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2009-10 Gibraltar Premier Division Season

61 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

49 points · 16th Title

Last Title: 2008-09

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gibraltar United

10.40 points above expected

27 points · 16.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

College Cosmos

9.67 points below expected

5 points · 14.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 17 16 1 0 49 67 12 +55 38.65 +10.35
2 St. Josephs 18 8 5 5 29 37 31 +6 29.49 -0.49
3 Gibraltar United 18 8 3 7 27 20 32 -12 16.60 +10.40
4 Glacis United 17 5 6 6 21 30 30 0 28.59 -7.59
5 Manchester Digibet 18 4 7 7 19 28 39 -11 17.16 +1.84
6 Laguna FC 18 4 5 9 17 21 32 -11 22.79 -5.79
7 College Cosmos 16 0 5 11 5 12 39 -27 14.67 -9.67

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gibraltar United 27 16.60 +10.40
2 Lincoln Red Imps 49 38.65 +10.35
3 Manchester Digibet 19 17.16 +1.84
4 St. Josephs 29 29.49 -0.49
5 Laguna FC 17 22.79 -5.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 College Cosmos 5 14.67 -9.67
2 Glacis United 21 28.59 -7.59
3 Laguna FC 17 22.79 -5.79
4 St. Josephs 29 29.49 -0.49
5 Manchester Digibet 19 17.16 +1.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lincoln Red Imps 9 Oct 17 – Dec 14 1 in 61
2 Manchester Digibet 3 Jan 16 – Feb 6 1 in 34
3 Gibraltar United 2 Feb 20 – Mar 20 1 in 24
4 St. Josephs 3 Oct 31 – Nov 9 1 in 15
5 Glacis United 3 Oct 10 – Oct 27 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 College Cosmos 6 Nov 17 – Jan 16 1 in 65
2 Laguna FC 4 Oct 27 – Nov 24 1 in 35
3 St. Josephs 2 Jan 26 – Feb 6 1 in 9
4 Glacis United 2 Nov 2 – Nov 9 1 in 8
5 Manchester Digibet 3 Oct 19 – Nov 3 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester Digibet 5 Dec 22 – Feb 20 1 in 18
2 Gibraltar United 3 Nov 16 – Dec 1 1 in 7
3 Laguna FC 4 Jan 26 – Feb 27 1 in 6
4 Lincoln Red Imps 17 Oct 17 – Apr 10 1 in 6
5 St. Josephs 5 Oct 31 – Nov 24 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glacis United 9 Dec 15 – Mar 23 1 in 147
2 College Cosmos 16 Oct 5 – Mar 27 1 in 96
3 Laguna FC 5 Feb 2 – Apr 10 1 in 13
4 Manchester Digibet 8 Oct 10 – Dec 1 1 in 5
5 Lincoln Red Imps 1 Dec 21 – Dec 21 1 in 3

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1250 49 +55 15 12.2 +2.8
St. Josephs 862 29 -36 7 8.3 -1.3
Gibraltar United 809 27 +126 9 3.1 +5.9
Glacis United 797 21 -119 2 6.7 -4.7
Manchester Digibet 797 19 +0 5 6.7 -1.7
Laguna FC 784 17 -42 3 6.9 -3.9
College Cosmos 572 5 +0 3 2.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CC GU GU LAG LRI MD SJ
College Cosmos —
0-0-3
4.11
0-1-1
1.31
0-2-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.02
0-2-1
3.44
0-0-3
2.38
Gibraltar United
3-0-0
4.08
 —
1-0-2
2.44
3-0-0
2.54
0-0-3
1.01
0-2-1
4.20
1-1-1
2.15
Glacis United
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-1
5.77
 —
1-1-1
5.10
0-1-2
2.11
1-1-1
6.23
0-2-1
3.88
Laguna FC
1-2-0
5.17
0-0-3
5.66
1-1-1
3.08
 —
0-0-3
1.20
1-1-1
5.28
1-1-1
3.06
Lincoln Red Imps
2-0-0
4.54
3-0-0
7.39
2-1-0
6.16
3-0-0
7.16
 —
3-0-0
7.08
3-0-0
6.07
Manchester Digibet
1-2-0
4.76
1-2-0
3.97
1-1-1
2.00
1-1-1
2.91
0-0-3
1.26
 —
0-1-2
2.19
St. Josephs
3-0-0
5.87
1-1-1
6.07
1-2-0
4.29
1-1-1
5.12
0-0-3
2.16
2-1-0
6.03
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +7.0
Allowed 0.82 -13.6
Differential 0.88 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.28%4.92%4.10%3.28%1.64%3.28%20.49%
14.92%14.75%4.92%4.92%2.46%2.46%34.43%
24.10%4.92%6.56%2.46%0.82%1.64%20.49%
33.28%4.92%2.46%1.64%——12.30%
41.64%2.46%0.82%———4.92%
5+3.28%2.46%1.64%———7.38%
Total20.49%34.43%20.49%12.30%4.92%7.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.66
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 61

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%—12.50%—6.25%37.50%
1—18.75%6.25%12.50%12.50%—50.00%
2———6.25%—6.25%12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%25.00%6.25%31.25%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.44 -1.69
SD 0.68 1.63 1.54
