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2023-24 Gibraltar Football League Season

125 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

52 points · 28th Title

Last Title: 2022-23

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Joseph's

6.16 points above expected

50 points · 43.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Europa

7.45 points below expected

20 points · 27.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 20 17 1 2 52 63 12 +51 47.72 +4.28
2 St. Joseph's 20 16 2 2 50 49 15 +34 43.84 +6.16
3 FCB Magpies 20 13 3 4 42 52 28 +24 42.19 -0.19
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 20 8 5 7 29 31 28 +3 25.98 +3.02
5 Europa Point 20 8 4 8 28 27 22 +5 22.55 +5.45
6 Manchester 62 20 9 1 10 28 39 41 -2 30.15 -2.15
7 Lynx 20 8 3 9 27 29 31 -2 29.02 -2.02
8 Europa 20 6 2 12 20 25 34 -9 27.45 -7.45
9 Glacis United 20 5 1 14 16 21 47 -26 18.91 -2.91
10 Lions Gibraltar 20 3 4 13 13 16 50 -34 11.58 +1.42
11 College 1975 20 3 2 15 11 21 65 -44 15.00 -4.00
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps 5 4 1 0 13 23 3 +20 75.25 -62.25
2 St. Joseph's 5 4 1 0 13 13 1 +12 69.53 -56.53
3 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 7 5 9 -4 38.12 -31.12
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1 1 3 4 6 11 -5 38.89 -34.89
5 FCB Magpies 5 1 1 3 4 3 8 -5 57.76 -53.76
6 Manchester 62 5 0 1 4 1 5 23 -18 35.26 -34.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Joseph's 50 43.84 +6.16
2 Europa Point 28 22.55 +5.45
3 Lincoln Red Imps 52 47.72 +4.28
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 29 25.98 +3.02
5 Lions Gibraltar 13 11.58 +1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Europa 20 27.45 -7.45
2 College 1975 11 15.00 -4.00
3 Glacis United 16 18.91 -2.91
4 Manchester 62 28 30.15 -2.15
5 Lynx 27 29.02 -2.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Europa Point 4 Oct 28 – Dec 3 1 in 1,407
2 St. Joseph's 7 Sep 16 – Nov 25 1 in 104
3 College 1975 2 Sep 22 – Sep 27 1 in 15
4 Lincoln Red Imps 9 Jan 21 – Apr 13 1 in 10
5 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 Oct 7 – Oct 20 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glacis United 7 Dec 8 – Feb 18 1 in 88
2 Europa 4 Sep 16 – Oct 21 1 in 82
3 Manchester 62 4 Jan 26 – Feb 24 1 in 64
4 College 1975 6 Oct 29 – Dec 17 1 in 42
5 Lions Gibraltar 7 Sep 17 – Nov 5 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lions Gibraltar 4 Feb 11 – Mar 2 1 in 341
2 Europa Point 5 Oct 28 – Dec 10 1 in 210
3 Mons Calpe S.C. 5 Nov 24 – Jan 16 1 in 17
4 Europa 3 Feb 3 – Feb 18 1 in 9
5 College 1975 2 Sep 22 – Sep 27 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 College 1975 16 Oct 29 – Apr 13 1 in 58
2 Glacis United 11 Dec 8 – Mar 30 1 in 40
3 Manchester 62 5 Jan 26 – Mar 3 1 in 21
4 Lions Gibraltar 14 Sep 17 – Feb 4 1 in 20
5 Lynx 5 Dec 2 – Jan 21 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1571 65 +64 13 11.9 +1.1
St. Joseph's 1479 63 +91 13 10.4 +2.6
FCB Magpies 1160 46 -115 4 7.6 -3.6
Europa Point 1132 35 +24 7 4.9 +2.1
Mons Calpe S.C. 1123 33 +16 4 5.0 -1.0
Manchester 62 933 29 -81 1 3.1 -2.1
Lynx 1002 27 -27 6 6.0 +0.0
Europa 1021 20 -20 4 6.7 -2.7
Glacis United 790 16 -34 1 3.6 -2.6
Lions Gibraltar 779 13 +110 8 1.7 +6.3
College 1975 673 11 -35 1 2.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team C1 EUR EP FM GU LRI LG LYN M6 MCS SJ
College 1975 —
1-0-1
1.14
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-2
0.77
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
0.31
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
1.26
0-0-2
1.05
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
0.75
Europa
1-0-1
4.58
—
0-0-2
3.41
1-0-1
0.97
2-0-0
3.79
0-0-2
0.59
1-0-1
4.56
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.26
Europa Point
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
2.30
—
0-1-1
1.37
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
0.60
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
0.87
FCB Magpies
2-0-0
4.96
1-0-1
4.75
1-1-0
4.35
—
2-0-0
4.86
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
5.24
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.73
0-1-1
2.26
Glacis United
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
0.87
—
0-0-2
0.53
1-0-1
3.96
1-0-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
0.51
Lincoln Red Imps
2-0-0
5.45
2-0-0
5.14
2-0-0
5.13
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
5.20
—
2-0-0
5.44
2-0-0
4.68
2-0-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.99
0-0-2
3.38
Lions Gibraltar
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
1.16
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
0.50
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
0.31
—
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
0.99
0-2-0
0.90
0-0-2
0.62
Lynx
1-0-1
4.46
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
1.38
1-0-1
4.35
0-0-2
1.05
2-0-0
4.54
—
0-0-2
3.22
1-1-0
3.44
0-0-2
1.12
Manchester 62
2-0-0
4.67
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.92
0-0-2
1.96
2-0-0
3.85
0-0-2
0.85
1-0-1
4.73
2-0-0
2.49
—
0-0-2
3.39
0-0-2
0.92
Mons Calpe S.C.
