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1951 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

182 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

15th Title

Last Title: 1936-37

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Budapest Bastya

6.38 points above expected

46 points · 39.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Szegedi AK

4.49 points below expected

10 points · 14.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Budapest Bastya 26 22 2 2 46 96 27 +69 39.62 +6.38
2 Honved 26 18 6 2 42 83 26 +57 45.09 -3.09
3 Budapest Dozsa 26 12 7 7 31 64 44 +20 35.02 -4.02
4 Vasas 26 11 7 8 29 47 33 +14 26.91 +2.09
5 Csepel 26 12 5 9 29 45 38 +7 31.71 -2.71
6 Ferencvaros 26 13 3 10 29 43 42 +1 27.94 +1.06
7 Gyor 26 9 8 9 26 47 43 +4 25.86 +0.14
8 Dorogi 26 10 6 10 26 44 45 -1 29.24 -3.24
9 Salgotarjan 26 7 7 12 21 33 47 -14 24.77 -3.77
10 Szegedi Honved SE 26 6 8 12 20 29 55 -26 14.52 +5.48
11 Diosgyor 26 6 7 13 19 31 52 -21 19.12 -0.12
12 Soroksar FC 26 7 4 15 18 19 48 -29 13.43 +4.57
13 Szombathelyi Haladas 26 8 2 16 18 29 59 -30 16.28 +1.72
14 Szegedi AK 26 2 6 18 10 27 78 -51 14.49 -4.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Budapest Bastya 46 39.62 +6.38
2 Szegedi Honved SE 20 14.52 +5.48
3 Soroksar FC 18 13.43 +4.57
4 Vasas 29 26.91 +2.09
5 Szombathelyi Haladas 18 16.28 +1.72

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Szegedi AK 10 14.49 -4.49
2 Budapest Dozsa 31 35.02 -4.02
3 Salgotarjan 21 24.77 -3.77
4 Dorogi 26 29.24 -3.24
5 Honved 42 45.09 -3.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szegedi Honved SE 3 Apr 1 – Apr 8 1 in 915
2 Budapest Bastya 15 May 6 – Nov 25 1 in 80
3 Dorogi 4 Sep 15 – Oct 7 1 in 41
4 Soroksar FC 3 Apr 30 – May 13 1 in 29
5 Szegedi AK 2 Oct 28 – Nov 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dorogi 2 Apr 1 – Apr 4 1 in 90
2 Szombathelyi Haladas 9 Apr 8 – Sep 9 1 in 74
3 Budapest Dozsa 2 Apr 22 – Apr 30 1 in 37
4 Szegedi AK 5 Apr 8 – May 13 1 in 18
5 Ferencvaros 2 Apr 1 – Apr 4 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vasas 7 Apr 8 – Jun 3 1 in 107
2 Szegedi Honved SE 4 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 59
3 Salgotarjan 5 May 13 – Sep 9 1 in 17
4 Budapest Bastya 22 Mar 18 – Nov 25 1 in 9
5 Gyor 6 Mar 18 – Apr 30 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Szegedi AK 21 Mar 4 – Oct 21 1 in 210
2 Budapest Dozsa 5 Nov 7 – Dec 16 1 in 88
3 Honved 3 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 49
4 Csepel 4 Sep 2 – Sep 23 1 in 31
5 Ferencvaros 4 Mar 18 – Apr 4 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Budapest Bastya 2371 46 +18 9 7.5 +1.5
Honved 2452 42 +1 8 8.1 -0.1
Budapest Dozsa 2101 31 -28 3 6.3 -3.3
Vasas 1973 29 +19 8 7.1 +0.9
Csepel 2059 29 +1 6 6.3 -0.3
Ferencvaros 1994 29 +20 5 4.2 +0.8
Dorogi 1997 26 -10 5 5.8 -0.8
Gyor 1911 24 -10 4 4.4 -0.4
Salgotarjan 1868 21 -28 3 4.9 -1.9
Szegedi Honved SE 1666 20 +11 4 2.6 +1.4
Diosgyor 1761 19 -18 2 2.6 -0.6
Soroksar FC 1683 18 +27 5 2.4 +2.6
Szombathelyi Haladas 1773 18 +22 4 3.1 +0.9
Szegedi AK 1675 10 +7 4 2.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BB BD CSE DIO DOR FER GYO HON SAL SOR SA SHS SH VAS
Budapest Bastya —
1-0-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
5.11
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
4.85
1-1-0
1.83
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
5.28
2-0-0
5.19
2-0-0
5.27
2-0-0
5.22
2-0-0
4.50
Budapest Dozsa
1-0-1
1.68
—
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
4.54
0-0-2
3.80
0-1-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.87
0-1-1
1.01
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
5.00
2-0-0
4.85
0-1-1
4.93
2-0-0
4.86
0-1-1
3.90
Csepel
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.41
—
2-0-0
4.36
0-1-1
3.38
0-0-2
3.44
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
0.84
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.71
2-0-0
4.56
1-0-1
3.56
Diosgyor
0-0-2
0.55
0-1-1
1.06
0-0-2
1.22
—
1-0-1
1.55
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
0.40
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
3.46
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
1.76
Dorogi
0-1-1
1.08
2-0-0
1.77
1-1-0
2.17
1-0-1
4.02
—
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.39
0-0-2
0.67
0-2-0
3.33
0-0-2
4.63
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.55
1-0-1
4.30
1-0-1
2.94
Ferencvaros
0-0-2
1.04
1-1-0
1.85
2-0-0
2.11
1-0-1
3.81
1-0-1
2.58
—
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
0.71
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
4.52
1-0-1
4.17
0-1-1
2.87
Gyor
1-0-1
0.76
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.50
—
0-1-1
0.56
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
4.37
1-0-1
3.99
1-1-0
4.13
1-0-1
4.10
0-1-1
2.54
Honved
0-1-1
3.72
1-1-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.78
1-1-0
5.31
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.93
1-1-0
5.11
—
1-0-1
5.12
2-0-0
5.43
2-0-0
5.40
2-0-0
5.46
2-0-0
5.38
1-1-0
5.01
Salgotarjan
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
2.06
0-2-0
3.52
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
0.55
—
1-0-1
4.02
2-0-0
4.13
0-2-0
4.22
1-0-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.52
Soroksar FC
0-0-2
0.42
0-0-2
0.65
0-1-1
0.87
1-0-1
2.09
2-0-0
0.97
0-0-2
0.98
0-1-1
1.22
0-0-2
0.32
1-0-1
1.55
—
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.20
Szegedi AK
0-0-2
0.49
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
1.01
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.20
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
0.34
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
2.90
—
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.29
Szegedi Honved SE
0-0-2
0.44
1-1-0
0.70
0-1-1
0.89
1-1-0
2.11
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
0.30
0-2-0
1.35
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.57
—
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
1.15
Szombathelyi Haladas
0-0-2
0.47
0-0-2
0.76
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.28
1-0-1
1.40
1-0-1
1.47
0-0-2
0.35
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.97
—
1-0-1
1.46
Vasas
0-0-2
1.10
1-1-0
1.67
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
3.80
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
0.64
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
4.39
1-1-0
4.29
1-0-1
4.44
1-0-1
4.12
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +4.1
