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1954 Nemzeti Bajnokság I Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Honved

40 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1952

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tungsram

11.41 points above expected

25 points · 13.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Voros Lobogo

4.47 points below expected

35 points · 39.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Honved Champion 26 19 2 5 40 100 43 +57 40.49 -0.49
2 Voros Lobogo 26 16 3 7 35 82 34 +48 39.47 -4.47
3 Ferencvaros 26 16 1 9 33 54 31 +23 30.76 +2.24
4 Vasas 26 11 7 8 29 49 51 -2 29.64 -0.64
5 Budapest Dozsa 26 11 4 11 26 54 49 +5 29.95 -3.95
6 Dorogi 26 7 11 8 25 39 42 -3 26.44 -1.44
7 Gyor 26 9 7 10 25 43 51 -8 25.95 -0.95
8 Tungsram 26 7 11 8 25 30 41 -11 13.59 +11.41
9 Diosgyor 26 10 3 13 23 49 61 -12 23.39 -0.39
10 Szombathelyi Haladas 26 8 7 11 23 32 49 -17 24.03 -1.03
11 Salgotarjan 26 9 4 13 22 30 46 -16 24.09 -2.09
12 Csepel 26 6 10 10 22 33 51 -18 25.52 -3.52
13 Szegedi EAC 26 7 6 13 20 37 63 -26 12.29 +7.71
14 Dunaferr 26 6 4 16 16 37 57 -20 18.39 -2.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tungsram 25 13.59 +11.41
2 Szegedi EAC 20 12.29 +7.71
3 Ferencvaros 33 30.76 +2.24
4 Diosgyor 23 23.39 -0.39
5 Honved 40 40.49 -0.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Voros Lobogo 35 39.47 -4.47
2 Budapest Dozsa 26 29.95 -3.95
3 Csepel 22 25.52 -3.52
4 Dunaferr 16 18.39 -2.39
5 Salgotarjan 22 24.09 -2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tungsram 2 Mar 7 – Mar 14 1 in 50
2 Ferencvaros 6 Sep 8 – Oct 31 1 in 37
3 Honved 7 Oct 27 – Nov 27 1 in 21
4 Gyor 3 Mar 14 – Mar 28 1 in 20
5 Diosgyor 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Voros Lobogo 2 Oct 31 – Nov 7 1 in 509
2 Budapest Dozsa 3 Sep 8 – Oct 3 1 in 182
3 Honved 2 Dec 19 – Dec 26 1 in 127
4 Ferencvaros 3 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 123
5 Dorogi 3 Mar 7 – Mar 21 1 in 79

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tungsram 5 Apr 4 – May 9 1 in 179
2 Dorogi 8 Nov 3 – Dec 31 1 in 21
3 Szombathelyi Haladas 3 Dec 22 – Dec 31 1 in 20
4 Csepel 5 Mar 27 – May 2 1 in 12
5 Vasas 6 Apr 18 – Aug 29 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Csepel 9 Sep 8 – Nov 7 1 in 191
2 Gyor 8 May 1 – Oct 13 1 in 148
3 Dorogi 6 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 53
4 Salgotarjan 8 Mar 28 – Aug 29 1 in 50
5 Voros Lobogo 3 Mar 7 – Mar 20 1 in 33

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Honved 2508 40 -1 5 7.1 -2.1
Voros Lobogo 2461 35 -19 6 7.3 -1.3
Ferencvaros 2332 33 +46 8 6.8 +1.2
Vasas 2240 29 -31 5 6.0 -1.0
Budapest Dozsa 2242 26 -28 4 5.1 -1.1
Gyor 2184 25 +45 7 4.5 +2.5
Dorogi 2223 25 +27 7 5.2 +1.8
Tungsram 1977 25 +22 4 2.4 +1.6
Szombathelyi Haladas 2128 23 -1 5 4.5 +0.5
Diosgyor 2097 23 -32 2 3.7 -1.7
Csepel 2126 22 -13 5 4.9 +0.1
Salgotarjan 2128 22 -7 4 3.6 +0.4
Szegedi EAC 1957 20 +25 5 3.4 +1.6
Dunaferr 2001 16 -18 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BD CSE DIO DOR DUN FER GYO HON SAL SE SH TUN VAS VL
Budapest Dozsa —
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.40
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
4.29
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
1.35
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
4.75
1-0-1
3.37
1-1-0
4.51
0-0-2
2.84
1-0-1
1.61
Csepel
0-1-1
2.26
—
0-0-2
2.97
0-2-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.06
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
4.55
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
4.21
1-1-0
2.24
0-0-2
1.09
Diosgyor
1-1-0
2.14
2-0-0
2.57
—
0-1-1
2.32
2-0-0
3.52
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
0.97
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
4.08
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
4.24
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
0.97
Dorogi
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.23
—
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
1.05
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
4.42
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
4.32
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.23
Dunaferr
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
1.98
—
0-0-2
1.41
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
0.72
1-0-1
1.92
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
0.75
Ferencvaros
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.17
—
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
4.85
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
1.51
Gyor
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
3.61
1-0-1
1.84
—
2-0-0
0.93
1-1-0
2.92
0-1-1
4.63
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
4.27
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.23
Honved
1-0-1
4.22
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
4.54
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
4.67
—
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
5.27
1-0-1
4.73
1-1-0
5.09
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
2.97
Salgotarjan
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
1.61
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.09
—
2-0-0
4.42
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.91
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.02
Szegedi EAC
1-0-1
0.85
1-1-0
1.03
1-0-1
1.48
0-2-0
1.16
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
0.77
1-1-0
0.97
0-0-2
0.43
0-0-2
1.15
—
2-0-0
1.73
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
0.91
0-0-2
0.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
0.88
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
3.82
—
0-1-1
4.05
0-1-1
1.88
1-1-0
1.18
Tungsram
0-1-1
1.08
0-2-0
1.37
1-0-1
1.33
1-1-0
1.27
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
1.05
0-1-1
1.31
0-1-1
0.58
1-0-1
1.65
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
1.52
—
0-1-1
1.12
1-1-0
0.50
Vasas
2-0-0
2.71
0-1-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.12
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
4.71
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
4.46
—
0-0-2
1.66
Voros Lobogo
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.86
0-0-2
4.05
2-0-0
4.34
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
4.57
2-0-0
5.22
0-1-1
4.42
0-1-1
5.17
2-0-0
3.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +2.7
Allowed 0.47 -4.7