2-0-0
4.66
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
0.99
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
0.74
0-2-0
4.82
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.32
—
1-1-0
0.72
St. Joseph's
2-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
4.85
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
5.23
2-0-0
2.33
2-0-0
5.13
2-0-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.81
0-1-1
5.01
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +8.9
Allowed 0.77 -7.8
Differential 0.96 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.00%6.80%5.60%3.60%2.00%3.60%25.60%
16.80%6.40%6.40%6.00%1.60%2.80%30.00%
25.60%6.40%3.20%2.00%1.20%1.20%19.60%
33.60%6.00%2.00%—0.40%—12.00%
42.00%1.60%1.20%0.40%——5.20%
5+3.60%2.80%1.20%———7.60%
Total25.60%30.00%19.60%12.00%5.20%7.60%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.70 1.70 2.73
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 125

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%40.00%
1—10.00%—5.00%10.00%—25.00%
2—5.00%—5.00%5.00%10.00%25.00%
35.00%—5.00%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.00%25.00%10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 3.25 -2.20
SD 1.05 2.15 2.55
CV 1.00 0.66 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%25.00%—10.00%——40.00%
15.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%—35.00%
2———————
3—5.00%10.00%———15.00%
4———5.00%——5.00%
5+5.00%—————5.00%
Total15.00%35.00%20.00%25.00%5.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.70 -0.45
SD 1.52 1.17 1.93
CV 1.21 0.69 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.00%16.00%—4.00%4.00%—32.00%
112.00%8.00%4.00%8.00%—4.00%36.00%
28.00%4.00%4.00%———16.00%
3—8.00%————8.00%
44.00%—————4.00%
5+4.00%—————4.00%
Total36.00%36.00%8.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.24 +0.04
SD 1.34 1.39 2.19
CV 1.05 1.12 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%——28.00%
14.00%—————4.00%
28.00%8.00%8.00%—4.00%—28.00%
34.00%16.00%——4.00%—24.00%
4——4.00%———4.00%
5+—4.00%8.00%———12.00%
Total24.00%32.00%28.00%8.00%8.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 1.44 +0.76
SD 1.91 1.19 2.18
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%35.00%
15.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%—5.00%35.00%
25.00%5.00%—5.00%—5.00%20.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%35.00%15.00%20.00%5.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.35 -1.30
SD 1.00 1.98 2.30
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.00%4.00%————8.00%
14.00%4.00%4.00%———12.00%
212.00%12.00%————24.00%
312.00%4.00%4.00%———20.00%
44.00%4.00%————8.00%
5+16.00%8.00%4.00%———28.00%
Total52.00%36.00%12.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.44 0.60 +2.84
SD 2.55 0.71 2.62
CV 0.74 1.18 —
Max 10 2 +9
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—15.00%—5.00%10.00%40.00%
15.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%40.00%
2—10.00%5.00%5.00%——20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.00%15.00%25.00%20.00%10.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 2.50 -1.70
SD 0.77 1.85 2.13
CV 0.96 0.74 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—10.00%5.00%——20.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%—5.00%40.00%
25.00%10.00%—10.00%——25.00%
3—5.00%————5.00%
45.00%5.00%————10.00%
5+———————
Total25.00%30.00%20.00%20.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.55 -0.10
SD 1.19 1.36 2.02
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——12.00%4.00%4.00%12.00%32.00%
18.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%—8.00%36.00%
2——4.00%———4.00%
3—4.00%————4.00%
4—4.00%4.00%———8.00%
5+8.00%8.00%————16.00%
Total16.00%20.00%28.00%12.00%4.00%20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 2.56 -0.80
SD 2.05 2.38 3.83
CV 1.16 0.93 —
Max 7 10 +7
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.00%—8.00%———12.00%
18.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%—4.00%48.00%
28.00%8.00%8.00%—4.00%—28.00%
3—8.00%————8.00%
4———————
5+—4.00%————4.00%
Total20.00%32.00%32.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.56 -0.08
SD 1.08 1.26 1.78
CV 0.73 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.00%————4.00%
112.00%8.00%4.00%———24.00%
212.00%8.00%4.00%———24.00%
316.00%4.00%4.00%———24.00%
48.00%4.00%4.00%———16.00%
5+4.00%4.00%————8.00%
Total52.00%32.00%16.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.48 0.64 +1.84
SD 1.36 0.76 1.60
CV 0.55 1.18 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lincoln Red Imps 1571 52 47.72 +4.28 86.0% 31 39 44 48 51 55 58
St. Joseph's 1479 50 43.84 +6.16 90.0% 31 36 41 44 47 52 54
FCB Magpies 1160 42 42.19 -0.19 46.0% 29 33 39 43 45 50 55
Europa Point 1132 28 22.55 +5.45 93.0% 13 15 19 23 25 30 32
Mons Calpe S.C. 1123 29 25.98 +3.02 72.0% 12 17 22 26 30 34 40
Europa 1021 20 27.45 -7.45 11.0% 17 19 23 27 31 36 45
Lynx 1002 27 29.02 -2.02 41.0% 15 19 25 28 32 38 45
Manchester 62 933 28 30.15 -2.15 37.0% 17 21 26 30 34 39 41
Glacis United 790 16 18.91 -2.91 32.0% 5 10 15 18 22 28 35
Lions Gibraltar 779 13 11.58 +1.42 72.0% 3 6 9 11 14 21 23
College 1975 673 11 15.00 -4.00 22.0% 4 8 12 14 18 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.80%
Clear Edge
45.60%13.60%40.80%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 16.69 Elo pts.
