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1930-31 Nemzeti Liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Ujpest

35 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1929-30

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bocskai FC

4.80 points above expected

28 points · 23.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pecs-Baranya FC

6.01 points below expected

13 points · 19.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ujpest Champion 22 16 3 3 35 71 33 +38 30.38 +4.62
2 Hungaria 22 12 6 4 30 67 33 +34 29.56 +0.44
3 Ferencvaros 22 12 5 5 29 60 28 +32 31.13 -2.13
4 Bocskai FC 22 12 4 6 28 56 48 +8 23.20 +4.80
5 Nemzeti SC 22 8 8 6 24 38 38 0 19.43 +4.57
6 III. Kerulet 22 8 5 9 21 40 41 -1 23.54 -2.54
7 Sabaria FC 22 8 4 10 20 32 40 -8 19.09 +0.91
8 Vasas 22 6 5 11 17 41 52 -11 16.88 +0.12
9 33FC 22 6 5 11 17 28 51 -23 18.16 -1.16
10 Kispest 22 6 4 12 16 40 55 -15 14.72 +1.28
11 Bastya 22 4 6 12 14 35 61 -26 18.90 -4.90
12 Pecs-Baranya FC 22 5 3 14 13 27 55 -28 19.01 -6.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bocskai FC 28 23.20 +4.80
2 Ujpest 35 30.38 +4.62
3 Nemzeti SC 24 19.43 +4.57
4 Kispest 16 14.72 +1.28
5 Sabaria FC 20 19.09 +0.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pecs-Baranya FC 13 19.01 -6.01
2 Bastya 14 18.90 -4.90
3 III. Kerulet 21 23.54 -2.54
4 Ferencvaros 29 31.13 -2.13
5 33FC 17 18.16 -1.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kispest 3 May 10 – May 31 1 in 243
2 Ujpest 9 Dec 7 – Apr 26 1 in 131
3 Bocskai FC 6 Nov 9 – Feb 15 1 in 61
4 Sabaria FC 3 Nov 16 – Nov 30 1 in 49
5 Vasas 2 Oct 5 – Oct 12 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pecs-Baranya FC 5 Sep 14 – Oct 26 1 in 91
2 Ferencvaros 2 Feb 22 – Mar 1 1 in 58
3 Ujpest 2 Nov 16 – Nov 24 1 in 53
4 Hungaria 2 May 10 – May 17 1 in 52
5 Kispest 5 Nov 9 – Dec 6 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kispest 7 Mar 15 – May 31 1 in 353
2 Hungaria 13 Sep 7 – Feb 22 1 in 58
3 Nemzeti SC 6 Nov 24 – Mar 1 1 in 23
4 Sabaria FC 5 Sep 14 – Oct 26 1 in 22
5 Bocskai FC 8 Oct 19 – Feb 15 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ferencvaros 5 Oct 12 – Nov 16 1 in 76
2 III. Kerulet 7 Mar 15 – May 22 1 in 50
3 Ujpest 4 Nov 9 – Nov 30 1 in 20
4 Hungaria 3 May 10 – May 31 1 in 18
5 Kispest 10 Nov 2 – Mar 8 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ujpest 1608 35 +2 8 7.4 +0.6
Hungaria 1528 30 -30 4 7.3 -3.3
Ferencvaros 1606 29 +42 8 6.1 +1.9
Bocskai FC 1422 28 +34 6 4.3 +1.7
Nemzeti SC 1371 24 +18 7 5.4 +1.6
III. Kerulet 1378 21 -33 2 5.7 -3.7
Sabaria FC 1295 20 -10 4 5.6 -1.6
33FC 1292 17 -3 5 3.0 +2.0
Vasas 1278 17 -32 2 4.6 -2.6
Kispest 1298 16 +50 8 2.9 +5.1
Bastya 1256 14 -50 2 4.6 -2.6
Pecs-Baranya FC 1265 13 -16 2 3.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 33F BAS BOC FER HUN IK KIS NS PEC SAB UJP VAS
33FC —
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
1.38
1-0-1
1.80
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.17
1-1-0
2.97
Bastya
0-2-0
2.76
—
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
1.37
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
3.08
Bocskai FC
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.32
—
1-0-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.76
0-1-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
1.52
1-1-0
3.61
Ferencvaros
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
4.00
—
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
4.61
0-2-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.43
1-1-0
4.27
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
4.57
Hungaria
1-1-0
4.19
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.61
—
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
4.17
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.35
III. Kerulet
1-0-1
3.74
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.12
—
0-2-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
3.68
Kispest
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
0.98
1-0-1
1.41
0-2-0
1.75
—
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
2.75
Nemzeti SC
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.29
0-2-0
1.29
1-0-1
1.35
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.44
—
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
1.36
1-1-0
3.22
Pecs-Baranya FC
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
1.47
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
3.48
2-0-0
2.59
—
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.33
0-1-1
3.04
Sabaria FC
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.23
0-1-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.24
—
1-0-1
1.17
1-0-1
3.23
Ujpest
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.18
0-1-1
4.05
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
4.21
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
