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2018-19 Gibraltar Premier Division Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

66 points · 24th Title

Last Title: 2017-18

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gibraltar Phoenix

6.44 points above expected

43 points · 36.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gibraltar United

9.41 points below expected

39 points · 48.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 27 21 3 3 66 84 19 +65 60.85 +5.15
2 Europa 27 20 4 3 64 84 20 +64 62.62 +1.38
3 St. Joseph's 27 17 4 6 55 69 29 +40 55.21 -0.21
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 27 15 4 8 49 63 29 +34 45.41 +3.59
5 Gibraltar Phoenix 27 13 4 10 43 42 34 +8 36.56 +6.44
6 Gibraltar United 27 11 6 10 39 48 37 +11 48.41 -9.41
7 Lynx 27 8 7 12 31 29 45 -16 26.85 +4.15
8 Glacis United 27 7 3 17 24 28 58 -30 28.93 -4.93
9 Lions Gibraltar 27 3 0 24 9 17 77 -60 15.00 -6.00
10 Boca Gibraltar 27 2 1 24 7 13 129 -116 7.09 -0.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gibraltar Phoenix 43 36.56 +6.44
2 Lincoln Red Imps 66 60.85 +5.15
3 Lynx 31 26.85 +4.15
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 49 45.41 +3.59
5 Europa 64 62.62 +1.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gibraltar United 39 48.41 -9.41
2 Lions Gibraltar 9 15.00 -6.00
3 Glacis United 24 28.93 -4.93
4 St. Joseph's 55 55.21 -0.21
5 Boca Gibraltar 7 7.09 -0.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lions Gibraltar 1 Dec 8 – Dec 8 1 in 30
2 Boca Gibraltar 1 Oct 19 – Oct 19 1 in 26
3 Lincoln Red Imps 9 Feb 24 – May 11 1 in 18
4 Lynx 2 May 12 – May 20 1 in 15
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 Dec 15 – Jan 25 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gibraltar United 3 Dec 2 – Dec 17 1 in 397
2 Lynx 3 Aug 23 – Oct 19 1 in 44
3 Lions Gibraltar 9 Aug 14 – Dec 1 1 in 41
4 Boca Gibraltar 16 Dec 15 – May 18 1 in 23
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 Aug 25 – Oct 3 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mons Calpe S.C. 6 Oct 21 – Dec 4 1 in 47
2 Gibraltar Phoenix 5 Oct 27 – Dec 7 1 in 17
3 Glacis United 3 Aug 20 – Oct 2 1 in 13
4 Lincoln Red Imps 13 Jan 17 – May 11 1 in 11
5 Europa 16 Dec 1 – May 4 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gibraltar United 6 Dec 2 – Jan 26 1 in 225
2 Lynx 9 Aug 23 – Dec 11 1 in 22
3 Lincoln Red Imps 2 Oct 22 – Oct 27 1 in 13
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 Jan 31 – Mar 1 1 in 11
5 Europa 2 Feb 3 – Feb 16 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1546 66 -10 12 11.7 +0.3
Europa 1522 64 -6 10 10.9 -0.9
St. Joseph's 1413 55 +0 10 10.2 -0.2
Mons Calpe S.C. 1381 49 +64 10 8.4 +1.6
Gibraltar Phoenix 1192 43 +33 10 9.0 +1.0
Gibraltar United 1219 39 -66 4 6.4 -2.4
Lynx 1095 31 +44 9 5.4 +3.6
Glacis United 927 24 -24 4 4.7 -0.7
Lions Gibraltar 818 9 +50 3 3.5 -0.5
Boca Gibraltar 518 7 -85 0 1.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG EUR GP GU GU LRI LG LYN MCS SJ
Boca Gibraltar —
0-0-3
0.33
0-0-3
0.69
0-0-3
0.42
0-0-3
1.03
0-0-3
0.33
1-0-2
2.39
1-0-2
0.95
0-0-3
0.55
0-1-2
0.39
Europa
3-0-0
8.39
 —
3-0-0
7.33
2-1-0
5.97
2-1-0
7.69
0-1-2
4.14
3-0-0
8.15
2-1-0
7.84
3-0-0
6.63
2-0-1
5.51
Gibraltar Phoenix
3-0-0
7.94
0-0-3
1.27
 —
2-1-0
2.68
2-1-0
5.14
0-0-3
1.53
3-0-0
7.49
2-1-0
5.51
1-0-2
3.10
0-1-2
1.95
Gibraltar United
3-0-0
8.25
0-1-2
2.61
0-1-2
5.90
 —
3-0-0
7.17
1-0-2
2.35
2-0-1
7.92
1-2-0
7.12
1-1-1
4.43
0-1-2
3.32
Glacis United
3-0-0
7.58
0-1-2
0.92
0-1-2
3.44
0-0-3
1.42
 —
0-0-3
1.04
3-0-0
6.40
0-1-2
3.98
1-0-2
2.03
0-0-3
1.33
Lincoln Red Imps
3-0-0
8.39
2-1-0
4.43
3-0-0
7.06
2-0-1
6.23
3-0-0
7.57
 —
3-0-0
8.14
2-1-0
7.79
1-1-1
6.67
2-0-1
4.84
Lions Gibraltar
2-0-1
6.19
0-0-3
0.51
0-0-3
1.12
1-0-2
0.71
0-0-3
2.18
0-0-3
0.52
 —
0-0-3
2.40
0-0-3
0.91
0-0-3
0.62
Lynx
2-0-1
7.66
0-1-2
0.79
0-1-2
3.07
0-2-1
1.47
2-1-0
4.59
0-1-2
0.83
3-0-0
6.18
 —
1-1-1
1.82
0-0-3
1.21
Mons Calpe S.C.