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.00 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Lincoln Red Imps, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.06 * Some Luck: 4.06 to 6.09 * Lucky: 6.09 to 8.13 * Wild Swing: 8.13 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.79 * Close: 0.79 to 1.19 * Off: 1.19 to 1.58 * Way Off: 1.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.11 points
Some Luck
05.0813
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.27
Off
00.992
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
93.00%
Europa Point
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
11.00%
Europa
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Balanced
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 258.18
2.24
Coin-Flip Parity
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
85%
Slight Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Frequent
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Rare
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.462
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.67
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Strong Carryover
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Lincoln Red Imps64.00%22.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%——————
St. Joseph's25.00%35.00%34.00%3.00%3.00%——————
FCB Magpies11.00%38.00%40.00%8.00%3.00%——————
Mons Calpe S.C.———13.00%16.00%27.00%19.00%11.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%
Europa Point———2.00%8.00%16.00%26.00%21.00%23.00%4.00%—
Manchester 62—2.00%9.00%30.00%22.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%—
Lynx—2.00%5.00%23.00%22.00%17.00%15.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%—
Europa—1.00%1.00%15.00%24.00%18.00%15.00%19.00%6.00%1.00%—
Glacis United———3.00%1.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%34.00%24.00%5.00%
Lions Gibraltar——————2.00%5.00%5.00%22.00%66.00%
College 1975———1.00%—1.00%3.00%7.00%17.00%44.00%27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
College 1975 100%
Europa 100%
Europa Point 100%
FCB Magpies 100%
Glacis United 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Lions Gibraltar 100%
Lynx 100%
Manchester 62 100%
Mons Calpe S.C. 100%
St. Joseph's 100%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
Europa Point 100%
FCB Magpies 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Manchester 62 100%
Mons Calpe S.C. 100%
St. Joseph's 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-09-16 Europa W 3-041.9 1127 1265 26.75% 14.35% 58.90%-0.67 +99.8 3
2023-09-16 @ St. Joseph's L 0-341.9 1265 1127 58.90% 14.35% 26.75%+0.67 -99.8 0
2023-09-16 Manchester 62 L 1-531.9 795 1040 16.46% 14.15% 69.38%-1.24 -34.4 0
2023-09-16 @ Europa Point W 5-131.9 1040 795 69.38% 14.15% 16.46%+1.24 +34.4 3
2023-09-17 Lions Gibraltar W 4-134.5 1112 931 66.72% 14.22% 19.06%+1.08 +30.6 3
2023-09-17 @ Lynx L 1-434.5 931 1112 19.06% 14.22% 66.72%-1.08 -30.6 0
2023-09-17 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-146.7 949 988 39.60% 14.42% 45.98%-0.12 +27.3 3
2023-09-17 @ Glacis United L 1-246.7 988 949 45.98% 14.42% 39.60%+0.12 -27.3 0
2023-09-22 College 1975 L 0-346.4 1166 875 74.99% 13.94% 11.07%+1.68 -127.5 0
2023-09-22 @ Europa W 3-046.4 875 1166 11.07% 13.94% 74.99%-1.68 +127.5 3
2023-09-23 Glacis United W 5-030.7 1074 976 58.02% 14.35% 27.63%+0.62 +81.9 6
2023-09-23 @ Manchester 62 L 0-530.7 976 1074 27.63% 14.35% 58.02%-0.62 -81.9 3
2023-09-23 St. Joseph's L 1-530.2 901 1226 10.99% 13.93% 75.08%-1.68 -23.4 0
2023-09-23 @ Lions Gibraltar W 5-130.2 1226 901 75.08% 13.93% 10.99%+1.68 +23.5 6
2023-09-24 FCB Magpies L 2-439.5 961 1234 14.33% 14.08% 71.58%-1.40 -14.8 0
2023-09-24 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-239.5 1234 961 71.58% 14.08% 14.33%+1.40 +14.8 3
2023-09-24 Lynx W 3-243.2 1347 1142 68.81% 14.17% 17.02%+1.21 +10.7 3
2023-09-24 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 2-343.2 1142 1347 17.02% 14.17% 68.81%-1.21 -10.7 3
2023-09-27 Lions Gibraltar W 2-140.2 1002 877 61.11% 14.32% 24.58%+0.77 +15.8 6
2023-09-27 @ College 1975 L 1-240.2 877 1002 24.58% 14.32% 61.11%-0.77 -15.8 0
2023-09-28 Lincoln Red Imps W 1-046.0 1250 1358 30.46% 14.38% 55.16%-0.50 +34.2 9
2023-09-28 @ St. Joseph's L 0-146.0 1358 1250 55.16% 14.38% 30.46%+0.50 -34.2 3
2023-09-29 Europa Point W 3-138.0 894 761 62.06% 14.31% 23.63%+0.82 +26.3 6
2023-09-29 @ Glacis United L 1-338.0 761 894 23.63% 14.31% 62.06%-0.82 -26.3 0
2023-09-30 Manchester 62 W 2-034.8 1249 1156 57.38% 14.36% 28.26%+0.60 +35.7 6
2023-09-30 @ FCB Magpies L 0-234.8 1156 1249 28.26% 14.36% 57.38%-0.60 -35.7 6
2023-09-30 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-138.4 1132 946 67.18% 14.21% 18.61%+1.10 +12.2 6
2023-09-30 @ Lynx L 1-238.4 946 1132 18.61% 14.21% 67.18%-1.10 -12.2 0
2023-10-03 St. Joseph's L 0-328.5 1018 1284 14.83% 14.10% 71.06%-1.36 -28.7 6
2023-10-03 @ College 1975 W 3-028.5 1284 1018 71.06% 14.10% 14.83%+1.36 +28.7 12
2023-10-04 Glacis United W 3-132.6 1324 921 80.29% 13.54% 6.17%+2.28 +7.3 6
2023-10-04 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-332.6 921 1324 6.17% 13.54% 80.29%-2.28 -7.3 6
2023-10-05 FCB Magpies L 0-227.8 861 1284 6.61% 13.59% 79.80%-2.21 -9.0 0
2023-10-05 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-027.8 1284 861 79.80% 13.59% 6.61%+2.21 +9.0 9
2023-10-06 Lynx L 1-340.2 1038 1144 30.70% 14.38% 54.92%-0.49 -33.3 0
2023-10-06 @ Europa W 3-140.2 1144 1038 54.92% 14.38% 30.70%+0.49 +33.3 9
