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1953 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

182 games

Final

Champion

MTK Budapest

16th Title

Last Title: 1951

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dunaferr

8.34 points above expected

19 points · 10.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Csepel

6.92 points below expected

20 points · 26.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Voros Lobogo 26 22 2 2 46 92 28 +64 41.03 +4.97
2 Honved 26 19 5 2 43 86 27 +59 42.01 +0.99
3 Vasas 26 14 4 8 32 62 37 +25 31.43 +0.57
4 Budapest Dozsa 26 11 8 7 30 54 42 +12 34.15 -4.15
5 Ferencvaros 26 11 8 7 30 37 32 +5 23.61 +6.39
6 Gyor 26 8 10 8 26 41 46 -5 26.21 -0.21
7 Szombathelyi Haladas 26 11 4 11 26 38 54 -16 23.30 +2.70
8 Szegedi Honved SE 26 8 7 11 23 31 42 -11 24.38 -1.38
9 Salgotarjan 26 8 7 11 23 32 46 -14 25.00 -2.00
10 Dorogi 26 7 7 12 21 36 48 -12 25.20 -4.20
11 Csepel 26 6 8 12 20 50 54 -4 26.92 -6.92
12 Dunaferr 26 5 9 12 19 32 49 -17 10.66 +8.34
13 Postas SE 26 3 8 15 14 18 60 -42 20.37 -6.37
14 Soroksar FC 26 1 9 16 11 20 64 -44 9.73 +1.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dunaferr 19 10.66 +8.34
2 Ferencvaros 30 23.61 +6.39
3 Voros Lobogo 46 41.03 +4.97
4 Szombathelyi Haladas 26 23.30 +2.70
5 Soroksar FC 11 9.73 +1.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Csepel 20 26.92 -6.92
2 Postas SE 14 20.37 -6.37
3 Dorogi 21 25.20 -4.20
4 Budapest Dozsa 30 34.15 -4.15
5 Salgotarjan 23 25.00 -2.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunaferr 2 Aug 23 – Aug 30 1 in 358
2 Voros Lobogo 12 May 24 – Oct 18 1 in 102
3 Szombathelyi Haladas 5 Nov 1 – Dec 13 1 in 60
4 Honved 8 Mar 14 – May 9 1 in 19
5 Salgotarjan 2 Mar 25 – Mar 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dorogi 4 Mar 15 – Mar 29 1 in 144
2 Voros Lobogo 2 May 3 – May 10 1 in 52
3 Vasas 3 May 9 – May 31 1 in 45
4 Gyor 4 Apr 12 – May 10 1 in 36
5 Salgotarjan 4 Oct 25 – Nov 29 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Soroksar FC 4 Mar 25 – Apr 12 1 in 155
2 Ferencvaros 10 Sep 6 – Dec 6 1 in 125
3 Dunaferr 4 Nov 1 – Dec 13 1 in 114
4 Szombathelyi Haladas 5 Apr 12 – May 16 1 in 26
5 Csepel 9 Apr 5 – Jun 14 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budapest Dozsa 4 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 26
2 Honved 3 Sep 13 – Sep 27 1 in 16
3 Salgotarjan 6 Sep 27 – Nov 29 1 in 12
4 Dorogi 5 Mar 15 – Apr 5 1 in 9
5 Csepel 6 Mar 15 – Apr 12 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Voros Lobogo 2668 46 +39 10 8.3 +1.7
Honved 2644 43 +0 8 8.6 -0.6
Vasas 2363 32 -35 7 7.2 -0.2
Budapest Dozsa 2368 30 -30 5 6.5 -1.5
Ferencvaros 2271 30 +34 5 3.9 +1.1
Szombathelyi Haladas 2249 26 +50 8 5.7 +2.3
Gyor 2251 26 -4 6 6.6 -0.6
Szegedi Honved SE 2219 23 -17 5 5.4 -0.4
Salgotarjan 2204 23 +8 3 2.8 +0.2
Dorogi 2242 21 -19 4 4.2 -0.2
Csepel 2235 20 -19 2 3.3 -1.3
Dunaferr 1975 19 +17 4 1.7 +2.3
Postas SE 2052 14 -47 1 2.9 -1.9
Soroksar FC 1873 11 -20 0 1.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BD CSE DOR DUN FER GYO HON PS SAL SOR SHS SH VAS VL
Budapest Dozsa —
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.97
1-1-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
1.11
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
5.00
0-0-2
4.22
1-1-0
3.76
0-0-2
3.13
0-1-1
1.49
Csepel
0-1-1
1.95
—
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
4.86
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
3.61
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
4.69
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-2
0.91
Dorogi
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.53
—
0-1-1
4.60
0-0-2
3.06
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
0.81
2-0-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.48
1-1-0
4.55
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.78
0-0-2
0.91
Dunaferr
0-1-1
0.62
1-0-1
0.70
1-1-0
0.93
—
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
0.86
0-0-2
0.37
1-1-0
1.23
1-0-1
0.86
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
0.95
0-2-0
1.14
0-1-1
0.73
0-0-2
0.39
Ferencvaros
0-1-1
1.41
0-2-0
2.19
2-0-0
2.38
2-0-0
4.41
—
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
0.80
1-1-0
3.27
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
0.84
Gyor
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
4.67
1-1-0
3.19
—
0-2-0
0.76
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
4.74
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
0.93
Honved
1-0-1
4.38
2-0-0
4.68
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
5.33
1-1-0
4.74
0-2-0
4.79
—
2-0-0
5.00
1-1-0
4.79
2-0-0
5.36
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.78
1-1-0
4.34
1-0-1
3.05
Postas SE
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
1.85
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
4.26
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
0.60
—
1-1-0
1.99
0-2-0
4.27
0-2-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.19
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
0.71
Salgotarjan
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.96
1-0-1
4.67
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
0.76
0-1-1
3.45
—
2-0-0
4.57
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
1.40
0-0-2
0.85
Soroksar FC
0-1-1
0.59
0-1-1
0.84
0-1-1
0.97
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
0.80
0-0-2
0.35
0-2-0
1.22
0-0-2
0.95
—
0-1-1
0.88
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
0.62
0-0-2
0.41
Szegedi Honved SE
2-0-0
1.26
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
4.57
0-0-2
2.71
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
0.81
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.62
1-1-0
4.65
—
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
0.90
Szombathelyi Haladas
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.24
0-2-0
4.35
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
0.77
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
4.57
1-0-1
2.36
—
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
0.76
Vasas
2-0-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
4.84
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
3.51
0-1-1
1.15
2-0-0
3.93
0-0-2
4.06
1-1-0
4.97
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.86
—
0-1-1
1.33
Voros Lobogo
1-1-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
5.30
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.58
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
4.85
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
5.26
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
4.78
1-1-0
4.15
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +4.1
Allowed 0.84 -8.0
Differential 0.95 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.34%6.04%3.85%1.37%1.65%1.92%24.18%
16.04%10.99%6.59%3.57%2.20%3.02%32.42%
23.85%6.59%4.40%1.65%1.65%2.20%20.33%
31.37%3.57%1.65%1.10%0.55%0.27%8.52%
41.65%2.20%1.65%0.55%0.55%0.27%6.87%
5+1.92%3.02%2.20%0.27%0.27%—7.69%
Total24.18%32.42%20.33%8.52%6.87%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.73 1.73 2.53
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
13.85%15.38%7.69%—7.69%—34.62%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
Total19.23%30.77%26.92%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.62 +0.46
SD 1.67 1.20 2.00
CV 0.80 0.74 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
1—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
2——11.54%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total7.69%26.92%38.46%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.08 -0.15
SD 1.65 1.32 1.93
CV 0.86 0.64 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%——3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
27.69%—3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%42.31%19.23%3.85%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.85 -0.46
SD 1.68 2.17 2.86
CV 1.21 1.17 —
Max 8 10 +7
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
13.85%19.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%42.31%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%38.46%26.92%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.88 -0.65
SD 0.99 1.24 1.55
CV 0.81 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
119.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—3.85%—3.85%—3.85%11.54%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total42.31%26.92%11.54%11.54%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.23 +0.19
SD 1.42 1.50 1.67
CV 1.00 1.22 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%————19.23%
13.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%——26.92%
2—11.54%11.54%—3.85%7.69%34.62%
3—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%19.23%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.77 -0.19
SD 1.10 1.56 1.58
CV 0.70 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—————11.54%
13.85%—3.85%———7.69%
27.69%7.69%———3.85%19.23%
33.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
47.69%7.69%——3.85%—19.23%
5+11.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
Total46.15%26.92%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.31 1.04 +2.27
SD 2.11 1.34 2.52
CV 0.64 1.29 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%11.54%—7.69%3.85%46.15%
111.54%15.38%7.69%——7.69%42.31%
2——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%26.92%23.08%—11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.31 -1.62
SD 0.79 2.48 2.40
CV 1.14 1.07 —
Max 3 8 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%11.54%———30.77%
17.69%11.54%—7.69%—7.69%34.62%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%7.69%19.23%
311.54%—————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%23.08%11.54%7.69%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.54
SD 1.14 2.16 2.40
CV 0.93 1.22 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%42.31%
1—19.23%3.85%11.54%—7.69%42.31%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%7.69%23.08%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.46 -1.69
SD 0.82 2.16 2.22
CV 1.06 0.88 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%30.77%
17.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
3———————
4—11.54%————11.54%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%19.23%3.85%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.62 -0.42
SD 1.23 1.53 2.19
CV 1.03 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%——7.69%23.08%
111.54%3.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%30.77%
211.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%23.08%15.38%3.85%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.08 -0.62
SD 1.21 2.24 2.76
CV 0.83 1.08 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
17.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
5+—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
Total15.38%46.15%26.92%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.42 +0.96
SD 2.40 1.06 2.63
CV 1.01 0.75 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
23.85%26.92%————30.77%
3—7.69%————7.69%
47.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
5+15.38%—7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
Total26.92%46.15%23.08%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.54 1.08 +2.46
SD 2.27 0.93 2.60
CV 0.64 0.87 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Voros Lobogo 2668 46 41.03 +4.97 94.0% 32 36 39 41 43 47 48
Honved 2644 43 42.01 +0.99 69.0% 34 37 40 42 44 47 50
Budapest Dozsa 2368 30 34.15 -4.15 16.0% 26 28 32 34 36 40 41
Vasas 2363 32 31.43 +0.57 60.0% 22 24 29 32 34 37 41
Ferencvaros 2271 30 23.61 +6.39 95.0% 14 17 21 23 26 30 33
Gyor 2251 26 26.21 -0.21 55.0% 17 20 23 26 29 31 33
Szombathelyi Haladas 2249 26 23.30 +2.70 80.0% 14 17 21 23 26 31 32
Dorogi 2242 21 25.20 -4.20 14.0% 15 20 23 25 27 32 34
Csepel 2235 20 26.92 -6.92 4.0% 19 21 24 27 30 33 38
Szegedi Honved SE 2219 23 24.38 -1.38 40.0% 16 17 22 24 27 31 36
Salgotarjan 2204 23 25.00 -2.00 38.0% 15 19 22 24 28 32 36
Postas SE 2052 14 20.37 -6.37 6.0% 12 14 17 21 23 26 31
Dunaferr 1975 19 10.66 +8.34 100.0% 4 5 9 10 13 16 19
Soroksar FC 1873 11 9.73 +1.27 77.0% 1 5 8 10 11 16 19

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.79%
No Edge
41.21%26.37%32.42%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.62 Elo pts.