CV 0.91 0.67 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%11.11%11.11%—5.56%33.33%
116.67%11.11%———5.56%33.33%
211.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%22.22%11.11%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.78 -0.67
SD 1.02 2.05 2.61
CV 0.92 1.15 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.88%—5.88%5.88%17.65%
111.76%23.53%11.76%5.88%——52.94%
2——5.88%———5.88%
3———5.88%——5.88%
4—5.88%5.88%———11.76%
5+5.88%—————5.88%
Total17.65%29.41%29.41%11.76%5.88%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 2.02 1.39 2.85
CV 1.14 0.79 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%—5.56%5.56%38.89%
1—16.67%5.56%——5.56%27.78%
25.56%5.56%5.56%—5.56%—22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total16.67%44.44%16.67%—11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.78 -0.61
SD 1.34 1.63 2.38
CV 1.15 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—5.88%————5.88%
211.76%5.88%————17.65%
311.76%5.88%5.88%———23.53%
411.76%5.88%————17.65%
5+11.76%11.76%11.76%———35.29%
Total47.06%35.29%17.65%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.94 0.71 +3.24
SD 2.08 0.77 1.92
CV 0.53 1.09 —
Max 10 2 +8
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
15.56%22.22%5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%50.00%
2——11.11%5.56%—5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total16.67%38.89%16.67%11.11%5.56%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 2.17 -0.61
SD 1.20 2.48 2.75
CV 0.77 1.14 —
Max 5 10 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.56%———5.56%
1—5.56%5.56%11.11%——22.22%
2—16.67%16.67%5.56%——38.89%
35.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total5.56%38.89%33.33%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.72 +0.33
SD 1.00 0.89 1.57
CV 0.49 0.52 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lincoln Red Imps 1250 49 38.65 +10.35 99.0% 25 29 35 39 43 47 51
St. Josephs 862 29 29.49 -0.49 46.0% 20 21 26 30 33 37 40
Gibraltar United 809 27 16.60 +10.40 99.0% 8 9 14 16 19 24 28
Manchester Digibet 797 19 17.16 +1.84 68.0% 8 9 14 17 21 25 29
Glacis United 797 21 29.97 -8.97 4.0% 13 22 27 30 34 38 41
Laguna FC 784 17 22.79 -5.79 17.0% 13 15 19 22 27 31 34
College Cosmos 572 5 16.05 -11.05 1.0% 3 8 12 16 20 24 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.20%
Strong Edge
40.98%26.23%32.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 28.54 Elo pts.
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.02 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
12347
Champion Preseason Odds
79%
Lincoln Red Imps, 1st of 7
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
1.18/gm
Runaway
00.422/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.91 * Some Luck: 3.91 to 5.87 * Lucky: 5.87 to 7.82 * Wild Swing: 7.82 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.64 * Close: 0.64 to 0.96 * Off: 0.96 to 1.28 * Way Off: 1.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 7 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 7 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 7 * As Expected: 7 to 11.2 * Several Outliers: 11.2 to 15.4 * Many Outliers: 15.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.04 points
Wild Swing
04.8912
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Off
00.802
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 92.86%
99.00%
Lincoln Red Imps
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
1.00%
College Cosmos
07.14%50
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 7
Minimal Outliers
00.77

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Top-Heavy
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 203.50
2.52
Strong Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
56%
Even
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Rare
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.83
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.32
Some Carryover
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.19 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.19 to 0.29 * Above Noise: 0.29 to 0.39 * Well Above Noise: 0.39 and up.
