Home / Leagues / Hungary / Nemzeti Liga / 1928-29
‹ ›

1928-29 Nemzeti Liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

12th Title

Last Title: 1924-25

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bocskai FC

5.80 points above expected

25 points · 19.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sabaria FC

8.95 points below expected

14 points · 22.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ferencvaros 22 16 4 2 36 79 20 +59 32.74 +3.26
2 Hungaria 22 15 5 2 35 75 25 +50 32.51 +2.49
3 Ujpest 22 13 4 5 30 64 35 +29 29.66 +0.34
4 Bocskai FC 22 11 3 8 25 41 40 +1 19.20 +5.80
5 Bastya 22 10 3 9 23 40 35 +5 19.36 +3.64
6 III. Kerulet 22 7 6 9 20 27 37 -10 19.85 +0.15
7 Nemzeti SC 22 7 5 10 19 33 39 -6 21.87 -2.87
8 Somogy FC 22 7 3 12 17 33 48 -15 19.92 -2.92
9 Honved 22 5 6 11 16 27 48 -21 16.99 -0.99
10 33FC 22 5 5 12 15 32 60 -28 13.27 +1.73
11 Sabaria FC 22 5 4 13 14 29 51 -22 22.95 -8.95
12 Vasas 22 5 4 13 14 26 68 -42 15.68 -1.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bocskai FC 25 19.20 +5.80
2 Bastya 23 19.36 +3.64
3 Ferencvaros 36 32.74 +3.26
4 Hungaria 35 32.51 +2.49
5 33FC 15 13.27 +1.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sabaria FC 14 22.95 -8.95
2 Somogy FC 17 19.92 -2.92
3 Nemzeti SC 19 21.87 -2.87
4 Vasas 14 15.68 -1.68
5 Honved 16 16.99 -0.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Honved 3 Sep 8 – Oct 14 1 in 18
2 33FC 2 Apr 27 – May 12 1 in 17
3 Bocskai FC 3 Oct 1 – Oct 21 1 in 15
4 III. Kerulet 3 Nov 18 – Dec 2 1 in 14
5 Nemzeti SC 2 Sep 8 – Sep 16 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nemzeti SC 6 Dec 9 – Apr 21 1 in 514
2 Sabaria FC 5 Sep 2 – Oct 21 1 in 378
3 Somogy FC 5 Apr 28 – Jun 2 1 in 116
4 Honved 5 Oct 21 – Nov 25 1 in 28
5 Vasas 5 Nov 25 – Mar 10 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nemzeti SC 8 Sep 2 – Nov 18 1 in 75
2 Bocskai FC 7 Oct 1 – Dec 9 1 in 66
3 Honved 5 Nov 29 – Apr 7 1 in 51
4 Vasas 3 Mar 17 – Apr 7 1 in 23
5 Bastya 3 Dec 2 – Mar 3 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nemzeti SC 6 Dec 9 – Apr 21 1 in 29
2 Sabaria FC 5 Sep 2 – Oct 21 1 in 26
3 Honved 9 Oct 21 – Mar 24 1 in 15
4 Somogy FC 5 Apr 28 – Jun 2 1 in 13
5 Hungaria 2 Jun 9 – Jun 13 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ferencvaros 1414 36 +26 10 7.9 +2.1
Hungaria 1376 35 +2 7 7.7 -0.7
Ujpest 1304 30 -1 6 6.8 -0.8
Bocskai FC 1114 25 +26 7 4.8 +2.2
Bastya 1108 23 +0 6 4.8 +1.2
III. Kerulet 1090 20 -5 3 3.7 -0.7
Nemzeti SC 1116 19 +17 4 5.2 -1.2
Somogy FC 1091 17 +3 2 4.2 -2.2
Honved 1021 16 -11 3 3.9 -0.9
33FC 987 15 +19 5 3.5 +1.5
Sabaria FC 1088 14 -34 5 4.4 +0.6
Vasas 958 14 -40 3 3.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F BAS BOC FER HON HUN IK NS SAB SOM UJP VAS
33FC —
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
0.72
2-0-0
2.20
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
1.54
1-1-0
1.51
1-0-1
1.74
0-1-1
0.92
0-1-1
2.46
Bastya
2-0-0
3.68
—
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.02
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.16
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.42
1-1-0
3.20
Bocskai FC
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.98
—
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
3.12
1-1-0
1.07
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.24
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.32
1-1-0
3.42
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
4.95
1-0-1
4.60
2-0-0
4.44
—
2-0-0
4.64
0-1-1
2.82
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
4.70
Honved
0-0-2
3.39
0-0-2
2.59
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
0.99
—
0-1-1
1.01
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.00
0-2-0
2.12
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
3.13
Hungaria
2-0-0
4.75
1-1-0
4.46
0-1-1
4.55
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
4.62
—
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
4.37
2-0-0
4.42
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.67
III. Kerulet
1-1-0
3.95
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
1.25
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-2
1.40
—
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.89
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
3.48
Nemzeti SC
0-1-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.30
0-1-1
3.59
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
3.12
—
2-0-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
3.83
Sabaria FC
0-1-1
4.10
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
1.14
0-2-0
3.47
1-0-1
1.24
0-1-1
3.14
0-0-2
3.04
—
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
3.82
Somogy FC
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
1.18