4.41
—
2-0-0
4.47
Vasas
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.93
2-0-0
1.02
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.12
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +4.3
Allowed 0.71 -5.7
Differential 0.93 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%3.41%3.03%1.89%3.03%1.89%17.80%
13.41%7.58%5.30%5.30%2.27%2.27%26.14%
23.03%5.30%6.82%3.79%1.89%1.52%22.35%
31.89%5.30%3.79%3.03%0.38%3.03%17.42%
43.03%2.27%1.89%0.38%——7.58%
5+1.89%2.27%1.52%3.03%——8.71%
Total17.80%26.14%22.35%17.42%7.58%8.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 2.03 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.46
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.32 -1.05
SD 1.24 2.32 2.72
CV 0.98 1.00 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%—9.09%—13.64%27.27%
2—4.55%18.18%—4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total—22.73%31.82%18.18%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.77 -1.18
SD 1.26 1.63 2.34
CV 0.79 0.59 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
Total9.09%27.27%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 2.18 +0.36
SD 1.57 1.50 2.40
CV 0.61 0.69 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3———————
413.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
5+9.09%—9.09%———18.18%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.27 +1.45
SD 1.96 1.35 2.54
CV 0.72 1.06 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%—9.09%——27.27%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.50 +1.55
SD 2.28 1.10 2.60
CV 0.75 0.73 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
19.09%4.55%13.64%9.09%——36.36%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.86 -0.05
SD 1.30 1.52 2.19
CV 0.71 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%9.09%22.73%
34.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%4.55%27.27%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.50 -0.68
SD 1.37 1.82 2.32
CV 0.75 0.73 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%——4.55%——18.18%
1—13.64%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
2—22.73%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.32 1.41
CV 0.80 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%40.91%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
2—4.55%4.55%13.64%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%18.18%22.73%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.50 -1.27
SD 1.27 1.90 2.43
CV 1.03 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—27.27%
113.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
2———9.09%——9.09%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.82 -0.36
SD 1.34 1.26 1.81
CV 0.92 0.69 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
29.09%9.09%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
34.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 1.50 +1.73
SD 1.72 1.19 2.14
CV 0.53 0.79 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%—36.36%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—4.55%——18.18%27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%4.55%27.27%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.36 -0.50
SD 1.36 1.94 2.13
CV 0.73 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ujpest 1608 35 30.38 +4.62 96.0% 20 23 28 31 33 35 37
Ferencvaros 1606 29 31.13 -2.13 27.0% 21 24 29 31 34 36 38
Hungaria 1528 30 29.56 +0.44 58.0% 20 24 27 29 33 34 38
Bocskai FC 1422 28 23.20 +4.80 91.0% 12 15 21 24 26 29 33
III. Kerulet 1378 21 23.54 -2.54 30.0% 13 16 21 23 26 30 35
Nemzeti SC 1371 24 19.43 +4.57 90.0% 10 13 17 19 22 25 28
Kispest 1298 16 14.72 +1.28 68.0% 8 9 12 14 17 21 22
Sabaria FC 1295 20 19.09 +0.91 65.0% 9 12 16 19 21 26 28
33FC 1292 17 18.16 -1.16 43.0% 10 11 16 18 20 23 27
Vasas 1278 17 16.88 +0.12 58.0% 8 11 14 17 20 23 28
Pecs-Baranya FC 1265 13 19.01 -6.01 7.0% 9 13 16 19 21 25 28
Bastya 1256 14 18.90 -4.90 8.0% 11 13 16 19 21 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Slight Edge
46.97%21.97%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
055.75400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.55 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Ujpest, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.04 * Wild Swing: 6.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.09 * Off: 2.09 to 2.79 * Way Off: 2.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.42 points
Some Luck
03.789
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.754
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Ujpest
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Pecs-Baranya FC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 130.48
1.72
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
88%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.84
