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1929-30 Nemzeti Liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

38 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ujpest

8.51 points above expected

38 points · 29.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pecs-Baranya FC

7.07 points below expected

17 points · 24.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ujpest Champion 22 18 2 2 38 74 30 +44 29.49 +8.51
2 Ferencvaros 22 15 6 1 36 80 27 +53 31.24 +4.76
3 Hungaria 22 10 7 5 27 54 36 +18 29.18 -2.18
4 III. Kerulet 22 9 7 6 25 36 35 +1 19.93 +5.07
5 Bocskai FC 22 7 6 9 20 43 48 -5 19.33 +0.67
6 Kispest 22 6 7 9 19 21 39 -18 16.54 +2.46
7 33FC 22 5 8 9 18 28 31 -3 18.36 -0.36
8 Bastya 22 7 3 12 17 41 53 -12 19.12 -2.12
9 Pecs-Baranya FC 22 5 7 10 17 31 50 -19 24.07 -7.07
10 Nemzeti SC 22 6 4 12 16 26 44 -18 17.15 -1.15
11 Attila FC 22 5 6 11 16 22 40 -18 21.85 -5.85
12 Somogy FC 22 3 9 10 15 31 54 -23 17.74 -2.74

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ujpest 38 29.49 +8.51
2 III. Kerulet 25 19.93 +5.07
3 Ferencvaros 36 31.24 +4.76
4 Kispest 19 16.54 +2.46
5 Bocskai FC 20 19.33 +0.67

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pecs-Baranya FC 17 24.07 -7.07
2 Attila FC 16 21.85 -5.85
3 Somogy FC 15 17.74 -2.74
4 Hungaria 27 29.18 -2.18
5 Bastya 17 19.12 -2.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 33FC 3 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 145
2 Ujpest 7 Nov 24 – Mar 16 1 in 43
3 Bocskai FC 3 Feb 16 – Mar 2 1 in 31
4 Attila FC 2 Apr 6 – May 4 1 in 12
5 Hungaria 4 Nov 17 – Mar 2 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bastya 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 387
2 Attila FC 3 Nov 17 – Dec 1 1 in 95
3 Bocskai FC 4 Mar 6 – Apr 6 1 in 39
4 Hungaria 2 Mar 30 – Apr 6 1 in 29
5 Nemzeti SC 6 Dec 1 – Mar 16 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 III. Kerulet 7 Mar 6 – May 17 1 in 12
2 Kispest 4 Sep 22 – Oct 19 1 in 12
3 Bocskai FC 3 Sep 15 – Sep 29 1 in 9
4 33FC 3 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 9
5 Ujpest 10 Nov 24 – Apr 6 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pecs-Baranya FC 7 Sep 1 – Oct 27 1 in 159
2 Attila FC 9 Oct 13 – Feb 23 1 in 95
3 33FC 9 Sep 29 – Feb 23 1 in 71
4 Hungaria 6 Mar 30 – May 18 1 in 35
5 Somogy FC 11 Oct 27 – Mar 30 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ujpest 1421 38 +28 8 6.7 +1.3
Ferencvaros 1463 36 +22 8 7.4 +0.6
Hungaria 1319 27 -13 5 5.7 -0.7
III. Kerulet 1209 25 +17 6 5.7 +0.3
Bocskai FC 1173 20 -11 5 5.1 -0.1
Kispest 1065 19 -18 3 3.7 -0.7
33FC 1101 18 -47 3 4.2 -1.2
Pecs-Baranya FC 1172 17 -31 3 4.4 -1.4
Bastya 1130 17 -22 3 3.8 -0.8
Nemzeti SC 1135 16 +57 7 4.8 +2.2
Attila FC 1164 16 +0 5 4.5 +0.5
Somogy FC 1095 15 +31 5 3.5 +1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F ATT BAS BOC FER HUN IK KIS NS PEC SOM UJP
33FC —
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
1.53
Attila FC
1-1-0
2.92
—
0-1-1
3.44
0-0-2
2.95
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
1.71
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.41
0-0-2
1.68
Bastya
0-0-2
3.13
1-1-0
1.99
—
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
1.30
Bocskai FC
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.78
—
0-1-1
1.29
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
1.83
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
1.43
Ferencvaros
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
4.32
1-1-0
4.20
—
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.52
0-2-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.51
1-1-0
3.21
Hungaria
2-0-0
3.88
0-1-1
3.73
2-0-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.71
0-1-1
2.30
—
2-0-0
3.73
0-1-1
4.35
2-0-0
4.07
0-2-0
3.44
1-1-0
4.18
0-0-2
2.69
III. Kerulet
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
1.72
—
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.26
0-2-0
3.00
0-0-2
1.50
Kispest
0-2-0
2.18
1-1-0
2.03
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
0.92
1-1-0
1.15
0-0-2
2.20
—
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
1.69
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.31
Nemzeti SC
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
1.42
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.94
—
1-0-1
2.00
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.22
Pecs-Baranya FC
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.37
0-0-2
3.61
0-2-0
1.41
0-2-0
2.00
0-1-1
3.18
0-1-1
3.77
1-0-1
3.43
—
1-1-0
3.53
0-0-2
1.81
Somogy FC
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.32
0-0-2
1.02
0-1-1
1.30
0-2-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
1.92
—
0-0-2
1.23
Ujpest
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.76
1-0-1
4.17
2-0-0
4.04
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.26
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.28
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +3.7