Allowed 0.82 -6.5
Differential 0.99 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.75%7.14%4.12%2.75%0.82%2.47%20.05%
17.14%11.54%6.87%3.30%3.02%1.65%33.52%
24.12%6.87%6.04%2.75%1.37%1.92%23.08%
32.75%3.30%2.75%1.10%0.27%0.55%10.71%
40.82%3.02%1.37%0.27%——5.49%
5+2.47%1.65%1.92%0.55%—0.55%7.14%
Total20.05%33.52%23.08%10.71%5.49%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.74 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.49
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min -1 -1 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
17.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
2——3.85%———3.85%
33.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
4—15.38%3.85%———19.23%
5+15.38%3.85%15.38%——3.85%38.46%
Total26.92%34.62%34.62%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.65 1.00 +2.65
SD 2.02 0.89 2.02
CV 0.55 0.89 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
17.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
2—7.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
Total15.38%23.08%42.31%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 1.69 +0.77
SD 1.90 1.05 2.23
CV 0.77 0.62 —
Max 9 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
13.85%19.23%7.69%11.54%——42.31%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total11.54%46.15%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.46 +0.27
SD 1.37 0.90 1.73
CV 0.79 0.62 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%——3.85%30.77%
13.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%3.85%—34.62%
2—11.54%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%23.08%19.23%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.00 -0.81
SD 1.10 1.60 1.92
CV 0.92 0.80 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
17.69%11.54%11.54%—11.54%—42.31%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%23.08%7.69%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.73 -0.04
SD 1.16 1.51 1.95
CV 0.68 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
17.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
27.69%15.38%—3.85%—3.85%30.77%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%38.46%15.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.62 +0.04
SD 1.32 1.92 2.47
CV 0.80 1.19 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
17.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
27.69%3.85%11.54%11.54%7.69%—42.31%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
Total19.23%34.62%19.23%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.62 +0.15
SD 1.70 1.68 2.52
CV 0.96 1.04 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min -1 -1 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%————7.69%
13.85%15.38%————19.23%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
311.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
Total26.92%53.85%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.19 1.00 +2.19
SD 2.35 0.85 2.42
CV 0.74 0.85 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
17.69%15.38%——3.85%3.85%30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%—7.69%7.69%30.77%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%3.85%3.85%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.81 -0.54
SD 1.00 1.77 1.77
CV 0.79 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%46.15%
123.08%11.54%3.85%———38.46%
2———7.69%—3.85%11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%26.92%11.54%15.38%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.85 -1.12
SD 0.83 2.07 2.27
CV 1.13 1.12 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%23.08%
13.85%7.69%15.38%7.69%11.54%7.69%53.85%
23.85%—7.69%——7.69%19.23%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%11.54%30.77%11.54%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 3.00 -1.96
SD 0.77 2.28 2.32
CV 0.74 0.76 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
13.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%—7.69%38.46%
23.85%11.54%15.38%———30.77%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%34.62%30.77%15.38%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.12 -1.00
SD 0.86 1.73 2.10
CV 0.77 0.82 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%11.54%38.46%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%19.23%11.54%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.27 -1.15
SD 1.18 2.11 2.80
CV 1.06 0.93 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%—3.85%——19.23%
13.85%11.54%15.38%—3.85%—34.62%
211.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
3———————
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total30.77%26.92%30.77%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.27 +0.54
SD 1.88 1.12 2.12
CV 1.04 0.88 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Honved 2452 42 45.09 -3.09 17.0% 38 40 43 45 47 50 50
Budapest Bastya 2371 46 39.62 +6.38 100.0% 30 34 38 40 42 43 44
Budapest Dozsa 2101 31 35.02 -4.02 16.0% 25 28 33 36 37 40 42
Csepel 2059 29 31.71 -2.71 28.0% 23 26 29 31 35 37 41
Dorogi 1997 26 29.24 -3.24 24.0% 20 24 27 30 32 35 37
Ferencvaros 1994 29 27.94 +1.06 66.0% 19 21 25 28 30 33 37
Vasas 1973 29 26.91 +2.09 75.0% 19 20 24 27 29 33 37
Gyor 1911 26 25.86 +0.14 54.0% 18 20 23 26 29 32 35
Salgotarjan 1868 21 24.77 -3.77 22.0% 15 17 22 25 28 31 34
Szombathelyi Haladas 1773 18 16.28 +1.72 72.0% 9 10 14 16 19 22 27
Diosgyor 1761 19 19.12 -0.12 54.0% 10 14 17 19 21 25 30
Soroksar FC 1683 18 13.43 +4.57 95.0% 4 7 11 14 16 18 21
Szegedi AK 1675 10 14.49 -4.49 8.0% 6 10 12 14 16 20 22
Szegedi Honved SE 1666 20 14.52 +5.48 98.0% 6 9 12 15 17 20 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.02%
Strong Edge
53.30%21.43%25.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
212 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
097.97600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.82 * Some Luck: 2.82 to 4.24 * Lucky: 4.24 to 5.65 * Wild Swing: 5.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.89 * Close: 0.89 to 1.33 * Off: 1.33 to 1.78 * Way Off: 1.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.57 points
Some Luck
03.539
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.112.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Budapest Bastya
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
8.00%
Szegedi AK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 243.60
2.13
Strong Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.62
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.20
