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2000-01 Gibraltar Premier Division Season

84 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

58 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 1993-94

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lincoln Red Imps

10.29 points above expected

58 points · 47.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pegasus

7.88 points below expected

7 points · 14.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 24 19 1 4 58 73 26 +47 47.71 +10.29
2 Manchester United Eurobet 24 16 6 2 54 64 19 +45 49.97 +4.03
3 Glacis United 24 15 6 3 51 64 16 +48 47.35 +3.65
4 Gibraltar United 24 10 5 9 35 54 33 +21 38.68 -3.68
5 St. Josephs 24 7 2 15 23 44 73 -29 26.79 -3.79
6 Lions FC 24 4 1 19 13 29 96 -67 15.07 -2.07
7 Pegasus 24 2 1 21 7 28 93 -65 14.88 -7.88

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps 58 47.71 +10.29
2 Manchester United Eurobet 54 49.97 +4.03
3 Glacis United 51 47.35 +3.65
4 Lions FC 13 15.07 -2.07
5 Gibraltar United 35 38.68 -3.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pegasus 7 14.88 -7.88
2 St. Josephs 23 26.79 -3.79
3 Gibraltar United 35 38.68 -3.68
4 Lions FC 13 15.07 -2.07
5 Glacis United 51 47.35 +3.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lions FC 2 Apr 24 – Apr 30 1 in 29
2 Glacis United 6 Dec 9 – Feb 20 1 in 29
3 Lincoln Red Imps 5 Nov 6 – Jan 6 1 in 26
4 Gibraltar United 3 Nov 20 – Dec 4 1 in 10
5 St. Josephs 3 Oct 21 – Nov 4 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pegasus 10 Oct 14 – Feb 22 1 in 57
2 St. Josephs 4 Mar 24 – Apr 24 1 in 24
3 Glacis United 2 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 19
4 Lions FC 8 Mar 3 – Apr 14 1 in 10
5 Lincoln Red Imps 2 Jan 20 – Jan 20 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lincoln Red Imps 7 Oct 16 – Jan 6 1 in 29
2 Glacis United 9 Nov 25 – Mar 13 1 in 19
3 Lions FC 2 Apr 24 – Apr 30 1 in 9
4 Manchester United Eurobet 10 Feb 24 – Apr 23 1 in 6
5 Gibraltar United 4 Mar 24 – Apr 14 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pegasus 14 Oct 14 – Mar 13 1 in 18
2 St. Josephs 9 Mar 24 – May 19 1 in 16
3 Lions FC 15 Nov 10 – Apr 14 1 in 15
4 Glacis United 3 Nov 6 – Nov 25 1 in 10
5 Manchester United Eurobet 2 Oct 21 – Oct 28 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1597 55 -4 12 10.7 +1.3
Manchester United Eurobet 1609 54 -39 10 10.1 -0.1
Glacis United 1731 51 +68 11 11.3 -0.3
Gibraltar United 1365 35 -54 5 8.7 -3.7
St. Josephs 947 23 -26 1 2.6 -1.6
Lions FC 1119 13 +170 6 2.1 +3.9
Pegasus 928 7 -118 3 3.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team GU GU LRI LIO MUE PEG SJ
Gibraltar United —
1-2-1
2.61
0-0-4
4.89
3-0-1
9.67
0-2-2
3.25
4-0-0
10.06
2-1-1
7.80
Glacis United
1-2-1
8.84
 —
2-0-2
6.40
4-0-0
9.44
1-3-0
6.11
4-0-0
10.31
3-1-0
8.61
Lincoln Red Imps
4-0-0
6.55
2-0-2
5.04
 —
4-0-0
10.54
1-1-2
4.68
4-0-0
10.35
4-0-0
8.89
Lions FC
1-0-3
1.80
0-0-4
2.03
0-0-4
0.94
 —
0-0-4
1.34
2-1-1
5.89
1-0-3
3.33
Manchester United Eurobet
2-2-0
8.19
0-3-1
5.33
2-1-1
6.76
4-0-0
10.15
 —
4-0-0
9.32
4-0-0
9.94
Pegasus
0-0-4
1.40
0-0-4
1.17
0-0-4
1.13
1-1-2
5.55
0-0-4
2.15
 —
1-0-3
3.63
St. Josephs
1-1-2
3.64
0-1-3
2.86
0-0-4
2.57
3-0-1
8.12
0-0-4
1.53
3-0-1
7.81
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.98 +11.5
Allowed 0.91 -5.6
Differential 0.95 +3.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%0.60%2.98%5.95%5.95%4.76%28.57%
10.60%3.57%4.17%2.98%3.57%4.17%19.05%
22.98%4.17%1.19%1.19%1.19%1.79%12.50%
35.95%2.98%1.19%—0.60%2.38%13.10%
45.95%3.57%1.19%0.60%——11.31%
5+4.76%4.17%1.79%2.38%—2.38%15.48%
Total28.57%19.05%12.50%13.10%11.31%15.48%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 2.11 +0.00
SD 2.05 2.05 3.26
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 84

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%4.17%—4.17%——25.00%
1—4.17%12.50%4.17%—4.17%25.00%
24.17%——4.17%——8.33%