2023-10-07 Europa Point W 3-136.1 934 734 68.38% 14.18% 17.44%+1.18 +19.9 3
2023-10-07 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-336.1 734 934 17.44% 14.18% 68.38%-1.18 -19.9 0
2023-10-20 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-252.5 1120 954 65.40% 14.25% 20.35%+1.00 -38.1 6
2023-10-20 @ Manchester 62 W 2-152.5 954 1120 20.35% 14.25% 65.40%-1.00 +38.1 6
2023-10-21 Europa W 3-134.3 1293 1005 74.84% 13.95% 11.21%+1.66 +13.1 12
2023-10-21 @ FCB Magpies L 1-334.3 1005 1293 11.21% 13.95% 74.84%-1.66 -13.1 0
2023-10-21 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-233.1 714 1331 2.31% 12.69% 84.99%-3.27 -1.6 0
2023-10-21 @ Europa Point W 2-133.1 1331 714 84.99% 12.69% 2.31%+3.27 +1.6 9
2023-10-22 College 1975 L 2-357.9 1177 989 67.38% 14.21% 18.41%+1.12 -37.3 9
2023-10-22 @ Lynx W 3-257.9 989 1177 18.41% 14.21% 67.38%-1.12 +37.3 9
2023-10-22 Lions Gibraltar W 3-140.6 913 852 53.47% 14.39% 32.14%+0.42 +34.7 9
2023-10-22 @ Glacis United L 1-340.6 852 913 32.14% 14.39% 53.47%-0.42 -34.7 0
2023-10-25 Lincoln Red Imps D 0-053.2 1307 1332 41.48% 14.42% 44.10%-0.05 +0.4 13
2023-10-25 @ FCB Magpies D 0-053.2 1332 1307 44.10% 14.42% 41.48%+0.05 -0.4 10
2023-10-27 Lynx W 2-032.3 1313 1140 65.97% 14.24% 19.80%+1.03 +25.9 15
2023-10-27 @ St. Joseph's L 0-232.3 1140 1313 19.80% 14.24% 65.97%-1.03 -25.8 9
2023-10-28 Europa Point L 1-348.6 818 713 58.83% 14.35% 26.82%+0.66 -59.5 0
2023-10-28 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-148.6 713 818 26.82% 14.35% 58.83%-0.66 +59.5 3
2023-10-28 Glacis United W 3-248.0 992 948 51.17% 14.40% 34.42%+0.33 +20.2 3
2023-10-28 @ Europa L 2-348.0 948 992 34.42% 14.40% 51.17%-0.33 -20.2 9
2023-10-29 FCB Magpies L 2-633.7 1026 1307 13.82% 14.07% 72.11%-1.44 -24.8 9
2023-10-29 @ College 1975 W 6-233.7 1307 1026 72.11% 14.07% 13.82%+1.44 +24.8 16
2023-10-29 Manchester 62 W 5-026.6 1332 1082 72.30% 14.06% 13.65%+1.45 +42.7 13
2023-10-29 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-526.6 1082 1332 13.65% 14.06% 72.30%-1.45 -42.6 6
2023-11-03 St. Joseph's L 2-450.0 1332 1339 44.19% 14.42% 41.38%+0.05 -40.9 16
2023-11-03 @ FCB Magpies W 4-250.0 1339 1332 41.38% 14.42% 44.19%-0.05 +40.9 18
2023-11-04 College 1975 W 1-043.7 928 1002 34.85% 14.41% 50.75%-0.31 +31.7 12
2023-11-04 @ Glacis United L 0-143.7 1002 928 50.75% 14.41% 34.85%+0.31 -31.7 9
2023-11-04 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-228.5 992 1375 8.18% 13.74% 78.08%-1.99 -11.1 6
2023-11-04 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-028.5 1375 992 78.08% 13.74% 8.18%+1.99 +11.1 16
2023-11-05 Europa W 1-049.1 772 1012 16.88% 14.17% 68.96%-1.21 +42.7 6
2023-11-05 @ Europa Point L 0-149.1 1012 772 68.96% 14.17% 16.88%+1.21 -42.7 3
2023-11-05 Lions Gibraltar W 7-026.3 1040 758 74.40% 13.97% 11.63%+1.62 +50.3 9
2023-11-05 @ Manchester 62 L 0-726.3 758 1040 11.63% 13.97% 74.40%-1.62 -50.3 0
2023-11-24 Mons Calpe S.C. D 0-052.1 708 981 14.36% 14.09% 71.55%-1.39 +9.9 1
2023-11-24 @ Lions Gibraltar D 0-052.1 981 708 71.55% 14.09% 14.36%+1.39 -9.9 7
2023-11-25 Europa Point L 0-541.6 970 815 64.27% 14.27% 21.47%+0.94 -175.1 9
2023-11-25 @ College 1975 W 5-041.6 815 970 21.47% 14.27% 64.27%-0.94 +175.1 9
2023-11-25 Glacis United W 4-024.3 1380 960 80.90% 13.47% 5.63%+2.38 +14.6 21
2023-11-25 @ St. Joseph's L 0-424.3 960 1380 5.63% 13.47% 80.90%-2.38 -14.6 12
2023-11-26 FCB Magpies W 1-047.6 1114 1291 22.66% 14.29% 63.05%-0.87 +39.0 12
2023-11-26 @ Lynx L 0-147.6 1291 1114 63.05% 14.29% 22.66%+0.87 -39.0 16
2023-11-26 Manchester 62 L 0-137.1 969 1090 28.89% 14.37% 56.75%-0.57 -19.3 3
2023-11-26 @ Europa W 1-037.1 1090 969 56.75% 14.37% 28.89%+0.57 +19.3 12
2023-12-01 Lions Gibraltar W 2-025.9 1386 718 86.33% 12.22% 1.45%+3.73 +2.0 19
2023-12-01 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-225.9 718 1386 1.45% 12.22% 86.33%-3.73 -2.0 1
2023-12-02 Europa W 1-039.7 971 950 48.09% 14.42% 37.50%+0.20 +24.3 10
2023-12-02 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-139.7 950 971 37.50% 14.42% 48.09%-0.20 -24.3 3
2023-12-02 Lynx W 2-045.9 945 1153 19.61% 14.23% 66.16%-1.04 +77.1 15
2023-12-02 @ Glacis United L 0-245.9 1153 945 66.16% 14.23% 19.61%+1.04 -77.1 12
2023-12-03 College 1975 W 4-131.6 1109 795 76.32% 13.86% 9.82%+1.80 +16.3 15
2023-12-03 @ Manchester 62 L 1-431.6 795 1109 9.82% 13.86% 76.32%-1.80 -16.3 9
2023-12-03 St. Joseph's W 1-052.2 990 1394 7.31% 13.67% 79.02%-2.11 +49.2 12
2023-12-03 @ Europa Point L 0-152.2 1394 990 79.02% 13.67% 7.31%+2.11 -49.2 21
2023-12-08 Glacis United W 3-028.5 1252 1022 70.83% 14.11% 15.06%+1.34 +29.1 19
2023-12-08 @ FCB Magpies L 0-328.5 1022 1252 15.06% 14.11% 70.83%-1.34 -29.1 15
2023-12-09 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-430.3 926 1388 5.37% 13.43% 81.20%-2.43 -9.0 3
2023-12-09 @ Europa W 4-130.3 1388 926 81.20% 13.43% 5.37%+2.43 +9.0 22
2023-12-09 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-336.6 779 995 18.86% 14.22% 66.93%-1.09 -21.4 9
2023-12-09 @ College 1975 W 3-136.6 995 779 66.93% 14.22% 18.86%+1.09 +21.4 13
2023-12-10 Europa Point D 1-155.6 1076 1039 50.27% 14.41% 35.32%+0.29 -2.1 13
2023-12-10 @ Lynx D 1-155.6 1039 1076 35.32% 14.41% 50.27%-0.29 +2.2 13
2023-12-10 Manchester 62 W 4-027.8 1345 1126 70.02% 14.14% 15.84%+1.29 +39.8 24
2023-12-10 @ St. Joseph's L 0-427.8 1126 1345 15.84% 14.14% 70.02%-1.29 -39.8 15
