1916-17 I. Osztály Season

132 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ujpest

7.41 points above expected

27 points · 19.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Budapest TC

7.87 points below expected

16 points · 23.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	MTK Budapest	22	21	0	1	42	113	16	+97	37.64	+4.36
2	Torekves SC	22	16	2	4	34	71	20	+51	31.60	+2.40
3	Ujpest	22	11	5	6	27	28	28	0	19.59	+7.41
4	Ferencvaros	22	11	4	7	26	29	23	+6	29.55	-3.55
5	III. Kerulet	22	9	4	9	22	32	32	0	17.15	+4.85
6	Vasas	22	6	9	7	21	29	30	-1	20.88	+0.12
7	Magyar AC	22	7	4	11	18	44	53	-9	19.31	-1.31
8	Budapesti AK	22	8	2	12	18	31	52	-21	18.25	-0.25
9	Budapest TC	22	6	4	12	16	28	52	-24	23.87	-7.87
10	33FC	22	6	3	13	15	24	48	-24	15.87	-0.87
11	Kispest	22	5	4	13	14	22	57	-35	14.95	-0.95
12	Fovarosi TK	22	3	5	14	11	19	59	-40	15.34	-4.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ujpest	27	19.59	+7.41
2	III. Kerulet	22	17.15	+4.85
3	MTK Budapest	42	37.64	+4.36
4	Torekves SC	34	31.60	+2.40
5	Vasas	21	20.88	+0.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Budapest TC	16	23.87	-7.87
2	Fovarosi TK	11	15.34	-4.34
3	Ferencvaros	26	29.55	-3.55
4	Magyar AC	18	19.31	-1.31
5	Kispest	14	14.95	-0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	III. Kerulet	4	Dec 17 – Mar 25	1 in 1,267
2	Torekves SC	9	Sep 3 – Dec 3	1 in 742
3	MTK Budapest	18	Sep 3 – Apr 29	1 in 244
4	Ujpest	4	Apr 8 – Apr 29	1 in 66
5	Budapesti AK	3	Sep 10 – Sep 24	1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapest TC	4	Oct 8 – Oct 29	1 in 93
2	Budapesti AK	4	Dec 3 – Mar 18	1 in 50
3	Torekves SC	2	Apr 22 – Apr 29	1 in 46
4	MTK Budapest	1	May 13 – May 13	1 in 12
5	Ferencvaros	2	Sep 3 – Sep 10	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	III. Kerulet	5	Dec 3 – Mar 25	1 in 97
2	Vasas	7	Mar 11 – Apr 29	1 in 32
3	Torekves SC	9	Sep 3 – Dec 3	1 in 27
4	Ujpest	5	Oct 8 – Dec 3	1 in 21
5	Ferencvaros	6	Mar 25 – Jun 17	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Budapest TC	6	Oct 8 – Dec 3	1 in 95
2	Ferencvaros	5	Dec 17 – Mar 25	1 in 37
3	Torekves SC	3	Apr 15 – Apr 29	1 in 24
4	Vasas	6	Sep 3 – Oct 22	1 in 17
5	Fovarosi TK	8	Dec 3 – Apr 29	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
MTK Budapest	1838	36	-15	8	8.7	-0.7
Torekves SC	1654	32	+105	10	6.7	+3.3
Ferencvaros	1504	26	-26	7	7.3	-0.3
Ujpest	1402	25	+69	7	4.3	+2.7
Vasas	1428	21	+41	6	5.3	+0.7
III. Kerulet	1359	20	-20	3	4.7	-1.7
Magyar AC	1419	18	+10	6	5.7	+0.3
Budapesti AK	1296	18	+38	5	3.2	+1.8
Budapest TC	1322	16	-74	3	5.7	-2.7
33FC	1273	15	-29	4	3.8	+0.2
Kispest	1243	14	+12	4	2.8	+1.2
Fovarosi TK	1147	11	-39	2	2.8	-0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	33F	BT	BA	FER	FT	IK	KIS	MB	MA	TS	UJP	VAS
33FC	—	0-0-2 1.88	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 1.22	0-2-0 2.66	2-0-0 2.56	2-0-0 3.04	0-0-2 0.49	1-0-1 1.83	0-0-2 0.87	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.34
Budapest TC	2-0-0 3.74	—	0-0-2 4.13	1-1-0 1.99	1-0-1 4.08	1-0-1 3.95	0-1-1 3.76	0-0-2 0.77	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 1.27	0-1-1 3.53	0-1-1 3.23
Budapesti AK	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 1.49	—	0-0-2 1.30	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.21	0-0-2 0.67	0-2-0 2.39	0-0-2 1.48	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.42
Ferencvaros	2-0-0 4.40	0-1-1 3.62	2-0-0 4.33	—	2-0-0 4.49	0-1-1 4.50	1-0-1 4.63	0-0-2 1.71	2-0-0 3.89	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 4.30	1-1-0 4.10
Fovarosi TK	0-2-0 2.96	1-0-1 1.54	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 1.14	—	2-0-0 2.39	0-1-1 3.23	0-0-2 0.79	0-0-2 2.18	0-0-2 1.13	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.32
III. Kerulet	0-0-2 3.05	1-0-1 1.67	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 1.13	0-0-2 3.23	—	2-0-0 2.75	0-0-2 0.62	2-0-0 2.06	1-0-1 1.22	1-1-0 2.54	0-2-0 2.34
Kispest	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 1.86	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 1.00	1-1-0 2.38	0-0-2 2.87	—	0-0-2 0.46	0-1-1 1.76	0-0-2 0.86	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.82
MTK Budapest	2-0-0 5.18	2-0-0 4.87	2-0-0 4.98	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 4.87	2-0-0 5.04	2-0-0 5.21	—	2-0-0 4.78	1-0-1 4.37	2-0-0 5.03	2-0-0 5.01
Magyar AC	1-0-1 3.78	1-0-1 2.61	0-2-0 3.22	0-0-2 1.73	2-0-0 3.44	0-0-2 3.55	1-1-0 3.85	0-0-2 0.85	—	1-0-1 1.77	0-0-2 3.32	1-1-0 2.95
Torekves SC	2-0-0 4.76	2-0-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.14	1-1-0 2.89	2-0-0 4.50	1-0-1 4.41	2-0-0 4.77	1-0-1 1.25	1-0-1 3.85	—	1-0-1 4.12	1-1-0 4.38
Ujpest	1-1-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.09	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 1.33	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.42	0-0-2 0.62	2-0-0 2.29	1-0-1 1.50	—	1-1-0 2.30
Vasas	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 3.20	0-1-1 1.52	1-1-0 3.29	0-2-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.80	0-0-2 0.64	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 1.25	0-1-1 3.31	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+2.9
Allowed	0.82	-5.2
Differential	0.95	+2.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.79%	6.44%	5.30%	2.65%	1.52%	3.03%	22.73%
1	6.44%	9.09%	6.44%	3.41%	2.27%	2.27%	29.92%
2	5.30%	6.44%	3.03%	1.14%	3.41%	1.14%	20.45%
3	2.65%	3.41%	1.14%	1.52%	—	—	8.71%
4	1.52%	2.27%	3.41%	—	—	—	7.20%
5+	3.03%	2.27%	1.14%	—	—	4.55%	10.98%
Total	22.73%	29.92%	20.45%	8.71%	7.20%	10.98%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.73	+0.00
SD	2.24	2.24	3.37
CV	1.29	1.29	—
Max	18	18	+18
Min	-1	-1	-18