Allowed 0.55 -6.3
Differential 0.95 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%5.30%3.41%2.65%2.65%2.27%22.35%
15.30%12.12%4.92%3.03%1.14%3.41%29.92%
23.41%4.92%6.82%3.03%0.38%2.65%21.21%
32.65%3.03%3.03%1.52%0.76%0.38%11.36%
42.65%1.14%0.38%0.76%0.76%0.38%6.06%
5+2.27%3.41%2.65%0.38%0.38%—9.09%
Total22.35%29.92%21.21%11.36%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.84 1.84 +0.00
SD 1.74 1.74 2.59
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%13.64%—4.55%——36.36%
1—13.64%13.64%——9.09%36.36%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%27.27%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.41 -0.14
SD 1.64 1.47 2.29
CV 1.29 1.04 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
19.09%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%—50.00%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%9.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.82 -0.82
SD 0.82 1.74 2.04
CV 0.82 0.95 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
2———9.09%—4.55%13.64%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
Total13.64%31.82%18.18%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.41 -0.55
SD 1.81 2.09 3.25
CV 0.97 0.87 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%————9.09%
29.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%—9.09%45.45%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
44.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.18 -0.23
SD 1.25 2.04 2.20
CV 0.64 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1—13.64%————13.64%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
413.64%———4.55%—18.18%
5+13.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.64 1.23 +2.41
SD 2.38 1.11 2.86
CV 0.65 0.90 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%—13.64%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.64 +0.82
SD 1.84 1.36 2.38
CV 0.75 0.83 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
19.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.59 +0.05
SD 1.18 1.76 2.26
CV 0.72 1.11 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—36.36%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.77 -0.82
SD 0.95 2.09 2.24
CV 1.00 1.18 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%22.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.00 -0.82
SD 1.37 1.75 2.34
CV 1.16 0.87 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%9.09%4.55%31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%13.64%18.18%18.18%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.27 -0.86
SD 1.26 1.78 2.44
CV 0.89 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
24.55%—18.18%——4.55%27.27%
3—————4.55%4.55%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total18.18%18.18%27.27%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.45 -1.05
SD 1.50 2.09 2.13
CV 1.07 0.85 —
Max 7 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3——9.09%———9.09%
49.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
5+4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.36 1.36 +2.00
SD 1.94 1.09 2.00
CV 0.58 0.80 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ferencvaros 1463 36 31.24 +4.76 97.0% 23 26 29 31 33 36 38
Ujpest 1421 38 29.49 +8.51 99.0% 20 23 27 30 32 35 39
Hungaria 1319 27 29.18 -2.18 29.0% 21 24 27 29 31 35 38
III. Kerulet 1209 25 19.93 +5.07 93.0% 9 14 18 20 22 27 28
Bocskai FC 1173 20 19.33 +0.67 58.0% 11 14 16 19 22 25 26
Pecs-Baranya FC 1172 17 24.07 -7.07 2.0% 14 18 22 24 26 29 31
Attila FC 1164 16 21.85 -5.85 3.0% 14 17 19 22 25 27 29
Nemzeti SC 1135 16 17.15 -1.15 49.0% 8 12 15 17 19 23 28
Bastya 1130 17 19.12 -2.12 32.0% 10 13 17 19 22 25 27
33FC 1101 18 18.36 -0.36 47.0% 10 12 16 19 21 24 26
Somogy FC 1095 15 17.74 -2.74 37.0% 10 11 14 17 21 25 28
Kispest 1065 19 16.54 +2.46 78.0% 5 10 14 16 19 23 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Slight Edge
43.94%27.27%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
137 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
053.05400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Ujpest, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.74 * Wild Swing: 5.74 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.41 * Close: 1.41 to 2.11 * Off: 2.11 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.38 points
Lucky
03.599
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Off
01.764
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Ujpest
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Pecs-Baranya FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 129.08
1.97
Strong Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.53
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.29
Weak Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.130
Well Within Noise
00.1460.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ujpest32.00%32.00%18.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%————
Ferencvaros51.00%33.00%13.00%2.00%—1.00%——————