3-0-0
8.11
0-0-3
1.96
2-0-1
5.48
1-1-1
4.15
2-0-1
6.56
1-1-1
1.92
3-0-0
7.71
1-1-1
6.77
 —
2-1-0
2.82
St. Joseph's
2-1-0
8.30
1-0-2
3.07
2-1-0
6.64
2-1-0
5.26
3-0-0
7.28
1-0-2
3.73
3-0-0
8.03
3-0-0
7.39
0-1-2
5.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +7.7
Allowed 0.79 -5.5
Differential 0.94 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.96%7.41%5.93%5.19%2.22%5.56%29.26%
17.41%8.15%6.30%3.33%1.48%2.96%29.63%
25.93%6.30%2.22%1.85%—0.74%17.04%
35.19%3.33%1.85%—0.37%—10.74%
42.22%1.48%—0.37%——4.07%
5+5.56%2.96%0.74%———9.26%
Total29.26%29.63%17.04%10.74%4.07%9.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.77 +0.00
SD 2.10 2.10 3.44
CV 1.19 1.19 —
Max 13 13 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%3.70%18.52%3.70%29.63%59.26%
17.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%—11.11%33.33%
2———3.70%—3.70%7.41%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.41%7.41%11.11%25.93%3.70%44.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.48 4.78 -4.30
SD 0.64 3.51 3.67
CV 1.33 0.74 —
Max 2 13 +1
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—3.70%———7.41%
114.81%11.11%————25.93%
211.11%7.41%—7.41%——25.93%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
43.70%——3.70%——7.41%
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total51.85%33.33%3.70%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.11 0.74 +2.37
SD 2.99 0.98 3.20
CV 0.96 1.33 —
Max 13 3 +12
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%11.11%14.81%3.70%—40.74%
111.11%7.41%3.70%———22.22%
27.41%7.41%————14.81%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+7.41%—3.70%———11.11%
Total33.33%29.63%18.52%14.81%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.26 +0.30
SD 2.04 1.20 2.76
CV 1.31 0.95 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%7.41%———18.52%
13.70%14.81%7.41%3.70%—3.70%33.33%
27.41%11.11%7.41%——3.70%29.63%
3———————
47.41%7.41%————14.81%
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total22.22%44.44%22.22%3.70%—7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.37 +0.41
SD 1.63 1.31 2.39
CV 0.91 0.95 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%14.81%—3.70%7.41%40.74%
17.41%3.70%14.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%37.04%
23.70%3.70%—3.70%——11.11%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total18.52%22.22%33.33%7.41%7.41%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.15 -1.11
SD 1.34 1.99 2.64
CV 1.30 0.93 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
13.70%7.41%—3.70%——14.81%
214.81%7.41%3.70%———25.93%
311.11%7.41%3.70%———22.22%
47.41%3.70%————11.11%
5+11.11%7.41%————18.52%
Total48.15%37.04%11.11%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.11 0.70 +2.41
SD 2.55 0.82 2.95
CV 0.82 1.17 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%7.41%14.81%7.41%11.11%62.96%
13.70%—3.70%11.11%3.70%7.41%29.63%
2—3.70%————3.70%
3———————
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total7.41%25.93%11.11%25.93%11.11%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 2.85 -2.22
SD 1.39 2.05 2.79
CV 2.21 0.72 —
Max 7 8 +7
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%33.33%
17.41%14.81%3.70%—7.41%3.70%37.04%
23.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
311.11%—————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.63%33.33%11.11%7.41%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.67 -0.59
SD 1.00 1.82 2.31
CV 0.93 1.09 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%————7.41%
1—11.11%14.81%3.70%——29.63%
27.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
318.52%—3.70%—3.70%—25.93%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+7.41%—3.70%———11.11%
Total37.04%29.63%25.93%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 1.07 +1.26
SD 1.54 1.07 2.14
CV 0.66 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%——3.70%14.81%
114.81%7.41%7.41%3.70%——33.33%
23.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
33.70%7.41%7.41%———18.52%
4———————
5+11.11%7.41%————18.52%
Total37.04%33.33%22.22%3.70%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.56 1.07 +1.48
SD 2.64 1.17 3.17
CV 1.03 1.09 —
Max 10 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lincoln Red Imps 1546 66 60.85 +5.15 86.0% 46 50 58 61 65 70 73
Europa 1522 64 62.62 +1.38 65.0% 47 53 59 63 67 70 75
St. Joseph's 1413 55 55.21 -0.21 54.0% 37 45 50 55 60 66 72
Mons Calpe S.C. 1381 49 45.41 +3.59 75.0% 26 34 42 45 49 54 64
Gibraltar United 1219 39 48.41 -9.41 6.0% 36 38 44 49 52 58 61
Gibraltar Phoenix 1192 43 36.56 +6.44 87.0% 23 26 32 37 41 47 55
Lynx 1095 31 26.85 +4.15 80.0% 16 18 23 28 31 34 40
Glacis United 927 24 28.93 -4.93 20.0% 16 20 25 29 32 39 43
Lions Gibraltar 818 9 15.00 -6.00 11.0% 5 8 12 15 18 23 25
Boca Gibraltar 518 7 7.09 -0.09 59.0% 0 3 4 7 9 13 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.15%
Strong Edge
47.41%13.33%39.26%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 28.37 Elo pts.
157 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Lincoln Red Imps, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.49 * Some Luck: 4.49 to 6.74 * Lucky: 6.74 to 8.99 * Wild Swing: 8.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.44 * Close: 0.44 to 0.67 * Off: 0.67 to 0.89 * Way Off: 0.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.99 points
Some Luck
05.6214
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Off
00.551.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
87.00%
Gibraltar Phoenix
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Gibraltar United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.29
Top-Heavy
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 330.81
2.86
Wide Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