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Ujpest38.00%26.00%21.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Hungaria23.00%37.00%23.00%11.00%5.00%——1.00%————
Ferencvaros37.00%29.00%24.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Bocskai FC—4.00%14.00%23.00%25.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%—
Nemzeti SC——1.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%
III. Kerulet2.00%4.00%11.00%20.00%21.00%22.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Sabaria FC——3.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%7.00%
Vasas———1.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%13.00%19.00%19.00%
33FC———3.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%22.00%13.00%19.00%13.00%10.00%
Kispest—————3.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%19.00%42.00%
Bastya———4.00%5.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%5.00%
Pecs-Baranya FC——3.00%6.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
33FC 100%
Bastya 100%
Bocskai FC 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Hungaria 100%
III. Kerulet 100%
Kispest 100%
Nemzeti SC 100%
Pecs-Baranya FC 100%
Sabaria FC 100%
Ujpest 100%
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1930-09-06 Bastya D 2-257.5 1335 1351 48.25% 23.24% 28.51%+0.30 -0.6 1
1930-09-06 @ 33FC D 2-257.5 1351 1335 28.51% 23.24% 48.25%-0.30 +0.6 1
1930-09-07 Ferencvaros W 3-261.4 1376 1567 25.23% 22.73% 52.05%-1.01 +9.2 2
1930-09-07 @ Bocskai FC L 2-361.4 1567 1376 52.05% 22.73% 25.23%+1.01 -9.2 0
1930-09-07 Hungaria L 1-341.5 1285 1472 25.63% 22.76% 51.61%-0.98 -9.4 0
1930-09-07 @ Kispest W 3-141.5 1472 1285 51.61% 22.76% 25.63%+0.98 +9.4 2
1930-09-07 Sabaria FC W 2-034.6 1394 1322 58.09% 22.74% 19.17%+0.95 +8.5 2
1930-09-07 @ III. Kerulet L 0-234.6 1322 1394 19.17% 22.74% 58.09%-0.95 -8.5 0
1930-09-07 Nemzeti SC W 3-247.3 1371 1347 52.97% 23.07% 23.95%+0.59 +4.9 2
1930-09-07 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 2-347.3 1347 1371 23.95% 23.07% 52.97%-0.59 -4.9 0
1930-09-07 Vasas W 4-132.9 1538 1240 74.18% 19.50% 6.33%+2.63 +3.6 2
1930-09-07 @ Ujpest L 1-432.9 1240 1538 6.33% 19.50% 74.18%-2.63 -3.6 0
1930-09-13 III. Kerulet L 1-444.2 1342 1403 42.26% 23.30% 34.43%-0.04 -19.8 0
1930-09-13 @ Nemzeti SC W 4-144.2 1403 1342 34.43% 23.30% 42.26%+0.04 +19.8 4
1930-09-14 33FC W 5-031.0 1558 1335 70.02% 20.82% 9.16%+2.08 +10.0 2
1930-09-14 @ Ferencvaros L 0-531.0 1335 1558 9.16% 20.82% 70.02%-2.08 -10.0 1
1930-09-14 Pecs-Baranya FC W 7-033.8 1482 1376 61.27% 22.41% 16.32%+1.20 +23.8 4
1930-09-14 @ Hungaria L 0-733.8 1376 1482 16.32% 22.41% 61.27%-1.20 -23.8 2
1930-09-14 Bocskai FC D 3-362.0 1313 1386 40.67% 23.30% 36.03%-0.12 -0.1 1
1930-09-14 @ Sabaria FC D 3-362.0 1386 1313 36.03% 23.30% 40.67%+0.12 +0.1 3
1930-09-14 Vasas W 3-136.5 1351 1236 62.07% 22.32% 15.61%+1.27 +6.2 3
1930-09-14 @ Bastya L 1-336.5 1236 1351 15.61% 22.32% 62.07%-1.27 -6.2 0
1930-09-30 Kispest W 3-136.5 1541 1276 72.49% 20.09% 7.42%+2.39 +3.0 4
1930-09-30 @ Ujpest L 1-336.5 1276 1541 7.42% 20.09% 72.49%-2.39 -3.0 0
1930-10-05 Sabaria FC L 0-146.5 1325 1313 51.51% 23.14% 25.36%+0.50 -10.2 1
1930-10-05 @ 33FC W 1-046.5 1313 1325 25.36% 23.14% 51.51%-0.50 +10.2 3
1930-10-05 Nemzeti SC D 1-153.6 1386 1322 57.23% 22.81% 19.97%+0.89 -1.7 4
1930-10-05 @ Bocskai FC D 1-153.6 1322 1386 19.97% 22.81% 57.23%-0.89 +1.7 1
1930-10-05 Vasas L 0-341.3 1273 1230 55.02% 22.96% 22.02%+0.73 -29.6 0
1930-10-05 @ Kispest W 3-041.3 1230 1273 22.02% 22.96% 55.02%-0.73 +29.6 2
1930-10-05 Hungaria D 1-158.8 1422 1505 39.13% 23.28% 37.59%-0.20 -0.1 5
1930-10-05 @ III. Kerulet D 1-158.8 1505 1422 37.59% 23.28% 39.13%+0.20 +0.1 5
1930-10-05 Ujpest L 2-351.7 1352 1544 25.07% 22.71% 52.22%-1.02 -5.0 2
1930-10-05 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-251.7 1544 1352 52.22% 22.71% 25.07%+1.02 +5.0 6
1930-10-05 Ferencvaros L 0-240.9 1357 1568 23.10% 22.55% 54.35%-1.15 -9.9 3
1930-10-05 @ Bastya W 2-040.9 1568 1357 54.35% 22.55% 23.10%+1.15 +9.9 4
1930-10-11 33FC D 1-152.7 1324 1315 51.25% 23.15% 25.60%+0.48 -1.1 2
1930-10-11 @ Nemzeti SC D 1-152.7 1315 1324 25.60% 23.15% 51.25%-0.48 +1.1 2
1930-10-12 Bastya L 2-447.2 1243 1347 36.09% 23.23% 40.67%-0.36 -11.1 0
1930-10-12 @ Kispest W 4-247.2 1347 1243 40.67% 23.23% 36.09%+0.36 +11.1 5
1930-10-12 Bocskai FC W 5-137.7 1505 1384 62.64% 22.24% 15.12%+1.32 +10.9 7
1930-10-12 @ Hungaria L 1-537.7 1384 1505 15.12% 22.24% 62.64%-1.32 -10.9 4
1930-10-12 Ferencvaros D 1-158.3 1324 1578 18.91% 22.06% 59.03%-1.48 +1.8 4
1930-10-12 @ Sabaria FC D 1-158.3 1578 1324 59.03% 22.06% 18.91%+1.48 -1.8 5
1930-10-12 III. Kerulet W 2-146.6 1549 1422 63.11% 22.18% 14.72%+1.36 +3.4 8
1930-10-12 @ Ujpest L 1-246.6 1422 1549 14.72% 22.18% 63.11%-1.36 -3.4 5
1930-10-12 Pecs-Baranya FC W 1-042.3 1260 1347 38.52% 23.28% 38.21%-0.23 +7.9 4
1930-10-12 @ Vasas L 0-142.3 1347 1260 38.21% 23.28% 38.52%+0.23 -7.9 2
