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2016-17 Gibraltar Premier Division Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Europa

73 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1951-52

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Europa

11.57 points above expected

73 points · 61.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Europa Point

9.15 points below expected

8 points · 17.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Europa Champion 27 24 1 2 73 93 18 +75 61.43 +11.57
2 Lincoln Red Imps 27 23 3 1 72 100 16 +84 66.26 +5.74
3 St. Joseph's 27 16 6 5 54 53 18 +35 49.45 +4.55
4 Glacis United 27 12 8 7 44 42 34 +8 42.94 +1.06
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 27 13 3 11 42 44 35 +9 35.99 +6.01
6 Lynx 27 8 4 15 28 34 45 -11 29.22 -1.22
7 Gibraltar United 27 4 9 14 21 20 43 -23 28.17 -7.17
8 Lions Gibraltar 27 4 9 14 21 17 54 -37 23.73 -2.73
9 Manchester 62 27 4 5 18 17 27 60 -33 26.05 -9.05
10 Europa Point 27 2 2 23 8 13 120 -107 17.15 -9.15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Europa 73 61.43 +11.57
2 Mons Calpe S.C. 42 35.99 +6.01
3 Lincoln Red Imps 72 66.26 +5.74
4 St. Joseph's 54 49.45 +4.55
5 Glacis United 44 42.94 +1.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Europa Point 8 17.15 -9.15
2 Manchester 62 17 26.05 -9.05
3 Gibraltar United 21 28.17 -7.17
4 Lions Gibraltar 21 23.73 -2.73
5 Lynx 28 29.22 -1.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 Sep 23 – Oct 15 1 in 52
2 Lincoln Red Imps 13 Oct 28 – Feb 17 1 in 36
3 Lions Gibraltar 3 Apr 1 – Apr 19 1 in 35
4 St. Joseph's 5 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 10
5 Europa 8 Jan 22 – Apr 3 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Europa Point 13 Oct 28 – Feb 18 1 in 398
2 Gibraltar United 5 Feb 20 – Apr 1 1 in 65
3 St. Joseph's 1 Sep 23 – Sep 23 1 in 7
4 Lynx 3 Sep 24 – Oct 14 1 in 7
5 Manchester 62 4 Jan 29 – Feb 26 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gibraltar United 4 Apr 9 – May 6 1 in 117
2 Glacis United 6 Mar 4 – Apr 30 1 in 23
3 Lions Gibraltar 4 Apr 1 – Apr 29 1 in 10
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 Apr 29 – May 19 1 in 9
5 Lynx 3 Jan 14 – Jan 27 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gibraltar United 14 Dec 17 – Apr 29 1 in 131
2 Lions Gibraltar 11 Sep 24 – Dec 18 1 in 32
3 St. Joseph's 3 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 16
4 Europa Point 13 Oct 28 – Feb 18 1 in 13
5 Glacis United 3 Jan 21 – Feb 4 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Europa 1565 73 +52 15 12.0 +3.0
Lincoln Red Imps 1688 72 +6 13 13.1 -0.1
St. Joseph's 1353 54 -35 5 8.5 -3.5
Glacis United 1195 44 -42 5 7.8 -2.8
Mons Calpe S.C. 1168 42 +81 10 7.1 +2.9
Lynx 1114 28 -2 7 7.9 -0.9
Gibraltar United 933 21 +38 6 4.7 +1.3
Lions Gibraltar 949 21 +9 5 4.5 +0.5
Manchester 62 948 17 +16 4 4.3 -0.3
Europa Point 620 8 -91 1 2.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team EUR EP GU GU LRI LG LYN M6 MCS SJ
Europa —
3-0-0
7.71
3-0-0
7.75
3-0-0
6.85
1-0-2
3.28
3-0-0
7.41
3-0-0
7.63
3-0-0
7.36
3-0-0
7.28
2-1-0
6.06
Europa Point
0-0-3
0.84
 —
1-1-1
1.75
0-0-3
2.25
0-0-3
0.59
0-1-2
3.37
0-0-3
2.58
1-0-2
3.01
0-0-3
2.37
0-0-3
1.02
Gibraltar United
0-0-3
0.77
1-1-1
6.69
 —
1-1-1
1.90
0-0-3
0.84
0-3-0
4.50
1-1-1
3.87
1-1-1
4.27
0-1-2
2.86
0-1-2
1.69
Glacis United
0-0-3
1.60
3-0-0
6.21
1-1-1
6.54
 —
0-1-2
1.35
1-2-0
6.76
2-1-0
6.35
2-1-0
6.15
3-0-0
5.09
0-2-1
3.23
Lincoln Red Imps
2-0-1
5.13
3-0-0
8.01
3-0-0
7.68
2-1-0
7.11
 —
3-0-0
8.00
3-0-0
7.66
3-0-0
7.73
2-1-0
7.57
2-1-0
6.82
Lions Gibraltar
0-0-3
1.10
2-1-0
5.04
0-3-0
3.92
0-2-1
1.68
0-0-3
0.57
 —
1-1-1
4.06
1-1-1
3.56
0-1-2
1.97
0-0-3
2.35
Lynx
0-0-3
0.87
3-0-0
5.87
1-1-1
4.55
0-1-2
2.09
0-0-3
0.84
1-1-1
4.36
 —
2-1-0
5.07
1-0-2
3.95
0-0-3
1.57
Manchester 62
0-0-3
1.13
2-0-1
5.41
1-1-1
4.14
0-1-2
2.28
0-0-3
0.80
1-1-1
4.85
0-1-2
3.35
 —
0-0-3
3.05
0-1-2
1.41
Mons Calpe S.C.