93%
Clear Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Frequent
0%33%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Frequent
0%48%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.39
Highly Predictable
00.412
Matchup Imbalance
0.66
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.81
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Near-Lock
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.1140.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Lincoln Red Imps30.00%42.00%19.00%8.00%1.00%—————
Europa55.00%29.00%13.00%3.00%——————
St. Joseph's12.00%18.00%44.00%18.00%7.00%1.00%————
Mons Calpe S.C.1.00%4.00%10.00%28.00%40.00%15.00%1.00%1.00%——
Gibraltar Phoenix——1.00%3.00%19.00%46.00%25.00%6.00%——
Gibraltar United2.00%7.00%13.00%39.00%30.00%9.00%————
Lynx—————12.00%35.00%47.00%6.00%—
Glacis United———1.00%3.00%17.00%36.00%40.00%3.00%—
Lions Gibraltar——————3.00%6.00%81.00%10.00%
Boca Gibraltar————————10.00%90.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Boca Gibraltar 100%
Europa 100%
Gibraltar Phoenix 100%
Gibraltar United 100%
Glacis United 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Lions Gibraltar 100%
Lynx 100%
Mons Calpe S.C. 100%
St. Joseph's 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-08-13 Boca Gibraltar W 5-023.8 1436 606 89.62% 9.81% 0.57%+5.47 +1.1 3
2018-08-13 @ St. Joseph's L 0-523.8 606 1436 0.57% 9.81% 89.62%-5.47 -1.1 0
2018-08-14 Lions Gibraltar W 4-026.4 1374 910 83.28% 12.48% 4.24%+3.14 +7.2 3
2018-08-14 @ Gibraltar United L 0-426.4 910 1374 4.24% 12.48% 83.28%-3.14 -7.2 0
2018-08-15 Gibraltar Phoenix D 0-051.7 1061 1092 42.56% 14.14% 43.30%-0.02 +0.1 1
2018-08-15 @ Lynx D 0-051.7 1092 1061 43.30% 14.14% 42.56%+0.02 -0.1 1
2018-08-16 Glacis United W 4-029.3 1367 1099 74.63% 13.51% 11.86%+1.89 +19.8 3
2018-08-16 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-429.3 1099 1367 11.86% 13.51% 74.63%-1.89 -19.8 0
2018-08-16 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-138.7 1454 1232 71.42% 13.68% 14.90%+1.60 +6.5 3
2018-08-16 @ Europa L 1-238.7 1232 1454 14.90% 13.68% 71.42%-1.60 -6.5 0
2018-08-17 Gibraltar United D 2-262.9 1437 1382 54.40% 14.09% 31.51%+0.53 -1.6 4
2018-08-17 @ St. Joseph's D 2-262.9 1382 1437 31.51% 14.09% 54.40%-0.53 +1.6 4
2018-08-18 Lynx L 0-334.3 903 1061 26.10% 14.02% 59.88%-0.82 -31.8 0
2018-08-18 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-034.3 1061 903 59.88% 14.02% 26.10%+0.82 +31.8 4
2018-08-18 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-326.5 605 1225 2.47% 11.82% 85.71%-3.77 -3.2 0
2018-08-18 @ Boca Gibraltar W 3-026.5 1225 605 85.71% 11.82% 2.47%+3.77 +3.2 3
2018-08-19 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-232.0 1092 1387 13.73% 13.62% 72.65%-1.70 -12.0 1
2018-08-19 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-032.0 1387 1092 72.65% 13.62% 13.73%+1.70 +12.0 6
2018-08-20 Europa D 0-052.5 1080 1460 8.89% 13.25% 77.85%-2.25 +8.0 1
2018-08-20 @ Glacis United D 0-052.5 1460 1080 77.85% 13.25% 8.89%+2.25 -8.0 4
2018-08-22 Boca Gibraltar W 2-131.7 1383 602 89.06% 10.19% 0.75%+5.16 +0.3 7
2018-08-22 @ Gibraltar United L 1-231.7 602 1383 0.75% 10.19% 89.06%-5.16 -0.3 0
2018-08-23 St. Joseph's L 2-340.3 1093 1435 10.82% 13.43% 75.75%-2.00 -4.5 4
2018-08-23 @ Lynx W 3-240.3 1435 1093 75.75% 13.43% 10.82%+2.00 +4.5 7
2018-08-24 Lions Gibraltar W 3-026.8 1399 871 84.93% 12.07% 3.01%+3.54 +3.9 9
2018-08-24 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-326.8 871 1399 3.01% 12.07% 84.93%-3.54 -3.9 0
2018-08-25 Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-029.9 1452 1080 80.10% 13.01% 6.90%+2.56 +6.1 7
2018-08-25 @ Europa L 0-229.9 1080 1452 6.90% 13.01% 80.10%-2.56 -6.1 1
2018-08-25 Glacis United L 0-148.2 1229 1088 64.22% 13.93% 21.85%+1.08 -26.2 3
2018-08-25 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-048.2 1088 1229 21.85% 13.93% 64.22%-1.08 +26.2 4
2018-10-01 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-545.2 1440 1403 52.00% 14.11% 33.89%+0.42 -94.2 7
2018-10-01 @ St. Joseph's W 5-045.2 1403 1440 33.89% 14.11% 52.00%-0.42 +94.2 12
2018-10-02 Glacis United L 0-228.5 601 1114 4.44% 12.53% 83.03%-3.08 -4.0 0
2018-10-02 @ Boca Gibraltar W 2-028.5 1114 601 83.03% 12.53% 4.44%+3.08 +4.0 7
2018-10-03 Mons Calpe S.C. W 1-045.9 1073 1202 29.44% 14.07% 56.49%-0.64 +23.1 4
2018-10-03 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-145.9 1202 1073 56.49% 14.07% 29.44%+0.64 -23.1 3
2018-10-04 Lynx W 4-133.8 1383 1088 76.30% 13.39% 10.31%+2.06 +11.2 10
2018-10-04 @ Gibraltar United L 1-433.8 1088 1383 10.31% 13.39% 76.30%-2.06 -11.2 4
2018-10-05 Europa L 0-228.0 868 1459 2.90% 12.02% 85.08%-3.58 -2.6 0
2018-10-05 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-028.0 1459 868 85.08% 12.02% 2.90%+3.58 +2.6 10
2018-10-19 Boca Gibraltar L 0-153.5 1077 597 83.71% 12.38% 3.90%+3.23 -34.2 4
2018-10-19 @ Lynx W 1-053.5 597 1077 3.90% 12.38% 83.71%-3.23 +34.2 3
2018-10-20 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-346.7 1118 1097 49.87% 14.12% 36.01%+0.32 -33.6 7
2018-10-20 @ Glacis United W 3-146.7 1097 1118 36.01% 14.12% 49.87%-0.32 +33.6 7
2018-10-20 St. Joseph's L 2-358.9 1461 1346 61.52% 13.99% 24.49%+0.92 -22.4 10
2018-10-20 @ Europa W 3-258.9 1346 1461 24.49% 13.99% 61.52%-0.92 +22.4 10
2018-10-21 Lions Gibraltar W 3-029.0 1179 865 77.33% 13.30% 9.36%+2.18 +12.1 6
2018-10-21 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-329.0 865 1179 9.36% 13.30% 77.33%-2.18 -12.1 0
2018-10-22 Gibraltar United L 0-153.0 1497 1395 60.08% 14.01% 25.91%+0.83 -24.5 12
2018-10-22 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 1-053.0 1395 1497 25.91% 14.01% 60.08%-0.83 +24.5 13
2018-10-24 Europa L 0-133.3 1130 1439 12.86% 13.57% 73.57%-1.78 -6.0 7
