
| 2004-09-11 | Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1806 | 1927 | 31.3% | 22.3% | 46.5% | +12.3 | 5 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1927 | 1806 | 46.5% | 22.3% | 31.3% | -12.3 | 6 |
| 2004-09-12 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-3 | 1816 | 1763 | 54.5% | 21.4% | 24.1% | -7.7 | 4 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-2 | 1763 | 1816 | 24.1% | 21.4% | 54.5% | +7.7 | 3 |
| 2004-09-12 | SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1800 | 1777 | 50.8% | 21.9% | 27.3% | -0.6 | 2 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1777 | 1800 | 27.3% | 21.9% | 50.8% | +0.6 | 6 |
| 2004-09-18 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1909 | 1787 | 62.3% | 19.8% | 17.9% | -1.2 | 8 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1787 | 1909 | 17.9% | 19.8% | 62.3% | +1.2 | 6 |
| 2004-09-18 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1863 | 1912 | 41.1% | 22.5% | 36.4% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1863 | 36.4% | 22.5% | 41.1% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 2004-09-18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-2 | 1818 | 1818 | 47.8% | 22.2% | 30.0% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1818 | 1818 | 30.0% | 22.2% | 47.8% | -4.7 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1771 | 1793 | 44.8% | 22.4% | 32.8% | +5.4 | 6 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1771 | 32.8% | 22.4% | 44.8% | -5.4 | 3 |
| 2004-09-18 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1914 | 1799 | 61.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | +9.3 | 9 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1799 | 1914 | 18.4% | 20.0% | 61.6% | -9.3 | 2 |
| 2004-09-18 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1787 | 44.2% | 22.4% | 33.4% | -0.4 | 2 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1787 | 1759 | 33.4% | 22.4% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2004-09-18 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1808 | 1837 | 43.8% | 22.4% | 33.8% | -6.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1808 | 33.8% | 22.4% | 43.8% | +6.8 | 12 |
| 2004-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1814 | 1920 | 33.1% | 22.4% | 44.5% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1920 | 1814 | 44.5% | 22.4% | 33.1% | -0.4 | 11 |
| 2004-09-19 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1778 | 1873 | 34.6% | 22.4% | 42.9% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1778 | 42.9% | 22.4% | 34.6% | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1844 | 1776 | 56.3% | 21.1% | 22.6% | +3.9 | 15 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1776 | 1844 | 22.6% | 21.1% | 56.3% | -3.9 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1788 | 1759 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.6% | -7.8 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1759 | 1788 | 26.6% | 21.8% | 51.7% | +7.8 | 5 |
| 2004-09-25 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 1919 | 1907 | 49.4% | 22.0% | 28.6% | +13.9 | 14 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1907 | 1919 | 28.6% | 22.0% | 49.4% | -13.9 | 8 |
| 2004-09-25 | SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1912 | 1778 | 63.5% | 19.5% | 17.0% | +5.1 | 11 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1778 | 1912 | 17.0% | 19.5% | 63.5% | -5.1 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1814 | 1801 | 49.5% | 22.0% | 28.5% | -0.5 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1801 | 1814 | 28.5% | 22.0% | 49.5% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-09-25 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1790 | 1823 | 43.4% | 22.4% | 34.1% | +5.9 | 5 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1790 | 34.1% | 22.4% | 43.4% | -5.9 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1872 | 1924 | 40.8% | 22.5% | 36.7% | -15.6 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ VfL Bochum | W 4-1 | 1924 | 1872 | 36.7% | 22.5% | 40.8% | +15.6 | 12 |
| 2004-09-26 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1787 | 1862 | 37.3% | 22.5% | 40.2% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1862 | 1787 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.3% | -0.1 | 7 |
| 2004-09-26 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1788 | 1814 | 44.3% | 22.4% | 33.3% | +5.4 | 6 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1788 | 33.3% | 22.4% | 44.3% | -5.4 | 5 |
| 2004-09-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1767 | 51.6% | 21.8% | 26.6% | -8.2 | 5 |
| 2004-09-28 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1767 | 1796 | 26.6% | 21.8% | 51.6% | +8.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1862 | 1781 | 57.9% | 20.8% | 21.3% | -1.0 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1781 | 1862 | 21.3% | 20.8% | 57.9% | +1.0 | 7 |
| 2004-10-02 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1939 | 1917 | 50.7% | 21.9% | 27.4% | -7.6 | 12 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1917 | 1939 | 27.4% | 21.9% | 50.7% | +7.6 | 14 |
| 2004-10-02 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1848 | 1813 | 52.4% | 21.7% | 25.9% | +4.4 | 18 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1813 | 1848 | 25.9% | 21.7% | 52.4% | -4.4 | 6 |
| 2004-10-02 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1893 | 1793 | 60.0% | 20.4% | 19.7% | +9.9 | 11 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1793 | 1893 | 19.7% | 20.4% | 60.0% | -9.9 | 6 |
| 2004-10-02 | Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1802 | 1788 | 49.7% | 22.0% | 28.3% | -13.0 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1788 | 1802 | 28.3% | 22.0% | 49.7% | +13.0 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1772 | 1809 | 42.9% | 22.5% | 34.7% | -13.3 | 6 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1809 | 1772 | 34.7% | 22.5% | 42.9% | +13.3 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1773 | 1787 | 46.0% | 22.3% | 31.8% | -7.0 | 7 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1787 | 1773 | 31.8% | 22.3% | 46.0% | +7.0 | 12 |
| 2004-10-03 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1775 | 1933 | 26.8% | 21.8% | 51.4% | -9.0 | 8 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1933 | 1775 | 51.4% | 21.8% | 26.8% | +9.1 | 17 |
| 2004-10-03 | VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1817 | 1857 | 42.3% | 22.5% | 35.2% | +5.4 | 9 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1857 | 1817 | 35.2% | 22.5% | 42.3% | -5.4 | 7 |
| 2004-10-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1784 | 1766 | 50.1% | 22.0% | 27.9% | -15.1 | 6 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1766 | 1784 | 27.9% | 22.0% | 50.1% | +15.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-1 | 1822 | 1903 | 36.5% | 22.5% | 41.0% | +11.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1903 | 1822 | 41.0% | 22.5% | 36.5% | -11.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1942 | 1861 | 57.8% | 20.8% | 21.3% | +7.4 | 20 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1861 | 1942 | 21.3% | 20.8% | 57.8% | -7.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | SC Freiburg | W 3-0 | 1782 | 1766 | 49.9% | 22.0% | 28.1% | +13.7 | 10 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1766 | 1782 | 28.1% | 22.0% | 49.9% | -13.7 | 7 |
| 2004-10-16 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1852 | 1789 | 55.8% | 21.2% | 23.1% | -8.8 | 7 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1789 | 1852 | 23.1% | 21.2% | 55.8% | +8.8 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1925 | 1822 | 60.2% | 20.3% | 19.4% | -9.4 | 14 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1822 | 1925 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 60.2% | +9.4 | 12 |
| 2004-10-16 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1794 | 1932 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | +7.4 | 15 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1932 | 1794 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | -7.4 | 12 |
| 2004-10-17 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1809 | 1759 | 54.1% | 21.5% | 24.4% | +8.3 | 9 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1759 | 1809 | 24.4% | 21.5% | 54.1% | -8.3 | 6 |
| 2004-10-17 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1801 | 1852 | 40.7% | 22.5% | 36.8% | +17.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1852 | 1801 | 36.8% | 22.5% | 40.7% | -17.1 | 18 |