Probability calibration
0.96
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.161
Well Within Noise
00.1930.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567
Lincoln Red Imps79.00%16.00%4.00%1.00%———
St. Josephs9.00%36.00%39.00%12.00%4.00%——
Gibraltar United—1.00%3.00%8.00%27.00%30.00%31.00%
Glacis United12.00%38.00%30.00%18.00%1.00%—1.00%
Manchester Digibet—2.00%4.00%16.00%27.00%23.00%28.00%
Laguna FC—7.00%18.00%35.00%24.00%11.00%5.00%
College Cosmos——2.00%10.00%17.00%36.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
College Cosmos 100%
Gibraltar United 100%
Glacis United 100%
Laguna FC 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Manchester Digibet 100%
St. Josephs 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-10-05 College Cosmos W 2-149.6 748 859 25.39% 27.50% 47.11%-0.52 +24.7 3
2009-10-05 @ Gibraltar United L 1-249.6 859 748 47.11% 27.50% 25.39%+0.52 -24.7 0
2009-10-06 St. Josephs D 2-254.8 846 857 38.58% 27.81% 33.61%+0.11 -0.4 1
2009-10-06 @ Laguna FC D 2-254.8 857 846 33.61% 27.81% 38.58%-0.11 +0.4 1
2009-10-10 Manchester Digibet W 1-035.5 871 711 58.46% 26.17% 15.36%+1.19 +10.7 3
2009-10-10 @ Glacis United L 0-135.5 711 871 15.36% 26.17% 58.46%-1.19 -10.7 0
2009-10-12 Laguna FC D 1-150.2 834 845 38.58% 27.81% 33.62%+0.11 -0.5 1
2009-10-12 @ College Cosmos D 1-150.2 845 834 33.62% 27.81% 38.58%-0.11 +0.5 2
2009-10-13 Gibraltar United D 1-150.2 700 773 29.99% 27.72% 42.29%-0.28 +1.4 1
2009-10-13 @ Manchester Digibet D 1-150.2 773 700 42.29% 27.72% 29.99%+0.28 -1.4 4
2009-10-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-242.7 857 980 24.01% 27.40% 48.60%-0.60 -14.7 1
2009-10-17 @ St. Josephs W 2-142.7 980 857 48.60% 27.40% 24.01%+0.60 +14.7 3
2009-10-19 Manchester Digibet W 3-138.6 846 701 57.02% 26.43% 16.55%+1.09 +18.7 5
2009-10-19 @ Laguna FC L 1-338.6 701 846 16.55% 26.43% 57.02%-1.09 -18.7 1
2009-10-20 College Cosmos W 5-239.9 995 834 58.55% 26.16% 15.29%+1.20 +21.4 6
2009-10-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 2-539.9 834 995 15.29% 26.16% 58.55%-1.20 -21.4 1
2009-10-24 Glacis United L 0-834.9 772 881 25.48% 27.50% 47.01%-0.51 -112.6 4
2009-10-24 @ Gibraltar United W 8-034.9 881 772 47.01% 27.50% 25.48%+0.51 +112.6 6
2009-10-26 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-631.3 683 1016 8.76% 23.78% 67.46%-1.93 -22.9 1
2009-10-26 @ Manchester Digibet W 6-131.3 1016 683 67.46% 23.78% 8.76%+1.93 +22.9 9
2009-10-27 Laguna FC W 4-243.2 994 865 55.55% 26.65% 17.80%+1.00 +17.8 9
2009-10-27 @ Glacis United L 2-443.2 865 994 17.80% 26.65% 55.55%-1.00 -17.8 5
2009-10-31 St. Josephs L 1-443.2 812 842 35.87% 27.82% 36.31%-0.01 -48.8 1
2009-10-31 @ College Cosmos W 4-143.2 842 812 36.31% 27.82% 35.87%+0.01 +48.8 4
2009-11-02 Glacis United W 5-035.0 1039 1012 43.76% 27.67% 28.57%+0.35 +78.8 12
2009-11-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-535.0 1012 1039 28.57% 27.67% 43.76%-0.35 -78.8 9
2009-11-03 Manchester Digibet W 2-138.0 891 660 64.32% 24.80% 10.87%+1.64 +7.3 7
2009-11-03 @ St. Josephs L 1-238.0 660 891 10.87% 24.80% 64.32%-1.64 -7.3 1