215 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.9 * Some Luck: 2.9 to 4.35 * Lucky: 4.35 to 5.8 * Wild Swing: 5.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.7 * Off: 1.7 to 2.26 * Way Off: 2.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.43 points
Lucky
03.629
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Off
01.413
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Dunaferr
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Csepel
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 217.65
2.24
Wide Separation
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.63
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.73
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.158
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Voros Lobogo41.00%47.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%—————————
Honved59.00%37.00%4.00%———————————
Vasas—4.00%27.00%31.00%18.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—————
Budapest Dozsa—11.00%47.00%27.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Ferencvaros——2.00%3.00%5.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%20.00%12.00%15.00%——
Gyor——2.00%6.00%18.00%11.00%23.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%——
Szombathelyi Haladas——1.00%3.00%3.00%12.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%24.00%20.00%12.00%——
Szegedi Honved SE——1.00%4.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%14.00%7.00%15.00%——
Salgotarjan——1.00%5.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%17.00%10.00%8.00%17.00%7.00%——
Dorogi——2.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%7.00%12.00%3.00%——
Csepel—1.00%3.00%12.00%19.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%——
Dunaferr———————————4.00%65.00%31.00%
Postas SE————1.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%20.00%38.00%4.00%1.00%
Soroksar FC———————————1.00%31.00%68.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Budapest Dozsa 100%
Csepel 100%
Dorogi 100%
Dunaferr 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gyor 100%
Honved 100%
Postas SE 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Soroksar FC 100%
Szegedi Honved SE 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 100%
Vasas 100%
Voros Lobogo 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1953-03-14 Honved L 0-344.1 1877 2611 1.30% 15.61% 83.09%-3.26 -1.3 0
1953-03-14 @ Soroksar FC W 3-044.1 2611 1877 83.09% 15.61% 1.30%+3.26 +1.3 2
1953-03-15 Vasas L 1-265.9 2305 2359 34.87% 27.96% 37.17%-0.11 -11.7 0
1953-03-15 @ Csepel W 2-165.9 2359 2305 37.17% 27.96% 34.87%+0.11 +11.7 2
1953-03-15 Budapest Dozsa L 1-556.9 2276 2422 23.31% 27.50% 49.19%-0.54 -27.2 0
1953-03-15 @ Dorogi W 5-156.9 2422 2276 49.19% 27.50% 23.31%+0.54 +27.2 2
1953-03-15 Voros Lobogo L 1-448.5 1853 2561 1.48% 16.21% 82.31%-3.14 -1.3 0
1953-03-15 @ Dunaferr W 4-148.5 2561 1853 82.31% 16.21% 1.48%+3.14 +1.3 2
1953-03-15 Szombathelyi Haladas W 5-266.2 2165 2224 34.17% 27.95% 37.88%-0.13 +26.3 2
1953-03-15 @ Ferencvaros L 2-566.2 2224 2165 37.88% 27.95% 34.17%+0.13 -26.3 0
1953-03-15 Szegedi Honved SE D 0-067.1 2216 2214 42.59% 27.94% 29.47%+0.15 -1.0 1
1953-03-15 @ Postas SE D 0-067.1 2214 2216 29.47% 27.94% 42.59%-0.15 +1.0 1
1953-03-15 Gyor D 0-067.1 2245 2286 36.71% 27.97% 35.32%-0.05 -0.1 1
1953-03-15 @ Salgotarjan D 0-067.1 2286 2245 35.32% 27.97% 36.71%+0.05 +0.1 1
1953-03-22 Csepel W 3-162.7 2286 2293 41.42% 27.96% 30.62%+0.11 +18.4 3
1953-03-22 @ Gyor L 1-362.7 2293 2286 30.62% 27.96% 41.42%-0.11 -18.4 0
1953-03-22 Salgotarjan W 7-148.5 2612 2245 72.15% 22.92% 4.93%+1.85 +9.3 4
1953-03-22 @ Honved L 1-748.5 2245 2612 4.93% 22.92% 72.15%-1.85 -9.3 1
1953-03-22 Dorogi W 2-156.2 2562 2249 69.52% 24.07% 6.41%+1.60 +2.7 4
1953-03-22 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-256.2 2249 2562 6.41% 24.07% 69.52%-1.60 -2.7 0
1953-03-22 Ferencvaros L 0-165.2 2215 2192 45.41% 27.87% 26.73%+0.25 -15.2 1
1953-03-22 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 1-065.2 2192 2215 26.73% 27.87% 45.41%-0.25 +15.2 4
1953-03-22 Soroksar FC W 3-260.2 2198 1876 69.94% 23.90% 6.16%+1.64 +2.4 2
1953-03-22 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-360.2 1876 2198 6.16% 23.90% 69.94%-1.64 -2.4 0
1953-03-22 Postas SE W 2-051.5 2449 2215 64.88% 25.57% 9.54%+1.23 +8.0 4
1953-03-22 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-251.5 2215 2449 9.54% 25.57% 64.88%-1.23 -8.0 1
1953-03-22 Dunaferr W 5-148.2 2371 1852 78.32% 19.34% 2.34%+2.55 +2.8 4
1953-03-22 @ Vasas L 1-548.2 1852 2371 2.34% 19.34% 78.32%-2.55 -2.8 0
1953-03-25 Dunaferr L 1-275.8 2246 1849 73.49% 22.25% 4.26%+1.98 -22.2 0
1953-03-25 @ Dorogi W 2-175.8 1849 2246 4.26% 22.25% 73.49%-1.98 +22.2 2
1953-03-25 Soroksar FC D 0-069.0 2305 1874 74.94% 21.46% 3.60%+2.14 -6.4 4
1953-03-25 @ Gyor D 0-069.0 1874 2305 3.60% 21.46% 74.94%-2.14 +6.5 1
1953-03-25 Ferencvaros W 5-149.4 2621 2207 74.25% 21.85% 3.91%+2.07 +5.0 6
1953-03-25 @ Honved L 1-549.4 2207 2621 3.91% 21.85% 74.25%-2.07 -5.0 4
1953-03-25 Csepel W 2-156.6 2565 2275 68.25% 24.54% 7.21%+1.49 +3.0 6
1953-03-25 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-256.6 2275 2565 7.21% 24.54% 68.25%-1.49 -3.0 0
1953-03-25 Postas SE W 1-060.8 2200 2207 41.46% 27.96% 30.58%+0.11 +11.3 4
1953-03-25 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-160.8 2207 2200 30.58% 27.96% 41.46%-0.11 -11.3 1
1953-03-25 Szegedi Honved SE L 1-470.7 2457 2200 66.32% 25.17% 8.51%+1.34 -49.9 4
1953-03-25 @ Budapest Dozsa W 4-170.7 2200 2457 8.51% 25.17% 66.32%-1.34 +49.9 3
1953-03-25 Salgotarjan L 1-272.5 2373 2236 57.58% 26.97% 15.45%+0.78 -17.8 4
