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1950 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

120 games

Final

Champion

Honved

27 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1949-50

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Diosgyor

5.12 points above expected

16 points · 10.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ferencvaros

7.37 points below expected

12 points · 19.37 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Honved Champion 15 13 1 1 27 67 16 +51 24.50 +2.50
2 Textiles 15 11 2 2 24 54 25 +29 23.70 +0.30
3 Budapest Dozsa 15 9 3 3 21 37 23 +14 20.84 +0.16
4 Csepel 15 8 2 5 18 33 21 +12 18.98 -0.98
5 Dorogi 15 8 2 5 18 36 32 +4 15.56 +2.44
6 Vasas 15 8 1 6 17 30 23 +7 19.45 -2.45
7 Salgotarjan 15 6 4 5 16 27 26 +1 14.29 +1.71
8 Diosgyor 15 5 6 4 16 21 23 -2 10.88 +5.12
9 Gyor 15 6 1 8 13 28 28 0 15.58 -2.58
10 Ferencvaros 15 5 2 8 12 25 30 -5 19.37 -7.37
11 Szombathelyi Haladas 15 3 6 6 12 16 26 -10 13.22 -1.22
12 Szegedi AK 15 4 4 7 12 22 44 -22 11.41 +0.59
13 Postas SE 15 4 3 8 11 18 28 -10 10.19 +0.81
14 Bekescsaba 15 4 2 9 10 26 41 -15 6.91 +3.09
15 Duna SK 15 2 3 10 7 22 51 -29 7.00 +0.00
16 Tatabanya 15 1 4 10 6 17 42 -25 8.12 -2.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Diosgyor 16 10.88 +5.12
2 Bekescsaba 10 6.91 +3.09
3 Honved 27 24.50 +2.50
4 Dorogi 18 15.56 +2.44
5 Salgotarjan 16 14.29 +1.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ferencvaros 12 19.37 -7.37
2 Gyor 13 15.58 -2.58
3 Vasas 17 19.45 -2.45
4 Tatabanya 6 8.12 -2.12
5 Szombathelyi Haladas 12 13.22 -1.22

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Postas SE 2 Oct 1 – Oct 7 1 in 100
2 Diosgyor 1 Sep 3 – Sep 3 1 in 58
3 Duna SK 1 Sep 3 – Sep 3 1 in 44
4 Salgotarjan 3 Nov 1 – Nov 19 1 in 33
5 Honved 8 Nov 1 – Dec 24 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapest Dozsa 2 Sep 3 – Sep 9 1 in 347
2 Vasas 5 Nov 1 – Dec 3 1 in 165
3 Gyor 3 Aug 27 – Sep 17 1 in 80
4 Csepel 2 Oct 21 – Nov 1 1 in 46
5 Ferencvaros 2 Oct 8 – Oct 15 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Postas SE 6 Sep 17 – Oct 21 1 in 112
2 Salgotarjan 5 Oct 15 – Nov 19 1 in 39
3 Diosgyor 4 Sep 24 – Oct 15 1 in 37
4 Bekescsaba 3 Oct 15 – Nov 1 1 in 22
5 Budapest Dozsa 9 Oct 8 – Dec 17 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szombathelyi Haladas 10 Sep 3 – Nov 26 1 in 244
2 Ferencvaros 3 Sep 3 – Sep 24 1 in 17
3 Szegedi AK 5 Nov 5 – Dec 17 1 in 16
4 Budapest Dozsa 2 Sep 3 – Sep 9 1 in 14
5 Tatabanya 13 Aug 20 – Nov 26 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Honved 2470 27 +156 10 7.4 +2.6
Textiles 2265 24 -22 7 7.3 -0.3
Budapest Dozsa 2131 21 +82 9 7.0 +2.0
Dorogi 2015 18 +46 7 7.1 -0.1
Csepel 2099 18 +2 7 7.0 -0.0
Vasas 1946 17 -156 2 5.5 -3.5
Diosgyor 1777 16 +27 5 4.2 +0.8
Salgotarjan 1909 16 -90 4 5.0 -1.0
Gyor 1901 13 +15 5 4.5 +0.5
Ferencvaros 1982 12 -9 4 4.5 -0.5
Szombathelyi Haladas 1759 12 -50 3 3.3 -0.3
Szegedi AK 1756 12 -57 2 4.4 -2.4
Postas SE 1737 11 -9 2 2.7 -0.7
Bekescsaba 1722 10 -15 3 3.1 -0.1
Duna SK 1592 7 +0 3 2.5 +0.5
Tatabanya 1663 6 -13 3 3.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEK BD CSE DIO DOR DS FER GYO HON PS SAL SA SH TAT TEX VAS
Bekescsaba —
0-0-1
0.51
1-0-0
0.46
0-0-1
0.73
0-0-1
0.36
0-1-0
0.95
1-0-0
0.67
0-0-1
0.32
0-0-1
0.28
0-0-1
0.59
0-0-1
0.39
0-1-0
0.61
1-0-0
1.02
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-1
0.18
0-0-1
0.47
Budapest Dozsa
1-0-0
2.30
 —
0-0-1
2.09
0-0-1
2.59
0-1-0
2.27
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.23
0-1-0
1.34
0-0-1
0.31
1-0-0
2.05
1-0-0
2.32
0-1-0
2.44
1-0-0
2.44
1-0-0
1.67
1-0-0
0.94
1-0-0
2.11
Csepel
0-0-1
2.34
1-0-0
0.71
 —
1-0-0
2.53
0-0-1
1.88
1-0-0
2.64
1-0-0
0.77
1-0-0
2.39
0-0-1
0.38
0-0-1
2.60
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.50
0-1-0
1.35
0-1-0
2.27
0-0-1
1.49
1-0-0
0.89
Diosgyor
1-0-0
2.07
1-0-0
0.23
0-0-1
0.28
 —
0-1-0
0.32
1-0-0
2.33
0-0-1
0.37
1-0-0
1.21
0-1-0
0.19
0-1-0
2.09
0-1-0
1.40
1-0-0
1.96
0-1-0
0.49
0-0-1
1.15
0-0-1
0.38
0-1-0
0.25
Dorogi
1-0-0
2.44
0-1-0
0.53
1-0-0
0.92
0-1-0
2.49
 —
1-0-0
2.50
1-0-0
1.00
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-1
0.26
1-0-0
2.43
0-0-1
1.38
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
1.36
1-0-0
2.53
0-0-1
0.30
0-0-1
0.42
Duna SK
0-1-0
1.85
0-0-1
0.46
0-0-1
0.19
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
0.31
 —
0-0-1
0.54
1-0-0
0.25
0-0-1
0.28
0-1-0
0.61
0-0-1
0.27
0-1-0
0.42
0-0-1
1.18
1-0-0
1.77
0-0-1
0.19
0-0-1
0.48
Ferencvaros
0-0-1
2.13
0-0-1
0.57
0-0-1
2.03
1-0-0
2.44
0-0-1
1.80
1-0-0
2.27
 —
1-0-0
2.43
0-0-1
0.30
0-1-0
2.61
1-0-0
2.01
1-0-0
2.38
0-0-1
2.24
0-1-0
1.96
0-0-1
0.98
0-0-1
1.24
Gyor
1-0-0
2.48
0-1-0
1.45
0-0-1
0.41
0-0-1
1.59
1-0-0
1.48
0-0-1
2.56
0-0-1
0.38
 —
1-0-0
0.60
1-0-0
2.46
0-0-1
0.95
0-0-1
1.30
1-0-0
2.33
1-0-0
2.41
0-0-1
0.25
0-0-1
0.70
Honved
1-0-0
2.54
1-0-0
2.49
1-0-0
2.43
0-1-0
2.64
1-0-0
2.56
1-0-0
2.54
1-0-0
2.51
0-0-1
2.20
 —
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
2.62
1-0-0
2.60
1-0-0
2.38
1-0-0
1.07
1-0-0
2.34
Postas SE
1-0-0
2.21
0-0-1
0.76
1-0-0
0.22
0-1-0
0.71
0-0-1
0.37
0-1-0
2.19
0-1-0
0.21
0-0-1
0.35
0-0-1
0.39
 —
0-0-1
0.34
0-0-1
0.65
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
2.19
0-0-1
0.20
0-0-1
0.86
Salgotarjan
1-0-0
2.41
0-0-1
0.48
0-0-1
0.44