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	13.64%	45.45%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	45.45%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.18	-1.09
SD	1.27	2.02	2.74
CV	1.16	0.92	—
Max	4	9	+3
Min	0	0	-9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	45.45%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	2.36	-1.09
SD	1.08	2.65	2.83
CV	0.85	1.12	—
Max	4	11	+3
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	13.64%	54.55%
2	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.36	-0.95
SD	1.14	2.26	2.61
CV	0.81	0.96	—
Max	5	8	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.00	+0.27
SD	1.32	1.35	1.83
CV	1.03	1.35	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	—	31.82%	31.82%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	2.64	-1.82
SD	0.96	2.74	2.99
CV	1.17	1.04	—
Max	3	12	+2
Min	-1	-1	-11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	27.27%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.41	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.47	1.83
CV	0.89	1.04	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	-1	-1	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.59	-1.59
SD	1.11	2.48	2.99
CV	1.11	0.96	—
Max	4	10	+2
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%	63.64%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	—	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	5.00	0.59	+4.41
SD	4.46	1.18	4.44
CV	0.89	2.00	—
Max	18	4	+18
Min	-1	-1	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	13.64%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%	18.18%
Total	4.55%	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	2.27	-0.41
SD	2.78	3.77	4.79
CV	1.49	1.66	—
Max	12	18	+11
Min	-1	-1	-18

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
Total	45.45%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.18	0.86	+2.32
SD	2.58	1.32	3.05
CV	0.81	1.53	—
Max	9	4	+9
Min	-1	-1	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%	9.09%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.92	2.05
CV	1.03	1.62	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	-1	-1	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	22.73%	22.73%	4.55%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.36	-0.05
SD	1.13	1.40	1.84
CV	0.86	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
MTK Budapest	1838	42	37.64	+4.36	98.0%	31	33	36	37	40	42	43
Torekves SC	1654	34	31.60	+2.40	82.0%	25	26	29	32	34	37	41
Ferencvaros	1504	26	29.55	-3.55	17.0%	22	24	27	30	32	36	39
Vasas	1428	21	20.88	+0.12	53.0%	10	14	18	21	23	26	30
Magyar AC	1419	18	19.31	-1.31	44.0%	6	13	17	19	22	25	29
Ujpest	1402	27	19.59	+7.41	98.0%	11	12	17	20	22	26	28
III. Kerulet	1359	22	17.15	+4.85	93.0%	11	12	15	17	19	23	26
Budapest TC	1322	16	23.87	-7.87	1.0%	13	18	21	23	26	31	34
Budapesti AK	1296	18	18.25	-0.25	54.0%	8	13	16	18	20	25	27
33FC	1273	15	15.87	-0.87	45.0%	8	9	13	16	18	22	26
Kispest	1243	14	14.95	-0.95	48.0%	3	10	12	15	17	21	24
Fovarosi TK	1147	11	15.34	-4.34	13.0%	7	10	12	15	18	21	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.79%

No Edge

43.18%17.42%39.39%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 18.44 Elo pts.

128 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.52 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.3

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

89%

MTK Budapest, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.36/gm

Runaway

00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.88 * Some Luck: 2.88 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.75 * Wild Swing: 5.75 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.76 * Off: 1.76 to 2.35 * Way Off: 2.35 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.08 points

Some Luck

03.609

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

01.473

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

MTK Budapest

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

1.00%

Budapest TC

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.150.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 188.51

