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2024-25 Gibraltar Football League Season

125 games

Final

Champion

Lincoln Red Imps

51 points · 29th Title

Last Title: 2023-24

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Joseph's

7.82 points above expected

54 points · 46.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Europa Point

9.48 points below expected

4 points · 13.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Joseph's 20 17 3 0 54 53 13 +40 46.18 +7.82
2 Lincoln Red Imps Champion 20 16 3 1 51 57 7 +50 49.45 +1.55
3 Europa 20 13 4 3 43 49 19 +30 38.16 +4.84
4 FCB Magpies 20 11 1 8 34 48 28 +20 34.61 -0.61
5 Manchester 62 20 10 4 6 34 45 28 +17 29.52 +4.48
6 Lions Gibraltar 20 8 4 8 28 33 33 0 24.69 +3.31
7 Glacis United 20 6 1 13 19 29 52 -23 24.74 -5.74
8 College 1975 20 5 3 12 18 18 39 -21 15.80 +2.20
9 Lynx 20 5 2 13 17 25 51 -26 18.43 -1.43
10 Mons Calpe S.C. 20 4 1 15 13 23 54 -31 21.07 -8.07
11 Europa Point 20 0 4 16 4 14 70 -56 13.48 -9.48
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lincoln Red Imps 5 5 0 0 15 11 0 +11 72.30 -57.30
2 St. Joseph's 5 4 0 1 12 12 2 +10 75.11 -63.11
3 Europa 5 3 0 2 9 11 10 +1 58.98 -49.98
4 Manchester 62 5 2 0 3 6 4 6 -2 45.18 -39.18
5 FCB Magpies 5 1 0 4 3 4 10 -6 44.40 -41.40
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 0 0 5 0 2 16 -14 34.32 -34.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Joseph's 54 46.18 +7.82
2 Europa 43 38.16 +4.84
3 Manchester 62 34 29.52 +4.48
4 Lions Gibraltar 28 24.69 +3.31
5 College 1975 18 15.80 +2.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Europa Point 4 13.48 -9.48
2 Mons Calpe S.C. 13 21.07 -8.07
3 Glacis United 19 24.74 -5.74
4 Lynx 17 18.43 -1.43
5 FCB Magpies 34 34.61 -0.61

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lions Gibraltar 5 Dec 14 – Feb 22 1 in 296
2 Lynx 2 Mar 8 – Mar 16 1 in 26
3 Europa 5 Aug 17 – Sep 22 1 in 24
4 Manchester 62 4 Oct 26 – Nov 29 1 in 14
5 Lincoln Red Imps 11 Oct 27 – Jan 17 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Glacis United 4 Oct 19 – Nov 9 1 in 41
2 Lincoln Red Imps 1 Feb 22 – Feb 22 1 in 26
3 Manchester 62 3 Dec 4 – Dec 13 1 in 23
4 Mons Calpe S.C. 5 Dec 8 – Jan 13 1 in 13
5 Lions Gibraltar 5 Oct 20 – Nov 23 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lions Gibraltar 7 Dec 6 – Feb 26 1 in 71
2 Manchester 62 6 Sep 29 – Nov 29 1 in 52
3 Europa 8 Aug 17 – Oct 18 1 in 32
4 St. Joseph's 20 Aug 24 – Mar 7 1 in 27
5 College 1975 4 Dec 6 – Feb 5 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Europa Point 20 Aug 17 – Mar 16 1 in 86
2 Europa 4 Sep 28 – Nov 1 1 in 26
3 Lions Gibraltar 7 Oct 6 – Dec 6 1 in 21
4 Lincoln Red Imps 2 Feb 9 – Feb 22 1 in 16
5 Lynx 6 Aug 17 – Sep 25 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Lincoln Red Imps 1691 66 +138 15 11.5 +3.5
St. Joseph's 1583 66 +46 12 10.9 +1.1
Europa 1358 52 -20 9 8.1 +0.9
Manchester 62 1243 40 +26 6 5.5 +0.5
FCB Magpies 1088 37 -107 3 4.8 -1.8
Lions Gibraltar 943 28 -83 0 2.3 -2.3
Glacis United 791 19 +28 6 5.0 +1.0
College 1975 865 18 -106 3 5.5 -2.5
Lynx 1016 17 +169 6 2.6 +3.4
Mons Calpe S.C. 623 13 -232 1 4.7 -3.7
Europa Point 589 4 -106 1 3.2 -2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team C1 EUR EP FM GU LRI LG LYN M6 MCS SJ
College 1975 —
0-1-1
0.55
1-1-0
3.69
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
0.34
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
0.50
Europa
1-1-0
5.21
—
2-0-0
5.07
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.64
0-1-1
1.46
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.15
0-0-2
1.62
Europa Point
0-1-1
2.06
0-0-2
0.68
—
0-0-2
0.66
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
0.30
0-0-2
1.17
0-2-0
2.12
0-0-2
0.50
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
0.36
FCB Magpies
2-0-0
4.50
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
5.10
—
2-0-0
4.44
0-0-2
0.84
1-0-1
3.93
2-0-0
4.37
0-0-2
3.86
2-0-0
4.97
0-0-2
0.92
Glacis United
1-0-1
3.83
0-0-2
2.11
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.30
—
0-0-2
0.39
0-1-1
3.18
1-0-1
3.95
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
0.76
Lincoln Red Imps
2-0-0
5.43
1-1-0
4.29
2-0-0
5.47
2-0-0
4.92
2-0-0
5.37
—
1-0-1
5.11
2-0-0
5.43
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
5.25
0-2-0
3.54
Lions Gibraltar
1-1-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.22
2-0-0
4.58
1-0-1
1.82
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
0.64
—
0-0-2
4.35
0-2-0
2.99
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-2
0.68
Lynx
1-0-1
3.92
0-0-2
1.68
0-2-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
0.34
2-0-0
1.40
—
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
2.21
0-0-2
0.43
Manchester 62
1-0-1
3.96
0-1-1
1.41
2-0-0
5.26
2-0-0
1.89
2-0-0
3.77
0-0-2
1.23
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
4.22
—
2-0-0
4.69
0-1-1
0.80
Mons Calpe S.C.
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
1.60
1-1-0
3.74
0-0-2
0.78
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-2
0.51
0-0-2
3.01
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
1.06
—
0-0-2
0.81
St. Joseph's
2-0-0
5.26
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
5.41
2-0-0
4.83
2-0-0
4.99
0-2-0
2.21
2-0-0
5.08
2-0-0
5.34
1-1-0
4.95
2-0-0
4.94
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +10.2
Allowed 0.94 -8.1
Differential 0.97 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.80%2.80%6.80%5.20%3.20%3.60%26.40%
12.80%4.00%7.60%4.80%3.20%1.60%24.00%
26.80%7.60%2.40%2.80%2.00%0.40%22.00%
35.20%4.80%2.80%0.80%——13.60%
43.20%3.20%2.00%———8.40%
5+3.60%1.60%0.40%———5.60%
Total26.40%24.00%22.00%13.60%8.40%5.60%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.61 1.61 2.73
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 125