34.17%4.17%——4.17%—12.50%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+8.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
Total41.67%16.67%16.67%16.67%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.38 +0.88
SD 2.07 1.50 2.66
CV 0.92 1.09 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—4.17%———16.67%
1—8.33%4.17%———12.50%
28.33%—4.17%———12.50%
38.33%8.33%————16.67%
412.50%12.50%————25.00%
5+4.17%4.17%4.17%——4.17%16.67%
Total45.83%33.33%16.67%——4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 0.62 +2.00
SD 2.14 0.82 2.21
CV 0.82 1.32 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%——8.33%——12.50%
14.17%—4.17%—4.17%—12.50%
24.17%8.33%————12.50%
320.83%—————20.83%
44.17%4.17%—4.17%——12.50%
5+4.17%12.50%4.17%4.17%—4.17%29.17%
Total41.67%25.00%8.33%16.67%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.04 +1.96
SD 2.32 1.33 2.65
CV 0.77 1.28 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—4.17%4.17%12.50%16.67%41.67%
1———4.17%4.17%16.67%25.00%
2—4.17%——4.17%—8.33%
34.17%4.17%———12.50%20.83%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+———————
Total12.50%8.33%4.17%8.33%20.83%45.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 4.00 -2.79
SD 1.32 2.32 2.93
CV 1.09 0.58 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—4.17%———16.67%
1—8.33%——4.17%—12.50%
24.17%16.67%4.17%———25.00%
34.17%—————4.17%
412.50%8.33%4.17%———25.00%
5+12.50%4.17%————16.67%
Total45.83%37.50%12.50%—4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.67 0.79 +1.88
SD 1.90 0.98 2.35
CV 0.71 1.23 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—4.17%12.50%16.67%8.33%45.83%
1——4.17%8.33%4.17%8.33%25.00%
2————4.17%8.33%12.50%
3——4.17%——4.17%8.33%
4———————
5+4.17%————4.17%8.33%
Total8.33%—12.50%20.83%25.00%33.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 3.88 -2.71
SD 1.52 1.90 2.37
CV 1.31 0.49 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—4.17%12.50%12.50%8.33%41.67%
1—4.17%4.17%4.17%8.33%—20.83%
2———4.17%—4.17%8.33%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+—4.17%—8.33%—4.17%16.67%
Total4.17%12.50%16.67%29.17%20.83%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 3.04 -1.21
SD 2.32 1.49 2.93
CV 1.26 0.49 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Glacis United 1731 51 47.35 +3.65 79.0% 36 38 43 48 51 56 62
Manchester United Eurobet 1609 54 49.97 +4.03 81.0% 34 41 46 50 54 59 61
Lincoln Red Imps 1597 58 47.71 +10.29 98.0% 36 40 43 48 52 57 59
Gibraltar United 1365 35 38.68 -3.68 24.0% 23 29 36 39 43 47 52
Lions FC 1119 13 15.07 -2.07 44.0% 5 9 12 14 18 23 28
St. Josephs 947 23 26.79 -3.79 28.0% 14 16 23 27 31 35 37
Pegasus 928 7 14.88 -7.88 5.0% 5 7 11 15 17 23 36

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-8.33%
No Edge
39.29%13.10%47.62%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -24.86 Elo pts.
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.05 goals
Neutral
-2-0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
12347
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Lincoln Red Imps, 2nd of 7
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.22 * Some Luck: 4.22 to 6.33 * Lucky: 6.33 to 8.44 * Wild Swing: 8.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.47 * Close: 0.47 to 0.71 * Off: 0.71 to 0.94 * Way Off: 0.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 7 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 7 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 7 * As Expected: 7 to 11.2 * Several Outliers: 11.2 to 15.4 * Many Outliers: 15.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.73 points
Some Luck
05.2813
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.29
Pinpoint
00.591.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 92.86%
98.00%
Lincoln Red Imps
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
5.00%
Pegasus
07.14%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 7
Minimal Outliers
00.77

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.31