0-1-0
1.40
1-0-0
1.42
1-0-0
2.54
0-0-1
0.79
1-0-0
1.85
0-0-1
0.76
1-0-0
2.47
 —
0-0-1
1.04
0-1-0
0.90
0-1-0
2.27
0-1-0
0.52
1-0-0
0.41
Szegedi AK
0-1-0
2.19
0-1-0
0.36
0-0-1
0.31
0-0-1
0.84
0-0-1
0.65
0-1-0
2.38
0-0-1
0.42
1-0-0
1.50
0-0-1
0.21
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
1.76
 —
0-1-0
0.62
1-0-0
2.11
0-0-1
0.46
0-0-1
0.31
Szombathelyi Haladas
0-0-1
1.78
0-0-1
0.37
0-1-0
1.45
0-1-0
2.31
0-0-1
1.43
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
0.57
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
0.22
0-0-1
0.92
0-1-0
1.90
0-1-0
2.18
 —
0-1-0
1.17
0-1-0
0.41
1-0-0
1.18
Tatabanya
0-0-1
0.63
0-0-1
1.13
0-1-0
0.53
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-1
0.28
0-0-1
1.03
0-1-0
0.84
0-0-1
0.39
0-0-1
0.43
0-0-1
0.61
0-1-0
0.53
0-0-1
0.69
0-1-0
1.63
 —
0-0-1
0.20
0-0-1
0.60
Textiles
1-0-0
2.65
0-0-1
1.86
1-0-0
1.31
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.51
1-0-0
2.64
1-0-0
1.82
1-0-0
2.56
0-0-1
1.73
1-0-0
2.63
0-1-0
2.28
1-0-0
2.34
0-1-0
2.40
1-0-0
2.63
 —
1-0-0
1.90
Vasas
1-0-0
2.34
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
1.91
0-1-0
2.57
1-0-0
2.38
1-0-0
2.32
1-0-0
1.55
1-0-0
2.10
0-0-1
0.47
1-0-0
1.94
0-0-1
2.39
1-0-0
2.50
0-0-1
1.62
1-0-0
2.20
0-0-1
0.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +3.7
Allowed 0.60 -4.7
Differential 0.92 +2.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%4.58%2.50%2.50%2.08%2.92%19.58%
14.58%7.50%6.25%4.17%2.92%2.92%28.33%
22.50%6.25%4.17%2.50%4.17%1.67%21.25%
32.50%4.17%2.50%1.67%—0.83%11.67%
42.08%2.92%4.17%—0.83%0.42%10.42%
5+2.92%2.92%1.67%0.83%0.42%—8.75%
Total19.58%28.33%21.25%11.67%10.42%8.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.70
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%——6.67%20.00%
1—6.67%6.67%—6.67%—20.00%
2——6.67%—20.00%6.67%33.33%
3—6.67%13.33%———20.00%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+———————
Total—20.00%40.00%—26.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.73 -1.00
SD 1.22 1.44 2.00
CV 0.71 0.53 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
16.67%———6.67%—13.33%
26.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
3—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
46.67%6.67%————13.33%
5+—6.67%—6.67%——13.33%
Total20.00%33.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 1.53 +0.93
SD 1.60 1.19 2.02
CV 0.65 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%———6.67%20.00%
16.67%6.67%—13.33%——26.67%
2————6.67%—6.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
413.33%26.67%————40.00%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%—13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 1.40 +0.80
SD 1.70 1.59 2.76
CV 0.77 1.14 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%——13.33%——26.67%
120.00%13.33%6.67%———40.00%
2——6.67%—6.67%—13.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4——6.67%—6.67%—13.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%20.00%20.00%13.33%13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.53 -0.13
SD 1.35 1.46 1.55
CV 0.97 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———6.67%——6.67%
1—6.67%13.33%——6.67%26.67%
2—13.33%——6.67%—20.00%
313.33%6.67%—6.67%——26.67%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+6.67%—6.67%———13.33%
Total20.00%26.67%26.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.40 2.13 +0.27
SD 1.50 2.47 3.35
CV 0.63 1.16 —
Max 5 10 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%——13.33%—26.67%
1—6.67%——6.67%13.33%26.67%
2—6.67%——13.33%6.67%26.67%
3—6.67%—6.67%——13.33%
4—————6.67%6.67%
5+———————
Total6.67%26.67%—6.67%33.33%26.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 3.40 -1.93
SD 1.25 2.16 2.22
CV 0.85 0.64 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%—6.67%——13.33%
1—13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%—33.33%
26.67%6.67%—6.67%6.67%6.67%33.33%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total13.33%40.00%6.67%20.00%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.00 -0.33
SD 1.11 1.56 2.13
CV 0.67 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%—6.67%——13.33%
16.67%—13.33%13.33%6.67%—40.00%
2—13.33%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
3———————
46.67%—6.67%———13.33%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total13.33%26.67%26.67%26.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.87 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.19 2.36
CV 0.88 0.64 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——6.67%———6.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
3———————
46.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
5+26.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%——46.67%
Total40.00%20.00%33.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.47 1.07 +3.40
SD 2.29 1.03 2.56
CV 0.51 0.97 —
Max 10 3 +9
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%———6.67%—13.33%
16.67%13.33%26.67%6.67%—6.67%60.00%
26.67%6.67%—6.67%——20.00%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%33.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.87 -0.67
SD 0.77 1.46 1.72
CV 0.65 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—13.33%——6.67%26.67%
16.67%6.67%—6.67%6.67%—26.67%
26.67%—6.67%———13.33%
313.33%6.67%————20.00%