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%55.00%
1—5.00%—5.00%—5.00%15.00%
25.00%10.00%—5.00%——20.00%
3——5.00%———5.00%
45.00%—————5.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%25.00%20.00%20.00%5.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.95 -1.05
SD 1.21 1.57 2.24
CV 1.34 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.00%———4.00%—16.00%
1——8.00%8.00%——16.00%
24.00%12.00%4.00%———20.00%
316.00%8.00%4.00%———28.00%
4—4.00%8.00%———12.00%
5+4.00%4.00%————8.00%
Total36.00%28.00%24.00%8.00%4.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.40 1.16 +1.24
SD 1.83 1.14 2.39
CV 0.76 0.99 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%—10.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%55.00%
1—5.00%5.00%—5.00%10.00%25.00%
2——5.00%10.00%——15.00%
3———5.00%——5.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.00%5.00%20.00%25.00%20.00%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.70 3.50 -2.80
SD 0.92 1.85 2.21
CV 1.32 0.53 —
Max 3 7 +0
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.00%4.00%20.00%———28.00%
1——12.00%4.00%4.00%—20.00%
2—8.00%——4.00%—12.00%
38.00%4.00%8.00%———20.00%
4—4.00%————4.00%
5+12.00%—4.00%———16.00%
Total24.00%20.00%44.00%4.00%8.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.52 +0.56
SD 1.98 1.16 2.71
CV 0.95 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%5.00%——15.00%25.00%
1—5.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%—35.00%
210.00%——10.00%——20.00%
35.00%5.00%————10.00%
45.00%—5.00%———10.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%15.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.60 -1.15
SD 1.28 2.16 3.10
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.00%—————12.00%
18.00%—4.00%———12.00%
220.00%—————20.00%
320.00%4.00%————24.00%
48.00%8.00%————16.00%
5+8.00%8.00%————16.00%
Total76.00%20.00%4.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.72 0.28 +2.44
SD 1.67 0.54 1.66
CV 0.61 1.93 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.00%8.00%8.00%—4.00%24.00%
14.00%12.00%16.00%4.00%4.00%—40.00%
24.00%8.00%4.00%—4.00%—20.00%
3——4.00%———4.00%
4—8.00%4.00%———12.00%
5+———————
Total8.00%32.00%36.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.96 -0.56
SD 1.26 1.34 2.10
CV 0.90 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%—20.00%—5.00%30.00%
1—5.00%10.00%10.00%—5.00%30.00%
25.00%5.00%5.00%—10.00%—25.00%
3—10.00%5.00%———15.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.00%25.00%20.00%30.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.55 -1.30
SD 1.07 1.64 2.30
CV 0.86 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.00%4.00%4.00%—16.00%
14.00%8.00%16.00%———28.00%
216.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%——32.00%
3——4.00%———4.00%
48.00%4.00%4.00%———16.00%
5+4.00%—————4.00%
Total32.00%16.00%40.00%8.00%4.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.36 +0.60
SD 1.65 1.15 2.43
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 25

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%10.00%10.00%—30.00%
15.00%—5.00%15.00%10.00%—35.00%
2—10.00%—5.00%5.00%5.00%25.00%
35.00%——5.00%——10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%10.00%15.00%35.00%25.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 2.70 -1.55
SD 0.99 1.38 1.88
CV 0.86 0.51 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.00%4.00%————12.00%
18.00%4.00%————12.00%
28.00%24.00%————32.00%
3—20.00%————20.00%
48.00%4.00%————12.00%
5+8.00%4.00%————12.00%
Total40.00%60.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.60 0.60 +2.00
SD 1.83 0.50 1.91
CV 0.70 0.83 —
Max 7 1 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 25