0-0-3
1.19
3-0-0
6.08
2-1-0
5.56
0-0-3
3.33
0-1-2
0.93
2-1-0
6.46
2-0-1
4.47
3-0-0
5.37
 —
1-0-2
2.29
St. Joseph's
0-1-2
2.37
3-0-0
7.51
2-1-0
6.76
1-2-0
5.19
0-1-2
1.62
3-0-0
6.11
3-0-0
6.87
2-1-0
7.05
2-0-1
6.13
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.93 +7.3
Allowed 0.67 -6.1
Differential 0.92 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.19%7.78%7.41%5.93%2.59%5.19%34.07%
17.78%8.15%4.07%2.59%2.59%1.85%27.04%
27.41%4.07%4.44%——0.37%16.30%
35.93%2.59%—0.74%0.37%—9.63%
42.59%2.59%—0.37%——5.56%
5+5.19%1.85%0.37%———7.41%
Total34.07%27.04%16.30%9.63%5.56%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 2.08 2.08 3.38
CV 1.27 1.27 —
Max 15 15 +15
Min 0 0 -15

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.81%3.70%—3.70%3.70%—25.93%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
311.11%3.70%————14.81%
47.41%7.41%—3.70%——18.52%
5+14.81%3.70%————18.52%
Total59.26%29.63%—7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.44 0.67 +2.78
SD 2.82 1.07 3.17
CV 0.82 1.61 —
Max 13 4 +12
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%7.41%18.52%7.41%22.22%59.26%
13.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%7.41%11.11%33.33%
2—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total3.70%11.11%14.81%22.22%14.81%33.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 4.44 -3.96
SD 0.64 3.56 3.75
CV 1.33 0.80 —
Max 2 15 +1
Min 0 0 -15

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%18.52%11.11%7.41%—3.70%55.56%
13.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%—22.22%
2—3.70%11.11%———14.81%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%25.93%11.11%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.74 1.59 -0.85
SD 0.98 1.53 1.90
CV 1.33 0.96 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—11.11%——7.41%29.63%
114.81%14.81%3.70%———33.33%
27.41%—————7.41%
37.41%7.41%—3.70%3.70%—22.22%
4———————
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total44.44%25.93%14.81%3.70%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.26 +0.30
SD 1.60 1.75 2.58
CV 1.03 1.39 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%————3.70%
111.11%—————11.11%
211.11%11.11%7.41%———29.63%
33.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
47.41%11.11%————18.52%
5+22.22%3.70%————25.93%
Total55.56%33.33%7.41%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.70 0.59 +3.11
SD 3.02 0.80 3.31
CV 0.82 1.35 —
Max 15 3 +15
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%48.15%
17.41%22.22%3.70%—3.70%3.70%40.74%
23.70%3.70%———3.70%11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%37.04%11.11%7.41%7.41%14.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 2.00 -1.37
SD 0.69 2.08 2.20
CV 1.09 1.04 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.81%11.11%—3.70%7.41%37.04%
17.41%11.11%11.11%7.41%——37.04%
23.70%—3.70%———7.41%
311.11%—————11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total25.93%25.93%29.63%7.41%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.67 -0.41
SD 1.61 1.66 2.68
CV 1.28 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%11.11%14.81%11.11%3.70%59.26%
1—7.41%3.70%3.70%—3.70%18.52%
2——7.41%———7.41%
33.70%—————3.70%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total14.81%25.93%22.22%18.52%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.22 -1.22
SD 1.66 1.87 2.98
CV 1.66 0.84 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%11.11%11.11%——29.63%
13.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%—18.52%
218.52%3.70%7.41%———29.63%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total33.33%25.93%22.22%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.30 +0.33
SD 1.52 1.20 2.37
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%3.70%———18.52%
111.11%7.41%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
218.52%3.70%3.70%———25.93%
311.11%3.70%————14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+7.41%—————7.41%
Total59.26%22.22%14.81%—3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.67 +1.30
SD 1.97 1.00 2.41
CV 1.00 1.50 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lincoln Red Imps 1688 72 66.26 +5.74 95.0% 50 59 63 66 69 72 79
Europa 1565 73 61.43 +11.57 99.0% 46 54 57 61 65 70 74
St. Joseph's 1353 54 49.45 +4.55 86.0% 38 41 46 49 52 58 64
Glacis United 1195 44 42.94 +1.06 54.0% 26 32 38 43 47 53 60
Mons Calpe S.C. 1168 42 35.99 +6.01 88.0% 18 26 31 36 40 47 49
Lynx 1114 28 29.22 -1.22 41.0% 16 19 25 30 33 37 44
Lions Gibraltar 949 21 23.73 -2.73 31.0% 12 15 20 24 27 32 43
Manchester 62 948 17 26.05 -9.05 2.0% 14 18 22 26 29 35 41
Gibraltar United 933 21 28.17 -7.17 12.0% 15 19 25 28 32 37 47
Europa Point 620 8 17.15 -9.15 6.0% 3 7 14 18 20 25 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.89%
Strong Edge
45.19%18.52%36.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.96 Elo pts.
145 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Europa, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.4 * Some Luck: 4.4 to 6.6 * Lucky: 6.6 to 8.8 * Wild Swing: 8.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.58 * Close: 0.58 to 0.87 * Off: 0.87 to 1.15 * Way Off: 1.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.71 points
Lucky
05.5014
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.721.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Europa
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Manchester 62
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.32
Lopsided