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
1.20
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.41
—
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
3.38
Ujpest
1-1-0
4.71
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.29
0-1-1
2.35
2-0-0
4.34
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
4.09
—
1-0-1
4.53
Vasas
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
0.94
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
1.77
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
1.10
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +3.9
Allowed 0.78 -5.1
Differential 0.96 +2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%4.92%3.41%3.03%2.65%4.17%21.21%
14.92%6.82%7.20%3.79%3.03%2.65%28.41%
23.41%7.20%7.58%2.27%1.14%1.14%22.73%
33.03%3.79%2.27%2.27%—0.38%11.74%
42.65%3.03%1.14%———6.82%
5+4.17%2.65%1.14%0.38%—0.76%9.09%
Total21.21%28.41%22.73%11.74%6.82%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.92 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.86
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——9.09%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%——13.64%9.09%31.82%
24.55%—13.64%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%—31.82%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.73 -1.27
SD 1.18 2.07 2.51
CV 0.81 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
113.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
39.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.59 +0.23
SD 1.79 1.50 2.72
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%31.82%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.82 +0.05
SD 1.36 1.56 2.38
CV 0.73 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
2—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+22.73%13.64%4.55%———40.91%
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.59 0.91 +2.68
SD 2.26 0.87 2.75
CV 0.63 0.95 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%—9.09%45.45%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%13.64%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.18 -0.95
SD 1.02 1.92 2.42
CV 0.83 0.88 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
413.64%9.09%————22.73%
5+9.09%—9.09%———18.18%
Total36.36%27.27%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.41 1.14 +2.27
SD 2.26 1.08 2.66
CV 0.66 0.95 —
Max 9 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%36.36%
1—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
213.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.68 -0.45
SD 1.19 1.36 2.22
CV 0.97 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%13.64%—45.45%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%9.09%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.77 -0.27
SD 1.41 1.38 2.35
CV 0.94 0.78 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
1—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+—————4.55%4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.32 -1.00
SD 1.36 1.78 2.09
CV 1.03 0.77 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%———4.55%27.27%
14.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%13.64%—4.55%—9.09%31.82%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%36.36%9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.18 -0.68
SD 1.47 2.36 2.77
CV 0.98 1.08 —
Max 6 9 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
2——13.64%———13.64%
39.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 1.59 +1.32
SD 2.09 1.37 2.51
CV 0.72 0.86 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%36.36%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%13.64%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 3.09 -1.91
SD 1.18 2.51 3.29
CV 1.00 0.81 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1414 36 32.74 +3.26 87.0% 25 27 30 33 35 39 41
Hungaria 1376 35 32.51 +2.49 81.0% 26 27 30 33 35 37 41
Ujpest 1304 30 29.66 +0.34 58.0% 22 24 27 30 32 35 37
Nemzeti SC 1116 19 21.87 -2.87 29.0% 8 15 19 22 25 29 32
Bocskai FC 1114 25 19.20 +5.80 95.0% 12 13 16 19 22 25 28
Bastya 1108 23 19.36 +3.64 83.0% 10 13 17 19 22 26 28
Somogy FC 1091 17 19.92 -2.92 23.0% 10 13 18 20 22 27 31
III. Kerulet 1090 20 19.85 +0.15 57.0% 9 14 17 20 22 26 30
Sabaria FC 1088 14 22.95 -8.95 2.0% 12 15 21 23 26 29 32
Honved 1021 16 16.99 -0.99 50.0% 10 11 14 16 20 23 26
33FC 987 15 13.27 +1.73 76.0% 4 7 11 13 15 19 23
Vasas 958 14 15.68 -1.68 34.0% 6 9 13 16 18 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
No Edge
43.94%19.70%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
111 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
0300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.41 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.74 points
Some Luck
03.699
