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1903 I. Osztály Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Ferencvaros

21 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ferencvaros

3.75 points above expected

21 points · 17.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Torekves SC

3.78 points below expected

2 points · 5.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros Champion 14 10 1 3 21 51 11 +40 17.25 +3.75
2 Budapest TC 14 8 3 3 19 34 9 +25 18.93 +0.07
3 MTK Budapest 14 9 0 5 18 41 17 +24 16.90 +1.10
4 Budapest Postas 14 7 3 4 17 28 12 +16 15.85 +1.15
5 33FC 14 6 3 5 15 23 32 -9 14.70 +0.30
6 Magyar Uszo Egylet 14 5 1 8 11 12 25 -13 13.37 -2.37
7 Magyar AC 14 4 1 9 9 19 40 -21 9.22 -0.22
8 Torekves SC 14 1 0 13 2 6 68 -62 5.78 -3.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ferencvaros 21 17.25 +3.75
2 Budapest Postas 17 15.85 +1.15
3 MTK Budapest 18 16.90 +1.10
4 33FC 15 14.70 +0.30
5 Budapest TC 19 18.93 +0.07

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torekves SC 2 5.78 -3.78
2 Magyar Uszo Egylet 11 13.37 -2.37
3 Magyar AC 9 9.22 -0.22
4 Budapest TC 19 18.93 +0.07
5 33FC 15 14.70 +0.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 33FC 2 Oct 25 – Nov 11 1 in 111
2 MTK Budapest 5 Jun 7 – Nov 1 1 in 37
3 Ferencvaros 5 Feb 22 – Mar 22 1 in 30
4 Budapest Postas 4 Mar 25 – Sep 20 1 in 14
5 Budapest TC 3 Sep 20 – Oct 18 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapest TC 1 Mar 22 – Mar 22 1 in 986
2 Budapest Postas 2 Nov 1 – Nov 8 1 in 78
3 Magyar AC 4 Mar 22 – Sep 20 1 in 33
4 Torekves SC 9 Apr 19 – Nov 12 1 in 26
5 MTK Budapest 2 Nov 15 – Nov 22 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 33FC 5 Oct 25 – Nov 29 1 in 91
2 Ferencvaros 6 Feb 8 – Mar 22 1 in 10
3 MTK Budapest 5 Jun 7 – Nov 1 1 in 8
4 Budapest Postas 6 Mar 8 – Sep 20 1 in 7
5 Magyar AC 2 Nov 8 – Nov 15 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapest Postas 3 Nov 1 – Nov 15 1 in 26
2 Magyar AC 7 Mar 8 – Sep 20 1 in 14
3 MTK Budapest 2 Nov 15 – Nov 22 1 in 6
4 Torekves SC 9 Apr 19 – Nov 12 1 in 5
5 Budapest TC 2 Apr 7 – May 10 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1780 19 +144 8 6.6 +1.4
Budapest TC 1688 19 -14 7 8.4 -1.4
MTK Budapest 1520 16 -29 6 5.8 +0.2
Budapest Postas 1543 15 -16 3 4.9 -1.9
33FC 1368 9 +110 6 4.3 +1.7
Magyar AC 1326 9 +105 6 3.7 +2.3
Magyar Uszo Egylet 1256 9 -187 2 4.8 -2.8
Torekves SC 943 2 -247 0 2.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F BP BT FER MB MA MUE TS
33FC —
0-2-0
1.65
1-1-0
1.03
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.43
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
3.05
Budapest Postas
0-2-0
4.06
 —
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
4.44
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
4.52
Budapest TC
0-1-1
4.68
2-0-0
3.64
 —
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-2
4.04
1-1-0
5.10
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.73
Ferencvaros
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.40
0-0-2
2.65
 —
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
5.04
MTK Budapest
2-0-0
4.27
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
1.67
0-0-2
2.08
 —