2.11

Strong Separation

11.61.852.152.75

Interquartile Edge

71%

Clear Edge

50%65.5%75.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

50%

Some Drama

0%34%100%

Blowouts

Expected

26%

Frequent

0%46%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Predictable

00.542

Matchup Imbalance

0.46

Slight Separation

00.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.34

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.23

Weak Carryover

00.450.590.721

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Very Shaky

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

<0.01

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.66

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.141

Near Noise Ceiling

00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
MTK Budapest	89.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Torekves SC	6.00%	56.00%	30.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ujpest	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	19.00%	20.00%	9.00%	15.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Ferencvaros	5.00%	30.00%	44.00%	17.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
III. Kerulet	—	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	12.00%	11.00%	11.00%	22.00%	15.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Vasas	—	—	4.00%	16.00%	31.00%	8.00%	20.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Magyar AC	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	14.00%	13.00%	16.00%	17.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Budapesti AK	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Budapest TC	—	4.00%	14.00%	31.00%	14.00%	19.00%	9.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%
33FC	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	28.00%	15.00%
Kispest	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	24.00%	16.00%	30.00%
Fovarosi TK	—	—	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	19.00%	15.00%	30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
33FC	100%
Budapest TC	100%
Budapesti AK	100%
Ferencvaros	100%
Fovarosi TK	100%
III. Kerulet	100%
Kispest	100%
MTK Budapest	100%
Magyar AC	100%
Torekves SC	100%
Ujpest	100%
Vasas	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1916-09-03	Magyar AC	L 1-2	43.6	1296	1412	28.74%	19.27%	52.00%	-0.76	-11.0	0
1916-09-03	@ 33FC	W 2-1	43.6	1412	1296	52.00%	19.27%	28.74%	+0.76	+11.0	2
1916-09-03	Budapest TC	W 2-1	56.9	1377	1537	23.72%	19.16%	57.11%	-1.10	+19.7	2
1916-09-03	@ Fovarosi TK	L 1-2	56.9	1537	1377	57.11%	19.16%	23.72%	+1.10	-19.7	0
1916-09-03	III. Kerulet	L 0-3	47.3	1377	1205	64.00%	19.00%	17.01%	+1.49	-64.2	0
1916-09-03	@ Kispest	W 3-0	47.3	1205	1377	17.01%	19.00%	64.00%	-1.49	+64.2	2
1916-09-03	Ferencvaros	W 4-1	59.1	1650	1636	46.39%	19.35%	34.27%	+0.26	+31.2	2
1916-09-03	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-4	59.1	1636	1650	34.27%	19.35%	46.39%	-0.26	-31.2	0
1916-09-03	Budapesti AK	W 7-1	38.0	1410	1325	55.34%	19.25%	25.41%	+0.82	+45.3	2
1916-09-03	@ Torekves SC	L 1-7	38.0	1325	1410	25.41%	19.25%	55.34%	-0.82	-45.4	0
1916-09-03	Vasas	W 3-1	48.2	1282	1377	31.21%	19.30%	49.49%	-0.61	+29.9	2
1916-09-03	@ Ujpest	L 1-3	48.2	1377	1282	49.49%	19.30%	31.21%	+0.61	-29.9	0
1916-09-08	MTK Budapest	L 0-3	43.9	1397	1681	13.04%	18.68%	68.28%	-2.08	-15.8	2
1916-09-08	@ Fovarosi TK	W 3-0	43.9	1681	1397	68.28%	18.68%	13.04%	+2.08	+15.8	4
1916-09-10	Ujpest	FW	58.3	1697	1312	76.50%	17.82%	5.68%	+3.17	+0.0	6
1916-09-10	@ MTK Budapest	FL	58.3	1312	1697	5.68%	17.82%	76.50%	-3.17	+0.0	2
1916-09-10	Budapest TC	L 0-1	60.6	1604	1517	55.53%	19.24%	25.23%	+0.83	-20.4	0
1916-09-10	@ Ferencvaros	W 1-0	60.6	1517	1604	25.23%	19.24%	55.53%	-0.83	+20.4	2
1916-09-10	Vasas	D 2-2	58.1	1381	1347	48.97%	19.33%	31.70%	+0.41	-1.1	3
1916-09-10	@ Fovarosi TK	D 2-2	58.1	1347	1381	31.70%	19.33%	48.97%	-0.41	+1.1	1
1916-09-10	Torekves SC	L 0-2	36.9	1270	1456	20.97%	19.08%	59.95%	-1.32	-16.7	2
1916-09-10	@ III. Kerulet	W 2-0	36.9	1456	1270	59.95%	19.08%	20.97%	+1.32	+16.7	4
1916-09-10	Kispest	D 3-3	61.6	1423	1313	57.97%	19.19%	22.83%	+1.00	-1.9	3
1916-09-10	@ Magyar AC	D 3-3	61.6	1313	1423	22.83%	19.19%	57.97%	-1.00	+1.9	1
1916-09-10	Budapesti AK	L 1-2	47.3	1285	1279	45.23%	19.35%	35.42%	+0.19	-16.0	0
1916-09-10	@ 33FC	W 2-1	47.3	1279	1285	35.42%	19.35%	45.23%	-0.19	+16.0	2
1916-09-17	Budapesti AK	L 1-3	57.0	1537	1295	69.31%	18.69%	12.00%	+2.04	-41.6	2
1916-09-17	@ Budapest TC	W 3-1	57.0	1295	1537	12.00%	18.69%	69.31%	-2.04	+41.6	4
1916-09-17	Vasas	D 0-0	57.1	1584	1348	68.87%	18.73%	12.40%	+1.99	-5.7	1
1916-09-17	@ Ferencvaros	D 0-0	57.1	1348	1584	12.40%	18.73%	68.87%	-1.99	+5.7	2
1916-09-17	33FC	D 2-2	57.1	1380	1269	58.12%	19.19%	22.69%	+1.01	-2.3	4
1916-09-17	@ Fovarosi TK	D 2-2	57.1	1269	1380	22.69%	19.19%	58.12%	-1.01	+2.3	1
1916-09-17	MTK Budapest	L 2-4	44.7	1253	1697	5.68%	17.67%	76.65%	-3.34	-3.8	2
1916-09-17	@ III. Kerulet	W 4-2	44.7	1697	1253	76.65%	17.67%	5.68%	+3.34	+3.8	8
1916-09-17	Magyar AC	W 3-1	47.0	1473	1421	51.25%	19.31%	29.44%	+0.55	+19.4	6
1916-09-17	@ Torekves SC	L 1-3	47.0	1421	1473	29.44%	19.31%	51.25%	-0.55	-19.4	3
1916-09-17	Kispest	W 2-0	40.6	1312	1315	43.95%	19.35%	36.70%	+0.12	+26.9	4
