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2017-18 Gibraltar Premier Division Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

65 points · 23rd Title

Last Title: 2015-16

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gibraltar Phoenix

14.09 points above expected

30 points · 15.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Manchester 62

12.49 points below expected

7 points · 19.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 27 21 2 4 65 71 19 +52 65.43 -0.43
2 Europa 27 19 3 5 60 67 20 +47 58.78 +1.22
3 St. Joseph's 27 17 3 7 54 53 30 +23 49.71 +4.29
4 Gibraltar United 27 16 5 6 53 45 27 +18 43.48 +9.52
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 27 14 2 11 44 48 35 +13 44.68 -0.68
6 Gibraltar Phoenix 27 8 6 13 30 34 47 -13 15.91 +14.09
7 Glacis United 27 7 5 15 26 34 44 -10 36.62 -10.62
8 Lions Gibraltar 27 6 5 16 23 27 63 -36 24.98 -1.98
9 Lynx 27 6 4 17 22 22 48 -26 24.14 -2.14
10 Manchester 62 27 0 7 20 7 20 88 -68 19.49 -12.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gibraltar Phoenix 30 15.91 +14.09
2 Gibraltar United 53 43.48 +9.52
3 St. Joseph's 54 49.71 +4.29
4 Europa 60 58.78 +1.22
5 Lincoln Red Imps 65 65.43 -0.43

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester 62 7 19.49 -12.49
2 Glacis United 26 36.62 -10.62
3 Lynx 22 24.14 -2.14
4 Lions Gibraltar 23 24.98 -1.98
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 44 44.68 -0.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 Apr 1 – Apr 14 1 in 125
2 Lions Gibraltar 2 Sep 27 – Oct 13 1 in 32
3 St. Joseph's 4 May 14 – Jun 2 1 in 24
4 Glacis United 3 Nov 13 – Nov 25 1 in 15
5 Lincoln Red Imps 11 Sep 27 – Feb 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glacis United 5 Feb 4 – Mar 1 1 in 259
2 Lincoln Red Imps 2 Apr 1 – Apr 7 1 in 187
3 Lynx 6 Apr 14 – May 11 1 in 27
4 Lions Gibraltar 4 Mar 17 – Apr 15 1 in 26
5 Europa 2 Sep 27 – Oct 21 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gibraltar Phoenix 3 Nov 16 – Nov 25 1 in 86
2 Mons Calpe S.C. 7 Mar 8 – Apr 14 1 in 37
3 Lynx 3 Nov 28 – Feb 11 1 in 12
4 St. Joseph's 7 Mar 14 – May 5 1 in 12
5 Europa 12 Oct 27 – Mar 9 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester 62 27 Sep 25 – Jun 3 1 in 708
2 Glacis United 6 Sep 27 – Nov 8 1 in 64
3 Gibraltar United 5 Nov 10 – Feb 3 1 in 46
4 Lincoln Red Imps 2 Apr 1 – Apr 7 1 in 18
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 Nov 3 – Nov 13 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1404 65 -77 9 11.2 -2.2
Europa 1514 60 +86 12 11.1 +0.9
St. Joseph's 1507 54 +138 12 8.3 +3.7
Gibraltar United 1420 53 +88 12 9.5 +2.5
Mons Calpe S.C. 1216 44 -112 9 9.5 -0.5
Gibraltar Phoenix 1016 30 +34 9 7.2 +1.8
Glacis United 1020 26 -43 4 6.6 -2.6
Lions Gibraltar 768 23 -42 1 2.0 -1.0
Lynx 974 22 +143 6 3.6 +2.4
Manchester 62 555 7 -216 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team EUR GP GU GU LRI LG LYN M6 MCS SJ
Europa —
2-1-0
7.83
2-0-1
6.10
3-0-0
7.19
0-2-1
2.64
1-0-2
7.70
2-0-1
7.83
3-0-0
7.87
3-0-0
6.35
3-0-0
5.28
Gibraltar Phoenix
0-1-2
0.74
 —
0-1-2
0.87
2-1-0
1.43
0-0-3
0.54
3-0-0
3.20
1-0-2
3.43
1-2-0
4.00
1-1-1
0.92
0-0-3
0.90
Gibraltar United
1-0-2
2.41
2-1-0
7.67
 —
2-0-1
6.41
1-0-2
1.83
2-1-0
6.06
2-1-0
5.67
2-1-0
6.43
2-0-1
4.25
2-1-0
2.87
Glacis United
0-0-3
1.34
0-1-2
7.10
1-0-2
2.10
 —
0-0-3
1.14
2-1-0
5.39
1-1-1
6.40
2-1-0
6.08
1-0-2
3.12
0-1-2
2.74
Lincoln Red Imps
1-2-0
5.87
3-0-0
8.06
2-0-1
6.69
3-0-0
7.39
 —
3-0-0
7.87
3-0-0
8.03
3-0-0
8.06
2-0-1
6.92
1-0-2
6.91
Lions Gibraltar
2-0-1
0.85
0-0-3
5.33
0-1-2
2.47
0-1-2
3.12
0-0-3
0.69
 —
2-1-0
4.02
1-2-0
5.50
1-0-2
2.27
0-0-3
1.91
Lynx
1-0-2
0.74
2-0-1
5.08
0-1-2
2.85
1-1-1
2.11
0-0-3
0.55
0-1-2
4.49
 —
2-1-0
5.21
0-0-3
1.87
0-0-3
1.26
Manchester 62
0-0-3
0.70
0-2-1
4.52
0-1-2
2.10
0-1-2
2.43
0-0-3
0.53
0-2-1
3.01
0-1-2
3.29
 —
0-0-3
1.66
0-0-3
1.40
Mons Calpe S.C.