4————6.67%—6.67%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total33.33%20.00%20.00%6.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.73 +0.07
SD 1.74 1.83 2.79
CV 0.97 1.06 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.67%—6.67%13.33%26.67%
1—6.67%—6.67%—6.67%20.00%
26.67%6.67%13.33%——6.67%33.33%
3—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%20.00%26.67%13.33%6.67%26.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 2.93 -1.47
SD 1.13 2.05 2.70
CV 0.77 0.70 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%—6.67%—6.67%46.67%
16.67%13.33%————20.00%
2—6.67%—6.67%6.67%—20.00%
3—————6.67%6.67%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.73 -0.67
SD 1.28 1.83 1.76
CV 1.20 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%————6.67%
1—20.00%20.00%13.33%6.67%13.33%73.33%
2—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—33.33%26.67%20.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 2.80 -1.67
SD 0.52 2.43 2.50
CV 0.46 0.87 —
Max 2 10 +1
Min 0 1 -9

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—————6.67%
16.67%6.67%————13.33%
2—6.67%—6.67%——13.33%
3—13.33%———6.67%20.00%
4——20.00%———20.00%
5+6.67%13.33%——6.67%—26.67%
Total20.00%40.00%20.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.60 1.67 +1.93
SD 2.50 1.63 2.81
CV 0.69 0.98 —
Max 10 6 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%6.67%—6.67%6.67%46.67%
16.67%—————6.67%
2—13.33%————13.33%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4———————
5+6.67%6.67%13.33%———26.67%
Total20.00%40.00%26.67%—6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.53 +0.47
SD 2.42 1.41 2.97
CV 1.21 0.92 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Honved 2470 27 24.50 +2.50 90.0% 19 20 23 25 27 28 30
Textiles 2265 24 23.70 +0.30 67.0% 15 20 22 24 25 27 29
Budapest Dozsa 2131 21 20.84 +0.16 52.0% 13 15 19 21 23 25 27
Csepel 2099 18 18.98 -0.98 38.0% 13 14 17 19 21 23 25
Dorogi 2015 18 15.56 +2.44 84.0% 9 11 13 16 18 20 23
Ferencvaros 1982 12 19.37 -7.37 1.0% 12 15 18 19 21 23 26
Vasas 1946 17 19.45 -2.45 29.0% 14 14 17 20 21 23 27
Salgotarjan 1909 16 14.29 +1.71 82.0% 8 9 13 15 16 18 20
Gyor 1901 13 15.58 -2.58 21.0% 9 11 14 15 17 20 23
Diosgyor 1777 16 10.88 +5.12 98.0% 4 5 9 11 13 15 19
Szombathelyi Haladas 1759 12 13.22 -1.22 46.0% 5 9 11 13 16 18 20
Szegedi AK 1756 12 11.41 +0.59 72.0% 6 7 10 11 13 16 18
Postas SE 1737 11 10.19 +0.81 68.0% 3 6 9 10 12 14 18
Bekescsaba 1722 10 6.91 +3.09 91.0% 1 3 5 7 9 12 14
Tatabanya 1663 6 8.12 -2.12 33.0% 2 4 6 8 10 13 15
Duna SK 1592 7 7.00 +0.00 64.0% 2 3 5 7 8 11 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.50%
Strong Edge
56.67%19.17%24.17%
Elo Value
Home Edge
208 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0117.16600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.82 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.56+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Honved, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.20/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.19 * Some Luck: 2.19 to 3.29 * Lucky: 3.29 to 4.39 * Wild Swing: 4.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.49 * Way Off: 2.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.81 points
Some Luck
02.747
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.62
Close
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.00%
Diosgyor
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.00%
Ferencvaros
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 235.49
1.66
Moderate Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
84%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Few
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.65
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Near-Lock
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.15
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.67
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.130
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Honved57.00%26.00%14.00%2.00%—1.00%——————————
Textiles34.00%35.00%22.00%7.00%1.00%—1.00%—————————
Budapest Dozsa6.00%19.00%23.00%19.00%10.00%14.00%3.00%5.00%——1.00%—————
Csepel—8.00%11.00%20.00%22.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%——————
Dorogi—1.00%1.00%3.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%———
Vasas1.00%5.00%19.00%24.00%18.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%——————
Salgotarjan————5.00%10.00%12.00%24.00%15.00%16.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%—
Diosgyor————1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%11.00%19.00%6.00%9.00%4.00%
Gyor——1.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%22.00%15.00%19.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%————
Ferencvaros2.00%6.00%9.00%18.00%23.00%19.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Szombathelyi Haladas———2.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%17.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Szegedi AK——————3.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%21.00%17.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%
Postas SE——————1.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%30.00%19.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%
Bekescsaba———————2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%13.00%21.00%29.00%28.00%