2009-11-07 Gibraltar United L 0-149.0 847 659 60.88% 25.68% 13.43%+1.37 -33.0 5
2009-11-07 @ Laguna FC W 1-049.0 659 847 13.43% 25.68% 60.88%-1.37 +33.0 7
2009-11-09 St. Josephs L 1-249.0 933 899 44.71% 27.63% 27.66%+0.40 -23.6 9
2009-11-09 @ Glacis United W 2-149.0 899 933 27.66% 27.63% 44.71%-0.40 +23.6 10
2009-11-10 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-327.5 692 1118 5.64% 21.42% 72.95%-2.51 -10.7 7
2009-11-10 @ Gibraltar United W 3-027.5 1118 692 72.95% 21.42% 5.64%+2.51 +10.7 15
2009-11-14 College Cosmos D 0-046.9 652 764 25.33% 27.49% 47.17%-0.52 +2.9 2
2009-11-14 @ Manchester Digibet D 0-046.9 764 652 47.17% 27.49% 25.33%+0.52 -2.9 2
2009-11-16 Gibraltar United D 1-151.1 922 681 65.02% 24.59% 10.39%+1.70 -7.1 11
2009-11-16 @ St. Josephs D 1-151.1 681 922 10.39% 24.59% 65.02%-1.70 +7.1 8
2009-11-17 Glacis United L 1-438.6 761 909 21.29% 27.14% 51.57%-0.76 -32.7 2
2009-11-17 @ College Cosmos W 4-138.6 909 761 51.57% 27.14% 21.29%+0.76 +32.7 12
2009-11-21 Laguna FC W 4-027.5 1128 814 69.87% 22.84% 7.29%+2.17 +18.5 18
2009-11-21 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-427.5 814 1128 7.29% 22.84% 69.87%-2.17 -18.5 5
2009-11-23 Gibraltar United L 2-353.8 728 688 45.37% 27.60% 27.03%+0.43 -22.7 2
2009-11-23 @ College Cosmos W 3-253.8 688 728 27.03% 27.60% 45.37%-0.43 +22.7 11
2009-11-24 Laguna FC W 2-140.9 915 795 54.57% 26.79% 18.64%+0.94 +12.0 14
2009-11-24 @ St. Josephs L 1-240.9 795 915 18.64% 26.79% 54.57%-0.94 -12.0 5
2009-11-28 Glacis United D 1-151.0 655 942 10.96% 24.84% 64.20%-1.63 +6.9 3
2009-11-28 @ Manchester Digibet D 1-151.0 942 655 64.20% 24.84% 10.96%+1.63 -6.9 13
2009-11-30 College Cosmos W 5-033.1 783 705 50.03% 27.28% 22.69%+0.67 +65.8 8
2009-11-30 @ Laguna FC L 0-533.1 705 783 22.69% 27.28% 50.03%-0.67 -65.8 2
2009-12-01 Manchester Digibet D 2-254.9 711 662 46.52% 27.53% 25.94%+0.49 -1.8 12
2009-12-01 @ Gibraltar United D 2-254.9 662 711 25.94% 27.53% 46.52%-0.49 +1.8 4
2009-12-05 St. Josephs W 3-136.7 1147 927 63.45% 25.05% 11.50%+1.57 +13.4 21
2009-12-05 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-336.7 927 1147 11.50% 25.05% 63.45%-1.57 -13.4 14
2009-12-07 Laguna FC W 1-047.7 664 849 17.92% 26.67% 55.41%-0.99 +30.2 7
2009-12-07 @ Manchester Digibet L 0-147.7 849 664 55.41% 26.67% 17.92%+0.99 -30.2 8
2009-12-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-326.1 639 1160 3.58% 18.78% 77.64%-3.11 -6.5 2
2009-12-08 @ College Cosmos W 3-026.1 1160 639 77.64% 18.78% 3.58%+3.11 +6.5 24
2009-12-12 Gibraltar United W 1-033.9 935 709 63.91% 24.92% 11.17%+1.61 +8.0 16
2009-12-12 @ Glacis United L 0-133.9 709 935 11.17% 24.92% 63.91%-1.61 -8.0 12
2009-12-14 Manchester Digibet W 4-130.6 1167 694 78.04% 18.53% 3.43%+3.17 +5.2 27
2009-12-14 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-430.6 694 1167 3.43% 18.53% 78.04%-3.17 -5.2 7
2009-12-15 Glacis United W 2-150.1 819 943 23.85% 27.38% 48.76%-0.61 +25.4 11
2009-12-15 @ Laguna FC L 1-250.1 943 819 48.76% 27.38% 23.85%+0.61 -25.4 16
2009-12-19 College Cosmos W 3-135.4 914 633 67.73% 23.68% 8.59%+1.96 +10.0 17