0-0-3
2.17
1-1-1
7.62
1-0-2
4.26
2-0-1
5.38
1-0-2
1.61
2-0-1
6.25
3-0-0
6.66
3-0-0
6.87
 —
1-1-1
3.58
St. Joseph's
0-0-3
3.23
3-0-0
7.64
0-1-2
5.64
2-1-0
5.77
2-0-1
1.61
3-0-0
6.61
3-0-0
7.28
3-0-0
7.13
1-1-1
4.92
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +10.4
Allowed 0.88 -8.6
Differential 0.96 +5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%7.78%5.93%5.19%1.85%4.07%31.48%
17.78%6.67%6.30%5.93%1.48%0.74%28.89%
25.93%6.30%1.48%—1.85%0.74%16.30%
35.19%5.93%—0.74%——11.85%
41.85%1.48%1.85%——0.37%5.56%
5+4.07%0.74%0.74%—0.37%—5.93%
Total31.48%28.89%16.30%11.85%5.56%5.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.69 1.69 2.70
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
111.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%——25.93%
214.81%11.11%————25.93%
37.41%3.70%—3.70%——14.81%
43.70%7.41%————11.11%
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total51.85%29.63%11.11%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.48 0.74 +1.74
SD 2.17 0.94 2.61
CV 0.88 1.27 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.52%3.70%3.70%—7.41%33.33%
17.41%14.81%7.41%7.41%——37.04%
27.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
3———3.70%——3.70%
4———————
5+—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
Total14.81%44.44%18.52%14.81%—7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.74 -0.48
SD 1.48 1.70 2.46
CV 1.18 0.98 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%3.70%—7.41%—22.22%
111.11%7.41%7.41%———25.93%
211.11%7.41%3.70%———22.22%
33.70%18.52%————22.22%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+———————
Total37.04%40.74%14.81%—7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.00 +0.67
SD 1.27 1.11 1.94
CV 0.76 1.11 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%11.11%3.70%—40.74%
17.41%11.11%14.81%3.70%3.70%—40.74%
23.70%—————3.70%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%—3.70%—3.70%—11.11%
Total25.93%22.22%25.93%14.81%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.63 -0.37
SD 1.85 1.33 2.31
CV 1.47 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%——3.70%——7.41%
118.52%3.70%—7.41%——29.63%
211.11%———3.70%—14.81%
37.41%11.11%————18.52%
411.11%3.70%————14.81%
5+11.11%3.70%————14.81%
Total62.96%22.22%—11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.63 0.70 +1.93
SD 1.88 1.17 2.46
CV 0.72 1.66 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%11.11%3.70%—3.70%40.74%
17.41%——11.11%3.70%7.41%29.63%
2—7.41%3.70%—3.70%7.41%22.22%
33.70%—————3.70%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total25.93%14.81%18.52%14.81%7.41%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.33 -1.33
SD 1.07 2.11 2.22
CV 1.07 0.91 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%11.11%14.81%14.81%3.70%7.41%66.67%
13.70%—7.41%3.70%——14.81%
2—11.11%————11.11%
3—3.70%————3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total22.22%25.93%22.22%18.52%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.78 -0.96
SD 1.84 1.48 2.71
CV 2.26 0.83 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%—7.41%11.11%3.70%18.52%48.15%
1—14.81%11.11%7.41%3.70%—37.04%
2——3.70%—7.41%—11.11%
3———————
4—————3.70%3.70%
5+———————
Total7.41%14.81%22.22%18.52%14.81%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.74 3.26 -2.52
SD 0.94 2.36 2.56
CV 1.27 0.73 —
Max 4 9 +0
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%—3.70%—3.70%25.93%
13.70%3.70%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
27.41%7.41%——3.70%—18.52%
311.11%11.11%————22.22%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+7.41%—————7.41%
Total33.33%37.04%11.11%11.11%3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.30 +0.48
SD 1.53 1.46 2.49
CV 0.86 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%7.41%———18.52%
17.41%7.41%—7.41%3.70%—25.93%
23.70%11.11%————14.81%
314.81%11.11%————25.93%
4——11.11%———11.11%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total33.33%37.04%18.52%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.11 +0.85
SD 1.45 1.09 1.97
CV 0.74 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Europa 1514 60 58.78 +1.22 62.0% 45 49 55 59 63 67 71
St. Joseph's 1507 54 49.71 +4.29 76.0% 33 40 45 49 54 60 67
Gibraltar United 1420 53 43.48 +9.52 97.0% 30 36 40 43 47 52 55
Lincoln Red Imps 1404 65 65.43 -0.43 52.0% 50 58 62 65 69 75 79
Mons Calpe S.C. 1216 44 44.68 -0.68 48.0% 28 35 41 45 49 53 57
Glacis United 1020 26 36.62 -10.62 3.0% 23 27 32 36 41 48 54
Gibraltar Phoenix 1016 30 15.91 +14.09 100.0% 5 9 13 15 20 23 26
Lynx 974 22 24.14 -2.14 41.0% 10 15 21 24 28 34 38
Lions Gibraltar 768 23 24.98 -1.98 43.0% 12 16 21 25 29 35 41
Manchester 62 555 7 19.49 -12.49 0.0% 8 12 16 19 23 27 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.41%
Clear Edge
45.93%15.56%38.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 25.78 Elo pts.
242 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.01 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
76%
Lincoln Red Imps, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.280.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.51 * Some Luck: 4.51 to 6.76 * Lucky: 6.76 to 9.02 * Wild Swing: 9.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.53 * Close: 0.53 to 0.8 * Off: 0.8 to 1.06 * Way Off: 1.06 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.66 points
Lucky
05.6414
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Off
00.661.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Gibraltar Phoenix
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Manchester 62
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Even
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 327.76
2.68
Wide Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
92%
Clear Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Some Drama