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.109
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1000.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Budapest Bastya12.00%73.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%—————————
Honved87.00%11.00%2.00%———————————
Budapest Dozsa1.00%12.00%52.00%21.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Vasas——5.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%27.00%17.00%12.00%4.00%————
Csepel—4.00%22.00%29.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%—————
Ferencvaros——3.00%12.00%11.00%24.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%3.00%————
Gyor———4.00%16.00%15.00%17.00%20.00%19.00%8.00%1.00%———
Dorogi——4.00%20.00%27.00%16.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%———
Salgotarjan——1.00%4.00%6.00%12.00%10.00%24.00%28.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%——
Szegedi Honved SE————————1.00%12.00%20.00%21.00%18.00%28.00%
Diosgyor————2.00%——8.00%13.00%43.00%16.00%15.00%2.00%1.00%
Soroksar FC————————1.00%1.00%14.00%18.00%39.00%27.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas——————1.00%—5.00%13.00%31.00%22.00%12.00%16.00%
Szegedi AK————————2.00%6.00%14.00%21.00%29.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Budapest Bastya 100%
Budapest Dozsa 100%
Csepel 100%
Diosgyor 100%
Dorogi 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gyor 100%
Honved 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Soroksar FC 100%
Szegedi AK 100%
Szegedi Honved SE 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 100%
Vasas 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-02-25 Gyor W 7-042.9 2470 1901 84.19% 14.68% 1.13%+3.15 +2.0 2
1951-02-25 @ Honved L 0-742.9 1901 2470 1.13% 14.68% 84.19%-3.15 -2.0 0
1951-03-04 Budapest Bastya L 1-362.9 2099 2265 36.14% 22.74% 41.12%-0.32 -16.0 0
1951-03-04 @ Csepel W 3-162.9 2265 2099 41.12% 22.74% 36.14%+0.32 +16.0 2
1951-03-04 Vasas W 2-166.4 1777 1946 35.62% 22.73% 41.65%-0.34 +10.3 2
1951-03-04 @ Diosgyor L 1-266.4 1946 1777 41.65% 22.73% 35.62%+0.34 -10.3 0
1951-03-04 Dorogi W 4-157.3 1982 2015 53.41% 22.74% 23.84%+0.31 +16.2 2
1951-03-04 @ Ferencvaros L 1-457.3 2015 1982 23.84% 22.74% 53.41%-0.31 -16.2 0
1951-03-04 Szegedi AK W 6-150.1 1899 1756 68.43% 21.49% 10.09%+1.14 +11.9 2
1951-03-04 @ Gyor L 1-650.1 1756 1899 10.09% 21.49% 68.43%-1.14 -11.9 0
1951-03-04 Budapest Dozsa L 0-151.1 1633 2131 7.72% 19.35% 72.92%-1.89 -2.4 0
1951-03-04 @ Soroksar FC W 1-051.1 2131 1633 72.92% 19.35% 7.72%+1.89 +2.4 2
1951-03-04 Honved L 1-546.3 1641 2472 1.41% 13.51% 85.08%-3.46 -1.2 0
1951-03-04 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 5-146.3 2472 1641 85.08% 13.51% 1.41%+3.46 +1.2 4
1951-03-04 Salgotarjan W 1-061.4 1759 1909 38.38% 22.79% 38.83%-0.24 +10.4 2
1951-03-04 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-161.4 1909 1759 38.83% 22.79% 38.38%+0.24 -10.4 0
1951-03-10 Diosgyor W 3-149.2 2474 1787 86.80% 12.59% 0.61%+3.70 +0.3 6
1951-03-10 @ Honved L 1-349.2 1787 2474 0.61% 12.59% 86.80%-3.70 -0.3 2
1951-03-11 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-045.7 1999 1770 73.10% 20.42% 6.48%+1.54 +7.6 2
1951-03-11 @ Dorogi L 0-445.7 1770 1999 6.48% 20.42% 73.10%-1.54 -7.6 2
1951-03-11 Budapest Dozsa L 1-274.2 2281 2134 68.68% 21.44% 9.88%+1.16 -16.5 2
1951-03-11 @ Budapest Bastya W 2-174.2 2134 2281 9.88% 21.44% 68.68%-1.16 +16.5 4
1951-03-11 Gyor W 2-160.4 1898 1911 55.62% 22.67% 21.71%+0.40 +6.1 2
1951-03-11 @ Salgotarjan L 1-260.4 1911 1898 21.71% 22.67% 55.62%-0.40 -6.1 2
1951-03-11 Ferencvaros L 0-251.3 1630 1998 14.71% 21.17% 64.12%-1.27 -8.6 0
1951-03-11 @ Soroksar FC W 2-051.3 1998 1630 64.12% 21.17% 14.71%+1.27 +8.6 4
1951-03-11 Szegedi Honved SE D 2-275.6 1744 1640 65.88% 21.87% 12.25%+0.95 -2.5 1
1951-03-11 @ Szegedi AK D 2-275.6 1640 1744 12.25% 21.87% 65.88%-0.95 +2.5 1
1951-03-11 Csepel W 1-061.5 1936 2083 38.64% 22.79% 38.57%-0.23 +10.3 2
1951-03-11 @ Vasas L 0-161.5 2083 1936 38.57% 22.79% 38.64%+0.23 -10.3 0
1951-03-18 Honved L 1-257.2 2073 2474 12.53% 20.76% 66.71%-1.43 -3.7 0
1951-03-18 @ Csepel W 2-157.2 2474 2073 66.71% 20.76% 12.53%+1.43 +3.7 8
1951-03-18 Szegedi AK W 2-158.4 1787 1742 61.20% 22.35% 16.45%+0.68 +4.8 4
1951-03-18 @ Diosgyor L 1-258.4 1742 1787 16.45% 22.35% 61.20%-0.68 -4.8 1
1951-03-18 Dorogi W 2-163.7 1905 2007 44.98% 22.85% 32.17%-0.02 +8.5 4
1951-03-18 @ Gyor L 1-263.7 2007 1905 32.17% 22.85% 44.98%+0.02 -8.4 2
1951-03-18 Soroksar FC W 5-041.6 2264 1622 85.86% 13.37% 0.77%+3.49 +1.0 4
1951-03-18 @ Budapest Bastya L 0-541.6 1622 2264 0.77% 13.37% 85.86%-3.49 -1.0 0
1951-03-18 Salgotarjan D 2-276.3 1643 1904 24.16% 22.21% 53.63%-0.77 +1.3 2
1951-03-18 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 2-276.3 1904 1643 53.63% 22.21% 24.16%+0.77 -1.3 3
1951-03-18 Ferencvaros W 1-065.2 1762 2007 26.03% 22.33% 51.63%-0.69 +13.1 4
1951-03-18 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-165.2 2007 1762 51.63% 22.33% 26.03%+0.69 -13.1 4
1951-03-18 Vasas L 1-275.0 2150 1946 71.87% 20.75% 7.38%+1.43 -17.2 4
1951-03-18 @ Budapest Dozsa W 2-175.0 1946 2150 7.38% 20.75% 71.87%-1.43 +17.2 4
1951-03-24 Budapest Bastya L 0-351.4 1963 2265 20.14% 21.87% 57.99%-0.96 -16.5 4
1951-03-24 @ Vasas W 3-051.4 2265 1963 57.99% 21.87% 20.14%+0.96 +16.5 6
1951-03-25 Szegedi Honved SE W 1-049.5 1998 1644 78.09% 18.50% 3.42%+2.13 +1.1 4
1951-03-25 @ Dorogi L 0-149.5 1644 1998 3.42% 18.50% 78.09%-2.13 -1.1 2
1951-03-25 Gyor D 1-172.1 1994 1913 64.11% 22.09% 13.80%+0.84 -3.1 5
1951-03-25 @ Ferencvaros D 1-172.1 1913 1994 13.80% 22.09% 64.11%-0.84 +3.1 5
1951-03-25 Budapest Dozsa D 2-277.7 2478 2133 77.75% 18.66% 3.59%+2.09 -3.5 9
1951-03-25 @ Honved D 2-277.7 2133 2478 3.59% 18.66% 77.75%-2.09 +3.5 5
1951-03-25 Diosgyor D 0-068.7 1903 1792 66.36% 21.81% 11.83%+0.99 -3.8 4
1951-03-25 @ Salgotarjan D 0-068.7 1792 1903 11.83% 21.81% 66.36%-0.99 +3.8 5
1951-03-25 Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-060.8 1621 1775 37.69% 22.77% 39.54%-0.27 +10.5 2
1951-03-25 @ Soroksar FC L 0-160.8 1775 1621 39.54% 22.77% 37.69%+0.27 -10.5 4
1951-03-25 Csepel L 1-455.0 1737 2069 17.47% 21.57% 60.96%-1.11 -12.3 1
1951-03-25 @ Szegedi AK W 4-155.0 2069 1737 60.96% 21.57% 17.47%+1.11 +12.3 2
1951-03-31 Soroksar FC W 8-248.3 1947 1632 76.69% 19.14% 4.18%+1.95 +4.8 6
1951-03-31 @ Vasas L 2-848.3 1632 1947 4.18% 19.14% 76.69%-1.95 -4.8 2
1951-04-01 Salgotarjan W 4-258.1 2082 1899 70.71% 21.03% 8.25%+1.32 +3.9 4
1951-04-01 @ Csepel L 2-458.1 1899 2082 8.25% 21.03% 70.71%-1.32 -3.9 4