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 318.86
3.22
Wide Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
89%
Clear Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Some Drama
0%34%100%
Blowouts
Expected
37%
Frequent
0%46%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.42
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.61
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.45
Very Underconfident
0.4163821.001.58362
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.133
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Europa27.00%67.00%6.00%———————
Lincoln Red Imps73.00%25.00%2.00%———————
St. Joseph's—6.00%70.00%20.00%4.00%—————
Glacis United—2.00%18.00%58.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%———
Mons Calpe S.C.——4.00%15.00%52.00%17.00%10.00%1.00%—1.00%
Lynx———2.00%14.00%31.00%23.00%15.00%11.00%4.00%
Gibraltar United———4.00%8.00%24.00%19.00%29.00%15.00%1.00%
Lions Gibraltar————2.00%9.00%18.00%27.00%29.00%15.00%
Manchester 62———1.00%7.00%11.00%26.00%22.00%27.00%6.00%
Europa Point—————1.00%2.00%6.00%18.00%73.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Europa 100% — —
Glacis United 100% — —
Lincoln Red Imps 100% — —
St. Joseph's 100% — —
Gibraltar United 84.00% 15.00% 1.00%
Mons Calpe S.C. 99.00% — 1.00%
Lynx 85.00% 11.00% 4.00%
Manchester 62 67.00% 27.00% 6.00%
Lions Gibraltar 56.00% 29.00% 15.00%
Europa Point 9.00% 18.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-09-21 Glacis United L 1-347.4 1136 1124 46.09% 19.62% 34.29%+0.29 -46.5 0
2016-09-21 @ Europa Point W 3-147.4 1124 1136 34.29% 19.62% 46.09%-0.29 +46.5 3
2016-09-22 Gibraltar United D 2-257.6 1135 1066 53.46% 19.50% 27.04%+0.69 -2.7 1
2016-09-22 @ Manchester 62 D 2-257.6 1066 1135 27.04% 19.50% 53.46%-0.69 +2.7 1
2016-09-23 St. Joseph's W 2-049.4 906 1178 13.94% 18.84% 67.22%-1.66 +76.6 3
2016-09-23 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-249.4 1178 906 67.22% 18.84% 13.94%+1.66 -76.6 0
2016-09-24 Lions Gibraltar W 2-139.1 1340 1140 66.43% 18.91% 14.67%+1.59 +10.0 3
2016-09-24 @ Europa L 1-239.1 1140 1340 14.67% 18.91% 66.43%-1.59 -10.0 0
2016-09-24 Lynx W 5-028.4 1446 1063 76.85% 17.40% 5.76%+2.85 +18.9 3
2016-09-24 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-528.4 1063 1446 5.76% 17.40% 76.85%-2.85 -18.9 0
2016-09-28 Manchester 62 W 1-040.0 1171 1132 49.72% 19.57% 30.70%+0.48 +20.4 6
2016-09-28 @ Glacis United L 0-140.0 1132 1171 30.70% 19.57% 49.72%-0.48 -20.4 1
2016-09-29 St. Joseph's L 0-342.9 1130 1101 48.39% 19.59% 32.01%+0.41 -81.3 0
2016-09-29 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-042.9 1101 1130 32.01% 19.59% 48.39%-0.41 +81.3 3
2016-09-30 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-231.8 1069 1465 7.41% 17.86% 74.72%-2.52 -10.4 1
2016-09-30 @ Gibraltar United W 2-031.8 1465 1069 74.72% 17.86% 7.41%+2.52 +10.4 6
2016-10-02 Europa Point W 2-137.7 1350 1089 70.68% 18.49% 10.83%+2.01 +7.5 6
2016-10-02 @ Europa L 1-237.7 1089 1350 10.83% 18.49% 70.68%-2.01 -7.5 0
2016-10-02 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-443.2 1044 982 52.64% 19.52% 27.84%+0.64 -114.5 0
2016-10-02 @ Lynx W 4-043.2 982 1044 27.84% 19.52% 52.64%-0.64 +114.5 6
2016-10-14 Lynx W 2-137.6 1182 930 70.19% 18.54% 11.27%+1.95 +7.8 6
2016-10-14 @ St. Joseph's L 1-237.6 930 1182 11.27% 18.54% 70.19%-1.95 -7.8 0
2016-10-15 Gibraltar United W 3-142.8 1097 1058 49.69% 19.57% 30.74%+0.48 +33.3 9
2016-10-15 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-342.8 1058 1097 30.74% 19.57% 49.69%-0.48 -33.3 1
2016-10-15 Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.5 1082 1048 49.01% 19.58% 31.40%+0.44 -2.4 1
2016-10-15 @ Europa Point D 1-153.5 1048 1082 31.40% 19.58% 49.01%-0.44 +2.4 1
2016-10-16 Glacis United W 7-030.1 1476 1191 72.11% 18.30% 9.60%+2.17 +43.1 9
2016-10-16 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-730.1 1191 1476 9.60% 18.30% 72.11%-2.17 -43.1 6
2016-10-17 Europa L 0-432.4 1112 1357 15.90% 19.00% 65.10%-1.48 -40.9 1
2016-10-17 @ Manchester 62 W 4-032.4 1357 1112 65.10% 19.00% 15.90%+1.48 +40.9 9
2016-10-21 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-038.5 1148 1130 47.00% 19.61% 33.39%+0.34 +59.8 9
2016-10-21 @ Glacis United L 0-338.5 1130 1148 33.39% 19.61% 47.00%-0.34 -59.8 9
2016-10-22 Lincoln Red Imps W 1-053.3 1398 1519 28.25% 19.53% 52.22%-0.62 +31.8 12
2016-10-22 @ Europa L 0-153.3 1519 1398 52.22% 19.53% 28.25%+0.62 -31.8 9
2016-10-22 St. Joseph's L 0-137.6 1025 1190 23.21% 19.39% 57.40%-0.92 -16.0 1
2016-10-22 @ Gibraltar United W 1-037.6 1190 1025 57.40% 19.39% 23.21%+0.92 +16.0 9
2016-10-23 Manchester 62 W 2-144.9 1079 1071 45.70% 19.62% 34.68%+0.27 +21.2 4
2016-10-23 @ Europa Point L 1-244.9 1071 1079 34.68% 19.62% 45.70%-0.27 -21.2 1
2016-10-24 Lynx D 1-153.5 1051 922 60.08% 19.28% 20.64%+1.10 -5.6 2
2016-10-24 @ Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.5 922 1051 20.64% 19.28% 60.08%-1.10 +5.6 1
2016-10-28 Europa Point W 4-029.4 1487 1100 76.98% 17.37% 5.66%+2.88 +15.1 12
2016-10-28 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-429.4 1100 1487 5.66% 17.37% 76.98%-2.88 -15.1 4
2016-10-29 Europa L 0-331.1 1070 1430 8.96% 18.19% 72.85%-2.26 -18.2 9
2016-10-29 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-031.1 1430 1070 72.85% 18.19% 8.96%+2.26 +18.2 15
2016-10-29 Lions Gibraltar W 5-141.7 1050 1045 45.17% 19.62% 35.21%+0.24 +68.0 4
2016-10-29 @ Manchester 62 L 1-541.7 1045 1050 35.21% 19.62% 45.17%-0.24 -68.0 2