1916-09-17	@ Ujpest	L 0-2	40.6	1315	1312	36.70%	19.35%	43.95%	-0.12	-26.9	1
1916-09-24	Vasas	W 1-0	43.1	1337	1354	41.99%	19.36%	38.65%	+0.01	+14.9	6
1916-09-24	@ Budapesti AK	L 0-1	43.1	1354	1337	38.65%	19.36%	41.99%	-0.01	-14.9	2
1916-09-24	33FC	W 2-0	35.6	1578	1271	73.07%	18.34%	8.59%	+2.55	+7.3	3
1916-09-24	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	35.6	1271	1578	8.59%	18.34%	73.07%	-2.55	-7.3	1
1916-09-24	Fovarosi TK	W 2-1	49.1	1288	1378	31.96%	19.31%	48.73%	-0.56	+17.1	3
1916-09-24	@ Kispest	L 1-2	49.1	1378	1288	48.73%	19.31%	31.96%	+0.56	-17.0	4
1916-09-24	Budapest TC	L 0-3	34.5	1249	1496	15.70%	18.85%	65.45%	-1.79	-18.8	2
1916-09-24	@ III. Kerulet	W 3-0	34.5	1496	1249	65.45%	18.85%	15.70%	+1.79	+18.8	4
1916-09-24	Torekves SC	L 0-5	37.4	1339	1492	24.36%	19.18%	56.46%	-1.06	-44.6	4
1916-09-24	@ Ujpest	W 5-0	37.4	1492	1339	56.46%	19.18%	24.36%	+1.06	+44.6	8
1916-10-08	Fovarosi TK	FW	53.9	1537	1361	64.31%	18.98%	16.70%	+1.52	+0.0	10
1916-10-08	@ Torekves SC	FL	53.9	1361	1537	16.70%	18.98%	64.31%	-1.52	+0.0	4
1916-10-08	Ujpest	D 1-1	52.9	1264	1294	40.21%	19.36%	40.44%	-0.09	+0.0	2
1916-10-08	@ 33FC	D 1-1	52.9	1294	1264	40.44%	19.36%	40.21%	+0.09	-0.0	5
1916-10-08	Budapesti AK	W 7-1	41.7	1701	1352	75.04%	18.07%	6.89%	+2.88	+13.6	10
1916-10-08	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-7	41.7	1352	1701	6.89%	18.07%	75.04%	-2.88	-13.6	6
1916-10-08	Magyar AC	L 2-4	59.8	1514	1401	58.34%	19.18%	22.47%	+1.03	-31.2	4
1916-10-08	@ Budapest TC	W 4-2	59.8	1401	1514	22.47%	19.18%	58.34%	-1.03	+31.2	5
1916-10-08	Kispest	W 1-0	38.5	1586	1305	71.66%	18.49%	9.85%	+2.34	+4.4	5
1916-10-08	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-1	38.5	1305	1586	9.85%	18.49%	71.66%	-2.34	-4.4	3
1916-10-08	Vasas	D 2-2	56.5	1230	1339	29.54%	19.28%	51.18%	-0.71	+1.3	3
1916-10-08	@ III. Kerulet	D 2-2	56.5	1339	1230	51.18%	19.28%	29.54%	+0.71	-1.3	3
1916-10-12	Magyar AC	W 18-0	43.5	1714	1433	71.72%	18.48%	9.79%	+2.35	+66.6	12
1916-10-12	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-18	43.5	1433	1714	9.79%	18.48%	71.72%	-2.35	-66.6	5
1916-10-15	33FC	L 0-1	42.1	1232	1264	39.81%	19.35%	40.83%	-0.11	-15.2	3
1916-10-15	@ III. Kerulet	W 1-0	42.1	1264	1232	40.83%	19.35%	39.81%	+0.11	+15.2	4
1916-10-15	Budapest TC	W 1-0	50.9	1294	1483	20.67%	19.07%	60.26%	-1.34	+22.1	7
1916-10-15	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	50.9	1483	1294	60.26%	19.07%	20.67%	+1.34	-22.1	4
1916-10-15	Magyar AC	W 2-0	40.6	1590	1366	68.08%	18.78%	13.14%	+1.90	+11.0	7
1916-10-15	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-2	40.6	1366	1590	13.14%	18.78%	68.08%	-1.90	-11.0	5
1916-10-22	Kispest	W 1-0	40.3	1338	1301	49.45%	19.32%	31.23%	+0.44	+12.5	8
1916-10-22	@ Budapesti AK	L 0-1	40.3	1301	1338	31.23%	19.32%	49.45%	-0.44	-12.5	3
1916-10-22	Torekves SC	L 0-3	57.9	1601	1537	52.82%	19.29%	27.89%	+0.65	-53.3	7
1916-10-22	@ Ferencvaros	W 3-0	57.9	1537	1601	27.89%	19.29%	52.82%	-0.65	+53.3	12
1916-10-22	Vasas	W 4-2	47.4	1355	1338	46.75%	19.34%	33.90%	+0.28	+19.5	7
1916-10-22	@ Magyar AC	L 2-4	47.4	1338	1355	33.90%	19.34%	46.75%	-0.28	-19.6	3
1916-10-22	Budapest TC	W 11-1	45.6	1781	1461	73.71%	18.26%	8.03%	+2.65	+25.5	14
1916-10-22	@ MTK Budapest	L 1-11	45.6	1461	1781	8.03%	18.26%	73.71%	-2.65	-25.5	4
1916-10-29	III. Kerulet	L 1-2	51.8	1351	1216	60.51%	19.12%	20.36%	+1.20	-20.9	8
1916-10-29	@ Budapesti AK	W 2-1	51.8	1216	1351	20.36%	19.12%	60.51%	-1.20	+20.9	5
1916-10-29	Fovarosi TK	W 4-1	42.2	1548	1361	65.24%	18.94%	15.82%	+1.61	+15.9	9
1916-10-29	@ Ferencvaros	L 1-4	42.2	1361	1548	15.82%	18.94%	65.24%	-1.61	-16.0	4
1916-10-29	Kispest	W 9-0	33.4	1590	1288	72.81%	18.37%	8.82%	+2.51	+30.8	14
1916-10-29	@ Torekves SC	L 0-9	33.4	1288	1590	8.82%	18.37%	72.81%	-2.51	-30.8	3
1916-10-29	Magyar AC	W 1-0	44.9	1316	1375	36.14%	19.34%	44.52%	-0.32	+16.7	9
1916-10-29	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	44.9	1375	1316	44.52%	19.34%	36.14%	+0.32	-16.7	7
1916-10-29	33FC	W 2-0	38.7	1318	1279	49.63%	19.32%	31.04%	+0.45	+23.5	5
1916-10-29	@ Vasas	L 0-2	38.7	1279	1318	31.04%	19.32%	49.63%	-0.45	-23.5	4
1916-10-29	MTK Budapest	L 0-5	38.3	1256	1806	3.22%	16.80%	79.98%	-4.17	-6.4	4
1916-10-29	@ 33FC	W 5-0	38.3	1806	1256	79.98%	16.80%	3.22%	+4.17	+6.4	16
1916-10-29	Budapest TC	W 3-0	45.3	1342	1436	31.45%	19.30%	49.24%	-0.59	+50.0	7
1916-10-29	@ Vasas	L 0-3	45.3	1436	1342	49.24%	19.30%	31.45%	+0.59	-50.0	4
1916-11-01	Magyar AC	W 2-0	45.1	1237	1358	28.13%	19.26%	52.62%	-0.80	+36.5	7
1916-11-01	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-2	45.1	1358	1237	52.62%	19.26%	28.13%	+0.80	-36.6	7
1916-11-05	Ujpest	D 1-1	53.9	1345	1333	46.10%	19.35%	34.55%	+0.24	-0.9	5
1916-11-05	@ Fovarosi TK	D 1-1	53.9	1333	1345	34.55%	19.35%	46.10%	-0.24	+0.9	10
1916-11-12	Torekves SC	L 0-3	35.0	1250	1621	8.34%	18.18%	73.49%	-2.77	-10.3	4
1916-11-12	@ 33FC	W 3-0	35.0	1621	1250	73.49%	18.18%	8.34%	+2.77	+10.3	16
1916-11-12	Kispest	D 1-1	53.6	1386	1257	59.91%	19.14%	20.95%	+1.15	-3.4	5
1916-11-12	@ Budapest TC	D 1-1	53.6	1257	1386	20.95%	19.14%	59.91%	-1.15	+3.4	4
1916-11-12	Magyar AC	D 3-3	60.5	1330	1321	45.59%	19.35%	35.06%	+0.21	-0.5	9