2018-10-24 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 1-033.3 1439 1130 73.57% 13.57% 12.86%+1.78 +6.0 13
2018-10-25 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-253.5 1368 1191 67.65% 13.83% 18.52%+1.31 -26.0 10
2018-10-25 @ St. Joseph's W 2-153.5 1191 1368 18.52% 13.83% 67.65%-1.31 +26.0 9
2018-10-26 Glacis United L 0-134.4 853 1084 18.73% 13.84% 67.43%-1.29 -8.6 0
2018-10-26 @ Lions Gibraltar W 1-034.4 1084 853 67.43% 13.84% 18.73%+1.29 +8.5 10
2018-10-27 Gibraltar Phoenix L 2-534.8 632 1124 4.94% 12.65% 82.41%-2.96 -4.7 3
2018-10-27 @ Boca Gibraltar W 5-234.8 1124 632 82.41% 12.65% 4.94%+2.96 +4.7 10
2018-10-27 Lincoln Red Imps D 1-155.7 1043 1473 6.88% 13.00% 80.11%-2.56 +7.6 5
2018-10-27 @ Lynx D 1-155.7 1473 1043 80.11% 13.00% 6.88%+2.56 -7.6 13
2018-10-28 Europa L 1-350.0 1419 1445 43.33% 14.14% 42.52%+0.02 -29.7 13
2018-10-28 @ Gibraltar United W 3-150.0 1445 1419 42.52% 14.14% 43.33%-0.02 +29.7 16
2018-11-01 Lions Gibraltar W 1-032.0 1129 844 75.65% 13.44% 10.91%+1.99 +5.1 13
2018-11-01 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-132.0 844 1129 10.91% 13.44% 75.65%-1.99 -5.1 0
2018-11-02 Boca Gibraltar W 3-025.3 1465 627 89.70% 9.75% 0.55%+5.52 +0.7 16
2018-11-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-325.3 627 1465 0.55% 9.75% 89.70%-5.52 -0.7 3
2018-11-03 Gibraltar United D 1-155.8 1217 1389 24.49% 13.99% 61.52%-0.92 +3.6 10
2018-11-03 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-155.8 1389 1217 61.52% 13.99% 24.49%+0.92 -3.7 14
2018-11-03 Lynx W 4-027.3 1474 1050 82.03% 12.72% 5.25%+2.88 +8.9 19
2018-11-03 @ Europa L 0-427.3 1050 1474 5.25% 12.72% 82.03%-2.88 -8.9 5
2018-11-04 St. Joseph's L 0-232.9 1093 1342 17.16% 13.78% 69.05%-1.41 -14.9 10
2018-11-04 @ Glacis United W 2-032.9 1342 1093 69.05% 13.78% 17.16%+1.41 +14.9 13
2018-11-22 Lions Gibraltar W 1-048.5 626 839 20.38% 13.89% 65.73%-1.18 +26.8 6
2018-11-22 @ Boca Gibraltar L 0-148.5 839 626 65.73% 13.89% 20.38%+1.18 -26.8 0
2018-11-23 Glacis United W 2-135.6 1386 1078 77.01% 13.33% 9.66%+2.14 +4.3 17
2018-11-23 @ Gibraltar United L 1-235.6 1078 1386 9.66% 13.33% 77.01%-2.14 -4.3 10
2018-11-24 Gibraltar Phoenix D 0-052.2 1357 1134 71.50% 13.68% 14.82%+1.60 -6.5 14
2018-11-24 @ St. Joseph's D 0-052.2 1134 1357 14.82% 13.68% 71.50%-1.60 +6.4 14
2018-11-24 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-333.6 1041 1221 23.71% 13.97% 62.32%-0.96 -29.2 5
2018-11-24 @ Lynx W 3-033.6 1221 1041 62.32% 13.97% 23.71%+0.96 +29.1 13
2018-11-25 Europa W 3-257.2 1466 1483 44.48% 14.14% 41.38%+0.07 +15.6 19
2018-11-25 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 2-357.2 1483 1466 41.38% 14.14% 44.48%-0.07 -15.6 19
2018-11-27 Gibraltar United L 0-425.0 653 1390 1.31% 10.97% 87.72%-4.51 -2.1 6
2018-11-27 @ Boca Gibraltar W 4-025.0 1390 653 87.72% 10.97% 1.31%+4.51 +2.2 20
2018-11-29 Lynx D 0-051.7 1073 1012 55.12% 14.08% 30.80%+0.57 -2.6 11
2018-11-29 @ Glacis United D 0-051.7 1012 1073 30.80% 14.08% 55.12%-0.57 +2.6 6
2018-11-30 Lincoln Red Imps D 2-261.3 1250 1481 18.72% 13.84% 67.44%-1.29 +3.7 14
2018-11-30 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 2-261.3 1481 1250 67.44% 13.84% 18.72%+1.29 -3.6 20
2018-12-01 Boca Gibraltar W 3-025.4 1468 651 89.47% 9.92% 0.62%+5.38 +0.8 22
2018-12-01 @ Europa L 0-325.4 651 1468 0.62% 9.92% 89.47%-5.38 -0.8 6
2018-12-01 St. Joseph's L 0-725.0 813 1351 3.86% 12.37% 83.77%-3.25 -11.0 0
2018-12-01 @ Lions Gibraltar W 7-025.0 1351 813 83.77% 12.37% 3.86%+3.25 +11.0 17
2018-12-02 Gibraltar United W 2-153.9 1140 1392 16.97% 13.78% 69.26%-1.42 +26.6 17
2018-12-02 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-253.9 1392 1140 69.26% 13.78% 16.97%+1.42 -26.6 20
2018-12-04 Mons Calpe S.C. L 2-343.7 1071 1254 23.35% 13.97% 62.68%-0.98 -9.4 11
2018-12-04 @ Glacis United W 3-243.7 1254 1071 62.68% 13.97% 23.35%+0.98 +9.4 17
2018-12-06 St. Joseph's D 1-155.7 650 1362 1.50% 11.16% 87.33%-4.35 +9.0 7
2018-12-06 @ Boca Gibraltar D 1-155.7 1362 650 87.33% 11.16% 1.50%+4.35 -9.0 18
2018-12-07 Lynx W 2-033.8 1167 1015 65.33% 13.90% 20.77%+1.15 +17.8 20
2018-12-07 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-233.8 1015 1167 20.77% 13.90% 65.33%-1.15 -17.8 6
2018-12-08 Gibraltar United W 1-053.7 802 1366 3.36% 12.20% 84.44%-3.41 +34.5 3
2018-12-08 @ Lions Gibraltar L 0-153.7 1366 802 84.44% 12.20% 3.36%+3.41 -34.5 20
2018-12-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-235.1 1061 1478 7.40% 13.08% 79.53%-2.47 -3.3 11
2018-12-08 @ Glacis United W 2-135.1 1478 1061 79.53% 13.08% 7.40%+2.47 +3.3 23
2018-12-09 Europa L 1-241.2 1263 1468 21.11% 13.91% 64.97%-1.13 -9.0 17
2018-12-09 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-141.2 1468 1263 64.97% 13.91% 21.11%+1.13 +9.0 25
2018-12-11 Lynx W 7-129.2 1353 997 79.35% 13.10% 7.55%+2.44 +15.4 21
2018-12-11 @ St. Joseph's L 1-729.2 997 1353 7.55% 13.10% 79.35%-2.44 -15.4 6
2018-12-12 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-227.6 836 1481 2.16% 11.65% 86.19%-3.93 -1.9 3
2018-12-12 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-027.6 1481 836 86.19% 11.65% 2.16%+3.93 +1.9 26
2018-12-15 Boca Gibraltar W 3-026.3 1254 659 86.32% 11.60% 2.08%+3.97 +2.6 20
2018-12-15 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-326.3 659 1254 2.08% 11.60% 86.32%-3.97 -2.7 7
2018-12-15 Glacis United W 1-030.7 1477 1058 81.86% 12.75% 5.39%+2.85 +2.5 28
2018-12-15 @ Europa L 0-130.7 1058 1477 5.39% 12.75% 81.86%-2.85 -2.5 11
2018-12-16 Lions Gibraltar W 1-035.2 982 834 64.89% 13.91% 21.19%+1.12 +9.6 9
2018-12-16 @ Lynx L 0-135.2 834 982 21.19% 13.91% 64.89%-1.12 -9.6 3
2018-12-17 St. Joseph's L 0-143.3 1331 1368 41.71% 14.14% 44.15%-0.05 -17.6 20
2018-12-17 @ Gibraltar United W 1-043.3 1368 1331 44.15% 14.14% 41.71%+0.05 +17.6 24