Differential 0.90 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.24%4.40%3.85%3.85%1.92%1.92%24.18%
14.40%8.79%6.04%3.57%1.65%2.20%26.65%
23.85%6.04%3.85%2.47%3.30%0.82%20.33%
33.85%3.57%2.47%1.10%1.65%0.82%13.46%
41.92%1.65%3.30%1.65%—0.27%8.79%
5+1.92%2.20%0.82%0.82%0.27%0.55%6.59%
Total24.18%26.65%20.33%13.46%8.79%6.59%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.84 1.84 +0.00
SD 1.77 1.77 2.52
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 14 14 +14
Min 0 0 -14

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
13.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
27.69%3.85%—11.54%3.85%3.85%30.77%
3—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
43.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%15.38%19.23%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.88 +0.19
SD 1.32 1.56 1.94
CV 0.64 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.77%——3.85%—3.85%38.46%
111.54%———3.85%3.85%19.23%
23.85%—7.69%—11.54%—23.08%
3——3.85%—7.69%3.85%15.38%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total46.15%—11.54%7.69%23.08%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.96 -0.69
SD 1.25 2.01 1.72
CV 0.99 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%7.69%3.85%—19.23%
1—7.69%11.54%—3.85%7.69%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
37.69%—7.69%———15.38%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total15.38%15.38%34.62%11.54%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.35 -0.46
SD 1.61 1.81 2.86
CV 0.85 0.77 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%———3.85%19.23%
1—19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
23.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
37.69%——3.85%——11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.62 -0.12
SD 1.17 1.75 2.25
CV 0.78 1.08 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
13.85%11.54%——3.85%—19.23%
2——3.85%7.69%11.54%—23.08%
37.69%3.85%———3.85%15.38%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%15.38%15.38%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.19 -0.77
SD 1.33 1.60 2.16
CV 0.94 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
1—3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
219.23%7.69%—3.85%——30.77%
37.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.19 +0.88
SD 1.32 1.13 2.01
CV 0.64 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%30.77%
1—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
3—7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%38.46%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.96 -0.31
SD 1.38 1.25 1.89
CV 0.84 0.64 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—3.85%11.54%3.85%——19.23%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
47.69%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
5+3.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
Total23.08%34.62%19.23%15.38%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.85 1.65 +2.19
SD 2.29 1.65 2.43
CV 0.60 1.00 —
Max 9 7 +8
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%—38.46%
111.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%26.92%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.77 -0.62
SD 1.26 1.50 2.06
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
111.54%—7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
2——3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total34.62%3.85%23.08%15.38%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.42 -1.00
SD 1.55 3.01 3.38
CV 1.09 1.24 —
Max 6 14 +4
Min 0 0 -14

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%——30.77%
1—19.23%3.85%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
2—23.08%——7.69%—30.77%
3———————
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total7.69%50.00%11.54%15.38%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.88 -0.65
SD 1.14 1.45 1.74
CV 0.93 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%19.23%—11.54%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total30.77%26.92%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.58 -0.42
SD 1.26 1.55 2.04
CV 1.09 0.99 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
17.69%11.54%—3.85%—7.69%30.77%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3—11.54%——3.85%3.85%19.23%
43.85%—7.69%———11.54%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%34.62%19.23%7.69%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.96 -0.08
SD 1.56 1.84 2.51
CV 0.83 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
2—7.69%————7.69%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+19.23%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%30.77%
Total34.62%38.46%11.54%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.15 1.31 +1.85
SD 3.11 1.85 3.46
CV 0.99 1.41 —
Max 14 9 +14
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Honved 2508 40 40.49 -0.49 46.0% 32 35 38 41 43 46 48
Voros Lobogo 2461 35 39.47 -4.47 10.0% 33 35 37 39 41 45 45
Ferencvaros 2332 33 30.76 +2.24 78.0% 21 23 28 31 33 37 41
Budapest Dozsa 2242 26 29.95 -3.95 20.0% 20 25 27 30 32 35 39
Vasas 2240 29 29.64 -0.64 47.0% 15 22 27 30 32 36 38
Dorogi 2223 25 26.44 -1.44 42.0% 18 19 23 26 29 32 37
Gyor 2184 25 25.95 -0.95 45.0% 15 20 23 26 28 33 36
Salgotarjan 2128 22 24.09 -2.09 36.0% 14 18 22 24 27 30 33
Szombathelyi Haladas 2128 23 24.03 -1.03 47.0% 16 18 22 24 26 30 34
Csepel 2126 22 25.52 -3.52 29.0% 16 18 22 26 29 32 35
Diosgyor 2097 23 23.39 -0.39 49.0% 14 16 21 24 26 29 31
Dunaferr 2001 16 18.39 -2.39 25.0% 10 13 16 18 20 24 27
Tungsram 1977 25 13.59 +11.41 100.0% 6 8 11 14 16 19 23
Szegedi EAC 1957 20 12.29 +7.71 97.0% 4 7 10 12 14 17 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 20.5% * Clear Edge: 20.5% to 27% * Strong Edge: 27% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.37%
Clear Edge
52.20%21.98%25.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
093.85600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.83 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Honved, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.84 * Wild Swing: 5.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.29 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.463
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Tungsram
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
10.00%