Lopsided
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 332.67
2.99
Wide Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
96%
Wide Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
29%
Few
0%35%100%
Blowouts
Expected
56%
Very Frequent
0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.41
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.18
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
N/A
No prior ratings
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.32 * Well Above Noise: 0.32 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1600.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567
Lincoln Red Imps28.00%32.00%32.00%8.00%———
Manchester United Eurobet46.00%24.00%24.00%6.00%———
Glacis United25.00%38.00%27.00%10.00%———
Gibraltar United1.00%6.00%17.00%68.00%7.00%1.00%—
St. Josephs———7.00%79.00%12.00%2.00%
Lions FC————10.00%42.00%48.00%
Pegasus———1.00%4.00%45.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Gibraltar United 100%
Glacis United 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Lions FC 100%
Manchester United Eurobet 100%
Pegasus 100%
St. Josephs 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-10-14 Manchester United Eurobet L 0-536.6 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%-0.16 -132.0 0
2000-10-14 @ Pegasus W 5-036.6 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%+0.16 +132.0 3
2000-10-14 St. Josephs W 5-247.6 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%-0.16 +59.8 3
2000-10-14 @ Glacis United L 2-547.6 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%+0.16 -59.9 0
2000-10-16 Lincoln Red Imps L 3-455.5 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%-0.16 -26.1 0
2000-10-16 @ Gibraltar United W 4-355.5 1328 1328 42.97% 14.06% 42.97%+0.16 +26.1 3
2000-10-21 Pegasus W 6-555.2 1268 1196 52.92% 14.03% 33.05%+0.30 +20.3 3
2000-10-21 @ St. Josephs L 5-655.2 1196 1268 33.05% 14.03% 52.92%-0.30 -20.3 0
2000-10-21 Gibraltar United D 0-056.3 1460 1302 63.06% 13.95% 22.99%+0.86 -7.4 4
2000-10-21 @ Manchester United Eurobet D 0-056.3 1302 1460 22.99% 13.95% 63.06%-0.86 +7.4 1
2000-10-23 Glacis United L 0-436.0 1328 1388 34.65% 14.04% 51.30%-0.55 -88.8 0
2000-10-23 @ Lions FC W 4-036.0 1388 1328 51.30% 14.04% 34.65%+0.55 +88.8 6
2000-10-28 Lincoln Red Imps D 0-057.2 1453 1354 56.26% 14.01% 29.72%+0.47 -4.8 5
2000-10-28 @ Manchester United Eurobet D 0-057.2 1354 1453 29.72% 14.01% 56.26%-0.47 +4.8 4
2000-10-28 St. Josephs L 2-447.1 1239 1288 36.08% 14.05% 49.88%-0.48 -37.6 0
2000-10-28 @ Lions FC W 4-247.1 1288 1239 49.88% 14.05% 36.08%+0.48 +37.5 6
2000-10-30 Glacis United L 1-434.3 1176 1477 11.54% 13.67% 74.79%-2.10 -20.8 0
2000-10-30 @ Pegasus W 4-134.3 1477 1176 74.79% 13.67% 11.54%+2.10 +20.8 9
2000-11-04 Lions FC L 1-342.8 1155 1202 36.42% 14.05% 49.53%-0.46 -42.3 0
2000-11-04 @ Pegasus W 3-142.8 1202 1155 49.53% 14.05% 36.42%+0.46 +42.3 3
2000-11-04 St. Josephs L 2-350.9 1309 1326 40.58% 14.06% 45.37%-0.27 -25.5 1
2000-11-04 @ Gibraltar United W 3-250.9 1326 1309 45.37% 14.06% 40.58%+0.27 +25.5 9
2000-11-06 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-256.8 1497 1359 60.95% 13.97% 25.07%+0.73 -38.9 9
2000-11-06 @ Glacis United W 2-156.8 1359 1497 25.07% 13.97% 60.95%-0.73 +38.9 7
2000-11-10 Lions FC W 4-030.9 1448 1244 67.51% 13.88% 18.62%+1.15 +50.6 8
2000-11-10 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 0-430.9 1244 1448 18.62% 13.88% 67.51%-1.15 -50.6 3
2000-11-10 St. Josephs W 3-039.1 1398 1351 49.48% 14.05% 36.47%+0.14 +71.1 10
2000-11-10 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-339.1 1351 1398 36.47% 14.05% 49.48%-0.14 -71.1 9
2000-11-20 Glacis United W 2-049.8 1284 1458 21.32% 13.92% 64.76%-1.29 +82.6 4
2000-11-20 @ Gibraltar United L 0-249.8 1458 1284 64.76% 13.92% 21.32%+1.29 -82.6 9
2000-11-25 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-328.8 1113 1469 8.67% 13.51% 77.82%-2.45 -18.7 0