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Bocskai FC
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Sabaria FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 147.10
1.88
Strong Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ferencvaros47.00%38.00%12.00%3.00%————————
Hungaria41.00%40.00%16.00%3.00%————————
Ujpest12.00%19.00%55.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Bocskai FC——2.00%7.00%9.00%22.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%8.00%11.00%2.00%
Bastya———13.00%13.00%7.00%18.00%17.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%
III. Kerulet—1.00%1.00%9.00%18.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%
Nemzeti SC—1.00%5.00%23.00%16.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%
Somogy FC——3.00%6.00%8.00%19.00%20.00%19.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%
Honved———1.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%22.00%15.00%13.00%
33FC————1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%28.00%49.00%
Sabaria FC—1.00%6.00%27.00%21.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Vasas————1.00%2.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%23.00%19.00%24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Bastya 100%
Bocskai FC 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Honved 100%
Hungaria 100%
III. Kerulet 100%
Nemzeti SC 100%
Sabaria FC 100%
Somogy FC 100%
Ujpest 100%
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1928-09-02 Hungaria L 1-433.7 990 1296 12.23% 18.76% 69.01%-2.51 -5.4 0
1928-09-02 @ 33FC W 4-133.7 1296 990 69.01% 18.76% 12.23%+2.51 +5.4 2
1928-09-02 Nemzeti SC D 2-256.7 1046 1133 33.05% 20.78% 46.17%-0.54 +0.3 1
1928-09-02 @ Honved D 2-256.7 1133 1046 46.17% 20.78% 33.05%+0.54 -0.3 1
1928-09-02 Bocskai FC D 1-152.2 1116 1082 49.63% 20.78% 29.59%+0.54 -0.7 1
1928-09-02 @ III. Kerulet D 1-152.2 1082 1116 29.59% 20.78% 49.63%-0.54 +0.7 1
1928-09-02 Vasas L 1-252.0 1190 1041 62.28% 20.02% 17.71%+1.57 -9.3 0
1928-09-02 @ Sabaria FC W 2-152.0 1041 1190 17.71% 20.02% 62.28%-1.57 +9.3 2
1928-09-02 Somogy FC L 1-244.7 1058 1113 37.33% 20.86% 41.81%-0.26 -6.0 0
1928-09-02 @ Bastya W 2-144.7 1113 1058 41.81% 20.86% 37.33%+0.26 +6.0 2
1928-09-02 Ferencvaros D 2-257.5 1281 1319 39.78% 20.88% 39.34%-0.10 -0.0 1
1928-09-02 @ Ujpest D 2-257.5 1319 1281 39.34% 20.88% 39.78%+0.10 +0.0 1
1928-09-08 Honved L 0-242.5 1083 1047 49.84% 20.77% 29.39%+0.56 -15.1 1
1928-09-08 @ Bocskai FC W 2-042.5 1047 1083 29.39% 20.77% 49.84%-0.56 +15.2 3
1928-09-08 Ujpest W 2-149.8 1133 1281 25.52% 20.46% 54.02%-1.10 +8.1 3
1928-09-08 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-249.8 1281 1133 54.02% 20.46% 25.52%+1.10 -8.1 1
1928-09-09 Bastya D 1-152.9 1302 1052 70.33% 18.82% 10.86%+2.48 -2.3 3
1928-09-09 @ Hungaria D 1-152.9 1052 1302 10.86% 18.82% 70.33%-2.48 +2.3 1
1928-09-09 III. Kerulet D 0-049.1 1119 1116 45.52% 20.86% 33.62%+0.26 -0.5 3
1928-09-09 @ Somogy FC D 0-049.1 1116 1119 33.62% 20.86% 45.52%-0.26 +0.5 2
1928-09-09 33FC W 4-244.1 1051 984 53.57% 20.64% 25.79%+0.83 +6.8 4
1928-09-09 @ Vasas L 2-444.1 984 1051 25.79% 20.64% 53.57%-0.83 -6.8 0
1928-09-15 Hungaria L 0-431.4 1116 1299 21.90% 20.19% 57.92%-1.41 -14.4 2
1928-09-15 @ III. Kerulet W 4-031.4 1299 1116 57.92% 20.19% 21.90%+1.41 +14.4 5
1928-09-16 Somogy FC W 1-042.2 1062 1118 37.19% 20.86% 41.95%-0.27 +6.9 5
1928-09-16 @ Honved L 0-142.2 1118 1062 41.95% 20.86% 37.19%+0.27 -6.9 3
1928-09-16 Nemzeti SC L 1-248.7 1181 1141 50.32% 20.76% 28.92%+0.59 -7.6 0
1928-09-16 @ Sabaria FC W 2-148.7 1141 1181 28.92% 20.76% 50.32%-0.59 +7.6 5
1928-09-16 Vasas W 4-035.2 1054 1057 44.62% 20.87% 34.51%+0.21 +21.2 3
1928-09-16 @ Bastya L 0-435.2 1057 1054 34.51% 20.87% 44.62%-0.21 -21.2 4
1928-09-16 Bocskai FC W 1-033.3 1273 1068 67.11% 19.40% 13.49%+2.08 +2.6 3
1928-09-16 @ Ujpest L 0-133.3 1068 1273 13.49% 19.40% 67.11%-2.08 -2.6 1
1928-09-29 33FC D 2-256.9 1149 977 64.29% 19.79% 15.92%+1.77 -1.4 6
1928-09-29 @ Nemzeti SC D 2-256.9 977 1149 15.92% 19.79% 64.29%-1.77 +1.4 1
1928-09-30 Ujpest L 2-345.3 1111 1276 23.79% 20.34% 55.87%-1.24 -3.9 3
1928-09-30 @ Somogy FC W 3-245.3 1276 1111 55.87% 20.34% 23.79%+1.24 +3.9 5
1928-09-30 III. Kerulet L 1-342.9 1036 1102 35.90% 20.84% 43.26%-0.35 -10.0 4
1928-09-30 @ Vasas W 3-142.9 1102 1036 43.26% 20.84% 35.90%+0.35 +10.0 4
1928-09-30 Hungaria L 1-347.0 1319 1314 45.89% 20.86% 33.25%+0.29 -12.2 1
1928-09-30 @ Ferencvaros W 3-147.0 1314 1319 33.25% 20.86% 45.89%-0.29 +12.2 7
1928-10-01 Sabaria FC W 3-252.8 1065 1173 30.31% 20.69% 49.00%-0.73 +7.1 3
1928-10-01 @ Bocskai FC L 2-352.8 1173 1065 49.00% 20.69% 30.31%+0.73 -7.1 0
1928-10-13 Bocskai FC L 2-446.0 979 1072 32.18% 20.76% 47.06%-0.60 -8.2 1
1928-10-13 @ 33FC W 4-246.0 1072 979 47.06% 20.76% 32.18%+0.60 +8.2 5