1953-03-25 @ Vasas W 2-172.5 2236 2373 15.45% 26.97% 57.58%-0.78 +17.8 3
1953-03-29 Honved L 1-453.1 2272 2626 8.41% 24.48% 67.11%-1.50 -8.5 0
1953-03-29 @ Csepel W 4-153.1 2626 2272 67.11% 24.48% 8.41%+1.50 +8.5 8
1953-03-29 Vasas L 1-360.9 2224 2356 24.87% 27.61% 47.52%-0.47 -15.7 0
1953-03-29 @ Dorogi W 3-160.9 2356 2224 47.52% 27.61% 24.87%+0.47 +15.7 6
1953-03-29 Gyor L 1-255.8 1871 2298 5.89% 22.96% 71.15%-1.84 -2.4 2
1953-03-29 @ Dunaferr W 2-155.8 2298 1871 71.15% 22.96% 5.89%+1.84 +2.4 6
1953-03-29 Postas SE D 1-170.3 2202 2196 43.15% 27.93% 28.92%+0.17 -1.0 5
1953-03-29 @ Ferencvaros D 1-170.3 2196 2202 28.92% 27.93% 43.15%-0.17 +1.0 2
1953-03-29 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-158.9 2253 2212 47.61% 27.79% 24.60%+0.34 +22.1 5
1953-03-29 @ Salgotarjan L 1-458.9 2212 2253 24.60% 27.79% 47.61%-0.34 -22.1 4
1953-03-29 Szegedi Honved SE D 0-068.2 1880 2250 7.80% 24.17% 68.03%-1.58 +5.4 2
1953-03-29 @ Soroksar FC D 0-068.2 2250 1880 68.03% 24.17% 7.80%+1.58 -5.4 4
1953-03-29 Voros Lobogo D 1-170.5 2407 2568 21.74% 27.37% 50.89%-0.60 +2.1 5
1953-03-29 @ Budapest Dozsa D 1-170.5 2568 2407 50.89% 27.37% 21.74%+0.60 -2.1 7
1953-04-04 Budapest Dozsa L 0-346.2 1869 2409 3.38% 20.30% 76.32%-2.37 -3.8 2
1953-04-04 @ Dunaferr W 3-046.2 2409 1869 76.32% 20.30% 3.38%+2.37 +3.8 7
1953-04-05 Dorogi D 2-274.6 2263 2208 49.20% 27.71% 23.09%+0.40 -1.4 1
1953-04-05 @ Csepel D 2-274.6 2208 2263 23.09% 27.71% 49.20%-0.40 +1.4 1
1953-04-05 Gyor L 1-362.1 2201 2301 28.75% 27.80% 43.44%-0.32 -17.6 5
1953-04-05 @ Ferencvaros W 3-162.1 2301 2201 43.44% 27.80% 28.75%+0.32 +17.6 8
1953-04-05 Vasas D 0-069.0 1886 2371 4.41% 21.61% 73.98%-2.11 +6.3 3
1953-04-05 @ Soroksar FC D 0-069.0 2371 1886 73.98% 21.61% 4.41%+2.11 -6.2 7
1953-04-05 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-158.5 2245 2190 49.18% 27.71% 23.11%+0.40 +21.0 6
1953-04-05 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-458.5 2190 2245 23.11% 27.71% 49.18%-0.40 -21.0 4
1953-04-11 Dunaferr W 3-255.4 2635 1865 85.97% 13.37% 0.67%+3.72 +0.2 10
1953-04-11 @ Honved L 2-355.4 1865 2635 0.67% 13.37% 85.97%-3.72 -0.2 2
1953-04-11 Voros Lobogo L 0-451.4 2365 2566 17.96% 26.95% 55.09%-0.79 -26.4 7
1953-04-11 @ Vasas W 4-051.4 2566 2365 55.09% 26.95% 17.96%+0.79 +26.4 9
1953-04-12 Budapest Dozsa L 3-564.1 2183 2413 15.60% 26.58% 57.82%-0.92 -9.0 5
1953-04-12 @ Ferencvaros W 5-364.1 2413 2183 57.82% 26.58% 15.60%+0.92 +9.0 9
1953-04-12 Dorogi L 1-369.8 2318 2209 54.88% 27.28% 17.84%+0.65 -29.4 8
1953-04-12 @ Gyor W 3-169.8 2209 2318 17.84% 27.28% 54.88%-0.65 +29.4 3
1953-04-12 Soroksar FC D 1-171.4 2197 1892 69.06% 24.25% 6.70%+1.56 -5.0 3
1953-04-12 @ Postas SE D 1-171.4 1892 2197 6.70% 24.25% 69.06%-1.56 +5.0 4
1953-04-12 Salgotarjan W 2-058.7 2266 2275 41.06% 27.96% 30.98%+0.10 +21.5 8
1953-04-12 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 0-258.7 2275 2266 30.98% 27.96% 41.06%-0.10 -21.5 5
1953-04-12 Csepel D 0-067.1 2169 2262 29.55% 27.83% 42.61%-0.29 +1.0 5
1953-04-12 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-067.1 2262 2169 42.61% 27.83% 29.55%+0.29 -1.0 2
1953-04-19 Szegedi Honved SE W 4-161.6 2261 2287 38.79% 27.98% 33.23%+0.02 +27.7 4
1953-04-19 @ Csepel L 1-461.6 2287 2261 33.23% 27.98% 38.79%-0.02 -27.7 8
1953-04-19 Honved L 2-555.6 2239 2635 6.85% 23.62% 69.53%-1.70 -6.0 3
1953-04-19 @ Dorogi W 5-255.6 2635 2239 69.53% 23.62% 6.85%+1.70 +6.0 12
1953-04-19 Szombathelyi Haladas D 2-275.2 1865 2170 10.77% 25.41% 63.82%-1.27 +3.1 3
1953-04-19 @ Dunaferr D 2-275.2 2170 1865 63.82% 25.41% 10.77%+1.27 -3.1 6
1953-04-19 Gyor W 3-154.4 2592 2289 68.99% 24.27% 6.74%+1.55 +4.9 11
1953-04-19 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-354.4 2289 2592 6.74% 24.27% 68.99%-1.55 -4.9 8
1953-04-19 Postas SE L 0-166.6 2254 2192 49.99% 27.67% 22.35%+0.43 -16.5 5
1953-04-19 @ Salgotarjan W 1-066.6 2192 2254 22.35% 27.67% 49.99%-0.43 +16.5 5
1953-04-19 Ferencvaros L 0-154.7 1897 2174 12.32% 25.87% 61.81%-1.15 -5.3 4
1953-04-19 @ Soroksar FC W 1-054.7 2174 1897 61.81% 25.87% 12.32%+1.15 +5.3 7
1953-04-19 Vasas L 1-271.0 2422 2339 52.30% 27.51% 20.19%+0.53 -16.2 9
1953-04-19 @ Budapest Dozsa W 2-171.0 2339 2422 20.19% 27.51% 52.30%-0.53 +16.2 9
1953-05-02 Salgotarjan D 0-067.1 2180 2237 34.33% 27.95% 37.72%-0.13 +0.2 8
1953-05-02 @ Ferencvaros D 0-067.1 2237 2180 37.72% 27.95% 34.33%+0.13 -0.2 6
1953-05-02 Csepel D 2-274.5 2208 2289 31.26% 27.89% 40.85%-0.23 +0.5 6
1953-05-02 @ Postas SE D 2-274.5 2289 2208 40.85% 27.89% 31.26%+0.23 -0.5 5
1953-05-02 Dorogi W 1-063.3 2166 2233 33.15% 27.93% 38.92%-0.17 +13.4 8
1953-05-02 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-163.3 2233 2166 38.92% 27.93% 33.15%+0.17 -13.5 3
1953-05-03 Vasas L 2-564.5 2284 2355 32.50% 27.92% 39.58%-0.19 -23.6 8
1953-05-03 @ Gyor W 5-264.5 2355 2284 39.58% 27.92% 32.50%+0.19 +23.6 11
1953-05-03 Voros Lobogo W 2-162.7 2641 2597 47.85% 27.78% 24.37%+0.35 +8.9 14
1953-05-03 @ Honved L 1-262.7 2597 2641 24.37% 27.78% 47.85%-0.35 -9.0 11
1953-05-03 Budapest Dozsa D 1-172.4 1891 2406 3.84% 20.93% 75.23%-2.25 +5.7 5
1953-05-03 @ Soroksar FC D 1-172.4 2406 1891 75.23% 20.93% 3.84%+2.25 -5.7 10
1953-05-03 Dunaferr D 1-172.0 2260 1868 73.26% 22.37% 4.37%+1.96 -5.6 9
1953-05-03 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 1-172.0 1868 2260 4.37% 22.37% 73.26%-1.96 +5.6 4
1953-05-09 Honved L 1-258.7 2378 2650 12.70% 25.97% 61.34%-1.12 -5.1 11
1953-05-09 @ Vasas W 2-158.7 2650 2378 61.34% 25.97% 12.70%+1.12 +5.1 16
1953-05-10 Ferencvaros D 0-067.3 2288 2180 54.82% 27.29% 17.89%+0.64 -3.0 6
1953-05-10 @ Csepel D 0-067.3 2180 2288 17.89% 27.29% 54.82%-0.64 +3.1 9