2018-12-18 Gibraltar Phoenix W 4-029.9 1483 1185 76.45% 13.38% 10.17%+2.08 +17.1 29
2018-12-18 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-429.9 1185 1483 10.17% 13.38% 76.45%-2.08 -17.1 20
2019-01-03 St. Joseph's L 1-356.0 1500 1386 61.40% 13.99% 24.61%+0.91 -40.9 29
2019-01-03 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 3-156.0 1386 1500 24.61% 13.99% 61.40%-0.91 +40.9 27
2019-01-04 Gibraltar United D 2-259.1 991 1314 12.01% 13.52% 74.48%-1.87 +4.8 10
2019-01-04 @ Lynx D 2-259.1 1314 991 74.48% 13.52% 12.01%+1.87 -4.8 21
2019-01-07 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-034.9 1257 1168 58.53% 14.04% 27.43%+0.75 +33.3 23
2019-01-07 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-334.9 1168 1257 27.43% 14.04% 58.53%-0.75 -33.3 20
2019-01-08 Lions Gibraltar W 5-129.0 1480 824 87.35% 11.16% 1.50%+4.36 +2.1 31
2019-01-08 @ Europa L 1-529.0 824 1480 1.50% 11.16% 87.35%-4.36 -2.1 3
2019-01-14 Boca Gibraltar W 6-129.5 1056 657 81.13% 12.86% 6.00%+2.72 +10.4 14
2019-01-14 @ Glacis United L 1-629.5 657 1056 6.00% 12.86% 81.13%-2.72 -10.3 7
2019-01-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-540.3 1309 1459 26.93% 14.03% 59.04%-0.78 -35.6 21
2019-01-17 @ Gibraltar United W 5-140.3 1459 1309 59.04% 14.03% 26.93%+0.78 +35.6 32
2019-01-18 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-426.9 822 1290 5.64% 12.80% 81.57%-2.80 -9.5 3
2019-01-18 @ Lions Gibraltar W 4-026.9 1290 822 81.57% 12.80% 5.64%+2.80 +9.5 26
2019-01-19 Europa L 0-147.3 1426 1482 39.08% 14.14% 46.79%-0.17 -16.6 27
2019-01-19 @ St. Joseph's W 1-047.3 1482 1426 46.79% 14.14% 39.08%+0.17 +16.6 34
2019-01-19 Glacis United W 6-033.5 1134 1066 56.03% 14.07% 29.90%+0.62 +68.7 23
2019-01-19 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-633.5 1066 1134 29.90% 14.07% 56.03%-0.62 -68.8 14
2019-01-20 Lynx L 0-329.4 646 996 10.43% 13.40% 76.17%-2.05 -13.4 7
2019-01-20 @ Boca Gibraltar W 3-029.4 996 646 76.17% 13.40% 10.43%+2.05 +13.4 13
2019-01-24 Lions Gibraltar W 3-136.9 997 813 68.32% 13.81% 17.87%+1.35 +13.4 17
2019-01-24 @ Glacis United L 1-336.9 813 997 17.87% 13.81% 68.32%-1.35 -13.4 3
2019-01-25 St. Joseph's W 2-150.9 1300 1410 31.76% 14.09% 54.15%-0.52 +20.9 29
2019-01-25 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-250.9 1410 1300 54.15% 14.09% 31.76%+0.52 -20.9 27
2019-01-26 Gibraltar United W 1-036.2 1499 1273 71.68% 13.67% 14.65%+1.62 +6.8 37
2019-01-26 @ Europa L 0-136.2 1273 1499 14.65% 13.67% 71.68%-1.62 -6.8 21
2019-01-26 Lynx W 1-030.0 1495 1010 83.87% 12.34% 3.78%+3.27 +1.8 35
2019-01-26 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-130.0 1010 1495 3.78% 12.34% 83.87%-3.27 -1.8 13
2019-01-27 Boca Gibraltar W 3-131.7 1203 633 85.84% 11.77% 2.38%+3.81 +1.8 26
2019-01-27 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-331.7 633 1203 2.38% 11.77% 85.84%-3.81 -1.8 7
2019-01-31 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-147.4 1266 1321 39.27% 14.14% 46.59%-0.16 +18.2 24
2019-01-31 @ Gibraltar United L 1-247.4 1321 1266 46.59% 14.14% 39.27%+0.16 -18.2 29
2019-02-01 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-333.7 800 1205 7.83% 13.13% 79.04%-2.40 -6.0 3
2019-02-01 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-133.7 1205 800 79.04% 13.13% 7.83%+2.40 +6.0 29
2019-02-02 Glacis United W 8-026.1 1389 1011 80.33% 12.98% 6.70%+2.59 +21.8 30
2019-02-02 @ St. Joseph's L 0-826.1 1011 1389 6.70% 12.98% 80.33%-2.59 -21.8 17
2019-02-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-1123.2 631 1496 0.64% 9.98% 89.38%-5.33 -2.7 7
2019-02-02 @ Boca Gibraltar W 11-023.2 1496 631 89.38% 9.98% 0.64%+5.33 +2.7 38
2019-02-03 Europa D 1-155.8 1008 1505 4.80% 12.62% 82.58%-2.99 +8.1 14
2019-02-03 @ Lynx D 1-155.8 1505 1008 82.58% 12.62% 4.80%+2.99 -8.1 38
2019-02-15 Gibraltar United L 0-231.7 989 1285 13.70% 13.62% 72.68%-1.70 -12.0 17
2019-02-15 @ Glacis United W 2-031.7 1285 989 72.68% 13.62% 13.70%+1.70 +12.0 27
2019-02-16 Lincoln Red Imps D 1-164.7 1497 1499 46.69% 14.14% 39.17%+0.17 -0.7 39
2019-02-16 @ Europa D 1-164.7 1499 1497 39.17% 14.14% 46.69%-0.17 +0.7 39
2019-02-16 Lynx D 1-155.1 1302 1016 75.77% 13.43% 10.80%+2.00 -6.7 30
2019-02-16 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-155.1 1016 1302 10.80% 13.43% 75.77%-2.00 +6.7 15
2019-02-17 St. Joseph's L 1-240.1 1211 1411 21.65% 13.93% 64.42%-1.09 -9.2 29
2019-02-17 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-140.1 1411 1211 64.42% 13.93% 21.65%+1.09 +9.2 33
2019-02-18 Boca Gibraltar W 2-138.4 793 628 66.59% 13.87% 19.55%+1.23 +8.4 6
2019-02-18 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-238.4 628 793 19.55% 13.87% 66.59%-1.23 -8.4 7
2019-02-21 Glacis United W 2-142.4 1023 977 53.15% 14.10% 32.75%+0.47 +13.4 18
2019-02-21 @ Lynx L 1-242.4 977 1023 32.75% 14.10% 53.15%-0.47 -13.4 17
2019-02-22 Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-155.3 1297 1202 59.20% 14.03% 26.77%+0.79 -3.2 28
2019-02-22 @ Gibraltar United D 1-155.3 1202 1297 26.77% 14.03% 59.20%-0.79 +3.2 30
2019-02-23 Europa L 0-923.1 620 1497 0.60% 9.89% 89.51%-5.40 -2.1 7
2019-02-23 @ Boca Gibraltar W 9-023.1 1497 620 89.51% 9.89% 0.60%+5.40 +2.1 42
2019-02-23 Lions Gibraltar W 3-131.5 1420 802 86.73% 11.43% 1.84%+4.12 +1.4 36
2019-02-23 @ St. Joseph's L 1-331.5 802 1420 1.84% 11.43% 86.73%-4.12 -1.4 6
2019-02-24 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-140.0 1500 1296 70.02% 13.75% 16.24%+1.48 +12.2 42
2019-02-24 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-340.0 1296 1500 16.24% 13.75% 70.02%-1.48 -12.2 30
2019-02-28 Boca Gibraltar W 10-124.2 1421 618 89.32% 10.02% 0.66%+5.30 +1.9 39
2019-02-28 @ St. Joseph's L 1-1024.2 618 1421 0.66% 10.02% 89.32%-5.30 -1.9 7