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Rare
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.63
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.32
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Upset-Prone
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.64
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.129
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Lincoln Red Imps76.00%23.00%—1.00%——————
Europa23.00%58.00%16.00%3.00%——————
St. Joseph's1.00%15.00%43.00%24.00%14.00%3.00%————
Gibraltar United—2.00%11.00%37.00%31.00%18.00%1.00%———
Mons Calpe S.C.—1.00%27.00%23.00%36.00%11.00%2.00%———
Gibraltar Phoenix——————3.00%16.00%23.00%58.00%
Glacis United—1.00%3.00%11.00%16.00%52.00%15.00%2.00%——
Lions Gibraltar———1.00%3.00%8.00%35.00%31.00%16.00%6.00%
Lynx—————7.00%34.00%30.00%22.00%7.00%
Manchester 62—————1.00%10.00%21.00%39.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Europa 100% — —
Gibraltar United 100% — —
Glacis United 100% — —
Lincoln Red Imps 100% — —
Mons Calpe S.C. 100% — —
St. Joseph's 100% — —
Lions Gibraltar 78.00% 16.00% 6.00%
Lynx 71.00% 22.00% 7.00%
Manchester 62 32.00% 39.00% 29.00%
Gibraltar Phoenix 19.00% 23.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-09-25 Lynx W 2-043.6 1022 1136 29.77% 16.45% 53.78%-0.37 +77.9 3
2017-09-25 @ Gibraltar United L 0-243.6 1136 1022 53.78% 16.45% 29.77%+0.37 -77.9 0
2017-09-25 St. Joseph's L 1-238.4 1035 1302 14.83% 16.13% 69.04%-1.00 -12.5 0
2017-09-25 @ Manchester 62 W 2-138.4 1302 1035 69.04% 16.13% 14.83%+1.00 +12.5 3
2017-09-26 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-258.4 1171 588 83.56% 14.32% 2.11%+2.51 -60.4 0
2017-09-26 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-158.4 588 1171 2.11% 14.32% 83.56%-2.51 +60.5 3
2017-09-27 Europa W 2-157.0 1024 1420 7.61% 15.64% 76.75%-1.53 +55.7 3
2017-09-27 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-257.0 1420 1024 76.75% 15.64% 7.61%+1.53 -55.7 0
2017-09-27 Glacis United W 4-028.7 1508 1188 75.55% 15.75% 8.70%+1.43 +28.4 3
2017-09-27 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-428.7 1188 1508 8.70% 15.75% 75.55%-1.43 -28.4 0
2017-10-13 Lions Gibraltar L 0-338.4 1058 1079 42.46% 16.50% 41.04%+0.02 -91.7 0
2017-10-13 @ Lynx W 3-038.4 1079 1058 41.04% 16.50% 42.46%-0.02 +91.7 6
2017-10-14 Glacis United W 1-035.7 1314 1160 63.84% 16.29% 19.87%+0.74 +17.3 6
2017-10-14 @ St. Joseph's L 0-135.7 1160 1314 19.87% 16.29% 63.84%-0.74 -17.3 0
2017-10-15 Gibraltar United D 1-155.2 1023 1099 34.63% 16.48% 48.88%-0.21 +2.5 1
2017-10-15 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.2 1099 1023 48.88% 16.48% 34.63%+0.21 -2.5 4
2017-10-15 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-523.0 649 1536 0.52% 12.50% 86.98%-3.56 -2.0 3
2017-10-15 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 5-023.0 1536 649 86.98% 12.50% 0.52%+3.56 +2.0 6
2017-10-18 Lynx W 3-031.9 1110 967 62.80% 16.31% 20.88%+0.70 +49.5 3
2017-10-18 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-331.9 967 1110 20.88% 16.31% 62.80%-0.70 -49.5 0
2017-10-19 Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-155.7 1142 647 81.75% 14.86% 3.39%+2.15 -15.4 1
2017-10-19 @ Glacis United D 1-155.7 647 1142 3.39% 14.86% 81.75%-2.15 +15.4 4
2017-10-20 St. Joseph's W 3-152.4 1097 1331 17.35% 16.22% 66.43%-0.86 +82.9 7
2017-10-20 @ Gibraltar United L 1-352.4 1331 1097 66.43% 16.22% 17.35%+0.86 -82.9 6
2017-10-21 Europa W 3-144.1 1538 1365 65.62% 16.24% 18.13%+0.82 +26.0 9
2017-10-21 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-344.1 1365 1538 18.13% 16.24% 65.62%-0.82 -26.0 0
2017-10-21 Manchester 62 D 2-260.1 1171 1025 63.01% 16.31% 20.68%+0.71 -5.8 7
2017-10-21 @ Lions Gibraltar D 2-260.1 1025 1171 20.68% 16.31% 63.01%-0.71 +5.8 2
2017-10-25 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-132.2 1249 662 83.63% 14.30% 2.07%+2.53 +3.1 9
2017-10-25 @ St. Joseph's L 1-332.2 662 1249 2.07% 14.30% 83.63%-2.53 -3.1 4
2017-10-26 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-424.8 917 1564 1.97% 14.24% 83.80%-2.57 -6.4 0
2017-10-26 @ Lynx W 4-024.8 1564 917 83.80% 14.24% 1.97%+2.57 +6.4 12
2017-10-27 Glacis United W 2-138.7 1339 1127 68.77% 16.14% 15.09%+0.98 +12.6 3
2017-10-27 @ Europa L 1-238.7 1127 1339 15.09% 16.14% 68.77%-0.98 -12.6 1
2017-10-28 Lions Gibraltar W 3-143.2 1180 1165 47.45% 16.49% 36.06%+0.17 +47.7 10
2017-10-28 @ Gibraltar United L 1-343.2 1165 1180 36.06% 16.49% 47.45%-0.17 -47.7 7
2017-10-28 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-334.1 1031 1160 28.03% 16.43% 55.54%-0.43 -64.3 2
2017-10-28 @ Manchester 62 W 3-034.1 1160 1031 55.54% 16.43% 28.03%+0.43 +64.3 6
2017-11-01 Lynx D 0-051.5 1114 911 68.14% 16.16% 15.69%+0.95 -11.0 2
2017-11-01 @ Glacis United D 0-051.5 911 1114 15.69% 16.16% 68.14%-0.95 +11.0 1
2017-11-02 Manchester 62 W 3-026.1 1571 967 83.95% 14.18% 1.87%+2.60 +4.7 15
2017-11-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-326.1 967 1571 1.87% 14.18% 83.95%-2.60 -4.7 2
2017-11-03 Gibraltar United L 1-346.1 1224 1228 44.95% 16.50% 38.56%+0.09 -57.4 6
2017-11-03 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-146.1 1228 1224 38.56% 16.50% 44.95%-0.09 +57.4 13
2017-11-04 Europa D 3-364.8 659 1351 1.54% 13.93% 84.53%-2.75 +10.1 5
2017-11-04 @ Gibraltar Phoenix D 3-364.8 1351 659 84.53% 13.93% 1.54%+2.75 -10.1 4
2017-11-04 St. Joseph's L 0-235.8 1117 1252 27.43% 16.42% 56.15%-0.45 -43.5 7
2017-11-04 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-035.8 1252 1117 56.15% 16.42% 27.43%+0.45 +43.5 12
2017-11-08 Glacis United D 1-155.2 962 1103 26.58% 16.41% 57.01%-0.48 +5.5 3
2017-11-08 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.2 1103 962 57.01% 16.41% 26.58%+0.48 -5.5 3
2017-11-09 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-149.3 1074 1167 32.54% 16.47% 50.99%-0.28 +37.1 10