Hungaria16.00%29.00%41.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%——————
III. Kerulet—2.00%4.00%2.00%18.00%15.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%
Bocskai FC——1.00%10.00%10.00%14.00%4.00%17.00%18.00%11.00%12.00%3.00%
Kispest——1.00%—4.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%21.00%27.00%
33FC——1.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%10.00%
Bastya———7.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%19.00%7.00%9.00%
Pecs-Baranya FC1.00%4.00%12.00%31.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Nemzeti SC———3.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%20.00%23.00%19.00%
Attila FC——8.00%19.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%15.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
Somogy FC——1.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%16.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Attila FC 100%
Bastya 100%
Bocskai FC 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Hungaria 100%
III. Kerulet 100%
Kispest 100%
Nemzeti SC 100%
Pecs-Baranya FC 100%
Somogy FC 100%
Ujpest 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1929-08-31 Attila FC D 1-150.1 1155 1263 32.31% 28.78% 38.91%-0.40 +0.3 1
1929-08-31 @ Nemzeti SC D 1-150.1 1263 1155 38.91% 28.78% 32.31%+0.40 -0.3 1
1929-09-01 33FC L 0-347.2 1341 1068 69.87% 23.52% 6.61%+2.38 -43.3 0
1929-09-01 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-047.2 1068 1341 6.61% 23.52% 69.87%-2.38 +43.3 2
1929-09-01 III. Kerulet D 2-254.1 1139 1135 47.13% 28.73% 24.14%+0.41 -0.8 1
1929-09-01 @ Somogy FC D 2-254.1 1135 1139 24.14% 28.73% 47.13%-0.41 +0.8 1
1929-09-01 Bocskai FC W 5-033.3 1150 1150 46.69% 28.75% 24.56%+0.39 +30.0 2
1929-09-01 @ Bastya L 0-533.3 1150 1150 24.56% 28.75% 46.69%-0.39 -30.0 0
1929-09-01 Hungaria W 4-247.7 1278 1325 40.69% 28.93% 30.38%+0.04 +11.6 2
1929-09-01 @ Ujpest L 2-447.7 1325 1278 30.38% 28.93% 40.69%-0.04 -11.6 0
1929-09-15 Bastya W 7-036.5 1112 1180 37.80% 28.92% 33.28%-0.11 +51.6 4
1929-09-15 @ 33FC L 0-736.5 1180 1112 33.28% 28.92% 37.80%+0.11 -51.6 2
1929-09-15 Somogy FC D 2-254.1 1120 1138 44.55% 28.84% 26.61%+0.26 -0.7 1
1929-09-15 @ Bocskai FC D 2-254.1 1138 1120 26.61% 28.84% 44.55%-0.26 +0.6 2
1929-09-15 Ujpest L 0-235.8 1090 1290 21.53% 27.78% 50.69%-1.07 -11.4 0
1929-09-15 @ Kispest W 2-035.8 1290 1090 50.69% 27.78% 21.53%+1.07 +11.4 4
1929-09-15 Nemzeti SC W 2-143.8 1136 1156 44.26% 28.85% 26.88%+0.24 +6.9 3
1929-09-15 @ III. Kerulet L 1-243.8 1156 1136 26.88% 28.85% 44.26%-0.24 -6.9 1
1929-09-15 Ferencvaros L 1-345.2 1263 1352 34.84% 28.87% 36.29%-0.26 -14.4 1
1929-09-15 @ Attila FC W 3-145.2 1352 1263 36.29% 28.87% 34.84%+0.26 +14.4 2
1929-09-15 Pecs-Baranya FC D 1-151.0 1313 1298 48.54% 28.64% 22.82%+0.50 -1.3 1
1929-09-15 @ Hungaria D 1-151.0 1298 1313 22.82% 28.64% 48.54%-0.50 +1.3 1
1929-09-21 Bocskai FC D 2-254.2 1149 1120 50.10% 28.52% 21.39%+0.60 -1.1 2
1929-09-21 @ Nemzeti SC D 2-254.2 1120 1149 21.39% 28.52% 50.10%-0.60 +1.1 2
1929-09-21 Attila FC W 4-032.5 1301 1248 52.63% 28.26% 19.11%+0.77 +20.0 6
1929-09-21 @ Ujpest L 0-432.5 1248 1301 19.11% 28.26% 52.63%-0.77 -20.0 1
1929-09-22 III. Kerulet W 8-028.7 1366 1143 66.78% 24.87% 8.35%+2.02 +17.8 4
1929-09-22 @ Ferencvaros L 0-828.7 1143 1366 8.35% 24.87% 66.78%-2.02 -17.8 3
1929-09-22 Kispest D 0-048.1 1299 1079 66.58% 24.95% 8.47%+2.00 -3.6 2
1929-09-22 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 0-048.1 1079 1299 8.47% 24.95% 66.58%-2.00 +3.6 1
1929-09-22 33FC L 0-242.7 1138 1163 43.60% 28.87% 27.52%+0.21 -19.7 2
1929-09-22 @ Somogy FC W 2-042.7 1163 1138 27.52% 28.87% 43.60%-0.21 +19.7 6
1929-09-22 Hungaria L 1-636.2 1128 1312 23.14% 28.02% 48.84%-0.95 -23.5 2
1929-09-22 @ Bastya W 6-136.2 1312 1128 48.84% 28.02% 23.14%+0.95 +23.5 3
1929-09-29 Nemzeti SC L 0-147.1 1183 1148 50.77% 28.46% 20.77%+0.65 -11.9 6
1929-09-29 @ 33FC W 1-047.1 1148 1183 20.77% 28.46% 50.77%-0.65 +11.9 4
1929-09-29 Bocskai FC D 1-151.9 1384 1121 69.31% 23.78% 6.91%+2.31 -3.5 5
1929-09-29 @ Ferencvaros D 1-151.9 1121 1384 6.91% 23.78% 69.31%-2.31 +3.5 3
1929-09-29 Bastya D 0-046.8 1082 1105 43.90% 28.87% 27.24%+0.22 -0.9 2
1929-09-29 @ Kispest D 0-046.8 1105 1082 27.24% 28.87% 43.90%-0.22 +0.9 3
1929-09-29 Ujpest L 2-346.4 1125 1321 21.87% 27.84% 50.30%-1.04 -5.5 3
1929-09-29 @ III. Kerulet W 3-246.4 1321 1125 50.30% 27.84% 21.87%+1.04 +5.5 8
1929-09-29 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-038.1 1228 1296 37.95% 28.92% 33.12%-0.10 +23.2 3
1929-09-29 @ Attila FC L 0-338.1 1296 1228 33.12% 28.92% 37.95%+0.10 -23.2 2
1929-09-29 Somogy FC W 6-131.0 1336 1119 66.34% 25.04% 8.62%+1.97 +9.8 5
1929-09-29 @ Hungaria L 1-631.0 1119 1336 8.62% 25.04% 66.34%-1.97 -9.8 2
1929-10-13 33FC W 2-137.9 1381 1171 65.84% 25.23% 8.93%+1.92 +2.6 7
1929-10-13 @ Ferencvaros L 1-237.9 1171 1381 8.93% 25.23% 65.84%-1.92 -2.6 6
1929-10-13 Hungaria L 0-236.6 1160 1345 22.92% 27.99% 49.10%-0.97 -12.0 4