1-0-1
4.12
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.33
Magyar AC
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
0.62
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
1.58
 —
1-0-1
2.13
2-0-0
3.56
Magyar Uszo Egylet
1-0-1
3.96
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
1.55
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.58
 —
2-0-0
4.53
Torekves SC
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
1.18
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +3.8
Allowed 0.90 -3.0
Differential 0.97 +1.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%4.46%4.46%2.68%2.68%8.93%26.79%
14.46%1.79%3.57%3.57%0.89%5.36%19.64%
24.46%3.57%5.36%0.89%——14.29%
32.68%3.57%0.89%———7.14%
42.68%0.89%———0.89%4.46%
5+8.93%5.36%——0.89%12.50%27.68%
Total26.79%19.64%14.29%7.14%4.46%27.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.79 +0.00
SD 2.73 2.73 4.18
CV 1.53 1.53 —
Max 14 14 +14
Min -1 -1 -14

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1———7.14%—14.29%21.43%
2—7.14%21.43%———28.57%
3———————
47.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
5+—————21.43%21.43%
Total7.14%14.29%28.57%7.14%—42.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 2.07 -0.64
SD 1.79 2.79 2.90
CV 1.25 1.35 —
Max 4 9 +4
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%—14.29%———21.43%
37.14%—————7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
Total35.71%28.57%28.57%——7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.79 +1.14
SD 2.20 0.97 2.54
CV 1.14 1.24 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—————14.29%
17.14%—7.14%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+28.57%————7.14%35.71%
Total57.14%14.29%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.57 +1.79
SD 2.34 1.09 2.69
CV 0.99 1.91 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4———————
5+14.29%21.43%———14.29%50.00%
Total28.57%42.86%7.14%7.14%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 0.64 +2.86
SD 3.98 1.08 4.13
CV 1.14 1.68 —
Max 14 3 +14
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%14.29%——21.43%
114.29%——7.14%——21.43%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+14.29%7.14%———7.14%28.57%
Total35.71%21.43%7.14%28.57%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 1.14 +1.71
SD 4.15 1.41 4.75
CV 1.45 1.23 —
Max 14 3 +14
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%———28.57%50.00%
1——7.14%—7.14%7.14%21.43%
2———————
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%7.14%————14.29%
Total21.43%21.43%14.29%—7.14%35.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.86 -1.50
SD 1.86 2.54 3.86
CV 1.37 0.89 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%—7.14%7.14%42.86%
17.14%————14.29%21.43%
27.14%—————7.14%
3—7.14%————7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+—————14.29%14.29%
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%—7.14%35.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.64 -0.93
SD 1.44 2.24 2.70
CV 2.01 1.36 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%14.29%35.71%57.14%
1—————7.14%7.14%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+————7.14%28.57%35.71%
Total———7.14%21.43%71.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.14 4.57 -4.43