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lincoln Red Imps 1691 51 49.45 +1.55 65.0% 38 42 46 49 53 57 60
St. Joseph's 1583 54 46.18 +7.82 98.0% 36 39 43 46 49 53 55
Europa 1358 43 38.16 +4.84 83.0% 28 30 34 38 41 46 52
Manchester 62 1243 34 29.52 +4.48 82.0% 18 20 26 29 33 37 40
FCB Magpies 1088 34 34.61 -0.61 48.0% 20 25 31 35 38 43 49
Lynx 1016 17 18.43 -1.43 43.0% 7 11 15 18 21 27 31
Lions Gibraltar 943 28 24.69 +3.31 73.0% 11 16 21 25 29 34 37
College 1975 865 18 15.80 +2.20 68.0% 3 8 12 16 20 23 29
Glacis United 791 19 24.74 -5.74 14.0% 13 17 22 24 28 32 38
Mons Calpe S.C. 623 13 21.07 -8.07 3.0% 8 14 17 21 24 29 35
Europa Point 589 4 13.48 -9.48 0.0% 6 7 10 13 17 21 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 3% * Clear Edge: 3% to 8% * Strong Edge: 8% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.80%
Clear Edge
46.40%12.00%41.60%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 16.69 Elo pts.
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.33 * Comfortable: 0.33 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
65%
Lincoln Red Imps, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.96 * Some Luck: 3.96 to 5.94 * Lucky: 5.94 to 7.92 * Wild Swing: 7.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.74 * Close: 0.74 to 1.11 * Off: 1.11 to 1.48 * Way Off: 1.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.34 points
Some Luck
04.9512
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.73
Pinpoint
00.932
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
98.00%
St. Joseph's
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
0.00%
Europa Point
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.26 * Even: 0.26 to 0.28 * Top-Heavy: 0.28 to 0.3 * Lopsided: 0.3 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.4 * Strong Separation: 2.4 to 2.65 * Wide Separation: 2.65 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 75% * Slight Edge: 75% to 88% * Clear Edge: 88% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 38.5% * Some Drama: 38.5% to 44% * Frequent: 44% to 48.5% * Very Frequent: 48.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 30.5% * Occasional: 30.5% to 36% * Frequent: 36% to 42% * Very Frequent: 42% and up.
Gini Index
0.30
Lopsided
00.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 337.52
2.55
Strong Separation
12.252.653.25
Interquartile Edge
94%
Wide Edge
50%75%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
38%
Few
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Occasional
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.52 * Slight Separation: 0.52 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.61 * Lopsided: 0.61 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.68 * Near-Lock: 0.68 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 20% * Upset-Prone: 20% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.38
Highly Predictable
00.432
Matchup Imbalance
0.59
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.31
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.40
Some Carryover
00.30.460.681
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.08
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.077
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
St. Joseph's31.00%57.00%11.00%1.00%———————
Lincoln Red Imps65.00%27.00%7.00%1.00%———————
Europa2.00%12.00%49.00%26.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%————
FCB Magpies2.00%4.00%24.00%46.00%14.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Manchester 62——7.00%13.00%42.00%25.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%——
Lions Gibraltar——1.00%7.00%20.00%18.00%19.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%
Glacis United———5.00%9.00%26.00%33.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%—
College 1975————2.00%2.00%8.00%14.00%18.00%24.00%32.00%
Lynx————2.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%25.00%23.00%13.00%
Mons Calpe S.C.——1.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%16.00%24.00%20.00%21.00%3.00%
Europa Point——————4.00%9.00%14.00%23.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
College 1975 100%
Europa 100%
Europa Point 100%
FCB Magpies 100%
Glacis United 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Lions Gibraltar 100%
Lynx 100%
Manchester 62 100%
Mons Calpe S.C. 100%
St. Joseph's 100%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level
Europa 100%
FCB Magpies 100%
Lincoln Red Imps 100%
Lions Gibraltar 100%
Manchester 62 100%
St. Joseph's 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-16 College 1975 L 1-251.6 996 848 64.58% 12.66% 22.76%+0.93 -55.2 0
2024-08-16 @ Manchester 62 W 2-151.6 848 996 22.76% 12.66% 64.58%-0.93 +55.2 3
2024-08-17 Europa L 1-344.2 1037 1049 44.35% 12.73% 42.92%+0.03 -67.1 0
2024-08-17 @ Lynx W 3-144.2 1049 1037 42.92% 12.73% 44.35%-0.03 +67.1 3
2024-08-17 Glacis United L 0-443.4 1113 913 69.47% 12.62% 17.91%+1.23 -225.4 0
2024-08-17 @ Europa Point W 4-043.4 913 1113 17.91% 12.62% 69.47%-1.23 +225.4 3
2024-08-18 Lions Gibraltar W 2-137.0 1129 904 71.57% 12.59% 15.84%+1.37 +15.2 3
2024-08-18 @ FCB Magpies L 1-237.0 904 1129 15.84% 12.59% 71.57%-1.37 -15.2 0
2024-08-23 FCB Magpies W 2-152.3 941 1145 20.66% 12.65% 66.70%-1.05 +57.0 3
2024-08-23 @ Manchester 62 L 1-252.3 1145 941 66.70% 12.65% 20.66%+1.05 -57.0 3
2024-08-24 St. Joseph's L 0-424.7 903 1315 7.23% 12.36% 80.41%-2.23 -27.0 3
2024-08-24 @ College 1975 W 4-024.7 1315 903 80.41% 12.36% 7.23%+2.23 +27.0 3
2024-08-25 Europa L 1-247.1 1139 1116 49.13% 12.73% 38.14%+0.22 -42.5 3
2024-08-25 @ Glacis United W 2-147.1 1116 1139 38.14% 12.73% 49.13%-0.22 +42.5 6
2024-08-25 Lynx W 1-034.7 1108 970 63.44% 12.67% 23.88%+0.87 +23.6 3