1929-10-13 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-036.6 1345 1160 49.10% 27.99% 22.92%+0.97 +12.0 7
1929-10-13 III. Kerulet D 1-150.8 1272 1119 61.71% 26.56% 11.72%+1.50 -2.7 3
1929-10-13 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 1-150.8 1119 1272 11.72% 26.56% 61.71%-1.50 +2.7 4
1929-10-13 Kispest D 0-046.9 1109 1081 49.91% 28.53% 21.55%+0.59 -1.6 3
1929-10-13 @ Somogy FC D 0-046.9 1081 1109 21.55% 28.53% 49.91%-0.59 +1.6 3
1929-10-13 Attila FC W 5-248.4 1106 1252 27.44% 28.47% 44.09%-0.68 +21.0 5
1929-10-13 @ Bastya L 2-548.4 1252 1106 44.09% 28.47% 27.44%+0.68 -21.0 3
1929-10-13 Bocskai FC W 4-345.2 1326 1124 65.34% 25.41% 9.24%+1.87 +2.5 10
1929-10-13 @ Ujpest L 3-445.2 1124 1326 9.24% 25.41% 65.34%-1.87 -2.5 3
1929-10-19 Ujpest D 0-047.4 1168 1329 25.70% 28.32% 45.98%-0.78 +1.1 7
1929-10-19 @ 33FC D 0-047.4 1329 1168 45.98% 28.32% 25.70%+0.78 -1.1 11
1929-10-19 Pecs-Baranya FC W 2-149.0 1122 1270 27.17% 28.45% 44.38%-0.69 +9.9 5
1929-10-19 @ Bocskai FC L 1-249.0 1270 1122 44.38% 28.45% 27.17%+0.69 -9.9 3
1929-10-19 Nemzeti SC W 1-041.8 1083 1147 38.32% 28.93% 32.75%-0.08 +8.4 5
1929-10-19 @ Kispest L 0-141.8 1147 1083 32.75% 28.93% 38.32%+0.08 -8.4 4
1929-10-19 Bastya W 1-039.4 1122 1127 46.14% 28.78% 25.08%+0.35 +6.9 6
1929-10-19 @ III. Kerulet L 0-139.4 1127 1122 25.08% 28.78% 46.14%-0.35 -6.9 5
1929-10-19 Somogy FC L 0-149.3 1231 1107 59.29% 27.16% 13.55%+1.29 -13.7 3
1929-10-19 @ Attila FC W 1-049.3 1107 1231 13.55% 27.16% 59.29%-1.29 +13.7 5
1929-10-19 Ferencvaros L 0-441.9 1357 1383 43.49% 28.88% 27.63%+0.20 -37.2 7
1929-10-19 @ Hungaria W 4-041.9 1383 1357 27.63% 28.88% 43.49%-0.20 +37.2 9
1929-10-27 33FC D 1-150.0 1132 1170 41.90% 28.91% 29.18%+0.11 -0.6 6
1929-10-27 @ Bocskai FC D 1-150.0 1170 1132 29.18% 28.91% 41.90%-0.11 +0.6 8
1929-10-27 Somogy FC W 5-026.4 1421 1121 71.42% 22.74% 5.84%+2.58 +7.8 11
1929-10-27 @ Ferencvaros L 0-526.4 1121 1421 5.84% 22.74% 71.42%-2.58 -7.8 5
1929-10-27 Attila FC D 1-150.9 1320 1217 57.54% 27.52% 14.94%+1.14 -2.3 8
1929-10-27 @ Hungaria D 1-150.9 1217 1320 14.94% 27.52% 57.54%-1.14 +2.3 4
1929-10-27 Pecs-Baranya FC W 5-143.3 1120 1260 28.16% 28.53% 43.30%-0.63 +30.8 7
1929-10-27 @ Bastya L 1-543.3 1260 1120 43.30% 28.53% 28.16%+0.63 -30.8 3
1929-10-27 Nemzeti SC W 4-028.7 1328 1139 64.39% 25.75% 9.86%+1.77 +11.0 13
1929-10-27 @ Ujpest L 0-428.7 1139 1328 9.86% 25.75% 64.39%-1.77 -11.0 4
1929-11-03 III. Kerulet L 1-542.9 1091 1129 41.96% 28.91% 29.13%+0.11 -30.1 5
1929-11-03 @ Kispest W 5-142.9 1129 1091 29.13% 28.91% 41.96%-0.11 +30.2 8
1929-11-10 Attila FC D 0-046.9 1170 1219 40.44% 28.93% 30.63%+0.03 -0.5 9
1929-11-10 @ 33FC D 0-046.9 1219 1170 30.63% 28.93% 40.44%-0.03 +0.5 5
1929-11-10 Bocskai FC D 0-046.9 1159 1131 49.99% 28.53% 21.49%+0.59 -1.6 9
1929-11-10 @ III. Kerulet D 0-046.9 1131 1159 21.49% 28.53% 49.99%-0.59 +1.6 7
1929-11-10 Kispest D 1-151.5 1318 1061 68.89% 23.97% 7.14%+2.26 -3.5 9
1929-11-10 @ Hungaria D 1-151.5 1061 1318 7.14% 23.97% 68.89%-2.26 +3.5 6
1929-11-10 Nemzeti SC W 3-031.9 1229 1128 57.31% 27.56% 15.12%+1.12 +12.5 5
1929-11-10 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-331.9 1128 1229 15.12% 27.56% 57.31%-1.12 -12.5 4
1929-11-10 Bastya D 1-149.9 1113 1151 41.98% 28.91% 29.11%+0.11 -0.6 6
1929-11-10 @ Somogy FC D 1-149.9 1151 1113 29.11% 28.91% 41.98%-0.11 +0.6 8
1929-11-10 Ferencvaros L 1-249.0 1339 1428 34.82% 28.87% 36.32%-0.27 -8.3 13
1929-11-10 @ Ujpest W 2-149.0 1428 1339 36.32% 28.87% 34.82%+0.27 +8.3 13
1929-11-17 Kispest L 0-147.9 1133 1065 54.18% 28.07% 17.75%+0.88 -12.6 7
1929-11-17 @ Bocskai FC W 1-047.9 1065 1133 17.75% 28.07% 54.18%-0.88 +12.6 8
1929-11-17 III. Kerulet L 0-245.6 1220 1158 53.61% 28.14% 18.25%+0.84 -23.5 5
1929-11-17 @ Attila FC W 2-045.6 1158 1220 18.25% 28.14% 53.61%-0.84 +23.5 11
1929-11-17 33FC W 5-133.7 1314 1170 61.07% 26.73% 12.20%+1.45 +11.2 11
1929-11-17 @ Hungaria L 1-533.7 1170 1314 12.20% 26.73% 61.07%-1.45 -11.2 9
1929-11-17 Somogy FC W 1-039.1 1116 1113 47.06% 28.73% 24.21%+0.41 +6.7 6
1929-11-17 @ Nemzeti SC L 0-139.1 1113 1116 24.21% 28.73% 47.06%-0.41 -6.7 6
1929-11-17 Ferencvaros W 3-045.4 1151 1437 14.41% 26.12% 59.47%-1.70 +37.2 10
1929-11-17 @ Bastya L 0-345.4 1437 1151 59.47% 26.12% 14.41%+1.70 -37.2 13
1929-11-24 Kispest D 2-254.4 1158 1077 55.48% 27.88% 16.64%+0.98 -1.5 10
1929-11-24 @ 33FC D 2-254.4 1077 1158 16.64% 27.88% 55.48%-0.98 +1.5 9
1929-11-24 Pecs-Baranya FC D 2-256.0 1399 1241 62.11% 26.45% 11.44%+1.54 -2.1 14
1929-11-24 @ Ferencvaros D 2-256.0 1241 1399 11.44% 26.45% 62.11%-1.54 +2.1 6
1929-11-24 Hungaria L 0-140.5 1181 1326 27.58% 28.49% 43.94%-0.67 -7.4 11
1929-11-24 @ III. Kerulet W 1-040.5 1326 1181 43.94% 28.49% 27.58%+0.67 +7.4 13
1929-11-24 Bocskai FC L 1-350.0 1196 1120 55.01% 27.95% 17.04%+0.94 -20.9 5
1929-11-24 @ Attila FC W 3-150.0 1120 1196 17.04% 27.95% 55.01%-0.94 +20.9 9
1929-11-24 Bastya W 2-145.6 1122 1188 38.10% 28.92% 32.98%-0.10 +8.0 8