2023-12-15 Lynx W 5-138.7 1086 1074 46.83% 14.42% 38.75%+0.16 +74.6 18
2023-12-15 @ Manchester 62 L 1-538.7 1074 1086 38.75% 14.42% 46.83%-0.16 -74.6 13
2023-12-16 Europa L 0-528.4 716 917 20.28% 14.25% 65.47%-1.00 -61.8 1
2023-12-16 @ Lions Gibraltar W 5-028.4 917 716 65.47% 14.25% 20.28%+1.00 +61.8 6
2023-12-16 FCB Magpies L 0-133.6 1041 1281 16.89% 14.17% 68.94%-1.21 -11.8 13
2023-12-16 @ Europa Point W 1-033.6 1281 1041 68.94% 14.17% 16.89%+1.21 +11.8 22
2023-12-17 College 1975 W 7-022.9 1397 757 85.92% 12.39% 1.70%+3.57 +7.4 25
2023-12-17 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-722.9 757 1397 1.70% 12.39% 85.92%-3.57 -7.4 9
2023-12-19 FCB Magpies L 1-535.6 1160 1293 27.49% 14.35% 58.15%-0.63 -55.1 18
2023-12-19 @ Manchester 62 W 5-135.6 1293 1160 58.15% 14.35% 27.49%+0.63 +55.1 25
2023-12-21 St. Joseph's L 1-250.7 1404 1385 47.87% 14.42% 37.71%+0.20 -28.3 25
2023-12-21 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 2-150.7 1385 1404 37.71% 14.42% 47.87%-0.20 +28.3 27
2023-12-22 Glacis United W 2-036.7 1030 993 50.22% 14.41% 35.37%+0.29 +43.6 16
2023-12-22 @ Europa Point L 0-236.7 993 1030 35.37% 14.41% 50.22%-0.29 -43.6 15
2024-01-08 College 1975 D 1-155.5 654 750 31.96% 14.39% 53.65%-0.43 +3.1 2
2024-01-08 @ Lions Gibraltar D 1-155.5 750 654 53.65% 14.39% 31.96%+0.43 -3.2 10
2024-01-09 Lynx D 1-155.6 1016 999 47.57% 14.42% 38.01%+0.18 -1.4 14
2024-01-09 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-155.6 999 1016 38.01% 14.42% 47.57%-0.18 +1.4 14
2024-01-16 St. Joseph's D 1-156.0 1015 1413 7.55% 13.69% 78.76%-2.08 +11.2 15
2024-01-16 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-156.0 1413 1015 78.76% 13.69% 7.55%+2.08 -11.2 28
2024-01-19 Europa L 2-342.9 747 978 17.53% 14.18% 68.28%-1.17 -10.9 10
2024-01-19 @ College 1975 W 3-242.9 978 747 68.28% 14.18% 17.53%+1.17 +10.9 9
2024-01-20 Lions Gibraltar W 3-237.2 1402 657 87.28% 11.77% 0.95%+4.15 +0.6 31
2024-01-20 @ St. Joseph's L 2-337.2 657 1402 0.95% 11.77% 87.28%-4.15 -0.6 2
2024-01-20 Manchester 62 L 0-135.9 950 1105 24.87% 14.32% 60.80%-0.76 -16.9 15
2024-01-20 @ Glacis United W 1-035.9 1105 950 60.80% 14.32% 24.87%+0.76 +16.9 21
2024-01-21 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-326.6 1001 1376 8.52% 13.77% 77.71%-1.95 -16.8 14
2024-01-21 @ Lynx W 3-026.6 1376 1001 77.71% 13.77% 8.52%+1.95 +16.8 28
2024-01-21 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-133.8 1348 1026 76.70% 13.84% 9.46%+1.84 +11.1 28
2024-01-21 @ FCB Magpies L 1-333.8 1026 1348 9.46% 13.84% 76.70%-1.84 -11.1 15
2024-01-26 Europa Point L 0-241.7 1122 1073 51.89% 14.40% 33.71%+0.36 -61.0 21
2024-01-26 @ Manchester 62 W 2-041.7 1073 1122 33.71% 14.40% 51.89%-0.36 +61.0 19
2024-01-27 Glacis United W 5-135.9 1015 933 56.17% 14.37% 29.46%+0.54 +58.6 18
2024-01-27 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-535.9 933 1015 29.46% 14.37% 56.17%-0.54 -58.6 15
2024-01-27 St. Joseph's L 0-130.5 989 1402 6.97% 13.63% 79.40%-2.16 -5.0 9
2024-01-27 @ Europa W 1-030.5 1402 989 79.40% 13.63% 6.97%+2.16 +5.0 34
2024-01-28 FCB Magpies W 3-037.4 1393 1359 49.83% 14.41% 35.76%+0.27 +63.9 31
2024-01-28 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-337.4 1359 1393 35.76% 14.41% 49.83%-0.27 -63.9 28
2024-01-28 Lynx L 0-425.9 656 984 10.91% 13.93% 75.16%-1.69 -27.9 2
2024-01-28 @ Lions Gibraltar W 4-025.9 984 656 75.16% 13.93% 10.91%+1.69 +27.9 17
2024-02-02 College 1975 W 4-128.7 1408 736 86.38% 12.20% 1.42%+3.75 +2.4 37
2024-02-02 @ St. Joseph's L 1-428.7 736 1408 1.42% 12.20% 86.38%-3.75 -2.4 10
2024-02-03 Europa D 0-052.0 1012 984 49.00% 14.41% 36.59%+0.24 -2.0 18
2024-02-03 @ Lynx D 0-052.0 984 1012 36.59% 14.41% 49.00%-0.24 +2.0 10
2024-02-03 Mons Calpe S.C. D 1-155.6 1134 1074 53.35% 14.39% 32.25%+0.42 -3.1 20
2024-02-03 @ Europa Point D 1-155.6 1074 1134 32.25% 14.39% 53.35%-0.42 +3.1 19
2024-02-04 Lincoln Red Imps L 2-826.6 874 1456 2.79% 12.87% 84.34%-3.08 -7.2 15
2024-02-04 @ Glacis United W 8-226.6 1456 874 84.34% 12.87% 2.79%+3.08 +7.2 34
2024-02-04 Lions Gibraltar W 3-130.8 1295 629 86.31% 12.23% 1.46%+3.72 +1.7 31
2024-02-04 @ FCB Magpies L 1-330.8 629 1295 1.46% 12.23% 86.31%-3.72 -1.7 2
2024-02-09 Manchester 62 W 2-037.6 1077 1061 47.39% 14.42% 38.19%+0.18 +46.6 22
2024-02-09 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-237.6 1061 1077 38.19% 14.42% 47.39%-0.18 -46.6 21
2024-02-10 Europa Point W 1-031.9 1464 1131 77.27% 13.80% 8.93%+1.90 +6.4 37
2024-02-10 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-131.9 1131 1464 8.93% 13.80% 77.27%-1.90 -6.4 20
2024-02-10 Lynx L 0-230.2 733 1010 14.10% 14.08% 71.82%-1.41 -18.8 10
2024-02-10 @ College 1975 W 2-030.2 1010 733 71.82% 14.08% 14.10%+1.41 +18.8 21
2024-02-11 FCB Magpies W 4-363.3 986 1297 11.89% 13.98% 74.13%-1.60 +40.2 13
2024-02-11 @ Europa L 3-463.3 1297 986 74.13% 13.98% 11.89%+1.60 -40.2 31
2024-02-11 Glacis United W 1-049.1 627 867 16.86% 14.17% 68.97%-1.22 +42.7 5
2024-02-11 @ Lions Gibraltar L 0-149.1 867 627 68.97% 14.17% 16.86%+1.22 -42.7 15
2024-02-16 St. Joseph's L 1-235.5 1029 1410 8.25% 13.75% 78.00%-1.99 -5.6 21
2024-02-16 @ Lynx W 2-135.5 1410 1029 78.00% 13.75% 8.25%+1.99 +5.6 40
2024-02-17 College 1975 W 7-227.9 1257 715 84.20% 12.91% 2.90%+3.04 +6.4 34
2024-02-17 @ FCB Magpies L 2-727.9 715 1257 2.90% 12.91% 84.20%-3.04 -6.4 10
2024-02-17 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-724.7 1015 1470 5.56% 13.46% 80.98%-2.39 -24.4 21