1930-10-19 Hungaria L 3-841.4 1316 1516 24.16% 22.64% 53.20%-1.08 -15.1 2
1930-10-19 @ 33FC W 8-341.4 1516 1316 53.20% 22.64% 24.16%+1.08 +15.1 9
1930-10-19 Ujpest D 2-263.2 1373 1553 26.48% 22.82% 50.70%-0.92 +0.8 5
1930-10-19 @ Bocskai FC D 2-263.2 1553 1373 50.70% 22.82% 26.48%+0.92 -0.8 9
1930-10-19 Vasas W 4-134.2 1419 1268 65.05% 21.88% 13.08%+1.54 +7.4 7
1930-10-19 @ III. Kerulet L 1-434.2 1268 1419 13.08% 21.88% 65.05%-1.54 -7.4 4
1930-10-19 Ferencvaros D 0-055.3 1323 1576 19.00% 22.08% 58.92%-1.47 +2.0 3
1930-10-19 @ Nemzeti SC D 0-055.3 1576 1323 58.92% 22.08% 19.00%+1.47 -2.0 6
1930-10-19 Kispest L 0-442.0 1339 1232 61.39% 22.40% 16.21%+1.21 -43.0 2
1930-10-19 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-042.0 1232 1339 16.21% 22.40% 61.39%-1.21 +43.0 2
1930-10-19 Sabaria FC L 0-147.7 1359 1325 54.00% 23.02% 22.98%+0.66 -10.6 5
1930-10-19 @ Bastya W 1-047.7 1325 1359 22.98% 23.02% 54.00%-0.66 +10.6 6
1930-10-26 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-139.0 1336 1296 54.73% 22.98% 22.29%+0.71 +8.4 8
1930-10-26 @ Sabaria FC L 1-339.0 1296 1336 22.29% 22.98% 54.73%-0.71 -8.4 2
1930-11-01 Sabaria FC W 2-143.8 1325 1344 47.70% 23.25% 29.05%+0.27 +6.0 5
1930-11-01 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-243.8 1344 1325 29.05% 23.25% 47.70%-0.27 -6.0 8
1930-11-02 Hungaria D 1-165.3 1574 1531 55.04% 22.96% 22.00%+0.73 -1.5 7
1930-11-02 @ Ferencvaros D 1-165.3 1531 1574 22.00% 22.96% 55.04%-0.73 +1.5 10
1930-11-02 III. Kerulet D 3-362.1 1275 1426 29.88% 23.02% 47.11%-0.71 +0.5 3
1930-11-02 @ Kispest D 3-362.1 1426 1275 47.11% 23.02% 29.88%+0.71 -0.5 8
1930-11-02 Bastya W 3-142.7 1288 1348 42.32% 23.30% 34.38%-0.03 +11.9 4
1930-11-02 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 1-342.7 1348 1288 34.38% 23.30% 42.32%+0.03 -11.9 5
1930-11-02 33FC W 6-029.8 1552 1301 71.68% 20.34% 7.97%+2.29 +10.3 11
1930-11-02 @ Ujpest L 0-629.8 1301 1552 7.97% 20.34% 71.68%-2.29 -10.3 2
1930-11-02 Bocskai FC D 1-152.7 1260 1374 34.84% 23.20% 41.95%-0.43 +0.3 5
1930-11-02 @ Vasas D 1-152.7 1374 1260 41.95% 23.20% 34.84%+0.43 -0.3 6
1930-11-09 Kispest W 5-133.6 1374 1275 60.58% 22.49% 16.93%+1.15 +12.1 8
1930-11-09 @ Bocskai FC L 1-533.6 1275 1374 16.93% 22.49% 60.58%-1.15 -12.1 3
1930-11-09 Ujpest D 1-166.2 1573 1562 51.37% 23.14% 25.49%+0.49 -1.1 8
1930-11-09 @ Ferencvaros D 1-166.2 1562 1573 25.49% 23.14% 51.37%-0.49 +1.1 12
1930-11-09 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-244.4 1426 1300 63.03% 22.19% 14.78%+1.35 +3.2 10
1930-11-09 @ III. Kerulet L 2-344.4 1300 1426 14.78% 22.19% 63.03%-1.35 -3.2 4
1930-11-09 Hungaria L 1-344.0 1338 1533 24.82% 22.69% 52.49%-1.03 -9.1 8
1930-11-09 @ Sabaria FC W 3-144.0 1533 1338 52.49% 22.69% 24.82%+1.03 +9.1 12
1930-11-09 Nemzeti SC W 2-142.8 1336 1331 50.76% 23.17% 26.07%+0.45 +5.5 7
1930-11-09 @ Bastya L 1-242.8 1331 1336 26.07% 23.17% 50.76%-0.45 -5.5 5
1930-11-09 33FC D 2-256.4 1261 1290 46.40% 23.27% 30.33%+0.19 -0.5 6
1930-11-09 @ Vasas D 2-256.4 1290 1261 30.33% 23.27% 46.40%-0.19 +0.5 3
1930-11-16 33FC L 0-144.5 1263 1291 46.68% 23.27% 30.05%+0.21 -9.3 3
1930-11-16 @ Kispest W 1-044.5 1291 1263 30.05% 23.27% 46.68%-0.21 +9.3 5
1930-11-16 Bastya W 3-139.4 1429 1341 59.60% 22.60% 17.81%+1.07 +6.9 12
1930-11-16 @ III. Kerulet L 1-339.4 1341 1429 17.81% 22.60% 59.60%-1.07 -6.9 7
1930-11-16 Nemzeti SC W 3-032.0 1542 1325 69.61% 20.92% 9.47%+2.03 +6.4 14
1930-11-16 @ Hungaria L 0-332.0 1325 1542 9.47% 20.92% 69.61%-2.03 -6.4 5
1930-11-16 Bocskai FC L 2-351.2 1296 1386 38.25% 23.27% 38.48%-0.25 -7.1 4
1930-11-16 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-251.2 1386 1296 38.48% 23.27% 38.25%+0.25 +7.1 10
1930-11-16 Sabaria FC L 2-462.1 1564 1329 70.68% 20.64% 8.68%+2.16 -20.1 12
1930-11-16 @ Ujpest W 4-262.1 1329 1564 8.68% 20.64% 70.68%-2.16 +20.1 10
1930-11-16 Ferencvaros W 5-255.8 1260 1572 14.45% 21.28% 64.26%-1.90 +24.9 8
1930-11-16 @ Vasas L 2-555.8 1572 1260 64.26% 21.28% 14.45%+1.90 -24.9 8
1930-11-23 Kispest W 5-237.3 1547 1254 73.91% 19.60% 6.49%+2.59 +3.2 10
1930-11-23 @ Ferencvaros L 2-537.3 1254 1547 6.49% 19.60% 73.91%-2.59 -3.2 3
1930-11-23 Vasas W 3-138.2 1349 1285 57.31% 22.80% 19.89%+0.89 +7.6 12
1930-11-23 @ Sabaria FC L 1-338.2 1285 1349 19.89% 22.80% 57.31%-0.89 -7.6 8
1930-11-23 Hungaria D 3-366.2 1335 1549 22.77% 22.51% 54.72%-1.18 +0.9 8
1930-11-23 @ Bastya D 3-366.2 1549 1335 54.72% 22.51% 22.77%+1.18 -0.9 15
1930-11-24 Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-146.1 1300 1289 51.43% 23.14% 25.43%+0.50 -10.2 5
1930-11-24 @ 33FC W 1-046.1 1289 1300 25.43% 23.14% 51.43%-0.50 +10.2 6
1930-11-24 III. Kerulet W 3-145.2 1393 1436 44.60% 23.29% 32.10%+0.09 +11.3 12
1930-11-24 @ Bocskai FC L 1-345.2 1436 1393 32.10% 23.29% 44.60%-0.09 -11.3 12
1930-11-24 Ujpest W 2-155.3 1319 1543 21.70% 22.40% 55.89%-1.26 +10.3 7
1930-11-24 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-255.3 1543 1319 55.89% 22.40% 21.70%+1.26 -10.3 12