2009-12-19 @ St. Josephs L 1-335.4 633 914 8.59% 23.68% 67.73%-1.96 -10.0 2
2009-12-21 Lincoln Red Imps D 1-150.9 918 1172 12.84% 25.51% 61.65%-1.43 +6.3 17
2009-12-21 @ Glacis United D 1-150.9 1172 918 61.65% 25.51% 12.84%+1.43 -6.3 28
2009-12-22 St. Josephs D 2-255.4 689 924 14.12% 25.87% 60.01%-1.30 +4.4 8
2009-12-22 @ Manchester Digibet D 2-255.4 924 689 60.01% 25.87% 14.12%+1.30 -4.4 18
2010-01-09 Laguna FC W 2-044.5 701 844 21.87% 27.20% 50.93%-0.72 +52.8 15
2010-01-09 @ Gibraltar United L 0-244.5 844 701 50.93% 27.20% 21.87%+0.72 -52.8 11
2010-01-11 Glacis United D 2-254.8 919 924 39.45% 27.79% 32.75%+0.15 -0.5 19
2010-01-11 @ St. Josephs D 2-254.8 924 919 32.75% 27.79% 39.45%-0.15 +0.6 18
2010-01-16 Manchester Digibet L 0-336.8 623 693 30.35% 27.74% 41.92%-0.26 -51.2 2
2010-01-16 @ College Cosmos W 3-036.8 693 623 41.92% 27.74% 30.35%+0.26 +51.2 11
2010-01-18 St. Josephs L 0-333.4 754 919 19.75% 26.95% 53.30%-0.86 -36.5 15
2010-01-18 @ Gibraltar United W 3-033.4 919 754 53.30% 26.95% 19.75%+0.86 +36.5 22
2010-01-19 College Cosmos D 1-151.9 925 572 72.08% 21.84% 6.08%+2.41 -8.8 19
2010-01-19 @ Glacis United D 1-151.9 572 925 6.08% 21.84% 72.08%-2.41 +8.8 3
2010-01-23 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-527.1 792 1166 7.21% 22.77% 70.02%-2.19 -22.5 11
2010-01-23 @ Laguna FC W 5-027.1 1166 792 70.02% 22.77% 7.21%+2.19 +22.5 31
2010-01-25 College Cosmos W 1-036.2 718 581 56.29% 26.54% 17.17%+1.05 +11.8 18
2010-01-25 @ Gibraltar United L 0-136.2 581 718 17.17% 26.54% 56.29%-1.05 -11.8 3
2010-01-26 St. Josephs W 2-045.7 769 955 17.83% 26.66% 55.52%-1.00 +57.1 14
2010-01-26 @ Laguna FC L 0-245.7 955 769 55.52% 26.66% 17.83%+1.00 -57.1 22
2010-01-30 Manchester Digibet L 1-351.3 916 745 59.47% 25.98% 14.55%+1.26 -52.7 19
2010-01-30 @ Glacis United W 3-151.3 745 916 14.55% 25.98% 59.47%-1.26 +52.7 14
2010-02-02 Laguna FC D 0-047.5 569 826 12.65% 25.44% 61.90%-1.45 +7.1 4
2010-02-02 @ College Cosmos D 0-047.5 826 569 61.90% 25.44% 12.65%+1.45 -7.1 15
2010-02-06 Gibraltar United W 5-138.0 797 729 48.84% 27.38% 23.79%+0.61 +46.2 17
2010-02-06 @ Manchester Digibet L 1-538.0 729 797 23.79% 27.38% 48.84%-0.61 -46.2 18
2010-02-06 Lincoln Red Imps L 2-342.6 898 1188 10.80% 24.77% 64.44%-1.65 -6.9 22
2010-02-06 @ St. Josephs W 3-242.6 1188 898 64.44% 24.77% 10.80%+1.65 +6.9 34
2010-02-20 Glacis United W 2-045.5 683 863 18.37% 26.74% 54.89%-0.96 +56.5 21
2010-02-20 @ Gibraltar United L 0-245.5 863 683 54.89% 26.74% 18.37%+0.96 -56.5 19
2010-02-20 Manchester Digibet D 1-150.2 819 843 36.68% 27.82% 35.50%+0.03 -0.1 16
2010-02-20 @ Laguna FC D 1-150.2 843 819 35.50% 27.82% 36.68%-0.03 +0.1 18
2010-02-25 Lincoln Red Imps L 2-1030.2 844 1195 8.03% 23.34% 68.63%-2.04 -26.4 18
2010-02-25 @ Manchester Digibet W 10-230.2 1195 844 68.63% 23.34% 8.03%+2.04 +26.4 37
2010-02-27 Laguna FC D 1-150.2 807 819 38.42% 27.81% 33.77%+0.10 -0.5 20
2010-02-27 @ Glacis United D 1-150.2 819 807 33.77% 27.81% 38.42%-0.10 +0.5 17
2010-02-27 St. Josephs L 1-335.8 576 891 9.56% 24.21% 66.24%-1.81 -11.2 4
2010-02-27 @ College Cosmos W 3-135.8 891 576 66.24% 24.21% 9.56%+1.81 +11.2 25