SD 1.51 4.99 4.86
CV 10.58 1.09 —
Max 5 14 +1
Min -1 -1 -14

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1780 21 17.25 +3.75 94.0% 10 13 16 17 19 22 26
Budapest TC 1688 19 18.93 +0.07 58.0% 12 15 17 19 21 23 24
Budapest Postas 1543 17 15.85 +1.15 71.0% 8 11 14 16 18 21 23
MTK Budapest 1520 18 16.90 +1.10 71.0% 10 12 15 17 19 22 24
33FC 1368 15 14.70 +0.30 61.0% 9 10 13 15 17 19 22
Magyar AC 1326 9 9.22 -0.22 50.0% 2 4 7 9 11 13 16
Magyar Uszo Egylet 1256 11 13.37 -2.37 28.0% 7 9 11 14 15 18 21
Torekves SC 943 2 5.78 -3.78 7.0% 0 2 4 6 7 10 14

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.86%
Slight Edge
53.57%10.71%35.71%
Elo Value
Home Edge
108 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
082.15300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.07 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.76+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Ferencvaros, 3rd of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.24 * Some Luck: 2.24 to 3.36 * Lucky: 3.36 to 4.48 * Wild Swing: 4.48 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.83 * Close: 0.83 to 1.25 * Off: 1.25 to 1.67 * Way Off: 1.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.14 points
As Expected
02.807
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.25
Pinpoint
01.042.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
94.00%
Ferencvaros
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
7.00%
Torekves SC
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 265.02
1.78
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%28%100%
Blowouts
Expected
41%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Notable Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.64
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.19 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.19 to 0.29 * Above Noise: 0.29 to 0.39 * Well Above Noise: 0.39 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.80
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.122
Well Within Noise
00.1930.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Ferencvaros20.00%26.00%26.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%—
Budapest TC47.00%24.00%16.00%11.00%2.00%———
MTK Budapest21.00%18.00%21.00%18.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%—
Budapest Postas9.00%19.00%14.00%20.00%24.00%10.00%4.00%—
33FC2.00%7.00%15.00%23.00%27.00%23.00%3.00%—
Magyar Uszo Egylet1.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%17.00%42.00%11.00%2.00%
Magyar AC———3.00%5.00%15.00%59.00%18.00%
Torekves SC————1.00%—19.00%80.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Budapest Postas 100%
Budapest TC 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
MTK Budapest 100%
Magyar AC 100%
Magyar Uszo Egylet 100%
Torekves SC 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1903-02-08 MTK Budapest FL52.7 1378 1378 60.81% 14.82% 24.37%+0.76 +0.0 0
1903-02-08 @ Torekves SC FW52.7 1378 1378 24.37% 14.82% 60.81%-0.76 +0.0 2
1903-02-08 Budapest Postas D 1-157.8 1426 1378 65.57% 14.79% 19.64%+1.19 -6.4 1
1903-02-08 @ Ferencvaros D 1-157.8 1378 1426 19.64% 14.79% 65.57%-1.19 +6.4 1
1903-02-22 Ferencvaros L 1-552.5 1409 1419 59.73% 14.83% 25.44%+0.67 -102.1 0