1928-10-14 Vasas W 2-142.1 1069 1026 50.69% 20.75% 28.56%+0.62 +4.8 7
1928-10-14 @ Honved L 1-242.1 1026 1069 28.56% 20.75% 50.69%-0.62 -4.8 4
1928-10-14 Ferencvaros L 0-332.1 1112 1307 20.69% 20.08% 59.23%-1.52 -10.5 4
1928-10-14 @ III. Kerulet W 3-032.1 1307 1112 59.23% 20.08% 20.69%+1.52 +10.5 3
1928-10-14 Ujpest D 3-361.9 1326 1280 51.11% 20.74% 28.16%+0.65 -0.5 8
1928-10-14 @ Hungaria D 3-361.9 1280 1326 28.16% 20.74% 51.11%-0.65 +0.5 6
1928-10-14 Somogy FC L 1-249.3 1166 1107 52.64% 20.68% 26.68%+0.76 -8.0 0
1928-10-14 @ Sabaria FC W 2-149.3 1107 1166 26.68% 20.68% 52.64%-0.76 +8.0 5
1928-10-14 Nemzeti SC L 1-342.6 1075 1147 35.00% 20.83% 44.17%-0.41 -9.8 3
1928-10-14 @ Bastya W 3-142.6 1147 1075 44.17% 20.83% 35.00%+0.41 +9.8 8
1928-10-21 Bastya W 2-143.1 1080 1065 47.12% 20.84% 32.05%+0.37 +5.3 7
1928-10-21 @ Bocskai FC L 1-243.1 1065 1080 32.05% 20.84% 47.12%-0.37 -5.3 3
1928-10-21 Honved W 5-027.4 1318 1074 69.92% 18.90% 11.18%+2.43 +9.5 5
1928-10-21 @ Ferencvaros L 0-527.4 1074 1318 11.18% 18.90% 69.92%-2.43 -9.5 7
1928-10-21 Nemzeti SC D 1-152.2 1101 1157 37.25% 20.86% 41.89%-0.26 +0.2 5
1928-10-21 @ III. Kerulet D 1-152.2 1157 1101 41.89% 20.86% 37.25%+0.26 -0.2 9
1928-10-21 Sabaria FC W 3-243.1 1325 1158 63.94% 19.83% 16.23%+1.74 +2.8 10
1928-10-21 @ Hungaria L 2-343.1 1158 1325 16.23% 19.83% 63.94%-1.74 -2.8 0
1928-10-21 33FC W 1-034.8 1115 971 61.90% 20.06% 18.04%+1.54 +3.4 7
1928-10-21 @ Somogy FC L 0-134.8 971 1115 18.04% 20.06% 61.90%-1.54 -3.4 1
1928-10-21 Vasas L 0-346.6 1280 1021 70.92% 18.69% 10.39%+2.56 -30.7 6
1928-10-21 @ Ujpest W 3-046.6 1021 1280 10.39% 18.69% 70.92%-2.56 +30.7 6
1928-10-27 Honved W 2-136.1 1328 1064 71.25% 18.62% 10.14%+2.61 +1.9 12
1928-10-27 @ Hungaria L 1-236.1 1064 1328 10.14% 18.62% 71.25%-2.61 -1.9 7
1928-10-28 Bastya W 2-140.2 1155 1060 56.86% 20.46% 22.68%+1.09 +3.9 2
1928-10-28 @ Sabaria FC L 1-240.2 1060 1155 22.68% 20.46% 56.86%-1.09 -3.9 3
1928-11-04 III. Kerulet W 5-029.7 1250 1101 62.21% 20.03% 17.76%+1.57 +14.8 8
1928-11-04 @ Ujpest L 0-529.7 1101 1250 17.76% 20.03% 62.21%-1.57 -14.8 5
1928-11-11 Bastya L 1-247.3 1062 1056 45.94% 20.86% 33.20%+0.29 -7.1 7
1928-11-11 @ Honved W 2-147.3 1056 1062 33.20% 20.86% 45.94%-0.29 +7.1 5
1928-11-11 Vasas W 8-027.5 1330 1052 72.12% 18.41% 9.46%+2.73 +12.6 14
1928-11-11 @ Hungaria L 0-827.5 1052 1330 9.46% 18.41% 72.12%-2.73 -12.6 6
1928-11-11 Somogy FC D 0-049.1 1157 1119 50.10% 20.77% 29.13%+0.58 -0.8 10
1928-11-11 @ Nemzeti SC D 0-049.1 1119 1157 29.13% 20.77% 50.10%-0.58 +0.8 8
1928-11-11 33FC D 0-049.4 1159 967 66.04% 19.56% 14.40%+1.96 -2.2 3
1928-11-11 @ Sabaria FC D 0-049.4 967 1159 14.40% 19.56% 66.04%-1.96 +2.2 2
1928-11-18 Nemzeti SC D 1-152.8 1327 1156 64.29% 19.79% 15.92%+1.77 -1.8 6
1928-11-18 @ Ferencvaros D 1-152.8 1156 1327 15.92% 19.79% 64.29%-1.77 +1.9 11
1928-11-18 III. Kerulet L 1-249.7 1157 1087 54.05% 20.62% 25.34%+0.87 -8.2 3
1928-11-18 @ Sabaria FC W 2-149.7 1087 1157 25.34% 20.62% 54.05%-0.87 +8.2 7
1928-11-18 Hungaria L 2-933.3 1120 1343 18.23% 19.80% 61.97%-1.76 -14.0 8
1928-11-18 @ Somogy FC W 9-233.3 1343 1120 61.97% 19.80% 18.23%+1.76 +14.0 16
1928-11-18 33FC W 6-134.8 1063 969 56.69% 20.47% 22.84%+1.08 +15.3 7
1928-11-18 @ Bastya L 1-634.8 969 1063 22.84% 20.47% 56.69%-1.08 -15.3 2
1928-11-18 Honved W 7-131.0 1264 1055 67.38% 19.36% 13.26%+2.11 +11.0 10
1928-11-18 @ Ujpest L 1-731.0 1055 1264 13.26% 19.36% 67.38%-2.11 -11.0 7
1928-11-18 Bocskai FC D 2-256.6 1039 1086 38.62% 20.88% 40.50%-0.18 +0.0 7
1928-11-18 @ Vasas D 2-256.6 1086 1039 40.50% 20.88% 38.62%+0.18 -0.0 8
1928-11-25 Honved W 4-250.4 954 1044 32.60% 20.77% 46.63%-0.57 +11.1 4
1928-11-25 @ 33FC L 2-450.4 1044 954 46.63% 20.77% 32.60%+0.57 -11.1 7
1928-11-25 Somogy FC W 2-144.6 1086 1106 42.32% 20.89% 36.80%+0.06 +5.9 10
1928-11-25 @ Bocskai FC L 1-244.6 1106 1086 36.80% 20.89% 42.32%-0.06 -5.9 8
1928-11-25 Bastya W 2-037.2 1095 1078 47.28% 20.83% 31.88%+0.38 +10.5 9
1928-11-25 @ III. Kerulet L 0-237.2 1078 1095 31.88% 20.83% 47.28%-0.38 -10.5 7
1928-11-25 Nemzeti SC W 4-029.1 1357 1158 66.57% 19.48% 13.95%+2.02 +9.6 18
1928-11-25 @ Hungaria L 0-429.1 1158 1357 13.95% 19.48% 66.57%-2.02 -9.6 11
1928-11-25 Ujpest L 5-653.4 1149 1275 28.07% 20.60% 51.33%-0.90 -4.3 3
1928-11-25 @ Sabaria FC W 6-553.4 1275 1149 51.33% 20.60% 28.07%+0.90 +4.3 12
1928-11-25 Ferencvaros L 0-929.2 1040 1325 13.52% 19.05% 67.44%-2.33 -19.9 7
1928-11-25 @ Vasas W 9-029.2 1325 1040 67.44% 19.05% 13.52%+2.33 +19.9 8
1928-11-29 Honved D 0-049.2 1145 1033 58.59% 20.34% 21.07%+1.24 -1.6 4
1928-11-29 @ Sabaria FC D 0-049.2 1033 1145 21.07% 20.34% 58.59%-1.24 +1.6 8
1928-12-02 Hungaria W 2-047.4 1091 1366 14.26% 19.19% 66.55%-2.23 +19.8 12
1928-12-02 @ Bocskai FC L 0-247.4 1366 1091 66.55% 19.19% 14.26%+2.23 -19.8 18