1953-05-10 Szegedi Honved SE W 3-163.8 2219 2254 37.63% 27.98% 34.39%-0.02 +20.1 5
1953-05-10 @ Dorogi L 1-363.8 2254 2219 34.39% 27.98% 37.63%+0.02 -20.1 9
1953-05-10 Postas SE W 1-070.5 1873 2209 9.25% 24.85% 65.90%-1.41 +21.4 6
1953-05-10 @ Dunaferr L 0-170.5 2209 1873 65.90% 24.85% 9.25%+1.41 -21.4 6
1953-05-10 Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-275.9 2588 2180 73.99% 21.99% 4.02%+2.04 -22.3 11
1953-05-10 @ Voros Lobogo W 2-175.9 2180 2588 4.02% 21.99% 73.99%-2.04 +22.3 10
1953-05-10 Soroksar FC W 2-049.7 2237 1897 70.85% 23.52% 5.63%+1.72 +4.7 8
1953-05-10 @ Salgotarjan L 0-249.7 1897 2237 5.63% 23.52% 70.85%-1.72 -4.7 5
1953-05-10 Gyor W 2-159.8 2400 2260 57.76% 26.94% 15.30%+0.79 +6.1 12
1953-05-10 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-259.8 2260 2400 15.30% 26.94% 57.76%-0.79 -6.1 8
1953-05-16 Dunaferr W 2-050.5 2183 1895 68.13% 24.58% 7.28%+1.48 +6.1 11
1953-05-16 @ Ferencvaros L 0-250.5 1895 2183 7.28% 24.58% 68.13%-1.48 -6.1 6
1953-05-16 Budapest Dozsa W 3-062.7 2242 2406 21.39% 27.34% 51.27%-0.62 +46.2 10
1953-05-16 @ Salgotarjan L 0-362.7 2406 2242 51.27% 27.34% 21.39%+0.62 -46.2 12
1953-05-16 Csepel D 1-171.6 1893 2285 6.98% 23.70% 69.32%-1.68 +5.0 6
1953-05-16 @ Soroksar FC D 1-171.6 2285 1893 69.32% 23.70% 6.98%+1.68 -5.0 7
1953-05-16 Vasas W 2-064.8 2202 2373 20.71% 27.27% 52.02%-0.65 +32.2 12
1953-05-16 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-264.8 2373 2202 52.02% 27.27% 20.71%+0.65 -32.2 11
1953-05-24 Gyor D 3-380.0 2655 2254 73.67% 22.16% 4.17%+2.00 -3.5 17
1953-05-24 @ Honved D 3-380.0 2254 2655 4.17% 22.16% 73.67%-2.00 +3.5 9
1953-05-24 Dorogi L 0-162.2 2187 2239 35.15% 27.96% 36.89%-0.10 -12.5 6
1953-05-24 @ Postas SE W 1-062.2 2239 2187 36.89% 27.96% 35.15%+0.10 +12.5 7
1953-05-24 Voros Lobogo L 1-257.4 2234 2566 9.40% 24.91% 65.69%-1.40 -3.9 9
1953-05-24 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 2-157.4 2566 2234 65.69% 24.91% 9.40%+1.40 +3.9 13
1953-05-31 Salgotarjan W 6-261.8 2280 2288 41.29% 27.96% 30.75%+0.10 +28.6 9
1953-05-31 @ Csepel L 2-661.8 2288 2280 30.75% 27.96% 41.29%-0.10 -28.6 10
1953-05-31 Ferencvaros L 0-166.6 2252 2189 50.06% 27.66% 22.28%+0.43 -16.6 7
1953-05-31 @ Dorogi W 1-066.6 2189 2252 22.28% 27.66% 50.06%-0.43 +16.5 13
1953-05-31 Soroksar FC L 1-267.8 1889 1898 41.19% 27.96% 30.86%+0.10 -13.2 6
1953-05-31 @ Dunaferr W 2-167.8 1898 1889 30.86% 27.96% 41.19%-0.10 +13.2 8
1953-05-31 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-163.5 2258 2234 45.35% 27.87% 26.78%+0.25 +9.6 11
1953-05-31 @ Gyor L 1-263.5 2234 2258 26.78% 27.87% 45.35%-0.25 -9.6 12
1953-05-31 Postas SE W 4-045.9 2570 2175 73.40% 22.30% 4.30%+1.98 +6.7 15
1953-05-31 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-445.9 2175 2570 4.30% 22.30% 73.40%-1.98 -6.7 6
1953-05-31 Honved W 5-273.0 2360 2652 11.49% 25.64% 62.87%-1.21 +40.9 14
1953-05-31 @ Budapest Dozsa L 2-573.0 2652 2360 62.87% 25.64% 11.49%+1.21 -40.9 17
1953-05-31 Szegedi Honved SE L 0-168.0 2341 2230 55.11% 27.26% 17.64%+0.66 -18.1 11
1953-05-31 @ Vasas W 1-068.0 2230 2341 17.64% 27.26% 55.11%-0.66 +18.1 11
1953-06-06 Budapest Dozsa D 2-274.5 2309 2401 29.70% 27.84% 42.46%-0.29 +0.7 10
1953-06-06 @ Csepel D 2-274.5 2401 2309 42.46% 27.84% 29.70%+0.29 -0.6 15
1953-06-07 Voros Lobogo L 1-256.7 2206 2577 7.76% 24.15% 68.09%-1.58 -3.2 13
1953-06-07 @ Ferencvaros W 2-156.7 2577 2206 68.09% 24.15% 7.76%+1.58 +3.2 17
1953-06-07 Vasas L 2-856.4 2168 2323 22.38% 27.42% 50.20%-0.58 -31.7 6
1953-06-07 @ Postas SE W 8-256.4 2323 2168 50.20% 27.42% 22.38%+0.58 +31.6 13
1953-06-07 Dunaferr W 3-047.2 2259 1875 72.92% 22.55% 4.54%+1.92 +5.4 12
1953-06-07 @ Salgotarjan L 0-347.2 1875 2259 4.54% 22.55% 72.92%-1.92 -5.4 6
1953-06-07 Dorogi D 1-171.2 1911 2235 9.76% 25.05% 65.19%-1.36 +4.4 9
1953-06-07 @ Soroksar FC D 1-171.2 2235 1911 65.19% 25.05% 9.76%+1.36 -4.4 8
1953-06-07 Gyor D 1-170.3 2248 2267 39.77% 27.97% 32.26%+0.05 -0.5 12
1953-06-07 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 1-170.3 2267 2248 32.26% 27.97% 39.77%-0.05 +0.5 12
1953-06-07 Honved L 0-747.3 2225 2611 7.21% 23.84% 68.95%-1.65 -19.1 12
1953-06-07 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 7-047.3 2611 2225 68.95% 23.84% 7.21%+1.65 +19.1 19
1953-06-13 Szegedi Honved SE W 4-151.4 2630 2248 72.84% 22.59% 4.57%+1.92 +4.6 21
1953-06-13 @ Honved L 1-451.4 2248 2630 4.57% 22.59% 72.84%-1.92 -4.6 12
1953-06-13 Ferencvaros L 1-272.8 2355 2202 58.83% 26.79% 14.38%+0.85 -18.1 13
1953-06-13 @ Vasas W 2-172.8 2202 2355 14.38% 26.79% 58.83%-0.85 +18.2 15
1953-06-14 Salgotarjan D 1-170.3 2231 2265 37.73% 27.98% 34.29%-0.02 -0.2 9
1953-06-14 @ Dorogi D 1-170.3 2265 2231 34.29% 27.98% 37.73%+0.02 +0.2 13
1953-06-14 Csepel L 1-353.6 1870 2309 5.54% 22.68% 71.77%-1.90 -3.9 6
1953-06-14 @ Dunaferr W 3-153.6 2309 1870 71.77% 22.68% 5.54%+1.90 +3.9 12
1953-06-14 Postas SE L 0-168.5 2268 2137 56.98% 27.05% 15.98%+0.75 -18.7 12
1953-06-14 @ Gyor W 1-068.5 2137 2268 15.98% 27.05% 56.98%-0.75 +18.7 8
1953-06-14 Soroksar FC W 7-043.0 2580 1915 83.08% 15.79% 1.13%+3.23 +2.5 19
1953-06-14 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-743.0 1915 2580 1.13% 15.79% 83.08%-3.23 -2.5 9
1953-06-14 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-170.9 2400 2206 62.15% 26.21% 11.64%+1.05 -3.9 16
1953-06-14 @ Budapest Dozsa D 1-170.9 2206 2400 11.64% 26.21% 62.15%-1.05 +3.9 13
1953-06-21 Honved L 0-248.9 2155 2634 4.56% 21.77% 73.67%-2.08 -3.7 8
1953-06-21 @ Postas SE W 2-048.9 2634 2155 73.67% 21.77% 4.56%+2.08 +3.7 23
1953-06-21 Voros Lobogo L 1-355.7 2265 2582 10.12% 25.19% 64.69%-1.33 -7.2 13