1903-02-22 @ 33FC W 5-152.5 1419 1409 25.44% 14.83% 59.73%-0.67 +102.1 3
1903-03-01 Budapest Postas W 2-040.7 1606 1385 77.27% 14.58% 8.15%+2.80 +10.4 2
1903-03-01 @ Budapest TC L 0-240.7 1385 1606 8.15% 14.58% 77.27%-2.80 -10.4 1
1903-03-01 MTK Budapest W 3-141.8 1521 1378 73.03% 14.69% 12.27%+2.08 +13.4 5
1903-03-01 @ Ferencvaros L 1-341.8 1378 1521 12.27% 14.69% 73.03%-2.08 -13.4 2
1903-03-08 Magyar AC W 6-036.1 1365 1378 59.33% 14.83% 25.84%+0.63 +85.1 4
1903-03-08 @ MTK Budapest L 0-636.1 1378 1365 25.84% 14.83% 59.33%-0.63 -85.1 0
1903-03-08 Torekves SC W 4-037.1 1374 1378 60.37% 14.82% 24.80%+0.72 +56.0 3
1903-03-08 @ Budapest Postas L 0-437.1 1378 1374 24.80% 14.82% 60.37%-0.72 -56.0 0
1903-03-15 Ferencvaros L 0-638.8 1293 1535 29.22% 14.79% 55.99%-1.47 -94.9 0
1903-03-15 @ Magyar AC W 6-038.8 1535 1293 55.99% 14.79% 29.22%+1.47 +94.9 7
1903-03-15 33FC W 3-138.2 1470 1307 74.23% 14.67% 11.10%+2.26 +12.2 2
1903-03-15 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet L 1-338.2 1307 1470 11.10% 14.67% 74.23%-2.26 -12.1 0
1903-03-22 Ferencvaros FL46.1 1482 1629 41.73% 14.84% 43.43%-0.60 +0.0 2
1903-03-22 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet FW46.1 1629 1482 43.43% 14.84% 41.73%+0.60 +0.0 9
1903-03-22 33FC FL56.8 1617 1295 80.86% 14.38% 4.75%+3.72 +0.0 2
1903-03-22 @ Budapest TC FW56.8 1295 1617 4.75% 14.38% 80.86%-3.72 +0.0 2
1903-03-22 Torekves SC FW53.7 1482 1322 74.06% 14.67% 11.27%+2.23 +0.0 4
1903-03-22 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet FL53.7 1322 1482 11.27% 14.67% 74.06%-2.23 +0.0 0
1903-03-22 Budapest TC L 0-541.0 1322 1617 23.24% 14.74% 62.02%-1.96 -65.1 0
1903-03-22 @ Torekves SC W 5-041.0 1617 1322 62.02% 14.74% 23.24%+1.96 +65.1 4
1903-03-22 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 2-046.1 1629 1482 73.33% 14.69% 11.98%+2.12 +15.1 11
1903-03-22 @ Ferencvaros L 0-246.1 1482 1629 11.98% 14.69% 73.33%-2.12 -15.1 4
1903-03-22 Budapest TC D 0-057.4 1198 1682 9.17% 14.44% 76.39%-3.70 +10.9 1
1903-03-22 @ Magyar AC D 0-057.4 1682 1198 76.39% 14.44% 9.17%+3.70 -10.9 5
1903-03-22 33FC D 2-259.5 1430 1295 72.54% 14.70% 12.76%+2.01 -6.4 4
1903-03-22 @ Budapest Postas D 2-259.5 1295 1430 12.76% 14.70% 72.54%-2.01 +6.4 3
1903-03-22 33FC L 1-247.8 1209 1302 49.50% 14.85% 35.66%-0.09 -27.0 1
1903-03-22 @ Magyar AC W 2-147.8 1302 1209 35.66% 14.85% 49.50%+0.09 +27.1 5
1903-03-25 Ferencvaros W 3-156.6 1671 1645 63.54% 14.81% 21.65%+1.00 +22.6 7
1903-03-25 @ Budapest TC L 1-356.6 1645 1671 21.65% 14.81% 63.54%-1.00 -22.6 11
1903-03-25 Budapest Postas L 0-139.3 1182 1424 29.17% 14.79% 56.04%-1.47 -18.1 1
1903-03-25 @ Magyar AC W 1-039.3 1424 1182 56.04% 14.79% 29.17%+1.47 +18.1 6
1903-03-25 MTK Budapest W 2-042.4 1467 1450 62.57% 14.81% 22.61%+0.91 +27.2 6
1903-03-25 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet L 0-242.4 1450 1467 22.61% 14.81% 62.57%-0.91 -27.2 4
1903-03-25 33FC W 5-451.9 1257 1329 52.27% 14.85% 32.89%+0.10 +17.3 2
1903-03-25 @ Torekves SC L 4-551.9 1329 1257 32.89% 14.85% 52.27%-0.10 -17.3 5
1903-03-29 33FC W 9-133.7 1423 1311 70.91% 14.73% 14.36%+1.79 +53.7 6
1903-03-29 @ MTK Budapest L 1-933.7 1311 1423 14.36% 14.73% 70.91%-1.79 -53.7 5