1928-12-02 Somogy FC W 5-027.5 1345 1100 70.03% 18.88% 11.10%+2.44 +9.5 10
1928-12-02 @ Ferencvaros L 0-527.5 1100 1345 11.10% 18.88% 70.03%-2.44 -9.5 8
1928-12-02 33FC W 4-135.9 1105 965 61.45% 20.10% 18.45%+1.49 +8.0 11
1928-12-02 @ III. Kerulet L 1-435.9 965 1105 18.45% 20.10% 61.45%-1.49 -8.0 4
1928-12-02 Ujpest D 2-257.0 1068 1280 19.21% 19.92% 60.87%-1.66 +1.2 8
1928-12-02 @ Bastya D 2-257.0 1280 1068 60.87% 19.92% 19.21%+1.66 -1.2 13
1928-12-02 Nemzeti SC L 0-137.9 1020 1148 27.80% 20.59% 51.61%-0.92 -5.0 7
1928-12-02 @ Vasas W 1-037.9 1148 1020 51.61% 20.59% 27.80%+0.92 +5.0 13
1928-12-09 Bastya L 0-150.9 1355 1069 72.60% 18.30% 9.10%+2.80 -11.5 10
1928-12-09 @ Ferencvaros W 1-050.9 1069 1355 9.10% 18.30% 72.60%-2.80 +11.5 10
1928-12-09 Ujpest D 2-257.3 957 1278 11.38% 18.55% 70.07%-2.65 +1.7 5
1928-12-09 @ 33FC D 2-257.3 1278 957 70.07% 18.55% 11.38%+2.65 -1.7 14
1928-12-09 III. Kerulet D 1-152.2 1035 1113 34.14% 20.81% 45.05%-0.47 +0.4 9
1928-12-09 @ Honved D 1-152.2 1113 1035 45.05% 20.81% 34.14%+0.47 -0.4 12
1928-12-09 Bocskai FC L 1-248.7 1153 1111 50.60% 20.75% 28.65%+0.61 -7.7 13
1928-12-09 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-148.7 1111 1153 28.65% 20.75% 50.60%-0.61 +7.7 14
1928-12-09 Somogy FC L 1-243.9 1015 1090 34.53% 20.82% 44.65%-0.44 -5.6 7
1928-12-09 @ Vasas W 2-143.9 1090 1015 44.65% 20.82% 34.53%+0.44 +5.6 10
1928-12-16 Bocskai FC W 5-132.7 1343 1119 68.53% 19.16% 12.31%+2.25 +7.1 12
1928-12-16 @ Ferencvaros L 1-532.7 1119 1343 12.31% 19.16% 68.53%-2.25 -7.1 14
1928-12-20 33FC W 4-025.3 1350 959 78.11% 16.53% 5.36%+3.75 +3.6 14
1928-12-20 @ Ferencvaros L 0-425.3 959 1350 5.36% 16.53% 78.11%-3.75 -3.6 5
1929-03-03 Ferencvaros L 1-533.7 1096 1354 15.44% 19.40% 65.16%-2.08 -8.7 10
1929-03-03 @ Somogy FC W 5-133.7 1354 1096 65.16% 19.40% 15.44%+2.08 +8.7 16
1929-03-03 Bocskai FC W 6-139.6 1081 1112 40.75% 20.89% 38.36%-0.04 +23.6 12
1929-03-03 @ Bastya L 1-639.6 1112 1081 38.36% 20.89% 40.75%+0.04 -23.6 14
1929-03-03 Nemzeti SC W 3-137.9 1277 1146 60.58% 20.18% 19.24%+1.41 +5.9 16
1929-03-03 @ Ujpest L 1-337.9 1146 1277 19.24% 20.18% 60.58%-1.41 -5.9 13
1929-03-03 Hungaria L 0-727.4 1009 1346 10.53% 18.31% 71.16%-2.79 -12.2 7
1929-03-03 @ Vasas W 7-027.4 1346 1009 71.16% 18.31% 10.53%+2.79 +12.2 20
1929-03-10 Vasas W 2-033.6 1113 997 59.06% 20.31% 20.63%+1.28 +7.2 14
1929-03-10 @ III. Kerulet L 0-233.6 997 1113 20.63% 20.31% 59.06%-1.28 -7.2 7
1929-03-10 33FC W 7-128.7 1283 955 74.97% 17.63% 7.39%+3.18 +6.2 18
1929-03-10 @ Ujpest L 1-728.7 955 1283 7.39% 17.63% 74.97%-3.18 -6.2 5
1929-03-17 III. Kerulet D 2-256.8 949 1120 23.10% 20.29% 56.61%-1.30 +0.9 6
1929-03-17 @ 33FC D 2-256.8 1120 949 56.61% 20.29% 23.10%+1.30 -0.9 15
1929-03-17 Ferencvaros L 1-336.2 1088 1363 14.28% 19.19% 66.53%-2.23 -4.4 14
1929-03-17 @ Bocskai FC W 3-136.2 1363 1088 66.53% 19.19% 14.28%+2.23 +4.5 18
1929-03-17 Hungaria D 1-153.0 1035 1359 11.26% 18.52% 70.22%-2.67 +2.3 10
1929-03-17 @ Honved D 1-153.0 1359 1035 70.22% 18.52% 11.26%+2.67 -2.3 21
1929-03-17 Vasas L 0-148.1 1140 990 62.39% 20.01% 17.60%+1.58 -9.9 13
1929-03-17 @ Nemzeti SC W 1-048.1 990 1140 17.60% 20.01% 62.39%-1.58 +9.9 9
1929-03-17 Bastya W 1-033.9 1289 1104 65.42% 19.65% 14.93%+1.89 +2.9 20
1929-03-17 @ Ujpest L 0-133.9 1104 1289 14.93% 19.65% 65.42%-1.89 -2.9 12
1929-03-23 Bastya D 3-361.0 1000 1101 31.09% 20.72% 48.19%-0.68 +0.4 10
1929-03-23 @ Vasas D 3-361.0 1101 1000 48.19% 20.72% 31.09%+0.68 -0.4 13
1929-03-24 Nemzeti SC W 2-044.7 950 1130 22.21% 20.22% 57.57%-1.38 +17.3 8
1929-03-24 @ 33FC L 0-244.7 1130 950 57.57% 20.22% 22.21%+1.38 -17.3 13
1929-03-24 Ujpest W 3-140.9 1367 1292 54.64% 20.59% 24.77%+0.92 +7.3 20
1929-03-24 @ Ferencvaros L 1-340.9 1292 1367 24.77% 20.59% 54.64%-0.92 -7.4 20
1929-03-24 III. Kerulet W 3-029.2 1356 1119 69.44% 18.99% 11.57%+2.36 +6.1 23
1929-03-24 @ Hungaria L 0-329.2 1119 1356 11.57% 18.99% 69.44%-2.36 -6.1 15
1929-03-24 Honved D 1-152.2 1087 1037 51.56% 20.72% 27.72%+0.68 -0.9 11
1929-03-24 @ Somogy FC D 1-152.2 1037 1087 27.72% 20.72% 51.56%-0.68 +0.9 11
1929-04-07 Bastya L 0-137.7 967 1101 27.20% 20.56% 52.24%-0.96 -4.9 8
1929-04-07 @ 33FC W 1-037.7 1101 967 52.24% 20.56% 27.20%+0.96 +4.9 15
1929-04-07 Vasas D 2-258.0 1375 1000 77.34% 16.83% 5.83%+3.60 -2.1 21
1929-04-07 @ Ferencvaros D 2-258.0 1000 1375 5.83% 16.83% 77.34%-3.60 +2.1 11
1929-04-07 Bocskai FC W 3-038.1 1038 1084 38.70% 20.88% 40.42%-0.17 +18.4 13
1929-04-07 @ Honved L 0-338.1 1084 1038 40.42% 20.88% 38.70%+0.17 -18.4 14
1929-04-07 Somogy FC L 0-242.2 1113 1086 48.66% 20.81% 30.54%+0.48 -14.8 15
1929-04-07 @ III. Kerulet W 2-042.2 1086 1113 30.54% 20.81% 48.66%-0.48 +14.8 13
1929-04-07 Hungaria L 1-435.3 1113 1362 16.06% 19.50% 64.44%-2.01 -7.0 13