| 2004-10-23 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-1 | 1924 | 1795 | 63.0% | 19.6% | 17.3% | +7.4 | 15 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1795 | 1924 | 17.3% | 19.6% | 63.0% | -7.4 | 10 |
| 2004-10-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1751 | 1892 | 28.7% | 22.1% | 49.2% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1892 | 1751 | 49.2% | 22.1% | 28.7% | -0.8 | 12 |
| 2004-10-23 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1797 | 1915 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | -10.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1915 | 1797 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | +10.4 | 17 |
| 2004-10-23 | Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1854 | 1768 | 58.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | -17.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1854 | 20.9% | 20.7% | 58.4% | +17.2 | 9 |
| 2004-10-23 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1818 | 47.7% | 22.2% | 30.1% | -14.5 | 9 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1818 | 1817 | 30.1% | 22.2% | 47.7% | +14.5 | 14 |
| 2004-10-23 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1781 | 1833 | 40.7% | 22.5% | 36.8% | +6.2 | 14 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1781 | 36.8% | 22.5% | 40.7% | -6.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-23 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1835 | 1843 | 46.9% | 22.2% | 30.9% | +14.8 | 21 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1843 | 1835 | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.9% | -14.8 | 7 |
| 2004-10-24 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1831 | 1801 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | +4.5 | 15 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1801 | 1831 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | -4.5 | 15 |
| 2004-10-24 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1752 | 1950 | 22.7% | 21.1% | 56.2% | +16.7 | 10 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1950 | 1752 | 56.2% | 21.1% | 22.7% | -16.7 | 20 |
| 2004-10-26 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1832 | 1752 | 57.8% | 20.8% | 21.3% | +6.4 | 17 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1752 | 1832 | 21.3% | 20.8% | 57.8% | -6.4 | 7 |
| 2004-10-26 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1837 | 46.5% | 22.3% | 31.2% | -7.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1837 | 1827 | 31.2% | 22.3% | 46.5% | +7.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-26 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1828 | 1802 | 51.2% | 21.9% | 27.0% | +13.2 | 10 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1802 | 1828 | 27.0% | 21.9% | 51.2% | -13.2 | 9 |
| 2004-10-26 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1926 | 1850 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 21.8% | +7.5 | 20 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1850 | 1926 | 21.8% | 20.9% | 57.2% | -7.5 | 21 |
| 2004-10-27 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1891 | 1787 | 60.4% | 20.3% | 19.3% | +3.2 | 15 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1787 | 1891 | 19.3% | 20.3% | 60.4% | -3.2 | 14 |
| 2004-10-27 | SC Freiburg | W 4-0 | 1786 | 1769 | 50.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | +17.8 | 12 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-4 | 1769 | 1786 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 50.0% | -17.8 | 10 |
| 2004-10-27 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1797 | 1787 | 49.1% | 22.1% | 28.8% | +8.3 | 18 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1787 | 1797 | 28.8% | 22.1% | 49.1% | -8.3 | 8 |
| 2004-10-27 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1788 | 1836 | 41.2% | 22.5% | 36.2% | -12.9 | 10 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1836 | 1788 | 36.2% | 22.5% | 41.2% | +12.8 | 18 |
| 2004-10-27 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1933 | 1932 | 48.0% | 22.2% | 29.8% | -7.3 | 20 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1932 | 1933 | 29.8% | 22.2% | 48.0% | +7.3 | 18 |
| 2004-10-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1844 | 1895 | 40.9% | 22.5% | 36.6% | +6.2 | 14 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1895 | 1844 | 36.6% | 22.5% | 40.9% | -6.2 | 15 |
| 2004-10-30 | Bayern Munich | W 2-0 | 1789 | 1933 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.5% | +15.0 | 12 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1933 | 1789 | 49.5% | 22.0% | 28.4% | -15.0 | 20 |
| 2004-10-30 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1804 | 63.7% | 19.5% | 16.9% | -1.8 | 19 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1939 | 16.9% | 19.5% | 63.7% | +1.8 | 13 |
| 2004-10-30 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1751 | 1819 | 38.3% | 22.5% | 39.1% | -10.5 | 10 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1819 | 1751 | 39.1% | 22.5% | 38.3% | +10.5 | 14 |
| 2004-10-30 | Mainz 05 | W 4-3 | 1843 | 1805 | 52.7% | 21.7% | 25.7% | +4.0 | 24 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 3-4 | 1805 | 1843 | 25.7% | 21.7% | 52.7% | -4.0 | 18 |
| 2004-10-30 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-2 | 1849 | 1926 | 37.1% | 22.5% | 40.4% | +6.0 | 21 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1926 | 1849 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.1% | -6.0 | 20 |
| 2004-10-30 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1839 | 1841 | 47.5% | 22.2% | 30.3% | +14.6 | 20 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1839 | 30.3% | 22.2% | 47.5% | -14.6 | 10 |
| 2004-10-31 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1779 | 1775 | 48.3% | 22.1% | 29.6% | -14.6 | 8 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1775 | 1779 | 29.6% | 22.1% | 48.3% | +14.6 | 13 |
| 2004-10-31 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1745 | 1784 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | +5.6 | 10 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1784 | 1745 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | -5.6 | 14 |
| 2004-11-06 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1751 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 21.8% | -1.3 | 11 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1827 | 21.8% | 20.9% | 57.2% | +1.3 | 11 |
| 2004-11-06 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1778 | 1850 | 37.8% | 22.5% | 39.7% | +6.6 | 17 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1778 | 39.7% | 22.5% | 37.8% | -6.6 | 14 |
| 2004-11-06 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1801 | 1804 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.3% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1801 | 30.3% | 22.2% | 47.4% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2004-11-06 | SC Freiburg | W 4-1 | 1888 | 1741 | 64.9% | 19.1% | 16.0% | +6.8 | 18 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1741 | 1888 | 16.0% | 19.1% | 64.9% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2004-11-06 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1918 | 1853 | 56.0% | 21.2% | 22.9% | +11.4 | 23 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1853 | 1918 | 22.9% | 21.2% | 56.0% | -11.4 | 20 |
| 2004-11-06 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 4-0 | 1790 | 1847 | 40.0% | 22.5% | 37.5% | +22.7 | 16 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-4 | 1847 | 1790 | 37.5% | 22.5% | 40.0% | -22.6 | 24 |
| 2004-11-06 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1937 | 33.0% | 22.4% | 44.6% | +0.4 | 15 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1830 | 44.6% | 22.4% | 33.0% | -0.4 | 20 |
| 2004-11-07 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-0 | 1920 | 1764 | 65.7% | 18.9% | 15.4% | +10.2 | 23 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-4 | 1764 | 1920 | 15.4% | 18.9% | 65.7% | -10.2 | 8 |
| 2004-11-07 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1805 | 1855 | 41.0% | 22.5% | 36.5% | -6.4 | 13 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1855 | 1805 | 36.5% | 22.5% | 41.0% | +6.4 | 24 |
| 2004-11-13 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1812 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 30.9% | +5.1 | 16 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-2 | 1812 | 1805 | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.8% | -5.1 | 16 |