1903-04-07 Budapest TC D 0-067.6 1494 1693 34.57% 14.82% 50.62%-1.08 +2.4 7
1903-04-07 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet D 0-067.6 1693 1494 50.62% 14.82% 34.57%+1.08 -2.4 8
1903-04-19 Torekves SC FW50.5 1258 1275 58.92% 14.83% 26.25%+0.60 +0.0 7
1903-04-19 @ 33FC FL50.5 1275 1258 26.25% 14.83% 58.92%-0.60 +0.0 2
1903-04-19 Magyar AC W 1-032.2 1496 1164 81.16% 14.36% 4.48%+3.82 +3.1 9
1903-04-19 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet L 0-132.2 1164 1496 4.48% 14.36% 81.16%-3.82 -3.1 1
1903-05-10 Budapest TC W 3-163.1 1477 1691 32.61% 14.81% 52.59%-1.22 +49.5 8
1903-05-10 @ MTK Budapest L 1-363.1 1691 1477 52.59% 14.81% 32.61%+1.22 -49.5 8
1903-05-17 MTK Budapest W 3-046.9 1442 1526 50.60% 14.85% 34.56%-0.02 +57.5 8
1903-05-17 @ Budapest Postas L 0-346.9 1526 1442 34.56% 14.85% 50.60%+0.02 -57.5 8
1903-05-24 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 5-147.5 1500 1499 60.83% 14.82% 24.35%+0.76 +45.9 10
1903-05-24 @ Budapest Postas L 1-547.5 1499 1500 24.35% 14.82% 60.83%-0.76 -45.9 9
1903-05-24 Torekves SC W 8-135.1 1622 1275 81.55% 14.32% 4.13%+3.96 +14.2 13
1903-05-24 @ Ferencvaros L 1-835.1 1275 1622 4.13% 14.32% 81.55%-3.96 -14.2 2
1903-06-07 Torekves SC W 14-029.4 1469 1260 76.66% 14.60% 8.74%+2.68 +69.9 10
1903-06-07 @ MTK Budapest L 0-1429.4 1260 1469 8.74% 14.60% 76.66%-2.68 -69.9 2
1903-09-20 Magyar AC W 7-028.2 1546 1161 82.40% 14.23% 3.36%+4.31 +14.1 12
1903-09-20 @ Budapest Postas L 0-728.2 1161 1546 3.36% 14.23% 82.40%-4.31 -14.1 1
1903-09-20 Torekves SC W 5-035.2 1147 1191 55.78% 14.84% 29.38%+0.36 +80.3 3
1903-09-20 @ Magyar AC L 0-535.2 1191 1147 29.38% 14.84% 55.78%-0.36 -80.3 2
1903-09-20 Budapest TC L 0-161.2 1560 1641 50.89% 14.85% 34.27%+0.00 -29.4 12
1903-09-20 @ Budapest Postas W 1-061.2 1641 1560 34.27% 14.85% 50.89%+0.00 +29.4 10
1903-09-27 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 1-044.1 1539 1454 68.86% 14.76% 16.38%+1.54 +10.7 12
1903-09-27 @ MTK Budapest L 0-144.1 1454 1539 16.38% 14.76% 68.86%-1.54 -10.7 9
1903-10-04 Budapest TC L 1-267.6 1636 1671 56.84% 14.84% 28.33%+0.44 -30.8 13
1903-10-04 @ Ferencvaros W 2-167.6 1671 1636 28.33% 14.84% 56.84%-0.44 +30.8 12
1903-10-18 MTK Budapest L 0-239.5 1258 1549 23.52% 14.74% 61.74%-1.93 -28.1 7
1903-10-18 @ 33FC W 2-039.5 1549 1258 61.74% 14.74% 23.52%+1.93 +28.1 14
1903-10-18 Magyar AC W 5-034.0 1702 1227 83.97% 13.99% 2.04%+5.13 +6.2 14
1903-10-18 @ Budapest TC L 0-534.0 1227 1702 2.04% 13.99% 83.97%-5.13 -6.2 3
1903-10-18 Budapest Postas L 0-252.7 1443 1530 50.14% 14.85% 35.01%-0.05 -54.7 9
1903-10-18 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet W 2-052.7 1530 1443 35.01% 14.85% 50.14%+0.05 +54.7 14
1903-10-18 Ferencvaros L 0-1429.1 1110 1605 8.61% 14.41% 76.97%-3.81 -68.6 2
1903-10-18 @ Torekves SC W 14-029.1 1605 1110 76.97% 14.41% 8.61%+3.81 +68.6 15
1903-10-25 33FC FL56.7 1674 1230 83.51% 14.08% 2.41%+4.86 +0.0 15
1903-10-25 @ Ferencvaros FW56.7 1230 1674 2.41% 14.08% 83.51%-4.86 +0.0 9
1903-10-25 MTK Budapest L 1-271.9 1708 1577 72.22% 14.71% 13.07%+1.96 -39.2 14
1903-10-25 @ Budapest TC W 2-171.9 1577 1708 13.07% 14.71% 72.22%-1.96 +39.2 16
1903-10-25 Magyar Uszo Egylet L 0-432.6 1042 1388 18.25% 14.67% 67.08%-2.44 -42.3 2