1930-11-29 Nemzeti SC D 0-049.5 1277 1329 43.47% 23.30% 33.23%+0.03 -0.5 9
1930-11-29 @ Vasas D 0-049.5 1329 1277 33.23% 23.30% 43.47%-0.03 +0.5 8
1930-11-30 Bastya W 4-350.0 1404 1335 57.74% 22.77% 19.49%+0.93 +4.0 14
1930-11-30 @ Bocskai FC L 3-450.0 1335 1404 19.49% 22.77% 57.74%-0.93 -4.0 8
1930-11-30 Sabaria FC L 0-141.6 1251 1357 35.86% 23.23% 40.92%-0.38 -7.5 3
1930-11-30 @ Kispest W 1-041.6 1357 1251 40.92% 23.23% 35.86%+0.38 +7.5 14
1930-11-30 33FC W 1-035.8 1425 1290 63.74% 22.09% 14.18%+1.42 +3.5 14
1930-11-30 @ III. Kerulet L 0-135.8 1290 1425 14.18% 22.09% 63.74%-1.42 -3.4 5
1930-11-30 Ferencvaros L 0-433.4 1300 1550 19.28% 22.11% 58.60%-1.45 -16.1 6
1930-11-30 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-033.4 1550 1300 58.60% 22.11% 19.28%+1.45 +16.1 12
1930-11-30 Hungaria D 2-268.7 1533 1548 48.35% 23.24% 28.42%+0.31 -0.6 13
1930-11-30 @ Ujpest D 2-268.7 1548 1533 28.42% 23.24% 48.35%-0.31 +0.6 16
1930-12-06 Kispest W 5-344.5 1330 1243 59.49% 22.61% 17.91%+1.06 +5.9 10
1930-12-06 @ Nemzeti SC L 3-544.5 1243 1330 17.91% 22.61% 59.49%-1.06 -5.9 3
1930-12-07 III. Kerulet W 4-249.1 1566 1428 63.97% 22.05% 13.98%+1.44 +5.0 14
1930-12-07 @ Ferencvaros L 2-449.1 1428 1566 13.98% 22.05% 63.97%-1.44 -5.0 14
1930-12-07 Vasas W 6-340.4 1548 1277 72.79% 19.99% 7.22%+2.43 +3.3 18
1930-12-07 @ Hungaria L 3-640.4 1277 1548 7.22% 19.99% 72.79%-2.43 -3.3 9
1930-12-07 Ujpest L 0-336.8 1331 1532 24.12% 22.64% 53.24%-1.08 -15.0 8
1930-12-07 @ Bastya W 3-036.8 1532 1331 53.24% 22.64% 24.12%+1.08 +15.0 15
1930-12-08 Bocskai FC L 2-350.0 1287 1408 33.76% 23.17% 43.06%-0.49 -6.4 5
1930-12-08 @ 33FC W 3-250.0 1408 1287 43.06% 23.17% 33.76%+0.49 +6.4 16
1931-02-14 III. Kerulet W 3-146.9 1280 1423 30.93% 23.07% 46.00%-0.65 +15.0 7
1931-02-14 @ 33FC L 1-346.9 1423 1280 46.00% 23.07% 30.93%+0.65 -15.0 14
1931-02-15 Pecs-Baranya FC W 6-340.9 1414 1283 63.43% 22.13% 14.44%+1.39 +6.5 18
1931-02-15 @ Bocskai FC L 3-640.9 1283 1414 14.44% 22.13% 63.43%-1.39 -6.5 6
1931-02-15 Sabaria FC W 1-039.8 1571 1364 68.94% 21.09% 9.97%+1.95 +2.5 16
1931-02-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-139.8 1364 1571 9.97% 21.09% 68.94%-1.95 -2.5 14
1931-02-15 Nemzeti SC D 1-152.2 1237 1336 36.97% 23.25% 39.78%-0.32 +0.1 4
1931-02-15 @ Kispest D 1-152.2 1336 1237 39.78% 23.25% 36.97%+0.32 -0.1 11
1931-02-15 Bastya W 5-134.6 1552 1316 70.73% 20.63% 8.65%+2.16 +6.4 20
1931-02-15 @ Hungaria L 1-534.6 1316 1552 8.65% 20.63% 70.73%-2.16 -6.4 8
1931-02-15 Ujpest L 3-547.4 1274 1547 17.27% 21.82% 60.91%-1.62 -5.6 9
1931-02-15 @ Vasas W 5-347.4 1547 1274 60.91% 21.82% 17.27%+1.62 +5.6 17
1931-02-21 Bastya D 2-257.1 1335 1310 53.11% 23.07% 23.82%+0.60 -1.0 12
1931-02-21 @ Nemzeti SC D 2-257.1 1310 1335 23.82% 23.07% 53.11%-0.60 +1.0 9
1931-02-22 Vasas W 2-034.6 1295 1268 53.32% 23.06% 23.62%+0.62 +10.2 9
1931-02-22 @ 33FC L 0-234.6 1268 1295 23.62% 23.06% 53.32%-0.62 -10.2 9
1931-02-22 Hungaria L 1-252.2 1421 1558 31.72% 23.10% 45.18%-0.60 -6.5 18
1931-02-22 @ Bocskai FC W 2-152.2 1558 1421 45.18% 23.10% 31.72%+0.60 +6.5 22
1931-02-22 Ujpest L 2-637.5 1237 1553 14.17% 21.22% 64.61%-1.93 -8.6 4
1931-02-22 @ Kispest W 6-237.5 1553 1237 64.61% 21.22% 14.17%+1.93 +8.6 19
1931-02-22 Ferencvaros W 1-053.7 1408 1573 28.20% 22.93% 48.87%-0.81 +9.7 16
1931-02-22 @ III. Kerulet L 0-153.7 1573 1408 48.87% 22.93% 28.20%+0.81 -9.7 16
1931-02-22 Sabaria FC W 4-035.7 1277 1362 38.84% 23.28% 37.88%-0.22 +28.2 8
1931-02-22 @ Pecs-Baranya FC L 0-435.7 1362 1277 37.88% 23.28% 38.84%+0.22 -28.2 14
1931-03-01 Kispest W 4-029.1 1305 1229 58.52% 22.70% 18.78%+0.98 +15.9 11
1931-03-01 @ 33FC L 0-429.1 1229 1305 18.78% 22.70% 58.52%-0.98 -15.9 4
1931-03-01 Sabaria FC W 2-034.9 1414 1334 58.93% 22.66% 18.41%+1.02 +8.2 20
1931-03-01 @ Bocskai FC L 0-234.9 1334 1414 18.41% 22.66% 58.93%-1.02 -8.2 14
1931-03-01 Vasas L 2-363.4 1564 1258 74.57% 19.35% 6.08%+2.69 -12.9 16
1931-03-01 @ Ferencvaros W 3-263.4 1258 1564 6.08% 19.35% 74.57%-2.69 +12.9 11
1931-03-01 Hungaria W 2-156.6 1334 1564 21.17% 22.35% 56.48%-1.30 +10.4 14
1931-03-01 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-256.6 1564 1334 56.48% 22.35% 21.17%+1.30 -10.4 22
1931-03-01 III. Kerulet D 0-050.8 1305 1418 34.95% 23.21% 41.84%-0.42 +0.3 9
1931-03-01 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 0-050.8 1418 1305 41.84% 23.21% 34.95%+0.42 -0.3 17
1931-03-01 Bastya W 5-134.5 1562 1311 71.63% 20.36% 8.01%+2.28 +5.9 21
1931-03-01 @ Ujpest L 1-534.5 1311 1562 8.01% 20.36% 71.63%-2.28 -5.9 9
1931-03-08 Ferencvaros L 1-239.5 1213 1551 12.74% 20.87% 66.39%-2.10 -2.9 4
1931-03-08 @ Kispest W 2-139.5 1551 1213 66.39% 20.87% 12.74%+2.10 +2.9 18
1931-03-08 Bocskai FC W 4-035.9 1418 1423 49.51% 23.21% 27.29%+0.38 +21.8 19
1931-03-08 @ III. Kerulet L 0-435.9 1423 1418 27.29% 23.21% 49.51%-0.38 -21.8 20