1929-11-24 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-245.6 1188 1122 32.98% 28.92% 38.10%+0.10 -8.0 10
1929-11-24 Ujpest L 3-740.0 1106 1331 19.16% 27.36% 53.48%-1.25 -12.7 6
1929-11-24 @ Somogy FC W 7-340.0 1331 1106 53.48% 27.36% 19.16%+1.25 +12.7 15
1929-12-01 III. Kerulet L 1-249.1 1157 1174 44.64% 28.84% 26.52%+0.27 -10.0 10
1929-12-01 @ 33FC W 2-149.1 1174 1157 26.52% 28.84% 44.64%-0.27 +10.0 13
1929-12-01 Nemzeti SC W 7-232.3 1397 1130 69.52% 23.68% 6.80%+2.34 +6.4 16
1929-12-01 @ Ferencvaros L 2-732.3 1130 1397 6.80% 23.68% 69.52%-2.34 -6.4 8
1929-12-01 Attila FC W 2-146.9 1079 1175 33.83% 28.84% 37.33%-0.32 +8.7 11
1929-12-01 @ Kispest L 1-246.9 1175 1079 37.33% 28.84% 33.83%+0.32 -8.7 5
1929-12-01 Bocskai FC W 5-237.5 1333 1141 64.64% 25.66% 9.70%+1.79 +6.0 15
1929-12-01 @ Hungaria L 2-537.5 1141 1333 9.70% 25.66% 64.64%-1.79 -6.0 9
1929-12-01 Somogy FC D 2-254.8 1243 1093 61.50% 26.62% 11.88%+1.49 -2.0 7
1929-12-01 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 2-254.8 1093 1243 11.88% 26.62% 61.50%-1.49 +2.0 7
1929-12-01 Bastya W 6-132.4 1343 1180 62.47% 26.35% 11.18%+1.58 +12.7 17
1929-12-01 @ Ujpest L 1-632.4 1180 1343 11.18% 26.35% 62.47%-1.58 -12.7 10
1929-12-08 Ujpest L 3-453.5 1241 1356 31.40% 28.74% 39.86%-0.45 -7.1 7
1929-12-08 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-353.5 1356 1241 39.86% 28.74% 31.40%+0.45 +7.1 19
1929-12-15 Kispest W 4-026.4 1404 1087 72.36% 22.24% 5.40%+2.70 +5.8 18
1929-12-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-426.4 1087 1404 5.40% 22.24% 72.36%-2.70 -5.8 11
1930-02-16 Somogy FC W 3-141.5 1082 1095 45.05% 28.83% 26.12%+0.29 +11.6 13
1930-02-16 @ Kispest L 1-341.5 1095 1082 26.12% 28.83% 45.05%-0.29 -11.6 7
1930-02-16 Attila FC D 1-150.1 1184 1167 48.72% 28.62% 22.66%+0.51 -1.3 14
1930-02-16 @ III. Kerulet D 1-150.1 1167 1184 22.66% 28.62% 48.72%-0.51 +1.3 6
1930-02-16 Bocskai FC L 0-443.3 1234 1135 57.20% 27.58% 15.21%+1.11 -47.4 7
1930-02-16 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-043.3 1135 1234 15.21% 27.58% 57.20%-1.11 +47.4 11
1930-02-16 Nemzeti SC W 5-136.2 1168 1124 51.71% 28.36% 19.93%+0.71 +17.2 12
1930-02-16 @ Bastya L 1-536.2 1124 1168 19.93% 28.36% 51.71%-0.71 -17.2 8
1930-02-23 Somogy FC D 0-047.0 1147 1084 53.73% 28.13% 18.15%+0.85 -2.1 11
1930-02-23 @ 33FC D 0-047.0 1084 1147 18.15% 28.13% 53.73%-0.85 +2.1 8
1930-02-23 Nemzeti SC W 2-034.5 1182 1107 54.93% 27.96% 17.11%+0.94 +9.6 13
1930-02-23 @ Bocskai FC L 0-234.5 1107 1182 17.11% 27.96% 54.93%-0.94 -9.6 8
1930-02-23 Attila FC W 1-038.7 1187 1168 48.94% 28.61% 22.45%+0.53 +6.3 9
1930-02-23 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-138.7 1168 1187 22.45% 28.61% 48.94%-0.53 -6.4 6
1930-02-23 Kispest W 3-138.2 1185 1093 56.48% 27.71% 15.81%+1.06 +7.8 14
1930-02-23 @ Bastya L 1-338.2 1093 1185 15.81% 27.71% 56.48%-1.06 -7.8 13
1930-02-23 III. Kerulet W 3-242.7 1363 1182 63.80% 25.94% 10.26%+1.71 +2.9 21
1930-02-23 @ Ujpest L 2-342.7 1182 1363 10.26% 25.94% 63.80%-1.71 -2.9 14
1930-03-02 Bocskai FC L 0-239.3 1086 1192 32.52% 28.79% 38.70%-0.39 -15.8 13
1930-03-02 @ Kispest W 2-039.3 1192 1086 38.70% 28.79% 32.52%+0.39 +15.8 15
1930-03-02 Nemzeti SC W 2-034.8 1162 1097 53.84% 28.11% 18.05%+0.86 +10.0 8
1930-03-02 @ Attila FC L 0-234.8 1097 1162 18.05% 28.11% 53.84%-0.86 -10.0 8
1930-03-02 III. Kerulet W 3-136.9 1339 1180 62.23% 26.42% 11.36%+1.55 +5.8 17
1930-03-02 @ Hungaria L 1-336.9 1180 1339 11.36% 26.42% 62.23%-1.55 -5.7 14
1930-03-02 Ferencvaros L 2-635.9 1086 1410 12.02% 25.18% 62.80%-1.98 -9.1 8
1930-03-02 @ Somogy FC W 6-235.9 1410 1086 62.80% 25.18% 12.02%+1.98 +9.1 20
1930-03-02 33FC L 2-355.4 1193 1145 52.14% 28.32% 19.55%+0.74 -10.9 14
1930-03-02 @ Bastya W 3-255.4 1145 1193 19.55% 28.32% 52.14%-0.74 +10.9 13
1930-03-02 Pecs-Baranya FC W 6-029.1 1366 1193 63.21% 26.13% 10.66%+1.65 +17.3 23
1930-03-02 @ Ujpest L 0-629.1 1193 1366 10.66% 26.13% 63.21%-1.65 -17.3 9
1930-03-06 Bocskai FC W 3-249.3 1156 1208 40.07% 28.93% 31.00%+0.01 +7.2 15
1930-03-06 @ 33FC L 2-349.3 1208 1156 31.00% 28.93% 40.07%-0.01 -7.2 15
1930-03-06 Bastya W 4-028.3 1419 1182 67.63% 24.52% 7.85%+2.12 +8.7 22
1930-03-06 @ Ferencvaros L 0-428.3 1182 1419 7.85% 24.52% 67.63%-2.12 -8.7 14
1930-03-06 Somogy FC D 1-150.3 1174 1077 56.99% 27.62% 15.38%+1.10 -2.2 15
1930-03-06 @ III. Kerulet D 1-150.3 1077 1174 15.38% 27.62% 56.99%-1.10 +2.2 9
1930-03-06 Kispest D 1-150.3 1172 1070 57.41% 27.55% 15.05%+1.13 -2.3 9
1930-03-06 @ Attila FC D 1-150.3 1070 1172 15.05% 27.55% 57.41%-1.13 +2.3 14
1930-03-06 Ujpest L 0-135.4 1087 1383 13.69% 25.87% 60.44%-1.78 -4.1 8
1930-03-06 @ Nemzeti SC W 1-035.4 1383 1087 60.44% 25.87% 13.69%+1.78 +4.1 25
1930-03-06 Hungaria D 2-254.7 1176 1345 24.75% 28.21% 47.04%-0.85 +0.8 10
1930-03-06 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 2-254.7 1345 1176 47.04% 28.21% 24.75%+0.85 -0.8 18
1930-03-16 Ferencvaros L 2-346.2 1200 1427 18.95% 27.32% 53.73%-1.27 -4.9 15
1930-03-16 @ Bocskai FC W 3-246.2 1427 1200 53.73% 27.32% 18.95%+1.27 +4.9 24