Voros Lobogo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.6 * Moderate Separation: 1.6 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65.5% * Slight Edge: 65.5% to 71% * Clear Edge: 71% to 75.5% * Wide Edge: 75.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 88.5% * Clear Edge: 88.5% to 92.5% * Strong Edge: 92.5% to 96.5% * Dominant: 96.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 20% * Frequent: 20% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.150.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 165.71
1.41
Coin-Flip Parity
11.61.852.152.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%65.5%75.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.4 * Slight Separation: 0.4 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.53 * Lopsided: 0.53 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.45 * Some Carryover: 0.45 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Lopsided
00.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.58
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.450.590.721
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.38
Overconfident
0.1920941.001.80791
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.124
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1090.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Honved63.00%32.00%5.00%———————————
Voros Lobogo35.00%63.00%2.00%———————————
Ferencvaros2.00%3.00%32.00%21.00%18.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%————
Vasas——20.00%21.00%22.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%——
Budapest Dozsa—2.00%22.00%24.00%19.00%5.00%15.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%———
Dorogi——7.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%19.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%——
Gyor——4.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%10.00%2.00%——
Tungsram————————1.00%2.00%4.00%21.00%40.00%32.00%
Diosgyor———2.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%2.00%2.00%
Szombathelyi Haladas——1.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%22.00%20.00%14.00%7.00%1.00%—
Salgotarjan——2.00%2.00%5.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%22.00%14.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Csepel——5.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%—
Szegedi EAC——————1.00%——2.00%1.00%5.00%32.00%59.00%
Dunaferr——————1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%22.00%38.00%20.00%6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Budapest Dozsa 100%
Csepel 100%
Diosgyor 100%
Dorogi 100%
Dunaferr 100%
Ferencvaros 100%
Gyor 100%
Honved 100%
Salgotarjan 100%
Szegedi EAC 100%
Szombathelyi Haladas 100%
Tungsram 100%
Vasas 100%
Voros Lobogo 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1954-03-07 Dunaferr W 3-260.0 2204 2026 69.90% 21.42% 8.68%+1.29 +2.4 2
1954-03-07 @ Csepel L 2-360.0 2026 2204 8.68% 21.42% 69.90%-1.29 -2.4 0
1954-03-07 Gyor W 3-054.6 2135 2212 46.99% 23.31% 29.70%+0.08 +22.1 2
1954-03-07 @ Diosgyor L 0-354.6 2212 2135 29.70% 23.31% 46.99%-0.08 -22.1 0
1954-03-07 Vasas W 2-056.4 2225 2291 48.39% 23.30% 28.32%+0.13 +14.7 2
1954-03-07 @ Ferencvaros L 0-256.4 2291 2225 28.32% 23.30% 48.39%-0.13 -14.7 0
1954-03-07 Honved L 1-357.6 2180 2472 20.26% 22.28% 57.45%-0.94 -9.5 0
1954-03-07 @ Salgotarjan W 3-157.6 2472 2180 57.45% 22.28% 20.26%+0.94 +9.5 2
1954-03-07 Voros Lobogo D 1-172.0 2208 2476 22.69% 22.52% 54.79%-0.82 +1.8 1
1954-03-07 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-172.0 2476 2208 54.79% 22.52% 22.69%+0.82 -1.8 1
1954-03-07 Szegedi EAC W 3-264.0 1838 1838 55.97% 23.08% 20.95%+0.45 +5.4 2
1954-03-07 @ Tungsram L 2-364.0 1838 1838 20.95% 23.08% 55.97%-0.45 -5.4 0
1954-03-07 Dorogi W 4-153.6 2292 2207 63.68% 22.47% 13.86%+0.85 +9.7 2
1954-03-07 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-453.6 2207 2292 13.86% 22.47% 63.68%-0.85 -9.8 0
1954-03-13 Budapest Dozsa L 0-170.7 2474 2302 69.57% 21.50% 8.94%+1.26 -16.9 1
1954-03-13 @ Voros Lobogo W 1-070.7 2302 2474 8.94% 21.50% 69.57%-1.26 +16.9 4
1954-03-14 Tungsram L 1-275.9 2197 1843 77.82% 18.62% 3.56%+2.13 -17.6 0
1954-03-14 @ Dorogi W 2-175.9 1843 2197 3.56% 18.62% 77.82%-2.13 +17.6 4
1954-03-14 Diosgyor L 2-369.8 2024 2157 39.46% 23.27% 37.27%-0.19 -9.0 0
1954-03-14 @ Dunaferr W 3-269.8 2157 2024 37.27% 23.27% 39.46%+0.19 +9.0 4
1954-03-14 Csepel W 3-050.9 2240 2206 59.26% 22.88% 17.86%+0.61 +14.5 4
1954-03-14 @ Ferencvaros L 0-350.9 2206 2240 17.86% 22.88% 59.26%-0.61 -14.5 2
1954-03-14 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-262.4 2190 2210 53.79% 23.17% 23.04%+0.35 +9.6 2
1954-03-14 @ Gyor L 2-462.4 2210 2190 23.04% 23.17% 53.79%-0.35 -9.6 1
1954-03-14 Vasas W 6-148.6 2482 2277 71.38% 21.05% 7.57%+1.42 +8.7 4
1954-03-14 @ Honved L 1-648.6 2277 2482 7.57% 21.05% 71.38%-1.42 -8.6 0
1954-03-14 Salgotarjan L 1-258.4 1833 2171 16.28% 21.77% 61.96%-1.16 -4.5 0
1954-03-14 @ Szegedi EAC W 2-158.4 2171 1833 61.96% 21.77% 16.28%+1.16 +4.5 2
1954-03-20 Voros Lobogo D 0-070.4 1861 2457 4.56% 17.62% 77.82%-2.39 +4.9 5
1954-03-20 @ Tungsram D 0-070.4 2457 1861 77.82% 17.62% 4.56%+2.39 -4.9 2
1954-03-20 Gyor L 2-377.4 2318 2199 66.19% 22.13% 11.69%+1.01 -14.4 4
1954-03-20 @ Budapest Dozsa W 3-277.4 2199 2318 11.69% 22.13% 66.19%-1.01 +14.4 4
1954-03-21 Csepel W 5-155.1 2166 2192 53.14% 23.19% 23.66%+0.32 +20.0 6
1954-03-21 @ Diosgyor L 1-555.1 2192 2166 23.66% 23.19% 53.14%-0.32 -20.0 2
1954-03-21 Ferencvaros W 2-049.0 2490 2254 72.95% 20.59% 6.46%+1.57 +3.8 6
1954-03-21 @ Honved L 0-249.0 2254 2490 6.46% 20.59% 72.95%-1.57 -3.8 4
1954-03-21 Dorogi W 4-261.9 2175 2179 55.55% 23.10% 21.35%+0.43 +9.0 4
1954-03-21 @ Salgotarjan L 2-461.9 2179 2175 21.35% 23.10% 55.55%-0.43 -9.0 0
1954-03-21 Dunaferr D 1-172.4 2201 2015 70.36% 21.31% 8.33%+1.33 -3.7 2
1954-03-21 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-172.4 2015 2201 8.33% 21.31% 70.36%-1.33 +3.7 1
1954-03-21 Szegedi EAC W 1-049.2 2268 1828 80.70% 17.01% 2.29%+2.54 +0.7 2
1954-03-21 @ Vasas L 0-149.2 1828 2268 2.29% 17.01% 80.70%-2.54 -0.7 0
1954-03-27 Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-057.4 2172 2197 53.28% 23.19% 23.53%+0.33 +6.7 4
1954-03-27 @ Csepel L 0-157.4 2197 2172 23.53% 23.19% 53.28%-0.33 -6.7 2
1954-03-28 Vasas D 0-068.7 2170 2269 44.26% 23.32% 32.43%-0.02 -0.7 1
1954-03-28 @ Dorogi D 0-068.7 2269 2170 32.43% 23.32% 44.26%+0.02 +0.7 3
1954-03-28 Budapest Dozsa W 3-168.5 2018 2304 20.83% 22.34% 56.83%-0.91 +22.4 3
1954-03-28 @ Dunaferr L 1-368.5 2304 2018 56.83% 22.34% 20.83%+0.91 -22.4 4
1954-03-28 Diosgyor W 2-052.3 2250 2186 62.03% 22.65% 15.32%+0.75 +8.7 6