2017-11-09 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-249.3 1167 1074 50.99% 16.47% 32.54%+0.28 -37.1 6
2017-11-10 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-138.5 1285 1576 13.17% 16.05% 70.78%-1.09 -11.8 13
2017-11-10 @ Gibraltar United W 1-038.5 1576 1285 70.78% 16.05% 13.17%+1.09 +11.8 18
2017-11-11 Europa L 0-142.3 1295 1341 38.85% 16.50% 44.65%-0.08 -31.1 12
2017-11-11 @ St. Joseph's W 1-042.3 1341 1295 44.65% 16.50% 38.85%+0.08 +31.1 7
2017-11-11 Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-137.5 922 669 71.69% 16.01% 12.30%+1.15 +10.5 4
2017-11-11 @ Lynx L 1-237.5 669 922 12.30% 16.01% 71.69%-1.15 -10.4 5
2017-11-13 Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-042.3 1098 1130 40.88% 16.50% 42.63%-0.03 +33.6 6
2017-11-13 @ Glacis United L 0-142.3 1130 1098 42.63% 16.50% 40.88%+0.03 -33.6 6
2017-11-15 Lions Gibraltar W 3-134.8 1587 1111 81.26% 14.97% 3.77%+2.07 +5.7 21
2017-11-15 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-334.8 1111 1587 3.77% 14.97% 81.26%-2.07 -5.7 10
2017-11-16 Manchester 62 D 1-155.4 659 967 12.03% 15.99% 71.98%-1.17 +11.4 6
2017-11-16 @ Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-155.4 967 659 71.98% 15.99% 12.03%+1.17 -11.5 4
2017-11-17 Lynx W 2-028.5 1372 932 80.24% 15.17% 4.59%+1.93 +8.0 10
2017-11-17 @ Europa L 0-228.5 932 1372 4.59% 15.17% 80.24%-1.93 -8.0 4
2017-11-18 Gibraltar United W 2-044.7 1131 1273 26.56% 16.41% 57.03%-0.48 +82.3 9
2017-11-18 @ Glacis United L 0-244.7 1273 1131 57.03% 16.41% 26.56%+0.48 -82.3 13
2017-11-18 St. Joseph's W 3-150.4 1096 1264 23.67% 16.37% 59.96%-0.59 +74.8 9
2017-11-18 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-350.4 1264 1096 59.96% 16.37% 23.67%+0.59 -74.8 12
2017-11-20 Lions Gibraltar W 1-052.6 670 1105 6.21% 15.46% 78.33%-1.69 +60.3 9
2017-11-20 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-152.6 1105 670 78.33% 15.46% 6.21%+1.69 -60.3 10
2017-11-22 Europa L 0-229.2 956 1380 6.57% 15.51% 77.91%-1.65 -11.4 4
2017-11-22 @ Manchester 62 W 2-029.2 1380 956 77.91% 15.51% 6.57%+1.65 +11.4 13
2017-11-23 Lynx W 2-137.3 1189 924 72.49% 15.96% 11.55%+1.20 +9.8 15
2017-11-23 @ St. Joseph's L 1-237.3 924 1189 11.55% 15.96% 72.49%-1.20 -9.8 4
2017-11-24 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-134.1 1171 1593 6.66% 15.52% 77.82%-1.64 -6.1 9
2017-11-24 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-034.1 1593 1171 77.82% 15.52% 6.66%+1.64 +6.1 24
2017-11-25 Gibraltar Phoenix D 2-260.5 1191 731 80.82% 15.06% 4.11%+2.01 -11.2 14
2017-11-25 @ Gibraltar United D 2-260.5 731 1191 4.11% 15.06% 80.82%-2.01 +11.2 10
2017-11-25 Glacis United L 0-136.6 1045 1214 23.58% 16.37% 60.06%-0.59 -20.2 10
2017-11-25 @ Lions Gibraltar W 1-036.6 1214 1045 60.06% 16.37% 23.58%+0.59 +20.2 12
2017-11-28 Manchester 62 D 0-051.4 914 944 41.13% 16.50% 42.37%-0.02 +0.2 5
2017-11-28 @ Lynx D 0-051.4 944 914 42.37% 16.50% 41.13%+0.02 -0.2 5
2017-11-29 St. Joseph's W 2-032.4 1599 1199 78.94% 15.38% 5.68%+1.76 +9.9 27
2017-11-29 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-232.4 1199 1599 5.68% 15.38% 78.94%-1.76 -9.9 15
2017-11-30 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-030.4 1392 1165 69.91% 16.09% 13.99%+1.04 +34.2 16
2017-11-30 @ Europa L 0-330.4 1165 1392 13.99% 16.09% 69.91%-1.04 -34.2 9
2017-12-03 Gibraltar United W 4-029.1 1426 1180 71.28% 16.03% 12.69%+1.12 +40.8 19
2017-12-03 @ Europa L 0-429.1 1180 1426 12.69% 16.03% 71.28%-1.12 -40.8 14
2018-02-03 Gibraltar United D 0-051.5 915 1139 18.24% 16.25% 65.52%-0.82 +9.8 6
2018-02-03 @ Lynx D 0-051.5 1139 915 65.52% 16.25% 18.24%+0.82 -9.8 15
2018-02-03 Manchester 62 W 3-136.0 1189 944 71.18% 16.03% 12.79%+1.12 +18.8 18
2018-02-03 @ St. Joseph's L 1-336.0 944 1189 12.79% 16.03% 71.18%-1.12 -18.8 5
2018-02-04 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-332.7 1234 1609 8.53% 15.74% 75.74%-1.44 -21.4 12
2018-02-04 @ Glacis United W 3-032.7 1609 1234 75.74% 15.74% 8.53%+1.44 +21.4 30
2018-02-10 Europa L 0-133.3 1131 1467 10.44% 15.89% 73.67%-1.28 -9.5 9
2018-02-10 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-033.3 1467 1131 73.67% 15.89% 10.44%+1.28 +9.5 22
2018-02-10 St. Joseph's L 0-339.7 1213 1208 46.07% 16.49% 37.44%+0.13 -98.3 12
2018-02-10 @ Glacis United W 3-039.7 1208 1213 37.44% 16.49% 46.07%-0.13 +98.4 21
2018-02-11 Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-028.4 1630 742 87.52% 12.09% 0.39%+3.78 +0.3 33
2018-02-11 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-128.4 742 1630 0.39% 12.09% 87.52%-3.78 -0.3 10
2018-02-11 Lynx D 0-051.5 1025 924 58.22% 16.40% 25.39%+0.52 -6.6 11
2018-02-11 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-051.5 924 1025 25.39% 16.40% 58.22%-0.52 +6.6 7
2018-02-12 Manchester 62 W 2-138.6 1129 925 68.13% 16.16% 15.71%+0.95 +13.1 18
2018-02-12 @ Gibraltar United L 1-238.6 925 1129 15.71% 16.16% 68.13%-0.95 -13.1 5
2018-02-14 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-530.4 931 1121 21.40% 16.33% 62.27%-0.68 -81.5 7
2018-02-14 @ Lynx W 5-030.4 1121 931 62.27% 16.33% 21.40%+0.68 +81.5 12
2018-02-15 Lincoln Red Imps D 1-169.0 1476 1631 25.11% 16.39% 58.49%-0.53 +6.0 23
2018-02-15 @ Europa D 1-169.0 1631 1476 58.49% 16.39% 25.11%+0.53 -6.0 34
2018-02-16 Glacis United W 1-051.9 742 1114 8.64% 15.75% 75.62%-1.43 +58.2 13
2018-02-16 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-151.9 1114 742 75.62% 15.75% 8.64%+1.43 -58.2 12
2018-02-17 Gibraltar United L 0-149.1 1306 1142 64.75% 16.27% 18.98%+0.78 -49.5 21
2018-02-17 @ St. Joseph's W 1-049.1 1142 1306 18.98% 16.27% 64.75%-0.78 +49.5 21
2018-02-17 Lions Gibraltar L 2-445.5 912 1018 30.86% 16.46% 52.68%-0.33 -37.3 5
2018-02-17 @ Manchester 62 W 4-245.5 1018 912 52.68% 16.46% 30.86%+0.33 +37.3 14
2018-02-21 St. Joseph's L 0-130.8 800 1257 5.52% 15.35% 79.12%-1.78 -5.1 13