1953-06-21 @ Salgotarjan W 3-155.7 2582 2265 64.69% 25.19% 10.12%+1.33 +7.2 21
1953-08-23 Dunaferr L 2-477.9 2313 1866 75.60% 21.07% 3.33%+2.22 -35.1 12
1953-08-23 @ Csepel W 4-277.9 1866 2313 3.33% 21.07% 75.60%-2.22 +35.0 8
1953-08-23 Vasas L 0-159.6 2221 2337 26.74% 27.71% 45.55%-0.40 -10.2 15
1953-08-23 @ Ferencvaros W 1-059.6 2337 2221 45.55% 27.71% 26.74%+0.40 +10.2 15
1953-08-23 Gyor L 1-264.2 2152 2249 29.03% 27.81% 43.15%-0.31 -10.2 8
1953-08-23 @ Postas SE W 2-164.2 2249 2152 43.15% 27.81% 29.03%+0.31 +10.2 14
1953-08-23 Dorogi D 0-067.1 2258 2231 45.84% 27.86% 26.31%+0.27 -1.5 14
1953-08-23 @ Salgotarjan D 0-067.1 2231 2258 26.31% 27.86% 45.84%-0.27 +1.5 10
1953-08-23 Voros Lobogo L 0-743.6 1913 2589 1.73% 16.96% 81.31%-3.00 -4.0 9
1953-08-23 @ Soroksar FC W 7-043.6 2589 1913 81.31% 16.96% 1.73%+3.00 +4.0 23
1953-08-23 Honved L 0-447.1 2243 2638 6.89% 23.65% 69.46%-1.69 -10.7 12
1953-08-23 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 4-047.1 2638 2243 69.46% 23.65% 6.89%+1.69 +10.7 25
1953-08-30 Soroksar FC W 3-260.2 2232 1909 70.03% 23.86% 6.11%+1.64 +2.4 12
1953-08-30 @ Dorogi L 2-360.2 1909 2232 6.11% 23.86% 70.03%-1.64 -2.4 9
1953-08-30 Salgotarjan W 3-172.6 1901 2256 8.39% 24.47% 67.14%-1.51 +35.5 10
1953-08-30 @ Dunaferr L 1-372.6 2256 1901 67.14% 24.47% 8.39%+1.51 -35.5 14
1953-08-30 Szegedi Honved SE D 2-274.5 2259 2232 45.83% 27.86% 26.32%+0.27 -1.0 15
1953-08-30 @ Gyor D 2-274.5 2232 2259 26.32% 27.86% 45.83%-0.27 +1.0 13
1953-08-30 Szombathelyi Haladas W 6-045.0 2649 2210 75.27% 21.26% 3.46%+2.18 +7.7 27
1953-08-30 @ Honved L 0-645.0 2210 2649 3.46% 21.26% 75.27%-2.18 -7.7 13
1953-08-30 Ferencvaros W 2-049.1 2593 2210 72.88% 22.57% 4.56%+1.92 +3.7 25
1953-08-30 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-249.1 2210 2593 4.56% 22.57% 72.88%-1.92 -3.7 15
1953-08-30 Csepel W 3-264.5 2396 2278 55.77% 27.19% 17.04%+0.69 +6.4 18
1953-08-30 @ Budapest Dozsa L 2-364.5 2278 2396 17.04% 27.19% 55.77%-0.69 -6.4 12
1953-08-30 Postas SE W 4-049.0 2347 2141 62.93% 26.04% 11.02%+1.10 +17.3 17
1953-08-30 @ Vasas L 0-449.0 2141 2347 11.02% 26.04% 62.93%-1.10 -17.3 8
1953-09-06 Dorogi W 1-061.7 2207 2235 38.54% 27.98% 33.48%+0.01 +12.0 17
1953-09-06 @ Ferencvaros L 0-161.7 2235 2207 33.48% 27.98% 38.54%-0.01 -12.1 12
1953-09-06 Budapest Dozsa W 3-261.4 2656 2403 66.13% 25.23% 8.64%+1.32 +3.4 29
1953-09-06 @ Honved L 2-361.4 2403 2656 8.64% 25.23% 66.13%-1.32 -3.4 18
1953-09-06 Voros Lobogo L 1-255.1 2124 2597 4.70% 21.91% 73.39%-2.05 -1.9 8
1953-09-06 @ Postas SE W 2-155.1 2597 2124 73.39% 21.91% 4.70%+2.05 +1.9 27
1953-09-06 Csepel W 1-062.7 2221 2272 35.30% 27.96% 36.74%-0.09 +12.9 16
1953-09-06 @ Salgotarjan L 0-162.7 2272 2221 36.74% 27.96% 35.30%+0.09 -12.9 12
1953-09-06 Dunaferr D 1-170.3 1906 1937 38.20% 27.98% 33.82%+0.00 -0.3 10
1953-09-06 @ Soroksar FC D 1-170.3 1937 1906 33.82% 27.98% 38.20%+0.00 +0.3 11
1953-09-06 Vasas L 1-262.9 2233 2364 25.01% 27.61% 47.38%-0.47 -9.1 13
1953-09-06 @ Szegedi Honved SE W 2-162.9 2364 2233 47.38% 27.61% 25.01%+0.47 +9.1 19
1953-09-06 Gyor W 3-164.8 2202 2258 34.54% 27.95% 37.50%-0.12 +21.4 15
1953-09-06 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-364.8 2258 2202 37.50% 27.95% 34.54%+0.12 -21.4 15
1953-09-13 Soroksar FC W 5-150.2 2259 1906 71.48% 23.24% 5.28%+1.78 +6.9 14
1953-09-13 @ Csepel L 1-550.2 1906 2259 5.28% 23.24% 71.48%-1.78 -6.9 10
1953-09-13 Postas SE W 8-153.6 2223 2122 54.05% 27.36% 18.59%+0.61 +38.2 14
1953-09-13 @ Dorogi L 1-853.6 2122 2223 18.59% 27.36% 54.05%-0.61 -38.2 8
1953-09-13 Ferencvaros L 0-154.6 1937 2219 12.07% 25.80% 62.13%-1.17 -5.2 11
1953-09-13 @ Dunaferr W 1-054.6 2219 1937 62.13% 25.80% 12.07%+1.17 +5.2 19
1953-09-13 Honved D 0-068.6 2237 2660 6.01% 23.04% 70.95%-1.82 +5.8 16
1953-09-13 @ Gyor D 0-068.6 2660 2237 70.95% 23.04% 6.01%+1.82 -5.8 30
1953-09-13 Szegedi Honved SE W 5-045.7 2599 2224 72.51% 22.75% 4.74%+1.88 +9.1 29
1953-09-13 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-545.7 2224 2599 4.74% 22.75% 72.51%-1.88 -9.1 13
1953-09-13 Salgotarjan W 2-053.0 2399 2234 59.92% 26.62% 13.46%+0.91 +10.9 20
1953-09-13 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-253.0 2234 2399 13.46% 26.62% 59.92%-0.91 -10.9 16
1953-09-13 Szombathelyi Haladas W 7-152.5 2373 2223 58.62% 26.82% 14.56%+0.84 +26.9 21
1953-09-13 @ Vasas L 1-752.5 2223 2373 14.56% 26.82% 58.62%-0.84 -26.9 15
1953-09-19 Csepel D 3-378.3 2224 2266 36.58% 27.97% 35.45%-0.05 -0.0 20
1953-09-19 @ Ferencvaros D 3-378.3 2266 2224 35.45% 27.97% 36.58%+0.05 +0.0 15
1953-09-20 Budapest Dozsa D 2-274.7 2243 2410 21.08% 27.31% 51.61%-0.64 +1.6 17
1953-09-20 @ Gyor D 2-274.7 2410 2243 51.61% 27.31% 21.08%+0.64 -1.6 21
1953-09-20 Vasas D 4-481.6 2654 2400 66.15% 25.22% 8.63%+1.32 -2.5 31
1953-09-20 @ Honved D 4-481.6 2400 2654 8.63% 25.22% 66.15%-1.32 +2.5 22
1953-09-20 Dunaferr D 1-170.7 2084 1932 58.83% 26.79% 14.38%+0.85 -3.4 9
1953-09-20 @ Postas SE D 1-170.7 1932 2084 14.38% 26.79% 58.83%-0.85 +3.4 12
1953-09-20 Salgotarjan L 0-153.7 1899 2223 9.79% 25.07% 65.14%-1.36 -4.3 10
1953-09-20 @ Soroksar FC W 1-053.7 2223 1899 65.14% 25.07% 9.79%+1.36 +4.3 18
1953-09-20 Dorogi W 1-062.5 2215 2261 36.04% 27.97% 35.99%-0.07 +12.7 15
1953-09-20 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 0-162.5 2261 2215 35.99% 27.97% 36.04%+0.07 -12.7 14
1953-09-20 Voros Lobogo L 2-457.8 2196 2608 6.35% 23.29% 70.36%-1.77 -4.0 15
1953-09-20 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-257.8 2608 2196 70.36% 23.29% 6.35%+1.77 +4.0 31
1953-09-26 Postas SE L 0-169.6 2266 2081 61.46% 26.35% 12.19%+1.00 -20.1 15
1953-09-26 @ Csepel W 1-069.6 2081 2266 12.19% 26.35% 61.46%-1.00 +20.1 11