1951-04-01 Dorogi W 4-164.0 1796 1999 31.04% 22.58% 46.38%-0.50 +27.6 7
1951-04-01 @ Diosgyor L 1-464.0 1999 1796 46.38% 22.58% 31.04%+0.50 -27.7 4
1951-04-01 Szombathelyi Haladas W 7-047.3 1916 1765 68.98% 21.39% 9.64%+1.18 +19.0 7
1951-04-01 @ Gyor L 0-747.3 1765 1916 9.64% 21.39% 68.98%-1.18 -19.0 4
1951-04-01 Honved W 1-063.3 2282 2474 32.49% 22.64% 44.88%-0.45 +11.6 8
1951-04-01 @ Budapest Bastya L 0-163.3 2474 2282 44.88% 22.64% 32.49%+0.45 -11.7 9
1951-04-01 Ferencvaros W 2-172.1 1643 1991 16.19% 21.40% 62.42%-1.18 +14.8 4
1951-04-01 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-272.1 1991 1643 62.42% 21.40% 16.19%+1.18 -14.8 5
1951-04-01 Szegedi AK W 9-145.9 2137 1725 79.94% 17.52% 2.55%+2.41 +4.5 7
1951-04-01 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-945.9 1725 2137 2.55% 17.52% 79.94%-2.41 -4.5 1
1951-04-04 Soroksar FC L 0-171.8 1972 1627 77.76% 18.65% 3.59%+2.09 -19.5 4
1951-04-04 @ Dorogi W 1-071.8 1627 1972 3.59% 18.65% 77.76%-2.09 +19.5 4
1951-04-04 Diosgyor W 5-252.2 2293 1823 81.63% 16.48% 1.89%+2.68 +1.2 10
1951-04-04 @ Budapest Bastya L 2-552.2 1823 2293 1.89% 16.48% 81.63%-2.68 -1.1 7
1951-04-04 Ferencvaros W 3-054.4 1895 1976 47.72% 22.84% 29.44%+0.08 +22.9 6
1951-04-04 @ Salgotarjan L 0-354.4 1976 1895 29.44% 22.84% 47.72%-0.08 -22.9 5
1951-04-04 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-171.3 1720 1746 54.26% 22.72% 23.02%+0.34 -1.8 2
1951-04-04 @ Szegedi AK D 1-171.3 1746 1720 23.02% 22.72% 54.26%-0.34 +1.8 5
1951-04-04 Csepel W 3-050.2 2141 2085 62.10% 22.28% 15.62%+0.72 +13.4 9
1951-04-04 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-350.2 2085 2141 15.62% 22.28% 62.10%-0.72 -13.4 4
1951-04-04 Szegedi Honved SE L 0-171.5 1952 1657 75.88% 19.47% 4.66%+1.85 -19.2 6
1951-04-04 @ Vasas W 1-071.5 1657 1952 4.66% 19.47% 75.88%-1.85 +19.2 6
1951-04-08 Csepel D 1-171.9 1952 2072 42.50% 22.84% 34.66%-0.10 -0.4 5
1951-04-08 @ Dorogi D 1-171.9 2072 1952 34.66% 22.84% 42.50%+0.10 +0.4 5
1951-04-08 Diosgyor W 1-052.7 1953 1822 67.68% 21.61% 10.71%+1.08 +3.5 7
1951-04-08 @ Ferencvaros L 0-152.7 1822 1953 10.71% 21.61% 67.68%-1.08 -3.5 7
1951-04-08 Vasas D 1-174.1 2462 1932 83.22% 15.40% 1.38%+2.96 -5.1 10
1951-04-08 @ Honved D 1-174.1 1932 2462 1.38% 15.40% 83.22%-2.96 +5.1 7
1951-04-08 Budapest Dozsa L 0-157.9 1918 2154 27.06% 22.39% 50.55%-0.65 -7.8 6
1951-04-08 @ Salgotarjan W 1-057.9 2154 1918 50.55% 22.39% 27.06%+0.65 +7.8 11
1951-04-08 Gyor D 1-171.9 1646 1935 21.35% 21.99% 56.67%-0.90 +2.1 5
1951-04-08 @ Soroksar FC D 1-171.9 1935 1646 56.67% 21.99% 21.35%+0.90 -2.1 8
1951-04-08 Budapest Bastya L 2-651.4 1719 2294 5.23% 18.08% 76.69%-2.26 -4.1 2
1951-04-08 @ Szegedi AK W 6-251.4 2294 1719 76.69% 18.08% 5.23%+2.26 +4.1 12
1951-04-08 Szegedi Honved SE L 0-265.6 1748 1677 63.36% 22.16% 14.48%+0.80 -30.3 5
1951-04-08 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-065.6 1677 1748 14.48% 22.16% 63.36%-0.80 +30.3 8
1951-04-21 Ferencvaros L 1-273.7 2072 1957 66.68% 21.76% 11.56%+1.01 -16.0 5
1951-04-21 @ Csepel W 2-173.7 1957 2072 11.56% 21.76% 66.68%-1.01 +16.0 9
1951-04-22 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-157.1 1819 1717 65.67% 21.90% 12.43%+0.94 +3.7 9
1951-04-22 @ Diosgyor L 1-257.1 1717 1819 12.43% 21.90% 65.67%-0.94 -3.7 5
1951-04-22 Soroksar FC W 3-042.0 2457 1648 89.14% 10.54% 0.32%+4.28 +0.2 12
1951-04-22 @ Honved L 0-342.0 1648 2457 0.32% 10.54% 89.14%-4.28 -0.2 5
1951-04-22 Salgotarjan W 5-253.0 2299 1911 79.20% 17.93% 2.88%+2.29 +1.8 14
1951-04-22 @ Budapest Bastya L 2-553.0 1911 2299 2.88% 17.93% 79.20%-2.29 -1.8 6
1951-04-22 Gyor D 2-276.4 1707 1933 28.21% 22.46% 49.34%-0.61 +0.9 9
1951-04-22 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 2-276.4 1933 1707 49.34% 22.46% 28.21%+0.61 -0.9 9
1951-04-22 Dorogi L 0-268.6 2162 1952 72.19% 20.67% 7.14%+1.46 -34.6 11
1951-04-22 @ Budapest Dozsa W 2-068.6 1952 2162 7.14% 20.67% 72.19%-1.46 +34.6 7
1951-04-22 Szegedi AK W 2-155.2 1938 1714 72.80% 20.50% 6.70%+1.51 +2.1 9
1951-04-22 @ Vasas L 1-255.2 1714 1938 6.70% 20.50% 72.80%-1.51 -2.1 2
1951-04-30 Budapest Bastya D 2-276.7 1986 2300 19.02% 21.75% 59.23%-1.02 +1.8 8
1951-04-30 @ Dorogi D 2-276.7 2300 1986 59.23% 21.75% 19.02%+1.02 -1.8 15
1951-04-30 Budapest Dozsa W 2-165.9 1973 2128 37.58% 22.77% 39.65%-0.27 +10.0 11
1951-04-30 @ Ferencvaros L 1-265.9 2128 1973 39.65% 22.77% 37.58%+0.27 -9.9 11
1951-04-30 Diosgyor W 4-153.4 1932 1822 66.28% 21.82% 11.90%+0.98 +8.8 11
1951-04-30 @ Gyor L 1-453.4 1822 1932 11.90% 21.82% 66.28%-0.98 -8.8 9
1951-04-30 Vasas D 1-171.9 1909 1940 53.66% 22.74% 23.60%+0.32 -1.7 7
1951-04-30 @ Salgotarjan D 1-171.9 1940 1909 23.60% 22.74% 53.66%-0.32 +1.7 10
1951-04-30 Szegedi Honved SE W 3-052.4 1648 1708 50.29% 22.81% 26.90%+0.18 +21.3 7
1951-04-30 @ Soroksar FC L 0-352.4 1708 1648 26.90% 22.81% 50.29%-0.18 -21.3 9
1951-04-30 Honved L 1-350.4 1712 2458 2.20% 15.07% 82.73%-3.05 -1.1 2
1951-04-30 @ Szegedi AK W 3-150.4 2458 1712 82.73% 15.07% 2.20%+3.05 +1.1 14
1951-04-30 Csepel L 0-350.1 1713 2057 16.59% 21.45% 61.96%-1.16 -13.9 5
1951-04-30 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-050.1 2057 1713 61.96% 21.45% 16.59%+1.16 +13.9 7
1951-05-05 Dorogi W 2-161.6 1941 1988 51.85% 22.78% 25.36%+0.24 +7.0 12
1951-05-05 @ Vasas L 1-261.6 1988 1941 25.36% 22.78% 51.85%-0.24 -7.0 8
1951-05-06 Gyor W 3-261.4 2070 1941 67.56% 21.63% 10.81%+1.07 +3.1 9
1951-05-06 @ Csepel L 2-361.4 1941 2070 10.81% 21.63% 67.56%-1.07 -3.1 11
1951-05-06 Szegedi Honved SE D 1-171.8 1814 1687 67.42% 21.65% 10.93%+1.06 -3.5 10
1951-05-06 @ Diosgyor D 1-171.8 1687 1814 10.93% 21.65% 67.42%-1.06 +3.5 10
1951-05-06 Salgotarjan W 3-043.7 2459 1907 83.76% 15.00% 1.24%+3.07 +1.0 16
1951-05-06 @ Honved L 0-343.7 1907 2459 1.24% 15.00% 83.76%-3.07 -1.0 7
1951-05-06 Ferencvaros W 6-147.8 2299 1983 76.72% 19.12% 4.16%+1.95 +4.9 17
1951-05-06 @ Budapest Bastya L 1-647.8 1983 2299 4.16% 19.12% 76.72%-1.95 -4.9 11
1951-05-06 Soroksar FC L 0-167.0 1711 1669 60.93% 22.37% 16.69%+0.66 -15.5 2
1951-05-06 @ Szegedi AK W 1-067.0 1669 1711 16.69% 22.37% 60.93%-0.66 +15.5 9
1951-05-06 Szombathelyi Haladas W 5-357.8 2118 1700 80.13% 17.40% 2.46%+2.44 +1.1 13
1951-05-06 @ Budapest Dozsa L 3-557.8 1700 2118 2.46% 17.40% 80.13%-2.44 -1.1 5
1951-05-13 Honved L 0-347.2 1981 2460 8.53% 19.66% 71.81%-1.80 -7.3 8
1951-05-13 @ Dorogi W 3-047.2 2460 1981 71.81% 19.66% 8.53%+1.80 +7.3 18
1951-05-13 Vasas D 0-068.6 1978 1948 59.79% 22.45% 17.76%+0.60 -2.8 12