Duna SK———————1.00%—1.00%2.00%5.00%4.00%26.00%25.00%36.00%
Tatabanya—————————5.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%22.00%21.00%24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Bekescsaba 100%
Budapest Dozsa 100%
Csepel 100%
Diosgyor 100%
Dorogi 100%
Duna SK 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gyor 100%
Honved 100%
Postas SE 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Szegedi AK 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 100%
Tatabanya 100%
Textiles 100%
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1950-08-20 Postas SE W 4-044.7 1984 1733 75.54% 19.38% 5.08%+1.77 +13.8 2
1950-08-20 @ Gyor L 0-444.7 1733 1984 5.08% 19.38% 75.54%-1.77 -13.8 0
1950-08-20 Diosgyor D 2-277.7 2285 1661 82.53% 16.81% 0.66%+3.56 -9.2 1
1950-08-20 @ Honved D 2-277.7 1661 2285 0.66% 16.81% 82.53%-3.56 +9.2 1
1950-08-20 Duna SK W 6-459.0 2242 1628 82.41% 16.89% 0.70%+3.51 +0.7 2
1950-08-20 @ Textiles L 4-659.0 1628 2242 0.70% 16.89% 82.41%-3.51 -0.7 0
1950-08-20 Bekescsaba W 1-050.8 1841 1639 73.78% 19.61% 6.61%+1.53 +5.0 2
1950-08-20 @ Salgotarjan L 0-150.8 1639 1841 6.61% 19.61% 73.78%-1.53 -5.0 0
1950-08-20 Tatabanya W 2-157.7 1792 1764 63.48% 20.18% 16.34%+0.70 +10.9 2
1950-08-20 @ Szegedi AK L 1-257.7 1764 1792 16.34% 20.18% 63.48%-0.70 -10.9 0
1950-08-20 Ferencvaros W 2-173.4 1819 2256 12.31% 19.60% 68.09%-1.54 +37.7 2
1950-08-20 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-273.4 2256 1819 68.09% 19.60% 12.31%+1.54 -37.7 0
1950-08-20 Dorogi W 2-155.2 2034 1856 72.78% 19.71% 7.51%+1.42 +5.3 2
1950-08-20 @ Vasas L 1-255.2 1856 2034 7.51% 19.71% 72.78%-1.42 -5.3 0
1950-08-26 Budapest Dozsa L 1-452.0 1634 2103 10.44% 19.46% 70.10%-1.69 -17.5 0
1950-08-26 @ Bekescsaba W 4-152.0 2103 1634 70.10% 19.46% 10.44%+1.69 +17.5 2
1950-08-26 Vasas L 1-554.0 1720 2039 21.90% 20.04% 58.06%-0.97 -44.2 0
1950-08-26 @ Postas SE W 5-154.0 2039 1720 58.06% 20.04% 21.90%+0.97 +44.2 4
1950-08-27 Textiles L 2-468.2 2089 2243 42.95% 20.32% 36.73%-0.18 -37.9 0
1950-08-27 @ Csepel W 4-268.2 2243 2089 36.73% 20.32% 42.95%+0.18 +37.9 4
1950-08-27 Salgotarjan D 4-483.2 1670 1846 39.89% 20.31% 39.81%-0.28 -0.0 2
1950-08-27 @ Diosgyor D 4-483.2 1846 1670 39.81% 20.31% 39.89%+0.28 +0.0 3
1950-08-27 Szegedi AK W 5-047.3 1851 1803 65.01% 20.14% 14.85%+0.79 +46.7 2
1950-08-27 @ Dorogi L 0-547.3 1803 1851 14.85% 20.14% 65.01%-0.79 -46.7 2
1950-08-27 Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-464.5 1627 1856 32.51% 20.24% 47.25%-0.54 -30.2 0
1950-08-27 @ Duna SK W 4-264.5 1856 1627 47.25% 20.24% 32.51%+0.54 +30.2 4
1950-08-27 Gyor W 2-154.7 2218 1998 74.48% 19.53% 5.99%+1.62 +4.3 2
1950-08-27 @ Ferencvaros L 1-254.7 1998 2218 5.99% 19.53% 74.48%-1.62 -4.3 2
1950-08-27 Honved L 1-451.3 1753 2276 7.93% 19.19% 72.88%-1.94 -13.5 0
1950-08-27 @ Tatabanya W 4-151.3 2276 1753 72.88% 19.19% 7.93%+1.94 +13.5 3
1950-09-03 Postas SE W 2-154.5 1897 1675 74.54% 19.52% 5.94%+1.63 +4.2 4
1950-09-03 @ Dorogi L 1-254.5 1675 1897 5.94% 19.52% 74.54%-1.63 -4.2 0
1950-09-03 Duna SK L 1-276.2 1994 1597 79.18% 18.53% 2.29%+2.47 -44.4 2
1950-09-03 @ Gyor W 2-176.2 1597 1994 2.29% 18.53% 79.18%-2.47 +44.4 2
1950-09-03 Szegedi AK W 7-248.3 2289 1757 81.36% 17.55% 1.09%+3.12 +2.5 5
1950-09-03 @ Honved L 2-748.3 1757 2289 1.09% 17.55% 81.36%-3.12 -2.5 2
1950-09-03 Bekescsaba W 5-042.0 2281 1616 83.01% 16.46% 0.53%+3.75 +1.7 6
1950-09-03 @ Textiles L 0-542.0 1616 2281 0.53% 16.46% 83.01%-3.75 -1.7 0
1950-09-03 Tatabanya D 2-276.5 1846 1740 69.01% 19.98% 11.01%+1.07 -6.3 4
1950-09-03 @ Salgotarjan D 2-276.5 1740 1846 11.01% 19.98% 69.01%-1.07 +6.3 1
1950-09-03 Csepel D 0-069.6 1886 2051 41.43% 20.32% 38.26%-0.23 -0.5 5
1950-09-03 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-069.6 2051 1886 38.26% 20.32% 41.43%+0.23 +0.5 1
1950-09-03 Diosgyor L 0-172.9 2121 1670 80.13% 18.16% 1.71%+2.72 -47.5 2
1950-09-03 @ Budapest Dozsa W 1-072.9 1670 2121 1.71% 18.16% 80.13%-2.72 +47.5 4
1950-09-03 Ferencvaros W 5-263.2 2084 2223 44.98% 20.33% 34.69%-0.11 +43.7 6
1950-09-03 @ Vasas L 2-563.2 2223 2084 34.69% 20.33% 44.98%+0.11 -43.7 2
1950-09-09 Csepel L 1-468.1 2073 2052 62.94% 20.19% 16.86%+0.67 -85.3 2
1950-09-09 @ Budapest Dozsa W 4-168.1 2052 2073 16.86% 20.19% 62.94%-0.67 +85.3 3
1950-09-16 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-270.6 1614 1886 27.19% 20.16% 52.65%-0.74 +45.2 2
1950-09-16 @ Bekescsaba L 2-470.6 1886 1614 52.65% 20.16% 27.19%+0.74 -45.2 5
1950-09-17 Gyor W 4-151.2 2137 1949 73.17% 19.67% 7.15%+1.46 +12.4 5
1950-09-17 @ Csepel L 1-451.2 1949 2137 7.15% 19.67% 73.17%-1.46 -12.4 2
1950-09-17 Textiles L 2-456.8 1718 2282 6.33% 18.94% 74.72%-2.15 -6.9 4
1950-09-17 @ Diosgyor W 4-256.8 2282 1718 74.72% 18.94% 6.33%+2.15 +6.9 8
1950-09-17 Vasas L 2-751.3 1641 2127 9.59% 19.38% 71.03%-1.77 -21.4 2
1950-09-17 @ Duna SK W 7-251.3 2127 1641 71.03% 19.38% 9.59%+1.77 +21.4 8
1950-09-17 Postas SE D 1-173.3 2179 1671 81.01% 17.74% 1.25%+3.00 -12.1 3
1950-09-17 @ Ferencvaros D 1-173.3 1671 2179 1.25% 17.74% 81.01%-3.00 +12.1 1
1950-09-17 Dorogi W 10-145.9 2292 1902 79.05% 18.57% 2.38%+2.43 +11.4 7
1950-09-17 @ Honved L 1-1045.9 1902 2292 2.38% 18.57% 79.05%-2.43 -11.4 4
1950-09-17 Salgotarjan W 2-055.2 1754 1839 51.93% 20.33% 27.75%+0.15 +34.3 4
1950-09-17 @ Szegedi AK L 0-255.2 1839 1754 27.75% 20.33% 51.93%-0.15 -34.3 4