2024-08-25 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-134.7 970 1108 23.88% 12.67% 63.44%-0.87 -23.6 0
2024-08-31 College 1975 W 1-039.4 888 876 47.80% 12.73% 39.47%+0.17 +37.1 3
2024-08-31 @ Lions Gibraltar L 0-139.4 876 888 39.47% 12.73% 47.80%-0.17 -37.1 3
2024-08-31 Glacis United W 1-032.1 1342 1096 73.07% 12.56% 14.36%+1.48 +14.7 6
2024-08-31 @ St. Joseph's L 0-132.1 1096 1342 14.36% 12.56% 73.07%-1.48 -14.7 3
2024-09-01 Europa Point D 2-261.0 947 888 54.04% 12.72% 33.25%+0.43 -3.3 1
2024-09-01 @ Lynx D 2-261.0 888 947 33.25% 12.72% 54.04%-0.43 +3.3 1
2024-09-01 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-249.2 1159 1132 49.79% 12.72% 37.49%+0.25 +31.7 9
2024-09-01 @ Europa L 2-349.2 1132 1159 37.49% 12.72% 49.79%-0.25 -31.7 3
2024-09-13 Lions Gibraltar D 1-155.5 1081 926 65.30% 12.66% 22.04%+0.97 -9.6 4
2024-09-13 @ Glacis United D 1-155.5 926 1081 22.04% 12.66% 65.30%-0.97 +9.6 4
2024-09-14 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-433.5 1088 1376 13.73% 12.55% 73.72%-1.53 -32.4 3
2024-09-14 @ FCB Magpies W 4-133.5 1376 1088 73.72% 12.55% 13.73%+1.53 +32.4 3
2024-09-14 Lynx W 4-245.8 998 943 53.53% 12.72% 33.75%+0.40 +47.2 6
2024-09-14 @ Manchester 62 L 2-445.8 943 998 33.75% 12.72% 53.53%-0.40 -47.2 1
2024-09-15 Europa L 1-531.3 891 1191 12.99% 12.54% 74.47%-1.60 -39.7 1
2024-09-15 @ Europa Point W 5-131.3 1191 891 74.47% 12.54% 12.99%+1.60 +39.7 12
2024-09-15 St. Joseph's L 1-336.0 1100 1356 16.06% 12.59% 71.35%-1.35 -26.6 3
2024-09-15 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-136.0 1356 1100 71.35% 12.59% 16.06%+1.35 +26.6 9
2024-09-20 Glacis United L 0-230.7 839 1072 17.96% 12.62% 69.42%-1.22 -34.2 3
2024-09-20 @ College 1975 W 2-030.7 1072 839 69.42% 12.62% 17.96%+1.22 +34.2 7
2024-09-21 FCB Magpies L 0-331.1 896 1055 25.21% 12.68% 62.11%-0.80 -67.9 1
2024-09-21 @ Lynx W 3-031.1 1055 896 62.11% 12.68% 25.21%+0.80 +67.9 6
2024-09-21 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-253.6 935 1073 27.55% 12.69% 59.75%-0.69 +79.1 7
2024-09-21 @ Lions Gibraltar L 2-453.6 1073 935 59.75% 12.69% 27.55%+0.69 -79.1 3
2024-09-22 Europa Point W 4-023.4 1383 852 84.83% 12.03% 3.14%+3.10 +11.9 12
2024-09-22 @ St. Joseph's L 0-423.4 852 1383 3.14% 12.03% 84.83%-3.10 -11.9 1
2024-09-22 Manchester 62 W 2-138.1 1230 1045 68.09% 12.63% 19.27%+1.14 +18.2 15
2024-09-22 @ Europa L 1-238.1 1045 1230 19.27% 12.63% 68.09%-1.14 -18.2 6
2024-09-25 Lynx W 3-024.1 1408 828 85.69% 11.91% 2.40%+3.37 +6.9 6
2024-09-25 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-324.1 828 1408 2.40% 11.91% 85.69%-3.37 -6.9 1
2024-09-28 College 1975 W 3-029.2 994 805 68.55% 12.63% 18.83%+1.17 +51.8 6
2024-09-28 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 0-329.2 805 994 18.83% 12.63% 68.55%-1.17 -51.8 3
2024-09-28 Europa D 0-052.2 1123 1248 29.08% 12.70% 58.22%-0.61 +7.1 7
2024-09-28 @ FCB Magpies D 0-052.2 1248 1123 58.22% 12.70% 29.08%+0.61 -7.1 16
2024-09-29 Lions Gibraltar L 1-436.2 840 1014 23.54% 12.67% 63.80%-0.89 -53.8 1
2024-09-29 @ Europa Point W 4-136.2 1014 840 63.80% 12.67% 23.54%+0.89 +53.8 10
2024-09-29 St. Joseph's D 1-155.8 1027 1395 9.13% 12.44% 78.43%-1.98 +16.0 7
2024-09-29 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.8 1395 1027 78.43% 12.44% 9.13%+1.98 -16.0 13
2024-10-03 FCB Magpies W 2-136.9 1379 1130 73.29% 12.56% 14.15%+1.50 +13.6 16
2024-10-03 @ St. Joseph's L 1-236.9 1130 1379 14.15% 12.56% 73.29%-1.50 -13.6 7
2024-10-05 Europa Point D 0-052.0 753 786 41.26% 12.73% 46.01%-0.09 +1.1 4
2024-10-05 @ College 1975 D 0-052.0 786 753 46.01% 12.73% 41.26%+0.09 -1.1 2
2024-10-05 Lincoln Red Imps D 0-053.5 1241 1415 23.62% 12.67% 63.71%-0.89 +9.9 17
2024-10-05 @ Europa D 0-053.5 1415 1241 63.71% 12.67% 23.62%+0.89 -9.9 7
2024-10-06 Manchester 62 D 2-261.0 1068 1043 49.50% 12.73% 37.77%+0.23 -1.9 11
2024-10-06 @ Lions Gibraltar D 2-261.0 1043 1068 37.77% 12.73% 49.50%-0.23 +1.9 8
2024-10-06 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-035.3 1106 1046 54.17% 12.72% 33.11%+0.43 +59.9 10
2024-10-06 @ Glacis United L 0-235.3 1046 1106 33.11% 12.72% 54.17%-0.43 -59.9 6
2024-10-18 College 1975 D 0-052.2 1251 754 84.10% 12.11% 3.79%+2.91 -21.1 18
2024-10-18 @ Europa D 0-052.2 754 1251 3.79% 12.11% 84.10%-2.91 +21.1 5
2024-10-19 Europa Point W 3-240.5 1117 785 78.30% 12.44% 9.26%+1.97 +8.6 10
2024-10-19 @ FCB Magpies L 2-340.5 785 1117 9.26% 12.44% 78.30%-1.97 -8.6 2
2024-10-19 Glacis United W 3-153.9 821 1166 10.31% 12.47% 77.22%-1.85 +115.0 4
2024-10-19 @ Lynx L 1-353.9 1166 821 77.22% 12.47% 10.31%+1.85 -115.0 10
2024-10-20 Lions Gibraltar W 2-135.4 1393 1066 78.02% 12.45% 9.53%+1.94 +9.3 19
2024-10-20 @ St. Joseph's L 1-235.4 1066 1393 9.53% 12.45% 78.02%-1.94 -9.3 11
2024-10-20 Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-025.4 1405 986 81.90% 12.28% 5.82%+2.46 +16.7 10
2024-10-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-325.4 986 1405 5.82% 12.28% 81.90%-2.46 -16.7 6
2024-10-23 St. Joseph's D 0-056.2 1422 1402 48.84% 12.73% 38.43%+0.21 -2.5 11
2024-10-23 @ Lincoln Red Imps D 0-056.2 1402 1422 38.43% 12.73% 48.84%-0.21 +2.5 20
2024-10-25 Europa Point W 2-137.8 970 776 68.86% 12.62% 18.52%+1.19 +17.6 9
2024-10-25 @ Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-237.8 776 970 18.52% 12.62% 68.86%-1.19 -17.6 2
2024-10-26 FCB Magpies L 0-525.3 775 1125 10.00% 12.46% 77.53%-1.88 -45.7 5
2024-10-26 @ College 1975 W 5-025.3 1125 775 77.53% 12.46% 10.00%+1.88 +45.7 13
2024-10-26 Manchester 62 L 0-239.4 1051 1045 46.84% 12.73% 40.43%+0.13 -81.4 10
2024-10-26 @ Glacis United W 2-039.4 1045 1051 40.43% 12.73% 46.84%-0.13 +81.4 11
2024-10-27 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-228.5 1057 1420 9.38% 12.44% 78.17%-1.95 -18.4 11