2000-11-25 @ Pegasus W 3-028.8 1469 1113 77.82% 13.51% 8.67%+2.45 +18.7 13
2000-11-25 Manchester United Eurobet D 2-265.5 1376 1498 26.87% 13.99% 59.14%-0.95 +3.9 10
2000-11-25 @ Glacis United D 2-265.5 1498 1376 59.14% 13.99% 26.87%+0.95 -3.9 9
2000-11-27 Gibraltar United L 1-534.7 1193 1366 21.49% 13.93% 64.59%-1.27 -48.1 3
2000-11-27 @ Lions FC W 5-134.7 1366 1193 64.59% 13.93% 21.49%+1.27 +48.1 7
2000-12-04 Pegasus W 4-027.0 1414 1094 75.95% 13.61% 10.43%+1.90 +29.2 10
2000-12-04 @ Gibraltar United L 0-427.0 1094 1414 10.43% 13.61% 75.95%-1.90 -29.2 0
2000-12-09 Gibraltar United W 5-146.1 1488 1444 49.14% 14.05% 36.81%+0.12 +78.0 16
2000-12-09 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-546.1 1444 1488 36.81% 14.05% 49.14%-0.12 -78.0 10
2000-12-09 Glacis United L 1-439.9 1280 1380 29.61% 14.01% 56.38%-0.80 -49.9 9
2000-12-09 @ St. Josephs W 4-139.9 1380 1280 56.38% 14.01% 29.61%+0.80 +49.9 13
2000-12-11 Pegasus W 4-238.0 1494 1065 80.86% 13.27% 5.87%+2.61 +6.8 12
2000-12-11 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 2-438.0 1065 1494 5.87% 13.27% 80.86%-2.61 -6.8 0
2000-12-16 Lions FC W 7-129.3 1430 1145 73.74% 13.71% 12.55%+1.67 +42.1 16
2000-12-16 @ Glacis United L 1-729.3 1145 1430 12.55% 13.71% 73.74%-1.67 -42.1 3
2000-12-16 Manchester United Eurobet D 1-161.5 1366 1501 25.40% 13.98% 60.63%-1.03 +5.7 11
2000-12-16 @ Gibraltar United D 1-161.5 1501 1366 60.63% 13.98% 25.40%+1.03 -5.7 13
2000-12-18 St. Josephs L 3-642.2 1058 1230 21.53% 13.93% 64.54%-1.27 -30.0 0
2000-12-18 @ Pegasus W 6-342.2 1230 1058 64.54% 13.93% 21.53%+1.27 +30.0 12
2001-01-06 Lions FC W 3-028.3 1566 1103 81.93% 13.15% 4.92%+2.82 +10.7 19
2001-01-06 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-328.3 1103 1566 4.92% 13.15% 81.93%-2.82 -10.7 3
2001-01-06 St. Josephs W 4-031.0 1496 1260 70.16% 13.82% 16.02%+1.35 +44.0 16
2001-01-06 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 0-431.0 1260 1496 16.02% 13.82% 70.16%-1.35 -44.0 12
2001-01-08 Pegasus W 4-025.4 1472 1028 81.33% 13.22% 5.44%+2.70 +15.4 19
2001-01-08 @ Glacis United L 0-425.4 1028 1472 5.44% 13.22% 81.33%-2.70 -15.4 0
2001-01-20 Gibraltar United L 1-339.6 1216 1371 23.32% 13.95% 62.73%-1.16 -28.4 12
2001-01-20 @ St. Josephs W 3-139.6 1371 1216 62.73% 13.95% 23.32%+1.16 +28.4 14
2001-01-20 Glacis United L 0-354.4 1576 1487 55.09% 14.02% 30.88%+0.41 -102.5 19
2001-01-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 3-054.4 1487 1576 30.88% 14.02% 55.09%-0.41 +102.5 22
2001-01-20 Manchester United Eurobet L 1-254.1 1474 1539 33.87% 14.04% 52.09%-0.58 -22.9 19
2001-01-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 2-154.1 1539 1474 52.09% 14.04% 33.87%+0.58 +22.9 19
2001-01-20 St. Josephs L 3-741.5 1092 1188 30.07% 14.02% 55.91%-0.78 -50.6 3
2001-01-20 @ Lions FC W 7-341.5 1188 1092 55.91% 14.02% 30.07%+0.78 +50.5 15
2001-01-22 Gibraltar United W 3-147.3 1590 1400 66.22% 13.90% 19.88%+1.06 +24.5 25
2001-01-22 @ Glacis United L 1-347.3 1400 1590 19.88% 13.90% 66.22%-1.06 -24.5 14
2001-01-22 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-332.6 1239 1451 17.89% 13.86% 68.25%-1.53 -37.3 15
2001-01-22 @ St. Josephs W 3-032.6 1451 1239 68.25% 13.86% 17.89%+1.53 +37.3 22
2001-02-20 Glacis United L 1-456.1 1562 1614 35.73% 14.05% 50.22%-0.49 -58.9 19
2001-02-20 @ Manchester United Eurobet W 4-156.1 1614 1562 50.22% 14.05% 35.73%+0.49 +58.9 28
2001-02-22 Pegasus W 6-127.5 1488 1012 82.31% 13.11% 4.58%+2.90 +13.3 25
2001-02-22 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-627.5 1012 1488 4.58% 13.11% 82.31%-2.90 -13.3 0
2001-02-24 Lions FC W 5-341.8 1375 1042 76.66% 13.58% 9.76%+1.99 +10.6 17
2001-02-24 @ Gibraltar United L 3-541.8 1042 1375 9.76% 13.58% 76.66%-1.99 -10.6 3
2001-02-24 Manchester United Eurobet L 0-233.2 1201 1504 11.46% 13.66% 74.88%-2.11 -16.8 15
2001-02-24 @ St. Josephs W 2-033.2 1504 1201 74.88% 13.66% 11.46%+2.11 +16.9 22
2001-02-27 Pegasus D 0-053.4 1031 999 47.52% 14.05% 38.43%+0.05 -1.6 4