1954-03-28 @ Ferencvaros L 0-252.3 2186 2250 15.32% 22.65% 62.03%-0.75 -8.7 6
1954-03-28 Tungsram W 3-151.5 2214 1866 77.61% 18.73% 3.66%+2.10 +1.8 6
1954-03-28 @ Gyor L 1-351.5 1866 2214 3.66% 18.73% 77.61%-2.10 -1.8 5
1954-03-28 Salgotarjan W 3-258.6 2452 2184 74.39% 20.10% 5.51%+1.72 +1.5 4
1954-03-28 @ Voros Lobogo L 2-358.6 2184 2452 5.51% 20.10% 74.39%-1.72 -1.5 4
1954-03-28 Honved L 1-546.9 1827 2494 3.19% 16.26% 80.55%-2.72 -2.7 0
1954-03-28 @ Szegedi EAC W 5-146.9 2494 1827 80.55% 16.26% 3.19%+2.72 +2.7 8
1954-04-03 Dorogi W 8-044.9 2497 2170 76.83% 19.10% 4.07%+2.00 +8.6 10
1954-04-03 @ Honved L 0-844.9 2170 2497 4.07% 19.10% 76.83%-2.00 -8.6 1
1954-04-03 Voros Lobogo L 0-355.4 2269 2453 32.44% 23.10% 44.46%-0.43 -23.7 3
1954-04-03 @ Vasas W 3-055.4 2453 2269 44.46% 23.10% 32.44%+0.43 +23.7 6
1954-04-04 Gyor D 2-275.7 2183 2216 52.41% 23.22% 24.38%+0.29 -1.2 5
1954-04-04 @ Salgotarjan D 2-275.7 2216 2183 24.38% 23.22% 52.41%-0.29 +1.1 7
1954-04-04 Ferencvaros W 1-070.3 1825 2259 10.20% 20.43% 69.37%-1.62 +16.6 2
1954-04-04 @ Szegedi EAC L 0-170.3 2259 1825 69.37% 20.43% 10.20%+1.62 -16.6 6
1954-04-04 Diosgyor W 2-159.8 2190 2177 57.31% 23.01% 19.68%+0.51 +5.4 4
1954-04-04 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-259.8 2177 2190 19.68% 23.01% 57.31%-0.51 -5.4 6
1954-04-04 Dunaferr W 1-063.3 1864 2041 33.41% 23.13% 43.45%-0.39 +10.9 7
1954-04-04 @ Tungsram L 0-163.3 2041 1864 43.45% 23.13% 33.41%+0.39 -10.9 3
1954-04-04 Csepel D 0-069.0 2282 2179 65.05% 22.29% 12.66%+0.94 -3.4 5
1954-04-04 @ Budapest Dozsa D 0-069.0 2179 2282 12.66% 22.29% 65.05%-0.94 +3.4 5
1954-04-18 Tungsram D 0-069.9 2182 1875 76.05% 19.44% 4.51%+1.91 -4.9 6
1954-04-18 @ Csepel D 0-069.9 1875 2182 4.51% 19.44% 76.05%-1.91 +4.9 8
1954-04-18 Budapest Dozsa D 1-171.8 2172 2278 43.13% 23.31% 33.56%-0.06 -0.5 7
1954-04-18 @ Diosgyor D 1-171.8 2278 2172 33.56% 23.31% 43.13%+0.06 +0.5 6
1954-04-18 Szegedi EAC D 2-276.9 2161 1841 76.56% 19.22% 4.22%+1.97 -3.3 2
1954-04-18 @ Dorogi D 2-276.9 1841 2161 4.22% 19.22% 76.56%-1.97 +3.3 3
1954-04-18 Salgotarjan W 1-062.3 2030 2182 36.80% 23.23% 39.98%-0.28 +10.2 5
1954-04-18 @ Dunaferr L 0-162.3 2182 2030 39.98% 23.23% 36.80%+0.28 -10.2 5
1954-04-18 Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-272.0 2242 2196 60.49% 22.79% 16.72%+0.67 -13.9 6
1954-04-18 @ Ferencvaros W 2-172.0 2196 2242 16.72% 22.79% 60.49%-0.67 +13.9 6
1954-04-18 Vasas L 1-269.8 2217 2246 52.82% 23.20% 23.97%+0.31 -12.2 7
1954-04-18 @ Gyor W 2-169.8 2246 2217 23.97% 23.20% 52.82%-0.31 +12.2 5
1954-04-24 Gyor L 1-275.6 2506 2205 75.80% 19.55% 4.65%+1.88 -17.2 10
1954-04-24 @ Honved W 2-175.6 2205 2506 4.65% 19.55% 75.80%-1.88 +17.2 9
1954-04-24 Dunaferr W 1-051.8 2258 2040 72.05% 20.86% 7.09%+1.48 +2.2 7
1954-04-24 @ Vasas L 0-151.8 2040 2258 7.09% 20.86% 72.05%-1.48 -2.2 5
1954-04-25 Ferencvaros W 2-162.6 2158 2229 47.83% 23.30% 28.86%+0.11 +7.4 4
1954-04-25 @ Dorogi L 1-262.6 2229 2158 28.86% 23.30% 47.83%-0.11 -7.4 6
1954-04-25 Csepel L 0-166.9 2172 2177 55.40% 23.11% 21.49%+0.42 -13.5 5
1954-04-25 @ Salgotarjan W 1-066.9 2177 2172 21.49% 23.11% 55.40%-0.42 +13.5 8
1954-04-25 Voros Lobogo L 3-460.4 1845 2477 3.79% 16.92% 79.29%-2.56 -1.0 3
1954-04-25 @ Szegedi EAC W 4-360.4 2477 1845 79.29% 16.92% 3.79%+2.56 +1.0 8
1954-04-25 Diosgyor W 5-269.8 1880 2171 20.32% 22.29% 57.39%-0.94 +27.7 10
1954-04-25 @ Tungsram L 2-569.8 2171 1880 57.39% 22.29% 20.32%+0.94 -27.7 7
1954-04-25 Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-158.3 2279 2209 62.41% 22.61% 14.98%+0.78 +4.3 8
1954-04-25 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-258.3 2209 2279 14.98% 22.61% 62.41%-0.78 -4.3 6
1954-05-01 Honved L 0-347.6 2038 2488 9.42% 20.18% 70.40%-1.70 -7.8 5
1954-05-01 @ Dunaferr W 3-047.6 2488 2038 70.40% 20.18% 9.42%+1.70 +7.8 12
1954-05-01 Szegedi EAC L 0-172.4 2222 1844 78.68% 18.18% 3.14%+2.24 -18.8 9
1954-05-01 @ Gyor W 1-072.4 1844 2222 3.14% 18.18% 78.68%-2.24 +18.8 5
1954-05-01 Dorogi W 3-151.9 2478 2165 76.27% 19.35% 4.38%+1.93 +2.2 10
1954-05-01 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-351.9 2165 2478 4.38% 19.35% 76.27%-1.93 -2.2 4
1954-05-01 Tungsram L 0-367.3 2205 1908 75.67% 19.60% 4.73%+1.86 -50.0 6
1954-05-01 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-067.3 1908 2205 4.73% 19.60% 75.67%-1.86 +50.0 12
1954-05-02 Vasas D 2-275.7 2191 2260 47.97% 23.30% 28.72%+0.12 -0.8 9
1954-05-02 @ Csepel D 2-275.7 2260 2191 28.72% 23.30% 47.97%-0.12 +0.8 8
1954-05-02 Salgotarjan W 2-054.5 2143 2158 54.41% 23.15% 22.45%+0.38 +12.1 9
1954-05-02 @ Diosgyor L 0-254.5 2158 2143 22.45% 23.15% 54.41%-0.38 -12.1 5
1954-05-02 Budapest Dozsa W 3-266.3 2221 2283 48.95% 23.29% 27.76%+0.15 +6.8 8
1954-05-02 @ Ferencvaros L 2-366.3 2283 2221 27.76% 23.29% 48.95%-0.15 -6.8 8
1954-05-08 Csepel W 4-361.4 2496 2190 76.02% 19.46% 4.53%+1.90 +1.2 14
1954-05-08 @ Honved L 3-461.4 2190 2496 4.53% 19.46% 76.02%-1.90 -1.2 9
1954-05-09 Gyor D 3-379.5 2163 2203 51.58% 23.24% 25.19%+0.26 -0.9 5
1954-05-09 @ Dorogi D 3-379.5 2203 2163 25.19% 23.24% 51.58%-0.26 +0.9 10
1954-05-09 Ferencvaros L 1-373.0 2480 2228 73.70% 20.34% 5.95%+1.65 -29.2 10
1954-05-09 @ Voros Lobogo W 3-173.0 2228 2480 5.95% 20.34% 73.70%-1.65 +29.1 10
1954-05-09 Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-068.8 2146 2155 55.00% 23.12% 21.88%+0.40 -2.1 6
1954-05-09 @ Salgotarjan D 0-068.8 2155 2146 21.88% 23.12% 55.00%-0.40 +2.1 7
1954-05-09 Dunaferr L 0-356.0 1862 2030 34.63% 23.17% 42.20%-0.35 -24.9 5
1954-05-09 @ Szegedi EAC W 3-056.0 2030 1862 42.20% 23.17% 34.63%+0.35 +24.9 7
1954-05-09 Budapest Dozsa D 1-172.2 1958 2276 17.88% 22.00% 60.12%-1.07 +2.4 13
1954-05-09 @ Tungsram D 1-172.2 2276 1958 60.12% 22.00% 17.88%+1.07 -2.4 9
1954-05-09 Diosgyor W 4-259.0 2261 2155 65.22% 22.27% 12.51%+0.95 +5.6 10
1954-05-09 @ Vasas L 2-459.0 2155 2261 12.51% 22.27% 65.22%-0.95 -5.6 9
1954-08-21 Dunaferr W 4-153.1 2162 2055 65.35% 22.25% 12.40%+0.96 +8.8 7
1954-08-21 @ Dorogi L 1-453.1 2055 2162 12.40% 22.25% 65.35%-0.96 -8.8 7
1954-08-21 Gyor W 5-044.8 2451 2204 73.47% 20.42% 6.11%+1.62 +8.4 12
1954-08-21 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-544.8 2204 2451 6.11% 20.42% 73.47%-1.62 -8.4 10
1954-08-21 Budapest Dozsa D 1-171.8 2144 2274 39.92% 23.28% 36.79%-0.17 -0.2 7
1954-08-21 @ Salgotarjan D 1-171.8 2274 2144 36.79% 23.28% 39.92%+0.17 +0.2 10
1954-08-21 Csepel W 4-273.9 1838 2189 15.32% 21.61% 63.08%-1.22 +22.2 7
1954-08-21 @ Szegedi EAC L 2-473.9 2189 1838 63.08% 21.61% 15.32%+1.22 -22.2 9