1951-05-13 @ Ferencvaros D 0-068.6 1948 1978 17.76% 22.45% 59.79%-0.60 +2.8 13
1951-05-13 Szegedi AK W 2-048.8 1906 1696 72.17% 20.67% 7.15%+1.45 +4.4 9
1951-05-13 @ Salgotarjan L 0-248.8 1696 1906 7.15% 20.67% 72.17%-1.45 -4.4 2
1951-05-13 Diosgyor W 1-060.1 1685 1810 41.77% 22.83% 35.40%-0.13 +9.7 11
1951-05-13 @ Soroksar FC L 0-160.1 1810 1685 35.40% 22.83% 41.77%+0.13 -9.7 10
1951-05-13 Csepel L 1-257.5 1690 2074 13.65% 20.98% 65.37%-1.35 -4.0 10
1951-05-13 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 2-157.5 2074 1690 65.37% 20.98% 13.65%+1.35 +4.0 11
1951-05-13 Budapest Bastya L 0-149.7 1699 2303 4.51% 17.58% 77.90%-2.39 -1.4 5
1951-05-13 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-049.7 2303 1699 77.90% 17.58% 4.51%+2.39 +1.4 19
1951-05-19 Gyor W 3-258.2 2305 1938 78.50% 18.29% 3.21%+2.19 +0.9 21
1951-05-19 @ Budapest Bastya L 2-358.2 1938 2305 3.21% 18.29% 78.50%-2.19 -0.9 11
1951-05-19 Szegedi Honved SE D 2-278.1 2119 1686 80.57% 17.15% 2.29%+2.50 -3.7 14
1951-05-19 @ Budapest Dozsa D 2-278.1 1686 2119 2.29% 17.15% 80.57%-2.50 +3.7 11
1951-05-20 Diosgyor W 3-152.7 2078 1800 75.19% 19.73% 5.08%+1.77 +2.7 13
1951-05-20 @ Csepel L 1-352.7 1800 2078 5.08% 19.73% 75.19%-1.77 -2.7 10
1951-05-20 Ferencvaros W 8-246.9 2467 1975 82.23% 16.08% 1.68%+2.78 +1.8 20
1951-05-20 @ Honved L 2-846.9 1975 2467 1.68% 16.08% 82.23%-2.78 -1.8 12
1951-05-20 Soroksar FC W 1-051.1 1910 1694 72.46% 20.60% 6.94%+1.48 +2.3 11
1951-05-20 @ Salgotarjan L 0-151.1 1694 1910 6.94% 20.60% 72.46%-1.48 -2.3 11
1951-05-20 Dorogi D 3-380.6 1691 1974 22.05% 22.05% 55.90%-0.87 +1.2 3
1951-05-20 @ Szegedi AK D 3-380.6 1974 1691 55.90% 22.05% 22.05%+0.87 -1.2 9
1951-05-20 Szombathelyi Haladas W 6-045.3 1951 1697 74.21% 20.07% 5.72%+1.66 +9.8 15
1951-05-20 @ Vasas L 0-645.3 1697 1951 5.72% 20.07% 74.21%-1.66 -9.7 5
1951-06-03 Budapest Dozsa L 1-357.4 1798 2115 18.74% 21.72% 59.54%-1.04 -9.2 10
1951-06-03 @ Diosgyor W 3-157.4 2115 1798 59.54% 21.72% 18.74%+1.04 +9.2 16
1951-06-03 Salgotarjan D 1-172.0 1972 1913 62.44% 22.25% 15.31%+0.74 -2.9 10
1951-06-03 @ Dorogi D 1-172.0 1913 1972 15.31% 22.25% 62.44%-0.74 +2.9 12
1951-06-03 Szegedi AK W 2-154.4 1973 1693 75.33% 19.68% 5.00%+1.79 +1.5 14
1951-06-03 @ Ferencvaros L 1-254.4 1693 1973 5.00% 19.68% 75.33%-1.79 -1.5 3
1951-06-03 Vasas D 1-171.9 1937 1961 54.46% 22.71% 22.83%+0.35 -1.8 12
1951-06-03 @ Gyor D 1-171.9 1961 1937 22.83% 22.71% 54.46%-0.35 +1.8 16
1951-06-03 Csepel L 2-361.9 1692 2080 13.35% 20.92% 65.73%-1.37 -3.7 11
1951-06-03 @ Soroksar FC W 3-261.9 2080 1692 65.73% 20.92% 13.35%+1.37 +3.7 15
1951-06-03 Budapest Bastya L 0-543.9 1690 2306 4.27% 17.39% 78.34%-2.44 -5.8 11
1951-06-03 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 5-043.9 2306 1690 78.34% 17.39% 4.27%+2.44 +5.8 23
1951-06-03 Honved L 0-245.6 1687 2469 1.83% 14.41% 83.76%-3.22 -1.0 5
1951-06-03 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-045.6 2469 1687 83.76% 14.41% 1.83%+3.22 +1.0 22
1951-06-10 Budapest Dozsa D 2-276.5 1935 2124 32.95% 22.65% 44.39%-0.43 +0.5 13
1951-06-10 @ Gyor D 2-276.5 2124 1935 44.39% 22.65% 32.95%+0.43 -0.5 17
1951-09-02 Vasas W 2-159.9 1970 1963 57.64% 22.58% 19.78%+0.49 +5.7 12
1951-09-02 @ Dorogi L 1-259.9 1963 1970 19.78% 22.58% 57.64%-0.49 -5.7 16
1951-09-02 Budapest Bastya L 1-454.9 1975 2312 17.07% 21.52% 61.41%-1.13 -12.0 14
1951-09-02 @ Ferencvaros W 4-154.9 2312 1975 61.41% 21.52% 17.07%+1.13 +12.0 25
1951-09-02 Csepel W 2-059.1 1936 2084 38.58% 22.79% 38.63%-0.24 +19.5 15
1951-09-02 @ Gyor L 0-259.1 2084 1936 38.63% 22.79% 38.58%+0.24 -19.5 15
1951-09-02 Honved W 1-071.3 1916 2470 5.84% 18.45% 75.71%-2.15 +18.8 14
1951-09-02 @ Salgotarjan L 0-171.3 2470 1916 75.71% 18.45% 5.84%+2.15 -18.8 22
1951-09-02 Szegedi AK D 1-170.8 1688 1691 56.67% 22.63% 20.70%+0.45 -2.1 12
1951-09-02 @ Soroksar FC D 1-170.8 1691 1688 20.70% 22.63% 56.67%-0.45 +2.1 4
1951-09-02 Diosgyor W 2-163.2 1684 1789 44.61% 22.85% 32.55%-0.03 +8.5 13
1951-09-02 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-263.2 1789 1684 32.55% 22.85% 44.61%+0.03 -8.5 10
1951-09-02 Budapest Dozsa L 2-360.9 1686 2124 10.47% 20.26% 69.27%-1.60 -2.9 5
1951-09-02 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-260.9 2124 1686 69.27% 20.26% 10.47%+1.60 +2.9 19
1951-09-08 Szegedi Honved SE D 1-173.2 2064 1693 78.67% 18.20% 3.12%+2.22 -4.8 16
1951-09-08 @ Csepel D 1-173.2 1693 2064 3.12% 18.20% 78.67%-2.22 +4.8 14
1951-09-09 Soroksar FC W 1-053.0 1780 1686 65.10% 21.97% 12.93%+0.90 +4.1 12
1951-09-09 @ Diosgyor L 0-153.0 1686 1780 12.93% 21.97% 65.10%-0.90 -4.1 12
1951-09-09 Dorogi W 6-354.0 2451 1975 81.79% 16.38% 1.83%+2.71 +1.0 24
1951-09-09 @ Honved L 3-654.0 1975 2451 1.83% 16.38% 81.79%-2.71 -1.0 12
1951-09-09 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-147.6 2324 1683 85.81% 13.41% 0.78%+3.48 +0.5 27
1951-09-09 @ Budapest Bastya L 1-447.6 1683 2324 0.78% 13.41% 85.81%-3.48 -0.5 5
1951-09-09 Salgotarjan L 1-261.6 1693 1934 26.47% 22.36% 51.17%-0.68 -7.2 4
1951-09-09 @ Szegedi AK W 2-161.6 1934 1693 51.17% 22.36% 26.47%+0.68 +7.2 16
1951-09-09 Gyor W 4-258.3 2127 1955 70.12% 21.16% 8.72%+1.27 +4.2 21
1951-09-09 @ Budapest Dozsa L 2-458.3 1955 2127 8.72% 21.16% 70.12%-1.27 -4.1 15
1951-09-09 Ferencvaros W 2-053.8 1957 1963 56.38% 22.64% 20.98%+0.44 +11.9 18
1951-09-09 @ Vasas L 0-253.8 1963 1957 20.98% 22.64% 56.38%-0.44 -11.9 14
1951-09-13 Szegedi AK W 4-146.8 2452 1686 88.36% 11.24% 0.40%+4.08 +0.2 26
1951-09-13 @ Honved L 1-446.8 1686 2452 0.40% 11.24% 88.36%-4.08 -0.2 4
1951-09-15 Budapest Dozsa W 3-270.5 1974 2131 37.35% 22.77% 39.89%-0.28 +9.5 14
1951-09-15 @ Dorogi L 2-370.5 2131 1974 39.89% 22.77% 37.35%+0.28 -9.5 21
1951-09-16 Csepel W 1-059.9 1951 2060 44.00% 22.85% 33.15%-0.05 +9.2 16
1951-09-16 @ Ferencvaros L 0-159.9 2060 1951 33.15% 22.85% 44.00%+0.05 -9.2 16
1951-09-16 Szegedi Honved SE W 1-050.7 1951 1697 74.21% 20.07% 5.72%+1.66 +1.9 17
1951-09-16 @ Gyor L 0-150.7 1697 1951 5.72% 20.07% 74.21%-1.66 -1.9 14
1951-09-16 Budapest Bastya L 1-453.7 1942 2324 13.72% 20.99% 65.29%-1.34 -9.8 16
1951-09-16 @ Salgotarjan W 4-153.7 2324 1942 65.29% 20.99% 13.72%+1.34 +9.8 29
1951-09-16 Honved L 0-148.0 1682 2452 1.94% 14.62% 83.44%-3.17 -0.6 12
1951-09-16 @ Soroksar FC W 1-048.0 2452 1682 83.44% 14.62% 1.94%+3.17 +0.6 28
1951-09-16 Vasas D 0-068.6 1686 1969 21.96% 22.04% 56.00%-0.87 +2.2 5
1951-09-16 @ Szegedi AK D 0-068.6 1969 1686 56.00% 22.04% 21.96%+0.87 -2.2 19
1951-09-16 Diosgyor W 3-161.1 1683 1784 45.05% 22.85% 32.10%-0.01 +14.6 7