1953-09-26 Soroksar FC W 4-361.0 2409 1895 78.14% 19.46% 2.40%+2.53 +0.8 23
1953-09-26 @ Budapest Dozsa L 3-461.0 1895 2409 2.40% 19.46% 78.14%-2.53 -0.9 10
1953-09-27 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-056.2 2248 2192 49.24% 27.71% 23.05%+0.40 +17.1 16
1953-09-27 @ Dorogi L 0-256.2 2192 2248 23.05% 27.71% 49.24%-0.40 -17.1 15
1953-09-27 Szegedi Honved SE W 2-173.7 1935 2228 11.44% 25.62% 62.94%-1.22 +19.3 14
1953-09-27 @ Dunaferr L 1-273.7 2228 1935 62.94% 25.62% 11.44%+1.22 -19.3 15
1953-09-27 Honved W 2-166.0 2612 2652 36.95% 27.97% 35.08%-0.04 +11.8 33
1953-09-27 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-266.0 2652 2612 35.08% 27.97% 36.95%+0.04 -11.8 31
1953-09-27 Ferencvaros D 1-170.3 2227 2224 42.79% 27.93% 29.28%+0.16 -0.9 19
1953-09-27 @ Salgotarjan D 1-170.3 2224 2227 29.28% 27.93% 42.79%-0.16 +0.9 21
1953-09-27 Gyor L 0-169.1 2402 2244 59.31% 26.72% 13.97%+0.88 -19.4 22
1953-09-27 @ Vasas W 1-069.1 2244 2402 13.97% 26.72% 59.31%-0.88 +19.4 19
1953-10-17 Dorogi W 2-049.2 2640 2265 72.49% 22.76% 4.75%+1.88 +3.9 33
1953-10-17 @ Honved L 0-249.2 2265 2640 4.75% 22.76% 72.49%-1.88 -3.9 16
1953-10-18 Soroksar FC W 3-154.0 2225 1894 70.40% 23.71% 5.89%+1.68 +4.2 23
1953-10-18 @ Ferencvaros L 1-354.0 1894 2225 5.89% 23.71% 70.40%-1.68 -4.3 10
1953-10-18 Voros Lobogo L 2-654.0 2264 2624 8.18% 24.37% 67.45%-1.53 -9.1 19
1953-10-18 @ Gyor W 6-254.0 2624 2264 67.45% 24.37% 8.18%+1.53 +9.1 35
1953-10-18 Salgotarjan D 1-170.4 2101 2226 25.64% 27.65% 46.71%-0.44 +1.5 12
1953-10-18 @ Postas SE D 1-170.4 2226 2101 46.71% 27.65% 25.64%+0.44 -1.5 20
1953-10-18 Csepel D 1-170.3 2208 2246 37.23% 27.97% 34.79%-0.03 -0.2 16
1953-10-18 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 1-170.3 2246 2208 34.79% 27.97% 37.23%+0.03 +0.2 16
1953-10-18 Dunaferr D 0-067.7 2175 1954 64.01% 25.80% 10.19%+1.17 -4.7 16
1953-10-18 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-067.7 1954 2175 10.19% 25.80% 64.01%-1.17 +4.7 15
1953-10-24 Honved L 0-148.8 1959 2644 1.66% 16.78% 81.56%-3.04 -0.6 15
1953-10-24 @ Dunaferr W 1-048.8 2644 1959 81.56% 16.78% 1.66%+3.04 +0.6 35
1953-10-25 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-265.8 2246 2171 51.45% 27.57% 20.98%+0.49 +7.6 18
1953-10-25 @ Csepel L 2-365.8 2171 2246 20.98% 27.57% 51.45%-0.49 -7.6 16
1953-10-25 Gyor D 1-170.3 2261 2255 43.22% 27.93% 28.85%+0.17 -1.0 17
1953-10-25 @ Dorogi D 1-170.3 2255 2261 28.85% 27.93% 43.22%-0.17 +1.0 20
1953-10-25 Vasas D 1-171.1 2633 2383 65.89% 25.30% 8.81%+1.30 -4.5 36
1953-10-25 @ Voros Lobogo D 1-171.1 2383 2633 8.81% 25.30% 65.89%-1.30 +4.5 23
1953-10-25 Szegedi Honved SE L 0-262.7 2225 2208 44.49% 27.90% 27.61%+0.22 -28.2 20
1953-10-25 @ Salgotarjan W 2-062.7 2208 2225 27.61% 27.90% 44.49%-0.22 +28.2 18
1953-10-25 Postas SE D 0-067.4 1890 2102 16.96% 26.80% 56.24%-0.85 +3.3 11
1953-10-25 @ Soroksar FC D 0-067.4 2102 1890 56.24% 26.80% 16.96%+0.85 -3.3 13
1953-11-01 Dunaferr D 2-275.6 2256 1959 68.64% 24.40% 6.96%+1.52 -3.7 21
1953-11-01 @ Gyor D 2-275.6 1959 2256 6.96% 24.40% 68.64%-1.52 +3.7 16
1953-11-01 Csepel W 5-149.7 2644 2254 73.22% 22.39% 4.38%+1.96 +5.7 37
1953-11-01 @ Honved L 1-549.7 2254 2644 4.38% 22.39% 73.22%-1.96 -5.7 18
1953-11-01 Budapest Dozsa W 2-157.9 2628 2409 63.89% 25.82% 10.29%+1.16 +4.3 38
1953-11-01 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-257.9 2409 2628 10.29% 25.82% 63.89%-1.16 -4.3 23
1953-11-01 Ferencvaros L 3-470.3 2099 2229 25.10% 27.62% 47.28%-0.46 -8.4 13
1953-11-01 @ Postas SE W 4-370.3 2229 2099 47.28% 27.62% 25.10%+0.46 +8.5 25
1953-11-01 Soroksar FC W 2-155.8 2236 1893 71.03% 23.44% 5.53%+1.74 +2.3 20
1953-11-01 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-255.8 1893 2236 5.53% 23.44% 71.03%-1.74 -2.3 11
1953-11-01 Salgotarjan W 5-160.3 2163 2196 37.79% 27.98% 34.23%-0.01 +36.5 18
1953-11-01 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-560.3 2196 2163 34.23% 27.98% 37.79%+0.01 -36.5 20
1953-11-01 Dorogi W 4-261.9 2388 2260 56.63% 27.09% 16.29%+0.73 +10.0 25
1953-11-01 @ Vasas L 2-461.9 2260 2388 16.29% 27.09% 56.63%-0.73 -10.0 17
1953-11-07 Csepel W 2-058.2 2250 2248 42.69% 27.94% 29.38%+0.15 +20.6 19
1953-11-07 @ Dorogi L 0-258.2 2248 2250 29.38% 27.94% 42.69%-0.15 -20.6 18
1953-11-07 Ferencvaros D 0-067.1 2252 2237 44.26% 27.90% 27.84%+0.21 -1.3 22
1953-11-07 @ Gyor D 0-067.1 2237 2252 27.84% 27.90% 44.26%-0.21 +1.3 26
1953-11-07 Postas SE W 7-044.0 2650 2091 79.75% 18.34% 1.92%+2.74 +4.6 39
1953-11-07 @ Honved L 0-744.0 2091 2650 1.92% 18.34% 79.75%-2.74 -4.6 13
1953-11-07 Soroksar FC W 7-146.7 2398 1891 77.90% 19.62% 2.48%+2.50 +4.4 27
1953-11-07 @ Vasas L 1-746.7 1891 2398 2.48% 19.62% 77.90%-2.50 -4.4 11
1953-11-08 Salgotarjan W 6-251.2 2633 2160 76.61% 20.46% 2.93%+2.34 +3.1 40
1953-11-08 @ Voros Lobogo L 2-651.2 2160 2633 2.93% 20.46% 76.61%-2.34 -3.1 20
1953-11-08 Szegedi Honved SE W 2-059.9 2200 2239 36.97% 27.97% 35.05%-0.04 +23.5 20
1953-11-08 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-259.9 2239 2200 35.05% 27.97% 36.97%+0.04 -23.5 20
1953-11-08 Dunaferr D 2-276.5 2405 1962 75.43% 21.18% 3.40%+2.20 -4.3 24
1953-11-08 @ Budapest Dozsa D 2-276.5 1962 2405 3.40% 21.18% 75.43%-2.20 +4.3 17
1953-11-14 Ferencvaros D 1-170.7 2401 2239 59.64% 26.67% 13.69%+0.89 -3.5 25
1953-11-14 @ Budapest Dozsa D 1-170.7 2239 2401 13.69% 26.67% 59.64%-0.89 +3.5 27
1953-11-22 Gyor W 4-267.2 2227 2251 39.17% 27.97% 32.86%+0.03 +17.4 20
1953-11-22 @ Csepel L 2-467.2 2251 2227 32.86% 27.97% 39.17%-0.03 -17.3 22
1953-11-22 Szegedi Honved SE W 4-054.2 2242 2215 45.81% 27.86% 26.33%+0.27 +36.0 29
1953-11-22 @ Ferencvaros L 0-454.2 2215 2242 26.33% 27.86% 45.81%-0.27 -36.0 20