1954-08-24 Szombathelyi Haladas W 6-150.4 2267 2157 65.50% 22.23% 12.27%+0.97 +13.8 12
1954-08-24 @ Vasas L 1-650.4 2157 2267 12.27% 22.23% 65.50%-0.97 -13.8 7
1954-08-29 Vasas D 2-275.7 2150 2280 39.82% 23.28% 36.90%-0.17 -0.1 10
1954-08-29 @ Diosgyor D 2-275.7 2280 2150 36.90% 23.28% 39.82%+0.17 +0.1 13
1954-08-29 Szegedi EAC W 4-046.2 2046 1860 70.38% 21.31% 8.32%+1.33 +9.3 9
1954-08-29 @ Dunaferr L 0-446.2 1860 2046 8.32% 21.31% 70.38%-1.33 -9.3 7
1954-08-29 Voros Lobogo W 2-061.8 2257 2460 30.08% 23.00% 46.92%-0.52 +21.8 12
1954-08-29 @ Ferencvaros L 0-261.8 2460 2257 46.92% 23.00% 30.08%+0.52 -21.8 12
1954-08-29 Dorogi D 1-171.9 2196 2171 58.42% 22.94% 18.64%+0.56 -2.3 11
1954-08-29 @ Gyor D 1-171.9 2171 2196 18.64% 22.94% 58.42%-0.56 +2.3 8
1954-08-29 Salgotarjan W 2-160.2 2143 2144 55.95% 23.08% 20.97%+0.44 +5.7 9
1954-08-29 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-260.2 2144 2143 20.97% 23.08% 55.95%-0.44 -5.7 7
1954-08-29 Tungsram W 3-151.9 2274 1960 76.32% 19.32% 4.35%+1.94 +2.2 12
1954-08-29 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-351.9 1960 2274 4.35% 19.32% 76.32%-1.94 -2.2 13
1954-09-01 Dunaferr W 5-043.2 2438 2055 78.82% 18.10% 3.07%+2.26 +4.1 14
1954-09-01 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-543.2 2055 2438 3.07% 18.10% 78.82%-2.26 -4.1 9
1954-09-01 Ferencvaros D 1-172.2 1958 2279 17.65% 21.97% 60.38%-1.08 +2.4 14
1954-09-01 @ Tungsram D 1-172.2 2279 1958 60.38% 21.97% 17.65%+1.08 -2.4 13
1954-09-03 Honved L 3-562.8 2166 2497 16.87% 21.86% 61.27%-1.13 -6.8 9
1954-09-03 @ Csepel W 5-362.8 2497 2166 61.27% 21.86% 16.87%+1.13 +6.8 16
1954-09-05 Voros Lobogo L 0-156.9 2173 2442 22.55% 22.51% 54.94%-0.83 -6.4 8
1954-09-05 @ Dorogi W 1-056.9 2442 2173 54.94% 22.51% 22.55%+0.83 +6.4 16
1954-09-05 Dunaferr W 2-046.5 2504 2051 81.08% 16.77% 2.15%+2.60 +1.2 18
1954-09-05 @ Honved L 0-246.5 2051 2504 2.15% 16.77% 81.08%-2.60 -1.2 9
1954-09-05 Diosgyor W 3-052.3 2138 2150 54.74% 23.13% 22.13%+0.39 +17.4 9
1954-09-05 @ Salgotarjan L 0-352.3 2150 2138 22.13% 23.13% 54.74%-0.39 -17.4 10
1954-09-05 Gyor D 0-069.2 1850 2193 15.93% 21.71% 62.36%-1.18 +3.0 8
1954-09-05 @ Szegedi EAC D 0-069.2 2193 1850 62.36% 21.71% 15.93%+1.18 -3.0 12
1954-09-05 Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-171.9 1960 2149 31.78% 23.07% 45.14%-0.45 +0.7 15
1954-09-05 @ Tungsram D 1-171.9 2149 1960 45.14% 23.07% 31.78%+0.45 -0.7 10
1954-09-05 Ferencvaros W 4-155.9 2276 2277 55.92% 23.08% 21.00%+0.44 +14.0 14
1954-09-05 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-455.9 2277 2276 21.00% 23.08% 55.92%-0.44 -14.0 13
1954-09-05 Csepel L 3-480.7 2280 2160 66.31% 22.11% 11.58%+1.02 -14.1 13
1954-09-05 @ Vasas W 4-380.7 2160 2280 11.58% 22.11% 66.31%-1.02 +14.1 11
1954-09-08 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-051.4 2167 2149 57.83% 22.98% 19.19%+0.53 +15.4 10
1954-09-08 @ Dorogi L 0-351.4 2149 2167 19.19% 22.98% 57.83%-0.53 -15.4 10
1954-09-08 Ferencvaros L 2-464.1 2050 2263 28.85% 22.94% 48.22%-0.56 -11.5 9
1954-09-08 @ Dunaferr W 4-264.1 2263 2050 48.22% 22.94% 28.85%+0.56 +11.5 15
1954-09-08 Csepel D 0-068.8 2190 2174 57.65% 22.99% 19.36%+0.53 -2.4 13
1954-09-08 @ Gyor D 0-068.8 2174 2190 19.36% 22.99% 57.65%-0.53 +2.4 12
1954-09-08 Diosgyor W 7-146.7 2448 2132 76.40% 19.29% 4.31%+1.95 +5.7 18
1954-09-08 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-746.7 2132 2448 4.31% 19.29% 76.40%-1.95 -5.7 10
1954-09-08 Budapest Dozsa W 6-270.7 1853 2290 10.08% 20.39% 69.52%-1.63 +42.2 10
1954-09-08 @ Szegedi EAC L 2-670.7 2290 1853 69.52% 20.39% 10.08%+1.63 -42.2 14
1954-09-08 Salgotarjan W 3-155.1 2266 2155 65.62% 22.21% 12.17%+0.97 +6.1 15
1954-09-08 @ Vasas L 1-355.1 2155 2266 12.17% 22.21% 65.62%-0.97 -6.1 9
1954-09-11 Salgotarjan D 0-068.8 2176 2149 58.64% 22.93% 18.43%+0.57 -2.6 13
1954-09-11 @ Csepel D 0-068.8 2149 2176 18.43% 22.93% 58.64%-0.57 +2.6 10
1954-09-12 Tungsram W 6-046.2 2127 1961 69.18% 21.58% 9.24%+1.23 +15.1 12
1954-09-12 @ Diosgyor L 0-646.2 1961 2127 9.24% 21.58% 69.18%-1.23 -15.1 15
1954-09-12 Vasas D 1-171.9 2039 2273 26.31% 22.79% 50.90%-0.67 +1.3 10
1954-09-12 @ Dunaferr D 1-171.9 2273 2039 50.90% 22.79% 26.31%+0.67 -1.3 16
1954-09-12 Dorogi W 2-157.7 2274 2182 64.19% 22.41% 13.40%+0.88 +3.9 17
1954-09-12 @ Ferencvaros L 1-257.7 2182 2274 13.40% 22.41% 64.19%-0.88 -3.9 10
1954-09-12 Szegedi EAC W 14-044.5 2454 1896 84.02% 14.73% 1.25%+3.10 +4.1 20
1954-09-12 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-1444.5 1896 2454 1.25% 14.73% 84.02%-3.10 -4.1 10
1954-09-12 Budapest Dozsa W 4-371.6 2133 2248 42.01% 23.30% 34.69%-0.10 +8.0 12
1954-09-12 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 3-471.6 2248 2133 34.69% 23.30% 42.01%+0.10 -8.0 14
1954-10-02 Gyor W 4-048.3 2271 2188 63.54% 22.48% 13.97%+0.84 +15.2 18
1954-10-02 @ Vasas L 0-448.3 2188 2271 13.97% 22.48% 63.54%-0.84 -15.2 13
1954-10-03 Voros Lobogo D 1-171.9 2505 2458 60.53% 22.78% 16.69%+0.67 -2.5 19
1954-10-03 @ Honved D 1-171.9 2458 2505 16.69% 22.78% 60.53%-0.67 +2.5 21
1954-10-03 Dunaferr W 1-053.7 2152 2040 65.67% 22.20% 12.12%+0.98 +3.7 12
1954-10-03 @ Salgotarjan L 0-153.7 2040 2152 12.12% 22.20% 65.67%-0.98 -3.7 10
1954-10-03 Dorogi D 0-069.0 1891 2178 20.72% 22.33% 56.95%-0.92 +2.3 11
1954-10-03 @ Szegedi EAC D 0-069.0 2178 1891 56.95% 22.33% 20.72%+0.92 -2.3 11
1954-10-03 Ferencvaros L 0-259.5 2141 2278 38.93% 23.27% 37.80%-0.20 -18.8 12
1954-10-03 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 2-059.5 2278 2141 37.80% 23.27% 38.93%+0.20 +18.8 19
1954-10-03 Csepel D 0-068.9 1946 2174 27.01% 22.84% 50.16%-0.64 +1.4 16
1954-10-03 @ Tungsram D 0-068.9 2174 1946 50.16% 22.84% 27.01%+0.64 -1.4 14
1954-10-03 Diosgyor L 2-377.1 2240 2142 64.69% 22.34% 12.97%+0.91 -14.1 14
1954-10-03 @ Budapest Dozsa W 3-277.1 2142 2240 12.97% 22.34% 64.69%-0.91 +14.1 14
1954-10-13 Szegedi EAC D 0-069.7 2172 1894 74.86% 19.92% 5.21%+1.77 -4.8 15
1954-10-13 @ Csepel D 0-069.7 1894 2172 5.21% 19.92% 74.86%-1.77 +4.8 12
1954-10-13 Dorogi D 1-171.8 2036 2176 38.50% 23.26% 38.24%-0.22 -0.0 11
1954-10-13 @ Dunaferr D 1-171.8 2176 2036 38.24% 23.26% 38.50%+0.22 +0.0 12
1954-10-13 Tungsram W 3-045.4 2297 1947 77.67% 18.70% 3.63%+2.11 +3.0 21
1954-10-13 @ Ferencvaros L 0-345.4 1947 2297 3.63% 18.70% 77.67%-2.11 -3.0 16
1954-10-13 Voros Lobogo L 0-351.6 2173 2460 20.64% 22.32% 57.04%-0.92 -16.2 13
1954-10-13 @ Gyor W 3-051.6 2460 2173 57.04% 22.32% 20.64%+0.92 +16.2 23