2010-03-16 Glacis United W 4-025.8 1222 806 75.35% 20.13% 4.51%+2.81 +10.9 40
2010-03-16 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-425.8 806 1222 4.51% 20.13% 75.35%-2.81 -10.9 20
2010-03-20 Gibraltar United L 0-146.3 819 740 50.22% 27.26% 22.52%+0.68 -27.6 17
2010-03-20 @ Laguna FC W 1-046.3 740 819 22.52% 27.26% 50.22%-0.68 +27.6 24
2010-03-20 Manchester Digibet W 3-246.7 902 817 50.85% 27.21% 21.94%+0.72 +13.0 28
2010-03-20 @ St. Josephs L 2-346.7 817 902 21.94% 27.21% 50.85%-0.72 -13.0 18
2010-03-23 St. Josephs D 3-359.2 795 915 24.31% 27.42% 48.27%-0.58 +1.8 21
2010-03-23 @ Glacis United D 3-359.2 915 795 48.27% 27.42% 24.31%+0.58 -1.8 29
2010-03-27 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-228.5 767 1233 4.67% 20.34% 74.99%-2.76 -6.0 24
2010-03-27 @ Gibraltar United W 2-028.5 1233 767 74.99% 20.34% 4.67%+2.76 +6.0 43
2010-03-27 College Cosmos D 1-151.1 804 565 64.90% 24.63% 10.47%+1.69 -7.1 19
2010-03-27 @ Manchester Digibet D 1-151.1 565 804 10.47% 24.63% 64.90%-1.69 +7.1 5
2010-04-06 Gibraltar United W 2-027.5 1239 761 78.24% 18.40% 3.36%+3.20 +4.1 46
2010-04-06 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-227.5 761 1239 3.36% 18.40% 78.24%-3.20 -4.1 24
2010-04-10 Gibraltar United L 1-351.0 914 757 58.13% 26.23% 15.63%+1.17 -51.6 29
2010-04-10 @ St. Josephs W 3-151.0 757 914 15.63% 26.23% 58.13%-1.17 +51.6 27
2010-04-10 Laguna FC W 5-129.5 1243 792 77.05% 19.14% 3.81%+3.03 +7.5 49
2010-04-10 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-529.5 792 1243 3.81% 19.14% 77.05%-3.03 -7.5 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-11-07 13.43% Gibraltar United 659 1 @ Laguna FC 847 0
2 2010-01-30 14.55% Manchester Digibet 745 3 @ Glacis United 916 1
3 2010-04-10 15.63% Gibraltar United 757 3 @ St. Josephs 914 1
4 2010-01-26 17.83% @ Laguna FC 769 2 St. Josephs 955 0
5 2009-12-07 17.92% @ Manchester Digibet 664 1 Laguna FC 849 0
6 2010-02-20 18.37% @ Gibraltar United 683 2 Glacis United 863 0
7 2010-01-09 21.87% @ Gibraltar United 701 2 Laguna FC 844 0
8 2010-03-20 22.52% Gibraltar United 740 1 @ Laguna FC 819 0
9 2009-12-15 23.85% @ Laguna FC 819 2 Glacis United 943 1
10 2009-10-05 25.39% @ Gibraltar United 748 2 College Cosmos 859 1
11 2009-11-23 27.03% Gibraltar United 688 3 @ College Cosmos 728 2
12 2009-11-09 27.66% St. Josephs 899 2 @ Glacis United 933 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-10-24 112.62 Glacis United 8 881 47.01% @ Gibraltar United 0 772 25.48% 27.50%
2 2009-11-02 78.76 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1039 43.76% Glacis United 0 1012 28.57% 27.67%
3 2009-11-30 65.79 @ Laguna FC 5 783 50.03% College Cosmos 0 705 22.69% 27.28%
4 2010-01-26 57.07 @ Laguna FC 2 769 17.83% St. Josephs 0 955 55.52% 26.66%
5 2010-02-20 56.48 @ Gibraltar United 2 683 18.37% Glacis United 0 863 54.89% 26.74%
6 2010-01-09 52.79 @ Gibraltar United 2 701 21.87% Laguna FC 0 844 50.93% 27.20%
7 2010-01-30 52.69 Manchester Digibet 3 745 14.55% @ Glacis United 1 916 59.47% 25.98%
8 2010-04-10 51.58 Gibraltar United 3 757 15.63% @ St. Josephs 1 914 58.13% 26.23%