| 2004-11-13 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-3 | 1734 | 1785 | 40.8% | 22.5% | 36.7% | -6.0 | 10 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 1785 | 1734 | 36.7% | 22.5% | 40.8% | +6.0 | 20 |
| 2004-11-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1937 | 1895 | 53.2% | 21.6% | 25.2% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1895 | 1937 | 25.2% | 21.6% | 53.2% | +0.8 | 19 |
| 2004-11-13 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1752 | 1844 | 35.1% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +7.0 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1752 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.1% | -7.0 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1861 | 1830 | 51.9% | 21.8% | 26.4% | -13.5 | 24 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1861 | 26.4% | 21.8% | 51.9% | +13.5 | 18 |
| 2004-11-13 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1842 | 1801 | 53.1% | 21.6% | 25.3% | +8.6 | 23 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1801 | 1842 | 25.3% | 21.6% | 53.1% | -8.6 | 19 |
| 2004-11-13 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1824 | 1930 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | +19.8 | 27 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1930 | 1824 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | -19.8 | 23 |
| 2004-11-14 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1825 | 1930 | 33.4% | 22.4% | 44.2% | -9.4 | 11 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1930 | 1825 | 44.2% | 22.4% | 33.4% | +9.4 | 26 |
| 2004-11-14 | Hamburger SV | L 0-6 | 1754 | 1799 | 41.7% | 22.5% | 35.9% | -36.0 | 8 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 6-0 | 1799 | 1754 | 35.9% | 22.5% | 41.7% | +36.0 | 16 |
| 2004-11-20 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1939 | 1759 | 68.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | +4.2 | 29 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1759 | 1939 | 13.9% | 18.2% | 68.0% | -4.2 | 14 |
| 2004-11-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1910 | 1810 | 60.0% | 20.4% | 19.6% | +3.6 | 26 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1810 | 1910 | 19.6% | 20.4% | 60.0% | -3.6 | 16 |
| 2004-11-20 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 1837 | 1728 | 61.0% | 20.2% | 18.9% | +6.6 | 17 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1728 | 1837 | 18.9% | 20.2% | 61.0% | -6.5 | 10 |
| 2004-11-20 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1718 | 62.7% | 19.7% | 17.6% | -1.7 | 19 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1718 | 1844 | 17.6% | 19.7% | 62.7% | +1.7 | 9 |
| 2004-11-20 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1896 | 1848 | 54.0% | 21.5% | 24.5% | -23.4 | 19 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 1848 | 1896 | 24.5% | 21.5% | 54.0% | +23.4 | 27 |
| 2004-11-20 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1792 | 1816 | 44.6% | 22.4% | 33.0% | +5.7 | 22 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1816 | 1792 | 33.0% | 22.4% | 44.6% | -5.7 | 11 |
| 2004-11-20 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1791 | 1936 | 28.3% | 22.0% | 49.7% | +7.5 | 23 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1791 | 49.7% | 22.0% | 28.3% | -7.5 | 21 |
| 2004-11-21 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1851 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 35.6% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1851 | 1807 | 35.6% | 22.5% | 41.9% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2004-11-21 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1835 | 1844 | 46.6% | 22.3% | 31.1% | +8.9 | 19 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1835 | 31.1% | 22.3% | 46.6% | -8.9 | 27 |
| 2004-11-27 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1810 | 1807 | 48.2% | 22.1% | 29.6% | +8.5 | 14 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1807 | 1810 | 29.6% | 22.1% | 48.2% | -8.5 | 17 |
| 2004-11-27 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1720 | 1873 | 27.4% | 21.9% | 50.7% | -9.2 | 9 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1873 | 1720 | 50.7% | 21.9% | 27.4% | +9.2 | 22 |
| 2004-11-27 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1928 | 1843 | 58.3% | 20.7% | 21.0% | +7.2 | 24 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1843 | 1928 | 21.0% | 20.7% | 58.3% | -7.2 | 17 |
| 2004-11-27 | SC Freiburg | W 3-0 | 1755 | 1721 | 52.2% | 21.7% | 26.1% | +12.8 | 17 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-3 | 1721 | 1755 | 26.1% | 21.7% | 52.2% | -12.8 | 10 |
| 2004-11-27 | Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1806 | 1844 | 42.7% | 22.5% | 34.8% | -11.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1844 | 1806 | 34.8% | 22.5% | 42.7% | +11.5 | 22 |
| 2004-11-27 | Hertha BSC | L 2-3 | 1835 | 1842 | 46.9% | 22.2% | 30.9% | -6.8 | 27 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1842 | 1835 | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.9% | +6.8 | 22 |
| 2004-11-27 | Mainz 05 | W 4-2 | 1943 | 1798 | 64.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | +4.3 | 32 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Bayern Munich | L 2-4 | 1798 | 1943 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 64.7% | -4.3 | 22 |
| 2004-11-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1799 | 56.9% | 21.0% | 22.1% | +3.8 | 30 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1799 | 1871 | 22.1% | 21.0% | 56.9% | -3.8 | 23 |
| 2004-11-28 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1914 | 39.1% | 22.5% | 38.4% | -0.0 | 25 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1914 | 1851 | 38.4% | 22.5% | 39.1% | +0.0 | 27 |
| 2004-12-04 | Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1799 | 1948 | 27.9% | 21.9% | 50.2% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1948 | 1799 | 50.2% | 21.9% | 27.9% | -0.6 | 33 |
| 2004-12-04 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 6-0 | 1849 | 1795 | 54.7% | 21.4% | 23.9% | +22.8 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-6 | 1795 | 1849 | 23.9% | 21.4% | 54.7% | -22.8 | 16 |
| 2004-12-04 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1855 | 1851 | 48.4% | 22.1% | 29.4% | -14.7 | 22 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1851 | 1855 | 29.4% | 22.1% | 48.4% | +14.7 | 28 |
| 2004-12-04 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1795 | 1710 | 58.2% | 20.8% | 21.0% | -1.4 | 24 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1710 | 1795 | 21.0% | 20.8% | 58.2% | +1.4 | 10 |
| 2004-12-04 | VfL Bochum | W 5-2 | 1914 | 1819 | 59.4% | 20.5% | 20.1% | +7.4 | 30 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 2-5 | 1819 | 1914 | 20.1% | 20.5% | 59.4% | -7.4 | 14 |
| 2004-12-04 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1828 | 54.6% | 21.4% | 24.0% | +4.1 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1882 | 24.0% | 21.4% | 54.6% | -4.1 | 27 |
| 2004-12-04 | Werder Bremen | L 0-6 | 1708 | 1936 | 20.0% | 20.5% | 59.6% | -19.2 | 10 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ SC Freiburg | W 6-0 | 1936 | 1708 | 59.6% | 20.5% | 20.0% | +19.2 | 27 |
| 2004-12-05 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1768 | 1793 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | +10.8 | 20 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1793 | 1768 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | -10.8 | 22 |
| 2004-12-05 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1836 | 1875 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | -7.0 | 17 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1836 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +7.0 | 33 |
| 2004-12-11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1955 | 1779 | 67.7% | 18.3% | 14.1% | -2.0 | 28 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1779 | 1955 | 14.1% | 18.3% | 67.7% | +2.0 | 21 |
| 2004-12-11 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1783 | 1799 | 45.6% | 22.3% | 32.1% | -7.4 | 22 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1783 | 32.1% | 22.3% | 45.6% | +7.4 | 21 |
| 2004-12-11 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1712 | 1829 | 31.7% | 22.3% | 46.0% | +0.5 | 11 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1712 | 46.0% | 22.3% | 31.7% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2004-12-11 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1882 | 1689 | 69.2% | 17.8% | 13.1% | -2.1 | 34 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1689 | 1882 | 13.1% | 17.8% | 69.2% | +2.1 | 11 |