2001-02-27 @ Lions FC D 0-053.4 999 1031 38.43% 14.05% 47.52%-0.05 +1.6 1
2001-03-03 Manchester United Eurobet L 0-523.9 1030 1520 4.22% 13.05% 82.73%-3.32 -14.8 4
2001-03-03 @ Lions FC W 5-023.9 1520 1030 82.73% 13.05% 4.22%+3.32 +14.8 25
2001-03-06 Gibraltar United L 0-425.8 1001 1386 7.45% 13.42% 79.13%-2.64 -21.0 1
2001-03-06 @ Pegasus W 4-025.8 1386 1001 79.13% 13.42% 7.45%+2.64 +21.1 20
2001-03-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-726.3 1015 1501 4.32% 13.06% 82.62%-3.29 -14.8 4
2001-03-08 @ Lions FC W 7-126.3 1501 1015 82.62% 13.06% 4.32%+3.29 +14.8 28
2001-03-10 Manchester United Eurobet L 0-622.8 980 1535 2.96% 12.78% 84.26%-3.74 -12.3 1
2001-03-10 @ Pegasus W 6-022.8 1535 980 84.26% 12.78% 2.96%+3.74 +12.3 28
2001-03-10 St. Josephs D 1-161.5 1673 1184 82.68% 13.05% 4.27%+2.99 -13.7 29
2001-03-10 @ Glacis United D 1-161.5 1184 1673 4.27% 13.05% 82.68%-2.99 +13.7 16
2001-03-13 Pegasus W 6-130.8 1198 967 69.80% 13.83% 16.37%+1.33 +45.8 19
2001-03-13 @ St. Josephs L 1-630.8 967 1198 16.37% 13.83% 69.80%-1.33 -45.8 1
2001-03-13 Gibraltar United W 2-149.2 1547 1407 61.18% 13.97% 24.85%+0.75 +17.4 31
2001-03-13 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 1-249.2 1407 1547 24.85% 13.97% 61.18%-0.75 -17.4 20
2001-03-13 Glacis United L 0-723.2 1000 1659 1.67% 12.30% 86.03%-4.41 -8.0 4
2001-03-13 @ Lions FC W 7-023.2 1659 1000 86.03% 12.30% 1.67%+4.41 +8.0 32
2001-03-13 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-144.6 1390 1516 26.39% 13.99% 59.62%-0.98 -19.5 20
2001-03-13 @ Gibraltar United W 1-044.6 1516 1390 59.62% 13.99% 26.39%+0.98 +19.5 31
2001-03-20 St. Josephs L 1-336.1 992 1244 14.76% 13.78% 71.45%-1.78 -18.6 4
2001-03-20 @ Lions FC W 3-136.1 1244 992 71.45% 13.78% 14.76%+1.78 +18.6 22
2001-03-24 Lincoln Red Imps FL68.3 1667 1536 60.19% 13.98% 25.83%+0.69 +0.0 32
2001-03-24 @ Glacis United FW68.3 1536 1667 25.83% 13.98% 60.19%-0.69 +0.0 34
2001-03-24 Lincoln Red Imps W 4-154.9 1565 1536 47.11% 14.05% 38.83%+0.03 +63.3 34
2001-03-24 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 1-454.9 1536 1565 38.83% 14.05% 47.11%-0.03 -63.3 34
2001-03-24 St. Josephs W 5-032.0 1370 1262 57.37% 14.01% 28.63%+0.53 +92.4 23
2001-03-24 @ Gibraltar United L 0-532.0 1262 1370 28.63% 14.01% 57.37%-0.53 -92.4 22
2001-03-29 Lions FC W 5-037.3 922 974 35.72% 14.05% 50.23%-0.49 +151.5 4
2001-03-29 @ Pegasus L 0-537.3 974 922 50.23% 14.05% 35.72%+0.49 -151.5 4
2001-03-31 Glacis United D 0-068.0 1462 1667 18.52% 13.87% 67.61%-1.48 +9.2 24
2001-03-31 @ Gibraltar United D 0-068.0 1667 1462 67.61% 13.87% 18.52%+1.48 -9.2 33
2001-03-31 St. Josephs W 6-026.4 1472 1170 74.88% 13.66% 11.46%+1.79 +46.8 37
2001-03-31 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-626.4 1170 1472 11.46% 13.66% 74.88%-1.79 -46.8 22
2001-04-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-235.7 1073 1519 5.38% 13.22% 81.41%-3.03 -4.0 4
2001-04-02 @ Pegasus W 2-135.7 1519 1073 81.41% 13.22% 5.38%+3.03 +4.0 40
2001-04-02 Lions FC W 6-125.7 1628 822 87.72% 11.54% 0.74%+5.03 +2.1 37
2001-04-02 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 1-625.7 822 1628 0.74% 11.54% 87.72%-5.03 -2.1 4
2001-04-03 Glacis United L 1-334.3 1069 1658 2.46% 12.63% 84.91%-3.95 -3.2 4
2001-04-03 @ Pegasus W 3-134.3 1658 1069 84.91% 12.63% 2.46%+3.95 +3.2 36
2001-04-10 Pegasus W 3-027.9 1472 1066 79.97% 13.36% 6.68%+2.45 +14.5 27
2001-04-10 @ Gibraltar United L 0-327.9 1066 1472 6.68% 13.36% 79.97%-2.45 -14.5 4
2001-04-14 Gibraltar United L 0-621.8 820 1486 1.61% 12.27% 86.12%-4.45 -6.6 4
2001-04-14 @ Lions FC W 6-021.8 1486 820 86.12% 12.27% 1.61%+4.45 +6.6 30
2001-04-14 Lions FC W 4-023.4 1523 813 86.69% 12.05% 1.26%+4.41 +3.5 43
2001-04-14 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-423.4 813 1523 1.26% 12.05% 86.69%-4.41 -3.5 4
2001-04-14 Manchester United Eurobet D 1-174.1 1661 1630 47.39% 14.05% 38.56%+0.04 -1.4 37
2001-04-14 @ Glacis United D 1-174.1 1630 1661 38.56% 14.05% 47.39%-0.04 +1.4 38