2016-10-30 Gibraltar United L 0-140.7 928 1009 33.17% 19.61% 47.22%-0.35 -21.7 1
2016-10-30 @ Lynx W 1-040.7 1009 928 47.22% 19.61% 33.17%+0.35 +21.7 4
2016-10-31 Glacis United D 1-153.7 1206 1208 44.34% 19.63% 36.03%+0.20 -1.1 10
2016-10-31 @ St. Joseph's D 1-153.7 1208 1206 36.03% 19.63% 44.34%-0.20 +1.1 10
2016-11-03 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-632.8 1118 1502 7.89% 17.97% 74.14%-2.43 -21.4 4
2016-11-03 @ Manchester 62 W 6-132.8 1502 1118 74.14% 17.97% 7.89%+2.43 +21.4 15
2016-11-04 Gibraltar United D 0-050.1 977 1031 36.97% 19.64% 43.40%-0.16 +1.0 3
2016-11-04 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-050.1 1031 977 43.40% 19.64% 36.97%+0.16 -1.0 5
2016-11-05 Lynx W 2-031.7 1209 906 73.15% 18.14% 8.71%+2.30 +12.2 13
2016-11-05 @ Glacis United L 0-231.7 906 1209 8.71% 18.14% 73.15%-2.30 -12.2 1
2016-11-05 St. Joseph's D 1-155.1 1448 1205 69.54% 18.62% 11.84%+1.89 -8.6 16
2016-11-05 @ Europa D 1-155.1 1205 1448 11.84% 18.62% 69.54%-1.89 +8.6 11
2016-11-06 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-447.1 1085 1052 49.02% 19.58% 31.39%+0.44 -69.3 4
2016-11-06 @ Europa Point W 4-147.1 1052 1085 31.39% 19.58% 49.02%-0.44 +69.3 12
2016-11-18 Europa L 0-726.3 894 1440 3.38% 16.31% 80.30%-3.55 -15.1 1
2016-11-18 @ Lynx W 7-026.3 1440 894 80.30% 16.31% 3.38%+3.55 +15.1 19
2016-11-19 Europa Point W 6-030.7 1214 1016 66.25% 18.92% 14.83%+1.58 +56.2 14
2016-11-19 @ St. Joseph's L 0-630.7 1016 1214 14.83% 18.92% 66.25%-1.58 -56.2 4
2016-11-19 Manchester 62 W 3-038.1 1121 1096 47.97% 19.60% 32.43%+0.39 +58.4 15
2016-11-19 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-338.1 1096 1121 32.43% 19.60% 47.97%-0.39 -58.4 4
2016-11-20 Glacis United L 0-235.6 1030 1221 20.58% 19.28% 60.14%-1.11 -27.2 5
2016-11-20 @ Gibraltar United W 2-035.6 1221 1030 60.14% 19.28% 20.58%+1.11 +27.2 16
2016-11-21 Lions Gibraltar W 4-132.3 1523 978 81.96% 15.60% 2.45%+3.97 +4.1 18
2016-11-21 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-432.3 978 1523 2.45% 15.60% 81.96%-3.97 -4.1 3
2016-11-25 St. Joseph's L 0-135.7 1038 1270 16.95% 19.08% 63.97%-1.39 -12.1 4
2016-11-25 @ Manchester 62 W 1-035.7 1270 1038 63.97% 19.08% 16.95%+1.39 +12.1 17
2016-11-26 Glacis United D 1-153.7 974 1248 13.79% 18.83% 67.38%-1.68 +7.9 4
2016-11-26 @ Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.7 1248 974 67.38% 18.83% 13.79%+1.68 -7.9 17
2016-11-26 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-135.9 1527 1180 75.34% 17.74% 6.92%+2.61 +11.9 21
2016-11-26 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-435.9 1180 1527 6.92% 17.74% 75.34%-2.61 -11.9 15
2016-11-27 Gibraltar United W 3-029.0 1455 1003 79.32% 16.67% 4.01%+3.33 +8.1 22
2016-11-27 @ Europa L 0-329.0 1003 1455 4.01% 16.67% 79.32%-3.33 -8.1 5
2016-11-28 Lynx L 0-344.8 960 879 54.94% 19.46% 25.60%+0.77 -91.2 4
2016-11-28 @ Europa Point W 3-044.8 879 960 25.60% 19.46% 54.94%-0.77 +91.2 4
2016-12-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-243.0 1282 1539 15.01% 18.93% 66.05%-1.56 -10.2 17
2016-12-02 @ St. Joseph's W 2-143.0 1539 1282 66.05% 18.93% 15.01%+1.56 +10.2 24
2016-12-03 Europa Point W 3-034.6 995 869 59.78% 19.30% 20.93%+1.08 +40.1 8
2016-12-03 @ Gibraltar United L 0-334.6 869 995 20.93% 19.30% 59.78%-1.08 -40.1 4
2016-12-03 Manchester 62 D 2-257.5 970 1026 36.65% 19.63% 43.72%-0.17 +0.7 5
2016-12-03 @ Lynx D 2-257.5 1026 970 43.72% 19.63% 36.65%+0.17 -0.7 5
2016-12-04 Lions Gibraltar W 1-035.3 1168 982 65.30% 18.99% 15.71%+1.49 +11.3 18
2016-12-04 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-135.3 982 1168 15.71% 18.99% 65.30%-1.49 -11.3 4
2016-12-05 Europa L 0-236.6 1240 1463 17.78% 19.13% 63.08%-1.32 -23.9 17
2016-12-05 @ Glacis United W 2-036.6 1463 1240 63.08% 19.13% 17.78%+1.32 +23.9 25
2016-12-09 Manchester 62 W 3-143.9 1035 1025 45.87% 19.62% 34.51%+0.28 +36.6 11
2016-12-09 @ Gibraltar United L 1-343.9 1025 1035 34.51% 19.62% 45.87%-0.28 -36.6 5
2016-12-10 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-234.8 970 1550 2.84% 15.93% 81.23%-3.78 -2.0 5
2016-12-10 @ Lynx W 2-134.8 1550 970 81.23% 15.93% 2.84%+3.78 +2.0 27
2016-12-10 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-037.0 1272 1179 56.24% 19.43% 24.33%+0.85 +31.5 20
2016-12-10 @ St. Joseph's L 0-237.0 1179 1272 24.33% 19.43% 56.24%-0.85 -31.5 18
2016-12-11 Europa Point W 5-027.8 1217 829 77.05% 17.35% 5.61%+2.89 +18.4 20
2016-12-11 @ Glacis United L 0-527.8 829 1217 5.61% 17.35% 77.05%-2.89 -18.4 4
2016-12-12 Europa L 0-726.8 971 1487 3.96% 16.65% 79.39%-3.34 -17.8 4
2016-12-12 @ Lions Gibraltar W 7-026.8 1487 971 79.39% 16.65% 3.96%+3.34 +17.8 28
2016-12-16 Lynx W 2-034.2 1148 968 64.73% 19.03% 16.24%+1.45 +22.0 21
2016-12-16 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-234.2 968 1148 16.24% 19.03% 64.73%-1.45 -22.0 5
2016-12-17 Europa L 1-431.4 810 1504 1.54% 14.52% 83.94%-4.57 -2.5 4
2016-12-17 @ Europa Point W 4-131.4 1504 810 83.94% 14.52% 1.54%+4.57 +2.5 31
2016-12-17 Gibraltar United W 2-030.7 1552 1071 80.19% 16.36% 3.45%+3.52 +4.8 30
2016-12-17 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-230.7 1071 1552 3.45% 16.36% 80.19%-3.52 -4.8 11
2016-12-18 Lions Gibraltar W 2-031.0 1303 953 75.47% 17.71% 6.82%+2.63 +9.6 23
2016-12-18 @ St. Joseph's L 0-231.0 953 1303 6.82% 17.71% 75.47%-2.63 -9.6 4
2016-12-19 Glacis United L 0-333.0 988 1235 15.81% 19.00% 65.20%-1.49 -31.2 5
2016-12-19 @ Manchester 62 W 3-033.0 1235 988 65.20% 19.00% 15.81%+1.49 +31.2 23
2017-01-06 Europa Point W 2-035.4 943 808 60.76% 19.25% 19.99%+1.15 +26.5 7