1950-09-17 Budapest Dozsa L 1-360.4 1746 1988 30.87% 20.22% 48.91%-0.60 -32.4 1
1950-09-17 @ Tatabanya W 3-160.4 1988 1746 48.91% 20.22% 30.87%+0.60 +32.4 4
1950-09-23 Duna SK D 0-067.8 1683 1620 66.21% 20.10% 13.69%+0.87 -8.4 2
1950-09-23 @ Postas SE D 0-067.8 1620 1683 13.69% 20.10% 66.21%-0.87 +8.4 3
1950-09-24 Ferencvaros W 3-060.9 1890 2167 26.58% 20.15% 53.27%-0.77 +85.8 6
1950-09-24 @ Dorogi L 0-360.9 2167 1890 53.27% 20.15% 26.58%+0.77 -85.8 3
1950-09-24 Bekescsaba W 4-256.1 1937 1660 76.36% 19.24% 4.40%+1.89 +4.9 4
1950-09-24 @ Gyor L 2-456.1 1660 1937 4.40% 19.24% 76.36%-1.89 -4.9 2
1950-09-24 Diosgyor D 0-069.4 1841 1711 70.41% 19.90% 9.70%+1.19 -10.0 6
1950-09-24 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-069.4 1711 1841 9.70% 19.90% 70.41%-1.19 +10.0 5
1950-09-24 Szegedi AK D 2-276.8 2020 1788 74.90% 19.47% 5.63%+1.67 -7.8 5
1950-09-24 @ Budapest Dozsa D 2-276.8 1788 2020 5.63% 19.47% 74.90%-1.67 +7.8 5
1950-09-27 Tatabanya W 10-145.1 2289 1714 81.93% 17.21% 0.86%+3.32 +4.0 10
1950-09-27 @ Textiles L 1-1045.1 1714 2289 0.86% 17.21% 81.93%-3.32 -4.0 1
1950-09-30 Vasas L 1-255.6 1655 2149 9.20% 19.33% 71.47%-1.81 -6.4 2
1950-09-30 @ Bekescsaba W 2-155.6 2149 1655 71.47% 19.33% 9.20%+1.81 +6.3 10
1950-09-30 Budapest Dozsa W 2-048.0 2303 2013 76.73% 19.17% 4.10%+1.96 +5.9 9
1950-09-30 @ Honved L 0-248.0 2013 2303 4.10% 19.17% 76.73%-1.96 -5.9 5
1950-10-01 Postas SE L 0-173.0 2149 1675 80.51% 17.99% 1.50%+2.84 -47.7 5
1950-10-01 @ Csepel W 1-073.0 1675 2149 1.50% 17.99% 80.51%-2.84 +47.7 4
1950-10-01 Gyor W 1-063.3 1721 1942 33.53% 20.25% 46.21%-0.50 +27.6 7
1950-10-01 @ Diosgyor L 0-163.3 1942 1721 46.21% 20.25% 33.53%+0.50 -27.6 4
1950-10-01 Ferencvaros L 1-452.3 1628 2081 11.39% 19.54% 69.08%-1.61 -19.0 3
1950-10-01 @ Duna SK W 4-152.3 2081 1628 69.08% 19.54% 11.39%+1.61 +19.0 5
1950-10-01 Dorogi W 3-056.7 1805 1976 40.55% 20.31% 39.14%-0.26 +65.9 6
1950-10-01 @ Salgotarjan L 0-356.7 1976 1805 39.14% 20.31% 40.55%+0.26 -65.9 6
1950-10-01 Textiles L 1-649.0 1796 2293 9.05% 19.32% 71.63%-1.82 -24.2 5
1950-10-01 @ Szegedi AK W 6-149.0 2293 1796 71.63% 19.32% 9.05%+1.82 +24.2 12
1950-10-01 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-172.2 1710 1831 47.40% 20.33% 32.26%-0.02 -2.0 2
1950-10-01 @ Tatabanya D 1-172.2 1831 1710 32.26% 20.33% 47.40%+0.02 +2.0 7
1950-10-07 Bekescsaba W 2-049.8 1723 1648 66.98% 20.07% 12.95%+0.92 +17.6 6
1950-10-07 @ Postas SE L 0-249.8 1648 1723 12.95% 20.07% 66.98%-0.92 -17.6 2
1950-10-07 Diosgyor D 0-070.2 2155 1748 79.37% 18.46% 2.17%+2.51 -13.1 11
1950-10-07 @ Vasas D 0-070.2 1748 2155 2.17% 18.46% 79.37%-2.51 +13.1 8
1950-10-08 Duna SK W 4-255.7 1910 1609 77.01% 19.12% 3.88%+2.00 +4.3 8
1950-10-08 @ Dorogi L 2-455.7 1609 1910 3.88% 19.12% 77.01%-2.00 -4.3 3
1950-10-08 Csepel L 1-467.5 2100 2102 60.89% 20.24% 18.88%+0.56 -82.5 5
1950-10-08 @ Ferencvaros W 4-167.5 2102 2100 18.88% 20.24% 60.89%-0.56 +82.5 7
1950-10-08 Tatabanya W 6-148.1 1914 1708 73.96% 19.59% 6.45%+1.55 +17.8 6
1950-10-08 @ Gyor L 1-648.1 1708 1914 6.45% 19.59% 73.96%-1.55 -17.8 2
1950-10-08 Szegedi AK D 1-172.4 1833 1772 66.02% 20.10% 13.87%+0.85 -7.5 8
1950-10-08 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-172.4 1772 1833 13.87% 20.10% 66.02%-0.85 +7.5 6
1950-10-08 Salgotarjan W 2-049.8 2007 1871 70.72% 19.88% 9.41%+1.21 +13.1 7
1950-10-08 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-249.8 1871 2007 9.41% 19.88% 70.72%-1.21 -13.1 6
1950-10-11 Csepel L 0-166.6 2142 2184 56.83% 20.29% 22.88%+0.36 -33.3 11
1950-10-11 @ Vasas W 1-066.6 2184 2142 22.88% 20.29% 56.83%-0.36 +33.3 9
1950-10-14 Duna SK W 4-042.7 2217 1605 82.39% 16.91% 0.71%+3.50 +1.8 11
1950-10-14 @ Csepel L 0-442.7 1605 2217 0.71% 16.91% 82.39%-3.50 -1.8 3
1950-10-15 Ferencvaros W 3-276.4 1631 2018 15.87% 19.81% 64.32%-1.30 +33.7 4
1950-10-15 @ Bekescsaba L 2-376.4 2018 1631 64.32% 19.81% 15.87%+1.30 -33.7 5
1950-10-15 Postas SE D 1-172.1 1761 1740 62.90% 20.19% 16.91%+0.66 -6.5 9
1950-10-15 @ Diosgyor D 1-172.1 1740 1761 16.91% 20.19% 62.90%-0.66 +6.5 7
1950-10-15 Szombathelyi Haladas W 5-042.7 2309 1825 80.66% 17.92% 1.43%+2.88 +4.7 11
1950-10-15 @ Honved L 0-542.7 1825 2309 1.43% 17.92% 80.66%-2.88 -4.7 8
1950-10-15 Textiles D 1-172.8 1858 2317 10.99% 19.50% 69.50%-1.64 +8.5 7
1950-10-15 @ Salgotarjan D 1-172.8 2317 1858 69.50% 19.50% 10.99%+1.64 -8.5 13
1950-10-15 Gyor W 3-162.1 1779 1932 43.10% 20.32% 36.57%-0.17 +37.2 8
1950-10-15 @ Szegedi AK L 1-362.1 1932 1779 36.57% 20.32% 43.10%+0.17 -37.2 6
1950-10-15 Vasas L 0-153.4 1690 2109 13.56% 19.69% 66.75%-1.45 -9.7 2
1950-10-15 @ Tatabanya W 1-053.4 2109 1690 66.75% 19.69% 13.56%+1.45 +9.7 13
1950-10-15 Dorogi D 3-380.8 2020 1914 69.00% 19.98% 11.02%+1.07 -5.2 8
1950-10-15 @ Budapest Dozsa D 3-380.8 1914 2020 11.02% 19.98% 69.00%-1.07 +5.2 9
1950-10-21 Csepel W 3-167.9 1919 2219 24.01% 20.09% 55.90%-0.88 +53.5 11
1950-10-21 @ Dorogi L 1-367.9 2219 1919 55.90% 20.09% 24.01%+0.88 -53.5 11
1950-10-21 Bekescsaba D 1-170.2 1603 1664 54.73% 20.31% 24.96%+0.27 -4.0 4
1950-10-21 @ Duna SK D 1-170.2 1664 1603 24.96% 20.31% 54.73%-0.27 +4.0 5
1950-10-21 Diosgyor W 3-046.4 1984 1755 74.80% 19.49% 5.72%+1.66 +11.8 7
1950-10-21 @ Ferencvaros L 0-346.4 1755 1984 5.72% 19.49% 74.80%-1.66 -11.9 9
1950-10-21 Honved W 2-173.0 1895 2314 13.55% 19.69% 66.77%-1.45 +36.9 8