2018-02-21 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-030.8 1257 800 79.12% 15.35% 5.52%+1.78 +5.1 24
2018-02-22 Manchester 62 W 4-238.5 1203 875 75.93% 15.72% 8.35%+1.46 +11.2 15
2018-02-22 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 2-438.5 875 1203 8.35% 15.72% 75.93%-1.46 -11.2 5
2018-02-23 Gibraltar United D 0-051.5 1056 1192 27.22% 16.42% 56.36%-0.46 +5.9 15
2018-02-23 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-051.5 1192 1056 56.36% 16.42% 27.22%+0.46 -5.8 22
2018-02-24 Europa L 1-236.2 1056 1482 6.51% 15.50% 77.98%-1.65 -5.6 12
2018-02-24 @ Glacis United W 2-136.2 1482 1056 77.98% 15.50% 6.51%+1.65 +5.7 26
2018-02-24 Lynx W 2-027.0 1625 850 86.31% 12.96% 0.73%+3.31 +1.2 37
2018-02-24 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-227.0 850 1625 0.73% 12.96% 86.31%-3.31 -1.2 7
2018-02-28 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-145.1 1186 1214 41.42% 16.50% 42.08%-0.01 +54.3 25
2018-02-28 @ Gibraltar United L 1-345.1 1214 1186 42.08% 16.50% 41.42%+0.01 -54.3 15
2018-03-01 Glacis United W 3-151.2 848 1050 20.24% 16.30% 63.46%-0.73 +79.2 10
2018-03-01 @ Lynx L 1-351.2 1050 848 63.46% 16.30% 20.24%+0.73 -79.2 12
2018-03-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-332.1 864 1626 1.05% 13.44% 85.52%-3.04 -1.5 5
2018-03-02 @ Manchester 62 W 3-132.1 1626 864 85.52% 13.44% 1.05%+3.04 +1.5 40
2018-03-03 Lions Gibraltar W 4-241.0 1262 1061 67.88% 16.17% 15.94%+0.93 +20.6 27
2018-03-03 @ St. Joseph's L 2-441.0 1061 1262 15.94% 16.17% 67.88%-0.93 -20.6 15
2018-03-06 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-131.8 1488 795 85.29% 13.56% 1.15%+2.97 +1.7 29
2018-03-06 @ Europa L 1-331.8 795 1488 1.15% 13.56% 85.29%-2.97 -1.7 13
2018-03-07 Gibraltar United W 4-031.4 1627 1240 78.47% 15.44% 6.08%+1.71 +20.0 43
2018-03-07 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-431.4 1240 1627 6.08% 15.44% 78.47%-1.71 -20.0 25
2018-03-08 Lions Gibraltar W 3-139.3 1159 1041 60.22% 16.36% 23.41%+0.60 +32.7 18
2018-03-08 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-339.3 1041 1159 23.41% 16.36% 60.22%-0.60 -32.7 15
2018-03-09 St. Joseph's W 2-035.0 1490 1282 68.42% 16.15% 15.43%+0.96 +25.8 32
2018-03-09 @ Europa L 0-235.0 1282 1490 15.43% 16.15% 68.42%-0.96 -25.8 27
2018-03-10 Lynx L 0-137.7 793 928 27.37% 16.42% 56.20%-0.45 -23.0 13
2018-03-10 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-037.7 928 793 56.20% 16.42% 27.37%+0.45 +23.0 13
2018-03-10 Manchester 62 W 6-446.8 971 862 59.16% 16.38% 24.46%+0.56 +27.8 15
2018-03-10 @ Glacis United L 4-646.8 862 971 24.46% 16.38% 59.16%-0.56 -27.8 5
2018-03-13 Lions Gibraltar L 0-154.1 1515 1008 82.02% 14.79% 3.19%+2.20 -63.1 32
2018-03-13 @ Europa W 1-054.1 1008 1515 3.19% 14.79% 82.02%-2.20 +63.1 18
2018-03-14 Mons Calpe S.C. D 0-051.8 1257 1192 53.95% 16.45% 29.61%+0.37 -4.8 28
2018-03-14 @ St. Joseph's D 0-051.8 1192 1257 29.61% 16.45% 53.95%-0.37 +4.8 19
2018-03-15 Glacis United W 4-134.5 1220 999 69.47% 16.11% 14.41%+1.02 +29.7 28
2018-03-15 @ Gibraltar United L 1-434.5 999 1220 14.41% 16.11% 69.47%-1.02 -29.7 15
2018-03-16 Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-155.2 835 770 53.97% 16.45% 29.58%+0.37 -4.3 6
2018-03-16 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.2 770 835 29.58% 16.45% 53.97%-0.37 +4.4 14
2018-03-17 Europa L 0-326.8 951 1452 4.34% 15.12% 80.54%-1.97 -11.0 13
2018-03-17 @ Lynx W 3-026.8 1452 951 80.54% 15.12% 4.34%+1.97 +11.0 35
2018-03-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-432.8 1071 1647 2.90% 14.69% 82.42%-2.27 -6.2 18
2018-03-17 @ Lions Gibraltar W 4-132.8 1647 1071 82.42% 14.69% 2.90%+2.27 +6.2 46
2018-03-28 Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-155.5 774 1197 6.63% 15.52% 77.85%-1.64 +13.9 15
2018-03-28 @ Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-155.5 1197 774 77.85% 15.52% 6.63%+1.64 -13.9 20
2018-03-31 Lions Gibraltar W 6-246.1 969 1065 32.16% 16.47% 51.37%-0.29 +100.1 18
2018-03-31 @ Glacis United L 2-646.1 1065 969 51.37% 16.47% 32.16%+0.29 -100.1 18
2018-03-31 St. Joseph's L 1-335.7 940 1252 11.80% 15.98% 72.22%-1.18 -17.4 13
2018-03-31 @ Lynx W 3-135.7 1252 940 72.22% 15.98% 11.80%+1.18 +17.4 31
2018-04-01 Manchester 62 W 4-130.1 1463 830 84.41% 13.98% 1.60%+2.72 +3.4 38
2018-04-01 @ Europa L 1-430.1 830 1463 1.60% 13.98% 84.41%-2.72 -3.4 6
2018-04-01 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-360.7 1654 1183 81.10% 15.00% 3.89%+2.05 -102.0 46
2018-04-01 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 3-160.7 1183 1654 3.89% 15.00% 81.10%-2.05 +102.0 23
2018-04-02 Gibraltar United L 0-130.7 788 1250 5.39% 15.33% 79.27%-1.80 -5.0 15
2018-04-02 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-030.7 1250 788 79.27% 15.33% 5.39%+1.80 +5.0 31
2018-04-04 Glacis United W 2-138.4 1285 1069 69.08% 16.13% 14.79%+1.00 +12.4 26
2018-04-04 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-238.4 1069 1285 14.79% 16.13% 69.08%-1.00 -12.4 18
2018-04-05 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-646.9 965 783 66.32% 16.22% 17.46%+0.86 -185.1 18
2018-04-05 @ Lions Gibraltar W 6-146.9 783 965 17.46% 16.22% 66.32%-0.86 +185.1 18
2018-04-06 Europa W 2-048.9 1255 1467 19.31% 16.28% 64.41%-0.77 +92.8 34
2018-04-06 @ Gibraltar United L 0-248.9 1467 1255 64.41% 16.28% 19.31%+0.77 -92.8 38
2018-04-07 Lincoln Red Imps W 4-261.3 1269 1552 13.72% 16.08% 70.20%-1.06 +78.5 34
2018-04-07 @ St. Joseph's L 2-461.3 1552 1269 70.20% 16.08% 13.72%+1.06 -78.6 46
2018-04-07 Lynx L 1-243.6 827 922 32.21% 16.47% 51.32%-0.29 -25.0 6
2018-04-07 @ Manchester 62 W 2-143.6 922 827 51.32% 16.47% 32.21%+0.29 +25.0 16
2018-04-10 Gibraltar United W 2-148.8 1298 1347 38.34% 16.50% 45.17%-0.10 +33.3 29
2018-04-10 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-248.8 1347 1298 45.17% 16.50% 38.34%+0.10 -33.3 34