2024-10-27 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-028.5 1420 1057 78.17% 12.44% 9.38%+1.95 +18.4 14
2024-10-27 Lynx W 3-132.2 1404 936 83.36% 12.18% 4.46%+2.74 +7.7 23
2024-10-27 @ St. Joseph's L 1-332.2 936 1404 4.46% 12.18% 83.36%-2.74 -7.7 4
2024-10-30 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-522.6 759 1438 1.66% 11.72% 86.61%-3.74 -7.7 2
2024-10-30 @ Europa Point W 5-022.6 1438 759 86.61% 11.72% 1.66%+3.74 +7.7 17
2024-11-01 St. Joseph's L 1-338.9 1230 1412 22.79% 12.66% 64.54%-0.93 -36.9 18
2024-11-01 @ Europa W 3-138.9 1412 1230 64.54% 12.66% 22.79%+0.93 +36.9 26
2024-11-02 Lions Gibraltar W 2-149.1 929 1039 30.98% 12.71% 56.31%-0.53 +48.2 7
2024-11-02 @ Lynx L 1-249.1 1039 929 56.31% 12.71% 30.98%+0.53 -48.2 11
2024-11-02 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-136.2 1126 987 63.59% 12.67% 23.74%+0.88 +54.2 14
2024-11-02 @ Manchester 62 L 1-436.2 987 1126 23.74% 12.67% 63.59%-0.88 -54.2 9
2024-11-03 College 1975 W 5-127.4 1446 729 87.37% 11.51% 1.12%+4.14 +3.5 20
2024-11-03 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-527.4 729 1446 1.12% 11.51% 87.37%-4.14 -3.5 5
2024-11-03 Glacis United W 3-136.2 1171 969 69.56% 12.62% 17.82%+1.23 +29.4 16
2024-11-03 @ FCB Magpies L 1-336.2 969 1171 17.82% 12.62% 69.56%-1.23 -29.4 10
2024-11-06 Manchester 62 L 0-424.4 751 1181 6.58% 12.33% 81.10%-2.33 -24.6 2
2024-11-06 @ Europa Point W 4-024.4 1181 751 81.10% 12.33% 6.58%+2.33 +24.6 17
2024-11-09 FCB Magpies L 2-537.3 933 1200 15.23% 12.58% 72.20%-1.42 -31.0 9
2024-11-09 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 5-237.3 1200 933 72.20% 12.58% 15.23%+1.42 +31.0 19
2024-11-09 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-624.0 940 1449 4.28% 12.16% 83.56%-2.78 -23.6 10
2024-11-09 @ Glacis United W 6-024.0 1449 940 83.56% 12.16% 4.28%+2.78 +23.6 23
2024-11-10 Europa L 2-441.9 990 1193 20.69% 12.65% 66.66%-1.05 -30.2 11
2024-11-10 @ Lions Gibraltar W 4-241.9 1193 990 66.66% 12.65% 20.69%+1.05 +30.2 21
2024-11-10 Lynx W 2-153.5 726 977 16.47% 12.60% 70.93%-1.32 +60.7 8
2024-11-10 @ College 1975 L 1-253.5 977 726 70.93% 12.60% 16.47%+1.32 -60.7 7
2024-11-23 FCB Magpies L 0-724.1 726 1231 4.37% 12.17% 83.46%-2.76 -27.9 2
2024-11-23 @ Europa Point W 7-024.1 1231 726 83.46% 12.17% 4.37%+2.76 +27.9 22
2024-11-23 St. Joseph's L 1-332.4 960 1449 4.78% 12.21% 83.02%-2.67 -8.2 11
2024-11-23 @ Lions Gibraltar W 3-132.4 1449 960 83.02% 12.21% 4.78%+2.67 +8.2 29
2024-11-24 Europa L 0-325.3 786 1223 6.32% 12.31% 81.37%-2.38 -18.1 8
2024-11-24 @ College 1975 W 3-025.3 1223 786 81.37% 12.31% 6.32%+2.38 +18.1 24
2024-11-24 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-324.4 902 1473 3.04% 12.02% 84.94%-3.13 -8.8 9
2024-11-24 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-024.4 1473 902 84.94% 12.02% 3.04%+3.13 +8.8 26
2024-11-25 Lynx W 4-248.1 917 916 46.07% 12.73% 41.20%+0.10 +56.3 13
2024-11-25 @ Glacis United L 2-448.1 916 917 41.20% 12.73% 46.07%-0.10 -56.3 7
2024-11-29 Manchester 62 L 0-241.7 1259 1205 53.40% 12.72% 33.88%+0.40 -91.8 22
2024-11-29 @ FCB Magpies W 2-041.7 1205 1259 33.88% 12.72% 53.40%-0.40 +91.8 20
2024-11-30 College 1975 W 1-027.7 1457 768 87.09% 11.60% 1.31%+3.99 +1.4 32
2024-11-30 @ St. Joseph's L 0-127.7 768 1457 1.31% 11.60% 87.09%-3.99 -1.4 8
2024-11-30 Europa Point W 2-025.2 1481 698 87.93% 11.30% 0.77%+4.52 +1.5 29
2024-11-30 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-225.2 698 1481 0.77% 11.30% 87.93%-4.52 -1.5 2
2024-12-01 Glacis United W 8-027.1 1242 973 74.67% 12.53% 12.80%+1.61 +90.5 27
2024-12-01 @ Europa L 0-827.1 973 1242 12.80% 12.53% 74.67%-1.61 -90.5 13
2024-12-01 Mons Calpe S.C. L 1-244.6 860 893 41.26% 12.73% 46.01%-0.09 -36.4 7
2024-12-01 @ Lynx W 2-144.6 893 860 46.01% 12.73% 41.26%+0.09 +36.4 12
2024-12-04 Manchester 62 W 3-032.5 1483 1297 68.19% 12.63% 19.18%+1.14 +52.7 32
2024-12-04 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-332.5 1297 1483 19.18% 12.63% 68.19%-1.14 -52.7 20
2024-12-06 Lions Gibraltar D 1-155.5 767 952 22.46% 12.66% 64.88%-0.95 +9.4 9
2024-12-06 @ College 1975 D 1-155.5 952 767 64.88% 12.66% 22.46%+0.95 -9.4 12
2024-12-07 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-429.8 1244 1536 13.51% 12.55% 73.94%-1.55 -49.5 20
2024-12-07 @ Manchester 62 W 4-029.8 1536 1244 73.94% 12.55% 13.51%+1.55 +49.5 35
2024-12-07 St. Joseph's L 1-429.9 882 1458 2.95% 12.00% 85.04%-3.16 -7.2 13
2024-12-07 @ Glacis United W 4-129.9 1458 882 85.04% 12.00% 2.95%+3.16 +7.2 35
2024-12-08 Europa L 1-333.1 930 1332 7.60% 12.38% 80.02%-2.18 -13.0 12
2024-12-08 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-133.1 1332 930 80.02% 12.38% 7.60%+2.18 +13.0 30
2024-12-08 Lynx D 1-155.5 697 823 28.94% 12.70% 58.36%-0.62 +6.4 3
2024-12-08 @ Europa Point D 1-155.5 823 697 58.36% 12.70% 28.94%+0.62 -6.4 8
2024-12-13 Manchester 62 W 3-261.4 817 1195 8.67% 12.42% 78.91%-2.04 +64.5 11
2024-12-13 @ Lynx L 2-361.4 1195 817 78.91% 12.42% 8.67%+2.04 -64.5 20
2024-12-14 FCB Magpies W 2-029.7 1585 1167 81.86% 12.28% 5.86%+2.45 +11.6 38
2024-12-14 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-229.7 1167 1585 5.86% 12.28% 81.86%-2.45 -11.6 22
2024-12-14 Glacis United W 4-138.8 942 875 55.14% 12.71% 32.14%+0.47 +71.4 15
2024-12-14 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-438.8 875 942 32.14% 12.71% 55.14%-0.47 -71.4 13
2024-12-15 Europa Point W 3-023.8 1345 703 86.56% 11.74% 1.70%+3.72 +4.9 33
2024-12-15 @ Europa L 0-323.8 703 1345 1.70% 11.74% 86.56%-3.72 -4.9 3
2024-12-15 Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-133.1 1466 917 85.16% 11.99% 2.85%+3.20 +2.8 38
2024-12-15 @ St. Joseph's L 1-233.1 917 1466 2.85% 11.99% 85.16%-3.20 -2.8 12