1930-03-16 33FC W 1-039.1 1169 1163 47.48% 28.71% 23.82%+0.43 +6.7 11
1930-03-16 @ Attila FC L 0-139.1 1163 1169 23.82% 28.71% 47.48%-0.43 -6.7 15
1930-03-16 Nemzeti SC W 3-028.4 1344 1083 69.16% 23.85% 6.99%+2.29 +5.9 20
1930-03-16 @ Hungaria L 0-328.4 1083 1344 6.99% 23.85% 69.16%-2.29 -5.9 8
1930-03-16 Pecs-Baranya FC L 1-343.8 1079 1177 33.63% 28.83% 37.54%-0.33 -14.0 9
1930-03-16 @ Somogy FC W 3-143.8 1177 1079 37.54% 28.83% 33.63%+0.33 +14.0 12
1930-03-16 III. Kerulet L 2-354.0 1173 1172 46.91% 28.74% 24.36%+0.40 -9.9 14
1930-03-16 @ Bastya W 3-254.0 1172 1173 24.36% 28.74% 46.91%-0.40 +9.9 17
1930-03-16 Kispest W 2-135.6 1387 1072 72.30% 22.27% 5.43%+2.69 +1.5 27
1930-03-16 @ Ujpest L 1-235.6 1072 1387 5.43% 22.27% 72.30%-2.69 -1.5 14
1930-03-23 Hungaria L 0-138.7 1156 1350 22.12% 27.87% 50.01%-1.03 -6.2 15
1930-03-23 @ 33FC W 1-038.7 1350 1156 50.01% 27.87% 22.12%+1.03 +6.2 22
1930-03-23 Ujpest D 1-154.2 1432 1389 51.64% 28.37% 19.99%+0.70 -1.6 25
1930-03-23 @ Ferencvaros D 1-154.2 1389 1432 19.99% 28.37% 51.64%-0.70 +1.6 28
1930-03-30 III. Kerulet L 0-146.5 1195 1181 48.35% 28.65% 23.00%+0.49 -11.4 15
1930-03-30 @ Bocskai FC W 1-046.5 1181 1195 23.00% 28.65% 48.35%-0.49 +11.4 19
1930-03-30 Attila FC W 6-027.7 1431 1176 68.75% 24.03% 7.21%+2.25 +11.6 27
1930-03-30 @ Ferencvaros L 0-627.7 1176 1431 7.21% 24.03% 68.75%-2.25 -11.6 11
1930-03-30 Hungaria W 2-152.9 1071 1356 14.39% 26.11% 59.50%-1.70 +12.8 16
1930-03-30 @ Kispest L 1-252.9 1356 1071 59.50% 26.11% 14.39%+1.70 -12.8 22
1930-03-30 Bastya W 2-036.1 1191 1163 49.90% 28.53% 21.57%+0.59 +11.6 14
1930-03-30 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-236.1 1163 1191 21.57% 28.53% 49.90%-0.59 -11.6 14
1930-03-30 Nemzeti SC D 1-149.9 1065 1077 45.19% 28.82% 25.99%+0.30 -0.9 10
1930-03-30 @ Somogy FC D 1-149.9 1077 1065 25.99% 28.82% 45.19%-0.30 +0.9 9
1930-03-30 33FC W 2-137.2 1390 1150 67.86% 24.42% 7.71%+2.14 +2.2 30
1930-03-30 @ Ujpest L 1-237.2 1150 1390 7.71% 24.42% 67.86%-2.14 -2.2 15
1930-04-06 Ujpest L 2-639.6 1184 1393 20.64% 27.64% 51.73%-1.14 -14.8 15
1930-04-06 @ Bocskai FC W 6-239.6 1393 1184 51.73% 27.64% 20.64%+1.14 +14.8 32
1930-04-06 33FC D 1-150.2 1193 1148 51.82% 28.35% 19.83%+0.72 -1.6 20
1930-04-06 @ III. Kerulet D 1-150.2 1148 1193 19.83% 28.35% 51.82%-0.72 +1.6 16
1930-04-06 Hungaria W 1-046.6 1164 1343 23.65% 28.08% 48.27%-0.92 +11.3 13
1930-04-06 @ Attila FC L 0-146.6 1343 1164 48.27% 28.08% 23.65%+0.92 -11.3 22
1930-04-06 Kispest W 1-039.4 1078 1083 46.06% 28.78% 25.15%+0.35 +6.9 11
1930-04-06 @ Nemzeti SC L 0-139.4 1083 1078 25.15% 28.78% 46.06%-0.35 -6.9 16
1930-04-06 Ferencvaros D 4-462.5 1202 1442 17.85% 27.08% 55.07%-1.36 +1.1 15
1930-04-06 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 4-462.5 1442 1202 55.07% 27.08% 17.85%+1.36 -1.0 28
1930-04-06 Somogy FC L 0-246.1 1152 1064 56.13% 27.77% 16.10%+1.03 -24.5 14
1930-04-06 @ Bastya W 2-046.1 1064 1152 16.10% 27.77% 56.13%-1.03 +24.5 12
1930-04-20 Hungaria D 3-361.5 1441 1332 58.06% 27.42% 14.52%+1.18 -1.4 29
1930-04-20 @ Ferencvaros D 3-361.5 1332 1441 14.52% 27.42% 58.06%-1.18 +1.5 23
1930-04-27 33FC D 0-046.8 1076 1149 37.14% 28.91% 33.95%-0.15 -0.2 17
1930-04-27 @ Kispest D 0-046.8 1149 1076 33.95% 28.91% 37.14%+0.15 +0.2 17
1930-04-27 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-035.5 1191 1203 45.22% 28.82% 25.96%+0.30 +19.4 22
1930-04-27 @ III. Kerulet L 0-335.5 1203 1191 25.96% 28.82% 45.22%-0.30 -19.4 15
1930-04-27 Ferencvaros L 1-336.0 1085 1440 10.40% 24.37% 65.23%-2.20 -5.1 11
1930-04-27 @ Nemzeti SC W 3-136.0 1440 1085 65.23% 24.37% 10.40%+2.20 +5.1 31
1930-04-27 Hungaria D 2-254.8 1088 1333 17.41% 26.98% 55.62%-1.40 +1.5 13
1930-04-27 @ Somogy FC D 2-254.8 1333 1088 55.62% 26.98% 17.41%+1.40 -1.5 24
1930-04-27 Ujpest W 3-151.2 1127 1408 14.75% 26.23% 59.02%-1.66 +22.0 16
1930-04-27 @ Bastya L 1-351.2 1408 1127 59.02% 26.23% 14.75%+1.66 -22.0 32
1930-05-03 Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-037.9 1080 1184 32.80% 28.80% 38.40%-0.37 +33.7 13
1930-05-03 @ Nemzeti SC L 0-437.9 1184 1080 38.40% 28.80% 32.80%+0.37 -33.7 15
1930-05-04 Ferencvaros D 1-151.7 1150 1445 13.76% 25.89% 60.35%-1.77 +2.5 18
1930-05-04 @ 33FC D 1-151.7 1445 1150 60.35% 25.89% 13.76%+1.77 -2.5 32
1930-05-04 Bastya W 4-138.5 1169 1149 49.06% 28.60% 22.34%+0.53 +14.6 17
1930-05-04 @ Bocskai FC L 1-438.5 1149 1169 22.34% 28.60% 49.06%-0.53 -14.6 16
1930-05-04 Kispest W 2-139.0 1211 1076 60.22% 26.94% 12.83%+1.37 +3.7 24
1930-05-04 @ III. Kerulet L 1-239.0 1076 1211 12.83% 26.94% 60.22%-1.37 -3.7 17
1930-05-04 Ujpest L 2-549.3 1332 1386 39.84% 28.93% 31.23%+0.00 -19.4 24
1930-05-04 @ Hungaria W 5-249.3 1386 1332 31.23% 28.93% 39.84%+0.00 +19.4 34
1930-05-04 Attila FC L 1-246.3 1090 1176 35.33% 28.88% 35.79%-0.24 -8.4 13
1930-05-04 @ Somogy FC W 2-146.3 1176 1090 35.79% 28.88% 35.33%+0.24 +8.4 15
1930-05-14 Attila FC W 3-247.3 1184 1184 46.68% 28.75% 24.57%+0.39 +6.1 19