2017-01-06 @ Lions Gibraltar L 0-235.4 808 943 19.99% 19.25% 60.76%-1.15 -26.5 4
2017-01-07 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-534.6 1266 1556 12.75% 18.72% 68.53%-1.79 -41.1 23
2017-01-07 @ Glacis United W 5-034.6 1556 1266 68.53% 18.72% 12.75%+1.79 +41.1 33
2017-01-07 Manchester 62 W 8-025.9 1507 957 82.07% 15.54% 2.39%+4.00 +11.9 34
2017-01-07 @ Europa L 0-825.9 957 1507 2.39% 15.54% 82.07%-4.00 -11.9 5
2017-01-08 Mons Calpe S.C. D 2-257.5 1066 1170 30.37% 19.57% 50.06%-0.50 +2.0 12
2017-01-08 @ Gibraltar United D 2-257.5 1170 1066 50.06% 19.57% 30.37%+0.50 -2.0 22
2017-01-09 St. Joseph's L 1-335.8 947 1313 8.65% 18.13% 73.22%-2.31 -10.5 5
2017-01-09 @ Lynx W 3-135.8 1313 947 73.22% 18.13% 8.65%+2.31 +10.5 26
2017-01-13 Europa Point W 4-032.6 945 781 63.43% 19.11% 17.46%+1.34 +44.6 8
2017-01-13 @ Manchester 62 L 0-432.6 781 945 17.46% 19.11% 63.43%-1.34 -44.6 4
2017-01-14 Europa W 3-155.4 1597 1519 54.62% 19.47% 25.91%+0.75 +28.8 36
2017-01-14 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-355.4 1519 1597 25.91% 19.47% 54.62%-0.75 -28.8 34
2017-01-14 Lions Gibraltar W 7-243.9 936 970 39.77% 19.64% 40.58%-0.02 +78.2 8
2017-01-14 @ Lynx L 2-743.9 970 936 40.58% 19.64% 39.77%+0.02 -78.2 7
2017-01-15 Gibraltar United W 4-135.6 1324 1068 70.34% 18.53% 11.14%+1.97 +18.9 29
2017-01-15 @ St. Joseph's L 1-435.6 1068 1324 11.14% 18.53% 70.34%-1.97 -18.9 12
2017-01-16 Glacis United L 1-344.7 1168 1225 36.44% 19.63% 43.92%-0.18 -38.3 22
2017-01-16 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-144.7 1225 1168 43.92% 19.63% 36.44%+0.18 +38.3 26
2017-01-20 Manchester 62 D 1-153.4 892 990 31.01% 19.58% 49.41%-0.46 +2.5 8
2017-01-20 @ Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.4 990 892 49.41% 19.58% 31.01%+0.46 -2.5 9
2017-01-21 Lynx L 0-145.5 1050 1014 49.29% 19.58% 31.13%+0.46 -30.2 12
2017-01-21 @ Gibraltar United W 1-045.5 1014 1050 31.13% 19.58% 49.29%-0.46 +30.2 11
2017-01-21 St. Joseph's L 0-240.5 1263 1342 33.50% 19.61% 46.89%-0.33 -41.3 26
2017-01-21 @ Glacis United W 2-040.5 1342 1263 46.89% 19.61% 33.50%+0.33 +41.3 32
2017-01-22 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-031.9 1490 1129 75.91% 17.62% 6.47%+2.70 +9.1 37
2017-01-22 @ Europa L 0-231.9 1129 1490 6.47% 17.62% 75.91%-2.70 -9.1 22
2017-01-23 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-1523.9 737 1626 0.54% 12.02% 87.44%-5.92 -4.5 4
2017-01-23 @ Europa Point W 15-023.9 1626 737 87.44% 12.02% 0.54%+5.92 +4.5 39
2017-01-27 Glacis United D 1-153.6 1044 1222 21.92% 19.34% 58.74%-1.01 +5.2 12
2017-01-27 @ Lynx D 1-153.6 1222 1044 58.74% 19.34% 21.92%+1.01 -5.2 27
2017-01-28 Europa L 1-446.9 1384 1499 28.86% 19.54% 51.59%-0.58 -44.6 32
2017-01-28 @ St. Joseph's W 4-146.9 1499 1384 51.59% 19.54% 28.86%+0.58 +44.6 40
2017-01-28 Europa Point W 2-030.5 1120 732 77.06% 17.35% 5.60%+2.89 +7.9 25
2017-01-28 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-230.5 732 1120 5.60% 17.35% 77.06%-2.89 -7.9 4
2017-01-29 Manchester 62 W 2-029.4 1631 987 84.17% 14.38% 1.45%+4.65 +1.9 42
2017-01-29 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-229.4 987 1631 1.45% 14.38% 84.17%-4.65 -1.9 9
2017-01-30 Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.5 1019 894 59.71% 19.30% 20.99%+1.08 -5.5 13
2017-01-30 @ Gibraltar United D 1-153.5 894 1019 20.99% 19.30% 59.71%-1.08 +5.5 9
2017-02-03 St. Joseph's L 0-327.9 724 1339 2.35% 15.50% 82.15%-4.02 -4.7 4
2017-02-03 @ Europa Point W 3-027.9 1339 724 82.15% 15.50% 2.35%+4.02 +4.7 35
2017-02-04 Gibraltar United D 0-050.4 1217 1014 66.67% 18.89% 14.45%+1.61 -8.6 28
2017-02-04 @ Glacis United D 0-050.4 1014 1217 14.45% 18.89% 66.67%-1.61 +8.6 14
2017-02-04 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-526.1 900 1633 1.25% 14.03% 84.72%-4.84 -3.9 9
2017-02-04 @ Lions Gibraltar W 5-026.1 1633 900 84.72% 14.03% 1.25%+4.84 +3.9 45
2017-02-05 Lynx W 3-134.4 1544 1050 80.60% 16.20% 3.21%+3.62 +3.9 43
2017-02-05 @ Europa L 1-334.4 1050 1544 3.21% 16.20% 80.60%-3.62 -3.8 12
2017-02-06 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-237.2 985 1128 25.65% 19.47% 54.88%-0.77 -33.0 9
2017-02-06 @ Manchester 62 W 2-037.2 1128 985 54.88% 19.47% 25.65%+0.77 +33.0 28
2017-02-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-238.8 1161 1637 4.91% 17.09% 78.01%-3.06 -3.4 28
2017-02-17 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-138.8 1637 1161 78.01% 17.09% 4.91%+3.06 +3.4 48
2017-02-18 Europa Point W 3-030.2 1046 719 74.33% 17.94% 7.73%+2.46 +15.8 15
2017-02-18 @ Lynx L 0-330.2 719 1046 7.73% 17.94% 74.33%-2.46 -15.8 4
2017-02-18 Manchester 62 W 2-030.5 1344 952 77.17% 17.32% 5.51%+2.91 +7.7 38
2017-02-18 @ St. Joseph's L 0-230.5 952 1344 5.51% 17.32% 77.17%-2.91 -7.7 9
2017-02-19 Lions Gibraltar W 1-032.7 1208 896 73.64% 18.06% 8.30%+2.37 +6.2 31
2017-02-19 @ Glacis United L 0-132.7 896 1208 8.30% 18.06% 73.64%-2.37 -6.2 9
2017-02-20 Europa L 0-131.7 1022 1548 3.77% 16.55% 79.68%-3.41 -2.8 14
2017-02-20 @ Gibraltar United W 1-031.7 1548 1022 79.68% 16.55% 3.77%+3.41 +2.8 46
2017-02-24 Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-153.7 890 1158 14.23% 18.87% 66.90%-1.63 +7.8 10
2017-02-24 @ Lions Gibraltar D 1-153.7 1158 890 66.90% 18.87% 14.23%+1.63 -7.8 29
2017-02-25 Gibraltar United W 1-051.5 704 1020 11.20% 18.53% 70.27%-1.96 +42.5 7
2017-02-25 @ Europa Point L 0-151.5 1020 704 70.27% 18.53% 11.20%+1.96 -42.5 14
2017-02-25 Glacis United W 4-346.1 1550 1214 74.80% 17.85% 7.35%+2.53 +4.8 49