1954-10-13 Vasas D 1-171.8 2122 2286 35.10% 23.18% 41.71%-0.33 +0.3 13
1954-10-13 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-171.8 2286 2122 41.71% 23.18% 35.10%+0.33 -0.3 19
1954-10-14 Salgotarjan W 4-048.6 2226 2156 62.50% 22.60% 14.90%+0.78 +16.1 16
1954-10-14 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-448.6 2156 2226 14.90% 22.60% 62.50%-0.78 -16.1 12
1954-10-17 Budapest Dozsa L 2-469.7 2167 2242 47.34% 23.31% 29.35%+0.09 -17.1 15
1954-10-17 @ Csepel W 4-269.7 2242 2167 29.35% 23.31% 47.34%-0.09 +17.1 18
1954-10-17 Szombathelyi Haladas W 3-050.9 2156 2123 59.24% 22.88% 17.88%+0.60 +14.5 16
1954-10-17 @ Diosgyor L 0-350.9 2123 2156 17.88% 22.88% 59.24%-0.60 -14.5 13
1954-10-17 Honved W 2-171.8 2176 2503 17.22% 21.91% 60.88%-1.11 +13.8 14
1954-10-17 @ Dorogi L 1-271.8 2503 2176 60.88% 21.91% 17.22%+1.11 -13.8 19
1954-10-17 Tungsram W 3-049.4 2036 1944 64.23% 22.40% 13.37%+0.88 +11.2 13
1954-10-17 @ Dunaferr L 0-349.4 1944 2036 13.37% 22.40% 64.23%-0.88 -11.2 16
1954-10-17 Szegedi EAC W 3-257.1 2300 1898 79.46% 17.75% 2.79%+2.35 +0.7 23
1954-10-17 @ Ferencvaros L 2-357.1 1898 2300 2.79% 17.75% 79.46%-2.35 -0.7 12
1954-10-17 Salgotarjan W 2-053.6 2156 2139 57.69% 22.99% 19.32%+0.53 +10.7 15
1954-10-17 @ Gyor L 0-253.6 2139 2156 19.32% 22.99% 57.69%-0.53 -10.7 12
1954-10-17 Vasas W 5-045.6 2477 2286 70.61% 21.25% 8.14%+1.35 +11.2 25
1954-10-17 @ Voros Lobogo L 0-545.6 2286 2477 8.14% 21.25% 70.61%-1.35 -11.2 19
1954-10-27 Diosgyor W 4-044.4 2489 2170 76.51% 19.24% 4.25%+1.96 +4.7 21
1954-10-27 @ Honved L 0-444.4 2170 2489 4.25% 19.24% 76.51%-1.96 -4.7 16
1954-10-27 Csepel W 4-149.5 2488 2150 77.23% 18.91% 3.86%+2.05 +2.7 27
1954-10-27 @ Voros Lobogo L 1-449.5 2150 2488 3.86% 18.91% 77.23%-2.05 -2.7 15
1954-10-31 Ferencvaros L 0-259.6 2166 2300 39.21% 23.27% 37.52%-0.20 -18.9 16
1954-10-31 @ Diosgyor W 2-059.6 2300 2166 37.52% 23.27% 39.21%+0.20 +18.9 25
1954-10-31 Szegedi EAC W 7-246.6 2494 1898 84.96% 14.01% 1.03%+3.28 +0.9 23
1954-10-31 @ Honved L 2-746.6 1898 2494 1.03% 14.01% 84.96%-3.28 -0.9 12
1954-10-31 Voros Lobogo W 1-069.0 2129 2491 14.54% 21.47% 63.99%-1.27 +15.4 14
1954-10-31 @ Salgotarjan L 0-169.0 2491 2129 63.99% 21.47% 14.54%+1.27 -15.4 27
1954-10-31 Csepel D 0-068.8 2108 2148 51.63% 23.24% 25.14%+0.26 -1.6 14
1954-10-31 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 0-068.8 2148 2108 25.14% 23.24% 51.63%-0.26 +1.6 16
1954-10-31 Gyor D 3-379.6 1933 2167 26.26% 22.79% 50.95%-0.67 +0.8 17
1954-10-31 @ Tungsram D 3-379.6 2167 1933 50.95% 22.79% 26.26%+0.67 -0.8 16
1954-10-31 Dunaferr W 2-049.3 2259 2048 71.73% 20.95% 7.32%+1.45 +4.3 20
1954-10-31 @ Budapest Dozsa L 0-249.3 2048 2259 7.32% 20.95% 71.73%-1.45 -4.3 13
1954-10-31 Dorogi W 2-157.9 2275 2190 63.66% 22.47% 13.87%+0.85 +4.0 21
1954-10-31 @ Vasas L 1-257.9 2190 2275 13.87% 22.47% 63.66%-0.85 -4.0 14
1954-11-03 Csepel D 0-068.9 2186 2149 59.58% 22.86% 17.56%+0.62 -2.7 15
1954-11-03 @ Dorogi D 0-068.9 2149 2186 17.56% 22.86% 59.58%-0.62 +2.7 17
1954-11-03 Ferencvaros W 3-270.0 2166 2319 36.64% 23.22% 40.14%-0.28 +9.1 18
1954-11-03 @ Gyor L 2-370.0 2319 2166 40.14% 23.22% 36.64%+0.28 -9.1 25
1954-11-03 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-149.0 2494 2106 79.02% 18.00% 2.99%+2.29 +2.1 25
1954-11-03 @ Honved L 1-449.0 2106 2494 2.99% 18.00% 79.02%-2.29 -2.1 14
1954-11-03 Tungsram W 1-051.9 2144 1934 71.66% 20.97% 7.36%+1.45 +2.3 16
1954-11-03 @ Salgotarjan L 0-151.9 1934 2144 7.36% 20.97% 71.66%-1.45 -2.3 17
1954-11-03 Diosgyor W 3-061.3 1897 2147 24.52% 22.67% 52.81%-0.74 +35.2 14
1954-11-03 @ Szegedi EAC L 0-361.3 2147 1897 52.81% 22.67% 24.52%+0.74 -35.2 16
1954-11-03 Budapest Dozsa W 4-261.3 2279 2263 57.53% 23.00% 19.47%+0.52 +8.3 23
1954-11-03 @ Vasas L 2-461.3 2263 2279 19.47% 23.00% 57.53%-0.52 -8.3 20
1954-11-07 Diosgyor L 3-479.0 2152 2112 59.90% 22.83% 17.26%+0.64 -12.7 17
1954-11-07 @ Csepel W 4-379.0 2112 2152 17.26% 22.83% 59.90%-0.64 +12.7 18
1954-11-07 Salgotarjan W 3-050.8 2183 2146 59.59% 22.86% 17.55%+0.62 +14.3 17
1954-11-07 @ Dorogi L 0-350.8 2146 2183 17.55% 22.86% 59.59%-0.62 -14.3 16
1954-11-07 Szombathelyi Haladas L 2-470.2 2043 2104 49.02% 23.29% 27.70%+0.16 -17.6 13
1954-11-07 @ Dunaferr W 4-270.2 2104 2043 27.70% 23.29% 49.02%-0.16 +17.6 16
1954-11-07 Honved L 1-361.4 2310 2497 32.14% 23.09% 44.78%-0.44 -14.0 25
1954-11-07 @ Ferencvaros W 3-161.4 2497 2310 44.78% 23.09% 32.14%+0.44 +14.0 27
1954-11-07 Budapest Dozsa L 0-261.9 2175 2255 46.69% 23.31% 30.00%+0.07 -21.8 18
1954-11-07 @ Gyor W 2-061.9 2255 2175 30.00% 23.31% 46.69%-0.07 +21.8 22
1954-11-07 Tungsram L 0-173.0 2475 1931 83.64% 15.01% 1.35%+3.03 -19.3 27
1954-11-07 @ Voros Lobogo W 1-073.0 1931 2475 1.35% 15.01% 83.64%-3.03 +19.3 19
1954-11-07 Vasas D 0-069.3 1932 2287 15.02% 21.56% 63.42%-1.24 +3.1 15
1954-11-07 @ Szegedi EAC D 0-069.3 2287 1932 63.42% 21.56% 15.02%+1.24 -3.1 24
1954-11-21 Ferencvaros W 1-062.6 2139 2296 36.08% 23.21% 40.71%-0.30 +10.3 19
1954-11-21 @ Csepel L 0-162.6 2296 2139 40.71% 23.21% 36.08%+0.30 -10.3 25
1954-11-21 Dunaferr W 4-259.1 2124 2026 64.72% 22.34% 12.95%+0.92 +5.8 20
1954-11-21 @ Diosgyor L 2-459.1 2026 2124 12.95% 22.34% 64.72%-0.92 -5.8 13
1954-11-21 Szegedi EAC W 4-257.2 2132 1935 70.96% 21.16% 7.88%+1.38 +3.6 18
1954-11-21 @ Salgotarjan L 2-457.2 1935 2132 7.88% 21.16% 70.96%-1.38 -3.6 15
1954-11-21 Gyor W 2-161.2 2122 2154 52.54% 23.21% 24.25%+0.30 +6.5 18
1954-11-21 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-261.2 2154 2122 24.25% 23.21% 52.54%-0.30 -6.5 18
1954-11-21 Dorogi D 1-172.0 1951 2198 24.84% 22.69% 52.47%-0.73 +1.5 20
1954-11-21 @ Tungsram D 1-172.0 2198 1951 52.47% 22.69% 24.84%+0.73 -1.5 18
1954-11-21 Honved L 3-663.0 2284 2511 27.15% 22.84% 50.00%-0.63 -13.8 24
1954-11-21 @ Vasas W 6-363.0 2511 2284 50.00% 22.84% 27.15%+0.63 +13.8 29
1954-11-24 Voros Lobogo L 0-549.1 2149 2456 18.93% 22.13% 58.94%-1.01 -24.2 19
1954-11-24 @ Csepel W 5-049.1 2456 2149 58.94% 22.13% 18.93%+1.01 +24.2 29
1954-11-24 Dorogi D 1-171.8 2130 2196 48.41% 23.30% 28.30%+0.13 -1.1 21
1954-11-24 @ Diosgyor D 1-171.8 2196 2130 28.30% 23.30% 48.41%-0.13 +1.1 19
1954-11-24 Gyor W 4-372.1 2020 2147 40.26% 23.29% 36.45%-0.16 +8.3 15
1954-11-24 @ Dunaferr L 3-472.1 2147 2020 36.45% 23.29% 40.26%+0.16 -8.3 18
1954-11-24 Salgotarjan W 4-046.9 2286 2136 68.23% 21.77% 10.00%+1.16 +11.1 27
1954-11-24 @ Ferencvaros L 0-446.9 2136 2286 10.00% 21.77% 68.23%-1.16 -11.1 18
1954-11-24 Szegedi EAC L 0-171.0 2129 1932 70.95% 21.16% 7.89%+1.38 -17.2 18