| 2004-12-11 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1841 | 43.9% | 22.4% | 33.7% | -6.8 | 14 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1841 | 1811 | 33.7% | 22.4% | 43.9% | +6.8 | 25 |
| 2004-12-11 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1865 | 1872 | 47.0% | 22.2% | 30.7% | -7.6 | 28 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1872 | 1865 | 30.7% | 22.2% | 47.0% | +7.6 | 28 |
| 2004-12-11 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1947 | 1921 | 51.2% | 21.8% | 26.9% | -0.7 | 34 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Bayern Munich | D 2-2 | 1921 | 1947 | 26.9% | 21.8% | 51.2% | +0.6 | 31 |
| 2004-12-12 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 5-0 | 1824 | 1793 | 51.8% | 21.8% | 26.4% | +20.9 | 30 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-5 | 1793 | 1824 | 26.4% | 21.8% | 51.8% | -20.9 | 24 |
| 2004-12-12 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1772 | 1886 | 32.1% | 22.3% | 45.5% | +0.5 | 17 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1772 | 45.5% | 22.3% | 32.1% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2005-01-21 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1946 | 1847 | 59.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | +9.9 | 37 |
| 2005-01-21 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1847 | 1946 | 19.7% | 20.4% | 59.9% | -9.9 | 25 |
| 2005-01-22 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1807 | 1781 | 51.2% | 21.8% | 26.9% | -13.3 | 21 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1781 | 1807 | 26.9% | 21.8% | 51.2% | +13.3 | 24 |
| 2005-01-22 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1773 | 1773 | 47.8% | 22.2% | 30.0% | +5.3 | 20 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1773 | 1773 | 30.0% | 22.2% | 47.8% | -5.3 | 24 |
| 2005-01-22 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1845 | 1829 | 50.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | -7.5 | 30 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1829 | 1845 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 50.0% | +7.5 | 21 |
| 2005-01-22 | SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1712 | 1691 | 50.6% | 21.9% | 27.5% | -0.9 | 12 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1691 | 1712 | 27.5% | 21.9% | 50.6% | +0.9 | 12 |
| 2005-01-22 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1775 | 1922 | 28.1% | 22.0% | 49.9% | -4.5 | 22 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-2 | 1922 | 1775 | 49.9% | 22.0% | 28.1% | +4.5 | 34 |
| 2005-01-22 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1880 | 1953 | 37.6% | 22.5% | 39.8% | +6.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1953 | 1880 | 39.8% | 22.5% | 37.6% | -6.2 | 28 |
| 2005-01-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1858 | 1885 | 44.1% | 22.4% | 33.5% | -19.7 | 28 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1885 | 1858 | 33.5% | 22.4% | 44.1% | +19.7 | 29 |
| 2005-01-23 | Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1805 | 1879 | 37.4% | 22.5% | 40.0% | +0.1 | 15 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1879 | 1805 | 40.0% | 22.5% | 37.4% | -0.1 | 29 |
| 2005-01-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-4 | 1926 | 1793 | 63.4% | 19.5% | 17.0% | -14.4 | 34 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 4-2 | 1793 | 1926 | 17.0% | 19.5% | 63.4% | +14.4 | 24 |
| 2005-01-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1836 | 1778 | 55.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | -1.2 | 22 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1778 | 1836 | 23.5% | 21.3% | 55.2% | +1.1 | 21 |
| 2005-01-29 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1767 | 1838 | 38.0% | 22.5% | 39.5% | -6.4 | 24 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1838 | 1767 | 39.5% | 22.5% | 38.0% | +6.4 | 31 |
| 2005-01-29 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1771 | 56.2% | 21.1% | 22.7% | +3.9 | 28 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1837 | 22.7% | 21.1% | 56.2% | -3.9 | 22 |
| 2005-01-29 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1794 | 1886 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +13.2 | 27 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1794 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | -13.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-29 | VfL Bochum | W 4-0 | 1905 | 1805 | 60.0% | 20.4% | 19.6% | +12.9 | 32 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-4 | 1805 | 1905 | 19.6% | 20.4% | 60.0% | -12.9 | 15 |
| 2005-01-29 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1692 | 1837 | 28.3% | 22.0% | 49.7% | +8.0 | 15 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1837 | 1692 | 49.7% | 22.0% | 28.3% | -8.0 | 30 |
| 2005-01-30 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1956 | 37.1% | 22.5% | 40.4% | +0.1 | 30 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1956 | 1879 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.1% | -0.1 | 38 |
| 2005-01-30 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-2 | 1947 | 1711 | 72.8% | 16.4% | 10.8% | +1.8 | 31 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-3 | 1711 | 1947 | 10.8% | 16.4% | 72.8% | -1.8 | 12 |
| 2005-02-05 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1912 | 1807 | 60.5% | 20.3% | 19.3% | -1.5 | 35 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1912 | 19.3% | 20.3% | 60.5% | +1.5 | 28 |
| 2005-02-05 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1761 | 51.8% | 21.8% | 26.4% | -0.9 | 16 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1761 | 1792 | 26.4% | 21.8% | 51.8% | +0.9 | 25 |
| 2005-02-05 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1956 | 1918 | 52.7% | 21.6% | 25.6% | +8.7 | 41 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1918 | 1956 | 25.6% | 21.6% | 52.7% | -8.7 | 32 |
| 2005-02-05 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1835 | 49.1% | 22.1% | 28.8% | -12.9 | 31 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1835 | 1844 | 28.8% | 22.1% | 49.1% | +12.9 | 25 |
| 2005-02-05 | Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1808 | 1841 | 43.3% | 22.4% | 34.3% | -11.6 | 24 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1841 | 1808 | 34.3% | 22.4% | 43.3% | +11.6 | 31 |
| 2005-02-05 | Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1767 | 1879 | 32.3% | 22.3% | 45.3% | -15.4 | 22 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 1879 | 1767 | 45.3% | 22.3% | 32.3% | +15.4 | 33 |
| 2005-02-05 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1710 | 1873 | 26.2% | 21.7% | 52.0% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1873 | 1710 | 52.0% | 21.7% | 26.2% | -0.7 | 38 |
| 2005-02-06 | SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 1779 | 1700 | 57.6% | 20.9% | 21.5% | +3.5 | 24 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-3 | 1700 | 1779 | 21.5% | 20.9% | 57.6% | -3.5 | 15 |
| 2005-02-06 | Werder Bremen | L 2-3 | 1829 | 1948 | 31.5% | 22.3% | 46.2% | -4.9 | 30 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1948 | 1829 | 46.2% | 22.3% | 31.5% | +4.9 | 34 |
| 2005-02-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1895 | 1796 | 59.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | +3.4 | 36 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1796 | 1895 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.8% | -3.4 | 24 |
| 2005-02-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1953 | 1782 | 67.1% | 18.4% | 14.4% | +5.0 | 37 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1782 | 1953 | 14.4% | 18.4% | 67.1% | -5.0 | 24 |
| 2005-02-12 | Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1697 | 1832 | 29.5% | 22.1% | 48.4% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ SC Freiburg | D 0-0 | 1832 | 1697 | 48.4% | 22.1% | 29.5% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2005-02-12 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1809 | 1710 | 59.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | +3.4 | 31 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1710 | 1809 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.8% | -3.4 | 13 |
| 2005-02-12 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1853 | 1910 | 39.9% | 22.5% | 37.6% | +6.0 | 34 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1853 | 37.6% | 22.5% | 39.9% | -6.0 | 35 |