2017-02-25 @ Europa L 3-446.1 1214 1550 7.35% 17.85% 74.80%-2.53 -4.8 31
2017-02-26 Lynx L 0-436.1 945 1062 28.69% 19.54% 51.77%-0.59 -68.8 9
2017-02-26 @ Manchester 62 W 4-036.1 1062 945 51.77% 19.54% 28.69%+0.59 +68.8 18
2017-02-27 St. Joseph's D 2-267.6 1640 1352 72.34% 18.26% 9.39%+2.20 -7.1 49
2017-02-27 @ Lincoln Red Imps D 2-267.6 1352 1640 9.39% 18.26% 72.34%-2.20 +7.1 39
2017-03-03 Lions Gibraltar W 1-029.8 1555 897 84.46% 14.20% 1.34%+4.75 +0.9 52
2017-03-03 @ Europa L 0-129.8 897 1555 1.34% 14.20% 84.46%-4.75 -0.9 10
2017-03-04 Gibraltar United W 3-043.3 876 977 30.62% 19.57% 49.80%-0.48 +83.4 12
2017-03-04 @ Manchester 62 L 0-343.3 977 876 49.80% 19.57% 30.62%+0.48 -83.4 14
2017-03-04 Glacis United L 1-630.7 746 1210 5.22% 17.21% 77.56%-2.98 -14.2 7
2017-03-04 @ Europa Point W 6-130.7 1210 746 77.56% 17.21% 5.22%+2.98 +14.2 34
2017-03-05 Lynx W 1-033.5 1633 1130 80.83% 16.10% 3.07%+3.68 +2.2 52
2017-03-05 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-133.5 1130 1633 3.07% 16.10% 80.83%-3.68 -2.2 18
2017-03-06 St. Joseph's L 0-136.8 1150 1359 18.97% 19.20% 61.82%-1.22 -13.4 29
2017-03-06 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-036.8 1359 1150 61.82% 19.20% 18.97%+1.22 +13.4 42
2017-03-16 Manchester 62 D 1-153.8 1224 959 70.93% 18.45% 10.61%+2.04 -9.1 35
2017-03-16 @ Glacis United D 1-153.8 959 1224 10.61% 18.45% 70.93%-2.04 +9.1 13
2017-03-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-129.9 894 1635 1.20% 13.92% 84.88%-4.89 -0.8 14
2017-03-17 @ Gibraltar United W 1-029.9 1635 894 84.88% 13.92% 1.20%+4.89 +0.8 55
2017-03-18 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-040.7 1128 1136 43.38% 19.64% 36.98%+0.16 +44.8 21
2017-03-18 @ Lynx L 0-240.7 1136 1128 36.98% 19.64% 43.38%-0.16 -44.8 29
2017-03-18 St. Joseph's L 0-329.2 896 1372 4.90% 17.09% 78.01%-3.06 -10.0 10
2017-03-18 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-029.2 1372 896 78.01% 17.09% 4.90%+3.06 +10.0 45
2017-03-19 Europa Point W 13-124.2 1556 732 87.38% 12.07% 0.55%+5.89 +3.1 55
2017-03-19 @ Europa L 1-1324.2 732 1556 0.55% 12.07% 87.38%-5.89 -3.1 7
2017-03-31 Lynx W 2-034.1 1382 1173 67.13% 18.85% 14.02%+1.65 +19.2 48
2017-03-31 @ St. Joseph's L 0-234.1 1173 1382 14.02% 18.85% 67.13%-1.65 -19.2 21
2017-04-01 Gibraltar United W 2-138.7 1092 893 66.34% 18.91% 14.75%+1.58 +10.1 32
2017-04-01 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-238.7 893 1092 14.75% 18.91% 66.34%-1.58 -10.1 14
2017-04-01 Lions Gibraltar L 0-137.8 729 886 24.03% 19.42% 56.56%-0.87 -16.5 7
2017-04-01 @ Europa Point W 1-037.8 886 729 56.56% 19.42% 24.03%+0.87 +16.5 13
2017-04-02 Glacis United D 3-366.8 1636 1215 78.28% 17.01% 4.71%+3.12 -7.0 56
2017-04-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps D 3-366.8 1215 1636 4.71% 17.01% 78.28%-3.12 +7.0 36
2017-04-03 Europa L 0-427.7 968 1559 2.67% 15.79% 81.54%-3.86 -6.9 13
2017-04-03 @ Manchester 62 W 4-027.7 1559 968 81.54% 15.79% 2.67%+3.86 +7.0 58
2017-04-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-459.3 1566 1629 35.69% 19.63% 44.68%-0.22 -53.2 58
2017-04-08 @ Europa W 4-159.3 1629 1566 44.68% 19.63% 35.69%+0.22 +53.3 59
2017-04-09 Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-037.2 1222 1102 59.18% 19.32% 21.50%+1.04 +15.0 39
2017-04-09 @ Glacis United L 0-137.2 1102 1222 21.50% 19.32% 59.18%-1.04 -15.0 32
2017-04-09 St. Joseph's D 0-051.1 883 1401 3.91% 16.62% 79.46%-3.36 +13.0 15
2017-04-09 @ Gibraltar United D 0-051.1 1401 883 79.46% 16.62% 3.91%+3.36 -13.0 49
2017-04-10 Lynx W 2-154.0 903 1154 15.50% 18.97% 65.52%-1.51 +37.3 16
2017-04-10 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-254.0 1154 903 65.52% 18.97% 15.50%+1.51 -37.3 21
2017-04-18 Glacis United D 0-051.4 1388 1237 62.26% 19.18% 18.56%+1.26 -7.1 50
2017-04-18 @ St. Joseph's D 0-051.4 1237 1388 18.56% 19.18% 62.26%-1.26 +7.1 40
2017-04-19 Lions Gibraltar L 0-144.9 961 940 47.41% 19.60% 32.98%+0.36 -29.2 13
2017-04-19 @ Manchester 62 W 1-044.9 940 961 32.98% 19.60% 47.41%-0.36 +29.2 19
2017-04-20 Europa Point W 9-023.4 1682 712 89.49% 10.26% 0.25%+6.90 +1.2 62
2017-04-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-923.4 712 1682 0.25% 10.26% 89.49%-6.90 -1.2 7
2017-04-21 Europa L 0-330.6 1087 1513 6.35% 17.58% 76.07%-2.72 -13.0 32
2017-04-21 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-030.6 1513 1087 76.07% 17.58% 6.35%+2.72 +13.0 61
2017-04-22 Gibraltar United D 1-153.7 1116 896 67.98% 18.77% 13.25%+1.73 -8.1 22
2017-04-22 @ Lynx D 1-153.7 896 1116 13.25% 18.77% 67.98%-1.73 +8.1 16
2017-04-24 Manchester 62 L 0-631.6 711 932 17.89% 19.14% 62.97%-1.31 -66.7 7
2017-04-24 @ Europa Point W 6-031.6 932 711 62.97% 19.14% 17.89%+1.31 +66.7 16
2017-04-29 Gibraltar United D 0-050.1 969 904 53.07% 19.51% 27.42%+0.66 -4.0 20
2017-04-29 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-050.1 904 969 27.42% 19.51% 53.07%-0.66 +4.0 17
2017-04-29 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-631.1 644 1074 6.24% 17.55% 76.20%-2.74 -17.0 7
2017-04-29 @ Europa Point W 6-131.1 1074 644 76.20% 17.55% 6.24%+2.74 +17.0 35
2017-04-30 Lynx W 1-036.7 1244 1108 60.76% 19.25% 19.99%+1.15 +14.1 43
2017-04-30 @ Glacis United L 0-136.7 1108 1244 19.99% 19.25% 60.76%-1.15 -14.1 22
2017-04-30 St. Joseph's W 2-146.8 1526 1381 61.63% 19.21% 19.16%+1.21 +12.8 64
2017-04-30 @ Europa L 1-246.8 1381 1526 19.16% 19.21% 61.63%-1.21 -12.8 50
2017-05-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-329.1 999 1684 1.62% 14.64% 83.74%-4.50 -3.1 16