2018-04-12 Glacis United W 1-031.2 1473 1057 79.48% 15.30% 5.22%+1.83 +4.8 49
2018-04-12 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-131.2 1057 1473 5.22% 15.30% 79.48%-1.83 -4.8 18
2018-04-13 St. Joseph's L 0-524.5 802 1348 3.42% 14.87% 81.71%-2.15 -13.9 6
2018-04-13 @ Manchester 62 W 5-024.5 1348 802 81.71% 14.87% 3.42%+2.15 +13.9 37
2018-04-14 Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-031.4 1331 968 77.49% 15.56% 6.94%+1.60 +6.4 32
2018-04-14 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-131.4 968 1331 6.94% 15.56% 77.49%-1.60 -6.4 18
2018-04-14 Lynx W 1-031.3 1314 947 77.67% 15.54% 6.79%+1.62 +6.2 37
2018-04-14 @ Gibraltar United L 0-131.3 947 1314 6.79% 15.54% 77.67%-1.62 -6.2 16
2018-04-15 Europa L 0-524.2 780 1374 2.63% 14.58% 82.79%-2.35 -10.6 18
2018-04-15 @ Lions Gibraltar W 5-024.2 1374 780 82.79% 14.58% 2.63%+2.35 +10.7 41
2018-04-17 Glacis United D 1-155.7 1362 1052 75.02% 15.79% 9.18%+1.38 -12.7 38
2018-04-17 @ St. Joseph's D 1-155.7 1052 1362 9.18% 15.79% 75.02%-1.38 +12.7 19
2018-04-18 Lions Gibraltar L 0-149.0 941 769 65.44% 16.25% 18.31%+0.82 -50.0 16
2018-04-18 @ Lynx W 1-049.0 769 941 18.31% 16.25% 65.44%-0.82 +50.0 21
2018-04-18 Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-041.2 1385 1337 51.78% 16.46% 31.76%+0.30 +26.2 44
2018-04-18 @ Europa L 0-141.2 1337 1385 31.76% 16.46% 51.78%-0.30 -26.2 32
2018-04-19 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-228.5 962 1478 4.02% 15.04% 80.94%-2.03 -7.0 18
2018-04-19 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-028.5 1478 962 80.94% 15.04% 4.02%+2.03 +7.0 52
2018-04-20 Gibraltar United L 0-425.1 788 1320 3.68% 14.95% 81.37%-2.09 -12.1 6
2018-04-20 @ Manchester 62 W 4-025.1 1320 788 81.37% 14.95% 3.68%+2.09 +12.1 40
2018-04-22 Lynx W 3-031.0 1065 891 65.65% 16.24% 18.11%+0.83 +43.5 22
2018-04-22 @ Glacis United L 0-331.0 891 1065 18.11% 16.24% 65.65%-0.83 -43.5 16
2018-04-27 Lynx W 5-024.8 1311 847 80.92% 15.04% 4.04%+2.02 +16.4 35
2018-04-27 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-524.8 847 1311 4.04% 15.04% 80.92%-2.02 -16.4 16
2018-04-28 Europa D 0-057.7 1485 1411 55.14% 16.43% 28.42%+0.41 -5.3 53
2018-04-28 @ Lincoln Red Imps D 0-057.7 1411 1485 28.42% 16.43% 55.14%-0.41 +5.3 45
2018-04-28 Manchester 62 D 0-051.4 819 776 51.26% 16.47% 32.27%+0.29 -3.7 22
2018-04-28 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-051.4 776 819 32.27% 16.47% 51.26%-0.29 +3.7 7
2018-04-29 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-253.0 1108 955 63.75% 16.29% 19.95%+0.74 -45.9 22
2018-04-29 @ Glacis United W 2-153.0 955 1108 19.95% 16.29% 63.75%-0.74 +45.9 21
2018-04-29 St. Joseph's D 1-156.9 1332 1349 43.09% 16.50% 40.41%+0.04 -0.5 41
2018-04-29 @ Gibraltar United D 1-156.9 1349 1332 40.41% 16.50% 43.09%-0.04 +0.5 39
2018-05-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-129.5 831 1480 1.95% 14.23% 83.82%-2.57 -1.8 16
2018-05-02 @ Lynx W 1-029.5 1480 831 83.82% 14.23% 1.95%+2.57 +1.8 56
2018-05-03 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-326.2 780 1327 3.38% 14.86% 81.76%-2.16 -8.5 7
2018-05-03 @ Manchester 62 W 3-026.2 1327 780 81.76% 14.86% 3.38%+2.16 +8.5 38
2018-05-04 Glacis United W 2-029.7 1416 1063 77.11% 15.60% 7.29%+1.57 +12.6 48
2018-05-04 @ Europa L 0-229.7 1063 1416 7.29% 15.60% 77.11%-1.57 -12.6 22
2018-05-05 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-027.8 1349 1001 76.89% 15.63% 7.48%+1.55 +18.8 42
2018-05-05 @ St. Joseph's L 0-327.8 1001 1349 7.48% 15.63% 76.89%-1.55 -18.8 21
2018-05-05 Lions Gibraltar W 2-027.8 1332 815 82.24% 14.74% 3.03%+2.24 +5.2 44
2018-05-05 @ Gibraltar United L 0-227.8 815 1332 3.03% 14.74% 82.24%-2.24 -5.2 22
2018-05-07 Manchester 62 W 6-023.4 1481 771 85.51% 13.44% 1.05%+3.04 +4.9 59
2018-05-07 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-623.4 771 1481 1.05% 13.44% 85.51%-3.04 -4.9 7
2018-05-09 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-228.1 810 1336 3.81% 14.98% 81.20%-2.07 -6.6 22
2018-05-09 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-028.1 1336 810 81.20% 14.98% 3.81%+2.07 +6.6 41
2018-05-10 Europa L 1-444.9 1368 1429 36.86% 16.49% 46.65%-0.14 -68.7 42
2018-05-10 @ St. Joseph's W 4-144.9 1429 1368 46.65% 16.49% 36.86%+0.14 +68.7 51
2018-05-11 Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-235.0 829 982 25.30% 16.40% 58.31%-0.52 -40.5 16
2018-05-11 @ Lynx W 2-035.0 982 829 58.31% 16.40% 25.30%+0.52 +40.5 24
2018-05-12 Glacis United L 0-627.9 766 1050 13.62% 16.08% 70.30%-1.07 -63.9 7
2018-05-12 @ Manchester 62 W 6-027.9 1050 766 70.30% 16.08% 13.62%+1.07 +63.9 25
2018-05-12 Lincoln Red Imps W 3-153.8 1337 1486 25.73% 16.40% 57.87%-0.51 +72.3 47
2018-05-12 @ Gibraltar United L 1-353.8 1486 1337 57.87% 16.40% 25.73%+0.51 -72.3 59
2018-05-14 St. Joseph's L 0-326.6 804 1299 4.48% 15.15% 80.37%-1.94 -11.3 22
2018-05-14 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-026.6 1299 804 80.37% 15.15% 4.48%+1.94 +11.3 45
2018-05-15 Manchester 62 W 2-029.8 1022 702 75.57% 15.75% 8.68%+1.43 +15.0 27
2018-05-15 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-229.8 702 1022 8.68% 15.75% 75.57%-1.43 -15.0 7
2018-05-16 Lynx L 1-258.8 1497 789 85.49% 13.45% 1.06%+3.03 -61.4 51
2018-05-16 @ Europa W 2-158.8 789 1497 1.06% 13.45% 85.49%-3.03 +61.4 19
2018-05-18 Gibraltar United L 0-329.9 1114 1410 12.83% 16.04% 71.13%-1.12 -31.6 25
2018-05-18 @ Glacis United W 3-029.9 1410 1114 71.13% 16.04% 12.83%+1.12 +31.6 50
2018-05-19 Lions Gibraltar W 7-126.0 1414 792 84.24% 14.06% 1.70%+2.68 +6.7 62
2018-05-19 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-726.0 792 1414 1.70% 14.06% 84.24%-2.68 -6.7 22
2018-05-19 St. Joseph's L 2-452.5 1343 1311 49.75% 16.48% 33.77%+0.24 -56.2 41
2018-05-19 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-252.5 1311 1343 33.77% 16.48% 49.75%-0.24 +56.2 48