1929-04-07 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-135.3 1362 1113 64.44% 19.50% 16.06%+2.01 +7.0 25
1929-04-07 Sabaria FC W 4-030.4 1284 1143 61.56% 20.09% 18.35%+1.50 +12.4 22
1929-04-07 @ Ujpest L 0-430.4 1143 1284 18.35% 20.09% 61.56%-1.50 -12.4 4
1929-04-14 Honved W 2-036.2 1098 1057 50.54% 20.75% 28.71%+0.61 +9.6 17
1929-04-14 @ III. Kerulet L 0-236.2 1057 1098 28.71% 20.75% 50.54%-0.61 -9.6 13
1929-04-21 III. Kerulet W 2-039.6 1065 1108 39.14% 20.88% 39.98%-0.14 +12.6 16
1929-04-21 @ Bocskai FC L 0-239.6 1108 1065 39.98% 20.88% 39.14%+0.14 -12.6 17
1929-04-21 Ujpest L 0-330.5 1047 1297 16.08% 19.50% 64.41%-2.00 -8.3 13
1929-04-21 @ Honved W 3-030.5 1297 1047 64.41% 19.50% 16.08%+2.00 +8.3 24
1929-04-21 Nemzeti SC W 4-141.0 1101 1106 44.50% 20.87% 34.63%+0.20 +13.8 15
1929-04-21 @ Somogy FC L 1-441.0 1106 1101 34.63% 20.87% 44.50%-0.20 -13.7 13
1929-04-21 Hungaria L 0-232.0 1106 1369 15.05% 19.33% 65.62%-2.13 -5.4 15
1929-04-21 @ Bastya W 2-032.0 1369 1106 65.62% 19.33% 15.05%+2.13 +5.4 27
1929-04-21 Sabaria FC L 2-346.4 1002 1131 27.80% 20.59% 51.61%-0.92 -4.4 11
1929-04-21 @ Vasas W 3-246.4 1131 1002 51.61% 20.59% 27.80%+0.92 +4.4 6
1929-04-26 Ferencvaros L 2-633.2 962 1372 7.35% 17.13% 75.52%-3.44 -3.5 8
1929-04-26 @ 33FC W 6-233.2 1372 962 75.52% 17.13% 7.35%+3.44 +3.5 23
1929-04-27 Sabaria FC W 1-046.6 959 1135 22.57% 20.25% 57.19%-1.35 +9.1 10
1929-04-27 @ 33FC L 0-146.6 1135 959 57.19% 20.25% 22.57%+1.35 -9.1 6
1929-04-28 Nemzeti SC L 1-246.5 1078 1092 43.20% 20.88% 35.92%+0.11 -6.7 16
1929-04-28 @ Bocskai FC W 2-146.5 1092 1078 35.92% 20.88% 43.20%-0.11 +6.7 15
1929-04-28 Ferencvaros D 2-259.3 1375 1376 44.94% 20.87% 34.19%+0.23 -0.3 28
1929-04-28 @ Hungaria D 2-259.3 1376 1375 34.19% 20.87% 44.94%-0.23 +0.3 24
1929-04-28 Bastya L 0-143.8 1115 1100 47.04% 20.84% 32.12%+0.37 -7.6 15
1929-04-28 @ Somogy FC W 1-043.8 1100 1115 32.12% 20.84% 47.04%-0.37 +7.6 17
1929-04-28 Honved W 2-145.5 998 1039 39.32% 20.88% 39.79%-0.13 +6.3 13
1929-04-28 @ Vasas L 1-245.5 1039 998 39.79% 20.88% 39.32%+0.13 -6.3 13
1929-05-08 Sabaria FC W 6-027.6 1376 1126 70.35% 18.81% 10.84%+2.48 +11.0 26
1929-05-08 @ Ferencvaros L 0-627.6 1126 1376 10.84% 18.81% 70.35%-2.48 -11.0 6
1929-05-12 Somogy FC W 4-146.3 968 1107 26.56% 20.52% 52.92%-1.01 +19.6 12
1929-05-12 @ 33FC L 1-446.3 1107 968 52.92% 20.52% 26.56%+1.01 -19.6 15
1929-05-12 Ujpest W 3-150.8 1071 1305 17.33% 19.69% 62.98%-1.86 +16.3 18
1929-05-12 @ Bocskai FC L 1-350.8 1305 1071 62.98% 19.69% 17.33%+1.86 -16.3 24
1929-05-12 Ferencvaros L 1-630.4 1032 1387 9.66% 18.04% 72.30%-2.95 -6.8 13
1929-05-12 @ Honved W 6-130.4 1387 1032 72.30% 18.04% 9.66%+2.95 +6.8 28
1929-05-12 Sabaria FC D 1-152.2 1095 1115 42.37% 20.89% 36.75%+0.06 -0.2 18
1929-05-12 @ III. Kerulet D 1-152.2 1115 1095 36.75% 20.89% 42.37%-0.06 +0.2 7
1929-05-12 Bastya W 4-035.5 1098 1108 43.78% 20.88% 35.34%+0.15 +21.6 17
1929-05-12 @ Nemzeti SC L 0-435.5 1108 1098 35.34% 20.88% 43.78%-0.15 -21.6 17
1929-05-19 Bocskai FC W 3-141.2 1115 1088 48.77% 20.80% 30.42%+0.49 +8.8 9
1929-05-19 @ Sabaria FC L 1-341.2 1088 1115 30.42% 20.80% 48.77%-0.49 -8.7 18
1929-05-19 Ferencvaros L 1-237.8 1120 1394 14.32% 19.20% 66.48%-2.22 -2.6 17
1929-05-19 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-137.8 1394 1120 66.48% 19.20% 14.32%+2.22 +2.6 30
1929-05-25 III. Kerulet L 1-346.5 1118 1095 48.10% 20.82% 31.08%+0.44 -12.7 17
1929-05-25 @ Nemzeti SC W 3-146.5 1095 1118 31.08% 20.82% 48.10%-0.44 +12.7 20
1929-05-26 33FC W 4-137.4 1079 987 56.43% 20.49% 23.08%+1.06 +9.8 20
1929-05-26 @ Bocskai FC L 1-437.4 987 1079 23.08% 20.49% 56.43%-1.06 -9.8 12
1929-05-26 Somogy FC W 5-236.5 1375 1088 72.68% 18.28% 9.05%+2.81 +3.5 30
1929-05-26 @ Hungaria L 2-536.5 1088 1375 9.05% 18.28% 72.68%-2.81 -3.5 15
1929-05-26 Ferencvaros L 0-134.0 1124 1397 14.41% 19.22% 66.38%-2.21 -2.8 9
1929-05-26 @ Sabaria FC W 1-034.0 1397 1124 66.38% 19.22% 14.41%+2.21 +2.7 32
1929-05-26 Honved W 3-033.8 1086 1026 52.90% 20.67% 26.43%+0.78 +13.0 19
1929-05-26 @ Bastya L 0-333.8 1026 1086 26.43% 20.67% 52.90%-0.78 -13.0 13
1929-05-26 Ujpest L 1-434.2 1004 1289 13.58% 19.06% 67.36%-2.32 -6.0 13
1929-05-26 @ Vasas W 4-134.2 1289 1004 67.36% 19.06% 13.58%+2.32 +6.0 26
1929-05-30 Sabaria FC L 1-245.5 1084 1121 39.92% 20.88% 39.20%-0.10 -6.3 15
1929-05-30 @ Somogy FC W 2-145.5 1121 1084 39.20% 20.88% 39.92%+0.10 +6.3 11
1929-06-02 Vasas D 1-152.1 978 998 42.31% 20.89% 36.81%+0.06 -0.2 13
1929-06-02 @ 33FC D 1-152.1 998 978 36.81% 20.89% 42.31%-0.06 +0.2 14
1929-06-02 Sabaria FC W 6-035.7 1105 1128 41.96% 20.89% 37.16%+0.03 +33.0 19
1929-06-02 @ Nemzeti SC L 0-635.7 1128 1105 37.16% 20.89% 41.96%-0.03 -33.0 11
1929-06-02 Bocskai FC L 0-142.7 1078 1089 43.63% 20.88% 35.49%+0.14 -7.2 15