2024-02-17 @ Manchester 62 W 7-024.7 1470 1015 80.98% 13.46% 5.56%+2.39 +24.4 40
2024-02-18 Europa L 0-134.5 824 1026 20.14% 14.24% 65.62%-1.01 -13.9 15
2024-02-18 @ Glacis United W 1-034.5 1026 824 65.62% 14.24% 20.14%+1.01 +13.9 16
2024-02-18 Lions Gibraltar D 0-052.3 1125 670 82.03% 13.32% 4.66%+2.57 -13.8 21
2024-02-18 @ Europa Point D 0-052.3 670 1125 4.66% 13.32% 82.03%-2.57 +13.8 6
2024-02-23 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-135.9 1495 1124 79.04% 13.66% 7.30%+2.11 +5.0 43
2024-02-23 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-235.9 1124 1495 7.30% 13.66% 79.04%-2.11 -5.0 22
2024-02-24 FCB Magpies D 2-262.1 1416 1263 63.99% 14.27% 21.74%+0.92 -4.7 41
2024-02-24 @ St. Joseph's D 2-262.1 1263 1416 21.74% 14.27% 63.99%-0.92 +4.7 35
2024-02-24 Manchester 62 W 2-154.9 683 990 12.11% 13.99% 73.89%-1.58 +43.2 9
2024-02-24 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-254.9 990 683 73.89% 13.99% 12.11%+1.58 -43.2 21
2024-02-25 Europa Point L 0-139.1 1040 1111 35.30% 14.41% 50.29%-0.29 -23.1 16
2024-02-25 @ Europa W 1-039.1 1111 1040 50.29% 14.41% 35.30%+0.29 +23.1 24
2024-02-25 Glacis United D 1-155.5 708 810 31.19% 14.39% 54.43%-0.46 +3.4 11
2024-02-25 @ College 1975 D 1-155.5 810 708 54.43% 14.39% 31.19%+0.46 -3.4 16
2024-03-01 Lynx W 2-137.1 1268 1023 71.95% 14.07% 13.98%+1.42 +9.3 38
2024-03-01 @ FCB Magpies L 1-237.1 1023 1268 13.98% 14.07% 71.95%-1.42 -9.3 21
2024-03-02 Lions Gibraltar D 2-260.7 1119 727 79.88% 13.58% 6.53%+2.23 -8.7 23
2024-03-02 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 2-260.7 727 1119 6.53% 13.58% 79.88%-2.23 +8.7 10
2024-03-02 St. Joseph's L 1-331.3 807 1411 2.48% 12.76% 84.76%-3.20 -2.9 16
2024-03-02 @ Glacis United W 3-131.3 1411 807 84.76% 12.76% 2.48%+3.20 +2.9 44
2024-03-03 College 1975 W 4-024.2 1134 712 80.99% 13.46% 5.55%+2.39 +14.4 27
2024-03-03 @ Europa Point L 0-424.2 712 1134 5.55% 13.46% 80.99%-2.39 -14.4 11
2024-03-03 Europa D 1-155.5 947 1017 35.28% 14.41% 50.31%-0.29 +2.2 22
2024-03-03 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.5 1017 947 50.31% 14.41% 35.28%+0.29 -2.2 17
2024-03-08 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-225.7 735 1500 1.02% 11.85% 87.13%-4.07 -1.4 10
2024-03-08 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-025.7 1500 735 87.13% 11.85% 1.02%+4.07 +1.4 46
2024-03-09 Europa Point W 1-032.9 1414 1148 73.37% 14.01% 12.61%+1.54 +9.0 47
2024-03-09 @ St. Joseph's L 0-132.9 1148 1414 12.61% 14.01% 73.37%-1.54 -9.0 27
2024-03-09 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-147.0 1015 1110 32.12% 14.39% 53.49%-0.42 +54.3 20
2024-03-09 @ Europa L 1-347.0 1110 1015 53.49% 14.39% 32.12%+0.42 -54.3 23
2024-03-10 Glacis United W 2-137.8 1014 804 69.25% 14.16% 16.59%+1.23 +11.0 24
2024-03-10 @ Lynx L 1-237.8 804 1014 16.59% 14.16% 69.25%-1.23 -11.0 16
2024-03-10 Manchester 62 L 2-439.9 697 949 15.91% 14.14% 69.95%-1.28 -16.3 11
2024-03-10 @ College 1975 W 4-239.9 949 697 69.95% 14.14% 15.91%+1.28 +16.3 25
2024-03-30 College 1975 W 1-030.4 1056 681 79.19% 13.65% 7.16%+2.13 +5.2 26
2024-03-30 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-130.4 681 1056 7.16% 13.65% 79.19%-2.13 -5.2 11
2024-03-30 FCB Magpies L 1-234.0 793 1277 4.76% 13.34% 81.90%-2.55 -3.3 16
2024-03-30 @ Glacis United W 2-134.0 1277 793 81.90% 13.34% 4.76%+2.55 +3.3 41
2024-03-31 Europa W 2-134.9 1501 1070 81.29% 13.42% 5.29%+2.44 +3.6 49
2024-03-31 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-234.9 1070 1501 5.29% 13.42% 81.29%-2.44 -3.6 20
2024-03-31 Lynx L 0-146.5 1139 1025 59.95% 14.33% 25.72%+0.72 -37.1 27
2024-03-31 @ Europa Point W 1-046.5 1025 1139 25.72% 14.33% 59.95%-0.72 +37.1 27
2024-04-02 St. Joseph's L 0-325.6 965 1423 5.51% 13.45% 81.04%-2.40 -11.0 25
2024-04-02 @ Manchester 62 W 3-025.6 1423 965 81.04% 13.45% 5.51%+2.40 +10.9 50
2024-04-12 Europa Point D 2-260.7 1280 1102 66.48% 14.23% 19.30%+1.06 -5.3 42
2024-04-12 @ FCB Magpies D 2-260.7 1102 1280 19.30% 14.23% 66.48%-1.06 +5.3 28
2024-04-13 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-621.9 676 1505 0.71% 11.46% 87.83%-4.42 -2.6 11
2024-04-13 @ College 1975 W 6-021.9 1505 676 87.83% 11.46% 0.71%+4.42 +2.6 52
2024-04-13 Lions Gibraltar L 1-255.9 1066 734 77.23% 13.81% 8.96%+1.90 -45.3 20
2024-04-13 @ Europa W 2-155.9 734 1066 8.96% 13.81% 77.23%-1.90 +45.3 13
2024-04-14 Manchester 62 L 1-348.7 1062 954 59.11% 14.34% 26.54%+0.68 -59.7 27
2024-04-14 @ Lynx W 3-148.7 954 1062 26.54% 14.34% 59.11%-0.68 +59.7 28
2024-04-14 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-256.8 1434 1061 79.11% 13.66% 7.23%+2.12 -46.4 50
2024-04-14 @ St. Joseph's W 2-156.8 1061 1434 7.23% 13.66% 79.11%-2.12 +46.4 29

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-04-19 FCB Magpies D 0-052.2 1108 1275 23.61% 14.30% 62.09%-0.82 +6.4 1
2024-04-19 @ Europa Point D 0-052.2 1275 1108 62.09% 14.30% 23.61%+0.82 -6.4 1
2024-04-20 St. Joseph's L 0-230.6 1107 1387 13.86% 14.07% 72.08%-1.43 -18.5 0
2024-04-20 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-030.6 1387 1107 72.08% 14.07% 13.86%+1.43 +18.5 3
2024-04-21 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-1025.9 1014 1507 4.54% 13.30% 82.16%-2.59 -20.9 0
2024-04-21 @ Manchester 62 W 10-125.9 1507 1014 82.16% 13.30% 4.54%+2.59 +20.9 3
2024-04-24 St. Joseph's L 0-328.4 1114 1406 13.07% 14.03% 72.89%-1.50 -25.4 1
2024-04-24 @ Europa Point W 3-028.4 1406 1114 72.89% 14.03% 13.07%+1.50 +25.4 6