2001-04-14 St. Josephs W 4-027.1 1632 1123 83.19% 12.98% 3.83%+3.11 +10.9 41
2001-04-14 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 0-427.1 1123 1632 3.83% 12.98% 83.19%-3.11 -10.9 22
2001-04-17 Pegasus W 3-027.7 1643 1052 84.94% 12.62% 2.44%+3.65 +5.3 44
2001-04-17 @ Manchester United Eurobet L 0-327.7 1052 1643 2.44% 12.62% 84.94%-3.65 -5.3 4
2001-04-17 Gibraltar United W 3-047.7 1527 1493 47.79% 14.05% 38.16%+0.06 +74.0 46
2001-04-17 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-347.7 1493 1527 38.16% 14.05% 47.79%-0.06 -74.0 30
2001-04-23 Manchester United Eurobet L 1-250.8 1419 1648 16.50% 13.83% 69.68%-1.64 -11.9 30
2001-04-23 @ Gibraltar United W 2-150.8 1648 1419 69.68% 13.83% 16.50%+1.64 +11.9 47
2001-04-24 Lions FC L 0-347.9 1112 810 74.90% 13.66% 11.44%+1.79 -139.5 22
2001-04-24 @ St. Josephs W 3-047.9 810 1112 11.44% 13.66% 74.90%-1.79 +139.5 7
2001-04-26 Pegasus W 2-030.1 1660 1046 85.33% 12.52% 2.15%+3.79 +3.2 40
2001-04-26 @ Glacis United L 0-230.1 1046 1660 2.15% 12.52% 85.33%-3.79 -3.2 4
2001-04-28 Gibraltar United D 0-053.8 973 1407 5.74% 13.26% 81.00%-2.95 +14.7 23
2001-04-28 @ St. Josephs D 0-053.8 1407 973 81.00% 13.26% 5.74%+2.95 -14.6 31
2001-04-28 Manchester United Eurobet W 2-060.8 1601 1660 34.76% 14.04% 51.20%-0.54 +65.9 49
2001-04-28 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-260.8 1660 1601 51.20% 14.04% 34.76%+0.54 -65.9 47
2001-04-30 Pegasus W 4-040.2 949 1043 30.30% 14.02% 55.68%-0.76 +135.3 10
2001-04-30 @ Lions FC L 0-440.2 1043 949 55.68% 14.02% 30.30%+0.76 -135.3 4
2001-05-08 Glacis United L 0-357.0 1667 1663 43.46% 14.06% 42.49%-0.14 -82.8 49
2001-05-08 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 3-057.0 1663 1667 42.49% 14.06% 43.46%+0.14 +82.8 43
2001-05-10 Gibraltar United L 2-631.7 908 1392 4.37% 13.07% 82.56%-3.28 -8.8 4
2001-05-10 @ Pegasus W 6-231.7 1392 908 82.56% 13.07% 4.37%+3.28 +8.8 34
2001-05-10 Manchester United Eurobet L 1-432.1 1085 1594 3.81% 12.97% 83.21%-3.44 -7.0 10
2001-05-10 @ Lions FC W 4-132.1 1594 1085 83.21% 12.97% 3.81%+3.44 +7.0 50
2001-05-12 Glacis United L 0-425.5 988 1746 0.96% 11.80% 87.24%-5.04 -2.7 23
2001-05-12 @ St. Josephs W 4-025.5 1746 988 87.24% 11.80% 0.96%+5.04 +2.7 46
2001-05-12 Lincoln Red Imps L 3-638.0 1078 1584 3.88% 12.98% 83.14%-3.42 -5.7 10
2001-05-12 @ Lions FC W 6-338.0 1584 1078 83.14% 12.98% 3.88%+3.42 +5.7 52
2001-05-12 Lions FC W 2-031.9 1749 1072 86.27% 12.22% 1.51%+4.20 +2.2 49
2001-05-12 @ Glacis United L 0-231.9 1072 1749 1.51% 12.22% 86.27%-4.20 -2.2 10
2001-05-12 Manchester United Eurobet L 1-234.5 985 1601 2.12% 12.51% 85.37%-4.13 -1.6 23
2001-05-12 @ St. Josephs W 2-134.5 1601 985 85.37% 12.51% 2.12%+4.13 +1.6 53
2001-05-12 St. Josephs W 3-253.9 899 983 31.48% 14.03% 54.50%-0.70 +33.1 7
2001-05-12 @ Pegasus L 2-353.9 983 899 54.50% 14.03% 31.48%+0.70 -33.1 23
2001-05-19 Pegasus W 7-228.8 1590 932 86.00% 12.31% 1.69%+4.07 +4.1 55
2001-05-19 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 2-728.8 932 1590 1.69% 12.31% 86.00%-4.07 -4.1 7
2001-05-19 Gibraltar United D 0-068.7 1751 1401 77.51% 13.53% 8.96%+2.09 -13.2 50
2001-05-19 @ Glacis United D 0-068.7 1401 1751 8.96% 13.53% 77.51%-2.09 +13.2 35
2001-05-19 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-430.3 950 1594 1.82% 12.38% 85.80%-4.30 -3.3 23
2001-05-19 @ St. Josephs W 4-130.3 1594 950 85.80% 12.38% 1.82%+4.30 +3.3 58
2001-05-24 Lions FC L 1-256.9 1414 1070 77.24% 13.55% 9.21%+2.06 -49.6 35
2001-05-24 @ Gibraltar United W 2-156.9 1070 1414 9.21% 13.55% 77.24%-2.06 +49.6 13
2001-05-25 Glacis United D 0-072.0 1602 1738 25.43% 13.98% 60.60%-1.03 +6.4 54
2001-05-25 @ Manchester United Eurobet D 0-072.0 1738 1602 60.60% 13.98% 25.43%+1.03 -6.4 51

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-05-24 9.21% Lions FC 1070 2 @ Gibraltar United 1414 1
2 2001-04-24 11.44% Lions FC 810 3 @ St. Josephs 1112 0
3 2000-11-20 21.32% @ Gibraltar United 1284 2 Glacis United 1458 0