1954-11-24 @ Szombathelyi Haladas W 1-071.0 1932 2129 7.89% 21.16% 70.95%-1.38 +17.2 17
1954-11-24 Vasas D 1-172.2 1952 2270 17.94% 22.00% 60.06%-1.07 +2.4 21
1954-11-24 @ Tungsram D 1-172.2 2270 1952 60.06% 22.00% 17.94%+1.07 -2.4 25
1954-11-24 Honved L 1-261.2 2277 2524 24.78% 22.69% 52.53%-0.73 -6.5 22
1954-11-24 @ Budapest Dozsa W 2-161.2 2524 2277 52.53% 22.69% 24.78%+0.73 +6.5 31
1954-11-27 Budapest Dozsa W 2-056.6 2197 2270 47.52% 23.30% 29.17%+0.10 +15.0 21
1954-11-27 @ Dorogi L 0-256.6 2270 2197 29.17% 23.30% 47.52%-0.10 -15.0 22
1954-11-27 Csepel L 0-261.2 2028 2125 44.39% 23.32% 32.30%-0.02 -20.9 15
1954-11-27 @ Dunaferr W 2-061.2 2125 2028 32.30% 23.32% 44.39%+0.02 +20.9 21
1954-11-27 Diosgyor W 2-159.9 2139 2129 56.99% 23.03% 19.98%+0.49 +5.5 20
1954-11-27 @ Gyor L 1-259.9 2129 2139 19.98% 23.03% 56.99%-0.49 -5.5 21
1954-11-27 Salgotarjan W 6-146.2 2531 2125 79.62% 17.65% 2.72%+2.38 +3.0 33
1954-11-27 @ Honved L 1-646.2 2125 2531 2.72% 17.65% 79.62%-2.38 -3.0 18
1954-11-27 Tungsram D 0-068.8 1949 1955 55.36% 23.11% 21.54%+0.42 -2.1 18
1954-11-27 @ Szegedi EAC D 0-068.8 1955 1949 21.54% 23.11% 55.36%-0.42 +2.1 22
1954-12-01 Honved W 3-171.0 2144 2534 12.72% 21.10% 66.19%-1.41 +26.0 22
1954-12-01 @ Gyor L 1-371.0 2534 2144 66.19% 21.10% 12.72%+1.41 -26.0 33
1954-12-04 Tungsram W 4-042.2 2508 1957 83.83% 14.87% 1.30%+3.07 +1.3 35
1954-12-04 @ Honved L 0-442.2 1957 2508 1.30% 14.87% 83.83%-3.07 -1.3 22
1954-12-04 Ferencvaros L 1-563.9 2268 2297 52.80% 23.20% 23.99%+0.31 -38.5 25
1954-12-04 @ Vasas W 5-163.9 2297 2268 23.99% 23.20% 52.80%-0.31 +38.5 29
1954-12-19 Diosgyor W 4-153.5 2212 2123 63.97% 22.43% 13.60%+0.87 +9.6 23
1954-12-19 @ Dorogi L 1-453.5 2123 2212 13.60% 22.43% 63.97%-0.87 -9.6 21
1954-12-19 Dunaferr D 2-276.2 2170 2007 69.04% 21.61% 9.35%+1.22 -2.7 23
1954-12-19 @ Gyor D 2-276.2 2007 2170 9.35% 21.61% 69.04%-1.22 +2.7 16
1954-12-19 Budapest Dozsa L 4-584.5 2509 2255 73.77% 20.32% 5.91%+1.65 -15.4 35
1954-12-19 @ Honved W 5-484.5 2255 2509 5.91% 20.32% 73.77%-1.65 +15.4 24
1954-12-19 Ferencvaros W 2-168.4 2122 2336 28.67% 22.93% 48.40%-0.57 +11.2 20
1954-12-19 @ Salgotarjan L 1-268.4 2336 2122 48.40% 22.93% 28.67%+0.57 -11.2 29
1954-12-19 Szombathelyi Haladas W 4-268.0 1947 2111 35.05% 23.18% 41.77%-0.34 +15.4 20
1954-12-19 @ Szegedi EAC L 2-468.0 2111 1947 41.77% 23.18% 35.05%+0.34 -15.4 18
1954-12-19 Tungsram W 3-152.4 2229 1956 74.66% 20.00% 5.34%+1.75 +2.7 27
1954-12-19 @ Vasas L 1-352.4 1956 2229 5.34% 20.00% 74.66%-1.75 -2.7 22
1954-12-22 Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-276.1 2480 2096 78.89% 18.07% 3.04%+2.27 -17.7 29
1954-12-22 @ Voros Lobogo W 2-176.1 2096 2480 3.04% 18.07% 78.89%-2.27 +17.7 20
1954-12-23 Gyor W 2-156.4 2324 2168 68.64% 21.69% 9.67%+1.19 +2.8 31
1954-12-23 @ Ferencvaros L 1-256.4 2168 2324 9.67% 21.69% 68.64%-1.19 -2.8 23
1954-12-26 Dorogi D 2-275.7 2146 2222 47.21% 23.31% 29.48%+0.09 -0.7 22
1954-12-26 @ Csepel D 2-275.7 2222 2146 29.48% 23.31% 47.21%-0.09 +0.7 24
1954-12-26 Szegedi EAC W 2-156.5 2114 1962 68.34% 21.75% 9.91%+1.17 +2.9 23
1954-12-26 @ Diosgyor L 1-256.5 1962 2114 9.91% 21.75% 68.34%-1.17 -2.9 20
1954-12-26 Voros Lobogo L 3-560.0 2010 2462 9.33% 20.14% 70.53%-1.71 -3.9 16
1954-12-26 @ Dunaferr W 5-360.0 2462 2010 70.53% 20.14% 9.33%+1.71 +3.9 31
1954-12-26 Honved W 2-173.0 2114 2494 13.31% 21.22% 65.47%-1.36 +14.8 22
1954-12-26 @ Szombathelyi Haladas L 1-273.0 2494 2114 65.47% 21.22% 13.31%+1.36 -14.8 35
1954-12-26 Salgotarjan W 2-061.0 1953 2133 32.95% 23.12% 43.93%-0.41 +20.7 24
1954-12-26 @ Tungsram L 0-261.0 2133 1953 43.93% 23.12% 32.95%+0.41 -20.7 20
1954-12-26 Vasas L 1-369.6 2271 2232 59.76% 22.85% 17.40%+0.63 -23.7 24
1954-12-26 @ Budapest Dozsa W 3-169.6 2232 2271 17.40% 22.85% 59.76%-0.63 +23.7 29
1954-12-29 Dunaferr W 4-044.4 2327 2006 76.61% 19.20% 4.19%+1.97 +4.6 33
1954-12-29 @ Ferencvaros L 0-444.4 2006 2327 4.19% 19.20% 76.61%-1.97 -4.6 16
1954-12-31 Honved L 1-650.9 2117 2479 14.52% 21.47% 64.02%-1.28 -15.7 23
1954-12-31 @ Diosgyor W 6-150.9 2479 2117 64.02% 21.47% 14.52%+1.28 +15.7 37
1954-12-31 Gyor L 2-471.6 2145 2165 53.91% 23.17% 22.93%+0.35 -19.2 22
1954-12-31 @ Csepel W 4-271.6 2165 2145 22.93% 23.17% 53.91%-0.35 +19.2 25
1954-12-31 Vasas W 3-163.4 2112 2256 37.99% 23.25% 38.77%-0.24 +16.2 22
1954-12-31 @ Salgotarjan L 1-363.4 2256 2112 38.77% 23.25% 37.99%+0.24 -16.2 29
1954-12-31 Dorogi D 1-171.8 2128 2223 44.81% 23.32% 31.87%+0.00 -0.7 23
1954-12-31 @ Szombathelyi Haladas D 1-171.8 2223 2128 31.87% 23.32% 44.81%+0.00 +0.7 25
1954-12-31 Szegedi EAC W 3-152.2 2247 1959 75.26% 19.77% 4.97%+1.82 +2.5 26
1954-12-31 @ Budapest Dozsa L 1-352.2 1959 2247 4.97% 19.77% 75.26%-1.82 -2.5 20
1955-01-05 Voros Lobogo L 1-257.7 2101 2466 14.31% 21.43% 64.27%-1.29 -4.0 23
1955-01-05 @ Diosgyor W 2-157.7 2466 2101 64.27% 21.43% 14.31%+1.29 +4.0 33
1955-01-05 Honved D 2-277.0 1974 2495 6.63% 18.98% 74.39%-2.03 +3.0 25
1955-01-05 @ Tungsram D 2-277.0 2495 1974 74.39% 18.98% 6.63%+2.03 -3.0 38
1955-01-09 Honved L 7-977.1 2470 2492 53.68% 23.17% 23.14%+0.34 -16.6 33
1955-01-09 @ Voros Lobogo W 9-777.1 2492 2470 23.14% 23.17% 53.68%-0.34 +16.6 40
1955-01-12 Voros Lobogo L 1-262.8 2250 2454 29.87% 22.99% 47.15%-0.52 -7.6 26
1955-01-12 @ Budapest Dozsa W 2-162.8 2454 2250 47.15% 22.99% 29.87%+0.52 +7.6 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1954-11-07 1.35% Tungsram 1931 1 @ Voros Lobogo 2475 0
2 1954-12-22 3.04% Szombathelyi Haladas 2096 2 @ Voros Lobogo 2480 1
3 1954-05-01 3.14% Szegedi EAC 1844 1 @ Gyor 2222 0
4 1954-03-14 3.56% Tungsram 1843 2 @ Dorogi 2197 1
5 1954-04-24 4.65% Gyor 2205 2 @ Honved 2506 1
6 1954-05-01 4.73% Tungsram 1908 3 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2205 0
7 1954-12-19 5.91% Budapest Dozsa 2255 5 @ Honved 2509 4
8 1954-05-09 5.95% Ferencvaros 2228 3 @ Voros Lobogo 2480 1
9 1954-11-24 7.89% Szegedi EAC 1932 1 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2129 0
10 1954-03-13 8.94% Budapest Dozsa 2302 1 @ Voros Lobogo 2474 0
11 1954-09-08 10.08% @ Szegedi EAC 1853 6 Budapest Dozsa 2290 2
12 1954-04-04 10.20% @ Szegedi EAC 1825 1 Ferencvaros 2259 0
13 1954-09-05 11.58% Csepel 2160 4 @ Vasas 2280 3
14 1954-03-20 11.69% Gyor 2199 3 @ Budapest Dozsa 2318 2
15 1954-12-01 12.72% @ Gyor 2144 3 Honved 2534 1
16 1954-10-03 12.97% Diosgyor 2142 3 @ Budapest Dozsa 2240 2
17 1954-12-26 13.31% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2114 2 Honved 2494 1
18 1954-10-31 14.54% @ Salgotarjan 2129 1 Voros Lobogo 2491 0