9 2010-01-16 51.20 Manchester Digibet 3 693 41.92% @ College Cosmos 0 623 30.35% 27.74%
10 2009-10-31 48.83 St. Josephs 4 842 36.31% @ College Cosmos 1 812 35.87% 27.82%
11 2010-02-06 46.18 @ Manchester Digibet 5 797 48.84% Gibraltar United 1 729 23.79% 27.38%
12 2010-01-18 36.46 St. Josephs 3 919 53.30% @ Gibraltar United 0 754 19.75% 26.95%
13 2009-11-07 32.98 Gibraltar United 1 659 13.43% @ Laguna FC 0 847 60.88% 25.68%
14 2009-11-17 32.72 Glacis United 4 909 51.57% @ College Cosmos 1 761 21.29% 27.14%
15 2009-12-07 30.21 @ Manchester Digibet 1 664 17.92% Laguna FC 0 849 55.41% 26.67%
16 2010-03-20 27.65 Gibraltar United 1 740 22.52% @ Laguna FC 0 819 50.22% 27.26%
17 2010-02-25 26.44 Lincoln Red Imps 10 1195 68.63% @ Manchester Digibet 2 844 8.03% 23.34%
18 2009-12-15 25.41 @ Laguna FC 2 819 23.85% Glacis United 1 943 48.76% 27.38%
19 2009-10-05 24.67 @ Gibraltar United 2 748 25.39% College Cosmos 1 859 47.11% 27.50%
20 2009-11-09 23.61 St. Josephs 2 899 27.66% @ Glacis United 1 933 44.71% 27.63%
21 2009-10-26 22.85 Lincoln Red Imps 6 1016 67.46% @ Manchester Digibet 1 683 8.76% 23.78%
22 2009-11-23 22.68 Gibraltar United 3 688 27.03% @ College Cosmos 2 728 45.37% 27.60%
23 2010-01-23 22.53 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1166 70.02% @ Laguna FC 0 792 7.21% 22.77%
24 2009-10-20 21.36 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 995 58.55% College Cosmos 2 834 15.29% 26.16%
25 2009-10-19 18.70 @ Laguna FC 3 846 57.02% Manchester Digibet 1 701 16.55% 26.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-03-23 59.2 @ Glacis United 3 795 24.31% St. Josephs 3 915 48.27% 27.42%
2 2009-12-22 55.4 @ Manchester Digibet 2 689 14.12% St. Josephs 2 924 60.01% 25.87%
3 2009-12-01 54.9 @ Gibraltar United 2 711 46.52% Manchester Digibet 2 662 25.94% 27.53%
4 2009-10-06 54.8 @ Laguna FC 2 846 38.58% St. Josephs 2 857 33.61% 27.81%
5 2010-01-11 54.8 @ St. Josephs 2 919 39.45% Glacis United 2 924 32.75% 27.79%
6 2009-11-23 53.8 Gibraltar United 3 688 27.03% @ College Cosmos 2 728 45.37% 27.60%
7 2010-01-19 51.9 @ Glacis United 1 925 72.08% College Cosmos 1 572 6.08% 21.84%
8 2010-01-30 51.3 Manchester Digibet 3 745 14.55% @ Glacis United 1 916 59.47% 25.98%
9 2009-11-16 51.1 @ St. Josephs 1 922 65.02% Gibraltar United 1 681 10.39% 24.59%
10 2010-03-27 51.1 @ Manchester Digibet 1 804 64.90% College Cosmos 1 565 10.47% 24.63%
11 2009-11-28 51.0 @ Manchester Digibet 1 655 10.96% Glacis United 1 942 64.20% 24.84%
12 2010-04-10 51.0 Gibraltar United 3 757 15.63% @ St. Josephs 1 914 58.13% 26.23%
13 2009-12-21 50.9 @ Glacis United 1 918 12.84% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1172 61.65% 25.51%
14 2009-10-12 50.2 @ College Cosmos 1 834 38.58% Laguna FC 1 845 33.62% 27.81%
15 2009-10-13 50.2 @ Manchester Digibet 1 700 29.99% Gibraltar United 1 773 42.29% 27.72%
16 2010-02-20 50.2 @ Laguna FC 1 819 36.68% Manchester Digibet 1 843 35.50% 27.82%
17 2010-02-27 50.2 @ Glacis United 1 807 38.42% Laguna FC 1 819 33.77% 27.81%
18 2009-12-15 50.1 @ Laguna FC 2 819 23.85% Glacis United 1 943 48.76% 27.38%