2024-04-26 Manchester 62 D 2-260.5 1089 993 57.72% 14.36% 27.93%+0.61 -3.3 1
2024-04-26 @ Mons Calpe S.C. D 2-260.5 993 1089 27.93% 14.36% 57.72%-0.61 +3.3 1
2024-04-27 Europa Point W 4-025.1 1528 1089 81.55% 13.39% 5.06%+2.48 +13.2 6
2024-04-27 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-425.1 1089 1528 5.06% 13.39% 81.55%-2.48 -13.2 1
2024-04-28 FCB Magpies W 2-034.2 1431 1269 64.98% 14.26% 20.76%+0.98 +27.0 9
2024-04-28 @ St. Joseph's L 0-234.2 1269 1431 20.76% 14.26% 64.98%-0.98 -27.0 1
2024-04-30 Mons Calpe S.C. W 5-129.2 1541 1085 82.05% 13.32% 4.64%+2.57 +10.0 9
2024-04-30 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-529.2 1085 1541 4.64% 13.32% 82.05%-2.57 -10.0 1
2024-05-03 St. Joseph's L 0-524.0 997 1458 5.38% 13.44% 81.18%-2.42 -17.2 1
2024-05-03 @ Manchester 62 W 5-024.0 1458 997 81.18% 13.44% 5.38%+2.42 +17.2 12
2024-05-04 Europa Point L 1-246.5 1075 1075 45.16% 14.42% 40.42%+0.09 -26.9 1
2024-05-04 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-146.5 1075 1075 40.42% 14.42% 45.16%-0.09 +26.9 4
2024-05-05 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-331.0 1242 1551 11.94% 13.98% 74.08%-1.60 -23.3 1
2024-05-05 @ FCB Magpies W 3-031.0 1551 1242 74.08% 13.98% 11.94%+1.60 +23.3 12
2024-05-08 Manchester 62 W 3-135.2 1218 979 71.53% 14.09% 14.39%+1.39 +16.6 4
2024-05-08 @ FCB Magpies L 1-335.2 979 1218 14.39% 14.09% 71.53%-1.39 -16.6 1
2024-05-10 Lincoln Red Imps D 1-167.4 1475 1575 31.54% 14.39% 54.08%-0.45 +3.3 13
2024-05-10 @ St. Joseph's D 1-167.4 1575 1475 54.08% 14.39% 31.54%+0.45 -3.3 13
2024-05-11 Europa Point L 1-339.0 963 1102 26.67% 14.34% 58.99%-0.67 -29.4 1
2024-05-11 @ Manchester 62 W 3-139.0 1102 963 58.99% 14.34% 26.67%+0.67 +29.4 7
2024-05-12 FCB Magpies W 2-045.3 1048 1235 21.67% 14.27% 64.06%-0.92 +74.7 4
2024-05-12 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-245.3 1235 1048 64.06% 14.27% 21.67%+0.92 -74.7 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2024-04-14 7.23% Mons Calpe S.C. 1061 2 @ St. Joseph's 1434 1
2 2023-12-03 7.31% @ Europa Point 990 1 St. Joseph's 1394 0
3 2024-04-13 8.96% Lions Gibraltar 734 2 @ Europa 1066 1
4 2023-09-22 11.07% College 1975 875 3 @ Europa 1166 0
5 2024-02-11 11.89% @ Europa 986 4 FCB Magpies 1297 3
6 2024-02-24 12.11% @ Lions Gibraltar 683 2 Manchester 62 990 1
7 2024-02-11 16.86% @ Lions Gibraltar 627 1 Glacis United 867 0
8 2023-11-05 16.88% @ Europa Point 772 1 Europa 1012 0
9 2023-10-22 18.41% College 1975 989 3 @ Lynx 1177 2
10 2023-12-02 19.61% @ Glacis United 945 2 Lynx 1153 0
11 2023-10-20 20.35% Mons Calpe S.C. 954 2 @ Manchester 62 1120 1
12 2023-11-25 21.47% Europa Point 815 5 @ College 1975 970 0
13 2024-05-12 21.67% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1048 2 FCB Magpies 1235 0
14 2023-11-26 22.66% @ Lynx 1114 1 FCB Magpies 1291 0
15 2024-03-31 25.72% Lynx 1025 1 @ Europa Point 1139 0
16 2024-04-14 26.54% Manchester 62 954 3 @ Lynx 1062 1
17 2023-09-16 26.75% @ St. Joseph's 1127 3 Europa 1265 0
18 2023-10-28 26.82% Europa Point 713 3 @ Lions Gibraltar 818 1
19 2023-09-28 30.46% @ St. Joseph's 1250 1 Lincoln Red Imps 1358 0
20 2024-03-09 32.12% @ Europa 1015 3 Mons Calpe S.C. 1110 1
21 2024-01-26 33.71% Europa Point 1073 2 @ Manchester 62 1122 0
22 2023-11-04 34.85% @ Glacis United 928 1 College 1975 1002 0
23 2023-12-21 37.71% St. Joseph's 1385 2 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1404 1
24 2023-09-17 39.60% @ Glacis United 949 2 Mons Calpe S.C. 988 1
25 2024-05-04 40.42% Europa Point 1075 2 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1075 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-11-25 175.15 Europa Point 5 815 21.47% @ College 1975 0 970 64.27% 14.27%
2 2023-09-22 127.53 College 1975 3 875 11.07% @ Europa 0 1166 74.99% 13.94%
3 2023-09-16 99.82 @ St. Joseph's 3 1127 26.75% Europa 0 1265 58.90% 14.35%
4 2023-09-23 81.88 @ Manchester 62 5 1074 58.02% Glacis United 0 976 27.63% 14.35%
5 2023-12-02 77.13 @ Glacis United 2 945 19.61% Lynx 0 1153 66.16% 14.23%
6 2024-05-12 74.66 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1048 21.67% FCB Magpies 0 1235 64.06% 14.27%
7 2023-12-15 74.58 @ Manchester 62 5 1086 46.83% Lynx 1 1074 38.75% 14.42%
8 2024-01-28 63.89 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1393 49.83% FCB Magpies 0 1359 35.76% 14.41%
9 2023-12-16 61.82 Europa 5 917 65.47% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 716 20.28% 14.25%
10 2024-01-26 60.97 Europa Point 2 1073 33.71% @ Manchester 62 0 1122 51.89% 14.40%
11 2024-04-14 59.73 Manchester 62 3 954 26.54% @ Lynx 1 1062 59.11% 14.34%
12 2023-10-28 59.45 Europa Point 3 713 26.82% @ Lions Gibraltar 1 818 58.83% 14.35%
13 2024-01-27 58.62 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 5 1015 56.17% Glacis United 1 933 29.46% 14.37%
14 2023-12-19 55.12 FCB Magpies 5 1293 58.15% @ Manchester 62 1 1160 27.49% 14.35%
15 2024-03-09 54.32 @ Europa 3 1015 32.12% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1110 53.49% 14.39%
16 2023-11-05 50.32 @ Manchester 62 7 1040 74.40% Lions Gibraltar 0 758 11.63% 13.97%
17 2023-12-03 49.20 @ Europa Point 1 990 7.31% St. Joseph's 0 1394 79.02% 13.67%
18 2024-02-09 46.58 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1077 47.39% Manchester 62 0 1061 38.19% 14.42%
19 2024-04-14 46.44 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1061 7.23% @ St. Joseph's 1 1434 79.11% 13.66%