1903-10-25 @ Torekves SC W 4-032.6 1388 1042 67.08% 14.67% 18.25%+2.44 +42.3 11
1903-11-01 Budapest Postas FL50.9 999 1585 5.31% 14.20% 80.49%-4.65 +0.0 2
1903-11-01 @ Torekves SC FW50.9 1585 999 80.49% 14.20% 5.31%+4.65 +0.0 16
1903-11-01 Budapest Postas W 1-052.3 1617 1585 64.08% 14.80% 21.12%+1.05 +13.5 18
1903-11-01 @ MTK Budapest L 0-152.3 1585 1617 21.12% 14.80% 64.08%-1.05 -13.5 16
1903-11-01 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 5-042.0 1669 1430 78.00% 14.55% 7.45%+2.96 +22.4 16
1903-11-01 @ Budapest TC L 0-542.0 1430 1669 7.45% 14.55% 78.00%-2.96 -22.4 11
1903-11-01 Magyar AC W 5-136.9 1674 1221 83.65% 14.05% 2.30%+4.94 +4.7 17
1903-11-01 @ Ferencvaros L 1-536.9 1221 1674 2.30% 14.05% 83.65%-4.94 -4.7 3
1903-11-08 Magyar AC L 0-337.5 999 1216 32.24% 14.81% 52.95%-1.25 -54.1 2
1903-11-08 @ Torekves SC W 3-037.5 1216 999 52.95% 14.81% 32.24%+1.25 +54.1 5
1903-11-08 Ferencvaros L 1-264.0 1571 1679 47.43% 14.85% 37.72%-0.23 -26.0 16
1903-11-08 @ Budapest Postas W 2-164.0 1679 1571 37.72% 14.85% 47.43%+0.23 +26.0 19
1903-11-11 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 4-042.5 1230 1408 37.39% 14.83% 47.78%-0.89 +99.4 11
1903-11-11 @ 33FC L 0-442.5 1408 1230 47.78% 14.83% 37.39%+0.89 -99.4 11
1903-11-12 Torekves SC W 7-026.2 1691 945 86.49% 13.06% 0.44%+7.64 +1.8 18
1903-11-12 @ Budapest TC L 0-726.2 945 1691 0.44% 13.06% 86.49%-7.64 -1.8 2
1903-11-15 MTK Budapest W 3-262.6 1271 1630 17.13% 14.66% 68.21%-2.56 +35.0 7
1903-11-15 @ Magyar AC L 2-362.6 1630 1271 68.21% 14.66% 17.13%+2.56 -35.0 18
1903-11-15 Budapest Postas D 2-262.8 1329 1545 32.33% 14.81% 52.86%-1.24 +2.0 12
1903-11-15 @ 33FC D 2-262.8 1545 1329 52.86% 14.81% 32.33%+1.24 -2.1 17
1903-11-22 Magyar AC W 4-138.8 1331 1306 63.47% 14.81% 21.72%+0.99 +32.1 14
1903-11-22 @ 33FC L 1-438.8 1306 1331 21.72% 14.81% 63.47%-0.99 -32.1 7
1903-11-22 Ferencvaros L 0-360.0 1595 1705 47.11% 14.85% 38.04%-0.25 -75.2 18
1903-11-22 @ MTK Budapest W 3-060.0 1705 1595 38.04% 14.85% 47.11%+0.25 +75.2 21
1903-11-29 Budapest TC D 2-269.3 1363 1693 19.74% 14.70% 65.56%-2.29 +4.8 15
1903-11-29 @ 33FC D 2-269.3 1693 1363 65.56% 14.70% 19.74%+2.29 -4.8 19
1903-11-29 Magyar Uszo Egylet W 5-139.6 1273 1309 56.79% 14.84% 28.37%+0.43 +52.7 9
1903-11-29 @ Magyar AC L 1-539.6 1309 1273 28.37% 14.84% 56.79%-0.43 -52.7 11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1903-10-25 13.07% MTK Budapest 1577 2 @ Budapest TC 1708 1
2 1903-11-15 17.13% @ Magyar AC 1271 3 MTK Budapest 1630 2
3 1903-02-22 25.44% Ferencvaros 1419 5 @ 33FC 1409 1
4 1903-10-04 28.33% Budapest TC 1671 2 @ Ferencvaros 1636 1
5 1903-05-10 32.61% @ MTK Budapest 1477 3 Budapest TC 1691 1
6 1903-09-20 34.27% Budapest TC 1641 1 @ Budapest Postas 1560 0
7 1903-10-18 35.01% Budapest Postas 1530 2 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 1443 0
8 1903-03-22 35.66% 33FC 1302 2 @ Magyar AC 1209 1
9 1903-11-11 37.39% @ 33FC 1230 4 Magyar Uszo Egylet 1408 0
10 1903-11-08 37.72% Ferencvaros 1679 2 @ Budapest Postas 1571 1
11 1903-11-22 38.04% Ferencvaros 1705 3 @ MTK Budapest 1595 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1903-02-22 102.08 Ferencvaros 5 1419 25.44% @ 33FC 1 1409 59.73% 14.83%