2017-05-02 @ Manchester 62 W 3-029.1 1684 999 83.74% 14.64% 1.62%+4.50 +3.2 65
2017-05-05 Europa L 0-133.0 1094 1539 5.77% 17.40% 76.83%-2.85 -4.3 22
2017-05-05 @ Lynx W 1-033.0 1539 1094 76.83% 17.40% 5.77%+2.85 +4.3 67
2017-05-06 Europa Point W 9-024.3 1368 628 86.00% 13.13% 0.86%+5.32 +4.5 53
2017-05-06 @ St. Joseph's L 0-924.3 628 1368 0.86% 13.13% 86.00%-5.32 -4.5 7
2017-05-06 Glacis United W 2-155.8 908 1258 9.41% 18.27% 72.32%-2.20 +41.3 20
2017-05-06 @ Gibraltar United L 1-255.8 1258 908 72.32% 18.27% 9.41%+2.20 -41.3 43
2017-05-07 Manchester 62 W 3-035.6 1091 996 56.50% 19.42% 24.08%+0.87 +45.4 38
2017-05-07 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-335.6 996 1091 24.08% 19.42% 56.50%-0.87 -45.4 16
2017-05-08 Lions Gibraltar W 4-027.3 1687 965 85.66% 13.39% 0.96%+5.18 +2.4 68
2017-05-08 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-427.3 965 1687 0.96% 13.39% 85.66%-5.18 -2.4 20
2017-05-12 Gibraltar United W 7-025.8 1543 949 83.11% 15.00% 1.89%+4.30 +8.2 70
2017-05-12 @ Europa L 0-725.8 949 1543 1.89% 15.00% 83.11%-4.30 -8.2 20
2017-05-13 Glacis United D 0-050.3 963 1217 15.29% 18.96% 65.76%-1.53 +8.3 21
2017-05-13 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-050.3 1217 963 65.76% 18.96% 15.29%+1.53 -8.3 44
2017-05-13 Mons Calpe S.C. D 2-263.0 1689 1136 82.15% 15.50% 2.35%+4.02 -9.1 69
2017-05-13 @ Lincoln Red Imps D 2-263.0 1136 1689 2.35% 15.50% 82.15%-4.02 +9.1 39
2017-05-14 St. Joseph's D 0-050.8 950 1373 6.47% 17.62% 75.91%-2.70 +11.9 17
2017-05-14 @ Manchester 62 D 0-050.8 1373 950 75.91% 17.62% 6.47%+2.70 -11.9 54
2017-05-15 Lynx L 0-329.2 623 1090 5.13% 17.18% 77.69%-3.00 -10.5 7
2017-05-15 @ Europa Point W 3-029.2 1090 623 77.69% 17.18% 5.13%+3.00 +10.5 25
2017-05-19 Lions Gibraltar W 2-034.3 1145 971 64.28% 19.06% 16.66%+1.41 +22.5 42
2017-05-19 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-234.3 971 1145 16.66% 19.06% 64.28%-1.41 -22.5 21
2017-05-20 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-145.2 1361 1680 11.04% 18.51% 70.45%-1.98 -8.1 54
2017-05-20 @ St. Joseph's W 1-045.2 1680 1361 70.45% 18.51% 11.04%+1.98 +8.1 72
2017-05-20 Manchester 62 W 1-036.5 1100 962 60.98% 19.24% 19.77%+1.16 +13.9 28
2017-05-20 @ Lynx L 0-136.5 962 1100 19.77% 19.24% 60.98%-1.16 -13.9 17
2017-05-21 Europa L 0-234.9 1208 1551 9.77% 18.33% 71.91%-2.15 -13.6 44
2017-05-21 @ Glacis United W 2-034.9 1551 1208 71.91% 18.33% 9.77%+2.15 +13.6 73
2017-05-22 Europa Point D 2-258.0 941 612 74.43% 17.92% 7.65%+2.48 -7.6 21
2017-05-22 @ Gibraltar United D 2-258.0 612 941 7.65% 17.92% 74.43%-2.48 +7.6 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-05-06 9.41% @ Gibraltar United 908 2 Glacis United 1258 1
2 2017-02-25 11.20% @ Europa Point 704 1 Gibraltar United 1020 0
3 2016-09-23 13.94% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 906 2 St. Joseph's 1178 0
4 2017-04-10 15.50% @ Lions Gibraltar 903 2 Lynx 1154 1
5 2016-11-28 25.60% Lynx 879 3 @ Europa Point 960 0
6 2016-10-02 27.84% Mons Calpe S.C. 982 4 @ Lynx 1044 0
7 2016-10-22 28.25% @ Europa 1398 1 Lincoln Red Imps 1519 0
8 2017-03-04 30.62% @ Manchester 62 876 3 Gibraltar United 977 0
9 2017-01-21 31.13% Lynx 1014 1 @ Gibraltar United 1050 0
10 2016-11-06 31.39% Mons Calpe S.C. 1052 4 @ Europa Point 1085 1
11 2016-09-29 32.01% St. Joseph's 1101 3 @ Lions Gibraltar 1130 0
12 2017-04-19 32.98% Lions Gibraltar 940 1 @ Manchester 62 961 0
13 2016-09-21 34.29% Glacis United 1124 3 @ Europa Point 1136 1
14 2017-01-14 39.77% @ Lynx 936 7 Lions Gibraltar 970 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-10-02 114.55 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 982 27.84% @ Lynx 0 1044 52.64% 19.52%
2 2016-11-28 91.23 Lynx 3 879 25.60% @ Europa Point 0 960 54.94% 19.46%
3 2017-03-04 83.39 @ Manchester 62 3 876 30.62% Gibraltar United 0 977 49.80% 19.57%
4 2016-09-29 81.29 St. Joseph's 3 1101 32.01% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 1130 48.39% 19.59%
5 2017-01-14 78.17 @ Lynx 7 936 39.77% Lions Gibraltar 2 970 40.58% 19.64%
6 2016-09-23 76.62 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 906 13.94% St. Joseph's 0 1178 67.22% 18.84%
7 2016-11-06 69.34 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 1052 31.39% @ Europa Point 1 1085 49.02% 19.58%
8 2017-02-26 68.82 Lynx 4 1062 51.77% @ Manchester 62 0 945 28.69% 19.54%
9 2016-10-29 67.99 @ Manchester 62 5 1050 45.17% Lions Gibraltar 1 1045 35.21% 19.62%
10 2017-04-24 66.70 Manchester 62 6 932 62.97% @ Europa Point 0 711 17.89% 19.14%
11 2016-10-21 59.78 @ Glacis United 3 1148 47.00% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 1130 33.39% 19.61%
12 2016-11-19 58.36 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1121 47.97% Manchester 62 0 1096 32.43% 19.60%
13 2016-11-19 56.19 @ St. Joseph's 6 1214 66.25% Europa Point 0 1016 14.83% 18.92%
14 2017-04-08 53.26 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1629 44.68% @ Europa 1 1566 35.69% 19.63%
15 2016-09-21 46.46 Glacis United 3 1124 34.29% @ Europa Point 1 1136 46.09% 19.62%
16 2017-05-07 45.35 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1091 56.50% Manchester 62 0 996 24.08% 19.42%
17 2017-03-18 44.76 @ Lynx 2 1128 43.38% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 1136 36.98% 19.64%
18 2017-01-28 44.64 Europa 4 1499 51.59% @ St. Joseph's 1 1384 28.86% 19.54%
19 2017-01-13 44.57 @ Manchester 62 4 945 63.43% Europa Point 0 781 17.46% 19.11%