1951-09-16 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-361.1 1784 1683 32.10% 22.85% 45.05%+0.01 -14.6 12
1951-09-22 Szegedi AK W 7-246.9 2334 1688 85.94% 13.31% 0.76%+3.51 +0.6 31
1951-09-22 @ Budapest Bastya L 2-746.9 1688 2334 0.76% 13.31% 85.94%-3.51 -0.6 5
1951-09-22 Honved L 1-451.7 1967 2453 8.22% 19.55% 72.23%-1.83 -6.0 19
1951-09-22 @ Vasas W 4-151.7 2453 1967 72.23% 19.55% 8.22%+1.83 +6.0 30
1951-09-23 Dorogi L 1-370.8 2050 1984 63.02% 22.20% 14.78%+0.78 -26.1 16
1951-09-23 @ Csepel W 3-170.8 1984 2050 14.78% 22.20% 63.02%-0.78 +26.1 16
1951-09-23 Ferencvaros W 3-271.8 1769 1960 32.76% 22.64% 44.59%-0.44 +10.4 14
1951-09-23 @ Diosgyor L 2-371.8 1960 1769 44.59% 22.64% 32.76%+0.44 -10.4 16
1951-09-23 Soroksar FC W 2-048.0 1953 1682 74.96% 19.81% 5.23%+1.74 +3.2 19
1951-09-23 @ Gyor L 0-248.0 1682 1953 5.23% 19.81% 74.96%-1.74 -3.2 12
1951-09-23 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-170.9 1696 1698 56.74% 22.62% 20.64%+0.45 -2.1 15
1951-09-23 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 1-170.9 1698 1696 20.64% 22.62% 56.74%-0.45 +2.1 8
1951-09-23 Salgotarjan W 4-363.8 2121 1932 71.12% 20.94% 7.95%+1.36 +2.3 23
1951-09-23 @ Budapest Dozsa L 3-463.8 1932 2121 7.95% 20.94% 71.12%-1.36 -2.3 16
1951-09-30 Diosgyor W 2-048.7 2010 1780 73.13% 20.41% 6.46%+1.55 +4.0 18
1951-09-30 @ Dorogi L 0-248.7 1780 2010 6.46% 20.41% 73.13%-1.55 -4.0 14
1951-09-30 Szegedi Honved SE W 3-046.3 1949 1693 74.30% 20.04% 5.66%+1.67 +5.0 18
1951-09-30 @ Ferencvaros L 0-346.3 1693 1949 5.66% 20.04% 74.30%-1.67 -5.0 15
1951-09-30 Csepel L 2-567.3 1930 2024 45.89% 22.85% 31.26%+0.02 -23.8 16
1951-09-30 @ Salgotarjan W 5-267.3 2024 1930 31.26% 22.85% 45.89%-0.02 +23.8 18
1951-09-30 Vasas D 0-068.6 1678 1961 22.04% 22.05% 55.91%-0.87 +2.2 13
1951-09-30 @ Soroksar FC D 0-068.6 1961 1678 55.91% 22.05% 22.04%+0.87 -2.2 20
1951-09-30 Budapest Dozsa L 0-646.9 1687 2124 10.53% 20.28% 69.19%-1.60 -17.3 5
1951-09-30 @ Szegedi AK W 6-046.9 2124 1687 69.19% 20.28% 10.53%+1.60 +17.3 25
1951-09-30 Gyor W 2-063.1 1700 1956 24.73% 22.25% 53.02%-0.75 +25.4 10
1951-09-30 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-263.1 1956 1700 53.02% 22.25% 24.73%+0.75 -25.4 19
1951-10-07 Szegedi AK W 3-151.5 2048 1670 78.87% 18.10% 3.03%+2.25 +1.6 20
1951-10-07 @ Csepel L 1-351.5 1670 2048 3.03% 18.10% 78.87%-2.25 -1.6 5
1951-10-07 Salgotarjan D 0-068.4 1776 1906 41.14% 22.83% 36.04%-0.15 -0.3 15
1951-10-07 @ Diosgyor D 0-068.4 1906 1776 36.04% 22.83% 41.14%+0.15 +0.3 17
1951-10-07 Ferencvaros L 2-374.8 1931 1954 54.47% 22.71% 22.82%+0.35 -12.4 19
1951-10-07 @ Gyor W 3-274.8 1954 1931 22.82% 22.71% 54.47%-0.35 +12.4 20
1951-10-07 Vasas W 3-258.1 2335 1959 78.81% 18.13% 3.06%+2.24 +0.9 33
1951-10-07 @ Budapest Bastya L 2-358.1 1959 2335 3.06% 18.13% 78.81%-2.24 -0.9 20
1951-10-07 Dorogi L 1-357.0 1688 2014 18.04% 21.64% 60.32%-1.07 -8.9 15
1951-10-07 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 3-157.0 2014 1688 60.32% 21.64% 18.04%+1.07 +8.9 20
1951-10-07 Soroksar FC W 3-049.5 1725 1681 61.14% 22.36% 16.50%+0.67 +14.1 12
1951-10-07 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-349.5 1681 1725 16.50% 22.36% 61.14%-0.67 -14.1 13
1951-10-21 Gyor D 2-276.7 2023 1919 65.87% 21.88% 12.26%+0.95 -2.5 21
1951-10-21 @ Dorogi D 2-276.7 1919 2023 12.26% 21.88% 65.87%-0.95 +2.5 20
1951-10-21 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-155.2 1967 1739 73.02% 20.44% 6.54%+1.54 +2.0 22
1951-10-21 @ Ferencvaros L 1-255.2 1739 1967 6.54% 20.44% 73.02%-1.54 -2.0 12
1951-10-21 Csepel D 1-173.5 2459 2050 79.86% 17.56% 2.58%+2.39 -4.9 31
1951-10-21 @ Honved D 1-173.5 2050 2459 2.58% 17.56% 79.86%-2.39 +4.9 21
1951-10-21 Szegedi Honved SE D 1-172.3 1906 1679 72.97% 20.45% 6.58%+1.53 -4.2 18
1951-10-21 @ Salgotarjan D 1-172.3 1679 1906 6.58% 20.45% 72.97%-1.53 +4.2 16
1951-10-21 Budapest Bastya L 0-643.6 1667 2335 3.26% 16.45% 80.29%-2.69 -5.1 13
1951-10-21 @ Soroksar FC W 6-043.6 2335 1667 80.29% 16.45% 3.26%+2.69 +5.1 35
1951-10-21 Diosgyor D 2-275.7 1669 1776 44.27% 22.85% 32.89%-0.04 -0.5 6
1951-10-21 @ Szegedi AK D 2-275.7 1776 1669 32.89% 22.85% 44.27%+0.04 +0.5 16
1951-10-21 Budapest Dozsa D 2-276.4 1958 2141 33.69% 22.67% 43.63%-0.40 +0.4 21
1951-10-21 @ Vasas D 2-276.4 2141 1958 43.63% 22.67% 33.69%+0.40 -0.4 26
1951-10-28 Vasas W 2-157.6 2055 1958 65.31% 21.95% 12.75%+0.92 +3.8 23
1951-10-28 @ Csepel L 1-257.6 1958 2055 12.75% 21.95% 65.31%-0.92 -3.8 21
1951-10-28 Honved D 3-382.5 1776 2454 3.11% 16.29% 80.59%-2.74 +3.0 17
1951-10-28 @ Diosgyor D 3-382.5 2454 1776 80.59% 16.29% 3.11%+2.74 -3.0 32
1951-10-28 Soroksar FC W 4-044.6 1969 1662 76.39% 19.26% 4.35%+1.91 +5.0 24
1951-10-28 @ Ferencvaros L 0-444.6 1662 1969 4.35% 19.26% 76.39%-1.91 -5.0 13
1951-10-28 Salgotarjan W 1-055.4 1921 1902 58.83% 22.51% 18.65%+0.55 +5.7 22
1951-10-28 @ Gyor L 0-155.4 1902 1921 18.65% 22.51% 58.83%-0.55 -5.7 18
1951-10-28 Szegedi AK L 0-263.7 1684 1668 58.49% 22.53% 18.98%+0.54 -28.0 16
1951-10-28 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 2-063.7 1668 1684 18.98% 22.53% 58.49%-0.54 +28.0 8
1951-10-28 Dorogi W 2-170.5 1737 2020 21.95% 22.04% 56.01%-0.87 +13.3 14
1951-10-28 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-270.5 2020 1737 56.01% 22.04% 21.95%+0.87 -13.3 21
1951-10-28 Budapest Bastya L 2-465.6 2141 2341 31.50% 22.60% 45.90%-0.48 -12.8 26
1951-10-28 @ Budapest Dozsa W 4-265.6 2341 2141 45.90% 22.60% 31.50%+0.48 +12.8 37
1951-11-04 Ferencvaros W 1-055.0 2007 1974 60.12% 22.43% 17.45%+0.62 +5.4 23
1951-11-04 @ Dorogi L 0-155.0 1974 2007 17.45% 22.43% 60.12%-0.62 -5.4 24
1951-11-04 Szegedi Honved SE W 8-143.3 2451 1656 88.89% 10.76% 0.34%+4.21 +0.5 34
1951-11-04 @ Honved L 1-843.3 1656 2451 0.34% 10.76% 88.89%-4.21 -0.5 16
1951-11-04 Csepel W 3-152.5 2353 2058 75.91% 19.45% 4.63%+1.85 +2.4 39
1951-11-04 @ Budapest Bastya L 1-352.5 2058 2353 4.63% 19.45% 75.91%-1.85 -2.4 23
1951-11-04 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-154.5 1896 1750 68.60% 21.46% 9.94%+1.15 +5.3 20
1951-11-04 @ Salgotarjan L 1-354.5 1750 1896 9.94% 21.46% 68.60%-1.15 -5.3 14
1951-11-04 Gyor W 1-064.6 1696 1927 27.71% 22.43% 49.86%-0.63 +12.7 10
1951-11-04 @ Szegedi AK L 0-164.6 1927 1696 49.86% 22.43% 27.71%+0.63 -12.7 22
1951-11-04 Soroksar FC W 2-152.6 2128 1656 81.67% 16.46% 1.87%+2.69 +0.5 28
1951-11-04 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-252.6 1656 2128 1.87% 16.46% 81.67%-2.69 -0.5 13
1951-11-04 Diosgyor W 2-049.5 1954 1779 70.33% 21.12% 8.55%+1.29 +5.2 23