1929-06-02 @ Somogy FC W 1-042.7 1089 1078 35.49% 20.88% 43.63%-0.14 +7.2 22
1929-06-02 Ferencvaros L 0-628.1 1100 1399 12.63% 18.86% 68.51%-2.46 -12.7 19
1929-06-02 @ Bastya W 6-028.1 1399 1100 68.51% 18.86% 12.63%+2.46 +12.7 34
1929-06-02 Hungaria L 0-141.2 1295 1378 33.50% 20.79% 45.71%-0.51 -5.8 26
1929-06-02 @ Ujpest W 1-041.2 1378 1295 45.71% 20.79% 33.50%+0.51 +5.8 32
1929-06-05 III. Kerulet W 2-135.7 1412 1108 73.69% 18.01% 8.30%+2.97 +1.5 36
1929-06-05 @ Ferencvaros L 1-235.7 1108 1412 8.30% 18.01% 73.69%-2.97 -1.5 20
1929-06-09 Ujpest L 0-332.5 1106 1289 21.94% 20.19% 57.87%-1.40 -11.0 20
1929-06-09 @ III. Kerulet W 3-032.5 1289 1106 57.87% 20.19% 21.94%+1.40 +11.1 28
1929-06-09 Bocskai FC D 3-362.1 1384 1096 72.75% 18.26% 8.99%+2.82 -1.6 33
1929-06-09 @ Hungaria D 3-362.1 1096 1384 8.99% 18.26% 72.75%-2.82 +1.6 23
1929-06-09 Honved L 1-448.4 1138 1013 59.98% 20.23% 19.78%+1.36 -22.0 19
1929-06-09 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-148.4 1013 1138 19.78% 20.23% 59.98%-1.36 +22.0 15
1929-06-09 Vasas W 6-032.0 1071 998 54.31% 20.60% 25.09%+0.89 +23.8 17
1929-06-09 @ Somogy FC L 0-632.0 998 1071 25.09% 20.60% 54.31%-0.89 -23.8 14
1929-06-09 Sabaria FC W 3-036.5 1087 1095 44.05% 20.88% 35.08%+0.17 +16.5 21
1929-06-09 @ Bastya L 0-336.5 1095 1087 35.08% 20.88% 44.05%-0.17 -16.5 11
1929-06-13 33FC L 1-347.8 1035 977 52.48% 20.69% 26.84%+0.75 -13.7 15
1929-06-13 @ Honved W 3-147.8 977 1035 26.84% 20.69% 52.48%-0.75 +13.8 15
1929-06-13 Hungaria W 3-258.5 1078 1382 12.37% 18.79% 68.83%-2.49 +9.7 13
1929-06-13 @ Sabaria FC L 2-358.5 1382 1078 68.83% 18.79% 12.37%+2.49 -9.7 33
1929-06-16 Vasas W 5-030.3 1097 974 59.78% 20.25% 19.97%+1.34 +16.4 25
1929-06-16 @ Bocskai FC L 0-530.3 974 1097 19.97% 20.25% 59.78%-1.34 -16.4 14
1929-06-16 Sabaria FC D 2-256.6 1021 1088 35.73% 20.84% 43.43%-0.36 +0.2 16
1929-06-16 @ Honved D 2-256.6 1088 1021 43.43% 20.84% 35.73%+0.36 -0.2 14
1929-06-16 33FC W 4-025.5 1373 991 77.64% 16.71% 5.64%+3.66 +3.9 35
1929-06-16 @ Hungaria L 0-425.5 991 1373 5.64% 16.71% 77.64%-3.66 -3.9 15
1929-06-16 III. Kerulet W 3-248.1 1103 1095 46.19% 20.85% 32.95%+0.31 +5.1 23
1929-06-16 @ Bastya L 2-348.1 1095 1103 32.95% 20.85% 46.19%-0.31 -5.1 20
1929-06-16 Somogy FC W 5-343.0 1300 1095 67.10% 19.40% 13.50%+2.08 +3.6 30
1929-06-16 @ Ujpest L 3-543.0 1095 1300 13.50% 19.40% 67.10%-2.08 -3.6 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1928-12-09 9.10% Bastya 1069 1 @ Ferencvaros 1355 0
2 1928-10-21 10.39% Vasas 1021 3 @ Ujpest 1280 0
3 1929-06-13 12.37% @ Sabaria FC 1078 3 Hungaria 1382 2
4 1928-12-02 14.26% @ Bocskai FC 1091 2 Hungaria 1366 0
5 1929-05-12 17.33% @ Bocskai FC 1071 3 Ujpest 1305 1
6 1929-03-17 17.60% Vasas 990 1 @ Nemzeti SC 1140 0
7 1928-09-02 17.71% Vasas 1041 2 @ Sabaria FC 1190 1
8 1929-06-09 19.78% Honved 1013 4 @ Nemzeti SC 1138 1
9 1929-03-24 22.21% @ 33FC 950 2 Nemzeti SC 1130 0
10 1929-04-27 22.57% @ 33FC 959 1 Sabaria FC 1135 0
11 1928-11-18 25.34% III. Kerulet 1087 2 @ Sabaria FC 1157 1
12 1928-09-08 25.52% @ Nemzeti SC 1133 2 Ujpest 1281 1
13 1929-05-12 26.56% @ 33FC 968 4 Somogy FC 1107 1
14 1928-10-14 26.68% Somogy FC 1107 2 @ Sabaria FC 1166 1
15 1929-06-13 26.84% 33FC 977 3 @ Honved 1035 1
16 1928-12-09 28.65% Bocskai FC 1111 2 @ Nemzeti SC 1153 1
17 1928-09-16 28.92% Nemzeti SC 1141 2 @ Sabaria FC 1181 1
18 1928-09-08 29.39% Honved 1047 2 @ Bocskai FC 1083 0
19 1928-10-01 30.31% @ Bocskai FC 1065 3 Sabaria FC 1173 2
20 1929-04-07 30.54% Somogy FC 1086 2 @ III. Kerulet 1113 0
21 1929-05-25 31.08% III. Kerulet 1095 3 @ Nemzeti SC 1118 1
22 1929-04-28 32.12% Bastya 1100 1 @ Somogy FC 1115 0
23 1928-11-25 32.60% @ 33FC 954 4 Honved 1044 2
24 1928-11-11 33.20% Bastya 1056 2 @ Honved 1062 1
25 1928-09-30 33.25% Hungaria 1314 3 @ Ferencvaros 1319 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-06-02 32.99 @ Nemzeti SC 6 1105 41.96% Sabaria FC 0 1128 37.16% 20.89%
2 1928-10-21 30.74 Vasas 3 1021 10.39% @ Ujpest 0 1280 70.92% 18.69%
3 1929-06-09 23.85 @ Somogy FC 6 1071 54.31% Vasas 0 998 25.09% 20.60%
4 1929-03-03 23.59 @ Bastya 6 1081 40.75% Bocskai FC 1 1112 38.36% 20.89%
5 1929-06-09 22.04 Honved 4 1013 19.78% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1138 59.98% 20.23%
6 1929-05-12 21.65 @ Nemzeti SC 4 1098 43.78% Bastya 0 1108 35.34% 20.88%
7 1928-09-16 21.24 @ Bastya 4 1054 44.62% Vasas 0 1057 34.51% 20.87%
8 1928-11-25 19.90 Ferencvaros 9 1325 67.44% @ Vasas 0 1040 13.52% 19.05%
9 1928-12-02 19.84 @ Bocskai FC 2 1091 14.26% Hungaria 0 1366 66.55% 19.19%
10 1929-05-12 19.56 @ 33FC 4 968 26.56% Somogy FC 1 1107 52.92% 20.52%
11 1929-04-07 18.44 @ Honved 3 1038 38.70% Bocskai FC 0 1084 40.42% 20.88%
12 1929-03-24 17.27 @ 33FC 2 950 22.21% Nemzeti SC 0 1130 57.57% 20.22%