20 2016-10-16 43.10 @ Lincoln Red Imps 7 1476 72.11% Glacis United 0 1191 9.60% 18.30%
21 2017-02-25 42.53 @ Europa Point 1 704 11.20% Gibraltar United 0 1020 70.27% 18.53%
22 2017-05-06 41.29 @ Gibraltar United 2 908 9.41% Glacis United 1 1258 72.32% 18.27%
23 2017-01-21 41.27 St. Joseph's 2 1342 46.89% @ Glacis United 0 1263 33.50% 19.61%
24 2017-01-07 41.10 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1556 68.53% @ Glacis United 0 1266 12.75% 18.72%
25 2016-10-17 40.93 Europa 4 1357 65.10% @ Manchester 62 0 1112 15.90% 19.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-02-27 67.6 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1640 72.34% St. Joseph's 2 1352 9.39% 18.26%
2 2017-04-02 66.8 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1636 78.28% Glacis United 3 1215 4.71% 17.01%
3 2017-05-13 63.0 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1689 82.15% Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1136 2.35% 15.50%
4 2017-04-08 59.3 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1629 44.68% @ Europa 1 1566 35.69% 19.63%
5 2017-05-22 58.0 @ Gibraltar United 2 941 74.43% Europa Point 2 612 7.65% 17.92%
6 2016-09-22 57.6 @ Manchester 62 2 1135 53.46% Gibraltar United 2 1066 27.04% 19.50%
7 2016-12-03 57.5 @ Lynx 2 970 36.65% Manchester 62 2 1026 43.72% 19.63%
8 2017-01-08 57.5 @ Gibraltar United 2 1066 30.37% Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1170 50.06% 19.57%
9 2017-05-06 55.8 @ Gibraltar United 2 908 9.41% Glacis United 1 1258 72.32% 18.27%
10 2017-01-14 55.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1597 54.62% Europa 1 1519 25.91% 19.47%
11 2016-11-05 55.1 @ Europa 1 1448 69.54% St. Joseph's 1 1205 11.84% 18.62%
12 2017-04-10 54.0 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 903 15.50% Lynx 1 1154 65.52% 18.97%
13 2017-03-16 53.8 @ Glacis United 1 1224 70.93% Manchester 62 1 959 10.61% 18.45%
14 2016-10-31 53.7 @ St. Joseph's 1 1206 44.34% Glacis United 1 1208 36.03% 19.63%
15 2016-11-26 53.7 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 974 13.79% Glacis United 1 1248 67.38% 18.83%
16 2017-02-24 53.7 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 890 14.23% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1158 66.90% 18.87%
17 2017-04-22 53.7 @ Lynx 1 1116 67.98% Gibraltar United 1 896 13.25% 18.77%
18 2017-01-27 53.6 @ Lynx 1 1044 21.92% Glacis United 1 1222 58.74% 19.34%
19 2016-10-15 53.5 @ Europa Point 1 1082 49.01% Lions Gibraltar 1 1048 31.40% 19.58%
20 2016-10-24 53.5 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 1051 60.08% Lynx 1 922 20.64% 19.28%
21 2017-01-30 53.5 @ Gibraltar United 1 1019 59.71% Lions Gibraltar 1 894 20.99% 19.30%
22 2017-01-20 53.4 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 892 31.01% Manchester 62 1 990 49.41% 19.58%
23 2016-10-22 53.3 @ Europa 1 1398 28.25% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1519 52.22% 19.53%
24 2017-02-25 51.5 @ Europa Point 1 704 11.20% Gibraltar United 0 1020 70.27% 18.53%
25 2017-04-18 51.4 @ St. Joseph's 0 1388 62.26% Glacis United 0 1237 18.56% 19.18%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-20 23.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 9 1682 89.49% Europa Point 0 712 0.25% 10.26%
2 2017-01-23 23.9 Lincoln Red Imps 15 1626 87.44% @ Europa Point 0 737 0.54% 12.02%
3 2017-03-19 24.2 @ Europa 13 1556 87.38% Europa Point 1 732 0.55% 12.07%
4 2017-05-06 24.3 @ St. Joseph's 9 1368 86.00% Europa Point 0 628 0.86% 13.13%
5 2017-05-12 25.8 @ Europa 7 1543 83.11% Gibraltar United 0 949 1.89% 15.00%
6 2017-01-07 25.9 @ Europa 8 1507 82.07% Manchester 62 0 957 2.39% 15.54%
7 2017-02-04 26.1 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1633 84.72% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 900 1.25% 14.03%
8 2016-11-18 26.3 Europa 7 1440 80.30% @ Lynx 0 894 3.38% 16.31%
9 2016-12-12 26.8 Europa 7 1487 79.39% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 971 3.96% 16.65%
10 2017-05-08 27.3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1687 85.66% Lions Gibraltar 0 965 0.96% 13.39%
11 2017-04-03 27.7 Europa 4 1559 81.54% @ Manchester 62 0 968 2.67% 15.79%
12 2016-12-11 27.8 @ Glacis United 5 1217 77.05% Europa Point 0 829 5.61% 17.35%
13 2017-02-03 27.9 St. Joseph's 3 1339 82.15% @ Europa Point 0 724 2.35% 15.50%
14 2016-09-24 28.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1446 76.85% Lynx 0 1063 5.76% 17.40%
15 2016-11-27 29.0 @ Europa 3 1455 79.32% Gibraltar United 0 1003 4.01% 16.67%
16 2017-05-02 29.1 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1684 83.74% @ Manchester 62 0 999 1.62% 14.64%
17 2017-03-18 29.2 St. Joseph's 3 1372 78.01% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 896 4.90% 17.09%
18 2017-05-15 29.2 Lynx 3 1090 77.69% @ Europa Point 0 623 5.13% 17.18%
19 2016-10-28 29.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1487 76.98% Europa Point 0 1100 5.66% 17.37%
20 2017-01-29 29.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1631 84.17% Manchester 62 0 987 1.45% 14.38%
21 2017-03-03 29.8 @ Europa 1 1555 84.46% Lions Gibraltar 0 897 1.34% 14.20%
22 2017-03-17 29.9 Lincoln Red Imps 1 1635 84.88% @ Gibraltar United 0 894 1.20% 13.92%
23 2016-10-16 30.1 @ Lincoln Red Imps 7 1476 72.11% Glacis United 0 1191 9.60% 18.30%
24 2017-02-18 30.2 @ Lynx 3 1046 74.33% Europa Point 0 719 7.73% 17.94%
25 2017-01-28 30.5 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1120 77.06% Europa Point 0 732 5.60% 17.35%