20 2024-04-13 45.29 Lions Gibraltar 2 734 8.96% @ Europa 1 1066 77.23% 13.81%
21 2023-12-22 43.57 @ Europa Point 2 1030 50.22% Glacis United 0 993 35.37% 14.41%
22 2024-02-24 43.24 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 683 12.11% Manchester 62 1 990 73.89% 13.99%
23 2024-02-11 42.68 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 627 16.86% Glacis United 0 867 68.97% 14.17%
24 2023-11-05 42.67 @ Europa Point 1 772 16.88% Europa 0 1012 68.96% 14.17%
25 2023-10-29 42.66 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1332 72.30% Manchester 62 0 1082 13.65% 14.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-05-10 67.4 @ St. Joseph's 1 1475 31.54% Lincoln Red Imps 1 1575 54.08% 14.39%
2 2024-02-11 63.3 @ Europa 4 986 11.89% FCB Magpies 3 1297 74.13% 13.98%
3 2024-02-24 62.1 @ St. Joseph's 2 1416 63.99% FCB Magpies 2 1263 21.74% 14.27%
4 2024-03-02 60.7 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1119 79.88% Lions Gibraltar 2 727 6.53% 13.58%
5 2024-04-12 60.7 @ FCB Magpies 2 1280 66.48% Europa Point 2 1102 19.30% 14.23%
6 2024-04-26 60.5 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1089 57.72% Manchester 62 2 993 27.93% 14.36%
7 2023-10-22 57.9 College 1975 3 989 18.41% @ Lynx 2 1177 67.38% 14.21%
8 2024-04-14 56.8 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1061 7.23% @ St. Joseph's 1 1434 79.11% 13.66%
9 2024-01-16 56.0 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1015 7.55% St. Joseph's 1 1413 78.76% 13.69%
10 2024-04-13 55.9 Lions Gibraltar 2 734 8.96% @ Europa 1 1066 77.23% 13.81%
11 2023-12-10 55.6 @ Lynx 1 1076 50.27% Europa Point 1 1039 35.32% 14.41%
12 2024-01-09 55.6 @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1016 47.57% Lynx 1 999 38.01% 14.42%
13 2024-02-03 55.6 @ Europa Point 1 1134 53.35% Mons Calpe S.C. 1 1074 32.25% 14.39%
14 2024-01-08 55.5 @ Lions Gibraltar 1 654 31.96% College 1975 1 750 53.65% 14.39%
15 2024-02-25 55.5 @ College 1975 1 708 31.19% Glacis United 1 810 54.43% 14.39%
16 2024-03-03 55.5 @ Manchester 62 1 947 35.28% Europa 1 1017 50.31% 14.41%
17 2024-02-24 54.9 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 683 12.11% Manchester 62 1 990 73.89% 13.99%
18 2023-10-25 53.2 @ FCB Magpies 0 1307 41.48% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1332 44.10% 14.42%
19 2023-10-20 52.5 Mons Calpe S.C. 2 954 20.35% @ Manchester 62 1 1120 65.40% 14.25%
20 2024-02-18 52.3 @ Europa Point 0 1125 82.03% Lions Gibraltar 0 670 4.66% 13.32%
21 2023-12-03 52.2 @ Europa Point 1 990 7.31% St. Joseph's 0 1394 79.02% 13.67%
22 2024-04-19 52.2 @ Europa Point 0 1108 23.61% FCB Magpies 0 1275 62.09% 14.30%
23 2023-11-24 52.1 @ Lions Gibraltar 0 708 14.36% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 981 71.55% 14.09%
24 2024-02-03 52.0 @ Lynx 0 1012 49.00% Europa 0 984 36.59% 14.41%
25 2023-12-21 50.7 St. Joseph's 2 1385 37.71% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1404 47.87% 14.42%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-04-13 21.9 Lincoln Red Imps 6 1505 87.83% @ College 1975 0 676 0.71% 11.46%
2 2023-12-17 22.9 @ Lincoln Red Imps 7 1397 85.92% College 1975 0 757 1.70% 12.39%
3 2024-05-03 24.0 St. Joseph's 5 1458 81.18% @ Manchester 62 0 997 5.38% 13.44%
4 2024-03-03 24.2 @ Europa Point 4 1134 80.99% College 1975 0 712 5.55% 13.46%
5 2023-11-25 24.3 @ St. Joseph's 4 1380 80.90% Glacis United 0 960 5.63% 13.47%
6 2024-02-17 24.7 Lincoln Red Imps 7 1470 80.98% @ Manchester 62 0 1015 5.56% 13.46%
7 2024-04-27 25.1 @ Lincoln Red Imps 4 1528 81.55% Europa Point 0 1089 5.06% 13.39%
8 2024-04-02 25.6 St. Joseph's 3 1423 81.04% @ Manchester 62 0 965 5.51% 13.45%
9 2024-03-08 25.7 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1500 87.13% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 735 1.02% 11.85%
10 2023-12-01 25.9 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1386 86.33% Lions Gibraltar 0 718 1.45% 12.22%
11 2024-01-28 25.9 Lynx 4 984 75.16% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 656 10.91% 13.93%
12 2024-04-21 25.9 Lincoln Red Imps 10 1507 82.16% @ Manchester 62 1 1014 4.54% 13.30%
13 2023-11-05 26.3 @ Manchester 62 7 1040 74.40% Lions Gibraltar 0 758 11.63% 13.97%
14 2023-10-29 26.6 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1332 72.30% Manchester 62 0 1082 13.65% 14.06%
15 2024-01-21 26.6 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1376 77.71% @ Lynx 0 1001 8.52% 13.77%
16 2024-02-04 26.6 Lincoln Red Imps 8 1456 84.34% @ Glacis United 2 874 2.79% 12.87%
17 2023-10-05 27.8 FCB Magpies 2 1284 79.80% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 861 6.61% 13.59%
18 2023-12-10 27.8 @ St. Joseph's 4 1345 70.02% Manchester 62 0 1126 15.84% 14.14%
19 2024-02-17 27.9 @ FCB Magpies 7 1257 84.20% College 1975 2 715 2.90% 12.91%
20 2023-12-16 28.4 Europa 5 917 65.47% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 716 20.28% 14.25%
21 2024-04-24 28.4 St. Joseph's 3 1406 72.89% @ Europa Point 0 1114 13.07% 14.03%
22 2023-10-03 28.5 St. Joseph's 3 1284 71.06% @ College 1975 0 1018 14.83% 14.10%
23 2023-11-04 28.5 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1375 78.08% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 992 8.18% 13.74%
24 2023-12-08 28.5 @ FCB Magpies 3 1252 70.83% Glacis United 0 1022 15.06% 14.11%
25 2024-02-02 28.7 @ St. Joseph's 4 1408 86.38% College 1975 1 736 1.42% 12.20%