1930-05-14 @ Bocskai FC L 2-347.3 1184 1184 24.57% 28.75% 46.68%-0.39 -6.1 15
1930-05-17 III. Kerulet D 3-358.1 1114 1214 33.25% 28.82% 37.93%-0.35 +0.1 14
1930-05-17 @ Nemzeti SC D 3-358.1 1214 1114 37.93% 28.82% 33.25%+0.35 -0.1 25
1930-05-18 Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-341.7 1152 1150 46.94% 28.74% 24.32%+0.40 -30.4 18
1930-05-18 @ 33FC W 3-041.7 1150 1152 24.32% 28.74% 46.94%-0.40 +30.4 17
1930-05-18 Hungaria D 2-254.5 1190 1313 30.33% 28.68% 40.99%-0.51 +0.4 20
1930-05-18 @ Bocskai FC D 2-254.5 1313 1190 40.99% 28.68% 30.33%+0.51 -0.4 25
1930-05-18 Ferencvaros L 1-930.3 1073 1442 9.70% 23.96% 66.35%-2.31 -16.4 17
1930-05-18 @ Kispest W 9-130.3 1442 1073 66.35% 23.96% 9.70%+2.31 +16.4 34
1930-05-18 Bastya D 1-150.1 1178 1135 51.64% 28.37% 19.99%+0.70 -1.6 16
1930-05-18 @ Attila FC D 1-150.1 1135 1178 19.99% 28.37% 51.64%-0.70 +1.6 17
1930-05-18 Somogy FC W 4-131.7 1405 1081 72.76% 22.02% 5.22%+2.75 +3.6 36
1930-05-18 @ Ujpest L 1-431.7 1081 1405 5.22% 22.02% 72.76%-2.75 -3.6 13
1930-05-25 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-252.2 1056 1181 30.11% 28.66% 41.23%-0.52 +8.9 19
1930-05-25 @ Kispest L 2-352.2 1181 1056 41.23% 28.66% 30.11%+0.52 -8.9 17
1930-05-25 Ferencvaros L 1-241.9 1214 1459 17.47% 26.99% 55.54%-1.40 -4.8 25
1930-05-25 @ III. Kerulet W 2-141.9 1459 1214 55.54% 26.99% 17.47%+1.40 +4.8 36
1930-05-25 Ujpest L 1-437.7 1176 1409 18.50% 27.23% 54.28%-1.31 -12.3 16
1930-05-25 @ Attila FC W 4-137.7 1409 1176 54.28% 27.23% 18.50%+1.31 +12.3 38
1930-05-25 Bastya W 5-237.8 1312 1136 63.46% 26.05% 10.49%+1.67 +6.5 27
1930-05-25 @ Hungaria L 2-537.8 1136 1312 10.49% 26.05% 63.46%-1.67 -6.5 17
1930-05-25 33FC W 5-137.9 1114 1122 45.73% 28.80% 25.47%+0.33 +20.9 16
1930-05-25 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-537.9 1122 1114 25.47% 28.80% 45.73%-0.33 -20.9 18
1930-05-25 Bocskai FC W 7-450.1 1078 1190 31.68% 28.75% 39.57%-0.43 +17.0 15
1930-05-25 @ Somogy FC L 4-750.1 1190 1078 39.57% 28.75% 31.68%+0.43 -17.0 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1929-09-01 6.61% 33FC 1068 3 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 1341 0
2 1929-10-19 13.55% Somogy FC 1107 1 @ Attila FC 1231 0
3 1930-03-30 14.39% @ Kispest 1071 2 Hungaria 1356 1
4 1929-11-17 14.41% @ Bastya 1151 3 Ferencvaros 1437 0
5 1930-04-27 14.75% @ Bastya 1127 3 Ujpest 1408 1
6 1930-02-16 15.21% Bocskai FC 1135 4 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 1234 0
7 1930-04-06 16.10% Somogy FC 1064 2 @ Bastya 1152 0
8 1929-11-24 17.04% Bocskai FC 1120 3 @ Attila FC 1196 1
9 1929-11-17 17.75% Kispest 1065 1 @ Bocskai FC 1133 0
10 1929-11-17 18.25% III. Kerulet 1158 2 @ Attila FC 1220 0
11 1930-03-02 19.55% 33FC 1145 3 @ Bastya 1193 2
12 1929-09-29 20.77% Nemzeti SC 1148 1 @ 33FC 1183 0
13 1930-03-30 23.00% III. Kerulet 1181 1 @ Bocskai FC 1195 0
14 1930-04-06 23.65% @ Attila FC 1164 1 Hungaria 1343 0
15 1930-05-18 24.32% Pecs-Baranya FC 1150 3 @ 33FC 1152 0
16 1930-03-16 24.36% III. Kerulet 1172 3 @ Bastya 1173 2
17 1929-12-01 26.52% III. Kerulet 1174 2 @ 33FC 1157 1
18 1929-10-19 27.17% @ Bocskai FC 1122 2 Pecs-Baranya FC 1270 1
19 1929-10-13 27.44% @ Bastya 1106 5 Attila FC 1252 2
20 1929-09-22 27.52% 33FC 1163 2 @ Somogy FC 1138 0
21 1929-10-19 27.63% Ferencvaros 1383 4 @ Hungaria 1357 0
22 1929-10-27 28.16% @ Bastya 1120 5 Pecs-Baranya FC 1260 1
23 1929-11-03 29.13% III. Kerulet 1129 5 @ Kispest 1091 1
24 1930-05-25 30.11% @ Kispest 1056 3 Pecs-Baranya FC 1181 2
25 1930-05-04 31.23% Ujpest 1386 5 @ Hungaria 1332 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-09-15 51.61 @ 33FC 7 1112 37.80% Bastya 0 1180 33.28% 28.92%
2 1930-02-16 47.40 Bocskai FC 4 1135 15.21% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1234 57.20% 27.58%
3 1929-09-01 43.33 33FC 3 1068 6.61% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1341 69.87% 23.52%
4 1929-10-19 37.24 Ferencvaros 4 1383 27.63% @ Hungaria 0 1357 43.49% 28.88%
5 1929-11-17 37.18 @ Bastya 3 1151 14.41% Ferencvaros 0 1437 59.47% 26.12%
6 1930-05-03 33.74 @ Nemzeti SC 4 1080 32.80% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1184 38.40% 28.80%
7 1929-10-27 30.82 @ Bastya 5 1120 28.16% Pecs-Baranya FC 1 1260 43.30% 28.53%
8 1930-05-18 30.37 Pecs-Baranya FC 3 1150 24.32% @ 33FC 0 1152 46.94% 28.74%
9 1929-11-03 30.15 III. Kerulet 5 1129 29.13% @ Kispest 1 1091 41.96% 28.91%
10 1929-09-01 30.00 @ Bastya 5 1150 46.69% Bocskai FC 0 1150 24.56% 28.75%
11 1930-04-06 24.54 Somogy FC 2 1064 16.10% @ Bastya 0 1152 56.13% 27.77%
12 1929-11-17 23.52 III. Kerulet 2 1158 18.25% @ Attila FC 0 1220 53.61% 28.14%
13 1929-09-22 23.50 Hungaria 6 1312 48.84% @ Bastya 1 1128 23.14% 28.02%
14 1929-09-29 23.24 @ Attila FC 3 1228 37.95% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1296 33.12% 28.92%
15 1930-04-27 22.02 @ Bastya 3 1127 14.75% Ujpest 1 1408 59.02% 26.23%
16 1929-10-13 20.97 @ Bastya 5 1106 27.44% Attila FC 2 1252 44.09% 28.47%