2 1903-11-11 99.41 @ 33FC 4 1230 37.39% Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1408 47.78% 14.83%
3 1903-03-15 94.86 Ferencvaros 6 1535 55.99% @ Magyar AC 0 1293 29.22% 14.79%
4 1903-03-08 85.12 @ MTK Budapest 6 1365 59.33% Magyar AC 0 1378 25.84% 14.83%
5 1903-09-20 80.31 @ Magyar AC 5 1147 55.78% Torekves SC 0 1191 29.38% 14.84%
6 1903-11-22 75.16 Ferencvaros 3 1705 38.04% @ MTK Budapest 0 1595 47.11% 14.85%
7 1903-06-07 69.88 @ MTK Budapest 14 1469 76.66% Torekves SC 0 1260 8.74% 14.60%
8 1903-10-18 68.62 Ferencvaros 14 1605 76.97% @ Torekves SC 0 1110 8.61% 14.41%
9 1903-03-22 65.06 Budapest TC 5 1617 62.02% @ Torekves SC 0 1322 23.24% 14.74%
10 1903-05-17 57.52 @ Budapest Postas 3 1442 50.60% MTK Budapest 0 1526 34.56% 14.85%
11 1903-03-08 56.04 @ Budapest Postas 4 1374 60.37% Torekves SC 0 1378 24.80% 14.82%
12 1903-10-18 54.73 Budapest Postas 2 1530 35.01% @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1443 50.14% 14.85%
13 1903-11-08 54.11 Magyar AC 3 1216 52.95% @ Torekves SC 0 999 32.24% 14.81%
14 1903-03-29 53.67 @ MTK Budapest 9 1423 70.91% 33FC 1 1311 14.36% 14.73%
15 1903-11-29 52.66 @ Magyar AC 5 1273 56.79% Magyar Uszo Egylet 1 1309 28.37% 14.84%
16 1903-05-10 49.50 @ MTK Budapest 3 1477 32.61% Budapest TC 1 1691 52.59% 14.81%
17 1903-05-24 45.93 @ Budapest Postas 5 1500 60.83% Magyar Uszo Egylet 1 1499 24.35% 14.82%
18 1903-10-25 42.31 Magyar Uszo Egylet 4 1388 67.08% @ Torekves SC 0 1042 18.25% 14.67%
19 1903-10-25 39.21 MTK Budapest 2 1577 13.07% @ Budapest TC 1 1708 72.22% 14.71%
20 1903-11-15 34.97 @ Magyar AC 3 1271 17.13% MTK Budapest 2 1630 68.21% 14.66%
21 1903-11-22 32.09 @ 33FC 4 1331 63.47% Magyar AC 1 1306 21.72% 14.81%
22 1903-10-04 30.76 Budapest TC 2 1671 28.33% @ Ferencvaros 1 1636 56.84% 14.84%
23 1903-09-20 29.42 Budapest TC 1 1641 34.27% @ Budapest Postas 0 1560 50.89% 14.85%
24 1903-10-18 28.12 MTK Budapest 2 1549 61.74% @ 33FC 0 1258 23.52% 14.74%
25 1903-03-25 27.18 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 2 1467 62.57% MTK Budapest 0 1450 22.61% 14.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1903-10-25 71.9 MTK Budapest 2 1577 13.07% @ Budapest TC 1 1708 72.22% 14.71%
2 1903-11-29 69.3 @ 33FC 2 1363 19.74% Budapest TC 2 1693 65.56% 14.70%
3 1903-04-07 67.6 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1494 34.57% Budapest TC 0 1693 50.62% 14.82%
4 1903-10-04 67.6 Budapest TC 2 1671 28.33% @ Ferencvaros 1 1636 56.84% 14.84%
5 1903-11-08 64.0 Ferencvaros 2 1679 37.72% @ Budapest Postas 1 1571 47.43% 14.85%
6 1903-05-10 63.1 @ MTK Budapest 3 1477 32.61% Budapest TC 1 1691 52.59% 14.81%
7 1903-11-15 62.8 @ 33FC 2 1329 32.33% Budapest Postas 2 1545 52.86% 14.81%
8 1903-11-15 62.6 @ Magyar AC 3 1271 17.13% MTK Budapest 2 1630 68.21% 14.66%
9 1903-09-20 61.2 Budapest TC 1 1641 34.27% @ Budapest Postas 0 1560 50.89% 14.85%
10 1903-11-22 60.0 Ferencvaros 3 1705 38.04% @ MTK Budapest 0 1595 47.11% 14.85%
11 1903-03-22 59.5 @ Budapest Postas 2 1430 72.54% 33FC 2 1295 12.76% 14.70%
12 1903-02-08 57.8 @ Ferencvaros 1 1426 65.57% Budapest Postas 1 1378 19.64% 14.79%
13 1903-03-22 57.4 @ Magyar AC 0 1198 9.17% Budapest TC 0 1682 76.39% 14.44%
14 1903-03-25 56.6 @ Budapest TC 3 1671 63.54% Ferencvaros 1 1645 21.65% 14.81%