1950-10-21 @ Gyor L 1-273.0 2314 1895 66.77% 19.69% 13.55%+1.45 -36.9 11
1950-10-21 Tatabanya W 2-156.4 1747 1680 66.42% 20.09% 13.49%+0.88 +9.1 9
1950-10-21 @ Postas SE L 1-256.4 1680 1747 13.49% 20.09% 66.42%-0.88 -9.2 2
1950-10-21 Salgotarjan D 0-069.5 1821 1866 56.44% 20.30% 23.26%+0.34 -5.0 9
1950-10-21 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-069.5 1866 1821 23.26% 20.30% 56.44%-0.34 +5.0 8
1950-10-21 Textiles W 3-274.0 2015 2309 24.59% 20.11% 55.31%-0.85 +29.0 10
1950-10-21 @ Budapest Dozsa L 2-374.0 2309 2015 55.31% 20.11% 24.59%+0.85 -29.0 13
1950-10-21 Szegedi AK W 5-043.8 2118 1817 77.03% 19.11% 3.86%+2.01 +12.9 15
1950-10-21 @ Vasas L 0-543.8 1817 2118 3.86% 19.11% 77.03%-2.01 -13.0 8
1950-11-01 Csepel W 3-172.4 1668 2166 9.04% 19.32% 71.64%-1.82 +68.9 7
1950-11-01 @ Bekescsaba L 1-372.4 2166 1668 71.64% 19.32% 9.04%+1.82 -68.9 11
1950-11-01 Duna SK W 1-050.7 1743 1599 71.15% 19.85% 9.01%+1.25 +6.7 11
1950-11-01 @ Diosgyor L 0-150.7 1599 1743 9.01% 19.85% 71.15%-1.25 -6.7 4
1950-11-01 Vasas W 5-045.5 2277 2131 71.23% 19.84% 8.93%+1.26 +29.2 13
1950-11-01 @ Honved L 0-545.5 2131 2277 8.93% 19.84% 71.23%-1.26 -29.2 15
1950-11-01 Dorogi W 4-256.0 2280 1973 77.17% 19.08% 3.75%+2.04 +4.2 15
1950-11-01 @ Textiles L 2-456.0 1973 2280 3.75% 19.08% 77.17%-2.04 -4.2 11
1950-11-01 Gyor W 3-052.4 1871 1932 54.80% 20.31% 24.89%+0.27 +45.5 10
1950-11-01 @ Salgotarjan L 0-352.4 1932 1871 24.89% 20.31% 54.80%-0.27 -45.4 8
1950-11-01 Postas SE W 3-261.5 1804 1756 65.06% 20.14% 14.81%+0.79 +9.5 10
1950-11-01 @ Szegedi AK L 2-361.5 1756 1804 14.81% 20.14% 65.06%-0.79 -9.4 9
1950-11-01 Ferencvaros D 1-172.5 1671 1996 21.42% 20.02% 58.56%-1.00 +5.1 3
1950-11-01 @ Tatabanya D 1-172.5 1996 1671 58.56% 20.02% 21.42%+1.00 -5.1 8
1950-11-01 Szombathelyi Haladas W 5-359.6 2044 1816 74.76% 19.49% 5.75%+1.66 +6.0 12
1950-11-01 @ Budapest Dozsa L 3-559.6 1816 2044 5.75% 19.49% 74.76%-1.66 -6.0 9
1950-11-05 Diosgyor W 3-045.4 2097 1750 78.14% 18.84% 3.01%+2.23 +6.3 13
1950-11-05 @ Csepel L 0-345.4 1750 2097 3.01% 18.84% 78.14%-2.23 -6.3 11
1950-11-05 Bekescsaba W 5-254.2 1969 1737 74.89% 19.47% 5.64%+1.67 +8.5 13
1950-11-05 @ Dorogi L 2-554.2 1737 1969 5.64% 19.47% 74.89%-1.67 -8.5 7
1950-11-05 Tatabanya W 3-157.1 1592 1676 52.08% 20.33% 27.59%+0.16 +29.5 6
1950-11-05 @ Duna SK L 1-357.1 1676 1592 27.59% 20.33% 52.08%-0.16 -29.5 3
1950-11-05 Szegedi AK W 2-049.2 1991 1813 72.75% 19.71% 7.53%+1.41 +10.6 10
1950-11-05 @ Ferencvaros L 0-249.2 1813 1991 7.53% 19.71% 72.75%-1.41 -10.6 10
1950-11-05 Budapest Dozsa D 2-276.6 1886 2050 41.64% 20.32% 38.04%-0.22 -0.3 9
1950-11-05 @ Gyor D 2-276.6 2050 1886 38.04% 20.32% 41.64%+0.22 +0.3 13
1950-11-05 Honved L 1-254.7 1746 2306 6.51% 18.97% 74.52%-2.12 -4.6 9
1950-11-05 @ Postas SE W 2-154.7 2306 1746 74.52% 18.97% 6.51%+2.12 +4.6 15
1950-11-05 Salgotarjan L 0-268.9 2102 1917 73.08% 19.68% 7.23%+1.45 -81.8 15
1950-11-05 @ Vasas W 2-068.9 1917 2102 7.23% 19.68% 73.08%-1.45 +81.8 12
1950-11-19 Bekescsaba W 4-259.9 1744 1729 62.34% 20.21% 17.45%+0.63 +17.8 13
1950-11-19 @ Diosgyor L 2-459.9 1729 1744 17.45% 20.21% 62.34%-0.63 -17.8 7
1950-11-19 Ferencvaros W 4-256.0 2311 2001 77.23% 19.07% 3.70%+2.05 +4.1 17
1950-11-19 @ Honved L 2-456.0 2001 2311 3.70% 19.07% 77.23%-2.05 -4.1 10
1950-11-19 Gyor W 3-151.4 2284 1886 79.20% 18.52% 2.28%+2.47 +2.8 17
1950-11-19 @ Textiles L 1-351.4 1886 2284 2.28% 18.52% 79.20%-2.47 -2.8 9
1950-11-19 Postas SE W 3-152.3 1999 1742 75.73% 19.35% 4.92%+1.79 +6.1 14
1950-11-19 @ Salgotarjan L 1-352.3 1742 1999 4.92% 19.35% 75.73%-1.79 -6.1 9
1950-11-19 Duna SK D 3-380.1 1802 1622 72.88% 19.70% 7.42%+1.43 -6.0 11
1950-11-19 @ Szegedi AK D 3-380.1 1622 1802 7.42% 19.70% 72.88%-1.43 +6.0 7
1950-11-19 Dorogi L 0-357.2 1810 1977 40.97% 20.31% 38.71%-0.24 -68.3 9
1950-11-19 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-057.2 1977 1810 38.71% 20.31% 40.97%+0.24 +68.4 15
1950-11-19 Csepel D 1-172.7 1647 2103 11.18% 19.52% 69.30%-1.63 +8.4 4
1950-11-19 @ Tatabanya D 1-172.7 2103 1647 69.30% 19.52% 11.18%+1.63 -8.4 14
1950-11-19 Vasas W 4-048.4 2050 2020 63.61% 20.18% 16.21%+0.70 +41.0 15
1950-11-19 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-448.4 2020 2050 16.21% 20.18% 63.61%-0.70 -41.0 15
1950-11-26 Tatabanya W 3-260.4 1711 1655 65.65% 20.12% 14.23%+0.83 +9.1 9
1950-11-26 @ Bekescsaba L 2-360.4 1655 1711 14.23% 20.12% 65.65%-0.83 -9.1 4
1950-11-26 Szegedi AK W 4-044.4 2095 1796 76.94% 19.13% 3.93%+1.99 +10.7 16
1950-11-26 @ Csepel L 0-444.4 1796 2095 3.93% 19.13% 76.94%-1.99 -10.7 11
1950-11-26 Honved L 0-443.9 1628 2315 3.29% 18.15% 78.57%-2.73 -8.8 7
1950-11-26 @ Duna SK W 4-043.9 2315 1628 78.57% 18.15% 3.29%+2.73 +8.8 19
1950-11-26 Salgotarjan W 3-157.0 1997 2005 60.33% 20.25% 19.43%+0.53 +21.9 12
1950-11-26 @ Ferencvaros L 1-357.0 2005 1997 19.43% 20.25% 60.33%-0.53 -21.9 14
1950-11-26 Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-052.0 1883 1741 71.05% 19.85% 9.10%+1.24 +6.8 11
1950-11-26 @ Gyor L 0-152.0 1741 1883 9.10% 19.85% 71.05%-1.24 -6.8 9
1950-11-26 Budapest Dozsa L 1-258.6 1736 2091 18.54% 19.93% 61.53%-1.14 -12.1 9
1950-11-26 @ Postas SE W 2-158.6 2091 1736 61.53% 19.93% 18.54%+1.14 +12.1 17
1950-11-26 Textiles L 0-156.5 1979 2287 23.15% 20.07% 56.78%-0.91 -15.5 15