2018-05-21 Europa L 0-826.7 1037 1436 7.54% 15.63% 76.82%-1.54 -47.6 27
2018-05-21 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 8-026.7 1436 1037 76.82% 15.63% 7.54%+1.54 +47.6 54
2018-05-22 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-634.1 1286 1421 27.42% 16.42% 56.15%-0.45 -120.7 41
2018-05-22 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 6-034.1 1421 1286 56.15% 16.42% 27.42%+0.45 +120.7 65
2018-05-24 Lynx W 2-134.4 1367 850 82.24% 14.73% 3.02%+2.24 +2.6 51
2018-05-24 @ St. Joseph's L 1-234.4 850 1367 3.02% 14.73% 82.24%-2.24 -2.6 19
2018-05-25 Glacis United D 0-051.6 786 1082 12.77% 16.03% 71.20%-1.12 +12.4 23
2018-05-25 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-051.6 1082 786 71.20% 16.03% 12.77%+1.12 -12.4 26
2018-05-26 Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-135.1 1441 990 80.57% 15.11% 4.32%+1.97 +3.8 53
2018-05-26 @ Gibraltar United L 1-235.1 990 1441 4.32% 15.11% 80.57%-1.97 -3.8 27
2018-05-30 Europa L 0-923.8 687 1484 0.87% 13.19% 85.95%-3.18 -6.0 7
2018-05-30 @ Manchester 62 W 9-023.8 1484 687 85.95% 13.19% 0.87%+3.18 +6.0 57
2018-05-31 Lions Gibraltar W 5-238.4 986 798 66.87% 16.21% 16.93%+0.88 +29.9 30
2018-05-31 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 2-538.4 798 986 16.93% 16.21% 66.87%-0.88 -29.9 23
2018-06-02 Gibraltar United W 2-151.2 1490 1445 51.44% 16.47% 32.09%+0.29 +24.9 60
2018-06-02 @ Europa L 1-251.2 1445 1490 32.09% 16.47% 51.44%-0.29 -24.9 53
2018-06-02 St. Joseph's L 0-352.0 1541 1370 65.44% 16.25% 18.31%+0.82 -137.0 65
2018-06-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 3-052.0 1370 1541 18.31% 16.25% 65.44%-0.82 +137.0 54
2018-06-03 Manchester 62 W 9-030.0 848 681 64.93% 16.26% 18.80%+0.79 +126.7 22
2018-06-03 @ Lynx L 0-930.0 681 848 18.80% 16.26% 64.93%-0.79 -126.7 7
2018-06-03 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-237.1 1070 1166 32.12% 16.47% 51.41%-0.29 -49.8 26
2018-06-03 @ Glacis United W 2-037.1 1166 1070 51.41% 16.47% 32.12%+0.29 +49.9 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-05-16 1.06% Lynx 789 2 @ Europa 1497 1
2 2017-09-26 2.11% Gibraltar Phoenix 588 2 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1171 1
3 2018-03-13 3.19% Lions Gibraltar 1008 1 @ Europa 1515 0
4 2018-04-01 3.89% Mons Calpe S.C. 1183 3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1654 1
5 2017-11-20 6.21% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 670 1 Lions Gibraltar 1105 0
6 2017-09-27 7.61% @ Lions Gibraltar 1024 2 Europa 1420 1
7 2018-02-16 8.64% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 742 1 Glacis United 1114 0
8 2018-04-07 13.72% @ St. Joseph's 1269 4 Lincoln Red Imps 1552 2
9 2017-10-20 17.35% @ Gibraltar United 1097 3 St. Joseph's 1331 1
10 2018-04-05 17.46% Gibraltar Phoenix 783 6 @ Lions Gibraltar 965 1
11 2018-04-18 18.31% Lions Gibraltar 769 1 @ Lynx 941 0
12 2018-06-02 18.31% St. Joseph's 1370 3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1541 0
13 2018-02-17 18.98% Gibraltar United 1142 1 @ St. Joseph's 1306 0
14 2018-04-06 19.31% @ Gibraltar United 1255 2 Europa 1467 0
15 2018-04-29 19.95% Gibraltar Phoenix 955 2 @ Glacis United 1108 1
16 2018-03-01 20.24% @ Lynx 848 3 Glacis United 1050 1
17 2017-11-18 23.67% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1096 3 St. Joseph's 1264 1
18 2018-05-12 25.73% @ Gibraltar United 1337 3 Lincoln Red Imps 1486 1
19 2017-11-18 26.56% @ Glacis United 1131 2 Gibraltar United 1273 0
20 2017-09-25 29.77% @ Gibraltar United 1022 2 Lynx 1136 0
21 2018-03-31 32.16% @ Glacis United 969 6 Lions Gibraltar 1065 2
22 2017-11-09 32.54% @ Lions Gibraltar 1074 2 Mons Calpe S.C. 1167 1
23 2018-05-19 33.77% St. Joseph's 1311 4 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1343 2
24 2018-02-10 37.44% St. Joseph's 1208 3 @ Glacis United 1213 0
25 2018-04-10 38.34% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1298 2 Gibraltar United 1347 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-05 185.12 Gibraltar Phoenix 6 783 17.46% @ Lions Gibraltar 1 965 66.32% 16.22%
2 2018-06-02 136.96 St. Joseph's 3 1370 18.31% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1541 65.44% 16.25%
3 2018-06-03 126.67 @ Lynx 9 848 64.93% Manchester 62 0 681 18.80% 16.26%
4 2018-05-22 120.67 Lincoln Red Imps 6 1421 56.15% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 1286 27.42% 16.42%
5 2018-04-01 102.00 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1183 3.89% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1654 81.10% 15.00%
6 2018-03-31 100.14 @ Glacis United 6 969 32.16% Lions Gibraltar 2 1065 51.37% 16.47%
7 2018-02-10 98.36 St. Joseph's 3 1208 37.44% @ Glacis United 0 1213 46.07% 16.49%
8 2018-04-06 92.79 @ Gibraltar United 2 1255 19.31% Europa 0 1467 64.41% 16.28%
9 2017-10-13 91.73 Lions Gibraltar 3 1079 41.04% @ Lynx 0 1058 42.46% 16.50%
10 2017-10-20 82.93 @ Gibraltar United 3 1097 17.35% St. Joseph's 1 1331 66.43% 16.22%
11 2017-11-18 82.30 @ Glacis United 2 1131 26.56% Gibraltar United 0 1273 57.03% 16.41%
12 2018-02-14 81.49 Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1121 62.27% @ Lynx 0 931 21.40% 16.33%
13 2018-03-01 79.16 @ Lynx 3 848 20.24% Glacis United 1 1050 63.46% 16.30%
14 2018-04-07 78.55 @ St. Joseph's 4 1269 13.72% Lincoln Red Imps 2 1552 70.20% 16.08%
15 2017-09-25 77.87 @ Gibraltar United 2 1022 29.77% Lynx 0 1136 53.78% 16.45%
16 2017-11-18 74.83 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1096 23.67% St. Joseph's 1 1264 59.96% 16.37%
17 2018-05-12 72.29 @ Gibraltar United 3 1337 25.73% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1486 57.87% 16.40%
18 2018-05-10 68.68 Europa 4 1429 46.65% @ St. Joseph's 1 1368 36.86% 16.49%
19 2017-10-28 64.33 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1160 55.54% @ Manchester 62 0 1031 28.03% 16.43%