2019-03-01 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-347.6 1499 1283 70.90% 13.71% 15.40%+1.55 +6.2 45
2019-03-01 @ Europa L 3-447.6 1283 1499 15.40% 13.71% 70.90%-1.55 -6.2 30
2019-03-02 Gibraltar Phoenix L 1-240.1 1036 1205 24.84% 14.00% 61.16%-0.90 -10.5 18
2019-03-02 @ Lynx W 2-140.1 1205 1036 61.16% 14.00% 24.84%+0.90 +10.5 33
2019-03-02 Glacis United W 2-133.1 1512 963 85.40% 11.92% 2.68%+3.68 +1.2 45
2019-03-02 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-233.1 963 1512 2.68% 11.92% 85.40%-3.68 -1.2 17
2019-03-03 Lions Gibraltar W 4-131.1 1293 800 84.08% 12.29% 3.63%+3.32 +3.9 31
2019-03-03 @ Gibraltar United L 1-431.1 800 1293 3.63% 12.29% 84.08%-3.32 -3.9 6
2019-03-07 Europa L 1-629.1 962 1505 3.77% 12.34% 83.89%-3.28 -6.5 17
2019-03-07 @ Glacis United W 6-129.1 1505 962 83.89% 12.34% 3.77%+3.28 +6.5 48
2019-03-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-332.7 1215 1513 13.56% 13.61% 72.83%-1.72 -17.3 33
2019-03-08 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-032.7 1513 1215 72.83% 13.61% 13.56%+1.72 +17.3 48
2019-03-09 Gibraltar United W 2-141.8 1423 1297 62.64% 13.97% 23.39%+0.98 +9.9 42
2019-03-09 @ St. Joseph's L 1-241.8 1297 1423 23.39% 13.97% 62.64%-0.98 -9.9 31
2019-03-09 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-524.7 616 1277 1.98% 11.53% 86.49%-4.03 -4.1 7
2019-03-09 @ Boca Gibraltar W 5-024.7 1277 616 86.49% 11.53% 1.98%+4.03 +4.0 33
2019-03-10 Lynx L 0-332.1 797 1026 18.92% 13.85% 67.24%-1.28 -23.7 6
2019-03-10 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-032.1 1026 797 67.24% 13.85% 18.92%+1.28 +23.7 21
2019-03-28 Glacis United W 4-133.0 1281 956 77.92% 13.25% 8.83%+2.25 +9.6 36
2019-03-28 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-433.0 956 1281 8.83% 13.25% 77.92%-2.25 -9.6 17
2019-03-29 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-031.1 1511 1198 77.28% 13.31% 9.41%+2.18 +12.1 51
2019-03-29 @ Europa L 0-331.1 1198 1511 9.41% 13.31% 77.28%-2.18 -12.1 33
2019-03-30 Boca Gibraltar W 7-023.8 1288 612 87.65% 11.01% 1.34%+4.48 +3.7 34
2019-03-30 @ Gibraltar United L 0-723.8 612 1288 1.34% 11.01% 87.65%-4.48 -3.7 7
2019-03-30 Lions Gibraltar W 5-128.5 1531 773 88.77% 10.38% 0.85%+5.01 +1.2 51
2019-03-30 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-528.5 773 1531 0.85% 10.38% 88.77%-5.01 -1.1 6
2019-03-31 St. Joseph's L 0-131.6 1049 1433 8.75% 13.24% 78.01%-2.26 -4.1 21
2019-03-31 @ Lynx W 1-031.6 1433 1049 78.01% 13.24% 8.75%+2.26 +4.1 45
2019-04-04 Europa L 0-823.7 772 1523 1.20% 10.86% 87.94%-4.61 -3.8 6
2019-04-04 @ Lions Gibraltar W 8-023.7 1523 772 87.94% 10.86% 1.20%+4.61 +3.8 54
2019-04-05 Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-237.7 1186 1291 32.46% 14.10% 53.44%-0.49 -26.6 33
2019-04-05 @ Gibraltar Phoenix W 2-037.7 1291 1186 53.44% 14.10% 32.46%+0.49 +26.6 39
2019-04-06 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-350.6 1437 1532 33.80% 14.11% 52.09%-0.42 -23.9 45
2019-04-06 @ St. Joseph's W 3-150.6 1532 1437 52.09% 14.11% 33.80%+0.42 +23.9 54
2019-04-06 Lynx D 1-155.1 1291 1045 73.18% 13.59% 13.22%+1.75 -6.1 35
2019-04-06 @ Gibraltar United D 1-155.1 1045 1291 13.22% 13.59% 73.18%-1.75 +6.1 22
2019-04-07 Glacis United L 2-339.8 608 946 11.09% 13.45% 75.46%-1.97 -4.6 7
2019-04-07 @ Boca Gibraltar W 3-239.8 946 608 75.46% 13.45% 11.09%+1.97 +4.6 20
2019-04-13 Boca Gibraltar W 1-029.8 1051 603 82.79% 12.58% 4.63%+3.03 +2.2 25
2019-04-13 @ Lynx L 0-129.8 603 1051 4.63% 12.58% 82.79%-3.03 -2.2 7
2019-04-13 St. Joseph's W 2-042.8 1527 1413 61.35% 13.99% 24.66%+0.91 +20.8 57
2019-04-13 @ Europa L 0-242.8 1413 1527 24.66% 13.99% 61.35%-0.91 -20.8 45
2019-04-14 Gibraltar Phoenix D 1-154.9 951 1159 20.79% 13.90% 65.31%-1.15 +4.4 21
2019-04-14 @ Glacis United D 1-154.9 1159 951 65.31% 13.90% 20.79%+1.15 -4.4 34
2019-04-15 Lions Gibraltar W 6-024.7 1317 768 85.41% 11.92% 2.67%+3.68 +6.5 42
2019-04-15 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-624.7 768 1317 2.67% 11.92% 85.41%-3.68 -6.5 6
2019-04-16 Gibraltar United W 2-035.6 1556 1285 74.80% 13.50% 11.71%+1.90 +10.3 57
2019-04-16 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-235.6 1285 1556 11.71% 13.50% 74.80%-1.90 -10.3 35
2019-04-25 Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-824.7 601 1155 3.55% 12.27% 84.18%-3.35 -11.5 7
2019-04-25 @ Boca Gibraltar W 8-024.7 1155 601 84.18% 12.27% 3.55%+3.35 +11.5 37
2019-04-26 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-432.5 1053 1566 4.43% 12.53% 83.04%-3.08 -4.8 25
2019-04-26 @ Lynx W 4-132.5 1566 1053 83.04% 12.53% 4.43%+3.08 +4.8 60
2019-04-27 Glacis United L 1-239.2 761 955 22.24% 13.94% 63.82%-1.05 -9.5 6
2019-04-27 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-139.2 955 761 63.82% 13.94% 22.24%+1.05 +9.5 24
2019-04-27 Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-157.0 1393 1324 56.05% 14.07% 29.88%+0.62 -2.5 46
2019-04-27 @ St. Joseph's D 1-157.0 1324 1393 29.88% 14.07% 56.05%-0.62 +2.5 43
2019-04-28 Europa D 1-159.1 1275 1548 15.30% 13.70% 70.99%-1.56 +5.7 36
2019-04-28 @ Gibraltar United D 1-159.1 1548 1275 70.99% 13.70% 15.30%+1.56 -5.6 58
2019-05-03 St. Joseph's L 0-130.8 965 1390 7.05% 13.03% 79.92%-2.53 -3.3 24
2019-05-03 @ Glacis United W 1-030.8 1390 965 79.92% 13.03% 7.05%+2.53 +3.3 49
2019-05-04 Gibraltar United W 5-244.5 1326 1280 53.19% 14.10% 32.71%+0.47 +28.4 46
2019-05-04 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 2-544.5 1280 1326 32.71% 14.10% 53.19%-0.47 -28.4 36
2019-05-04 Lynx W 5-026.3 1542 1049 84.10% 12.29% 3.61%+3.33 +7.5 61
2019-05-04 @ Europa L 0-526.3 1049 1542 3.61% 12.29% 84.10%-3.33 -7.5 25
2019-05-05 Boca Gibraltar W 10-022.7 1571 590 91.13% 8.62% 0.25%+6.43 +0.9 63
2019-05-05 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-1022.7 590 1571 0.25% 8.62% 91.13%-6.43 -0.9 7