2024-12-20 College 1975 L 2-352.8 804 776 49.86% 12.72% 37.42%+0.25 -40.8 13
2024-12-20 @ Glacis United W 3-252.8 776 804 37.42% 12.72% 49.86%-0.25 +40.9 12
2024-12-21 Lions Gibraltar L 0-235.0 914 1014 32.21% 12.71% 55.08%-0.47 -58.4 12
2024-12-21 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 2-035.0 1014 914 55.08% 12.71% 32.21%+0.47 +58.4 18
2024-12-21 Lynx W 3-027.2 1156 882 75.03% 12.53% 12.45%+1.64 +35.0 25
2024-12-21 @ FCB Magpies L 0-327.2 882 1156 12.45% 12.53% 75.03%-1.64 -35.0 11
2024-12-22 Europa D 2-261.4 1130 1350 19.15% 12.63% 68.22%-1.15 +8.2 21
2024-12-22 @ Manchester 62 D 2-261.4 1350 1130 68.22% 12.63% 19.15%+1.15 -8.2 34
2024-12-22 St. Joseph's L 1-626.0 698 1468 1.00% 11.45% 87.55%-4.26 -3.8 3
2024-12-22 @ Europa Point W 6-126.0 1468 698 87.55% 11.45% 1.00%+4.26 +3.8 41
2025-01-08 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-036.6 817 855 40.57% 12.73% 46.70%-0.12 +154.0 15
2025-01-08 @ College 1975 L 0-436.6 855 817 46.70% 12.73% 40.57%+0.12 -154.0 12
2025-01-10 Lincoln Red Imps L 1-527.7 846 1597 1.12% 11.51% 87.37%-4.14 -3.5 11
2025-01-10 @ Lynx W 5-127.7 1597 846 87.37% 11.51% 1.12%+4.14 +3.5 41
2025-01-11 FCB Magpies W 2-032.7 1342 1191 64.81% 12.66% 22.53%+0.95 +42.2 37
2025-01-11 @ Europa L 0-232.7 1191 1342 22.53% 12.66% 64.81%-0.95 -42.2 25
2025-01-12 Europa Point W 3-239.9 1072 695 80.38% 12.36% 7.26%+2.23 +6.8 21
2025-01-12 @ Lions Gibraltar L 2-339.9 695 1072 7.26% 12.36% 80.38%-2.23 -6.8 3
2025-01-12 Manchester 62 W 2-135.9 1472 1139 78.40% 12.44% 9.16%+1.98 +9.0 44
2025-01-12 @ St. Joseph's L 1-235.9 1139 1472 9.16% 12.44% 78.40%-1.98 -9.0 21
2025-01-13 Glacis United L 1-342.0 701 763 37.32% 12.72% 49.96%-0.25 -57.7 12
2025-01-13 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 3-142.0 763 701 49.96% 12.72% 37.32%+0.25 +57.7 16
2025-01-17 Europa W 3-145.2 1600 1384 70.81% 12.60% 16.59%+1.32 +27.4 44
2025-01-17 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-345.2 1384 1600 16.59% 12.60% 70.81%-1.32 -27.4 37
2025-02-05 College 1975 L 0-229.5 688 971 14.06% 12.56% 73.38%-1.51 -27.1 3
2025-02-05 @ Europa Point W 2-029.5 971 688 73.38% 12.56% 14.06%+1.51 +27.1 18
2025-02-07 Lynx W 3-024.4 1356 843 84.45% 12.07% 3.47%+3.00 +10.0 40
2025-02-07 @ Europa L 0-324.4 843 1356 3.47% 12.07% 84.45%-3.00 -10.0 11
2025-02-08 FCB Magpies W 2-147.6 1079 1149 36.24% 12.72% 51.04%-0.30 +44.0 24
2025-02-08 @ Lions Gibraltar L 1-247.6 1149 1079 51.04% 12.72% 36.24%+0.30 -44.0 25
2025-02-09 Lincoln Red Imps D 0-065.9 1481 1628 26.62% 12.69% 60.69%-0.73 +8.4 45
2025-02-09 @ St. Joseph's D 0-065.9 1628 1481 60.69% 12.69% 26.62%+0.73 -8.4 45
2025-02-09 Manchester 62 L 0-233.9 998 1130 28.37% 12.70% 58.93%-0.65 -52.1 18
2025-02-09 @ College 1975 W 2-033.9 1130 998 58.93% 12.70% 28.37%+0.65 +52.1 24
2025-02-10 Europa Point W 3-030.0 821 661 65.72% 12.65% 21.63%+1.00 +59.0 19
2025-02-10 @ Glacis United L 0-330.0 661 821 21.63% 12.65% 65.72%-1.00 -59.0 3
2025-02-19 St. Joseph's L 1-334.2 1105 1490 8.34% 12.41% 79.25%-2.08 -14.2 25
2025-02-19 @ FCB Magpies W 3-134.2 1490 1105 79.25% 12.41% 8.34%+2.08 +14.2 48
2025-02-21 Mons Calpe S.C. D 3-365.8 602 644 40.04% 12.73% 47.23%-0.14 +0.9 4
2025-02-21 @ Europa Point D 3-365.8 644 602 47.23% 12.73% 40.04%+0.14 -0.9 13
2025-02-22 Glacis United W 3-241.0 1182 880 76.71% 12.49% 10.80%+1.80 +10.0 27
2025-02-22 @ Manchester 62 L 2-341.0 880 1182 10.80% 12.49% 76.71%-1.80 -10.0 19
2025-02-22 Lions Gibraltar L 1-259.8 1619 1123 84.07% 12.11% 3.82%+2.90 -72.6 45
2025-02-22 @ Lincoln Red Imps W 2-159.8 1123 1619 3.82% 12.11% 84.07%-2.90 +72.7 27
2025-02-23 College 1975 W 3-244.8 1090 946 64.12% 12.67% 23.21%+0.91 +20.6 28
2025-02-23 @ FCB Magpies L 2-344.8 946 1090 23.21% 12.67% 64.12%-0.91 -20.6 18
2025-02-23 St. Joseph's L 0-723.3 833 1504 1.74% 11.75% 86.51%-3.70 -11.1 11
2025-02-23 @ Lynx W 7-023.3 1504 833 86.51% 11.75% 1.74%+3.70 +11.1 51
2025-02-26 Lions Gibraltar D 1-155.7 1192 1196 45.44% 12.73% 41.83%+0.07 -0.8 28
2025-02-26 @ Manchester 62 D 1-155.7 1196 1192 41.83% 12.73% 45.44%-0.07 +0.8 28
2025-03-07 Europa W 2-144.9 1515 1366 64.55% 12.66% 22.78%+0.93 +21.3 54
2025-03-07 @ St. Joseph's L 1-244.9 1366 1515 22.78% 12.66% 64.55%-0.93 -21.3 40
2025-03-08 Lynx L 0-249.3 1197 822 80.25% 12.37% 7.38%+2.21 -138.3 28
2025-03-08 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-049.3 822 1197 7.38% 12.37% 80.25%-2.21 +138.3 14
2025-03-08 Manchester 62 L 0-423.4 643 1191 3.45% 12.07% 84.48%-3.00 -13.0 13
2025-03-08 @ Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-023.4 1191 643 84.48% 12.07% 3.45%+3.00 +13.0 31
2025-03-09 FCB Magpies L 0-527.5 870 1111 17.27% 12.61% 70.13%-1.27 -77.0 19
2025-03-09 @ Glacis United W 5-027.5 1111 870 70.13% 12.61% 17.27%+1.27 +77.0 31
2025-03-09 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-226.2 926 1547 2.30% 11.89% 85.81%-3.41 -4.6 18
2025-03-09 @ College 1975 W 2-026.2 1547 926 85.81% 11.89% 2.30%+3.41 +4.6 48
2025-03-14 Glacis United W 4-129.1 1551 793 87.74% 11.38% 0.88%+4.38 +2.1 51
2025-03-14 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 1-429.1 793 1551 0.88% 11.38% 87.74%-4.38 -2.1 19
2025-03-15 Lions Gibraltar W 3-027.2 1345 1058 75.82% 12.51% 11.67%+1.72 +32.9 43
2025-03-15 @ Europa L 0-327.2 1058 1345 11.67% 12.51% 75.82%-1.72 -32.9 28
2025-03-15 Mons Calpe S.C. W 4-129.7 1188 630 85.33% 11.96% 2.71%+3.25 +6.6 34
2025-03-15 @ FCB Magpies L 1-429.7 630 1188 2.71% 11.96% 85.33%-3.25 -6.6 13
2025-03-16 College 1975 W 3-141.6 960 921 51.45% 12.72% 35.83%+0.32 +55.6 17
2025-03-16 @ Lynx L 1-341.6 921 960 35.83% 12.72% 51.45%-0.32 -55.6 18
2025-03-16 Europa Point W 7-023.4 1204 603 86.02% 11.85% 2.13%+3.49 +13.6 34
2025-03-16 @ Manchester 62 L 0-723.4 603 1204 2.13% 11.85% 86.02%-3.49 -13.6 4