1951-11-04 @ Vasas L 0-249.5 1779 1954 8.55% 21.12% 70.33%-1.29 -5.2 17
1951-11-07 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-047.7 2056 1745 76.52% 19.21% 4.28%+1.93 +2.6 25
1951-11-07 @ Csepel L 0-247.7 1745 2056 4.28% 19.21% 76.52%-1.93 -2.6 14
1951-11-07 Gyor D 1-171.8 1774 1914 39.69% 22.81% 37.50%-0.20 -0.1 18
1951-11-07 @ Diosgyor D 1-171.8 1914 1774 37.50% 22.81% 39.69%+0.20 +0.1 23
1951-11-07 Dorogi W 4-150.0 2356 2012 77.71% 18.68% 3.61%+2.08 +2.7 41
1951-11-07 @ Budapest Bastya L 1-450.0 2012 2356 3.61% 18.68% 77.71%-2.08 -2.7 23
1951-11-07 Soroksar FC W 3-262.9 1655 1656 56.87% 22.62% 20.51%+0.46 +5.5 18
1951-11-07 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 2-362.9 1656 1655 20.51% 22.62% 56.87%-0.46 -5.5 13
1951-11-07 Ferencvaros D 1-172.3 2128 1969 69.45% 21.30% 9.25%+1.22 -3.8 29
1951-11-07 @ Budapest Dozsa D 1-172.3 1969 2128 9.25% 21.30% 69.45%-1.22 +3.8 25
1951-11-07 Salgotarjan W 4-260.6 1960 1901 62.32% 22.26% 15.42%+0.74 +7.1 25
1951-11-07 @ Vasas L 2-460.6 1901 1960 15.42% 22.26% 62.32%-0.74 -7.1 20
1951-11-11 Budapest Dozsa D 1-171.9 2059 2124 49.55% 22.82% 27.63%+0.15 -1.2 26
1951-11-11 @ Csepel D 1-171.9 2124 2059 27.63% 22.82% 49.55%-0.15 +1.2 30
1951-11-11 Budapest Bastya L 0-745.0 1774 2358 5.00% 17.93% 77.07%-2.30 -9.4 18
1951-11-11 @ Diosgyor W 7-045.0 2358 1774 77.07% 17.93% 5.00%+2.30 +9.4 43
1951-11-11 Salgotarjan W 5-152.6 1972 1894 63.92% 22.11% 13.98%+0.83 +13.2 27
1951-11-11 @ Ferencvaros L 1-552.6 1894 1972 13.98% 22.11% 63.92%-0.83 -13.2 20
1951-11-11 Honved D 1-173.1 1914 2451 6.36% 18.73% 74.91%-2.07 +4.3 24
1951-11-11 @ Gyor D 1-173.1 2451 1914 74.91% 18.73% 6.36%+2.07 -4.3 35
1951-11-11 Dorogi W 1-068.3 1650 2010 15.35% 21.27% 63.38%-1.23 +15.9 15
1951-11-11 @ Soroksar FC L 0-168.3 2010 1650 63.38% 21.27% 15.35%+1.23 -15.9 23
1951-11-11 Vasas L 0-253.0 1661 1967 19.77% 21.83% 58.39%-0.98 -11.2 18
1951-11-11 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 2-053.0 1967 1661 58.39% 21.83% 19.77%+0.98 +11.2 27
1951-11-11 Szegedi AK W 4-049.0 1743 1709 60.19% 22.43% 17.38%+0.62 +19.2 16
1951-11-11 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-449.0 1709 1743 17.38% 22.43% 60.19%-0.62 -19.2 10
1951-11-14 Gyor W 4-260.6 1978 1918 62.42% 22.25% 15.33%+0.74 +7.0 29
1951-11-14 @ Vasas L 2-460.6 1918 1978 15.33% 22.25% 62.42%-0.74 -7.0 24
1951-11-18 Vasas W 2-168.5 1762 1985 28.63% 22.48% 48.90%-0.59 +11.8 18
1951-11-18 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-268.5 1985 1762 48.90% 22.48% 28.63%+0.59 -11.8 29
1951-11-25 Soroksar FC D 1-173.3 2057 1666 79.29% 17.88% 2.83%+2.31 -4.9 27
1951-11-25 @ Csepel D 1-173.3 1666 2057 2.83% 17.88% 79.29%-2.31 +4.9 16
1951-11-25 Szombathelyi Haladas W 7-042.2 2447 1774 86.52% 12.82% 0.66%+3.64 +1.1 37
1951-11-25 @ Honved L 0-742.2 1774 2447 0.66% 12.82% 86.52%-3.64 -1.1 18
1951-11-25 Szegedi Honved SE W 3-149.0 2368 1650 87.44% 12.04% 0.52%+3.85 +0.2 45
1951-11-25 @ Budapest Bastya L 1-349.0 1650 2368 0.52% 12.04% 87.44%-3.85 -0.2 18
1951-11-25 Dorogi D 1-171.8 1881 1994 43.51% 22.84% 33.64%-0.07 -0.5 21
1951-11-25 @ Salgotarjan D 1-171.8 1994 1881 33.64% 22.84% 43.51%+0.07 +0.5 24
1951-11-25 Ferencvaros L 0-253.4 1690 1985 20.71% 21.93% 57.37%-0.93 -11.7 10
1951-11-25 @ Szegedi AK W 2-053.4 1985 1690 57.37% 21.93% 20.71%+0.93 +11.7 29
1951-11-25 Diosgyor D 2-277.7 2126 1764 78.32% 18.38% 3.30%+2.17 -3.6 31
1951-11-25 @ Budapest Dozsa D 2-277.7 1764 2126 3.30% 18.38% 78.32%-2.17 +3.6 19
1951-12-02 Budapest Bastya FW67.5 1911 2368 9.51% 19.99% 70.50%-1.69 +0.0 26
1951-12-02 @ Gyor FL67.5 2368 1911 70.50% 19.99% 9.51%+1.69 +0.0 45
1951-12-02 Csepel L 0-156.2 1768 2052 21.81% 22.03% 56.16%-0.88 -6.5 19
1951-12-02 @ Diosgyor W 1-056.2 2052 1768 56.16% 22.03% 21.81%+0.88 +6.5 29
1951-12-02 Szegedi AK W 4-150.2 1994 1678 76.72% 19.12% 4.16%+1.95 +3.1 26
1951-12-02 @ Dorogi L 1-450.2 1678 1994 4.16% 19.12% 76.72%-1.95 -3.1 10
1951-12-02 Honved L 1-256.1 1997 2448 9.79% 20.07% 70.13%-1.67 -2.9 29
1951-12-02 @ Ferencvaros W 2-156.1 2448 1997 70.13% 20.07% 9.79%+1.67 +2.9 39
1951-12-02 Salgotarjan W 1-063.7 1671 1881 30.31% 22.55% 47.14%-0.53 +12.1 18
1951-12-02 @ Soroksar FC L 0-163.7 1881 1671 47.14% 22.55% 30.31%+0.53 -12.1 21
1951-12-02 Budapest Dozsa W 2-174.5 1649 2122 8.78% 19.75% 71.47%-1.77 +16.9 20
1951-12-02 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-274.5 2122 1649 71.47% 19.75% 8.78%+1.77 -16.9 31
1951-12-09 Budapest Bastya D 1-172.1 2451 2368 64.29% 22.07% 13.65%+0.85 -3.1 40
1951-12-09 @ Honved D 1-172.1 2368 2451 13.65% 22.07% 64.29%-0.85 +3.1 46
1951-12-16 Honved L 2-363.1 2105 2448 16.63% 21.46% 61.91%-1.15 -4.5 31
1951-12-16 @ Budapest Dozsa W 3-263.1 2448 2105 61.91% 21.46% 16.63%+1.15 +4.5 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-04-04 3.59% Soroksar FC 1627 1 @ Dorogi 1972 0
2 1951-04-04 4.66% Szegedi Honved SE 1657 1 @ Vasas 1952 0
3 1951-09-02 5.84% @ Salgotarjan 1916 1 Honved 2470 0
4 1951-04-22 7.14% Dorogi 1952 2 @ Budapest Dozsa 2162 0
5 1951-03-18 7.38% Vasas 1946 2 @ Budapest Dozsa 2150 1
6 1951-12-02 8.78% @ Szegedi Honved SE 1649 2 Budapest Dozsa 2122 1
7 1951-03-11 9.88% Budapest Dozsa 2134 2 @ Budapest Bastya 2281 1
8 1951-04-21 11.56% Ferencvaros 1957 2 @ Csepel 2072 1
9 1951-04-08 14.48% Szegedi Honved SE 1677 2 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1748 0
10 1951-09-23 14.78% Dorogi 1984 3 @ Csepel 2050 1
11 1951-11-11 15.35% @ Soroksar FC 1650 1 Dorogi 2010 0
12 1951-04-01 16.19% @ Szegedi Honved SE 1643 2 Ferencvaros 1991 1
13 1951-05-06 16.69% Soroksar FC 1669 1 @ Szegedi AK 1711 0
14 1951-10-28 18.98% Szegedi AK 1668 2 @ Szegedi Honved SE 1684 0
15 1951-10-28 21.95% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1737 2 Dorogi 2020 1
16 1951-10-07 22.82% Ferencvaros 1954 3 @ Gyor 1931 2
17 1951-09-30 24.73% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1700 2 Gyor 1956 0
18 1951-03-18 26.03% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1762 1 Ferencvaros 2007 0
19 1951-11-04 27.71% @ Szegedi AK 1696 1 Gyor 1927 0
20 1951-11-18 28.63% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1762 2 Vasas 1985 1
21 1951-12-02 30.31% @ Soroksar FC 1671 1 Salgotarjan 1881 0
22 1951-04-01 31.04% @ Diosgyor 1796 4 Dorogi 1999 1
23 1951-09-30 31.26% Csepel 2024 5 @ Salgotarjan 1930 2
24 1951-04-01 32.49% @ Budapest Bastya 2282 1 Honved 2474 0
25 1951-09-23 32.76% @ Diosgyor 1769 3 Ferencvaros 1960 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-04-22 34.57 Dorogi 2 1952 7.14% @ Budapest Dozsa 0 2162 72.19% 20.67%