2019-05-06 Lions Gibraltar W 1-030.1 1166 752 81.70% 12.77% 5.53%+2.82 +2.6 40
2019-05-06 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-130.1 752 1166 5.53% 12.77% 81.70%-2.82 -2.6 6
2019-05-10 Gibraltar Phoenix W 3-031.5 1393 1169 71.59% 13.68% 14.73%+1.61 +18.7 52
2019-05-10 @ St. Joseph's L 0-331.5 1169 1393 14.73% 13.68% 71.59%-1.61 -18.7 40
2019-05-11 Europa W 2-052.7 1572 1550 49.96% 14.12% 35.92%+0.32 +29.1 66
2019-05-11 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-252.7 1550 1572 35.92% 14.12% 49.96%-0.32 -29.1 61
2019-05-11 Lions Gibraltar L 0-732.0 589 749 25.77% 14.01% 60.21%-0.84 -69.6 7
2019-05-11 @ Boca Gibraltar W 7-032.0 749 589 60.21% 14.01% 25.77%+0.84 +69.6 9
2019-05-12 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-154.8 1041 1355 12.52% 13.55% 73.93%-1.82 +28.5 28
2019-05-12 @ Lynx L 1-254.8 1355 1041 73.93% 13.55% 12.52%+1.82 -28.5 46
2019-05-13 Glacis United W 2-030.6 1252 961 76.02% 13.41% 10.57%+2.03 +9.3 39
2019-05-13 @ Gibraltar United L 0-230.6 961 1252 10.57% 13.41% 76.02%-2.03 -9.3 24
2019-05-17 St. Joseph's L 0-129.2 819 1412 2.87% 12.01% 85.13%-3.60 -1.3 9
2019-05-17 @ Lions Gibraltar W 1-029.2 1412 819 85.13% 12.01% 2.87%+3.60 +1.3 55
2019-05-18 Boca Gibraltar W 13-122.9 1521 519 91.32% 8.46% 0.22%+6.56 +0.8 64
2019-05-18 @ Europa L 1-1322.9 519 1521 0.22% 8.46% 91.32%-6.56 -0.8 7
2019-05-18 Lincoln Red Imps W 2-056.1 1326 1601 15.23% 13.70% 71.07%-1.57 +54.7 49
2019-05-18 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-256.1 1601 1326 71.07% 13.70% 15.23%+1.57 -54.7 66
2019-05-19 Gibraltar United W 2-044.1 1150 1261 31.67% 14.09% 54.24%-0.53 +41.9 43
2019-05-19 @ Gibraltar Phoenix L 0-244.1 1261 1150 54.24% 14.09% 31.67%+0.53 -41.9 39
2019-05-20 Lynx L 0-236.9 952 1070 30.84% 14.08% 55.07%-0.57 -25.5 24
2019-05-20 @ Glacis United W 2-036.9 1070 952 55.07% 14.08% 30.84%+0.57 +25.5 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-12-08 3.36% @ Lions Gibraltar 802 1 Gibraltar United 1366 0
2 2018-10-19 3.90% Boca Gibraltar 597 1 @ Lynx 1077 0
3 2019-05-12 12.52% @ Lynx 1041 2 Mons Calpe S.C. 1355 1
4 2019-05-18 15.23% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1326 2 Lincoln Red Imps 1601 0
5 2018-12-02 16.97% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1140 2 Gibraltar United 1392 1
6 2018-10-25 18.52% Mons Calpe S.C. 1191 2 @ St. Joseph's 1368 1
7 2018-11-22 20.38% @ Boca Gibraltar 626 1 Lions Gibraltar 839 0
8 2018-08-25 21.85% Glacis United 1088 1 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1229 0
9 2018-10-20 24.49% St. Joseph's 1346 3 @ Europa 1461 2
10 2019-01-03 24.61% St. Joseph's 1386 3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1500 1
11 2018-10-22 25.91% Gibraltar United 1395 1 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1497 0
12 2018-10-03 29.44% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1073 1 Mons Calpe S.C. 1202 0
13 2019-05-19 31.67% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 1150 2 Gibraltar United 1261 0
14 2019-01-25 31.76% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1300 2 St. Joseph's 1410 1
15 2018-10-01 33.89% Lincoln Red Imps 1403 5 @ St. Joseph's 1440 0
16 2018-10-20 36.01% Gibraltar Phoenix 1097 3 @ Glacis United 1118 1
17 2019-01-31 39.27% @ Gibraltar United 1266 2 Mons Calpe S.C. 1321 1
18 2018-10-28 42.52% Europa 1445 3 @ Gibraltar United 1419 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-10-01 94.25 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1403 33.89% @ St. Joseph's 0 1440 52.00% 14.11%
2 2019-05-11 69.61 Lions Gibraltar 7 749 60.21% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 589 25.77% 14.01%
3 2019-01-19 68.75 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 6 1134 56.03% Glacis United 0 1066 29.90% 14.07%
4 2019-05-18 54.69 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1326 15.23% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1601 71.07% 13.70%
5 2019-05-19 41.91 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 2 1150 31.67% Gibraltar United 0 1261 54.24% 14.09%
6 2019-01-03 40.89 St. Joseph's 3 1386 24.61% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1500 61.40% 13.99%
7 2019-01-17 35.62 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1459 59.04% @ Gibraltar United 1 1309 26.93% 14.03%
8 2018-12-08 34.47 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 802 3.36% Gibraltar United 0 1366 84.44% 12.20%
9 2018-10-19 34.21 Boca Gibraltar 1 597 3.90% @ Lynx 0 1077 83.71% 12.38%
10 2018-10-20 33.59 Gibraltar Phoenix 3 1097 36.01% @ Glacis United 1 1118 49.87% 14.12%
11 2019-01-07 33.28 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1257 58.53% Gibraltar Phoenix 0 1168 27.43% 14.04%
12 2018-08-18 31.81 Lynx 3 1061 59.88% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 903 26.10% 14.02%
13 2018-10-28 29.67 Europa 3 1445 42.52% @ Gibraltar United 1 1419 43.33% 14.14%
14 2018-11-24 29.15 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1221 62.32% @ Lynx 0 1041 23.71% 13.97%
15 2019-05-11 29.11 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1572 49.96% Europa 0 1550 35.92% 14.12%
16 2019-05-12 28.48 @ Lynx 2 1041 12.52% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1355 73.93% 13.55%
17 2019-05-04 28.44 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1326 53.19% Gibraltar United 2 1280 32.71% 14.10%
18 2018-11-22 26.79 @ Boca Gibraltar 1 626 20.38% Lions Gibraltar 0 839 65.73% 13.89%
19 2018-12-02 26.63 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 2 1140 16.97% Gibraltar United 1 1392 69.26% 13.78%
20 2019-04-05 26.62 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1291 53.44% @ Gibraltar Phoenix 0 1186 32.46% 14.10%