13 1929-06-09 16.47 @ Bastya 3 1087 44.05% Sabaria FC 0 1095 35.08% 20.88%
14 1929-06-16 16.44 @ Bocskai FC 5 1097 59.78% Vasas 0 974 19.97% 20.25%
15 1929-05-12 16.30 @ Bocskai FC 3 1071 17.33% Ujpest 1 1305 62.98% 19.69%
16 1928-11-18 15.32 @ Bastya 6 1063 56.69% 33FC 1 969 22.84% 20.47%
17 1928-09-08 15.15 Honved 2 1047 29.39% @ Bocskai FC 0 1083 49.84% 20.77%
18 1929-04-07 14.84 Somogy FC 2 1086 30.54% @ III. Kerulet 0 1113 48.66% 20.81%
19 1928-11-04 14.80 @ Ujpest 5 1250 62.21% III. Kerulet 0 1101 17.76% 20.03%
20 1928-09-15 14.43 Hungaria 4 1299 57.92% @ III. Kerulet 0 1116 21.90% 20.19%
21 1928-11-18 14.01 Hungaria 9 1343 61.97% @ Somogy FC 2 1120 18.23% 19.80%
22 1929-04-21 13.75 @ Somogy FC 4 1101 44.50% Nemzeti SC 1 1106 34.63% 20.87%
23 1929-06-13 13.75 33FC 3 977 26.84% @ Honved 1 1035 52.48% 20.69%
24 1929-05-26 13.04 @ Bastya 3 1086 52.90% Honved 0 1026 26.43% 20.67%
25 1929-05-25 12.72 III. Kerulet 3 1095 31.08% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1118 48.10% 20.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-06-09 62.1 @ Hungaria 3 1384 72.75% Bocskai FC 3 1096 8.99% 18.26%
2 1928-10-14 61.9 @ Hungaria 3 1326 51.11% Ujpest 3 1280 28.16% 20.74%
3 1929-03-23 61.0 @ Vasas 3 1000 31.09% Bastya 3 1101 48.19% 20.72%
4 1929-04-28 59.3 @ Hungaria 2 1375 44.94% Ferencvaros 2 1376 34.19% 20.87%
5 1929-06-13 58.5 @ Sabaria FC 3 1078 12.37% Hungaria 2 1382 68.83% 18.79%
6 1929-04-07 58.0 @ Ferencvaros 2 1375 77.34% Vasas 2 1000 5.83% 16.83%
7 1928-09-02 57.5 @ Ujpest 2 1281 39.78% Ferencvaros 2 1319 39.34% 20.88%
8 1928-12-09 57.3 @ 33FC 2 957 11.38% Ujpest 2 1278 70.07% 18.55%
9 1928-12-02 57.0 @ Bastya 2 1068 19.21% Ujpest 2 1280 60.87% 19.92%
10 1928-09-29 56.9 @ Nemzeti SC 2 1149 64.29% 33FC 2 977 15.92% 19.79%
11 1929-03-17 56.8 @ 33FC 2 949 23.10% III. Kerulet 2 1120 56.61% 20.29%
12 1928-09-02 56.7 @ Honved 2 1046 33.05% Nemzeti SC 2 1133 46.17% 20.78%
13 1928-11-18 56.6 @ Vasas 2 1039 38.62% Bocskai FC 2 1086 40.50% 20.88%
14 1929-06-16 56.6 @ Honved 2 1021 35.73% Sabaria FC 2 1088 43.43% 20.84%
15 1928-11-25 53.4 Ujpest 6 1275 51.33% @ Sabaria FC 5 1149 28.07% 20.60%
16 1929-03-17 53.0 @ Honved 1 1035 11.26% Hungaria 1 1359 70.22% 18.52%
17 1928-09-09 52.9 @ Hungaria 1 1302 70.33% Bastya 1 1052 10.86% 18.82%
18 1928-10-01 52.8 @ Bocskai FC 3 1065 30.31% Sabaria FC 2 1173 49.00% 20.69%
19 1928-11-18 52.8 @ Ferencvaros 1 1327 64.29% Nemzeti SC 1 1156 15.92% 19.79%
20 1928-09-02 52.2 @ III. Kerulet 1 1116 49.63% Bocskai FC 1 1082 29.59% 20.78%
21 1928-10-21 52.2 @ III. Kerulet 1 1101 37.25% Nemzeti SC 1 1157 41.89% 20.86%
22 1928-12-09 52.2 @ Honved 1 1035 34.14% III. Kerulet 1 1113 45.05% 20.81%
23 1929-03-24 52.2 @ Somogy FC 1 1087 51.56% Honved 1 1037 27.72% 20.72%
24 1929-05-12 52.2 @ III. Kerulet 1 1095 42.37% Sabaria FC 1 1115 36.75% 20.89%
25 1929-06-02 52.1 @ 33FC 1 978 42.31% Vasas 1 998 36.81% 20.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1928-12-20 25.3 @ Ferencvaros 4 1350 78.11% 33FC 0 959 5.36% 16.53%
2 1929-06-16 25.5 @ Hungaria 4 1373 77.64% 33FC 0 991 5.64% 16.71%
3 1928-10-21 27.4 @ Ferencvaros 5 1318 69.92% Honved 0 1074 11.18% 18.90%
4 1929-03-03 27.4 Hungaria 7 1346 71.16% @ Vasas 0 1009 10.53% 18.31%
5 1928-11-11 27.5 @ Hungaria 8 1330 72.12% Vasas 0 1052 9.46% 18.41%
6 1928-12-02 27.5 @ Ferencvaros 5 1345 70.03% Somogy FC 0 1100 11.10% 18.88%
7 1929-05-08 27.6 @ Ferencvaros 6 1376 70.35% Sabaria FC 0 1126 10.84% 18.81%
8 1929-06-02 28.1 Ferencvaros 6 1399 68.51% @ Bastya 0 1100 12.63% 18.86%
9 1929-03-10 28.7 @ Ujpest 7 1283 74.97% 33FC 1 955 7.39% 17.63%
10 1928-11-25 29.1 @ Hungaria 4 1357 66.57% Nemzeti SC 0 1158 13.95% 19.48%
11 1928-11-25 29.2 Ferencvaros 9 1325 67.44% @ Vasas 0 1040 13.52% 19.05%
12 1929-03-24 29.2 @ Hungaria 3 1356 69.44% III. Kerulet 0 1119 11.57% 18.99%
13 1928-11-04 29.7 @ Ujpest 5 1250 62.21% III. Kerulet 0 1101 17.76% 20.03%
14 1929-06-16 30.3 @ Bocskai FC 5 1097 59.78% Vasas 0 974 19.97% 20.25%
15 1929-04-07 30.4 @ Ujpest 4 1284 61.56% Sabaria FC 0 1143 18.35% 20.09%
16 1929-05-12 30.4 Ferencvaros 6 1387 72.30% @ Honved 1 1032 9.66% 18.04%
17 1929-04-21 30.5 Ujpest 3 1297 64.41% @ Honved 0 1047 16.08% 19.50%
18 1928-11-18 31.0 @ Ujpest 7 1264 67.38% Honved 1 1055 13.26% 19.36%
19 1928-09-15 31.4 Hungaria 4 1299 57.92% @ III. Kerulet 0 1116 21.90% 20.19%
20 1929-04-21 32.0 Hungaria 2 1369 65.62% @ Bastya 0 1106 15.05% 19.33%
21 1929-06-09 32.0 @ Somogy FC 6 1071 54.31% Vasas 0 998 25.09% 20.60%
22 1928-10-14 32.1 Ferencvaros 3 1307 59.23% @ III. Kerulet 0 1112 20.69% 20.08%
23 1929-06-09 32.5 Ujpest 3 1289 57.87% @ III. Kerulet 0 1106 21.94% 20.19%
24 1928-12-16 32.7 @ Ferencvaros 5 1343 68.53% Bocskai FC 1 1119 12.31% 19.16%
25 1929-04-26 33.2 Ferencvaros 6 1372 75.52% @ 33FC 2 962 7.35% 17.13%