| 2005-02-12 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1791 | 55.1% | 21.3% | 23.6% | +4.3 | 28 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1791 | 1848 | 23.6% | 21.3% | 55.1% | -4.3 | 16 |
| 2005-02-12 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1872 | 1825 | 53.9% | 21.5% | 24.6% | +12.2 | 41 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1825 | 1872 | 24.6% | 21.5% | 53.9% | -12.2 | 30 |
| 2005-02-13 | Bayern Munich | W 3-1 | 1762 | 1965 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 56.8% | +14.6 | 28 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1965 | 1762 | 56.8% | 21.0% | 22.2% | -14.6 | 41 |
| 2005-02-13 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1909 | 1751 | 65.9% | 18.8% | 15.3% | +5.3 | 35 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1751 | 1909 | 15.3% | 18.8% | 65.9% | -5.3 | 22 |
| 2005-02-19 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1812 | 53.8% | 21.5% | 24.7% | +4.2 | 37 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1812 | 1859 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 53.8% | -4.2 | 31 |
| 2005-02-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1746 | 1776 | 43.7% | 22.4% | 33.9% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1776 | 1746 | 33.9% | 22.4% | 43.7% | +0.4 | 29 |
| 2005-02-19 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-4 | 1793 | 1915 | 31.1% | 22.3% | 46.7% | -8.0 | 24 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-2 | 1915 | 1793 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.1% | +8.0 | 38 |
| 2005-02-19 | Borussia Dortmund | W 5-0 | 1950 | 1852 | 59.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | +16.1 | 44 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1852 | 1950 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.8% | -16.1 | 28 |
| 2005-02-19 | SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1786 | 1697 | 58.8% | 20.6% | 20.6% | +6.2 | 19 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1697 | 1786 | 20.6% | 20.6% | 58.8% | -6.2 | 16 |
| 2005-02-19 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-0 | 1812 | 1707 | 60.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | +12.6 | 33 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-4 | 1707 | 1812 | 19.2% | 20.2% | 60.6% | -12.6 | 13 |
| 2005-02-19 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1831 | 1958 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.4% | -12.3 | 32 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ Hannover 96 | W 4-1 | 1958 | 1831 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.4% | +12.4 | 40 |
| 2005-02-20 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1898 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | +5.2 | 38 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1898 | 1904 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | -5.2 | 36 |
| 2005-02-20 | Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1777 | 1884 | 33.0% | 22.4% | 44.6% | -9.3 | 24 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 1884 | 1777 | 44.6% | 22.4% | 33.0% | +9.3 | 44 |
| 2005-02-26 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1777 | 1785 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 31.0% | +8.9 | 32 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1785 | 1777 | 31.0% | 22.2% | 46.8% | -8.9 | 24 |
| 2005-02-26 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1691 | 1966 | 16.2% | 19.2% | 64.6% | -3.0 | 16 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 1966 | 1691 | 64.6% | 19.2% | 16.2% | +3.0 | 47 |
| 2005-02-26 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1694 | 1768 | 37.5% | 22.5% | 40.0% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1768 | 1694 | 40.0% | 22.5% | 37.5% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2005-02-26 | Hamburger SV | W 4-1 | 1893 | 1863 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | +11.0 | 39 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-4 | 1863 | 1893 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | -11.0 | 37 |
| 2005-02-26 | Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 1836 | 1746 | 58.9% | 20.6% | 20.5% | +10.3 | 31 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1746 | 1836 | 20.5% | 20.6% | 58.9% | -10.3 | 23 |
| 2005-02-26 | VfL Bochum | W 4-0 | 1971 | 1793 | 67.8% | 18.2% | 14.0% | +9.2 | 43 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1793 | 1971 | 14.0% | 18.2% | 67.8% | -9.2 | 19 |
| 2005-02-26 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1825 | 45.5% | 22.3% | 32.1% | -0.5 | 32 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1825 | 1808 | 32.1% | 22.3% | 45.5% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2005-02-27 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1819 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 21.9% | +4.0 | 47 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1819 | 1894 | 21.9% | 20.9% | 57.2% | -4.0 | 32 |
| 2005-02-27 | VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1923 | 1909 | 49.6% | 22.0% | 28.4% | -0.8 | 39 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1923 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.6% | +0.8 | 39 |
| 2005-03-05 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1786 | 62.6% | 19.8% | 17.7% | +3.1 | 42 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1786 | 1910 | 17.7% | 19.8% | 62.6% | -3.1 | 32 |
| 2005-03-05 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1852 | 1922 | 38.1% | 22.5% | 39.4% | +6.6 | 40 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1922 | 1852 | 39.4% | 22.5% | 38.1% | -6.6 | 39 |
| 2005-03-05 | SC Freiburg | W 5-0 | 1735 | 1688 | 53.9% | 21.5% | 24.6% | +19.6 | 26 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-5 | 1688 | 1735 | 24.6% | 21.5% | 53.9% | -19.7 | 16 |
| 2005-03-05 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1694 | 62.1% | 19.9% | 18.0% | -9.7 | 32 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1694 | 1815 | 18.0% | 19.9% | 62.1% | +9.7 | 17 |
| 2005-03-05 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1783 | 1898 | 32.1% | 22.3% | 45.6% | -10.5 | 19 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1898 | 1783 | 45.6% | 22.3% | 32.1% | +10.5 | 50 |
| 2005-03-05 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1768 | 1826 | 39.9% | 22.5% | 37.6% | +6.3 | 28 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1768 | 37.6% | 22.5% | 39.9% | -6.3 | 34 |
| 2005-03-05 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1969 | 1980 | 46.4% | 22.3% | 31.3% | +5.5 | 50 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1980 | 1969 | 31.3% | 22.3% | 46.4% | -5.5 | 43 |
| 2005-03-06 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1807 | 59.6% | 20.5% | 20.0% | -1.5 | 40 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1904 | 20.0% | 20.5% | 59.6% | +1.4 | 33 |
| 2005-03-06 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1776 | 1846 | 38.0% | 22.5% | 39.5% | +0.0 | 25 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1846 | 1776 | 39.5% | 22.5% | 38.0% | -0.0 | 32 |
| 2005-03-12 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1668 | 1776 | 33.0% | 22.4% | 44.6% | -5.1 | 16 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 1776 | 1668 | 44.6% | 22.4% | 33.0% | +5.1 | 28 |
| 2005-03-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1809 | 1774 | 52.3% | 21.7% | 26.0% | +4.7 | 36 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1774 | 1809 | 26.0% | 21.7% | 52.3% | -4.7 | 28 |
| 2005-03-12 | Hamburger SV | L 3-4 | 1783 | 1859 | 37.2% | 22.5% | 40.2% | -5.5 | 32 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-3 | 1859 | 1783 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.2% | +5.5 | 43 |
| 2005-03-12 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1819 | 1805 | 49.7% | 22.0% | 28.3% | +5.0 | 37 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1819 | 28.3% | 22.0% | 49.7% | -5.0 | 32 |
| 2005-03-12 | Hertha BSC | D 3-3 | 1915 | 1902 | 49.5% | 22.0% | 28.4% | -0.5 | 40 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1902 | 1915 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.5% | +0.5 | 41 |
| 2005-03-12 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1974 | 1755 | 71.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | -2.5 | 44 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1755 | 1974 | 11.7% | 16.9% | 71.4% | +2.5 | 27 |
| 2005-03-12 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1704 | 1773 | 38.2% | 22.5% | 39.2% | +10.7 | 20 |