4 2000-11-06 25.07% Lincoln Red Imps 1359 2 @ Glacis United 1497 1
5 2001-04-30 30.30% @ Lions FC 949 4 Pegasus 1043 0
6 2001-01-20 30.88% Glacis United 1487 3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1576 0
7 2001-05-12 31.48% @ Pegasus 899 3 St. Josephs 983 2
8 2001-04-28 34.76% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1601 2 Manchester United Eurobet 1660 0
9 2001-03-29 35.72% @ Pegasus 922 5 Lions FC 974 0
10 2001-05-08 42.49% Glacis United 1663 3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1667 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-03-29 151.53 @ Pegasus 5 922 35.72% Lions FC 0 974 50.23% 14.05%
2 2001-04-24 139.49 Lions FC 3 810 11.44% @ St. Josephs 0 1112 74.90% 13.66%
3 2001-04-30 135.29 @ Lions FC 4 949 30.30% Pegasus 0 1043 55.68% 14.02%
4 2000-10-14 131.96 Manchester United Eurobet 5 1328 42.97% @ Pegasus 0 1328 42.97% 14.06%
5 2001-01-20 102.53 Glacis United 3 1487 30.88% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1576 55.09% 14.02%
6 2001-03-24 92.37 @ Gibraltar United 5 1370 57.37% St. Josephs 0 1262 28.63% 14.01%
7 2000-10-23 88.81 Glacis United 4 1388 51.30% @ Lions FC 0 1328 34.65% 14.04%
8 2001-05-08 82.76 Glacis United 3 1663 42.49% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1667 43.46% 14.06%
9 2000-11-20 82.64 @ Gibraltar United 2 1284 21.32% Glacis United 0 1458 64.76% 13.92%
10 2000-12-09 78.03 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1488 49.14% Gibraltar United 1 1444 36.81% 14.05%
11 2001-04-17 73.95 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1527 47.79% Gibraltar United 0 1493 38.16% 14.05%
12 2000-11-10 71.10 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1398 49.48% St. Josephs 0 1351 36.47% 14.05%
13 2001-04-28 65.93 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1601 34.76% Manchester United Eurobet 0 1660 51.20% 14.04%
14 2001-03-24 63.33 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1565 47.11% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1536 38.83% 14.05%
15 2000-10-14 59.85 @ Glacis United 5 1328 42.97% St. Josephs 2 1328 42.97% 14.06%
16 2001-02-20 58.89 Glacis United 4 1614 50.22% @ Manchester United Eurobet 1 1562 35.73% 14.05%
17 2000-11-10 50.59 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1448 67.51% Lions FC 0 1244 18.62% 13.88%
18 2001-01-20 50.55 St. Josephs 7 1188 55.91% @ Lions FC 3 1092 30.07% 14.02%
19 2000-12-09 49.86 Glacis United 4 1380 56.38% @ St. Josephs 1 1280 29.61% 14.01%
20 2001-05-24 49.61 Lions FC 2 1070 9.21% @ Gibraltar United 1 1414 77.24% 13.55%
21 2000-11-27 48.14 Gibraltar United 5 1366 64.59% @ Lions FC 1 1193 21.49% 13.93%
22 2001-03-31 46.81 @ Lincoln Red Imps 6 1472 74.88% St. Josephs 0 1170 11.46% 13.66%
23 2001-03-13 45.79 @ St. Josephs 6 1198 69.80% Pegasus 1 967 16.37% 13.83%
24 2001-01-06 43.97 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1496 70.16% St. Josephs 0 1260 16.02% 13.82%
25 2000-11-04 42.34 Lions FC 3 1202 49.53% @ Pegasus 1 1155 36.42% 14.05%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-04-14 74.1 @ Glacis United 1 1661 47.39% Manchester United Eurobet 1 1630 38.56% 14.05%
2 2001-05-25 72.0 @ Manchester United Eurobet 0 1602 25.43% Glacis United 0 1738 60.60% 13.98%
3 2001-05-19 68.7 @ Glacis United 0 1751 77.51% Gibraltar United 0 1401 8.96% 13.53%
4 2001-03-31 68.0 @ Gibraltar United 0 1462 18.52% Glacis United 0 1667 67.61% 13.87%
5 2000-11-25 65.5 @ Glacis United 2 1376 26.87% Manchester United Eurobet 2 1498 59.14% 13.99%
6 2000-12-16 61.5 @ Gibraltar United 1 1366 25.40% Manchester United Eurobet 1 1501 60.63% 13.98%
7 2001-03-10 61.5 @ Glacis United 1 1673 82.68% St. Josephs 1 1184 4.27% 13.05%
8 2001-04-28 60.8 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1601 34.76% Manchester United Eurobet 0 1660 51.20% 14.04%
9 2000-10-28 57.2 @ Manchester United Eurobet 0 1453 56.26% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1354 29.72% 14.01%