1931-03-08 Sabaria FC W 3-245.7 1554 1326 70.33% 20.74% 8.94%+2.12 +2.0 24
1931-03-08 @ Hungaria L 2-345.7 1326 1554 8.94% 20.74% 70.33%-2.12 -2.0 14
1931-03-08 33FC D 1-152.6 1305 1321 48.16% 23.24% 28.60%+0.30 -0.9 10
1931-03-08 @ Bastya D 1-152.6 1321 1305 28.60% 23.24% 48.16%-0.30 +0.8 12
1931-03-08 Nemzeti SC W 5-347.4 1568 1345 69.98% 20.83% 9.19%+2.07 +3.1 23
1931-03-08 @ Ujpest L 3-547.4 1345 1568 9.19% 20.83% 69.98%-2.07 -3.1 14
1931-03-15 Nemzeti SC L 1-249.3 1322 1342 47.69% 23.25% 29.06%+0.27 -9.0 12
1931-03-15 @ 33FC W 2-149.3 1342 1322 29.06% 23.25% 47.69%-0.27 +9.0 16
1931-03-15 Vasas W 2-139.1 1401 1271 63.37% 22.14% 14.49%+1.38 +3.3 22
1931-03-15 @ Bocskai FC L 1-239.1 1271 1401 14.49% 22.14% 63.37%-1.38 -3.3 11
1931-03-15 Bastya W 7-030.7 1554 1304 71.56% 20.38% 8.06%+2.27 +12.1 20
1931-03-15 @ Ferencvaros L 0-730.7 1304 1554 8.06% 20.38% 71.56%-2.27 -12.1 10
1931-03-15 Pecs-Baranya FC W 3-036.8 1210 1305 37.37% 23.26% 39.37%-0.29 +22.2 6
1931-03-15 @ Kispest L 0-336.8 1305 1210 39.37% 23.26% 37.37%+0.29 -22.2 9
1931-03-15 Ujpest L 0-255.8 1556 1571 48.32% 23.24% 28.44%+0.31 -18.1 24
1931-03-15 @ Hungaria W 2-055.8 1571 1556 28.44% 23.24% 48.32%-0.31 +18.1 25
1931-03-15 III. Kerulet W 3-253.6 1324 1439 34.55% 23.19% 42.26%-0.45 +7.7 16
1931-03-15 @ Sabaria FC L 2-353.6 1439 1324 42.26% 23.19% 34.55%+0.45 -7.7 19
1931-03-25 III. Kerulet W 6-036.8 1538 1432 61.30% 22.41% 16.29%+1.21 +20.5 26
1931-03-25 @ Hungaria L 0-636.8 1432 1538 16.29% 22.41% 61.30%-1.21 -20.5 19
1931-03-29 Ujpest L 1-737.5 1313 1589 17.12% 21.79% 61.09%-1.64 -17.4 12
1931-03-29 @ 33FC W 7-137.5 1589 1313 61.09% 21.79% 17.12%+1.64 +17.5 27
1931-03-29 Nemzeti SC D 2-263.4 1566 1351 69.50% 20.95% 9.55%+2.02 -2.2 21
1931-03-29 @ Ferencvaros D 2-263.4 1351 1566 9.55% 20.95% 69.50%-2.02 +2.1 17
1931-03-29 Bocskai FC W 3-147.2 1232 1404 27.40% 22.88% 49.73%-0.86 +16.1 8
1931-03-29 @ Kispest L 1-347.2 1404 1232 49.73% 22.88% 27.40%+0.86 -16.0 22
1931-03-29 Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-137.4 1292 1283 51.22% 23.15% 25.63%+0.48 +13.3 12
1931-03-29 @ Bastya L 1-437.4 1283 1292 25.63% 23.15% 51.22%-0.48 -13.3 9
1931-03-29 Sabaria FC W 4-034.5 1267 1331 41.80% 23.30% 34.89%-0.06 +26.5 13
1931-03-29 @ Vasas L 0-434.5 1331 1267 34.89% 23.30% 41.80%+0.06 -26.5 16
1931-04-05 Ferencvaros W 3-153.3 1606 1564 55.04% 22.96% 22.00%+0.73 +8.3 29
1931-04-05 @ Ujpest L 1-353.3 1564 1606 22.00% 22.96% 55.04%-0.73 -8.3 21
1931-04-18 33FC D 0-054.5 1558 1296 72.32% 20.15% 7.54%+2.37 -3.5 27
1931-04-18 @ Hungaria D 0-054.5 1296 1558 7.54% 20.15% 72.32%-2.37 +3.5 13
1931-04-19 Pecs-Baranya FC L 1-252.2 1353 1270 59.15% 22.64% 18.21%+1.03 -10.9 17
1931-04-19 @ Nemzeti SC W 2-152.2 1270 1353 18.21% 22.64% 59.15%-1.03 +10.9 11
1931-04-19 Kispest D 1-152.2 1305 1248 56.50% 22.86% 20.63%+0.84 -1.6 17
1931-04-19 @ Sabaria FC D 1-152.2 1248 1305 20.63% 22.86% 56.50%-0.84 +1.6 9
1931-04-19 Bocskai FC L 1-541.0 1306 1388 39.18% 23.28% 37.53%-0.20 -24.1 12
1931-04-19 @ Bastya W 5-141.0 1388 1306 37.53% 23.28% 39.18%+0.20 +24.1 24
1931-04-19 III. Kerulet W 2-041.6 1294 1411 34.33% 23.19% 42.49%-0.46 +16.2 15
1931-04-19 @ Vasas L 0-241.6 1411 1294 42.49% 23.19% 34.33%+0.46 -16.2 19
1931-04-25 Bocskai FC W 3-144.7 1342 1412 40.90% 23.30% 35.80%-0.11 +12.3 19
1931-04-25 @ Nemzeti SC L 1-344.7 1412 1342 35.80% 23.30% 40.90%+0.11 -12.3 24
1931-04-26 Ferencvaros L 0-433.4 1299 1555 18.77% 22.04% 59.19%-1.49 -15.7 13
1931-04-26 @ 33FC W 4-033.4 1555 1299 59.19% 22.04% 18.77%+1.49 +15.7 23
1931-04-26 Kispest D 3-361.8 1395 1250 64.55% 21.96% 13.49%+1.49 -1.5 20
1931-04-26 @ III. Kerulet D 3-361.8 1250 1395 13.49% 21.96% 64.55%-1.49 +1.5 10
1931-04-26 Bastya W 4-243.6 1303 1282 52.70% 23.09% 24.21%+0.58 +8.1 19
1931-04-26 @ Sabaria FC L 2-443.6 1282 1303 24.21% 23.09% 52.70%-0.58 -8.1 12
1931-04-26 Pecs-Baranya FC W 2-033.4 1615 1281 75.90% 18.81% 5.29%+2.90 +2.4 31
1931-04-26 @ Ujpest L 0-233.4 1281 1615 5.29% 18.81% 75.90%-2.90 -2.4 11
1931-04-26 Hungaria L 1-439.9 1310 1555 19.78% 22.18% 58.04%-1.41 -10.6 15
1931-04-26 @ Vasas W 4-139.9 1555 1310 58.04% 22.18% 19.78%+1.41 +10.6 29
1931-05-03 Vasas D 0-049.3 1278 1299 47.51% 23.25% 29.23%+0.26 -0.9 12
1931-05-03 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 0-049.3 1299 1278 29.23% 23.25% 47.51%-0.26 +0.9 16
1931-05-10 Ferencvaros L 1-458.5 1565 1571 49.46% 23.21% 27.33%+0.37 -22.7 29
1931-05-10 @ Hungaria W 4-158.5 1571 1565 27.33% 23.21% 49.46%-0.37 +22.7 25
1931-05-10 33FC L 1-249.0 1278 1283 49.41% 23.21% 27.38%+0.37 -9.2 12
1931-05-10 @ Pecs-Baranya FC W 2-149.0 1283 1278 27.38% 23.21% 49.41%-0.37 +9.2 15
1931-05-10 Nemzeti SC D 0-050.0 1311 1354 44.66% 23.29% 32.05%+0.10 -0.6 20
1931-05-10 @ Sabaria FC D 0-050.0 1354 1311 32.05% 23.29% 44.66%-0.10 +0.6 20
1931-05-10 III. Kerulet D 2-257.3 1273 1393 33.97% 23.18% 42.85%-0.48 +0.3 13