20 2018-05-12 63.87 Glacis United 6 1050 70.30% @ Manchester 62 0 766 13.62% 16.08%
21 2018-03-13 63.12 Lions Gibraltar 1 1008 3.19% @ Europa 0 1515 82.02% 14.79%
22 2018-05-16 61.37 Lynx 2 789 1.06% @ Europa 1 1497 85.49% 13.45%
23 2017-09-26 60.45 Gibraltar Phoenix 2 588 2.11% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1171 83.56% 14.32%
24 2017-11-20 60.33 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1 670 6.21% Lions Gibraltar 0 1105 78.33% 15.46%
25 2018-02-16 58.16 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1 742 8.64% Glacis United 0 1114 75.62% 15.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-02-15 69.0 @ Europa 1 1476 25.11% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1631 58.49% 16.39%
2 2017-11-04 64.8 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 3 659 1.54% Europa 3 1351 84.53% 13.93%
3 2018-04-07 61.3 @ St. Joseph's 4 1269 13.72% Lincoln Red Imps 2 1552 70.20% 16.08%
4 2018-04-01 60.7 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1183 3.89% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1654 81.10% 15.00%
5 2017-11-25 60.5 @ Gibraltar United 2 1191 80.82% Gibraltar Phoenix 2 731 4.11% 15.06%
6 2017-10-21 60.1 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 1171 63.01% Manchester 62 2 1025 20.68% 16.31%
7 2018-05-16 58.8 Lynx 2 789 1.06% @ Europa 1 1497 85.49% 13.45%
8 2017-09-26 58.4 Gibraltar Phoenix 2 588 2.11% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1171 83.56% 14.32%
9 2018-04-28 57.7 @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1485 55.14% Europa 0 1411 28.42% 16.43%
10 2017-09-27 57.0 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 1024 7.61% Europa 1 1420 76.75% 15.64%
11 2018-04-29 56.9 @ Gibraltar United 1 1332 43.09% St. Joseph's 1 1349 40.41% 16.50%
12 2017-10-19 55.7 @ Glacis United 1 1142 81.75% Gibraltar Phoenix 1 647 3.39% 14.86%
13 2018-04-17 55.7 @ St. Joseph's 1 1362 75.02% Glacis United 1 1052 9.18% 15.79%
14 2018-03-28 55.5 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1 774 6.63% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1197 77.85% 15.52%
15 2017-11-16 55.4 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1 659 12.03% Manchester 62 1 967 71.98% 15.99%
16 2017-10-15 55.2 @ Manchester 62 1 1023 34.63% Gibraltar United 1 1099 48.88% 16.48%
17 2017-11-08 55.2 @ Manchester 62 1 962 26.58% Glacis United 1 1103 57.01% 16.41%
18 2018-03-16 55.2 @ Manchester 62 1 835 53.97% Gibraltar Phoenix 1 770 29.58% 16.45%
19 2018-03-13 54.1 Lions Gibraltar 1 1008 3.19% @ Europa 0 1515 82.02% 14.79%
20 2018-05-12 53.8 @ Gibraltar United 3 1337 25.73% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1486 57.87% 16.40%
21 2018-04-29 53.0 Gibraltar Phoenix 2 955 19.95% @ Glacis United 1 1108 63.75% 16.29%
22 2017-11-20 52.6 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1 670 6.21% Lions Gibraltar 0 1105 78.33% 15.46%
23 2018-05-19 52.5 St. Joseph's 4 1311 33.77% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1343 49.75% 16.48%
24 2017-10-20 52.4 @ Gibraltar United 3 1097 17.35% St. Joseph's 1 1331 66.43% 16.22%
25 2018-06-02 52.0 St. Joseph's 3 1370 18.31% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1541 65.44% 16.25%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-10-15 23.0 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1536 86.98% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 0 649 0.52% 12.50%
2 2018-05-07 23.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 6 1481 85.51% Manchester 62 0 771 1.05% 13.44%
3 2018-05-30 23.8 Europa 9 1484 85.95% @ Manchester 62 0 687 0.87% 13.19%
4 2018-04-15 24.2 Europa 5 1374 82.79% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 780 2.63% 14.58%
5 2018-04-13 24.5 St. Joseph's 5 1348 81.71% @ Manchester 62 0 802 3.42% 14.87%
6 2017-10-26 24.8 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1564 83.80% @ Lynx 0 917 1.97% 14.24%
7 2018-04-27 24.8 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1311 80.92% Lynx 0 847 4.04% 15.04%
8 2018-04-20 25.1 Gibraltar United 4 1320 81.37% @ Manchester 62 0 788 3.68% 14.95%
9 2018-05-19 26.0 @ Lincoln Red Imps 7 1414 84.24% Lions Gibraltar 1 792 1.70% 14.06%
10 2017-11-02 26.1 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1571 83.95% Manchester 62 0 967 1.87% 14.18%
11 2018-05-03 26.2 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1327 81.76% @ Manchester 62 0 780 3.38% 14.86%
12 2018-05-14 26.6 St. Joseph's 3 1299 80.37% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 804 4.48% 15.15%
13 2018-05-21 26.7 Europa 8 1436 76.82% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 0 1037 7.54% 15.63%
14 2018-03-17 26.8 Europa 3 1452 80.54% @ Lynx 0 951 4.34% 15.12%
15 2018-02-24 27.0 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1625 86.31% Lynx 0 850 0.73% 12.96%
16 2018-05-05 27.8 @ St. Joseph's 3 1349 76.89% Gibraltar Phoenix 0 1001 7.48% 15.63%
17 2018-05-05 27.8 @ Gibraltar United 2 1332 82.24% Lions Gibraltar 0 815 3.03% 14.74%
18 2018-05-12 27.9 Glacis United 6 1050 70.30% @ Manchester 62 0 766 13.62% 16.08%
19 2018-05-09 28.1 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1336 81.20% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 810 3.81% 14.98%
20 2018-02-11 28.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1630 87.52% Gibraltar Phoenix 0 742 0.39% 12.09%
21 2017-11-17 28.5 @ Europa 2 1372 80.24% Lynx 0 932 4.59% 15.17%
22 2018-04-19 28.5 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1478 80.94% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 0 962 4.02% 15.04%
23 2017-09-27 28.7 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1508 75.55% Glacis United 0 1188 8.70% 15.75%
24 2017-12-03 29.1 @ Europa 4 1426 71.28% Gibraltar United 0 1180 12.69% 16.03%
25 2017-11-22 29.2 Europa 2 1380 77.91% @ Manchester 62 0 956 6.57% 15.51%