10 2001-05-08 57.0 Glacis United 3 1663 42.49% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1667 43.46% 14.06%
11 2001-05-24 56.9 Lions FC 2 1070 9.21% @ Gibraltar United 1 1414 77.24% 13.55%
12 2000-11-06 56.8 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1359 25.07% @ Glacis United 1 1497 60.95% 13.97%
13 2000-10-21 56.3 @ Manchester United Eurobet 0 1460 63.06% Gibraltar United 0 1302 22.99% 13.95%
14 2001-02-20 56.1 Glacis United 4 1614 50.22% @ Manchester United Eurobet 1 1562 35.73% 14.05%
15 2000-10-16 55.5 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1328 42.97% @ Gibraltar United 3 1328 42.97% 14.06%
16 2000-10-21 55.2 @ St. Josephs 6 1268 52.92% Pegasus 5 1196 33.05% 14.03%
17 2001-03-24 54.9 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1565 47.11% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1536 38.83% 14.05%
18 2001-01-20 54.4 Glacis United 3 1487 30.88% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1576 55.09% 14.02%
19 2001-01-20 54.1 Manchester United Eurobet 2 1539 52.09% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1474 33.87% 14.04%
20 2001-05-12 53.9 @ Pegasus 3 899 31.48% St. Josephs 2 983 54.50% 14.03%
21 2001-04-28 53.8 @ St. Josephs 0 973 5.74% Gibraltar United 0 1407 81.00% 13.26%
22 2001-02-27 53.4 @ Lions FC 0 1031 47.52% Pegasus 0 999 38.43% 14.05%
23 2000-11-04 50.9 St. Josephs 3 1326 45.37% @ Gibraltar United 2 1309 40.58% 14.06%
24 2001-04-23 50.8 Manchester United Eurobet 2 1648 69.68% @ Gibraltar United 1 1419 16.50% 13.83%
25 2000-11-20 49.8 @ Gibraltar United 2 1284 21.32% Glacis United 0 1458 64.76% 13.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-04-14 21.8 Gibraltar United 6 1486 86.12% @ Lions FC 0 820 1.61% 12.27%
2 2001-03-10 22.8 Manchester United Eurobet 6 1535 84.26% @ Pegasus 0 980 2.96% 12.78%
3 2001-03-13 23.2 Glacis United 7 1659 86.03% @ Lions FC 0 1000 1.67% 12.30%
4 2001-04-14 23.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1523 86.69% Lions FC 0 813 1.26% 12.05%
5 2001-03-03 23.9 Manchester United Eurobet 5 1520 82.73% @ Lions FC 0 1030 4.22% 13.05%
6 2001-01-08 25.4 @ Glacis United 4 1472 81.33% Pegasus 0 1028 5.44% 13.22%
7 2001-05-12 25.5 Glacis United 4 1746 87.24% @ St. Josephs 0 988 0.96% 11.80%
8 2001-04-02 25.7 @ Manchester United Eurobet 6 1628 87.72% Lions FC 1 822 0.74% 11.54%
9 2001-03-06 25.8 Gibraltar United 4 1386 79.13% @ Pegasus 0 1001 7.45% 13.42%
10 2001-03-08 26.3 Lincoln Red Imps 7 1501 82.62% @ Lions FC 1 1015 4.32% 13.06%
11 2001-03-31 26.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 6 1472 74.88% St. Josephs 0 1170 11.46% 13.66%
12 2000-12-04 27.0 @ Gibraltar United 4 1414 75.95% Pegasus 0 1094 10.43% 13.61%
13 2001-04-14 27.1 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1632 83.19% St. Josephs 0 1123 3.83% 12.98%
14 2001-02-22 27.5 @ Lincoln Red Imps 6 1488 82.31% Pegasus 1 1012 4.58% 13.11%
15 2001-04-17 27.7 @ Manchester United Eurobet 3 1643 84.94% Pegasus 0 1052 2.44% 12.62%
16 2001-04-10 27.9 @ Gibraltar United 3 1472 79.97% Pegasus 0 1066 6.68% 13.36%
17 2001-01-06 28.3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1566 81.93% Lions FC 0 1103 4.92% 13.15%
18 2000-11-25 28.8 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1469 77.82% @ Pegasus 0 1113 8.67% 13.51%
19 2001-05-19 28.8 @ Lincoln Red Imps 7 1590 86.00% Pegasus 2 932 1.69% 12.31%
20 2000-12-16 29.3 @ Glacis United 7 1430 73.74% Lions FC 1 1145 12.55% 13.71%
21 2001-04-26 30.1 @ Glacis United 2 1660 85.33% Pegasus 0 1046 2.15% 12.52%
22 2001-05-19 30.3 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1594 85.80% @ St. Josephs 1 950 1.82% 12.38%
23 2001-03-13 30.8 @ St. Josephs 6 1198 69.80% Pegasus 1 967 16.37% 13.83%
24 2000-11-10 30.9 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1448 67.51% Lions FC 0 1244 18.62% 13.88%
25 2001-01-06 31.0 @ Manchester United Eurobet 4 1496 70.16% St. Josephs 0 1260 16.02% 13.82%