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-04-05 FCB Magpies L 1-239.5 1025 1195 24.09% 12.67% 63.24%-0.86 -22.4 0
2025-04-05 @ Lions Gibraltar W 2-139.5 1195 1025 63.24% 12.67% 24.09%+0.86 +22.4 3
2025-04-05 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-153.9 1536 1553 43.57% 12.73% 43.70%+0.00 -40.5 0
2025-04-05 @ St. Joseph's W 1-053.9 1553 1536 43.70% 12.73% 43.57%+0.00 +40.5 3
2025-04-06 Europa L 1-240.7 1218 1378 25.03% 12.68% 62.29%-0.81 -23.2 0
2025-04-06 @ Manchester 62 W 2-140.7 1378 1218 62.29% 12.68% 25.03%+0.81 +23.2 3
2025-04-11 St. Joseph's L 0-231.7 1217 1496 14.39% 12.56% 73.05%-1.48 -27.7 3
2025-04-11 @ FCB Magpies W 2-031.7 1496 1217 73.05% 12.56% 14.39%+1.48 +27.7 3
2025-04-12 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-438.9 1401 1594 21.70% 12.66% 65.64%-0.99 -77.3 3
2025-04-12 @ Europa W 4-038.9 1594 1401 65.64% 12.66% 21.70%+0.99 +77.3 6
2025-04-13 Lions Gibraltar W 1-033.2 1194 1003 68.69% 12.63% 18.68%+1.18 +18.8 3
2025-04-13 @ Manchester 62 L 0-133.2 1003 1194 18.68% 12.63% 68.69%-1.18 -18.8 0
2025-04-19 Europa W 2-142.4 1523 1324 69.39% 12.62% 17.99%+1.22 +17.1 6
2025-04-19 @ St. Joseph's L 1-242.4 1324 1523 17.99% 12.62% 69.39%-1.22 -17.1 3
2025-04-19 Manchester 62 L 0-238.4 1189 1213 42.62% 12.73% 44.65%-0.04 -74.9 3
2025-04-19 @ FCB Magpies W 2-038.4 1213 1189 44.65% 12.73% 42.62%+0.04 +74.9 6
2025-04-20 Lions Gibraltar W 3-025.0 1671 984 87.08% 11.60% 1.32%+3.98 +3.8 9
2025-04-20 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-325.0 984 1671 1.32% 11.60% 87.08%-3.98 -3.8 0
2025-04-25 Europa L 1-432.5 980 1307 11.30% 12.50% 76.20%-1.75 -26.9 0
2025-04-25 @ Lions Gibraltar W 4-132.5 1307 980 76.20% 12.50% 11.30%+1.75 +26.9 6
2025-04-26 St. Joseph's L 0-234.5 1288 1541 16.36% 12.60% 71.05%-1.33 -31.3 6
2025-04-26 @ Manchester 62 W 2-034.5 1541 1288 71.05% 12.60% 16.36%+1.33 +31.3 9
2025-04-27 FCB Magpies W 1-031.6 1675 1114 85.37% 11.96% 2.68%+3.26 +2.8 12
2025-04-27 @ Lincoln Red Imps L 0-131.6 1114 1675 2.68% 11.96% 85.37%-3.26 -2.8 3
2025-05-02 Lincoln Red Imps L 0-234.9 1257 1678 6.88% 12.34% 80.77%-2.28 -13.6 6
2025-05-02 @ Manchester 62 W 2-034.9 1678 1257 80.77% 12.34% 6.88%+2.28 +13.6 15
2025-05-03 Lions Gibraltar W 6-023.5 1572 953 86.26% 11.80% 1.94%+3.59 +10.7 12
2025-05-03 @ St. Joseph's L 0-623.5 953 1572 1.94% 11.80% 86.26%-3.59 -10.7 0
2025-05-04 FCB Magpies W 4-240.8 1334 1112 71.29% 12.59% 16.12%+1.35 +23.9 9
2025-05-04 @ Europa L 2-440.8 1112 1334 16.12% 12.59% 71.29%-1.35 -23.9 3