17 1929-11-24 20.86 Bocskai FC 3 1120 17.04% @ Attila FC 1 1196 55.01% 27.95%
18 1930-05-25 20.86 @ Nemzeti SC 5 1114 45.73% 33FC 1 1122 25.47% 28.80%
19 1929-09-21 19.96 @ Ujpest 4 1301 52.63% Attila FC 0 1248 19.11% 28.26%
20 1929-09-22 19.67 33FC 2 1163 27.52% @ Somogy FC 0 1138 43.60% 28.87%
21 1930-04-27 19.44 @ III. Kerulet 3 1191 45.22% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1203 25.96% 28.82%
22 1930-05-04 19.42 Ujpest 5 1386 31.23% @ Hungaria 2 1332 39.84% 28.93%
23 1929-09-22 17.84 @ Ferencvaros 8 1366 66.78% III. Kerulet 0 1143 8.35% 24.87%
24 1930-03-02 17.35 @ Ujpest 6 1366 63.21% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1193 10.66% 26.13%
25 1930-02-16 17.21 @ Bastya 5 1168 51.71% Nemzeti SC 1 1124 19.93% 28.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-04-06 62.5 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 4 1202 17.85% Ferencvaros 4 1442 55.07% 27.08%
2 1930-04-20 61.5 @ Ferencvaros 3 1441 58.06% Hungaria 3 1332 14.52% 27.42%
3 1930-05-17 58.1 @ Nemzeti SC 3 1114 33.25% III. Kerulet 3 1214 37.93% 28.82%
4 1929-11-24 56.0 @ Ferencvaros 2 1399 62.11% Pecs-Baranya FC 2 1241 11.44% 26.45%
5 1930-03-02 55.4 33FC 3 1145 19.55% @ Bastya 2 1193 52.14% 28.32%
6 1929-12-01 54.8 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 2 1243 61.50% Somogy FC 2 1093 11.88% 26.62%
7 1930-04-27 54.8 @ Somogy FC 2 1088 17.41% Hungaria 2 1333 55.62% 26.98%
8 1930-03-06 54.7 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 2 1176 24.75% Hungaria 2 1345 47.04% 28.21%
9 1930-05-18 54.5 @ Bocskai FC 2 1190 30.33% Hungaria 2 1313 40.99% 28.68%
10 1929-11-24 54.4 @ 33FC 2 1158 55.48% Kispest 2 1077 16.64% 27.88%
11 1929-09-21 54.2 @ Nemzeti SC 2 1149 50.10% Bocskai FC 2 1120 21.39% 28.52%
12 1930-03-23 54.2 @ Ferencvaros 1 1432 51.64% Ujpest 1 1389 19.99% 28.37%
13 1929-09-01 54.1 @ Somogy FC 2 1139 47.13% III. Kerulet 2 1135 24.14% 28.73%
14 1929-09-15 54.1 @ Bocskai FC 2 1120 44.55% Somogy FC 2 1138 26.61% 28.84%
15 1930-03-16 54.0 III. Kerulet 3 1172 24.36% @ Bastya 2 1173 46.91% 28.74%
16 1929-12-08 53.5 Ujpest 4 1356 39.86% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 3 1241 31.40% 28.74%
17 1930-03-30 52.9 @ Kispest 2 1071 14.39% Hungaria 1 1356 59.50% 26.11%
18 1930-05-25 52.2 @ Kispest 3 1056 30.11% Pecs-Baranya FC 2 1181 41.23% 28.66%
19 1929-09-29 51.9 @ Ferencvaros 1 1384 69.31% Bocskai FC 1 1121 6.91% 23.78%
20 1930-05-04 51.7 @ 33FC 1 1150 13.76% Ferencvaros 1 1445 60.35% 25.89%
21 1929-11-10 51.5 @ Hungaria 1 1318 68.89% Kispest 1 1061 7.14% 23.97%
22 1930-04-27 51.2 @ Bastya 3 1127 14.75% Ujpest 1 1408 59.02% 26.23%
23 1929-09-15 51.0 @ Hungaria 1 1313 48.54% Pecs-Baranya FC 1 1298 22.82% 28.64%
24 1929-10-27 50.9 @ Hungaria 1 1320 57.54% Attila FC 1 1217 14.94% 27.52%
25 1929-10-13 50.8 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 1 1272 61.71% III. Kerulet 1 1119 11.72% 26.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-10-27 26.4 @ Ferencvaros 5 1421 71.42% Somogy FC 0 1121 5.84% 22.74%
2 1929-12-15 26.4 @ Ferencvaros 4 1404 72.36% Kispest 0 1087 5.40% 22.24%
3 1930-03-30 27.7 @ Ferencvaros 6 1431 68.75% Attila FC 0 1176 7.21% 24.03%
4 1930-03-06 28.3 @ Ferencvaros 4 1419 67.63% Bastya 0 1182 7.85% 24.52%
5 1930-03-16 28.4 @ Hungaria 3 1344 69.16% Nemzeti SC 0 1083 6.99% 23.85%
6 1929-09-22 28.7 @ Ferencvaros 8 1366 66.78% III. Kerulet 0 1143 8.35% 24.87%
7 1929-10-27 28.7 @ Ujpest 4 1328 64.39% Nemzeti SC 0 1139 9.86% 25.75%
8 1930-03-02 29.1 @ Ujpest 6 1366 63.21% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1193 10.66% 26.13%
9 1930-05-18 30.3 Ferencvaros 9 1442 66.35% @ Kispest 1 1073 9.70% 23.96%
10 1929-09-29 31.0 @ Hungaria 6 1336 66.34% Somogy FC 1 1119 8.62% 25.04%
11 1930-05-18 31.7 @ Ujpest 4 1405 72.76% Somogy FC 1 1081 5.22% 22.02%
12 1929-11-10 31.9 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 3 1229 57.31% Nemzeti SC 0 1128 15.12% 27.56%
13 1929-12-01 32.3 @ Ferencvaros 7 1397 69.52% Nemzeti SC 2 1130 6.80% 23.68%
14 1929-12-01 32.4 @ Ujpest 6 1343 62.47% Bastya 1 1180 11.18% 26.35%
15 1929-09-21 32.5 @ Ujpest 4 1301 52.63% Attila FC 0 1248 19.11% 28.26%
16 1929-09-01 33.3 @ Bastya 5 1150 46.69% Bocskai FC 0 1150 24.56% 28.75%
17 1929-11-17 33.7 @ Hungaria 5 1314 61.07% 33FC 1 1170 12.20% 26.73%
18 1930-02-23 34.5 @ Bocskai FC 2 1182 54.93% Nemzeti SC 0 1107 17.11% 27.96%
19 1930-03-02 34.8 @ Attila FC 2 1162 53.84% Nemzeti SC 0 1097 18.05% 28.11%
20 1930-03-06 35.4 Ujpest 1 1383 60.44% @ Nemzeti SC 0 1087 13.69% 25.87%
21 1930-04-27 35.5 @ III. Kerulet 3 1191 45.22% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1203 25.96% 28.82%
22 1930-03-16 35.6 @ Ujpest 2 1387 72.30% Kispest 1 1072 5.43% 22.27%
23 1929-09-15 35.8 Ujpest 2 1290 50.69% @ Kispest 0 1090 21.53% 27.78%
24 1930-03-02 35.9 Ferencvaros 6 1410 62.80% @ Somogy FC 2 1086 12.02% 25.18%
25 1930-04-27 36.0 Ferencvaros 3 1440 65.23% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1085 10.40% 24.37%