19 1954-08-21 15.32% @ Szegedi EAC 1838 4 Csepel 2189 2
20 1954-04-18 16.72% Szombathelyi Haladas 2196 2 @ Ferencvaros 2242 1
21 1954-10-17 17.22% @ Dorogi 2176 2 Honved 2503 1
22 1954-11-07 17.26% Diosgyor 2112 4 @ Csepel 2152 3
23 1954-12-26 17.40% Vasas 2232 3 @ Budapest Dozsa 2271 1
24 1954-04-25 20.32% @ Tungsram 1880 5 Diosgyor 2171 2
25 1954-03-28 20.83% @ Dunaferr 2018 3 Budapest Dozsa 2304 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-05-01 49.96 Tungsram 3 1908 4.73% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 2205 75.67% 19.60%
2 1954-09-08 42.17 @ Szegedi EAC 6 1853 10.08% Budapest Dozsa 2 2290 69.52% 20.39%
3 1954-12-04 38.50 Ferencvaros 5 2297 23.99% @ Vasas 1 2268 52.80% 23.20%
4 1954-11-03 35.19 @ Szegedi EAC 3 1897 24.52% Diosgyor 0 2147 52.81% 22.67%
5 1954-05-09 29.15 Ferencvaros 3 2228 5.95% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2480 73.70% 20.34%
6 1954-04-25 27.74 @ Tungsram 5 1880 20.32% Diosgyor 2 2171 57.39% 22.29%
7 1954-12-01 25.97 @ Gyor 3 2144 12.72% Honved 1 2534 66.19% 21.10%
8 1954-05-09 24.90 Dunaferr 3 2030 42.20% @ Szegedi EAC 0 1862 34.63% 23.17%
9 1954-11-24 24.17 Voros Lobogo 5 2456 58.94% @ Csepel 0 2149 18.93% 22.13%
10 1954-12-26 23.74 Vasas 3 2232 17.40% @ Budapest Dozsa 1 2271 59.76% 22.85%
11 1954-04-03 23.65 Voros Lobogo 3 2453 44.46% @ Vasas 0 2269 32.44% 23.10%
12 1954-03-28 22.44 @ Dunaferr 3 2018 20.83% Budapest Dozsa 1 2304 56.83% 22.34%
13 1954-08-21 22.17 @ Szegedi EAC 4 1838 15.32% Csepel 2 2189 63.08% 21.61%
14 1954-03-07 22.11 @ Diosgyor 3 2135 46.99% Gyor 0 2212 29.70% 23.31%
15 1954-08-29 21.84 @ Ferencvaros 2 2257 30.08% Voros Lobogo 0 2460 46.92% 23.00%
16 1954-11-07 21.82 Budapest Dozsa 2 2255 30.00% @ Gyor 0 2175 46.69% 23.31%
17 1954-11-27 20.90 Csepel 2 2125 32.30% @ Dunaferr 0 2028 44.39% 23.32%
18 1954-12-26 20.68 @ Tungsram 2 1953 32.95% Salgotarjan 0 2133 43.93% 23.12%
19 1954-03-21 20.03 @ Diosgyor 5 2166 53.14% Csepel 1 2192 23.66% 23.19%
20 1954-11-07 19.33 Tungsram 1 1931 1.35% @ Voros Lobogo 0 2475 83.64% 15.01%
21 1954-12-31 19.22 Gyor 4 2165 22.93% @ Csepel 2 2145 53.91% 23.17%
22 1954-10-31 18.90 Ferencvaros 2 2300 37.52% @ Diosgyor 0 2166 39.21% 23.27%
23 1954-10-03 18.79 Ferencvaros 2 2278 37.80% @ Szombathelyi Haladas 0 2141 38.93% 23.27%
24 1954-05-01 18.76 Szegedi EAC 1 1844 3.14% @ Gyor 0 2222 78.68% 18.18%
25 1954-12-22 17.72 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2096 3.04% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2480 78.89% 18.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-12-19 84.5 Budapest Dozsa 5 2255 5.91% @ Honved 4 2509 73.77% 20.32%
2 1954-09-05 80.7 Csepel 4 2160 11.58% @ Vasas 3 2280 66.31% 22.11%
3 1954-10-31 79.6 @ Tungsram 3 1933 26.26% Gyor 3 2167 50.95% 22.79%
4 1954-05-09 79.5 @ Dorogi 3 2163 51.58% Gyor 3 2203 25.19% 23.24%
5 1954-11-07 79.0 Diosgyor 4 2112 17.26% @ Csepel 3 2152 59.90% 22.83%
6 1954-03-20 77.4 Gyor 3 2199 11.69% @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2318 66.19% 22.13%
7 1954-10-03 77.1 Diosgyor 3 2142 12.97% @ Budapest Dozsa 2 2240 64.69% 22.34%
8 1955-01-09 77.1 Honved 9 2492 23.14% @ Voros Lobogo 7 2470 53.68% 23.17%
9 1955-01-05 77.0 @ Tungsram 2 1974 6.63% Honved 2 2495 74.39% 18.98%
10 1954-04-18 76.9 @ Dorogi 2 2161 76.56% Szegedi EAC 2 1841 4.22% 19.22%
11 1954-12-19 76.2 @ Gyor 2 2170 69.04% Dunaferr 2 2007 9.35% 21.61%
12 1954-12-22 76.1 Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2096 3.04% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2480 78.89% 18.07%
13 1954-03-14 75.9 Tungsram 2 1843 3.56% @ Dorogi 1 2197 77.82% 18.62%
14 1954-04-04 75.7 @ Salgotarjan 2 2183 52.41% Gyor 2 2216 24.38% 23.22%
15 1954-05-02 75.7 @ Csepel 2 2191 47.97% Vasas 2 2260 28.72% 23.30%
16 1954-08-29 75.7 @ Diosgyor 2 2150 39.82% Vasas 2 2280 36.90% 23.28%
17 1954-12-26 75.7 @ Csepel 2 2146 47.21% Dorogi 2 2222 29.48% 23.31%
18 1954-04-24 75.6 Gyor 2 2205 4.65% @ Honved 1 2506 75.80% 19.55%
19 1954-08-21 73.9 @ Szegedi EAC 4 1838 15.32% Csepel 2 2189 63.08% 21.61%
20 1954-05-09 73.0 Ferencvaros 3 2228 5.95% @ Voros Lobogo 1 2480 73.70% 20.34%
21 1954-11-07 73.0 Tungsram 1 1931 1.35% @ Voros Lobogo 0 2475 83.64% 15.01%
22 1954-12-26 73.0 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 2 2114 13.31% Honved 1 2494 65.47% 21.22%
23 1954-03-21 72.4 @ Szombathelyi Haladas 1 2201 70.36% Dunaferr 1 2015 8.33% 21.31%
24 1954-05-01 72.4 Szegedi EAC 1 1844 3.14% @ Gyor 0 2222 78.68% 18.18%
25 1954-05-09 72.2 @ Tungsram 1 1958 17.88% Budapest Dozsa 1 2276 60.12% 22.00%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-12-04 42.2 @ Honved 4 2508 83.83% Tungsram 0 1957 1.30% 14.87%
2 1954-09-01 43.2 @ Voros Lobogo 5 2438 78.82% Dunaferr 0 2055 3.07% 18.10%
3 1954-10-27 44.4 @ Honved 4 2489 76.51% Diosgyor 0 2170 4.25% 19.24%
4 1954-12-29 44.4 @ Ferencvaros 4 2327 76.61% Dunaferr 0 2006 4.19% 19.20%
5 1954-09-12 44.5 @ Voros Lobogo 14 2454 84.02% Szegedi EAC 0 1896 1.25% 14.73%
6 1954-08-21 44.8 @ Voros Lobogo 5 2451 73.47% Gyor 0 2204 6.11% 20.42%
7 1954-04-03 44.9 @ Honved 8 2497 76.83% Dorogi 0 2170 4.07% 19.10%
8 1954-10-13 45.4 @ Ferencvaros 3 2297 77.67% Tungsram 0 1947 3.63% 18.70%
9 1954-10-17 45.6 @ Voros Lobogo 5 2477 70.61% Vasas 0 2286 8.14% 21.25%
10 1954-08-29 46.2 @ Dunaferr 4 2046 70.38% Szegedi EAC 0 1860 8.32% 21.31%
11 1954-09-12 46.2 @ Diosgyor 6 2127 69.18% Tungsram 0 1961 9.24% 21.58%
12 1954-11-27 46.2 @ Honved 6 2531 79.62% Salgotarjan 1 2125 2.72% 17.65%
13 1954-09-05 46.5 @ Honved 2 2504 81.08% Dunaferr 0 2051 2.15% 16.77%
14 1954-10-31 46.6 @ Honved 7 2494 84.96% Szegedi EAC 2 1898 1.03% 14.01%
15 1954-09-08 46.7 @ Voros Lobogo 7 2448 76.40% Diosgyor 1 2132 4.31% 19.29%
16 1954-03-28 46.9 Honved 5 2494 80.55% @ Szegedi EAC 1 1827 3.19% 16.26%
17 1954-11-24 46.9 @ Ferencvaros 4 2286 68.23% Salgotarjan 0 2136 10.00% 21.77%
18 1954-05-01 47.6 Honved 3 2488 70.40% @ Dunaferr 0 2038 9.42% 20.18%
19 1954-10-02 48.3 @ Vasas 4 2271 63.54% Gyor 0 2188 13.97% 22.48%
20 1954-03-14 48.6 @ Honved 6 2482 71.38% Vasas 1 2277 7.57% 21.05%
21 1954-10-14 48.6 @ Budapest Dozsa 4 2226 62.50% Salgotarjan 0 2156 14.90% 22.60%
22 1954-03-21 49.0 @ Honved 2 2490 72.95% Ferencvaros 0 2254 6.46% 20.59%
23 1954-11-03 49.0 @ Honved 4 2494 79.02% Szombathelyi Haladas 1 2106 2.99% 18.00%
24 1954-11-24 49.1 Voros Lobogo 5 2456 58.94% @ Csepel 0 2149 18.93% 22.13%
25 1954-03-21 49.2 @ Vasas 1 2268 80.70% Szegedi EAC 0 1828 2.29% 17.01%