1950-11-26 @ Vasas W 1-056.5 2287 1979 56.78% 20.07% 23.15%+0.91 +15.6 19
1950-12-03 Dorogi W 2-164.3 1890 2046 42.68% 20.32% 37.00%-0.19 +21.7 13
1950-12-03 @ Gyor L 1-264.3 2046 1890 37.00% 20.32% 42.68%+0.19 -21.7 15
1950-12-03 Csepel W 5-044.6 2323 2105 74.40% 19.54% 6.07%+1.61 +20.2 21
1950-12-03 @ Honved L 0-544.6 2105 2323 6.07% 19.54% 74.40%-1.61 -20.2 16
1950-12-03 Postas SE W 2-152.5 2303 1724 81.97% 17.18% 0.85%+3.34 +0.6 21
1950-12-03 @ Textiles L 1-252.5 1724 2303 0.85% 17.18% 81.97%-3.34 -0.6 9
1950-12-03 Duna SK W 6-146.7 1983 1619 78.50% 18.74% 2.75%+2.31 +7.7 16
1950-12-03 @ Salgotarjan L 1-646.7 1619 1983 2.75% 18.74% 78.50%-2.31 -7.7 7
1950-12-03 Bekescsaba D 2-276.3 1786 1720 66.38% 20.09% 13.52%+0.88 -5.7 12
1950-12-03 @ Szegedi AK D 2-276.3 1720 1786 13.52% 20.09% 66.38%-0.88 +5.7 10
1950-12-03 Vasas W 1-063.7 1734 1964 32.47% 20.24% 47.29%-0.54 +28.1 11
1950-12-03 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-163.7 1964 1734 47.29% 20.24% 32.47%+0.54 -28.1 15
1950-12-03 Diosgyor W 2-161.7 1646 1761 48.15% 20.33% 31.52%+0.01 +19.0 6
1950-12-03 @ Tatabanya L 1-261.7 1761 1646 31.52% 20.33% 48.15%-0.01 -19.0 13
1950-12-03 Ferencvaros W 1-053.2 2103 2019 67.62% 20.04% 12.34%+0.96 +8.9 19
1950-12-03 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-153.2 2019 2103 12.34% 20.04% 67.62%-0.96 -9.0 12
1950-12-10 Honved L 0-648.6 1990 2344 18.70% 19.93% 61.36%-1.13 -67.6 16
1950-12-10 @ Salgotarjan W 6-048.6 2344 1990 61.36% 19.93% 18.70%+1.13 +67.6 23
1950-12-10 Textiles D 0-070.0 1763 2303 7.20% 19.08% 73.72%-2.03 +11.0 12
1950-12-10 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-070.0 2303 1763 73.72% 19.08% 7.20%+2.03 -11.0 22
1950-12-10 Diosgyor D 1-172.8 2024 1742 76.48% 19.22% 4.30%+1.91 -10.9 16
1950-12-10 @ Dorogi D 1-172.8 1742 2024 4.30% 19.22% 76.48%-1.91 +10.9 14
1950-12-17 Honved L 2-455.6 1726 2411 3.30% 18.15% 78.54%-2.73 -3.6 10
1950-12-17 @ Bekescsaba W 4-255.6 2411 1726 78.54% 18.15% 3.30%+2.73 +3.6 25
1950-12-17 Szegedi AK W 3-157.2 1753 1780 58.41% 20.27% 21.31%+0.43 +23.8 16
1950-12-17 @ Diosgyor L 1-357.2 1780 1753 21.31% 20.27% 58.41%-0.43 -23.8 12
1950-12-17 Tatabanya W 2-153.5 2013 1665 78.17% 18.84% 3.00%+2.23 +2.2 18
1950-12-17 @ Dorogi L 1-253.5 1665 2013 3.00% 18.84% 78.17%-2.23 -2.2 6
1950-12-17 Budapest Dozsa L 1-549.9 1612 2112 8.90% 19.30% 71.79%-1.84 -19.5 7
1950-12-17 @ Duna SK W 5-149.9 2112 1612 71.79% 19.30% 8.90%+1.84 +19.5 21
1950-12-17 Textiles L 1-359.0 2010 2292 26.01% 20.14% 53.86%-0.79 -28.0 12
1950-12-17 @ Ferencvaros W 3-159.0 2292 2010 53.86% 20.14% 26.01%+0.79 +28.0 24
1950-12-17 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-264.1 1723 1774 55.92% 20.30% 23.78%+0.32 +14.3 11
1950-12-17 @ Postas SE L 2-364.1 1774 1723 23.78% 20.30% 55.92%-0.32 -14.3 12
1950-12-17 Gyor W 3-262.4 1936 1912 63.12% 20.19% 16.69%+0.68 +10.5 17
1950-12-17 @ Vasas L 2-362.4 1912 1936 16.69% 20.19% 63.12%-0.68 -10.5 13
1950-12-24 Honved L 3-670.3 2320 2415 50.75% 20.33% 28.92%+0.11 -55.5 24
1950-12-24 @ Textiles W 6-370.3 2415 2320 28.92% 20.33% 50.75%-0.11 +55.5 27
1950-12-24 Salgotarjan W 4-151.5 2085 1923 72.06% 19.78% 8.17%+1.34 +14.1 18
1950-12-24 @ Csepel L 1-451.5 1923 2085 8.17% 19.78% 72.06%-1.34 -14.1 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-10-01 1.50% Postas SE 1675 1 @ Csepel 2149 0
2 1950-09-03 1.71% Diosgyor 1670 1 @ Budapest Dozsa 2121 0
3 1950-09-03 2.29% Duna SK 1597 2 @ Gyor 1994 1
4 1950-11-05 7.23% Salgotarjan 1917 2 @ Vasas 2102 0
5 1950-11-01 9.04% @ Bekescsaba 1668 3 Csepel 2166 1
6 1950-08-20 12.31% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1819 2 Ferencvaros 2256 1
7 1950-10-21 13.55% @ Gyor 1895 2 Honved 2314 1
8 1950-10-15 15.87% @ Bekescsaba 1631 3 Ferencvaros 2018 2
9 1950-09-09 16.86% Csepel 2052 4 @ Budapest Dozsa 2073 1
10 1950-10-08 18.88% Csepel 2102 4 @ Ferencvaros 2100 1
11 1950-10-11 22.88% Csepel 2184 1 @ Vasas 2142 0
12 1950-10-21 24.01% @ Dorogi 1919 3 Csepel 2219 1
13 1950-10-21 24.59% @ Budapest Dozsa 2015 3 Textiles 2309 2
14 1950-09-24 26.58% @ Dorogi 1890 3 Ferencvaros 2167 0
15 1950-09-16 27.19% @ Bekescsaba 1614 4 Szombathelyi Haladas 1886 2
16 1950-12-24 28.92% Honved 2415 6 @ Textiles 2320 3
17 1950-12-03 32.47% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1734 1 Vasas 1964 0
18 1950-10-01 33.53% @ Diosgyor 1721 1 Gyor 1942 0
19 1950-08-27 36.73% Textiles 2243 4 @ Csepel 2089 2
20 1950-11-19 38.71% Dorogi 1977 3 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1810 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-09-24 85.75 @ Dorogi 3 1890 26.58% Ferencvaros 0 2167 53.27% 20.15%
2 1950-09-09 85.33 Csepel 4 2052 16.86% @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2073 62.94% 20.19%
3 1950-10-08 82.49 Csepel 4 2102 18.88% @ Ferencvaros 1 2100 60.89% 20.24%
4 1950-11-05 81.79 Salgotarjan 2 1917 7.23% @ Vasas 0 2102 73.08% 19.68%
5 1950-11-01 68.88 @ Bekescsaba 3 1668 9.04% Csepel 1 2166 71.64% 19.32%
6 1950-11-19 68.35 Dorogi 3 1977 38.71% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1810 40.97% 20.31%
7 1950-12-10 67.63 Honved 6 2344 61.36% @ Salgotarjan 0 1990 18.70% 19.93%
8 1950-10-01 65.88 @ Salgotarjan 3 1805 40.55% Dorogi 0 1976 39.14% 20.31%
9 1950-12-24 55.53 Honved 6 2415 28.92% @ Textiles 3 2320 50.75% 20.33%
10 1950-10-21 53.50 @ Dorogi 3 1919 24.01% Csepel 1 2219 55.90% 20.09%