1916-11-12	@ Budapesti AK	D 3-3	60.5	1321	1330	35.06%	19.35%	45.59%	-0.21	+0.5	8
1916-11-12	Fovarosi TK	L 1-3	43.4	1274	1344	34.57%	19.33%	46.10%	-0.41	-22.2	7
1916-11-12	@ III. Kerulet	W 3-1	43.4	1344	1274	46.10%	19.33%	34.57%	+0.41	+22.2	7
1916-11-12	Vasas	W 4-0	43.7	1813	1392	77.75%	17.55%	4.70%	+3.45	+7.7	18
1916-11-12	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-4	43.7	1392	1813	4.70%	17.55%	77.75%	-3.45	-7.7	7
1916-12-03	33FC	W 1-0	36.6	1382	1239	61.36%	19.10%	19.54%	+1.27	+8.3	7
1916-12-03	@ Budapest TC	L 0-1	36.6	1239	1382	19.54%	19.10%	61.36%	-1.27	-8.4	4
1916-12-03	Fovarosi TK	W 1-0	44.0	1329	1366	39.18%	19.35%	41.46%	-0.14	+15.8	11
1916-12-03	@ Budapesti AK	L 0-1	44.0	1366	1329	41.46%	19.35%	39.18%	+0.14	-15.8	7
1916-12-03	Vasas	D 1-1	53.6	1261	1384	27.79%	19.25%	52.96%	-0.82	+2.1	5
1916-12-03	@ Kispest	D 1-1	53.6	1384	1261	52.96%	19.25%	27.79%	+0.82	-2.1	8
1916-12-03	Ujpest	D 1-1	53.1	1252	1334	32.99%	19.32%	47.69%	-0.50	+1.2	8
1916-12-03	@ III. Kerulet	D 1-1	53.1	1334	1252	47.69%	19.32%	32.99%	+0.50	-1.2	11
1916-12-03	Budapest TC	W 2-1	47.2	1631	1391	69.20%	18.70%	12.10%	+2.03	+5.1	18
1916-12-03	@ Torekves SC	L 1-2	47.2	1391	1631	12.10%	18.70%	69.20%	-2.03	-5.1	7
1916-12-03	Budapesti AK	W 3-0	37.9	1564	1345	67.69%	18.80%	13.50%	+1.86	+16.4	11
1916-12-03	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-3	37.9	1345	1564	13.50%	18.80%	67.69%	-1.86	-16.4	11
1916-12-03	MTK Budapest	L 0-1	55.4	1636	1821	21.15%	19.09%	59.76%	-1.30	-8.9	18
1916-12-03	@ Torekves SC	W 1-0	55.4	1821	1636	59.76%	19.09%	21.15%	+1.30	+8.9	20
1916-12-10	Ujpest	W 1-0	39.9	1580	1332	69.67%	18.67%	11.66%	+2.09	+5.2	13
1916-12-10	@ Ferencvaros	L 0-1	39.9	1332	1580	11.66%	18.67%	69.67%	-2.09	-5.2	11
1916-12-10	Vasas	W 4-1	44.6	1627	1382	69.51%	18.68%	11.81%	+2.07	+12.2	20
1916-12-10	@ Torekves SC	L 1-4	44.6	1382	1627	11.81%	18.68%	69.51%	-2.07	-12.2	8
1916-12-10	Kispest	W 4-1	43.6	1231	1263	39.89%	19.36%	40.76%	-0.11	+35.9	6
1916-12-10	@ 33FC	L 1-4	43.6	1263	1231	40.76%	19.36%	39.89%	+0.11	-35.9	5
1916-12-17	Ferencvaros	W 2-0	54.2	1253	1585	10.19%	18.41%	71.40%	-2.46	+49.5	10
1916-12-17	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-2	54.2	1585	1253	71.40%	18.41%	10.19%	+2.46	-49.5	13
1916-12-17	Fovarosi TK	W 12-1	39.8	1322	1350	40.38%	19.36%	40.27%	-0.08	+117.9	10
1916-12-17	@ Magyar AC	L 1-12	39.8	1350	1322	40.27%	19.36%	40.38%	+0.08	-117.9	7
1916-12-17	Kispest	W 10-0	37.0	1829	1227	82.26%	15.97%	1.77%	+4.87	+6.8	22
1916-12-17	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-10	37.0	1227	1829	1.77%	15.97%	82.26%	-4.87	-6.8	5
1916-12-17	Budapesti AK	W 1-0	42.1	1327	1329	44.21%	19.35%	36.43%	+0.13	+14.2	13
1916-12-17	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	42.1	1329	1327	36.43%	19.35%	44.21%	-0.13	-14.2	11
1917-02-25	MTK Budapest	L 1-2	50.4	1370	1836	5.04%	17.50%	77.46%	-3.51	-2.2	8
1917-02-25	@ Vasas	W 2-1	50.4	1836	1370	77.46%	17.50%	5.04%	+3.51	+2.2	24
1917-03-04	Kispest	D 1-1	52.6	1232	1220	46.11%	19.35%	34.55%	+0.24	-0.9	8
1917-03-04	@ Fovarosi TK	D 1-1	52.6	1220	1232	34.55%	19.35%	46.11%	-0.24	+0.9	6
1917-03-04	33FC	W 5-0	39.2	1838	1267	81.65%	16.26%	2.09%	+4.63	+4.2	26
1917-03-04	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-5	39.2	1267	1838	2.09%	16.26%	81.65%	-4.63	-4.2	6
1917-03-11	33FC	L 1-3	48.1	1314	1263	51.27%	19.31%	29.42%	+0.55	-30.9	11
1917-03-11	@ Budapesti AK	W 3-1	48.1	1263	1314	29.42%	19.31%	51.27%	-0.55	+30.9	8
1917-03-11	Ferencvaros	W 1-0	53.4	1221	1536	11.16%	18.52%	70.32%	-2.32	+25.8	8
1917-03-11	@ Kispest	L 0-1	53.4	1536	1221	70.32%	18.52%	11.16%	+2.32	-25.8	13
1917-03-11	Budapest TC	L 2-4	55.1	1440	1386	51.57%	19.30%	29.13%	+0.57	-27.8	10
1917-03-11	@ Magyar AC	W 4-2	55.1	1386	1440	29.13%	19.30%	51.57%	-0.57	+27.8	9
1917-03-11	Fovarosi TK	W 8-0	37.4	1843	1232	82.42%	15.89%	1.69%	+4.94	+5.2	28
1917-03-11	@ MTK Budapest	L 0-8	37.4	1232	1843	1.69%	15.89%	82.42%	-4.94	-5.2	8
1917-03-11	III. Kerulet	L 2-4	65.2	1639	1302	74.52%	18.15%	7.33%	+2.79	-40.1	20
1917-03-11	@ Torekves SC	W 4-2	65.2	1302	1639	7.33%	18.15%	74.52%	-2.79	+40.2	12
1917-03-11	Ujpest	D 0-0	51.4	1368	1341	47.98%	19.34%	32.69%	+0.35	-1.4	9
1917-03-11	@ Vasas	D 0-0	51.4	1341	1368	32.69%	19.34%	47.98%	-0.35	+1.4	14
1917-03-18	Ujpest	FL	50.3	1412	1343	53.39%	19.28%	27.33%	+0.69	+0.0	10
1917-03-18	@ Magyar AC	FW	50.3	1343	1412	27.33%	19.28%	53.39%	-0.69	+0.0	16
1917-03-18	Ferencvaros	D 1-1	66.1	1599	1510	55.74%	19.24%	25.02%	+0.84	-2.6	21
1917-03-18	@ Torekves SC	D 1-1	66.1	1510	1599	25.02%	19.24%	55.74%	-0.84	+2.6	14
1917-03-18	Budapesti AK	W 3-2	45.6	1366	1284	54.99%	19.25%	25.76%	+0.79	+9.5	11
1917-03-18	@ Vasas	L 2-3	45.6	1284	1366	25.76%	19.25%	54.99%	-0.79	-9.5	11
1917-03-18	III. Kerulet	L 0-1	48.5	1413	1342	53.59%	19.28%	27.13%	+0.70	-19.7	9
1917-03-18	@ Budapest TC	W 1-0	48.5	1342	1413	27.13%	19.28%	53.59%	-0.70	+19.7	14
1917-03-18	Fovarosi TK	D 1-1	52.8	1294	1226	53.15%	19.28%	27.57%	+0.67	-2.2	9
1917-03-18	@ 33FC	D 1-1	52.8	1226	1294	27.57%	19.28%	53.15%	-0.67	+2.2	9
1917-03-25	MTK Budapest	FL	66.5	1513	1848	10.04%	18.40%	71.56%	-2.48	+0.0	14
1917-03-25	@ Ferencvaros	FW	66.5	1848	1513	71.56%	18.40%	10.04%	+2.48	+0.0	30
1917-03-25	Ferencvaros	D 2-2	62.4	1394	1513	28.33%	19.26%	52.42%	-0.79	+1.5	10