19 2009-10-05 49.6 @ Gibraltar United 2 748 25.39% College Cosmos 1 859 47.11% 27.50%
20 2009-11-07 49.0 Gibraltar United 1 659 13.43% @ Laguna FC 0 847 60.88% 25.68%
21 2009-11-09 49.0 St. Josephs 2 899 27.66% @ Glacis United 1 933 44.71% 27.63%
22 2009-12-07 47.7 @ Manchester Digibet 1 664 17.92% Laguna FC 0 849 55.41% 26.67%
23 2010-02-02 47.5 @ College Cosmos 0 569 12.65% Laguna FC 0 826 61.90% 25.44%
24 2009-11-14 46.9 @ Manchester Digibet 0 652 25.33% College Cosmos 0 764 47.17% 27.49%
25 2010-03-20 46.7 @ St. Josephs 3 902 50.85% Manchester Digibet 2 817 21.94% 27.21%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-03-16 25.8 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1222 75.35% Glacis United 0 806 4.51% 20.13%
2 2009-12-08 26.1 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1160 77.64% @ College Cosmos 0 639 3.58% 18.78%
3 2010-01-23 27.1 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1166 70.02% @ Laguna FC 0 792 7.21% 22.77%
4 2009-11-10 27.5 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1118 72.95% @ Gibraltar United 0 692 5.64% 21.42%
5 2009-11-21 27.5 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1128 69.87% Laguna FC 0 814 7.29% 22.84%
6 2010-04-06 27.5 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1239 78.24% Gibraltar United 0 761 3.36% 18.40%
7 2010-03-27 28.5 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1233 74.99% @ Gibraltar United 0 767 4.67% 20.34%
8 2010-04-10 29.5 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1243 77.05% Laguna FC 1 792 3.81% 19.14%
9 2010-02-25 30.2 Lincoln Red Imps 10 1195 68.63% @ Manchester Digibet 2 844 8.03% 23.34%
10 2009-12-14 30.6 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1167 78.04% Manchester Digibet 1 694 3.43% 18.53%
11 2009-10-26 31.3 Lincoln Red Imps 6 1016 67.46% @ Manchester Digibet 1 683 8.76% 23.78%
12 2009-11-30 33.1 @ Laguna FC 5 783 50.03% College Cosmos 0 705 22.69% 27.28%
13 2010-01-18 33.4 St. Josephs 3 919 53.30% @ Gibraltar United 0 754 19.75% 26.95%
14 2009-12-12 33.9 @ Glacis United 1 935 63.91% Gibraltar United 0 709 11.17% 24.92%
15 2009-10-24 34.9 Glacis United 8 881 47.01% @ Gibraltar United 0 772 25.48% 27.50%
16 2009-11-02 35.0 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1039 43.76% Glacis United 0 1012 28.57% 27.67%
17 2009-12-19 35.4 @ St. Josephs 3 914 67.73% College Cosmos 1 633 8.59% 23.68%
18 2009-10-10 35.5 @ Glacis United 1 871 58.46% Manchester Digibet 0 711 15.36% 26.17%
19 2010-02-27 35.8 St. Josephs 3 891 66.24% @ College Cosmos 1 576 9.56% 24.21%
20 2010-01-25 36.2 @ Gibraltar United 1 718 56.29% College Cosmos 0 581 17.17% 26.54%
21 2009-12-05 36.7 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1147 63.45% St. Josephs 1 927 11.50% 25.05%
22 2010-01-16 36.8 Manchester Digibet 3 693 41.92% @ College Cosmos 0 623 30.35% 27.74%
23 2009-11-03 38.0 @ St. Josephs 2 891 64.32% Manchester Digibet 1 660 10.87% 24.80%
24 2010-02-06 38.0 @ Manchester Digibet 5 797 48.84% Gibraltar United 1 729 23.79% 27.38%
25 2009-10-19 38.6 @ Laguna FC 3 846 57.02% Manchester Digibet 1 701 16.55% 26.43%