11 1950-10-01 47.68 Postas SE 1 1675 1.50% @ Csepel 0 2149 80.51% 17.99%
12 1950-09-03 47.52 Diosgyor 1 1670 1.71% @ Budapest Dozsa 0 2121 80.13% 18.16%
13 1950-08-27 46.68 @ Dorogi 5 1851 65.01% Szegedi AK 0 1803 14.85% 20.14%
14 1950-11-01 45.46 @ Salgotarjan 3 1871 54.80% Gyor 0 1932 24.89% 20.31%
15 1950-09-16 45.24 @ Bekescsaba 4 1614 27.19% Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1886 52.65% 20.16%
16 1950-09-03 44.37 Duna SK 2 1597 2.29% @ Gyor 1 1994 79.18% 18.53%
17 1950-08-26 44.21 Vasas 5 2039 58.06% @ Postas SE 1 1720 21.90% 20.04%
18 1950-09-03 43.68 @ Vasas 5 2084 44.98% Ferencvaros 2 2223 34.69% 20.33%
19 1950-11-19 40.96 @ Budapest Dozsa 4 2050 63.61% Vasas 0 2020 16.21% 20.18%
20 1950-08-27 37.89 Textiles 4 2243 36.73% @ Csepel 2 2089 42.95% 20.32%
21 1950-08-20 37.67 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1819 12.31% Ferencvaros 1 2256 68.09% 19.60%
22 1950-10-15 37.21 @ Szegedi AK 3 1779 43.10% Gyor 1 1932 36.57% 20.32%
23 1950-10-21 36.90 @ Gyor 2 1895 13.55% Honved 1 2314 66.77% 19.69%
24 1950-09-17 34.29 @ Szegedi AK 2 1754 51.93% Salgotarjan 0 1839 27.75% 20.33%
25 1950-10-15 33.68 @ Bekescsaba 3 1631 15.87% Ferencvaros 2 2018 64.32% 19.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-08-27 83.2 @ Diosgyor 4 1670 39.89% Salgotarjan 4 1846 39.81% 20.31%
2 1950-10-15 80.8 @ Budapest Dozsa 3 2020 69.00% Dorogi 3 1914 11.02% 19.98%
3 1950-11-19 80.1 @ Szegedi AK 3 1802 72.88% Duna SK 3 1622 7.42% 19.70%
4 1950-08-20 77.7 @ Honved 2 2285 82.53% Diosgyor 2 1661 0.66% 16.81%
5 1950-09-24 76.8 @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2020 74.90% Szegedi AK 2 1788 5.63% 19.47%
6 1950-11-05 76.6 @ Gyor 2 1886 41.64% Budapest Dozsa 2 2050 38.04% 20.32%
7 1950-09-03 76.5 @ Salgotarjan 2 1846 69.01% Tatabanya 2 1740 11.01% 19.98%
8 1950-10-15 76.4 @ Bekescsaba 3 1631 15.87% Ferencvaros 2 2018 64.32% 19.81%
9 1950-12-03 76.3 @ Szegedi AK 2 1786 66.38% Bekescsaba 2 1720 13.52% 20.09%
10 1950-09-03 76.2 Duna SK 2 1597 2.29% @ Gyor 1 1994 79.18% 18.53%
11 1950-10-21 74.0 @ Budapest Dozsa 3 2015 24.59% Textiles 2 2309 55.31% 20.11%
12 1950-08-20 73.4 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1819 12.31% Ferencvaros 1 2256 68.09% 19.60%
13 1950-09-17 73.3 @ Ferencvaros 1 2179 81.01% Postas SE 1 1671 1.25% 17.74%
14 1950-10-01 73.0 Postas SE 1 1675 1.50% @ Csepel 0 2149 80.51% 17.99%
15 1950-10-21 73.0 @ Gyor 2 1895 13.55% Honved 1 2314 66.77% 19.69%
16 1950-09-03 72.9 Diosgyor 1 1670 1.71% @ Budapest Dozsa 0 2121 80.13% 18.16%
17 1950-10-15 72.8 @ Salgotarjan 1 1858 10.99% Textiles 1 2317 69.50% 19.50%
18 1950-12-10 72.8 @ Dorogi 1 2024 76.48% Diosgyor 1 1742 4.30% 19.22%
19 1950-11-19 72.7 @ Tatabanya 1 1647 11.18% Csepel 1 2103 69.30% 19.52%
20 1950-11-01 72.5 @ Tatabanya 1 1671 21.42% Ferencvaros 1 1996 58.56% 20.02%
21 1950-10-08 72.4 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1833 66.02% Szegedi AK 1 1772 13.87% 20.10%
22 1950-11-01 72.4 @ Bekescsaba 3 1668 9.04% Csepel 1 2166 71.64% 19.32%
23 1950-10-01 72.2 @ Tatabanya 1 1710 47.40% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1831 32.26% 20.33%
24 1950-10-15 72.1 @ Diosgyor 1 1761 62.90% Postas SE 1 1740 16.91% 20.19%
25 1950-09-16 70.6 @ Bekescsaba 4 1614 27.19% Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1886 52.65% 20.16%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-09-03 42.0 @ Textiles 5 2281 83.01% Bekescsaba 0 1616 0.53% 16.46%
2 1950-10-14 42.7 @ Csepel 4 2217 82.39% Duna SK 0 1605 0.71% 16.91%
3 1950-10-15 42.7 @ Honved 5 2309 80.66% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1825 1.43% 17.92%
4 1950-10-21 43.8 @ Vasas 5 2118 77.03% Szegedi AK 0 1817 3.86% 19.11%
5 1950-11-26 43.9 Honved 4 2315 78.57% @ Duna SK 0 1628 3.29% 18.15%
6 1950-11-26 44.4 @ Csepel 4 2095 76.94% Szegedi AK 0 1796 3.93% 19.13%
7 1950-12-03 44.6 @ Honved 5 2323 74.40% Csepel 0 2105 6.07% 19.54%
8 1950-08-20 44.7 @ Gyor 4 1984 75.54% Postas SE 0 1733 5.08% 19.38%
9 1950-09-27 45.1 @ Textiles 10 2289 81.93% Tatabanya 1 1714 0.86% 17.21%
10 1950-11-05 45.4 @ Csepel 3 2097 78.14% Diosgyor 0 1750 3.01% 18.84%
11 1950-11-01 45.5 @ Honved 5 2277 71.23% Vasas 0 2131 8.93% 19.84%
12 1950-09-17 45.9 @ Honved 10 2292 79.05% Dorogi 1 1902 2.38% 18.57%
13 1950-10-21 46.4 @ Ferencvaros 3 1984 74.80% Diosgyor 0 1755 5.72% 19.49%
14 1950-12-03 46.7 @ Salgotarjan 6 1983 78.50% Duna SK 1 1619 2.75% 18.74%
15 1950-08-27 47.3 @ Dorogi 5 1851 65.01% Szegedi AK 0 1803 14.85% 20.14%
16 1950-09-30 48.0 @ Honved 2 2303 76.73% Budapest Dozsa 0 2013 4.10% 19.17%
17 1950-10-08 48.1 @ Gyor 6 1914 73.96% Tatabanya 1 1708 6.45% 19.59%
18 1950-09-03 48.3 @ Honved 7 2289 81.36% Szegedi AK 2 1757 1.09% 17.55%
19 1950-11-19 48.4 @ Budapest Dozsa 4 2050 63.61% Vasas 0 2020 16.21% 20.18%
20 1950-12-10 48.6 Honved 6 2344 61.36% @ Salgotarjan 0 1990 18.70% 19.93%
21 1950-10-01 49.0 Textiles 6 2293 71.63% @ Szegedi AK 1 1796 9.05% 19.32%
22 1950-11-05 49.2 @ Ferencvaros 2 1991 72.75% Szegedi AK 0 1813 7.53% 19.71%
23 1950-10-07 49.8 @ Postas SE 2 1723 66.98% Bekescsaba 0 1648 12.95% 20.07%
24 1950-10-08 49.8 @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2007 70.72% Salgotarjan 0 1871 9.41% 19.88%
25 1950-12-17 49.9 Budapest Dozsa 5 2112 71.79% @ Duna SK 1 1612 8.90% 19.30%