1917-03-25	@ Budapest TC	D 2-2	62.4	1513	1394	52.42%	19.26%	28.33%	+0.79	-1.5	15
1917-03-25	III. Kerulet	L 1-4	45.4	1343	1362	41.69%	19.36%	38.95%	-0.01	-36.6	16
1917-03-25	@ Ujpest	W 4-1	45.4	1362	1343	38.95%	19.36%	41.69%	+0.01	+36.6	16
1917-03-25	Magyar AC	L 2-3	44.9	1247	1412	23.12%	19.15%	57.73%	-1.15	-8.7	8
1917-03-25	@ Kispest	W 3-2	44.9	1412	1247	57.73%	19.15%	23.12%	+1.15	+8.6	12
1917-04-01	Budapesti AK	L 1-2	52.4	1399	1274	59.55%	19.15%	21.30%	+1.12	-20.6	16
1917-04-01	@ III. Kerulet	W 2-1	52.4	1274	1399	21.30%	19.15%	59.55%	-1.12	+20.6	13
1917-04-01	Budapest TC	L 0-1	40.5	1291	1395	30.19%	19.29%	50.52%	-0.67	-12.1	9
1917-04-01	@ 33FC	W 1-0	40.5	1395	1291	50.52%	19.29%	30.19%	+0.67	+12.2	12
1917-04-01	Torekves SC	L 0-4	32.9	1228	1597	8.47%	18.20%	73.33%	-2.74	-13.7	9
1917-04-01	@ Fovarosi TK	W 4-0	32.9	1597	1228	73.33%	18.20%	8.47%	+2.74	+13.7	23
1917-04-01	Kispest	W 2-1	40.0	1376	1238	60.82%	19.11%	20.06%	+1.22	+8.0	13
1917-04-01	@ Vasas	L 1-2	40.0	1238	1376	20.06%	19.11%	60.82%	-1.22	-8.1	8
1917-04-01	Ferencvaros	L 1-2	50.0	1421	1511	31.89%	19.31%	48.80%	-0.56	-12.0	12
1917-04-01	@ Magyar AC	W 2-1	50.0	1511	1421	48.80%	19.31%	31.89%	+0.56	+12.0	17
1917-04-01	MTK Budapest	L 2-7	46.4	1306	1848	3.38%	16.88%	79.74%	-4.10	-4.7	16
1917-04-01	@ Ujpest	W 7-2	46.4	1848	1306	79.74%	16.88%	3.38%	+4.10	+4.7	32
1917-04-08	33FC	W 1-0	40.5	1302	1279	47.45%	19.34%	33.21%	+0.32	+13.2	18
1917-04-08	@ Ujpest	L 0-1	40.5	1279	1302	33.21%	19.34%	47.45%	-0.32	-13.2	9
1917-04-08	III. Kerulet	D 1-1	55.1	1384	1378	45.19%	19.35%	35.46%	+0.19	-0.8	14
1917-04-08	@ Vasas	D 1-1	55.1	1378	1384	35.46%	19.35%	45.19%	-0.19	+0.8	17
1917-04-15	Torekves SC	D 0-0	59.3	1383	1610	17.26%	18.93%	63.81%	-1.64	+4.6	15
1917-04-15	@ Vasas	D 0-0	59.3	1610	1383	63.81%	18.93%	17.26%	+1.64	-4.6	24
1917-04-15	Ferencvaros	L 0-1	38.8	1295	1523	17.16%	18.93%	63.91%	-1.65	-7.4	13
1917-04-15	@ Budapesti AK	W 1-0	38.8	1523	1295	63.91%	18.93%	17.16%	+1.65	+7.4	19
1917-04-15	Kispest	W 2-0	35.1	1379	1230	61.90%	19.08%	19.02%	+1.31	+15.4	19
1917-04-15	@ III. Kerulet	L 0-2	35.1	1230	1379	19.02%	19.08%	61.90%	-1.31	-15.4	8
1917-04-15	Fovarosi TK	W 2-0	36.2	1315	1215	56.92%	19.22%	23.86%	+0.93	+18.8	20
1917-04-15	@ Ujpest	L 0-2	36.2	1215	1315	23.86%	19.22%	56.92%	-0.93	-18.8	9
1917-04-15	MTK Budapest	L 1-7	46.7	1407	1852	5.65%	17.66%	76.69%	-3.35	-11.1	12
1917-04-15	@ Budapest TC	W 7-1	46.7	1852	1407	76.69%	17.66%	5.65%	+3.35	+11.1	34
1917-04-15	33FC	L 1-3	51.9	1409	1266	61.31%	19.10%	19.59%	+1.26	-36.7	12
1917-04-15	@ Magyar AC	W 3-1	51.9	1266	1409	19.59%	19.10%	61.31%	-1.26	+36.7	11
1917-04-22	Torekves SC	W 4-2	63.7	1372	1606	16.72%	18.91%	64.37%	-1.69	+34.4	14
1917-04-22	@ Magyar AC	L 2-4	63.7	1606	1372	64.37%	18.91%	16.72%	+1.69	-34.4	24
1917-04-22	Vasas	D 0-0	52.7	1396	1388	45.59%	19.35%	35.06%	+0.21	-1.0	13
1917-04-22	@ Budapest TC	D 0-0	52.7	1388	1396	35.06%	19.35%	45.59%	-0.21	+0.9	16
1917-04-22	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	49.5	1303	1394	31.74%	19.30%	48.96%	-0.57	+17.1	13
1917-04-22	@ 33FC	L 1-2	49.5	1394	1303	48.96%	19.30%	31.74%	+0.57	-17.1	19
1917-04-22	Ujpest	L 1-2	45.4	1287	1333	37.87%	19.35%	42.78%	-0.22	-13.8	13
1917-04-22	@ Budapesti AK	W 2-1	45.4	1333	1287	42.78%	19.35%	37.87%	+0.22	+13.8	22
1917-04-29	Fovarosi TK	W 3-1	37.2	1395	1196	66.22%	18.89%	14.89%	+1.71	+10.7	15
1917-04-29	@ Budapest TC	L 1-3	37.2	1196	1395	14.89%	18.89%	66.22%	-1.71	-10.7	9
1917-04-29	III. Kerulet	W 5-2	51.4	1864	1377	79.67%	17.02%	3.31%	+3.96	+3.0	36
1917-04-29	@ MTK Budapest	L 2-5	51.4	1377	1864	3.31%	17.02%	79.67%	-3.96	-3.0	19
1917-04-29	Budapesti AK	W 2-1	46.8	1215	1273	36.16%	19.34%	44.50%	-0.31	+15.8	10
1917-04-29	@ Kispest	L 1-2	46.8	1273	1215	44.50%	19.34%	36.16%	+0.31	-15.8	13
1917-04-29	Ujpest	L 2-3	63.8	1571	1347	68.08%	18.78%	13.14%	+1.90	-22.4	24
1917-04-29	@ Torekves SC	W 3-2	63.8	1347	1571	13.14%	18.78%	68.08%	-1.90	+22.4	24
1917-04-29	Magyar AC	D 1-1	55.8	1389	1406	41.92%	19.36%	38.72%	+0.01	-0.2	17
1917-04-29	@ Vasas	D 1-1	55.8	1406	1389	38.72%	19.36%	41.92%	-0.01	+0.2	15
1917-05-06	33FC	L 1-3	42.2	1231	1320	32.05%	19.31%	48.65%	-0.56	-20.8	10
1917-05-06	@ Kispest	W 3-1	42.2	1320	1231	48.65%	19.31%	32.05%	+0.56	+20.9	15
1917-05-13	Budapest TC	W 5-2	52.1	1258	1406	24.93%	19.19%	55.87%	-1.02	+41.0	15
1917-05-13	@ Budapesti AK	L 2-5	52.1	1406	1258	55.87%	19.19%	24.93%	+1.02	-41.0	15
1917-05-13	III. Kerulet	W 2-1	51.7	1185	1374	20.72%	19.07%	60.21%	-1.34	+20.8	11
1917-05-13	@ Fovarosi TK	L 1-2	51.7	1374	1185	60.21%	19.07%	20.72%	+1.34	-20.8	19
1917-05-13	Ujpest	W 2-1	50.9	1210	1370	23.67%	19.16%	57.17%	-1.11	+19.8	12
1917-05-13	@ Kispest	L 1-2	50.9	1370	1210	57.17%	19.16%	23.67%	+1.11	-19.8	24
1917-05-13	Torekves SC	L 2-4	76.3	1867	1549	73.61%	18.27%	8.12%	+2.64	-39.6	36
1917-05-13	@ MTK Budapest	W 4-2	76.3	1549	1867	8.12%	18.27%	73.61%	-2.64	+39.6	26
1917-05-13	Ferencvaros	L 1-2	47.7	1388	1530	25.62%	19.21%	55.17%	-0.97	-10.0	17
1917-05-13	@ Vasas	W 2-1	47.7	1530	1388	55.17%	19.21%	25.62%	+0.97	+10.0	21
1917-05-20	Torekves SC	L 0-2	41.9	1365	1589	17.56%	18.95%	63.50%	-1.61	-14.3	15
1917-05-20	@ Budapest TC	W 2-0	41.9	1589	1365	63.50%	18.95%	17.56%	+1.61	+14.3	28