21 2018-08-25 26.17 Glacis United 1 1088 21.85% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 1229 64.22% 13.93%
22 2018-10-25 26.01 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1191 18.52% @ St. Joseph's 1 1368 67.65% 13.83%
23 2019-05-20 25.45 Lynx 2 1070 55.07% @ Glacis United 0 952 30.84% 14.08%
24 2018-10-22 24.51 Gibraltar United 1 1395 25.91% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1497 60.08% 14.01%
25 2019-04-06 23.90 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1532 52.09% @ St. Joseph's 1 1437 33.80% 14.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-02-16 64.7 @ Europa 1 1497 46.69% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1499 39.17% 14.14%
2 2018-08-17 62.9 @ St. Joseph's 2 1437 54.40% Gibraltar United 2 1382 31.51% 14.09%
3 2018-11-30 61.3 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1250 18.72% Lincoln Red Imps 2 1481 67.44% 13.84%
4 2019-01-04 59.1 @ Lynx 2 991 12.01% Gibraltar United 2 1314 74.48% 13.52%
5 2019-04-28 59.1 @ Gibraltar United 1 1275 15.30% Europa 1 1548 70.99% 13.70%
6 2018-10-20 58.9 St. Joseph's 3 1346 24.49% @ Europa 2 1461 61.52% 13.99%
7 2018-11-25 57.2 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1466 44.48% Europa 2 1483 41.38% 14.14%
8 2019-04-27 57.0 @ St. Joseph's 1 1393 56.05% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1324 29.88% 14.07%
9 2019-05-18 56.1 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1326 15.23% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1601 71.07% 13.70%
10 2019-01-03 56.0 St. Joseph's 3 1386 24.61% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1500 61.40% 13.99%
11 2018-11-03 55.8 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1217 24.49% Gibraltar United 1 1389 61.52% 13.99%
12 2019-02-03 55.8 @ Lynx 1 1008 4.80% Europa 1 1505 82.58% 12.62%
13 2018-10-27 55.7 @ Lynx 1 1043 6.88% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1473 80.11% 13.00%
14 2018-12-06 55.7 @ Boca Gibraltar 1 650 1.50% St. Joseph's 1 1362 87.33% 11.16%
15 2019-02-22 55.3 @ Gibraltar United 1 1297 59.20% Gibraltar Phoenix 1 1202 26.77% 14.03%
16 2019-02-16 55.1 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1302 75.77% Lynx 1 1016 10.80% 13.43%
17 2019-04-06 55.1 @ Gibraltar United 1 1291 73.18% Lynx 1 1045 13.22% 13.59%
18 2019-04-14 54.9 @ Glacis United 1 951 20.79% Gibraltar Phoenix 1 1159 65.31% 13.90%
19 2019-05-12 54.8 @ Lynx 2 1041 12.52% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1355 73.93% 13.55%
20 2018-12-02 53.9 @ Gibraltar Phoenix 2 1140 16.97% Gibraltar United 1 1392 69.26% 13.78%
21 2018-12-08 53.7 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 802 3.36% Gibraltar United 0 1366 84.44% 12.20%
22 2018-10-19 53.5 Boca Gibraltar 1 597 3.90% @ Lynx 0 1077 83.71% 12.38%
23 2018-10-25 53.5 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1191 18.52% @ St. Joseph's 1 1368 67.65% 13.83%
24 2018-10-22 53.0 Gibraltar United 1 1395 25.91% @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1497 60.08% 14.01%
25 2019-05-11 52.7 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1572 49.96% Europa 0 1550 35.92% 14.12%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-05 22.7 @ Lincoln Red Imps 10 1571 91.13% Boca Gibraltar 0 590 0.25% 8.62%
2 2019-05-18 22.9 @ Europa 13 1521 91.32% Boca Gibraltar 1 519 0.22% 8.46%
3 2019-02-23 23.1 Europa 9 1497 89.51% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 620 0.60% 9.89%
4 2019-02-02 23.2 Lincoln Red Imps 11 1496 89.38% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 631 0.64% 9.98%
5 2019-04-04 23.7 Europa 8 1523 87.94% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 772 1.20% 10.86%
6 2018-08-13 23.8 @ St. Joseph's 5 1436 89.62% Boca Gibraltar 0 606 0.57% 9.81%
7 2019-03-30 23.8 @ Gibraltar United 7 1288 87.65% Boca Gibraltar 0 612 1.34% 11.01%
8 2019-02-28 24.2 @ St. Joseph's 10 1421 89.32% Boca Gibraltar 1 618 0.66% 10.02%
9 2019-03-09 24.7 Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1277 86.49% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 616 1.98% 11.53%
10 2019-04-15 24.7 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 6 1317 85.41% Lions Gibraltar 0 768 2.67% 11.92%
11 2019-04-25 24.7 Gibraltar Phoenix 8 1155 84.18% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 601 3.55% 12.27%
12 2018-11-27 25.0 Gibraltar United 4 1390 87.72% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 653 1.31% 10.97%
13 2018-12-01 25.0 St. Joseph's 7 1351 83.77% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 813 3.86% 12.37%
14 2018-11-02 25.3 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1465 89.70% Boca Gibraltar 0 627 0.55% 9.75%
15 2018-12-01 25.4 @ Europa 3 1468 89.47% Boca Gibraltar 0 651 0.62% 9.92%
16 2019-02-02 26.1 @ St. Joseph's 8 1389 80.33% Glacis United 0 1011 6.70% 12.98%
17 2018-12-15 26.3 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1254 86.32% Boca Gibraltar 0 659 2.08% 11.60%
18 2019-05-04 26.3 @ Europa 5 1542 84.10% Lynx 0 1049 3.61% 12.29%
19 2018-08-14 26.4 @ Gibraltar United 4 1374 83.28% Lions Gibraltar 0 910 4.24% 12.48%
20 2018-08-18 26.5 Mons Calpe S.C. 3 1225 85.71% @ Boca Gibraltar 0 605 2.47% 11.82%
21 2018-08-24 26.8 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1399 84.93% Lions Gibraltar 0 871 3.01% 12.07%
22 2019-01-18 26.9 Mons Calpe S.C. 4 1290 81.57% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 822 5.64% 12.80%
23 2018-11-03 27.3 @ Europa 4 1474 82.03% Lynx 0 1050 5.25% 12.72%
24 2018-12-12 27.6 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1481 86.19% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 836 2.16% 11.65%
25 2018-10-05 28.0 Europa 2 1459 85.08% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 868 2.90% 12.02%