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-02-22 3.82% Lions Gibraltar 1123 2 @ Lincoln Red Imps 1619 1
2 2025-03-08 7.38% Lynx 822 2 @ Lions Gibraltar 1197 0
3 2024-12-13 8.67% @ Lynx 817 3 Manchester 62 1195 2
4 2024-10-19 10.31% @ Lynx 821 3 Glacis United 1166 1
5 2024-11-10 16.47% @ College 1975 726 2 Lynx 977 1
6 2024-08-17 17.91% Glacis United 913 4 @ Europa Point 1113 0
7 2024-08-23 20.66% @ Manchester 62 941 2 FCB Magpies 1145 1
8 2024-08-16 22.76% College 1975 848 2 @ Manchester 62 996 1
9 2024-09-21 27.55% @ Lions Gibraltar 935 4 Mons Calpe S.C. 1073 2
10 2024-11-02 30.98% @ Lynx 929 2 Lions Gibraltar 1039 1
11 2024-11-29 33.88% Manchester 62 1205 2 @ FCB Magpies 1259 0
12 2025-02-08 36.24% @ Lions Gibraltar 1079 2 FCB Magpies 1149 1
13 2024-12-20 37.42% College 1975 776 3 @ Glacis United 804 2
14 2024-08-25 38.14% Europa 1116 2 @ Glacis United 1139 1
15 2024-10-26 40.43% Manchester 62 1045 2 @ Glacis United 1051 0
16 2025-01-08 40.57% @ College 1975 817 4 Mons Calpe S.C. 855 0
17 2024-08-17 42.92% Europa 1049 3 @ Lynx 1037 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-08-17 225.43 Glacis United 4 913 17.91% @ Europa Point 0 1113 69.47% 12.62%
2 2025-01-08 154.00 @ College 1975 4 817 40.57% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 855 46.70% 12.73%
3 2025-03-08 138.34 Lynx 2 822 7.38% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 1197 80.25% 12.37%
4 2024-10-19 114.98 @ Lynx 3 821 10.31% Glacis United 1 1166 77.22% 12.47%
5 2024-11-29 91.76 Manchester 62 2 1205 33.88% @ FCB Magpies 0 1259 53.40% 12.72%
6 2024-12-01 90.45 @ Europa 8 1242 74.67% Glacis United 0 973 12.80% 12.53%
7 2024-10-26 81.38 Manchester 62 2 1045 40.43% @ Glacis United 0 1051 46.84% 12.73%
8 2024-09-21 79.13 @ Lions Gibraltar 4 935 27.55% Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1073 59.75% 12.69%
9 2025-04-12 77.32 Lincoln Red Imps 4 1594 65.64% @ Europa 0 1401 21.70% 12.66%
10 2025-03-09 76.96 FCB Magpies 5 1111 70.13% @ Glacis United 0 870 17.27% 12.61%
11 2025-04-19 74.89 Manchester 62 2 1213 44.65% @ FCB Magpies 0 1189 42.62% 12.73%
12 2025-02-22 72.65 Lions Gibraltar 2 1123 3.82% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1619 84.07% 12.11%
13 2024-12-14 71.42 @ Lions Gibraltar 4 942 55.14% Glacis United 1 875 32.14% 12.71%
14 2024-09-21 67.94 FCB Magpies 3 1055 62.11% @ Lynx 0 896 25.21% 12.68%
15 2024-08-17 67.15 Europa 3 1049 42.92% @ Lynx 1 1037 44.35% 12.73%
16 2024-12-13 64.46 @ Lynx 3 817 8.67% Manchester 62 2 1195 78.91% 12.42%
17 2024-11-10 60.71 @ College 1975 2 726 16.47% Lynx 1 977 70.93% 12.60%
18 2024-10-06 59.89 @ Glacis United 2 1106 54.17% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 1046 33.11% 12.72%
19 2025-02-10 58.99 @ Glacis United 3 821 65.72% Europa Point 0 661 21.63% 12.65%
20 2024-12-21 58.42 Lions Gibraltar 2 1014 55.08% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 914 32.21% 12.71%
21 2025-01-13 57.69 Glacis United 3 763 49.96% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 1 701 37.32% 12.72%
22 2024-08-23 56.99 @ Manchester 62 2 941 20.66% FCB Magpies 1 1145 66.70% 12.65%
23 2024-11-25 56.31 @ Glacis United 4 917 46.07% Lynx 2 916 41.20% 12.73%
24 2025-03-16 55.65 @ Lynx 3 960 51.45% College 1975 1 921 35.83% 12.72%
25 2024-08-16 55.16 College 1975 2 848 22.76% @ Manchester 62 1 996 64.58% 12.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-02-09 65.9 @ St. Joseph's 0 1481 26.62% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1628 60.69% 12.69%
2 2025-02-21 65.8 @ Europa Point 3 602 40.04% Mons Calpe S.C. 3 644 47.23% 12.73%
3 2024-12-13 61.4 @ Lynx 3 817 8.67% Manchester 62 2 1195 78.91% 12.42%
4 2024-12-22 61.4 @ Manchester 62 2 1130 19.15% Europa 2 1350 68.22% 12.63%
5 2024-09-01 61.0 @ Lynx 2 947 54.04% Europa Point 2 888 33.25% 12.72%
6 2024-10-06 61.0 @ Lions Gibraltar 2 1068 49.50% Manchester 62 2 1043 37.77% 12.73%
7 2025-02-22 59.8 Lions Gibraltar 2 1123 3.82% @ Lincoln Red Imps 1 1619 84.07% 12.11%
8 2024-10-23 56.2 @ Lincoln Red Imps 0 1422 48.84% St. Joseph's 0 1402 38.43% 12.73%
9 2024-09-29 55.8 @ Manchester 62 1 1027 9.13% St. Joseph's 1 1395 78.43% 12.44%
10 2025-02-26 55.7 @ Manchester 62 1 1192 45.44% Lions Gibraltar 1 1196 41.83% 12.73%
11 2024-09-13 55.5 @ Glacis United 1 1081 65.30% Lions Gibraltar 1 926 22.04% 12.66%
12 2024-12-06 55.5 @ College 1975 1 767 22.46% Lions Gibraltar 1 952 64.88% 12.66%
13 2024-12-08 55.5 @ Europa Point 1 697 28.94% Lynx 1 823 58.36% 12.70%
14 2024-10-19 53.9 @ Lynx 3 821 10.31% Glacis United 1 1166 77.22% 12.47%
15 2025-04-05 53.9 Lincoln Red Imps 1 1553 43.70% @ St. Joseph's 0 1536 43.57% 12.73%
16 2024-09-21 53.6 @ Lions Gibraltar 4 935 27.55% Mons Calpe S.C. 2 1073 59.75% 12.69%
17 2024-10-05 53.5 @ Europa 0 1241 23.62% Lincoln Red Imps 0 1415 63.71% 12.67%
18 2024-11-10 53.5 @ College 1975 2 726 16.47% Lynx 1 977 70.93% 12.60%
19 2024-12-20 52.8 College 1975 3 776 37.42% @ Glacis United 2 804 49.86% 12.72%
20 2024-08-23 52.3 @ Manchester 62 2 941 20.66% FCB Magpies 1 1145 66.70% 12.65%
21 2024-09-28 52.2 @ FCB Magpies 0 1123 29.08% Europa 0 1248 58.22% 12.70%
22 2024-10-18 52.2 @ Europa 0 1251 84.10% College 1975 0 754 3.79% 12.11%
23 2024-10-05 52.0 @ College 1975 0 753 41.26% Europa Point 0 786 46.01% 12.73%
24 2024-08-16 51.6 College 1975 2 848 22.76% @ Manchester 62 1 996 64.58% 12.66%
25 2025-03-08 49.3 Lynx 2 822 7.38% @ Lions Gibraltar 0 1197 80.25% 12.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-10-30 22.6 Lincoln Red Imps 5 1438 86.61% @ Europa Point 0 759 1.66% 11.72%
2 2025-02-23 23.3 St. Joseph's 7 1504 86.51% @ Lynx 0 833 1.74% 11.75%
3 2024-09-22 23.4 @ St. Joseph's 4 1383 84.83% Europa Point 0 852 3.14% 12.03%
4 2025-03-08 23.4 Manchester 62 4 1191 84.48% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 643 3.45% 12.07%
5 2025-03-16 23.4 @ Manchester 62 7 1204 86.02% Europa Point 0 603 2.13% 11.85%
6 2025-05-03 23.5 @ St. Joseph's 6 1572 86.26% Lions Gibraltar 0 953 1.94% 11.80%
7 2024-12-15 23.8 @ Europa 3 1345 86.56% Europa Point 0 703 1.70% 11.74%
8 2024-11-09 24.0 Lincoln Red Imps 6 1449 83.56% @ Glacis United 0 940 4.28% 12.16%
9 2024-09-25 24.1 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1408 85.69% Lynx 0 828 2.40% 11.91%
10 2024-11-23 24.1 FCB Magpies 7 1231 83.46% @ Europa Point 0 726 4.37% 12.17%
11 2024-11-06 24.4 Manchester 62 4 1181 81.10% @ Europa Point 0 751 6.58% 12.33%
12 2024-11-24 24.4 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1473 84.94% @ Mons Calpe S.C. 0 902 3.04% 12.02%
13 2025-02-07 24.4 @ Europa 3 1356 84.45% Lynx 0 843 3.47% 12.07%
14 2024-08-24 24.7 St. Joseph's 4 1315 80.41% @ College 1975 0 903 7.23% 12.36%
15 2025-04-20 25.0 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1671 87.08% Lions Gibraltar 0 984 1.32% 11.60%
16 2024-11-30 25.2 @ Lincoln Red Imps 2 1481 87.93% Europa Point 0 698 0.77% 11.30%
17 2024-10-26 25.3 FCB Magpies 5 1125 77.53% @ College 1975 0 775 10.00% 12.46%
18 2024-11-24 25.3 Europa 3 1223 81.37% @ College 1975 0 786 6.32% 12.31%
19 2024-10-20 25.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 3 1405 81.90% Mons Calpe S.C. 0 986 5.82% 12.28%
20 2024-12-22 26.0 St. Joseph's 6 1468 87.55% @ Europa Point 1 698 1.00% 11.45%
21 2025-03-09 26.2 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1547 85.81% @ College 1975 0 926 2.30% 11.89%
22 2024-12-01 27.1 @ Europa 8 1242 74.67% Glacis United 0 973 12.80% 12.53%
23 2024-12-21 27.2 @ FCB Magpies 3 1156 75.03% Lynx 0 882 12.45% 12.53%
24 2025-03-15 27.2 @ Europa 3 1345 75.82% Lions Gibraltar 0 1058 11.67% 12.51%
25 2024-11-03 27.4 @ Lincoln Red Imps 5 1446 87.37% College 1975 1 729 1.12% 11.51%