15 1903-10-18 52.7 Budapest Postas 2 1530 35.01% @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1443 50.14% 14.85%
16 1903-02-22 52.5 Ferencvaros 5 1419 25.44% @ 33FC 1 1409 59.73% 14.83%
17 1903-11-01 52.3 @ MTK Budapest 1 1617 64.08% Budapest Postas 0 1585 21.12% 14.80%
18 1903-03-25 51.9 @ Torekves SC 5 1257 52.27% 33FC 4 1329 32.89% 14.85%
19 1903-03-22 47.8 33FC 2 1302 35.66% @ Magyar AC 1 1209 49.50% 14.85%
20 1903-05-24 47.5 @ Budapest Postas 5 1500 60.83% Magyar Uszo Egylet 1 1499 24.35% 14.82%
21 1903-05-17 46.9 @ Budapest Postas 3 1442 50.60% MTK Budapest 0 1526 34.56% 14.85%
22 1903-03-22 46.1 @ Ferencvaros 2 1629 73.33% Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1482 11.98% 14.69%
23 1903-09-27 44.1 @ MTK Budapest 1 1539 68.86% Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1454 16.38% 14.76%
24 1903-11-11 42.5 @ 33FC 4 1230 37.39% Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1408 47.78% 14.83%
25 1903-03-25 42.4 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 2 1467 62.57% MTK Budapest 0 1450 22.61% 14.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1903-11-12 26.2 @ Budapest TC 7 1691 86.49% Torekves SC 0 945 0.44% 13.06%
2 1903-09-20 28.2 @ Budapest Postas 7 1546 82.40% Magyar AC 0 1161 3.36% 14.23%
3 1903-10-18 29.1 Ferencvaros 14 1605 76.97% @ Torekves SC 0 1110 8.61% 14.41%
4 1903-06-07 29.4 @ MTK Budapest 14 1469 76.66% Torekves SC 0 1260 8.74% 14.60%
5 1903-04-19 32.2 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 1 1496 81.16% Magyar AC 0 1164 4.48% 14.36%
6 1903-10-25 32.6 Magyar Uszo Egylet 4 1388 67.08% @ Torekves SC 0 1042 18.25% 14.67%
7 1903-03-29 33.7 @ MTK Budapest 9 1423 70.91% 33FC 1 1311 14.36% 14.73%
8 1903-10-18 34.0 @ Budapest TC 5 1702 83.97% Magyar AC 0 1227 2.04% 13.99%
9 1903-05-24 35.1 @ Ferencvaros 8 1622 81.55% Torekves SC 1 1275 4.13% 14.32%
10 1903-09-20 35.2 @ Magyar AC 5 1147 55.78% Torekves SC 0 1191 29.38% 14.84%
11 1903-03-08 36.1 @ MTK Budapest 6 1365 59.33% Magyar AC 0 1378 25.84% 14.83%
12 1903-11-01 36.9 @ Ferencvaros 5 1674 83.65% Magyar AC 1 1221 2.30% 14.05%
13 1903-03-08 37.1 @ Budapest Postas 4 1374 60.37% Torekves SC 0 1378 24.80% 14.82%
14 1903-11-08 37.5 Magyar AC 3 1216 52.95% @ Torekves SC 0 999 32.24% 14.81%
15 1903-03-15 38.2 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 3 1470 74.23% 33FC 1 1307 11.10% 14.67%
16 1903-03-15 38.8 Ferencvaros 6 1535 55.99% @ Magyar AC 0 1293 29.22% 14.79%
17 1903-11-22 38.8 @ 33FC 4 1331 63.47% Magyar AC 1 1306 21.72% 14.81%
18 1903-03-25 39.3 Budapest Postas 1 1424 56.04% @ Magyar AC 0 1182 29.17% 14.79%
19 1903-10-18 39.5 MTK Budapest 2 1549 61.74% @ 33FC 0 1258 23.52% 14.74%
20 1903-11-29 39.6 @ Magyar AC 5 1273 56.79% Magyar Uszo Egylet 1 1309 28.37% 14.84%
21 1903-03-01 40.7 @ Budapest TC 2 1606 77.27% Budapest Postas 0 1385 8.15% 14.58%
22 1903-03-22 41.0 Budapest TC 5 1617 62.02% @ Torekves SC 0 1322 23.24% 14.74%
23 1903-03-01 41.8 @ Ferencvaros 3 1521 73.03% MTK Budapest 1 1378 12.27% 14.69%
24 1903-11-01 42.0 @ Budapest TC 5 1669 78.00% Magyar Uszo Egylet 0 1430 7.45% 14.55%
25 1903-03-25 42.4 @ Magyar Uszo Egylet 2 1467 62.57% MTK Budapest 0 1450 22.61% 14.81%