2 1951-04-08 30.35 Szegedi Honved SE 2 1677 14.48% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1748 63.36% 22.16%
3 1951-10-28 28.02 Szegedi AK 2 1668 18.98% @ Szegedi Honved SE 0 1684 58.49% 22.53%
4 1951-04-01 27.66 @ Diosgyor 4 1796 31.04% Dorogi 1 1999 46.38% 22.58%
5 1951-09-23 26.14 Dorogi 3 1984 14.78% @ Csepel 1 2050 63.02% 22.20%
6 1951-09-30 25.39 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 1700 24.73% Gyor 0 1956 53.02% 22.25%
7 1951-09-30 23.80 Csepel 5 2024 31.26% @ Salgotarjan 2 1930 45.89% 22.85%
8 1951-04-04 22.88 @ Salgotarjan 3 1895 47.72% Ferencvaros 0 1976 29.44% 22.84%
9 1951-04-30 21.28 @ Soroksar FC 3 1648 50.29% Szegedi Honved SE 0 1708 26.90% 22.81%
10 1951-04-04 19.52 Soroksar FC 1 1627 3.59% @ Dorogi 0 1972 77.76% 18.65%
11 1951-09-02 19.49 @ Gyor 2 1936 38.58% Csepel 0 2084 38.63% 22.79%
12 1951-11-11 19.23 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 4 1743 60.19% Szegedi AK 0 1709 17.38% 22.43%
13 1951-04-04 19.16 Szegedi Honved SE 1 1657 4.66% @ Vasas 0 1952 75.88% 19.47%
14 1951-04-01 18.95 @ Gyor 7 1916 68.98% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1765 9.64% 21.39%
15 1951-09-02 18.84 @ Salgotarjan 1 1916 5.84% Honved 0 2470 75.71% 18.45%
16 1951-09-30 17.28 Budapest Dozsa 6 2124 69.19% @ Szegedi AK 0 1687 10.53% 20.28%
17 1951-03-18 17.21 Vasas 2 1946 7.38% @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2150 71.87% 20.75%
18 1951-12-02 16.88 @ Szegedi Honved SE 2 1649 8.78% Budapest Dozsa 1 2122 71.47% 19.75%
19 1951-03-24 16.51 Budapest Bastya 3 2265 57.99% @ Vasas 0 1963 20.14% 21.87%
20 1951-03-11 16.46 Budapest Dozsa 2 2134 9.88% @ Budapest Bastya 1 2281 68.68% 21.44%
21 1951-03-04 16.25 @ Ferencvaros 4 1982 53.41% Dorogi 1 2015 23.84% 22.74%
22 1951-03-04 16.02 Budapest Bastya 3 2265 41.12% @ Csepel 1 2099 36.14% 22.74%
23 1951-04-21 15.97 Ferencvaros 2 1957 11.56% @ Csepel 1 2072 66.68% 21.76%
24 1951-11-11 15.94 @ Soroksar FC 1 1650 15.35% Dorogi 0 2010 63.38% 21.27%
25 1951-05-06 15.48 Soroksar FC 1 1669 16.69% @ Szegedi AK 0 1711 60.93% 22.37%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-10-28 82.5 @ Diosgyor 3 1776 3.11% Honved 3 2454 80.59% 16.29%
2 1951-05-20 80.6 @ Szegedi AK 3 1691 22.05% Dorogi 3 1974 55.90% 22.05%
3 1951-05-19 78.1 @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2119 80.57% Szegedi Honved SE 2 1686 2.29% 17.15%
4 1951-03-25 77.7 @ Honved 2 2478 77.75% Budapest Dozsa 2 2133 3.59% 18.66%
5 1951-11-25 77.7 @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2126 78.32% Diosgyor 2 1764 3.30% 18.38%
6 1951-04-30 76.7 @ Dorogi 2 1986 19.02% Budapest Bastya 2 2300 59.23% 21.75%
7 1951-10-21 76.7 @ Dorogi 2 2023 65.87% Gyor 2 1919 12.26% 21.88%
8 1951-06-10 76.5 @ Gyor 2 1935 32.95% Budapest Dozsa 2 2124 44.39% 22.65%
9 1951-04-22 76.4 @ Szegedi Honved SE 2 1707 28.21% Gyor 2 1933 49.34% 22.46%
10 1951-10-21 76.4 @ Vasas 2 1958 33.69% Budapest Dozsa 2 2141 43.63% 22.67%
11 1951-03-18 76.3 @ Szegedi Honved SE 2 1643 24.16% Salgotarjan 2 1904 53.63% 22.21%
12 1951-10-21 75.7 @ Szegedi AK 2 1669 44.27% Diosgyor 2 1776 32.89% 22.85%
13 1951-03-11 75.6 @ Szegedi AK 2 1744 65.88% Szegedi Honved SE 2 1640 12.25% 21.87%
14 1951-03-18 75.0 Vasas 2 1946 7.38% @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2150 71.87% 20.75%
15 1951-10-07 74.8 Ferencvaros 3 1954 22.82% @ Gyor 2 1931 54.47% 22.71%
16 1951-12-02 74.5 @ Szegedi Honved SE 2 1649 8.78% Budapest Dozsa 1 2122 71.47% 19.75%
17 1951-03-11 74.2 Budapest Dozsa 2 2134 9.88% @ Budapest Bastya 1 2281 68.68% 21.44%
18 1951-04-08 74.1 @ Honved 1 2462 83.22% Vasas 1 1932 1.38% 15.40%
19 1951-04-21 73.7 Ferencvaros 2 1957 11.56% @ Csepel 1 2072 66.68% 21.76%
20 1951-10-21 73.5 @ Honved 1 2459 79.86% Csepel 1 2050 2.58% 17.56%
21 1951-11-25 73.3 @ Csepel 1 2057 79.29% Soroksar FC 1 1666 2.83% 17.88%
22 1951-09-08 73.2 @ Csepel 1 2064 78.67% Szegedi Honved SE 1 1693 3.12% 18.20%
23 1951-11-11 73.1 @ Gyor 1 1914 6.36% Honved 1 2451 74.91% 18.73%
24 1951-10-21 72.3 @ Salgotarjan 1 1906 72.97% Szegedi Honved SE 1 1679 6.58% 20.45%
25 1951-11-07 72.3 @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2128 69.45% Ferencvaros 1 1969 9.25% 21.30%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-03-18 41.6 @ Budapest Bastya 5 2264 85.86% Soroksar FC 0 1622 0.77% 13.37%
2 1951-04-22 42.0 @ Honved 3 2457 89.14% Soroksar FC 0 1648 0.32% 10.54%
3 1951-11-25 42.2 @ Honved 7 2447 86.52% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1774 0.66% 12.82%
4 1951-02-25 42.9 @ Honved 7 2470 84.19% Gyor 0 1901 1.13% 14.68%
5 1951-11-04 43.3 @ Honved 8 2451 88.89% Szegedi Honved SE 1 1656 0.34% 10.76%
6 1951-10-21 43.6 Budapest Bastya 6 2335 80.29% @ Soroksar FC 0 1667 3.26% 16.45%
7 1951-05-06 43.7 @ Honved 3 2459 83.76% Salgotarjan 0 1907 1.24% 15.00%
8 1951-06-03 43.9 Budapest Bastya 5 2306 78.34% @ Szegedi Honved SE 0 1690 4.27% 17.39%
9 1951-10-28 44.6 @ Ferencvaros 4 1969 76.39% Soroksar FC 0 1662 4.35% 19.26%
10 1951-11-11 45.0 Budapest Bastya 7 2358 77.07% @ Diosgyor 0 1774 5.00% 17.93%
11 1951-05-20 45.3 @ Vasas 6 1951 74.21% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1697 5.72% 20.07%
12 1951-06-03 45.6 Honved 2 2469 83.76% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1687 1.83% 14.41%
13 1951-03-11 45.7 @ Dorogi 4 1999 73.10% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1770 6.48% 20.42%
14 1951-04-01 45.9 @ Budapest Dozsa 9 2137 79.94% Szegedi AK 1 1725 2.55% 17.52%
15 1951-03-04 46.3 Honved 5 2472 85.08% @ Szegedi Honved SE 1 1641 1.41% 13.51%
16 1951-09-30 46.3 @ Ferencvaros 3 1949 74.30% Szegedi Honved SE 0 1693 5.66% 20.04%
17 1951-09-13 46.8 @ Honved 4 2452 88.36% Szegedi AK 1 1686 0.40% 11.24%
18 1951-05-20 46.9 @ Honved 8 2467 82.23% Ferencvaros 2 1975 1.68% 16.08%
19 1951-09-22 46.9 @ Budapest Bastya 7 2334 85.94% Szegedi AK 2 1688 0.76% 13.31%
20 1951-09-30 46.9 Budapest Dozsa 6 2124 69.19% @ Szegedi AK 0 1687 10.53% 20.28%
21 1951-05-13 47.2 Honved 3 2460 71.81% @ Dorogi 0 1981 8.53% 19.66%
22 1951-04-01 47.3 @ Gyor 7 1916 68.98% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1765 9.64% 21.39%
23 1951-09-09 47.6 @ Budapest Bastya 4 2324 85.81% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 1683 0.78% 13.41%
24 1951-11-07 47.7 @ Csepel 2 2056 76.52% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 1745 4.28% 19.21%
25 1951-05-06 47.8 @ Budapest Bastya 6 2299 76.72% Ferencvaros 1 1983 4.16% 19.12%