1953-11-22 Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-355.3 1886 2223 9.18% 24.82% 65.99%-1.42 -6.5 11
1953-11-22 @ Soroksar FC W 3-155.3 2223 1886 65.99% 24.82% 9.18%+1.42 +6.5 22
1953-11-29 Salgotarjan W 4-263.4 2233 2157 51.57% 27.56% 20.87%+0.50 +12.3 24
1953-11-29 @ Gyor L 2-463.4 2157 2233 20.87% 27.56% 51.57%-0.50 -12.3 20
1953-11-29 Postas SE D 0-067.2 2179 2086 53.33% 27.42% 19.25%+0.58 -2.8 21
1953-11-29 @ Szegedi Honved SE D 0-067.2 2086 2179 19.25% 27.42% 53.33%-0.58 +2.8 14
1953-12-06 Voros Lobogo L 4-565.6 2245 2636 7.02% 23.73% 69.25%-1.67 -2.6 20
1953-12-06 @ Csepel W 5-465.6 2636 2245 69.25% 23.73% 7.02%+1.67 +2.6 42
1953-12-06 Dorogi D 1-171.1 1967 2271 10.79% 25.42% 63.80%-1.27 +4.1 18
1953-12-06 @ Dunaferr D 1-171.1 2271 1967 63.80% 25.42% 10.79%+1.27 -4.1 20
1953-12-06 Honved D 0-068.3 2278 2655 7.55% 24.04% 68.41%-1.60 +5.4 30
1953-12-06 @ Ferencvaros D 0-068.3 2655 2278 68.41% 24.04% 7.55%+1.60 -5.4 40
1953-12-06 Vasas W 3-065.0 2145 2402 13.61% 26.19% 60.20%-1.05 +53.7 22
1953-12-06 @ Salgotarjan L 0-365.0 2402 2145 60.20% 26.19% 13.61%+1.05 -53.7 27
1953-12-06 Gyor L 1-354.8 1880 2246 7.95% 24.25% 67.80%-1.56 -5.7 11
1953-12-06 @ Soroksar FC W 3-154.8 2246 1880 67.80% 24.25% 7.95%+1.56 +5.7 26
1953-12-06 Budapest Dozsa W 4-168.3 2176 2397 16.29% 26.70% 57.01%-0.88 +43.0 23
1953-12-06 @ Szegedi Honved SE L 1-468.3 2397 2176 57.01% 26.70% 16.29%+0.88 -43.0 25
1953-12-09 Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-256.4 2089 2230 23.88% 27.54% 48.58%-0.51 -17.6 14
1953-12-09 @ Postas SE W 2-056.4 2230 2089 48.58% 27.54% 23.88%+0.51 +17.6 24
1953-12-13 Voros Lobogo L 0-1048.7 2267 2638 7.73% 24.14% 68.13%-1.58 -28.8 20
1953-12-13 @ Dorogi W 10-048.7 2638 2267 68.13% 24.14% 7.73%+1.58 +28.8 44
1953-12-13 Vasas D 1-171.5 1971 2348 7.51% 24.01% 68.48%-1.61 +4.9 19
1953-12-13 @ Dunaferr D 1-171.5 2348 1971 68.48% 24.01% 7.51%+1.61 -4.9 28
1953-12-13 Budapest Dozsa L 1-652.0 2071 2354 11.98% 25.78% 62.24%-1.17 -18.9 14
1953-12-13 @ Postas SE W 6-152.0 2354 2071 62.24% 25.78% 11.98%+1.17 +18.9 27
1953-12-13 Honved D 0-068.7 2198 2649 5.24% 22.42% 72.34%-1.95 +6.0 23
1953-12-13 @ Salgotarjan D 0-068.7 2649 2198 72.34% 22.42% 5.24%+1.95 -6.0 41
1953-12-13 Ferencvaros W 1-062.1 2247 2284 37.35% 27.98% 34.68%-0.03 +12.4 26
1953-12-13 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 0-162.1 2284 2247 34.68% 27.98% 37.35%+0.03 -12.4 30
1953-12-16 Budapest Dozsa L 0-159.7 2260 2373 27.02% 27.73% 45.25%-0.39 -10.2 26
1953-12-16 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-059.7 2373 2260 45.25% 27.73% 27.02%+0.39 +10.3 29
1953-12-16 Soroksar FC W 4-042.1 2643 1874 85.95% 13.38% 0.67%+3.71 +0.8 43
1953-12-16 @ Honved L 0-442.1 1874 2643 0.67% 13.38% 85.95%-3.71 -0.8 11
1953-12-20 Dunaferr W 4-253.8 2667 1976 83.86% 15.15% 0.99%+3.35 +0.5 46
1953-12-20 @ Voros Lobogo L 2-453.8 1976 2667 0.99% 15.15% 83.86%-3.35 -0.5 19
1953-12-20 Dorogi D 0-067.4 2383 2238 58.24% 26.88% 14.88%+0.82 -3.7 30
1953-12-20 @ Budapest Dozsa D 0-067.4 2238 2383 14.88% 26.88% 58.24%-0.82 +3.7 21
1953-12-20 Csepel W 2-160.9 2343 2242 54.16% 27.35% 18.49%+0.61 +7.2 30
1953-12-20 @ Vasas L 1-260.9 2242 2343 18.49% 27.35% 54.16%-0.61 -7.2 20
1953-12-24 Budapest Dozsa W 1-061.7 2351 2380 38.40% 27.98% 33.63%+0.01 +12.1 32
1953-12-24 @ Vasas L 0-161.7 2380 2351 33.63% 27.98% 38.40%-0.01 -12.1 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1953-08-23 3.33% Dunaferr 1866 4 @ Csepel 2313 2
2 1953-05-10 4.02% Szombathelyi Haladas 2180 2 @ Voros Lobogo 2588 1
3 1953-03-25 4.26% Dunaferr 1849 2 @ Dorogi 2246 1
4 1953-08-30 8.39% @ Dunaferr 1901 3 Salgotarjan 2256 1
5 1953-03-25 8.51% Szegedi Honved SE 2200 4 @ Budapest Dozsa 2457 1
6 1953-05-10 9.25% @ Dunaferr 1873 1 Postas SE 2209 0
7 1953-09-27 11.44% @ Dunaferr 1935 2 Szegedi Honved SE 2228 1
8 1953-05-31 11.49% @ Budapest Dozsa 2360 5 Honved 2652 2
9 1953-09-26 12.19% Postas SE 2081 1 @ Csepel 2266 0
10 1953-12-06 13.61% @ Salgotarjan 2145 3 Vasas 2402 0
11 1953-09-27 13.97% Gyor 2244 1 @ Vasas 2402 0
12 1953-06-13 14.38% Ferencvaros 2202 2 @ Vasas 2355 1
13 1953-03-25 15.45% Salgotarjan 2236 2 @ Vasas 2373 1
14 1953-06-14 15.98% Postas SE 2137 1 @ Gyor 2268 0
15 1953-12-06 16.29% @ Szegedi Honved SE 2176 4 Budapest Dozsa 2397 1
16 1953-05-31 17.64% Szegedi Honved SE 2230 1 @ Vasas 2341 0
17 1953-04-12 17.84% Dorogi 2209 3 @ Gyor 2318 1
18 1953-04-19 20.19% Vasas 2339 2 @ Budapest Dozsa 2422 1
19 1953-05-16 20.71% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2202 2 Vasas 2373 0
20 1953-05-16 21.39% @ Salgotarjan 2242 3 Budapest Dozsa 2406 0
21 1953-05-31 22.28% Ferencvaros 2189 1 @ Dorogi 2252 0
22 1953-04-19 22.35% Postas SE 2192 1 @ Salgotarjan 2254 0
23 1953-03-22 26.73% Ferencvaros 2192 1 @ Szegedi Honved SE 2215 0
24 1953-10-25 27.61% Szegedi Honved SE 2208 2 @ Salgotarjan 2225 0
25 1953-05-31 30.86% Soroksar FC 1898 2 @ Dunaferr 1889 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-12-06 53.68 @ Salgotarjan 3 2145 13.61% Vasas 0 2402 60.20% 26.19%
2 1953-03-25 49.93 Szegedi Honved SE 4 2200 8.51% @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2457 66.32% 25.17%
3 1953-05-16 46.20 @ Salgotarjan 3 2242 21.39% Budapest Dozsa 0 2406 51.27% 27.34%
4 1953-12-06 42.96 @ Szegedi Honved SE 4 2176 16.29% Budapest Dozsa 1 2397 57.01% 26.70%
5 1953-05-31 40.87 @ Budapest Dozsa 5 2360 11.49% Honved 2 2652 62.87% 25.64%
6 1953-09-13 38.15 @ Dorogi 8 2223 54.05% Postas SE 1 2122 18.59% 27.36%
7 1953-11-01 36.51 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 5 2163 37.79% Salgotarjan 1 2196 34.23% 27.98%