| 2005-03-12 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-3 | 1773 | 1704 | 39.2% | 22.5% | 38.2% | -10.7 | 19 |
| 2005-03-13 | Bayern Munich | W 1-0 | 1908 | 1975 | 38.6% | 22.5% | 38.9% | +6.5 | 53 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1975 | 1908 | 38.9% | 22.5% | 38.6% | -6.5 | 50 |
| 2005-03-13 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1846 | 1913 | 38.6% | 22.5% | 38.9% | -12.2 | 32 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1913 | 1846 | 38.9% | 22.5% | 38.6% | +12.2 | 45 |
| 2005-03-19 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1915 | 1814 | 60.1% | 20.3% | 19.5% | +6.8 | 43 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1814 | 1915 | 19.5% | 20.3% | 60.1% | -6.8 | 36 |
| 2005-03-19 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1903 | 1777 | 62.7% | 19.7% | 17.6% | +8.9 | 44 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1777 | 1903 | 17.6% | 19.7% | 62.7% | -8.9 | 32 |
| 2005-03-19 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1864 | 1834 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | -7.4 | 43 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1834 | 1864 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | +7.4 | 35 |
| 2005-03-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1770 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | +4.5 | 35 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1770 | 1800 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | -4.5 | 28 |
| 2005-03-19 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1968 | 1715 | 74.2% | 15.8% | 10.0% | +2.9 | 53 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1715 | 1968 | 10.0% | 15.8% | 74.2% | -2.9 | 20 |
| 2005-03-19 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 5-1 | 1762 | 1824 | 39.2% | 22.5% | 38.2% | +19.2 | 22 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-5 | 1824 | 1762 | 38.2% | 22.5% | 39.2% | -19.2 | 37 |
| 2005-03-19 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1972 | 23.3% | 21.3% | 55.4% | -4.0 | 28 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1972 | 1781 | 55.4% | 21.3% | 23.3% | +4.0 | 47 |
| 2005-03-20 | SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 1925 | 1663 | 74.9% | 15.5% | 9.6% | +1.7 | 48 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1925 | 9.6% | 15.5% | 74.9% | -1.7 | 16 |
| 2005-03-20 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1758 | 1915 | 26.9% | 21.8% | 51.2% | +7.7 | 30 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1915 | 1758 | 51.2% | 21.8% | 26.9% | -7.7 | 53 |
| 2005-04-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-1 | 1907 | 1777 | 63.1% | 19.6% | 17.2% | +7.3 | 56 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1777 | 1907 | 17.2% | 19.6% | 63.1% | -7.3 | 28 |
| 2005-04-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1768 | 1922 | 27.3% | 21.9% | 50.8% | +8.1 | 35 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1922 | 1768 | 50.8% | 21.9% | 27.3% | -8.1 | 43 |
| 2005-04-02 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1805 | 1971 | 25.9% | 21.7% | 52.4% | -12.8 | 37 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1971 | 1805 | 52.4% | 21.7% | 25.9% | +12.8 | 56 |
| 2005-04-02 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1662 | 1857 | 22.9% | 21.2% | 55.9% | +1.2 | 17 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1857 | 1662 | 55.9% | 21.2% | 22.9% | -1.2 | 44 |
| 2005-04-02 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1807 | 1804 | 48.2% | 22.1% | 29.7% | -14.6 | 36 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1804 | 1807 | 29.7% | 22.1% | 48.2% | +14.6 | 38 |
| 2005-04-02 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1712 | 1765 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.0% | +11.8 | 23 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1765 | 1712 | 37.0% | 22.5% | 40.4% | -11.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-02 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1976 | 1927 | 54.0% | 21.5% | 24.5% | -8.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1927 | 1976 | 24.5% | 21.5% | 54.0% | +8.1 | 51 |
| 2005-04-03 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1842 | 1912 | 38.1% | 22.5% | 39.4% | +6.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1912 | 1842 | 39.4% | 22.5% | 38.1% | -6.2 | 44 |
| 2005-04-03 | VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1765 | 1781 | 45.7% | 22.3% | 32.0% | -0.3 | 29 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1781 | 1765 | 32.0% | 22.3% | 45.7% | +0.3 | 23 |
| 2005-04-09 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1848 | 56.1% | 21.1% | 22.8% | -8.8 | 43 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1913 | 22.8% | 21.1% | 56.1% | +8.8 | 41 |
| 2005-04-09 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1984 | 1765 | 71.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | +2.0 | 59 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1765 | 1984 | 11.7% | 16.9% | 71.4% | -2.0 | 29 |
| 2005-04-09 | SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1905 | 1663 | 73.4% | 16.1% | 10.5% | +3.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1663 | 1905 | 10.5% | 16.1% | 73.4% | -3.1 | 17 |
| 2005-04-09 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1782 | 1819 | 42.8% | 22.5% | 34.8% | +6.0 | 26 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1819 | 1782 | 34.8% | 22.5% | 42.8% | -6.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-09 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1914 | 50.5% | 21.9% | 27.5% | +13.4 | 54 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1914 | 1935 | 27.5% | 21.9% | 50.5% | -13.5 | 56 |
| 2005-04-09 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1753 | 1792 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | -13.2 | 30 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1792 | 1753 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +13.2 | 40 |
| 2005-04-09 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1856 | 1968 | 32.3% | 22.3% | 45.3% | -5.3 | 44 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1968 | 1856 | 45.3% | 22.3% | 32.3% | +5.3 | 50 |
| 2005-04-10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1776 | 1792 | 45.7% | 22.3% | 32.0% | -14.0 | 35 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1792 | 1776 | 32.0% | 22.3% | 45.7% | +14.0 | 39 |
| 2005-04-10 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1770 | 1724 | 53.7% | 21.5% | 24.8% | +12.2 | 31 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1724 | 1770 | 24.8% | 21.5% | 53.7% | -12.3 | 23 |
| 2005-04-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1857 | 1762 | 59.3% | 20.5% | 20.1% | -1.4 | 42 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1762 | 1857 | 20.1% | 20.5% | 59.3% | +1.4 | 36 |
| 2005-04-16 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1660 | 1905 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 61.5% | -5.6 | 17 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1905 | 1660 | 61.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | +5.6 | 46 |
| 2005-04-16 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1813 | 1986 | 25.2% | 21.6% | 53.2% | -4.5 | 38 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1986 | 1813 | 53.2% | 21.6% | 25.2% | +4.5 | 62 |
| 2005-04-16 | Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1850 | 54.3% | 21.4% | 24.3% | -8.1 | 56 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1850 | 1901 | 24.3% | 21.4% | 54.3% | +8.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-16 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1973 | 1909 | 56.0% | 21.2% | 22.9% | -8.8 | 50 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1973 | 22.9% | 21.2% | 56.0% | +8.8 | 50 |
| 2005-04-16 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1763 | 1740 | 50.8% | 21.9% | 27.3% | -0.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 1740 | 1763 | 27.3% | 21.9% | 50.8% | +0.8 | 31 |
| 2005-04-16 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1711 | 1949 | 19.1% | 20.2% | 60.7% | +8.9 | 26 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1949 | 1711 | 60.7% | 20.2% | 19.1% | -8.9 | 54 |
| 2005-04-17 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1782 | 50.9% | 21.9% | 27.2% | -8.1 | 40 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1782 | 1805 | 27.2% | 21.9% | 50.9% | +8.1 | 34 |