1931-05-10 @ Bastya D 2-257.3 1393 1273 42.85% 23.18% 33.97%+0.48 -0.3 21
1931-05-10 Bocskai FC L 2-466.3 1617 1400 69.62% 20.92% 9.46%+2.03 -19.8 31
1931-05-10 @ Ujpest W 4-266.3 1400 1617 9.46% 20.92% 69.62%-2.03 +19.8 26
1931-05-10 Kispest L 3-555.8 1300 1251 55.70% 22.92% 21.38%+0.78 -15.1 16
1931-05-10 @ Vasas W 5-355.8 1251 1300 21.38% 22.92% 55.70%-0.78 +15.1 12
1931-05-17 33FC W 3-030.6 1420 1293 63.11% 22.18% 14.72%+1.36 +9.8 28
1931-05-17 @ Bocskai FC L 0-330.6 1293 1420 14.72% 22.18% 63.11%-1.36 -9.8 15
1931-05-17 Pecs-Baranya FC W 4-028.7 1594 1268 75.51% 18.97% 5.52%+2.84 +4.8 27
1931-05-17 @ Ferencvaros L 0-428.7 1268 1594 5.52% 18.97% 75.51%-2.84 -4.8 12
1931-05-17 Nemzeti SC L 1-252.4 1393 1355 54.57% 22.99% 22.44%+0.70 -10.1 21
1931-05-17 @ III. Kerulet W 2-152.4 1355 1393 22.44% 22.99% 54.57%-0.70 +10.1 22
1931-05-17 Kispest L 1-258.3 1543 1267 73.05% 19.90% 7.05%+2.47 -13.4 29
1931-05-17 @ Hungaria W 2-158.3 1267 1543 7.05% 19.90% 73.05%-2.47 +13.4 14
1931-05-17 Ujpest L 1-342.3 1311 1597 16.27% 21.65% 62.08%-1.72 -6.3 20
1931-05-17 @ Sabaria FC W 3-142.3 1597 1311 62.08% 21.65% 16.27%+1.72 +6.3 33
1931-05-17 Bastya D 2-256.5 1285 1274 51.51% 23.14% 25.35%+0.50 -0.9 17
1931-05-17 @ Vasas D 2-256.5 1274 1285 25.35% 23.14% 51.51%-0.50 +0.9 14
1931-05-22 Ujpest L 1-249.4 1383 1603 22.11% 22.45% 55.44%-1.23 -4.8 21
1931-05-22 @ III. Kerulet W 2-149.4 1603 1383 55.44% 22.45% 22.11%+1.23 +4.8 35
1931-05-30 Vasas W 5-345.2 1365 1284 58.92% 22.66% 18.42%+1.01 +6.0 24
1931-05-30 @ Nemzeti SC L 3-545.2 1284 1365 18.42% 22.66% 58.92%-1.01 -6.0 17
1931-05-31 Bocskai FC W 6-244.6 1598 1430 66.36% 21.64% 12.00%+1.67 +7.5 29
1931-05-31 @ Ferencvaros L 2-644.6 1430 1598 12.00% 21.64% 66.36%-1.67 -7.5 28
1931-05-31 Hungaria D 2-259.6 1263 1529 17.93% 21.92% 60.15%-1.56 +1.4 13
1931-05-31 @ Pecs-Baranya FC D 2-259.6 1529 1263 60.15% 21.92% 17.93%+1.56 -1.4 30
1931-05-31 33FC L 2-354.7 1304 1283 52.67% 23.09% 24.24%+0.57 -9.3 20
1931-05-31 @ Sabaria FC W 3-254.7 1283 1304 24.24% 23.09% 52.67%-0.57 +9.3 17
1931-05-31 Kispest L 0-242.4 1275 1280 49.48% 23.21% 27.31%+0.38 -18.5 14
1931-05-31 @ Bastya W 2-042.4 1280 1275 27.31% 23.21% 49.48%-0.38 +18.5 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1931-03-01 6.08% Vasas 1258 3 @ Ferencvaros 1564 2
2 1931-05-17 7.05% Kispest 1267 2 @ Hungaria 1543 1
3 1930-11-16 8.68% Sabaria FC 1329 4 @ Ujpest 1564 2
4 1931-05-10 9.46% Bocskai FC 1400 4 @ Ujpest 1617 2
5 1930-11-16 14.45% @ Vasas 1260 5 Ferencvaros 1572 2
6 1930-10-19 16.21% Kispest 1232 4 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 1339 0
7 1931-04-19 18.21% Pecs-Baranya FC 1270 2 @ Nemzeti SC 1353 1
8 1931-03-01 21.17% @ Nemzeti SC 1334 2 Hungaria 1564 1
9 1931-05-10 21.38% Kispest 1251 5 @ Vasas 1300 3
10 1930-11-24 21.70% @ Nemzeti SC 1319 2 Ujpest 1543 1
11 1930-10-05 22.02% Vasas 1230 3 @ Kispest 1273 0
12 1931-05-17 22.44% Nemzeti SC 1355 2 @ III. Kerulet 1393 1
13 1930-10-19 22.98% Sabaria FC 1325 1 @ Bastya 1359 0
14 1931-05-31 24.24% 33FC 1283 3 @ Sabaria FC 1304 2
15 1930-09-07 25.23% @ Bocskai FC 1376 3 Ferencvaros 1567 2
16 1930-10-05 25.36% Sabaria FC 1313 1 @ 33FC 1325 0
17 1930-11-24 25.43% Pecs-Baranya FC 1289 1 @ 33FC 1300 0
18 1931-05-31 27.31% Kispest 1280 2 @ Bastya 1275 0
19 1931-05-10 27.33% Ferencvaros 1571 4 @ Hungaria 1565 1
20 1931-05-10 27.38% 33FC 1283 2 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 1278 1
21 1931-03-29 27.40% @ Kispest 1232 3 Bocskai FC 1404 1
22 1931-02-22 28.20% @ III. Kerulet 1408 1 Ferencvaros 1573 0
23 1931-03-15 28.44% Ujpest 1571 2 @ Hungaria 1556 0
24 1931-03-15 29.06% Nemzeti SC 1342 2 @ 33FC 1322 1
25 1930-11-16 30.05% 33FC 1291 1 @ Kispest 1263 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-10-19 42.98 Kispest 4 1232 16.21% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1339 61.39% 22.40%
2 1930-10-05 29.62 Vasas 3 1230 22.02% @ Kispest 0 1273 55.02% 22.96%
3 1931-02-22 28.18 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 4 1277 38.84% Sabaria FC 0 1362 37.88% 23.28%
4 1931-03-29 26.46 @ Vasas 4 1267 41.80% Sabaria FC 0 1331 34.89% 23.30%
5 1930-11-16 24.92 @ Vasas 5 1260 14.45% Ferencvaros 2 1572 64.26% 21.28%
6 1931-04-19 24.11 Bocskai FC 5 1388 37.53% @ Bastya 1 1306 39.18% 23.28%
7 1930-09-14 23.77 @ Hungaria 7 1482 61.27% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1376 16.32% 22.41%
8 1931-05-10 22.67 Ferencvaros 4 1571 27.33% @ Hungaria 1 1565 49.46% 23.21%
9 1931-03-15 22.23 @ Kispest 3 1210 37.37% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1305 39.37% 23.26%
10 1931-03-08 21.77 @ III. Kerulet 4 1418 49.51% Bocskai FC 0 1423 27.29% 23.21%
11 1931-03-25 20.50 @ Hungaria 6 1538 61.30% III. Kerulet 0 1432 16.29% 22.41%
12 1930-11-16 20.10 Sabaria FC 4 1329 8.68% @ Ujpest 2 1564 70.68% 20.64%
13 1930-09-13 19.84 III. Kerulet 4 1403 34.43% @ Nemzeti SC 1 1342 42.26% 23.30%