8 1953-11-22 36.04 @ Ferencvaros 4 2242 45.81% Szegedi Honved SE 0 2215 26.33% 27.86%
9 1953-08-30 35.49 @ Dunaferr 3 1901 8.39% Salgotarjan 1 2256 67.14% 24.47%
10 1953-08-23 35.05 Dunaferr 4 1866 3.33% @ Csepel 2 2313 75.60% 21.07%
11 1953-05-16 32.23 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2202 20.71% Vasas 0 2373 52.02% 27.27%
12 1953-06-07 31.65 Vasas 8 2323 50.20% @ Postas SE 2 2168 22.38% 27.42%
13 1953-04-12 29.41 Dorogi 3 2209 17.84% @ Gyor 1 2318 54.88% 27.28%
14 1953-12-13 28.81 Voros Lobogo 10 2638 68.13% @ Dorogi 0 2267 7.73% 24.14%
15 1953-05-31 28.64 @ Csepel 6 2280 41.29% Salgotarjan 2 2288 30.75% 27.96%
16 1953-10-25 28.20 Szegedi Honved SE 2 2208 27.61% @ Salgotarjan 0 2225 44.49% 27.90%
17 1953-04-19 27.68 @ Csepel 4 2261 38.79% Szegedi Honved SE 1 2287 33.23% 27.98%
18 1953-03-15 27.25 Budapest Dozsa 5 2422 49.19% @ Dorogi 1 2276 23.31% 27.50%
19 1953-09-13 26.86 @ Vasas 7 2373 58.62% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 2223 14.56% 26.82%
20 1953-04-11 26.42 Voros Lobogo 4 2566 55.09% @ Vasas 0 2365 17.96% 26.95%
21 1953-03-15 26.35 @ Ferencvaros 5 2165 34.17% Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2224 37.88% 27.95%
22 1953-05-03 23.57 Vasas 5 2355 39.58% @ Gyor 2 2284 32.50% 27.92%
23 1953-11-08 23.49 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2200 36.97% Szegedi Honved SE 0 2239 35.05% 27.97%
24 1953-05-10 22.32 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2180 4.02% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2588 73.99% 21.99%
25 1953-03-25 22.21 Dunaferr 2 1849 4.26% @ Dorogi 1 2246 73.49% 22.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-09-20 81.6 @ Honved 4 2654 66.15% Vasas 4 2400 8.63% 25.22%
2 1953-05-24 80.0 @ Honved 3 2655 73.67% Gyor 3 2254 4.17% 22.16%
3 1953-09-19 78.3 @ Ferencvaros 3 2224 36.58% Csepel 3 2266 35.45% 27.97%
4 1953-08-23 77.9 Dunaferr 4 1866 3.33% @ Csepel 2 2313 75.60% 21.07%
5 1953-11-08 76.5 @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2405 75.43% Dunaferr 2 1962 3.40% 21.18%
6 1953-05-10 75.9 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2180 4.02% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2588 73.99% 21.99%
7 1953-03-25 75.8 Dunaferr 2 1849 4.26% @ Dorogi 1 2246 73.49% 22.25%
8 1953-11-01 75.6 @ Gyor 2 2256 68.64% Dunaferr 2 1959 6.96% 24.40%
9 1953-04-19 75.2 @ Dunaferr 2 1865 10.77% Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2170 63.82% 25.41%
10 1953-09-20 74.7 @ Gyor 2 2243 21.08% Budapest Dozsa 2 2410 51.61% 27.31%
11 1953-04-05 74.6 @ Csepel 2 2263 49.20% Dorogi 2 2208 23.09% 27.71%
12 1953-05-02 74.5 @ Postas SE 2 2208 31.26% Csepel 2 2289 40.85% 27.89%
13 1953-06-06 74.5 @ Csepel 2 2309 29.70% Budapest Dozsa 2 2401 42.46% 27.84%
14 1953-08-30 74.5 @ Gyor 2 2259 45.83% Szegedi Honved SE 2 2232 26.32% 27.86%
15 1953-09-27 73.7 @ Dunaferr 2 1935 11.44% Szegedi Honved SE 1 2228 62.94% 25.62%
16 1953-05-31 73.0 @ Budapest Dozsa 5 2360 11.49% Honved 2 2652 62.87% 25.64%
17 1953-06-13 72.8 Ferencvaros 2 2202 14.38% @ Vasas 1 2355 58.83% 26.79%
18 1953-08-30 72.6 @ Dunaferr 3 1901 8.39% Salgotarjan 1 2256 67.14% 24.47%
19 1953-03-25 72.5 Salgotarjan 2 2236 15.45% @ Vasas 1 2373 57.58% 26.97%
20 1953-05-03 72.4 @ Soroksar FC 1 1891 3.84% Budapest Dozsa 1 2406 75.23% 20.93%
21 1953-05-03 72.0 @ Szegedi Honved SE 1 2260 73.26% Dunaferr 1 1868 4.37% 22.37%
22 1953-05-16 71.6 @ Soroksar FC 1 1893 6.98% Csepel 1 2285 69.32% 23.70%
23 1953-12-13 71.5 @ Dunaferr 1 1971 7.51% Vasas 1 2348 68.48% 24.01%
24 1953-04-12 71.4 @ Postas SE 1 2197 69.06% Soroksar FC 1 1892 6.70% 24.25%
25 1953-06-07 71.2 @ Soroksar FC 1 1911 9.76% Dorogi 1 2235 65.19% 25.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-12-16 42.1 @ Honved 4 2643 85.95% Soroksar FC 0 1874 0.67% 13.38%
2 1953-06-14 43.0 @ Voros Lobogo 7 2580 83.08% Soroksar FC 0 1915 1.13% 15.79%
3 1953-08-23 43.6 Voros Lobogo 7 2589 81.31% @ Soroksar FC 0 1913 1.73% 16.96%
4 1953-11-07 44.0 @ Honved 7 2650 79.75% Postas SE 0 2091 1.92% 18.34%
5 1953-03-14 44.1 Honved 3 2611 83.09% @ Soroksar FC 0 1877 1.30% 15.61%
6 1953-08-30 45.0 @ Honved 6 2649 75.27% Szombathelyi Haladas 0 2210 3.46% 21.26%
7 1953-09-13 45.7 @ Voros Lobogo 5 2599 72.51% Szegedi Honved SE 0 2224 4.74% 22.75%
8 1953-05-31 45.9 @ Voros Lobogo 4 2570 73.40% Postas SE 0 2175 4.30% 22.30%
9 1953-04-04 46.2 Budapest Dozsa 3 2409 76.32% @ Dunaferr 0 1869 3.38% 20.30%
10 1953-11-07 46.7 @ Vasas 7 2398 77.90% Soroksar FC 1 1891 2.48% 19.62%
11 1953-08-23 47.1 Honved 4 2638 69.46% @ Szegedi Honved SE 0 2243 6.89% 23.65%
12 1953-06-07 47.2 @ Salgotarjan 3 2259 72.92% Dunaferr 0 1875 4.54% 22.55%
13 1953-06-07 47.3 Honved 7 2611 68.95% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 2225 7.21% 23.84%
14 1953-03-22 48.2 @ Vasas 5 2371 78.32% Dunaferr 1 1852 2.34% 19.34%
15 1953-03-15 48.5 Voros Lobogo 4 2561 82.31% @ Dunaferr 1 1853 1.48% 16.21%
16 1953-03-22 48.5 @ Honved 7 2612 72.15% Salgotarjan 1 2245 4.93% 22.92%
17 1953-12-13 48.7 Voros Lobogo 10 2638 68.13% @ Dorogi 0 2267 7.73% 24.14%
18 1953-10-24 48.8 Honved 1 2644 81.56% @ Dunaferr 0 1959 1.66% 16.78%
19 1953-06-21 48.9 Honved 2 2634 73.67% @ Postas SE 0 2155 4.56% 21.77%
20 1953-08-30 49.0 @ Vasas 4 2347 62.93% Postas SE 0 2141 11.02% 26.04%
21 1953-08-30 49.1 @ Voros Lobogo 2 2593 72.88% Ferencvaros 0 2210 4.56% 22.57%
22 1953-10-17 49.2 @ Honved 2 2640 72.49% Dorogi 0 2265 4.75% 22.76%
23 1953-03-25 49.4 @ Honved 5 2621 74.25% Ferencvaros 1 2207 3.91% 21.85%
24 1953-05-10 49.7 @ Salgotarjan 2 2237 70.85% Soroksar FC 0 1897 5.63% 23.52%
25 1953-11-01 49.7 @ Honved 5 2644 73.22% Csepel 1 2254 4.38% 22.39%