| 2005-04-17 | VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1806 | 1788 | 50.2% | 21.9% | 27.8% | -7.6 | 39 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1788 | 1806 | 27.8% | 21.9% | 50.2% | +7.6 | 29 |
| 2005-04-23 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 4-2 | 1855 | 1799 | 55.0% | 21.3% | 23.7% | +6.3 | 45 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-4 | 1799 | 1855 | 23.7% | 21.3% | 55.0% | -6.3 | 39 |
| 2005-04-23 | SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1764 | 1654 | 61.0% | 20.2% | 18.9% | +5.7 | 39 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1654 | 1764 | 18.9% | 20.2% | 61.0% | -5.7 | 17 |
| 2005-04-23 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1741 | 1808 | 38.5% | 22.5% | 39.0% | +12.3 | 34 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 1808 | 1741 | 39.0% | 22.5% | 38.5% | -12.3 | 38 |
| 2005-04-23 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1858 | 1720 | 64.0% | 19.4% | 16.7% | +8.4 | 50 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1720 | 1858 | 16.7% | 19.4% | 64.0% | -8.4 | 26 |
| 2005-04-23 | Schalke 04 | W 4-1 | 1917 | 1893 | 51.0% | 21.9% | 27.1% | +11.2 | 53 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-4 | 1893 | 1917 | 27.1% | 21.9% | 51.0% | -11.2 | 56 |
| 2005-04-23 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1990 | 1795 | 69.4% | 17.7% | 13.0% | +3.9 | 65 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1795 | 1990 | 13.0% | 17.7% | 69.4% | -3.9 | 29 |
| 2005-04-23 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1940 | 1797 | 64.4% | 19.3% | 16.3% | -2.0 | 55 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1797 | 1940 | 16.3% | 19.3% | 64.4% | +2.0 | 41 |
| 2005-04-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1790 | 1762 | 51.5% | 21.8% | 26.7% | -1.0 | 35 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1762 | 1790 | 26.7% | 21.8% | 51.5% | +1.0 | 31 |
| 2005-04-24 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1910 | 1964 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.1% | +5.9 | 49 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1964 | 1910 | 37.1% | 22.5% | 40.4% | -5.9 | 50 |
| 2005-04-30 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1958 | 1769 | 68.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% | +6.7 | 53 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-3 | 1769 | 1958 | 13.3% | 17.9% | 68.8% | -6.7 | 39 |
| 2005-04-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1882 | 1916 | 43.1% | 22.4% | 34.4% | -0.2 | 57 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Schalke 04 | D 3-3 | 1916 | 1882 | 34.4% | 22.4% | 43.1% | +0.2 | 50 |
| 2005-04-30 | Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1792 | 1994 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 56.7% | -14.5 | 39 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 4-0 | 1994 | 1792 | 56.7% | 21.0% | 22.2% | +14.5 | 68 |
| 2005-04-30 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1649 | 1861 | 21.2% | 20.8% | 58.0% | +1.0 | 18 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1861 | 1649 | 58.0% | 20.8% | 21.2% | -1.0 | 46 |
| 2005-04-30 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1712 | 1929 | 20.9% | 20.7% | 58.4% | +8.6 | 29 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1929 | 1712 | 58.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | -8.6 | 53 |
| 2005-04-30 | Mainz 05 | L 2-6 | 1791 | 1753 | 52.7% | 21.6% | 25.6% | -21.2 | 29 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ VfL Bochum | W 6-2 | 1753 | 1791 | 25.6% | 21.6% | 52.7% | +21.2 | 37 |
| 2005-04-30 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1763 | 1938 | 25.0% | 21.6% | 53.4% | +16.0 | 34 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1938 | 1763 | 53.4% | 21.6% | 25.0% | -16.0 | 55 |
| 2005-05-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1796 | 1789 | 48.8% | 22.1% | 29.1% | +5.2 | 41 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1789 | 1796 | 29.1% | 22.1% | 48.8% | -5.2 | 35 |
| 2005-05-01 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1867 | 38.5% | 22.5% | 39.0% | +6.5 | 44 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1799 | 39.0% | 22.5% | 38.5% | -6.5 | 50 |
| 2005-05-07 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1650 | 1778 | 30.3% | 22.2% | 47.5% | -5.0 | 18 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1778 | 1650 | 47.5% | 22.2% | 30.3% | +5.0 | 42 |
| 2005-05-07 | Bayern Munich | L 2-4 | 1775 | 2009 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 60.3% | -5.2 | 37 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Mainz 05 | W 4-2 | 2009 | 1775 | 60.3% | 20.3% | 19.4% | +5.2 | 71 |
| 2005-05-07 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1922 | 1801 | 62.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | +3.3 | 58 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1801 | 1922 | 18.0% | 19.9% | 62.2% | -3.3 | 41 |
| 2005-05-07 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1916 | 1720 | 69.4% | 17.6% | 12.9% | +6.5 | 53 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1720 | 1916 | 12.9% | 17.6% | 69.4% | -6.5 | 29 |
| 2005-05-07 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1763 | 1881 | 31.5% | 22.3% | 46.2% | -10.4 | 39 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1881 | 1763 | 46.2% | 22.3% | 31.5% | +10.4 | 60 |
| 2005-05-07 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1784 | 1770 | 49.6% | 22.0% | 28.4% | +4.8 | 38 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1770 | 1784 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.6% | -4.8 | 29 |
| 2005-05-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1920 | 1806 | 61.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | +5.6 | 56 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1806 | 1920 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 61.5% | -5.6 | 44 |
| 2005-05-08 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1860 | 1779 | 57.9% | 20.8% | 21.3% | -1.5 | 51 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1779 | 1860 | 21.3% | 20.8% | 57.9% | +1.5 | 35 |
| 2005-05-08 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1860 | 1965 | 33.3% | 22.4% | 44.3% | +7.2 | 49 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1965 | 1860 | 44.3% | 22.4% | 33.3% | -7.2 | 53 |
| 2005-05-14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-2 | 1769 | 1783 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | +4.9 | 40 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Mainz 05 | L 2-3 | 1783 | 1769 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | -4.9 | 42 |
| 2005-05-14 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 6-3 | 2014 | 1789 | 72.0% | 16.7% | 11.3% | +3.8 | 74 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Bayern Munich | L 3-6 | 1789 | 2014 | 11.3% | 16.7% | 72.0% | -3.8 | 38 |
| 2005-05-14 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1714 | 1752 | 42.6% | 22.5% | 34.9% | -0.3 | 30 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1752 | 1714 | 34.9% | 22.5% | 42.6% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2005-05-14 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1800 | 1923 | 31.0% | 22.3% | 46.7% | +0.4 | 45 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1923 | 1800 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.0% | -0.4 | 54 |
| 2005-05-14 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1892 | 1868 | 51.0% | 21.9% | 27.1% | -7.7 | 60 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1868 | 1892 | 27.1% | 21.9% | 51.0% | +7.7 | 52 |
| 2005-05-14 | SC Freiburg | W 4-1 | 1958 | 1645 | 78.6% | 13.8% | 7.6% | +3.0 | 56 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1645 | 1958 | 7.6% | 13.8% | 78.6% | -3.0 | 18 |
| 2005-05-14 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1798 | 1859 | 39.4% | 22.5% | 38.1% | +6.0 | 44 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1859 | 1798 | 38.1% | 22.5% | 39.4% | -6.0 | 51 |
| 2005-05-14 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1780 | 1925 | 28.3% | 22.0% | 49.7% | +0.8 | 36 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1780 | 49.7% | 22.0% | 28.3% | -0.8 | 57 |
| 2005-05-14 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1765 | 1925 | 26.6% | 21.8% | 51.5% | +15.5 | 32 |
| 2005-05-14 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1765 | 51.5% | 21.8% | 26.6% | -15.5 | 58 |
| 2005-05-21 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1910 | 2018 | 32.9% | 22.4% | 44.8% | -9.3 | 58 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 2018 | 1910 | 44.8% | 22.4% | 32.9% | +9.3 | 77 |