14 1931-05-10 19.82 Bocskai FC 4 1400 9.46% @ Ujpest 2 1617 69.62% 20.92%
15 1931-05-31 18.52 Kispest 2 1280 27.31% @ Bastya 0 1275 49.48% 23.21%
16 1931-03-15 18.13 Ujpest 2 1571 28.44% @ Hungaria 0 1556 48.32% 23.24%
17 1931-03-29 17.45 Ujpest 7 1589 61.09% @ 33FC 1 1313 17.12% 21.79%
18 1931-04-19 16.25 @ Vasas 2 1294 34.33% III. Kerulet 0 1411 42.49% 23.19%
19 1930-11-30 16.08 Ferencvaros 4 1550 58.60% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1300 19.28% 22.11%
20 1931-03-29 16.06 @ Kispest 3 1232 27.40% Bocskai FC 1 1404 49.73% 22.88%
21 1931-03-01 15.89 @ 33FC 4 1305 58.52% Kispest 0 1229 18.78% 22.70%
22 1931-04-26 15.70 Ferencvaros 4 1555 59.19% @ 33FC 0 1299 18.77% 22.04%
23 1930-10-19 15.10 Hungaria 8 1516 53.20% @ 33FC 3 1316 24.16% 22.64%
24 1931-05-10 15.10 Kispest 5 1251 21.38% @ Vasas 3 1300 55.70% 22.92%
25 1931-02-14 15.02 @ 33FC 3 1280 30.93% III. Kerulet 1 1423 46.00% 23.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-11-30 68.7 @ Ujpest 2 1533 48.35% Hungaria 2 1548 28.42% 23.24%
2 1931-05-10 66.3 Bocskai FC 4 1400 9.46% @ Ujpest 2 1617 69.62% 20.92%
3 1930-11-09 66.2 @ Ferencvaros 1 1573 51.37% Ujpest 1 1562 25.49% 23.14%
4 1930-11-23 66.2 @ Bastya 3 1335 22.77% Hungaria 3 1549 54.72% 22.51%
5 1930-11-02 65.3 @ Ferencvaros 1 1574 55.04% Hungaria 1 1531 22.00% 22.96%
6 1931-03-01 63.4 Vasas 3 1258 6.08% @ Ferencvaros 2 1564 74.57% 19.35%
7 1931-03-29 63.4 @ Ferencvaros 2 1566 69.50% Nemzeti SC 2 1351 9.55% 20.95%
8 1930-10-19 63.2 @ Bocskai FC 2 1373 26.48% Ujpest 2 1553 50.70% 22.82%
9 1930-11-02 62.1 @ Kispest 3 1275 29.88% III. Kerulet 3 1426 47.11% 23.02%
10 1930-11-16 62.1 Sabaria FC 4 1329 8.68% @ Ujpest 2 1564 70.68% 20.64%
11 1930-09-14 62.0 @ Sabaria FC 3 1313 40.67% Bocskai FC 3 1386 36.03% 23.30%
12 1931-04-26 61.8 @ III. Kerulet 3 1395 64.55% Kispest 3 1250 13.49% 21.96%
13 1930-09-07 61.4 @ Bocskai FC 3 1376 25.23% Ferencvaros 2 1567 52.05% 22.73%
14 1931-05-31 59.6 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 2 1263 17.93% Hungaria 2 1529 60.15% 21.92%
15 1930-10-05 58.8 @ III. Kerulet 1 1422 39.13% Hungaria 1 1505 37.59% 23.28%
16 1931-05-10 58.5 Ferencvaros 4 1571 27.33% @ Hungaria 1 1565 49.46% 23.21%
17 1930-10-12 58.3 @ Sabaria FC 1 1324 18.91% Ferencvaros 1 1578 59.03% 22.06%
18 1931-05-17 58.3 Kispest 2 1267 7.05% @ Hungaria 1 1543 73.05% 19.90%
19 1930-09-06 57.5 @ 33FC 2 1335 48.25% Bastya 2 1351 28.51% 23.24%
20 1931-05-10 57.3 @ Bastya 2 1273 33.97% III. Kerulet 2 1393 42.85% 23.18%
21 1931-02-21 57.1 @ Nemzeti SC 2 1335 53.11% Bastya 2 1310 23.82% 23.07%
22 1931-03-01 56.6 @ Nemzeti SC 2 1334 21.17% Hungaria 1 1564 56.48% 22.35%
23 1931-05-17 56.5 @ Vasas 2 1285 51.51% Bastya 2 1274 25.35% 23.14%
24 1930-11-09 56.4 @ Vasas 2 1261 46.40% 33FC 2 1290 30.33% 23.27%
25 1930-11-16 55.8 @ Vasas 5 1260 14.45% Ferencvaros 2 1572 64.26% 21.28%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1931-05-17 28.7 @ Ferencvaros 4 1594 75.51% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1268 5.52% 18.97%
2 1931-03-01 29.1 @ 33FC 4 1305 58.52% Kispest 0 1229 18.78% 22.70%
3 1930-11-02 29.8 @ Ujpest 6 1552 71.68% 33FC 0 1301 7.97% 20.34%
4 1931-05-17 30.6 @ Bocskai FC 3 1420 63.11% 33FC 0 1293 14.72% 22.18%
5 1931-03-15 30.7 @ Ferencvaros 7 1554 71.56% Bastya 0 1304 8.06% 20.38%
6 1930-09-14 31.0 @ Ferencvaros 5 1558 70.02% 33FC 0 1335 9.16% 20.82%
7 1930-11-16 32.0 @ Hungaria 3 1542 69.61% Nemzeti SC 0 1325 9.47% 20.92%
8 1930-09-07 32.9 @ Ujpest 4 1538 74.18% Vasas 1 1240 6.33% 19.50%
9 1930-11-30 33.4 Ferencvaros 4 1550 58.60% @ Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1300 19.28% 22.11%
10 1931-04-26 33.4 Ferencvaros 4 1555 59.19% @ 33FC 0 1299 18.77% 22.04%
11 1931-04-26 33.4 @ Ujpest 2 1615 75.90% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1281 5.29% 18.81%
12 1930-11-09 33.6 @ Bocskai FC 5 1374 60.58% Kispest 1 1275 16.93% 22.49%
13 1930-09-14 33.8 @ Hungaria 7 1482 61.27% Pecs-Baranya FC 0 1376 16.32% 22.41%
14 1930-10-19 34.2 @ III. Kerulet 4 1419 65.05% Vasas 1 1268 13.08% 21.88%
15 1931-03-01 34.5 @ Ujpest 5 1562 71.63% Bastya 1 1311 8.01% 20.36%
16 1931-03-29 34.5 @ Vasas 4 1267 41.80% Sabaria FC 0 1331 34.89% 23.30%
17 1930-09-07 34.6 @ III. Kerulet 2 1394 58.09% Sabaria FC 0 1322 19.17% 22.74%
18 1931-02-15 34.6 @ Hungaria 5 1552 70.73% Bastya 1 1316 8.65% 20.63%
19 1931-02-22 34.6 @ 33FC 2 1295 53.32% Vasas 0 1268 23.62% 23.06%
20 1931-03-01 34.9 @ Bocskai FC 2 1414 58.93% Sabaria FC 0 1334 18.41% 22.66%
21 1931-02-22 35.7 @ Pecs-Baranya FC 4 1277 38.84% Sabaria FC 0 1362 37.88% 23.28%
22 1930-11-30 35.8 @ III. Kerulet 1 1425 63.74% 33FC 0 1290 14.18% 22.09%
23 1931-03-08 35.9 @ III. Kerulet 4 1418 49.51% Bocskai FC 0 1423 27.29% 23.21%
24 1930-09-14 36.5 @ Bastya 3 1351 62.07% Vasas 1 1236 15.61% 22.32%
25 1930-09-30 36.5 @ Ujpest 3 1541 72.49% Kispest 1 1276 7.42% 20.09%