1917-05-20	Ferencvaros	L 2-4	47.0	1341	1540	19.69%	19.04%	61.27%	-1.42	-12.3	15
1917-05-20	@ 33FC	W 4-2	47.0	1540	1341	61.27%	19.04%	19.69%	+1.42	+12.3	23
1917-05-20	Magyar AC	L 0-2	35.3	1206	1407	19.62%	19.03%	61.35%	-1.43	-15.8	11
1917-05-20	@ Fovarosi TK	W 2-0	35.3	1407	1206	61.35%	19.03%	19.62%	+1.43	+15.8	17
1917-05-28	Budapesti AK	D 1-1	54.5	1422	1299	59.45%	19.15%	21.39%	+1.12	-3.3	18
1917-05-28	@ Magyar AC	D 1-1	54.5	1299	1422	21.39%	19.15%	59.45%	-1.12	+3.3	16
1917-06-10	III. Kerulet	FL	50.6	1419	1353	52.97%	19.29%	27.74%	+0.66	+0.0	18
1917-06-10	@ Magyar AC	FW	50.6	1353	1419	27.74%	19.29%	52.97%	-0.66	+0.0	21
1917-06-10	Ujpest	D 1-1	54.1	1351	1350	44.51%	19.35%	36.13%	+0.15	-0.7	16
1917-06-10	@ Budapest TC	D 1-1	54.1	1350	1351	36.13%	19.35%	44.51%	-0.15	+0.7	25
1917-06-10	MTK Budapest	L 1-8	42.3	1302	1827	3.69%	17.02%	79.29%	-3.97	-8.4	16
1917-06-10	@ Budapesti AK	W 8-1	42.3	1827	1302	79.29%	17.02%	3.69%	+3.97	+8.4	38
1917-06-10	Fovarosi TK	W 4-0	31.8	1378	1190	65.34%	18.94%	15.73%	+1.62	+24.6	19
1917-06-10	@ Vasas	L 0-4	31.8	1190	1378	15.73%	18.94%	65.34%	-1.62	-24.6	11
1917-06-17	MTK Budapest	FL	65.4	1419	1835	6.58%	17.87%	75.55%	-3.12	+0.0	18
1917-06-17	@ Magyar AC	FW	65.4	1835	1419	75.55%	17.87%	6.58%	+3.12	+0.0	40
1917-06-17	Vasas	L 0-2	41.0	1328	1403	33.99%	19.33%	46.69%	-0.44	-25.3	15
1917-06-17	@ 33FC	W 2-0	41.0	1403	1328	46.69%	19.33%	33.99%	+0.44	+25.3	21
1917-06-17	Torekves SC	L 1-3	41.5	1294	1603	11.47%	18.54%	69.98%	-2.28	-8.4	16
1917-06-17	@ Budapesti AK	W 3-1	41.5	1603	1294	69.98%	18.54%	11.47%	+2.28	+8.4	30
1917-06-17	III. Kerulet	D 0-0	56.1	1553	1353	66.23%	18.89%	14.88%	+1.71	-5.1	24
1917-06-17	@ Ferencvaros	D 0-0	56.1	1353	1553	14.88%	18.89%	66.23%	-1.71	+5.1	22
1917-06-17	Budapest TC	W 4-2	51.9	1230	1350	28.16%	19.26%	52.59%	-0.80	+28.3	14
1917-06-17	@ Kispest	L 2-4	51.9	1350	1230	52.59%	19.26%	28.16%	+0.80	-28.3	16
1917-06-24	Budapesti AK	L 1-2	41.8	1166	1285	28.27%	19.26%	52.47%	-0.79	-10.8	11
1917-06-24	@ Fovarosi TK	W 2-1	41.8	1285	1166	52.47%	19.26%	28.27%	+0.79	+10.8	18
1917-06-24	Ferencvaros	W 4-1	55.5	1351	1548	19.94%	19.05%	61.01%	-1.40	+51.6	27
1917-06-24	@ Ujpest	L 1-4	55.5	1548	1351	61.01%	19.05%	19.94%	+1.40	-51.6	24
1917-06-24	33FC	W 9-0	34.5	1611	1303	73.13%	18.33%	8.54%	+2.56	+29.8	32
1917-06-24	@ Torekves SC	L 0-9	34.5	1303	1611	8.54%	18.33%	73.13%	-2.56	-29.9	15
1917-06-24	MTK Budapest	L 0-2	41.8	1258	1835	2.78%	16.56%	80.65%	-4.38	-2.4	14
1917-06-24	@ Kispest	W 2-0	41.8	1835	1258	80.65%	16.56%	2.78%	+4.38	+2.4	42
1917-06-29	Torekves SC	L 0-4	34.7	1255	1641	7.73%	18.08%	74.19%	-2.88	-12.5	14
1917-06-29	@ Kispest	W 4-0	34.7	1641	1255	74.19%	18.08%	7.73%	+2.88	+12.5	34
1917-07-01	Ferencvaros	L 0-2	32.5	1155	1496	9.75%	18.36%	71.89%	-2.53	-8.3	11
1917-07-01	@ Fovarosi TK	W 2-0	32.5	1496	1155	71.89%	18.36%	9.75%	+2.53	+8.3	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1917-03-11	7.33%	III. Kerulet	1302	4	@ Torekves SC	1639	2
2	1917-05-13	8.12%	Torekves SC	1549	4	@ MTK Budapest	1867	2
3	1916-12-17	10.19%	@ III. Kerulet	1253	2	Ferencvaros	1585	0
4	1917-03-11	11.16%	@ Kispest	1221	1	Ferencvaros	1536	0
5	1916-09-17	12.00%	Budapesti AK	1295	3	@ Budapest TC	1537	1
6	1917-04-29	13.14%	Ujpest	1347	3	@ Torekves SC	1571	2
7	1917-04-22	16.72%	@ Magyar AC	1372	4	Torekves SC	1606	2
8	1916-09-03	17.01%	III. Kerulet	1205	3	@ Kispest	1377	0
9	1917-04-15	19.59%	33FC	1266	3	@ Magyar AC	1409	1
10	1917-06-24	19.94%	@ Ujpest	1351	4	Ferencvaros	1548	1
11	1916-10-29	20.36%	III. Kerulet	1216	2	@ Budapesti AK	1351	1
12	1916-10-15	20.67%	@ Ujpest	1294	1	Budapest TC	1483	0
13	1917-05-13	20.72%	@ Fovarosi TK	1185	2	III. Kerulet	1374	1
14	1917-04-01	21.30%	Budapesti AK	1274	2	@ III. Kerulet	1399	1
15	1916-10-08	22.47%	Magyar AC	1401	4	@ Budapest TC	1514	2
16	1917-05-13	23.67%	@ Kispest	1210	2	Ujpest	1370	1
17	1916-09-03	23.72%	@ Fovarosi TK	1377	2	Budapest TC	1537	1
18	1917-05-13	24.93%	@ Budapesti AK	1258	5	Budapest TC	1406	2
19	1916-09-10	25.23%	Budapest TC	1517	1	@ Ferencvaros	1604	0
20	1917-03-18	27.13%	III. Kerulet	1342	1	@ Budapest TC	1413	0
21	1916-10-22	27.89%	Torekves SC	1537	3	@ Ferencvaros	1601	0
22	1916-11-01	28.13%	@ III. Kerulet	1237	2	Magyar AC	1358	0
23	1917-06-17	28.16%	@ Kispest	1230	4	Budapest TC	1350	2
24	1917-03-11	29.13%	Budapest TC	1386	4	@ Magyar AC	1440	2
25	1917-03-11	29.42%	33FC	1263	3	@ Budapesti AK	1314	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1916-12-17	117.93	@ Magyar AC	12	1322	40.38%	Fovarosi TK	1	1350	40.27%	19.36%
2	1916-10-12	66.62	@ MTK Budapest	18	1714	71.72%	Magyar AC	0	1433	9.79%	18.48%
3	1916-09-03	64.23	III. Kerulet	3	1205	17.01%	@ Kispest	0	1377	64.00%	19.00%
4	1916-10-22	53.29	Torekves SC	3	1537	27.89%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1601	52.82%	19.29%
5	1917-06-24	51.58	@ Ujpest	4	1351	19.94%	Ferencvaros	1	1548	61.01%	19.05%
6	1916-10-29	50.00	@ Vasas	3	1342	31.45%	Budapest TC	0	1436	49.24%	19.30%
7	1916-12-17	49.50	@ III. Kerulet	2	1253	10.19%	Ferencvaros	0	1585	71.40%	18.41%
8	1916-09-03	45.36	@ Torekves SC	7	1410	55.34%	Budapesti AK	1	1325	25.41%	19.25%
9	1916-09-24	44.61	Torekves SC	5	1492	56.46%	@ Ujpest	0	1339	24.36%	19.18%