| 2005-05-21 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-1 | 1922 | 1781 | 64.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | +9.0 | 57 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-5 | 1781 | 1922 | 16.4% | 19.3% | 64.3% | -9.0 | 36 |
| 2005-05-21 | Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1925 | 1804 | 62.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | -1.8 | 58 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1804 | 1925 | 18.0% | 19.9% | 62.2% | +1.8 | 45 |
| 2005-05-21 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1875 | 1714 | 66.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | +2.6 | 55 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1714 | 1875 | 15.0% | 18.7% | 66.3% | -2.6 | 30 |
| 2005-05-21 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1785 | 1774 | 49.2% | 22.1% | 28.7% | -7.4 | 38 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1785 | 28.7% | 22.1% | 49.2% | +7.4 | 43 |
| 2005-05-21 | Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1641 | 1884 | 18.7% | 20.1% | 61.2% | -3.1 | 18 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-2 | 1884 | 1641 | 61.2% | 20.1% | 18.7% | +3.1 | 63 |
| 2005-05-21 | VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1853 | 1781 | 56.8% | 21.0% | 22.2% | -8.9 | 51 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1781 | 1853 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 56.8% | +8.9 | 35 |
| 2005-05-21 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1753 | 1801 | 41.2% | 22.5% | 36.3% | -6.4 | 40 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1801 | 1753 | 36.3% | 22.5% | 41.2% | +6.4 | 48 |
| 2005-05-21 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1778 | 1961 | 24.1% | 21.4% | 54.5% | -4.1 | 42 |
| 2005-05-21 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1961 | 1778 | 54.5% | 21.4% | 24.1% | +4.1 | 59 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2005-01-29 | 17.04% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1793 | 4 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1926 | 2 |
| 2 | 2004-08-29 | 17.82% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1813 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1936 | 1 |
| 3 | 2005-03-05 | 17.99% | Hansa Rostock | 1694 | 1 | @ Hannover 96 | 1815 | 0 |
| 4 | 2005-04-16 | 19.11% | @ Hansa Rostock | 1711 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 1949 | 1 |
| 5 | 2004-10-16 | 19.43% | Schalke 04 | 1822 | 1 | @ Bayern Munich | 1925 | 0 |
| 6 | 2005-04-30 | 20.89% | @ Hansa Rostock | 1712 | 2 | Hertha BSC | 1929 | 1 |
| 7 | 2004-10-23 | 20.92% | Hamburger SV | 1768 | 2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1854 | 0 |
| 8 | 2005-02-13 | 22.16% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1762 | 3 | Bayern Munich | 1965 | 1 |
| 9 | 2005-05-21 | 22.19% | VfL Bochum | 1781 | 1 | @ Hamburger SV | 1853 | 0 |
| 10 | 2004-10-24 | 22.70% | @ SC Freiburg | 1752 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 1950 | 0 |
| 11 | 2005-04-09 | 22.77% | Borussia Dortmund | 1848 | 1 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1913 | 0 |
| 12 | 2005-04-16 | 22.88% | Hertha BSC | 1909 | 1 | @ Werder Bremen | 1973 | 0 |
| 13 | 2004-10-16 | 23.05% | Hansa Rostock | 1789 | 1 | @ VfL Bochum | 1852 | 0 |
| 14 | 2004-08-15 | 24.03% | SC Freiburg | 1769 | 1 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1822 | 0 |
| 15 | 2004-09-12 | 24.11% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1763 | 3 | @ Hansa Rostock | 1816 | 2 |
| 16 | 2004-08-07 | 24.20% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1814 | 2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1865 | 1 |
| 17 | 2005-04-16 | 24.27% | Hamburger SV | 1850 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1901 | 1 |
| 18 | 2004-08-28 | 24.39% | Hansa Rostock | 1799 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1849 | 0 |
| 19 | 2005-04-02 | 24.48% | VfB Stuttgart | 1927 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1976 | 1 |
| 20 | 2004-11-20 | 24.53% | Schalke 04 | 1848 | 3 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1896 | 0 |
| 21 | 2005-04-30 | 25.01% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1763 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 1938 | 0 |
| 22 | 2005-04-30 | 25.61% | Mainz 05 | 1753 | 6 | @ VfL Bochum | 1791 | 2 |
| 23 | 2004-11-13 | 26.37% | Hertha BSC | 1830 | 3 | @ Schalke 04 | 1861 | 1 |
| 24 | 2005-03-19 | 26.50% | Borussia Dortmund | 1834 | 3 | @ Hamburger SV | 1864 | 2 |
| 25 | 2004-09-25 | 26.55% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1759 | 2 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1788 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2004-11-14 | 36.00 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 1799 | 35.85% | @ Hansa Rostock | 0 | 1754 | 41.66% | 22.49% |
| 2 | 2004-11-20 | 23.40 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1848 | 24.53% | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1896 | 53.99% | 21.48% |
| 3 | 2004-12-04 | 22.75 | @ Hertha BSC | 6 | 1849 | 54.68% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1795 | 23.94% | 21.37% |
| 4 | 2004-11-06 | 22.65 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 4 | 1790 | 39.97% | VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1847 | 37.51% | 22.52% |
| 5 | 2004-08-14 | 21.34 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1914 | 42.74% | @ Hansa Rostock | 0 | 1821 | 34.80% | 22.46% |
| 6 | 2005-04-30 | 21.18 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 1753 | 25.61% | @ VfL Bochum | 2 | 1791 | 52.73% | 21.65% |
| 7 | 2004-12-12 | 20.90 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 5 | 1824 | 51.81% | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1793 | 26.42% | 21.77% |
| 8 | 2004-11-13 | 19.82 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 1824 | 33.19% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1930 | 44.42% | 22.39% |
| 9 | 2005-01-23 | 19.71 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1885 | 33.51% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1858 | 44.09% | 22.41% |
| 10 | 2005-03-05 | 19.65 | @ Mainz 05 | 5 | 1735 | 53.88% | SC Freiburg | 0 | 1688 | 24.63% | 21.50% |
| 11 | 2004-12-04 | 19.21 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 1936 | 59.58% | @ SC Freiburg | 0 | 1708 | 19.95% | 20.47% |
| 12 | 2005-03-19 | 19.16 | @ VfL Bochum | 5 | 1762 | 39.24% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1824 | 38.24% | 22.53% |
| 13 | 2004-10-27 | 17.82 | @ Hamburger SV | 4 | 1786 | 50.05% | SC Freiburg | 0 | 1769 | 27.98% | 21.97% |
| 14 | 2004-10-23 | 17.25 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 1768 | 20.92% | @ Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 1854 | 58.36% | 20.72% |
| 15 | 2004-10-17 | 17.06 | @ Hannover 96 | 3 | 1801 | 40.72% | VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1852 | 36.77% | 22.51% |
| 16 | 2004-10-24 | 16.67 | @ SC Freiburg | 2 | 1752 | 22.70% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1950 | 56.16% | 21.13% |
| 17 | 2004-08-28 | 16.16 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1799 | 24.39% | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1849 | 54.16% | 21.45% |
| 18 | 2005-02-19 | 16.07 | @ Bayern Munich | 5 | 1950 | 59.75% | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 1852 | 19.82% | 20.43% |
| 19 | 2005-04-30 | 15.97 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 | 1763 | 25.01% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1938 | 53.43% | 21.56% |
| 20 | 2004-09-25 | 15.61 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1924 | 36.70% | @ VfL Bochum | 1 | 1872 | 40.79% | 22.51% |
| 21 | 2005-05-14 | 15.47 | @ VfL Bochum | 2 | 1765 | 26.64% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1925 | 51.55% | 21.80% |
| 22 | 2005-02-05 | 15.40 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 1879 | 45.34% | @ Mainz 05 | 0 | 1767 | 32.32% | 22.34% |
| 23 | 2004-09-11 | 15.25 | @ Mainz 05 | 2 | 1771 | 27.43% | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1924 | 50.66% | 21.90% |
| 24 | 2004-10-16 | 15.11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1766 | 27.89% | @ Hamburger SV | 0 | 1784 | 50.15% | 21.96% |
| 25 | 2004-09-11 | 14.98 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 1822 | 46.44% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1833 | 31.28% | 22.27% |