10	1916-09-17	41.60	Budapesti AK	3	1295	12.00%	@ Budapest TC	1	1537	69.31%	18.69%
11	1917-05-13	41.02	@ Budapesti AK	5	1258	24.93%	Budapest TC	2	1406	55.87%	19.19%
12	1917-03-11	40.15	III. Kerulet	4	1302	7.33%	@ Torekves SC	2	1639	74.52%	18.15%
13	1917-05-13	39.64	Torekves SC	4	1549	8.12%	@ MTK Budapest	2	1867	73.61%	18.27%
14	1917-04-15	36.68	33FC	3	1266	19.59%	@ Magyar AC	1	1409	61.31%	19.10%
15	1917-03-25	36.58	III. Kerulet	4	1362	38.95%	@ Ujpest	1	1343	41.69%	19.36%
16	1916-11-01	36.56	@ III. Kerulet	2	1237	28.13%	Magyar AC	0	1358	52.62%	19.26%
17	1916-12-10	35.91	@ 33FC	4	1231	39.89%	Kispest	1	1263	40.76%	19.36%
18	1917-04-22	34.44	@ Magyar AC	4	1372	16.72%	Torekves SC	2	1606	64.37%	18.91%
19	1916-10-08	31.24	Magyar AC	4	1401	22.47%	@ Budapest TC	2	1514	58.34%	19.18%
20	1916-09-03	31.18	@ MTK Budapest	4	1650	46.39%	Ferencvaros	1	1636	34.27%	19.35%
21	1917-03-11	30.93	33FC	3	1263	29.42%	@ Budapesti AK	1	1314	51.27%	19.31%
22	1916-10-29	30.82	@ Torekves SC	9	1590	72.81%	Kispest	0	1288	8.82%	18.37%
23	1916-09-03	29.95	@ Ujpest	3	1282	31.21%	Vasas	1	1377	49.49%	19.30%
24	1917-06-24	29.85	@ Torekves SC	9	1611	73.13%	33FC	0	1303	8.54%	18.33%
25	1917-06-17	28.30	@ Kispest	4	1230	28.16%	Budapest TC	2	1350	52.59%	19.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1917-05-13	76.3	Torekves SC	4	1549	8.12%	@ MTK Budapest	2	1867	73.61%	18.27%
2	1917-03-18	66.1	@ Torekves SC	1	1599	55.74%	Ferencvaros	1	1510	25.02%	19.24%
3	1917-03-11	65.2	III. Kerulet	4	1302	7.33%	@ Torekves SC	2	1639	74.52%	18.15%
4	1917-04-29	63.8	Ujpest	3	1347	13.14%	@ Torekves SC	2	1571	68.08%	18.78%
5	1917-04-22	63.7	@ Magyar AC	4	1372	16.72%	Torekves SC	2	1606	64.37%	18.91%
6	1917-03-25	62.4	@ Budapest TC	2	1394	28.33%	Ferencvaros	2	1513	52.42%	19.26%
7	1916-09-10	61.6	@ Magyar AC	3	1423	57.97%	Kispest	3	1313	22.83%	19.19%
8	1916-09-10	60.6	Budapest TC	1	1517	25.23%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1604	55.53%	19.24%
9	1916-11-12	60.5	@ Budapesti AK	3	1330	45.59%	Magyar AC	3	1321	35.06%	19.35%
10	1916-10-08	59.8	Magyar AC	4	1401	22.47%	@ Budapest TC	2	1514	58.34%	19.18%
11	1917-04-15	59.3	@ Vasas	0	1383	17.26%	Torekves SC	0	1610	63.81%	18.93%
12	1916-09-03	59.1	@ MTK Budapest	4	1650	46.39%	Ferencvaros	1	1636	34.27%	19.35%
13	1916-09-10	58.1	@ Fovarosi TK	2	1381	48.97%	Vasas	2	1347	31.70%	19.33%
14	1916-10-22	57.9	Torekves SC	3	1537	27.89%	@ Ferencvaros	0	1601	52.82%	19.29%
15	1916-09-17	57.1	@ Ferencvaros	0	1584	68.87%	Vasas	0	1348	12.40%	18.73%
16	1916-09-17	57.1	@ Fovarosi TK	2	1380	58.12%	33FC	2	1269	22.69%	19.19%
17	1916-09-17	57.0	Budapesti AK	3	1295	12.00%	@ Budapest TC	1	1537	69.31%	18.69%
18	1916-09-03	56.9	@ Fovarosi TK	2	1377	23.72%	Budapest TC	1	1537	57.11%	19.16%
19	1916-10-08	56.5	@ III. Kerulet	2	1230	29.54%	Vasas	2	1339	51.18%	19.28%
20	1917-06-17	56.1	@ Ferencvaros	0	1553	66.23%	III. Kerulet	0	1353	14.88%	18.89%
21	1917-04-29	55.8	@ Vasas	1	1389	41.92%	Magyar AC	1	1406	38.72%	19.36%
22	1917-06-24	55.5	@ Ujpest	4	1351	19.94%	Ferencvaros	1	1548	61.01%	19.05%
23	1916-12-03	55.4	MTK Budapest	1	1821	59.76%	@ Torekves SC	0	1636	21.15%	19.09%
24	1917-03-11	55.1	Budapest TC	4	1386	29.13%	@ Magyar AC	2	1440	51.57%	19.30%
25	1917-04-08	55.1	@ Vasas	1	1384	45.19%	III. Kerulet	1	1378	35.46%	19.35%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1917-06-10	31.8	@ Vasas	4	1378	65.34%	Fovarosi TK	0	1190	15.73%	18.94%
2	1917-07-01	32.5	Ferencvaros	2	1496	71.89%	@ Fovarosi TK	0	1155	9.75%	18.36%
3	1917-04-01	32.9	Torekves SC	4	1597	73.33%	@ Fovarosi TK	0	1228	8.47%	18.20%
4	1916-10-29	33.4	@ Torekves SC	9	1590	72.81%	Kispest	0	1288	8.82%	18.37%
5	1916-09-24	34.5	Budapest TC	3	1496	65.45%	@ III. Kerulet	0	1249	15.70%	18.85%
6	1917-06-24	34.5	@ Torekves SC	9	1611	73.13%	33FC	0	1303	8.54%	18.33%
7	1917-06-29	34.7	Torekves SC	4	1641	74.19%	@ Kispest	0	1255	7.73%	18.08%
8	1916-11-12	35.0	Torekves SC	3	1621	73.49%	@ 33FC	0	1250	8.34%	18.18%
9	1917-04-15	35.1	@ III. Kerulet	2	1379	61.90%	Kispest	0	1230	19.02%	19.08%
10	1917-05-20	35.3	Magyar AC	2	1407	61.35%	@ Fovarosi TK	0	1206	19.62%	19.03%
11	1916-09-24	35.6	@ Ferencvaros	2	1578	73.07%	33FC	0	1271	8.59%	18.34%
12	1917-04-15	36.2	@ Ujpest	2	1315	56.92%	Fovarosi TK	0	1215	23.86%	19.22%
13	1916-12-03	36.6	@ Budapest TC	1	1382	61.36%	33FC	0	1239	19.54%	19.10%
14	1916-09-10	36.9	Torekves SC	2	1456	59.95%	@ III. Kerulet	0	1270	20.97%	19.08%
15	1916-12-17	37.0	@ MTK Budapest	10	1829	82.26%	Kispest	0	1227	1.77%	15.97%
16	1917-04-29	37.2	@ Budapest TC	3	1395	66.22%	Fovarosi TK	1	1196	14.89%	18.89%
17	1916-09-24	37.4	Torekves SC	5	1492	56.46%	@ Ujpest	0	1339	24.36%	19.18%
18	1917-03-11	37.4	@ MTK Budapest	8	1843	82.42%	Fovarosi TK	0	1232	1.69%	15.89%
19	1916-12-03	37.9	@ Ferencvaros	3	1564	67.69%	Budapesti AK	0	1345	13.50%	18.80%
20	1916-09-03	38.0	@ Torekves SC	7	1410	55.34%	Budapesti AK	1	1325	25.41%	19.25%
21	1916-10-29	38.3	MTK Budapest	5	1806	79.98%	@ 33FC	0	1256	3.22%	16.80%
22	1916-10-08	38.5	@ Ferencvaros	1	1586	71.66%	Kispest	0	1305	9.85%	18.49%
23	1916-10-29	38.7	@ Vasas	2	1318	49.63%	33FC	0	1279	31.04%	19.32%
24	1917-04-15	38.8	Ferencvaros	1	1523	63.91%	@ Budapesti AK	0	1295	17.16%	18.93%
25	1917-03-04	39.2	@ MTK Budapest	5	1838	81.65%	33FC	0	1267	2.09%	16.26%